Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavs come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over the 76ers and the Hawks.  But off those wins, we'll fade Dallas as a double-digit home favorite.  Indeed, the Mavericks are a horrid 0-7 ATS their last seven, and 2-16 ATS their last 18 off back to back covers as an underdog, if Dallas wasn't getting 6 (or more) points.  And Dallas is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of more than 7 points vs. Detroit.  Take the Pistons as a double-digit dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder upset Portland last night, but will be at a disadvantage tonight playing without rest vs. the rested Kings.  Indeed, unrested road underdogs off back to back upset road wins, have covered just 28% vs. rested foes.  Take the Kings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Washington.  The Suns had their 11-game win streak snapped by the Atlanta Hawks.  So, it's time to start a new win streak tonight.  And the Suns are 42-22 ATS on the road off an upset road loss.  Take the Suns minus the points.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Pacers in their last game.  But we will fade Orlando off that victory, as it's 4-11 ATS its last 15 off an upset win.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  These two Northwest division rivals met two games ago, and the Thunder upset Portland, 98-81.  Oklahoma City then followed up that win with another upset victory, while Portland lost a 3rd straight game on Wednesday when it fell to the Lakers, 99-94.  We'll lay the points with Portland tonight, as NBA favorites off a loss have cashed 71.7% since 1990 at home vs. division foes off a win, if our home team was playing with revenge from an upset loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Chicago.  The Raptors will be out to avenge their loss to Chicago last week in the Windy City.  And Toronto is an awesome 12-0 ATS its last 12 when priced from -7 to +3 points.  Likewise, the Bulls have covered just one of their last 10 when priced from -3 to +7 points.  Toronto has been rolling at home, of late, as it's 13-3 ATS its last 16, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. winning foes.  Additionally, the Raptors fall into 130-93 and 219-140 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Golden State.  The Warriors won, 122-108, last night at Houston, while the Spurs rested following their loss at Phoenix.  We played on San Antonio in that 115-110 defeat, and got the $$$ as it was a 12.5-point road underdog.  Tonight, the Spurs are at home, and they've gone 57-31 ATS since 1990 as a rested home team off a loss in this point spread range, including 26-10 against a foe off back-to-back wins (and 6-0 ATS if that foe was also unrested).  The Spurs are doing their best (ATS) work this season vs. the league's best teams, as they're 12-2 ATS vs. .637 (or better) teams (and 9-1 ATS vs. .666 (or better) clubs).  Take San Antonio on the moneyline.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons are 12-37 this season, following their 115-105 win here, at home, on Sunday.  And now they're dressed up in the rare role of a favorite tonight vs. New Orleans.  I love to go against bad teams off wins, and I also love to go against bad teams as favorites.  Here, we get to do both.  To wit:  dating back to 1990, .sub-.250 teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 33 of 92 off exactly one win, if they were favored (or PK) at home.  Even worse for Detroit:  it's 0-14 ATS its last 14 off a win by more than 7 points (and 4-27-3 ATS its last 34).  Take the Pelicans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis.  This is a great match-up between two of the hotter teams in the NBA.  Philly has won 14 of 17 (11-6 ATS), while Memphis is on a 16-3 run (15-4 ATS).  These two teams met seven weeks ago, and the Grizzlies blew out Philly by 35 points.  And that huge loss is a big reason for our play tonight, as NBA favorites have cashed 61% over the last 26 years when playing with revenge from a loss by 33+ points, including 4-0 ATS already this season.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix.  This is the fourth meeting between these teams this season.  And, although Phoenix has won the first three, each was competitive.  The Suns won the first, 115-111, as a 5.5-point road favorite.  And then they won the 2nd game, 108-104, as a 7.5-point home favorite.  The 3rd meeting was earlier this month, and the Spurs lost by 14, 121-107.  But San Antonio led that game by four points, 91-87, through three quarters, before collapsing in the final eight minutes.  We'll look for yet another competitive game tonight, and will take the double-digits with the Spurs, who are 57-34 ATS as an underdog of 8+ points in the regular season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Portland.  Minnesota's been installed as a road favorite at Portland.  And it's 10-5 its last 15 as road chalk, and 24-12-2 ATS on the road vs. division rivals.  It's true that the Blazers won their last two games -- each as 8-point dogs -- at Boston, and at Toronto.  But home dogs have covered just 30.4% since 1990 following back to back upset wins as 8-point (or greater) underdogs.  Lay the points with the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston.  The Spurs were upset by the Rockets, 128-124, 13 days ago in the Alamo City.  San Antone is 57-37 ATS as a road favorite when playing with revenge, while Houston has covered just 11 of 41 as a home dog.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Lakers lost on Christmas Day to Brooklyn, 122-115, as a 2-point home favorite.  They're now favored at Brooklyn tonight, as Anthony Davis has been upgraded to 'probable,' while Kevin Durant remains sidelined.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it's 51-30 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers pulled off one of the 11 biggest upsets in the past 32 years when they upset the Suns, 121-117, as a 16.5-point underdog on Thursday.  Unfortunately, road underdogs with a losing record, off back to back upset wins on the road, have covered just 40% since 1990.  Take the Suns minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The Warriors were upset by Indiana last night, 121-117, as a massive 16.5-point favorite.  But Golden State is a super 33-11 ATS at home off a home loss, in which it gave up 121+ points.  Take Golden State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Detroit.  Earlier this month, Detroit shocked the Jazz in the Motor City, with a 126-116 upset victory.  And, then, on Wednesday, Utah was shocked again by Houston, 116-111, as a 13.5-point favorite.  We'll take Utah tonight in this rematch, as we note that the Jazz have covered over 69% when playing with revenge, if Utah was off a SU/ATS home loss in its previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies have won the first two meetings this season.  But those two games were at home.  Tonight's game is in Denver.  And NBA home favorites have covered 58% in the regular season since 1990 when playing with revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Additionally, Memphis is a soft 24-46 ATS vs. double-revenging foes that weren't off back to back losses.  Take Denver minus the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Brooklyn.  The Spurs took the Nets to overtime earlier this month, in Brooklyn, before falling, 121-119, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  We'll take San Antone as a home underdog tonight, as it's 35-14 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Phoenix.  Both teams enter tonight's game is superb form.  Dallas has won 10 of 11 (and has gone 8-3 ATS), while Phoenix has won 7 of 8 (6-1-1 ATS).  This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these two teams.  Dallas lost the first two (both at Phoenix), but covered the point spread in each game.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it's 90-46-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with double-revenge, if it's matched up against an opponent off a straight-up win.  With the Suns in off a 14-point win at San Antone, we'll go against Phoenix, and take Dallas + the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City.  San Antone will play tonight's game with revenge from a loss at OKC earlier this season.  And the Spurs are 34-14 ATS at home in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix.  We played on the Suns yesterday, and got the $$$$ with a blowout win over Detroit.  We'll take the Spurs tonight, as they're 34-13 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Chicago.  The Grizz had their 11-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Dallas, 112-85.  But we'll play on Memphis to resume its winning ways tonight, as it's 19-10 ATS off a loss by 15+ points.  And home teams have gone 97-67 ATS on MLK Day vs. non-division foes, if our home team wasn't laying 9+ points.  Take Memphis.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have underperformed this season and especially off big wins.  Indeed, Brooklyn is 0-10 ATS off a win by 9+ points.  With the Nets off a 120-105 victory on Saturday vs. New Orleans, we'll lay the points with Cleveland today.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Denver. The Jazz have dropped four straight games. But this losing streak coincided with a number of players entering COVID-19 protocols, so it wasn't altogether related to poor play (though there was some of that, too). The good news is that Rudy Gobert and Rudy Gay have cleared protocols and are set to rejoin the team. We'll lay the points tonight, as Utah is well-rested, while Denver played last night in a blowout win over the Lakers. And Denver's a horrid 13-36 ATS its last 49 (and 52-99-1 ATS its last 152) at home when it played without rest. Take Utah to bounce back strong tonight, and blow out the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset the Raptors on Friday, 103-87, as a 9-point home underdog.  And faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams immediately after wins.  So, off that upset win, we will fade Detroit this afternoon, as 9-point (or greater) home underdogs have covered just 33 of 93 after pulling an upset at home in their previous game.  Take Phoenix minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Cleveland.  San Antone was upset here, at home, by Houston in its last game -- its 3rd straight loss.  We'll take the Spurs as a home dog tonight, as it has cashed 75% as a home dog since 1990 off an upset loss.  And it's 28-15 ATS off 3+ losses, when matched up against a non-conference foe.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Golden State.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Warriors crushed Chicago, 119-93, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  The Warriors, though, were in the midst of playing their best basketball of the season, as they had won (and covered) their six previous games by an average of 20.66 ppg.  And, then, subsequent to their 26-point win over the Bulls, the Warriors went on to win (and cover) seven of their next eight games.  Overall, in that 4-week, 14-1 SU/ATS stretch of basketball, the Warriors won by an average of 16.53 ppg, and covered the spread by 9.96 ppg.  Since that time, the Warriors have come crashing down to earth.  They're 12-9 SU, but 8-12-1 ATS, and have only won by an average of 2.19 ppg, and have failed to cover the spread by -2.09 ppg.  Golden State's worst point spread subset in this downturn is on the road, where it is 3-8-1 ATS.  And it's 0-7-1 ATS when the game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 5 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Portland.  Denver comes into tonight's game off an upset loss at the hands of the Clippers, on Tuesday, while Portland upset Brooklyn in its previous game.  This will be the 3rd meeting between the Northwest division rivals this season.  And the Nuggets were blown out by Portland, 119-100, when the two teams last met, back in November.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Denver is 32-13 ATS as a favorite of 7+ points, if it's playing with revenge, and off a SU/ATS loss in its previous game.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies won their 10th straight game, with an upset win at home over the Warriors.  But off that win, we'll fade Memphis, as home teams have gone 184-268 ATS in the regular season off upset home wins, when matched up against a foe off a loss.  Take Minnesota + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over New Orleans.  When these teams last met earlier this season, the Pelicans upset the Clippers, in Los Angeles, 123-104, as a 7-point road underdog.  We'll take L.A. to avenge that loss, as it's 28-11 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, in which it was favored by 7+ points.  Take the Clippers + the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Sacramento.  When playing at home vs. the Lakers, the Kings have burned money, as they're 9-22 ATS, including 0-7 ATS their last seven, and 0-11 ATS off a game where they covered by more than 2 points.  The Lakers also fall into 2 systems of mine, with records of 124-60 and 107-43 ATS, that play on certain rested road teams off a loss.  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm -- a somewhat unusual start time for a Chicago Bulls home game -- our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Chicago.  The Nets are clearly underperforming this season, as they're 25-14 SU, but just 15-24 ATS.  Their average point spread differential is -2.91, but when one looks closer, one sees that Brooklyn has done much better on the road, than at home.  At home, Brooklyn's average point spread differential is -6.88, but on the road, it's a positive 1.72.  And they've also had a positive SU/ATS record on the road, at 14-4 SU and 10-8 ATS (compared to 11-10 SU and 5-16 ATS at home).  Overall, the Nets are riding a 7-game ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and take the "undervalued" Nets, as they've been installed as a road underdog at Chicago.  And road underdogs have covered 60% over the past 32 years off 7 ATS losses.  Take the Nets + the points.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland.  Utah has certainly struggled without their defensive stalwart, Rudy Gobert, as they've dropped their last three games -- all on the road -- to Eastern conference foes Toronto, Indiana, and Detroit.  But Utah's back home tonight, and it's covered 61% at home since 1990 when favored by 4+ points, and off a game where it failed to cover by more than 20 points.  Take the Jazz.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Detroit.  The Bulls had last night off following a blowout loss in Dallas, on Sunday, while Detroit pulled off a huge upset on Monday, with a double-digit win as a double-digit home underdog vs. Utah.  We will fade the Pistons tonight, as underdogs of 10+ points have covered just 33% since 1990 off an upset win as a 9-point (or greater) underdog, including 0-15 ATS their last 15.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors have won their last six games, and will go for seven-in-a-row tonight vs. Phoenix, which was stunned by Miami on Saturday, 123-100, as an 9.5-point favorite.  But off that loss, the Suns fall into a super NBA system of mine which has cashed 67% since 1990, which plays on certain rested road favorites off upset losses as favorites of more than 9 points.  Phoenix is also 44-16 ATS as a road favorite off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Portland.  The shorthanded Trail Blazers upset Sacramento, 103-88, last night, while Brooklyn edged the San Antonio Spurs, in overtime, 121-119.  We will go against Portland at home, as NBA home underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a win by 15 (or more) points, are an awful 0-12 ATS if they owned a win percentage and also an ATS win percentage less than .450.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons defeated Orlando, 97-92, on Saturday, for their eighth win of the season.  But they've only won back-to-back games once, and they're a horrid 6-42 straight-up, and 12-33-3 ATS off a win, including 2-14 ATS at home!  Take Utah minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between the teams.  Charlotte won Round 1, with an 8-point win here, at home, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in the rematch, as it's covered 67% over the past 21 seasons when favored by 5 or less points against a team which defeated it in its previous game.  And the Bucks are also 57-34-1 ATS on the road when favored by more than a point off a straight-up loss.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Yesterday, we played on the Los Angeles Clippers, who had the good fortune of hosting the Memphis Grizzlies, who were without Ja Morant, their best players.  But the Clippers were unable to rise to the occasion, and were blown out by 15+ points for the 3rd straight game, 123-108.  They'll attempt to break their losing streak tonight against the Hawks, but Atlanta will also be seeking to bounce back off a blowout loss, as they fell to the Lakers here, at Crypto.com Arena, two nights ago.  The Clippers' management likes having home games scheduled on back to back days.  But the problem is that the team underperforms in the 2nd of these home games, as it's 21-32-1 ATS, including 0-6 ATS off a loss by more than 10 points; 1-10 ATS off a point spread loss by 10+ points; and 2-10 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Meanwhile, Atlanta is a very good 7-0 ATS its last seven, and 54-22 ATS its last 76, vs. unrested foes, if the Hawks are off a double-digit loss, and not getting more than 2 points.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks.  This is a home-and-home series between the teams, and New York won Round 1, on Thursday.  We'll take Boston in the rematch, as NBA teams favored have gone 63% ATS since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings, if they lost the first meeting SU/ATS, and weren't an underdog of more than 2 points in either game.  Take the Celtics minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies are in the midst of an 8-game win streak after walloping Detroit, 118-88, on Thursday.  But NBA teams that have won 5+ games in a row, and won their most recent game by more than 25 points, have gone 4-26 ATS their last 30.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Cleveland.  The Blazers have been installed as a home underdog tonight vs. the upstart Cavaliers.  And, even though Portland has disappointed this season, with a 14-23 record, it's a solid 42-11 ATS in non-division games, priced from +6 to -2.5 points, when it's owned a win percentage less than .379, including 22-2 ATS its last 24.  Take Portland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Chicago.  This is a revenge game for Washington, which lost by a single point, on Saturday, at home vs. the Bulls.  We'll grab the points with the Wizards, as they're 80-46 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss, including 38-17 ATS on the road vs. a foe off a win.  Take Washington + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Nets play this game with revenge from a 23-point loss to open the season.  That should serve as motivation tonight, and especially given the fact that the Bucks also bounced Brooklyn out of the playoffs last season.  The Nets are a solid 65-28 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points, while Milwaukee is a poor 4-17 ATS when getting more than 2 points.  Take the Nets minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  After missing five games, the Spurs' best player, Dejounte Murray returned to the lineup vs. Boston, on Wednesday.  And San Antonio covered for the 11th time in their last 15 games with Murray on the court.  We played on the Spurs in that game, and we'll come right back with them tonight.  Importantly, when you look at some of the wins and/or covers in this stretch, it includes many of the elite teams in the league.  The Spurs won at Golden State, 112-107, as a 9-point dog; covered at Phoenix, as a 7.5-point dog; won at Utah, 128-126, as an 11.5-point underdog, and covered vs. Utah, as a 7-point home favorite.  They also blew out the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets and Trail Blazers.  Tonight, San Antonio will play another elite team in the 76ers, and we will take San Antonio as an underdog in this game, as it is 20-7 ATS as a road underdog of more than 6 points, including 11-0 ATS off a win!  Take the Spurs.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Toronto.  The Bucks will look to start a new win streak tonight, after their six-game streak was snapped by -- of all teams -- Detroit.  The Pistons had lost each of their previous 16 games to Milwaukee, and were also 2-18 over their previous 20 games, yet stunned Milwaukee, 115-106, as a 17-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with Mike Budenholzer's men, as single-digit favorites have gone 183-138 ATS off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite.  Additionally, the Bucks are 8-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points, if they were off a loss, and playing with revenge from a loss to their opponent earlier in the season.  With the defending Champs, indeed, playing with revenge from a 97-93 defeat to the Raptors, we'll take the homestanding Bucks tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Boston.  San Antone's leading scorer (and best player), Dejounte Murray (17.8 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 8.8 apg), will be back on the court tonight after missing the Spurs' previous five games (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS).  We'll grab the points with the Spurs, as they're 16-4 ATS in the regular season as an underdog of +3 (or more) points off a double-digit loss, if they're playing a foe off back to back wins.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  The main storyline tonight is that G Kyrie Irving will play for the first time this season, due to his refusal to get vaccinated.  He can't play home games, or games in various other cities, because of those cities' regulations.  However, Indianapolis doesn't have such restrictions in place, and the Nets' management has reversed course on its earlier decision to ban Irving across the board.  Certainly, Brooklyn needs his production.  The Nets have been floundering (given their talent) against the league's elite units, and only have a 23-12 record because they've beat up on the NBA's lesser teams.  Indiana certainly doesn't qualify as "elite," as it has lost twice as many games as has Brooklyn.  And the Pacers currently have several key players sidelined due to COVID-19 protocols, including their leading scorer, Malcolm Brogdon.  The Nets are 10-1 ATS on the road off a point spread loss, including 7-0 ATS if they also lost their previous game, straight-up.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks OVER the total.  This is the season's first meeting for these teams.  But they met three times last season, and all 3 games not only went OVER the total.  And they were all extremely high-scoring, as they generated 236, 266 and 263 points.  Even better:  the last seven meetings here, in Dallas, have gone OVER the total, and those games produced an average of 243.1 points.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Toronto.  Gregg Popovich's crew has lost three straight games.  But two of them were to Utah and Memphis, who will both be in the Playoffs at season's end.  The Raptors, on the other hand, will likely not be in the post-season, as they have a losing record, even though they've played 19 of their 33 games at home thus far.  Tonight, Toronto will once again be at home.  But the Spurs have cashed 64% on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses, if the Spurs were playing with rest.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New Orleans.  The Jazz lost to Golden State, 123-116, in their last game.  But Utah's a solid 72-40 ATS as a rested favorite of 13 (or less) points off an upset loss as a 5-point (or greater) favorite, including 14-2 ATS on the road vs. opponents with a win percentage between .200 and .400.  Take the Jazz to bounce back on Monday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Memphis.  The Nets are finally healthy, but pulled a clunker in their last game -- a four-point loss to the Clippers, as a 14-point favorite.  So, Brooklyn failed to cover the spread by 18 points.  And that was Brooklyn's 2nd straight defeat, as it was upset, 110-102, by the 76ers before that.  The Nets typically bounce back from such poor performances, and are 4-0 ATS this season after not covering by 17+ points.  And they're also 67% ATS over the last 10 years after not covering by 10+ points in back to back games.  Take the Nets to rebound strong with a win over the Grizzlies.  Lay the points.  Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Minnesota.  The T-Wolves won the season's first two meetings, as they crushed the Lakers in L.A., 107-83, and then upset them in Minneapolis, 110-92, on Dec. 17.  But the T-Wolves are a poor 0-7 ATS their last seven as road underdogs of +7 or more points, when their foe was playing with double-revenge.  And rested, double-revenging favorites, who were upset in the most recent meeting, have been a profitable 101-67 ATS.  Minnesota's Karl-Anthony Towns was the leading scorer in each of the first two games (for either team) with 29, and 28 points, respectively.  But Towns won't play tonight due to the COVID-19 quarantine.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks and Oklahoma City Thunder 'OVER' the total.  The Mavericks and Thunder met here on December 12, and the Mavs won a very low-scoring game, 103-84.  It went 'under' the total of 206.5 by 19.5 points.  But Dallas was without its best player, Luka Doncic, in that game, so Jalen Brunson picked up the slack and scored 18 points.  The good news for Dallas is that Doncic has been cleared to finally return tonight, after missing the team's last 10 games.  And we will look for a high scoring game on this Sunday, as NBA games tend to go over the total when the previous meeting went under by more than 19 points.  Additionally, the OVER falls into a 179-128 Totals system of mine.  Take Dallas/OKC Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs will once again be without their floor leader, Dejounte Murray, who didn't make the trip to Memphis.  And Lonnie Walker IV is also questionable to play tonight.  The Grizzlies have most of their key personnel available, and we'll lay the points with the home team, as Memphis is 31-13 ATS off a win when not favored by more than 8 points, if it was playing a foe off a point spread win.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over Cleveland.  This is a revenge match for Atlanta, which was upset by Cleveland, 101-95, in the season's first meeting.  The Hawks are 7-2 ATS their last nine when playing with revenge from an upset defeat, while Cleveland is a poor 41-70 ATS as a favorite (or PK).  Take Atlanta.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over Sacramento.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings in Sacramento between these two teams.  The Kings won Round 1 at the buzzer, 95-94, so we'll take the Mavericks in the rematch.  Dallas is 128-78 ATS off a loss vs. a foe off a win.  Take the Mavs.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Wizards fell at home to the Cavs, 116-101, earlier this month.  We'll take the Wizards in this revenge match, as Cleveland is a soft 39-67 ATS on the road when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated by 10+ points earlier in the season.  And Washington is 19-7 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if the Wizards lost by 12+ points in that earlier match-up.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Sacramento.  The Mavs will look for their 2nd straight win tonight, after upsetting Portland on Monday, while Sacramento will also look for its 2nd straight win, after defeating OKC last night.  Dallas is 34-15-1 ATS as a road favorite, including 16-5 ATS vs. a foe off a win, while Sacramento is 14-24 ATS at home off a win, when playing without rest.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Charlotte.  The Pacers play this game with revenge from 2 losses at Charlotte in the first two meetings.  And Indy was favored in each of those defeats.  We'll lay the points with the Pacers, as revenge-minded NBA teams that were upset on the road in the previous two meetings, have gone 124-91 ATS in the regular season since 1990.  Take Indiana.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The T-Wolves upset the Celtics last night, 108-103, as a 5-point home dog, while the Knicks had Monday off.  We'll take the rested road favorite tonight, as Minnesota is 24-55 ATS as an unrested home underdog, and also 40-70 ATS at home off an upset win.  Lay the points with New York.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston.  LeBron James & Co. are in the midst of a 5-game losing streak.  But we will lay the points tonight, as road favorites off 4+ losses have cashed 12 straight times.  Take Los Angeles to rout the Rockets.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Cleveland.  The Pelicans had their 4-game win streak snapped on Sunday by the OKC Thunder.  They've been installed as a home underdog on Tuesday night, and we'll happily grab the points, as the Pelicans are 10-0 ATS their last 10 (and 62-25-1 ATS their last 88) at home vs. .595 (or better) foes, when the Pels weren't favored by 3+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Memphis.  We played on Memphis last night, and easily won with a 25-point blowout of Sacramento.  Unfortunately, the Grizzlies now have to face the league's second-best team off a loss.  The Suns were upset by Golden State on Christmas, so we'll back them to bounce back tonight, on Monday.  Phoenix is a reliable 9-1 ATS its last 10 (and 24-7 ATS its last 31) off a loss, when matched up against a .500 (or better) foe off a double-digit win.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over San Antone.  We played on the Spurs last night, and got the $$$ when they blew out the Pistons.  That was Gregg Popovich's crew's fourth straight win and cover -- and fifth win in its last six games.  The first of those five wins was against this Utah team.  We played on the Spurs in that game, and they pulled off the upset, 128-126, as an 11.5-point road underdog.  That victory snapped Utah's 8-game win streak, so I expect the Jazz to come out strong tonight in this revenge match.  And Utah will have a nice advantage from the fact that it had Sunday off, while the Spurs had to play Detroit.  The Jazz are 13-3 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite priced from -3 to -9.5 points.  Lay it.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Minnesota.  The Celts led virtually the entire way vs. Milwaukee on Christmas Day, before succumbing in the final 30 seconds, 117-113.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Boston is 41-23 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, if its foe was a losing team.  And Minny is a wallet-breaking 57-142 ATS as a non-division home dog of more than 4 points in the regular season, provided the T-Wolves weren't off an upset loss.  Take the Celtics.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clips haven't had any good fortune on the injury front this season.  Los Angeles was already without its best player, Kawhi Leonard, who is recovering from ACL surgery, and Luke Kennard (ankle), but now will also be without Paul George, who tore the ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow.  And those three physical injuries are on top of the COVID-19 related absences of Marcus Morris and Reggie Jackson.  So, the Clippers will be a shell of themselves tonight when Denver comes into Crypto.com Arena.  The Nuggets will be looking to bounce back from a stunning loss to Charlotte -- a game Denver led by 17 points entering the 4th quarter.  Unfortunately, Charlotte destroyed Denver, 38-13 in that final quarter for the 8-point win.  Still, the Nuggets are a reliable 12-3 SU and 9-4-2 ATS on the road off an upset loss, while Los Angeles is a poor 4-11 ATS at home vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Detroit.  Don't look now, but the under-the-radar Spurs are making a push to get into the Playoff picture.  The Spurs started slow, and had a 4-13 SU (and 8-9 ATS) record at Thanksgiving.  But San Antone has gone 9-5 SU and 10-4 ATS since then.  The Spurs had, perhaps, their most impressive win of the season three nights ago when they went into Los Angeles and handed the Lakers a 138-110 defeat, which was the Lakers' biggest loss this season, as well as the Spurs' highest-scoring game.  And that was also the Spurs' second straight upset win, as they stunned the Clippers two nights before the Lakers.  This evening, they'll welcome a Pistons team going in the opposite direction.  Detroit only win in its last 17 games was against the Heat, on December 19.  But that game was at home.  On the road, the Pistons have now lost nine straight games.  And they're 1-10 SU and 4-7 ATS their last 11 in the Alamo City.  Meanwhile, the Spurs are 22-12 ATS off back to back upset wins, including 11-2 ATS when laying 4+ points.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Washington.  The Wizards will be without G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope this evening, and also should be without G Bradley Beal (23.3 ppg), who is listed as doubtful.  The Sixers also will be missing some players due to the COVID-19 protocols (Andre Drummond, Danny Green), but none as important as the Wizards' lost personnel.  We'll lay the points with Philly, as it will be looking to bounce back from an awful loss to the Hawks, as a 11-point favorite its last time on the court.  The good news is that rested road favorites have covered the spread 67% in the regular season since 1994 if they were off an upset loss as a favorite of 10+ points, and their opponent was off a win.  Take the 76ers minus the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings are ravaged by COVID-19-related player absences, but should get back Marvin Bagley and Louis King (as well as coach Alvin Gentry) this evening.  De'Aaron Fox is questionable, but hadn't cleared COVID-19 protocols as of Saturday night.  Memphis currently doesn't have such issues with its roster, and will be looking to snap a 3-game slide.  The Grizzlies' most recent loss was by 9 points, 113-104, to the league's #1 team, Golden State.  Memphis actually was in a great position to win, as it was tied at 102, before the Warriors ended the game on an 11-2 run.  That loss ended Memphis' 6-game road win streak, but this game should prove to be a great opportunity to start a new win streak on the road, as the Kings are a horrible 19-34 ATS at home vs. an opponent off a loss.  Even worse:  When the Kings have been installed as a home dog of 4+ points, they're 2-18 SU and 2-16-2 ATS!  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Boston Celtics.  The Bucks lost at Boston just 12 days ago, so they're playing this game with revenge.  And since 1990, in Christmas Day games, NBA teams have gone 33-19 ATS at home when they've lost the previous meeting to their opponent.  That bodes well for Milwaukee this afternoon.  As does the fact that the Bucks are 27-12 ATS at home vs. winning foes when playing with rest, when the game was priced with a point spread less than 8 points.  Meanwhile, Boston has covered just 10 of 37 regular season games with point spreads less than 8 points, if Boston wasn't a losing team, and their opponent was rested.  Finally, Milwaukee also falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 156-82, 215-138 and 89-42 ATS.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City Thunder.  Last night, the Thunder upended the Nuggets, 108-94, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  And that was OKC's third straight win, as it also avenged its 73-point loss to Memphis with a 102-99 victory on Monday, and defeated the Clippers, 104-103, on Saturday.  But off those three triumphs, we'll fade the Thunder in the Valley of the Sun tonight.  Phoenix is a super 33-18 ATS at home vs. foes off three SU/ATS wins, including 12-3 ATS if its opponent was unrested.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Orlando.  After losing 7 straight, and 14 of 15, the Magic have now won back to back games.  Last night, they went into Atlanta, and upset the Hawks, 104-98.  And that followed a 7-point win against Brooklyn, on Saturday.  Tonight, Orlando will host a Pelicans squad which has won three straight, including a 14-point home win over Portland.  I love to go against bad teams off wins, and the Magic certainly are that.  They've only won seven games all season, and have won back to back games just once, and have covered three straight games just twice.  We'll lay the points with New Orleans tonight, as Orlando is a poor 6-15 ATS off a point spread win, and it's 0-15 straight-up, and 2-13 ATS as an unrested underdog off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take New Orleans minus the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Clips were blown out at home by San Antone, 116-92, as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday.  But off that horrible loss, we'll lay the points with Los Angeles in Sacramento tonight.  Indeed, the Clippers are 57-35 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 28-12 ATS on the road.  Even better:  it plays this game with revenge from two losses to the Kings earlier this season.  And L.A. is a solid 64% in the regular season since 1990, if it owned a winning record, and was playing with double-revenge from two losses to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celts come into this game off an upset loss to their division rival, Philadelphia, on Monday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Ime Udoka's men tonight, as the Celtics are a solid 48-24 ATS off an upset division loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS their last eight vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Miami Heat.  The Pacers will look to avenge an upset loss at home to the Heat 18 days ago.  Indiana was favored by 5.5 points in that game, yet fell by 9, 113-104.  The Pacers have gone 4-2 SU since that game, including a 122-113 victory over Detroit (as a 10-point favorite) their last time out.  But they've dropped their last two games to the spread.  Still, we'll lay the points with the Pacers, as they're 128-91 ATS  off a point spread defeat when favored, and playing with revenge against an opponent which defeated them earlier in the season.  Moreover, the Heat were upset on the road by Detroit in their last game.  Unfortunately, the Heat have burned money at home over the last 32 years after getting upset on the road in their previous game, and especially when matched up against a foe off back to back ATS losses.  In that situation, Miami's covered just 21% since 1990.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over San Antonio.  The Kings were blown out, 136-117, by the Spurs in the Alamo City on November 10.  We'll take the Kings in this revenge match, as they're 93-64-3 ATS at home off a loss when playing with revenge from a loss by 10+ points.  Meanwhile, the Spurs fall into a negative 41-81 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are on an historic 13-game point spread win streak, and have covered by an average of 8.36 ppg (through 30 games).  To put this in perspective, going into Game 31 of a season, the 2nd best team (Boston, 2008) covered the spread by "just" 6.28 ppg.  So, Cleveland is a country mile ahead of that impressive Celtics team (which went on to win the NBA title).  Tonight, the Cavs will try to avenge a defeat to one of the only two teams to defeat it since Thanksgiving.  Cleveland and Milwaukee played back on Dec. 6, and the Bucks won that game, 112-104, as an 8.5-point favorite, so the Cavs eked out an ATS win.  But tonight (due to player absences), the Cavs have been installed as a road favorite.  But even though Milwaukee will be missing Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a few other key players, it isn't bereft of talent.  We'll take Milwaukee at this price, as Mike Budenholzer's men have won the last eight games SU, and they're also 8-2 ATS over the last 10 meetings with the Cavs.  Take Milwaukee + the points to snap Cleveland's 13-game ATS win streak.  Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Minnesota.  We played on the Timberwolves this past Wednesday, and they rewarded us with an upset win over the Denver Nuggets.  But we will switch gears, and fade Minnesota tonight.  These two teams met earlier this season at Staples Center (now Crypto.com Arena), and the T-Wolves walloped the Lakers, 107-83, as a 2.5-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles in this revenge match, as the Lakers are 51-29 ATS as a road favorite, when playing with revenge, including 36-18 if they lost at home to their opponent in the prior meeting.  Even better:  Los Angeles is 47-25 ATS on the road vs. non-division losing teams off an upset win, while Minnesota is 0-12-1 ATS off an upset win by more than 7 points, if it was playing a non-division foe.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah.  We played on the Jazz in each of their last two games, and they rewarded us with blowout wins over Washington (123-98) and Los Angeles (124-10).  And that last victory was an emotional one for Utah, as it avenged their Playoffs ouster by the Clippers last spring.  Utah's now won eight straight, and has covered their last four.  But off that emotional win, we will fade the Jazz tonight.  Indeed, NBA teams that won by double-digits to avenge a Playoff series loss have had a letdown their next game when playing inferior teams with significantly worse win percentages (they've lost 82.3% since 1991).  The Spurs gave up 131 points in their last game -- a home loss to Charlotte.  And coach Gregg Popovich called out his team for their lack of competitiveness.  The Spurs typically respond well when their coach challenges them after a poor game, and they're 7-1-1 ATS their last nine after giving up 125+ points, and 6-0-1 ATS after a loss by 15+ points.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Clippers upset the then-number 1-seeded Jazz in last year's Playoffs, so Utah would like nothing better than to avenge that post-season ouster tonight.  Utah's now won seven in a row, including a 123-98 blowout of Washington on Saturday.  We played on the Jazz in that game, and will roll with Utah again tonight.  The Jazz are 94-60-5 ATS at home vs. winning opponents, when rested, and off a win by 12+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Denver.   The Nuggets won at Minnesota earlier this season, 93-91, as a 1.5-point underdog.  And that extended the success of the road team in this series to 44-10 ATS.  We'll look for that series trend to continue tonight, and take the points with a T-Wolves team which was buoyed by the return of D'Angelo Russell (after a 3-game absence) on Sunday night.  Minnesota was a 3-point underdog in that game at Portland, and upset the Blazers, 116-111.  And the T-Wolves are now 9-3 ATS their last 12 games with Russell in the lineup.  Take Minnesota + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hawks will look to bounce back off their home upset loss to the Houston Rockets, 132-126, as a 9.5-point favorite.  And that was Atlanta's 2nd straight upset defeat.  But rested road favorites are a solid 65-33 ATS off back to back upset defeats.  And the Hawks have also gone 77-47-2 ATS as a road favorite of more than 4 points, while Orlando is 0-16-2 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses, if the Magic weren't laying 3+ points.  Take the Hawks.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night, Golden State went into Indiana and defeated the Pacers, 102-100.  But the Warriors didn't cover the point spread, and that extended its ATS losing streak to three games.  We'll fade Steph Curry & Co. tonight at Madison Square Garden, as the Warriors have covered just 3 of 17 off a win the previous day, if they were matched up against an opponent with a win percentage greater than .400 (and 0 of 7 as a favorite).  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Phoenix.  Devin Booker (23.2 ppg) was injured in Phoenix's win over Golden State, on November 30.  Since that game, the Suns have gone 3-1 without their scoring leader, but three of those games -- all wins -- were at home; the Suns lost their lone road game without Booker.  That doesn't bode well for tonight's game, in Los Angeles.  Admittedly, the Clippers are dealing with their own injury issues (Kawhi Leonard, Paul George).  But that hasn't stopped L.A. from entering tonight on a 3-game win streak.  We'll take the points with the home underdog Clippers, as Los Angeles is 16-10 its last 26 as an underdog, and also 8-3 its last 11 as a home dog.  And it's also won 13 straight regular season home games vs. the Suns, and is 9-0 ATS the last nine!  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis.  Philly comes into this game off an impressive upset win over Golden State, which moved its record to 15-12, and has been installed as a road favorite tonight against the 16-11 Grizzlies.  The 76ers are 22-6 straight-up, and 17-9-2 ATS when favored on the road, including 9-3 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  And road favorites of -3 (or more) points, have cashed 65% vs. non-conference foes, with a better W/L record, over the last 32 years.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Celtics return home after a 1-4 west coast trip which saw them drop games to Utah, Phoenix, the Lakers and the Clippers.  Tonight, they'll host Milwaukee for the 2nd time this season.  And Boston defeated the Bucks in the first go-round, 122-113, as a 5.5-point favorite.  This game is priced near PK'em, and we'll take the home team, as Boston will be playing with 2 days of rest, while Milwaukee is unrested after winning yesterday in New York.  Over the last four seasons, the Celts have cashed 79% when playing with at 2 more days of rest than their opponent, while Milwaukee has gone 3-10 its last 13 when playing without rest.  Take Boston.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  These two teams have met twice already this season, with the last meeting on November 10 -- also here, at Madison Square Garden.  In that game, the Bucks emerged victorious, 112-100, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  We had a play on Milwaukee in that one, as the Bucks were playing with revenge from a 15-point loss in the season's first meeting.  But here, it's the Knicks playing with revenge, and they're a home underdog rather than a home favorite, so we will grab the points.  Milwaukee is a soft 2-8 ATS as a favorite of 6 or less points vs. revenge-minded foes that were upset in the prior meeting.  And New York is 11-0 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if it is also playing with revenge from an upset loss against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Cleveland.  The Kings have played very well since Luke Walton was fired, and Alvin Gentry hired as interim head coach.  The Kings have gone 5-4 under Gentry, compared to 6-11 under Walton.  Last night, though, Sacramento suffered a most difficult defeat.  It fell by 1 point at Charlotte when De'Aaron Fox missed two free throws with 2.4 seconds left -- and Fox (who led all scorers with 31 points) is a 74% free throw shooter!  Off that defeat, we'll take Sacramento to rebound tonight, as it's 27-12 ATS as a road underdog off a road loss, including 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  Utah comes into this game off six straight wins, and has won those by an average of 17.67 ppg.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as the Jazz don't have letdowns off wins.  They're 64-41-1 ATS off a win, including 31-14 ATS vs. teams from the Eastern conference.  And, even more impressive is the fact they're 46-25-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, when not laying 10+ points.  The Jazz are 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 vs. the Wizards, including 4-1 SU/ATS here, in Washington.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland's been the league's best point spread team this season, as it's covered nine straight heading into tonight, and is 20-6 ATS, overall.  And it's also covering the spread by an average of 7.59 ppg.  To put this extreme success into perspective, consider that never in the past 32 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes) has a team covered the spread by more than 6.76 ppg at Game 27 forward!  So, it's safe to say that the Cavs will come back down to Earth.  If, for no other reason than that the oddsmakers will (and already have) made adjustments to their number.  In that regard, we have this game tonight priced near PK'em.  The value is clearly on the side of the T-Wolves, who are 5-3 ATS their last eight home games, and have covered against the likes of Phoenix, Sacramento, Miami, San Antonio and Memphis.  It's been 20 games since the last time the Cavaliers were getting this much respect on the road by the oddsmakers.  But even when have been priced as a small underdog, or a favorite on the road, they've not done well, as they've gone 8-19 ATS their last 27.  Take the Timberwolves at home tonight to blow out Cleveland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Kudos to Houston.  Like Lazarus, it's risen from the dead, and currently rides a seven-game win streak (which followed a 15-game losing streak).  Unfortunately, tonight's opponent is the Milwaukee Bucks, who were upset by Miami, 113-104, as a 6-point favorite, in their last game.  But the Bucks are an awesome 18-5 ATS after failing to cover their previous game by more than 14 points, when rested, and playing an opponent off a win (including a perfect 8-0 ATS when laying 8+ points).  Take the Bucks.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder come into tonight's game off an upset win at Toronto (their 2nd straight win), and are 8-16 on the season.  Meanwhile, Frank Vogel's Lakers were the preseason favorite to win the Western Conference, yet are floundering at 13-13.  Player absences and trying to integrate a bunch of new team members certainly has much to do with it.  But so does a lackadaisical attitude on the court.  Indeed, Vogel lamented after their loss to Memphis on Thursday that his team was too 'casual.'  However, there are several reasons to believe that won't be the case tonight, and that the Lakers will put forward a supreme effort.  First and foremost is the fact that the Thunder have defeated L.A. not once this season, but twice.  And in each game, the Lakers led by 19+ points before taking the pedal off the metal to allow an OKC comeback.  Then, the 2nd reason is that the Lakers were upset by Memphis last night.  For technical support, consider that the Lakers are 50-28 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, including 13-1 ATS if their opponent was off an upset win.  Even better:  the Thunder are 8-28 SU and 14-22 ATS their last 36 home games vs. .500 (or better) opposition, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge, and also 0-8 ATS if OKC was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Quin Snyder's men blew out the Sixers, 120-85, in Salt Lake City earlier this season.  We'll take Philly tonight in the rematch, as the 76ers are 11-0-1 ATS their last 12 home games when playing with revenge vs. Western Conference teams, if Philly owned a worse record.  And NBA revenge-minded home teams have cashed 66% since 1990 when playing a non-conference foe off a SU win.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State.  The Blazers will be short-handed tonight, as McCollum and Lillard will be in street clothes.  But we'll still take the underdog, as they're playing with revenge from a 118-103 loss less than two weeks ago, and getting double-digits.  Golden State is a horrible 6-34-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if the Warriors were off a point spread win, and won by 15 or less points in the previous meeting.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Dallas.  The Nets have been off for the last two days following their home upset loss to the Chicago Bulls.  Brooklyn's been installed as road favorite tonight, and we'll lay the points with the well-rested Nets.  Indeed, since 1990, .500 (or better) NBA teams with at least two days of rest, off a home loss, have cashed 62.1% as a road favorite (or PK) vs. non-winning opposition.  Take Brooklyn to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers have won each of their four previous games, including upset wins over their last three.  But this string of upsets sets up our play this afternoon, as winning teams have cashed just 35% as underdogs over the past 32 years off 3 upset wins.  Moreover, the Jazz are 78-48 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes, if Utah was off a point spread loss, and wasn't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  Take the Jazz to blow out Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls blew out Brooklyn, 118-95, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take Kevin Durant & Co. in this rematch, as the Nets are an awesome 65-27 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points.  And Brooklyn is 34-21 ATS in the regular season at home, in competitively-priced games with point spreads of less than 5 points.  Also, Brooklyn falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 59-22, 261-167 and 77-36 ATS.  Take the Nets to blow out the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  These two teams met earlier this week, and the Suns bested Golden State, 104-96, as a home favorite.  But the Warriors will be at home in this rematch, and they'll also have the twin benefit of the Suns playing without rest (Phoenix defeated Detroit last night), as well as Devin Booker being injured.  We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is 12-0-1 ATS at home off a loss vs. unrested division foes, provided the Warriors weren't an underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs have run hot and cold this season, as they have enjoyed 8-game and 5-game ATS win streaks, but also lost five in a row, straight-up, earlier this season.  They're currently riding a 3-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS win streak), following huge blowout wins over Orlando (105-92), Dallas (114-96) and Miami (111-84).  But we will go against Cleveland tonight as a road underdog, as it falls into a negative 28% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  And the Wizards are also a solid 21-10 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.