Sports Picks & Predictions

ASA NHL PLAY ON San Jose Sharks over Colorado Avalanche, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET

This line opened up around a pick'em but now has been driven up to as high as a -130 on the Avalanche which is largely due to the fact that this game is at Colorado. We have seen again throughout this post-season that home ice simply has not "paid" the way many would expect it to at the betting window. In round two games the home team has won just 3 of 9 contests so far. Also, with only a couple shocking exceptions (Lightning and Penguins getting swept out of post-season in first round) we've also seen a lot of back and forth battles in many of these series. With that said, the Sharks are off a home loss in Game 2 and, per our computer math model, there is a lot of line value in backing San Jose here to get immediate payback by handing the Avalanche a home ice loss in the very next game. San Jose, prior to the Game 2 loss, had defeated the Colorado in 5 straight meetings. They are the more physical team and, arguably, built better for post-season success. The Avalanche made some adjustments after the Game 1 loss but the Sharks will now counter those adjustments in Game 3. It is the constant "cat and mouse" game you'll often see throughout a playoff series and the Sharks are likely to be the aggressor in this one after the home loss. The Avalanche have lost 21 of 33 when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. The Sharks are 3-1 the last 4 times they were off a game in which they outshot their opponent but lost the game. Bounce back time here. Bet San Jose in late night action Tuesday

ASA NHL PLAY ON St Louis Blues over Dallas Stars, Monday at 8:05 PM ET

With the Stars win at St Louis in Game 2 on Saturday, the road team is now 4-4 in Dallas post-season games this spring. In other words, home ice has not been a big edge and this is even more evident when looking at the Blues results. In post-season games for St Louis this spring, the road team has won 6 of the 8 games. The Blues are a perfect 3-0 so far in road games in these playoffs. That is why the ability to grab the road team in this one and not lay any juice is a huge value. This is particularly true when you consider St Louis is off a loss also. That is noteworthy because the Blues have only lost back to back games ONCE in the past SIX weeks. In other words, backing St Louis off a loss has been a very valuable strategy the past month and a half. The road team has won 4 of the last 6 games between these teams and, per our computer math model, that trend continues here. Bet St Louis in evening action Monday

ASA NHL PLAY ON OVER: Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET

The over is 12-1-1 in the last 14 meetings between these teams. That run dates all the way back to April of 2015 and is showing no signs of changing. In looking at offensive zone play in this match-up, the Sharks defense will struggle with the speed and skill of the Avalanche forwards. On the other end of the ice, the Colorado d-men will struggle with the physicality of San Jose up front. It should lead to a very high-scoring game two as the long-term trending between these teams continues. The Sharks scored 4 unanswered goals to wrap up Game two but now the Avalanche shook the rust off and should score much more than the two goals they managed in Game 1. This total could easily be justified at being a 6.5 and the fact is being held at a 6 is offering additional value as our computer math model is calling for at least 6 goals with a high probability of 7 or 8 markers in this one! Bet the OVER in San Jose in NHL action Sunday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Columbus over Boston, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET

The Blue Jackets suffered a tough loss in Game 1 when they allowed the tying goal late in regulation and then lost in overtime. Columbus was a little rusty from the layoff as they had swept the Lightning in 4 games while the Bruins were certainly still in normal game day form as they were taken to 7 games by the Maple Leafs. The point is that, even with all that, the Blue Jackets still should have taken Game 1 and very nearly did. Now that Columbus has worked off some rust look for them to be even stronger in Game 2. That means we have great line value here with the underdog Blue Jackets. Prior to the loss in Game 1, Columbus had won 6 straight games and 11 of their last 12. As for the Bruins, they had last 4 of their last 5 home games prior to knocking off the Maple Leafs in Game 7 and the Blue Jackets in Game 1. When leading in a playoff series, the Bruins have lost 5 of 7 games. Per our computer math model, Boston again loses in that situation here as the Blue Jackets even up this series. Bet Columbus in evening action Saturday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Colorado over San Jose, Friday at 10:05 PM ET

The Avalanche have won 12 of their last 16 games and are rested whereas the Sharks are off a grueling 7-game series over the rival Sharks. Colorado has held their opponent to 2 or less goals in 12 of their last 16 games. The Avalanche get a lot of attention because of their speed and highly skilled top line of MacKinnon, Landeskog, and Rantanen but don't discount the fact that Colorado has also been playing very well in their own zone. At the other end of the spectrum, the Sharks have allowed 4 or more goals in 13 of their last 20 games! It comes as no surprise given those numbers that San Jose has lost 12 of its last 19 games! The Avalanche been the better team defensively and in between the pipes and this line is shaded for home ice and yet the Sharks have lost 7 of their last 12 home games. Per our computer math model, this has led to superb underdog money line value with the Avalanche in Game One of this series. Bet Colorado in late night NHL action Friday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas over St Louis, Thursday at 9:35 PM ET

Home ice continues to get overvalued. These two teams are truly equal but the Blues are a -155 favorite because Game 1 is in St Louis. It is easy to blow holes in any theory that a line in this range is justified. When the Blues won Game 6 over Winnipeg in St Louis to advance to this 2nd round match-up it was the FIRST time out of all 6 games in that series that a home team got the win! Also, the Blues met the Stars 4 times this season and only in ONE of those 4 games did the home team get the win. Dallas won 2 of their 3 road games at Nashville in their series win over the Predators. Also, the Stars are 7-2 in road games where the total is set at 5 or less goals. The Blues are 15-23 in 2nd round playoff games including 2-4 in their most recent trip to the 2nd round. St Louis has averaged only 2.5 goals per game in their last 4 games. Dallas has scored an average of 4 goals per game in their last 3 games. Two quality goalies and they each have benefited from quality play in front of them. The key difference here though is the recent goal-scoring surge by the Stars as well as the overall line value with the road dog in this spot. Bet Dallas in late night NHL action Thursday.

ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON San Jose over Vegas, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET

Not only have the Sharks stolen all the momentum in this series by winning back to back games after being left for dead, Martin Jones has been coming up huge between the pipes plus San Jose has the home ice edge here in Game 7. Jones is certainly back on track as he allowed only 1 goal in five on five action to the Golden Knights in the last two games combined. The other two goals that Vegas had were on the power play. Conversely, the Sharks have been playing very well in five on five action and have scored 6 goals without the man advantage in the past two games combined. The Golden Knights have lost 6 of their past 7 games on enemy ice! The Sharks have won 4 of their last 6 games as a host. Vegas outshot San Jose by a 2 to 1 ratio in their Game 6 home loss in overtime and that is the type of disheartening loss that is very tough to bounce back from. This is especially true now that Vegas goes back on the road where they have been struggling for the past four weeks. In head to head match-ups at San Jose, the Sharks have taken 3 of the last 4 over the Golden Knights. Also, the Sharks haven't forgotten the way their season ended here last year in a 3-0 home loss in early May to this same Vegas team. San Jose, in home games with a total set at 5.5 goals, won 6 of 7 games this season! Per our computer math model, they take that record to 7-1 with a big home victory tonight. Bet San Jose in late night NHL action Tuesday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Nashville (+) over Dallas, Monday at 8:35 PM ET

Since these teams are divisional foes this will be the 11th game between them as they battle it out in Game 6 in Dallas. As per usual, the home ice "edge" continues to get too much respect from the betting markets. The fact is the home team has only won 3 of the 10 games this season and yet the market has already moved the price even higher on the home team in this one. After opening up at a -115 it is now up in the -135 range with Dallas as the favorite in this one. The Stars have won 2 straight games in this series but the Predators previously led the series 2-1 and, overall, had won 6 of the 9 prior games. Last season and this season, including this playoff series, there has never been a single instance where one of these teams beat the other 3 straight games. It is a hard-fought divisional battle and you can fully expect the Predators to have made some adjustments and that they will be ready to give their strongest game yet in this series as they face elimination. Yesterday, the Bruins won at Toronto and the Sharks won at Vegas. Just like Nashville, Boston and San Jose were on the road and facing elimination. They both survived and our computer math model predicts that the Predators will as well. Contrary to what most believe, there is actually a lot of pressure on the home team in a Game 6 situation like this because they know they need to win to avoid having to then play a Game 7 on the road. Just like yesterday's Maple Leafs and Golden Knights games, look for the Stars to fall short here. Nashville has won 13 of 19 this season when playing with home loss revenge. Dallas has lost 42 of 69 after a win by a margin of 2 or more goals. Bet Nashville in evening NHL action Monday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON OVER: San Jose Sharks at Vegas Golden Knights, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET

The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these teams. Only one game in this first round playoff series resulted in an under and that was despite the Golden Knights scoring 5 goals in that Game 4 match-up. The only reason it stayed under the total was a rare shutout for the Sharks as they did not manage a goal in that one. How rare in this match-up? That is the only time in the last 8 meetings between these teams that a team was shutout. Couple that fact with the fact that the winning team has scored 5 or more goals in each of the 5 games so far in this series and it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is calling for this one to end with 7 or 8 goals and no less than 6 goals (the current total set on this game). These teams consistently average a high number of shots on goals in their match-up and the Sharks will be pushing especially hard here in the offensive zone as they totaled just 3 goals in their last 2 games here and this is an elimination game for San Jose. Time for the Sharks to be ultra aggressive in this building rivalry. Bet the OVER in Vegas in NHL action Sunday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Carolina over Washington, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET

The Hurricanes outshot the Capitals 29-18 in Game 1 but lost. Then they lost Game 2 in overtime. The fact is that even when Carolina was down 0-2 in this series the Hurricanes had been "right there" with Washington ever since that ugly first period in Game 1. As expected, the Canes responded by winning two straight on home ice and now offer great underdog value on the road in Game 5. Momentum certainly is on the side of Carolina and the Capitals are finding out what it is like when teams are "gunning for them" as defending Stanley Cup Champs. Carolina's power play has 3 goals (compared to Washington's 1) in the last 3 games in this series. Overall, Washington's power play has been held without a goal in 9 of its last 12 games. The Hurricanes have won 11 of 17 when tied in a playoff series. The Capitals have only won half their games since New Year's Eve! On the other hand, the Canes have been one of the hottest teams in the league and have won 32 of their 48 games since New Year's Eve! The money line opened low for a reason and with the markets pushing the line on Washington even higher, we've got even more line value now with a Hurricanes team that is a dog very worthy of backing in a spot like this. Bet Carolina in early evening NHL action Monday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON OVER: Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames, Friday at 10:05 PM ET

3 of the 4 games in this series have resulted in an under but the teams have averaged a combined 83.3 shots on goal the past 3 games. That is an unusually high number of shots on goal and shows that both the pace of the game and the scoring opportunities have been conducive to an over. Game 3 was included in this run and that game totaled 8 goals but the other 2 games in this 3-game stretch totaled 5 goals apiece. Per our computer math model, this one is getting closer to the 8-goal total than the 5-goal mark. The most recent game with Calgary hosting Colorado saw the Flames get held to just 2 goals but, previous to that, Calgary had averaged 5 goals per game in their 4 prior home games against the Avalanche. The Flames are facing elimination and at home and will turn to a very aggressive attack in an attempt to stave off elimination here. The teams have combined to average 2 power play goals per game in this series and have combined to average nearly 10 power play opportunities per game so far in this series. All the above numbers are good numbers when looking for a high-scoring games in NHL playoff action and this situation and the value (total at an even 6 goals) fit the bill for a solid play Friday night. Bet OVER in Calgary in NHL action Friday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg Jets over St Louis Blues, Thursday at 8:35 PM ET

A home team has yet to win a game in this series. That changes tonight. The Jets have not only stolen momentum from the Blues by winning both games at St Louis, Winnipeg also has cast some shadow of doubt into the game of rookie goalie Jordan Binnington. The young netminder is use to winning. He has been great since coming up from San Antonio (AHL) to St Louis but the Blues rookie faces his first true adversity at this level. Binnington off back to back losses and now facing the Jets in hockey-crazed Winnipeg. The Jets have completely turned the tables in this series and finally got a tight game to go their way in Game 4. Keep in mind they had blasted the Blues in Game 3 and that is another noteworthy aspect here. Winnipeg has won 6 of the last 9 meetings and the only 3 wins for St Louis each came by a single goal. As for the Jets, their 6 wins have come by an average margin of 3 goals per victory! Per our computer match model, another big win for Winnipeg is on tap here. St Louis has only 1 goal in the past two games that didn't come with the man advantage. The Jets 8 goals the last 2 games have only featured 1 goal that came on the power play. It is easy to see which team has been playing much better 5 on 5 hockey as this series has gone on. Bet Winnipeg in NHL action Thursday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Dallas Stars over Nashville Predators, Wednesday at 8:05 PM ET

The Predators have won back to back games in this series after dropping the first one on home ice. However, Nashville is 2-7 the last 9 times they entered a road game on a winning streak of 2 or more games. Also, Dallas is 8-3 the last 11 times they entered a home game on a losing streak of 2 or more games. The Stars power play has been shutdown by the Predators in the last two games but Dallas previously had converted 10 of their 24 power play chances over an 8-game stretch. A bounce back is highly likely given those phenomenal numbers. On other other side of the equation, the Preds power play is highly unlikely to do much here. The Stars have killed off 23 of their opponents 24 power play chances their last 9 games! Also, the Nashville power play is a paltry 2 for 28 their last 14 games. With special teams favoring a Stars bounce back here as well as the situational edge also favoring Dallas, it comes as no surprise that our computer math model is predicting a convincing home win in this critical Game 4 match-up. The Stars can not afford to head to Nashville down 3-1 in this series. Look for the home team to come up with their best game yet and even this series up! Bet Dallas in NHL action Wednesday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg over St Louis, Tuesday at 9:35 PM ET

Not only is the road team 3-0 in this series, the road team has won 8 of the last 9 meetings between these hockey clubs! Also, momentum is huge in a playoff series and the Jets have that on their side after the way Game 3 played out at St Louis. Winnipeg didn't just beat the Blues, they demolished them and, in the process, they certainly put a dent in the shield of confidence of young goalie Jordan Binnington. The St Louis netminder allowed 6 goals on 29 shots. Keep in mind the Jets lost the first two games of this series by the slimmest of margins - just 1 goal each time. In fact, each of the last 3 wins that the Blues have against the Jets have come by just a single goal. As for when Winnipeg beats St Louis, the victory margin has been 3 or more goals in 5 of the last 6 Jets victories over the Blues. That says something about, arguably, which team is truly superior in this match-up. Per our computer math model there is great line value here with the road dog as the momentum has clearly shifted based on the Game 3 result and our forecast is that road dominance continues in this series. Bet Winnipeg in late evening NHL action Tuesday.

ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON Carolina over Washington, Monday at 7:05 PM ET

It is difficult to go up 3-0 on a team in a series and this is particularly true on the road. The Islanders managed to pull it off yesterday at Pittsburgh but we don't expect a repeat here. The only other series that is 3-0 is the Blue Jackets / Lightning shocker and Columbus was at home for yesterday's game to make it 3-0. As noted, that entire series has been a shocker. With 5 of the other 7 series guaranteed to be 2-1 the odds certainly are in favor of that being the case here as well. The Hurricanes outshot the Capitals 29-18 in Game 1 but lost. Then they lost Game 2 in overtime. The fact is that Carolina has been "right there" with Washington ever since that ugly first period in Game 1 but they have nothing to show for it. Look for the Hurricanes to make up for that here as they've been playing better than the 0-2 series deficit shows. Carolina has won 15 of its last 21 home games. Washington is 19-21 (-7.4 units) this season after game in which they scored 4 or more goals. The Hurricanes have been very strong on home ice as that 15 of 21 record reflects and the home fans have waited a long time for this playoff opportunity and it will be a great atmosphere for the home team in this one. Carolina's power play is 3 for 4 in its last two home games. Washington's power play has been held without a goal in 8 of its last 10 games. Bet Carolina in early evening NHL action Monday.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Over: Islanders at Penguins, Sunday at 12:05 PM ET

Down 2-0 in this series the Pittsburgh Penguins need to turn the tables on the New York Islanders and get back into this series. That starts by changing the pace of the game. The Penguins know they can ill afford to let the Islanders dictate the pace and now, back on home ice, Pittsburgh will look to push the tempo. Look for Pittsburgh to work hard to get the Islanders out of their comfort zone. Tight low-scoring games are what suits the Islanders. The Penguins are running out of time and, after losing Game 1 in overtime, they then lost a tight low-scoring Game 2. Time for the Pens to get the Isles out of their comfort zone and now that the series has shifted to Pittsburgh that is precisely what we expect here. Our computer math model is calling for 7 goals here and we certainly expect at least 6 which means that the over 5.5 at plus money is offering great value given the situation here. Bet the Over in Pittsburgh very early Sunday afternoon.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Boston Bruins Money Line (-) over Toronto Maple Leafs, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET

There is a price to lay here but it is not steep and we do not see the Bruins falling behind 2-0 in this series on home ice! Not only did Boston lose Thursday's Game 1, they were beaten 4-1 on the scoreboard. After that ugly loss, the Bruins respond in a big way on home ice Saturday evening. Boston went 8-2 this season when they were off a game in which they scored 1 goal or less. Going further back the Bruins have won 26 of 40 when in that situation so it is not just a one year wonder. Also, Boston won 17 of 25 this season when in a home game with a total set at 6 or more goals. The Maple Leafs had lost 5 of 6 games prior to that upset win of the Bruins. Also, Toronto hasn't won back to back games since March - a span of 6 weeks! Bet Boston on the money line Saturday evening.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) over Washington Capitals, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET

The road team has won 6 of the past 8 meetings between these teams so throw home ice edge out the window when these Metropolitan Division rivals square off. Some are looking at this match-up and wondering how the defending Stanley Cup Champion Capitals are priced so low but the fact is this team lost their coach (now with Islanders) and also did lose 6 of its 13 final games down the stretch this season. The Hurricanes are a very scrappy and hungry team that wrapped up the regular season winning 3 straight games. Also, the Canes have won 12 of their last 17 road games! Carolina's red hot power play wrapped up the regular season going 5 for 9 in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Washington's power play converted just 2 of 18 chances over the final 8 games of the regular season. The Hurricanes have won 30 of their last 44 games as they were one of the hottest teams in the league over the latter half of the season. Over that same stretch the Capitals lost 20 of 44 games! Too much value here to pass up on with the upstart Canes! Bet Carolina in the underdog role on the money line as a strong value play here.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Columbus Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Tampa Bay, Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET

The Lightning were unquestionably the top team in the NHL this season. However, the Blue Jackets enter the post-season having won 7 of their last 8 games. The acquisitions they made late in the season finally started to click after they were able to have some time playing together on the ice. At the same time, they started to get hot goal-tending from Sergei Bobrovsky. In fact, Columbus allowed an average of only 1.1 goals per game in its last 7 games! While it is true the Lightning swept the Jackets in the regular season series, it is also true that Tampa was out-shot by a margin of 103 to 73 in the three games! That is an average shots on goal differential of 10 per game and all the pressure here is actually on the Bolts. That's because Tampa Bay is expected to win and is in the heavy favorite and, of course, they need to defend home ice. We feel all the above factors are going to have Columbus "hanging around" in this one for the potential upset. Even if the Blue Jackets fall just short, look for the margin to be only a single goal in this one. Columbus has won 5 straight road games. Also, 4 of the Jackets last 7 road losses have come by just a single goal. More confident than they've ever been and playing with no pressure on them, Columbus looks to steal game one and we expect this game to be much closer than many experts are expecting. With all the pressure on Tampa Bay here and the Blue Jackets playing loose and with revenge, this one goes down to the wire! Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and very little juice -125 range) with Columbus is the value play here.

ASA NHL PLAY ON Arizona Coyotes over Winnipeg Jets, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET

The Jets have hurt themselves by losing 5 of their last 6. The odds are that, with the Predators in the drivers seat for the division and hosting the Blackhawks (2nd night of a back to back for Chicago), the division is now lost for Winnipeg. They will find out very early in this game that the Preds beat the Hawks and the division title belongs to Nashville. The Jets, for awhile now, have wanted to fix what ails them prior to the post-season. However, they just haven't been able to get it done and, keep in mind, when Winnipeg lost to Colorado Thursday that is what officially eliminated the Coyotes from post-season contention. So there could be some extra motivation here for Arizona and that is on top of the usual motivation of being on home ice for the season finale and facing a playoff bound foe. Host teams in this kind of spot want to finish the season the right way and Arizona has been very strong on home ice. The Coyotes are off a win at Vegas but previous lost at home versus LA. That loss to the Kings was a rare home loss as the Coyotes previously had won 10 of their last 12 games on home ice! The home team has won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these teams. Per our computer math model that trend continues here. Bet the Coyotes money line in late night action Saturday

ASA NHL PLAY ON Chicago Blackhawks over Dallas Stars, Friday at 8:35 PM ET

The Stars clinched a playoff berth on home ice with a resounding 6-2 win over the Flyers on Wednesday. That sets this one up well as a letdown spot for Dallas. On the other hand, Chicago comes into this one off a big win versus playoff-bound St Louis and now playing in their home finale! The Blackhawks, despite missing out on the post-season, continue to give a huge effort night in and night out and they are fired up to win this one for their home fans as this is their final home game of the season. Chicago has won 2 of the 3 meetings this season and the only loss was on home ice even though the Blackhawks outshot Dallas 47 to 29 in that game. In other words, Chicago outplayed the Stars (even though the Blackhawks lost) and, given the situation, we fully expect a repeat here but this time it translates to a home ice win! The Stars have lost 9 of 13 road games this season that had a total set at 6 or more goals. Dallas also has lost 41 of their last 66 games when off a game which they won by a multiple goal margin. Bet the Blackhawks money line in evening action Friday

ASA NHL PLAY ON OVER: Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET

Some extra juice to lay with this over at 6 goals but it should prove well worth it. The Senators are starting 22-year old rookie goalie Joey Daccord who makes the jump from goaltending at Arizona State to now facing the world's best players in the NHL. Daccord and the Sens will be facing a very hungry Sabres team too because this is Buffalo's home finale and they have endured a lengthy losing streak including a 3-2 loss in their most recent home game. As a result, and with facing a rookie goalie tonight, the Sabres are expected to be very aggressive in this game. That should lead to plenty of goals because, while Buffalo should score well here, they have been struggling to keep the puck out of their own net. The Sabres have allowed 4.3 goals per game in their last 11 games. Before scoring just 2 goals against the Predators, Buffalo had notched 4 goals in 2 of its last 4 home games. The Senators, under interim coach Marc Crawford, have been a different team. Ottawa has scored 4 or more goals in 6 of its last 9 games! Overall the Sens have averaged a respectable 3.4 goals per game their last 9 games. The Senators have scored 4 or more goals in 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Sabres. Buffalo potted 9 goals the last time they hosted Ottawa. The over is 13-6 this season when the Sens are off a win by a multiple-goal margin. The over is 7-3 the past 10 April games for Buffalo. Late season game with no post-season implications means plenty of open ice and great scoring chances. Bet this OVER in early evening action Thursday

ASA NHL PLAY ON Anaheim Ducks money line vs Calgary Flames, Wednesday at 10:35 PM ET

This is a fantastic home dog spot. Sure the Ducks are eliminated from post-season contention but the Flames arguably have even LESS to play for as they've already wrapped up the #1 seed for the Western Conference post-season! Admittedly, Calgary would now say (if honest with the media) that their biggest concern is just not getting anyone hurt in their final two games. Anaheim has won 3 of its last 4 games. The home team has won all 3 meetings between these teams and, per our computer math model, that statistic will remain perfect when this one goes final! It has been an overall disappointing campaign for Anaheim but they have been playing better in recent weeks and here they want to make the most of a shot to knock off a playoff-bound division rival. In games played from March 1st onward, Calgary is 0-3 when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 or more consecutive games. Also, the Flames have lost 9 of their last 12 April games! Anaheim is well-rested here and they have won 12 of 19 when they enter a game with 3 or more days of rest between games. Also, the Ducks have won 13 of their last 20 April games! Grab the home dog in this one. Bet Anaheim money line in late night action Wednesday

ASA NHL PLAY ON Vancouver Canucks money line vs San Jose Sharks, Tuesday at 10:05 PM ET

This is a fantastic home dog spot. Sure the Canucks are eliminated from post-season contention while the Sharks have already clinched a spot but, the fact remains, you would think the opposite was true based on the way these two teams are playing! Vancouver has won 6 of its last 10 games. The Sharks have lost 8 of their last 9 games. Also, San Jose is already locked into a post-season date with the Vegas Golden Knights. Sure San Jose would like to "right the ship" before the post-season begins but they're in the wrong place at the wrong time for that. The Sharks have held the upper hand over the Canucks by a huge margin in recent seasons and this is Vancouver's final home game of the season. In other words, the Canucks badly want this game as they want to finally knock off their division rival nemesis. It has been an overall disappointing campaign for Vancouver but they have been playing better in recent weeks and here they want to end it on a high note by knocking off a playoff-bound division rival. The Canucks are wrapping up a 7-game homestand and have won 11 of 17 this season when they enter a game having played each of their 3 prior games on home ice. Grab the home dog in this one. Bet Vancouver money line in night action Tuesday

ASA NHL PLAY ON Winnipeg Jets money line @ Chicago Blackhawks, Monday at 8:35 PM ET

Here is a classic case of line value that certainly qualifies as too good to pass up. As a result of the Jets losing 3 straight games and being on the road for this one, they are very undervalued in this spot. Here you get an opportunity to take a division leader against a team at the bottom of the same division. Yes, the Jets have lost 3 straight games but tonight they will improve to 3-0 when in that situation this season. You interpreted that correctly...Winnipeg has not lost more than 3 consecutive games this entire season. Though the Blackhawks have been on the cusp of a playoff spot, they have shot themselves in the foot by losing 5 of their last 7. The point is that Chicago is not a very attractive home dog in this spot. The Hawks have been pressing and it is showing. The playoff pressure has gotten to the Blackhawks while, on the flip side, Winnipeg had a very strong season last year and it use to this situation and they are currently still in position to finish with the top point total in the division. The Jets have won each of the last 4 meetings with Chicago. That means the Blackhawks have revenge but Chicago has lost 16 of 22 when playing with home loss revenge! Also, the past two seasons the Hawks have lost 10 of 11 April games. Winnipeg has won 10 of 15 this season when off a game in which they were held to one goal. The Jets also have won 13 of their last 15 April games. Bet Winnipeg money line in evening action Monday

ASA NHL PLAY ON OVER: Anaheim Ducks @ Edmonton Oilers, Saturday at 10:05 PM ET - The Ducks are off an embarrassing 6-1 loss last night at Calgary.. Prior to managing just 1 goal in the defeat, Anaheim had scored 3 or more goals in 9 of their 12 prior games. The Ducks are 4-0 to the over in their last 4 games. The Oilers are off a hard-fought 3-2 loss to Dallas on Thursday. Prior to that defeat, Edmonton was 4-1 to the over in their 5 previous games. The Oilers had allowed 4 or more goals in 5 of their 7 prior games. Edmonton had scored 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 8 games. You can see why we're expecting each hockey club to get to at least 3 goals in this one and that sets this up for no less than a 4-3 final and the total is set at just 5.5 goals in this one. Helping the cause is the fact that both teams are out of the post-season picture and that means less defensive intensity as they look to wrap up the season simply playing for pride. That is the reason you're seeing each of these clubs trend toward the over in recent games and per our math model, that over trending continues here. Bet the OVER in Edmonton in night action Saturday.

ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Dallas Money Line (+) over Calgary, Wednesday at 9:35 PM ET - This is a big game with playoff implications for both hockey clubs. That is why there is great value here with the Stars as a sizable underdog in this spot. The Flames have had only one strong game offensively in their last 8 games against Western Conference foes. Other than a big win against the Golden Knights, the other 7 games have seen Calgary produce a dismal average of just 1.3 goals per game! The Flames are off a home shutout Monday and, speaking of being shut out, Calgary's power play is on an 0 for 17 run in their last 7 games! At the other end of the spectrum, the Stars power play has been hot in road games! Away from home, Dallas is now 4 for 9 with the man advantage in their last 4 games! The Stars also have certainly had the Flames number in recent meetings as they've won 5 straight meetings with Calgary! Per our computer math model this one will be an upset with the road dog special teams holding the edge in this one helping to lead the way. Bet DALLAS

ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON OVER: Vegas at St Louis, Monday at 8:05 PM ET

Marc-Andre Fleury might be back with the Golden Knights for tonight's game. However, couple of key factors even if the Vegas goaltender does return tonight. He has been out with a lower-body injury plus his wife just gave birth to their third child on Friday. Not only are there injury and distraction issues for Fleury, he has lost his last two starts against St Louis as the Blues have gotten to him for 9 goals in those two games! Additionally the veteran netminder could be a little rusty if he gets the call as tonight would be his first start since March 15th. If Malcolm Subban gets the start, he is 2-7 with a 3.47 GAA in his road starts this season. You can see why the Blues should score well here. St Louis has won 4 of its last 5 games and scored an average of 4.8 goals per game with the over going 4-0-1 in those contests. The Golden Knights are off a disappointing home loss to the lowly Red Wings. Vegas managed just two goals in that game. The 4 most recent times that Vegas was off a game in which they've been held to two goals, their next game has gone over all 4 times! 1 of those games totaled 8 goals and the other 3 each totaled 9 goals! With this total at a 5.5 we've got great line value here considering the situation. We expect plenty of goals tonight based on our computer math model. Bet OVER

ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Minnesota Money Line (+) over Carolina, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a big game with playoff implications for both hockey clubs. That is why there is great value here with the Wild as a big underdog in this spot. Riding the momentum of their win over the Capitals yesterday, look for Minnesota to get another one here. The Wild have scored 10 goals in their last two meetings with Carolina. The Hurricanes have allowed 4.5 goals per game in their last 4 homes games and the Canes have split in those games. Carolina is 0 for 11 on the power play in their last 5 home games. The Wild are 5 for 14 on the power play in their last 5 games. Per our computer math model this one will be an upset with the road dog special teams holding the edge in this one helping to lead the way. Bet MINNESOTA

ASA 9* PLAY ON OVER: Columbus at Edmonton, Thursday at 9:05 PM ET

Blue Jackets are off a 4-2 loss at Calgary Tuesday. Columbus is 46-30 to the over when off a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals. Also, the Blue Jackets are 13-8-1 to the over when they are off a loss by a multiple goal margin. The Oilers enter this game off a 7-2 loss at St Louis. Edmonton has now allowed 6 or more goals in 3 of its last 4 games! The Oilers are 22-13 to the over this season in games against teams with a winning record. The Blue Jackets are seeking revenge for a 4-0 home loss to Edmonton earlier this season. Getting shutout in that match-up was certainly unusual for Columbus as the two meetings last season each totaled at least 9 goals! We expect a similar result tonight based on our computer math model. Bet OVER

ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON Calgary over Columbus, Sunday at 9:05 PM ET

The Flames are offering great value on home ice. Calgary enters this game having won 12 of their last 15 games on home ice. While the Flames have been particularly hot on home ice, the Blue Jackets have lost 3 straight on enemy ice. Perhaps even more concerning about all the losing away from home is the fact that Columbus totaled only 1 goal in those 3 road games! Going further back, the Jackets have scored a total of only 8 goals in their last 6 road games. Columbus has lost 14 of its last 26 games overall and is feeling the pressure of possibly missing the post-season. Conversely, Calgary is currently in the top spot in the Pacific Division and actually got some help when Vegas won at San Jose last night. The Flames are coming off a loss at Winnipeg but entered that game having won 10 of its last 14 games. Calgary has won 23 of 36 (including 8 of 12 this season) when playing with 2 days of rest between games. The Blue Jackets have lost 8 of their last 12 games against teams that are currently in playoff position and the Flames are one of the top teams in the league. Bet CALGARY

ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia over Pittsburgh, Sunday at 7:35 PM ET

The Flyers are off back to back losses but previously had won 19 of their last 26 games. Philadelphia hasn't endured a losing streak of more than two games since early January. In other words, look for Philly to bounce back big here as an underdog at the Penguins on Sunday evening. The Pens are off a loss and that was their 14th loss in their last 28 games. That said, Pittsburgh has truly just been treading water the past two months and they are over-priced as a sizable favorite in this spot. The Penguins lost at Philly in their most recent meeting 3 weeks ago. Can the Flyers get another upset win here? The road trend in this series certainly points toward it as, prior to the meeting in Philadelphia, the road team had won 7 straight in this PA Rivalry! The Penguins are 22-22 (-$3,500) in back to back games. The Flyers are 17-10 (+$9,400) in Sunday games! Bet PHILADELPHIA

ASA 9* PLAY ON New York Rangers over Vancouver, Wednesday at 10:05 PM ET

The Rangers swept the Canucks last season and are looking to do the same this season with another win tonight. Vancouver has lost 8 of its last 10 games. The Rangers have also been struggling but we like the underdog value they offer here. New York has allowed an average of only 2.4 goals per game their last 5 games. The Canucks have lost 5 of their last 6 games and allowed an average of 4 goals per game in those 5 defeats. The point is that the Rangers have been the better team (in comparison with Vancouver) in terms of play in their own zone. When off a divisional game the Canucks have lost 18 of 24 games. Also, Vancouver has lost 10 of their last 15 games against teams with a losing record. The Rangers are a more respectable 5-5 in their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Also, New York has won 4 of its last 5 when off a non-conference game. Bet the NEW YORK RANGERS tonight

ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Detroit Puck Line (+1.5 goals) over Montreal, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET - The Red Wings didn't just lose to the Canadiens two weeks ago, they were thoroughly embarrassed on home ice in an ugly 8-1 loss. Now it is payback time. While Montreal needs to win (playoff implications), Detroit would love to get revenge here and play the spoiler role. The beauty of this value situation is that the Habs are such a big favorite that we can take the Red Wings on the puck line at +1.5 goals and lay very little juice. Of course this means that even if Detroit falls short in a tight one-goal loss here, that loss still translates to a win for our betting ticket. The Red Wings are not going to go down without a fight here after what happened in Detroit two weeks ago. Also, that was one of just 3 wins that the Canadiens have in their last 8 games. The fact is that Montreal has been feeling the playoff pressure and they've actually lost 9 of their last 14 games. Even though Detroit is an ugly 3-10 in their last 13 games, 5 of those losses came by just a single goal. That said, at +1.5 goals, the Red Wings are 8-5 their last 13 games. Going further back, Detroit is 9-18 their last 27 games but 9 of the 18 losses have come by a single goal. That means an 18-9 record for Detroit at +1.5 goals. With all the pressure on Montreal here and the Red Wings playing loose and with revenge, this one goes down to the wire! Grabbing the 1.5 goals (and very little juice - 120 range) with Detroit is the value play here.

ASA NHL 10* TOP PLAY ON Philadelphia Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa, Monday at 7:05 PM ET - The Flyers are -270 favorites on the money line. Of course, we're not going there! However, there is great value with Philadelphia by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line. That line is a available at even money and there is plenty of solid support for the expectation of this game being a Flyers win by two or more goals. The Senators have lost 10 of their last 11 games. The average margin of defeat for Ottawa in those 10 games was 2.4 goals. The Flyers have won 9 of their last 11 games against teams with a losing record. Each of Philadelphia's last 4 victories have come by a margin of 3 goals. The Sens went into "fire sale" mode at the trade deadline and their recent level of play reflects that. Conversely the Flyers are fighting hard and very much alive in the playoff race. Philly has won 2 of its last 3 meetings with the Senators and both of those victories came by a margin of 2 more goals. Laying the 1.5 goals (and no juice) with Philadelphia is the value play here.

ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON OVER: Minnesota at Tampa Bay,Thursday at 7:35 PM ET

The Lightning are the best team in the NHL and their 12-1 run their last 13 games shows just how dangerous they can be in the offensive zone. Tampa Bay has scored an average of 4.3 goals per game during their 12-1 hot streak. . The Bolts are hosting the Wild early Thursday evening and Minnesota is enjoying a recent resurgence. The Wild are on a 7-game points streak (5-0-2) as they have not lost a game in regulation in any of their last 7 games. Of course that streak is expected to come to an end here at Tampa Bay but certainly not without a fight. Minnesota has scored an average of 3.6 goals per game in their last 5 road games. Going further back, the Wild have scored 3 or more goals in 9 of their last 11 road games. Of course if each team gets to 3 goals here we have ourselves a winner as this total is set at 6 goals and would have to then land on at least 7. Minnesota has been struggling on the penalty kill and has allowed 11 power play goals in their last 11 games. The over is 12-7 this season when the Wild are off a division game. The over is 16-8 this season when the Lightning are off a non-conference game. The last two games between these teams have resulted in an average of 8 goals scored and our computer math model is forecasting the final score in this one to land on 7 or 8 goals. Bet the OVER in Tampa Bay early Thursday evening

ASA 9* PLAY ON OVER: Detroit at Colorado,Tuesday at 9:05 PM ET

The Red Wings have lost 7 straight games as they've given up 4.7 goals per game during this rough stretch. The Avalanche are off a low-scoring loss but previously scored an average of 4.3 goals per game their 6 prior games. Colorado should certainly score well tonight as you can see. The Avalanche have allowed 6 power play goals in their last 7 games. The Avs have also scored 7 power play goals in these 7 games. Certainly looks like a great match-up for special teams to contribute some goals in this one as well. The Avalanche have averaged 40 shots on goal in their last 5 home games. The Red Wings have allowed 37.5 shots on goal per game their last 4 games. You can see why we're expecting plenty of end to end action in this one with plenty of scoring opportunities. Detroit is 12-6 to the over when playing with home loss revenge this season and the over is also 12-6 when the Red Wings enter a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. The over is 8-3 this season when the Avalanche are off a game in which they were held to 1 goal or less. Great situational edges in this one. Bet the OVER in Colorado Tuesday evening

ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON St Louis over Carolina, Friday at 7:35 PM ET

The Blues are getting healthier. Though David Perron is still out, Alexander Steen is expected back. Also, it is likely Brayden Schenn returns too as he was at practice Wednesday plus Sammy Blais was returned to San Antonio, the AHL affiliate of the Blues. While St Louis appears to be in better shape heading into tonight's game, plus getting fantastic goaltending from Jordan Binnington and Jake Allen, the Hurricanes are really hurting on their blue line. Carolina recalled defensemen Jake Bean and Haydn Fleury from their AHL affiliate because both Calvin de Hann and Justin Faulk were lost to injuries on Tuesday night. The last thing teams want at this time of year is inexperience on the blue line but that is what the Canes are now dealing with in terms of their depth. Carolina has been hot but St Louis has been even hotter. Combining that factor with the better health and better goaltending of the Blues plus the line value since they are on the road, and you have a strong spot for backing St Louis here. The Blues have only 10 regulation losses on the road this season. No team in the Western Conference has fewer regulation road losses. Adding to the value here is the fact that not only has St Louis won 4 straight in this series, they've also won each of their last 4 visits to Carolina! Those streaks each reach 5-0 tonight per our computer math modeling. Bet ST LOUIS tonight

ASA 9* PLAY ON OVER: Edmonton at Ottawa,Thursday at 7:35 PM ET

The Oilers are in a tough back to back spot here and both goalies (Koskinen and Stolarz) were involved in last night's ugly loss at Toronto. Not only does that mean each goalie would be in a back to back (and one of them will have to play here), it also means that Edmonton has a weakness between the pipes. Koskinen has been struggling and Stolarz was just recently acquired from the Flyers. He had a few bright spots for Philadelphia but his overall numbers tell the full story. That being said, the Senators should score their fair share of goals in this one. The issue for Ottawa, however, is that they are one of the worst teams in the league in terms of shots allowed per game. Connor McDavid and the Oilers have enough potency on offense that they should bounce back here against a Senators team that is one of the worst hockey clubs in the league. The over is 11-6 this season in Edmonton's road games with a total set at 6 or more goals. The over is 23-15 in Ottawa's home games with a total set at 6 or more goals. Also, the over is 14-9-2 in Senators non-conference games this season. Bet the OVER in Ottawa early Thursday evening.

ASA 9* PLAY ON OVER: Tampa Bay at NY Rangers, Wednesday at 7:35 PM ET

The Lightning have won 9 straight games and have averaged scoring 4.6 goals per game during this red hot run. The Rangers, playing without any playoff pressure as they were sellers and not buyers at the trade deadline, are actually a dangerous dog in a spot like this. New York is playing loose and relaxed. That is part of the reason the Rangers have scored 5 or more goals in 4 of their last 6 games. You're not going to see many defensive, low-scoring grinders involving the Rangers the rest of the way this season. The Bolts are so talented and, by far, the best team in the league this season and should have no trouble dismantling the rather weak defense corps of the Rangers. However, don't be surprised if the Rangers continue their recent scoring resurgence and that should turn this game into a very entertaining high-scoring battle. The over is 5-2 in New York's last 7 games. The over is 17-9 this season when the Rangers are off a game in which they allowed 4 or more goals. The Lightning are 15-8 to the over this season when off a non-conference game. Bet the OVER in NY Rangers early Wednesday evening.

ASA 10* TOP PLAY ON OVER: Montreal at Detroit, Tuesday at 7:35 PM ET

The Canadiens are expected to have Jonathan Drouin back in the lineup tonight. Either way, this is a great spot to expect plenty from Montreal in the offensive zone. The Canadiens are off a tough 2-1 loss at Florida last night as they did manage 35 shots on goal. In fact Montreal has now totaled 110 shots on goal in their last 3 games. That is an average of 37 shots per game and, prior to the low-scoring loss to the Panthers, the Canadiens had scored 3 or more goals in 4 straight games. We are expecting each team to get at least 3 goals tonight and, of course, that would guarantee at least a 4-3 final at worst. Though we expect the Canadiens to score well in this one there are issues likely for them between the pipes. That is because their #1 goalie, Carey Price, was between in the crease last night. That means either Price has to go in the 2nd night of a back to back (which is not easy and rarely occurs) or Antti Niemi will be getting the call. The over is a fantastic 11-4-1 in Niemi's 16 starts this season! He has particularly struggled on the road where he has an .878 save percentage. He is likely to be opposed by the Red Wings Jimmy Howard tonight but he has been dealing with an illness. When Howard has played recently he has struggled. He has a poor .860 save percentage in his last 4 games (3 starts). If Jonathan Bernier gets the call in between the pipes the Detroit netminder has a rough .868 save percentage in his 5 divisional games (4 starts) this season. The over is 3-1 in those 4 starts. The Red Wings have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of their past 7 games. There have been no unders (3-0 and one push) the last 4 times the Canadiens have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Red Wings have a number of trends supporting this play as well. Detroit's over is 11-6-1 when revenging a home loss, 12-6-1 when off a defeat by a multiple goal margin in their prior game, and 11-5-1 this season when entering a game on a losing streak of 3 or more games. Bet the OVER in Detroit early Tuesday evening.

ASA 9* PLAY ON Florida over Colorado, Monday at 9:05 PM ET

The Panthers were swept by the Avalanche last season. In their first of 2 meetings this season, Colorado also beat them again at Florida. This is a triple revenge spot for the Panthers and the situation is set up perfectly. The Avalanche are off a huge win at Nashville in their most recent game. That sets this one up as a flat spot for the Avs while there is no shortage of motivation for a Florida team beginning a 3-game Western road trip that is critical to their playoff chances. Of course Colorado is fighting for a playoff spot too. However, the Avalanche are off that huge divisional shutout win and actually have lost 6 of their last 8 home games. The Panthers enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. Florida has won 23 of last 35 February games. Colorado has lost 17 of 26 games this season when off a game in which they scored 4 or more goals. Grab the underdog value here. Bet FLORIDA tonight

ASA NHL 9* PLAY ON Calgary Puck Line (-1.5 goals) over Ottawa, Sunday at 7:05 PM ET - The Flames are -250 favorites on the money line. Of course, we're not going there! However, there is great value with Calgary by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line. That line is a available at a pick'em price and there is plenty of solid support for the expectation of this game being a Flames win by two or more goals. The Flames did win at Ottawa last season but they are also still seeking a measure of revenge for a 6-0 home loss to Ottawa last season. That defeat was one of the worst home ice defeats for Calgary in recent memory. Right now the Flames are surging and have won 4 straight games while the Senators have lost 3 straight games! Not only has Ottawa allowed an average of 5 goals per game in their last 3 games, they've lost their last two games by a combined score of 7-0. If you expect the Flames to win this game (as you well should as a -250 favorite) you can also reasonably expect them to win by a multiple goal margin. A solid 24 of Calgary's 38 wins this season have come by a margin of 2 or more goals. As for the slumping Senators - playing out the string on another disappointing season - 25 of their last 38 losses have come by a multiple goal margin. This revenge game has road rout written all over it. By the way, the Flames are 10-2 in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. It is payback time here. Laying the 1.5 goals for a small price with Calgary is the value play here.

ASA 9* PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers over Pittsburgh Penguins, Saturday at 8:05 PM ET

Hopefully the rain showers will stay away (yes this is an outdoor game played at The Linc in Philly). We like the Flyers as a home dog here. Will be a crazy atmosphere as there is no one player (Sidney Crosby) or team (Penguins) that the Philly fans would rather jeer. There is real hatred in this rivalry and the Flyers "owe one" to the Pens for sure. Philadelphia has playoff revenge from April and the Flyers did win the first match-up (4-2) this season at Pittsburgh. However, earlier this month the Flyers lost at home despite a 51 to 28 edge in shots on goal! Now, in Saturday's Stadium Series outdoor game, it is payback time for the home dog. The Penguins have lost 6 of their last 9 games. The Flyers are off back to back losses but had previously won 12 of 14 games. Pittsburgh has lost 11 of 17 Saturday games this season. Bet PHILADELPHIA tonight

ASA 9* PLAY ON Colorado Avalanche over Chicago Blackhawks, Friday at 7:35 PM ET

Colorado has won 3 of its last 4 games and allowed a total of only 5 goals in these 4 games. While Chicago has also been hot long-term, they have cooled off some recently. Not only are the Blackhawks a modest 3-2 in their last 5 games, they have allowed an average of 4.8 goals per game in their past 5 games. Defense and goaltending are key factors this time of year in the NHL as teams make their push for a playoff spot. That said, this is a huge edge for the Avalanche in this match-up. Colorado has allowed the same amount of goals TOTAL in their last 4 games that Chicago has allowed AVERAGE in their last 5 games. That is a massive difference right there and as far as home ice being a factor here, the home edge has not been a big edge in recent meetings. The Blackhawks have won each of their last two visits to Colorado and the Avalanche won their most recent visit to Chicago. We are forecasting the recent road dominance in this series to continue tonight. The Blackhawks have lost 21 of 33 this season when off a game where they allowed 4 or more goals. Bet COLORADO tonight

ASA 9* PLAY ON Minnesota over New York Rangers, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET

The Wild have been struggling and actually needed a change of venue. When you have lost 4 straight on home ice, as a team, you look forward to getting on the road and hitting the "reset button" and that is precisely what Minnesota. The Wild are still very much alive in the playoff race in the Western Conference and, on Thursday, they'll take advantage of facing one of the weakest teams in the league. Prior to the 4-0 home loss to Anaheim, Minnesota had been 7-2 this season when they entered a game on a losing streak of 2 or more games where the most recent defeat came by a multiple goal margin. Now after losing in that situation to the Ducks, the Wild will improve on that 7-3 mark on the season by getting back on track at New York, The Rangers, since their very first game after the All Star break, have gone 0-5 when off a win. After knocking off the Hurricanes at Carolina on Tuesday, look for the Rangers to now drop their 6th straight when in this situation. Bet MINNESOTA tonight