Sports Picks & Predictions

4 Unit Play. #526 Take Providence Friars -6 over Seton Hall Pirates (2:30 pm Fox Sports 1) The Pirates will likely be without C Gene Teague for this game and that is a major void inside the paint. Providence is a team I was keeping an eye on this season and expect them to take care of business at home to open up Big East play. They also have the best player on the floor in Bryce Cotton, as he is averaging close to 20 points per game. Providence beat a better Seton Hall team twice last year. Providence is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played on Tuesday.

4 Unit Play. #730 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (8 pm ESPN 3) Both of these teams can light up the scoreboard but I expect the Sooners to be able to take care of business at home. The Sooners have won all 8 games against the Bulldogs and they are 11-1 on the season with their only loss coming against Michigan State. Oklahoma has covered 15 of their last 22 home games. La Tech is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Big XII teams. Play the home team tonight, as the Bulldogs are taking a major step up in class.
Best of Luck

5 Unit Play. #812 Take East Carolina Pirates -1 over Georgia State Panthers (1 pm) I have been impressed with how Jeff Lebo has built this program into respectability and they should have no problem knocking off Georgia State today at Minges Coliseum. East Carolina can score points at will putting up over 85 points per game, good enough for 15th in the country scoring wise. ECU has only one bad loss on the season to Wilmington as their other tow have come against Duke and NC State. They played well in both of those games and expect them to take care of business today. Georgia State is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home court record. ECU has covered 5 of their last 7 home games.
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #584 Take UTEP Miners over Western Illinois Leathernecks (9:30 pm) The Miners have a rock solid defense that should be able to suffocate the Leathernecks for 40 minutes. Western Illinois has lost three of their last four games and four of their seven losses this season have come by double digits. Western Illinois is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. UTEP is 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games. UTEP is hosting this tournament so you can be sure they gave themselves an easy draw. As the saying goes, never invite a team you know you cannot beat.

4 Unit Play. #529 Take Syracuse Orange over Villanova Wildcats (1 pm CBS) A battle of unbeatens takes place on Saturday at the Carrier Dome. This is a former Big East match-up and I am just not sold on Villanova making enough shots from the arc to stay with Syracuse at home. Syracuse has covered 4 of their last 5 games. The Wildcats have been playing a bunch of Big 5 games of late and I just do not believe that they are ready for this battle.

3-Unit Play. #815. Take Akron -4.5 over South Carolina (Wednesday @ 6:30pm est).

I'm not a huge fan of South Carolina losing their last game by such a wide margin but then again, so did Akron and Akron will get up to play the SEC school today. Akron is a top 100 team and come off a very difficult loss to Iowa State by 23 points and you can't really hold that against them considering they are a top 20 power ranking team and a very good squad. This is a team that is led by 3 seniors in Treadwell, Diggs and Harney and this is a big game for this team as much is expected by Akron this year. Coach Dambrot's team has been good for a while as they won 26 games last yea and 23 games the year before. It won't be long before another team comes calling for Coach Dambrot but for now, he has a team that is 6-3 and coming off its worst lost of the season. Akron is a top 100 defensive team and South Carolina is outside the top 250 when it comes to turnovers which likely doesn't bode well for them here. South Carolina will have a spirited game after their terrible game against Boise State (it's because it was a let down from the St. Mary's win), but this is not a solid offensive team and that will likely bite them here as they are outside the top 200 in most offensive categories as most of Frank Martin's teams are not offensively potent. With Arkon having a strong offense and a capable defense, eventually South Carolina will likely taper off here and we have Akron winning by about 8 to 10 in a low scoring affair. The Zips are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games and the Gamecocks are 0-7 ATS coming off a straight up loss of more than 20 points or more.

2 Unit Play. #733 Take St. Mary

4 Unit Play. #814 Take Northwestern Wildcats -7 over Brown Bears (2 pm BTN digital) Northwestern should get better once the players get more use to the system on Chris Collins. They have played pretty well at home this year. Brown will win some games in the Ivy League but this is just too short of a number.
Best of Luck

10 Unit Play. #592 Take Oregon Ducks over BYU Cougars (10:30 pm PAC-12 Network) College Basketball Game of the Year., Oregon is a sleeping giant and I believe this team can challenge for a berth in Arlington at the Final Four. They are 10-0 on the season and one of their key player just came back on Tuesday night (Dominic Artis). The Ducks have not even needed him this season and they are a full arsenal of players that can beat you in a variety of ways. Only two of the Ducks 10 victories came under tonight

4 Unit Play. #506 Take Duke Blue Devils over UCLA Bruins (7:30 pm ESPN) I just do not believe Duke will lose two games at Madison Square Garden this season. Arizona put forth a great second half to beat Duke already this season but UCLA does not have the athletes that Arizona does. The Wear brothers are more finesse than physical (typical of what Duke sees in the ACC) and I just do not feel that they will be able to exploit the weakness of Duke. UCLA is 9-21 ATS in their last 30 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. #730 Take St Josephs Hawks over Drexel Dragons (7 pm) This is a good match-up of mid-major teams. St. Josephs has not played up to their capabilities thus far in the season but they are always a tough out at home. Drexel will be playing their second straight road game in three days and that will eventually catch up with them. This is a Big 5 match-up and Coach Martelli cannot lose three straight games to Philadelphia area teams. Drexel will not roll over in this game, but eventually the height of the Hawks will be too much to overcome. Drexel is 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.

4 Unit Play. #514 Take Wake Forest Demon Deacons over St. Bonaventure Bonnies (7 pm ESPN3) This is another case of the home team beating up on a mid-major with favorable officials. The Bonnies are off to a good start but they do not have a quality win on the season. For mid majors to win in hostile environments they must shoot it well from long range and that has not been a strength for the Bonnies as they are under 30% from the three point arc. Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Atlantic 10 teams. St. Bonaventure is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on Tuesday.
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #813 Take Syracuse Orange over St. Johns (12 pm Fox Sports 1) This is not a conference match-up anymore but Syracuse loves playing at the Garden and they will be up for this game. St. Johns does not have the shooters to fare well against the Syracuse 2-3 Zone. Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. St. Johns is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take this short number with the much better team on Sunday. I see this game being close for 17 minutes before the Orange start to pull away late in the first half.

10 Unit Play. #564 Take Kansas Jayhawks over New Mexico Lobos (7 pm ESPN 2) The Jayhawks seem to be coming apart at the seams but in reality they are just a young team that is facing a difficult early season schedule. Kansas is due to pound somebody and this Lobos teams will be in a rude awakening on Saturday night. This game is being played in Kansas City giving a huge home crowd edge to the Jayhawks. New Mexico has yet to record a quality win on the season (Cincinnati is not a quality win) and they are a completely different team when play away from the Pit. Even last year when New Mexico had a gaudy record they did not score a ton of points and lost to Harvard, a No. 14 seed. Kansas has a major edge in talent and if they play like they did in the second half against Florida they will win by double digits. New Mexico is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. #744 Take Arizona Wildcats over New Mexico State Aggies (9 pm PAC-12 Network) The Wildcats appear to be the clear cut No. 1 team in the nation and we will lay the wood with them tonight at home against the Aggies. The Wildcats are coming off a lackluster performance against UNLV their last time out and expect a much more determined performance tonight in Tucson. Arizona is loaded at every position and they just have too much size and strength for a decent Aggies team. New Mexico State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against PAC-12 teams. Arizona is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games.

10 Unit Play. #518 Take Florida Gators -3 over Kansas Jayhawks (7 pm ESPN) Nonconference Game of the Year. Kansas is just too young of a team to play this difficult of a schedule. Florida has played a difficult schedule as well but they are coming off an outstanding performance at UCONN in a game that went down to the wire and they should have gotten the victory. They have had a week to sit on that game and that has been very beneficial as they have been able to get healthy with Kasey Hill and Scottie Wilbekin both expected to play in this game. Kansas does not return any starters from last season. Yes they do have Andrew Wiggins, but he is not a dominant force at this stage of the season. Kansas has just two players averaging in double figures and they are coming off a tough loss on Saturday against Colorado. Playing in high altitude can affect your next game and despite losing at the buzzer they trailed most of the game against an average CU team. Florida is angry and wants to take out their frustrations on somebody and Kansas is the perfect opponent for that to occur. The Gators have yet to record a quality win on the season and that is something this team needs during nonconference play to ensure a high seed in the NCAA tournament come March. Kansas will have to shoot it well from long range to keep this game close and I just do not see that happening since they are shooting under 30% on the season from behind the arc. Kansas has not covered the spread in any of their last 4 games. Take the home team that is desperate for a victory on Tuesday.
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #821 Take Washington Huskies over San Diego State Aztecs (3 pm CBSSN) San Diego State lost their two main scorers from the last few years and they are still a strong defensive team but do not light up the scoreboard on a consistent basis. I really believe CJ Wilcox can keep the Huskies in the game by himself. These teams have met two times before and Washington has won both of them straight-up. I expect this game to be played in the sixties and thus we will take the points. SDSU is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games following a victory.

4 Unit Play. #621 Take Central Michigan Chippewas over SIU Edwardsville Cougars (8 pm) The Cougs are just 2-6 on the season with their only wins coming against Central Arkansas (Think Scottie Pippen) and Texas Pan America. Central Michigan is 3-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 road games. SIUE is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. #594 Take Utah State Aggies over Pacific Tigers (9 pm) The Aggies were one of the hardest hit teams to injuries last season and yet they still won over 20 games. They are always a tough team to beat at home especially during nonconference play. Utah State has played three home games this season and they are won all of them by double digits including two of them against better teams than what they will see tonight from Pacific. Utah State is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 home games.

4 Unit Play. #616 Take North Carolina Tar Heels over UNC Greensboro Spartans (7 pm ESPN U) We will take a stab with the Spartans as North Carolina seems to play to their level of competition. The Heels are coming off a hug victory at Michigan State on Wednesday and I just do not see getting up for this game. Expect them to just go through the motions and win this game by 22-24 points.

4 Unit Play. #574 Take Northwestern Wildcats over Western Michigan Broncos (5 pm) Northwestern is not good enough to make the Big Ten Network and it is hard to argue with that. They have had some head scratching losses already this season but that can be expected with a new coach and system. They need a get well game and the Broncos are the perfect team for them to face tonight. Western Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams.

4 Unit Play. #550 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Marquette Golden Eagles (2:15 pm BTN) Marquette is always a feisty team that gives you your money

4 Unit Play. #536 Take Arkansas Razorbacks over Clemson Tigers (2 pm ESPN 3) Arkansas is just a completely different team at home than they are away from Bud Walton Arena. Their 40 minutes of hell is much more effective at home as the officials tend to call less fouls on the home team. Clemson was not even good enough to make the ACC/Big Ten Challenge. Clemson is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Arkansas is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

1 Unit Play. #524 Take Monmouth over Rider (7 pm ESPN3) Both of these teams have losing records but we will side with the home underdog for a small change play on Thursday. Rider gives up a ton of points and that will be the difference in the game tonight.
Best of Luck

10 Unit Play. #737 Take Northwestern Wildcats over NC State Wolfpack (7:30 ESPN U) The Wolfpack lost most of their talent from an underachieving team in 2012-13 and I do not see them blowout anybody from the Big 10. Northwestern has a new coach with North Carolina ties and they have much more experienced talent than does NC State. Would go higher on this play but Drew Crawford is listed as probable and the Cats will certainly need him to play. Northwestern is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against ACC teams. NC State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 10 teams.
Best of Luck

3 Unit Play. #533 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Colorado State Rams (9 pm ESPN3) The Buffaloes pounded Air Force and expect them to complete the in-state sweep of mid-majors on Tuesday when they travel to Fort Collins to take on the Rams. The Buffaloes own a hefty, 86-36, advantage in the all-time series, with their 70-61 win last season the most recent. The Buffaloes won this game last year and were not as good as they are this year. CSU lost a ton of talent from last season and they do not have any quality wins at this point of the season. Playing at home will help CSU but CU-Boulder is very used to the elevation and that will not be an issue. CSU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against PAC-12 teams. Colorado is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against the Mountain West.
Best of Luck

3 Unit Play. #732 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Mercer Bears (9 pm ESPN U) The Bears are a decent mid-major team but they just do not have the talent to stay with the Sooners in Norman tonight. OU is 5-1 on the season with their only loss coming to the No. 1 team in the country. The Sooners are scoring close to 90 points per game and that will allow them to cover this medium sized number on Monday. Mercer is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Oklahoma is 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games.
Best of Luck

3 Unit Play. #539 Take SE Missouri State -3.5 over Texas State (5 pm) The Redhawks can score points and thus they will have no problem covering this 5 point spread tonight in Mexico. The Bobcats are scoring under 60 points per game this season and thus will have trouble keeping pace. Texas State is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. SE Missouri State is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a victory of 20 or more points in their previous game.
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #720 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Northern Illinois Huskies (1 pm) This would be a great match-up in football but instead we have to settle for a hardwood battle between these two programs. Both teams do not have much traditional in basketball; however Nebraska is in much better standing behind Coach Tim Miles. The Huskers are scoring much better this season than they did in 2012 and that will allow them to cover this big number. The Huskies have only one play averaging in double figures and that will not get the job done against a teams from the Big 10. NIU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Big 10 teams. Nebraska has covered 7 of their last 8 home games (1 push). The Cornhuskers need and receive a get healthy game.
Best of Luck

10 Unit Play. #591 Take Duke Blue Devils over Arizona Wildcats (6 pm ESPN) The Blue Devils just do not lose games at the Garden and I believe they have too much offensive firepower for Arizona. The Wildcats have great size but they are not a great shooting or scoring team. Arizona struggled with Drexel on Wednesday and Duke does not want a second loss on the season in November. Duke has covered the spread in 9 of their last 13 neutral site games. Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on Friday.
Best of Luck

2 Unit Play. #803 Take Butler Bulldogs over Washington State Cougars (2:20 pm ESPN 2) Coach Ken Bone is this year

3 Unit Play. #731 Take Richmond Spiders over Air Force Falcons (9 pm) The Falcons are one of the worst offensives teams in the country and expect them to struggle again on Wednesday against a strong defensive team in Richmond. The Spiders have played a tough schedule this season and that will benefit them tonight. Air Force already has two bad losses and they have not beaten anybody good this season.
Best of Luck

6 Unit Play. #528 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Saint Louis Billikens (8:30 pm CBS Sports Network) Both teams coming in with an unblemished record; however, Wisconsin is much more battle tested this season. The Billikens have yet to play a good team this season and have just beaten up on bums in the metro area. Wisconsin has played Florida, @ UW Green Bay, and St. Johns this season. What this game comes down to is the 3-point shooting of Wisconsin, as I do not believe Saint Louis will have an answer for the numerous shooters of Wisconsin. The Badgers defense has not been up to par of late; however, I expect Coach Bo Ryan to have a much better defensive performance on Tuesday. Wisconsin is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with the A-10. Wisconsin hardily if ever loses to teams from non-BCS Conferences and that will again be the case in Cancun.
Best of Luck

3 Unit Play. #746 Take Syracuse Orange over Minnesota Golden Gophers (5:30 pm ESPN 2) Both teams enter this game in Maui undefeated; however, the learning curve for the Orange is much smaller than it is for Minnesota. The Gophers have a new coach and a new system and lost much of their talent from last season. Minnesota is not a great shooting team from long range and that does not bode well when facing the 2-3 match-up zone of the Orange. Minnesota is 3-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record.

2 Unit Play. #515 Take TCU Horned Frogs over Washington State Cougars (6 pm PAC-12 Network) TCU is terrible but I just do not believe that Washington State is good enough to be laying this many points against anybody, let alone a team from a BCS Conference. Washington State is coming off a touch match-up with Gonzaga their last time out and thus I expect them to come into this game flat. They will just go through the motions and win this game by 8 to 10 points giving us the point spread victory. Wazzou is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 match-ups against Big XII teams.
Best of Luck

3 Unit Play. #742 Take Pacific Tigers -2 over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:30 pm) We have used Fresno State in two home games this year but this team does not have much talent and playing on the road will be a completely different animal. The Tigers have not lost a home game this season and they also have revenge on their minds after suffering a 5 point loss last year at Fresno State. Pacific is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.

3 Unit Play. #804 Take Auburn Tigers -5.5 over Murray State Racers (8 pm)
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #572 Take Kent State Golden Flashes -4.5 over USC Upstate Spartans (7 pm) Both teams have impressive wins on the road, however, playing their 4th road game in 5 games will eventually catch up with the visitor. This is a 4 team round robin tournament hosted by the Golden Flashes. You can be sure that Kent State was very selective in who they invited and as the saying goes,

3 Unit Play. #726 Take UMASS Minutemen over Nebraska Cornhuskers (12:30 pm ESPN 3) Both teams enter this game in Charleston a perfect 3-0, but the Minutemen have played a much more difficult schedule thus far and they are more battle tested for this neutral site game. Nebraska lost a lot of size from their below average team last year and UMASS just has too much athletic ability for them to stay close in this affair. Nebraska is 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games following a victory in their previous game. Would go bigger in units if this was not an early game, but talent wise UMASS is just much stronger than the land of the corn.

2 Unit Play. #542 Take Fresno State Bulldogs over Cal Poly Mustangs (10 pm) We used the Bulldogs on Saturday and rode them to an easy victory and expect more of the same on Tuesday night. Fresno State won by 9 points in this meeting last year at Cal Poly and that is about how we see this game going as well. Fresno State leads the all-time series with the Mustangs by a 45-18 margin. Cal Poly is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Mountain West teams. Fresno State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Big West teams. Play the home chalk tonight.
Best of luck

2 Unit Play. #730 Take USC Trojans over Cal State Fullerton Titans (11 pm PAC-12 Network) The Trojans have a new identity and a new coach but do return a decent nucleus of players from last year. One must remember that as bad as things were last year with Kevin O

3 Unit Play. #518 Take Arkansas Razorbacks over SMU Mustangs (8 pm) The Razorbacks have been a strong team in Fayetteville under Coach Mike Anderson. They have gone 33-5 under his tutelage and that includes going 18-1 last year. SMU is coached by Larry Brown and he has a solid group of players but they are all newcomers and thus it will take some time to gel against good teams. The Razorbacks 40 minutes of hell is much more effective at home than it is on the road and that again will be the case on Tuesday. The Hogs have covered 8 of their last 10 home games. SMU is 5-11 ATS (1 push) in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record.

3 Unit Play. #774 Take Indiana Hoosiers -11.5 over Stoney Brook Seawolves (5 pm Big Ten Network) Let

2 Unit Play. #745 Take Stanford Cardinal -3.5 over Denver Pioneers (2 pm ROOT Sports) Would go higher on this game if it were not for an early start on the West Coast; however, the talent clearly lies with Stanford. This is the year the Cardinal need to make the NCAA Tournament or I fully expect a change at the head coaching position. Stanford seems to play better on the road than they do at home and thus we will lay the small change on Sunday. They have a major edge in size, speed, and athletic ability and thus they will earn the road victory. Denver is 1-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games against PAC-12 teams.

3 Unit Play. #546 Take Fresno State Bulldogs -5.5 over Cal State Northridge (10 pm) Both teams enter this season at 1-1, but this is the first home game of the season for the Bulldogs. Northridge has a new coach in Reggie Theus and he has to completely change the offensive philosophy since the former coach lived on a slow paced strong defense. Fresno State is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Big West teams. The Matadors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against Mountain West teams.

4 Unit Play. #553 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Green Bay Phoenix (8 pm ESPN 3) Wisconsin does not travel to Green Bay often and the Phoenix beat them straight-up the last time they made the journey north in 2009. But this year there is a wide talent gap and thus Wisconsin will win the game and we fully expect them to cover the spread as well. Wisconsin already has two quality wins on the season (St. Johns & Florida). Green Bay is expected to win the Horizon League this season, but that is more by default, as Butler is gone and many of the top teams last year lost heavy to graduation. This is a one bid league and thus the regular season champ means nothing. Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a victory by more than 20 points in their previous game.

3 Unit Play. #530 Take Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders -6 over Akron Zips (3 pm) MTSU is always a strong team when playing at home and expect them to move to 3-0 on the season. Akron won the MAC last season and is expected to do well this season as well in conference play. But they lost a lot of talent off of the team last year and got embarrassed in the NCAA Tournament by VCU. Akron is coming off a road trip at Saint Mary

2-Unit Play. Take #510 Boston College (-2.5) over Massachusetts (3 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 10)
I am going to jump back on the train with the Eagles. We got screwed out of a winner in their game against Providence, as they had the lead and were getting points with less than two minutes to play in OT and they biffed it. I think the Eagles are still a little irked by that game so they are going to come out with a max effort this afternoon. They are back near home, which will help them stave off the letdown factor, and I think that B.C. has an advantage having already played in an intense regional rivalry game. This is the second. I also just think it is an advantage that Boston College has played a real game while this is the UMass season opener. The Minutemen won by 36 points over B.C. the last time these two teams met, two years ago. B.C.'s juniors were freshmen then and I'm sure they remember it vividly. Massachusetts lost some key players from last year's somewhat disappointing team. They don't play very disciplined basketball and can get out of control. I think that B.C.'s patience, motivation and skill is going to keep them ahead in this game. This will be another close, hard-fought contest for the Eagles. But I don't see them falling to 0-2. And if they do we'll be right back on them again this coming weekend. Let's hope it doesn't come to that!

2 Unit Play. #601 Take Michigan over Louisville (9:23 pm CBS) Michigan has a much better offensive team than does Louisville and expect that to be the difference in this game tonight. Louisville needs to score in transition, as their starting five is not a very good outside shooting team. Michigan has played two good games since Kansas and they just have the make-up of a national championship team. They have the best player in the country and a supporting cast that knows their role and does not try and do too much. Michigan is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. Louisville is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the Big Ten.

10 Unit Play. #816 Take Syracuse over Michigan (Saturday 8:50 pm CBS) This appears to be the most competitive game of the evening and it features two teams from the best two conferences this season. What this game will come down to is Michigan

4 Unit Play. #770 Take Maryland over Iowa (9:30 pm ESPN 2) Both of these teams have had up and down seasons; however, I truly believe that Maryland has better athletes. Both teams are coming off impressive victories on the road to reach the Final Four of the NIT and this should be a close game from start to finish. Iowa is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams. Maryland is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against Big Ten teams. Expect both of these trends to hold true tonight, as the Terrapins march onto the finals of the NIT at Madison Square Garden.
Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #713 Take Michigan over Florida (Sunday 2:20 pm CBS) The Gators look to break through for the first time in three years in their Elite Eight game. Florida pissed away Elite Eight games the last two years and if this game is tight, expect them to panic down the stretch similar to their games against Butler and Louisville. Michigan is riding sky high at the moment after beating Kansas in miraculous fashion on Friday and we fully expect that to carry over into this game. Michigan also has the best player on the floor in Trey Burke and Mitch McGary is becoming a force that nobody expected him to be. Florida has not been challenged by anybody in this tournament playing a 14, 11, & 15 seed and they just are not battle tested for this game. Florida is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Michigan is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Ride the wave with Michigan on Sunday, as they will win this game straight-up!

4 Unit Play. #521 Take Syracuse over Marquette (4:30 pm CBS) The Golden Eagles are very familiar with the Syracuse zone, but I just do not believe that they have the outside shooters to do damage against the red zone Orange. Syracuse has dominated three straight opponents in the NCAA Tournament and we fully expect them to march onto Atlanta and the Final Four. What this game will come down to is which team can make shots and we will side with the more athletic team. Marquette will battle you for 40 minutes, but eventually talent will win out. Marquette is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games overall.

Free College Basketball Prediction from Doc

10 Unit Play. #878 Take Kansas over Michigan (Friday 7:37 pm TBS) NCAA Tournament Game of the Year. The Wolverines have certainly looked much more impressive than has Kansas; however, South Dakota State and VCU do not have Jeff Withey in the middle. Michigan is a very young team in the front court and Kansas will exploit that in a big way. The Jayhawks were led in scoring by Ben McLemore and he is coming off two terrible performances in Kansas City scoring just a combined 13 points in two games. For Kansas to win this game he will need to play better and I fully expect that to be the case, as the pressure will be off since he has a couple of games under his belt. Michigan is still a guard oriented perimeter team and they shot a lot of three point shots. Playing in this mammoth arena with poor sight lines will affect their shooting as well as Kansas, but the Jayhawks are not as reliant on the three ball as is Michigan. Jordan Morgan has been benched for the Wolverines and that is a big loss and will hurt Michigan by not having that extra body down low. Kansas is much bigger than Michigan and over the course of 40 minutes that will become evident and allow the Jayhawks to March on. Kansas will also have a major edge in the crowd, as Arlington is part of Big XII country. Michigan is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Kansas is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Play the experience and size on Friday night.

4 Unit Play. #811 Take Arizona over Ohio State (Thursday 7:47 pm TBS) Playing this game in Los Angeles is a huge advantage for the Wildcats, as there will have a big crowd in the stands cheering them out. This is a game of mentor versus pupil, as Sean Miller worked under Thad Matta before taking over at Xavier. Arizona has a ton of talent and that was evident at times during this season they just did not play up to it all the time. It is not often you find PAC-12 teams with an edge inside against Big Ten teams but that is certainly the case on Thursday. I believe that Arizona has the better player at three of the five positions on the court and getting points makes this one of our stronger NCAA Tournament plays. We used the Wildcats twice last week and both were easy winners and I fully expect to complete the trifecta on Thursday. Arizona is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. This one goes down to the wire with Zona coming out on top giving us a nice underdog straight-up winner.

2 Unit Play. #782 Take Under in BYU @ Southern Miss (8 pm ESPN U) BYU is a completely different team on the road and thus I expect this game to be played at the Golden Eagles pace. BYU has gone under the posted total in 8 of their last 11 games following a victory in their previous game. This posted total is about 5 points higher than where it should be for a typical Southern Miss game and thus we will attack this weak number.

Best of Luck

2 Unit Play. #669 Take Bradley over Northern Iowa (8 pm) This is just too many points to be giving for conference foes that are very familiar with one another. The last time these two teams met it was a three point game and I would not be surprised if this game goes down to the wire as well. Northern Iowa has played two weak opponents to get this far and the Braves are much more battle tested. NIU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Bradley is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. #616 Take BYU over Mercer (9 pm ESPN 3) We will side with the Mormons tonight as this have a distinct home court advantage and they are playing a team that has a long travel route from Macon, Georgia. BYU is one of the best offensive teams in the country and thus they will be able to cover big numbers especially when playing at the Marriott Center. The Cougars beat a better Washington team by 11 points last week and we fully expect a similar result on Monday.

10 Unit Play. #718 Take Duke over Creighton (Friday 9:40 pm TBS) Still believe that Duke is not getting enough respect in this game and I expect them to roll to a double digit victory and advance to take on Michigan State in the Sweet 16. The Blue Devils are not a good match-up for the Bluejays, as Creighton does not have the guards to keep up. Duke is a completely different team with Ryan Kelly back in the line-up and he allows everyone to play their natural position on the floor. Creighton is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 NCAA Tournament Games. Duke is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Talent decides this game and we collect big with Duke.

This is the matchup that I sized up as soon as the brackets even came out. I knew that Iowa State was going to upset Ohio State in this spot and that if I had an opportunity to bet this game I would be all over the Cyclones. That was my gut instinct and I have not seen anything to get me off it. So let's attack this spot and go for an underdog winner and an upset in the bracket that pretty much no one else has seen coming.

Historically, the odds are that three out of the top eight seeds are not going to survive the opening round. Over the last 15 years that is the average number of top seeds that have gone down. Georgetown and Gonzaga were relatively easy calls. But today I think that a third one is going down and I think it will be the Buckeyes.

This one is all about matchups. And here is the bottom line: Ohio State does not play against teams like Iowa State in the Big Ten. They just don't. They haven't seen anything like it and it will be difficult to prepare for in one day. The Cyclones are a team that runs and guns. They jack up 3's from everywhere. They have outstanding athletes and they have a load of experience. They play a 4-out, 1-in system that no one in the Big Ten utilizes. (The closest matchup would be Michigan, but their systems are completely different.) And I don't know that the Buckeyes are going to be set to defend it. Further, Ohio State's defense is keyed by point guard Aaron Craft, who is excellent. But the problem with Iowa State's system is that there is not one guy to key on so there is not one guy for Craft to shut down. That will neutralize him and his primary strength.

This game is coming down to one thing: will Iowa State hit shots? If the Cyclones are knocking down three-point shots then Ohio State is going down. If Iowa State goes 7-for-33 from deep then they are going to lose and I'm going to take a hit here. But I'm willing to bet that our side can make a game of it. Ohio State is not a team that has won a lot of big games this year. And when they have, they haven't done so by blowout. Iowa State is shaky. They are unconventional. They are inconsistent. But they have some talent and they are the type of team and play the type of system that has been know to knock off top teams in the tournament. If they get hot then they are going to win this one in a big way. I'm going to trust my first instinct on this one and see what we can do.

4 Unit Play. #548 Take Weber State -8 over Air Force (9 pm) The Force really banged up with their best player in Michael Lyons and they are coming back from Hawaii and I fully expect jetlag to set it.

Best of Luck

10 Unit Play. #526 Take Arizona over Harvard (Saturday 6:10 pm TNT) Generally teams that pull big upsets as 14 or 15 seeds get blown out in the next round and that is what we will expect to happen tonight in Salt Lake City. The line is steep, but Arizona has been a cash cow for us all season long and we will not be hesitant to lay the wood. Unlike New Mexico, the Wildcats do not have any issues when it comes to scoring points and sooner or later they will go on a run and put this game out of reach. Harvard is nowhere near as good as they were last season and they have already accomplished a lot this season by winning the Ivy League and winning a game in the NCAA Tournament. Arizona is bigger ambitions and that will become evident on Saturday. Arizona is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games. Lay the wood with the more athletic team on Saturday.

10 Unit Play. #829 Take Oklahoma over San Diego State (Friday 9:20 pm TBS) This is not a vintage Aztec team like the past couple of years and I truly believe that they are 100% overrated this season. They have a bunch of volume shooters and they are playing a team with a coach that is very familiar with their style. Lou Kruger coached at UNLV before making his way east to Norman and he has a veteran team that has been underrated all season long. Oklahoma is 4-0 in their last 4 games against Mountain West teams. San Diego State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. We will side with the better coach and getting points is just icing on the cake.

4 Unit Play. #835 Take Iona over Ohio State (Friday 7:15 pm CBS) The Buckeyes are riding high at the moment having won the Big Ten Conference Tournament last Sunday but this team is not a great scoring team and thus I expect the Gaels to be able to hang around for 40 minutes. DeShaun Thomas has been in a major slump on late shooting 12 for 38 in his last two games and 2-17 from the three point line. Iona can score points averaging over 80 on the season and they will go on a run at some point and sneak in the door for a 7-10 point setback. Getting close to two touchdowns is too good to pass up. Iona has covered 4 of their last 5 non-conference games.

4 Unit Play. #843 Take Ole Miss over Wisconsin (Friday 12:40 pm Tru TV) Both team played the maximum amount of games last weekend in the conference tournament with the Rebels winning the SEC and the Badgers falling short in the Big Ten. Wisconsin is not a great team to play when laying this many points especially since Ole Miss has some weapons that can exploit the Badgers. What this game will come do to is who can make shots from the perimeter and I truly expect Ole Miss to hold their own in this regard. Ole Miss is 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. Wisconsin is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. #720 Take Over in VCU @ Akron (Thursday 9:45 pm CBS) The Zips put forth a remarkable second half to beat Ohio and earn a trip to the NCAA Tournament despite losing their starting point guard. That may not bode well in this game against VCU, a team pressures you for the entire 40 minutes. This should create some good up and down flow and set up a strong selection with the over. The Zips have size in the post that can do some damage inside against the Rams. Since these are win or go home games, they tend to play out the string longer with fouling down the stretch since teams do not want their season to end without exhausting all opportunities. The Rams have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 10 games. After playing St. Louis last Sunday, this team will be ready to get up and down the floor.

10 Unit Play. #730 Take Arizona over Belmont (Thursday 7:20 pm TNT) This game is getting a lot of pub as a possible upset but I just do not see that happening. Arizona has a ton of talent and underachieved a little during the regular season. Belmont has an impressive record again this season but they have been bounced by BCS teams the last two years in the tournament and tonight will be no different. Belmont lost by 14 points in 2011 to a so-so Wisconsin team and by 15 points in 2012 to a so-so Georgetown team. The truly believe that Arizona is better than both of these team and I fully expect a double-digit victory by the higher seeded Wildcats. Arizona is pissed off after the way they were bounced from the PAC-12 Tournament and expect them to take out their frustrations on a different type of Bruin. Belmont is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games. Arizona is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 NCAA Tournament games.

4 Unit Play. #734 Take Over in New Mexico State vs. Saint Louis (Thursday 2:10 pm TNT) The Billikens have had a remarkable season as a tribute to Rick Majerus and they are not set to take on an Aggies team that won the WAC Tournament last weekend. I fully expect both teams to score at least 60 points and thus we will collect on the over. As I previously stated, NCAA Tournament games tend to see much more following at the end of games since this is win or go home and thus team will continue to foul even though they likely have no chance of winning. New Mexico has scored at least 60 points in six straight games and Saint Louis has scored at least 60 points in 10 straight games.

5 Unit Play. #726 Take Pittsburgh -4 over Wichita State (Thursday 1:40 pm TBS) The Panthers are a sexy pick to upset the Zags in the round of 32 but first they will have to get past the Shockers from Wichita, KS. I see that happening in what will likely be a low scoring grind it out game. Wichita State just does not have many people that can shot it well, especially from long range. They really do not have that many quality wins this season they just beat up most of the bad teams in the MVC. I am a big fan of Trey Woodall and expect him to have a monster day. Wichita State is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on Thursday. Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss in their previous game. Who are you going to take, an 8 loss MVC team or an 8 loss Big East team. To me the choice is obvious.

5 Unit Play. #623 Take Long Island -0.5 (First Half Line) over James Madison (Wednesday 6:40 pm Tru TV) By now many of you already know that James Madison has suspended starting center Rayshawn Goins for the first 20 minutes of this game because he was arrested over the weekend for charges of disorderly conduct and obstructing justice. I am very surprised that he got suspended and feel the coach is just doing this to placate the media. This will be devastating to the Dukes, as he is their leading scorer and rebounder and this team will have to hold on for the first twenty minutes without him. I really feel that the Dukes will be happy if they are only down 6-8 points at half. The Blackbirds really like to push the tempo as they are 5th in the country in points scored and thus there will be many more possessions in this first half than the Dukes would like. We expect the Blackbirds to jump out quickly and cruise to an early lead. The CAA lost VCU this season and they were way down as a league. Regular season champion Northeastern got killed last night against Alabama and history will repeat itself on Wednesday.

4 Unit Play. #556 Take Denver over Ohio (9:15 pm ESPN 3) Both teams squared good chances to make the NCAA Tournament but the Pioneers have had a few more days to recover than have the Bobcats. I just do not think Ohio can bounce back after such a terrible showing against Akron on Saturday. The Zips were playing without their starting point guard yet Ohio completely fell apart in the second half being outscored by 22 points. Denver is a rock solid team that has won 10 of their last 11 games and they have some impressive victories during this stretch. They are happy to be playing in the NIT and expect them to win this game by double digits. Many of the Bobcat players are holdovers from the Sweet 16 squad last year and I just do not believe they are excited to be playing to be playing in Denver. Ohio is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. Denver is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

These are equal teams and Akron is not good enough to beat a good Ohio team three times in one season. Plus the Zips have not been the same team since Alex Abreu went down with an injury. I really believe Ohio wins this game big!

I just believe that Michigan State has a better starting five than does Ohio State and getting points makes this one of our strongest plays on the season. Parlay that with the better coach who beat a much more talented OSU team one year ago in the Big Ten Tourney and this is too good to pass up. Ohio State has the best player on the floor in DeShaun Thomas but he is the only player that averages double figures for this team. Aaron Craft has come of late and expect the strong Spartans defense to keep him in check for 40 minutes. He is not a great outside shooter.

As for Michigan State they had a much more difficult game on Friday playing a bubble team in Iowa. They did not play well in that game yet found a way to win it down the stretch. I expect them to shoot it much better in this game and you can always rely on their strong defense to win game for them. Both of these teams split during the regular season with each of them winning close games at home, but come March it is hard to like Tom Izzo. Michigan State has three players averaging double figures and getting points is just too good to pass up.

The Commodores remind me a lot of UTSA yesterday, as both teams are coming off monster wins the night before and I just do not believe they can produce a similar result two days in a row since they are not all that talented. Ole Miss still needs wins to ensure an NCAA Tournament Bid and cannot afford a loss to Vanderbilt on their resume.

The Badgers are not always but if they make shots they are a hard team to beat and Michigan found that out for a second time on Friday. Tom Crean has never beaten Bo Ryan as coach at Indiana and expect him to press if this game is close and thus it will go down to the wire and we will collect with whoever comes out of top.

10 Unit Play. #682 Take Georgetown over Syracuse (7 pm ESPN) The Cuse have shown some life against teams with flaws but they will not be able to knock off the Hoyas tonight at the Garden. Expect Georgetown to guard James Southerland and not let him get going from long range and the Hoyas will keep the scoring low and that is how they like to play. Georgetown is 11-3 in their last 14 games overall. Syracuse is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Playing the extra game finally catches up with Syracuse in this game.

4 Unit Play. #832 Take Wisconsin over Michigan (1:30 pm ESPN) The Badgers ha the bye whereas the Wolverines had to play on Thursday and they did not look goo for 25 minutes against Penn State before turning it on at the end. Michigan does not have the inside presence to complete with Wisconsin and thus the Badgers will control the boards and the paint in route to a victory. These two teams played down to the wire in their only meeting this season, but Wisconsin found a way to win then and expect a similar result in this game. Michigan has been choking away games all season long during the Big Ten and today will be no different. Michigan is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Big Ten games. Michigan chokes away another game and we take the points and the higher seed.

4 Unit Play. #775 Take UT-Arlington over Utah State (11:30 pm) The wrong team is favored in this game. Utah State still has injuries and they have not done well against the top teams in the WAC. The Mavericks already beat this team twice this season and both games were not as close as the final score would indicate. It is always tough to beat teams three times in one season; however, the talent disparity will be too much for the Aggies to overcome. Utah State only has one victory against a team that is tied with them or higher than them in the WAC standing and that came at home against New Mexico State. They will be in for all that they can handle tonight against an underrated Maverick team.

4 Unit Play. #872 Take Long Beach State over Cal State Fullerton (9 pm) The Beach has certainly been up and down this season but expect them to pound a depleted Titans team. This is the injury report for Fullerton:

10 Unit Play. #723 Take Penn State over Michigan (Thursday 2:25 pm BTN) The Wolverines blew a chance to win a share of the Big Ten Championship on Sunday when they let a late lead slip away against Indiana. Now they are playing a team that is terrible and expect them to just go through the motions on Thursday and not be that interested in this game. Penn State has started to find things after this team received a death blow with the injury of Tim Frazier earlier this season. The played well in three of their last four games winning two of them including a victory against Michigan. DJ Newbill has scored at least 15 points in four straight games and expect another big performance here since Michigan is not a lockdown defensive team. Jordan Morgan has done nothing inside for Michigan of late and that is a major void for this team. Michigan is more concerned about beating Wisconsin on Friday and thus they will just go through the motions and win by 8-10 points. Penn State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Michigan is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points in this affair.

4 Unit Play. #638 Take Washington over Washington State (11:30 pm PAC-12 Network) The Cougars showed some life last weekend by beating the LA teams in Pullman, but this is a complete different team on the road compared to when they play at home. Washington won both meetings this season against Wazzou and has swept the season series 4 of the last 5 years. The fact of the matter is that they just have better athletes then do the Cougars and that will become evident once again on Thursday. Wazzou is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Washington is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. #652 Take Over in Marshall vs. Tulane (9:30 pm) The Thundering Herd are a completely different team when they are outside of Huntington and forget to bring their defense when that occurs. They gave up 91 points to Tulane earlier this season and I expect both teams to score at least 70 points in this game making a victory with the over all but a certainty. Marshall has gone over the posted total in 19 of their last 26 Conference USA games. The Green Wave have gone over the posted total in 14 of their last 17 Conference-USA games.

4 Unit Play. #636 Take Southern Cal over USC (9 pm PAC-12 Network) The Utes will be reminded of their days in the MWC, as the PAC-12 Tournament returns to Las Vegas as it tries to bring some life into this tournament. That being said, I just am not a fan of this Utes team and feel that they lack the overall talent to be able to stay with the Trojans for 40 minutes. USC actually beat Utah in Salt Lake City this season the game before Kevin O

4 Unit Play. #632 Take Stanford over Arizona State (3 pm PAC-12 Network) Arizona State has come back down to reality of late and seen their chances of an at-large bid into the NCAA Tournament all but diminish. Stanford has talent but underachieved most of the year but I expect them to make a deep run in this PAC-12 Tournament. Arizona State has lost 4 straight games and some of those were heartbreaking losses and that has taken its toll on this team. Stanford closed out the season with two straight wins both by double digits and it would not surprise me if they beat ASU by double digits as well. Stanford won the only match-up in Tempe by three points but that is a little misleading since they led by 16 points in the second half. ASU is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Stanford is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. #577 Take UTSA over San Jose State (11:30 pm) The WAC has some of the worst teams in the country and two of them are set to do battle in Las Vegas as the conference tournament gets underway. We have faded the Spartans numerous times this season as this team has completely fallen apart since January 8th. These two squads were set to do battle in San Jose last week but the game got cancelled because of a leak and was not made up. We have stated this before, but you, me and three guys from the Y could beat this Spartan team since they are without their all everything player in James Kinney. UTSA has been playing better of late winning three of their last five games and that includes victories against Texas State and Idaho. UTSA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. SJSU is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The odds makers have yet to catch up with how bad this Spartan team actually is and we will continue to fade them against anybody on their schedule.

4 Unit Play. #524 Take Gonzaga over Saint Mary

10 Unit Play. #830 Take Virginia over Maryland (6 pm ESPN U) Virginia has done everything in their power to not make the NCAA Tournament losing numerous times to bad teams but yet they sit on the bubble and expect them to take care of business tonight in Charlottesville. Virginia dominated when these two teams met in College Park and to be frank, Virginia is not a good match-up for Maryland. The Cavaliers will lock down inside the three point line and force Maryland to beat them from long range and this is just not a good shooting team. Virginia is 17-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 games overall. Maryland is 4-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 road games. Virginia makes a statement on Sunday and gets back into the tournament conversation.
Best of Luck

10 Unit Play. #629 Take Duke over North Carolina (9 pm ESPN) We have not had much luck using Duke of late but that was before Ryan Kelly came back into the line-up. This is just a completely different with him in the line-up and it gives the Blue Devils another shooter on the perimeter. North Carolina has been playing outstanding of late but their leading scorer (James Michael McAdoo) is banged up with a sore back. He will likely play in this game but I do not believe he will be anywhere near 100%. Expect Duke to jump out early since UNC will start their seniors and many bench players. Duke needs this victory to ensure a No. 1 seed and they get it in comfortable fashion.

4 Unit Play. #568 Take Boise State over San Diego State (3:30 pm NBC Sports Network) San Diego State is nowhere near as good as they were the last couple of years and they are walking into the Lion

4 Unit Play. #549 Take Marquette over St. Johns (2 pm ESPN 2) The Golden Eagles are coming off a lackluster performance against Rutgers this week and will be back in the tri-state area on Saturday playing a depleted Red Storm team. The Johnnies will be without leading scorer D

4 Unit Play. #540 Take Ball State -10.5 over Northern Illinois (2 pm) These two teams are going in opposite directions and the Huskies may be without their best player Abdel Nader. We all know that the Huskies struggle to score points and thus I expect Ball State to jump on them early and cruise to a victory on senior day.

4 Unit Play. #516 Take Georgetown over Syracuse (12 pm ESPN) The Big East as we know it is officially shutdown when the conclusion of this game. This may be hard to watch since both teams struggle to score points; however, it is hard not to like Georgetown at home. Since January 20th, the Hoyas have lost just one game and that includes a road victory at Syracuse. The Cuse are just not shooting it well enough to win games on a consistent basis especially against good teams on the road. Syracuse that is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. Georgetown is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Take the better team at home and watch your money grow!

4 Unit Play. #871 Take St. Peters over Fairfield (9:50 pm) The Stags have not been playing well down the stretch and thus this is way too many points to be giving for a neutral site game. Both teams score around 60 points per game and this we should expect a game in the low sixties and we will grab the points since it is close to double digits.

Best of Luck

4 Unit Play. #850 Take Wisconsin Green Bay over Illinois Chicago (8:30 pm ESPN 3) In my opinion the Phoenix are the third best team in the Horizon League and I fully expect them to advance to the semi-final round of this tournament. There is a big drop off between these two teams, as Green Bay finished 4th in the standing and UIC finished 5th but three full games behind the Phoenix. These teams split during the regular season, however, the Flames have not been playing well down the stretch losing six of their last nine games. UWGB has covered 5 of their last 6 conference games. UIC is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. #842 Take Evansville over Indiana State (3:35 pm Fox Sports Midwest) These two teams finished just a game apart in the MVC standing, however, they have been going in different directions of late. The Sycamores have lost five straight conference games including a 16-point setback to Evansville last Saturday. The Purple Aces have won four straight games including a victory at Wichita State and Wright State during this stretch. Indiana State is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Aces are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.

4 Unit Play. #522 Take Michigan State over Wisconsin (9 pm ESPN 2) This is a battle of two desperate teams and both need a victory to keep their hopes of a Big Ten title alive. Michigan State has lost three straight games and they need this win in order to right the ship. The have played a brutal schedule of late (Michigan, Indiana, & Ohio State) and are ready to face a team that does not have much athleticism. The Badgers are coming off a shocking home loss to Purdue in which they went ice cold from the field. Michigan State is a similar team to Purdue, except for the fact that they have better and more experienced players. Mike Brueswitz and Jared Berggren have gone ice cold from the three point line and I do not see that ending tonight against the very physical Spartans. Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in their last 9 road games against teams with a home winning percentage greater than .600. I would really be shocked if Michigan State losses this game straight-up. There is a chance we could win but not cover but we have to take that risk laying under 5 points with a much better team.

5 Unit Play. #783 Take Colorado State over Wyoming (10 pm ROOT) Both of these teams are struggling down the stretch, but the Rams have talent and the Cowboys are really banged up. The Cowboys have lost 4 straight games and they were only competitive in one of those games. Since their dominating victory over San Diego State on 1/19, Wyoming has not beaten anybody good and all nine of their losses have come by at least 4 points. Colorado State has been struggling as well of late but their three losses of late have come against teams likely to make the NCAA Tournament. But what this game comes down to is that Wyoming is without Luke Martinez and leading scorer Leonard Washington is doubtful for this game with a strained back. Talk about falling apart, Wyoming is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games. This is just a bus ride away for the Rams and they need this game in a big way to get back on track and secure their spot in the NCAA Tournament.

4 Unit Play. #779 Take UCLA over Washington State (9:30 pm PAC-12 Network) The Cougars put forth a good effort on Sunday against Washington but nonetheless folded down the stretch and expect a similar result with a much smaller number on Wednesday. UCLA got a much needed 2-0 performance last week against the Arizona schools and expect them to take care of business tonight in Pullman. Washington State has lost 9 straight games including a 14-point setback earlier this season to UCLA. They really have trouble scoring points and thus they will not be able to keep up with the Bruins, as they average 12 more points per game than does Wazzou. Washington State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

4 Unit Play. #791 Take LMU over Portland (9 pm BYU.tv) The play in game for the WCC Tournament takes place tonight at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. Both of these teams suck; however, I just do not believe that Portland is good enough to beat any teams three times in one season. Especially since the Lions have by far and away the best player on the floor in Antony Ireland, who put on a late surge on Saturday to cost us a top play winner with BYU. Portland is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 WCC games. LMU has covered 5 of their last 7 games overall.

Best of Luck