Sports Picks & Predictions

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Illinois State +18

Illinois State only lost 76-78 to Drake in overtime yesterday.  The Redbirds were 19-point underdogs in that game and now come back as 18-point dogs to the Bulldogs in the rematch today.  This spread is just way too high.

Drake is starting to feel the pressure of keeping its perfect record (16-0) in tact.  And with that record comes expectations from oddsmakers that is tough to live up to.  Note that Drake has only been favored by more than 10.5 points just twice all season before this series with Illinois State.

Illinois State hasn't lost a game by more than 9 points since December.  Drake hasn't won any of its last three games by more than 7 points.  The Bulldogs haven't won any of their last eight meetings with the Redbirds by more than 16 points.

Illinois State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that attempt 15 or fewer free throws per game.  Bet Illinois State Monday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Brooklyn Nets -7

Two teams headed in opposite directions square off Sunday when the surging Brooklyn Nets visit the struggling Washington Wizards.  This game has blowout written all over it, and I'm a little surprised the Nets aren't double-digit favorites here.

The Nets are clearly starting to form some chemistry with Harden, Durant and Irving.  They are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games overall, including four straight victories by an average of 10.8 points per game.  It should be more of the same here against the Wizards.

Washington had a two-week break due to COVID.  They have returned from that break and gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games with all four losses coming by 16 points or more.  I don't know how they can be expected to even compete with the Nets tonight.  The fact that the Wizards have lost 10 straight games in which Bradley Beal has scored 40 points or more says all you need to know about the lack of help he has.

Brooklyn is 31-14 ATS in its last 45 road games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 points or more.  Washington is just 3-12 SU this season.  The Wizards are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games.  Washington is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games following a loss.  Roll with the Nets Sunday.

15* NC State/Syracuse ACC ANNIHILATOR on Syracuse -5

The Syracuse Orange have been a tough out at home this season.  They are 8-1 at home with their last two home games resulting in blowout wins over Miami by 26 and Virginia Tech by 18.  Now they should make easy work of a struggling NC State team tonight.

NC State is just 1-4 SU in its last five games overall.  The only win during this stretch came at home against Wake Forest by 5 as 7.5-point favorites.  The Wolf Pack are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games with losses to Saint Louis by 11, Clemson by 4, FSU by 32 and UNC by 10.

Making matters worse for the Wolfpack is that they just lost their best player in Devon Daniels (16.5 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.1 APG) to a season-ending ACL injury in that win over Wake Forest last time out.  He had 20 points and eight rebounds before exiting.

The Wolfpack are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  NC State is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.  The Wolfpack are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orange are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss.  Syracuse is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off a conference loss by 10 points or more.  The Wolfpack are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK.  Take Syracuse Sunday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Southern Illinois +2.5

Southern Illinois will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They want to put an end to their currently six-game losing streak.  And they want revenge from a 62-74 home loss to Northern Iowa yesterday in which they blew a 30-27 halftime lead.

Northern Iowa is now just 5-10 SU & 3-10 ATS this season.  Two of those wins came against St. Ambrose and Coe College, who they just beat by 10 at home before taking down Southern Illinois.  And this is a Southern Illinois team that opened 7-1 this season and is grossly undervalued right now due to this losing streak.

The Salukis are 18-6 SU in their last 24 home meetings with Northern Iowa.  The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.  Southern Illinois is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home games.  The Salukis are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The home team is 12-6-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  Southern Illinois is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after playing a home game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls -2

The Portland Trail Blazers are just 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their two wins both came at home over the Hawks and Knicks by a combined 9 points.  Their four losses have come by an average of 12.8 points per game with three of those at home as well.

Now the Blazers hit the road to take on the Chicago Bulls, who have been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season.  The Bulls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and improving rapidly under first-year head coach Billy Donovan.  This team just has too much young talent to be held back for too long, and Donovan is getting the most out of it.

While the Bulls are fully healthy outside of Wendell Carter Jr, the Blazers are struggling right now due to their injuries.  They remain without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic, which are two of their best three players.  They will also be without Derrick Jones Jr. and could be without Robert Covington tonight.

The Bulls have had the last four days off and will be rested and ready to go.  They already won in Portland 111-108 back on January 5th in their first meeting this season as 9.5-point dogs back when the Blazers were healthy and Chicago wasn't.  The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Plays against any team (Portland) - revenging a loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite of 7 points or more, off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog are 58-24 (70.7%) ATS since 1996.  Roll with the Bulls Saturday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston Rockets +1

The Houston Rockets are finally getting healthy with Wall, Oladipo, Wood, Cousins, Tucker, Gordon and company forming a nice chemistry.  They have put the James Harden saga behind them and are finally starting to play up to their potential.

Indeed, the Rockets are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with their four wins coming by a combined 48 points.  Now they had yesterday off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 7 days.  They will be rested and ready to go tonight.

The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 131-126 upset win over the Bucks last night.  Now the Pelicans are in a massive letdown spot here, and their tired legs won't allow them to beat the Rockets, either.  This is a Pelicans team that is just 3-8 SU in its last 11 games overall.

Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (New Orleans) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against an opponent that went under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games are 24-3 (88.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Rockets Saturday.

20* Gonzaga/Pepperdine ESPN No-Brainer on Pepperdine +22

You're paying a tax to back Gonzaga right now because the Bulldogs are 16-0 this season and the No. 1 ranked team in the country.  These spreads have gotten out of control, and that's a big reason why the Bulldogs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

I backed Pepperdine successfully against Gonzaga in their first meeting this season, a 25-point loss as 27-point dogs.  The Waves now get the Bulldogs at home.  Pepperdine is now 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Gonzaga dating back to last year.  They only lost by 5 as +21 road dogs and by 12 as 15-point home dogs in their two meetings last year. 

Pepperdine is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes blowout wins over Portland by 15 and Pacific by 17.  And after losing by 11 at BYU as 11-point dogs, the Waves came back home and upset the Cougars 76-73 as 6.5-point home dogs.  If they can play with BYU, they can certainly stay within 22 points of the Zags.  And keep in mind they only trailed Gonzaga by 4 at halftime in their first meeting this season.

The Waves are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Gonzaga is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games following four straight wins by 10 points or more.  The Waves have two days to get ready for Gonzaga after playing BYU on Wednesday, while the Bulldogs have just one day to get ready for Pepperdine after playing at San Diego on Thursday.  Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia Tech +4

The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets had won five straight at home prior to losing two heartbreakers on the road against two of the best teams in the ACC in Virginia (62-64) and Duke (68-75).  Now they are back home here and will upset the Florida State Seminoles as 4-point home dogs.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Seminoles, who are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  But FSU has feasted on a home-heavy schedule with 10 of its 12 games played at home this year.  It is just 1-1 SU in true road games with a 10-point loss at Clemson and an upset win at Louisville.

Georgia Tech also wants revenge from a 61-74 road loss at Florida State in their first meeting this season back in December.  The Yellow Jackets have improved by leaps and bounds since that defeat.  They are taking care of the ball and hanging with and beating some of the best teams in the country.

Georgia Tech is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games following three straight games where it committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Yellow Jackets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games vs. top teams that win more than 80% of their games on the season.  Georgia Tech is 49-23 ATS in its last 72 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Yellow Jackets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following an ATS loss.  Take Georgia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Oklahoma State -2

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have won three of their last four games overall with their only loss coming to unbeaten Baylor.  That includes an upset home win over Kansas.  Their strength of schedule is much tougher than that of Arkansas, which plays in the weaker SEC.

I think we are getting great value on the Cowboys here as short 2-point home favorites over the Razorbacks.  That's especially the case with the expected return of star freshman Cade Cunningham (18.0 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 3.7 APG), who has missed the past two games with an illness.

Arkansas is 2-3 SU in true road games this season with its only wins coming against Auburn and Vanderbilt.  That was Auburn before they were any good with freshman Cooper ineligible, and that's a Vanderbilt team that is probably the worst team in the SEC.  They lost to LSU, Alabama and Tennessee by a combined 52 points.

Arkansas is 1-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.  Oklahoma State is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 vs. SEC opponents.  The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Oklahoma State Saturday.

25* SEC/Big 12 Challenge GAME OF THE YEAR on Auburn +15

The Auburn Tigers are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  This run has coincided with getting star freshman PG Sharife Cooper (22.3 PPG, 8.7 APG, 5.0 RPG) eligible.  With Cooper running the show, the Tigers can give unbeaten Baylor a run for its money today.

Auburn's four wins with Cooper came by 18 at Georgia, by 7 at home over Kentucky, by 23 at South Carolina and by 6 at home over Missouri.  One loss came by 4 as 3.5-point home dogs to Alabama, which has won 10 straight games currently and is blowing out everyone.  The other was a 2-point loss to Arkansas in which the Tigers blew a nearly 20-point lead in that game.

You're paying a tax to back Baylor right now because they are 15-0 SU and 12-3 ATS this season.  These spreads are starting to get out of control, and we'll fade the Bears every chance we get moving forward.  We faded them successfully with Kansas a few games back, and this looks like another great time to go against them.

The Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  Auburn is 6-0-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win.  Bet Auburn Saturday.

20* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten No-Brainer on Illinois -2

The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off a 69-81 upset home loss to the Indiana Hoosiers.  Their best shooter in CJ Fredrick had to leave that game with an injury and is unlikely to play tonight against the Illinois Fighting Illini.

Illinois is one of the best teams in the country.  And the Fighting Illini have the goods to slow down a guy like Iowa's Luka Garza better than almost any other team in the country.  That's because they have a big, athletic bruiser in 7-foot, 285-pound Kofi Cockburn (17.4 PPG, 10.3 RPG) inside.  He is one of the most improved players in the country.

Illinois is 13-3 SU in its last 16 home meetings with Iowa.  The Hawkeyes are 32-52 ATS in their last 84 games off an upset loss as a favorite.  Illinois is 59-37 ATS in its last 96 home games off a home win.  Iowa is 18-39-2 ATS in its last 59 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Bet Illinois Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -3.5

This is a get right spot for the Orlando Magic.  They had yesterday off and will be rested and ready to go tonight.  Look for them to come out motivated for a win after losing nine of their last 11 games overall amidst a lot of injury issues.  But they are finally about as healthy as they have been in a long time with their Big 3 of Vucevic, Gordon and Fournier all playing now.

This is a terrible spot for the Clippers.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  They pulled out a 109-105 upset win at depleted Miami last night despite being without Paul George, Kawhi Leonard and Patrick Beverly.  But now this terrible spot will hit the short-handed Clippers hard, and they won't be able to keep up with the rested Magic for four quarters.  Bet the Magic Friday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks +1

The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They are coming off three straight road losses to Sacramento, Portland and Utah.  But now they are finally back home here and come in rested after having the last two days off.

The Knicks also want revenge from a 103-106 road loss at Cleveland on January 15th exactly two weeks ago today.  They were 2-point road favorites in that game, and now they are 1-point home dogs in the rematch, a 3-point adjustment despite flipping home floors in the Knicks' favor.  This line makes no sense and the Knicks should be favored tonight.

The Cavaliers are 30-61-1 ATS in their last 92 games as favorites, including 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games as road favorites.  The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  New York is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Knicks are 21-10 ATS in their last 21 games when revenging a same-season loss.  Roll with the Knicks Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Hornets +3.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Hornets after losing six of their last seven coming in.  They'll be highly motivated for revenge after losing 106-116 at home as 3-point dogs to Indiana on Thursday.  Now they come back as 3.5-point home dogs in the rematch with the Pacers.

It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Pacers, who have won two in a row and three of their last four coming in.  The Pacers still have some injury issues that are not allowing to live up to their full potential, but they have feasted on a pretty weak schedule here of late.

The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games as home underdogs.  Charlotte is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog.  The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Charlotte is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 home meetings with Indiana.

Plays against road teams (Indiana) - off two straight covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take the Hornets Friday.

20* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on California +8

The Cal Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They covered in losses to two of the best teams in the Pac-12 in UCLA (57-61) and USC (68-76) to show they could play with two of the best teams in the conference.

Now they are catching 8 points against one of the worst teams in the conference in the Arizona State Sun Devils.  They are 4-8 SU & 2-10 ATS this season.  They have won just one game by more than 8 points all season, and that came against Houston Baptist way back on November 29th.

The Sun Devils have lost six straight coming in.  That includes back-to-back losses to their biggest rival in Arizona.  It will be tough for them to get back up off the mat after getting swept by the Wildcats.  Plus, they only have two days to get ready for Cal after playing Arizona on Monday.  Cal last played on Saturday against USC and has four days to get ready for this game.

The Golden Bears just got leading scorer Matt Bradley (17.1 PPG) back from injury against USC after missing the previous five games.  Getting him back will give them a huge boost moving forward.  And Cal wants revenge from a 62-70 home loss to Arizona State back on December 3rd in their first meeting this season.  

The Sun Devils are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Arizona State is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite, including 0-7 ATS in its last seven games as a home favorite.  The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take California Thursday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on SMU -3.5

The SMU Mustangs want revenge from a tough 72-76 loss at Memphis on Tuesday.  They don't have to wait long as they get to host the Tigers tonight and are laying 3.5 points in the rematch.  I fully expect them to get the win and cover at home tonight.

The Mustangs are 5-2 at home this season with their only losses coming to Houston and Cincinnati.  They have been one of the best home teams in the country over the years.  And they own Memphis at home, going 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home meetings with the Tigers.  The home team is now 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  The favorite is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Memphis is just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  Their only road wins came against Tulane and East Carolina.  Tim Jankovich is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing with one or less days' rest as the coach of SMU.  Penny Hardaway is 2-9 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more in two straight games as the coach of Memphis.  Roll with SMU Thursday.

20* Blazers/Rockets TNT No-Brainer on Houston -4.5

The Houston Rockets are getting healthy and it's starting to show.  John Wall and Victor Oladipo combined for 44 points on Thursday in a 107-88 win over Washington.  Eric Gordon and DeMarcus Cousins are playing well, and now they get Christian Wood back in the lineup tonight.  The Rockets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.

Conversely, the Portland Trail Blazers are banged up right now.  They are missing CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic.  They will also be without Robert Covington tonight.  The Blazers are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall despite playing all five games at home.

Their only two wins came against the Hawks by 6 and the Knicks by 3.  They lost tot he Pacers by 24, the Spurs by 21 and were upset by the Thunder.  There is just too much on Damian Lillard's plate right now.  He won't be able to keep the Blazers competitive against a Rockets team that is playing well and is as healthy as they have been all season.

Portland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  Bet the Rockets Thursday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Clemson -1.5

The Clemson Tigers will be highly motivated for a win tonight after opening the season 9-1 and then going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Tigers, who are 5-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to Virginia.

Louisville is in a letdown spot after a big 70-65 win over Duke last time out.  They had lost to FSU by 13 and Miami by 6 in their two previous game.  And now they have to go on the road and face a Clemson team that is 3-0 SU in the last three home meetings in this series.  That includes their 77-62 home win over the Cardinals last year.

Clemson is 28-11 ATS in its last 39 games off two straight losses by 10 points or more.  The Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.  Louisville is 0-6-1 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win.  The Tigers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as home favorites.  Roll with Clemson Wednesday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington State +14.5

Washington State is out for revenge from a 59-70 home loss to Colorado on January 23rd.  Now the Cougars don't have to wait long for revenge as they will square off again on January 27th here.  And that game was much closer than the final score showed as the Cougars led 37-30 at halftime before getting outscored by 18 points after intermission.

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Cougars after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Buffaloes, who are now 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and had no business covering against Washington State as 10.5-point favorites.

Plays on road teams as an underdog or PK (Washington State) - off three straight conference losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 83-44 (65.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take Washington State Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Providence -1.5

The Providence Friars just won outright as double-digit underdogs at Creighton.  Then they held a halftime lead at Villanova before falling apart in the second half over the weekend.  They were probably fatigued from having to play four straight road games and the toughest schedule in the Big East up to this point.

But now the Friars are back home for the first time since a 2-point loss to Creighton on January 2nd.  They are 4-1 at home this season with just five of their 15 games on their home floor.  This feels like a great spot to back this gritty team.  

The Friars want revenge from a 69-79 road loss at Marquette on January 12th.  That was really one of the few good performances the Golden Eagles have had recently.  They were just upset as 9-point home favorites by DePaul over the weekend.  The Blue Demons are the worst team in the Big East.  They are now just 3-5 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Marquette is 1-7 ATS in its last eight road games.  Providence is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The favorite is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  Marquette is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off an upset loss as a favorite to a conference opponent.  The Friars are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games when revenging a loss, including a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games when revenging a same-season loss.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Butler +5.5

The Butler Bulldogs battled through some injury problems early in the season.  Their early results have them undervalued currently.  They have finally gotten healthy and played up to their potential here of late.

Indeed, they upset Creighton 70-66 as 7-point home dogs before winning 67-53 as 2-point dogs at DePaul.  Now they've have a full week to get ready for Connecticut after last playing on Tuesday, January 19th.  They will be out for revenge from a 60-72 home loss to the Huskies on January 9th as well.

UConn has really struggled of late.  They were upset 70-74 as 6.5-point home favorites against St. John's before losing 66-74 at Creighton in their last two games.  A big reason for their struggles is the loss of leading scorer James Bouknight (20.3 PPG) to injury.  He has missed the past four games and they haven't been the same team without him.

Butler is 56-36 ATS in its last 92 games when playing on 5 or 6 days' rest.  The Bulldogs are 26-13 ATS in their last 39 road games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Huskies only have two days to get ready for Butler after last playing on Saturday at Creighton.  Roll with Butler Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -3.5

The Houston Rockets are finally starting to get healthy, get some practice time together, and their chemistry is starting to show.  The Rockets are 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in their last two games overall with upset road wins over the Pistons and Mavericks (by 25) in their last two games.

Now the Rockets come in rested and ready to go after having the last two games off.  Victor Oladipo could return tonight after missing last game.  But they didn't need him as they beat the Mavericks by 25 behind 33 points from Eric Gordon and 28 from DeMarcus Cousins.  John Wall is back healthy now, and they should get Danuel House back from injury tonight as well.

The Wizards are a mess right now.  They are just 3-9 on the season.  They just returned from a nearly two-week absence and lost 101-121 in San Antonio on Sunday.  They are still playing without Hachimura, Wagner, Smith, Bertans and Bryant among others.  They are so short-handed right now that they've had to sign a couple players in recent weeks.  They are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers here as only 3.5-point dogs to the Rockets given their current situation.

The Wizards are 16-35-1 ATS in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh +3.5

The Pitt Panthers continue to get no respect from oddsmakers despite being 8-3 SU & 7-4 ATS this season and one of the most improved teams in the country.  They have recent upset wins over Syracuse (twice) and Duke.

After beating Duke, and with UNC on deck, the Panthers clearly were in a letdown and sandwich spot last time out against Wake Forest.  They lost 75-76 as 2-point road favorites over the Demon Deacons.  That loss will have humbled them, and they'll have no problem getting motivated here to face North Carolina.

The Tar Heels are the team in the letdown spot now.  They are coming off an 86-76 home win over in-state rival NC State, revenging an earlier loss to the Wolf Pack this season.  UNC is fortunate to be 10-5 this season as it has five wins by 7 points or fewer.  They have simply been fortunate in close games this season.

The Tar Heels are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  UNC is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Pitt is 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  UNC is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following two or more consecutive wins.  Take Pittsburgh Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +6.5

The Detroit Pistons will be out for revenge from a 110-114 home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday.  Now the Pistons come back as 6.5-point home dogs two days later in the rematch.  They will be the more motivated team here.

The 76ers have a big game on deck against the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers.  They could easily be looking ahead to that game.  They also may decide to rest Joel Embiid, who had 33 points and 14 rebounds yesterday.  He is questionable for this one.

Conversely, the Pistons didn't have either Derrick Rose or Blake Griffin yesterday and still only lost by 4 points.  They won't have Rose, but they are expected to get Griffin back in the lineup for this one.  The Pistons are the definition of a team as they had seven different players score in double figures yesterday.  Getting Griffin back could make all the difference and have them winning this game outright.

Philadelphia is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 road games off two or more consecutive wins.  The 76ers are 14-35-2 ATS in their last 51 road games.  Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog.  Take the Pistons Monday.

20* Syracuse/Virginia ESPN No-Brainer on Syracuse +7.5

The Syracuse Orange are over their COVID problems and playing up to their potential.  They are coming off two straight dominant wins over Miami 83-57 and Virginia Tech 78-60, covering those two spreads by a combined 38 points.  Now they will give Virginia a run for its money.

This is a good time to 'sell high' on the Cavaliers, who have gone 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall.  Virginia is coming off a 64-62 home win over Georgia Tech as a 6.5-point favorite.  And the Cavaliers shouldn't be laying this many points to Syracuse tonight.  

The Orange pulled the 63-55 upset as 7-point road dogs at Virginia last season.  The road team is now 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Virginia is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games following five consecutive games as a favorite.  The Orange are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 conference road games.  Roll with Syracuse Monday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Illinois State -1

The Illinois State Redbirds will be out for revenge from a 60-69 home loss to Valparaiso as 2-point favorites yesterday.  Now they will be the more motivated team here and come back as only 1-point home favorites this time around.  They basically just have to win to cover.

Valparaiso has not been playing well at all, so that effort was the aberration yesterday.  The Crusaders were 0-6 ATS in their previous six games.  They had lost five straight games all by 10 points or more.

Valparaiso is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off an upset win as an underdog.  The Redbirds are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Take Illinois State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma City Thunder +13.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder just played the Clippers in Los Angeles on Friday and only lost 106-120 as 14-point dogs.  Now we only need them to improve by a single point to cover this 13.5-point spread in the rematch.  I think there's a ton of value with the Thunder today as they'll be the more motivated team.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Clippers, who have won six straight coming in.  They have a big six-game road trip to get ready for coming up after this.  I don't think we will get their best effort today, and it's going to take their best effort to cover this massive spread.

Oklahoma City is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games with a total of 220 or higher.  The Thunder are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games as road underdogs.  Oklahoma City is 11-0 ATS in its last 11 Sunday games.  Roll with the Thunder Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Bradley +7.5

The Bradley Braves are 9-5 this season with four of their five losses coming by 6 points or less.  So they have only been beaten by more than this 7.5-point margin once in 14 games this season, making for a 13-1 system backing the Braves.

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Braves today off their first blowout loss of the season as 8.5-point favorites to Illinois State.  They played their worst game of the season and lost by 15.  So we are getting some great value on Bradley today because of that abberation.

Conversely, it's a great time to 'sell high' on Loyola-Chicago, which has gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall against an extremely soft schedule of Indiana State, UNI (twice) and Valparaiso.  The Ramblers are feeling pretty fat and happy right about now.

Loyola-Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games following a road game.  The Ramblers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Braves are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs.  Bradley is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss.  The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Bradley Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +9.5

The Chicago Bulls have been covering machines as they are consistently undervalued in the betting markets.  The Bulls are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  They have just one loss in their last 13 games by more than 4 points, and that came against the Milwaukee Bucks.

Speaking of the Bucks, the Lakers are in a letdown spot following a 113-106 road win over the Bucks on National TV (TNT) Thursday night.  They won't be nearly as motivated to face the Bulls tonight.  Plus, they just recently beat the Bulls 117-115 at home as 8.5-point favorites on January 8th.  Now they come back as 9.5-point road favorites in the rematch, which makes no sense.

Chicago is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games this season.  The Bulls are 8-1 ATS as dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Los Angeles is 21-40 ATS in its last 61 non-conference games.  Chicago is 10-1 ATS vs. teams that score 106 or more points per game this season.  Chicago is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog.  Take the Bulls Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington State +10

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington State Cougars.  They have lost four straight after opening the season 9-1 with their only loss coming to Arizona in OT.  They have played four of their last five on the road against a very tough schedule.  Now they are back home here against Colorado.

We know that Colorado is one of the best bets in the country when they are playing at home.  But they are one of the worst bets when they are on the road.  The Buffalos are 2-4 SU in their last six road games with neither win coming by more than 10 points.  That includes their 80-84 upset loss at Washington last time out as 13-point favorites.  That's a 2-11 Washington team.

The home team is 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Washington State is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three home meetings with Colorado with three outright upset victories.  Washington State hasn't lost any of its last six home meetings with Colorado by more than 9 points.  The Buffaloes are 15-42 ATS in their last 57 road games.  Roll with Washington State Saturday.

20* Providence/Villanova FOX No-Brainer on Providence +11.5

Providence is a gritty team that doesn't go away easily.  That is evident by the fact that they have gone 6-4 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall with all four losses coming by 10 points or fewer, including three by 6 points or less.  That makes for a 10-0 system backing the Friars pertaining to this 11.5-point spread.  They just upset Creighton 74-70 as 10-point road underdogs last time out.

Asking Villanova to win by 12-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Especially for a Wildcats team that didn't play a single game between December 23rd and January 19th due to COVID.  They just returned to practice on Thursday last week and only had eight players available.  They were rusty in a 76-74 win over Seton Hall as 8.5-point favorites in their return to action.  And they still won't be hitting on all cylinders yet today.

Six of the last seven meetings in this series were decided by 11 points or less.  That includes a 58-54 upset as 7.5-point dogs by Providence at Villanova last year.  The Friars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as underdogs.  The Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games.  Providence is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a road dog or PK.  Take Providence Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Syracuse -1

The Syracuse Orange are grossly undervalued right now.  They should be more than 1-point favorites here at home against the Virginia Tech Hokies.  They played up to their potential in their 83-57 win over Miami last time out.  And they will come back with another big effort here with a ranked Hokies team coming to town.

I think it's time to 'sell high' on the Hokies, who are 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall but it has come against a pretty easy schedule.  Their only two road games during this stretch came in a loss at Louisville and a narrow 64-60 win over a bad Wake Forest team.  This will arguably be their toughest test of the season to date.

Syracuse is 6-1 SU In its last seven home meetings with Virginia Tech.  Virginia Tech is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games off two straight conference games.  The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  Virginia Tech is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Syracuse Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento Kings -4

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Sacramento Kings, who are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  But it has come against a brutal schedule of the Clippers (twice), Blazers and Pelicans.  Now they get to face one of the worst teams in the East in the Knicks and will take advantage.

It's a great rest spot for the Kings as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  It's a terrible rest spot for the Knicks, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after an upset road win over the Golden State Warriors last night.  It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the Knicks here.  Bet the Kings Friday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Minnesota Timberwolves +6

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Minnesota Timberwolves, who just blew a 20-point lead against the Magic and lost 96-97 at the buzzer last time out.  This is a motivated, rested Timberwolves team that will be playing just their 3rd game in 9 days here tonight.

The Timberwolves will be out for revenge from a 97-108 road loss at Atlanta on December 18th just five days ago.  Now they get their shot at revenge here Friday night and are catching 6 points at home in the rematch.  This is a game they can win outright.

It's not like the Hawks are playing all that well right now, either.  They are 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They erased a huge deficit to come back and beat the Pistons in overtime at home last time out.  Cam Redish and De'Andre Hunter are questionable tonight, while they are still without Bogdanovic and Gallinari.

Atlanta is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after winning two of its last three games coming in.  The Hawks are 1-10 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per game.  Atlanta is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 road games.  The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Roll with the Timberwolves Friday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Toronto Raptors -2.5

The Toronto Raptors will be out for revenge from a 102-111 home loss to the Miami Heat on Wednesday.  Look for them to have their revenge tonight in the rematch just two days later on Friday.

Now the Raptors go from being 4-point favorites in that first meeting to just 2.5-point favorites in the rematch, so there's some line value here.  Plus the Raptors aren't going to shoot as poorly as they did in the first meeting, where they shot just 39.8% compared to 48.7% for Miami.  That includes 18-for-40 (45%) from 3-point range for the Heat, which is very unlikely for them to repeat.

Miami is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 road games vs. bad defensive teams that allow 110 or more points per game.  The Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win.  Take the Raptors Friday.

20* Pelicans/Jazz TNT Late Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +7

This is the perfect spot to bet New Orleans tonight.  We'll 'buy low' on the Pelicans, who have lost six of their last seven games overall, including their 102-118 loss in Salt Lake City on Tuesday.  Now the Pelicans will be the more motivated team here out for revenge and getting a chance at payback just two days later.

It's the ultimate 'sell high' spot on the Jazz.  They have gone 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  And they won't be very motivated to face a Pelicans team that they just beat by 16 as 6.5-point favorites on Tuesday.  Now they are even bigger favorites here laying 7 points in the rematch.

That was a rare blowout win for the Jazz in this series as the previous three meetings were all decided by 6 points or less.  The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss by more than 10 points.  The Jazz are 5-13-2 ATS in their last 20 games as home favorites

Plays against any team (Utah) - off two consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 53-18 (74.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pelicans Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington State +2.5

I love the spot for the Washington State Cougars tonight.  They opened 8-1 with their only loss to Arizona by 4 points in overtime.  But they have since played four straight road games and gone 1-3 SU with losses to three of the best teams in the Pac-12 in Stanford, UCLA and USC.

Now the Cougars finally get to play a home game here against a team they can handle in Utah.  The Cougars are 8-1 at home this season with that lone loss being the overtime defeat to Arizona.  The Utes are 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS on the highway this season and losing by 12.7 points per game.

The Utes are just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  And they have played four straight home games coming in.  That includes their 63-72 home loss to California as 11.5-point favorites last time out.

Utah is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games off a conference loss.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Washington State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games as a home underdog.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Washington State Thursday.

20* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Antonio Spurs +1.5

This is a huge letdown spot for the Golden State Warriors.  They erased a double-digit 4th quarter deficit on TNT on MLK Day and pulled the 115-113 upset as 9-point road underdogs.  They won't be nearly as motivated to face the Spurs as they were to go up against the defending champs two days ago.

This is a Spurs team quietly playing some great basketball of late, especially on the road.  The Spurs have won six of their last eight games overall, including upset road wins over both the Lakers and Clippers.

The Spurs are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs.  The Warriors are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games off a close win by 3 points or less.  Golden State is 16-34-1 ATS in its last 51 games as a home favorite.  The Warriors are 19-39-1 ATS in their last 59 games following an ATS win.  The Spurs are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take the Spurs Wednesday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington +13

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Washington Huskies.  They are 1-11 SU this season, but they have been showing some improvement here of late.  They only lost 76-81 at UCLA as 15.5-point underdogs last time out.

Now the Huskies are 13-point home dogs to Colorado.  They were only 9-point road dogs at Colorado in their first meeting this season, a 69-92 loss.  They will be out for revenge, and they are catching 4 more points than last time despite playing at home this time around.

Colorado is one of the best home teams in the country.  But they are awful on the road and have been for years.  Washington is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven home meetings with the Buffaloes.

The Buffaloes are 15-41 ATS in their last 56 road games.  Colorado is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as a road favorite.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Buffaloes are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games off three or more consecutive wins.  Colorado is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games off two or more consecutive home wins.  Roll with Washington Wednesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE MONTH on Providence +10.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Providence Friars off three straight losses by 10 points or less.  In fact, the Friars haven't lost any of their last nine games by more than 10 points.  So getting 10.5 points here is a great value.

Providence only lost 65-67 at home to Creighton on January 2nd in their first meeting as 4-point underdogs.  So they will be out for revenge here.  Plus, this is a 6.5-point adjustment for home-court advantage with the Bluejays now 10.5-point favorites in the rematch.  That's too big of an adjustment.

Creighton is dealing with an injury to its best player in Marcus Zegarowski (14.1 PPG, 4.8 APG, 4.2 RPG).  He sat out their last game against Butler and they were upset as 7-point favorites.  Zegarowski is questionable to return with a hamstring injury here.  He had 20 points and 7 rebounds in the first meeting with Providence.   Even if he plays I love the Friars here.  If he doesn't it will be an added bonus.

The Friars are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when revenging a loss.  That includes a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games when revenging a same-season loss.  Providence has only lost one of the last seven meetings with Creighton by double-digits, and that was an 11-point loss.  Bet Providence Wednesday.

20* Pelicans/Jazz NBA TV No-Brainer on New Orleans +6.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Utah Jazz tonight.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are coming off a huge 109-105 road win over the Nuggets on Sunday, getting revenge on the team that knocked them out of the playoffs last year.  This is now a big letdown spot for the Jazz tonight.

It's also a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They have gone just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  They blew a 15-point lead against the Lakers, lost by 5 to the Clippers, lost by 1 to the Thunder and lost by 2 to the Pacers.  So it's not like they are getting blown out, and catching 6.5 points with them here is a nice value.

The Jazz are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.  Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a home favorite.  Each of the last three meetings in this series were decided by 6 points or less.  Bet the Pelicans Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Maryland +10.5

The Maryland Terrapins want revenge from a 73-84 home loss to the Michigan Wolverines on December 31st in their first meeting this season.  The Wolverines shot 58.8% as a team, and that's highly unlikely to happen again here.

Maryland just went on the road and beat Illinois 66-63 outright as a 10.5-point underdog in its last Big Ten game.  The Terrapins also upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point road dogs and only lost to Purdue by 3 as 6-point road dogs.  They have actually played their best basketball on the highway this season.

Michigan is overvalued right now after opening the season 11-1 SU & 9-3 ATS.  But their perfect season just ended in a 57-75 road loss at Minnesota as 5.5-point favorites on Saturday.  And a lot of times teams struggle in that next game after having their long winning streak snapped.  I expect that to be the case here with the Terrapins being the more motivated, revenge-minded team.  Roll with Maryland Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Syracuse -4

The Syracuse Orange will be highly motivated for a victory.  They have lost their last two games overall and are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.  So we are getting them cheap as only 4-point home favorites based on recent results.

The blew another halftime lead and gave up 64 points to Pitt in the 2nd half last time out.  There's no doubt they come back with an inspired effort tonight at home against the Miami Hurricanes.  It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Orange here.

It's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Hurricanes, who have gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  After losing 62-84 at Boston College, they came back and upset Louisville 78-72 at home last time out.  They did it despite having just seven scholarship players available.  That win has them overvalued, and they could still be short-handed tonight.

This is a great matchup for Syracuse.  Teams need to be able to make 3-pointers to beat them because they play their patented 2-3 zone.  Well, Miami is last in the ACC in 3-point shooting at 28.1% this season.

Miami is 0-11 ATS in its last 11 games vs. excellent free throw shooting teams that make 77% or better.  The Hurricanes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Orange are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.  Take Syracuse Tuesday.

20* Kansas/Baylor ESPN No-Brainer on Kansas +9

You're definitely paying a premium to back the No. 2 ranked Baylor Bears at this point.  They have opened 12-0 SU & 10-2 ATS to make the betting public a ton of money.  They are going to continue to back them until they fail them.

In no world should the Kansas Jayhawks be catching 9 points to Baylor.  The Jayhawks have dominated the Big 12 for decades.  And while they aren't as good as they have been in years' past, they are still one of the best teams in the country.  And they'll be highly motivated to hand the Bears their first loss of the season tonight.

It's also a good time to 'buy low' on the Jayhawks off an upset loss to Oklahoma State on Tuesday.  Now the Jayhawks have had five days to get ready for Baylor.  Meanwhile, the Bears will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after a hard-fought 68-60 road win at Texas Tech on Saturday.  They only have one day to get ready for Kansas, which is a huge disadvantage for them.

Kansas is 19-2 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game.  The Jayhawks are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Kansas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The road team is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.  The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Kansas Monday.

20* Suns/Grizzlies TNT No-Brainer on Phoenix -3

The Phoenix Suns will be rested and ready to go tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies.  They haven't played in seven days with their last game coming on Monday, January 11th.  They will also be highly motivated for a victory off a loss.  The Suns are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their three games following a loss this season.

The Memphis Grizzlies are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers after going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They faced a very soft schedule during this stretch, and this is a big step up in class for them.  They will be without one of the most underrated players in the NBA on Jonas Valanciunas tonight.  He averages 14.4 points and 10.4 rebounds per game this season and does all the dirty work for them.

Phoenix is 60-32 ATS in its last 92 games off an upset loss as a road favorite.  The Suns are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall.  Bet the Suns Monday.

15* NBA Monday Early ANNIHILATOR on San Antonio Spurs -1

The San Antonio Spurs have gone 5-2 SU in their last seven games overall including upset road wins over both the Lakers and Clippers.  And now they should take down a short-handed Portland Trail Blazers team that is getting too much respect from oddsmakers after going 5-1 SU in its last six games overall against a very soft schedule.

But now the Blazers are going to be without two of their three best players in C.J. McCollum (26.7 PPG, 5.0 APG) and Jusuf Nurkic (9.8 PPG, 7.7 RPG) tonight.  Nirkic suffered a broken wrist a couple games back, while McCollum sustained a foot injury last time out and is out indefinitely.  Damian Lillard can't carry the load without these two against a team the caliber of the Spurs.

The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.  The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.  Portland is 0-9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  The Blazers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.  Take the Spurs Monday.

15* St. John's/UConn FOX Early ANNIHILATOR on St. John's +8

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UConn Huskies.  They are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS this season and making backers a ton of money.  But now they find themselves in a big favorite role here laying 8 points to St. John's.  Consider they were laying 8.5 points to DePaul a few games back, and St. John's is a much better team than DePaul.

There's no way the Huskies should be this heavily favored tonight considering they will be without their best player in James Bouknight (20.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 1.5 SPG).  And it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Red Storm after going just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They will be in their 2nd-largest underdog role of the entire season today.

UConn is 18-34 ATS in its last 52 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.  The Huskies are 12-29 ATS in their last 41 home games after scoring 60 points or less.  Take St. John's Monday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Evansville +9

The Evansville Purple Aces will be out for revenge following a 60-69 loss as 8.5-point dogs at Bradley yesterday.  Now the Purple Aces come back as 9-point dogs here in the rematch, so we are getting an even better line than what was available at the close yesterday.

Evansville has been grossly undervalued for weeks.  The Purple Aces are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They haven't lost any of their last 12 games by more than 9 points, making for a 12-0 system backing the Purple Aces pertaining to this 9-point spread.

Bradley hasn't won any of its last five games by more than 9 points.  That includes a 1-point win over Miami Ohio as a 12-point favorite.  Their only wins by more than this spread came against overmatched teams in Jackson State, Lewis, Judson College and Oakland.

The Purple Aces are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.  The Braves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Evansville Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls +7

The Chicago Bulls have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA to this point.  Their 4-8 SU record will have them undervalued moving forward.  And we'll keep getting more points with them than we should be getting.

Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Bulls have a total of one loss by more than 4 points in those nine games, and that came to the best team in the East in the Milwaukee Bucks as 14.5-point dogs.  They have upset wins over the Wizards (twice), Mavericks and Blazers.  They also have five losses by 4 points or fewer, so they simply haven't been able to close out games.

The Bulls are rested and highly motivated for a win right now after losing four straight coming in.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days.  And they want to end this 6-game road trip with a victory in Dallas tonight.  It's a Mavericks team they already beat 118-108 as 4-point home underdogs.  And now they are catching even more points (+7) in the rematch.

Dallas is overvalued after going 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Mavericks had their four-game winning streak come to an end with a tough 109-112 loss at Milwaukee on National TV Friday.  I think they suffer a hangover from that defeat here Sunday.  And they will still be without Dorian-Finney Smith, Maxi Kleber, Dwight Powell and Josh Richardson due to COVID.  They could also be without both Jalen Brunson and Tim Hardaway Jr.

The Bulls are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games playing on one days' rest.  Chicago is 6-0 ATS in its last six Sunday games.  The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games after covering four of its last five ATS.  These four trends combine for a 29-1 system backing Chicago.  Roll with the Bulls Sunday.

20* Iowa/Northwestern Big Ten No-Brainer on Northwestern +10

This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on the Northwestern Wildcats.  They opened the season 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS with upset wins over Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State.  But they have since gone 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS their last four games overall with four straight losses by double-digits and three of those coming on the road.  In their lone home loss they blew a 15-point halftime lead against Illinois.

That includes their 72-87 loss at Iowa as 11.5-point dogs on December 29th.  Now they will be out for revenge three weeks later here and are catching 10 points at home for this Sunday morning tilt.  Look for them to stay within the number and possibly pull off the upset.

The Hawkeyes are 17-39-2 ATS in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.  Iowa is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games off four or more consecutive wins.  Bet Northwestern Sunday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -6.5

The San Antonio Spurs just blew a 9-point lead late in the 4th quarter against the Houston Rockets on Thursday and lost 105-109.  It's safe to say the Spurs will be out for revenge in this spot as they get a rematch just two days later on Saturday.

It's a banged up Rockets team that will be missing John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins and Danuel House Jr. and could be without Eric Gordon.  I think the Spurs just took them lightly in the first meeting.  Greg Popovich won't allow that in the rematch.

The Rockets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS win.  San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following an ATS loss.  The Spurs are 54-26 ATS in their last 80 games when revenging a loss.  Bet the Spurs Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Arkansas-Little Rock -3.5

Arkansas-Little Rock was upset 59-63 as a 5-point home favorite to Texas State yesterday.  Now the Trojans will be the more motivated team in the rematch, and we are getting a better line on them today as only 3.5-point home favorites.

We just saw Little Rock bounce back from a 64-66 loss to Lafayette with a win in the rematch.  They also beat Arlington by 9 and came back and beat them by 13 in the rematch.  This is a veteran team with five returning starters so they have been great at making adjustments in the second game of these rematches.

Little Rock is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after playing a home game.  Little Rock is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing its 2nd game in 3 days.  Little Rock is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 home games.  The Bobcats are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Texas State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win.  The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Arkansas-Little Rock Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Appalachian State +3

Appalachian State lost 64-73 at South Alabama as a 3-point underdog yesterday.  They blew a 37-30 halftime lead and got outscored by 16 points after intermission.  Now the Mountaineers will be out for revenge in the rematch today and are identical 3-point dogs.  I fully expect them to win this game outright.

Appalachian State had gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its three previous games with the three wins coming by a combined 40 points.  South Alabama was 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its previous three games with its three losses coming by a combined 40 points.  So that win came out of nowhere and was an aberration.

The Jaguars are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games as favorites.  South Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last five games following a win.  The Mountaineers are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Appalachian State Saturday.

15* C-USA PLAY OF THE DAY on Florida International PK

FIU was just upset 79-81 by rival FAU as a 4.5-point home favorite on Thursday.  Now the Golden Panthers come back highly motivated for revenge and we get a 4.5-point adjustment in the line as they just have to win the game to cover in the rematch.

FIU is a perfect 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.  FAU is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games after a combined score of 155 points or more.  Take Florida International Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Notre Dame -4

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish finally get a break in the schedule.  Eight of their last nine opponents have been Virginia (Twice), UNC, VA Tech, Duke, Purdue, Kentucky and Ohio State.  That explains why they are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall.

But now the Fighting Irish get a team they can handle in Boston College.  And it's an Eagles team that will breathe a sigh of relief after ending a four-game skid with a win over Miami last time out.  The Fighting Irish will be the more motivated team to put an end to their own four-game skid.

Notre Dame is 19-2 SU in its last 21 meetings with Boston College, including 11-1 SU in its last 12 home meetings.  The Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.  Bet Notre Dame Saturday.

25* MAAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Niagara -1

Niagara is out for revenge from a 49-58 loss as a 3-point favorite at Manhattan yesterday.  Now the Purple Eagles are only 1-point favorites in the rematch.  Head coach Greg Paulus is clearly great at making adjustments in these situations.  And it helps that he has a veteran team that returned all five starters.

We've seen Niagara thrive in this situation all season.  After losing to St. Peter's by 16, they only lost by 4 in the rematch and covered as 8-point dogs.  After losing to Marist by 2, they came back and beat Marist by 14 in the rematch.  After losing to Rider by 6, they came back and beat them by 11 in the rematch.

Niagara is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after scoring 30 points or less in the first half of two straight games.  The Purple Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Jaspers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Bet Niagara Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Holy Cross +19

Holy Cross has been grossly undervalued in the early going.  They are 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS this season despite being underdogs in all four games.  They pulled the upset over Boston as 14.5-point dogs and also upset Army 70-61 as 11.5-point dogs.

Now Holy Cross is catching 19 points against a Colgate team that only beat Boston by 7 and also lost outright to Army as a 7.5-point favorite.  So that gives these teams two common opponents, and based on the results there's no way Colgate should be laying 19 points here.

The Crusaders are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.  The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a win by more than 20 points.  Roll with Holy Cross Saturday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Tulane +1

This is a terrible spot for the Temple Owls.  They will be playing their 2nd game in 3 days and their 3rd game in 6 days.  They had to travel to SMU on Monday, come home and play UCF on Thursday, and now have to travel to face Tulane on Saturday.

This is a rested Green Wave team that has six days to get ready for Temple after last playing Houston on Saturday.  It's also a good 6-3 Tulane team which only has losses to Memphis, ECU and Houston this season.  The Green Wave are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS at home this season.  The Owls are 0-2 SU in true road games with their two losses coming by a combined 37 points.

Temple is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games off a home win.  The Green Wave are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Take Tulane Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +7

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Sacramento Kings after going just 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  This team is tough to defend as they have shot 51.6% or better in four of their last five games overall.  And they come in highly motivated for a victory against the Los Angeles Clippers tonight.

The Clippers have been consistently overvalued of late.  They are 4-3 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  All four of their wins came by 7 points or fewer over the Pelicans (by 5), Bulls (by 3), Warriors (by 7) and Suns (by 5).  So asking them to cover a 7-point spread on the road here is asking a lot based on how they have been playing of late.

Sacramento is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in its last two meetings with the Clippers winning 124-103 as 14-point road dogs and 112-103 as 9-point road dogs.  The Kings are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after losing six or seven of their last eight games coming in.  The Clippers are 2-8 ATS int heir last 10 games playing on one days' rest.  Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win.  Roll with the Kings Friday.

15* Pelicans/Lakers ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +10

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with all four losses by 8 points or fewer.  That includes their 106-111 loss at the Clippers as 11.5-point dogs last time out.  But they didn't have Zion Williamson in that game and still only lost by 5 points.  Williamson returns to the lineup tonight.

It's also time to 'sell high' on the Los Angeles Lakers.  They are 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall and have covered three straight coming in.  But those three ATS wins came against a gutless James Harden and the Houston Rockets (twice) as well as the Thunder, who are one of the least talented teams in the league.

The Pelicans have played the Lakers very tough in recent meetings.  In fact, they haven't lost any of the last four meetings by more than 10 points.  So getting double-digits here with the Pelicans is a tremendous value, especially considering they are a much better team than they were in their four meetings last year.  It's also worth noting that both Lebron James and Anthony Davis are listed as questionable tonight so there's a chance that one or both sit.

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New Orleans) - after going over the total by 30 or more points in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 54 or more points in their last 10 games are 72-32 (69.2%) ATS since 1996.  The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.  Take the Pelicans Friday.

15* Wisconsin/Rutgers Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Rutgers +3

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.  They are coming off three straight losses to Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio State.  And now they come back highly motivated for a victory and fresh with five days off in between games.

They take on a Wisconsin team that is far from fresh and still reeling from a 54-77 road loss at Michigan on Tuesday.  Now the Badgers only have two days to get ready for Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home meetings with Wisconsin.

Wisconsin is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after failing to cover three of its last four ATS coming in.  The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.  The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Take Rutgers Friday.

25* Big South GAME OF THE YEAR on Longwood +17

It really appears that Winthrop is just getting bored at this point and going through the motions.  The Eagles are 12-0 SU this season, but they have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  Each of their last eight wins have come by 18 points or fewer as well.

They only beat Gardner Webb by 10 as 12-pint favorites and came back and beat the same team by 8 points as 11-point favorites in the rematch.  They beat Charleston Southern by 16 in their first meeting and came back and won by 2 in their 2nd meeting as 16-point favorites.

After beating Longwood 72-61 yesterday as 17-point favorites, they come back as 17-point favorites here tonight.  This just looks like a dream spot to fade Winthrop as we've seen it happen on multiple occasions where the Eagles don't live up to expectations in the 2nd meeting of these 2nd of a back-to-back matchups.  They are simply getting bored and are OK with winning without getting margin.

Longwood has been a lot more competitive of late than its 3-12 record on the season would indicate.  Indeed, 11 of their 12 losses have come by 13 points or fewer.  So they have only lost one of their 15 games by more than this 17-point spread, making for a 14-1 system backing the Lancers pertaining to this spread.  Longwood has only lost one of its last six meetings with Winthrop by more than 17 points.  Bet Longwood Friday.

15* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -9

I love the spot for the Toronto Raptors.  They will be highly motivated for a victory here after losing their last two games by a single point each.  They've had the last two days off to recover from their 5-game road trip and will be fresh and ready to get back in the win column in a big way tonight.

The spot couldn't be worse for the Charlotte Hornets.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days after losing 93-104 at home to the Dallas Mavericks last night.  And their best player in Gordon Hayward suffered a hip injury in the loss and is questionable to play tonight.  Chances are the Hornets will sit Hayward, who has been red hot in averaging 26.6 PPG in his last five games.

Toronto is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  Charlotte is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a double-digit home loss.  Roll with the Raptors Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Miami Heat +10.5

I love the spot for the Miami Heat tonight.  They will be out for revenge following a 134-137 (OT) loss at Philadelphia as 8.5-point dogs on Tuesday.  Now they get to face the 76ers and are 10.5-point dogs in the rematch.

I get that the 76ers are getting some players back from COVID issues, but the Heat were short-handed last time and will have basically the same lineup this time.  They thrive in the role of underdogs when people count them out.  Guys like Vincent had 24, Herro 34, Robinson 26, Achiuwa 17 and Olynyk 15 points.  And they are good enough to not lose by double-digits in this rematch.

The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall not once winning by more than 5 points.  The Heat are 37-13-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a loss.  Miami is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Take the Heat Thursday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington State +10

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the UCLA Bruins tonight.  They have won four straight and covered three in a row coming in.  They are coming off a sweep of the Arizona schools on the road.  That makes this is a huge letdown spot for them coming back home to face Washington State.

And while UCLA is winning a lot of games, they aren't getting margin.  In fact, they haven't won any of their last six games by more than 9 points.  And we are getting 10 points with an underrated Washington State team here.

The Cougars might be the most underrated team in the Pac-12.  They have gone 9-2 this season with their only losses coming to Arizona by 4 and Stanford by 15.  They are coming off that loss to Stanford, so it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cougars.

Last year, Washington State upset UCLA 79-71 as 2-point home dogs, and only lost 83-86 as 8-point road dogs in the rematch.  The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.  Washington State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Washington State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Wyoming +9.5

Wyoming will be out for revenge from a 60-83 home loss to Boise State on Monday.  Now the Cowboys get to face the Broncos just two days later here at home again.  No question the Cowboys will bring more energy to the court than the Broncos, who probably feel like they just have to show up to win.

We've seen Boise State falter in this spot each of their last two tries.  After beating San Jose State by 52 as a 22-point favorite, they came back and only won 87-86 over the Spartans as a 26-point favorite.  After beating Air Force 78-59 as a 19-point favorite, they failed to cover in the rematch in an 80-69 win as an 18.5-point favorite.  Now they go from being a 7-point favorite over Wyoming to a 9.5-point favorite in the rematch.  

Don't be surprised to see the Cowboys win this game outright, either.  This was a 63-58 game with seven minutes to play in the first meeting.  But Boise State incredibly closed on a 20-2 run to make the final score look like a lot bigger blowout than the game really was.

Wyoming is 11-1 ATS when revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons.  The Cowboys are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.  Wyoming is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take Wyoming Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Knicks +5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks.  They have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  That followed a great run of going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their previous six games.  And now the Knicks are catching 5 points at home against a Brooklyn Nets team that has been awful and is in a terrible spot.

The Nets are just 4-6 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are missing their two lead guards in Kyrie Irving and Spencer Dinwiddie.  And now they are going to be extremely tired due to the schedule and being short-handed.

The Nets are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after facing Denver on Tuesday.  They had to put a lot of effort in overcoming an 18-point deficit in the 3rd quarter to win that game 122-116.  Not to mention, it will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Nets, which is as tough a situation as there is in the NBA.

The Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Nets, not once losing by more than 4 points in any of the four meetings.  The Nets are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last six games as a favorite.  New York is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with the Nets.  Bet the Knicks Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +10.5

The Detroit Pistons will be out for revenge after losing two meetings with Milwaukee on January 4th and January 6th.  They lost by 10 and 15 points.  I fully expect them to lose this game by 10 points or fewer or win the game outright.

Clearly, the Pistons will be the more motivated team here playing with double-revenge.  The Bucks probably think they just have to show up to win.  And it's a rested Pistons team that has had the last two days off after losing to Utah by 10 on Sunday. The Bucks will be playing their 4th game in 6 days here.  They are overvalued after beating two of the worst teams in the East in Cleveland by 10 and Orlando by 22.  

Both of those teams are injury-ravaged right now and missing a ton of key players.  The Pistons are as healthy as they've been all season and it's starting to show as they have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall, including outright upset wins over the Celtics as 8.5-point dogs and the Suns as 8-point dogs.

Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points (Detroit) - off a home loss by 10 points or more when playing on two days' rest are 70-35 (66.7%) ATS since 1996.  Plays against road favorites of 10 or more points (Milwaukee) - a top team outscoring their opponents by 9-plus points per game against an opponent that scored 90 points or less last game are 34-11 (75.6%) ATS since 1996.  

The Bucks are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win by more than 10 points.  The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit home loss.  Roll with the Pistons Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Notre Dame +10.5

The love the spot for Notre Dame tonight.  It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Fighting Irish after they have gone just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  But keep in mind four of those five losses came by 10 points or fewer.

That includes their 9-point loss to Virginia on December 30th at home.  They were 7-point underdogs in that game.  Now they are 10.5-point underdogs in the rematch at Virginia, a 3.5-point adjustment.  It's simply adjusted too much for home-court advantage, which isn't worth much in college basketball this year.  Notre Dame will be the more motivated team out for revenge and getting to play the Cavaliers just two weeks later here.

It's also a good time to 'sell high' on Virginia after they have won six of their last seven games overall.  Each of their last three wins have come by 12 points or fewer against a very weak schedule.  The Cavaliers won by 9 over Notre Dame, by 9 over Wake Forest and by 12 over Boston College.  This team has been grossly overrated since the beginning of the season when they came out ranked in the Top 5 and promptly lost outright to San Francisco as a 15-point favorite.

Virginia has only beaten Notre Dame by more than 9 points once in the last six meetings in this series.  The Cavaliers have beaten the Fighting Irish by 1, 6 and 5 points in their last three meetings in Charlottesville.  And that was when there were fans and a much bigger advantage for much better Cavaliers teams than this 2020-21 version.

The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Virginia is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following an ATS win.  The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Virginia is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games off a win by 10 points or more.  These four trends combine for a 25-1 system backing the Fighting Irish tonight.  Bet Notre Dame Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on George Washington +11.5

George Washington is grossly undervalued right now due to its 3-7 SU record.  But the Colonials have suffered all seven losses by 11 points or fewer, including four by 4 points or less.  So they haven't lost by more than 11 points all season, and they're not about to start here against VCU.

VCU is overvalued after going 7-1 SU in its last eight games overall against an extremely soft schedule.  They were favored in all eight games.  And against the toughest opponent they faced, they lost outright 68-83 as 6-point favorites against Rhode Island.

George Washington is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 home games vs. teams that force 18 or more turnovers per game.  The Rams are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after winning six or seven of their last eight games coming in.  The Colonials are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after five straight games where they committed 14 or fewer turnovers.  

George Washington's great ability to take care of the ball against VCU's pressure defense is a big key here to the Colonials covering.  The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take George Washington Wednesday.

20* Alabama/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -2.5

John Calipari teams at Kentucky always seem to get better as the season goes on because they are always so young with mostly freshmen.  And that has been the case again this season with the Wildcats being extremely undervalued right now due to their slow start.

Indeed, the Wildcats opened 1-6 this season.  They have since gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS.  They went on the road and beat Mississippi State 78-73, topped Vanderbilt at home 77-74 and crushed Florida 76-58 on the road.  Now they will take down Alabama here Tuesday.

The Crimson Tide come in overvalued off five straight victories.  Now they will meet their match here against the Wildcats after barely surviving Auburn 94-90 on the road last time out.  Alabama is 13-29 ATS in its last 42 games following five or more consecutive wins.

Kentucky simply owns Alabama, going 12-1 SU in the last 13 meetings.  The Crimson Tide are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Wildcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Alabama is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a win by 6 points or less.  Kentucky is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog.  Take Kentucky Tuesday.

20* Lakers/Rockets NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Houston +5.5

I love the spot for the Houston Rockets tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 102-120 home loss to the Lakers on Sunday.  Now they don't have to wait long for revenge as they host the Lakers here again.  And we're getting extra value as the Rockets were 3.5-point dogs in that first meeting and now 5.5-point dogs in the rematch.

The Rockets will clearly be the more motivated team here.  And they aren't likely to shoot as poorly as they did in that first meeting where they shot 41.1% from the field and just 29.3% from 3-point range.

We've seen the Lakers falter in this situation twice recently.  After beating the Spurs by 14 as 7.5-point favorites on December 30th, they failed to cover as 7.5-point favorites in the rematch on January 1st.  After beating the Grizzlies by 14 as 10-point favorites on January 3rd, they only beat the Grizzlies by 2 as 9.5-point favorites in the rematch on January 5th and failed to cover.

The Lakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.  Houston is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games after going under the total in two or more consecutive games.  Plays against road teams (LA Lakers) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 52-23 (69.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on TCU +6.5

I love the spot for the TCU Horned Frogs tonight.  They had won five straight games prior to losing their last two games to the two best teams in the Big 12 in Kansas and Baylor.  Now they take a big step down in class here against Oklahoma.

The Horned Frogs will also be out for revenge from a 78-82 home loss to Oklahoma in their first meeting this season back on December 6th.  And they go from being 4-point dogs in that game to now 6.5-point dogs in the rematch, so there's some serious line value here.

Oklahoma is going to be without both Bradey Manek (13.4 PPG, 4.4 RPG) and Jaylen Hill (3.7 PPG, 3.7 RPG) due to COVID-19.  Manek is a huge loss as he is the team's second-leading scorer and had 14 points and 6 rebounds in the first meeting with TCU.  The Horned Frogs are fully healthy for this game.

Plays on underdogs (TCU) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 24 or more points in their last three games are 80-41 (66.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  

The Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.  The Sooners are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as favorites.  The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Roll with TCU Tuesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Bradley +1.5

The Bradley Braves will be highly motivated for revenge today after losing 72-78 to Northern Iowa yesterday.  Now they don't have to wait long for revenge as they get the Panthers against today.  They are underdogs in the rematch when they should be favorites.

This is a Northern Iowa team that has been consistently overvalued all season.  They are just 3-7 SU & 2-7 ATS on the year.  And now they are without their best player in AJ Green, who has been out since the first three games of the season.  Green was averaging 22.2 PPG and 5.7 RPG this season after averaging 19.7 PPG last season.

Bradley is 6-4 this season with all four losses coming by 6 points or fewer, including 1-point road losses to both Missouri (53-54) and Xavier (50-51).  That's how close the Braves are to being 10-0 this season.  The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Bet Bradley Monday.

20* Patriot League GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston +3.5

Boston will be highly motivated for revenge following a 79-86 loss to Colgate as 4-point underdogs yesterday.  I fully expect them to win outright as 3.5-point underdogs in the rematch today.

The Raiders are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as road favorites.  We saw Colgate beat Army by 44 and come back and lose to them by 2 the next day in their last situation like this one.  Bet Boston Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +11.5

The Chicago Bulls are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA right now.  They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with upset wins over the Mavericks, Blazers and Wizards (twice).  They also only lost by 2 to the Lakers as 9-point dogs and by 1 to the Warriors as 3.5-point dogs.  They have lost just one of their last eight games by more than 4 points, and that was a blowout loss to the Bucks, which can be expected.

The Clippers have no business being double-digit favorites over the Bulls today.  They are just 2-3 SU in their last five games overall with their two wins come by 7 and 5 points.  So they haven't won any of their last five games by more than 7 points.

The Bulls are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss by 6 points or less.  Chicago is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games playing on one days' rest.  The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.  The Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games playing on one days' rest.  Roll with the Bulls Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +8.5

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Utah Jazz off their upset win as 5.5-point underdogs over the Milwaukee Bucks last time out.  The Jazz are a tired team right now playing their 7th game in 11 days.  They won't have enough left in the tank here in their 5th straight road game to beat the Pistons by more than 8.5 points.

It's also a good time to 'buy low' on the Pistons, who are off to a 2-7 start this season.  But the Pistons have won outright in this price range twice with an upset win as an 8.5-point dog over the Celtics and an upset win as 8-point dogs to the Suns.  They also only lost by 2 as 8-point dogs to the Celtics in the rematch.

Betting on Jazz games is simple.  Back them as underdogs and fade them as favorites.  Indeed, the Jazz are 6-23-2 ATS in their last 31 games as favorites.  The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.  Take the Pistons Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on Holy Cross +11.5

Holy Cross will be motivated for revenge following a 68-83 loss as 5.5-point dogs to Army.  Now they come back as 11.5-point dogs in the rematch today and will improve enough to cover this inflated number.

We just saw Holy Cross in this exact same situation against Boston.  After losing 76-83 in their first meeting as 10-point dogs, they came back and won outright 68-66 as 14.5-point dogs in the rematch.  They can beat Army here.  The Crusaders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs.  Bet Holy Cross Sunday.

15* American East PLAY OF THE DAY on Maine +10.5

Maine will be motivated for revenge following a 54-63 loss to New Jersey Tech as 8.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now the Black Bears come back as 10.5-point dogs today in the rematch, which is too many points.

Maine is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games as an underdog.  The Highlanders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win.  New Jersey Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.  Maine is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 60 points or less in two straight games.  Take Maine Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Binghamton +12.5

Binghamton wants revenge from a 60-76 loss as 12.5-point underdogs to Vermont yesterday.  I expect them to play much better here Sunday and to be the more motivated team, thus covering this identical 12.5-point spread this time around.  

This is the 5th time Binghamton has been in this situation.  They have improved in the 2nd game in three of four times they've lost the first matchup with the only non-improvement resulting in a cover.  They lost by 3 to Marist as 4-point dogs and came back and covered as 6-point dogs in a 4-point loss in the rematch.  The last time Vermont won the first game in this situation they beat New Jersey Tech by 14 and came back and lost by 1 in the rematch.

The Catamounts are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Vermont is 3-13-2 ATS in its last 18 Sunday games.  The Bearcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit home loss.  Vermont is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games when playing with one or less days' rest.  Roll with Binghamton Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Cal Poly +13

Cal Poly wants revenge from a 49-62 loss at Bakersfield yesterday as 13-point underdogs.  Now the Mustangs come back as identical 13-point dogs today and this number is simply too high.

The Mustangs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 50 points or less in their previous game.  The Roadrunners are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.  Bakersfield is 4-16-1 ATS in its last 21 home games.  The Roadrunners are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bakersfield is 0-6 ATS in its last six games off a conference win.  Take Cal Poly Saturday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Nevada +11.5

Nevada wants revenge from a 60-65 loss at San Diego State as a 13-point underdog on Thursday.  Now the Wolf Pack get to face the Aztecs just two days later here Saturday and come back as 11.5-point dogs.

The Wolf Pack are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Nevada is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games.  The Wolf Pack are 45-20-2 ATS in their last 67 games following an ATS win.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.  The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after playing their last game on the road.  Roll with Nevada Saturday.

15* Summit League PLAY OF THE DAY on Nebraska-Omaha +7.5

Nebraska-Omaha wants revenge from a 69-71 loss at North Dakota State as 7.5-point dogs yesterday.  Now the Mavericks come back as 7.5-point dogs today in the rematch, and this line is simply too high again.

The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Omaha is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Omaha) off a close conference loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that won as a favorite but failed to cover in their last game are 59-30 (66.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take Nebraska-Omaha Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -3

The Indiana Pacers have been one of my favorite teams to back in the early going this season.  They are way underrated because they are mostly healthy this season, which hasn't been the case in recent years.  And the players love head coach Nate Bjorkgren.

He has given them the freedom to play to their strengths.  It has paid off in a big way as they have three All-Star caliber players in Malcom Brogdon (23.6 PPG, 7.0 APG), Domantas Sabonis (20.8 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 6.4 APG) and Victor Oladipo (20.4 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 4.3 APG).  This trio can take them a long way when healthy, which has been the case thus far.

The Pacers are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS this season.  Now they face a tired Phoenix Suns team that will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 105-110 (OT) loss in Detroit last night.  It will also be the 3rd game in 4 days for the Suns.  The Pacers had the last two days off and will be fresh and ready to go.

Plays against road underdogs of 3 to 9.5 points (Phoenix) - a tired team playing their 2nd game in 2 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last six games playing on two days' rest.  The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Pacers Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Line Mistake on Florida Atlantic +7.5

Florida Atlantic wants revenge from a 67-71 loss to Old Dominion as a 7.5-point underdog yesterday.  Now the Owls come back as 7.5-point dogs in the rematch today, and this number is too high once again.

Old Dominion has consistently been overvalued, going 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They are also 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  The Monarchs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as home favorites.  The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Florida Atlantic Saturday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Louisiana Tech +7

Louisiana Tech wants revenge from a 64-66 loss to Western Kentucky yesterday as a 7.5-point underdog.  Now the Bulldogs come back as 7-point underdogs in the rematch as this line is way too high in a game I expect them to win outright.

Betting against Western Kentucky has been a great move.  The Hilltoppers are 3-9 ATS this season.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS int heir last six games overall.  The Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as road underdogs.  The Hilltoppers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as favorites.  Western Kentucky is 0-7 ATS vs. teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Take Louisiana Tech Saturday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland -1

Oakland wants revenge from an 81-84 (OT) loss to Wisconsin-Green Bay yesterday as a 1.5-point favorite.  Now the Golden Grizzlies come back as only 1-point favorites in the rematch today and I expect them to have their revenge.

The Golden Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss.  Oakland is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following an ATS loss.  The Phoenix are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.  The Golden Grizzlies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less.  Take Oakland Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Southern Miss +14

Southern Miss wants revenge from a 60-72 loss at UAB as 13-point underdogs yesterday.  At the very least, I expect the Golden Eagles to cover this 14-point spread in the rematch today.

The Golden Eagles have been consistently undervalued, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  UAB is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. a team that is called for 17 or fewer fouls per game.  The underdog is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Southern Miss Saturday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5

Little Rock is coming off a 64-66 loss to Lafayette yesterday as a 1-point favorite.  I expect the Trojans to bounce back here as 1.5-point favorites in the rematch.  Lafayette is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win by 6 points or less.  Bet Little Rock Saturday.

15* MAAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Manhattan +2.5

Manhattan wants revenge from a 79-84 (double OT) loss to Quinnipiac yesterday as a 3-point dog.  Now the Jaspers come back as 2.5-point dogs in the rematch Saturday in a game I fully expect them to win outright.

Quinnipiac is 22-40 ATS in its last 62 games after scoring 80 points or more.  The Jaspers are 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings and should be 4-0 if not for blowing a big lead late in regulation.  Masiello is 13-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games as the coach of the Jaspers.  Bet Manhattan Saturday.

15* Big Sky PLAY OF THE DAY on Idaho +14

Idaho only lost 80-85 as a 14-point underdog at Southern Utah yesterday.  Now the Vandals come back as 14-point dogs today as this line is simply too high.  Idaho's 0-8 record has them undervalued right now as they have only lost one of their last six games by more than 13 points, and that was at Pac-12 opponent Utah.

The Thunderbirds are 11-30 ATS in their last 41 games as a home favorite.  The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Idaho is 7-0 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 80 points or more in two straight games.  The Vandals are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a loss by 6 points or less.  Roll with Idaho Saturday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls +9.5

This is a bad spot for the Lakers, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 13 days.  They showed some fatigue last night in a 109-118 loss to the Spurs as 8.5-point favorites.  And now they are being overvalued again as 9.5-point favorites against Chicago tonight.

While the Lakers appear to be going through the motions after winning a title, the Bulls have been out to prove a point under first-year head coach Billy Donovan.  They are showing the world that their young talent is finally starting to gel, and they are living up to their potential in the early going.

Indeed, the Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall as they have consistently been undervalued.  They have won four of their last six games straight up with a 4-point loss to Sacramento and the other loss coming to the Bucks.  They upset Washington in both road meetings, upset Dallas 118-108 and upset Portland 111-108 as 9.5-point road dogs.  They will hang with the Lakers tonight given the awful spot for Los Angeles.

Chicago is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games after covering three of its last four ATS coming in.  The Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last seven gams as underdogs.  Chicago is 6-0 ATS in its last six games playing on one days' rest.  The Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Bulls Friday.

15* CBB PLAY OF THE DAY on Air Force +18.5

I like the spot for Air Force tonight.  They will be playing Boise State for the 2nd time in 3 days.  They lost the first meeting 59-78 as 19-point dogs at Air Force.  And now they are catching 18.5 points in the rematch here.

Air Force will clearly be the more motivated team in the rematch.  And Boise State is overvalued with an 8-1 record and on an 8-game winning streak coming in.  Look for the Broncos to let up enough here to allow the Falcons to cover this 18.5-point spread.

We just saw Boise State in this  exact same situation falter in the two games prior to Air Force.  After beating San Jose State 106-54 as a 22-point favorite, the Broncos came back and only beat the Spartans 87-86 as a 26-point favorite.  That was a 51-point improvement for San Jose State in the rematch.

Air Force is 53-31 ATS in its last 84 games as a road underdog of 12.5 points or more.  Boise State is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 75 points or more in four straight coming in.  Roll with Air Force Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on UCLA -1

The UCLA Bruins brought back all five starters this season and are a team I've been looking to back with every chance I get.  And they've delivered by going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only loss coming to Ohio State.  They also beat the likes of Marquette, Utah and Colorado during this stretch.

The Arizona State Sun Devils have been one of the most overrated teams in college basketball, and they continue to be tonight.  The Sun Devils are 4-3 SU but 1-6 ATS this season.  They are coming off a 63-76 home loss to UTEP as a 13-point favorite.  And that game was on December 16th, so they have been off for three weeks, and thus there will be some rust with this team tonight.

UCLA is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a conference home win.  The Bruins are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  UCLA is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Sun Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games.  Arizona State is 3-12-1 ATS in its last 16 games overall.  Roll with UCLA Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +7

The San Antonio Spurs are playing with double-revenge here.  They will be facing the Lakers for the 3rd time since December 30th.  They lost the first two meetings but covered in the second meeting in a 6-point loss as 7.5-point dogs.  And now they are 7-point dogs in the trilogy and I think they have a great chance to win outright tonight.

The situation is a good one for the Spurs, who will be staying in Los Angeles after their 116-113 upset of the Clippers as 7-point dogs on Tuesday.  The situation is a terrible one for the Lakers, who are now back home following a four-game road trip.  I love fading teams in their first game back home following a long trip.

The Lakers will be playing their 7th game in 12 games here, and they have another game tomorrow against Chicago.  There's a good chance they rest one or both of their two stars tonight in Anthony Davis and Lebron James.  They are both listed as questionable tonight with James dealing with an ankle injury, and Davis dealing with a strained thigh muscle.  Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is out with an ankle injury as well.

Conversely, the Spurs now have LaMarcus Aldridge back in the lineup.  He didn't play in either of their first two meetings with the Lakers.  The Spurs are 52-25 ATS in their last 77 games when revenging a loss.  San Antonio is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog.  The Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a win.  Bet the Spurs Thursday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma +12

The No. 2 ranked Baylor Bears are 9-0 this season.  The longer a team stays unbeaten the harder it is to cover spreads because expectations are so high that they are hard to live up to.  And players start to become complacent as well.

We've seen that in Baylor's last two games as they failed to cover as 44-point favorites in a 29-point win over Alcorn State.  They also failed to cover as 15.5-point favorites in an 11-point win over Iowa State, which may be the worst team in the Big 12.

Now Oklahoma takes its shot at Baylor.  The Sooners are 4-1 in their last five games overall with their only loss coming by 2 points to Texas Tech, 67-69.  They also beat West Virginia 75-71 at home.  This is a veteran squad that can hang with a team like Baylor.  They only lost 57-61 at Baylor as 11-point underdogs last season.

The Sooners are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 road games following three or more consecutive home games.  Oklahoma is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as an underdog.  The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Oklahoma Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +7.5

Tom Thibodeau quietly has the New York Knicks maximizing their potential in the early going.  The Knicks are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five gmaes overall with upset wins over Milwaukee, Indiana, Atlanta and Cleveland.  Their lone loss came on the road to Toronto.

Now they take on a tired Utah Jazz team coming off a 96-130 loss as a 5-point favorite at Brooklyn last night.  The Jazz will now be playing their 5th game in 7 days and the fatigue is starting to show.  There's no way the Jazz should be favored by 7.5 points here given the terrible spot with the 5th game in 7 days.

Plays against favorites (Utah) - off an embarrassing loss by 20 points or more as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 22-4 (84.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Jazz are 6-22-2 ATS in their last 30 games as favorites.  Utah is 6-24 ATS in the last 30 meetings, including 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in New York.  Take the Knicks Wednesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -2

The Indiana Pacers are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA in the early going.  They are loaded with talent at the top with their Big 3 of Victor Oladipo (20.8 PPG, 45.5% 3-pointers), Domanta Sabonis (20.6 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 6.7 APG, 52.9% 3-pointers) and Malcolm Brogdon (22.0 PPG, 7.0 APG, 44.7% 3-pointers), who are all All-Star caliber players.  And they love new head coach Nate Bjorkgren.

"First and foremost, coach got all the fight in the world," Oladipo said following an OT win over the Pelicans in which they trailed by 6 with 30 seconds left. "The whole time down the stretch, with a minute left, with 38 seconds left, he was telling us 'it's not over, it's not over.' Tha's all he kept screaming from the sideline.  We believed that, and we made something happen down the stretch."

"We've got one of the best coaches in the league, if not the best," Malcolm Brogdon said afterward. "I'm going to continue to say that during the season and make sure people understand how well-coached we are. Nate puts everybody in a position to play their game and show their strengths."

While the Pacers are feeling good about themselves and playing up to their potential, the Houston Rockets are a mess right now.  It's hard to know whether or not James Harden even wants to be there.  And they are trying to implement a bunch of new pieces, and it has hurt them defensively.  The Rockets are 2-3 this season and coming off an upset home loss to the Mavericks, 100-113.  

The Rockets are 20th in defensive efficiency and giving up 115.6 points per game.  That's bad news for them as they will be up against a Pacers team that is 8th in offensive efficiency, scoring 114.9 points per game and shooting 49.3% as a team.  The Pacers are also 12th in defensive efficiency this season.

The Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Rockets are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games following a SU loss.  The Pacers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.  Houston is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 trips to Indiana.  Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Richmond -4

Richmond has played a brutal schedule and has gotten through it at 7-3.  They have wins over Kentucky, Wofford, Vanderbilt, Loyola-Chicago and Davidson and losses to St. Bonaventure, West Virginia and Hofstra.  And they haven't lost two games in a row yet, so this veteran team that returned four starters has shown some resilience.

Now I expect the Spiders to bounce back from a 3-point loss to St. Bonaventure with a win and cover here against Rhode Island.  This is a 5-5 Rams team that is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  They have a common opponent in Davidson, which Richmond beat 80-74 on the road, while Rhode Island lost to 58-67 at home.

The Spiders are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  Richmond is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Spiders are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as home favorites.  Take Richmond Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas -5.5

I love the spot for the Kansas Jayhawks today.  They are coming off their worst home loss in program history 59-84 to Texas on Saturday.  It's safe to say they are going to come back highly motivated for a victory here Monday.

The Jayhawks had won eight straight coming into that game with their only previous loss coming to top-ranked Gonzaga.  It's safe to say that loss was an aberration.  Now the Jayhawks face a TCU team that is overvalued off five straight victories coming in.

Kansas simply owns TCU.  The Jayhawks are 16-1 SU in the last 17 meetings.  Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games following a loss by 20 points or more.  The Jayhawks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Big 12 road games.  Kansas is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Jayhawks are 43-19-3 ATS in their last 65 games following a SU loss.  Take Kansas Tuesday.