Sports Picks & Predictions

7* Wyoming/Boise State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 48.5

The Key: Wyoming and Boise State are two UNDER teams because they run the ball a lot and have good defenses.  Wyoming attempts 42 rushes per game while Boise State attempts 38.  Wyoming yields 21.3 PPG and Boise State 20.9 PPG.  The last 4 matchups between Wyoming and Boise State have seen 26, 37, 48 and 38 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

6* Ravens/Dolphins AFC *CA$H COW* on Baltimore -7.5

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens are outgaining opponents by 52 YPG this year while the Miami Dolphins are getting outgained by 95 YPG.  The Dolphins have been even worse with Jacoby Brissett at QB and he is likely to start in place of an injured Tua again tonight.  They stand zero chance of keeping this game closer with Brissett at QB.  The Ravens are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in the last 9 matchups with Miami with 7 wins by at least 14 points.  Take Baltimore.

7* UNC/Pitt ACC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 71.5

The Key: Two of the best offenses in the ACC go at it tonight when North Carolina travels to face Pitt.  The Panthers score 45 PPG and average 541.1 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Kenny Pickett who has 29 TD and only 3 INT this year.  North Carolina averages 38.9 PPG and 488.8 YPG behind an NFL quarterback in Sam Howell who can beat you with his arms and his legs.  He did just that last week in a 58-55 win over Wake Forest.  And it should be a shootout again tonight against this Pitt squad.  UNC's last 3 games have all seen 78 or more combined points.  6 of Pitt's last 8 games have seen 72 or more combined points.  UNC is 7-0 OVER In its last 7 road games against good passing teams that complete 58% or better. Take the OVER.

6* Toledo/Bowling Green MAC *CA$H COW* on Bowling Green +10.5

The Key: The Bowling Green Falcons have had 2 full weeks to get ready for Toledo.  They are coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo as 13.5-point dogs on the road 2 weeks ago.  Now they come in with confidence and the fresher team.  Toledo is coming off a 52-49 loss to Eastern Michigan last week that definitely would have taken a lot out of them.  They should not be double-digit road favorites here when you consider they are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last 3 games with their only win coming against Western Michigan in a game they were outgained by 68 yards.  They were upset by Northern Illinois, Central Michigan and Eastern Michigan in their 3 losses.  The Falcons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Bowling Green is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog.  Take Bowling Green.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Akron/Western Michigan OVER 62

The Key: Western Michigan will gets its points against Akron's defense and can pretty much name its number.  The Zips should get their points as well being an improved offense under QB Zach Gibson, who has 72% completions, 8 TD and 0 INT in basically 3 starts this year.  The Zips scored 35 points against Bowling Green, 21 against Miami and 25 against Ball State in his 3 starts.  He threw for 291 against a good Miami defense and 331 against Ball State.  The OVER is 5-1 in Zips last 6 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 home games against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 Tuesday games.  Take the OVER.

7* Bears/Steelers MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -6.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 3 in a row behind one of the best defenses in the NFL that has held their last 3 opponents to an average of just 16.3 PPG.  I don't see the Chicago Bears topping that number Monday, which will allow Big Ben and the offense to make just enough plays to cover this 6.5-point spread and win by a TD or more.  The Bears have the worst offense in the NFL, ranking last at 4.4 YPP this year.  They have been even worse with Justin Fields at QB.  They average just 264 YPG in their last 6 games with him as their starter.  Chicago's defense is a huge concern too with all the injuries.  They gave up 38 points to the Bucs followed by 33 points, 467 yards and 8.6 YPPG last week to the 49ers in their last 2 games.  Pittsburgh will get to 24, and that will be enough to win by 7 or more.  The Bears are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* Cardinals/49ers NFC West *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +2.5

The Key: The 49ers want to avenge their 17-10 road loss at Arizona earlier this year.  They had Trey Lance at QB for that game and he was awful, yet the 49ers still outgained the Cardinals by 34 yards.  Their defense played well in limiting the Cardinals to just 304 yards.  And there's reason to believe Arizona will be even worse off offensively in this one, plus they won't have JJ Watt on defense this time around.  Kyler Murray is banged up with an ankle injury and isn't himself, which showed in their upset loss to the Packers Thursday.  AJ Green is on the COVID list, and DeAndrew Hopkins is questionable.  The 49ers got their offense going against the Bears last week with 467 yards and 8.6 YPP while scoring 33 points despite settling for a lot of field goals.  Jimmy G is back and playing well and this will be a formidable team moving forward.  Take San Francisco.

7* Chargers/Eagles NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -1

The Key: The Chargers had 3 straight impressive wins over the Chiefs, Raiders and Browns before being flat the last 2 weeks against the Ravens and Patriots.  All 5 of those teams are better than the Eagles, whose 3 wins this year have come against the Lions, Panthers and Falcons.  The Chargers will make easy work of the Eagles this week and get back on track.  Los Angeles is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 road games against NFC teams.  Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after covering the spread in its previous game.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Falcons/Saints NFC South *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +6

The Key: This is a big letdown situation for the New Orleans Saints off their upset win over the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs last week.  They now take on a Falcons team that they won't get up for.  The Falcons are 3-2 SU in their last 5 games overall with their 2 losses both coming by 6 points or fewer.  So I like the price we are getting on the Falcons this week to keep it close.  The Saints just lost Jameis Winston to a season-ending injury, Taysom Hill is questionable, so they could be down to 3rd-stringer Trevor Siemian.  This Saints offense isn't good already, and it is even worse without Winston.  The Saints average just 305.9 YPG on offense this year.  They get outgained by nearly 40 YPG.  Atlanta is only getting outgained by 24 YPG.  Bets against favorites who are off an upset win over a division opponent as a home underdog who also have a winning record on the season are 44-16 ATS since 1983.  Take Atlanta.

6* Clemson/Louisville ACC *CA$H COW* on Louisville +4.5

The Key: Clemson would be 0-8 ATS this year if not for a defensive TD on the final play of the game last week to turn a 24-20 win over lowly Florida State into a 30-20 win as 9.5-point favorites.  Louisville is much better than Florida State and one of the best teams that Clemson has faced this year.  The Cardinals will get the cover at home Saturday and likely win this game outright.  Louisville has the much better offense.  Clemson would be held to 24 points or fewer in 6 straight games if not for that defensive TD against FSU.  Louisville has put up 434 or more yards in 6 of its last 7 games.  The Cardinals have outgained 5 of their last 7 opponents with the only exceptions behind -19 yards against Virginia and -58 against FSU.  The Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games.  The Cardinals are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games off an ATS loss.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points last game.  Take Louisville.

6* Houston/USF AAC *CA$H COW* on South Florida +13.5

The Key: South Florida has played a much tougher schedule than Houston has this year.  The Bulls opened 1-4 with all 4 losses to ranked teams in Florida, BYU, SMU and NC State.  They were competitive ATS in 3 of those 4 games.  The schedule has lightened up and they have played better.  They only lost by 1 to Tulsa s 7-point dogs.  They crushed Temple 34-14 as 1.5-point favorites.  And they lost 29-14 to ECU only because they had 4 turnovers in a game that was closer than the final score.  Houston is coming off a massive last-second win over SMU in which they returned a kickoff for a TD in the final seconds to win 44-37 and hand the Mustangs their first loss of the season.  Now this is an obvious letdown situation for the Cougars.  Houston is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games off an ATS win.  South Florida is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games off an ATS loss.  Take South Florida.

7* ACC Game of the Year on North Carolina -2.5

The Key: The North Carolina Tar Heels have played a much tougher schedule than the Wake Forest Demon Deacons this season and they have had tough luck in close games, while the Demon Deacons have won all their close games.  That's the difference in UNC being 4-4 while Wake is 8-0.  But the Tar Heels will hand the Demon Deacons their first loss of the year this week.  The Tar Heels are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games against a team with a winning record.  The home team has covered 6 of the last 7 matchups in this series.  Take North Carolina.

7* VT/BC NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Boston College +3

The Key: This is Boston College's Red Bandana game that stems back to 9/11 and the heroes.  Look up the story it's pretty good.  The Eagles have been great in this game year after year as it adds to their motivation.  And they won't have any problem being motivated with rival Virginia Tech coming to town for a National TV Friday night game.  I expect them to win this game on the field, but I'll take the 3 points.  The Hokies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off 2 straight games where they committed zero turnovers.  The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in 3 straight games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  Virginia Tech is 8-25 ATS in its last 33 games as a road favorite.  The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Boston College.

7* Jets/Colts AFC *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +10.5

The Key: The New York Jets come into Thursday with confidence with Mike White under center.  They just had 34 points and 511 yards against a good Cincinnati defense last week behind 405 passing yards and three touchdowns from White.  The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a disappointing OT loss to the Titans and are on a short week.  They may bounce back with a win, but asking them to win by 11 points or more tonight is asking a lot.  Carson Wentz continues to make bonehead plays week after week.  And he'll be without TY Hilton, plus the defense will now be without DT Tyquon Lewis.  Indianapolis is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games as a home favorite.  Take New York.

6* Wednesday MAC *Total* Annihilator on Central Michigan/Western Michigan OVER 66

The Key: These are two balanced offenses in Central Michigan and Western Michigan and it should be a classic MAC shootout tonight.  Central Michigan puts up 449.5 YPG, 288 PYPG and 161.5 RYPG.  Western Michigan averages 432.5 YPG, 249.6 PYPG and 182.9 RYPG.  These teams played in a shootout last year with Western Michigan winning 52-44 for 96 combined points.  We only need them to top 66 to cash this OVER tonight.  The OVER is 7-1 in Chippewas last 8 Wednesday games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 Wednesday games.  Take the OVER.

7* Tuesday MAC *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio/Miami (Ohio) UNDER 53

The Key: Two poor offensive teams go at it tonight in MACtion when Miami (Ohio) visits Ohio.  Both teams are averaging just 21.1 PPG and I think this total is too high.  8 of the last 11 matchups between these teams have resulted in 47 or fewer combined points.  The Redhawks are 8-1 UNDER in their last 9 MAC road games.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Redhawks last 10 games off a conference win.  The UNDER is 9-0 in Redhawks last 9 games off an ATS win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 games overall.  Take the UNDER.

7* Giants/Chiefs MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Kansas City -9.5

The Key: The price is right to back the Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night.  They were 13-point favorites when this line opened and are now single-digit favorites.  They got crushed by the Titans last week, while the Giants crushed the Panthers.  Those recent results from last week are playing too much of a factor into this line this week.  Consider the Chiefs' 2 best performances this year came against NFC East teams when they went on the road to beat both the Eagles by 12 and Washington by 18.  They will also beat the banged-up Giants by double-digits this week.   New York is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after yielding 15 points or fewer last game.  Take Kansas City.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Carolina Panthers +3

The Key: The Carolina Panthers have gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.  They lost 3 close games then were shocking blown out by the Giants.  Now we are getting the Panthers as dogs against a Falcons team that they are better than.  The price is right to pull the trigger on the Panthers.  The Falcons are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, so they are getting pricey.  The road team is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 3 points or less.  Take Carolina.

6* Dolphins/Bills AFC East *CA$H COW* on Miami +14

The Key: The price is right to back the Miami Dolphins in this game Sunday.  Consider they were only 3.5-point dogs in their first matchup with the Bills and are now 14-point dogs in the 2nd matchup, which is a 10.5-point adjustment.  And the Dolphins have a healthy Tua back at QB and are getting healthier by the week, especially in the secondary.  They will have the goods to keep this game closer than 2 touchdowns against the Bills this weekend.  Bets on road dogs or PK who failed to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against a team that covered the spread in 3 of their last 4 games are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Miami.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +14.5

The Key: Tyrod Taylor makes his return to the Texans looking to pick up where he left off in the first 2 games this year and provide this offense the same spark that he had before.  Taylor accounted for 471 yards and 4 touchdowns without a turnover in 6 quarters against the Jaguars and Browns to open the season.  He has been a covering machine as a starting QB in this league.  The Rams won't be hungry enough to put away the Texans by more than 2 touchdowns.  And it's an early start time for a West Coast team here, which is always a tough situation.  Take Houston.

7* Big 12 Game of the Year on Kansas +30.5

The Key: Oklahoma State hasn't won a game by more than 11 points this season.  They may win this game by more than 11, but it's not going to be by 31-plus.  Kansas nearly upset Oklahoma last week and is getting better under their first-year head coach.  They will keep battling and keep this game competitive for 4 quarters.  The Cowboys are in a hangover situation after suffering their 1st loss of the season last week against Iowa State.  Take Kansas.

6* Arkansas State/South Alabama Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas State +9

The Key: Arkansas State gets a few extra days to prepare after a 27-28 loss as 18-point dogs to Louisiana on Thursday last week.  They are hungry for that first conference victory and will have a good chance of getting it today against South Alabama.  The Jaguars are 4-3 this year but their wins have come against Southern Miss, Georgia Southern, Bowling Green (by 3) and Alcorn State (by 7).  They tend to play in close games and it is hard to see them winning by double-digits today.  Three of the last 4 matchups in this series were decided by one score.  Take Arkansas State.

6* Texas Tech/Oklahoma Big 12 *CA$H COW* on OVER 66

The Key: This is 2 great offenses against 2 bad defenses and should result in yet another shootout in this rivalry between Texas Tech and Oklahoma.  The Sooners are putting up 41.8 PPG and the Red Raiders are scoring 34.3 PPG.  Texas Tech gives up 30.6 PPG and Oklahoma yields 24.6 PPG.  Texas Tech and Oklahoma have combined for at least 68 points in 8 straight matchups, which is an 8-0 angle backing the OVER with this 66-point total.  The last 8 have seen 90, 71, 97, 76, 125, 90, 72 and 68 combined points, respectively.  Take the OVER.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on FIU/Marshall OVER 64

The Key: Marshall is a great OVER team because they play at a fast tempo averaging 76 plays per game.  Their offense puts up 36.9 PPG and 510 YPG.  They'll be able to name their number against a FIU defense that yields 40.8 PPG and 521.8 YPG.  This FIU offense has scored at least 21 in 4 of their last 5 and should get to at least that number today to help aid the OVER.  FIU is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 Saturday road games.  FIU is 6-0 OVER in its last 6 road games off a loss.  The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* Michigan/Michigan State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on UNDER 51

The Key: Michigan and Michigan State are bitter rivals and familiar with each other.  That familiarity should lead to a low-scoring game in this rivalry Saturday.  Michigan has one of the best defenses in the nation.  The Wolverines yield just 14.3 PPG and 299.1 YPG.  They are good against the run allowing 117 YPG and 3.6 YPG.  Michigan State also has a good defense that yields 18.7 PPG.  Bets on the UNDER when the total is 49.5 to 56 in a game between two good rushing teams that outrush their opponents by 50 YPG or more after 7-plus games are 40-8 over the last 5 years.  Take the UNDER.

7* Navy/Tulsa NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNDER 46.5

The Key: Tulsa has had the last 2 weeks off to prepare to face Navy's triple-option.  It is one of the weakest offenses in recent memory for Navy, and the Golden Hurricane should shut it down.  The Midshipmen average just 17.9. PPG and 280.3 YPG this year.  They do have a good defense and shorten games with their offense.  They give up 356 YPG on defense.  Tulsa has an above average defense and is good at stopping the run, giving up 3.8 YPC this year.  Take the UNDER.

7* Packers/Cardinals NFC *HEAVY HITTER* on Green Bay +6.5

The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won and covered 6 straight since that ugly opening loss to the Saints.  They are missing some players tonight, but so are the Cardinals, most notably JJ Watt.  As long as the Packers have Aaron Rodgers under center they have a chance.  And it's worth noting the Packers are 6-0 in 6 games without Devante Adams over the last 3 years and scoring over 32 PPG.  Take Green Bay.

6* USF/ECU American Athletic *CA$H COW* on South Florida +10

The Key: South Florida played 4 Top 25 teams in their first 5 games and didn't fare well, which is understandable.  They have since gone 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS and should have beaten Tulsa, but lost 31-32 as 7-point dogs.  They came back with their best performance of the season last week in a 34-14 win over a Temple team that was in a good spot coming off their bye.  South Florida had 526 total yards and outgained Temple by 295 yards.  East Carolina is 3-4 and cannot be trusted as a double-digit favorite.  The Pirates are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as favorites, including 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as home favorites.  The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups, including 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups at ECU.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take South Florida.

7* Saints/Seahawks MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on OVER 41

The Key: The New Orleans Saints and Seattle Seahawks will combine to go OVER the number tonight.  The Saints are scoring 25.4 PPG and the Seahawks 23.3 PPG.  They should have no problem both getting to 20 in this game.  The Seahawks yield 24.8 PPG.  The Saints have a good defense, but I don't think Geno Smith is as big of a downgrade over Russell Wilson that everyone makes him out to be.  Take the OVER.

6* Texans/Cardinals NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 47

The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are putting up 32.3 PPG and will get their points against the Houston Texans this week.  But I think the Texans can hang around with an offense that has shown life at least from a moving the football perspective the last 2 weeks.  The Texans had 360 yards against the Patriots and 353 yards against the Colts.  They just haven't been able to turn that yardage into points.  They should do a better job of that against the Cardinals this week.  Arizona is 6-0 OVER in its last 6 home games after a non-conference game.  Take the OVER.

7* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Month on Houston Texans +18

The Key: We have the perceived best team in the NFL in the 6-0 Arizona Cardinals against the perceived worst team in the NFL in the 1-5 Houston Texans here.  That fact has this number artificially inflated.  The Cardinals are primed for a letdown.  They just beat the Rams, 49ers and Browns and have the Packers on deck Thursday, so this is a sandwich spot.  This is more of a bet against the Cardinals due to the spot than it is a bet on the Texans.  But it's worth noting the Texans did outgain the Patriots by 8 yards 2 weeks ago and were only outgained by 35 yards by the Colts last week.  Take Houston.

6* Eagles/Raiders NFL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 48.5

The Key: There should be plenty of points to get this total OVER the number between the Eagles and Raiders.  It will be perfect conditions in the dome in Las Vegas for a shootout.  The Raiders have been an OVER team the last couple years with a great offense and bad defense.  The Eagles will get right offensively this week against this bad defense.  They have been up against some good defenses of late in the Panthers and Bucs.  But they scored 30 points against the Chiefs 3 weeks ago and should come close to reaching 30 today.  Both offenses average 6.1 YPP which is impressive in the NFL.  The Raiders are 6-0 OVER in their last 6 home games after gaining 400 yards or more last game.  The Raiders are 6-0 OVER in their last 6 home games against good offensive teams that average at least 5.65 YPP.  Take the OVER.

6* West Virginia/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on UNDER 57.5

The Key: West Virginia is a great UNDER team as they have a great defense and a terrible offense.  They are 4-1 UNDER in their 5 games this year.  Their offense is averaging just 20.8 PPG.  Their defense has done great against the competition they have faced, holding opponents to 0.7 YPP below their season averages.  TCU has played a bunch of shootouts lately against great offenses as their last 4 games have come against SMU, Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma.  So this total is inflated due to the high scoring games they have played recently.  This head-to-head matchup has been low scoring in recent years.  WVU and TCU have combined for 30, 37, 57, 55, 54, and 50 points in the last 6 matchups, respectively.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups.  The UNDER is 10-1 in Mountaineers last 11 games as an underdog.  Take the UNDER.

6* NC State/Miami ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State -3.5

The Key: NC State is one of the best teams in the nation at 5-1 this year.  Their only loss came on the road against SEC foe Mississippi State.  They eat Clemson and are coming off a 33-7 win at Boston College last week following their bye.  So they should still be fresh here.  Miami's season is lost at 2-4 and I wouldn't be surprised to see them pack it in.  Especially coming off 2 straight gut wrenching losses to Virginia by 2 and UNC by 3.  Losing QB D'Eriq King really hurts them.  They have 16 players on the injury report while NC State only has 3.  The Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing their last game on the road.  NC State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 against a team with a losing record.  The Hurricanes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 home games.  Take NC State.

6* San Diego State/Air Force MWC *CA$H COW* on San Diego State +3

The Key: San Diego State is 6-0 this year and looks to improve to 7-0 with a win against Air Force on Saturday.  The Aztecs have one extra day to get ready after playing last Friday.  I like the matchup for the Aztecs as the Falcons can basically only run the ball, averaging 336 yards per game on the ground.  San Diego State only gives up 61 RYPG and 2.1 YPC.  They are the best team in the country against the run.  It's no surprise San Diego State is 8-0 SU in its last 8 matchups with Air Force.  The Aztecs are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups.  Take San Diego State.

7* Oregon/UCLA Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on UCLA -1

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have been getting too much love since winning at Ohio State.  They have lost to Stanford, nearly lost to Cal and played terribly against Arizona in their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS.  UCLA is the more legit of these 2 teams and is a field goal away from being 6-1 this year.  They want to avenge their 35-38 road loss at Oregon last year and I expect them to.  The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take UCLA.

6* Wisconsin/Purdue Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Purdue +3.5

The Key: There was nothing fluky at all about Purdue's 24-7 win at Iowa.  The Boilermakers had 464 total yards against an elite Iowa defense.  They held the Hawkeyes to 271 yards and forced 4 turnovers.  Now they are home dogs against a worse Wisconsin team.  I like the price and I like the fact that Purdue had a bye 2 weeks ago and should still be fresh.  They only have one Big Ten loss and feel like a contender in the West.  Wisconsin is 3-3 this year with its 3 wins coming against Eastern Michigan, Illinois and Army.  They barely survived a physical 20-14 home win over Army last week and have been a huge disappointment with 3 losses already.  The Badgers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a winning record.  The Boilermakers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a dog.  Take Purdue.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Colorado State -2.5

The Key: Colorado State is 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall.  The only loss came by 10 points at Iowa when they had the Hawkeyes on the ropes as 24-point dogs.  They won by 16 at Toledo as 14.5-point dogs.  They won by 18 over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  They won by 29 at New Mexico as 13-point favorites.  Utah State is 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall with its only win coming by 4 points against a very bad UNLV team.  They also lost by 14 to BYU and by 24 to Boise State, both at home.  The Aggies are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as home underdogs.  Take Colorado State.

6* Broncos/Browns AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 40

The Key: There's a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball for both teams.  But I think the OVER 40 is the play here based on how bad these defenses have been of late.  The Broncos have yielded 27 and 34 points in their last 2 games.  The Browns have yielded 37 and 47 points in their last 2 games.  Take the OVER.

7* Sun Belt Game of the Month on Arkansas State +18

The Key: Game report coming soon.

6* Coastal Carolina/App State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on OVER 60.5

The Key: Two great offensive teams go at it Wednesday night in this Sun Belt showdown.  Coastal Carolina is putting up 48.8 PPG and 552.3 YPG against a soft schedule, but it has been impressive nonetheless.  App State is putting up 31.5 PPG and 436.3 YPG against a much tougher schedule, equally impressive.  But this App State defense has taken a step back this year and that was evident when they yielded 41 points and 455 yards to Louisiana-Lafayette last week.  The OVER is 6-0 in Mountaineers last 6 games off an ATS loss.  Take the OVER.

7* Bills/Titans NFL Total of the Week on OVER 53.5

The Key: The Bills and Titans have 2 of the better offenses in the NFL again this season.  The Bills are averaging 34.4 PPG while the Titans are putting up 26.4 PPG.  They combine to average nearly 61 PPG.  So I think the price is right to back the OVER in this game Monday night.  The Bills can name their score against a Titans defense that gives up 26.0 PPG and 6.5 YPP.  The Bills do have a good defense, but they have benefited from forcing 15 turnovers the last 4 weeks.  And they have faced an easy schedule of opposing offenses with 4 of their games coming against the Steelers, Dolphins, Texans and Washington.  The Titans hung 42 points on them last year in a 42-16 victory.  The Titans aren't holding the Bills to 16 points again.  Buffalo is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games off 3 straight wins by 10 points or more.  Tennessee is 8-0 OVER against good passing teams that average 235 PYPG or more over the last 2 years.  The OVER is 25-9-1 in Titans last 35 games overall.  Take the OVER.

6* Chiefs/Washington Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Washington +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Washington Football Team.  Fading the Kansas City Chiefs has been a big money maker because they can't stop anyone.  The Chiefs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall with almost all their victories coming by one score.  Washington has the offense that can keep them in this game for 4 quarters and match the Chiefs score for score.  They have scored at least 21 points in 4 straight games, and Taylor Heineke is proving not to be much of a downgrade from Ryan Fitzpatrick at all.  The Chiefs give up 32.6 PPG, 437.4 YPG and 7.2 YPP.  They yield 141 YPG and 5.2 YPC on the ground.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points that yielded 17 points or more in the first half of 2 straight games against an opponent that is off a loss by 10 points or more are 40-14 ATS since 1983.  Bets against favorites with a poor turnover defense that forces 1 or fewer turnovers per game after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 23-4 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Washington.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Detroit Lions +3.5

The Key: The Detroit Lions deserve to be better than 0-5.  They have showed tremendous resilience to keep fighting and will continue to do so behind head coach Dan Campbell.  They have lost on last-second field goals to the Ravens and Vikings in 2 of their last 3 games.  The other was a 14-24 loss to Chicago in which they had 4 trips into the red zone result in zero points.  They deserved to win all 3 games.  Now they will get that elusive first victory Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals.  It's a tough situation for the Bengals and a hangover spot.  They had their chances to beat the Packers, but lost 25-22 in OT after both kickers combined to miss 5 straight field goals at the end.  Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against a team that wins 25% of its games or fewer.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a close loss by 3 points or less to a division opponent, a bad team winning 25% or less of its games when playing a team with a winning record are 32-9 ATS since 1983.  The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* AFC South Game of the Year on Houston Texans +10

The Key: This is a tough situation for the Indianapolis Colts.  They are coming off an overtime loss to the Ravens on Monday Night Football in which they put everything on the line and probably deserved to win.  But they came up short after blowing a 19-point lead.  Now they are on a short week and in a hangover spot.  They face a Texans team coming off one of their best games of the season in a 25-22 loss to the Patriots.  They missed a FG and an extra point and probably should have won that game.  Davis Mills threw for 312 yards and 3 touchdowns and is improving.  He should be good enough to hang with the Colts.  This has been an extremely closely-contested rivalry through the years.  14 of the last 15 matchups were decided by 9 points or fewer.  Take Houston.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Texas Tech/Kansas OVER 68

The Key: Texas Tech has been a great OVER bet.  They are 3-1 OVER in their last 4 games overall while combining for 75 points with FIU, 105 points with Texas and 83 points with TCU.  They should combine for 68-plus with Kansas here.  This is a terrible Kansas defense that has yielded 45 or more points in all 4 games against FBS competition.  Texas Tech will get to 45, which means Kansas would just need 23-plus here.  The Jayhawks have actually been decent on offense in averaging 5.1 YPPG against teams that give up only 4.7 YPP.  Their schedule of opposing defenses has been brutal, which is why the PPG is down.  But Texas Tech does not have a good defense as they yield 34.3 PPG, so the Jayhawks should have one of their best offensive performances of the year.  Kansas is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games as an underdog.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups in Kansas.  Take the OVER.

6* Kent State/Western Michigan MAC *CA$H COW* on Kent State +7

The Key: Kent State is one of the better teams in the MAC.  The 3-3 start has them lacking the respect they deserve from oddsmakers.  The 3 losses have come to Texas A&M, Iowa and Maryland all on the road.  They have handled their business in the other 3 games with 3 wins by a combined 67 points.  They will be able to hang with Western Michigan, which is coming off a 20-45 home loss to Ball State.  The Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a double-digit home loss.  The Golden Flashes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games.  Take Kent State.

6* Kentucky/Georgia SEC *CA$H COW* on UNDER 45

The Key: Two of the best defenses in the country square off Saturday when Kentucky visits Georgia.  The Bulldogs have the best defense in the nation yielding only 5.5 PPG, 203.5 YPG and 3.6 YPP.  The Wildcats yield 17.5 PPG, 305 YPG and 4.6 YPP.  Kentucky has a terrible offense against this year.  They may get shut out here.  It's no surprise recent matchups in this series have been extremely low scoring.  Georgia won 14-3 last year and 21-0 in 2019.  So Kentucky has only managed 3 points total in 2 matchups with them the last 2 years.  Kentucky is 9-1 UNDER in its last 9 road games against teams that average 32 possession minutes and 21 first downs per game.  The Wildcats are 10-1 UNDER in their last 11 road games against elite run defenses that yield 2.75 YPC or less.  Take the UNDER.

7* MAC Game of the Month on Ball State -1

The Key: After a rough start to the season, the Ball State Cardinals are back to looking like the team that won the MAC last season.  They are coming off a 12-point win over Army as a 10.5-point dog and a 25-point win at Western Michigan as a 12.5-point dog.  Now they basically are a pick 'em against Eastern Michigan, a team that isn't nearly on those other two teams' levels.  Eastern Michigan is 4-2 but the wins have come against 4 of the worst teams in the nation.  They are in over their head here against the defending champs.  Ball State is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 against a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games off an upset win as a dog.  Take Ball State.

6* Rutgers/Northwestern Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +2

The Key: The situation is a great one for the Northwestern Wildcats.  They are coming off their bye week and hungry to get their first Big Ten victory here against Rutgers.  I like their chances because Rutgers is tired.  The Scarlet Knights will be playing their 7th straight week.  They are coming off 3 straight grueling games against Michigan, Ohio State and Michigan State.  They won't have much gas left in the tank for Northwestern.  Rutgers is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games against bad pass defenses that allow 62% completions or higher.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game.  The Wildcats are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 575 or more yards last game.  Take Northwestern.

7* California/Oregon NCAAF Friday Night Lights on California +14

The Key: The Oregon Ducks just had their dreams of making the college football playoff crushed with a 24-31 loss to Stanford last game.  The game prior was a misleading 41-19 win over an 0-5 Arizona team.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the Wildcats but were +5 in turnovers.  This Oregon team continues to get too much respect for its upset win at Ohio State.  Oregon just lost leading rusher C.J. Verdell and his 397 yards and 5 TD to a season-ending injury, too.  California always seems to play Oregon tough.  The Bears are 1-1 SU & 2-0 ATS in the last 2 matchups the last 2 seasons.  They won outright 21-17 as 9-point home dogs last year.  The only lost 7-17 as 21.5-point road dogs in 2019.  They have the defense to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  They need their offense to play like it did at Washington 2 games back when they had 457 yards against a very good Huskies defense in an OT loss.  The Golden Bears are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  The Ducks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as favorites.  Take California.

6* Bucs/Eagles NFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 52

The Key: These are 2 of the better offenses in the NFL, especially the Tampa Bay Bucs.  The Bucs are averaging 33.4 PPG and 431.2 YPG.  They have struggled defensively this year due to all the injuries in the secondary and at linebacker.  Jalen Hurts and the Eagles should be able to take advantage with the their speed at QB and at WR.  Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games after a win by 14 points or more.  The Bucs are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games following a game where 60 or more combined points were scored.  The OVER is 21-7 in Bucs last 28 against a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 matchups.  Take the OVER.

7* Georgia Southern/South Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 51

The Key: Two teams that love to run the football and are both good against the run square off in this Sun Belt showdown Thursday night.  The clock will be moving constantly to help aid in cashing this UNDER.  Georgia Southern averages 47 rushing attempts per game and only 23 passing.  South Alabama averages 40 rushing attempts per game and only 30 passing.  Georgia Southern is holding opponents to 150 RYPG, while South Alabama is holding foes to 121 RYPG.  The UNDER is 2-0 in the 2 matchups between these teams the last 2 years with 41 and 37 combined points scored.  The UNDER is 18-7-1 in Jaguars last 26 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 home games.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Jaguars last 9 games on grass.  We've seen 51 or fewer combined points in 7 of the 11 games played between these teams this year.  Take the UNDER.

6* App State/Louisiana Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Louisiana +5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Louisiana as a home underdog to Appalachian State tonight.  The money has poured in on the Mountaineers as they have been bet up from -1 to -5.  It's now time to take the points with the Rajin' Cajuns.  They certainly don't have as good of numbers as the Mountaineers this year, but they have kind of been going through the motions against some mediocre teams.  I know we'll get the Rajin' Cajuns 'A' game tonight, and it will be good enough to cover this 5-point spread.  The Mountaineers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games after yielding fewer than 20 points in their previous game.  The Mountaineers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against a team with a winning record.  Appalachian State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games as a favorite.  The Rajin' Cajuns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.  Take Louisiana.

7* Colts/Ravens MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Baltimore -7

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens always feast on bad teams like the 1-3 Indianapolis Colts.  The Ravens are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing record.  They face a Colts team that lost by 12 to the Seahawks and by 9 to the Titans.  Their only win came against the Miami Dolphins with backup QB Jacoby Brissett last week.  I think that win has them getting too much respect from the books here.  The Ravens beat the Broncos 23-7 last week and their offense humming right now, while their defense is as healthy as it has been all season and was a force against the Broncos last week.  Take Baltimore.

6* Giants/Cowboys NFC East *CA$H COW* on New York +7

The Key: Betting the New York Giants when they are on the road has been free money over the years.  The Giants are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as road underdogs.  They are also 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games against NFC foes.  The Cowboys are getting too much respect from the books after opening 4-0 ATS, the last unbeaten team in the NFL against the spread.  These teams stack up pretty well on a yards per play basis.  The Giants average 6.2 YPP and allow 5.9 YPP, while the Cowboys average 6.4 YPP and give up 6.4 YPP.  The Cowboys have simply benefited from forcing 10 turnovers already, which is unsustainable.  The Giants had 485 yards against the Saints last week to flash their offensive potential.  Take New York.

6* Sunday NFL *UPSET SPECIAL* on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals are 3-1 and come into this game with the Packers with extra rest and time to prepare after beating the Jaguars last Thursday.  They'll be up against a depleted Packers team that will be without 3 starters and possibly 5 more, who are all questionable.  The biggest concerns for the Packers are at linebacker and in the secondary, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover all these weapons that Joe Burrow has at his disposal.  This is an improved Cincinnati defense that is yielding 18.8 PPG and should hold the Packers in check.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Cincinnati.

6* Dolphins/Bucs Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami +10

The Key: This is almost strictly a situation play.  The Tampa Bay Bucs and Tom Brady are in line for a letdown after their huge win in New England on Sunday Night Football last week.  Brady's return to New England was the talk of the week.  Now they have to try and get up to play a Dolphins team that is coming off 2 straight losses and looked bad last week against the Colts.  The Dolphins will be all in here facing the defending champs.  I trust Brian Flores and this defense to keep them in the game, while Jacoby Brissett makes enough plays in the passing game to keep them in this game for 4 quarters.  He'll be up against a depleted Bucs secondary that could be missing as many as 3 starters.  That's why they signed Richard Sherman.  Miami is 8-0 ATS in Weeks 5 thru 9 over the last 3 years.  Tampa Bay is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after yielding 275 or more passing yards in 3 straight games.  Take Miami.

7* Jets/Falcons NFL London *HEAVY HITTER* on New York +3.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Jets in this neutral site game in London.  This line should be closer to a PK as there's not much difference between these 2 teams.  Zach Wilson had his best game yet last week in a 27-24 upset of Tennessee.  They have played a tough schedule and now it lightens up a little here against Atlanta.  The Falcons are 1-3 with their only win coming 17-14 over the Giants.  They lost by 26 to the Eagles, by 23 to the Bucs and by 4 to Washington.  Matt Ryan is broken, and their defense is the worse unit here yielding 32.0 PPG and 383.3 YPG.  The Jets only give up 23.5 PPG and 353.8 YPG and have been respectable on that side.  Wilson is only going to get better with each start, and should have his best game yet against this Falcons defense.  Atlanta is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 against teams that force 0.75 turnovers per game or fewer.  Take New York.

6* Memphis/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulsa -3

The Key: Tulsa will put its best foot forward Saturday with its season on the line after a 1-4 start.  The Golden Hurricane deserve better as they had both Oklahoma State and Ohio State on the ropes late in the 4th quarter on the road.  Those 2 efforts showed their potential.  And that potential will be unleashed here against a down Memphis team that is coming off 2 straight upset losses to UTSA and Temple.  The Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after a game where they forced one or fewer turnovers.  The Tigers are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games as road underdogs.  Tulsa is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 against a team with a winning record.  The Golden Hurricane are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games off an ATS loss.  Take Tulsa.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Month on Utah +3

The Key: The Utah Utes are coming off their bye week and have had time to put the distractions and the poor start behind them.  Look for them to put their best foot forward against USC Saturday.  Utah is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off a conference win.  The Utes are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games as road dogs.  Utah is 46-22-2 ATS in its last 70 games as a dog.  The Utes are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 October games.  Take Utah.

6* UTSA/WKU Conference USA *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky -3

The Key: Western Kentucky has gone through the gauntlet the last 3 weeks with competitive losses to Army by 3, Indiana by 2 and Michigan State by 17.  This is actually a step down in class despite the fact that UTSA is 5-0.  The Roadrunners are 5-0 against a very weak schedule.  Western Kentucky will test them with a high-octane offense that averages 39 PPG and 521 YPG despite the tough schedule of opposing defenses.  WKU averages 7.6 YPP while UTSA only averages 5.5 YPP on offense.  UTSA does have the better defense at 4.9 YPP compared to 5.8 YPP for WKU, but when you factor in schedule of opposing offenses faced it's actually pretty close.  The 1-3 team is favored over the 5-0 team for good reason in this matchup.  Take Western Kentucky.

6* West Virginia/Baylor Big 12 *CA$H COW* on West Virginia +3

The Key: Baylor is 4-1 but should have lost to Ohio State.  West Virginia is 1-3 but could easily be 5-0 with 3 losses by 6 to Maryland, by 3 to Oklahoma and by 3 to Texas Tech.  Because of this fact, we are getting the Mountaineers at a nice underdog price here despite the fact that they are the better team.  This is a circle the wagons game for the Mountaineers with their season on the line.  Bets against home favorites like Baylor after scoring 14 points or less last game against an opponent that scored 3 points or less in the first half last game are 37-11 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take West Virginia.

6* Michigan State/Rutgers Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +5.5

The Key: I like the spot for Rutgers.  They just played 2 of the best teams in the Big Ten in Ohio State and Michigan.  This is a step down in class against Michigan State despite the Spartans being 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS.  They have done it against a weak schedule and are clearly getting too much respect from the books now after the unbeaten start and #11 national ranking.  Rutgers has played the toughest schedule and is only giving up 21.2 PPG and 319 YPG.  They are holding opponents to 82 YPG below their season averages.  Michigan State gives up 429 YPG, allowing 110 YPG more than Rutgers.  So the Scarlet Knights make up for their worse offense than Michigan State with the much better defense.  This line should be closer to PK.  So the price is right to back the Scarlet Knights +5.5 at home.  The Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after playing their last game at home.  Rutgers is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games off an ATS loss.  Take Rutgers.

7* Stanford/Arizona State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Stanford +13.5

The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils are starting to get too much love after 2 straight blowout wins over Colorado and UCLA.  They are being asked to win this game by at least 14 points and it's too much.  Stanford has been underrated all season.  They have upset wins over both USC and Oregon, which were expected to be the 2 best teams in the Pac-12 coming into the year.  So they have proven what they are capable of.  And they are more than capable of going on the road and hanging with Arizona State and possibly pulling the upset.  The Cardinal are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorites.  Take Stanford.

7* Rams/Seahawks NFC West *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Seattle Seahawks tonight as home underdogs to the Los Angeles Rams.  Russell Wilson thrives in prime time, and he and the Seahawks will be out for revenge after getting knocked out of the playoffs by the Rams last season.  The Rams have taken a big step back defensively this year in yielding 24.8 PPG and 396.8 YPG.  The Rams are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games after yielding 400 or more total yards in 2 straight games.  Bets against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a terrible defense that yields 360 YPG or more, after gaining 400 or more yards in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Seattle.

6* Coastal Carolina/Arkansas State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 73

The Key: Coastal Carolina puts up 48.2 PPG this year and can name their number against an Arkansas State defense that gives up 45.6 PPG and 563.8 YPG.  The Chanticleers won't take their foot off the gas because this is a National TV standalone game.  Arkansas State is capable of keeping up as they average 32.0 PPG this year and 72 plays per game.  They play at one of the fasted paces in the country.  The OVER is 20-9 in Chanticleers last 29 road games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Chanticleers last 10 games against a team with a losing record.  Take the OVER.

7* Raiders/Chargers AFC West *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Las Vegas Raiders are 3-0 this year behind an offense that is hitting on all cylinders.  The Raiders are scoring 30 PPG and averaging 471 YPG this year.  They still have a pretty weak defense this season.  The Chargers are averaging 394.7 YPG as their offense is humming as well behind Justin Herbert.  They beat the Chiefs 30-24 last week in a shootout.  And their defense hasn't been great either.  These teams played in 2 shootouts last year with the Chargers winning 30-27 on the road and the Raiders winning 31-26 on the road.  The OVER is 7-1 in Raiders last 8 games overall.  Take the OVER.

6* Panthers/Cowboys NFC *CA$H COW* on Carolina +4.5

The Key: The Carolina Panthers are 3-0 this year and continue to not get any respect from the books.  Now they have extra time to prepare for the Dallas Cowboys after beating the Houston Texans on Thursday last week.  The Cowboys are coming off a big divisional win over the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football.  This is a short week for them, adding to the great situation for the Panthers.  It is also a letdown spot off that division win on national TV.  The Panthers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games.  Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog.  Take Carolina.

6* Giants/Saints NFC *CA$H COW* on New York +7.5

The Key: The New Orleans Saints have been on the road for over a month.  They are a tired team right now.  They are getting too much respect from the books against the New York Giants this week.  They beat the Patriots 28-13 on the road last week, but it was misleading as they only had 252 total yards and were +3 in turnovers.  The Saints are only averaging 234 YPG on offense this year.  The Giants are hungry for their first win after coming close the last 2 weeks with a 1-point loss to Washington and a 3-point loss to Atlanta.  The Giants are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 road games.  New York is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games against NFC teams.  Take New York.

7* NFC Game of the Month on Washington ML -113

The Key: The Washington Football Team is better than the Atlanta Falcons and that will show on the field Sunday.  I like getting a hungry Washington team here coming off a blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills.  The Atlanta Falcons will take a breather after picking up their first win of the season last week against the injury-ravaged New York Giants.  Ron Rivera has gone 26-9 ATS off a road loss as a head coach in his career.  Take Washington.

7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +19

The Key: The LA Tech Bulldogs are close to being 4-0 despite a brutal schedule.  Their 2 losses are to Mississippi State and SMU by a combined 3 points.  And they had both of them on the ropes with late leads in the 4th quarter.  This couldn't be a worst situation for NC State.  They are feeling fat and happy off their win over Clemson last week.  They won't give the Bulldogs their full attention this week.  The Wolfpack are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games against good passing teams that average 8 YPA or more.  Take Louisiana Tech.

6* Oregon/Stanford Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford +8

The Key: The Oregon Ducks are 4-0 this season and getting too much respect from the books because of it.  Their 41-19 win over Arizona last week was very misleading.  They were +5 in turnovers and didn't pull away until late.  They were outgained by 42 yards by the awful Wildcats.  Stanford has shown me enough the last 3 weeks to know they can hang here.  The Cardinal pulled the 42-28 upset at USC, then went on the road and won 41-23 at Vanderbilt.  They did lose by 11 at home to UCLA, but I like the fact that they are home again here for a 2nd straight week.  They were a tired team from all the travel going into that UCLA game.  The Ducks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as favorites.  Take Stanford.

6* Nevada/Boise State MWC *CA$H COW* on Nevada +5

The Key: Nevada has 2 full weeks to get ready for Boise State.  The Wolf Pack are a serious contender in the Mountain West and will prove that Saturday.  Boise State's numbers have not been good this season.  They are 2-2 and getting outgained by nearly 50 YPG.  Their 27-3 win over Utah State last week was very misleading as Utah State managed just 3 points despite 435 yards.  The Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as dogs.  Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games off an ATS loss.  The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  Take Nevada.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Iowa -3

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes are 4-0 this season behind an elite defense that is one of the best in the country.  And defense clearly travels, so I like Iowa to cover this short 3-point spread on the road at Maryland tonight.  The Hawkeyes are giving up just 11.0 PPG and 271.5 YPG while forcing 9 turnovers in 4 games.  These teams have a common opponent in Kent State.  Iowa only gave up 264 yards to Kent State.  Maryland allowed 458 yards to the Golden Flashes.  While Iowa has already played two Top 25 teams in Indiana and Iowa State, Maryland has feasted on a weak schedule during its 4-0 start.  The Hawkeyes are more battle-tested and will get the job done here.  The Hawkeyes are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as road favorites.  The Terrapins are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games off a win.  Maryland is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Iowa.

7* Jaguars/Bengals AFC *Total* Annihilator on OVER 45.5

The Key: The Jaguars and Bengals have 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL.  That has especially been the case for the Jaguars, who are yielding 30.3 PPG and 418 YPG this year.  Joe Burrow and Trevor Lawrence are going to want to put on a show in this battle of youngsters on the prime time stage.  I think they will do just that, and there should be some turnovers that lead to easy scores as well.  Take the OVER.

7* Eagles/Cowboys MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 51.5

The Key: The Dallas Cowboys are rotten defensively yet again this season.  They rank 27th in total defense giving up 419.5 YPG and 28th in giving up 6.7 YPP.  But the Cowboys are loaded on offense at 4th at 435 YPG while averaging 6.4 YPP.  The Eagles have faced 2 poor offenses which has helped their defensive numbers.  But injuries will catch up to them this week as they just lost one of their best defensive players in DE Brandon Graham to a season-ending injury last week against the 49ers.  The Cowboys have injuries of their own on defense missing DE Demarcus Lawrence and having several other defenders questionable, mostly along the defensive line.  I think we should see another shootout similar to last year's matchup in Dallas in which the Cowboys won 37-17 in one of the first games played by Hurts.  Dak Prescott didn't even play in that game and the Cowboys still had 513 total yards.  The Eagles had 477 total yards themselves but 3 turnovers was the reason for just 17 points.  With Dak back and showing he is elite, the Cowboys should hang another big number on the Eagles.  Philadelphia will be able to keep pace with Hurts and this improved offense.  The OVER is 32-15 in Eagles last 47 road games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Cowboys last 10 home games.  Take the OVER.

6* Seahawks/Vikings NFC *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Minnesota Vikings in Week 3.  They will be hungry for their first victory.  And they wouldn't be home underdogs in this game if they were 2-0 instead of 0-2, which they easily could be.  Dalvin Cook fumbled when the Vikings were in FG range in OT against the Bengals and would have won had they simply kicked the FG.  Then last week kicker Joseph missed an XP and the potential game-winning 37-yard field goal at the buzzer in a 33-34 loss at Arizona.  So you could argue that they should be 2-0.  This team will not quit on the season and will dig deep here.  The Vikings have been so much better at home than on the road under Zimmer and keep in mind that both of those losses were on the road.  The Seahawks blew a 30-16 lead against the Titans last week and lost 30-33 in OT.  They gave up 212 rushing yards to the Titans and 542 yards total.  Cook should have another monster game after the Vikings rushed for 177 yards on the Cardinals last week.  The Vikings will also be revenge-minded after blowing a late lead in a 26-27 road loss to Seattle last year.  They gave up the game-winning TD with 15 seconds left.  The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  The Vikings are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home underdogs.  Minnesota is 39-17 ATS in its last 56 games off a loss.  Take Minnesota.

6* Bengals/Steelers AFC North *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +3.5

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers were fortunate to beat the Bills in Week 1 due to big players from their defense.  But the injuries caught up to them last week as they were upset at home 17-26 by the Raiders.  And it's not getting any better this week against the Bengals.  The Steelers lost their best player in TJ Watt to a groin injury after he had one sack and four tackles in the 1st quarter against the Raiders, and that's when the game turned.  They were already without LB Devin Bush and CB Joe Haden.  WR Diontae Johnson got hurt late in that game, and QB Ben Roethlisberger suffered a pec injury.  They were already without DE Stephon Tuitt as well.  No team has been hit harder by injuries than the Steelers.  The Bengals upset the Vikings in Week 1 and nearly upset the Bears last week in a 20-17 road loss.  Joe Burrow just keeps them in games, and their defense is vastly improved this year.  The Bengals actually rank 4th in the NFL in giving up just 4.5 YPP on defense through 2 games.  Cincinnati is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 Week 3 games.  Pittsburgh is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite.  Take Cincinnati.

7* AFC Game of the Month on Los Angeles Chargers +6.5

The Key: The Kansas City Chiefs don't blow teams out, and the Los Angeles Chargers don't get blown out.  So this is a pretty easy choice for me.  The Chargers only lost 2 games all season last year by more than one score.  They they have lost by more than one score just twice in their last 18 games when you figure they won by 4 at Washington and lost by 3 at home to the Cowboys in their first 2 games this year.  The Chiefs have won just one of their last 13 games by more than one score.  That's a big reason they are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Their leaky defense is the reason they can't blow out teams, and it has reared its ugly head again this year.  The Chiefs have yielded 469 YPG and 7.6 YPP in 2 games this year against the Browns and Ravens.  The Chargers averaged 447.5 YPG in 2 matchups with the Chiefs last year.  The Chargers are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games as road dogs.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Indiana/Western Kentucky NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Western Kentucky +9.5

The Key: Indiana remains overrated with a 28-point loss at Iowa and a 14-point home loss to Cincinnati.  Western Kentucky is underrated, nearly upsetting Army in their last game.  And the Hilltoppers now have a bye week to get ready for the Hoosiers, who will be reeling from that Cincinnati loss last week.  Senior QB Bailey Zappe has already thrown for 859 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2 games for the Hilltoppers.  Take Western Kentucky.

6* Akron/Ohio State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Akron +49.5

The Key: The Akron Zips face a poor Ohio State defense that is allowing 471 YPG this year.  QB Demarcus Irons had a huge game last week accounting for 432 total yards and 4 touchdowns as a dual-threat.  The Buckeyes will be without their starting QB in CJ Stroud for this game.  Underdogs of at least 49 points in a matchup of 2 FBS teams are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 tries dating back to 1996.  Take Akron.

6* Saturday NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on Tennessee/Florida OVER 63

The Key: Josh Heupel brought his up-tempo offense from UCF with him to Tennessee.  Dan Mullen is also an up-tempo guy.  This game has offensive fireworks written all over it.  Florida has put up 35 points on FAU, 42 against USF and 29 against Alabama while averaging 74 plays per game and 553 YPG.  Tennessee is scoring 42.7 PPG this season and running 78 plays per game.  The OVER is 6-0 in Gators last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the OVER.

7* SEC Game of the Month on South Carolina +5.5

The Key: The South Carolina Gamecocks are underrated this season.  They are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS and just played Georgia last week in a cover.  Now they get to host Kentucky, which will be playing its first road game of the year.  The Wildcats weren't impressive in their 7-point home win over Missouri or their 5-point home win as a 31-point favorite against UT-Chattanooga last week.  They barely escaped with victory over that bad FCS team, and they shouldn't be road favorites here against the Gamecocks.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take South Carolina.

6* UCLA/Stanford Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Stanford +5

The Key: The Stanford Cardinal backed up their 42-28 upset win as 17-point dogs at USC with a 41-23 road win as 12.5-point favorites at Vanderbilt in a tricky spot last week.  Inserting Tanner McKee into the starting QB role against USC has made all the difference for this team.  He is completing 71.4% of his passes for 570 yards with 5 TD's and zero INT's.  Stanford is 12-1 SU & 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 matchups with UCLA.  Take Stanford.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on UNLV +30.5

The Key: The Fresno State Bulldogs are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They just upset UCLA late Saturday night in a 40-37 win as 10.5-point dogs.  That was one of the most exciting, back-and-forth games of the season.  QB Jake Haener played through an injury and just kept coming in one of the most remarkable games you will ever see by a quarterback.  He had to basically be carried off the field and cannot be 100%.  Look for the Bulldogs to be cautious with him.  They just won't be able to get up for UNLV.  This is actually a step down in competition for UNLV after facing Arizona State and Iowa State the last 2 weeks.  The Rebels are expected to get back QB Doug Brumfield after he missed the last 2 games with injury.  He played well in the opener against Eastern Washington with 117 passing yards and 9.0 YPA as well as 27 rushing yards and a score.  The Rebels only lost that game 33-35 (OT) as 2.5-point dogs against one of the best teams in FCS.  Fresno State has only won one of its last 10 matchups with the Rebels by more than 29 points.  Take UNLV.

6* Panthers/Texans TNF *CA$H COW* on Carolina -7.5

The Key: The Houston Texans are in a very tough situation tonight.  They have to try to get rookie quarterback Davis Mills ready to start in 3 days against the best defense in the league to this point in the Carolina Panthers.  This is a Panthers defense that is allowing just 10.5 PPG, 190 YPG and 3.7 YPP.  You can expect things to go very rough for Mills in this one.  I love head coach Matt Rhule who has this Panthers organization on the rise.  They have been underrated in the early going with their 2-0 ATS start with dominant wins over the Jets and then the Saints 26-7 last week.  They should improve to 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS with a win and cover at Houston Thursday night.  Take Carolina.

7* Marshall/App State NCAAF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 59

The Key: Marshall is a dead nuts OVER team this year.  They average 43.7 PPG and 603.7 YPG on offense and run 80 plays per game.  Appalachian State's offense will have no problem keeping up with them as they average 33.3 PPG and 446.3 YPG along with 68 plays per game.  Marshall just scored 80 combined points with East Carolina last game and gave up 553 yards to a mediocre Pirates offense.  The OVER is 21-5 in Thundering Herd last 26 non-conference games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 September games.  Take the OVER.

7* Lions/Packers MNF *Total* Annihilator on OVER 48

The Key: Both the Packers and Lions were gashed defensively in Week 1 and that should carry over to Week 2 as these are 2 of the worst defenses in the NFL.  The Packers gave up 38 points to the Saints and their mediocre offense without Drew Brees and Michael Thomas.  The Lions allowed 41 points and 8.0 YPP to the 49ers.  The Packers were shut down offensively by a good Saints defense and it was clear Aaron Rodgers wasn't in midseason form.  He'll be closer to it this week.  The Lions put up 33 points against the 49ers and can do their part offensively.  These teams have combined for 63 and 55 points in their last 2 matchups.  The Packers scored 73 points in 2 games against the Lions and will do the heavy lifting on this total.  Take the OVER.

6* 49ers/Eagles NFC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco -3.5

The Key: The Philadelphia Eagles are getting too much respect after a 32-6 win over the Atlanta Falcons last week.  That's a Falcons team that went 4-12 last year and was the worst team in the NFL in the preseason.  They might just be that bad.  The 49ers had a 24-point lead over the Lions with 2 minutes left by only won by 8.  That comeback by the Lions has the 49ers not getting the respect they deserve.  Few teams are loaded with as much talent as the 49ers when healthy, and although they do have a few injuries, they are in much better shape than they were last year.  They put up 41 points and 8.0 YPP against the Lions and are an elite offensive team.  They are also the better of these 2 teams defensively.  I like the fact that the 49ers stayed out East for this 2-game road trip to build some team chemistry.  They did this in 2019 and crushed the Bengals in this situation, and did it again in 2020 and dominated the Giants.  Now they will own the Eagles Sunday.  Bets against home teams who gave up 24 PPG or more last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game are 31-8 ATS since 1983.  The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win.  Take San Francisco.

6* Broncos/Jaguars AFC *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville +6

The Key: This line is an overreaction from what happened last week.  Jacksonville was a 3.5-point favorite on the road at Houston and is now a 6-point home underdog to Denver this week after losing 21-37 to the Texans.  Denver beat a bad New York Giants team 27-13 on the road and is getting a ton of respect now.  Contrary to popular belief, the Jaguars aren't going to quit on their season already.  That was a tough spot on the road for a rookie quarterback in Trevor Lawrence in his 1st game as an NFL QB.  He will be much more comfortable at home in his 2nd start now that he got his feet wet.  And when was the last time Teddy Bridgewater was a 6-point favorite?  He has done well in the role of the underdog, but now there are expectations that will be tough to live up to.  And Bridgewater will be without one of his top receivers in Jerry Jeudy, who suffered an ankle injury last week.  LB Bradley Chubb is questionable as well.  The Jaguars have managed to stay remarkably healthy and should give a much better effort in Week 2.  The Broncos are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites.  Take Jacksonville.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Cincinnati Bengals +3

The Key: Joe Burrow was impressive in his season debut and didn't look hobbled at all.  He completed 20 of 27 passes for 261 yards and 2 touchdowns to lead the Bengals to a 27-24 (OT) win over the Vikings.  Joe Mixon had 127 yards on the ground as the Bengals did pretty much whatever they wanted to against a good Vikings defense.  Now the Bengals take a step down here against a weak Bears offense and defense.  That was evident in their 34-14 loss to the Rams to open the season.  The Bears averaged just 4.7 YPP on offense and gave up 7.7 YPP on defense in a game that was every bit the blowout that the final score showed.  The Bears are missing several key players in LB Trevathan, NT Goldman, RB Cohen and could be without T Peters.  Andy Dalton clearly is not the answer at QB and will struggle against his former team as well.  Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as a home favorite.  Take Cincinnati.

6* Oklahoma State/Boise State NCAAF *BAILOUT* on Boise State -3

The Key: Oklahoma State is fortunate to be 2-0 SU despite being a 38-point favorite in a 23-16 win over Missouri State and a 10.5-point favorite in a 28-23 win over Tulsa.  They needed 21 points in the 4th quarter to beat Tulsa.  This team just isn't very good, and they have all kinds of injury problems on offense at receiver and along the offensive line.  Even QB Spencer Sanders is playing through injury and cannot be trusted in a hostile road environment here at Boise State to not turn the ball over.  Boise only lost 31-36 at UCF before crushing UTEP 54-13 last Friday.  Now they have had an extra day to get ready for this game against the Cowboys and will be amped up with a Big 12 team coming to the Blue Turf.  The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites.  Take Boise State.

6* Stanford/Vanderbilt NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +12

The Key: The Stanford Cardinal are in a letdown spot after upsetting USC last week.  Now they step outside the Pac-12 here against Vanderbilt before having to play UCLA and Oregon the next 2 weeks.  Stanford lost 24-7 to Kansas State in the opener and that result seems to be forgotten here with this line.  Vanderbilt upset Colorado State 24-21 on the road last week and improved as much as anyone from Week 1 to Week 2.  The number is just too high here in a game that is likely to be decided by one score either way.  Bets on home dogs that allowed 5.5 YPC or more last game against an opponent that has allowed 5.5 YPC or more in 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS since 1992.  Take Vanderbilt.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Utah -8.5

The Key: Kyle Whittingham called out his team after losing the line of scrimmage to BYU in their upset loss last week.  Look for his players to respond here, and for the Utes to put it on the San Diego State Aztecs.  San Diego State will be without starting QB Jordan Brookshire after he was knocked out of the Arizona game last week.  The Aztecs have played a weak schedule of New Mexico State and Arizona thus far, so this is a big step up in competition.  San Diego State was actually outgained by New Mexico State in their opener.  That's a New Mexico State team that lost 30-3 to UTEP and 34-25 to New Mexico.  Whittingham is 22-7 ATS after a game where his team forced zero turnovers as the coach of Utah.  The Utes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 against Mountain West teams.  Utah is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups with four of the wins coming by 16 points or more.  Take Utah.

6* Tulsa/Ohio State NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Tulsa +25

The Key: Tulsa had a bunch of key players suspended when they were upset by Cal Davis in their opener.  They got those players back last week against Oklahoma State and played more like their true selves.  They only lost 23-28 as 10.5-point dogs after giving up 21 points in the 4th quarter to the Cowboys, nearly pulling the upset.  They have the belief that they can hang with Ohio State, which cannot stop anyone.  They gave up 31 points to a bad Minnesota offense in their opener and gave up 35 points and 505 yards to Oregon last week in their upset loss.  Their problems on defense just aren't fixable in one week.  Tulsa has a great defense of its own that was one of the best in the AAC last year and has almost everyone back this year.  The Golden Hurricane are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 road games, including 6-0 ATS in road games over the last 2 years.  The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.  Take Tulsa.

6* Nebraska/Oklahoma NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +22.5

The Key: Nebraska should be 3-0.  They gave the game away in the opener against Illinois with turnovers and mistakes.  But they have responded well with back-to-back wins and covers in a 52-7 win over Fordham and a 28-3 win over Buffalo.  They can hang with Oklahoma, which let Tulane nearly upset them in the opener in a 40-35 win as 31-point favorites.  The Sooners just can't get enough stops defensively to trust them to cover this big of a number.  Adrian Martinez is playing the best football of his career and is a veteran QB who can keep the Huskers in this game.  Take Nebraska.

7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights on Illinois +7

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Illinois tonight as 7-point dogs to Maryland.  We are getting this price because Illinois is coming off two bad losses in a row to UTSA and Virginia.  But keep in mind that Illinois upset Nebraska at home in their opener with a healthy Brandon Peters at quarterback.  Peters left that game and hasn't returned since.  But Peters is now back this week and will give the offense a spark.  I think Maryland is overrated off a 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS start that included a win against Howard.  The other win was gift-wrapped to them by West Virginia who lost the turnover battle 4-0 in a 30-24 win by the Terrapins.  The Fighting Illini will put up a much better fight than they have the last 2 weeks in this standalone home game in front of a good crowd and with Peters back under center.  Bets on home dogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 6.25 YPP or more last game that has 8 or more offensive starters including their QB returning in the first month of the season are 23-5 ATS since 1992.  Take Illinois.

7* Giants/Washington TNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington -3

The Key: Washington has the edge at the line of scrimmage in a big way on both sides of the football in this game.  That will help make up for having a backup QB in Taylor Heinicke, who actually played really well in replacing Ryan Fitzpatrick in the first half last week.  He completed 11 of his 15 passes for 120 yards with a score and didn't turn the ball over.  Washington will be able to rely in Gibson to run the ball after the Broncos rushed for 156 yards on the Giants last week.  The Giants only ran for 60 yards on 20 carries and Saquon Barkley is questionable.  Daniel Jones isn't very good and will be without his safety valve in TE Evan Engram.  This has Washington blowout written all over it.  Take Washington.

6* Ohio/Louisiana NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio +21

The Key: This line would have been closer to a touchdown coming into the season, so the price is right to back Ohio off 2 straight upset losses to Syracuse and Duquesne.  The betting public wants nothing to do with this team now, which is why we are catching 3 touchdowns.  But Louisiana hasn't been any more impressive, losing by 20 as 8.5-point dogs at Texas and only beating Nicholls State by 3 as 25.5-point favorites last week.  They allowed over 500 yards to Nicholls State.  The Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as underdogs.  The Bobcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.  Take Ohio.