Sports Picks & Predictions

3* Total Annihilator on Miss. St/South Carolina UNDER

The total on this game seems a bit high given how well both of these teams have played defensively. Also, it is worth noting that Connor Shaw and Mike Davis are listed as probably, but it is unlikely they will be playing at 100% this week. South Carolina has already been performing well under there season averages the past two weeks, and with two key players not at 100% I think their trend of under performing offensively will continue.

Mississippi State has allowed opponents an average of 22.5 points per game on the road this season. That is impressive given their opponents offensive average has been just shy of 30 points per game. They have held opponents to 359 yards of offense, and if they repeat that feat this week that will be a full 106 yards under the Gamecocks typical production levels. The Gamecocks are no slouch on defense, too. They have held opponents to 21 points per game when those opponents have average 30.1 points prior to facing South Carolina.

The under is 10-4 in the Bulldogs last 14 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. They have also posted a 46-19 record towards the under in their last 65 games following an ATS loss. In head-to-head meetings between these teams the under has a 4-1 record in the last five games. Expect a defensive battle today.

3* Total Annihilator on USC/Oregon State UNDER

The way these teams matchup puts a lot of value on the under. USC's greatest strength on defense is their secondary. They will face an Oregon State team that relies on the passing game for 86% of their total offensive production. Against a pass happy team like the Beavers I think USC can match their 19.2 points allowed average this season.

Oregon State is no slouch on defense either. Their run defense has held opponents to 138 yards per game, well below the 170 rushing yard average that the Trojans are used to. As far as the total is concerned, this game should play out in much like Oregon State's game with Stanford. I expect a defensive battle out of both teams.

The under is 13-3-1 in the Trojans last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. It is also 5-2 in their last seven games against a team with a winning record. This matchup also falls into a system to play on the under when the game involves two good teams that are outgaining opponents by .6 to 1.2 yards per play after seven or more games in the season. This system is 138-76 to the under for the last 10 seasons.