Sports Picks & Predictions

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers come into this game off an upset win over Atlanta as an 11.5-point underdog.  We'll fade Philly today, as .625 (or better) road underdogs have covered just 36% of division games since 1990 off an upset win as a 7-point (or greater) underdog.  Take Brooklyn.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls have qualified for the Play-in round, while Dallas is still fighting to do the same.  The odds are against Dallas, of course, but hope does remain.  But that hope will be extinguished if it loses to the Bulls tonight.  Chicago will be playing its final road game of the season, and was blown out, 105-92, at Milwaukee, on Wednesday.  We'll go against the Bulls, as .450 (or better) underdogs have covered just 31 of 85 off a straight-up loss, when playing their final road game vs. foes off a win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pelicans were blown out by 22 points when these teams last met.  New Orleans is playing its final home game of the season tonight, and it's well-motivated given that it is in 8th place, but can still finish as high as 5th (or as low as 9th).  The Knicks, on the other hand, are locked into the 5th seed in the Eastern conference.  For technical support, consider that NBA teams favored by more than 4 points in their final home game have covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 22-point (or worse) defeat.  Take New Orleans.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Nets reside in 6th place, and need to win to ensure they stay ahead of 7th-seeded Miami (and avoid the dreaded Play-in round).  Orlando, of course, has long since been eliminated from the Playoff hunt.  The Magic did, however, defeat Brooklyn, 119-106, less than two weeks ago.  I look for the Nets to avenge that loss, as they're 74-33 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a 13-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  This game means nothing to the Sixers, but a lot to the Hawks, who sit in 8th (but just 1 game ahead of 9th-seeded Toronto).  Thus, Philly's Joel Embiid is not expected to suit up, and others may be in street clothes, as well.  The Sixers are a poor 16-36 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning foes.  Take Atlanta to blow out Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Portland.  This game will be played at the Spurs' "home away from home" -- Austin, Texas.  The Spurs were blown out by the Phoenix Suns, 115-94, on Tuesday.  But we'll take them to bounce back tonight in this revenge game vs. Portland, as the Blazers blew them out by 20 points in the previous meeting.  San Antonio is 21-12 ATS as a home favorite when playing with revenge.  And it's 36-10-2 ATS off a loss by 18+ points, if it was favored by less than 8 points in its current game (including 21-3-2 ATS at home).  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavs are locked into the #4 spot in the Eastern conference, so they'll have little incentive tonight.  Orlando is outside of the playoff picture, but is still competing hard.  The Magic are 45-31-3 ATS this season, including 9-1 ATS their last 10.  This is Orlando's final home game of the season, and it falls into a 94-54 system of mine which plays on certain teams in their last home game.  Lay the points with the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Clippers come into tonight's game off a 122-114 loss to the Pelicans four days ago, while the Lakers won, 135-133, in overtime at Utah last night.  We'll lay the points with the well-rested Clippers tonight, as the Lakers are 45-71 ATS off a win, when playing on the road vs. a foe off a loss.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  There's no doubt the Mavericks' acquisition of Kyrie Irving has not yielded the intended benefits.  Still, hope remains that the team can qualify for the Play-in round.  But to do so, it will have to win at least two of its remaining three games (but likely all three).  And even a 3-0 mark might not be good enough to pass Oklahoma City.  The good news, though, for the Mavericks is that all three games are at home and they will be favored in each.  We'll lay the points tonight with Dallas, as it's 150-95-6 ATS off a loss when playing a foe off a win.  Take the Mavs.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizzlies won, 119-109, vs. Portland last night to sew up the league's best home record this season (35-6).  Unfortunately, they've been dreadful on the road this season, with a 15-23 SU and 13-23-2 ATS record, including 0-8 ATS as an underdog vs. winning teams.  Even worse, when not favored by more than 1 point on the road vs. winning teams, the Grizzlies have lost their last 15 games, straight-up (1-13-1 ATS).  Lay the points with New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bulls play this game with revenge from a 112-100 defeat.  And Chicago is 7-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a 12-point (or worse) defeat.  Meanwhile, Milwaukee falls into a negative 37% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams late in the season off double-digit wins.  We'll grab the points with the Bulls.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Lakers are making a final push for the Playoffs, and enter tonight's game on a 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS streak.  This is a far cry from when these two teams met earlier in the season.  Utah took two meetings from the Lakers on November 4 and November 7 when the Lakers were in the midst of a 2-10 SU/ATS start to the season, while the Jazz were in the midst of a 10-3 SU/ATS start.  But now, it's the Jazz who are floundering, as they've lost six of their last seven games to fall out of the Playoff picture (if the season ended today).  The Lakers are 55-31 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets are a miserable 59-92 ATS on the road off a point spread win, including 11-32 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  With Houston in off a 134-109 blowout loss to the Lakers, and playing its final home game of the season, we'll take it to bounce back tonight.  Take Houston + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Portland.  The Blazers upset Memphis here, 122-112, when these teams last met.  We'll take the Grizzlies to avenge that loss, as they're 33-14 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss earlier in the season, including 17-4 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Denver.  The Warriors will seek to avenge a 17-point loss here to the Nuggets two months ago.  We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are 73-46 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 9-0 ATS their last nine.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Bucks lost by 41 points to Boston on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as Milwaukee is 31-15-1 ATS as a favorite off a home defeat, including 7-0-1 ATS its last eight.  Take the Bucks.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Minnesota.  The Blazers come into this afternoon's game off 3 massive blowout losses to New Orleans (124-90), Sacramento (120-80) and Sacramento, again (138-114).  We'll take the points with Portland, as NBA teams off three straight 20-point defeats have covered 60.7% since 1990.  Take Portland.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  We played against Los Angeles last night, and got the $$$ with the Memphis Grizzlies, in a 108-94 victory.  We'll switch gears and take the Clippers tonight, as they're 44-29-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, including 11-4 ATS when playing without rest.  Even better:  the Pelicans upset the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, 107-88.  But Los Angeles is a solid 121-60-4 ATS on the road against foes off upset wins, if the Clippers were not favored by more than five points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Suns were our preseason pick (at 13-1 odds) to win the NBA title, and they are well-positioned to do it, now that Kevin Durant has returned to the lineup.  Durant made his home debut for his new team in Wednesday's 7-point win over the Timberwolves.  Now, the Suns will look for their 4th straight win, overall, as they'll host the Western Conference's #1 seed, Denver.  Phoenix is a solid 76-52 ATS as a home favorite vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Additionally, Denver has covered just 5 of 16 road games when getting more than 3 points, and it's 17-39 ATS when getting more than 4 points from Phoenix.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The T-Wolves have been installed as a small favorite in this critical Western Conference match-up.  Minnesota (39-38) sits a half-game ahead of the Lakers (38-38), as they battle down the stretch for Playoff (or Play-in round) positioning.  The Timberwolves have been horrid as a favorite when they've owned a .500 (or better) record, as they've gone 7-19 ATS.  The Lakers lost 4 weeks ago at home to Minnesota, but are 13-4 ATS their last 17 when playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Take L.A.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings here, on Beale Street, between these teams.  The Clippers won, 141-132, on Wednesday, as a road underdog.  We'll take the Grizzlies in the revenge role, as they're 38-21-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Celts suffered a blowout loss to the Washington Wizards on Tuesday, so they'll look to bounce back tonight.  Boston is a solid 27-8 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points; 14-4 ATS as a road underdog; and 35-15 ATS its last 50 vs. Milwaukee.  Grab the points with the Celtics.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Ja Morant didn't suit up in last night's game here, at home, vs. Orlando.  But Damichael Cole -- the Grizzlies beat writer for the Memphis Commercial Appeal -- has reported that Morant will play tonight.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Memphis.  The Grizzlies have now won 12 straight home games, 3 shy of their franchise record, and are 43-20-2 ATS at home their last 65.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these clubs.  Chicago won by 10, 118-108, on Sunday, as a 4.5-point road underdog.  The Lakers are 52-32 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, while the Bulls are 45-83 ATS at home vs. Western Conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take the Lakers.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have dropped six of their last seven, and they're now laying double-digits to the Houston Rockets.  Admittedly, Houston is a horrible team.  But I can't get behind Brooklyn as a big favorite.  The Nets are 11-28 ATS their last 39 when laying more than 9 points, including 3-17 ATS vs. sub-.309 teams.  Take Houston + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden St Warriors minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  Golden State comes into tonight's game off a rare home loss, as it fell, 99-96, on Sunday to the Minnesota Timberwolves.  We'll lay the points with Steve Kerr's men tonight, as they're 81-50 ATS off a straight-up loss, when playing an unrested foe, including 59-33-3 ATS at home.  And the Pelicans are 4-14 ATS on the road off a win, if playing an opponent off an upset loss.  Finally, over the past 10 years, the Pelicans are a woeful 2-20 straight-up, and 7-14-1 ATS at Golden State, including 0-8-1 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +10.5 points.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  These two teams met earlier this month in Minneapolis, and the Wolves upset the Kings, 138-134, as a 4.5-point home underdog.  The NBA season has less than 10 games left, and both of these Western Conference foes are locked into tight battles for playoff positioning.  The Kings sit two games behind 2nd-seeded Memphis with eight to play, while Minnesota is in 7th place, a half-game behind 6th-seeded Golden State, and a half-game ahead of 8th-seeded New Orleans.  Last night, the T-Wolves upset the Warriors in San Francisco.  Not many teams go into Golden State's building and win.  And even less follow a victory up with another victory their next game.  Indeed, teams off wins at Golden State are 32-49-5 ATS, including 1-8 ATS their last nine.  Likewise, teams off a win over the Warriors (regardless of venue) are a poor 1-12 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Sacramento also falls into 150-70 and 488-347 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Spurs may be bereft of talent, but they still compete hard.  Today, they're playing the 4th of a 4-game road trip against a Celtics team which only beat them by 5 points earlier this season (as a 15-point favorite).  The Spurs are once again a massive underdog vs. Boston, which enters off back to back SU/ATS wins over Sacramento and Indiana.  We'll grab the points, as San Antonio is 90-58-2 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes that are off an ATS Win or Tie in their previous game.  And Boston is 9-20-2 ATS as a favorite following back-to-back covers as a favorite.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets blew out the Miami Heat last night, while the Magic were off for the 2nd straight night after upsetting New York here, on Thursday, 111-106.  We'll go against Brooklyn, as it's 14-25 ATS when playing without rest off a SU win.  Meanwhile, the Magic have quietly covered five straight games to move their season ATS record to 41-30-3 ATS.  And home favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered 59% since 1990 in the final 10 games of the regular season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Mavs lost a game they really couldn't afford to lose on Friday when Charlotte went into American Airlines Center and stunned the Mavs, 117-109, as a 15.5-point underdog.  That was the biggest upset in the NBA this season.  Dallas is now in the precarious position of being 11th in the Western Conference standings, so it has to have a strong record over its last 8 games if it is to supplant any of the T-Wolves, Lakers, Pelicans or Thunder for a Play-in berth.  We'll lay the points with the Mavs in this revenge spot, as NBA teams have covered 59% on the road if they were playing back to back games against the same opponent, and failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in the previous game.  Moreover, the Hornets are 8-15-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, while Dallas is a super 58-29-2 ATS on the road when in the regular season when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans blew out the Clippers, 112-91, in the last meeting.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as New Orleans is 0-12 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a revenge-minded foe which New Orleans defeated earlier in the season.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  This is a great match-up between the two #1-seeded teams in their respective conferences.  Denver's been installed as a home favorite.  And we'll lay the points, as Milwaukee's 0-18 ATS since May 19, 2019 when getting more than 1 point, if it's owned a win percentage of .650 (or better).  And the Bucks are also 100-156-7 ATS off 3+ wins when playing a rested foe.  Take Denver.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets (39-34) and Heat (40-34) are in a tight battle for playoff seeding.  But the Nets are on a 5-game losing streak, and that doesn't bode well for them tonight.  Indeed, in the final 10 games of a season, in match-ups between winning teams with win percentages below .575, teams off back-to-back losses have covered just 16% over the past 25 seasons.  Even better:  the Heat are 9-0 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite of -1.5 (or more) points vs. winning foes.  Take Miami minus the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Philadelphia.  Golden State lost the first meeting of the season, 118-106.  But that game was in Philly.  Tonight's game is in San Francisco.  And the Warriors have been terrific at home this season, as they're 29-7 SU and have covered their last eight in a row.  We played on the 76ers two nights ago, and they rewarded us with a blowout win vs. the Chicago Bulls, 116-91.  We'll go against the Sixers here, as the Warriors are 14-0 ATS their last 14 at home vs. foes off wins by 12+ points.  And Philly is 15-34 ATS as a road underdog of more than 4 points vs. winning opposition.  Finally, the home team is 40-23 ATS in this series, including 6-0 ATS the last six when playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the year.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these teams.  OKC won, 101-100, on Tuesday, as a 6.5-point road underdog.  The price is shorter tonight, as Paul George will be sidelined for Los Angeles.  We'll take the Clippers tonight, as home favorites have covered 62.2% vs. non-winning foes in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the teams, if our home favorite was upset at home in the first meeting.  Additionally, the Clippers have covered the spread 70% since 1990 as a home favorite when playing with double revenge at home off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams.  Chicago won Round 1, 109-105.  We'll take the Sixers in the rematch, and note that they're 28-11 ATS their last 39 when not favored by 5+ points.  And Philly's 26-8 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Clippers have excelled at home (36-18 ATS) when the game has been projected to be high-scoring, with Over/Under lines north of 220 points.  But they've been horrible at home (18-34 ATS) in games with O/U lines at 220 or below.  The Over/Under line in this game has been installed at 236, so that bodes well for the home team.  As does the fact that the Clippers are 16-9 ATS vs. OKC when playing with revenge. Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  Gregg Popovich's men roared back from a 24-point deficit to down Atlanta, 126-118.  But off that win, we'll fade the Silver and Black tonight, as they're 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS off a SU home win as an underdog of 4+ points.  Additionally, the Spurs are 5-16 ATS at New Orleans if the Spurs were off a SU home win.  Take the Pelicans minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The Warriors' road losing streak is now 11 straight following their 133-119 loss at Memphis, on Saturday.  The good news for Golden State tonight is that it will be playing an opponent with the 2nd worst NBA record on the season.  The 18-53 Rockets are also 28-41-2 ATS, including 4-13 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Golden State has won 9 straight in this series (6-2-1 ATS).  This season, the Warriors are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS with the average win by 13.67 points.  And since 2001, the Warriors' average victory in their nine games vs. Houston has been by 14 points.  I expect more of the same, here.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Phoenix.  The Thunder are in 9th place in the tightly bunched Western Conference, but are just 2 games behind Phoenix, which sits in 4th place.  So, if OKC can get hot down the stretch, it can surely reach that all-important #4 seed.  Today's game is critical for that objective.  These teams met earlier this season, and the Suns blew out OKC by 31 points.  We'll take the Thunder in the rematch, as favorites have covered 56% when playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Additionally, OKC is 62-42 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Chicago.  The Heat will be the beneficiaries of a favorable schedule tonight, as it will be Miami's 3rd game in 7 days, but Chicago's 3rd game in 4 days.  Even worse for Chicago:  Miami had the last two nights off, while the Bulls played last night, and had to go into double-overtime in their 139-131 victory over the Timberwolves.  All of this is reason enough to fade the Bulls.  But we also get the added benefit of the Heat playing with revenge from not 1, but 2 home losses.  Lay the points with the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  Brooklyn was blown out, 153-121, when these two teams met earlier this season, in California.  And that was the 2nd most points the Nets have given up in a game over the past 33 seasons.  We'll take Brooklyn to avenge that loss, as NBA teams have gone 19-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss in which they surrendered 150+ points, including a perfect 6-0 ATS as a favorite.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Minnesota.  The Celts lost to the woeful Houston Rockets, 111-109, on Monday.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 11-4 ATS on the road off exactly 1 loss.  And Minnesota is a wallet-busting 17-47 ATS as a home dog of more than 4 points vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take Boston.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Neither LeBron James nor Anthony Davis will play tonight vs. the Rockets.  We'll go against the Lakers, who are 42-66-1 ATS as a road favorite when not playing with revenge.  Grab the points with Houston.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Philadelphia.  The Cavs won last night, notwithstanding the absence of G Donovan Mitchell.  But he'll play tonight, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the homestanding Cavaliers.  The Sixers are 0-16-1 ATS off back to back wins, when installed as a road favorite vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Toronto Raptors.  The Nuggets enter tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But Mike Malone's men are 31-12-2 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a .400 (or better) opponent, including 9-1-1 ATS on the Eastern Conference road.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Last night, the Pistons snapped their 11-game losing streak with a 117-97 blowout win over the Indiana Pacers.  Unfortunately, Isaiah Livers sustained a hip injury, and will be in street clothes with several other Pistons, including Jaden Ivey, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Alec Burks.  Meanwhile, Cory Joseph - who led the way last night with 22 points in 32 minutes - is 'questionable' to play.  Likewise, the Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma, but their depth is significantly better than Detroit's.  The Pistons are an awful 10-34-3 ATS off a win by more than 7 points.  Take Washington.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  We played on the Warriors Saturday night vs. Milwaukee, and were rewarded with a 9-point overtime win.  We also played against Phoenix that night, and won that, as well, when the Sacramento Kings upset the Suns, 128-119.  Almost unbelievably, the defending champion Warriors are just 35-33 on the season.  The reason, of course, is that they've been unable to win on the road all year.  They have a road record of 7-26, which is the exact same record as the worst team in basketball -- the 15-53 Detroit Pistons!  Of course, the opposite has been true for Golden State at home.  The Warriors are 28-7 in San Francisco, which ranks up there with Memphis (28-5), Denver (30-6), and Milwaukee (28-6).  For the season, the Warriors' point spread differential between their home and road games is 9.36, which is the 2nd biggest positive differential at this point in the season since 1990 (and 3rd biggest differential, whether positive or negative).  Last season, the Warriors were also better at home, but the point spread differential was "only" 4.32.  And Golden State was 32-19-2 ATS in its 53 home games last season (compared to 22-27-2 ATS on the road).  This season, the Warriors are an ugly 9-23-1 ATS on the road, but 23-11-1 ATS at home, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  I won't fade these numbers.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Oklahoma City.  This is the season's 3rd meeting between these Western Conference foes.  And OKC won Rounds 1 + 2, by scores of 119-111 and 130-114.  We'll take the revenge-minded Spurs, as they're 42-29-1 ATS in the regular season at home when playing with revenge.  Last night, the Thunder won at New Orleans, 110-96, while the Spurs had Saturday off after upsetting the Nuggets, 128-120, as a 12-point dog.  More good news for San Antonio:  it's 109-84-3 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nuggets pulled a clunker in their last game when they lost to the woeful San Antonio Spurs, 128-120.  Meanwhile, the Nets won on Friday in Minnesota, as a 4.5-point underdog, 124-123.  And that was Brooklyn's 5th straight ATS win.  I think its win streak will get snapped today, as it will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days.  And road teams have covered just 35% in Denver since 1990, if they were playing their 3rd game in 4 nights (and Denver wasn't), and both teams were rested.  That bodes well for the Nuggets this afternoon.  As does the fact that Denver is 31-11 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak when playing .400 (or better) foes.  Finally, the Nuggets fall into 40-12, 109-61 and 150-93 ATS systems of mine based on their upset loss.  Take Denver.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Phoenix.  No Kevin Durant?  No problem, as Phoenix blew out Oklahoma City, 132-101, on Wednesday for its 4th straight win and cover.  But we'll fade the Suns tonight, as they're 26-54-1 ATS at home off a win by 18+ points, if they were playing a rested foe.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks have announced Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play tonight, so that's all we need to pull the trigger on Golden State.  The Bucks are a miserable 0-17 ATS since May 19, 2019 when they've owned a .650 (or better) win percentage, and have been installed as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points.  And they're 126-182 ATS off 3 (or more) wins.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Miami.  The Magic are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Miami comes into tonight's game off a big win over Cleveland.  Unfortunately for the Heat, they're 11-26-1 ATS off a win.  And Orlando's a solid 24-12 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 6-0 ATS its last six.  Take the Magic as a home dog tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Six days ago, the Knicks upset Boston, 109-94, as a 2-point underdog.  And that was the 2nd straight upset win by New York in this series.  We'll lay the points with Boston this evening, as the Celtics are a solid 58-24-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the previous meeting.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over San Antonio.  The Rockets have lost 11 straight.  But they were underdogs in all 11 of those games.  Now, they get to play a team (the ONLY team) which is worse than themselves.  And Houston plays with revenge from 2 losses to the Spurs earlier this season.  We'll take the Rockets as at San Antone, as the Spurs are 24-37 ATS this season as an underdog.  And the Rockets also fall into a 57% ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  These 2 teams met two nights ago in this building, and the Wizards were victorious, 119-108.  We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it falls into a 118-79 ATS 'right-back revenge' angle of mine which plays on certain teams in the 2nd of back to back meetings.  Take Toronto.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  The Warriors come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Clippers are off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll fade the Warriors, as defending NBA champions have covered just 33% at home since 1991 off back to back wins vs. foes off back to back losses, if the champs were also off an ATS win, while their opponent was off an ATS loss.  Take the Clippers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Memphis.  The Rockets have lost 10 straight following a 21-point loss at Denver.  We'll take the Rockets tonight, as the Grizzlies are a horrid 38-80 ATS vs. sub-.600 foes off a loss by 18+ points.  Take Houston.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celtics lost the 2 previous meetings to Cleveland and also come into this game off an upset loss to the New York Knicks.  Boston is 17-6 ATS in the regular season off an upset loss when playing with double revenge.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Miami.  These two teams met two days ago in the City of Brotherly Love, and Miami upset Philly, 101-99.  We'll lay the points with the Sixers in South Beach, as the Heat are 15-34-3 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes off a SU loss.  Take Philly.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto.  After winning 7 straight in the first half of February, the Cavs are now mired in a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak following their 17-point loss to the Atlanta Hawks.  We'll look for Cleveland to snap its losing streak this evening, as the Cavs are 47-23 ATS off back to back losses, if they were favored by 6+ points vs. a losing team.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Atlanta.  The Nets were blasted by the Bulls on Friday, 131-87.  We'll take Jacque Vaughn's men to rebound this afternoon in Atlanta, as the Hawks are a horrid 50-92 ATS when playing rested foes off 20-point (or worse) defeats.  Take Brooklyn.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  Milwaukee extended the NBA's longest win streak this season to 13 games with its 128-99 blowout win over the Miami Heat.  We'll fade the red-hot Bucks this afternoon, as Milwaukee is 98-154 ATS off 3+ wins, if playing a rested opponent.  And the Suns are a spectacular 30-15 ATS when playing an opponent with off back to back SU/ATS wins, if the Suns weren't favored by more than 7.  Take the Suns.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Utah Jazz.  San Antonio lost its 15th straight on Thursday, when it fell by 26 at Dallas.  But this is a good matchup for the Silver and Black.  The Spurs have "owned" the Jazz lately, as they've covered four straight vs. Utah, including a 126-122 upset win earlier this season.  We'll grab the points with San Antonio, as Utah is 8-17 ATS its last 25 as a home favorite, while San Antonio is 53-35 ATS off a loss by 22+ points.  Take the Spurs.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The 76ers won and covered their fifth straight game when they stormed back from a big deficit to defeat Memphis, 110-105, on Thursday.  They'll look to avenge a 106-99 loss at Boston 17 days ago when they host the Celtics tonight.  Philly is 14-3 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the season.  And it's also 12-0 ATS its last 12 home games when not favored by 5 or more points.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pelicans will be looking to snap a 2-game losing streak after falling, 115-110, to Toronto on Thursday.  Meanwhile, the Knicks have won and covered four straight high-scoring games after last night's 115-109 victory over the Wizards.  Unfortunately, home favorites have only covered 30.7% since 1990 off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 115+ points in each of those four victories, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Charlotte.  The Heat were blown out by Milwaukee, 128-99, in their first game after the All-Star Break.  And that was Miami's 3rd straight SU/ATS loss.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as they're 55-32 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Clippers were blown out, 123-96, by Sacramento when these teams last met earlier this season.  But neither Paul George nor Kawhi Leonard suited up for that game.  They're both back in the lineup now, and the Clippers overpowered the Warriors and Suns behind their two superstars in their final two games before the All-Star Break.  We'll take the revenge-minded Clippers tonight, as they're 72-42 ATS when favored by 3 (or more) points against a team which defeated it by more than 5 points earlier in the season.  Even better:  the Over/Under line has been installed at 232 points.  And the Clippers are 34-16 ATS when favored by more than 3 points in games with O/U lines at 230+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets are atop the Western Conference, but have not played well on the road this season.  And that's been Denver's Achilles' Heel for some time, now.  This season, Denver is 14-14 SU and 12-16 ATS on the road.  And it's failed to cover the spread by 4.16 ppg (compared to a 20-10-1 ATS record at home).  We'll fade the Nuggets at Cleveland, as the Cavs are 19-10-2 ATS at home, and have won 25 of their 31 home games, straight-up.  And Cleveland is 12-1 ATS its last 13 at home vs. .570 (or better) foes (and 22-5-1 ATS its last 28).  Take the Cavaliers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  We played on the Clippers two nights ago, and were rewarded with a 10-point win over Golden State.  We'll come right back with the Clippers tonight, as a road underdog, as they play this game with revenge from 2 home losses earlier this season.  And the Clippers have cashed 61% on the road when playing with double-revenge.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  The Clippers will be looking to avenge a 17-point loss in San Francisco earlier this season.  And I believe they'll get it, as the Warriors are an awful 31-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Warriors were off an ATS win.  And Golden State is, indeed, off a point spread win, as it won last night, 135-126, over Washington, as a 3.5-point home favorite.  Also, the Clippers are 72-41 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and seeking revenge from a loss by 6+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics have won 4 straight, but will be shorthanded tonight vs. a Milwaukee team seeking its 11th straight win.  And the Bucks will be looking for a bit of "Payback" after getting shellacked on Christmas Day, 139-118.  We'll take Milwaukee minus the points, as it's 29-10 ATS vs. foes off a win, when Milwaukee was playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points.  Lay the points with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers upset the defending champion, Golden State Warriors, 109-103, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, Portland was upset, 138-129, by Oklahoma City.  We'll go against Los Angeles, as NBA teams off an upset win over the defending champs have covered just 40% since 1990 as single-digit underdogs vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Portland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have won 9 straight in this series, and are 3 games ahead in the standings, but find themselves installed as an underdog tonight.  We'll lay the points with the Knicks, as NBA favorites have covered 57% since 1990, if they lost the previous 9 meetings to their opponent, and owned a worse W/L record.  Take New York.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs plus the points over Cleveland.  The Spurs have been installed as a huge underdog tonight, and this point spread is tied with two other games as being the largest in the NBA this year.  But the other two games (Houston, Dec 27; San Antonio, Jan 7) both had the Boston Celtics as their opponent.  Here, the Spurs are facing a somewhat weaker opponent in Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are a soft 19-32 ATS when laying more than 12 points.  And the Spurs are 197-140 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Grizzlies lost the season's first meeting, 109-106.  We'll take Memphis to avenge that defeat, as it's gone 49-15 ATS in the regular season when rested, and playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over Dallas.  This is a rematch of last night's game, won by the Mavericks.  We'll take the Kings tonight, as Dallas is 19-43 ATS off a win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season.  And the Mavericks are also a measly 38-70 ATS off back to back ATS wins as an underdog when they were not getting 6+ points.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Spurs lost a heartbreaker last night, 138-131, in double-overtime.  But if there was a silver lining in defeat, it was that newly-acquired Devonte' Graham scored 31 points in his debut as a Spur.  Tonight, the Spurs will be catching double-digits vs. Atlanta, which blew out Phoenix, 116-107, on Thursday.  We'll take the Spurs + the points, as Atlanta is a poor 45-70 ATS at home off a win vs. a foe off a loss, including 10-23 ATS when favored by more than 8 points.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Nets on Thursday, and were rewarded with a 116-105 win over Chicago.  The Nets have now covered nine straight games, including their last four in a row.  We'll come right back with Brooklyn tonight, as it will be seeking revenge from a 137-133 loss to the 76ers last month. And the Nets are 66-42 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Minnesota.  The Timberwolves come into this game off a 143-118 upset win over the Utah Jazz.  And Minnesota also won the previous two meetings vs. the Grizzlies this season.  But each of those two games was in Minneapolis; tonight's game is on Beale Street.  We'll lay the points, as Memphis is 48-15 ATS in the regular season when rested, and playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, including 20-4 ATS if it lost the previous meeting by more than 10 points.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  These two teams are among the four teams "competing" for one of the three worst records and, with it, the most combinations in the NBA Draft Lottery -- which is the most highly-anticipated lottery since LeBron James was taken #1 in 2003.  The top pick will be Victor Wembanyama, but even the likely 2nd pick (Scoot Henderson) should have a stellar career.  From my perspective, any time you can go against one of these four horrible teams (Rockets, Pistons, Spurs, Hornets) as a favorite, you should consider doing so.  When you look at this basket of cellar-dwellers, you'll see that they've burned money as a favorite (or PK), going 7-13-1 ATS, including 1-10 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Even worse for Detroit: it's gone 0-11 ATS at home when playing a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses, if Detroit wasn't getting 2+ points.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Chicago Bulls.  The New-Look Brooklyn Nets will welcome back Spencer Dinwiddie tonight following the trade which sent Kyrie Irving to the Dallas Mavericks.  Brooklyn also picked up Dorian Finney-Smith in the transaction.  Also, Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson, and Jae Crowder will be in uniform soon following this morning's trade of Kevin Durant and TJ Warren to the Suns.  Cam Thomas has been picking up the slack lately, as he's scored 90 points over the last two games (both losses) vs. the Clippers and Suns.  Brooklyn was bested by Chicago, 121-112, last month.  We'll take the revenge-minded Nets, as they've gone 132-99 ATS when playing with revenge at home vs. non-division foes, provided the Nets were not getting 3+ points.  Take Brooklyn on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Toronto.  The Raptors blew out San Antone, 143-100, in the Alamo City earlier this season.  We'll take the Spurs to avenge that blowout loss, as they're 13-1-1 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And road teams have cashed 61% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the Nuggets withheld several of their best players from making the trip.  Not surprisingly, the undermanned Nuggets were blown out by 30 points, 128-98.  But Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon will be back on the court tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver.  The Nuggets are 104-69 ATS in the regular season off a double-digit loss to a division rival.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Chicago.  There's no doubt about how bad of a team San Antonio is.  Surprisingly, it sprinted out of the gate in October with a 5-2 SU/ATS record.  But after Halloween, the Spurs have been ghastly, with a 9-37 record, and an 18-28 point spread ledger.  They're currently riding an 8-game losing streak (and a 7-game ATS losing streak).  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Gregg Popovich's men, as the Spurs have been profitable this season when getting more than 9 points, and they've cashed 64% long-term as a road dog of +9.5 (or more) points.  Additionally, the Spurs are 10-1 ATS vs. the Bulls, if the Spurs were off an ATS loss, and the Bulls were off an ATS win.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit.  The Celts own the best record in basketball (37-16), but they're in a mid-season swoon in Las Vegas, as they're 1-7 ATS their last eight after their 106-94 defeat at the hands of Phoenix.  The Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers are now breathing down Boston's neck in the standings (and Boston plays Philly next), so the Celtics know they must play better ASAP if they are to maintain their hold on the #1 spot.  We'll lay the points with Boston tonight, as it's 90-54 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks won last night in Salt Lake City, while Denver had Friday night off.  Unfortunately for Atlanta, teams playing on back to back days in the high altitude cities of Denver and Salt Lake City have covered just 39.1% since 1990 off a win, if their foe was rested.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Houston.  The Thunder have been the league's best point spread team this season, as they've covered 62.5%.  They did lose their last two games SU/ATS, including an upset loss at the hands of the Rockets.  We'll take OKC to avenge that defeat, as the Thunder have gone 66-45-2 ATS in non-division games when playing with revenge from an upset loss.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Heat won two meetings vs. Milwaukee in January.  But Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton were sidelined for each game.  We'll take the Bucks to avenge those defeats, and win their 7th straight tonight.  Milwaukee has been awful as an underdog this season (4-8 ATS), but has gone 24-15-1 ATS when it wasn't an underdog, including 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS its last 10.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland.  The Bulls have been dominant as a home favorite, as they're 30-15 ATS their last 45.  Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers have been poor as an underdog, as they've gone 32-49-2 ATS their last 83.  That doesn't bode well for Portland tonight.  Nor does the fact that the Blazers had to play last night, while Chicago had Friday off.  Portland is a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS on the road when playing without rest, if their opponent was rested, and off a straight-up win.  Lay the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Dallas.  The Pelicans come into tonight's game seeking revenge from a 10-point loss last month, and I think they'll get it.  One reason is that the Mavericks have been horrible in the rebounding department since Christmas.  Indeed, in their last 18 games, the Mavericks have not out-rebounded any of their opponents!  Not surprisingly, they're 5-13 ATS in those games.  Even worse, Dallas has been dreadful as a favorite this season, and especially when laying more than 4 points, as it's 5-20-1 ATS, including 1-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent.  For the season, Dallas is also 4-10 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  And the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at Dallas when playing with revenge.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  We had a big play on the Rockets in their last game, and were rewarded with an upset win, 117-114, over Detroit.  We'll switch gears and fade the Rockets tonight, as they're 24-60-3 ATS when playing at home vs. a losing team, and not favored by 13 (or more) points.  Here, of course, Houston is a home dog.  We'll take OKC minus the points vs. Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Denver.  The Pelicans lost, 99-98, at home to Denver a week ago.  We'll take New Orleans to avenge that defeat, as it's 88-52-3 ATS on the road off a loss, if it was also playing with revenge from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Take the Pelicans + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota.  This is the first of back to back games in Minneapolis between these two teams.  Sacramento was upset by the Toronto Raptors, 113-95, on Wednesday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with the Kings and go against a Timberwolves club which is 46-71-1 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Brooklyn, 130-122, on Thursday.  They're favored vs. the Rockets tonight.  But Detroit hasn't won two in a row since November 23.  And it's 1-12 SU and 4-9 ATS its last 13 games off a SU win.  Even worse:  it's 0-15 SU/ATS at home off a 7-point (or greater) win.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  This is becoming one of the better rivalries in the NBA after Dallas knocked the Suns out of the playoffs last season.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season, and the series stands at 1-game apiece after Dallas won by 19 at home in December following Phoenix's 2-point win on opening night.  The Mavs are currently on a 2-game losing streak, while Phoenix is on a 4-game winning streak.  But Dallas is an awesome 145-91 off a SU loss when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have covered seven straight games after their upset win on Sunday over Denver.  But they still have a losing record on the season.  And losing teams have gone 51-78-1 ATS after covering 7+ games, including 12-27 ATS off an upset win, when playing a rested opponent.  Take the Hawks tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  We played on the Pacers last night as an underdog for our NBA Central Division Game of the Month.  And Indiana rewarded us by snapping its 7-game losing streak.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Pacers tonight, as they've covered just 37% as an underdog since 1990 off an upset win when playing without rest vs. a rested opponent.  Additionally, the Magic play this game with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier this year.  And Indiana is a horrible 29-50 ATS on the road in the regular season, if it was off a win and playing a foe it defeated in each of the season's two previous meetings.  Lay the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls drilled Atlanta last night, 111-100, for their 3rd straight win and cover.  They'll attempt to make it four-in-a-row tonight against the homestanding Pacers -- losers of seven straight.  Unfortunately for Chicago, unrested teams with a .500 (or worse) record, off a double-digit win and 3 ATS wins, overall, have covered just 3 of 26 games vs. foes off 3 ATS losses.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Rockets and T-wolves met in Minneapolis over the weekend, and the T-wolves earned a comeback win, 113-104.  That was Houston's 13th straight loss.  We'll take Houston in this rematch, as home underdogs of +6 (or less) points have covered 59% since 1990 in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS on the road to the same opponent in their previous game.  And NBA teams on 13-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 155-130-5 ATS.  Finally, since 1990, Minnesota has covered just 37% on the road off a SU/ATS win against the same opponent, while the Rockets have covered 60.4% at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing back to back games against the same opponent.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.