Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 3 between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors.  The Warriors blew out LA in Game 2, 127-100, and leveled the series at 1 game apiece.  After giving up 127 points, we'll look for a much better defensive effort by the Lakers today, and for this game to go UNDER the total.  Indeed, teams off playoff losses in which they gave up 120+ points have gone 21-8 UNDER in their next game when the O/U line was 218+ points.  And the Lakers are 22-8 UNDER off a double-digit road playoff loss when the O/U line was 193+ points (and 7-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 208+ points).  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers to go UNDER the total.  Boston has played its last five games over the total.  But we'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as Boston has gone UNDER 19-10 in the Playoffs off a home loss.  Meanwhile, Philly is 93-53 UNDER the total when playing a foe off 5+ overs.  And the Sixers have also gone UNDER in 15 of their last 21 playoff games, including 6-0 UNDER when the O/U line has been 216+ points.  Take the UNDER.  As always, good luck, Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the game between Sacramento and Golden State.  Game 6 went comfortably under the total, as only 217 points were scored in Sacramento's 118-99 triumph.  We'll look for another low-scoring game at Golden 1 Center, as the Warriors have gone UNDER in 9 of their last 12 games when facing elimination, including 5-0 UNDER when not favored by more than 2 points.  And Golden State has also gone UNDER 31-9-1 in their last 41 Playoff games after a loss in which they failed to score 110 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Memphis Grizzlies/Los Angeles Lakers game.  Three of the last four games in this series have gone UNDER the total.  And the only game which did not -- Game 4 -- only went Over because of an Overtime session (the game was tied at 104 at the end of regulation).  Thus, the last four games produced 196, 212, 208, and 215 in regulation (an average of 207.75).  We'll look for yet another relatively low-scoring game tonight.  This Grizzlies/Lakers series has now seen 18 of the last 23 go Under the total, including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 224.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat Under the total.  The Bucks have their proverbial backs against the wall in this Game 5, as they will be eliminated with a loss.  We'll look for this game to go Under the total, as Milwaukee has gone UNDER in 11 straight home games when facing elimination in the Playoffs.  Additionally, NBA Playoff series have gone Under 60% since 1990 if the road team won the Series' previous two games, and scored more than 116 in each of those two wins.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Under in the New York Knicks/Cleveland Cavaliers game.  As my mother used to say, 'If it ain't broke, don't fix it.'  And that maxim could apply to the Over/Unders in this series.  We played on the Unders in Games 3 + 4, and easily won as those two games went under the total by 33 and 8 points, respectively.  And Games 1 + 2 also went under the total -- each by 17.5 points.  We'll ride the under once again, as the Cavaliers have now gone under in 6 straight games, and are 47-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 24-12 their last 36 meetings vs. New York, and in their last eight playoff games, overall. Additionally, the Knicks have gone Under 26-9 when leading in a playoff series.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies to go UNDER the total.  Game 3 totaled just 212 points, and went under the total of 221.5.  And that's continued a playoff trend, as LeBron James & the Lakers have gone under 20-12 in the Playoffs since he donned the purple-and-gold. Likewise, Memphis is 9-5 under its last 14 playoff games.  Additionally, these two teams tend to play relatively low-scoring games, as 17 of the last 21 meetings have gone UNDER the total (including 12-1 Under when the O/U line was less than 225 points).  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game between these two teams.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total.  The Milwaukee Bucks are the #1 overall seed in the Playoffs, but find themselves down 2-games-to-1 entering this critical Game 4.  Needless to say, a victory is of paramount importance to Milwaukee, as it surely doesn't want to fall behind by two games.  After giving up 121 points in Game 3, I expect a MUCH BETTER defensive effort by the Bucks here, in Game 4.  Indeed, road favorites off upset playoff losses have gone under 61% since 1990.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Sacramento game.  After Game 1 went Over the total by 11.5 points, Games 2 + 3 have reversed course, and have gone significantly UNDER.  Game 2 totaled 220 points, and fell under by 18.5, while Game 3 was even LOWER scoring, as only 211 points were scored, sending it Under by a staggering 30 points.  The oddsmakers have made an adjustment for this Game 4, but not by nearly enough points.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Sunday, as Playoff games have gone under 68.8% since 1992 when the O/U line was greater than 229 points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers to go UNDER the total.  We played on the Under in Game 3, and it easily sailed under the total, in a 99-79 New York win.  And that game was the lowest-scoring Playoff game so far this post-season.  It went under the total of 211 by 33 points, and that followed the first two games of this series that each went under by 17.5 points.  The oddsmakers have adjusted the number downward for this Game 4, but it's by not enough points, as the value still resides squarely on the Under.  The Cavaliers have now gone under in 5 straight games, and are 46-38-1 Under for the season. And they've gone under 23-12 their last 35 meetings vs. New York, and in their last seven playoff games, overall.  Even better, Cleveland has gone 30-11 Under the total following a game which totaled less than 192 points, while the Knicks have gone Under 25-9 when leading in a playoff series.  This will be a low-scoring game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat to go UNDER the total.  The first two games of this series were very high-scoring.  Game 1, won by Miami, totaled 247 points, while Game 2 was taken easily by Milwaukee, 138-122.  Still, the Bucks have tended to play Unders in the Playoffs, as they had gone 11-2 Under their 13 previous Playoff games entering this post-season.  Likewise, Miami had gone Under 14-6 in its 20 previous Playoff games prior to this series.  I look for Saturday's game to be relatively low-scoring, as the Under falls into 106-62-9 and 94-55 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Heat are 6-1 Under their last 7 as a home dog, while Milwaukee is 9-1-1 Under as a road favorite when the O/U line was 227 or less.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Cleveland Cavaliers/New York Knicks game.  Games 1 + 2 have been extremely low-scoring.  Game 1 went to the Knicks by the score of 101-97, while Game 2 was won by Cleveland, 107-90.  The Over/Under lines were 215.5 and 214.5, so each game went under the total by a whopping 17.5 points.  The Cavaliers have now gone under in 4 straight games, and are 45-38-1 Under for the season.  And they've gone under 22-12 their last 34 meetings vs. New York, and in their last six playoff games, overall.  We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Friday.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut/Miami game Under the total.  After shooting just 30.4% in its opening round win (63-56) vs. Drake, Miami has shot the lights out in its last three games.  Miami scored 85 in its 2nd round win vs. Indiana, 89 in its Sweet 16 round victory over Houston, and 88 in its Elite Eight triumph over Texas.  The Hurricanes were a combined 94-of-179 (52.5%) from the floor in those three games.  Those numbers were well above Miami's season averages of 79.6 ppg and 48.5% FG shooting.  Indeed, in ACC Conference play this season, the Hurricanes shot 50% (or better) in less than half of their games.  And I expect their red-hot shooting to come down in this semi-final match-up vs. UConn, as the Huskies have allowed just 34.9 percent shooting (81-for-232) in their four NCAA Tournament wins.  Connecticut is 42-24 Under away from home vs. teams that convert 48% (or better) of their field goals.  And it's also gone Under 59.3% vs. foes that scored 85+ in their previous game, and 62% vs. foes that average more than 79 points per game.  This will be a relatively-low scoring game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Creighton/San Diego State game.  Dating back to head coach Brian Dutcher's first season, San Diego State has gone 17-4 under its last 21 post-season games.  Likewise, Greg McDermott's Bluejays have gone 20-9 under their last 29 post-season games.  We'll look for this Elite 8 game to go UNDER the total, as the Aztecs have now played 13 of their last 14 games under the total, including 11-0 under since February 15.  Additionally, the quarterfinal rounds of the NCAA/NIT Tournaments have gone under 33-19 their last 52.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the UCLA/Northwestern game.  The Bruins put up 86 points in their first game in this tournament, while Northwestern tallied 75.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here (or at least one which topped this relatively-low total).  But I think we're in for a much lower-scoring game than each of these teams played on Friday.  Looking back at Northwestern's season, we see that it played 9 of 10 games under the total to end its regular season, before going over the total in its two post-season games (vs. Penn St and Boise St).  But the Wildcats have gone UNDER the total 61.1% off back-to-back overs.  And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 60.5% and 62.7% since 2016.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Grand Canyon/Gonzaga game.  After playing eight straight "OVERS" to end its regular season, the Bulldogs went UNDER the total in their two West Coast Conference tournament games.  And they've also gone UNDER in 10 of 13 NCAA Tournament games when the OU line was greater than 148.  We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game tonight, as the UNDER falls into 32-11 and 66-44 Totals systems of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Virginia/Furman game.  Something's gotta give this afternoon, as the Paladins prefer an up-tempo game, and average 82 ppg, while Virginia likes things slower-paced, and gives up just 60.2 ppg.  I expect the Cavaliers to exert their will, as they've gone UNDER the total 35-18 when facing a team which scores 80.75 ppg.  And they've also gone UNDER 42-24 when their opponent's games averaged 148+ points.  Meanwhile, the Paladins have gone 12-2 UNDER when playing a team which gives up less than 67 ppg.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Sam Houston St/Santa Clara game.  The Bearkats come into tonight's game off a 78-75 loss to Grand Canyon, which went over the total by 26.5 points.  But prior to that high-scoring game, the Bearkats went UNDER in seven straight.  Tonight, they've been installed as a home underdog for the first time all season.  But they were home dogs 6 times in the previous two seasons, and went under in each of those 6 games.  Take the UNDER.

At 6:30 pm, on February 12, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Chiefs were the #1 offensive team in the league this past season, as they scored 29.1 ppg.  The Eagles finished #3, with an average of 28.05 ppg.  But the Chiefs failed to reach 28 points in either of their two playoff games, and both went under the total.  Indeed, the Chiefs have now gone under the total in each of their last three games by 5.5, 5.0 and 8.0 points.  But off those three games, we'll look for a much higher scoring game on Super Bowl Sunday, as Andy Reid-coached teams have gone Over the total 63% off 3+ Unders.  Additionally, NFL games with Over/Under lines of 50+ points have gone OVER the total 84.2% since 1980 if a team averaged at least 23 ppg on offense, and each of its three previous games went UNDER the total by more than 4 points.  And, finally, NFL match-ups between two exceptional offensive teams with scoring averages at 27.0 ppg (or better) have gone OVER the total 75.8% since 2003 if neither team went OVER the total in its previous game.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take Super Bowl 57 OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals to go OVER the total.  These two AFC powerhouses met three times in 2022.  The Bengals won all three meetings by a field goal.  And all three games went for a total score NORTH of 50 points, as they totaled 65, 51 and 51 points.  The Over/Under line for this AFC Championship game is south of 50 points.  And the Chiefs have gone OVER in 9 of 11 games when the O/U line was 50 points or less.  We'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Sunday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Philadelphia/San Francisco game.  NFC Championship games have largely been high-scoring affairs.  Indeed, the last 31 NFC Title games have gone OVER 21-8-2.  It's true that the 49ers only scored 19 points last week, and their game went Under the total.  But they've still gone OVER in 9 of 13 games since trading for Christian McCaffrey.  And they're 5-0 OVER since October 9 following a game which went Under.  Additionally, the Eagles are 14-4 OVER when matched up against .700 (or better) foes when the O/U line was 48 or less.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Dallas Cowboys/San Francisco 49ers game.  Since trading for Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense has received a major lift.  Prior to the trade, the Niners averaged 20.33 ppg, and SF went Under in five of its six games.  But following the trade, the 49ers' offense has averaged 30.75 ppg, and nine of the 12 games have gone Over the total.   Likewise, since QB Dak Prescott returned from injury, the Cowboys have averaged 32.33 ppg on offense, and seven of their 12 games have gone Over the total.  Last week, both the Cowboys and 49ers had high-scoring offensive performances in the Wild Card round.  Dallas defeated Tampa 31-14, while San Francisco bested Seattle, 41-23.  Since 1980, NFL Playoff games have gone OVER the total 63% if each team scored more than 30 points its previous game, and the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  And, finally, the 49ers have gone OVER 10-1-1 when priced as a favorite of -3.5 to -6 points, including 7-0 OVER at home.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals to go OVER the total.  When these two teams met in Cincinnati 20 days ago, the O/U line was 50.5.  And when the game was stopped in the first quarter, the in-game O/U line was 56.5.  Now, for this playoff game, the O/U line has been installed at a number less than the regular season meeting.  By my math, the value rests with the Over in this game.  Additionally, Bills have scored 32, 35, 35 and 34 points in their last four games, all of which went Over the total.  And the Bills have gone OVER in 11 of 14 home playoff games since 1980.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Dallas Cowboys to go OVER the total.  These playoff games have all gone over the total thus far, and we'll look for the Bucs and Cowboys to make it a perfect 6-0 SWEEP for the Overs in the Wild Card round.  The Cowboys have played five of their last six (and seven of their last nine) OVER the total, while the Bucs have gone OVER in four of their last five.  And the OVER also falls into a 77-45 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  We played on the Over last week in the Bengals/Ravens game, and got the $$$ with Cincy's 27-16 win.  And we'll come right back with the Over in this Playoff game rematch.  Indeed, there have been 15 playoff games since 1980 where the teams also met in the final regular season game, and 12 of those 15 playoff games went Over the total.  Even better, the Bengals have gone Over the total 9 straight division games when the O/U line was between 38 and 44 points.  Take the Ravens/Bengals Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings Under the total.  The New York Giants went under the total in 10 of their 17 games this season, and have gone under 106-79-1 their last 186 games.  Even better:  when priced as an underdog of less than 4 points (or PK), New York has gone under 32-13-1, including 10-0 under its last 10.  And, finally, the Giants have also gone under in nine of their last 12 playoff games.  Likewise, Minnesota has gone under the total in nine of their last 12 playoff games.  This will be a low-scoring game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total.  The Jaguars come into this game off 3 straight Unders, and they also won each of those games SU.  But off that string of low-scoring victories, we'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Saturday, as NFL teams off 3 straight wins, and 3 straight unders have proceeded to go OVER the total 69.2% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Chargers flew over the total in their previous game by 20 points, as they lost 31-28 to Denver, when the O/U line was just 39.  That also bodes well for the Over, as teams off high-scoring games that went over the total by 20+ points have also gone Over in their next game in the Playoffs 59% of the time.  The meeting between these teams earlier this season went over the total by 2.5 points, and 11 of the 13 meetings in this series have gone Over.  We'll look for another high-scoring game on Saturday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New York Jets/Miami Dolphins game.  These two teams met in Week 5, and the Jets bombed Miami, 40-17, and went over the total of 46 by 11 points.  The Dolphins will have the same quarterback (Skylar Thompson) they did for that game, while the Jets will be led by Joe Flacco (who started New York's first three games this season) rather than Zach Wilson.  Thompson actually was not the starter in that game, but he took over for an injured-Teddy Bridgewater on Miami's 2nd offensive play.  Thompson was 19 of 33 for 166 yards and an interception in that game.  With Flacco under center, New York's first three games this season averaged 44.3 ppg, and I expect New York's offense to move the ball against a Dolphins' defense which has allowed 33, 23, 32, 26 and 23 points in its last five games.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total.  This is the lowest Over/Under the Bengals have had since last year's final regular season game, when they matched up against the Cleveland Browns.  For my money, the number is too low.  Yes, Baltimore's offense is greatly hampered by the absence of Lamar Jackson.  But there's two sides to every coin, and Cincy's offense is humming right now.  Even last week against a good Buffalo defense, Cincinnati scored a touchdown on its first possession, and was on its way to a touchdown or field goal on its second possession when the game was halted.  The in-game Over/Under line was at 56.5 at the time the game was stopped.  The Bengals have scored an average of 29.28 ppg over their previous seven games, and I believe they'll find the end zone often this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, in the Cotton Bowl, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave and USC Trojans to go Under the total.  The Trojans had a meltdown in the 2nd half of the Pac-12 Championship game, as they allowed 30 points en route to a 47-24 loss.  Utah bullied the Trojans on the ground with 223 yards on 35 rushes, and Utes QB Cam Rising threw for 310 yards on 22-34 passing.  That was the Trojans' worst defensive performance of the season -- in terms of points surrendered -- and I expect that they will tighten things up today on that side of the ball.  Pac-12 teams have gone 19-8 Under their last 27 Bowl games, while American Athletic Conference teams have gone Under in 16 of their last 19 Bowl games.  Take the Cotton Bowl Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers OVER the total.  The Ravens come into this game off 4 straight unders, including a 17-9 win over the Atlanta Falcons last Saturday.  Lamar Jackson will once again be sidelined, so the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for yet another low-scoring game tonight.  And especially because the Steelers + Ravens went Under earlier this season in Baltimore's 16-14 win.  But the Steelers have gone Over the total 60% of their rematches the past 23 seasons if the previous meeting went Under the total.  And the Over also falls into Totals system of mine which is 102-55 since 1980.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Indianapolis/NY Giants game.  Last week, I had my Monday Night Football Total of the Year on the UNDER in the Colts/Chargers game, and was rewarded with a 20-3 Chargers victory.  The Colts managed just 69 rushing yards and 104 passing yards for the entire game.  I don’t see much more scoring here, as the Giants generally play Unders.  New York is 36-16 Under at home, including 18-5 Under when the line was less then 44 points.  And it's also 12-0 Under at home off a straight up loss.  Meanwhile, the Colts have gone 8-3 Under their last 11 on the road, and 31-18 Under off a loss.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Iowa/Kentucky game.  This is the lowest OU line over the past 10 years in a game matching two FBS schools -- in part, due to the fact that each team will be playing without their starting quarterbacks.  Iowa will turn to 3rd string QB, Joe Labas, while Kentucky will have Destin Wade under center.  Still, by my math, the line is too low, and confers value on the OVER.  For technical support, consider that 63% of Big 10/SEC Conference matchups have gone OVER the total the past 10 seasons when the line was less than 60 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Notre Dame/South Carolina game.  This Gator Bowl game will be played in Jacksonville, FL this afternoon.  Seven of the last nine Gator Bowls have gone Under, and we'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today.  Admittedly, it's true that South Carolina's offense has posted back-to-back high-scoring games, in wins over Tennesse (63-38) and Clemson (31-30).  And both of those games went Over the total.  But post-season games have gone Under 61.4% the past 10 seasons if a team has scored, in the aggregate, 85+ points over its two previous games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Pittsburgh/UCLA game.  Over the last 8 seasons, Pac-12 teams have gone Under the total 69% in Bowl games when the O/U Line was 50+ points, including 4-0 Under already this Bowl season.  And when a Pac-12 team has been favored in a Bowl game, regardless of the OU Line, the bowl game has gone Under 70% of the time, including 6-0 Under the last six.  The Sun Bowl game, in El Paso, has had a long Bowl history.  There has often been issues with weather at this time of year in El Paso, and today will be no different.  Rain is in the forecast early in the morning, but should recede by game time.  However, winds will be around 15 miles per hour, with gusts upwards of 20 miles per hour (wind has the most impact on the passing game).  Five of the last six Sun Bowl games have gone Under the total, and that's the way we'll look for this Pitt/UCLA game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Over in the Maryland/NC State game.  Both of these teams ended the season with high-scoring wins.  Maryland tallied 37 in its win against Rutgers, while NC State scored 30 in its upset victory at North Carolina.  We'll look for both offense to continue to play well on this Friday, as post-season games have gone Over the total 88% the past 10 years if both teams scored 30+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 47 or less points.  Take the Over.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas/Washington game.  The Longhorns come into this game off back to back OVERS, as they defeated Kansas, 55-14, and then bested Baylor, 38-27.  Texas has gone UNDER in 8 straight games (and 31 of 46) following back to back games where 49+ points were scored.  And the UNDER also falls into a system of mine which has won 72.9%.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

>At 2 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Syracuse game.  Both of these teams played Overs to end the regular season, and that's the way we'll look in this Pinstripe Bowl game.  The Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 67.7% since 2013.  And Syracuse has gone OVER the total 83% the past 10 seasons when the line has been less than 50 points.  Take the OVER.

At 5:30 pm, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks and Arkansas Razorbacks UNDER the total.  This Bowl game will match-up the Razorbacks from the SEC vs. the Jayhawks from the Big 12.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game, as Bowl games involving SEC teams are currently riding a 17-5-1 UNDER run, including 9-0 UNDER if our SEC team was priced between +3 to -7 points.  Likewise, Bowl games involving Big 12 teams have gone 21-5 UNDER, if our Big 12 team was installed as an underdog (or PK), including 14-1 UNDER their last 15.  Four of the last five Liberty Bowl games have gone Under the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in the Colts/Chargers game.  The Colts were stunned last week by Minnesota, which roared back from a 33-0 deficit to down the Colts, 39-36.  We'll look for a much lower scoring game on Monday, as Indy has gone Under the total 47-27 at home off a loss in which it gave up 30+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles Rams game. The Broncos opened the season with 11 unders in their first 12 games. And after that start to the season, the oddsmakers continually adjusted the Over/Under lines to get us to the point today where we are at. By my math, the value in Denver's Over/Unders has been on the Over the last two games, and not surprisingly, both went Over the total.  I think there's also value on the Over in this game, as the line is still just too low.  Indeed,it's been 11 seasons since the Rams have seen an Over/Under line this low. And it's tied for the lowest Over/Under line in a Broncos game over the past 11 seasons. Take the Rams & Broncos to go Over the total. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers Over the total.  Since trading for Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense has scored 23, 31, 22, 38, 13, 33, 35 and 21 points, for an average of 27 points per game.  Before getting McCaffrey, the Niners' offense averaged 20.33 ppg.    Not surprisingly, five of San Francisco's first six games went under the total, but since the trade, it has gone OVER the total in five of eight games.  I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take Washington & San Francisco Over the total

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Baltimore/Atlanta game.  The Ravens come into this game off 3 low-scoring contests vs. Denver (10-9), Pittsburgh (16-14) and Cleveland (13-3).  And each went under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, here.  But NFL games have gone OVER the total 58% over the past 43 seasons if a team didn't score 17+ points in any of its three previous games, and those 3 games went Under the total, and totaled, in the aggregate, 80 or less points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Louisiana Lafayette game.  This Independence Bowl match-up will pit 9-3 Houston (from the American Athletic Conference) vs. 6-6 Louisiana (from the Sun Belt).  When the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite, their games have generally been high-scoring, and have gone 11-3-1 ATS Over the total, including 4-0-1 Over their last 5.  BUT when Houston's been installed as a favorite of LESS than 10 points, they've gone Under 30-11 their last 41.  Here, of course, Houston is a single-digit favorite, which bodes well for the Under.  As does the fact that Louisiana is 28-16-1 Under its last 45, including 9-2 Under as an underdog of less than 13 points.  Finally, American Athletic Conference teams have played 7 straight Unders in Bowl games since 2021; are 8-0 Under their last 8 as a favorite in the Bowls; and have gone 13-2 Under their last 15 Bowl games, overall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Marshall game.  Both of these teams had mid-season stretches where they played a streak of Unders.  UConn went under the total 5 straight games starting on October 1, while Marshall went under in 6 straight games starting on September 24.  But both teams ended the season with high-scoring games that went over the total.  Marshall's season-ending game vs. Georgia St went over the total of 45.5 by 5.5 points, as the Herd lost, 28-23, to the Panthers.  Likewise, Connecticut's season-ending game vs. Army went over the 45-point total by 6 points, as Connecticut lost, 34-17.  And its next-to-last regular season game went over the total of 45 by 24 points, as it upset Liberty, 36-33.  In its last 10 seasons, Marshall has NEVER had a Total this low.  But it's gone Over the total 65% since 2013 when the Over/Under line was less than 48 points.  We'll look for a relatively high scoring game this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Washington/New York Giants game.  The Giants' last four games have averaged 51.75 ppg, and three of the four have gone 'over' the total.  We'll look for another relatively-high scoring game on Sunday night, as the Over falls into a 98-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the Over.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tampa Bay/Cincinnati game.  We played on the Buccaneers to go Over the total last week, in their game against San Francisco, and were rewarded with a 35-7 49ers blowout.  We'll look for this game to go Over the total, as well, as Tom Brady's teams have gone OVER 11 of 14 games after scoring less than 10 points, including 6-0 OVER if they lost that previous game by 17+ points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins to go OVER the total.  Yes, it's the month of December, and wintry weather conditions are afoot.  But the forecast for Saturday night isn't horribly bad.  There's a little bit of snowfall in the forecast, with winds in the 10 mph to 15 mph range, and a temperature of 22 degrees.  I like the Over in this game, as this is a relatively-low total for a Bills game.  Indeed, in the past three seasons only eight Buffalo games have had a lower number than what we currently see for this game.  And the Bills went OVER the total in six of those eight games.  Similarly, the Dolphins have played 30 games over the past two seasons.  Only 7 of those 30 had a lower number than this game, and Miami went Over the total in four of those seven.  Earlier this season, the number posted for the Bills game in Miami was 54; last year, the two games had lines of 48.5 and 48.  By my math, the value clearly is on the side of the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Over in the Louisville/Cincinnati game.  This Fenway Bowl game matches Louisville from the ACC against Cincinnati from the American Athletic Conference.  In games between schools from the ACC and AAC, the OVER has cashed 69% when the Over/Under line was 51 points or less. The Over/Under line in this game actually opened at 45, but has been significantly lowered from that opener.  By my math, the current number confers great value on the Over, and I'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on this Saturday.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tampa Bay/San Francisco 49ers game.  Prior to acquiring star running back, Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense averaged just 20.3 ppg, their games averaged 35.1 ppg, and five of the six went Under the total.  Now, since the trade, their offense is averaging 26.6 ppg, while their games have averaged 43.5 ppg, and four of the six have gone Over the total.  So, while it's true that Tampa's last four games have been low-scoring, and have gone Under the total, Tom Brady's teams have gone Over the total 29-16 off back-to-back Unders, and 12-4 following 3+ Unders.  Take the Bucs and 49ers Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Kansas City/Denver game.  The Broncos have played their last 8 games under the total.  But I'll look for a high-scoring game on Sunday, as NFL teams off 6+ Unders have gone Over the total 55.4% since 1980 if the O/U line was 47 or less points.  Even better:  the Broncos have gone Over 55-32 at home when the line ranged from 42.5 to 45.5 points.  And the Chiefs have gone Over 13-5 their last 18 as a road favorite (and 70-47 Over their last 117 as a road favorite).  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Buffalo/New York Jets game.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Jets pulled off a huge upset, 20-17, and held the Bills to their season-low in points.  That game went Under the total of 46 by 9 points.  Today's number is lower, and the Over falls into a 113-69 Totals system of mine, which is the way we'll look here.  Additionally, the Bills are 82-55 Over the total when priced as a favorite of -4 to -11 points, while the Jets have gone Over the total 67% since 1987 when playing a revenge-minded foe it upset earlier in the year.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the OVER in the Tampa Bay/New Orleans game.  These two NFC South division rivals met earlier in the season, and the Bucs triumphed, 20-10.  The Over/Under line in that game was 43.5, so it went under the total.  I look for a much higher scoring game on Monday, as NFL games have gone OVER the total 11 straight games (and 60% since 2011) if the season's previous meeting totaled 38 or less points, and also went under the total.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Denver/Baltimore game.  The Broncos have played their last 7 games under the total.  But after playing 5 straight games where their defense held their opponents to less than 20 points, the Broncos have surrendered 22 and 23 points in their two previous games.  And this weekend, they're playing a Ravens team which is averaging 25.0 ppg, and has scored 20+ points in nine of its 11 games.  Baltimore will put points on the board.  And I expect a relatively-high scoring game, as NFL teams on a streak of 6+ Unders have proceeded to go Over the total 55.5%.  Take the Ravens/Broncos over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Akron/Buffalo game.  Five of the last six meetings (and 10 of the last 15) between these two Mid-American Conference rivals have gone Under the total.  And that's the way we'll look, here.  It's true that Buffalo has played its last four games over the total.  But Mid-American Conference teams are 20-10 UNDER their last 30 after playing their three previous games over the total.  And the Under also falls into one of my favorite Totals systems which has cashed 64%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMcMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Denver/Carolina game.  The Broncos come into this game off six straight Unders, while Carolina enters off back to back Unders.  Last week, the Broncos scored just 16 points, while the Panthers scored just three.  The result is that this O/U line is the lowest Total for the Broncos in 11 seasons, and the lowest Total for the Panthers in 12 seasons!  By my math, it's too low.  Indeed, since 1980, at Game 11 forward, NFL teams that averaged less than 15.9 ppg on offense, and whose games totaled, on average, less than 32 ppg, have gone OVER the total 65.1%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Notre Dame game.  Last week, the Trojans outlasted rival, UCLA, 48-45, while Notre Dame blew out Boston College, 44-0.  These two teams tend to play lower-scoring games, and have gone Under each of the last three meetings, and are 17-10-1 Under the last 28.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish are 17-3 Under when playing an opponent which scored more than 42 points in its previous game.  We'll look for another relatively-low scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Clemson/South Carolina Under the total.  Eight of the last 11 games in this Palmetto State rivalry have gone Under the total, including last year's 30-0 win by the Tigers.  Both teams did go Over the total last week.  But Clemson is 20-11 UNDER off an Over, while South Carolina is 24-12 Under off an Over.  Take the UNDER.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the California/UCLA game Under the total.  The last nine meetings (and 11 of the last 12) between the Bruins and Bears have gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the UNDER also falls into a 62% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Tulane game UNDER the total.  The winner of this game will claim the AAC regular season title, so the stakes are high.  The game is priced near Pk'em.  And that bodes well for a low-scoring game, as the Bearcats have gone UNDER 33-16 in competitively-priced games with a spread of 3 or less.  They've also gone UNDER 88-63 vs. conference foes.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots over the total.  The Patriots come into this game off 3 straight unders.  But the Pats have gone OVER the total 65% since 2010 if they were off 3+ unders.  Even better:  the Vikings were blown out last week by Dallas, 40-3.  But Minnesota has gone OVER the total 15 of 18 off a loss, including 7 straight off a double-digit loss.  Finally, the Over falls into two of my favorite Totals systems with records of 114-79 and 53-28.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears/Atlanta Falcons game.  Nine of the last 11 meetings between these clubs have gone UNDER the total, and we'll look for this game to follow suit.  It's true that the Bears come into this game off 4 straight Overs.  But NFL teams off 4+ Overs tend to go UNDER the total in their next game, and especially when the line was > 46 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado/Washington game Under the total.  These two teams have generally played low-scoring contests, as the last 5 meetings have all gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look here, as the Under falls into a 62% totals system of mine.  For their part, the Huskies have played their last 3 games Under, and are also 14-9 Under off 3+ unders.  Meanwhile, the Buffaloes have gone Under in 10 of 13 November home games.  Take the Under.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/UCLA game. It’s true that USC has gone OVER the total in its last 4 games, and that the last 4 meetings between these two schools have also gone OVER. But teams off 3 or more overs have gone UNDER the total 61.9% when the OU line was greater than 71 points.  Take the Under.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri/New Mexico St game to go UNDER the total. Missouri had gone UNDER 8 straight games before last week's game at Tennessee, while New Mexico St had gone UNDER in 3 straight games (and 6 of 8) before last week's game vs. Lamar.  I look for these teams to play to form on Saturday night, and for this to be a low-scoring game.  For technical support, consider that Missouri has gone under 16-0-1 since October 26, 2013 at home, if it wasn't getting 7+ points in the game, and the OU Line was 54 or less points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/East Carolina game.  The Cougars have scored 42, 63 and 43 in their last three games.  And they've given up 27, 77 and 36.  Dating back to 2013, NCAA Football games have gone Under 67% of the time if a team scored 140+ points, and gave up 140+ points in its three previous games.  And the Under also falls into one of my two favorite College Football totals systems, which has cashed 62%.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas-San Antonio/Rice game.  The Roadrunners have gone under in four of their last five games and that's the way we'll look for this game vs. the Owls.  This will be the 10th meeting between these schools since 2012, and seven of the previous nine have gone under the total (including all four games played here, at Rice).  The Under also falls into a College Football totals system of mine which has cashed 61.8% since 2013.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + Detroit Lions to go UNDER the total.  Detroit's first four games this season were extremely high scoring, as they averaged 70.25 ppg.  But its last four games have seen a precipitous drop-off in points, as they've averaged a mere 35.25 ppg -- which is 50.1% of the number of points scored in the first four games.  Last week, Detroit played its lowest-scoring game yet, as it defeated Aaron Rodgers & the Packers, 15-9.  I look for this game to be relatively-low scoring as well.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Auburn/Texas A/M game.  Something's gotta give today, as each of these two teams enters this game on a 5-game losing streak.  The problem for each has largely been on the defensive side of the ball.  Auburn has given up 38.2 ppg over its last five games, while A&M has given up 33.6 ppg.  I look for a lower scoring game here, as NCAA games between 2 losing teams have gone under the total 62% of the time if each went Over the total in its previous game, and the current game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 3 points.  Take the Under.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Houston/Temple game.  The Cougars gave up a ghastly 77 points in last week's loss to SMU.  The good news for Dana Holgorsen's men today is that Temple's offense is not very explosive, as it's scored more than 20 points just twice this season.  We'll take the Under as teams that gave up 59+ points in their previous game have bounced back to go under 63.7% if their current opponent's offensive avg. was less than 20.9 ppg.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the under in SMU/South Florida.  Last week, the Mustangs outlasted Houston, 77-63.  Off that high-scoring win, we'll take the Under this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams have gone Under in 11 straight after giving up 63+ points in their previous game, if their current game had an O/U line of 63+ points.  Take the Under.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons to go UNDER the total.  A couple of weeks ago these two teams met, and Atlanta survived to win, 37-34, in overtime.  We'll take the UNDER in this contest, as competitively-priced NFC South division games, with point spreads < 3 points, have gone under 68% if the O/U line ranged from 42 to 53 points.  Additionally, Carolina has gone UNDER 32-8 at home vs. division foes when not getting 3+ points.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Arizona/Seattle game.  The Seahawks blew out the New York Giants last week, and will travel to Phoenix to take on the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday.  Arizona has given up 34 points each of its last two games and, not surprisingly, both went over the total.  Seattle has gone OVER 81-46-1 after winning at home in its previous game and we'll look for another high-scoring game here.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Northwestern/Ohio State game Under the total.  The Wildcats have gone UNDER the total 39-17-1 at home in FBS games, including 14-1 UNDER their last 15 after going Over in their previous game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Under in the Wisconsin/Maryland game.  The Badgers opened the season with back-to-back unders, but have proceeded to play six straight overs in a row.  And this 6-0 'over' streak has led to an inflated total for this game.  Maryland also comes into this game off back to back games where it tallied 30+ points.  And the Terrapins have now gone Over the total 9 straight following back to back games where they scored 30+ points.  Take Wisconsin + Maryland Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Detroit game.  After scoring 123+ points in four of their first five games, the Warriors' offense took a holiday yesterday, as they lost 120-113 (in overtime), and the game went under the total of 233.5.  I'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today, as the Over/Under line is a tad inflated.  The Under also falls into 166-112 and 60-35 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Detroit/Miami game.  After starting the season with four extremely high scoring games, the Lions have played back to back low scoring games.  But those two games were on the road against Dallas and New England -- teams that play good defense.  Today, Detroit is back at home, and it's gone OVER in 20 of 28 home games following a SU loss in a game which went under the total.  Even better:  Detroit is scoring 38.67 ppg at home, by itself.  And its home games have averaged 76.33 ppg!  Combine that with the fact that Miami's road games have averaged 59.67 ppg, and we have all the ammunition we need to take the OVER in this game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the UNDER in the Penn State/Ohio State game.  Ohio State comes into this game scoring 49.5 ppg, and outscoring their foes by 34.71 ppg.  But I expect a relatively-low scoring game this afternoon, as Penn State has gone UNDER 89% since 2013 against opponents that score more than 47.5 ppg, and UNDER 78% against opponents with a scoring margin greater than 32 ppg.  And 71% of Nittany Lion home games have gone UNDER the total if the O/U line was greater than 55 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York/Charlotte game.  The Hornets come into tonight's game having played 3 'overs' in a row.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as the Under falls into a 57% and 58% Totals systems of mine.  Also, Charlotte is 4-0 Under its last 4, and 20-9-2 Under its last 31 after playing 3 straight Overs.  Take the Under.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Louisville/Pittsburgh game.  The Cardinals have scored 33+ points in each of their last three games.  But the Panthers have not allowed more than 31 points in regulation in any of their six games this season.  I look for a relatively-low scoring game here, as Louisville has gone under in 9 of 10 games after scoring 31+ points in three (or more) games in a row.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Alabama/Mississippi State game.  The Crimson Tide lost last week to the Tennessee Volunteers, 52-49, as a 9-point favorite.  Off that horrible game, we'll look for a much better effort here by Nick Saban's troops -- and especially on the defensive end.  Indeed, over the last nine years, Alabama is 6-0 SU off a loss, and all six games have gone UNDER the total, as the Tide held those six foes to 13, 0, 6, 7, 16 and 9 points (8.5 ppg).  Additionally, Alabama is 7-0 Under its last 7 following a game that went Over the total.  Meanwhile, Mississippi State also comes into this game off an upset defeat, 27-17, at the hands of Kentucky.  And the Bulldogs have gone UNDER 14 of 15 following a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Florida International/Charlotte game.  Last week, we played on the Charlotte 49ers and UAB under the total as our Conference USA game of the Year.  We were rewarded with a 54-point game which went under the total by 11 points.  But here, we'll look for a return to form by Charlotte, as it had gone over the total in each of its five games previous to last week.  Take Charlotte/Florida International Over.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Tulane/Memphis game to go Under the total.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back high-scoring games.  Memphis lost, 47-45, last week, and 33-32 the game before that.  But the Tigers have gone under the total 17-8 off back to back 60-point games.  Meanwhile, Tulane also played a high-scoring game last week, as it routed South Florida, 45-31.  But the Green Wave have gone under 18-7 after a game which went over the total, if the line in the current game was less than 58 points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Arizona/Seattle game.  The Cardinals have reeled off four straight Unders after last week's 20-17 loss to the Eagles went under the total by 10.5 points.  And Arizona is also 15-4-1 UNDER on the road the past 3 seasons, including 8-0 Under when priced from -7 to +2.5 points.  It's true that Seattle surrendered 39 points to the Saints last week, and 45 to Detroit two games back.  But the Seahawks have gone under 7 of 8 after allowing 28+ points in their two previous games.  And competitively-priced NFC West division games, with point spreads of 3 points or less, have gone Under 45-18-3.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Los Angeles Rams/Carolina Panthers game.  After playing two of the NFL's best defenses the past two week (49ers, Cowboys), the Rams will be ecstatic to go up against a Panthers defense which has allowed 37 and 26 points its two previous games.  Los Angeles has gone Over the total 60.3% off three straight unders.  Meanwhile, the Panthers are 40-22 Over as road underdogs, including 11-0 Over when the OU Line was between 40 and 42.5 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Cincinnati/New Orleans game.  Last week, the Saints scored 39 points in a 39-32 victory over Seattle.  And their game went over the total by 26 points.  We'll look for another high-scoring game on Sunday, as the Saints are 13-5 Over the total if they went Over their previous game.  And they're 58-42 Over as home underdogs.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Indianapolis/Jacksonville game.  The first meeting this season was a low-scoring game, as the Jaguars won 24-0.  And that was the 4th straight meeting between these two division rivals that went under the total.  Also, each of these teams went under the total last week.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game here.  But I'll take the Over, as NFL division games have gone Over the total 55% of the time if both teams went Under their previous game; the season's previous meeting went Under, as well as the teams' last 3 meetings overall.  Take the Over.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Arizona game.  The Huskies lost at Arizona State, 45-38, last Saturday.  And that game total of 83 points was the most for a Huskies conference game since it beat California, 66-27, in 2016.  We'll look for a much lower-scoring game this evening, as Pac-12 teams have gone under 59% in conference games after a conference game that totaled more than 77 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our Conference USA Total of the Year is on the UNDER in the Charlotte/UAB game.  Charlotte has the worst defense in college football, as it's giving up 46.3 ppg.  Not surprisingly, its last five games have all sailed over the total.  And each of its last four games have totaled more than 75 points.  But this horrendous defense has led to our Over/Under line being a bit inflated here.  If one throws out UAB's first game - a 59-0 win against FCS foe Alabama A&M - then its four games against Division 1 FBS teams have averaged 49.5 ppg.  UAB comes into this game off a 27-point blowout win over Middle Tenn.  And UAB has gone 'under' the total 16 of 24 following a double-digit win.  The Under also falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 64.5%.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Northern Illinois/Eastern Michigan game.  The Huskies have played all six of their games over the total this season, including their last two games that each totaled > 80 points, which has led to an inflated over/under line for this contest.  Northern Illinois has gone under the total 70% after back to back games where 70+ points were scored.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game here.  Take the Under.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Ohio/Western Michigan game.  Both of these teams come into this afternoon's game off high-scoring contests.  The Bobcats put up 55 points last week in a 55-34 blowout of Akron, while Western Michigan lost, 45-23, at home to Eastern Michigan.  The Broncos are 12-6 Under after allowing 40+ points, while Ohio is 16-8 Under after scoring 40+ points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the San Francisco/Carolina game.  Both of these teams have been playing low-scoring games this season.  San Francisco's 4 games have gone under the total by 11.87 ppg, while Carolina's 4 games have gone under by 1.62 ppg.  This game is a technical play for me, as it falls into Totals systems that have records of 101-51, 78-53, 71-43, 64-34 and 40-12.  Additionally, the Panthers are 8-2 OVER the total following 3+ Unders, while the Niners are 6-2 OVER after 3 straight games under.  Take the 49ers/Panthers Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Tennessee/Washington game.  The Commanders had trouble scoring in their last two games but they faced two tough defenses in Philadelphia and Dallas.  The Eagles are giving up just 17.5 ppg, while Dallas is surrendering just 15.5 ppg.  But the Titans are giving up 25.25 ppg, so I expect Carson Wentz & Co. to do much better on offense.  The Titans are 4-0 Over their last 4 (and 9-2 Over their last 11) as road favorites.  Take the Titans/Commanders game Over the total.

At 6 pm, our selection is on Texas-San Antonio and Western Kentucky Under the total.  The Roadrunners have played all five of their games over the total.  And their games have totaled 72, 79, 61, 76 and 75 points.  These extremely high-scoring games have led to a very high Over/Under line for this game.  I think the line is too high.  Indeed, NCAA games with Over/Under lines greater than 71 points have gone under the total 58% of the time if a team's previous two games went over the total, and each totaled more than 71 points.  Additionally, the Under falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 64.1%.  Take the Hilltoppers and Roadrunners Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on Toledo and Northern Illinois Under the total.  We had our NCAA Total of the Month in September on the Under in Toledo's game vs. San Diego State, and we'll come right back with the Under in this game vs. Northern Illinois.  The Huskies are 43-24 Under in home conference games.  And the Under also falls into a 98-49 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Jacksonville Jaguars OVER the total.  The Jaguars are giving up just 12.66 ppg, and outscoring their foes by 15.33 ppg, while Philly is surrendering just 16.66 ppg, and outscoring its foes by 12 ppg.  I think this will be a high scoring affair.  At Game 4 forward, when you get a team (like Jacksonville) holding its opponents to 13 or less points per game, its games have gone Over the total 60.1% since 1980 if the Line was greater than 41 points.  And in matchups between two teams with scoring margins > 7 ppg, those games have gone Over the total 57% since 1980 when the line was greater than 43 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Clemson/North Carolina State game.  Earlier in the week, it appeared as if Columbia, SC may have been in for some real bad weather today.  And the Over/Under line got as low as 39.5 in anticipation of that.  But the city has been fortunate to largely escape the wrath of Hurricane Ian, and today's game will be played under mostly cloudy skies, and with low wind.  So, the Over/Under line has snapped back to where it was last Sunday night.  Last week, the Wolfpack blew out UConn, 41-10, while the Tigers won, 51-45, over Wake Forest.  But I look for a lower-scoring game here, as the Tigers are 16-9 UNDER after playing a game Over the total.  And they're 28-12 UNDER after scoring 45+ points in their previous game.  Moreover, ACC games have gone 55-30 UNDER if both teams went OVER in their previous game.  Take the Wolfpack/Tigers game UNDER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin Badgers UNDER the total.  Last week, we had our biggest play of the season-to-date on Ohio State, and the Buckeyes rolled up 77 points against the Toledo Rockets — the 5th most points scored in school history. But off that high-scoring win, I’ll look for a much lower-scoring affair here. For technical support, consider that NCAA teams have gone Under 55% over the past 10 years after scoring 60 (or more) points in their previous game.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Toledo/San Diego State game.  We had our biggest play of the season-to-date last week on the Ohio State Buckeyes over Toledo, so we were not surprised when the Buckeyes exploded for 77 points, the 5th-most in school history.  Going into that game, Toledo had allowed just 1 touchdown and 10 total points.  So I expect a much better defensive effort on Saturday vs. the Aztecs, who mustered just 7 points in a 35-7 loss to Utah.  Toledo has gone 7-1 Under as a road favorite of -6 or less points.  Meanwhile, the Aztecs are 40-20-1 Under the total their last 61, 21-7 their last 28 as an underdog, and 18-7 Under their last 25 off a loss.  This will be a very low-scoring game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.