Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies over Portland.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these teams.  Portland blew out Memphis last night, 122-92.  We'll take the revenge-minded Grizzlies, as favorites playing with revenge from a home loss by 30+ points in their previous game have covered 75% since 1990.  Lay the points with Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Miami Heat.  Miami went into Sacramento last night, and pulled off their fourth straight upset win, with a 121-110 triumph over the Kings.  They'll head north to Portland for this matchup against a reeling Blazers team on an 8-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak).  We'll take Portland, as home underdogs have cashed 55% over the last 34 years when they were off 3 ATS losses, and their opponent was off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pelicans had last night off following back to back upset losses at home to Miami and Chicago, while New York narrowly downed the Pistons, 113-111, on Monday.  We'll take the rested Pelicans, as they're 38-25 ATS as road favorites off an upset loss, including 10-2 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Brooklyn.  We played against the Magic on Sunday, and got the $$$ with Atlanta.  Tonight, though, we'll back Orlando and fade an unrested Brooklyn team off a blowout win over Memphis last night.  The Nets are a poor 17-28 ATS when getting more than 2 points from a revenge-minded foe.  And the Magic are a super 37-20-1 ATS this season, including 15-5 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Jazz were upset here, at home, by Charlotte on Thursday, 115-107.  We'll take Utah to bounce back off that loss, as it is 109-65 ATS as a rested favorite of -2 (or more) points off a SU home loss.  Take the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Orlando Magic.  The Magic come into State Farm Arena off 3 straight wins.  We'll fade Orlando tonight, as Atlanta is a solid 142-93 ATS at home vs. foes off 3+ wins.  Take the Hawks.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington.  From December 16 through February 10, the Cavs were the league's hottest teams, as they went 22-4 straight-up, and 18-8 ATS.  But they've stumbled to a 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS record over the past 2 weeks.  We'll lay the points with Cleveland this evening, as Washington is 25-49-3 ATS at home vs. rested foes, including 1-8 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Cleveland.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Philadelphia.  This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these clubs.  Cleveland won the first meeting at Philly, 122-119, while the Sixers upset Cleveland, 123-121, on the road 11 days ago.  Both of these teams were upset at home last night in their first game following the All-Star Break.  Cleveland lost, 115-109, to the Orlando Magic, while the 76ers fell by 14 points, 110-96, to the New York Knicks.  Tonight, the Cavaliers are favored at Philly, as Joel Embiid remains out following knee surgery.  This season, without Embiid on the floor, the Sixers are a woeful 6-15.  Even better for Cleveland:  it's a solid 24-16 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and has cashed its last five when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the LA Lakers.  Los Angeles won and covered its 2nd straight game last night with a 125-111 blowout of Detroit.  We'll fade Los Angeles tonight, as it's 43-77 ATS in the regular season off back to back wins and covers, when matched up against a foe off a SU loss.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Sacramento.  The Nuggets were blown out, 112-95, by Milwaukee, on Monday.  And that was their 2nd straight loss.  We'll lay the points with the Nuggets, as defending champs are 61-34-1 ATS off back to back losses, if they lost their most recent game by 15+ points.  Take Denver.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Boston.  The Nets lost at home last night, 118-110, to Boston.  This rematch is in Boston.  We'll take the Nets, as they're 54-32 ATS as a road underdog when playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Take the Nets + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  Charlotte won its last two games -- each as a home underdog -- vs. Memphis and Indiana.  We'll fade Charlotte tonight, as home underdogs have cashed just 36% since 1990 off back to back upset home wins where they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points in those two upset victories.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks have won 4 straight games (both SU and ATS), including an upset of Oklahoma City, 146-111, in their last game.  Meanwhile, the Wizards are riding a 6-game losing streak.  We'll fade Dallas off its upset win, as it's 0-8 ATS this season off an upset win.  Even worse for the Mavs:  they defeated Washington, 130-117, earlier this season.  But Dallas is 15-32-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, while Washington is 97-63-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss.  And Dallas is also a wallet-breaking 16-33-2 ATS as a home favorite, including 0-12-1 ATS when favored by more than 3 points vs. Eastern conference foes.  Finally, the Wizards are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.  We'll grab the points with Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings won the first two meetings this season between these teams.  But those two games were at home, in Sacramento.  This afternoon's game is in Oklahoma City.  We'll take the Thunder, as they've cashed 69% at home the last 34 seasons, if they owned a better record than their opponent, and were playing with double revenge in the regular season from two losses suffered earlier in the season.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons have been on a roll, with 11 ATS wins in their last 13 games.  The Clippers -- notwithstanding their home loss Wednesday to the Pelicans -- have also been playing well, with 21 ATS wins in their last 31.  We'll take the Clips to bounce back off their loss, as they're 11-4 ATS at home off a SU home loss.  And Detroit is 1-7 ATS on the road vs. a foe off a SU home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets won, 114-106, at the Lakers last night, as a 3-point favorite.  We'll fade the Nuggets off that SU/ATS win, as they're 68-102-1 ATS on the road off an ATS win.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on Indiana Pacers minus the points Golden State.  Tyrese Haliburton has been upgraded to 'probable' and that's all I need to pull the trigger on Indiana.  Golden State is a woeful 34-56-1 ATS on the road as an underdog of less than 9 points off back to back wins, including 8-17 ATS when playing without rest.  With the Warriors in off victories over Brooklyn and Philly, we'll fade them as an unrested underdog at Indiana.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte.  Both teams enter tonight's game on losing streaks.  The Raptors have dropped their last three, including a 138-100 loss at New Orleans, on Monday.  Meanwhile, the Hornets are on an 8-game losing streak, and have been outscored by more than 10 ppg (the only NBA team with that poor of a scoring margin).  The Hornets are an awful 16-32-1 ATS, and have failed to cover the point spread at home by an average of 5.3 ppg.  The Raptors are 7-2 ATS their last nine meetings vs. Charlotte.  And they're 134-89 ATS off back to back losses, including 62-37 ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets are on a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they will once again be without star LaMelo Ball.  Charlotte is 15-31-1 ATS on the season.  And it's 4-13 ATS as an underdog of more than 5 points vs. the Pacers, including 0-6 ATS if the Pacers were off a loss.  Meanwhile, Indiana is a solid 37-22-1 ATS as a favorite when it had lost its three previous games, SU/ATS.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Dallas.  The Bucks have lost back-to-back games.  We'll back Milwaukee tonight, as it's 86-47-3 ATS in the regular season off two (or more) losses.  Lay the points with Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia.  The Nets lost earlier this year to Philly, 121-99.  We'll take Brooklyn + the points, as it is 43-13-1 ATS on the road in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points earlier in the season.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Sacramento Kings.  The Heat are currently riding a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak, and reside in 7th place in the Eastern conference with a 24-23 record.  They'll welcome the 27-21 Kings to Kaseya Center tonight, and will look to halt the Kings' 4-game win streak.  Miami is 65-37-3 ATS off back to back losses, when playing a foe off a SU win.  And Miami is also 59-37-3 ATS off 3 (or more) ATS losses.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks are in the rare (for them) position of being an underdog tonight.  And they've woefully underperformed as an underdog of +1.5 points (or more) when they've owned a win percentage of .650 (or better).  Dating back to May 2019, they're 1-22 ATS.  Meanwhile, Denver is 28-10-1 ATS at home vs. winning foes when not laying double-digits.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over New Orleans.  The Celtics lost at home to the Clippers, 115-96, on Saturday.  We'll take the Celts to bounce back, as they're 54-31 ATS in the regular season off a home loss by 15+ points.  The Pelicans are also off a blowout loss, 141-117, at Milwaukee.  But New Orleans is a soft 13-24 ATS off a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Boston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers plus the points over Boston.  The Celtics routed L.A., 145-108, back in December.  We'll take the Clippers to avenge that loss, as .650 (or better) teams have gone 93-72 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 25 points earlier in the season.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Last week, the Nuggets lost at Philly, 126-121.  We'll take the Nuggets to avenge that defeat, as it's 11-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and not laying 9+ points.  Take Denver.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the New York Knicks.  Miami comes into this game off a 143-110 blowout loss, at home, to Boston.  And that was Miami's 5th straight loss (both SU and ATS), overall.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back as they're 42-18-3 ATS as road underdogs off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And they're also 12-1 ATS on the road off 4+ ATS losses.  Take Miami.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Magic dropped to 23-21 on the season after getting blown out, 126-99, at home vs. Cleveland.  They'll travel to Memphis tonight to take on a Grizzlies team which upset Miami, 105-96, on Wednesday, for its second straight win.  We'll fade Memphis, as it is a miserable 43-83 ATS vs. sub-.600 opponents off an 18-point (or worse) defeat, including 7-23 ATS if Memphis was off back-to-back wins.  Additionally, Orlando is 26-15 ATS its last 41 as a road favorite.  Lay the points with the Magic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game with a 126-99 blowout of Chicago on Monday.  We'll fade the Cavaliers on the road at Milwaukee, as NBA teams on a 5-game (or better) win streak have gone 16-46 ATS if they won their previous game by more than 25 points.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Washington.  The T-Wolves dropped their second straight game on Monday when they were stunned by the Charlotte Hornets, 128-125, as a 14-point favorite.  We'll take Minny to rebound tonight, as it's 23-11 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-1 ATS when favored by 15 or less points (or PK).  And in the 2nd half of the NBA season, .625 (or better) teams have covered 73% as a road favorite following a straight-up loss to a sub-.250 opponent.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Trail Blazers have likely done something this season never before done by another NBA team:  they have lost two consecutive meetings to an opponent by a combined 105 points.  Portland lost at home to OKC in November, 134-91, and then fell by 62 points just 12 days ago, 139-77.  Indeed, in the last 34 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes), the most a team had ever lost 2 straight meetings to an opponent was a combined 94 points.  Coincidentally, that honor goes to Portland's opponent tonight, Oklahoma City.  Back in 2008, the Thunder (then the Seattle SuperSonics) lost back to back meetings to Denver by scores of 168-116 and 138-96).  Of course, the third time was the charm for Seattle that night, as they upset the Nuggets, 151-147, as 12.5-point underdogs.  We'll take the points with Portland in this major revenge spot, and we will note that road teams have gone 19-7 ATS when playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) road defeat earlier in the season (including 10-1 ATS if our road team was a double-digit underdog).  Take Portland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Detroit.  The Bucks were blasted, 135-95, on Wednesday by the Cleveland Cavaliers.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee as the Bucks are 44-25 ATS as a road favorite.  And road teams off losses by 40+ points have gone 69-44-3 ATS.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  Utah has been red-hot of late, with 6 straight wins, including a 132-105 blowout of the Indiana Pacers on Monday.  We'll fade the Jazz tonight, as teams on 5-game (or better) win streaks have gone 15-45 ATS if they won their previous game by more than 25 points, including 1-8 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Thunder minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd time in the last 11 days that these Southeast division rivals have met.  The Magic won in overtime, 117-110, earlier this month, and we'll take the Hawks to avenge that defeat.  Atlanta had one of its best halves of basketball its last time out, as it sprinted to a 35-point lead against the San Antonio Spurs after two quarters.  Atlanta took its foot off the gas in the 2nd half to let the Spurs back into the game, but won by 10, 109-99.  The Hawks are a solid 45-29-1 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite vs. a division rival.  And the Magic are a wallet-breaking 42-57-2 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if they were a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  The Suns currently reside in 8th place in the Western Conference standings, which is not what many pundits expected out of this talent-laden team.  Sacramento is two games ahead of Phoenix, in 5th place.  We'll lay the points with Phoenix, as it's 33-16 ATS vs. division rivals with a better record, if Phoenix wasn't getting more than 3 points.  Moreover, the Suns lost to the Kings in the prior meeting, and are 34-18 ATS when favored and playing with revenge.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Houston.  We played against Boston two nights ago, and were rewarded with a blowout win by Milwaukee, 135-102.  Tonight, they'll welcome the Rockets to Boston, and the Rockets won, 112-110, last night vs. Detroit.  We'll take the Celtics to bounce back off that loss, as they're 16-4-1 ATS at home vs. unrested opponents off a SU win, if the Celtics are rested.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over New Orleans.  The Nuggets will look to rebound off a miserable game two nights ago in Salt Lake City.  Denver was a 7-point road favorite, but was wiped out, 124-111, by the Jazz.  Denver is 35-22 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss.  And it's 14-3-1 ATS at home vs. foes off back-to-back wins.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Utah's certainly been playing well, as it's 12-4 SU/ATS its last 16, including upset wins over Philly, Milwaukee and Denver in its last 3 games.  Unfortunately for the Jazz, they're favored in this game.  And Utah's burned money when installed as a favorite of 6 or less points, going 17-36-1 ATS.  Toronto enters off back to back losses, and has been solid off 2+ losses, with a 131-84-5 ATS mark (including 13-6-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins).  Grab the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Indiana.  The Hawks will have revenge on their mind when Indiana pays them a visit tonight.  When these two teams last met 7 days ago,  the Hawks were blown out, 150-116.  We'll take Atlanta to avenge that loss, as NBA teams have cashed 74% since 1991 when playing with revenge from a game they surrendered 150+ points (including 88% as a favorite).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics needed overtime last night to defeat Minnesota, 127-120, while Milwaukee had Wednesday off following its blowout loss at the hands of the Utah Jazz.  That was Milwaukee's 2nd straight loss, overall, and its 5th straight ATS loss.  We'll take the Bucks here, at home, as they're an awesome 50-19-1 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back losses, including 9-0 ATS vs. .640 (or better) foes off a win.  Additionally, .718 (or better) underdogs of +6 (or more) points have gone just 38-65-3 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up loss.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Philadelphia.  Both teams come into tonight's game on a 2-game losing streak.  The Sixers suffered upset home losses at the hands of the Knicks and Jazz, while the Hawks lost road games at Indiana and Orlando.  We'll fade Philadelphia, as NBA teams with W/L percentages greater than .650 have covered just 37 of 95 games off back to back home upset losses, if they were favored by 3+ points in those 2 defeats.  And the Hawks are 114-80-1 ATS at home in non-division games when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Celtics lost, 133-131, at Indiana, on Monday.  We'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off a loss this season, and 36-22 ATS its last 58 off a SU loss.  Even better:  the T-Wolves had to play last night, while Boston was resting.  And the Celts are a super 55-32-3 ATS when playing with more rest than their opponent, including 21-5 ATS their last 26 off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic stunned the Denver Nuggets, 122-120, on Friday, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Of that huge upset win, we'll fade Orlando today, as it falls into a negative 4-21 and 14-36 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off big upsets.  Additionally, the Magic are a poor 2-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss.  And Orlando is also 5-17 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes with worse W/L records.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Brooklyn.  The Blazers come into today's game off a 139-103 blowout loss at Dallas.  And that followed a 126-97 defeat -- also to the Mavericks -- in the game previous to that.  We'll take Portland to bounce back off those two blowout losses, as NBA underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 64.1% since 2000 off back to back losses by 24+ points.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celtics blew out Utah, 126-97, in Boston last night, and have been installed as a road favorite tonight, at Indiana.  This will be the first of two games here at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, as the two teams will also play on Monday night.  We'll lay the points as the Celtics are 43-14-2 ATS on the road off a 20-point home win.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The T-Wolves come into tonight's game off back to back losses (against the Knicks and Pelicans).  It's Minnesota's first 2-game losing streak of the season, as it was 7-0 SU after its first seven defeats.  The T-Wolves are a super 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they also failed to cover the spread 3 games back.  And Houston is a poor 6-26 ATS vs. as an underdog of less than 8 points vs. foes off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points with the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  We played on the Atlanta Hawks two nights ago vs. Oklahoma City, which was on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Hawks.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, following upset wins over division rival, Milwaukee, in their two previous games.  We'll fade the Pacers tonight, as NBA teams off back to back upset wins, including a division upset win in their previous game, have gone 140-186 ATS vs. rested foes.  Take Atlanta + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  Milwaukee comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses at the hands of the Indiana Pacers.  We'll take the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they are 17-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back upset losses, including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 8 points.  The Spurs will be without Zach Collins tonight, as he sustained an ankle injury last week vs. Portland.  But when the Spurs and Bucks met 16 days ago, Collins was the Spurs' 2nd leading scorer with 22 points, and he had 8 rebounds, as well, so his absence will be felt.  Lay the points with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando.  The Kings lost at home last night, as a 15.5-point favorite to the woeful Charlotte Hornets.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Kings to redeem themselves tonight, as they're back in front of their home faithful.   And the Kings are 30-13 ATS off a home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  These teams met last month in New Orleans, and the Pelicans came away with a 121-107 victory.  We'll take the revenge-minded T-Wolves, as they're 19-9 ATS when playing a foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting, including 5-1 ATS if its foe was unrested.  Take Minnesota.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won their 5th straight game last night, 127-123, at home, vs. the Boston Celtics.  Now, they have to play without rest against the rested Hawks, in Atlanta.  We'll take the Home Underdog, as the Hawks are 32-9-1 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins.  Grab the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago.  This is the 2nd of back to back games against Chicago for Philadelphia.  We played on the Bulls as our Non-Division Game of the Month in Round 1, on Saturday, but we will switch gears and take the revenge-minded Sixers tonight (who are playing with double-revenge from 2 losses to the Bulls this season).  Philadelphia is an awesome 40-20 ATS when playing with revenge (and 11-3 when playing with double-revenge), while Chicago is 6-13 ATS when going into double-revenge.  Take the Sixers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  Denver was upset at home, 119-93, by Oklahoma City, on Friday.  We'll lay the points with Denver tonight, as it's an awesome 50-6 straight-up, and 40-13-1 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, provided Denver wasn't an underdog of more than 2 points in its current game.  Charlotte has lost 10 straight games heading into this affair, and is also an awful 0-17 SU and 1-16 ATS as a road underdog of 11+ points vs. Northwest division foes.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Knicks, 117-108, on Friday, while Phoenix won (but failed to cover) vs. Charlotte.  We'll fade Orlando, as it's 20-34-2 ATS as a single-digit underdog off an upset win when playing a winning opponent off an ATS loss.  Meanwhile, Phoenix is a solid 31-19 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington.  The Hawks are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but should get back into the win column this afternoon vs. the Wizards.  These two teams met last month, and the Hawks blew out Washington, 136-108.  That was the 5th straight win by the Hawks in this series, and they've won by an average of 12 ppg.  The Wizards upset Brooklyn, 110-104, here, at home, on Friday.  Unfortunately, Washington is 34-62 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Sixers defeated Houston, 131-127, last night, while the Chicago Bulls had Friday off after their Thursday home loss to Indiana.  We'll play on the rested Bulls, and go against a Philly team which will be playing back to back road games without rest.  Indeed, the 76ers are 0-16 ATS off back to back wins, when playing their 3rd game in four nights on the road without rest, if their opponent was rested and playing back to back home games, and the Sixers weren't favored by more than 4 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over San Antonio.  These two teams met last night, and we played on the Spurs as a small underdog.  San Antone blew out Portland from the get-go, with a 38-14 advantage after 12 minutes, and coasted to a 118-105 win.  Victor Wembanyama led the way for San Antonio, as he tallied 30 points, and blocked seven shots.  But Wemby will sit out tonight's game, since coach Gregg Popovich doesn't want him playing back to back nights right now.  The Trail Blazers fall into a 71-42 ATS revenge system of mine, so we'll take Portland to avenge its loss last night, and lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Portland.  This is the first of back to back games between these clubs.  (Game #2 will be played here tomorrow night.)  The Blazers pulled off an upset of the Sacramento Kings, 130-113, on Tuesday.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 41-86 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off home upset victories.  The Spurs come into this game off 5 straight losses, including a 130-118 loss to the Jazz two days ago.  And coach Gregg Popovich is extremely displeased with his team's lack of effort on the defensive end (and has expressed his displeasure vociferously over the last 2 days).  The Spurs are 163-118 ATS in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points.  I expect a better performance by the Silver and Black tonight, and we'll take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz have won 3 straight, but I believe their win streak will be halted tonight by New Orleans.  These two teams met twice in Salt Lake City over Thanksgiving, and the Jazz swept that 2-game set with triumphs by 5 and 2 points.  We'll take the Pelicans to avenge those losses, as they're 76-39-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season, including 55-25 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take New Orleans minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Houston Rockets.  Phoenix has lost its last six (and 11 of its last 12) games to the point spread.  But it will play tonight's game with an extra day of rest, as Houston had to play Indiana last night, while the Suns had Tuesday off.  Phoenix is 31-19 as a rested road favorite vs. unrested foes, including 11-2 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Chicago.  Trae Young has been upgraded to play tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Atlanta.  Atlanta comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Miami and Memphis, but those two defeats have set the Hawks up in a 124-69 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Pistons are now tied for the most consecutive losses (26) within a single season, and will hold the record by themselves with a straight-up loss tonight.  Of course, we only care about the point spread, and will grab the points with Detroit.  We actually played against the Pistons and took the Nets when these two team met three days ago in Brooklyn.  The Nets won that game by 11 (as a 10-point favorite).  But I expect a much closer game in this rematch, as the Pistons fall into a super 75-26 ATS system of mine, while Brooklyn is a wallet-busting 39-57-1 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or more points.  Take Detroit as a home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams.  Milwaukee was favored by 2 points on Saturday, and won by 19, 130-111.  The point spread is higher on Christmas, and we'll take the Knicks to avenge their loss.  Both teams have solid records.  New York is 16-12, while Milwaukee is 22-7.  In regular season matchups between foes with win percentages greater than .550, teams off a loss by 12+ points have gone 76-38 ATS vs. foes off a win by 12+ points (including 7-2 ATS if it was the 2nd of back to back meetings).  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Detroit.  This is the first of a back-to-back set between these teams, with Tuesday's game being played in Detroit.  We'll take the Nets to snap out of their funk.  Brooklyn's on a 5-game losing streak, but fall into a 181-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Brooklyn is 10-4 ATS at home this season, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite.  Lay it.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.   The Knicks return home after playing their last 5 on the road.  And they're 47-23 ATS at home if they were off 3+ road games, and owned a winning record.  Admittedly, the Bucks have won 6 straight games.  But all 6 were played at home.  We'll fade Milwaukee on the road, as it's gone 20-36-2 ATS off 3 home wins.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas.  Houston will look to snap its 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, while Dallas will attempt to halt its 2-game SU/ATS slide.  I favor Houston, as the Mavericks have consistently burned money the last two seasons, with a 42-61 ATS mark.  And they're also 10-25-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  With the Rockets seeking revenge from a loss at Dallas last month, we'll lay the points with Houston.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Blazers pulled off a big upset win at home over Phoenix, 109-104, on Tuesday.  Meanwhile, the Wizards lost, 143-131, at Sacramento, on Monday.  We'll take Washington and go against Portland, as the Blazers have covered just 35.2% since 1990 at home off an upset home win, if they were playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pels were upset, 115-113, at home by Memphis, on Tuesday, as an 8.5-point favorite.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with New Orleans in Cleveland tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss at home as an 8.5-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed 61.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Houston Rockets.  We played against the Hawks in their last game, and got the money with the Pistons as a 12-point road underdog.  Atlanta won that game, 130-124, but failed to cover.  Its ATS record is now 6-19 ATS, which is the worst in the league.  But if one digs deeper into its numbers, one finds that it's only failed to cover the spread by an average of 0.55 ppg.  And it's actually covered the spread on the road by +1.73 ppg; at home is where Atlanta has really underperformed.  Tonight, the Hawks are on the road, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. Houston.  We'll take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Lakers will hit the road tonight after losing their 2nd straight game on Monday, at home, vs. New York.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 11-17 Bulls, who are coming in off an upset win over the 76ers, 108-104, in Philly.  Los Angeles is a solid 47-27 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes with a losing record, off an upset win.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Pistons have the NBA's worst record, at 2-24.  And they've lost 23 straight games, including a 146-114 blowout at Milwaukee on Saturday, which is 3 games shy of the all-time worst in-season losing streak.  But Atlanta has also been horrible this season.  Not straight-up, but against the spread.  The Hawks are the league's worst point spread team, as they're 6-18-1 ATS.  The Hawks are a horrid 13-29-1 ATS as a favorite their last 43, and they're 50-95-2 ATS vs. rested foes off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Bucks played last night (and won), and will be at home for the 2nd straight day on this Sunday.  We'll lay the points, as Milwaukee is 38-17 ATS on the 2nd of back-to-back days, off an ATS win the previous day.  And Houston is a poor 19-37-2 ATS as a road underdog.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

  At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Boston.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings.  Boston won Round 1, 128-111, on Friday, as a 6-point home favorite.  And that ATS win by Boston snapped a 5-game ATS losing streak in the series.  The Celtics are also the home team for this re-match, but the point spread is higher.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Magic, as they're 29-15-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks and Clippers met earlier this season in the Big Apple.  Los Angeles was favored, but the Knicks blew out the Clippers by 14 points.  We'll take the Clippers to avenge that defeat as they've gone 74-47 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 6+ points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets and Grizzlies met two nights ago, and the Rockets won, 117-104.  That game was played in Texas; tonight's game is on Beale Street, in Memphis.  We'll grab the points with the Grizzlies, as they're 35-6 ATS at home in the regular season when playing an opponent off a win, if the Grizzlies had revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and weren't getting more than 9 points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Toronto between these teams.  The Raptors won, 135-128, on Tuesday, as a 2.5-point favorite.  This game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.  And when NBA teams have played back to back games vs. the same opponent, each with a point spread of 3 or less, the straight-up loser of the prior meeting has covered 57% of the time.  And this applies to both regular season, and playoff games.  Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two nights ago in the Motor City, and the Sixers were victorious, 129-111.  We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as road underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-20-2 ATS in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in their previous game.  Take Detroit.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Wizards have lost their last 5 game, straight-up, and their last 3 vs. the point spread.  But we'll take the points with Washington, and go against an Indiana team which has covered just 27 of 77 as a winning team vs. foes off 3 ATS defeats.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn.  Last season, the Nuggets won 44 of 52 home games, and went 31-19-2 ATS in those games.  This year, they got off to a 6-0 start, but lost their last home game, 114-106, to the Houston Rockets six days ago.  They bounced back with 2 road wins, and return home tonight to get back into the win column at Pepsi Center.  We'll lay the points, as Denver is 127-69 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if it lost its previous home game straight-up.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks play tonight's game with revenge from a loss to the Pacers last week in the In-Season Tournament.  And they're 0-2 this season vs. Indiana.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as .523 (or better) teams have covered 62.1% when favored by 6+ points, and playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Milwaukee's also 12-6-1 ATS the previous 19 meetings with Indiana, and 8-2 ATS the previous 10 meetings at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Pistons have lost 20 straight games, but they fought hard to the end on Monday vs. Indiana.  I look for them to be competitive tonight vs. Philly.  We'll take the points, as double-digit home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 240-201-8 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Spurs have lost 16 straight, and are 3-18 on the season.  But one of their three wins was vs. this Houston club.  The Rockets upset Denver, as an 8.5-point road underdog, in their previous game.  Unfortunately, home teams have gone 20-39-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points over the defending NBA champs.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Pelicans were blown out, 133-89, on Thursday by the Lakers in the semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament.  We'll lay the points with New Orleans, as rested teams favored by 1.5 (or more) points, off a loss by 40+ points, have gone 11-0 ATS if they had at least the two previous days off.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and has dropped 13 of its last 15 to the point spread.  At home, the Hawks are a miserable 1-7-1 ATS on the season.  Admittedly, Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But defending NBA champs have gone 25-13-1 ATS in the regular season on the road off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Nuggets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte.  The Raptors come into this game off back to back home losses to New York and Miami.  And they failed to cover the spread in those two games by -14.5 and -13 points.  We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it's gone 55-33 ATS following back to back point spread losses by 9 or more points, including 11-0-1 ATS on the road vs. sub-.450 opponents.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets won the two prior meetings this season, including a 113-104 victory here at Crypto.com Arena nine days ago.  We'll take Los Angeles to get revenge tonight, as the Clippers are 25-12 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't an underdog of 3+ points in the current game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston.  The Lakers were blown out, 133-110, by Oklahoma City on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it's 43-20 ATS off a loss by 15 or more points, if it owned a winning record on the season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks upset Milwaukee, 127-110, earlier this season.  We'll fade the Hawks tonight, as they're 48-82 ATS on the road vs. an opponent it upset in the previous meeting that season.  Take the Bucks.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic won last night, but had their eight-game point spread win streak snapped, as the Wizards covered in defeat.  We'll fade Orlando on the road, in Brooklyn, as the Nets are 7-0 ATS this season when priced from -8.5 to +3 points.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pistons lost their 15th straight game last night, 133-107, to the Los Angeles Lakers.  We'll take Detroit + the points on the road vs. the Knicks, as Detroit's played better (based on point spread differential) away from home than in front of its home faithful this season.  New York is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 13-28-1 ATS its last 42) as a favorite of more than 11 points, if New York was off a straight-up win.  Take Detroit + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Nuggets play tonight's game with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to the Rockets.  But those two games were both on the road; tonight's game is at home.  We'll lay the points, as Denver is 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge at home, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hornets come into this road game off back to back wins over the Celtics and Wizards.  And they're very well-rested, as they had Thursday, Friday and Saturday off.  Orlando, on the other hand, will play with just 1 day of rest.  We'll take Charlotte + the points, as it's cashed 61% as a road underdog when playing with 2+ more days of rest, while Orlando has covered just 38% since 1990 as a home favorite when playing with at least 2 days less of rest.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the New Orleans Pelicans.  This is the first of two back-to-back games between these teams being played here, in Salt Lake City.  New Orleans had to play last night (and won) vs. the Los Angeles Clippers while Utah had Friday off.  We'll take the Jazz, as they're 88-55 ATS when playing with rest vs. an unrested non-division foe.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Miami.  The Knicks come into this game on an extended layoff, as they haven't played since Monday (while Miami was in action on Wednesday).  New York is a super 22-6 ATS when playing with an extra 2 days of rest than its opponent, provided New York was off a loss, and its opponent was off a win.  The Knicks have been solid at home this season, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 4.9 ppg.  We'll take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks over the LA Lakers.  Dallas comes into tonight's game off back to back losses to Milwaukee (132-125) and Sacramento (129-113), while the Lakers have won 3 straight.  We'll take Dallas to snap its losing streak tonight, as the Mavs are an awesome 150-98 ATS off a SU loss, if their opponent was off a SU win.  And the Mavs are also 81-34 ATS if they were off a 14-point (or worse) defeat, and their opponent owned a .500 (or better) win percentage.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over New Orleans.  The Pelicans routed Sacramento, 129-93, here, in New Orleans, on Monday.  We'll take the revenge-minded Kings to avenge that 36-point loss, as Sacramento is 44-31 ATS on the road off a road loss.  And teams playing with revenge in the regular season from a loss by more than 35 points, and also playing the 2nd of back to back games vs. that opponent, have covered 60% since 1990.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets.  Houston's riding a 9-game ATS win streak.  But we'll fade Houston tonight, as .500 (or worse) teams, on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, are a soft 59-87 ATS.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder come into this game off a 134-91 win over Portland. And that was OKC's 5th straight win (and cover).  We'll fade the Thunder tonight, as teams off 5+ wins, that scored more than 125 points in their previous game, have gone 13-40 ATS.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks are a dreadful 0-21 ATS since May 5, 2019 when they owned a win percentage of .650 (or better) and were installed as an underdog of more than 1 point.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Indiana.  The Pacers exploded for 157 points last night at Atlanta, in a 5-point win over the Hawks, while Toronto lost, 126-107, at Orlando.  We'll fade the Pacers tonight, and grab the points with the Raptors, as Toronto is 34-20-1 ATS off a loss by 12+ points.  Take Toronto.