Sports Picks & Predictions

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers +111

The Texas Rangers are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games.  They lead the majors hitting .270 and scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  The San Francisco Giants are 1-5 in their last six games overall and scoring just 3.9 runs per game at home this season.  They have scored one run or fewer in four of their last seven games.

Andrew Heaney is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last two starts while pitching 11 2/3 shutout innings with 15 K's.  Heaney and the Rangers should not be underdogs to the Giants and Alex Cobb, who has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts to the A's and Diamondbacks, who are both struggling mightily to score runs right now against anyone.  Bet the Rangers Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday BLOWOUT on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Boston Red Sox have won four of their last five games and are fighting to make the playoffs.  The Detroit Tigers were sellers at the deadline and pretty much out of it now at 52-64 on the season.  I'll side with the more motivated Red Sox today who also have a big advantage on the mound.

Bryan Bello is 8-6 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 11 home starts.  He'll be opposed by Matt Manning, who is 3-4 with a 4.89 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 9.18 ERA in his last three while allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 2/3 innings.

Detroit is 4-19 vs. AL East opponents this season and getting outscored by 3.0 runs per game.  Boston is 11-1 following six or more consecutive home games this season and outscoring opponents by 3.2 runs per game.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Carolina Panthers -3.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Texas Rangers -114

The Texas Rangers are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games.  They lead the majors hitting .271 and scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  The San Francisco Giants are 1-4 in their last five games overall and scoring just 3.9 runs per game at home this season.

Jon Gray has been at his best on the road for the Rangers this season at 4-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in nine starts away from home.  He'll be opposed by opener Scott Alexander, who is 0-2 with a 10.37 ERA and 1.382 WHIP in five starts this season.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Mets OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The OVER is 6-0 in Braves last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all six games.  The Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season.

Charlie Morton is really struggling coming into this one at 0-3 with a 7.21 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 14 innings.  Morton has allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in two starts against the Mets this season.

Tylor Megill is 6-5 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.684 WHIP in 16 starts this season for the Mets.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 7 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Megill has allowed 6 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against Atlanta as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NFLX BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)

The Boston Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound over the Kansas City Royals tonight that should lead them to winning this game by multiple runs.  That's why I'll bypass the steep money line and back them on the Run Line Thursday night.

James Paxton is 6-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in six home starts.  Paxton is 3-0 with a 1.70 ERA and 0.874 WHIP in seven career starts against the Royals as he has absolutely owned them.

Austin Cox is 0-1 with a 7.55 ERA and 2.038 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 8 1/3 innings.  Those two starts came against the Guardians and Twins, so he takes a big step up in class here against this potent Boston lineup.

Boston is 9-1 following six or more consecutive home games and outscoring opponents by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Texans/Patriots NFLX No-Brainer on New England +3.5

No analysis for preseason.

25* NL East TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nationals/Phillies OVER 9

The Philadelphia Phillies are hot at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in eight consecutive games and 11 of their last 12 games overall.  They have scored at least 7 runs in four of their last five games.  They are fully capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

They'll be up against Patrick Corbin, who has arguably been the worst starter in baseball over the past three seasons.  Corbin is 7-11 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.496 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Corbin is 0-6 with a 9.77 ERA in his last seven starts against the Phillies, allowing 34 earned runs and a whopping 14 homers in 31 1/3 innings.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 9-6 with a 4.58 ERA in 23 starts this season while allowing 26 homers.  Nola is 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA and 1.588 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings.  He has a 3.94 ERA in 28 career starts against Washington.  The Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.

Nola is 10-3 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 23 of their last 30 games overall.  They have scored a total of 64 runs in their last eight games for an average of 8.0 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  The OVER is 7-1 in Dodgers last eight games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all seven overs and 9 or more combined runs in all eight.

The Dodgers will stay hot at the plate tonight against Merrill Kelly, who is making his way back from injury.  Kelly is 3-4 with a 3.90 ERA in 10 home starts this season.  Kelly has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-10 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.638 WHIP in 14 career starts against them.

The Diamondbacks should get their bats going against Bobby Miller, sho is 6-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.231 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Arizona is scoring 4.7 runs per game on the season and 4.8 runs per game vs. right-handed starters.

The OVER is 15-5 in Dodgers last 20 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -108

The New York Mets just traded away their two best starters in Scherzer and Verlander and are just going through the motions now that they have nothing to play for.  They are 1-7 in their last eight games overall while getting outscored 44-27 in the process.

Now they must take on one of the hottest teams in baseball since the All-Star Break in the Chicago Cubs.  The Cubs are 14-4 in their last 18 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 17 games overall.  They are closing in on first place in the NL Central with a lot to play for right now.

Kyle Hendricks has been at his best on the road this season at 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  Hendricks is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in seven career starts against the Mets as well.

He'll be opposed by David Peterson, who is 2-7 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Peterson is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in four career starts against the Cubs as well.  Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Astros/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game on the season.  They are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and scoring 6.4 runs per game during this stretch.  The Houston Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and scoring 5.8 runs per game during this stretch.  They score 5.1 runs per game on the road this season.

Christian Javier is 7-2 with a 4.39 ERA in 21 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 5.29 ERA in 12 road starts while allowing 13 homers in 64 2/3 innings away from home.  Jack Flaherty is 8-6 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in eight home starts.

Houston is 7-0 OVER in road games after batting .200 or worse in their last 3 games this season.  Flaherty is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. teams that average 7 or more strikeouts per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 22 of their last 29 games overall.  They have scored a total of 59 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.4 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  The OVER is 7-0 in Dodgers last seven games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all seven games.

The Dodgers will stay hot at the plate tonight against gas can Brandon Pfaadt, who is 0-5 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-3 with an 8.86 ERA and 1.828 WHIP in five home starts.  Pfaadt has already allowed a whopping 14 homers in 44 1/3 innings this season.

Julio Urias has been one of the biggest disappointments in baseball for the Dodgers this season.  He is 8-6 with a 4.69 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 2-5 with a 7.88 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in eight road starts while allowing 33 earned runs and 10 homers in 37 2/3 innings away from home.

The OVER is 15-4 in Dodgers last 19 games overall.  The OVER is 8-1 in Urias' nine starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  The OVER is 10-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 home games following three consecutive interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in run differential at +172 runs on the season.  They lead the majors scoring 5.8 runs per game and only allow 4.3 runs per game.  They are 7-0 in their last seven games overall with six wins by 2 runs or more.

Texas is hitting .283 and scoring 6.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Now they get to face lefty gas can JP Sears, who has already allowed a whopping 25 homers in 121 2/3 innings this season, including 14 homers in 51 innings at home.  Sears has a 4.87 ERA in four career starts against Texas as well.

The Rangers went out and got Max Scherzer at a great time.  He is coming off two consecutive great starts and is now motivated playing for a playoff contender.  Scherzer is 4-1 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 10 career starts against Oakland.

Oakland is 5-27 vs. division opponents this season and getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game on average.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -128

The New York Mets just traded away their two best starters in Scherzer and Verlander and are just going through the motions now that they have nothing to play for.  They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall while getting outscored 41-25 in the process.

Now they must take on one of the hottest teams in baseball since the All-Star Break in the Chicago Cubs.  The Cubs are 13-4 in their last 17 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 16 games overall.  They are closing in on first place in the NL Central with a lot to play for right now.

Jameson Taillon is 4-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings.  Taillon is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in three career starts against the Mets.  The Cubs have a massive advantage on the mound in this one.

Carlos Carrasco is 3-6 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.637 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.51 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in seven home starts.  Carrasco has been an absolute dumpster fire of late, going 0-3 with a 12.33 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 21 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings.

Carrasco's teams are 3-17 (-13.9 Units) in his 20 career starts as an underdog.  The Mets are 7-28 (-20.3 Units) as underdogs this season.  Taillon's teams are 16-0 in his last 16 starts after allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in two consecutive starts.  Bet the Cubs Tuesday.

15* Cubs/Mets NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Cubs are 13-4 in their last 17 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 16 games overall.  The Mets just broke out for 11 runs yesterday against the Cubs.  Now these offenses will be aided by 15-20 MPH winds blowing out at Citi Field tonight which will help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket.

The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Carlos Carrasco, who is 3-6 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.637 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.51 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in seven home starts.  Carrasco has been an absolute dumpster fire of late, going 0-3 with a 12.33 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 21 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings.

The Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season and can get to Jameson Taillon enough to contribute to this OVER.  Taillon is 6-6 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 19 starts this season.

The OVER is 24-10 in Carrasco's last 34 night starts.  The OVER is 14-5 in Cubs last 19 games after allowing 8 runs or more.  Chicago is a perfect 10-0 OVER after a game where their bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Pirates OVER 10

The Atlanta Braves have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 5.7 runs per game on the season.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall including 8 runs or more five times.  The Pirates have scored a total of 21 runs in their last four games and are heating up at the plate as well.

The forecast is calling for roughly 10 MPH winds blowing out to center tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket.  Gas Can Yonny Chirinos goes for the Braves tonight.  He is 2-2 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-1 with a 9.64 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in his last three.

Mitch Keller has been even worse for the Pirates of late, going 0-4 with a 9.97 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 21 2/3 innings.  Keller is 0-2 with a 10.03 ERA and 2.571 WHIP in three career starts against the Braves, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 11 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-128)

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in run differential at +170 runs on the season.  They lead the majors scoring 5.8 runs per game and only allow 4.3 runs per game.  They are 6-0 in their last six games overall with five wins by 2 runs or more.

Texas is hitting .285 and scoring 6.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Now they get to face lefty gas can Ken Waldichuk, who is 1-4 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in 14 starts this season while allowing 47 earned runs and 15 homers in 60 1/3 innings.  Waldichuk is 0-0 with a 7.20 ERA and 2.100 WHIP in two career starts against the Rangers as well.

Dane Dunning is 7-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.208 WHIP in 16 starts for the Rangers this season with only 11 homers allowed in 94 1/3 innings.  Dunning is 1-0 with a 3.70 ERA in six career starts against Oakland.  

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out in Oakland tonight, so Dunning's ability to keep the ball in the park coupled with Waldichuk's propensity to give up the long ball will really favor the Rangers.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog Chicago Cubs +100

The New York Mets just traded away their two best starters in Scherzer and Verlander and are just going through the motions now that they have nothing to play for.  They are 0-6 in their last six games overall while getting outscored 39-14 in the process.

Now they must take on the hottest team in baseball since the All-Star Break in the Chicago Cubs.  The Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 15 games overall.  The Cubs should not be underdogs to the Mets tonight.

Lefty Drew Smyly has been at his best on the road this season with a 3.86 ERA in 10 road starts.  Now he gets to face a Mets lineup that is hitting .216 and scoring just 3.3 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The Mets are 11-26 vs. left-handed starts in 2023 as well.  Bet the Cubs Monday.

20* Dodgers/Padres NL West Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 21 of their last 28 games overall.  They have scored a total of 46 runs in their last six games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres are also hot at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in nine of their last 12 games, including a total of 34 runs in their last five games coming in for an average of 6.8 runs per game.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Seth Lugo, who is 4-5 with a 3.54 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 3.93 ERA in seven home starts.  Lugo has faced the Rockies, Pirates and Tigers in his last three starts, so this is a big step up in class for him today.

Tony Gonsolin has been struggling for nearly two months now for the Dodgers.  Gonsolin is 2-3 with a 6.59 ERA in his last eight starts while allowing 30 earned runs and 8 homers in 41 innings.

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out in San Diego this afternoon that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  The Dodgers are 15-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game this season.  The OVER is 14-4 in Dodgers last 18 games overall.  The Dodgers are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Dodgers/Padres ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 20 of their last 27 games overall.  They have scored a total of 38 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres are also hot at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games, including a total of 32 runs in their last four games coming in for an average of 8.0 runs per game.

Gas can Lance Lynn goes for the Dodgers tonight.  He is 7-9 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Lynn allowed 3 homers to the A's in his first start as a Dodger, so they haven't magically fixed him.

Rich Hill will be making his Padre debut here Sunday, and it will not go well for him.  Hill is 7-10 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 14 home starts.

The Dodgers are 14-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game this season.  The OVER is 13-4 in Dodgers last 17 games overall.  The OVER is 9-1 in Lynn's 10 starts with a money line of -125 to +125 this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Hill's nine starts with a money line of -125 to +125 this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Padres OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 20 of their last 26 games overall.  They have scored a total of 35 runs in their last four games.  The San Diego Padres are also hot at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in eight of their last 10 games, including a total of 24 runs in their last three games coming in.

The Dodgers haven't named a starter as of this writing, but it doesn't matter.  The Padres will get their runs.  I expect the Dodgers to get theirs as well off Blake Snell and this suspect San Diego bullpen.  Snell has allowed 16 walks in 16 innings in his last three starts and isn't as good as the ERA numbers have shown of late.  Now he takes a big step up in class here.

The Dodgers are 13-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game this season.  The OVER is 12-4 in Dodgers last 16 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Cardinals OVER 9

Two gas cans go tonight for the Colorado Rockies and St. Louis Cardinals.  These teams combined for 13 runs yesterday with two gas cans on the mound, and it should be more of the same today.

Ty Blach is no more than a spot starter for the Rockies and will be making just his 3rd start of the season.  He faced the Marlins and A's in his first two starts, and now he takes a big step up in class here against the Cardinals.

Steven Matz is 2-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 15 starts for the Cardinals this season.  Matz is 1-6 with a 7.55 ERA and 1.779 WHIP in eight career starts against Colorado.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Rockies in his lone start against them this season.

St. Louis is 7-0 OVER in home games when playing a bad team that wins 38% to 46% of their games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+105)

The New York Mets just traded away their two best starters in Scherzer and Verlander and are just going through the motions now that they have nothing to play for.  They were swept by the lowly Royals last series while getting outscored 20-8.  And they lost 10-3 in Game 1 of this series to the Orioles.

Baltimore is 5-1 in its last six games overall with all five wins coming by 2 runs or more.  The Orioles have outscored opponents 43-15 in those six games, so it's an easy choice to take them on the Run Line tonight.  That's especially the case with their big advantage on the mound.

Kyle Gibson is 10-6 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.308 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last three starts against the Blue Jays, Phillies and Rays.  He'll be opposed by Tylor Megill, who is 6-4 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.668 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 7.99 ERA and 2.234 WHIP in eight road starts.

The Mets are 7-26 as underdogs this season.  New York is 1-9 in road games after allowing 9 runs or more this season.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Dodgers/Padres NL West Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 19 of their last 25 games overall.  They have scored a total of 25 runs in their last three games.  The San Diego Padres are also hot at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in seven of their last nine games, including a total of 19 runs in their last two games coming in.

Bobby Miller has a 4.37 ERA in 11 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Yu Darvish has a 4.53 ERA in 19 starts for the Padres this season and is as inconsistent as they come.  He recently gave up 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 1/3 innings to the Pirates two starts back.

The Dodgers are 12-2 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game this season.  The OVER is 11-4 in Dodgers last 15 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Mariners/Angels AL West Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Seattle Mariners are red hot at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 17 consecutive games and are hitting as well as they have all season.  They have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The Los Angeles Angels are also hitting well scoring at least 3 runs in 21 of their last 25 games overall.

Reid Detmers is 2-8 with a 4.35 ERA in 19 starts for the Angels this season, so the Mariners should hang another big number on them tonight.  Luis Castillo allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, and 2 homers in 6 innings in his last start against the Angels this season.  The OVER is 4-0 in Castillo's four career starts against the Angels, while the OVER is 3-1 in Detmers' four career starts against the Mariners.

The OVER is 5-1-2 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Seattle is 26-8 OVER in its last 34 games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game in the second half of the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Cardinals OVER 9.5

Two absolute gas cans go for the St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies tonight which should lead to 10-plus runs to easily cash this OVER 9.5 ticket.

Adam Wainwright is 3-5 with a 7.18 ERA and 1.899 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-4 with an 8.15 ERA and 2.093 WHIP in seven home starts.  Father time has finally caught up to him.

Chris Flexen is 0-5 with a 10.71 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in five starts for the Rockies this season.  He has already allowed 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 21 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -150

The Boston Red Sox have several advantages coming into this game against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They are rested and ready to go after having yesterday off, while the Blue Jays completed their four-game series with the Orioles Thursday.  Toronto is now 1-4 in its last five games overall while scoring a total of 12 runs in those five games and playing without one of their best hitters in Bo Bichette.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound behind James Paxton, who is 6-2 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.929 WHIP in five home starts.  Paxton owns the Blue Jays, going 3-0 with a minuscule 0.48 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing just one earned run in 18 2/3 innings.

Alek Manoah has been a disaster this season for the Blue Jays at 2-8 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in 17 starts.  The Red Sox should hang a big number on him today and get an early lead that they will not relinquish.

Boston is a perfect 7-0 against Toronto this season.  Toronto is 2-13 following six or more consecutive home games this season.  Bet the Red Sox Friday.

20* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 18 of their last 24 games overall.  The Oakland A's have scored a total of 23 runs in their last five games overall and are heating up at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 20 games overall.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own like they did last night with 10 runs.  They will get to JP Sears, who has already allowed a whopping 25 homers in 116 2/3 innings this season.

Julio Urias has been one of the most overrated starters in baseball and is going through his worst season yet.  He is 7-6 with a 4.98 ERA in 15 starts while allowing 16 homers in 81 1/3 innings.  Urias has allowed 11 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts for a 9.00 ERA.  The A's will score enough off of him to do their part in helping us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Oakland is 8-0 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 1.5 or more homers per game this season.  The OVER is 16-2 in Dodgers last 18 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners/Angels OVER 8

The Seattle Mariners are red hot at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 16 consecutive games and are hitting as well as they have all season.  They have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Los Angeles Angels are also hitting well scoring at least 3 runs in 20 of their last 24 games overall.

Shohei Ohtani is coming off a complete game shutout in his last start against the lowly Detroit Tigers and will have a hard time backing that up.  He had allowed 9 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings to the Pirates and Astros in his two previous starts, and he has a 3.51 ERA on the season.  He consistently gets too much respect from the books as a starter.

Bryan Woo is 1-3 with a 4.96 ERA in 10 starts for the Mariners this season.  He has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.745 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 8 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cubs OVER 10

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 25 of their last 27 games and at least 5 runs in 19 of those.  They have gone 12-3 in their last 15 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in nine of those.  The OVER is 15-4-2 in Cubs last 21 games overall.  They just scored 36 runs on the Reds in their past two games to easily cover both totals on their own.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 13 games overall.  They have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the season.  They have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games now.

Luke Weaver is one of the worst starters in baseball at 2-3 with a 6.80 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in 18 starts for the Reds while allowing 22 homers in 86 innings.  Weaver is 1-3 with an 8.59 ERA and 2.046 WHIP in seven career starts against the Cubs as well with the OVER going 6-1 in those seven starts.

Jameson Taillon is 5-6 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.382 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 2-4 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Taillon is 4-5 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Reds as well.

Chicago is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 games vs. teams that strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game.  Cincinnati is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 games following two consecutive losses by 6 runs or more to division opponents.  Both bullpens are gassed and both will get a lot of usage in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Jets/Browns Hall of Fame Game ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +2

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-130)

The Texas Rangers have a lot to play for right now trying to win the AL West.  The Chicago White Sox were sellers at the trade deadline and seem to just be going through the motions.  The White Sox have scored a total of one run in losing each of their last three games to fall to 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.

Max Scherzer makes his Rangers' debut tonight after getting traded from the Mets.  Scherzer is 9-4 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.189 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in seven home starts.  It will be a tremendous atmosphere for him this afternoon as Texas fans are rejuvenated, and the Rangers have a big home-field advantage where they are 36-20 while hitting .284 and scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.

Touki Toussaint is 1-3 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in five starts for the White Sox this season, including 0-2 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in three road starts.  Texas is 31-10 vs. AL teams with a .400 slugging percentage or worse this season.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 17 of their last 23 games overall.  The Oakland A's have scored a total of 22 runs in their last four games overall and are heating up at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 19 games overall.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own off of Hogan Harris and this putrid Oakland bullpen that has a 5.51 ERA on the season and a 6.08 ERA on the road.  Harris is 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in five starts this season, including 1-1 with a 9.31 ERA and 1.965 WHIP in two road starts.

Tony Gonsolin has been struggling since mid-June for the Dodgers.  He is 1-3 with a 7.25 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 29 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 innings.  The A's will score enough off of Gonsolin to do their part in helping us cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Oakland is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 1.5 or more homers per game this season.  The OVER is 15-2 in Dodgers last 17 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cubs OVER 9.5

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 24 of their last 26 games and at least 5 runs in 18 of those.  They have gone 11-3 in their last 14 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in eight of those.  The OVER is 14-4-2 in Cubs last 20 games overall.  They just scored 20 runs on the Reds yesterday and are hitting .279 and scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 12 games overall.  They have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 5.0 runs per game on the season.  The Reds own left-handed starters hitting .277 and scoring 5.6 runs per game against them this season.

Lefty Brandon Williamson is 3-2 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in six road starts.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs this season, which resulted in a 8-5 victory.

Lefty Drew Smyly is 7-7 with a 4.68 ERA in 19 starts this season, 3-3 with a 5.63 ERA in nine home starts, and 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his last three starts.  Smyly has allowed 11 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in two starts against the Reds in 2023, both of which saw 13 combined runs and went well OVER the total.

Chicago is 9-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -134

The Texas Rangers have a lot to play for right now trying to win the AL West.  The Chicago White Sox were sellers at the trade deadline and seem to just be going through the motions.  The White Sox have been shut out in consecutive games now to fall to 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.

Dane Dunning is 6-4 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 15 starts for the Rangers this season.  He'll be opposed by Dylan Cease, who is 4-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.341 WHIP in 22 starts this season and consistently gets too much respect from the books.

Dunning tossed 7 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the White Sox in his last start against them.  Texas is 30-10 vs. AL teams with a .400 slugging percentage or worse this season.  Bet the Rangers Wednesday.

15* Rays/Yankees AL East ANNIHILATOR on New York -112

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  I expect them to bounce back with ace Gerrit Cole on the mound tonight.

Cole is 9-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 0-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.621 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 1/3 innings with 26 K's.

Shane McClanahan has struggled in his return from injury.  He is 0-0 with a 7.00 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 innings while failing to go deep into any of his last five starts.

The Yankees are 12-1 in Cole's 13 home starts this season.  Bet the Yankees Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Seattle Mariners are red hot at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 15 consecutive games and are hitting as well as they have all season.  The Boston Red Sox hit .264 and score 5.0 runs per game this season, making them one of the best hitting teams in baseball.

Kutter Crawford is 5-4 with a 4.72 ERA in 12 starts for the Red Sox this season.  He'll be opposed by Logan Gilbert, who is 9-5 with a respectable 3.83 ERA in 21 starts this season, but he has been terrible at home.  Gilbert is 2-4 with a 4.67 ERA in nine home starts this season while allowing 10 homers in 52 innings.

Gilbert is 9-1 OVER in his last 10 starts vs. AL East opponents.  Seattle is 25-8 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Red Sox/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Seattle Mariners are red hot at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 14 consecutive games and are hitting as well as they have all season.  The Boston Red Sox hit .264 and score 5.0 runs per game this season, making them one of the best hitting teams in baseball.

Two struggling starters go tonight.  Brayan Bello is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings.  Bryce Miller allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Minnesota.

Boston is 8-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen threw one or fewer innings over the last two seasons.  Seattle is 24-8 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 23 of their last 25 games and at least 5 runs in 17 of those.  They have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  The OVER is 13-4-2 in Cubs last 19 games overall.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.  They have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the season.  The Reds own left-handed starters hitting .277 and scoring 5.5 runs per game against them.

They have own Justin Steele of the Cubs in recent meetings.  Steele is 1-3 with an 8.24 ERA and 2.135 WHIP in five career starts against Cincinnati.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 28 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Reds.

Ben Lively allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 innings of a 17-2 loss to the Cubs in his lone career start against them.  Cincinnati is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games following a division win by one run.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers are the best hitting team in baseball.  They lead the majors in average (.272) and scoring (5.7 runs per game).  They hit .283 and score 6.2 runs per game at home.  The White Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Lefty Andrew Heaney goes for the Rangers tonight and has a 4.62 ERA in 20 starts this season, including a 4.96 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Heaney has posted a 5.16 ERA in eight career starts against the White Sox.  He has allowed 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.

Jesse Scholtens is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.961 WHIP in two starts this season for the White Sox.  He has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 8 2/3 innings with only 4 K's in those two starts.  He will get rocked by the Rangers tonight.

The OVER is 13-4 in Heaney's last 17 home starts.  Texas is 13-4 OVER in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 22 of their last 24 games and at least 5 runs in 16 of those.  They have gone 10-2 in their last 12 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  The OVER is 12-4-2 in Cubs last 18 games overall.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  They have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the season.  The Cubs are hitting .277 and scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters, so I expect them to get to lefty Andrew Abbott tonight.

Marcus Stroman is really struggling of late.  He is 1-3 with an 8.00 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 24 earned runs in 27 innings.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all six, including 13 or more combined runs in five of the six.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Orioles ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees have Aaron Judge back in the lineup and are way more potent with him than without him.  They hung 8 runs on the Orioles yesterday and should have plenty of success against them again tonight.

After having their bats held in check the first two games, look for the Orioles to get them going against gas can Luis Severino tonight.  He is 2-4 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.976 WHIP in six road starts.  Severino allowed 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season on July 6th.

Dean Kremer is 10-4 in spite of a 4.59 ERA and 22 homers allowed in 115 2/3 innings this season.  Kremer has been at his worst at home, posting a 5.43 ERA in 11 home starts while allowing 13 homers in 59 2/3 innings.  He is 2-3 with a 4.87 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees as well.

Kremer is 8-0 OVER vs. AL teams with a .265 average or worse this season.  The Yankees and Orioles have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs +118

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 22 of their last 23 games and at least 5 runs in 16 of those.  They have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  They are red hot right now and should not be underdogs to the Cardinals, who are out of playoff contention and don't care as much right now to win games.

The Cubs also have the advantage on the mound behind Kyle Hendricks, who is 4-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 0.861 WHIP in six road starts.  Hendricks is 13-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 26 career starts against the Cardinals as well.

Steven Matz is 1-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.507 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season.  The Cubs own left-handed starters like Matz, hitting .281 and scoring 5.8 runs per game against southpaws in 2023.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 22 of their last 23 games and at least 5 runs in 16 of those.  They have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  They are red hot right now and will do the heavy lifting in helping us cash this OVER 9 ticket against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Steven Matz is 1-6 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.507 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season.  The Cubs own left-handed starters like Matz, hitting .281 and scoring 5.8 runs per game against southpaws in 2023.

The Cardinals will do enough against Kyle Hendricks to help us cash this OVER.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  The OVER is 12-3-2 in Cubs last 17 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Reds/Dodgers OVER 10

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 16 of their last 19 games overall.  The OVER is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all 10 games.  There are expected to be light winds blowing out to center to help aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket tonight.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Luke Weaver, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Weaver is 2-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in 17 starts this season, allowing 64 earned runs and 20 homers in 80 innings.  Weaver is 0-3 with an 8.53 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in six career starts against the Dodgers as well.

The Reds score 4.8 runs per game this season and have been hot at the plate for a couple months now.  They will get to Emmet Sheehan, who is 3-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in six starts this season.  Sheehan is 1-1 with a 12.40 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 12 walks in 12 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Cubs/Cardinals NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 10

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 21 of their last 22 games and at least 5 runs in 15 of those.  They have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  The OVER is 12-2-2 in Cubs last 15 games overall, and this total is too low for a game involving them right now.

Jameson Taillon is 4-6 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 17 starts for the Cubs this season.  Adam Wainwright has been worse, going 3-4 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in 12 starts, including 1-3 with an 8.65 ERA and 2.191 WHIP in six home starts.  Wainwright has allowed 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs.

The Cardinals are scoring 5.2 runs per game at home this season.  The OVER is 9-4-2 in Cardinals last 15 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 16 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +103

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 21 of their last 22 games and at least 5 runs in 15 of those.  They have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  They are red hot right now and should not be underdogs to the Cardinals, who are out of playoff contention and don't care as much right now to win games.

Jameson Taillon has been much better of late, going 2-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in his last three starts.  Adam Wainwright has been a disaster, going 3-4 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in 12 starts, including 1-3 with an 8.65 ERA and 2.191 WHIP in six home starts.  Wainwright has allowed 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs.  Father time has caught up to him finally.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Padres OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in average hitting .274 and scoring at 5.8 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres have seen their bats come to life over the past month and are scoring 4.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

Lefty Martin Perez is an absolute gas can for the Rangers.  He is 8-3 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 4-2 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.671 WHIP in 10 road starts.  Perez is 1-0 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Yu Darvish was rocked for 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  He is as inconsistent as they come with a 4.80 ERA in 18 starts this season.  The Rangers will get to him tonight.

The OVER is 8-0 in Perez's last eight July starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Brewers/Braves OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves have been hot at the plate for a couple months now and are scoring 5.6 runs per game overall and 5.9 runs per game at home.  The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 3 runs in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  These teams just combined for 17 runs yesterday, and it should be more of the same today with these two gas cans on the mound.

Julio Teheran is 0-2 with a 7.25 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 22 1/3 innings for the Brewers.  Bryce Elder is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings for the Braves.

These starters just faced one another in Milwaukee in their last starts, so the lineups will be familiar with them, and familiarity favors the hitters.  I expect both lineups to have more success the 2nd time around tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Reds/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 18 games overall.  The OVER is 7-2 in Dodgers last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all nine games.  There are expected to be light winds blowing out to center to help aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket tonight.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Brandon Williamson, who is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in five road starts.

Bobby Miller has been a disappointment this season for the Dodgers with a 4.28 ERA in 10 starts, including a 5.93 ERA in five home starts.  The Reds score 4.8 runs per game this season and have been hot at the plate for a couple months now.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Orioles OVER 8.5

There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Baltimore tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Plus, Aaron Judge is expected to return for the Yankees tonight, and their offensive numbers are drastically better with him than without him.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Grayson Rodriquez, who is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 12 starts for the Orioles this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 1-2 with a 9.11 ERA and 2.138 WHIP in six home starts while allowing 27 earned runs, 7 homers and 57 base runners in 26 2/3 innings.

Gerrit Cole is having another great season for the Yankees, but he just hasn't been able to figure out the Orioles of late.  Cole is 0-2 with a 6.16 ERA in his last three starts against the Orioles, allowing 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 19 innings.  

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* NL Central TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 20 of their last 21 games and at least 5 runs in 15 of those.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  The OVER is 12-1-2 in Cubs last 14 games overall, and this total is too low for a game involving them right now.

Jordan Montgomery just cannot figure out the Cubs this season. He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in two starts against the Cubs in 2023, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings.  The Cubs are scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Cubs haven't named a starter as of this writing but I like the OVER either way.  It is most likely to be Drew Smyly or some combination of him and their bullpen.  Smyly is 7-7 with a 4.68 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.90 ERA in his last three starts.  

The Cardinals are scoring 5.3 runs per game at home this season.  The OVER is 9-3-2 in Cardinals last 14 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 15 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +135

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 20 of their last 21 games and at least 5 runs in 15 of those.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in seven of those.  They feel like they have a real chance of making the playoffs, while the St. Louis Cardinals sit at 46-58 and pretty much out of it.

I'll gladly fade Jordan Montgomery as he has no business being this big of a favorite over the Cubs considering how poorly he has fared against them.  He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in two starts against the Cubs in 2023, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings.  Chicago is scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Bet the Cubs Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/Royals OVER 9.5

The forecast is the big reason for this play tonight.  There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Kansas City tonight with temps in the 90's.  Conditions will be ripe for scoring in this one.

The OVER is 11-3 in Twins last 14 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 13 games overall.  They should stay hot at the plate against Brady Singer, who is 6-8 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.472 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He is 2-6 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.632 WHIP in 10 career starts against Minnesota.

Singer allowed 8 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in a 8-4 loss to the Twins in his lone start against them this season.  He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray, who has struggled of late for the Twins.  Gray is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -130

The Cleveland Guardians are 7-3 in their last nine games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games.  They are as hot at the plate as they have been all season.  The Chicago White Sox are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and out of playoff contention.  They are sellers at the trade deadline having already moved Lucas Giolito.

I'll gladly back the Guardians over the struggling White Sox in this one.  Xzavion Curry has a 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP as a starter for the Guardians this season.  He'll be opposed by Touki Toussaint, who is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in in four starts for the White Sox this season.  Toussaint allowed 7 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings in his lone career start against Cleveland.  Bet the Guardians Friday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+107)

This is a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Angels.  They just played a double-header in Detroit on Thursday and now have to travel overnight to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays.  Meanwhile, it's a great spot for the Blue Jays after having Thursday off, so they are rested and ready to go.

The Blue Jays are playing well going 12-6 in their last 18 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of their last 20 games overall.  They will stay hot at the plate against Lucas Giolito, who is 3-4 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in seven career starts against Toronto.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them, all of which have come over the past two seasons.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound behind ace Kevin Gausman, who is 7-5 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in nine home starts.  Gausman allowed just one earned run in 7 innings in his last start against the Angels.

Giolito's teams are 4-17 in his last 21 starts as an underdog.  Giolito's teams are 1-10 in his last 11 Friday starts and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs +105

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 19 of their last 20 games and at least 5 runs in 14 of those.  They have gone 7-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in six of those.  They feel like they have a real chance of making the playoffs, while the St. Louis Cardinals sit at 46-57 and pretty much out of it.

The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Justin Steele over Miles Mikolas.  Steele is 10-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in seven road starts.  Steele is 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA in his last four starts against the Cardinals, allowing just 7 earned runs and zero homers in 25 1/3 innings.

Mikolas is 6-5 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in 22 starts this season, and 2-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.296 WHIP in 10 home starts.  His last start came against the Cubs on July 22nd where he allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 loss at Chicago.

St. Louis is 4-12 following a win by 4 runs or more this season.  Bet the Cubs Thursday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 18 of their last 19 games and at least 5 runs in 13 of those.  They have gone 6-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in five of those. The OVER is 10-1-2 in Cubs last 13 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last nine games overall.

With winds blowing out to left-center in Chicago tonight, there should be plenty of runs in this one to get up and OVER this 9-run total.  The Cubs could cover it on their own against Lance Lynn, who is 6-9 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in 20 starts for the White Sox this season while allowing a whopping 28 homers in 115 innings.  

Lynn is 6-8 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Cubs.  He has allowed 22 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Marcus Stroman, who is faltering for the Cubs of late.  Stroman has gone 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 17 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 14-6 in Lynn's 20 starts this season, including 8-1 in his nine starts with a money line of -125 to +125.  Chicago is 14-3 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Mets/Yankees Subway Series ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

There will be double-digit winds blowing out to left tonight at Yankee Stadium that will help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Yankees and Mets.  These teams combined for 12 runs last night and it should be more of the same tonight with these two gas cans on the mound.

Jose Quintana is making his way back from injury and will be making just his 2nd start of the season after allowing 2 earned runs in 5 innings at home to the White Sox in his first start.  Carlos Rodon is 0-3 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in three starts for the Yankees this season as he is also making his way back from injury.

The Mets are 14-5 OVER in road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The Mets are 27-13 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game over the last three seasons.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in three of their last four games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Blue Jays/Dodgers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 10

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 17 games overall.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 19 games overall.  Both teams will stay hot at the plate, especially with double-digit winds blowing out to center this afternoon in Los Angeles.

Tony Gonsolin has really struggled of late for the Dodgers, going 1-2 with a 6.97 ERA in his last six starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 innings.  The OVER is 5-1 in those six starts.

Yusei Kikuchi is 3-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.298 WHIP in 11 road starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 57 innings.  Kikuchi is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings.  Both bullpens will get a lot of usage i this one.

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Dodgers last eight games overall.  The OVER is 14-0-1 in Dodgers last 15 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 16 games overall.  They have scored 10, 11 and 16 runs in three of their last six games to cover three OVERS on their own.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 14 of their last 18 games overall.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Julio Urias has been a major disappointment for the Dodgers this season.  Urias is 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA in 14 starts while allowing 15 homers in 75 1/3 innings.  He allowed 8 earned runs in 5 innings to the Orioles in his last start.

Chris Bassitt has been great at home for the Blue Jays, but it has been a different story on the road.  Bassitt is 4-4 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.552 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.  Now he must face arguably the hottest lineup in baseball in the Dodgers.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 13-0-1 in Dodgers last 14 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Cardinals/Diamondbacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall after hanging 10 runs on the Diamondbacks yesterday.  The OVER is 7-2-2 in Cardinals last 11 games during this stretch.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight games overallw ith the OVER going 5-3 during this stretch.

Steven Matz is an absolute gas can for the Cardinals.  He is 1-6 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.554 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in seven road starts.  He'll be opposed by Merrill Kelly, who will be making his first start since June 24th as he makes his way back from injury and will be on a pitch count.

Both bullpens have been below average this season and both will get a lot of usage in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

The Washington Nationals have scored at least 3 runs in 12 consecutive games and 6 runs or more eight times.  The Colorado Rockies have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  This 9-run total is too low for these two gas cans on the mound facing these two hot lineups.

Austin Gomber is 8-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in 20 starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 22 homers in 102 innings.  He'll be opposed by Trevor Williams, who is 5-5 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 20 starts for the Nationals this season, allowing 20 homers in 98 2/3 innings.

Gomber has allowed 13 earned runs and 18 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Williams has posted a 4.97 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies.  He has allowed 6 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them.

The OVER is 9-1 in Williams' last 10 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game.  Washington is 13-3 OVER in its last 16 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse.  The OVER is 7-0 in Washington's last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 8-2 in Nationals last 10 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 17 of their last 18 games and at least 5 runs in 12 of those.  The OVER is 9-1-2 in Cubs last 12 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last eight games overall.

Kyle Hendricks has come back down to reality of late, going 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings.  Hendricks is 0-2 with a 10.45 ERA in his last two starts against the White Sox, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

Michael Kopech is 4-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 18 starts this season while allowing 19 homers and 57 walks in 92 1/3 innings.  Kopech is 1-2 with a 6.09 ERA and 2.128 WHIP in his last three starts as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Royals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

The Kansas City Royals are scoring just 3.3 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.6 runs per game at home inside pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in 2023.  Runs will be hard to come by against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Aaron Civale has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Civale is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA in his last four starts against the Royals, allowing just 5 earned runs in 26 innings.

Zack Greinke just owns the Guardians, going 11-8 with a 3.23 ERA in 31 career starts against them.  He is 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last eight starts against Cleveland, allowing just 11 earned runs in 46 1/3 innings.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Greinke's last seven starts against Cleveland.

Cleveland is 21-5 UNDER against division opponents this season.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 8 or fewer combined runs in five of the six.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Blue Jays/Dodgers MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 15 games overall.  They have scored 10, 11 and 16 runs in three of their last five games to cover three OVERS on their own.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 13 of their last 17 games overall.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 tickets.

Jose Berrios has been pitching well for a while now, but he takes a big step up in class here against the hottest lineup in baseball.  He'll be opposed by Michael Grove, who is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 29 earned runs and 8 homers in 40 innings.  The Blue Jays will clearly get theirs off of this Grove gas can.

The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last six games overall.  The OVER is 9-1 in Berrios' last 10 road starts as an underdog.  The OVER is 8-0 in Berrios' last eight road starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by one or more runs per game on the season.  The OVER is 13-0 in Dodgers last 13 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-125)

The San Diego Padres are mashing right now scoring at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 20 games overall.  They take on a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is 4-14 in their last 18 games overall with 13 losses by two runs or more.  That's why I'm willing to take the Padres on the Run Line today.

Yu Darvish is coming off two of his best starts of the season, limiting the Blue Jays and Phillies to one earned run in 12 innings with 16 K's.  Darvish is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in nine career starts against Pittsburgh.  He is 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 1.76 ERA in his last five starts against the Pirates, allowing 6 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings with four of the five wins coming by two runs or more.

Quinn Priester will be making his second start of the season for the Pirates.  His first was a disaster, allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 1/3 innings of an 11-0 home loss to Cleveland.  I don't expect it to go much better for him today against this hot Padres lineup.

San Diego is 11-1 in its last 12 games when playing with triple revenge and winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Pittsburgh is 11-53 in its last 64 road games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more K's per start and getting outscored by 2.3 runs per game on average.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Brewers OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds have won five games in a row while scoring at least 4 runs in four of the five victories.  The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall as well.  I think both teams get to 4 runs in this one, which will assure that we get a push worst case but likely cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Graham Ashcraft is 5-7 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 19 starts for the Reds this season.  Ashcraft has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-4 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Colin Rea is 5-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 16 starts for the Brewers this season, including 2-2 with a 5.17 ERA in eight home starts.  Rea has posteda. 5.49 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in four career starts against the Reds as well.

The OVER is 18-6 in Rea's 24 career home starts.  The OVER is 12-2 in Rea's last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 13-3 in Ashcraft's last 16 starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse.  The OVER is 16-5 in Milwaukee's last 21 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Mariners beat the Blue Jays 9-8 Saturday for 17 combined runs.  It should be more of the same Sunday with another easy OVER with these two struggling starting pitchers going.

Alek Manoah has been a massive disappointment for the Blue Jays, going 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.836 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  He was even demoted to the minors, and it clearly didn't do much for him after allowing 4 earned runs in 3 innings to the Padres last time out.

Bryan Woo is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in three home starts.  Woo allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 10-3 home loss to the Twins in his last start coming in.

Toronto is 13-3 OVER in Sunday games this season.  The OVER is 9-2 in Manoah's 11 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Dodgers/Rangers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 14 games overall after hanging 11 runs and 16 runs on the Rangers in the first two games of this series.  They take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .273 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .284 and score 6.1 runs per game at home as well.

Emmet Sheehan has a 4.91 ERA in five starts for the Dodgers this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 25 2/3 innings.  Martin Perez is an absolute gas can for the Rangers with a 4.84 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 18 starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 9-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Perez is 18-4 OVER in day games over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 7-0 in Perez's last seven July starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 16 of their last 17 games and at least 5 runs in 11 of those.  The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  Both offenses should have success today.

Jameson Taillon is an absolute gas can for the Cubs, going 3-6 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in nine home starts.  While Jordan Montgomery has decent numbers for the Cardinals this season, the Cubs are scoring 5.8 runs per game against left-handed starters in 2023.

Montgomery allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them this season.  Taillon allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cardinals this season.

The OVER is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last nine games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Chicago Sunday home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Brewers OVER 10

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball at the plate.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 31 of their last 38 games overall.  The Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall and at least 3 runs in seven consecutive games.  Both offenses should have success at the plate today.

Both starting pitchers are really struggling coming into this one.  Bryce Elder has allowed 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts.  Julio Teheran is 0-2 with a 9.36 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles +126

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of those 14 games.  They should not be underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays, who have gone 4-13 in their last 17 games overall while scoring 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 17 games, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 of them.

The Orioles have a big advanage on the mound today behind Tyler Wells, who is 7-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Taj Bradley, who is 5-6 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in his last three.  Bradley has already allowed 12 homers in 66 1/3 innings.  Bet the Orioles Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball at the plate.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 31 of their last 37 games overall.  Te Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall and at least 3 runs in six consecutive games.  Both offenses should have success at the plate today.

Allan Winans will be making his MLB debut for the Braves today.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.691 WHIP in four home starts.  Houser has never beaten the Braves, going 0-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Atlanta is 18-4 OVER in its last 22 games vs. a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Diamondbacks/Reds NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 10

The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games and a total of 37 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.4 runs per game.  The Cincinnati Reds have scored a total of 27 runs in their last four games for an average of 6.8 runs per game.  Both teams should stay hot at the plate today.

The Diamondbacks still haven't named a starter and are likely to use their shaky bullpen a lot in this one.  They will use some combination of Tyler Gilbert and their bullpen, which has been particularly awful on the road.

Brandon Williamson is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.329 WHIP in 11 starts for the Reds this season, allowing a whopping 10 homers in 52 2/3 innings, including 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* Interleague TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Dodgers/Rangers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 13 games overall after hanging 11 runs on the Rangers yesterday.  They take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .274 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .286 and score 6.2 runs per game at home as well.

Bobby Miller has posted a 4.25 ERA in nine starts for the Dodgers this season.  Dane Dunning has posted a 3.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  Both starters have been decent, but both are getting too much respect here as a result and both take a big step up in competition today against these two potent lineups.

The OVER is 8-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Blue Jays/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle -108

The Seattle Mariners get to stay at home for an 8th consecutive games.  The Toronto Blue Jays have to travel from Toronto to Seattle overnight after a 6-game home stand and playing the Padres yesterday.  I love the spot for the Mariners, and I believe they have a big advantage on the mound as well.

Bryce Miller is one of the most talented young prospects in the game.  He is 6-3 with a 3.66 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 12 starts thsi season, including 5-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.868 WHIP in seven home starts.

Yusei Kikuchi is a gas can for the Blue Jays.  He is 7-3 in spite of a 4.13 ERA in 19 starts this season, allowing a whopping 22 homers in 98 innings.  Kikuchi is 3-1 with a 4.53 ERA in 10 road starts, and 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in his last three starts coming in.

Toronto is 2-11 following six or more consecutive home games this season.  Seattle is 6-1 in his last seven home meetings with Toronto.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  Now they take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .274 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .286 and score 6.2 runs per game at home as well.

Tony Gonsolin is really struggling of late for the Dodgers, going 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 innings.  He'll be opposed by Andrew Heaney, who is 6-6 wiht a 4.43 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Heaney is 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.410 WHIP in six career starts against the Dodgers as well.

The OVER is 10-1 in Heaney's last 11 starts after giving up zero earned runs in his last outing.  The OVER is 17-6 in Heaney's last 23 starts as a favorite.  The OVER is 7-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 15 games and at least 5 runs in 10 of those.  They have scored a total of 47 runs in their last six games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.  The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in seven consecutive games and an average of 6.6 runs per game during this stretch.

Jack Flaherty has had an up and down season for the Cardinals at 7-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 18 starts.  Flaherty allowed 3 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-4 victory over the Cubs in his lone start against them this season.

Justin Steele was pitching over his head in the first half of the season, but he has come back down to reality of late.  Steele has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee and Boston.  Steele has posted a 4.13 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in four career starts against the Cardinals as well.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Cubs last nine games overall.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last seven games overall.  The OVER is 8-1 in Flaherty's nine starts following a team win.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 14 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in 10 of those.  They have scored a total of 45 runs in their last five games for an average of 9 runs per game.  They should stay hot at the plate against one of the worst starters in baseball tonight.

Steven Matz is 0-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.617 WHIP in 12 starts for the Cardinals this season, allowing 36 earned runs and 10 homers in 60 innings.  Matz is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in four career starts against Chicago.  The Cubs are hitting .286 and scoring 6.0 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Marcus Stroman has come back down to reality of late, going 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 20 innings.  Stroman does not enjoy facing the Cardinals, going 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  

The Cardinals will do enough damage on Stroman to help contribute to cashing this OVER 8 ticket, but don't be surprised if the Cubs cover it on their own.  The OVER is 8-0 in Cubs last eight games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Cardinals last six games overall as they have scored at least 5 runs in all six games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Cubs OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 13 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in nine of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last seven games and 6 runs or more in five of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

The Cubs just scored 17 runs yesterday and should stay hot at the plate against Trevor Williams.  he is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 19 starts this season, 3-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 10 road starts, and 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in his last three starts.  Williams is 3-7 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in 12 career starts against Chicago as well.

Kyle Hendricks is 1-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in five home starts this season.  He has really struggled of late, allowing 9 earned runs and 6 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.0 runs per game at home this season.  The OVER is 21-7 in Cubs games following two consecutive overs this season.  Hendricks is 13-2 OVER in his last 15 starts as a home favorite, including 11-1 OVER in his last 12 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Padres/Blue Jays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The San Diego Padres are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 3 runs in 15 consecutive games, and 4 runs or more 13 times during this stretch.  The OVER is 15-3-3 in their last 21 games overall.  The Blue Jays are also hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

Yu Darvish has been terrible on the road this season with a 5.58 ERA in nine starts away from home.  Jose Berrios has good numbers this season, but he has done a lot of his damage against poor lineups with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts.  Berrios allowed 3 homers to the Red Sox in his last start against a potent lineup, and now he'll face a Padres lineup that is swinging the bats with more confidence right now than they have all season.

San Diego is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-134)

The Boston Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of those 14 games.  They have scored at least 7 runs in six of their last nine games overall.  They will put it on the A's, who are 1-8 in their last nine games overall to fall to 26-71 on the season.

After shockingly getting shut out yesterday, which was the aberration not the norm, the Red Sox will heat back up at the plate today against Ken Waldichuk.  The left-hander is 1-3 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 39 earned runs and a whopping 14 homers in 52 1/3 innings.

Brayan Bello has been the ace of Boston's staff this season.  He is 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.198 WHIP in 15 starts this season, 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in six road starts, and 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings with the A's with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  Boston is 10-2 vs. a team with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season.  Oakland is 4-25 vs. a AL starting pitcher with a 1.300 WHIP or better this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  The A's are 5-38 in day games this season and losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Dodgers/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 6.8 runs per game in their last nine games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

Julio Urias has been a major disappointment on the road this season, going 2-4 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.561 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  Dean Kremer has been poor all season with a 4.59 ERA in 19 starts while allowing 20 homers in 104 innings.  Kremer has been at his worst at home with a 5.07 ERA in 10 home starts and 11 homers allowed in 55 innings.

The OVER is 30-17 in Dodgers road games this season.  The OVER is 9-1 in Kremer's 10 starts as an underdog this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)

The Boston Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of those 13 games.  They have scored at least 7 runs in six of their last eight games overall.  They will put it on the A's, who are 0-8 in their last eight games overall to fall to 25-71 on the season.

The Red Sox will stay hot at the plate against Luis Medina, who is 1-6 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.718 WHIP in eight starts for the A's this season.  Medina has allowed 30 earned runs, 8 homers and 24 walks in 39 innings as a starter this season.

The Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings with the A's with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  Oakland is 7-30 after a loss by four runs or more this season and losing by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Boston is 10-1 vs. a team with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season and winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

25* NL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nationals/Cubs OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 12 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in eight of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games and 6 runs or more in five of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Two gas cans go tonight for these teams.  Pat Corbin is 6-10 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.610 WHIP in eight road starts.  But he's coming off a good start in his last outing, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.

Jameson Taillon is 3-6 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.65 ERA and 1.646 WHIP in eight home starts.  But he's coming off one of his best starts of the season, which was the aberration and not the norm, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 20-7 in Cubs games following two consecutive overs this season.  The OVER is 37-20 in Cobrin's 57 career road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 22-10 in Taillon's last 32 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rays/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in the majors in average (.274) and scoring (5.8 runs per game).  They also hit .287 and score 6.3 runs per game at home.  The Tampa Bay Rays score 5.4 runs per game.  This total is too low for a game involving these two teams.

We saw this same matchup between Nathan Eovaldi and Taj Bradley back on June 10th in Tampa Bay.  The Rangers won 8-4 in a game that saw 12 combined runs.  Eovaldi allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 1/3 innings, while Bradley allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 3 2/3 innings.  Bradley is also 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Padres/Blue Jays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The San Diego Padres are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 3 runs in 14 consecutive games, and 4 runs or more 12 times during this stretch.  The OVER is 14-3-3 in their last 20 games overall.  The Blue Jays are also hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

The Padres will hang a big number on Alek Manoah, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Manoah is 2-7 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.797 WHIP in 14 starts, including 0-4 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.357 WHIP in seven home starts, allowing 27 earned runs and 8 homers in 28 innings at home.

Joe Musgrove has been dominant at home for the Padres, but it has been another story away from home.  Indeed, Musgrove has posted a 4.73 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in six road starts this season.  The Blue Jays will get enough off him and their shaky bullpen to help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Orioles Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last eight games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.

The Dodgers are so hot that I expect them to get to Tyler Wells, who has been the ace of this Baltimore staff this season.  But this is a big step up in class for him.  Plus, the Orioles will hang a big number on Michael Grove, who is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.629 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with an 11.92 ERA and 2.648 WHIP in three road starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Yankees/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Angels last eight games overall with 12 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  The OVER is 9-5-1 in Yankees last 15 games overall and they have scored at least 6 runs in eight of those 15 games.  With these two gas cans going tonight, the Yankees and Angels should easily combine for 9-plus runs in this one.

Luis Severino is 1-4 with a 7.38 ERA and 1.804 WHIP in nine starts for the Yankees this season, allowing 35 earned runs and 11 homers in 42 2/3 innings.  Severino has allowed 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Griffin Canning is 6-4 with a 4.62 ERA in 14 starts this season while allowing a whopping 15 homers in 74 innings.  He has a 5.12 ERA in six home starts.  Canning has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 11 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in seven of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in five consecutive games and 6 runs or more in four of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Drew Smyly is 0-2 with an 11.11 ERA and 2.381 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 1/3 innings.  Mackenzie Gore is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 innings.  Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in two career starts against Chicago.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Chicago is 8-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 7.7 runs per game in their last seven games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.

Emmet Sheehan is 2-0 with a 4.35 ERA in four starts this season for the Dodgers.  He is coming off his worst start of the season against the Pirates, allowing 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-7 defeat.

Grayson Rodriquez is 2-2 with a 7.35 ERA and 1.721 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Orioles, including 1-2 with a 9.56 ERA and 2.216 WHIP in five home starts.  He has already allowed 37 earned runs and 13 homers in 45 1/3 innings this season.  Both lineups should stay hot against these two starting pitchers tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Padres/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 5-0 in Phillies last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four consecutive games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Padres last nine games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those nine games.  The Padres have are raking right now, and the Phillies are heating up as well.

Zack Wheeler is really struggling for the Phillies coming into this one.  He has a 6.61 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings to the Marlins, Nationals and Mets.  

Seth Lugo has been decent for the padres with a 3.39 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 12 starts this season, but this is a much stiffer challenge than what he has been facing recently.  Lugo has a 7.29 ERA and 1.810 WHIP in five career starts against the Phillies.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/A's OVER 7.5

There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Oakland today that should help aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.  Plus, both of these starting pitchers have had a tough time keeping the ball in the park.

JP Sears has already allowed 19 homers in 99 2/3 innings this season for the A's.  Joe Ryan is 0-2 with an 8.78 ERA in his last three starts, allowing a whopping 8 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 3-0-1 in Twins last four games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all four.  The A's and their opponents have combined for 9 or more runs in six of their last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Guardians/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.9 runs per game.  They score 6.4 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last 11 games overall.

Tanner Bibee has been at his worst on the road for the Guardians with a 4.65 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in six starts away from home.  Martin Perez has been shaky all season for the Rangers with a 4.81 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in 17 starts.  Perez is 0-2 with an 8.39 ERA and 1.986 WHIP in five career starts against the Guardians as well.

The OVER is 15-6 in Rangers 21 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 10-2 in Rangers 12 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  Texas is 7-1 OVER in home games vs. AL Central opponents this season.  The OVER is 17-4 in Perez's last 21 day game starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-13 in their last 42 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 34 of their last 46 games, including 5 runs or more 30 times.  The OVER is 11-6 in Reds last 17 games overall with all 11 overs seeing 10 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight overs.

Andrew Abbott just faced the Brewers in his last start and allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-3 defeat.  Freddy Peralta has been terrible on the road throughout his career including this season, going 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in seven road starts in 2023.

Milwaukee is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games after scoring one run or fewer in two consecutive games.  Cincinnati is 7-0 OVER after allowing 3 runs or fewer in two consecutive games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-135)

The Oakland A's have lost five consecutive games while getting outscored 35-13 in the process to fall to 25-68 on the season.  They are getting outscored by 2.7 runs per game on the season.  The Twins should win this game by two runs or more due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Pablo Lopez has posted a 2.78 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in nine road starts this season.  He has been dynamite of late, going 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 21 innings with a whopping 28 K's.  Lopez pitched 6 shutout innings in his lone career start against the A's last season.

Hogan Harris is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.667 WHP in four starts this season, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings.  Harris allowed 7 runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 9-0 loss at Detroit in his last start, and the Tigers are one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Oakland is 6-35 vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season and getting outscored by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.9 runs per game.  They score 6.4 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last 10 games overall.

Gavin Williams has decent numbers with a 4.01 ERA in four starts but has faced the Royals twice and the A's.  He got rocked in his toughest start against the Braves, allowing 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 1/3 innings.  He'll get rocked by this potent Rangers lineup as well.

Andrew Heaney is 5-6 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Heaney is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in his last three starts as well, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 2/3 innings.  All the damage was done by the Tigers and Nationals, two of the worst lineups in baseball.

The OVER is 15-5 in Rangers 20 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 10-1 in Rangers 11 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  The OVER is 11-1 in Heaney's last 12 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.8 runs per game.  They score 6.3 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last nine games overall.

Aaron Civale has good numbers for the Guardians this season but takes a big step up in class here.  Jon Gray has been at his worst at home this season with a 4.27 ERA in eight starts.  Gray is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in his last three starts coming in as well.

The OVER is 14-5 in Rangers 19 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 11-2 in Gray's last 13 Friday starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rangers 10 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.