Sports Picks & Predictions

NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-08-22	Bills v. Rams +2.5	Top	31-10	Loss	-110	59 h 39 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
02-13-22	Rams v. Bengals +4.5	Top	23-20	Win	100	202 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bengals +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-30-22	49ers +3.5 v. Rams	Top	17-20	Win	100	150 h 32 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on 49ers +3½ -111 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-23-22	Bills v. Chiefs -1.5	Top	36-42	Win	100	71 h 15 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Chiefs -1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-22-22	49ers v. Packers -5.5	Top	13-10	Loss	-104	49 h 0 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -5½ -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-22-22	Bengals v. Titans -3	Top	19-16	Loss	-110	55 h 22 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Titans -3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-17-22	Cardinals +4 v. Rams	Top	11-34	Loss	-110	83 h 48 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals +4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-08-22	Cowboys -7 v. Eagles	Top	51-26	Win	100	106 h 19 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cowboys -7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-03-22	Browns -3 v. Steelers	Top	14-26	Loss	-113	123 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Browns -3 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-02-22	Vikings v. Packers -6.5		10-37	Win	100	81 h 31 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Packers -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-02-22	Eagles -3 v. Washington Football Team		20-16	Win	100	51 h 28 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Eagles -3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-27-21	Dolphins -2.5 v. Saints	Top	20-3	Win	100	58 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-26-21	Giants v. Eagles -10		10-34	Win	100	22 h 39 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Eagles -10 -101 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-26-21	Ravens v. Bengals -2.5	Top	21-41	Win	100	91 h 42 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bengals -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-23-21	49ers -3.5 v. Titans	Top	17-20	Loss	-110	59 h 12 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on 49ers -3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-19-21	Bengals +3 v. Broncos		15-10	Win	100	55 h 5 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Bengals +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-16-21	Chiefs v. Chargers +4	Top	34-28	Loss	-110	59 h 55 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Chargers +4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-12-21	Seahawks -7.5 v. Texans	Top	33-13	Win	100	74 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks -7½ -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-09-21	Steelers +3 v. Vikings	Top	28-36	Loss	-100	59 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers +3 +100 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-05-21	Giants v. Dolphins -4	Top	9-20	Win	100	52 h 15 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins -4 -102 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-02-21	Cowboys v. Saints +5	Top	27-17	Loss	-110	59 h 10 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints +5 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-21	Bills v. Saints +4.5	Top	31-6	Loss	-110	59 h 20 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-22-21	Giants +11 v. Bucs	Top	10-30	Loss	-110	59 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Giants +11 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-21-21	Ravens v. Bears +6.5	Top	16-13	Win	100	113 h 41 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bears +6½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-21	Rams -3.5 v. 49ers	Top	10-31	Loss	-105	59 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rams -3½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-11-21	Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5	Top	10-22	Win	100	59 h 3 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-04-21	Jets +10.5 v. Colts	Top	30-45	Loss	-108	58 h 29 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Jets +10½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-01-21	Giants v. Chiefs -9.5	Top	17-20	Loss	-110	54 h 22 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Chiefs -9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-21	Titans -1 v. Colts		34-31	Win	100	132 h 38 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Titans -1 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-28-21	Packers v. Cardinals -3.5	Top	24-21	Loss	-117	77 h 49 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals -3½ -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-24-21	Falcons -1.5 v. Dolphins		30-28	Win	100	146 h 15 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Falcons -1½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-21-21	Broncos +3 v. Browns	Top	14-17	Push	0	32 h 13 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Broncos +3 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-21	Bucs v. Patriots +7		19-17	Win	100	1 h 4 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Patriots +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-21	Washington Football Team -1 v. Falcons		34-30	Win	100	109 h 55 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Washington Football Team -1 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-21	Giants +8 v. Saints		27-21	Win	100	109 h 54 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Giants +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-21	Colts v. Dolphins -2		27-17	Loss	-110	40 h 59 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Dolphins -2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-21	Lions v. Bears -2.5		14-24	Win	100	40 h 59 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Bears -2½ -124 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-21	Eagles v. Cowboys -3		21-41	Win	100	22 h 2 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Cowboys -3 -117 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-26-21	Dolphins +5.5 v. Raiders	Top	28-31	Win	100	148 h 28 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Dolphins +5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-23-21	Panthers v. Texans +8	Top	24-9	Loss	-110	11 h 18 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texans +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-16-21	Giants +3.5 v. Washington Football Team		29-30	Win	100	22 h 31 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Giants +3½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-21	Steelers v. Bills -6.5	Top	23-16	Loss	-110	835 h 48 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bills -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-09-21	Cowboys v. Bucs -8	Top	29-31	Loss	-110	30 h 22 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bucs -8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-24-21	Bucs +4 v. Packers	Top	31-26	Win	100	6 h 46 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Bucs +4 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-17-21	Browns +10 v. Chiefs	Top	17-22	Win	100	54 h 42 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Browns +10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-10-21	Bears v. Saints -10	Top	9-21	Win	100	7 h 7 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints -10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-09-21	Bucs v. Washington Football Team +9.5	Top	31-23	Win	100	53 h 38 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Washington Football Team +9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-03-21	Saints v. Panthers +6		33-7	Loss	-109	28 h 30 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Panthers +6 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-27-20	Titans +3.5 v. Packers		14-40	Loss	-113	135 h 40 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Titans +3½ -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-26-20	Bucs v. Lions +9.5	Top	47-7	Loss	-108	26 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Lions +9½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-25-20	Vikings +7 v. Saints	Top	33-52	Loss	-105	55 h 29 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Vikings +7 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-21-20	Steelers -13 v. Bengals	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	56 h 16 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -13 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-20-20	Seahawks -4 v. Washington Football Team	Top	20-15	Win	100	49 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Seahawks -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-17-20	Chargers v. Raiders -3	Top	30-27	Loss	-114	8 h 20 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Raiders -3 -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-14-20	Ravens -2.5 v. Browns	Top	47-42	Win	100	53 h 5 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ravens -2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-10-20	Patriots +6.5 v. Rams	Top	3-24	Loss	-115	56 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Patriots +6½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-08-20	Cowboys v. Ravens -7	Top	17-34	Win	100	57 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ravens -7 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-06-20	Eagles +9 v. Packers	Top	16-30	Loss	-110	7 h 9 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Eagles +9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-29-20	Chargers +5.5 v. Bills		17-27	Loss	-110	47 h 55 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Chargers +5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-22-20	Chiefs -6 v. Raiders		35-31	Loss	-110	142 h 24 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Chiefs -6 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-19-20	Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks	Top	21-28	Loss	-100	33 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals +3 +101 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-16-20	Vikings -2.5 v. Bears	Top	19-13	Win	100	52 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Vikings -2½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	Jaguars +14 v. Packers		20-24	Win	100	147 h 49 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Jaguars +14 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	Bucs -4.5 v. Panthers		46-23	Win	100	108 h 11 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Bucs -4½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	Texans v. Browns -3	Top	7-10	Push	0	147 h 49 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Browns -3 -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-08-20	Texans -6.5 v. Jaguars	Top	27-25	Loss	-114	52 h 39 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texans -6½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Packers -4 v. 49ers	Top	34-17	Win	100	57 h 26 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-02-20	Bucs v. Giants +12.5	Top	25-23	Win	100	32 h 33 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Giants +12½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-01-20	Colts -2.5 v. Lions	Top	41-21	Win	100	147 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Colts -2½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-29-20	Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers	Top	25-17	Win	100	52 h 28 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Falcons +2½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-25-20	Steelers -1.5 v. Titans	Top	27-24	Win	100	147 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-12-20	Chargers v. Saints -7.5	Top	27-30	Loss	-115	59 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints -7½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-11-20	Eagles v. Steelers -7	Top	29-38	Win	100	147 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -7 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-05-20	Falcons v. Packers -6.5	Top	16-30	Win	100	180 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -6½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-04-20	Eagles v. 49ers -7		25-20	Loss	-115	27 h 40 m	Show
3* BEST BET on 49ers -7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-01-20	Broncos -2 v. Jets		37-28	Win	100	95 h 32 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Broncos -2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-28-20	Chiefs v. Ravens -3	Top	34-20	Loss	-120	177 h 53 m	Show
5* MNF GOY on Ravens -3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Panthers v. Chargers -6		21-16	Loss	-110	54 h 23 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Chargers -6 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Rams +2.5 v. Bills	Top	32-35	Loss	-115	51 h 24 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-24-20	Dolphins v. Jaguars -3	Top	31-13	Loss	-100	35 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars -3 +105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-20-20	Patriots +4.5 v. Seahawks	Top	30-35	Loss	-110	167 h 13 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Patriots +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-20-20	Vikings v. Colts -2.5		11-28	Win	100	160 h 32 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Colts -2½ -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-13-20	Bears +2.5 v. Lions		27-23	Win	100	50 h 42 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Bears +2½ +100 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-13-20	Browns v. Ravens -7	Top	6-38	Win	100	51 h 41 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Ravens -7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-10-20	Texans v. Chiefs -9	Top	20-34	Win	100	58 h 48 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Chiefs -9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-19-20	Packers v. 49ers -7	Top	20-37	Win	100	149 h 10 m	Show
5* NFL - Packers/49ers NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on 49ers -7 -109 I love the value here with the 49ers at home in the NFC Championship Game. As much respect as I have for Aaron Rodgers, San Francisco is simply better on both sides of the ball and I just don't see Green Bay being able to keep this close on the road. These two teams played in the regular-season at San Francisco and the 49ers led 23-0 at the half and would go on to win 37-8 with a 339 to 188 edge in total yards. SF not only limited Aaron Jones to just 38 yards on 13 attempts (2.9 yards/carry), they held Rodgers to mere 104 passing yards and sacked him 5 times. When healthy this 49ers defense has been the best in the league and with the returns of Kwon Alexander and Dee Ford in the Divisional Round, they are back to near full strength. When these two have been on the field there's just not a lot teams can do. I'm sure Green Bay will make some adjustments, but I don't think there's anything they can do to make up 25-points. I think it would take a near perfect game just for them to keep this within single digits and that's unlikely to happen. Take San Francisco!
01-12-20	Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers		23-28	Loss	-110	28 h 51 m	Show
3* NFL - Seahawks/Packers ATS DESTROYER on Seahawks +4½ -110 The Seahawks are definitely worth a look here as a 4.5-point dog against the Packers. Green Bay may have ended up with the No. 2 seed in the NFC, but I'm not buying for a second that this is the second best team in the NFC. Packer went 13-3 because of a really soft schedule and that's evident by the fact that they had a mere +63 point differential for the season. Green Bay only played 5 games all season against a team that made the playoffs. They went 3-2 in those games, but two of those wins were against a similarly fraudulent Vikings team and the other was against the Chiefs when they were without Mahomes. Their two losses were by 7 at home to the Eagles and by 31 at San Francisco. Seattle has a great home field edge, but that doesn't mean they aren't a good road team. Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS last 15 road games and 22-8-2 ATS last 32 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 34-16-3 ATS last 53 as a dog. Take Seattle!
01-12-20	Texans v. Chiefs -9.5	Top	31-51	Win	100	150 h 57 m	Show
5* NFL Divisional Round PLAY OF THE YEAR on Chiefs -9½ -110 I got no problem laying the big number with Kansas City on Sunday at home against the Texans. I think a lot of people will be drawn to Houston here, simply because Houston won at Kansas City earlier this season. Thing is, the Chiefs were up 17-3 in that game and this is really a different team than when they met back in Week 6. Most notably on the defensive side of the ball. Another common thought process for people is that Andy Reid is not a good coach in big games and while he's had his fair share of failures in the playoffs, you simply don't bet against him when he's got two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He's 18-3 ATS off a bye in the regular-season and 4-1 ATS off a bye in the playoffs. I think this Chiefs offense has been holding back a lot of things for the playoffs and this Texans defense is one they can exploit. Houston finished with the 29th ranked pass defense, giving up 267.3 ypg. Mahomes will have a field day and that much improved Chiefs defense will do their part behind an electric home crowd. Take Kansas City!
01-11-20	Titans +10 v. Ravens	Top	28-12	Win	100	91 h 20 m	Show
5* NFL - VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Titans +10 -110 I love the value here with Tennessee as a double-digit dog against the Ravens. The betting public can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and Baltimore right now and I think the number here has been inflated to the point that this is a no-brainer on the Titans. Tennessee might have made it in as the No. 6 seed in the AFC, but this team likely would have won the AFC South had they started the season with Ryan Tannehill and not Marcus Mariota. Everyone likes to focus on what Derrick Henry is doing and it's hard to not get caught up that, but Tannehill has been outstanding for the Titans. No question the Patriots offense was broken, but New England's defense is the real deal and they had no answer for the 1-2 punch of Henry and Tannehill. As good as Baltimore was against the run, there's just no slowing down Henry. I think they are going to be able to shorten up the game and most importantly keep Jackson and that Ravens offense off the field. On the flip side of this, I think Tennessee has the defense to at least slow down Lamar Jackson and that high-powered Ravens run game. I think in doing so they can get Baltimore to press a little and really make this thing interesting. Give me the Titans +10!
01-04-20	Titans +5 v. Patriots		20-13	Win	100	13 h 39 m	Show
3* NFL - Titans/Patriots Wild Card NO-BRAINER on Titans +5 -105 I like the value here with Tennessee in this one. I just think the perception a lot of people have is that now that it's the playoffs the Patriots are going to flip a switch and become this unbeatable team at home. I'm just not buying it. There's clearly something wrong with New England. For them to lose at home to the Dolphins in Week 17 with what was at stake, that says it all. Tom Brady and that offense are not anything close to what they use to be and as good as the defense is, they can only do so much. I think the Titans can pound Derrick Henry here as the New England defense is more built to stop the pass than it is the run and really make life miserable for Brady on the other side of the ball. Even if it's not enough to win the game, I don't see the Pats winning here by more than a field goal. Take Tennessee!
12-29-19	Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos		15-16	Win	100	104 h 43 m	Show
3* NFL - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Raiders +3½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raiders. Oakland is the only team in this one with something to play for and I would have them favored in this one. Denver is getting a lot of love for winning 3 of their last 4, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They were down 10-0 at home to the Lions last week and needed two 4th quarter scores to cover as a touchdown favorite. Not the first time the Broncos have struggled with a bad team. They are just 13-28 ATS last 41 vs a team with a losing record and a mere 9-24 ATS last 33 times they have faced a marginal losing team like the Raiders with a win percentage of 40% to 49%. On top of that Denver is awful in the role of home favorite, as they are just 2-7 ATS last 9 times they have been asked to lay points at home. They are also a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 division games and have failed to cover each of their last 4 meetings with the Raiders. Take Oakland!
12-22-19	Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks		27-13	Win	100	43 h 34 m	Show
4* NFL - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Cardinals +9½ -105 The Cardinals are definitely worth a look here as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Seahawks have one of the best records in the NFL at 11-3, but I just think it has them way overvalued here against a feisty Arizona team that is coming off a 38-24 win against the Browns. The biggest thing for me with Seattle and fading them at this price is the simple fact that out of their 11 wins only 1 has come by more than 8 points. On top of that, Seahawks could have a tough time not looking ahead to next week's massive game against the 49ers. Win or lose, that game against San Francisco will be for the NFC West crown and possibly a first round bye in the playoffs. Arizona has been a smart play in games that are expected to be high scoring. Cardinals are a dominant 14-3 ATS last 17 games with a total of 49.5 or more. Arizona has also gone 43-26 ATS last 69 when revenging a same season loss and are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 as a road dog. Seahawks just 2-5 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Take Arizona!
12-22-19	Cowboys v. Eagles +3	Top	9-17	Win	100	126 h 29 m	Show
5* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys NFC East GAME OF THE YEAR on Eagles +3 -115 I absolutely love the Eagles as a home dog against the Cowboys. I get Dallas has owned Philly of late and absolutely destroyed them 37-10 at home earlier this season, but there's just no way the Cowboys should be a road favorite with how they have been playing. Dallas comes off an impressive 44-21 win at home against the Rams, but I think some of that was LA suffering a bit of a letdown off their big win over the Seahawks and a huge game against division rival San Francisco on deck. Prior to that the Cowboys had lost 3 straight and I expect them to go right back to their losing ways. A big thing here is Dallas is going to have to try to win on the road with a less than 100% Dak Prescott under center. Prescott barely practiced at all this week as he's dealing with both a sore shoulder and a injury on one of his fingers on his throwing hand. Note that while the Eagles defense has struggled some of late, they have continued to be really good against the run. Philadelphia has held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 101 or fewer rushing yards and come in ranked 3rd against the run, allowing 90.4 ypg. With Prescott likely not at his best, it could be a real struggle here for the Cowboys offense. Also a great system in play favoring a fade of Dallas. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are off an upset win by 14 or more as a home dog are just 7-29 (19%) ATS since 1983 if the game is after the 1st month of the season. Take Philadelphia!
12-22-19	Jaguars v. Falcons -7		12-24	Win	100	123 h 0 m	Show
3* NFL - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Falcons -7 -110 I got no problem laying a touchdown here with Atlanta at home against the Jaguars. The Falcons clearly are motivated to finish this season strong. They have won 4 of their last 6 overall and are fresh off that shocking upset on the road against the 49ers. Jacksonville comes in off a win at Oakland, but with the way the Raiders have been playing it's hard to get excited about that. Prior to that the Jaguars had lost 5 straight all by 17 or more points. I'm confident Jacksonville will go right back to their losing ways in this one. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense should be able to do as they please here. Atlanta comes in with the 4th ranked passing offense and Jacksonville's pass defense has regressed quite a bit down the stretch. Jags also are awful against the run, as they come in 29th, giving up 140.1 ypg. As for Jacksonville's offense, they have now gone 6 straight games scoring 20 or fewer points. In their last 3 games they have failed to rush for more than 90 yards and haven't thrown for more than 190. You just can't expect to be competitive on the road when you can't do anything offensively. Take Atlanta!
12-22-19	Panthers v. Colts -6.5		6-38	Win	100	116 h 47 m	Show
3* NFL - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Colts -6½ -110 The Colts are definitely worth a look here laying less than a touchdown at home against the Panthers. Indianapolis' playoff hopes came crashing to an end with an ugly 34-7 loss at new Orleans on Monday Night Football. You might think now is not the time to jump on the Colts given they no longer have a shot at the playoffs and are riding a 4-game skid, but I'm confident Indy is going to show up in their final home game. Also, the Panthers are a team that is in a complete free fall. Carolina has lost 6 straight and with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more. Things have got so bad with Panthers that they let Rivera go and now are turning to rookie Will Grier at quarterback. I'm not expecting much out of Grier in his first start, especially with it coming on the road. On top of that, he's going to be asked to do too much with how bad the defense has been playing. Carolina has allowed 29 or more points in each of their last 5 games. They have allowed 150+ rushing yards in each of their last 3, which I think speaks volumes to just how bad things have got. Panthers are aos 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons in the second half vs a team with a losing record. Take Indianapolis!
12-15-19	Vikings v. Chargers +3	Top	39-10	Loss	-120	106 h 49 m	Show
5* NFL - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Chargers +3 -120 I absolutely love the value here with the Chargers as a home dog against the Vikings. LA might be just 5-8 on the season, but there's no denying the talent the Chargers have on both sides of the ball. As glim as their playoff hopes might be, this is a team that will continue to fight until they are officially out of it. Los Angeles snapped a 3-game skid last week with a 45-10 throttling of the Jaguars as a mere 3.5-point favorite. Chargers are also a team that could easily be sitting here with 10 wins had they caught a few more breaks. All 8 of LA's losses have come by 7-points or less with 4 of those by a field goal or fewer. Vikings are sitting at 9-4, but are just 2-3 on the road. This is a team that lost away from home to the Chiefs when Mahomes was sidelined, which I think speaks volumes to just how much more vulnerable they are away from home. Last week Minnesota beat the Lions at home, but failed to cover as 13.5-point favorite. That's worth noting, as the Vikings are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 on the road off a win where they failed to cover as a favorite. Chargers are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Take Los Angeles!
12-15-19	Texans +3 v. Titans		24-21	Win	100	103 h 35 m	Show
3* NFL - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Texans +3 -115 Most are going to look to lay the short number here with the Titans, as Tennessee comes in having won and covered in each of their last 4 games, while Houston just got embarrassed at home by the Broncos as a 8-point favorite. I'm not about to say the Titans aren't a good team, but I definitely don't trust them in this spot. I also think the Texans simply laid an egg last week against Denver after that massive home win over the Patriots. I fully expect Deshaun Watson and that Houston team to bounce back in a big way with 1st place in the AFC South on the line. Watson and the Texans have really thrived in the role of underdog. In games that Watson starts in which Houston is getting points, the Texans have gone 11-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS mark in this spot on the road. Houston is also 8-2-1 ATS last 11 off a game where they failed to cover and 6-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home. Titans are just 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 division games and just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 times they have been matched up against the Texans. Take Houston!
12-12-19	Jets +15 v. Ravens	Top	21-42	Loss	-110	37 h 22 m	Show
5* NFL - Jets/Ravens TNF VEGAS INSIDER on Jets +15 -110 I really like the value here with New York getting more than two touchdown against the Ravens. Baltimore has quickly become one of the biggest public plays in the league and with this being a prime time game the books have really inflated this one. The Jets might be out of the playoff picture, but they have continued to play hard and actually come in having won 4 of their last 5 games. This is a really good opportunity for New York to see just how far they come against one of the leagues best teams. I fully expect the Jets to give it their all in this one. It's not that I don't think Baltimore won't come to play, but I do think this is a tricky spot for the Ravens given their recent stretch of high-profile games. Lamar Jackson is going to play despite a quad injury, but I don't think we see the same MVP type performance that we have go accustomed to. I can't imagine there will be a lot of designed runs for Jackson and as soon as Baltimore gets a comfortable lead they are going to look to just run the ball and get this game in the books. Another key here is the Jets defense and how it matches up with the Ravens high-powered run game. New York is one of the best in the league at stopping the run, as they come in No. 2 in the league, giving up just 78.8 ypg. I think they will be able to slow down Baltimore enough to keep this game close. Take New York!
12-08-19	Seahawks v. Rams +1		12-28	Win	100	11 h 17 m	Show
4* NFL - RAMS/SEAHAWKS SNF ATS NO-BRAINER on Rams +1 -105 The Rams are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on their home turf against the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Seattle has quickly went from a team not many people trusted to one of the biggest public plays on the board. Seahawks are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games, which has created a ton of value here with the Rams. Even though LA is off an impressive 34-7 win at Arizona last week, the betting public can't get that ugly 45-6 loss to the Ravens on MNF a couple weeks back out of their head. I just think the key here is Goff and that LA offense should be able to move the ball against what I think is a pretty average Seattle defense. I also don't love the spot for the Seahawks, as they are coming off 3 huge games. They played at San Francisco, at Philadelphia and at home against the Vikings. Rams are out to make a statement in this one and I expect them to do just that. Take Los Angeles!
12-08-19	Ravens v. Bills +6.5		24-17	Loss	-107	5 h 34 m	Show
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bills +6½ -107 I really like the value here with Buffalo catching close to a touchdown at home against the Ravens. I just think we are seeing Baltimore way overvalued right now, as the betting public just can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and this team. Hard to blame them given the Ravens have covered 5 of their last 6. They did however fail to cover as a 6-point favorite at home last week against the 49ers. I not only think they could fail to cover at Buffalo this Sunday, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Bills won this game outright. Buffalo is built for an offense like the Ravens and are going to be well-prepared for Jackson with the extra 3 days of prep they got this week after playing on Thanksgiving. I also don't love the spot at all for Baltimore, as they have been in 3 huge games the last 3 weeks against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. I just think they are going to struggle to match the intensity of the Bills and let's not overlook just how tough it is to win in Buffalo when they are playing well. Buffalo is 9-4 ATS with Josh Allen at QB as a dog, which includes a 3-1 ATS mark as a home dog. Ravens are just 5-12 ATS last 17 as a favorite and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a failed cover. Take Buffalo!

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