Sports Picks & Predictions

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Angels offense has woken up in a big way over the last few weeks. Mike Trout may be the best leadoff man in baseball already, and he makes a huge difference for this offense. Albert Pujols is hitting like everyone expected him to, and Mark Trumbo is having a breakout season. Jake Arrieta has been blown up on multiple occasions already this year. Arrieta has a 5.81 ERA on the season. Garrett Richards has been good this year, but his 1.50 WHIP tells me he is playing with fire. The Orioles have a pretty good offense, and this total is set low. The over is 7-0 in the Angels last 7 against the AL East. The over is 8-1-1 in the Angels last 10. The over is 8-1 in the Orioles last 9 vs. the AL West. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League. Freidrich may end up being a good pitcher, but it seems he isn't quite ready just yet. He has a 1.59 WHIP and I think the Cardinals will take advantage of their scoring chances here. Lance Lynn was great earlier this year, but he has a brutal 9.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lynn was pitching over his head earlier this year, and the Rockies offense is pretty good. The weather (97 degrees and a slight wind out to center) should help quite a bit. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins are playing very good baseball right now. Justin Verlander shut them down yesterday, but he shuts down everyone. The Twins had won five in a row before that game. The offense is clicking right now, and the team is finally healthy. Scott Diamond is a very good young pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are 8-3 in his last 11 starts, including 5-1 in his last 6 starts as an underdog. The Tigers continue to be overvalued by the oddsmakers. This team just doesn't have good chemistry, and Rick Porcello is no better than mediocre at this stage in his career. The value is too much to pass up here. Take the Twins.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jeremy Guthrie has been terrible as a starter this year. Guthrie has an ERA of 13.50 in his last three starts. The Cardinals have the best offense in the National League. Adam Wainwright has a 5.40 ERA at home this year, and he seems to be struggling to recover from his elbow surgery last year. The Rockies have an offense that is fully capable of piling up the runs in bunches. The weather here will be very favorable to the over. A game time temperature of 100 degrees with low humidity should be great for the ball to be flying well. The over is 8-1 in the Rockies last 9 against the NL Central. The over is 5-1-1 in Guthrie's last 7 starts. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Josh Johnson is rounding into form of late. Johnson started the season struggling, but he has been great in his last ten games. In his past ten starts, Johnson hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a single game. The Marlins lost a tough game yesterday against the Brewers, but they have the major pitching advantage in this one. Randy Wolf has been inconsistent all year. Wolf has a 5.78 ERA and a terrible 1.59 WHIP this year. The Marlins offense should be able to make him pay for allowing so many base runners. The Marlins are 8-3 in Johnson's last 11 starts. Take Miami.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cliff Lee's winless season so far has gotten plenty of publicity, but the oddsmakers continue to give him tons of credit. Lee should certainly have several wins, but he has actually pitched quite poorly of late. Lee has a 7.71 ERA in his last three starts. The Mets continue to surprise, and I still don't think the oddsmakers are giving them enough credit this season. Chris Young has a solid 3.3 ERA this season. The Phillies are 0-7 in their last 7 road games. The Phillies are 0-5 in Lee's last 5 starts. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. Take the Mets.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals offense is on fire right now. With Jon Jay back in the lineup and a healthy Matt Holiday smashing the ball, the Cardinals are piling up the runs on a consistent basis. In 5 of their last 10 games, the Cardinals have scored at least 8 runs. Jeff Francis is a guy I like to fade or play the over with. He has been bad in the past, and no team even wanted him at the beginning of the year. The Cardinals score more than 5 runs per game against lefties. On the other side, the Rockies can put up the runs as well. Joe Kelly doesn't go deep into the game, and Colorado should be able to get to him some. The over is 8-0 in the Rockies last 8 against the NL Central. The over is 7-0-1 in the Cardinals last 7 with a total set at 9-10.5. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The New York Yankees are playing as well as anyone in baseball right now. The Yankees have a great combination of a terrific offense and a great defense. The Yankees have committed just 36 errors all year. Tampa Bay has committed 66 errors already this year. Ivan Nova is a streaky pitcher, and he has been great of late. He has allowed just 5 earned runs in his last 5 games. The Rays offense has been brutal of late and they are very short-handed right now. James Shields has a 1.40 WHIP this year, and I think the Yankees will get to him. The Yankees are 12-0 in Nova's last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. New York is 7-0 in their last 7 against a right-handed pitcher. The Yankees are 6-0 in Nova's last 6 starts against Tampa Bay. Take the Yankees big!

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Washington Nationals have cooled off a bit of late, but I do think this team has staying power. The Nationals pitching staff has the best ERA in baseball, and this team knows how to win close games. Jordan Zimmerman is one of the more underrated pitchers in the majors right now. Zimmerman hasn't received much run support, but he has a 2.77 ERA on the year. Tim Lincecum pitched a great game last time out, but that was against the lowly Dodgers offense. It is going to take more than one outing against a bad offense for me to be convinced he is completely back. The Giants are 2-9 in his last 11 road starts. Take Washington here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* Jarrod Parker is one of the best young pitchers in Major League baseball. Parker has been brilliant at home this year, and the Red Sox lineup is beat up right now. Dice-K has looked decent in his first few starts for the Red Sox this year, but he continues to have trouble getting past the 5th inning. Boston's bullpen is terrible, and him leaving the game early hurts the team's chances. Oakland isn't a terrific team, but they are scrappy and tough to beat at home. The Athletics are 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are only 4-10 in their last 14 games at Oakland. I like the young pitcher to beat the big name pitcher here. Take Oakland.

*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Josh Outman starts in this one for the Rockies. Outman has an ERA well above 9 this season. St. Louis bats .271 against left-handed pitchers, and I expect them to get to Outman early in this matchup. Not only is Outman a poor starting pitcher right now, but he also doesn't go deep in the game at all. The Rockies bullpen is one of the worst in all of baseball. Kyle Lohse has an ERA below 3 this year, and while I expect the Rockies to score some here, it is hard to see them keeping up with the Cardinals. This looks like a mismatch all over the board. Look for St. Louis to jump on the Rockies here. Take the Cardinals -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Outman starts in this one for the Rockies. Outman has an ERA well above 9 this season. St. Louis bats .271 against left-handed pitchers, and I expect them to get to Outman early in this matchup. Not only is Outman a poor starting pitcher right now, but he also doesn't go deep in the game at all. The Rockies bullpen is one of the worst in all of baseball. Colorado was shut out yesterday, but this is a team that generally scores quite a few runs, especially against left-handed pitchers. Kyle Lohse has been great this year, but he has struggled a bit in his last few starts. The over is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5. The over is 4-0 in Outman's last 4 starts. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games with a total set at 9-10.5 runs. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* It's no secret that the Milwaukee Brewers have been nearly unbeatable with Zack Greinke on the mound at home. Greinke is undefeated in the past year and a half at home. The team is an amazing 22-1 in his last 23 home starts. Greinke has a sparkling 1.08 ERA at home this year. Carlos Zambrano started the season well, but he has been very shaky of late. Zambrano is a streaky pitcher who is dangerous to back when he is pitching poorly. The Brewers aren't the team many expected they'd be, but I still expect them to finish the season with a solid record at home. The Marlins are 1-10 in their last 11 meetings with the Brewers. Take the Brewers -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Total Error* Ricky Romero was terrific last season, but he hasn't been himself this year. Romero has a 4.94 ERA in 2012. Fortunately for him, the Blue Jays have been piling up runs when he is on the mound. He has managed to go 8-2 despite his poor ERA. Everett Teaford has only pitched 60 innings in his big league career, and most of those have been out of the bullpen. Both teams hit left handers pretty well. The over is 6-0 in Romero's last 6 home starts. The over is 4-0 in the Blue Jays last 4 games. I believe the oddsmakers have given us a solid value in this one. Take the over.

3 Star MLB Major Mismatch- The Texas Rangers have the best offense in all of baseball. This is a lineup that has punished left handers the last couple years. Travis Blackley doesn't have great stuff, and I suspect he'll be in for a long night. Darvish has the stuff to shut down the Athletics weak offense. It's a mismatch here. Take Texas -1.5.

3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash- The Los Angeles Dodgers offense badly misses Matt Kemp. When Andre Ethier went down this week it really crushed this already short handed offense. Johan Santana hasn't been great of late, but he should be able to slow down this Dodgers offense. The Mets are still being underrated by the oddsmakers. Take the Mets.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* R.A. Dickey allowed no earned runs in 5 straight games before the Yankees got to him in his last start. The knuckle-baller should find more success against a very weak Dodgers lineup in this one. Without Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier, the Dodgers offense simply isn't very good. The Mets have surprised quite a few people this year, and their offense is respectable. Many of the Mets hitters have terrific career stats against Aaron Harang. The Dodgers started the season red hot, but they are in the middle of a major tailspin right now. The Dodgers are 0-7 in their last 7 when scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. The Mets are 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts as a favorite. Take the Mets big!

*3 Star MLB Ace Showdown* It would be tough to find a better pitching matchup than Verlander vs. Price. Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball right now. His win/loss record isn't as impressive as last year, but his ERA is almost exactly the same. Price has been pretty good this year, but he has benefited from strong offensive support from the Rays. Without Matt Joyce and Evan Longoria in the lineup, the Rays simply don't have much pop in the middle of the order. Austin Jackson, Miguel Cabrera, and Prince Fielder are all hitting the ball extremely well right now. The Tigers have the much better lineup. Take Detroit.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Cliff Lee hasn't won a game this year. While Lee has a solid 3.7 ERA for the season, he has been shaky in his last 3 starts. The Phillies don't give him run support, and they have to deal with Josh Johnson in this contest. Johnson started the season slowly, but he is regaining his old form. Johnson hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 9 starts. Both of these teams are playing very bad baseball right now, but I like Johnson's recent form more than Lee's. The Marlins are 36-15 in Johnson's last 51 home starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in Lee's last 4 starts. I like the value on the Marlins in this one.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Los Angeles Angels started the season off poorly, but they are playing great baseball of late. Albert Pujols went 4-4 last night, and he has been as hot as anyone in baseball over the last few weeks. Mike Trout is a sensational rookie center fielder for the Angels. Trout leads the team in batting average and stolen bases, and he has become a real spark for the lineup. Carlos Villanueva hasn't started a game all year, and in his career he has never proven to be an effective starting pitcher. Angels are 12-1 in their last 13 as a road favorite. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in Villanueva's last 5 as an underdog. Take the Angels.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Los Angeles Dodgers held their own for quite a while without Matt Kemp, but the offense has been mierd in a major slump of late. The news got even worse yesterday for the Dodgers' offense. Andre Ethier left yesterday's game with an injury, and is listed as doubtful for this contest. Without Kemp or Ethier, the Dodgers lineup is extremely weak. Chris Young and Chris Capuano are both decent pitchers, but the Mets have the clear lineup advantage in this game. The Dodgers are reeling right now and I see lots of value right now on the Mets. The Dodgers are 0-6 in their last 6 games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. The Mets are 4-1 in Young's last 5 road starts. Take the Mets.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The San Diego Padres is probably the worst team in Major League baseball right now. San Diego is just 11-24 on the road this season. While the Astros aren't a particularly good team they are 22-18 at home this year. Clayton Richard has pitched well of late for the Padres, but he struggles on the road. Richard has a 4.8 ERA away from home. Lucas Harrell has an ERA under 2.5 at home this year. The Astros are 11-2 in their last 13 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Padres are 2-6 in Richards last 8 road starts. Take Houston.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Tim Lincecum has been an 'over' machine this year. The over is 8-2 in his last 10 starts. The oddsmakers continue to throw out low lines on his games despite the fact that he has an ERA above 6 this season. Chad Billingsley has an ERA above 5 in his last 3 starts. This ballpark is definitely a pitcher's park, but the ball does fly pretty well in day games. The over is 6-0 in Billingsley's last 6 starts following a loss by the team the night before. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 7-0 in the Giants last 7 when facing a starter with a WHIP over 1.3. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB TKO* Jarrod Parker is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Parker has completely shut down several teams already this year. The Seattle offense is one of the weakest in the American League, and I suspect Parker will pitch well against them. Kevin Millwood has been a bit inconsistent this year, but he has fared well against poor offenses. Oakland's team batting average is just 2.24 which is the worst mark in the majors. Two solid pitchers against two poor offenses makes me like the value of the under. Take the under.

*5 Star MLB Top Play Total* It's very rare for me to play a total this low, but I like this one so much I made it a rare 5 Star Top Play. Ryan Vogelsong has been money in the bank for 'under' bettors over the last couple years. The under is 29-10 in his last 39 starts. Clayton Kershaw has absolutely shut down the Giants in his young career. Both offenses struggle to score, and this has all the makings of a very low scoring game. The under is 20-3 in Vogelsong's last 23 home games. The under is 10-1 in Kershaw's last 11 Tuesday starts. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 against the Giants. Take the under big.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* Justin Vargas is a much better pitcher at home. Last year he really broke out at home, and he has been pretty good at Safeco again this year. Oakland's lineup is even weaker than the Mariners lineup. Travis Blackley had a great start last time out, but I think he's shown in the past that he isn't a legitimate major league pitcher in the long run. Vargas is the much more talented lefty here. The value on the home team is too much for me to pass up here. Take the Mariners.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Kip Wells will make the start in this one for the San Diego Padres. It says a lot about the Padres rotation that they had to sign Wells, who hasn't pitched in the majors since 2009. Wells wasn't any good in the majors then, and I don't expect him to have any luck now either. Jordan Lyles is far from dominating, but he has been better over his last few outings. The Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Padres have the worst team in baseball right now, and they are starting Kip Wells. Take Houston.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Yu Darvish is now the Texas Rangers ace. He has proven he has absolutely dominating stuff. The Detroit Tigers offense is pretty free-swinging and that will hurt them against a guy like Darvish. Drew Smyly has been good this year, but the Rangers feast on left-handers. Smyly is still recovering from a severe blister and he might not be himself here. The Rangers are 6-0 in Darvish's last 6 home starts. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 at Texas. This one should get ugly. Take Texas -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* C.J. Wilson has been terrific this year for the Angels. His consistency on the mound has really helped this team make the push they have over the last month or so. Wilson has a great 2.13 ERA on the road this season. Brian Matusz is a talented lefty for the Orioles who doesn't quite have it all together just yet. He has all the pitches, but he sometimes struggles with command. The under is still 11-1 in his last 12 starts. The under is 5-0 in Wilson's last 5 road starts. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* This is a classic pitching mismatch. Stephen Strasburg is one of the most dominant young pitchers in baseball. Jeff Francis wasn't even signed by a major league team at the beginning of the season. Francis never had dominating stuff, and he has gotten worse with age. The Nationals don't have a strong lineup, but I still think they can score several runs against Francis as Coors Field. The Rockies have a solid offense, but without Tulowitzki, they are less imposing. The Nationals ave the best pitching staff in baseball. The Rockies have the worst pitching staff in baseball. The pitching mismatch is too much to overlook. Take Washington -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Jake Peavy has been a major cash cow on the road this year. Peavy is 3-1 with a 1.67 ERA on the road so far in 2012. The White Sox have been one of the best road teams in the majors all year. Francisco Liriano used to be a dominant pitcher, but he isn't anymore. He has looked better of late, but it hasn't been against good lineups. I believe Peavy gives the White Sox a large edge in pitching here. The Twins have the worst record in the American League. Minnesota took 2 of 3 from Cincinnati, but inconsistency has been a major problem for the Twins this year. The White Sox are 5-0 in Peavy's last 5 starts as a road favorite. Take Chicago.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Miami Marlins broke out of a slump yesterday. For the first time in 25 games, they scored more than 5 runs. The Marlins offense should improve as the season goes along, but I don't think one game will solve all their issues. St. Louis has had the best offense in the National League all year. With Jon Jay and Matt Holiday both healthy, the Cardinals have a tough line up to deal with. Ricky Nolasco hasn't been very good this year, and I think he'll struggle against the Cardinals deep lineup. The Cardinals are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a scoring output of 5 runs or more. Take the Cardinals.

*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* R.A. Dickey has five straight outings where he hasn't allowed an earned run. It's pretty amazing how awesome of a run he is on right now. Dickey has thrown back-to-back one hitters. C.C. Sabathia has been his normal consistent self. Sabathia is 9-3 with a solid 3.55 ERA. The Mets don't hit left-handers well. Brian Runge is one of the best under umpires in the business. Runge's large strike zone should help this one a lot. The under is 9-1 in Dickey's last 10 home starts. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 Sunday games. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Revenge* The Colorado Rockies pounded out 11 runs yesterday against the Texas Rangers. Colorado is just 11-22 on the road this year, and it should be tough for them to win back-to-back games against a Texas team that has the best record in baseball. Alex White has a road ERA over 7 and an overall ERA over 6. Matt Harrison has pitched well everywhere this year. The Rangers offense piles up runs in bunches very frequently. The Rangers are 25-8 in Harrison's last 33 starts. This one should get ugly. Take Texas -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Chicago Cubs offense hasn't been good at all this year. Both of these teams busted out with a big offensive game last night, but I think this pitching matchup will lead to a lower scoring game here. Matt Garza has had pretty good success in the past against Arizona. Wade Miley has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball this year. Miley is 8-3 with a 2.30 ERA so far this season. The under is 5-0 in the DBacks last 5 Sunday games. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Chicago Cubs are probably the worst team in baseball right now. The Cubs lineup doesn't string together hits very often, and I think they'll struggle against Ian Kennedy. Kennedy has been rounding into form of late. He had one bad start at Texas, but this Cubs lineup is nothing like Texas. Paul Maholm has an ERA over 6 on the road this year. Arizona is pounding left-handers this year. The DBacks are 7-1 in their last 8 home games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against lefties. Take Arizona -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Yankees offense is one of the best in baseball. It isn't very often that you'll see a Yankees game with a total below 9 unless there is at least one ace on the mound. Ivan Nova and Chris Young are both very inconsistent pitchers. Nova has pitched well of late, but he gives up too many fly balls to be great all the time. Tim McClelland is one of the best 'over' umpires in baseball. He'll pinch the zone on both of these guys, and I think this total is set too low. Take the over here.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Doug Eddings is my single favorite 'under' umpire. Eddings has a huge strike zone, and every year he has more 'under' games than over. A total this high is extremely rare, and with Eddings behind the dish I see plenty of value. Delgado is a pitcher who walks a lot of people, but Eddings should help him. Morales doesn't normally start, but he is a capable pitcher. The under is 8-1-1 in Delgado's last 10 starts. The under is 4-0 in Delgado's last 4 interleague starts. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The San Francisco Giants offense has been in a pretty bad slump of late. The Giants have been shutout twice in the past 10 games. Jarrod Parker is one of the best young pitchers in the game right now. Parker has a stellar 1.59 ERA at home this year. Tim Lincecum isn't the same pitcher he used to be. His velocity is down badly and he has an ERA over 6 this year. It seems strange to say, but Parker is the better pitcher right now in this matchup. The Giants are 0-6 in Lincecum's last 6 on 5 days of rest. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road games. The Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 games at Oakland. Oakland is 7-0 in their last 7 home games against a right-hander. This huge 23-0 angle backs my favorite play of the night. Take Oakland.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Kansas City Royals got off to a bad start this year, but they are playing some very good baseball right now. Kansas City is only 5 games under .500, and they are back in the thick of the AL Central race. The Royals offense is starting to produce the way many believed it would in 2012. Joe Kelly has been decent in his first two major league starts, but his 1.71 WHIP tells me he is flirting with trouble. Vin Mazzaro has been better than expected this year for Kansas City. The Cardinals are 5-12 in their last 17 road games. Take Kansas City.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Miami Marlins have been on some kind of a streak all season. They started the season poorly but then went 21-8 in May. Now the Marlins are 3-13 in their last 16 games. The offense just isn't producing and the bullpen has struggled all year. Ricky Romero hasn't been great of late, but the Blue Jays are tough to beat when he is on the mound. Toronto is 21-7 in Romero's last 28 starts. Anibal Sanchez has struggled of late. He has a 6.62 ERA in his last 3 starts. The oddsmakers are giving us a very generous price on Toronto here. Take the Blue Jays.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Jeff Francis starts this game for the Colorado Rockies. Francis didn't even have a job at the beginning of the year since no major league team wanted him, but the Rockies picked him up after the team badly needed some starting pitching. Francis has had an ERA around 5 for three straight years before this one. So far this year he has allowed 12 runs in two starts. The Phillies offense is better than most believe. In addition, Vance Worley is one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. The Rockies are 1-11 in their last 12 games, and this is a major pitching mismatch. Take the Phillies -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jeff Francis starts this game for the Colorado Rockies. Francis didn't even have a job at the beginning of the year since no major league team wanted him, but the Rockies picked him up after the team badly needed some starting pitching. Francis has had an ERA around 5 for three straight years before this one. So far this year he has allowed 12 runs in two starts. The Phillies offense is better than most believe. Vance Worley is a solid pitcher, but the Rockies can pile up the runs. The weather should be great for scoring here with a 90 degree temperature and wind out to center. The over is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 home games. The over is 13-3 in Francis' last 16 starts. The over is 6-1 in Worley's last 7 starts. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The Oakland A's are a scrappy team who can be tough to beat at home, but I love the price on the Dodgers in this one. We get a major pitching mismatch at a very reasonable price here. Clayton Kershaw has been the best left-handed pitcher in baseball the last few years. The A's offense is dead last in the majors in team batting average. The Dodgers just continue to win despite missing Matt Kemp. Travis Blackley has never shown the ability to stick with a major league team in his career, and I think the Dodgers can get to him. The Dodgers are 7-1 in Kershaw's last 8 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Oakland is 1-8 in their last 9 games against lefties. Take The Dodgers big!

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jered Weaver will start this game after missing several starts with a lower back strain. Weaver has been virtually unhittable at home this year. In nearly 33 innings, Weaver has an amazing 0.83 ERA at home. Ryan Vogelsong has been underrated by the oddsmakers for a long time. The under is 28-10 in Vogelsong's last 38 starts overall. Vogelsong has 9 straight quality starts. The under is 21-7-1 in Weaver's last 29 starts against a team with a winning record. Look for both pitchers to pitch very well. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Bill Miller is the umpire behind home plate in this one. Miller is one of my favorite under umpires. Getting a number this high with Miller behind home plate is too much for me to pass up. The Cubs offense hasn't been good this season. Gavin Floyd has pitched poorly of late, but he has fared well against the Cubs in his career. Without any extremely warm temperatures or wind blowing out, I don't see why this total should be 10 in this game. I like the value on the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Tommy Hanson and Phil Hughes are both pitching their best right now. Hanson has allowed 2 runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts. Hughes started the season horribly, but he has a 1.69 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Braves offense has been in a major slump as of late. This day game after a night game will likely lead to some stars getting the day off. The under is 6-0 in the Braves last 6. The under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Wandy Rodriguez may be in a bit of a slump of late, but I think this is a very good spot to back him and the Astros. Kansas City is coming off an emotional series win at St. Louis. The Royals are no better than mediocre, and the Astros are 19-14 at home. Wandy Rodriguez has been spectacular at home for several years now, and Luke Hochevar has been one of my favorite pitchers to fade for the past few years. Hochevar has a 6.27 ERA this year. The Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take Houston.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Indians played to a 10-9 final last night. I had the over in that one, and I think the over is the play again in this one. Both bullpens are completely spent right now, and I'm not very impressed with either of these starters. The exact same pitching matchup last week ended in a 12-5 Reds win. The Reds offense is on fire right now, and the Indians are very tough at home. Both pitchers are capable of giving up the big inning. The weather should help with hot temps and winds blowing out. The over is 5-1 in the Indians last 6 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Atlanta Braves offense has been hibernating of late. Atlanta has scored a total of two runs in their last three games. Hiroki Kuroda had a solid 3.43 ERA this year. Tim Hudson has allowed just 2 earned runs in his past 28 innings pitched. These two pitchers met last week and the final was 3-2. Neither of these pitchers give up many long balls. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 games. The under is 5-1 in Kuroda's last 6 starts. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The San Diego Padres may have the worst team in all of baseball. San Diego's line up is dreadful and they don't even have the solid pitching staff they used to have. Jason Marquis was picked up by the Padres because of their lack of depth in their starting rotation. Marquis was lit up earlier this year in Minnesota, and I don't think he has good enough stuff to shut down a terrific Texas lineup. Matt Harrison has had two bad starts this year, but other than that he's been great. The Rangers are 19-7 in Harrison's last 26 road starts. The Padres are 14-41 in their last 55 games against a left-handed pitcher. This one could get ugly. Take the Rangers -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Seattle Mariners lineup is one of the worst in baseball. The Mariners hit just .234 and average 3.69 runs per game against left-handed pitching. Wade Miley has been one of the most surprising pitchers in all of baseball this year. Miley has a spectacular 2.39 ERA. He has a dazzling 0.57 ERA in his last three starts. Hector Noesi has been hit hard this year, but Arizona's offense hasn't been firing on all cylinders of late. The roof should be closed here, which makes Chase Field a pretty average stadium as far as runs per game. The under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams. I think this total is set too high. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mat Latos hasn't been nearly as good as the Reds would have hoped so far in 2012. Latos has allowed 78 hits in 75 and 2/3 innings. He has a mediocre ERA of 4.64 this year. He gives up far too many long balls, and the weather conditions will be suitable for home runs Monday night. Derek Lowe started the year with an impressive run, but he has regressed in his last few starts. Lowe allows far too many base runners to be highly successful in the long run. He has a ridiculously high 1.53 WHIP. The Reds offense has been much better over the last month. Joey Votto is on fire and Brandon Phillips has been consistently great. The over is 4-1 in the Indians last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in Latos' last 5 games as a favorite. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Adam Wainwright was a terrific pitcher a few years ago and they still may become great again, but he is struggling this year. Wainwright has an ERA above 5 at home this season. Luis Mendoza has a 4.89 ERA this season. He has struggled against the best offenses he has faced. The Cardinals are the highest scoring team in the National League. The weather should help here with 90 degree temperatures and wind blowing out to center field. The over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Zack Greinke has been brilliant at home this year, but he hasn't pitched very well on the road. In fact, Greinke has an ERA slightly above 5 on the road in 2012. The Twins offense has been much better of late thanks to a healthy line up and big production from Trevor Plouffe. Nick Blackburn has an ERA far above 7 in 2012. Blackburn simply doesn't have good enough stuff to put away very many batters right now. The over is 10-1-2 in Greinke's last 13 as a road favorite. The over is 7-0-2 in the Twins last 9 interleague games as an underdog. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Yankees have won eight straight games. The Bronx Bombers offense is clicking once again. Curtis Granderson has 20 homers and Derek Jeter looks like a player in his prime once again. Ivan Nova is 8-2 on the year, largely because the Yankees have backed him with tremendous run support. Nova has only given up one run in his last 15 innings pitched though, so he may be turning the corner. Edwin Jackson has been good this year, but the Yankees have great numbers against him. The Yankees are 10-1 in Nova's last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record. They are 6-0 in their last 6 road games. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games. Take the Yankees.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline VALUE* Josh Johnson is starting to look like the Josh Johnson of old. That is bad news for batters around the majors, but I think that means we can make some cash on him for a while. Johnson has given up 3 runs or fewer in each of his last seven starts. Alex Cobb has a 6.27 ERA in his last three starts. The Rays offense isn't good enough to overcome this pitching mismatch in the Marlins favor in my opinion. The Marlins are 7-1 in Johnson's last 8 starts. The Rays are 1-4 in Cobb's last 5 home starts. Take Miami.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Philadelphia Phillies offense is slightly better than most people realize this year. They actually rank in the top ten in the majors in team batting average. Brett Cecil was terrible in Spring Training, and I'm not convinced he's figured out all his issues. Kyle Kendrick has been an 'over' machine in his career, especially on the road. The over is is 7-1 in Kendrick's last 8 starts as a road underdog. The over is 23-5 in the Phillies last 28 road games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Kevin Millwood left his last start with a groin injury. He's expected to pitch in this one, but I don't think he'll be 100%. Tim Lincecum hasn't just been worse this year, he has been terrible. Lincecum has a ridiculous 7.98 road ERA. The Seattle lineup isn't good, but they have been hitting better of late. San Francisco has a better lineup this year with a healthy Posey and a Melky Cabrera crushing the ball in the middle of the order. The over is 6-0 in the Giants last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 8-1 in the Giants last 9 road games. The over is 4-1 in Seattle's last 5 games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* A.J. Burnett had one horrible start earlier this year, but he has been great in the rest of his outings. Ubaldo Jimenez has a solid 3.38 ERA at home. The Pirates only average 3.27 runs per game against right handed pitching. I think Pittsburgh is the type of team that Jimenez can shut down at home. Both of these pitchers are better than the oddsmakers value them right now. The under is 5-1 in Burnett's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cliff Lee still hasn't gotten a win this year. It isn't that Lee has pitched poorly, but the Phillies simply don't score runs for him. Ricky Romero is an underrated young pitcher for the Blue Jays. Philadelphia has struggled all year against left handed pitchers. The Phillies are 3-8 in Lee's last 11 starts. The Blue Jays are 15-3 in Romero's last 18 home starts. Lee is still getting lots of respect from the oddsmakers, but I think we're getting a good price on the home team here. Take Toronto.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds offense started the season in a funk, but they are hitting the ball in a big way right now. Joey Votto is hitting the ball better than anyone in baseball right now. Brandon Phillips is healthy and swinging the bat extremely well. Dillon Gee has an ERA near 5 at home, and I think the Reds can get to him. Bronson Arroyo started the year well, but he has struggled of late. The over is 7-0-1 in Gee's last 8 home starts. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Colorado Rockies have proven they can hit even away from Coors Field, but they can't pitch well anywhere. Jeff Francis didn't make a major league roster coming out of camp this year, and he looked terrible in his first start. The Tigers offense hasn't been as good as expected, but I think they can hit Francis hard. Casey Crosby wasn't dominant in AAA, and he has had serious issues locating the strike zone in the majors. The over is 5-0 in Francis' last 5 starts. The over is 8-2 in the Rockies last 10 road games. The over is 6-2 in the Tigers last 8. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Yankees and Nationals both come into this game with a 6 game winning streak. Someone has to see their streak end here. The Yankees clearly have the superior offense, but the Nationals have a big edge in starting pitching here. Gio Gonzalez has been one of the most consistent pitchers in all of baseball this season. The Nationals in 6-1 in his last 7 starts. Phil Hughes allows too many base runners and the Nationals offense is improving quite a bit in recent weeks. Take Washington.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we get two pitchers who are struggling with their command pretty badly. Gavin Floyd has a 7.88 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jake Westbrook has a 7.31 ERA in his last three starts. The White Sox average 5.05 runs per game against right-handed pitching. The Cardinals average 5.15 runs per game against right-handers. Both offenses struggled last night, but I think this is a completely different setup. Tim Tschida is one of the best 'over' umpires in the league because of his tiny strike zone, and that will help. The over is 5-0 in Floyd's last 5 starts. The over is 7-1 in Westbrook's last 8 starts. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics don't have much of an offense normally, but they are loving Coors Field. The conditions are great for an 'over' in the afternoon at Coors Field. Alex White and Jarrod Parker are both pitchers who could have a solid future in the league, but I expect them to struggle in this one. Parker gives up too many free passes, while White gives up the long ball too often. The over is 5-1 in Oakland's last 6 games. The over is 7-0-1 in Colorado's last 8 home games against teams with a losing record. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Tampa Bay Rays offense is struggling mightily right now. Tampa Bay hits just .222 against lefties, and they can't be very thrilled to see Johan Santana here. Santana had an off outing against the Yankees last time, but I expect a bounce back start here. Jeremy Hellickson is awesome at home. He has a 1.59 ERA at home this year. On get away day, the lineups may be slightly weaker than normal. The under is 7-0-2 in Hellickson's last 9 starts. The under is 19-3-2 in his last 24 home starts. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Houston Astros started the season playing better than anyone expected, but they are really struggling of late. Houston is without Carlos Lee, and he was really their only veteran solid hitter. Houston is 8-21 on the road this year. J.A. Happ is a pitcher I like to fade when given solid odds. Happ has a WHIP of 1.50, and he allows far too many free passes. The Giants have a better lineup this year with Melky Cabrera in the middle of the order and a healthy Buster Posey. Matt Cain has been the best pitcher in the NL this year. Cain has an amazing 0.83 ERA in his last 3 starts. The Astros are 0-7 in their lats 7 against the NL West. They are 0-9 in Happ's last 9 road starts against teams with a winning record. The Giants are 7-0 in Cain's last 7 starts. Take the Giants -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Jake Peavy has been brilliant this year, especially on the road. The White Sox have a losing record at home, but they are a stunning 18-9 on the road. St. Louis hasn't been playing very well of late, and the White Sox are red hot. Peavy has a 0.97 WHIP this year, which tells me he isn't even pitching into trouble very often at all. Lance Lynn has been good so far this year for St. Louis, but I think he is due for some regression. The White Sox are an amazing 7-0 in their last 7 as a road underdog! They are 6-0 in Peavy's last 6 Interleague starts. The Cardinals are 0-7 in their last 7 against a pitcher with a WHIP under 1.15. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the White Sox.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Luke Hochevar has been downright terrible at home this year. Hochevar has a 10.23 ERA at home in 2012. He has a 6.57 ERA overall this season. Randy Wolf has a 5.45 ERA, and he allows far too many hits and walks to be counted on. Wolf pitches into jams and I think Kansas City can make him pay. The over is 15-4-2 in Hochevar's last 21 starts following a game where he gave up 2 earned runs or less. He is the epitome of inconsistent. Both offenses are better than they have shown, and we have a nice over umpire here as well. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* Adam Wainwright simply hasn't been the same pitcher he used to be so far in 2012. It seems he isn't completely healthy yet. Wainwright has an ERA of almost 5 on the season. The Cardinals are 5-7 in his 12 starts this year, but the oddsmakers have made them a huge favorite over the upstart White Sox here. Jose Quintana has a great 2.05 ERA in 22 innings so far this year. The White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. I would play the White Sox all the way down to +130, so I really like this price. Take Chicago.

*5 Star MLB Top Play Total* Kyle Kendrick and Nick Blackburn are two pitchers I look to fade. They match up against each other here, and I really like the value on the over. Kendrick is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball. He had been on a good streak for a while, but last game he struggled quite a bit. Minnesota is hitting the ball surprisingly well right now. The Twins have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. Nick Blackburn has an ERA of 7.75 this year. The Phillies lineup hasn't been nearly as bad as most people believe. Philadelphia has the fourth best batting average in baseball, and they should get to Blackburn. The over is 8-0 in the Phillies last 8 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 19-3 in Kendrick's last 22 road starts against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in the Twins last 6 Interleague home games. Take the over big!

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Texas Rangers definitely are one of the best teams in baseball, but this price just seems ridiculous to me. Colby Lewis has a career ERA of 5.04 at Arlington Park in Texas. Ian Kennedy finished second in the NL CY Young voting last year, and he has been rounding into form of late. Arizona is now up to 30-30, and I think they are being underrated by the oddsmakers. Texas is just 1-4 in their last 5 games against right-handed pitchers. They are 2-5 in Lewis' last 7 starts. At this price, I like the value DBacks.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Cleveland Indians are having a solid season, but Ubaldo Jaminez has struggled badly on the road. His road ERA is north of 7. St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League. Look for St. Louis to pile up several runs on Jaminez in this one. Joe Kelly will make his Major League debut for the Cardinals in this one. Kelly is a highly touted prospect and he has been pitching great at AAA. I think the Cardinals have the pitching edge as well as a solid home field advantage here. The Indians are 11-28 in their last 39 interleague road games. Take the Cardinals.

*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Washington Nationals have taken the first two games of this series at Fenway Park. Conventional wisdom is that you can't sweep a three-game series in Fenway, but I think that is giving us a ridiculous value here on the Nationals. Jordan Zimmerman has been consistently very good this year. He has a 2.8 ERA and hasn't allowed more than 4 runs in any game this year. Jon Lester has struggled with his command this season. He has an ERA above 6 at home so far in 2012. The Red Sox are 5-11 in Lester's last 16 starts. The Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 against a left-handed pitcher. Take the Nationals here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* A.J. Burnett had one horrible start this year; otherwise, he's been terrific. Burnett has a 1.04 ERA at PNC Park this season. The Pirates are quietly in second place in the NL Central. Bruce Chen is a very inconsistent pitcher, and the Royals are only 2-5 in his last 7 starts. Pittsburgh is 18-11 at home this year, and they have already won the first two games of this series. The Pirates are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. They are also 6-0 in Burnett's last 6 starts. Pittsburgh has the better starting pitcher and the more consistent bullpen. Take the Pirates.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* I'm not a fan at all of taking an 'under' this low, but this still looks like a good value to me. Clayton Kershaw has been a bit "off" of his game so far this year, and his ERA is still a sparkling 2.55. Seattle's lineup isn't good at all, and I could easily see the Mariners only putting up a run or two. Jason Vargas has been terrific at home the last couple years. He has a 1.91 ERA at home so far this year. The Dodgers were no hit last night by the Mariners, and the Dodgers lineup simply isn't very good without Kemp in the middle of the order. The under is 7-0 in Vargas' last 7 home starts. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* There isn't a better hitters ballpark than Coors Field in Colorado. The weather conditions in this one should make it even easier on the hitters. The temperature is expected to be about 90 degrees with wind blowing out to center field at 12 miles per hour. Colorado really piles up the runs at home. Jeff Francis hasn't pitched in the Major Leagues this year. Francis had an ERA around 5 in his last few years in Colorado. I see no reason to believe he'll be any better now. The over is 7-0 in Francis' last 7 home starts. Over is 9-2-1 in the Rockies' last 12 against a right-handed pitcher. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* I played the Texas Rangers last night and won, but I see value on the Giants in this one. Ryan Vogelsong continues to be brilliant especially at home. Scott Feldman has an ERA over 7 so far this season. He was torched for 8 runs in less than 2 innings at Oakland in his last start. The Rangers definitely have the better lineup, but I can't pass up this big of a pitching mismatch. The Giants are 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 starts. Texas is 1-11 in their last 12 games at San Francisco. Take the Giants.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Gio Gonzalez has been a tremendous acquisition for the Nationals. Gonzalez has an ERA of about 2.5 so far this year, and he has been dazzling in almost every start. Dice K gets his first start in more than one year for the Red Sox in this game. Dice K wasn't very good before the surgery the last couple years, and I don't expect him to be very good now. The Nationals have gotten healthier of late and the lineup is definitely better with Harper, Zimmerman, and Morse all in the middle of the order. The pitching mismatch in this one is significant. Look for Washington to win behind another stellar effort from Gonzalez. Take the Nationals.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs have been horrible against left-handers in recent history. Chicago is playing terrible baseball in general of late. The Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 games overall. Scott Diamond is a very talented young left-hander for the Twins. Minnesota is 5-1 in games he starts so far this year. Jeff Samardzija is a solid pitcher as well, but he has been only medicore (4.45 ERA) on the road this year. The Cubs are a miserable 5-22 in their last 27 road games against a left-handed pitcher. The Cubs are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games at Minnesota. Minnesota is 5-1 in Diamond's 6 starts this year. They are also 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games. Take Minnesota.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Texas Rangers have definitely been struggling of late, but I feel like this is too good of a value to pass up. Barry Zito simply isn't the pitcher he used to be, and the Rangers punish left-handed pitching. Melky Cabrera may miss this game with an injury and that would really hurt the Giants lineup. Matt Harrison has had two bad games this year but other than that he has been very solid. The Rangers are 13-3 in Harrison's last 16 road starts. Texas is the much better team, and this is a good value. Take Texas.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jake Westbrook started the season pitching brilliantly, but it has been all downhill of late. He has an ERA over 10 in his last three starts. Josh Tomlin is a mediocre pitcher with an ERA slightly above 5. The Cardinals have the best lineup in the National League, and I expect them to put up several runs here. The warm weather in St. Louis should help the ball fly further. The over is 10-2 in the Indians last 12 games. The over is 20-6 in the Cardinals last 26 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mat Latos was supposed to be a great pitcher for the Reds, but he is giving up far too many homerun balls. Latos has already allowed 10 homers at Great American Ballpark in 2012. The weather is expected to be warm for this one so the ball should travel well. Rick Porcello has been inconsistent all year, and he gives up quite a few long balls as well. Both offenses are capable of putting up a big number here. The over is 6-0-1 in the Reds last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 interleague starts. The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Baltimore Orioles took two of three from the Boston Red Sox at Fenway. The Phillies have lost six straight and they send Joe Blanton to the mound in this one. Blanton has allowed 25 runs in his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of about 5 in each of his last 3 seasons. The Orioles offense has been good all year, and I expect them to take advantage of Blanton's mistakes. Jake Arrieta is a talented young pitcher who has been inconsistent this year. Baltimore has the better bullpen and line up. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Baltimore Orioles took two of three from the Boston Red Sox at Fenway. The Phillies have lost six straight and they send Joe Blanton to the mound in this one. Blanton has allowed 25 runs in his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of about 5 in each of his last 3 seasons. The Orioles offense has been good all year, and I expect them to take advantage of Blanton's mistakes. The over is 19-7 in the Phillies last 26 road games. The over is 5-0 in Blanton's last 5 interleague starts. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Toronto Blue Jays have taken the first two games of this series. Jake Peavy has been good this year, but he is looking a little shaky of late. Peavy has been hit hard in two of his last four starts. Toronto's offense is pretty strong. Henderson Alvarez has an ERA over 6 in his last three starts. Jim Reynolds is one of the best 'over' umpires in the business. The over is 12-3 in his last 15 games behind the plate. The over is 6-0-1 in Peavy's last 7 as a home favorite. The over is 6-1-1 in Toronto's last 8 road games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's offense is very short-handed right now. Without Evan Longoria in the line up, the Rays can't hit left-handers much at all. C.C. Sabathia is one of the best left-handers in baseball. He seems to be getting stronger each start this year. Likewise, David Price has improved as the season has moved along. Price has been virtually unhittable of late. The under is 5-0 in Tampa Bay's last 5 games against a left-handed pitcher. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Take the under.

*3 Star Dog of the Day* The Baltimore Orioles have taken the first 2 games of this series. The tendency for bettors is to assume a good team like Boston won't be swept at home. The Orioles is a solid team, and Clay Buchholz has been extremely inconsistent this year. Though he has pitched better his last couple games, I am still not sure he has figured out his issues. The Orioles have a strong lineup and at this price I believe there is plenty of value here. Baltimore is 7-2 in their last 9 meeting with the Red Sox. Take Baltimore.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The Atlanta Braves have taken the first two games of this series, but I think this one sets up very nicely for Miami. The Marlins send veteran lefty Mark Buehrle to the hill in this one. He is a consistent pitcher who rarely has really poor outings. On the other side, Mike Minor has been downright awful for Atlanta over the past few starts. Minor has given up 35 earned runs in his last 6 starts! The Marlins are 9-0 in their last 9 games against left-handed pitchers. The Braves are 0-5 in Minor's last 5 against the NL East. Take the Marlins big!

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cubs and Brewers have taken turns humiliating each other in the first 2 games of this series. Matt Garza has been much worse over the last few starts. Randy Wolf is becoming more hittable every year. He simply doesn't have the stuff to get good hitters out anymore. Paul Schrieber has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in Major League Baseball. The over is 7-1 in Schrieber's last 8 games behind home plate. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The over is 4-0 in the Brewer's lats 4 against a right-handed pitcher. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Colby Lewis has struggled against the Athletics in his career. Jemile Weeks is hitting better than .500 off Lewis, and he sets the table for this Oakland offense. Bartolo Colon started the season well, but he has been very shaky of late. Scott Barry is a solid over umpire who has a tight strike zone. The over is 7-1 in Lewis' last 8 starts against the Athletics. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Oakland. This number is set very low, especially when you consider the Rangers have the best offense in baseball. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim McClelland is my favorite 'over' umpire. He pinches the strike zone in a big way. Both of these pitches really try to work the corners, and I don't think they'll like his strike zone. Chase Field is a hitters paradise when the roof is open. The Diamondbacks put up 10 runs last night. Both teams hit left-handers very well. Look for the ball to be flying out of the park in this one. The over is 9-1 in the Rockies last 10 road games. The over is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Felipe Paulino has yet to give up a run in three starts at home this year. He has pitched 19 innings of shutout baseball in Kansas City. Paulino has a dazzling 1.70 ERA overall in 2012. The Twins are without Joe Mauer right now, and that certainly hurts their lineup. Nick Blackburn has an ERA over 8 this year, and the Royals should be able to put up some runs against him. Kansas City is 8-3 in Paulino's last 11 starts. The Royals have a major advantage at pitcher, and they have the better lineup as well. Take KC -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Tim Lincecum clearly isn't the same pitcher he used to be. You won't see me backing him too often this year, but I feel like the value here is too much to pass up. The Padres are the worst team in baseball right now. Lincecum has completely dominated this team in the past. The Giants are 4-0 in his last 4 starts against San Diego. San Francisco's lineup has gotten a huge boost from Melky Cabrera. The Padres are 0-6 in their last 10 against a right-hander. They are also 0-4 in Bass' last 4 against NL West opponents. Take the Giants.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Texas Rangers were blown out of the water by the Oakland Athletics last night. You don't need me to tell you that Texas is a far better team than Oakland, but this spot sets up very well for a blowout. Derek Holland has been great on the road in his career, and his career ERA against Oakland is a miniscule 1.9. The A's will start Travis Blackley who is a veteran lefty who really doesn't have any business being in a major league rotation. Texas pounds left-handed pitching, and I think they'll bounce back big here. Take Texas -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Toronto Blue Jays have a pretty solid team this year. They play in a difficult division, but I think they are a decent value quite often when playing teams from other divisions. The White Sox are playing good baseball right now, but I'm not sure they have staying power. Phillip Humber hasn't been good overall this season, and he has been terrible since throwing his no-hitter in Seattle. Ricky Romero is a very good young pitcher. The White Sox are hitting just .214 as a team against lefties. The Blue Jays are 23-8 in their last 31 meetings against the White Sox. The White Sox are 2-10 in Humber's last 12 starts at home. The Blue Jays are 18-6 in Romero's last 24 starts. Take Toronto.

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Colorado Rockies have been scoring runs in bunches of late. They have scored 7 runs or more in 5 of their last 7 games. Arizona's Chase Field is one of the very best hitters ballparks in baseball when the roof is open. The heat and low humidity really make the ball fly extremely well. Chase Field's roof is scheduled to be open here. Joe Saunders struggles in a big way when the roof is open, and he gives up lots of long balls. In his last 3 starts with the roof open he has allowed 4,6, and 7 runs. The Diamondbacks hit lefties well and Christian Friedrich has struggled of late after starting out well this season. The over is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 road games. The over is 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The San Diego Padres are a brutal 18-36 on the season. San Diego's pitching staff isn't what it once was, and their lineup is dreadful. Trevor Cahill hasn't been great this year, but he has been consistently decent. Against San Diego, I think Cahill will do well. The Diamondbacks have been great against lefties this year and they should handle Stults quite well. San Diego is 0-5 in their last 5 against a right-handed pitcher. Arizona is 13-3 in their last 16 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Take Arizona here.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Justin Masterson started the season slowly, but he has been improving gradually the last few times out. Minnesota's offense isn't very good, and I wouldn't be surprised to see some guys sit this one out on a Sunday afternoon game. The Indians struggle badly against lefties. Carlos Santana, Travis Hafner, and Johnny Damon are all out of the Cleveland lineup. The wind is expected to be howling in at 15 to 20 mph. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games following a win. I like the value on the under.