Sports Picks & Predictions

4 Unit Play. #750 Take TCU over Oklahoma (9 pm ESPN U) TCU is going to be a tough out at home all season long. Oklahoma has fallen off a cliff this season after reaching the Final Four last year with a senior laden team. They may be without Jordan Woodard again tonight and that is a major void they will not be able to overcome. The Frogs have been winning big at home all season long and gave Kansas a good battle last Friday night. This team has a chance to make the NCAA Tournament but this is a must win game for them to accomplish that. Oklahoma is 7-22 ATS in their last 29 Big 12 games. TCU has covered the spread in 7 of their last 8 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

The Wizards are hopeless on the road. At 3-11 the Mavs have double the wins at home than Washington has in road games. The Wiz are 5-9 ATS on the road and we think they are overvalued in this game tonight. Dallas is finally getting healthy and this team has played better than expected thus far even dealing with some key injuries. But they have been playing pretty well lately and have covered in four of their last six games. They are also 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. We expect the home team to come up big tonight and think the wrong team is favored.

Boston is 5-0-2 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series in Boston and 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall. We are thrilled to get them at less than the key NBA betting number of 7 here. The Celtics have covered in seven of their last nine with one push, and we think they match up well in this contest tonight. We expect them to get a comfortable win. This is their first game since 12/30 and they are well rested tonight while Utah has had a pretty busy schedule, and they are not as good on the road as they are at home. We expect the Boston defense to come up big here and the Utah D will keep the Celtics to a reasonable score, but not enough to keep this game close.  Both teams trend to the under when the total is 200 or higher.

4 Unit Play. #739 Take Wisconsin over Indiana (7 pm ESPN) Tom Crean just cannot stay off the hot seat. Indiana has already lost four times in-state this season and this is the second-best team that they will have faced this season. Wisconsin does not have a win against an NCAA Tournament quality team this season but they have experience and have had great success against Indiana in recent years. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games. 

4 Unit Play. #736 Take Rhode Island over St. Josephs (7 pm CBSSN) The Hawks were already having a rebuilding year to start the season and now with the loss of Shavar Newkirk (over 20 points per game) I do not see things going well during A-10 play. The Hawks have yet to record a quality win on the season and they will get blown out in this game. Rhode Island lost both games to them last year and the Rams need to put together a winning streak to keep them at-large bid hopes alive. They have the three best players on the court in this game and expect them to pull away in the second half and win this game by around 17-20 points. St. Joes is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. The Rams are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 7 to 12.5 points. 

The Bucks finished off a 4-game road trip by winning two of three and covering in both wins. We had them last time out against the Bulls and really liked what we saw in a blowout win. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS this season as a small dog (four points or less) and they have thrived in his role we see them in again tonight. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS as a dog of three or less, meaning they tend to struggle in a situation like this. The Thunder are a public team here while the Bucks are a team that bettors don’t like to wager on, and we thought this spread should be closer to 4.5 with a lean to the Bucks at that number so we think there is some nice value here tonight.

4 Unit Play. #589 Take Nevada -2.5 over Fresno State (8 pm ESPN 3) If Nevada is truly the best team in the MWC this season these are the type of games they must win. Nevada is just playing much better than Fresno State thus far and they have a big edge inside the paint. The Bulldogs have yet to record a quality win on the season and they had to replace three starters from the NCAA Tournament squad last year. Nevada is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 MWC games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

5 Unit Play. #574 Take Wyoming -1 over UNLV (4 pm) No bet against UNLV is a bad bet this season. They are in complete rebuild at the moment and will struggle to win any conference games. Wyoming has been the most surprising team in the league and they will enter this game having won 8 of their last 9 games. Wyoming is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. UNLV is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. 

4 Unit Play. #752 Take Oregon over USC (10 pm FS1) The Ducks finally put a complete game together on Wednesday against the best team in the country. They beat UCLA on a buzzer beater and now look to knock off USC and end their unbeaten streak as well. The Trojans are winning games but not covering the spread going 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. Oregon is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games played on Friday. Oregon has the momentum and they will win this game by double digits.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

We had the Sixers last night in Utah and they were very competitive through three quarters before the bottom fell out in the fourth. But now Joel Embiid will be on the court for this one and he makes this team so much better. And now they play a worse team than they faced last night. This team is young and they shouldn’t be hurt too much from a back-to-back and they should want to put on a good performance after flailing late last night. Philly has covered seven straight in Denver. The Nuggets are on an 0-4 ATS slide and a team that is struggling like this one shouldn’t be a double-digit favorite over anyone.

We have been burned lately a lot by the Pistons but we have to roll with them here as we just think there is value here. This team played Atlanta early in the month and rolled to a nearly 40-point win. So we know they match up well. Atlanta has been bad as a favorite in this range as they are 5-10 ATS as a favorite of less than seven points. They get too much credit from the oddsmakers and this is not the team that we have known in the past few years. Detroit has some mental issues but this is a pretty good team and we think they bounce back well here after a sub par performance last time out against the Bucks.

4 Unit Play. #728 Take Michigan State over Northwestern (6 pm BTN) Northwestern may have more talent at the moment I just do not believe they can win back to back road games to open up conference play. Michigan State is coming off a come from behind win at Minnesota and they have now won five of their last six games after a brutal start to the season. Northwestern will give them a game but in the end Coach Izzo will find a way for his players to do just enough to win this game. Michigan State is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 conference games. 

We think that this is a bad spot for the Mavs tonight. This will be their third game in four nights and this team is not very good to begin with. They are coming off a very emotional game vs. Houston where there were a lot of techs and even some after-the-game drama. We think they will fall flat here against the Lakers tonight. The Lakers didn’t play well during their long road trip but now this is the third game back at home and they have played very well in their last two games, winning against the Clippers and losing by only two (but covering) vs. Utah. This is an extremely winnable game for them tonight not to mention they are the better overall team right now.

This is more a play against Utah than for Philly as we don’t think this team is good enough right now to be laying this many points to any team. They have dropped three of their last four, with their only win coming by only two at the Lakers. They have covered in only one of their last six games. Utah hasn’t been good as a big favorite and they are 0-3 ATS when laying more than eight points so far this season, and this is by far the most points they have given up all season long. The Sixers have had a real light schedule over the holidays and we think they come into this one with a lot of energy and keep the game within double digits.

Boston has won and covered six of their last seven games and they are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have covered in two of the last three meetings in this series, and we think the Celtics think of this as one of the biggest games of the season while it’s just another game to the Cavs. Boston is one of the better ATS teams at 18-13-1 ATS this season and Cleveland is just average even though they are the better team. But they are always saddled with shaded lines, and we feel that is the case tonight as we had this game handicapped at 4. The Celtics are healthy coming into this game and we think they are primed for a big performance tonight.

4 Unit Play. #537 Take Southern Illinois over Bradley (8 pm ESPN 3) No bet against Bradley is a bad bet. They have lost five of their last six and only one of those five losses was a competitive game. The Salukis have played a difficult nonconference schedule and that will prepare them well for this game. SIU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Bradley is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Salukis are just farther along in year 4 of Barry Hinson than are the Braves in year two of Brain Wardle.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

The Kings are one of the best ATS teams this season (17-13-1) while the Blazers are one of the worst (12-21). We think those trends will continue on Wednesday. Damian Lillard is doubtful for this game and this team stinks with him in the lineup but without him they are in real trouble, especially against the most consistent Kings team we have seen in a few years. The Kings have won four straight entering this game and they are playing with a ton of confidence right now. The Blazers have dropped 10 of 11 and six straight games. The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings and we expect the Kings to get a pretty easy win here whether Lillard plays or not.

We think the Timberwolves are a good buy low team right now and they should be able to challenge for the win here in Denver tonight. Denver hasn’t covered in three straight games and they really should have beaten a worn-down Clippers team by more than four last time out as that teams was missing a bunch of starters and playing their fourth game in five nights. The Wolves are the better team here despite the records and they come in confident after a home win vs. Atlanta last time out. Minnesota is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings in Denver, and we thought this line should be closer to PK with a lean to Minny at that number so we think there is great value here plus the points.

4 Unit Play. #761 Take UCLA over Oregon (9 pm ESPN 2) UCLA is a machine this year and I feel they are the best team in the country. They are undefeated and we will continue to ride them with these short numbers when situations present themselves. Oregon has highly rated going into the season but they have yet to put it together thus far and they have yet to record a victory against a team that will make the NCAA Tournament come March. They have a bad loss to Georgetown and struggled to put away bad teams at Knight Arena. But this play is more about UCLA, as they have had only one competitive game this season, AT KENTUCKY which they won by five points. This team can score points at will and Oregon will not be able to keep up with them tonight. The Bruins have not only been winning games they have been covering the spread at a clip of 90%. Oregon is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall. 

LA is in a freefall right now and they have lost three straight games – to the Mavs, Lakers and Nuggets, no less. Blake Griffin is out and Chris Paul is very questionable for this game against his old club. Redick is also questionable and it’s hard to believe he will play here. So this deep team all the sudden becomes really thin and now they have to stop the losing streak playing their fifth game in seven nights. The players they will have to try and stop the losing streak aren’t the kind of guys that can lead the team but they are more complementary players, and we think this team will be worn out here and will have to regroup after the new year because they play at Houston on Friday and at OKC on Saturday so they are a team to fade until they get their strength back.

Detroit has won four straight in this series and we think they get the job done again tonight. The Pistons really play well defensively against the Bucks and Milwaukee hasn’t scored more than 91 points in the last three meetings. We think the Pistons will clamp down on defense again in this matchup and this team seems to have figured some things out as they have covered two straight, against last season’s NBA Finals participants no less, including a 16-point blowout of the Cavs. We think the Pistons win this one pretty easily.

The Pacers have been a real lousy bet on the road as they are 4-12 ATS this season, and we think this line is a bit short as well. The Wizards are a solid 10-7 ATS at home and this is their sweet spot as they are 4-1 ATS as a small favorite like this. The Wizards have covered in six of their last seven games and they are overall playing their best basketball of the season right now. Indiana has covered in only one of their last seven and they have dropped three straight SU coming into this game. Washington has covered in six straight at home, and that is a trend we see continuing here on Wednesday.

The Jazz have had three nights off. We think that can work against a team like this that tends to struggle offensively at times and they could be even more rusty than normal. And this team is just not in good form anyways right now as they have dropped three straight games and covered in only one of their last five. This has never been a great road team either and we just don’t see them dominating the Lakers at Staples Center and think there is a very good chance that this one is close. The Lakers are coming off a confidence-building win over the Clippers and even though they don’t have a lot of wins lately they are 4-2 ATS in their last six so they are playing a lot of close games even though they aren’t winning a lot.

OKC is 2-6 in the last eight games in Miami and we think that this will be a close game that the home team has a chance to win straight up. Miami has been solid ATS this season when not much was expected from this squad. OKC has a nice record but they have played a home-heavy schedule so far and we don’t think they are as good as their record may suggest and they still get a lot of public betting love since they have been so good in past years so the oddsmakers give too many points sometimes, and that definitely seems like the case here for Tuesday. The Heat have been playing well lately and have a couple OT losses that have made them look worse on paper than they have played on the court.

These teams played last week and it was a hard-fought OT loss by the Grizzlies. Since that game was so well played on both sides and the Grizzlies took a loss, we think that game will still be on the minds of the Grizzlies in this one and revenge is definitely in play here tonight. We already know the Grizzlies match up well here. And you can add in the fact that Boston just hasn’t been good at covering numbers here at home where they are 4-8 ATS this season so far. Boston is 1-3 ATS when laying 7 or more points this season and we think the Grizzlies will be really tough in this game and they will not only cover but challenge for the win.

4 Unit Play. #514 Take Wisconsin over Rutgers (7 pm ESPN 2) Wisconsin will be able to name their score in this game. Rutgers has yet another coach and I do not see things getting better for this program anytime soon. The Scarlet Knights have played a very easy schedule thus far with both of their losses coming by double digits to Seton Hall & Miami (FL). Wisconsin is better than both of those teams as they returns everybody from a team that reached the Sweet 16 last season. Rutgers is 6-22 ATS in their last 28 Big 10 games. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 conference games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

Paul and Griffin are out. Redick is out too. Raymond Felton, CP3’s backup, is sick. This team seems to be staring a freefall with consecutive losses to the Mavs and Lakers, and now they play a team in a back-to-back situation that is better than both of those clubs. This is also their fourth game in five nights and this team is just worn out. You could see it last night in the Lakers loss. Just don’t see how this team is going to regroup and win against a Nuggets team that has had a couple nights off. And this is a good revenge spot for Denver after they got blown out on this same court less than a week ago. They should go all out for a win tonight, and we think that this is a very easy call.

The Pelicans haven’t been playing well but that has kept the line manageable here and we just think they are a much better team than the Mavericks. We think the Christmas break will help this New Orleans team regroup and that they will play with a lot of effort tonight. Dallas has won two straight and we think they may rest on their laurels a bit here and the Pels should play with more urgency, especially since they have lost to Dallas in two straight meetings. Anthony Davis should have a monster night tonight for New Orleans.

Orlando has played better on the road than at home for whatever reason, and we think that trend will continue tonight. This team is 6-10 at home while 8-8 on the road. They are 4-11-1 ATS at home and 9-7 ATS on the road. Sometimes lousy teams play like this because there is more pressure on them in home games and they aren’t good at handling pressure. Hurting the Magic even more in tonight’s game is the fact that Evan Fournier, their leading scorer, is listed as questionable. This team already stinks on the offensive end and will probably struggle to score against Memphis with him and definitely if they are without him tonight.

Blake Griffin is out. Chris Paul is questionable with a hamstring issue. If he was able to go you have to think Doc Rivers would hold him out as hamstrings can be tricky and linger and if Paul and Griffin are out for any considerable amount of time then the Clips are in real trouble. But even if Paul plays we still like the Lakers tonight. The Clips used to dominate this series but are now 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings. The Clippers have covered in only two of their last seven games and the bench hasn’t been doing too well lately. With Paul hampered or out the role players have a lot more pressure and they can’t play to the best of their ability without the facilitation of Paul. He makes everyone better. We think this will be close whether CP3 plays or not. But if he is out we think the Clippers are on upset alert.

4 Unit Play. #513 Take Illinois State over Tulsa (6 pm ESPN 2) The Redbirds get a chance at revenge from an earlier loss to Tulsa this season. ISU led big in the second half only to give away that game at Tulsa. I expect them to win this game by double digits. The Redbirds have won three of their last four games and when they win they tend to win big. Tulsa is having a rebuilding year and expect them to wear down as the season goes on. Tulsa is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 neutral site games. The public is on Tulsa but the line keeps moving up telling you the wise guy action is on Illinois State.

Best of Luck – No plays on 12/26. 

Portland has really taken a step back this year and they sit at 13-18 on the season after making the playoffs last year and even winning a series. The Spurs suffered a rare loss last night against the Clippers in a game where their shots just didn’t fall. But if they don’t fall for the Spurs one night they probably will the next, and we think this is a great opportunity for them to bounce back. Maybe Pop limits minutes for the starters here. It’s more about the system in San Antonio rather than the players to an extent and they can play well no matter who is on the court and the coach will maximize the potential of those players that are in the lineup. Even though SA is on a back-to-back, this will be the Blazers third game in four nights, so we think it’s a wash pretty much in terms of fatigue.

Charlotte has won three of the last four meetings in this series and they have covered in six of the last seven. They have had two nights off before this game and before their last one they had two nights off, so rest is really in their favor tonight. This team ended a losing streak and has now won two straight so they are playing with confidence right now, and this is a better overall team than the Bulls too. Chicago has lost four of their last five games and they have covered in only two of their last 10. We think the Hornets will cruise to a pretty easy win in this one.

4 Unit Play. #750 Take San Diego State over Tulsa (4:30 pm ESPN 2) We will fade Tulsa once again as San Diego State is starting to play better and getting healthier. They are coming off two straight blowout wins and if they play defense like they are capable of Tulsa will not know what hit them. Tulsa has overachieved of late and they will come crashing down at some point and hopefully that is today. Tulsa is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday. San Diego State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played on Friday. 

The Spurs suffered one of their worst losses of the season to these Clippers, in San Antonio, early in the season. That was a 24-point home loss for San Antonio. That is when the Clippers were playing better than anyone in the league and when the Spurs had some struggles at the start of the season. Now the roles have changed as the Clippers have been struggling and now are dealing with the Injury bug as Blake Griffin is out for around a month and the Spurs have looked like one of the best in the NBA again lately and they ended Houston’s long winning streak last time out. We have no doubt they have had this game circled since that bad home loss and we think they dominate tonight.

4 Unit Play. #538 Take Long Beach State over Colorado State (10 pm) Here we have a 4-10 team favored against an 8-4 team tells me all that I need to know. The Rams have lost two straight games and have not been playing well at the moment. Long Beach played the most difficult nonconference schedule imagined but things will get easier once Big West play opens up. They have won three of their last four games and will win this game tonight as well. Colorado State is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 

4 Unit Play. #544 Take Troy over Cornell (5:30 pm) Just do not see much hope for Cornell this year. They have played some good teams but are 2-7 and only one loss came against a Power 5 team. Five of their seven losses have come by double digits and all seven have come over tonight’s posted number. Cornell is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win in their previous game. 

6 Unit Play. #548 Take Nevada over Santa Barbara (5:30 pm) The Wolf Pack are legit this season and the oddsmakers have not caught up to how good they are. They are the best team in the MWC and already beat Iona this season (a team that just beat the Gauchos by 16 points). UCSB is 1-8 on the season and only one of their 8 losses has been a competitive game. They have been blown out by Omaha, San Diego, and San Francisco, three terrible teams. Nevada can beat you in a variety of ways. UCSB is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games. Nevada is 15-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 21 games as a favorite.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. #746 Take TCU -22 over Bradley (9 pm) This game is more about going against Bradley, one of the worst teams in division one this season. Jamie Dixon has done a good job of changing the culture at TCU in just over a month and they will win this game big. TCU is a perfect 8-0 at home and most of those games have been blowouts. 

4 Unit Play. #776 Take Marquette -24.5 over SIU Edwardsville (8:30 pm FS1) The Eagles do not have a bad loss on the season and they will win this game big. The Cougars have lost five straight games including three in the middle of this losing streak against awful teams. The Cougars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games played on Wednesday.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. #760 Take Oklahoma -6 over Auburn (8:30 pm CBSSN) Bruce Pearl has not been able to get any magic back that he had at Tennessee. Auburn is 8-2 on the season but only a victory against Texas Tech is semi-respectable. Oklahoma has played a much more challenging schedule and they have more weapons that will be able to outscore the Tigers in this game. Auburn is 7-18 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 neutral site games. Oklahoma is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against SEC teams.  

We really like the way this Wizards team is playing and they have now covered in six of their last seven games, winning in five of those contests. This team has had a bad reputation the last couple of seasons and the start of this one for not getting the job done at the betting window and that will keep their spreads manageable if they keep playing well. And that is certainly the case tonight as we think there is some nice value with the underdog here. The Bulls won big last time out against a Detroit team that didn’t show up, but before that they had lost three straight and we can’t help but think that they are a bit overrated right now. The Wizards will put up a much tougher fight than the Pistons did the other night and this should be a competitive game with a real live underdog threatening for the win.

We had the Pistons big on Monday and they played one of the worst games in the NBA this season in a huge blowout loss at Chicago. This team has a lot of ability but they don’t come to play every night. However, we think that this is a great spot for them to show up. For one, that loss was a complete embarrassment and there will be a lot of criticism if they don’t play well here in a very winnable game back at home. The team was called out by Van Gundy in the media, and we think these guys will respond tonight, not to mention that Memphis is on a back-to-back after a really hard-fought game last night vs. Boston that went to OT, so this is a real tough B-2-B against what should be a motivated Pistons team.

We had the Bucks last night as these teams played the first of a home-and-home, back-to-back, and we took a bad beat on Milwaukee as they lost in OT as an underdog. When teams play in series like this you always have to take a hard look at the team that lost the previous night, and we actually like the Bucks even better tonight than last. They showed they can hang with the Cavs, and they will be even more motivated tonight to avoid the sweep at the hands of the best team in the east. We think that the back-to-back situation also eliminates the home-court edge a bit and that the Cavs are normally getting a point or two added to their spread by the bookies each night, and that definitely seems like the case here.

4 Unit Play. #719 Take Kentucky (pk) over Louisville (7 pm ESPN) The Wildcats are sky high at the moment coming off a victory against North Carolina on Saturday. Now they take on a Louisville team that has been playing cupcakes of late. Kentucky owns a 34-15 edge in the series, including an 8-1 mark since coach Calipari took over the program. It will not be easy but expect Kentucky to take care of business and move into the top 3 come next week. 

4 Unit Play. #718 Take Duke -26 over Elon (6 pm ESPN 2) We will ride with Duke again after a terrible performance on Monday against a similar team. Duke could not score against the Tigers but should have more success against the Phoenix on Wednesday in Greensboro. Duke just has too many weapons for this not to be a 30-point game. Elon is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Duke has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game. 

Utah has played the Warriors real tough the last two meetings. They are pretty healthy right now and this will be a good barometer to see where they stack up in the Western Conference hierarchy. We expect them to come to play tonight. The Jazz have only been underdogs of more than eight points twice this season, and they have covered in both of those contests. Meanwhile, the Warriors have not been good at covering big lines as they are 8-14 ATS this season when laying nine or more. We think Utah comes to play and keeps this one within double digits.

4 Unit Play. #566 Take Iowa over North Dakota (9 pm BTN) The Hawkeyes are playing better than they were predicted to do thus far in the season. Iowa has won three straight games and all three of them have been blowouts. The Fighting Hawks have lost two straight games and they have yet to play a Power 5 team this season. North Dakota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

We think that this Bucks team is very underrated. They have had three nights off heading into this game and that is a major advantage as they will be gunning for the world champs big time tonight and that extra rest gives them a real advantage here. The Cavs have been off too, but this is just another game for them while Milwaukee will go all out in this one, and they are coming off a home-and-home sweep over the Bulls so they will be very confident here. Kevin Love is out for Cleveland, so that hurts. And this Cavs team is generally shaded by the oddsmakers and we feel that is the case tonight laying this many on the road to a very solid Bucks team.

Don’t care how well the Rockets have been playing. When you get the Spurs plus points (against anyone but the Warriors) you take it (note: this line moved just before release but we still love the Spurs here laying a point). This team has lost only once on the road this season. They have won and covered four of five in this series. They have the defensive acumen to slow down the Rockets 3-point barrage. They have won eight of nine themselves and we know they can handle a high-pressure situation like this since they have done it so many times in the past. The Rockets have had a couple nights off and that normally hurts momentum for a hot shooting team like this.

5 Unit Play. #558 Take Northwestern over IUPUI (8 pm) Unlike the last couple of years where the Wildcats were overhyped this team has a legitimate shot to make the NCAA Tournament this season. This team has won six straight games including hanging on for dear life in their last game over the weekend against Dayton. This is the best team the Jaguars have faced thus far in the season and it will be a double digit loss for them. They have already been blown out by Marquette, Michigan, and Illinois State. IUPUI is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 13 or more points. Northwestern is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. 

These are a pair of offensively-challenged teams, and we have a hard time believing they will total 200 or more in this game. Both these teams are in the Bottom 4 in the NBA for points scored. Orlando has been giving up a lot of points lately, but this is an opponent which they can get back to their strong defense against as the Heat average around 97 points per game. The under is 6-1 in the Heat’s last seven games on one day of rest, and that seems to be the sweet spot for them to step up on the defensive end. We also think the Magic will be competitive here in a very winnable game. We think they are the superior team in this matchup and this line looks off to us.

4 Unit Play. #730 Take USC over Cornell (10 pm PAC-12 Network) The is another game were the Power 5 team will be able to name their score. USC is a perfect 10-0 on the year and they will take out their frustration on the Big Red tonight at the Galen Center. USC struggled to put away Troy last time out and that will be motivation for them to knock out Cornell early. 4 of Cornell’s 6 losses have been blowouts and this is the best team they have faced all season long (they have not played an NCAA Tournament team). Cornell is 3-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games as a big underdog. USC is 19-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 nonconference games. 

We just think that this Hawks team is a good “buy low” squad right now. They have played some bad basketball this month, but we have seen some signs that they are improving lately and they definitely aren’t as bad of a basketball team as we have seen from them at some points this month. We think this is a very winnable game here, and against a public team like OKC we feel the bookies are basically begging the public to take the home team here with this small line. The Thunder have hit a rough patch lately, winning only two of their last five, and one of those wins was against the Suns. Atlanta has been a good underdog team lately and we think that will continue here on Monday as we expect them to win this one straight up.

The Bulls have been a money pit for bettors lately as they have covered in only one of their last eight games. They have lost three straight coming into this one and they played horribly in a back-to-back, home-and-home against the Bucks. Normally when a team loses the first game of those types of series they come back strong the next night, but the Bulls lost by 26 in the second stanza. That isn’t a promising sign for a team. The Pistons have lost two straight and this team has been inconsistent, but we feel they match up well here. They are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings and they beat the Bulls pretty soundly in Detroit earlier this month.

4 Unit Play. #736 Take Duke over Tennessee State (7 pm ESPN 2) Duke is getting healthy and they will be able to name their score tonight at Cameron. Nobody is buying the Tigers 8-2 record, as they were blown out by NC State and Vanderbilt, two shaky teams that will not make the NCAA Tournament. Tennessee State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Duke is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. #530 Take Michigan State over Northeastern (7 pm BTN) The Spartans have not been playing well all season but they will win five straight games before conference play starts and they will win this game by double digits. Most of the Huskies game have come down to the wire and they have yet to face a Power 5 Conference team this year. They will get homered tonight in East Lansing and we will collect in the process as well. Michigan State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played on Sunday. 

4 Unit Play. #766 Take Oregon over UNLV (11 pm ESPN 2) UNLV is in complete rebuild now and this proud program might never get back to even mediocrity. Oregon has not really clicked this season due to injuries and lackluster play but they are still 9-2 on the season and 22nd ranked in the country. They have won seven straight games and have a huge edge playing this game in Portland. UNLV’s last two losses have come by an average of 36.5 points against Duke (Oregon beat them in the tournament last year) and Arizona State (a team Oregon is much better than). The Rebels six wins have come against garbage teams and they will lose this game by at least 20 points. 

Denver has won and covered the last three meetings in this series, and that is the way we think this one is going as well. This is the last game of a long road trip for New York and we think they fall flat in the high altitude of Denver. The Nuggets haven’t played very well lately but they have had an incredibly tough schedule and recently finished a long road trip of their own. But their last game, a home blowout of Portland, was very encouraging, and we think they can build off that momentum here tonight against an overrated Knicks team, which could be missing Derrick Rose tonight.

Houston has been tearing the NBA apart lately and have been playing as well as any team in the league. This is a bad spot for them. They come in on a back-to-back, for a road game no less, and this will be their third game in four nights. The Timberwolves have had a rare three nights off so they have a huge advantage with rest here. And we think they are facing an inflated number as the bookies are starting to adjust on this Houston team. We are starting to see some positive signs from this Timberwolves team. They have covered in two straight and scored a big road win at Chicago last time out. We think this is a solid “buy low” team right now and we had this game handicapped as a PK so we think there is very nice value tonight for our Top Play.

This is an extremely important game for the Hornets in their final game of a five-game road trip. They lost in OT in Boston last night and that makes them 0-4 on this trip so far. They desperately need to win this one to salvage the trip, and if they do lose tonight then that road trip is an utter disaster. Win it and it is just a bad road trip. We think they will go all out for the win here tonight. Both teams come in on a back-to-back so that is even. But the Hawks really expended a lot of energy to win last night at Toronto in revenge of a 40+-point blowout in the previous meeting, and we think the Hornets have more motivation here, not to mention they are a better team. And they should be at full strength tonight with Kemba Walker back in the mix.

10 Unit Play. #784 Take UCLA over Ohio State (3 pm CBS) The Buckeyes have not been playing at a high level since 2013 and they just do not have the talent to keep this game under double digits. Ohio State has played a weak schedule thus far facing only 1 NCAA Tournament team in Virginia and they also have a home loss to Florida Atlantic. UCLA is just a machine this year and they have only had one completive game this year amongst their 11 wins and that was a five point WIN AT KENTUCKY! This team has great size and can beat you in a variety of way scoring 98 points per game (2nd in the country). I believe they are the best team in the country at the moment and they have a major advantage playing this game in Las Vegas, driving distance from Los Angeles. Ohio State is 3-15 ATS in their last 18 neutral site games. UCLA has covered the spread in 8 straight games. Ohio State has some talent but they just do not play well as a unit and that will be their undoing in this game. Coach Steve Alford is getting the fan base off his back in a big way this season and his success continues Saturday as the Bruins move to 12-0 on the year. 

We really don’t think that a team being “due” for a win is a viable handicapping strategy but, that being said, we think LA is due for a win and they have a very beatable opponent tonight. This Lakers team started off the season very strong so we know they can be competitive. These guys are young, though, and they went off the rails a little bit. But we still think that this team will get better as the season progresses, and it’s telling that they are favorites here tonight on the road despite their recent lack of success getting wins. The Lakers have covered four of the last five in this series and we think they are the better team by far here. Also, they have road games at Cleveland and Charlotte coming up next, so if they don’t win here the streak will extend for awhile longer.

Orlando as a favorite? No thanks. Orlando as a big favorite? Double no thanks. This team is 1-8 ATS as a favorite this season. They have been more than solid as an underdog when teams normally let down against them, but when they are the hunted team they have mostly fallen flat on their face. Brooklyn has covered five of their last six games and this team is playing above its expectations this season. They come into this one with a lot of confidence after beating the Lakers straight up last time out. We expect this to be a close game and might sprinkle a little on the Nets moneyline if it gets higher close to gametime.

The Spurs played a strong game last night against Boston, now they have to head on the road for a back-to-back against a much lesser opponent, and we think this is a prime letdown spot for them. The Suns are a real feisty team. Despite an 8-17 SU record they are 13-11-1 ATS, and this is the type of team you want to look for in NBA handicapping. They have room to improve on that ATS record as well, but we think they have value in this game as they are coming into this one very confident after playing well in three straight games (two wins and one OT loss).

We like this young Bucks team. They have some real talent here. They don’t always get it done at the betting window or on the court, but they have a lot of potential if you pick your spots, and we think this is a great spot for them tonight. They have lost three straight so they will play really hard here in order to avoid a four-game slide. They also have a rare national TV showcase in Milwaukee and will want to take advantage. The Bulls are on TNT all the time so this is just another game. But for Milwaukee this will be a big deal and they already have a great home-court advantage. The Bucks are 3-1 ATS as a small favorite this season.

The Pacers have five more wins on the season than do the Pelicans but New Orleans got off to a horrible start to the season but right now we think this is a much better team than the Pacers. New Orleans hasn’t played that well lately but they have had a difficult schedule. They looked really good last time out against Golden State, however, and most importantly this team played with an incredible amount of fire in that game. We don’t think “day of the week” trends mean much, except for the Thursday games since that is a unique day in the NBA week. And the Pels are 5-1 ATS in their last six Thursday games while the Pacers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11!

4 Unit Play. #536 Take Nevada over UC Irvine (10 pm) The Wolf Pack have yet to lose a game at home and expect them to take care of business tonight against the Anteaters. Nevada has had some sluggish starts against inferior teams but they tend to turn it on in the second half. Five of Irvine’s six losses have come by double digits and tonight will be no different. Irvine is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against MWC teams. Nevada is 14-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 18 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

The Pistons were blown out last time out at home vs. Philly. That is a bad loss. And, yes, this team is inconsistent. But it’s because of that loss that we think that Detroit will perform well here. They have had two nights off and should be fresh and they should be focused to put that bad loss in the rearview mirror. And they certainly face a beatable opponent tonight. Dallas has as many wins at home this season as Detroit has on the road. The Pistons have also covered in five of the last seven meetings in Dallas. We expected this line to be over 7 so we are very happy to have seen this released on the other side of the key NBA betting number tonight.

The Lakers have won three straight in this series and we think this is a great spot for them to get another win on Wednesday. LA has lost seven straight and hasn’t been playing that well. But this is a very winnable game for them and they will go all out to avoid extending the winning streak. They play at Philly on Friday, so this is actually a chance to start a winning streak. LA has almost as many wins on the road as the Nets do at home, and we think the wrong team is favored tonight. This is the first time the Nets have been favored all year and we suspect they won’t fare well in the favorite role.

We think that this is a real tough spot for the Magic. They are coming in on a back-to-back after a lot of running and gunning against Atlanta last night in one of the highest scoring games of the season (we had the under there, whoops on that one!). Orlando hasn’t been good on back-to-backs as they are 2-3 ATS and they allow well over their season average on defense. A fatigued team that hasn’t been playing good defense is not a good situation for the home team tonight as the Clippers are pretty well rested having played only two games in the last six nights. Orlando has allowed 116 or more in four of their last five games. This team was pretty good defensively earlier in the season but they haven’t been lately while their offense has been playing better so the over is an easy call here too. But the Clippers can probably pick their score on offense and with the way Orlando has been protecting the basket and with them being on a back-to-back they can probably pick their score tonight.

We just think that this Suns team is underrated right now and we like them as a home dog against the Knicks in a clear letdown spot for New York. They have played the Cavs and Lakers in two of their last three games and now they face the lowly Suns and you just have to think that with the makeup of this team that this will be a good letdown spot for the team. They have been playing well lately but the odds are starting to get inflated higher than the talent on the court would indicate. The Suns are 4-0 ATS at home against teams with winning records and we think they some to play tonight against another top opponent.

4 Unit Play. #722 Take Memphis over Monmouth (9 pm ESPN 3) The Hawks have been playing bums over the last couple of weeks improving their record to 8-2 on the season. Now they head to Memphis to face a talented team that will only get better under new coach Tubby Smith. Memphis is a perfect 6-0 at home this season and all of their seven victories have come by more points than tonight’s posted number. Dedric Lawson is the reigning player of the week in the American Conference and expect another big night out of him. Memphis has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games against MAAC teams.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

6 Unit Play. #724 Take Eastern Washington over Morehead State (9 pm) Any bet against Morehead State is a good one since they have coaching issues now. The Eagles have lost six straight games and they are playing another Eagles team that has won six straight games. Morehead State is 0-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 8 games overall. Eastern Washington is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

These teams have played twice already this season and the Pelicans covered in both meetings. And now they have a better team with Holiday back in the mix. The Warriors have had a busy schedule and this is their eighth game already this month and you can tell by the last few games that this team looks worn out as they were blown out by Memphis and failed to cover against Minnesota and Utah in their last three. We think Anthony Davis will have a huge game here on Tuesday night and he will help his team to a cover against a lackadaisical Warriors team tonight.

The Kings normally fare well ATS in this series with a 13-5-2 mark in the last 20 meetings. We think that this line is a bit too large tonight and we expect a competitive game here. The Kings come in on a back-to-back after a home loss to New York but this team has been really good on bounce-back situations as they are 8-1 ATS after a loss and 5-0 ATS after an ATS loss. We just don’t like the Jazz laying big points like this as this team is banged up right now (Sacramento has a clear injury sheet) and they really haven’t played up to expectations yet.

Golden State has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. We know the Warriors think of Memphis as a rival and we expect their best effort here. The Grizzlies have been playing a lot better than we expected this year but this team is still down from what we have seen in the past from this club. We think the bottom will fall out soon and that they will start dropping a lot of games. This one sure looks like a mismatch to us. The Warriors are starting to look like the team that was best ATS in the NBA last season and they are well rested after Friday off and we don’t see any problems for them here. Look at who Memphis has played in their current 5-game winning streak: Orlando, LA Lakers, New Orleans, Philadelphia, Portland. They face a big step up in competition tonight.

We think the Blazers are a bit underrated right now. These teams have similar records but Indiana is doing what they are supposed to do and maybe even overachieving a bit while Portland has disappointed a bit and seems to be figuring things out on the court. But we think that this Blazers team is a lot better overall than Indiana. Portland has been a bit streaky as they won three straight and dropped the next two. But they had better get the win tonight because the Clippers and OKC are on deck for this team so this is their best chance for a win and to avoid a longer losing streak. We think they get the job done tonight.

7 Unit Play. #566 Take Marshall -4.5 over Toledo (7 pm) The Thundering Herd are just a different animal at home and they will win this game by double digits. Marshall is 5-0 at home and all five of those victories have come over today’s posted number. That includes a 10-point victory over Ohio, handing the Bobcats their only loss on the season. Toledo has lost three of their last four games (all of them home games) and Marshall is a much better team than Wilmington, Green Bay, and Detroit. This Rocket team has expected to challenge in the MAC but they have not lived up to their reputation thus far. Toledo is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games. Marshall is 11-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 home games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

10 Unit Play. #553 Take Oklahoma State over Tulsa (5 pm CBSSN) Anything can happen in any game but this is just a complete mismatch in talent and I see a double-digit victory for the visitor. Tulsa is in a complete rebuild and were down big to Illinois State this week before a late rally got them a victory. That will not be the case today and I feel they will struggle to even get the ball into the front court against this constant pressure from the Pokes. All three of Tulsa’s three losses have come by double digits and they have yet to record a quality victory on the season. Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 nonconference games. Tulsa is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games. 

4 Unit Play. #537 Take Wisconsin over Marquette (2 pm FS1) Marquette has improved this season but they are not ready to take down Wisconsin in this marquee in-state match-up. Wisconsin also have revenge in this game as Marquette won last year at the Kohl Center when the Badgers were in transition with Bo Ryan about ready to call it quits. Wisconsin won the most recent meetings at the Bradley Center by 11 points and they just have too many weapons for Marquette to stop. Marquette is 7-2 this season but they have yet to beat an NCAA Tournament team in those seven victories. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Marquette is 10-26 ATS in their last 36 home games. 

We just really like the Rockets this year and think they are clearly the better team in this matchup. This team is among the best betting teams in the NBA this season at 15-7 ATS, and the reason they are so good at covering is taking care of business in games like this, which they have done many times this season. Houston has also owned this series ATS, covering in seven straight meetings. There are some teams in the NBA that just cover almost automatically against certain opponents, and we think that this is a very weak number for Friday as we had this line at Houston -4.5. OKC is getting all the hype because of Russell Westbrook and his awesome Triple Double run, but Houston is the more complete team and we think they continue their road success tonight where they have as many wins as the Thunder so at home (9-5 on the road this season).

The Bulls have lost three straight but they just went through a brutal stretch of four games in five nights. But they have had a night of rest here and we think that will do them wonders. The Spurs have yet to lose a game on the road this season. That isn’t going to last, and we think they could slip up here. The Spurs have been playing great basketball, but they have covered only one of their last five games, which tells us that their lines are becoming too inflated. We had this game handicapped at PK with a lean to Chicago, so great value here tonight. Chicago is a solid 5-3 ATS at home this season and they have been a solid ATS team at 12-9 despite a recent ATS slide. But we think they will be hyped for this game and play their best game in awhile and we think they have a great chance for the straight up win here. They have covered in three of the last four meetings and they won the last two in Chicago.

We just think that this is a bad spot for the Warriors on Thursday night. They are coming off a Wednesday game against the Clippers, their most hated rival. They played a real strong game against the Clippers last night and now they travel here to a Utah team that will be going all out for the win and had the night off Wednesday. This line looks inflated to us, like most of the Warriors lines are, and we think this might be a spot for a slip up after an intense effort at Staples Center on Wednesday night. You also have to wonder why Steve Kerr kept the starters in so long last night when the game was well in hand. We think that will hurt the visitors tonight against a rested team. Utah played the Warriors tough in Utah last year and we expect the same kind of effort tonight.

We like the Clippers this season and have taken them a lot so far during our hot start to the season. But we still think the Warriors are a lot better team and it’s real rare to get them with this low of points as we see this line here tonight. These teams don’t like each other. Everyone is saying this season how maybe the Clips have supplanted the Warriors as the top team in the west and how they are the only team with the capabilities to beat Golden State in the playoffs. Golden State really enjoys beating up on the Clippers without any extra motivation, but give this team a chip to put on their shoulder and we think their A Game will come out tonight. They always seem to give their best effort against LAC and they really have the ability to get into their heads. Yes, the Clippers bench is better than that of the Warriors but we still think the starters for Golden State are much better and in better form right now as well. The Clips have two more losses at home than the Warriors do on the road. The Clippers haven’t covered in four straight here at Staples Center. The Warriors have won six straight in this series and we think they will be very motivated tonight, and if both teams bring their A Games we think Golden State covers this number pretty easily.

4 Unit Play. #745 Take Creighton over Nebraska (9 pm Big 10) This is just a complete mismatch in talent. Nebraska will be pumped for this in-state game but Creighton just has too many weapons and sooner or later they will go on a run and put this game out of reach. Coach Tim Miles really slows down the pace of the game and that frustrates his players on offense and does not allow them to reach their full ability. Creighton is 8-0 on the season and all of their eight victories have come over tonight’s posted number. They have yet to have a competitive game this season. Creighton is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 nonconference games. Nebraska is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against Big East teams. 

4 Unit Play. #786 Take Montana over San Jose State (9 pm) No bet against San Jose State is ever a bad bet. Montana has struggled playing a brutal schedule this season but they righted the ship their last time out and their third victory of the season will come tonight. The Spartans have played better of late but this is a game Montana just needs more. The line movement early Wednesday tells us we are on the right side and this will be a double-digit victory for the home team.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

We think this Bucks team is a bit underrated right now. A one-point loss to the Spurs at home is their only blemish on the season so far and the Spurs haven’t even lost a road game this season so that is a pretty impressive result even though they lost. They also beat the Cavs here during that recent stretch. Portland has been playing better but this team isn’t very good on the road and we thought this line should be closer to 4.5 and think there is some nice value here on Wednesday night. Milwaukee has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings and we think that is the direction this one is going in as well.

4 Unit Play. #741 Take Illinois State over Tulsa (8 pm ESPN 3) The Golden Hurricanes are coming unglued, a common practice under Coach Frank Haith. They are 3-3 on the season and all three of their losses have come by double digits. The Redbirds have won three straight games including a victory against New Mexico over the weekend. This team shares the basketball well averaging over 16 assists per game and I see them pulling away late to win this game comfortably. Tulsa is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. ISU has covered five straight games on Wednesday. 

10 Unit Play. #558 Take Duke over Florida (9:30 pm ESPN) Duke has already lost once at the Garden this season and I just do see them losing a pair of nonconference games. The Blue Devils are starting to get healthy and will only improve as more players come available from their roster. Florida is off to a strong start this season at 7-1 but this will be their toughest test of the season thus far. The Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against ACC teams. The Blue Devils have yet to record a quality win this season (Michigan State does not count) so it is important that they take care of Florida and I expect them to do it by double digits. 

The Bulls are a very average 6-6 away from home this season while the Pistons have been excellent on their home court at 7-3. The Bulls are slumping right now. They got blown out in Dallas and then laid an egg last night as a decent favorite at home to Portland. This will be their fourth game in five nights and a back-to-back, not a good recipe for a slumping team to get back on the winning track. Detroit has won five of their last seven and they have covered in all the wins. They have also played well against the Bulls, covering in six of the last seven meetings between these clubs. We think that this spread is way too low.

4 Unit Play. #520 Take Michigan State over Youngstown State (7 pm ESPN U) Sooner or later Michigan State will get it together and rattle off a winning streak. After a brutal schedule to start the season they now have five home games in a row and they will win all five of them. Youngstown has yet to play a game against a power 5 conference and they will be in for a rude awakening tonight at the Breslin Center. Youngstown State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Michigan State is 24-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 33 home games as a favorite of 13 or more points. 

Portland hasn’t been playing great the last couple weeks but they should have some renewed confidence after winning two straight and we think this is a solid “buy low” team right now. Chicago has lost three straight as a favorite and we think there is an excellent chance they lose this one, too. At the very least we think this will be a close, competitive game and the underdog should have no problem cashing this ticket. Portland is well rested as this will be just their second game in December and we think they will come up with some offense here on the road.

Paul Millsap is questionable here for the Hawks but we think they get the job done regardless if he plays or not. The Thunder have been winning and the Hawks have been losing, but the bookies have given the Thunder too much respect here on the road. Atlanta has had a real road-heavy schedule lately and they are coming off two blowout losses and we think they give their best effort here in order to get back on the winning track. It doesn’t take long for the Thunder to get back to public team status when they win, and we think that there is some real solid line value here as a result.

The Nuggets have as many wins on the road as Philly does at home, and we expect Denver to take care of business here tonight. Denver has lost three straight, but all those teams were a lot better than the Sixers and we think that the Nuggets will give their best effort against a very beatable opponent in order to get back on track. We think Denver is really underrated by the bookies and we had this line around 7 so we think there is solid line value tonight.

Portland is a very public play tonight but we will side with the sportsbooks in this one. The Blazers can score, but they can’t defend. But defense is what Miami does so well, and the Heat will be able to keep this one within striking distance on the strength of their defense. The Heat have actually scored 100+ in four straight games, so we think they can hang offensively here tonight. The same probably can’t be said for the Blazers defense. This Portland team is just not very good right now and they have covered in just three of their last 10 games. We expect a very close game here, and either way we should be fine getting this many points.

4 Unit Play. #807 Take Colorado over Portland (10 pm) The Buffaloes are coming off their worst loss of the season getting pounded by their in-state rival Colorado State. Now they are on the road and expect them to take out their frustrations against the Pilots. Colorado is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against WCC teams. 

Dallas has covered and won in three of the last four meetings in this series. This is a real bad spot for the Bulls, They beat the Cavs last night and gave everything they had in that game. We feel it will be tough for them to come out with fire against this lesser opponent. Dallas is playing hard every night and they have covered in three straight games. We feel they will challenge for the win tonight against a weary Bulls squad.

Many of the key players are out here for Memphis, and this line is more because of the recent reputations of these teams than the teams they will field on the court tonight. The Lakers are on a back-to-back after getting blown out in Toronto, but this team is young and proud and we don’t think they will play bad two nights in a row. Especially with such a winnable game here. The Lakers are 7-3-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series and we think they have a great chance for the straight up win here.

4 Unit Play. #794 Take Bradley over Nevada (8 pm ESPN 3) Nevada has struggled to put together two strong halves of play and I just do not see a blowout in this true road game. The Wolf Pack is without Elijah Foster and this will be their second true road game of the season. Their only other road game they lost by 18 points to Saint Mary’s. The Braves have played a weak schedule thus far but I just do not believe Nevada is good enough to by laying this many points on the road. Bradley has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 home games. Nevada is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against MVC teams.