Sports Picks & Predictions

Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-13-20	Iowa v. Minnesota +4	Top	35-7	Loss	-113	6 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Minnesota +4 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-11-20	Central Michigan -6.5 v. Northern Illinois	Top	40-10	Win	100	71 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -6½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-10-20	Miami-OH +11.5 v. Buffalo	Top	10-42	Loss	-115	32 h 21 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH +11½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-08-20	Texans -6.5 v. Jaguars	Top	27-25	Loss	-114	52 h 39 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texans -6½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-07-20	UCLA -5.5 v. Colorado		42-48	Loss	-108	130 h 57 m	Show
4* MAJOR on UCLA -5½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-07-20	Nebraska v. Northwestern -3.5		13-21	Win	100	123 h 58 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Northwestern -3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-06-20	BYU -2.5 v. Boise State	Top	51-17	Win	100	109 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Packers -4 v. 49ers	Top	34-17	Win	100	57 h 26 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Utah State v. Nevada -17	Top	9-34	Win	100	10 h 59 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Nevada -17 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-04-20	Ball State +3.5 v. Miami-OH	Top	31-38	Loss	-110	58 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ball State +3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-02-20	Bucs v. Giants +12.5	Top	25-23	Win	100	32 h 33 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Giants +12½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-01-20	Colts -2.5 v. Lions	Top	41-21	Win	100	147 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Colts -2½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	TCU -2.5 v. Baylor		33-23	Win	100	129 h 31 m	Show
3* BEST BET on TCU -2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	Northwestern +3 v. Iowa		21-20	Win	100	128 h 25 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Northwestern +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	Kansas State +3 v. West Virginia		10-37	Loss	-109	125 h 49 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Kansas State +3 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	Purdue -6.5 v. Illinois	Top	31-24	Win	100	125 h 52 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Purdue -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-30-20	East Carolina +18.5 v. Tulsa	Top	30-34	Win	100	110 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on East Carolina +18½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-29-20	Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers	Top	25-17	Win	100	52 h 28 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Falcons +2½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-25-20	Steelers -1.5 v. Titans	Top	27-24	Win	100	147 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-24-20	Air Force -6.5 v. San Jose State	Top	6-17	Loss	-110	132 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Air Force -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-24-20	Utah State v. Boise State -15.5		13-42	Win	100	128 h 14 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Boise State -15½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-15-20	Georgia State +4.5 v. Arkansas State	Top	52-59	Loss	-110	81 h 19 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-14-20	Coastal Carolina +7 v. UL-Lafayette	Top	30-27	Win	100	58 h 1 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-12-20	Chargers v. Saints -7.5	Top	27-30	Loss	-115	59 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints -7½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-11-20	Eagles v. Steelers -7	Top	29-38	Win	100	147 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -7 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-10-20	Charlotte -2.5 v. North Texas		49-21	Win	100	129 h 18 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Charlotte -2½ -118 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-10-20	UL-Monroe v. Liberty -18.5		7-40	Win	100	117 h 15 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Liberty -18½ -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-10-20	Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M	Top	38-41	Loss	-110	132 h 40 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Florida -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-09-20	Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech	Top	27-46	Loss	-112	115 h 41 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-08-20	Tulane v. Houston -4.5	Top	31-49	Win	100	91 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Houston -4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-05-20	Falcons v. Packers -6.5	Top	16-30	Win	100	180 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -6½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-04-20	Eagles v. 49ers -7		25-20	Loss	-115	27 h 40 m	Show
3* BEST BET on 49ers -7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Auburn +7 v. Georgia		6-27	Loss	-110	131 h 43 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Auburn +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Oklahoma v. Iowa State +7.5		30-37	Win	100	129 h 12 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Iowa State +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Navy +1.5 v. Air Force	Top	7-40	Loss	-110	141 h 46 m	Show
5* Academy Game of the Year on Navy + All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Western Kentucky v. Middle Tennessee State +7		20-17	Win	100	128 h 24 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Middle Tennessee State +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Texas A&M +17.5 v. Alabama		24-52	Loss	-110	126 h 39 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Texas A&M +17½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	North Carolina -10.5 v. Boston College		26-22	Loss	-108	127 h 53 m	Show
4* MAJOR on North Carolina -10½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Memphis -1.5 v. SMU		27-30	Loss	-108	125 h 57 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Memphis -1½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Missouri +11 v. Tennessee		12-35	Loss	-105	122 h 46 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Missouri +11 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-20	Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24	Top	14-45	Win	100	29 h 25 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-01-20	Broncos -2 v. Jets		37-28	Win	100	95 h 32 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Broncos -2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-28-20	Chiefs v. Ravens -3	Top	34-20	Loss	-120	177 h 53 m	Show
5* MNF GOY on Ravens -3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Panthers v. Chargers -6		21-16	Loss	-110	54 h 23 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Chargers -6 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Rams +2.5 v. Bills	Top	32-35	Loss	-115	51 h 24 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-26-20	Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU	Top	37-34	Win	100	124 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-26-20	Kentucky +8 v. Auburn		13-29	Loss	-108	123 h 38 m	Show
4* MAJOR on Kentucky +8 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-25-20	Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA	Top	35-37	Win	100	4 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-24-20	Dolphins v. Jaguars -3	Top	31-13	Loss	-100	35 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars -3 +105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-20-20	Patriots +4.5 v. Seahawks	Top	30-35	Loss	-110	167 h 13 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Patriots +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-20-20	Vikings v. Colts -2.5		11-28	Win	100	160 h 32 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Colts -2½ -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Wake Forest +3 v. NC State	Top	42-45	Push	0	136 h 39 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Appalachian State -3.5 v. Marshall		7-17	Loss	-108	123 h 22 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Appalachian State -3½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Tulsa v. Oklahoma State -22		7-16	Loss	-108	128 h 39 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Oklahoma State -22 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-18-20	Campbell v. Coastal Carolina -28.5		21-43	Loss	-110	9 h 27 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Coastal Carolina -28½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-13-20	Bears +2.5 v. Lions		27-23	Win	100	50 h 42 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Bears +2½ +100 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-13-20	Browns v. Ravens -7	Top	6-38	Win	100	51 h 41 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Ravens -7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-20	Clemson -32.5 v. Wake Forest		37-13	Loss	-110	133 h 52 m	Show
3* BEST BET on Clemson -32½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-20	UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State	Top	31-14	Win	100	125 h 1 m	Show
5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-10-20	Texans v. Chiefs -9	Top	20-34	Win	100	58 h 48 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Chiefs -9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-10-20	UAB v. Miami-FL -14		14-31	Win	100	33 h 48 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Miami-FL -14 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-05-20	Stephen F Austin +7.5 v. UTEP		14-24	Loss	-110	11 h 8 m	Show
4* BEST BET on Stephen F Austin +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-03-20	South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss	Top	32-21	Win	100	33 h 32 m	Show
5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-19-20	Packers v. 49ers -7	Top	20-37	Win	100	149 h 10 m	Show
5* NFL - Packers/49ers NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on 49ers -7 -109 I love the value here with the 49ers at home in the NFC Championship Game. As much respect as I have for Aaron Rodgers, San Francisco is simply better on both sides of the ball and I just don't see Green Bay being able to keep this close on the road. These two teams played in the regular-season at San Francisco and the 49ers led 23-0 at the half and would go on to win 37-8 with a 339 to 188 edge in total yards. SF not only limited Aaron Jones to just 38 yards on 13 attempts (2.9 yards/carry), they held Rodgers to mere 104 passing yards and sacked him 5 times. When healthy this 49ers defense has been the best in the league and with the returns of Kwon Alexander and Dee Ford in the Divisional Round, they are back to near full strength. When these two have been on the field there's just not a lot teams can do. I'm sure Green Bay will make some adjustments, but I don't think there's anything they can do to make up 25-points. I think it would take a near perfect game just for them to keep this within single digits and that's unlikely to happen. Take San Francisco!
01-13-20	Clemson +6.5 v. LSU		25-42	Loss	-110	20 h 14 m	Show
3* NCAAF - Clemson/LSU ATS Vegas INSIDER on Clemson +6½ -110 I like the value with Clemson as a dog in the title matchup with LSU. I just think Clemson is a very scary team when they are a dog and I definitely think LSU's blowout win over Oklahoma has inflated this number to the point where you got to take a shot with Clemson. I just think people are failing to realize how big a game there was between Oklahoma and the other 3 teams. I don't doubt for a second that Ohio State and Clemson would have destroyed the Sooners had they played them. LSU's offense is great, but people were hyping Ohio State's offense just as much and Clemson held them to 23 and didn't even play their best. When Clemson has had 2 or more weeks to prepare for a game over the last 3 seasons, they are giving up a mere 12.0 ppg in these matchups. While I think LSU will definitely surpass that, I don't see them eclipsing 30+ points in this game. Clemson is 7-0 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record, 7-0 ATS last 7 vs a team that averages 31 or more points/game and 10-1 ATS last 11 games vs a team that averages 450 or more total yards/game. Take Clemson!
01-12-20	Seahawks +4.5 v. Packers		23-28	Loss	-110	28 h 51 m	Show
3* NFL - Seahawks/Packers ATS DESTROYER on Seahawks +4½ -110 The Seahawks are definitely worth a look here as a 4.5-point dog against the Packers. Green Bay may have ended up with the No. 2 seed in the NFC, but I'm not buying for a second that this is the second best team in the NFC. Packer went 13-3 because of a really soft schedule and that's evident by the fact that they had a mere +63 point differential for the season. Green Bay only played 5 games all season against a team that made the playoffs. They went 3-2 in those games, but two of those wins were against a similarly fraudulent Vikings team and the other was against the Chiefs when they were without Mahomes. Their two losses were by 7 at home to the Eagles and by 31 at San Francisco. Seattle has a great home field edge, but that doesn't mean they aren't a good road team. Seahawks are 11-3-1 ATS last 15 road games and 22-8-2 ATS last 32 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 34-16-3 ATS last 53 as a dog. Take Seattle!
01-12-20	Texans v. Chiefs -9.5	Top	31-51	Win	100	150 h 57 m	Show
5* NFL Divisional Round PLAY OF THE YEAR on Chiefs -9½ -110 I got no problem laying the big number with Kansas City on Sunday at home against the Texans. I think a lot of people will be drawn to Houston here, simply because Houston won at Kansas City earlier this season. Thing is, the Chiefs were up 17-3 in that game and this is really a different team than when they met back in Week 6. Most notably on the defensive side of the ball. Another common thought process for people is that Andy Reid is not a good coach in big games and while he's had his fair share of failures in the playoffs, you simply don't bet against him when he's got two weeks to prepare for an opponent. He's 18-3 ATS off a bye in the regular-season and 4-1 ATS off a bye in the playoffs. I think this Chiefs offense has been holding back a lot of things for the playoffs and this Texans defense is one they can exploit. Houston finished with the 29th ranked pass defense, giving up 267.3 ypg. Mahomes will have a field day and that much improved Chiefs defense will do their part behind an electric home crowd. Take Kansas City!
01-11-20	Titans +10 v. Ravens	Top	28-12	Win	100	91 h 20 m	Show
5* NFL - VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Titans +10 -110 I love the value here with Tennessee as a double-digit dog against the Ravens. The betting public can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and Baltimore right now and I think the number here has been inflated to the point that this is a no-brainer on the Titans. Tennessee might have made it in as the No. 6 seed in the AFC, but this team likely would have won the AFC South had they started the season with Ryan Tannehill and not Marcus Mariota. Everyone likes to focus on what Derrick Henry is doing and it's hard to not get caught up that, but Tannehill has been outstanding for the Titans. No question the Patriots offense was broken, but New England's defense is the real deal and they had no answer for the 1-2 punch of Henry and Tannehill. As good as Baltimore was against the run, there's just no slowing down Henry. I think they are going to be able to shorten up the game and most importantly keep Jackson and that Ravens offense off the field. On the flip side of this, I think Tennessee has the defense to at least slow down Lamar Jackson and that high-powered Ravens run game. I think in doing so they can get Baltimore to press a little and really make this thing interesting. Give me the Titans +10!
01-04-20	Titans +5 v. Patriots		20-13	Win	100	13 h 39 m	Show
3* NFL - Titans/Patriots Wild Card NO-BRAINER on Titans +5 -105 I like the value here with Tennessee in this one. I just think the perception a lot of people have is that now that it's the playoffs the Patriots are going to flip a switch and become this unbeatable team at home. I'm just not buying it. There's clearly something wrong with New England. For them to lose at home to the Dolphins in Week 17 with what was at stake, that says it all. Tom Brady and that offense are not anything close to what they use to be and as good as the defense is, they can only do so much. I think the Titans can pound Derrick Henry here as the New England defense is more built to stop the pass than it is the run and really make life miserable for Brady on the other side of the ball. Even if it's not enough to win the game, I don't see the Pats winning here by more than a field goal. Take Tennessee!
01-04-20	Tulane -6.5 v. Southern Miss	Top	30-13	Win	100	581 h 10 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Tulane/S Miss ARMED FORCES BOWL Top Play on Tulane -6½ -110 Easy play here on Tulane in Saturday's early bowl action against Southern Miss in the Armed Forces bow. While the Green Wave ended up finishing the season with a mere 6-6 record, it was more a result of the brutal schedule they had to navigate. Tulane's 6 losses were against Auburn, Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU. Four of which won 10 or more games. No disrespect to Southern Miss, but I just think they are outclassed here. Despite the tough schedule, Tulane still managed to finish 24th in the country in total offense at 456.8 ypg. They were also a respectable 55th in total defense. Golden Eagles are a very pass-happy team, which is evident by the fact that they finished 118th in rushing. Tulane on the other hand is a ball control team that ranked 11th in rushing at 251.4 ypg. I think the Green Wave are going to play keep away, which is going to wear down the Southern Miss defense and keep the Eagles offense out of sync. Take Tulane!
01-03-20	Ohio -7.5 v. Nevada		30-21	Win	100	14 h 35 m	Show
4* NCAAF - Ohio/Nevada IDAHO POTATO BOWL on Ohio -7½ -107 Easy play here on the Bobcats as a big favorite against the Wolf Pack in Friday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. Ohio finished the season with a mere 6-6 record, which might have some wondering why they are laying such a big number with how bad the MAC was. Thing is, the Bobcats were really close to a double-digit win season. They had 5 losses decided by 10 or fewer with 4 of those by 3 or less. In terms of talent, this may have been the best team in the MAC this year. Either way, they should have no problem winning by double-digits against a Nevada team that is very fortunate to be in a bowl. Wolf Pack went 7-5, but that was largely due to their schedule. Nevada had just one win against a FBS team that finished with a winning record. This is a team that lost by 71 points to Oregon and 51 to Hawaii. They really got no business even playing in a bowl game. Take Ohio!
01-02-20	Tennessee -2.5 v. Indiana		23-22	Loss	-114	10 h 17 m	Show
3* NCAAF - Tennessee/Indiana GATOR BOWL on Tennessee -2½ -114 I think we are getting a great price here with the Vols laying less than a field goal against the Hoosiers in the Gator Bowl. Tennessee might be one of the worst in the SEC, but I still think there's no doubt they are the more talented team. I also love how the Vols finished the season with 5 straight wins and were 6-1 ATS over their last 7. Indian went 8-4, but really struggled against the better teams in the Big Ten. In fact, the Hoosiers didn't have a single win all season over a FBS team that finished with a winning record. Playing on a neutral field hasn't been kind to Indiana, as they are a mere 1-5 ATS last 6 times on a neutral site. Vols are 6-1 ATS last 7 on a neutral site as a favorite and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games when laying points. They have also covered 4 straight against the Big Ten. Take Tennessee!
01-01-20	Baylor v. Georgia -7		14-26	Win	100	518 h 27 m	Show
3* NCAAF - Baylor/Georgia SUGAR BOWL on Georgia -7 -110 I know Georgia has a lot of players down on both sides of the football, but I just don't think it's going to be enough to keep them from winning this game. Baylor gets a lot of love for how tough they played Oklahoma, but after watching how overmatched the Sooners were in their semifinal matchup with LSU, there's clearly a massive gap from the top of the SEC to the top of the Big 12. I get Georgia wasn't as elite as they have been in previous years, but this is still a really talented football team. They are absolutely loaded with talent, so while some key guys will be out I don't think they will be missed in this one. I get this isn't a great spot for Georgia after losing the SEC title game to miss out on the playoffs, but it's the same thing with Baylor. I actually think the Bulldogs will be fine, as they can look back at last year and how poorly they played in their bowl game after losing the SEC title game to Alabama. Simply put, Baylor just isn't good enough to keep this close. Take Georgia!
01-01-20	Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama	Top	16-35	Loss	-110	511 h 40 m	Show
5* NCAAF -Alabama/Michigan New Year's BOWL OF THE YEAR on Michigan +7½ -110 I love the Wolverines getting a touchdown and the hook against Alabama in the Citrus Bowl. While both teams ended the year with losses to their biggest rival, the Crimson Tide's was a lot more costly. Alabama's crushing 45-48 loss to Auburn knocked them out of the playoff race and for the first time since the playoff format was introduced they are not one of the 4 teams participating. I just think that makes this a really tough spot for Alabama to show up and it's not like we haven't seen this before when the Crimson Tide missed out on the BCS with a late loss and didn't show up in their bowl. On top of a lack of motivation, the Crimson Tide have a number of guys sitting out and are really decimated on the defensive side of the ball. Michigan had hopes of making the playoff, but those were put to rest a long time ago and I think they will have no problem here getting up for a shot at Alabama. Michigan's defense won't have to worry about facing Tua, which is a big plus, but more than anything I think a Wolverines offense that got better and better as the season went on will be able to do more than enough to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Michigan!
12-31-19	Florida State +4.5 v. Arizona State		14-20	Loss	-110	5 h 3 m	Show
4* NCAAF - Florida St/Arizona St SUN BOWL on Florida State +4½ -110 I like the value here with the Seminoles in their Sun Bowl showdown with Arizona State. I just don't get why the Sun Devils are getting so much love in this one. Head coach Herm Edwards fired a bunch of his offensive staff and if that wasn't going to be enough to overcome, ASU's two biggest weapons at the skill positions are both sitting out for the draft in running back Eno Benjamin and wide out Brandon Aiyuk. As for Florida State, they will be down their top two backs with Cam Akers also skipping to prepare for the draft and backup Khalan Labron out with an injury. However, they got plenty of talent at that position and should be able to throw all over this Sun Devils defense. Seminoles ended the year with the 33rd rank passing offense and will be up against a ASU secondary that ranked 114th against the pass. Give me Florida State +4.5!
12-30-19	Virginia +14.5 v. Florida		28-36	Win	100	22 h 56 m	Show
4* NCAAF - Virginia/Florida ORANGE BOWL on Virginia +14½ -105 This is just too many points to pass up on a play with Virginia. There's no question that Florida is the more talented team, but I just feel like this line is a huge overreaction to the Cavaliers embarrassing 62-17 loss to Clemson. The thing you have to keep in mind is Clemson, Ohio State and LSU were on a whole different level than the rest of the country. This is a Florida team that keep in mind only beat Miami by 4 in their season opener and had several close calls throughout the year against teams they had the talent edge against. I just think with all the talk about how the Gators are going to dominate this game, they might have a hard time here giving Virginia the respect they deserve. As for the Cavaliers, they have to be itching to get back on the field after that ugly loss to the Tigers and show everyone they are a better team than that score would indicate. I'm not expecting a win by Virginia, but look for this to be a lot closer game than the line would suggest. Take Virginia!
12-29-19	Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos		15-16	Win	100	104 h 43 m	Show
3* NFL - Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Raiders +3½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raiders. Oakland is the only team in this one with something to play for and I would have them favored in this one. Denver is getting a lot of love for winning 3 of their last 4, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They were down 10-0 at home to the Lions last week and needed two 4th quarter scores to cover as a touchdown favorite. Not the first time the Broncos have struggled with a bad team. They are just 13-28 ATS last 41 vs a team with a losing record and a mere 9-24 ATS last 33 times they have faced a marginal losing team like the Raiders with a win percentage of 40% to 49%. On top of that Denver is awful in the role of home favorite, as they are just 2-7 ATS last 9 times they have been asked to lay points at home. They are also a miserable 4-11 ATS last 15 division games and have failed to cover each of their last 4 meetings with the Raiders. Take Oakland!
12-28-19	Oklahoma +14 v. LSU	Top	28-63	Loss	-110	418 h 57 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/LSU Playoffs PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +14 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Sooners at this price. The hype around this LSU team has gotten out of control and the books have drastically inflated this line knowing the public is going to pound the Tigers no matter the number. I'm not going to say Oklahoma is going to win this game, but I'm extremely confident they keep it within two touchdowns. Sooners have more than shown they can compete on this stage the last two years. Last season they fell 45-34 to Alabama as a similarly priced 13 point dog. The year before they should have beat Georgia, but blew a big lead and wound up losing in 2OT. Oklahoma's offense might not be as potent as it was the last two years behind a couple of Heisman winners, but the defense is vastly improved. Also, as good as Joe Burrow and the LSU offense is, the defense can be had. They allowed 38 to Texas, 28 to Florida, 41 to Alabama and 37 to Ole Miss. I fully expect them to struggle with Lincoln Riley's offense and a turnover here or there by the Sooners defense and this could get real interesting. Take Oklahoma!
12-26-19	Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7	Top	0-14	Win	100	370 h 40 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Miami/La Tech INDEPENDENCE BOWL Top Play on Louisiana Tech +7 -110 Easy play here on the Bulldogs catching a touchdown against Miami in the Independence Bowl. I just don't feel Miami is the least bit interested in playing in this game, especially with how they closed out the season with back-to-back losses to FIU and Duke. Given the talent that the Hurricanes have, there's zero excuse for them losing either one of those games other than they just don't care about finishing the season strong. I just don't think Miami flipped a switch once the regular-season was over and started putting everything they had into beating LA Tech. There's no incentive for the Hurricanes to win this game. The same can't be said for the Bulldogs. Any time a small conference gets a shot at a Power 5, especially a storied program like Miami, they really get up for the game. That alone is enough reason to take the points with Louisiana Tech, but there's even more reason to like the Bulldogs. The game will be played in Shreveport, Louisiana, which is roughly an hour drive from their campus in Ruston. It's going to feel like a home game for the Bulldogs. You also have to take into account just how good La Tech head coach Skip Holtz has been at getting his team prepared and motivated for bowl play. Since he took over with the program, they have gone 5-0 in bowl games and he's 7-3 in his career as a head coach. I would not be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech!
12-23-19	Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida	Top	25-48	Loss	-110	47 h 56 m	Show
5* NCAAF - UCF/Marshall GASPARILLA BOWL Top Play on Marshall +17½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thundering Herd in Monday's matchup with UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall has thrived in bowl games under head coach Doc Holiday. They have yet to lose since Holiday took over with a perfect 6-0 mark and come in having covered 5 straight bowl games. UCF had another fantastic season and are without a doubt the more talented team, but bowl games is all about motivation and I just wonder how much the Knights really want to be here. UCF was playing in the Fiesta Bowl last year and the Peach Bowl the year before that. They got nothing to prove here against a team they are favored to beat by more than two touchdowns. Marshall has the 43rd ranked defense (362.1 ypg) and 42nd in points allowed (23.1 ppg). With the extra time to prepare, I think they can slow down this UCF offense. At the same time, the Knights are vulnerable defensively against the run and the Herd averaged a healthy 195.7 rushing ypg (36th). This is just too many points. Take Marshall!
12-22-19	Cardinals +9.5 v. Seahawks		27-13	Win	100	43 h 34 m	Show
4* NFL - Sharp Money ATS NO-BRAINER on Cardinals +9½ -105 The Cardinals are definitely worth a look here as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Seahawks have one of the best records in the NFL at 11-3, but I just think it has them way overvalued here against a feisty Arizona team that is coming off a 38-24 win against the Browns. The biggest thing for me with Seattle and fading them at this price is the simple fact that out of their 11 wins only 1 has come by more than 8 points. On top of that, Seahawks could have a tough time not looking ahead to next week's massive game against the 49ers. Win or lose, that game against San Francisco will be for the NFC West crown and possibly a first round bye in the playoffs. Arizona has been a smart play in games that are expected to be high scoring. Cardinals are a dominant 14-3 ATS last 17 games with a total of 49.5 or more. Arizona has also gone 43-26 ATS last 69 when revenging a same season loss and are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 as a road dog. Seahawks just 2-5 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Take Arizona!
12-22-19	Cowboys v. Eagles +3	Top	9-17	Win	100	126 h 29 m	Show
5* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys NFC East GAME OF THE YEAR on Eagles +3 -115 I absolutely love the Eagles as a home dog against the Cowboys. I get Dallas has owned Philly of late and absolutely destroyed them 37-10 at home earlier this season, but there's just no way the Cowboys should be a road favorite with how they have been playing. Dallas comes off an impressive 44-21 win at home against the Rams, but I think some of that was LA suffering a bit of a letdown off their big win over the Seahawks and a huge game against division rival San Francisco on deck. Prior to that the Cowboys had lost 3 straight and I expect them to go right back to their losing ways. A big thing here is Dallas is going to have to try to win on the road with a less than 100% Dak Prescott under center. Prescott barely practiced at all this week as he's dealing with both a sore shoulder and a injury on one of his fingers on his throwing hand. Note that while the Eagles defense has struggled some of late, they have continued to be really good against the run. Philadelphia has held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 101 or fewer rushing yards and come in ranked 3rd against the run, allowing 90.4 ypg. With Prescott likely not at his best, it could be a real struggle here for the Cowboys offense. Also a great system in play favoring a fade of Dallas. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are off an upset win by 14 or more as a home dog are just 7-29 (19%) ATS since 1983 if the game is after the 1st month of the season. Take Philadelphia!
12-22-19	Jaguars v. Falcons -7		12-24	Win	100	123 h 0 m	Show
3* NFL - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Falcons -7 -110 I got no problem laying a touchdown here with Atlanta at home against the Jaguars. The Falcons clearly are motivated to finish this season strong. They have won 4 of their last 6 overall and are fresh off that shocking upset on the road against the 49ers. Jacksonville comes in off a win at Oakland, but with the way the Raiders have been playing it's hard to get excited about that. Prior to that the Jaguars had lost 5 straight all by 17 or more points. I'm confident Jacksonville will go right back to their losing ways in this one. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense should be able to do as they please here. Atlanta comes in with the 4th ranked passing offense and Jacksonville's pass defense has regressed quite a bit down the stretch. Jags also are awful against the run, as they come in 29th, giving up 140.1 ypg. As for Jacksonville's offense, they have now gone 6 straight games scoring 20 or fewer points. In their last 3 games they have failed to rush for more than 90 yards and haven't thrown for more than 190. You just can't expect to be competitive on the road when you can't do anything offensively. Take Atlanta!
12-22-19	Panthers v. Colts -6.5		6-38	Win	100	116 h 47 m	Show
3* NFL - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Colts -6½ -110 The Colts are definitely worth a look here laying less than a touchdown at home against the Panthers. Indianapolis' playoff hopes came crashing to an end with an ugly 34-7 loss at new Orleans on Monday Night Football. You might think now is not the time to jump on the Colts given they no longer have a shot at the playoffs and are riding a 4-game skid, but I'm confident Indy is going to show up in their final home game. Also, the Panthers are a team that is in a complete free fall. Carolina has lost 6 straight and with 5 of the 6 losses by 8 or more. Things have got so bad with Panthers that they let Rivera go and now are turning to rookie Will Grier at quarterback. I'm not expecting much out of Grier in his first start, especially with it coming on the road. On top of that, he's going to be asked to do too much with how bad the defense has been playing. Carolina has allowed 29 or more points in each of their last 5 games. They have allowed 150+ rushing yards in each of their last 3, which I think speaks volumes to just how bad things have got. Panthers are aos 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons in the second half vs a team with a losing record. Take Indianapolis!
12-21-19	UAB +17 v. Appalachian State		17-31	Win	100	255 h 34 m	Show
3* NCAAF - UAB/App St NEW ORLEANS BOWL on UAB +17 -110 I just feel this is too good a price to pass up with UAB in the New Orleans Bowl. I know the Blazers played a really easy schedule in route to making the C-USA title game and were annihilated by FAU in that C-USA Championship. I just feel that poor perception of UAB is playing into this line. As for Appalachian State they are really good team, but it's not always about who is more talented in bowl games. It's typically about who wants it more and I really question the motivation here for the Mountaineers. Appalachian State was so close to being the top ranked Group of 5 team, which would have had them in the Cotton Bowl. I just don't think playing UAB in the New Orleans Bowl will get the juices flowing. Keep in mind it's the same exact bowl they played in last year, which I think also takes away from the excitement. On top of that, the Mountaineers had to deal with their head coach leaving, for a second straight year. Last year Scott Satterfield bolted before their bowl to take over at Louisville. This year it was Eliah Drinkwitz jumping ship to Missouri. I still think App State wins, just not by the number. Take UAB!
12-21-19	Washington v. Boise State +3.5	Top	38-7	Loss	-109	253 h 13 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Wash/Boise St LAS VEGAS BOWL Top Play on Boise State +3½ -109 The Broncos are definitely worth a look here catching more than a field goal against the Huskies. There's a lot of talk about this being the last game for Chris Petersen with Washington and how they are going to play their hearts out for him because of that. I just don't that I buy that. If I was a Huskies player I would be a little ticked off that Petersen is walking away. The other big thing is this was not a great Washington team this year. One that lost at home to Cal and Colorado on the road. This is also a far cry from the kind of bowl that the Huskies are accustomed to. The last 3 years they have played in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose bowls. You also got some of their best players sitting out, which I think speaks volumes to how little this game really means to them. Left tackle Trey Adams and tight end Hunter Bryant are both skipping to prepare for the draft. Lastly, this is a Huskies offense that struggled to score and will be facing a really good Boise State defense. The Broncos ranked 35th in total defense (347.5 ypg) and 24th in scoring (20.6 ppg). They are also really good at stopping the run, ranking 19th in the country allowing 113.1 ypg. Broncos are also 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs a team from the Pac-12. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. Take Boise State!
12-21-19	Central Michigan +4 v. San Diego State		11-48	Loss	-109	248 h 41 m	Show
4* NCAAF - C Mich/SD St NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan +4 -109 I'll gladly take the points here with Central Michigan against San Diego State in the New Mexico Bowl. The Chippewas had quite the turnaround in the first year under head coach Jim McElwain, as they finished 8-5 after going just 1-11 last year. They also won the MAC West after being picked by many to finish last in the division. They did come up short in the MAC title game against Miami (OH), but I think that will have them that much more motivated to finish their season strong. As for the Aztecs, you just can't trust Rocky Long's team in postseason play. Long is just 4-9 as a head coach in bowl games. Last year they lost 27-0 to Ohio out of the MAC Long has basically said his primary goal is to not win bowl games. He's more interested in developing his underclassmen and getting them primed for making a bigger impact the next season. It's also really hard to trust a team laying points that has a hard as time as San Diego State scoring the football. The Aztecs finished 115 in total offense (330.1 ypg) and 119th in scoring (19.0 ppg). The defense is good, but some of the great numbers are a result of a schedule that simply didn't have them facing many great offenses. I like the Chips and their balanced attack to have some success and really like them to win this outright. Take Central Michigan!
12-20-19	Kent State v. Utah State -6.5	Top	51-41	Loss	-110	180 h 12 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110 Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State!
12-15-19	Vikings v. Chargers +3	Top	39-10	Loss	-120	106 h 49 m	Show
5* NFL - Heavy Hitter PLAY OF THE MONTH on Chargers +3 -120 I absolutely love the value here with the Chargers as a home dog against the Vikings. LA might be just 5-8 on the season, but there's no denying the talent the Chargers have on both sides of the ball. As glim as their playoff hopes might be, this is a team that will continue to fight until they are officially out of it. Los Angeles snapped a 3-game skid last week with a 45-10 throttling of the Jaguars as a mere 3.5-point favorite. Chargers are also a team that could easily be sitting here with 10 wins had they caught a few more breaks. All 8 of LA's losses have come by 7-points or less with 4 of those by a field goal or fewer. Vikings are sitting at 9-4, but are just 2-3 on the road. This is a team that lost away from home to the Chiefs when Mahomes was sidelined, which I think speaks volumes to just how much more vulnerable they are away from home. Last week Minnesota beat the Lions at home, but failed to cover as 13.5-point favorite. That's worth noting, as the Vikings are a mere 7-20 ATS in their last 27 on the road off a win where they failed to cover as a favorite. Chargers are also 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Take Los Angeles!
12-15-19	Texans +3 v. Titans		24-21	Win	100	103 h 35 m	Show
3* NFL - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE on Texans +3 -115 Most are going to look to lay the short number here with the Titans, as Tennessee comes in having won and covered in each of their last 4 games, while Houston just got embarrassed at home by the Broncos as a 8-point favorite. I'm not about to say the Titans aren't a good team, but I definitely don't trust them in this spot. I also think the Texans simply laid an egg last week against Denver after that massive home win over the Patriots. I fully expect Deshaun Watson and that Houston team to bounce back in a big way with 1st place in the AFC South on the line. Watson and the Texans have really thrived in the role of underdog. In games that Watson starts in which Houston is getting points, the Texans have gone 11-4 ATS, including an 8-3 ATS mark in this spot on the road. Houston is also 8-2-1 ATS last 11 off a game where they failed to cover and 6-1 ATS last 7 off a double-digit loss at home. Titans are just 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 division games and just 4-11-1 ATS last 16 times they have been matched up against the Texans. Take Houston!
12-14-19	Army v. Navy -10	Top	7-31	Win	100	80 h 27 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Army/Navy NO LIMIT Top Play on Navy -10 -110 I got no problem laying double-digits with the Midshipmen in Saturday's huge rivalry game with Army. Some might think Navy will be looking ahead to their bowl, while Army is going to treat this like it's their bowl game. Sure the Black Knights are going to come to play, but don't think for a second that the Midshipmen aren't 100% focused on this game. A big reason for that is they come in having lost 3 straight in the series after they had rattled off 14 wins in a row over Army. A big reason for the Black Knights recent success is they for the first time in a long time had the better talent on the field. This year Army has underperformed big time and finished just 5-7, despite a schedule that had many calling for at least 8 wins. Navy has played the much tougher schedule and are 9-2. Midshipmen are the better team on both side of the ball and I just think they come out with a chip on their shoulder Saturday and win here by at least 14. Army is just 1-9 ATS last 10 as a neutral field dog of 7.5 to 14 points and have lost in this spot by an average score of 35 to 10. Take Navy!
12-12-19	Jets +15 v. Ravens	Top	21-42	Loss	-110	37 h 22 m	Show
5* NFL - Jets/Ravens TNF VEGAS INSIDER on Jets +15 -110 I really like the value here with New York getting more than two touchdown against the Ravens. Baltimore has quickly become one of the biggest public plays in the league and with this being a prime time game the books have really inflated this one. The Jets might be out of the playoff picture, but they have continued to play hard and actually come in having won 4 of their last 5 games. This is a really good opportunity for New York to see just how far they come against one of the leagues best teams. I fully expect the Jets to give it their all in this one. It's not that I don't think Baltimore won't come to play, but I do think this is a tricky spot for the Ravens given their recent stretch of high-profile games. Lamar Jackson is going to play despite a quad injury, but I don't think we see the same MVP type performance that we have go accustomed to. I can't imagine there will be a lot of designed runs for Jackson and as soon as Baltimore gets a comfortable lead they are going to look to just run the ball and get this game in the books. Another key here is the Jets defense and how it matches up with the Ravens high-powered run game. New York is one of the best in the league at stopping the run, as they come in No. 2 in the league, giving up just 78.8 ypg. I think they will be able to slow down Baltimore enough to keep this game close. Take New York!
12-08-19	Seahawks v. Rams +1		12-28	Win	100	11 h 17 m	Show
4* NFL - RAMS/SEAHAWKS SNF ATS NO-BRAINER on Rams +1 -105 The Rams are definitely worth a look here at basically a pick'em on their home turf against the Seahawks on Sunday Night Football. Seattle has quickly went from a team not many people trusted to one of the biggest public plays on the board. Seahawks are 5-0 SU and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games, which has created a ton of value here with the Rams. Even though LA is off an impressive 34-7 win at Arizona last week, the betting public can't get that ugly 45-6 loss to the Ravens on MNF a couple weeks back out of their head. I just think the key here is Goff and that LA offense should be able to move the ball against what I think is a pretty average Seattle defense. I also don't love the spot for the Seahawks, as they are coming off 3 huge games. They played at San Francisco, at Philadelphia and at home against the Vikings. Rams are out to make a statement in this one and I expect them to do just that. Take Los Angeles!
12-08-19	Ravens v. Bills +6.5		24-17	Loss	-107	5 h 34 m	Show
4* NFL - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bills +6½ -107 I really like the value here with Buffalo catching close to a touchdown at home against the Ravens. I just think we are seeing Baltimore way overvalued right now, as the betting public just can't get enough of Lamar Jackson and this team. Hard to blame them given the Ravens have covered 5 of their last 6. They did however fail to cover as a 6-point favorite at home last week against the 49ers. I not only think they could fail to cover at Buffalo this Sunday, but I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Bills won this game outright. Buffalo is built for an offense like the Ravens and are going to be well-prepared for Jackson with the extra 3 days of prep they got this week after playing on Thanksgiving. I also don't love the spot at all for Baltimore, as they have been in 3 huge games the last 3 weeks against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. I just think they are going to struggle to match the intensity of the Bills and let's not overlook just how tough it is to win in Buffalo when they are playing well. Buffalo is 9-4 ATS with Josh Allen at QB as a dog, which includes a 3-1 ATS mark as a home dog. Ravens are just 5-12 ATS last 17 as a favorite and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a failed cover. Take Buffalo!
12-08-19	Panthers v. Falcons -3	Top	20-40	Win	100	5 h 34 m	Show
5* NFL - NFC SOUTH PLAY OF THE YEAR on Falcons -3 -125 I love the value here with Atlanta laying just a field goal at home against the Panthers. I know a lot of times teams tend to respond with a big effort after their head coach gets canned, but I don't think there's a lot of fight left in this Carolina team. For a second straight year the Panthers have fell apart after a strong start. Last year the Panthers started out 6-2 only to lose 7 straight and end up finishing 7-9. This year they jumped out to a 4-2 record and are now 5-7 and are riding a 4-game losing streak. The most recent being an inexcusable home loss to the Redskins. Falcons might be just 3-9, but they have looked like a much better team over the last month and they absolutely destroyed Carolina on the road a few weeks back 29-3 as a 4.5-point dog. Atlanta is 4-1 ATS at home against the Panthers with Matt Ryan at QB. Panthers are 0-6 ATS last 6 in the 2nd half of the season vs a team with a losing record and 0-7 ATS in the 2nd half in their last 7 vs a team that's giving up 350+ yards/game. Take Atlanta!
12-07-19	Wisconsin +17 v. Ohio State		21-34	Win	100	60 h 39 m	Show
4* NCAAF - Big Ten Championship VEGAS INSIDER on Wisconsin +17 -115 I really like the value here with the Badgers getting three scores against the Buckeyes in Saturday's Big Ten Championship Game. The public is going to be on Ohio State in this one. Not only because they are off an impressive 56-27 blowout win at Michigan last week, but because of the fact they beat Wisconsin 38-7 with a 431 to 191 edge in total yards when these two played in the regular-season. As lopsided as the box score was in that first meeting, Wisconsin held their own for a good chunk of that game. Ohio State was only up 10-0 at the half and 24-7 going into the 4th quarter. I don't think Wisconsin's offense can play any worse than they did in that game and they closed out the season really strong on the offensive side of the ball, scoring 37 or more in each of their last 3. The other big factor here is the health of Buckeye's star quarterback Justin Fields. He's probable to play with a knee injury, but I don't think he's going to be playing at 100%. I could definitely see him not utilizing his legs like he has and I think taking away his ability to run really makes things easier on the Wisconsin defense. They should also be better off having already faced this offense once. Badgers are 32-15 ATS last 47 vs excellent offenses that average 450 or more yards/game and a perfect 8-0 ATS last 8 times they have been on the road when revenging a loss where they scored 14 or fewer points. Take Wisconsin!
12-07-19	Georgia +7.5 v. LSU	Top	10-37	Loss	-110	56 h 34 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Georgia/LSU SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Georgia +7½ -110 I love the value here with Georgia keeping this within a touchdown against LSU in the SEC Championship Game. LSU has been the talk of college football this year and it's only a matter of time before Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow is named this year's Heisman winner. I just think with how the public is pounding LSU right now, it's resulted in too good a price to pass up with Georgia. The biggest thing that I think people are overlooking in this game is Georgia's defense and part of that is the public just doesn't think this LSU offense can be stopped. The Bulldogs defense was already going to be fired up for this game and I think all the Burrow talk will have them playing with a massive chip on their shoulder. Keep in mind Georgia hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and are excellent against both the run and the pass. Ed Orgeron has proven he's more than just a motivator, but I still give the coaching edge to Georgia's Kirby Smart. People were saying the same things about Georgia the last two years when they met up with Alabama in the national title game in 2017 and in last year's SEC title game. They lost both of those games, but should have won both meetings. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are outgaining teams by 125 or more total yards and off a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 60-28 (68%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. At the same time, neutral field underdogs that are outrushing opponents by 100 yards/game are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Georgia!
12-07-19	Hawaii +14 v. Boise State		10-31	Loss	-110	55 h 26 m	Show
3* NCAAF - MWC Championship ATS ANNIHILATOR on Hawaii +14 -110 This is too good a price to pass up with the Rainbow Warriors as a two touchdown dog against the Broncos. Boise State is the household name and are nationally ranked, so no surprise the public is on the favorite in this one. I'm not saying Hawaii is going to win this game outright, but I'm confident they will put up a fight and keep this within two touchdowns. I know Boise State won the regular-season meeting by 22 at home, but there's reason to believe that Hawaii can make up the ground. Broncos only had a 518 to 438 edge in total yards and 29 to 24 advantage in first downs. The difference in that game was the Warriors turned it over 4 times to Boise State's 1 turnover. I also like the fact that all the pressure is on the Broncos, as they need this win to have any shot at playing in the Cotton Bowl. Hawaii on the other hand can play loose, as they really got nothing to lose. Rainbow Warriors don't have the best defense, but road teams that are coming off a game where they allowed 7.25 or more yards/play, who have an experienced QB are a dominant 72-36 (67%) ATS over the last 5 seasons if facing a team with an inexperienced QB. Take Hawaii!
12-01-19	Titans +1.5 v. Colts		31-17	Win	100	5 h 54 m	Show
4* NFL - Titans/Colts ATS WINNER on Titans +1½ -110 I got a strong feeling on both the side and the total in Sunday's huge AFC South matchup between the Colts and Titans. I think we are getting an excellent price here on both Tennessee and the UNDER. The Titans have really come on strong in the second half of the season. Tennessee is 4-1 in their last 5. A big reason for their turnaround is the switch from Mariota to Tannehill at QB, as they now have an offense that can compliment their defense. With T.Y. Hilton not able to go for Indy, I just don't see the Colts being able to win this game. As for the UNDER, both of these teams want to play ball control with the run game and both defenses are built to stop the run. I just don't think there's going to be enough possessions for this to eclipse the mark. I expect something very similar to the first meeting that ended 19-17 with a combined total of 36. Titans are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record and the UNDER is 14-3 in the Colts last 17 vs a team with a winning record, 15-5 in their last 20 in the 2nd half of the season and 8-1 in the Titans last 9 on the road off a division game. Take the Titans & UNDER!
12-01-19	Browns -2 v. Steelers		13-20	Loss	-110	5 h 53 m	Show
3* NFL - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Browns -2 -110 A lot of people are probably thinking the Steelers are the pissed off team after what went down in the previous meeting with Garrett swinging and hitting Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph with his own helmet. However, the Browns feel like Pittsburgh is the one that started it and now they want to finish it. The biggest thing here outside of all that is Cleveland is just the better team. They dominated the previous matchup in a 21-7 win. Pittsburgh's offense turned it over 4 times and have really struggled to score of late. It's so bad they are going to Devlin Hodges at quarterback. Hodges threw a 79 yard TD pass in the win over the Bengals last week. Take away that one big play and he was a mere 4 of 10 for 39 yards. Add in no Ju-Ju Smith-Schster and James Conner and NY simply doesn't have the talent offensively to win this game. Browns have won and covered 3 in a row and this recent surge has come after they played an absolutely brutal schedule early. I think they make a statement here by sweeping the Steelers and moving a step closer to locking in a Wild Card spot. Teams (Steelers) with a line of +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss of 14 or more with a winning pct. of 51% to 60% are a mere 13-36 (26%) ATS since 1983. Take Cleveland!

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