Sports Picks & Predictions

NCAA Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-15-14	South Alabama +10.5 v. Pepperdine		68-78	Win	100	9 h 54 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #723 Take South Alabama over Pepperdine (10 pm) USA is just 2-4 on the season but they have not been blown out in any of their games this season. They have not played a game in 9 days and that has given them ample time to prepare for the Wave on Monday night. Pepperdine is coming off a tough battle with Arizona State on Saturday and it is a letdown since they had a decent chance to win that game. The Waves have not recorded a quality win on the season and thus I see this game being a 7-10 point victory for the home team. USA is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against WCC teams. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
12-14-14	Illinois State v. DePaul -2.5		78-72	Loss	-115	5 h 32 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #826 Take DePaul over Illinois State (4 pm FS1) The Blue Demons are a much improved team in 2014-2015 and will be able to take down the Redbirds today in this battle of Illinois. DePaul is 5-1 at home this season and that includes an impressive victory over Stanford. Illinois State does not have a quality win on the season and this will be their second straight road game. DePaul has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 home games. ISU is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.
12-13-14	Denver v. Stanford -13.5	Top	43-49	Loss	-110	20 h 22 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #602 Take Stanford over Denver (6 pm PAC-12 Network) Denver has never been a good road team under Joe Scott and most of their magic at home has also deteriorated in recent years. Denver allowed Northern Iowa to shot 70% in their last game and lost it by double digits. Stanford has more size than do the Panthers and thus I expect a high shooting percentage from them on Saturday night. The Pioneers four victories have come against New Orleans, Texas A & M CC, Idaho State, and Coppin State. Stanford has been off for close to two weeks against an embarrassing performance against DePaul and expect them to take out their frustrations on Denver in a big way tonight. Denver is 1-10 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against PAC-12 teams. Stanford is 9-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 nonconference games.
12-11-14	Central Florida +105 v. Illinois-Chicago		60-71	Loss	-100	6 h 8 m	Show
8 Unit Play Take #709 Central Florida over Illinois Chicago (8:00pm est): Central Florida point guard B.J. Taylor is easily their best player. The Knights started out the season 3-0 with Taylor but then he got hurt in the middle of what was a close game versus a very good Davidson teanm. UCF was outscored 50-31 in the 2nd half of that game without Taylor and lost by 26 points. Taylor returned to action last game and though they were beaten by a highly ranked Florida State squad, you could instantly see the improvement from the Knights. Illinois Chicago is off to a 2-7 start this year. This comes on the heels of ending last season 1-19 overall in their last 20 games. Most of these defeats late last year were in Horizon Conference play, a conference that is not as good as the one that UCF plays in. Don't be fooled by some of the closer losses from the Flames either as they never led once last game at home in their 10 point defeat. The Flames are also an ugly 5-16 versus the spread their last 21 home games. If Taylor hadn't got hurt and missed action in those 2.5 games, the Knights would be 5 point favorites here in this one. Take Central Florida here. Big weekend of big play action. Don't miss out as I am 16-5 in all plays rated 6 units and higher in all sports since September 1st. On Friday I have my 8 unit NBA Game of the Year going. I won my only other NBA Game of the Year play earlier this season and in easy fashion. I have a Game of the Year in the NHL on Saturday, my number 1 sport so far this year and on Sunday I cap it off in the NFL with a big 6 unit NFL Game of the Month. Don't miss these big play
12-10-14	Wyoming v. California -3	Top	42-45	Push	0	11 h 18 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #546 Take California over Wyoming (11 pm PAC 12 Network) I have been a fan of this Cal team all season long and despite their poor showing on Sunday (they did cover the spread) expect a much better effort at home tonight. Wyoming is 8-1 on the season but they are 0-1 on the road and only 1 of their 8 home games came against a decent team in Colorado (The Buffaloes are a borderline tournament team). Wyoming lost by 13 points to SMU on the road and I believe Cal is a better team than SMU. Larry Nance is a player but Cal has Tyrone Wallace who lit it up in the second half against Nevada. Cal is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games overall. Wyoming is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games.
12-09-14	Villanova -4 v. Illinois	Top	73-59	Win	100	8 h 50 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #717 Take Villanova over Illinois (7 pm ESPN) The Wildcats are used to playing at MSG and should be able to handle Illinois their second loss of the season tonight as part of the Jimmy V Classic. They are coming off three straight beat downs and should be able to pull away late against Illinois tonight. The Illini have only played one tough opponent this season and Miami handled them pretty easily. Illinois is 0-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 8 games played on Tuesday. Villanova is 20-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 nonconference games. Jay Wright > John Groce. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
12-08-14	Nebraska-Omaha v. Air Force -4		61-77	Win	100	9 h 13 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #526 Take Air Force over Nebraska Omaha (9 pm the MWC) The Falcons returned most of their starting line-up from last season and should be able to take out the Mavericks at home this evening. The Force is 3-0 at home this season and the Mavericks are just 1-3 on the road. Air Force is getting the job done on defense this season limiting opponents to 58.7 points per game. That will be the difference tonight in Colorado Springs. Nebraska Omaha is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
12-07-14	California -5.5 v. Nevada	Top	63-56	Win	100	5 h 54 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #835 Take California (4 pm CBSSN) Nonconference Game of the Year. The Wolf Pack have been our go to fade all season long and today will be no different. This team is one of the worst teams in the country on offense and that is beginning to take its toll on their defense. They have battled hard at times but yet they have lost five straight games and only one of those games came against a team that has a chance (Seton Hall) to make the NCAA Tournament. Cal is a sleeping giant at the moment and has played outstanding basketball to start the season. They have not been as impressive in their last two games against two bad teams but all that has done is put this line way too low. Do not be put off by their performance on Wednesday against Montana, as that was a big game for Montana as their coach was an assistant at Cal last season and wanted that job that went to Cuonzo Martin. You knew he was going to get Montana’s best shot and that is exactly what happened. The game before that was against Fresno State and the Bears just towed with them the whole game and only won by 7 when they should have won by 15 points. That is how I see this game going, as Nevada just is not any good. The Pack lost three three best players from last season and they have a lame duck head coach in David Carter who will likely be replaced at the end of the season. Jabari Bird may or may not play in this game but it will not matter, as Cal wins this game by double digits either way. Cal is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 nonconference games. Nevada is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
12-06-14	New Mexico v. Valparaiso -7.5		63-46	Loss	-115	8 h 11 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #568 Take Valparaiso over New Mexico (8 pm ESPN 3) The Lobos really got up for their in-state rival New Mexico State this week and dominated in a surprising 15 point victory. I just do not see them being able to bring that same kind of intensity on the road in this game against a good Valparaiso squad. The Lobos lost most of their scoring punch from last season and they are without their leading scorer in Cullen Neal for this game. This is the first true road game of the season for the New Mexico and all three home games Valpo has played have been won by double digits. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
12-05-14	Florida v. Kansas -7.5		65-71	Loss	-103	9 h 30 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #838 Take Kansas over Florida (9 pm ESPN) The Jayhawks have been a covering machine since getting blown out by Kentucky last month. They also have revenge on their minds in this game since Florida beat them by 6 points last season in Gainesville in a game that was not as close as the final score would indicate. That was one of the few games that Andrew Wiggins actually played well in last season. That game was also our Nonconference Game of the Year backing Florida (see Sunday). But this play is more about going against Florida, as they just cannot score points this season losing their three senior starters from last season. The Jayhawks scoring numbers are deflated a lot since that Kentucky game is included but they are getting it done on both sides of the floor. This will be a double digit victory for Kansas and we will collect big it the process as well. Florida is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games overall. Kansas is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
12-04-14	Wisconsin Green Bay v. Georgia State -3.5		48-72	Win	100	7 h 24 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #510 Take Georgia State over Green Bay (7 pm) The Panthers have not really played up to their potential at this point of the season but I believe that they are due for a breakout performance at home against Green Bay. The Phoenix are off to a solid 5-1 start this season with their only loss coming against Wisconsin but only Keifer Sykes remains for the one two dominating punch from last season. Georgia State has only played one home game this season and that works to their advantage tonight. They will likely start off slow but take control of this game early in the second half. The Panthers have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports.
12-03-14	Nevada v. Long Beach State -10	Top	57-68	Win	100	22 h 28 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #776 Take Long Beach State over Nevada (10 pm) The odds makers are starting to catch up to how bad this Nevada team is but I still feel we can get a few more games fading them. Like normal the Beach has played a brutal schedule to open the season and they already have wins against Kansas State and Xavier, two likely tournament teams come March. But this selection is more about going against Nevada, as they have lost their three best players from last season and have nobody left that can consistently score points. The Wolf Pack have lost four straight games including the last two against Weber State and Nebraska Omaha. They have a coach that will be dismissed at the end of this year and are in total free fall at the moment. Nevada is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
12-02-14	Illinois v. Miami (FL) -5	Top	61-70	Win	100	23 h 50 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #544 Take Miami over Illinois (9 pm ESPN 2) Both teams are vastly improved this season and will be making an appearance in the NCAA Tournament. That being said I just believe Miami is the better team and will lay the small change with them on Tuesday night as part of the ACC Big 10 Challenge. The Illini are coming back from a tournament in Las Vegas over the weekend and I expect them to be a little jet lagged for this game. The Hurricanes picked up two key transfer that sat out last season but are paying dividends this year. Miami is fourth in the country shooting the three and that will be the difference tonight in Coral Gables. Coach Groce has not won many big road game at Illinois and tonight will be no different. The U has covered 5 of their last 7 home games.
12-02-14	Wright State v. Evansville -7		78-86	Win	100	8 h 2 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #538 Take Evansville -7 over Wright State (8 pm) The Raiders are not the same team as they were last year making the Horizon League Finals. Evansville returned a ton of players from 2013-2014 and should have no problem winning this game by double digits at home. This is only the second game the Purple Aces have played at home this season and yet they have an impressive record of 4-1. Wright State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Missouri Valley teams. Evansville is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Horizon League teams.
11-30-14	Bowling Green v. Detroit -2.5		64-63	Loss	-110	3 h 22 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #826 Take Detroit over Bowling Green (3 pm ESPN 3) The Falcons have played just three games on the season and thus they will have trouble keeping up with the Titans in this game. Detroit has played a brutal schedule thus far but they have come out of it strong with a 4-2 record and their only losses are against Michigan and Oregon. The Titans have won 23 of the 39 match-ups with Bowling Green but they will not overlook this game since the Falcons have won the last three meetings. Detroit just has too much offense for Bowling Green to stay close as the Titans will pull away in the second half. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games.
11-29-14	Charleston v. West Virginia -12.5	Top	57-86	Win	100	18 h 13 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #524 Take West Virginia over College of Charleston (7 pm) The Mountaineers are back and should have no problem putting away the Cougars at home in this Puerto Rico Tip-Off game. Charleston has played a tough schedule thus far but West Virginia has played two of the same teams and beat both of them by double digits (UCONN & George Mason). Coach Huggins knows the importance of getting off to a good start this season since he has not made the NCAA Tournament in a couple of years and thus he will not take any of these games lightly. CC is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. West Virginia is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
11-28-14	North Carolina v. Florida OVER 132		75-64	Win	100	10 h 1 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #760 Take over 132 in North Carolina vs. Florida (8 pm AXS) The consolation games tend to be more wide open and I expect Carolina to control the pace of this game and propel this game over the posted total. This should also be a close game with some fouling at the end of the game to propel the total. Teams are finally figuring out how to shot it at the Atlantis. UNC has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 7 games.
11-28-14	St. Louis v. Mississippi State -2.5	Top	50-75	Win	100	9 h 3 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #804 Take Mississippi State over Saint Louis (9:30 pm CBSSN) Both teams have played cupcakes thus far in 2014 so it is hard to get a read on either team. So what this play comes down to is that one team returns everybody whereas the other team is in complete rebuild mode. This is the team that the Bulldogs will need to show some progress under Rick Ray and believe it or not this is a tournament that they can actually win. Mississippi State is 8-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 12 games against Atlantic 10 teams.
11-27-14	Marquette v. Georgia Tech -3		72-70	Loss	-104	10 h 32 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #508 Take Georgia Tech -3 over Marquette (9 pm ESPN 2)
11-26-14	Furman v. Duke -39	Top	54-93	Push	0	17 h 19 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #800 Take Duke over Furman (5 pm ESPN U) I just do not believe that the books can set these lines high enough for games played at home. We saw it with Kentucky last night and now it is Duke’s turn to take on a lightweight at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Blue Devils would have covered this number twice already this season Furman already lost to Charleston by 35 points. Furman is 11-23 ATS in their last 34 games overall. Duke has covered the spread in every game that they have played this season. Duke will score over 100 points in this contest and cover this huge number.
11-25-14	Texas-Arlington v. Kentucky -31.5	Top	44-92	Win	100	7 h 20 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #514 Take Kentucky over UT Arlington (7 pm SEC Network) UT Arlington is coming off a losing record last year and only returns two starters and is expected to be a middle of the pack team in the Sun Belt this season. Buffalo bet them this season and that was the only team that gave Kentucky trouble. Kentucky is loaded and deep and are almost impossible for midmajors to score points on. There are so deep that they never call of the dogs and thus the Wildcats are able to run up the score and cover these big numbers. Kentucky is 10-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games overall.
11-24-14	Seton Hall -3 v. Illinois State		84-80	Win	100	10 h 3 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #739 Take Seton Hall over Illinois State (9 pm CBSSN) The Hall has had a cake make to the finals of the Paradise Jam playing two cupcakes and jumping out to big leads in both of those games. That will benefit them for the finals, as they are the more rested team who has played the earlier game each day as well. The Redbirds already lost to Utah State at home this season and they are not an NCAA Tournament team come March. Seton Hall has covered the spread in five straight nonconference games. Illinois State is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS victory in their previous game.
11-24-14	Santa Clara v. Michigan State -16		52-79	Win	100	7 h 2 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #716 Take Michigan State over Santa Clara (7 pm BTN) Michigan State is by far the superior team playing at home against a mid-major. The Spartans lost to Duke last week but took out their frustrations on last Friday night. Expect more of the same tonight against Santa Clara, a team that does not rebound or pass the ball well. Santa Clara is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams.
11-24-14	Missouri v. Arizona -15		53-72	Win	100	5 h 4 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #744 Take Arizona over Missouri (5 pm ESPN 2) Arizona is clearly the superior team in this match-up as Missouri is in a complete rebuild mode and has no talent. The Tigers already have a loss to UMKC this season and they really have trouble scoring points. Arizona will go on a big run at some point in this game and win by 20 points. Missouri is 6-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. Arizona moves onto the semi-finals in the 2014 Maui Invitational. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports.
11-23-14	Akron v. South Carolina -5		68-63	Loss	-105	7 h 47 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #546 Take South Carolina over Akron (6:30 pm ESPN U) USC has a great advantage playing this tournament in their home state and the Zips will be without Demetrius Treadwell. South Carolina beat Akron twice during the 2013 Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii in the only two previous meetings between the squads. Akron is not the same team that they were two years ago making the NCAA Tournament. They are just 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall. South Carolina is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
11-22-14	Brown v. Indiana State -6.5		66-78	Win	100	7 h 36 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #734 Take Indiana State over Brown (6 pm) Indiana State should bounce back in a big way from their loss to Saint Louis tonight in Terre Haute, IN. Brown is a middle of the road team in the Ivy league and both of their losses have come by double digits against a pair of team that will not be making the NCAA Tournament. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games.
11-21-14	UC Riverside v. Utah -23		42-88	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #540 Take Utah -23 over Cal Riverside (9 pm PAC-12 Network) After playing an awful game against San Diego State on Tuesday the Utes are ready for some home cooking against one of the worst teams in college basketball. Utah is 27-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 37 home games. They are ready to take out their frustrations on somebody and Cal-Riverside will be the sacrificial lamb.
11-21-14	Seton Hall -7 v. Nevada		68-60	Win	100	15 h 14 m	Show
7 Unit Play. #569 Take Seton Hall Pirates over Nevada Wolf Pack (4 pm CBSSN) I have been waiting for a spot to fade Nevada and everything has worked out perfectly for this game with the Pirates. Nevada lost their three best players from last season including their all-everything point guard in Deonte Burton. This team will have trouble scoring points all season long and this will be their first test of the season. Seton Hall lost a lot of talent from their 2013-2014 squad but that is a good thing. They had a monster recruiting class led by Isaiah Whitehead and this team will make some noise in the Big East this season. Whitehead was a McDonald’s All American and he is by far the best player on the court in this game. But this game is mostly about going against Nevada as I believe they are one of the worst offensive teams in the country. Nevada will need to win games in the 50s with a strong defensive effort but most nights that just will not be enough. Nevada also has a coach on the hot seat and a fan base that is ready for a change. Seton Hall dominates this game for 40 minutes and wins by double digits. To close things out, Nevada is 5-17 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games.
11-20-14	Syracuse -4.5 v. California	Top	59-73	Loss	-106	22 h 47 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #737 Take Syracuse over California (9:30 pm ESPN 2) The Orange are happy to head south via a bus ride to their home away from home. MSG has been a favorite of Coach Boeheim and we will side with them tonight with this short number against Cal. The Golden Bears were just a middle of the pack team last year in the PAC-12 and I do not see them being much better this season. The Orange are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. Cal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against teams from the ACC. Syracuse always has a winning streak to start the season and tonight will be no different.
11-20-14	Fordham v. Maryland -17		50-66	Loss	-110	8 h 32 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #710 Take Maryland -17 over Fordham (7:30 pm BTN+) Fordham is always a bottom feeder team in the ACC and today will be no different. Maryland returns a good nucleus and they are always a tough team to beat in College Park. Maryland has won 7 of the 8 meetings with Fordham and I expect this to be a 20-point victory for the home team.
11-19-14	UC-Irvine v. Arizona -15.5		54-71	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #538 Take Arizona over UC Irvine (9 pm PAC-12 Network) This selection is very similar to Wisconsin. UC Irvine is a good mid-major team but Arizona is loaded with talent and a top five team playing at home will pull away late and win this game by 20+ points.
11-19-14	Wake Forest v. Arkansas -12.5		53-83	Win	100	9 h 23 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #534 Take Arkansas over Wake Forest (9 pm SEC Network) The Hogs should be able to make the NCAA Tournament this season and Wake Forest has been a bottom feeder team for quite some time. They have an upgrade in coach but it is still the same crappy players and thus Wake Forest will get blown out tonight. Arkansas can win at home that has already been proven and this is a game they will win big.
11-19-14	Wisconsin Green Bay v. Wisconsin -15	Top	60-84	Win	100	22 h 47 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #532 Take Wisconsin over Green Bay (9 pm BTN) Green Bay gave Wisconsin quite a battle last year at the Resch Center and you can bet the Wisconsin coaches are reminding them of this all week long. Green Bay has a player in Keifer Sykes who tore apart Wisconsin last year but I just do not see that happening at the Kohl Center. The Phoenix were a two headed monster last year Alec Brown but he graduated and thus this team is not as effective. Green Bay will win the Horizon League but they are not ready to stay with the best Big 10 team on their home floor. Bo Ryan plays his starters most of the game even in blowout and that has allowed Wisconsin to go 35-16 ATS (1 push) in their last 52 nonconference games.
11-19-14	Santa Clara v. Utah State -3		54-60	Win	100	8 h 25 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #536 Take Utah State over Santa Clara (9 pm) Apparently Utah State is not as bad as most people thought they would be! Sometimes getting rid of underachieving seniors is a good thing and this team is always a tough out in Logan.
11-17-14	North Dakota State v. Iowa -19.5		56-87	Win	100	7 h 9 m	Show

11-17-14	Hofstra v. NC State -12.5		64-76	Loss	-106	6 h 10 m	Show

11-17-14	Jacksonville State v. Louisville -31.5	Top	39-88	Win	100	7 h 24 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #550 Take Louisville over Jacksonville State (7 pm ESPN 3) The only fear I have about this game is that Louisville will be jet lagged after playing in Puerto Rico on Friday night. But that is really not that long of a flight and the Cardinals are playing a terrible team in Jacksonville State who got blown out by Marshall on Friday night. I see this game as a high 30’s victory from the Cardinals. Louisville is 18-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 nonconference games.
11-16-14	Valparaiso v. Missouri -5	Top	41-56	Win	100	7 h 30 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #724 Take Missouri over Valparaiso (6 pm SEC Network) The Tigers losing their home opener makes this play that much stronger. Missou lost most of their talent from last season but they are still an SEC school playing a school from the Horizon League. Missouri gets a major upgrade in coaching with Kim Anderson and he knows the importance of this game to avoid starting the season 0-2. We used Valpo as a play on Friday and won but the short turnaround and travel will due them in tonight in Columbia. The Tigers just could not make a shot in their home opener but things should change for the better on Sunday. Valpo’s cover on Friday night was the first time it has happened in their last 8 games.
11-15-14	Kent State -4 v. Youngstown State		69-61	Win	100	8 h 58 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #531 Take Kent State over Youngstown State (7 pm) This series has been dominated in recent years by the Golden Flashes as the Penguins have not beaten them since 2006. Kent State was disappointing last season but they do return their top three scorers from 2013-2014 and are playing a bad team from a much worse conference. Kent State is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Youngstown State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.
11-14-14	East Tennessee State v. Valparaiso -9	Top	76-90	Win	100	25 h 25 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #812 Take Valparaiso over East Tennessee State (8:30 pm) The Crusaders were in a major rebuild last year and they came away respectable with a winning record and a winning record in conference. Now they should start to see the fruits of their labor as they return 4 starters including Alec Peters. He can score from anywhere on the court and expect him to give the Buccaneers fits all night. ETSU returns to the Southern Conference this season although it is a new looking Southern Conference. The Bucs lost most of their production in the front count and that will be there undoing tonight on the road. With Missouri on deck, this is a game Valpo needs to get and I expect them to get it by double digits. ETSU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 nonconference games.
11-14-14	Florida Atlantic +2 v. Elon		58-64	Loss	-110	7 h 35 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #733 Take Florida Atlantic over Elon (7:30 pm) The Owls have a new coach in Michael Curry as the Mike Jarvis career comes to an end. We expect them to get off on the right foot against a team that is moving up in conference and has to replace 4 of their 5 starters from 2013-2014. This is a complete rebuild for the Phoenix and it will be a struggle early in the season for them. Take the experience in this one.
11-14-14	Siena v. Massachusetts -5.5		87-95	Win	100	6 h 55 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #792 Take Massachusetts over Siena (7 pm) The Saints have not been the same team since Fran McCaffery bolted for Iowa. UMASS is coming off a trip to the NCAA Tournament last season and I expect them to produce another 20 season despite replacing some of the starts from last season. UMASS plays a style of basketball that pressures teams up and down the court and that is very beneficial early in the season and when playing at home. Siena returns all of their experience from last season but they were not good last year and are just a middle of the pack team this season in the MAAC.
11-14-14	Boise State -2.5 v. San Diego		81-75	Win	100	5 h 27 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #769 Take Boise State over San Diego (6:30 pm) The Broncos underachieved in a big way last season after making the NCAA Tournament two years ago. But they still have talent and had some big wins last year and should be able to take out San Diego in a neutral site on Friday. Derrick Marks may not play in this game but it will not matter as the talent greatly favors Boise State. The Toreros made the tournament once early in the Bill Grier era but have not done much since. He is 26 games below .500 in his career at USD and will be no match for Boise State today in Los Angeles.
11-14-14	Virginia Military -5 v. Citadel		66-65	Loss	-106	4 h 29 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #765 Take VMI over The Citadel (5:30 pm) The Citadel is always amoung the worst teams in college basketball year in and year out. VMI appears to be heading the right direction coming off an impressive 22-13 season and they return one of the top players in the conference in QJ Peterson who averages close to 20 points per game. Expect VMI to put away Bulldogs in the second half and win this game by double digits.
04-07-14	Kentucky v. Connecticut +3	Top	54-60	Win	100	32 h 50 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #602 Take Connecticut Huskies over Kentucky Wildcats (Monday 9:10 pm CBS) It ends tonight! Two traditional powers that very few expected to be in this game this year are set to do battle in Arlington with a National Championship on the line. UCONN has had the easier path to this game as they have not had a game go down to the wire since their round of 64 game. Kentucky has shown great resilience to get to this point but they have yet to face a team with guards like UCONN has. If Niels Giffey could ever make a three point shot I believe UCONN would win this game comfortably. Connecticut just does all the little right and unlike Wisconsin, the Huskies will get in your face and create turnovers. Kentucky was just too comfortable against Wisconsin with only 4 turnovers yet still almost lost the game. UCONN will make all of their free throws and win this game straight-up, as getting points is just icing on the cake. The Huskies are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 neutral site games.
04-05-14	Kentucky -2 v. Wisconsin	Top	74-73	Loss	-100	126 h 56 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #815 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 8:49 pm TBS) Really surprised that this line is so low considering how well Kentucky has played of late. Wisconsin had trouble on the boards against Arizona and Kentucky has a lot more big man than does the Arizona Wildcats. Wisconsin may have the best player on the floor in Frank Kaminsky but the supporting cast of Wisconsin has not been playing well around him of late. Kentucky has been making shots of late and that is the key to their success since they are a great rebounding team. Wisconsin is just happy to reach the Final Four whereas Kentucky feels that it has more work to do. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. Kentucky is 7-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games against Big 10 teams.
04-05-14	Fresno State v. Siena OVER 137		68-81	Loss	-108	23 h 28 m	Show
10 Unit Play Take #817 'over' 137 Fresno State/Siena (11:30am est): These same two teams just met up on Wednesday night and that game had 164 total points scored, going way 'over' the posted total by 32 points overall for the game. What was the reason behind such a high scoring game? In my eyes there were two very good one's. First off and most importantly this game was moved to the Siena's practice gym instead of playing in their regular gym that was already booked for use. This is a much smaller gym to play in and that improves the players depth perception, etc... In fact many coaches and players spoke after the game on just how easy it was to score in this of setting/building. The proof was also in the numbers as Fresno State shot an almost unheard of 64 percent on two point shots, 53 percent from three point land and hit 35 of 43 for 81 percent at the free throw line, all well above their season averages. Add in the fact it you could see the rims also appeared to be softer as well, giving the shooters a nice bounce most of the time. Here's just one of many quotes speaking about how easy it was for shooters: "I feel like gyms like this are kind of shooters' gyms,"said Tyler Johnson, who combined with Cezar Guerrero for 25 points in the decisive opening half. "Most of our practices are in a gym similar to this. We've got a good feeling for places like this." The pace of the play was fast as Siena pressed like crazy in this and the first contest and it seemed to work again as Fresno State had lots of turnovers in the game. But with the press comes a lot of easy baskets as well which the Bulldogs also had. Also by game's end you could see just how badly both these teams wanted to win this game meaning no one quit meaning lots of fouls and free throws in a game that seemed to drag on forever. With this now being a winner take all game on tap here I expect both squads to foul right down to the last second which should means lots of late game scoring. This all sets up nicely for what I think should be a high scoring affair. Play 'over' the total in this one. My baseball season has started off a perfect three for three winning days wise as I have made my clients a profit each and every day thus far on the diamond. This comes as no surprise as I killed it last April as well making well over $3,000 of profits betting on baseball. Join me and see for yourself as I am locked and loaded and ready to roll again this year. Baseball has been my top overall sport at Doc's Sports and I am expecting a fantastic winning season.
04-01-14	Clemson +3 v. SMU		59-65	Loss	-104	28 h 9 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #768 Take SMU Mustangs over Clemson Tigers (Tuesday 7 pm ESPN) SMU is a much more all-around team than is Clemson and expects the athletes of SMU to make the difference in this game. Clemson has trouble scoring points and I just do not believe that they will be able to keep pace with SMU on Tuesday at the Garden. Clemson has had a very easy draw to get to New York but they struggled to dominate and really have not played well on the road all season long. Clemson is 2-6 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 10 games played on Tuesday. SMU is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games. Talk the chalk on Tuesday in the NIT.
03-30-14	Kentucky -2 v. Michigan	Top	75-72	Win	100	17 h 7 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #719 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Michigan Wolverines (Sunday 5:05 pm CBS) Michigan really had to hang on last night against Tennessee and I do not believe that will carryover well into this game against a red hot Kentucky. The Wildcats are finally putting it together and have been giant killers of late beating Wichita State and Louisville in consecutive games. I am a bit surprised that Kentucky is favored in this game but that just shows me the smart money in on Kentucky especially from the wise guys. Kentucky has covered the spread in 6 straight games. Michigan is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on Sunday. This will not be an all-Big Ten match-up in Arlington as big blue marches onto the Final Four!
03-29-14	Wisconsin +3 v. Arizona	Top	64-63	Win	100	32 h 46 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #515 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 8:49 pm CBS) We have rode Wisconsin numerous times this season and also will collect on a futures bet if they win this game straight-up. This will eliminate one of the two best coaches in the country never to reach a Final Four and how can one not want to see Bo Ryan clear that hurdle. Wisconsin has been playing lights out down the stretch and they are clearly the better scoring team in this game. They destroyed Baylor because of their balance and expect similar situation tonight against Arizona. UCLA was a great offensive team and Arizona could not keep pace with them. The Wildcats played San Diego State, a team with only one good offensive player and struggled for most of the game against the Aztecs. Wisconsin is 6-0 in their last 6 nonconference games. Wisconsin is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Getting points is just icing on the cake as Wisconsin marches on to the Final Four for the first time under Bo Ryan.
03-28-14	Michigan State -1.5 v. Virginia	Top	61-59	Win	100	99 h 9 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #877 Take Michigan State Spartans over Virginia Cavaliers (Friday 9:57 pm TBS) Virginia looked as impressive as anybody during the round of 32 but now they face a team that can beat you in a variety of ways. Memphis could only play one way and they are not a good shooting team and this is the type of team that Virginia can eat alive. Things will be much different in New York City and I really feel that this line does not do Michigan State justice. We now know that the ACC was not very good this year with Virginia the lone standing team (Big 10 still have three teams that made it to the Sweet 16). History shows that they type of team does not advance very far into the NCAA Tournament because sooner or later Virginia is going to have to make shots against a good defensive team. It will not be tonight, as the Spartans and their size, speed, and balance will be too much to overcome.
03-28-14	Kentucky +5.5 v. Louisville		74-69	Win	100	77 h 10 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #881 Take Kentucky Wildcats over Louisville Cardinals (Friday 9:45 pm CBS) What a match-up this will be as bragging rights in the state of Kentucky are on the line for the second time this season. Kentucky played their best game of the season last Sunday against Wichita State and they have already beaten Louisville once this season. If Kentucky makes shots, they can win this game straight-up it will just be imperative that they play smart and take care of the basketball. Louisville has size issues in the paint, as the Cardinals big man are not as talented on the offensive end compared to Kentucky. Louisville will have their moments in this game I just think Kentucky has too much talent in the end.
03-28-14	Connecticut +1.5 v. Iowa State		81-76	Win	100	75 h 31 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #875 Take Connecticut Huskies over Iowa State Cyclones (Friday 7:27 pm TBS) Did Connecticut get a major edge with this draw and location as the Garden will be packed for a very winnable game on Friday night against Iowa State. The Cyclones were very fortunate to win against North Carolina on Sunday and I feel game two will eventually catch up with this since they are without Georges Niang for a second straight game. This will be a fun game to watch that goes up and down and is high scoring but make no mistake about this, it will be a UCONN crowd that will propel them to a victory and onto the Elite Eight.
03-28-14	Tennessee v. Michigan -1.5		71-73	Win	100	74 h 24 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #880 Take Michigan Wolverines over Tennessee Volunteers (Friday 7:15 pm CBS) Everybody appears to be on the Tennessee bandwagon at the moment and few remember that they should have lost to Iowa in the play-in games last week. Tennessee did not impress me much even in the tournament beating UMASS (the most over seeded team) and Mercer (a team that suffered a key injury) and they will get all they can handle from Michigan. Coaching wise this is a complete mismatch as Cuonzo Martin was very close to getting fired and John Beilein is coming off a trip to the National Championship Game last year. Tennessee will need to make some outside shots in this game and I just do not see that happening on a consistent basis. Michigan moves on to the Elite Eight for a second straight year.
03-27-14	San Diego State v. Arizona -6.5		64-70	Loss	-112	54 h 31 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #816 Take Arizona Wildcats over San Diego State Aztecs (Thursday 10:15 pm TBS) These two teams already met once this season with Arizona winning at San Diego State and I feel history will repeat itself on Thursday. I am always amazed how San Diego State can score enough points to win games especially if Xavier Thames is off. He played outstanding on Saturday but against North Dakota State, but the Bison are not in the same class as the Wildcats. Both teams have lockdown defenders, but the difference is that Arizona has playmakers on offense whereas San Diego State does not. I believe that if Arizona can score 65+ in this game they will not only win the game easily but also cover the spread. We have seen that the MWC was not very good this season and expect that to hold true in this game as Arizona beats San Diego State for a second time this season.
03-27-14	UCLA v. Florida -4.5		68-79	Win	100	53 h 20 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #810 Take Florida Gators over UCLA Bruins (9:45 pm CBS) The Gators continue to be undervalued in this NCAA Tournament and I truly feel that they will have no problem making the Elite Eight for a third straight year and eventually the Final Four. UCLA has been on a nice roll of late but they are still not a good defensive team and just are not on the level as Florida. UCLA had a major edge playing in San Diego for their first two games and also playing double digits seeds. Those advantages are nowhere to be found in Memphis. Florida wins this game by 8-10 points and we collect in the process as well.
03-27-14	Baylor v. Wisconsin -3	Top	52-69	Win	100	73 h 40 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #814 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Baylor Bears (Thursday 7:45 pm TBS) Baylor looked impressive against Creighton as they knocked Doug McDermott and company out of the NCAA Tournament but they will get a much stiffer test tonight against a well-rounded Wisconsin team. Creighton never defended well this season and relied too much on McDermott and with Baylor not missing many shots you get a 30 points rout. But things will be much different on Thursday. First of all I just do not see Baylor shooting lights out for a second straight game. Very few teams are in the zone Baylor was in on Sunday and history just will not repeat itself. Wisconsin has a ton of people that can score points and it would not surprise me if they win this game convincingly. I will take Bo Ryan any day of the week over Scott Drew. I really believe this is the year Bo Ryan gets to the Final Four and we will collect with him along the way!
03-24-14	Penn State -4 v. Siena		52-54	Loss	-113	7 h 19 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #631 Take Penn State Nittany Lions over Siena Saints (7 pm CBSSN) The Saints have not been relevant since Fran McCaffery bolted for Iowa and I do not believe they will be able to keep pace with this veteran team from the Big 10. Penn State has the two best players on the floor and the Saints had issues in their first game of the CBI Tournament. The Saints had a couple of players kicked out of their first round game against Stoney Brook for leaving the bench and that is bad karma for this game whether or not they play. Penn State is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 nonconference games. Best of Luck
03-23-14	Kentucky v. Wichita State -4.5	Top	78-76	Loss	-106	16 h 40 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #722 Take Wichita State Shockers over Kentucky Wildcats (Sunday 2:45 pm CBS) I am actually surprised that this line is moving toward Wichita State after it opened right where I thought it would. However, that just tells me that the sharps realize the same thing that I do. Wichita State is a much better team that Kentucky is. The Wildcats held off a bad Kansas State team on Friday with the help of two questionable technicals despite shooting terrible from the field. 30% shooting is a staple with this Kentucky team and that just will not get the job done. Wichita State already already pounded two SEC teams this season and playing in St. Louis will give them a big edge in the crowd (think Wisconsin last night against Oregon). Wichita State does not beat themselves with stupid passes and careless turnovers. Kentucky is 5-16 ATS in their next game after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. Wichita State is 36-13 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 51 games. Take the sleeping giant on Sunday!
03-22-14	Connecticut +4 v. Villanova		77-65	Win	100	10 h 24 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #519 Take Connecticut Huskies +4 over Villanova Wildcats (9:40 pm TBS)
03-22-14	Harvard v. Michigan State -7		73-80	Push	0	9 h 4 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #530 Take Michigan State Spartans -7.5 over Harvard Crimson (8:40 pm TNT)
03-22-14	Oregon v. Wisconsin -5	Top	77-85	Win	100	22 h 4 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #526 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Oregon Ducks (7:45 pm CBS) Wisconsin playing in Milwaukee with this low of a number is too good to pass up. Wisconsin looked as impressive as anybody in the round of 64 and that included them not playing well for the first 12 minutes. Imagine what they can do if they put it together for an entire 40 minutes. Oregon has been a very streaky team this year and I just do not believe that they are patient and consistent enough to beat Wisconsin in Milwaukee. Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. In order to win games in the NCAA Tournament you must make shots from the arc and I like Wisconsin
03-22-14	Dayton v. Syracuse -7.5		55-53	Loss	-110	8 h 32 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #518 Take Syracuse Orange -7.5 over Dayton Fliers (7:10 pm TBS)
03-22-14	Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Florida		45-61	Loss	-110	14 h 16 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #521 Take Pittsburgh Panthers over Florida Gators (12:15 pm CBS) Just did not think Florida looked right in their round of 64 game on Thursday against Albany. Pittsburgh played outstanding and I just do not see them getting blown out in this game. The Panthers have the bodies to match-up inside with Patrick Young and unless Florida makes shots from the perimeter, this game will not be a blow out. Pittsburgh is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 games overall. Florida is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
03-21-14	Kansas State +5 v. Kentucky		49-56	Loss	-106	56 h 48 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #835 Take Kansas State Wildcats over Kentucky Wildcats (Friday 9:40 pm CBS) Yeah! Kentucky finally get not get blown out by Florida despite being down big in the game. Good for them but that does not mean they warrant this big of favorite playing Kansas State in St. Louis. Kansas State played in a much better conference this season than did Kentucky and the team from the little apple did not get blown out many times this season. Kentucky has been a terrible play as a favorite this year and I still see them struggling to score points and they do not defend the three point arc well. Once adversity hits I expect this Kentucky team to crumble.
03-21-14	Coastal Carolina +21.5 v. Virginia		59-70	Win	100	55 h 30 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #825 Take Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Virginia Cavaliers (Friday 9:25 pm TBS) I must admit that have not had much success fading Virginia this season but that being said I still do not think they are good enough to warrant a No. 1 seed. Teams like this (defensive oriented) generally do not advance very far into the NCAA Tournament. Virginia is coming off a big win over Duke last Sunday that made their season and I just do not believe they will be up to play since game against Coastal Carolina. Not predicting an upset my any means, I just believe Virginia wins this game by 15-18 points giving us the cash with the underdog.
03-21-14	Oklahoma State -2 v. Gonzaga	Top	77-85	Loss	-106	51 h 43 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #851 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Gonzaga Bulldogs (Friday 4:40 pm TNT) NCAA Tournament Game of the Year! I must admit I have not been a fan of this Oklahoma State team this year and do not have much confidence in their head coach Travis Ford. But that being said, this team is loaded with talent and even Coach Ford will not be able to mess it up. Since Marcus Smart has returned from suspension, the Pokes have played much better with five victories and just two overtime losses to Kansas and Iowa State. I actually believe getting away from the Big XII refs will help this team a great deal since it appeared those refs were set on punishing the Cowboys for their behavior. But the main reason for this play is that I just do not believe Gonzaga is very good this year. They are extremely well coached but the WCC was way down this year and despite that Gonzaga lost games at San Diego, Portland, and BYU. They do not have a big man in the middle and when you watch these teams warm-up it will look like it is men against boys. The Bulldogs best player Kevin Pangos has been struggling of late and did not make a field goal in his last game (held to single digits in three of his last four games). David Stockton has picked up his game of late but you just cannot depend on him especially to score points. Talent wins out on Friday as Oklahoma State marches onto the Round of 32.
03-21-14	Stanford v. New Mexico -3		58-53	Loss	-105	47 h 22 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #830 Take New Mexico Lobos over Stanford Cardinal (Friday 1:40 pm TBS) By now you know that we have a great feel for this New Mexico team and still feel that they are undervalued by the selection committee and the odds makers. It is a joke that New Mexico was a 7th seed despite a 27-6 record and they are coming off three straight wins in the Mountain West Conference Tournament. Stanford finally got over the hump and is back in the NCAA Tournament this year and likely saved the job of their Head Coach Johnny Dawkins. But despite having talent this team has never handled prosperity well under Coach Dawkins and they were just blown out by the former New Mexico coach last Friday. Coach Alfred never did well in the big dance with New Mexico so I actually feel it helps the Lobos since he is gone and noodles is in! New Mexico marches onto a rematch against Kansas.
03-20-14	New Mexico State v. San Diego State -7		69-73	Loss	-109	58 h 2 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #740 Take San Diego State Aztecs over New Mexico State Aggies (Thursday 9:57 pm Tru TV) San Diego State could not have played any worse against New Mexico in the Mountain West Championship and they still almost won that game. If this team makes shots they are deadly and I do not believe they can shot the ball any worse than they did last Saturday. The law of averages will even out of them and they will beat New Mexico State by double digits. The Aggies have one of the tallest guys on the planet but that will not be enough to beat the Aztecs.
03-20-14	Arizona State v. Texas -1.5		85-87	Win	100	57 h 35 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #730 Take Texas Longhorns over Arizona State Sun Devils (Thursday, 9:40 pm CBS) Both of these teams had their moments at certain times this season but both did not perform real well down the stretch. Arizona State seems to be in a lot of trouble at the moment as they have been getting down big early in their last three games and just have not been able to recover. I expect today to be no different as Texas will move onto the round of 32. Texas had a better conference record than ASU did in a higher rated conference. ASU just does not seem to play well away from Wells Fargo Arena and their starting five is not meshing at the moment whatsoever.
03-20-14	Pittsburgh v. Colorado +6		77-48	Loss	-110	49 h 39 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #720 Take Colorado Buffaloes over Pittsburgh Panthers (Thursday 1:40 pm TBS) The Buffaloes looked lost after they lost their best player in Spencer Dinwiddie but they have righted the ship and they performed well down the stretch. Pittsburgh played OK in the ACC Tournament but they are getting way too much credit for making the semi-finals. Pittsburgh is never a good team as a favorite and I just do not see them blowing out the Buffaloes. This will be a close game that is hard to watch and I feel it will be a three point game either way.
03-19-14	Towson +4 v. USC-Upstate		63-60	Win	100	7 h 13 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #668 Take Towson Tigers +4 over USC Update Spartans (7 pm) The Tigers come from a better conference and we will ride them tonight getting a couple of points against a team they are better than. Towson also has the best player on the floor in Jerrelle Benimon who will get another double-double tonight and allow the visitor to emerge victorious. Towson is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Best of Luck
03-18-14	High Point +18 v. Minnesota		81-88	Win	100	25 h 7 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #543 Take High Point Panthers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (8:15 pm ESPN 3) I feel that Minnesota is devastated by not making the NCAA Tournament and I just do not expect them to come out with much energy tonight against the Panthers. Minnesota should not have been included in the big dance because of their 8-10 record and they have suffered some questionable losses at the Barn. Minnesota is 1-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 nonconference games. I see Minnesota winning this by 12-15 points giving us the cover with the underdog.
03-16-14	Duke -1 v. Virginia		63-72	Loss	-110	15 h 46 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #889 Take Duke Blue Devils over Virginia Cavaliers (1 pm ESPN) I am just not sold on this Virginia team and feel Duke has a much better squad with regards to athleticism. Virginia played two plotting teams similar to themselves in Florida State & Pittsburgh, but Duke is a whole different animal especially since they have weapons on offense unlike the other two teams. Duke beat Virginia this year for one of their two losses and expect Duke to win yet another ACC Title. Duke pulled away yesterday and I believe that gave them a ton of confidence.
03-15-14	New Mexico +1.5 v. San Diego State	Top	64-58	Win	100	7 h 59 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #535 Take New Mexico Lobos over San Diego State Aztecs (6 pm CBS) Both of these teams are locks for the NCAA Tournament but they both want to win this game badly. I just believe that New Mexico is the much better offensive team with the better player at 4 of the 5 positions on the court. The Lobos are angry at the way the game ended last Saturday when they blew a big lead to SDSU and got some bad calls against them down the stretch. New Mexico is looking for the three peat in the MWC Tournament and with a huge crowd it the stands from Albuquerque this will be like a game at the Pit. I actually believe that Boise State was a more dangerous team than San Diego State because of their outside shooting and the Lobos were able to hang on last night and now the trophy is within their sites. New Mexico has covered the spread in 13 of their last 16 games. New Mexico has gone 38-14-1 in their last 53 Mountain West games. They dominated both meetings with SDSU winning the first one by 14 points and they actually led the second game by 16 points with just over 12 minutes to play.
03-15-14	Michigan State v. Wisconsin +1.5		83-75	Loss	-106	5 h 37 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #530 Take Wisconsin Badgers (pk) over Michigan Wolverines (4:10 pm CBS) Wisconsin is rolling on all cylinders at the moment and if they make shots Michigan State will not be able to keep pace with them. Many people believe that Michigan State is playing much better down the stretch but this is just not the case, as they have lost 3 of their last 5 games with their only victorious coming against Northwestern and Iowa. Michigan State got beat last year in the Semi-Finals and history will repeat itself again.
03-15-14	Boise State v. New Mexico -4		67-70	Loss	-115	15 h 38 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #884 Take New Mexico Lobos -4.5 over Boise State Broncos (11:30 pm CBSSN) For a second straight night Boise State is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers. The Broncos are just not a good match-up inside the paint and I expect the two bigs for New Mexico to have their way. New Mexico did lose at Boise State this year but they blew a big lead in that game and that will just give them extra motivation for tonight. As you already know I picked New Mexico to win the MWC Tournament and we will continue to take them with these short lines. Best of Luck
03-14-14	Stanford v. UCLA -2.5		59-84	Win	100	12 h 55 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #880 Take UCLA Bruins -3.5 over Stanford Cardinal (11:30 pm FS 1) We will again fade a team playing their third straight night against a team playing in just their second straight day. Stanford looked impressive against Arizona State last night but this team has just to handle prosperity well under Coach Dawkins. Coach Alfred always seems do well in conference tournaments at New Mexico and I expect UCLA to be no different.
03-14-14	Ohio State v. Nebraska +4	Top	71-67	Push	0	18 h 40 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #832 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Ohio State Buckeyes (2:25 pm ESPN) The Cornhuskers have been playing outstanding basketball of late and a win today against Ohio State will all but assure that they make the NCAA Tournament round of 64. Ohio State continues to get too much respect from the oddsmakers and the fact remains this is just not a good offensive team whatsoever. They struggled to put away a terrible Purdue team on Thursday and this is just way too many points to be giving to a higher seed. Nebraska has won 8 of their last 9 games to close out the regular season and they beat Ohio State straight-up by 6 points in their last meeting. Nebraska is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games. Ohio State is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Big 10 games.
03-13-14	West Virginia +3 v. Texas		49-66	Loss	-106	23 h 39 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #735 Take West Virginia Mountaineers over Texas Longhorns (9:30 pm Big XII Network) Both of these teams did not finish well during the regular season but this game just means more to West Virginia. The must get to the finals of the Big XII to have any chance of an at-large bid. Texas pounded West Virginia twice during the season yet this line is short. How can that be? Somebody must know something. Texas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
03-13-14	Penn State v. Minnesota -4.5	Top	56-63	Win	100	23 h 9 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #710 Take Minnesota Golden Gophers over Penn State Nittany Lions (6:30 pm ESPN 2) These teams are pretty equal in talent I just believe Minnesota has too much to play for to lose this game. Thus we will lay more points than I would like but some way or another Minnesota will get the victory and cover the spread. These two teams played just last Sunday and Minnesota beat Penn State by 18 points and in a game they had to have. This game is no different and if Minnesota has any chance of making the NCAA Tournament this is a must win. Minnesota also won at State College on January 8th and they have played a brutal schedule this season which accounts for their numerous losses. Minnesota has the better players at three of the five positions on the court and expect them to use their athletic ability to emerge victorious. Penn State is never a good team away from home and tonight will be no different in Indianapolis.
03-13-14	Providence +5.5 v. St John's		79-74	Win	100	16 h 49 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #739 Take Providence Friars over St. Johns Red Storm (2:30 pm FS 1) Both of these teams are still on the bubble but the loser of this game will be all but eliminated from NCAA Tournament Consideration. These teams split during the regular season with each team winning on the home floor of their opponent and I just do not see St. Johns running away with this game. Getting this many points with an equal team is too good to pass up.
03-12-14	Fordham v. George Mason -5		70-67	Loss	-110	8 h 32 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #660 Take George Mason Patriots -5 over Fordham Rams (7 pm A-10 Network) Both of these teams stink as Fordham was not eight straight games to close out the regular season. George Mason has played a little better down the stretch coming the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Fordham is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. George Mason pulls away late in this game to win this battle of bums.
03-12-14	South Carolina v. Auburn -3		74-56	Loss	-106	7 h 29 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #666 Take Auburn Tigers -3 over South Carolina Gamecocks (7 pm SEC Network) the Gamecocks closed out the regular season with their first true road win of the year but I see them being a quick out against Auburn on Wednesday. Auburn beat USC twice during the regular season by a combined 21 points and they now have won four straight games in this series. USC is 7-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games against teams with a losing record.
03-12-14	Colorado State v. Utah State -2.5	Top	69-73	Win	100	27 h 53 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #646 Take Utah State Aggies over Colorado State Rams (5 pm the mwc) Colorado State made the NCAA Tournament last year but lost almost all of their firepower from that team. They finished about where I expected them to finish at 7-11 in the MWC. That being said their coach is a ticking time bomb that is ready to go off at any point whether it be at his players or at the officials. Utah State also finished 7-11 in the MWC but their performance was much more disappointing. They found the transition from the WAC to the MWC extremely difficult and they were never really able to get on track. That being said this team has too much experience to be a quick exit in the conference tournament and we will side with them tonight at this low number. Utah State actually beat Colorado State twice this season including in Fort Collins for one of their few conference road victories. Utah State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a victory in their previous game. Colorado State is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Lay the small change with the better team on Wednesday.
03-12-14	Marshall v. Old Dominion -3.5		58-73	Win	100	5 h 3 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #632 Take Old Dominion Monarchs -3.5 over Marshall Thundering Herd (4:30 pm) Marshall is just 3-13 in road/neutral site games this season. ODU was one of the surprise teams in the league and I believe that they keep the magic going one more day.
03-10-14	St Mary's CA v. Gonzaga OVER 132.5		54-70	Loss	-108	9 h 13 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #518 Take Over in Saint Mary
03-09-14	Wisconsin -3 v. Nebraska		68-77	Loss	-106	16 h 60 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #831 Take Wisconsin Badgers over Nebraska Cornhuskers (7:30 pm BTN) This is likely the most important game Nebraska has had in over a decade as a win against Wisconsin will likely get them into the NCAA Tournament. Their crowd will be ready for this game, I just do not believe they have enough weapons to beat Wisconsin. Despite finishing second in the standing, it is common belief that Wisconsin is the best team in the Big 10 and they will enter this game having won 8 straight games. Wisconsin is 4-0 against Nebraska since they joined the Big 10 and have held them to an average of 43 points will winning by an average margin of 16.5 points.
03-08-14	UNLV v. Nevada -1.5	Top	72-76	Win	100	29 h 40 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #626 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (10 pm ESPN 3) Normally I would feel that Nevada is not good enough to beat UNLV twice in one season; however, I just do not believe that UNLV cares about this game. The Rebels will need to win the conference tournament next week in order to advance to the NCAA Tournament and this game does not mean anything in that regard. They will still have a bye and to show how meaningless they think this game is they have suspended their leading scorer Bryce Dejaun-Jones. That along with leading rebounded Roscoe Smith out with a concussion takes away much of the offensive firepower for the visitor. Nevada has been a hard team to figure out by I feel we have a good read on them at the moment as we have collected for or against them the last three games. In fact in none of those three games was the spread ever in doubt. The game means much more too them, as a win here will propel them to the No. 3 seed for the MWC Tournament and it is also senior day for a couple of starters including their best player Deonte Burton. Unlike many top teams, Nevada has experience and you can be sure that they want to send out their seniors on a high note. The Wolf Pack beat Boise State this week whereas UNLV lost a tough battle to San Diego State. Nevada wins this pick
03-08-14	Colorado State +3 v. Wyoming		75-83	Loss	-110	5 h 52 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #565 Take Colorado State Rams over Wyoming Cowboys (4 pm ROOT Sports) The Rams are erratic and so is their coach but Wyoming is a sinking ship at the moment and as I have stated many times I do not believe they will win a game the rest of the year. We will continue to fade them especially without Larry Nance Jr and it is even better that they keep receiving too much respect from the odds makers. Wyoming should not be favored over anybody at the moment especially against a team that already beat them by double digits.
03-06-14	Villanova -3 v. Xavier	Top	77-70	Win	100	19 h 59 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #513 Take Villanova Wildcats over Xavier Musketeers (7 pm FS 1) Both of these teams will be in the big dance but I just believe Villanova is the more well-rounded team. Xavier has stayed under the radar most of the season but they have already won twenty games with only seven losses. That being said they are coming off a bad los to Seton Hall and this will be their third game in six days. Villanova still needs one victory to lock up the conference championship and I believe they get it tonight. Villanova is 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games. This will not be a blowout but I believe that the visitor will pull away late to emerge victorious.
03-05-14	Wyoming v. Utah State -8.5		54-65	Win	100	28 h 38 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #762 Take Utah State Aggies over Wyoming Cowboys (10 pm Root Sports) This line is higher than what I would like with Utah State; however, the Aggies have so much more talent than does Wyoming. As you already know, Wyoming is without Larry Nance Jr, the team
03-05-14	Nevada +11.5 v. Boise State		83-81	Win	100	27 h 40 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #757 Take Nevada Wolf Pack over Boise State Broncos (9 pm the MWC) Boise State beat a terrible team in Wyoming over the weekend and Nevada lost to a top 25 team in New Mexico. Those two occurrences have jacked up this line much higher than it should be. Boise State is really banged up at the moment and Nevada does have the best player on the floor in Deonte Burton. Nevada has actually played much better on the road than they have at home and I just do not see them getting blown out tonight in Boise. Neither team will make the big dance unless they win the conference tournament next week in Las Vegas and thus I just expect Boise State to go through the motions and win this game by 7-9 points. Nevada is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games. Boise State is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
03-05-14	Air Force +18 v. New Mexico		52-80	Loss	-110	27 h 40 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #755 Take Air Force Falcons over New Mexico Lobos (9 pm ESPN 3) The line on this game is warranted because Air Force sucks, but a few key factors make this a play for us. First, New Mexico does not defend the three point line well and that is mostly the shots that the Falcons take. Second, New Mexico has San Diego State on deck that will decide the winner of the Mountain West and I just do not believe that they will be all that motivated to play one of the worst teams in the MWC. New Mexico rests their stars and wins this game by 15-16 points. Air Force is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
03-04-14	Alabama +13 v. Kentucky		48-55	Win	100	25 h 55 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #548 Take Alabama Crimson Tide over Kentucky Wildcats (9pm ESPN) Both of these teams have trouble scoring points, but the fact remains that Kentucky is not good enough to be laying this many points against anybody in the league. Alabama has been playing better of late with two victories in their last three games. Kentucky has lost three of their last five games and has only covered this posted spread one time in a month. The Wildcats are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. I see Kentucky winning this game by 7-10 points giving us a cover with the underdog.
03-02-14	New Mexico -4.5 v. Nevada	Top	72-58	Win	100	22 h 35 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #845 Take New Mexico Lobos over Nevada Wolf Pack (6 pm ESPN 3) The Lobos are just not a good match-up for the Wolf Pack. Nevada does not have much confidence at the moment with just a victory against Air Force in their last 6 outings. New Mexico pounded Nevada by 18 points on 2/15 and that game was not even as close as the 18 point deficit would indicate. Since January 16th, the Lobos have lost just one game (at the buzzer in Boise) and they have been far and away the best team in the MWC of late. Nevada does not have many weapons especially from long range and they just will not be able to threaten this suspect New Mexico defense. The Wolf Pack have dropped 14 straight games against ranked teams. New Mexico is 35-15 ATS (1 push) in their last 51 MWC games. Nevada is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
03-01-14	Boise State -2.5 v. Wyoming	Top	72-63	Win	100	21 h 22 m	Show
10 Unit Play. #613 Take Boise State Broncos over Wyoming Cowboys (6 pm CBSSN) The Broncos will not be receiving an at-large berth to the NCAA Tournament this season after getting pounded by Fresno State this last weekend. But they are facing a sinking ship in Wyoming that is just not the same team without their best player Larry Nance Jr (leads team in scoring and rebounding). We went against Wyoming last Saturday as a big play and easily won backing a bad Colorado State team. Boise State is much better than Colorado State and they should have no problem winning this game by double-digits. Wyoming actually beat Boise State in Boise already this season and I just do not believe the Cowboys are good enough to beat Boise State twice in a year. I believe this if they were a full strength but without their best player they are a below average team evident by the fact they lost to Air Force at home this week. Wyoming is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 games.
03-01-14	UNLV -4.5 v. Air Force		93-67	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
4 Unit Play. #577 Take UNLV Rebels over Air Force Falcons (4 pm ESPN 3) UNLV has had trouble with Air Force in the past but this Falcon team is just not very good. The Force has won just two games since January 16th including a victory over Wyoming this week without Larry Nance Jr. Air Force already beat UNLV once this season and there is no way this team is good enough to beat Vegas twice in one year. UNLV got off to a terrible start this season but they have been playing much better of late and I see them winning this game by double digits. Air Force has been blown out at home numerous times this season against below average teams like Fresno State, Nevada, & Wyoming and I believe the Rebels are better than those three teams. UNLV is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games. Air Force is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. Air Force has a losing record at home this season and Las Vegas just has too much talent for them to compete.
02-28-14	Cornell +23 v. Harvard	Top	47-72	Loss	-106	6 h 20 m	Show
I will take the underdog in this game. There is a lot of pressure on Harvard this weekend. They have their last two home games of the season and they have just a one-game lead on second-place Yale for the Ivy League's bid to the NCAA Tournament. Harvard has a big game against Columbia tomorrow. So if they get up big in this game I can see them resting some starters and that should let Cornell get in the back door. Cornell is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings. The books are going to keep posting Harvard's spreads too high because they are the best team in the league. This is a good example. Let's go against the public and take the points.
02-27-14	Ohio State v. Penn State +6	Top	63-65	Win	100	6 h 56 m	Show
I hit with a home underdog last night with Purdue. I see a very similar situation tonight. The teams at the top of the Big Ten have not been blowing out teams at the bottom and there is a lot of parity in this conference. Ohio State did beat Minnesota by 18 over the weekend. But that game was close until the final eight minutes and the Buckeyes pulled away. Penn State won the first meeting in Columbus. I think that they can keep this one close and may even be able to pull off the sweep. The public is all over the Buckeyes here but the spread on this game has actually moved from 6 to 5.5. I think the smart money is on the Nittany Lions and I will look to get another underdog to come through.

Picks

Handicappers

Sports Picks & Predictions