Sports Picks & Predictions
Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-23-17 | Rockets v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 129-99 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
After a successful All-Star weekend for the city of New Orleans, the home team can now welcome DeMarcus Cousins to town for his first game with the Pelicans. New Orleans is striving for a playoff spot in the Western Conference as it is currently in the No. 11 spot, 2.5 games behind Denver for the final slot. The Pelicans closed out strong before the break, winning three of their final four games and they are now hoping that the new addition helps lead to a big playoff push. While there is always concern about how a new player gels with the new team, the NBA is one sport that it does not really have a big effect. The Rockets had their four-game winning streak snapped in the final game before the break as they fell at home to Miami. They have been solid on the road this season but have covered just once in their last five games on the highway. Houston has been solid coming off a loss this season but this is not the typical situation of coming off a loss a day or two ago because of the All-Star break as the Rockets have been off for over a week. They are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games playing on three or more days of rest. Meanwhile, the Pelicans are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-23-17 | Louisiana Tech v. North Texas +10.5 | Top | 85-67 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
North Texas and Louisiana Tech are on opposite ends of the conference standings so clearly the Bulldogs are the better team but laying this number on the road is overaggressive given the situation. They are riding a six-game winning streak including a pair of home wins over the Florida teams last week and while they are 14-2 at home, they are just 5-6 on the road and they have failed to cover their last four games on the highway. Now they are laying double-digits with a big game at Rice on deck. North Texas is one of four teams in the conference that possess either no wins or one win on the road but all four teams are much different on their home floors. The Mean Green are 7-9 at home which is certainly nothing special but they have suffered some tough losses here. They are 1-6 in the conference but that includes a 5-2 ATS mark as three of those losses came by a possession or in overtime and the schedule has been brutal. This is the sixth home game against the top seven teams in the conference and they have certainly held their own. Going back, the Mean Green are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. 10* (544) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-23-17 | Western Kentucky v. Charlotte -3.5 | Top | 77-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Western Kentucky is coming off a tough three-game homestand where it faced three of the top seven teams in Conference-USA and went just 1-2 but it did conclude with an upset win over UAB on Sunday. Now the Hilltoppers hit the road where they have not been very good by posting a 4-10 record. Three of those wins have been within the conference but all three of those came against teams with losing records where none of the teams has reached double-digit victories overall. Charlotte is certainly no juggernaut but it returns home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 0-3 and like the Hilltoppers, it was a tough stretch as all three games came against the top seven teams in the conference. The big difference though is the 49ers are now home which is a big edge as they are 9-4 overall including wins in three of their last four. Charlotte has won eight of nine games this season when favored and on the season, the favorite is 20-3 in its 23 lined games. Going back, the Hilltoppers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the 49ers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite. 10* (524) Charlotte 49ers |
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02-22-17 | Oregon v. California +4.5 | Top | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
We won with Oregon on Saturday as it annihilated Colorado at home by 28 points thanks to a 29-2 run late in the first half that put the game away early. That was the final home game of the season for the Ducks which won their 42nd consecutive home game and will carry that streak into next season. Now Oregon must try to get off the emotional high from that game as it hits the road for the final three games of the regular season where it is a modest 4-3. While the Ducks have been solid as road favorites, those games have come against much inferior competition. California has quietly put together a very solid season as it is 18-8 overall including a 9-5 record in the conference which looks to be good enough at this point for an at-large big into the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Bears are coming off a three-game road trip where they went 1-2 including losses in the final two games but are back home where they have a six-game winning streak and their only home conference loss came by just five points against Arizona in the Pac 12 opener. Revenge will certainly on the table as well as California has not forgotten the 23-point loss in Eugene back in January which is by far its worst loss of the season. 10* (744) California Golden Bears |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -5 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Somehow Pittsburgh is still a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament despite a 4-10 record in the ACC. The Panthers are only two and a half games out of last place in the conference yet as of the most recent bracket projections, they are just the seventh team out. Making the Big Dance will take a minor miracle so while motivation will be prevalent, getting the job done on the road will be a task where they are 2-5 on the season. Pittsburgh is coming off a home upset against Florida St. on Saturday which closed a three-game homestand and its only ACC road win was at 2-13 Boston College. Wake Forest is also on the bubble but the Demon Deacons have a much better outlook as they are just two games out of seventh place following a pair of road losses last week. Wake Forest is 4-3 at home in the ACC with a pair of losses coming against Duke and North Carolina and on the season, it is 7-3 ATS at home against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Demon Deacons are 8-3 ATS following a loss while going 7-2 ATS as favorites of fewer than 15 points. Going back, the Panthers are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 games following an ATS win. 10* (716) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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02-22-17 | Duke v. Syracuse +4 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Duke has caught fire and is arguably the best team in the ACC right now as it trails North Carolina by just one game for the top spot. The Blue Devils have won seven straight games and while a road win over Virginia was very impressive, four of the last five games have taken place at home. Overall, they are just 4-3 on the road and going back, the Blue Devils are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. This is a huge game for Syracuse as its streaky season continues and right now it is going in the wrong direction. The Orange opened 3-4 in the ACC but then went on win five straight games including impressive victories over Florida St. and Virginia. However, they have dropped three straight games including a pair of losses against Pittsburgh and Georgia Tech which hurt their NCAA Tournament chances but those were both on the road. The lone home loss came against Louisville in overtime which snapped a streak of six straight ACC home wins and going back to last season, they are 12-2 in their last 14 conference home games. Syracuse is 7-3 ATS at home this season against winning teams while going 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (724) Syracuse Orange |
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02-21-17 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -2.5 | Top | 68-56 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
We played against New Mexico on Saturday as it went to Fresno St. and had its two-game winning streak snapped to fall to 9-6 in the Mountain West Conference. The Lobos have a chance to move within a game of first place with a victory but they are two back in the loss column with just three games left so winning the conference is out of the question but staying in the fourth spot is ideal for the upcoming conference tournament. They have been solid this season following a loss as they have won eight of 10 games after a loss and heading home here is big as they are 10-3 at The Pit this season. Colorado St. is tied for first place in the MWC at 10-4 following its fourth straight win on Saturday over Wyoming. Three of those four have come against losing teams however and only two of its 10 overall conference wins have been against winning teams. The Rams are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points while the Lobos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Look for another bounce back win for the New Mexico. 10* (556) New Mexico Lobos |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Northwestern may have been caught looking ahead to this game as it narrowly escaped at home against Rutgers. The lookahead aspect is due to this being an underrated rivalry with this being the 174th meeting and the fact the Wildcats were upset at home against Illinois in the first meeting. Northwestern has just three losses with all five regular starters in the lineup and those have come by a combined 10 points against Butler; Notre Dame and Minnesota. The Wildcats were without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey in the first meeting so it is a different dynamic this time around. Illinois is coming off an upset win at Iowa for just its second road win of the season and it has not fared much better at home, going just 1-4 over its last five home games. While the win over the Hawkeyes was nice, winning a second straight conference game will not be easy as the Illini have lost nine straight regular season games following a Big Ten win. The Wildcats are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points while the Fighting Illini are 9-26 ATS in their last 35 games as a home underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (543) Northwestern Wildcats |
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02-21-17 | Davidson v. Richmond | Top | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a situation where the wrong team is favored and in some cases based on the line, the home team should be more than a pickem. Davidson is riding a two-game winning streak yet is overvalued in this spot and a lot of that is based on name as the Wildcats have been a very public team over the years. They are 5-5 on the road but that comes down to what teams they have played and within the Atlantic Ten they are 0-2 against winning teams. Overall, of the seven Davidson conference wins, only one has come against a team with a winning record and overall it is 1-5 against teams above .500. Richmond is tied with Rhode Island for third place in the Atlantic Ten Conference and while it has the better RPI in this matchup, the Spiders are undervalued. They have lost two straight games which is just the third time all season they have dropped consecutive games and have yet to run that skid into three games. Richmond has five conference losses all of which have been against teams that are above .500 in the A-10 and the Spiders have won seven of 10 games this season following a loss. 10* (538) Richmond Spiders |
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02-20-17 | Iowa State v. Texas Tech -1.5 | Top | 82-80 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
The season comes down to the final four games for Texas Tech as it remains on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament following a double-overtime loss at West Virginia on Saturday. The Red Raiders fell to 17-10 overall including a 5-9 record in the Big XII but hope is not lost as they own two wins over the top 50 of the RPI and that is only one less than Oklahoma St., Iowa St. and Kansas St. which are all slated to make the Big Dance. Texas Tech returns home where it is 15-2 with one of those losses coming against Kansas last week by just a point. Iowa St. has been having a very solid season with some strong quality wins and some close losses against elite opposition. The Cyclones have won three straight games to move to 9-5 in the conference which is good for a tie for second place with Baylor and West Virginia so this is a big game for them as well. They are just 4-5 on the road however with some poor losses at Texas and Vanderbilt. The home team is 4-1 ATS over the last five meetings including an Iowa St. cover earlier this year which sets up a revenge situation and the Red Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Additionally, they are 7-2 straight up and ATS following a loss this season. 10* (716) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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02-19-17 | Georgetown v. Creighton -6.5 | Top | 70-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It has been a rough stretch since late January for Creighton as it is 3-4 over its last seven games with two of those wins coming against DePaul which is 1-12 in the Big East. The Bluejays were 18-1 prior to that and were being talked of as a sleeper Final Four team and it comes as no surprise that this recent seven-game run coincides with senior point guard Maurice Watson Jr. being out of the lineup. They struggled from long range when he first went down but the Bluejays have regained their shooting stroke in the last four games, draining 50-of-97 three-point shots (51.5 percent). That stretch started not long after a dreadful 1-for-18 showing from long-range at Georgetown on January 25th. They lost that game to the Hoyas by 20 points which is easily their worst loss of the season so payback is in store. Georgetown has been up and down all season and is coming off a revenge win over Marquette at home last Saturday which snapped a two-game slide but the Hoyas are 4-8 ATS this season following a win and they have failed to cover three straight games in the Big East this season. Creighton is 3-1 straight up and ATS following a loss this season with those three victories coming by 13, 17 and 35 points. 10* (858) Creighton Bluejays |
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02-18-17 | Middle Tennessee v. Marshall +4 | Top | 97-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 24 m | Show |
Middle Tennessee St. is the class of Conference-USA as it has compiled a 13-1 record to add to its 23-4 record overall. The Blue Raiders have won three straight games following a blowout win at Western Kentucky on Thursday. They are now 6-1 on the road in the conference but five of those wins have come against teams currently under .500 in C-USA. The two games against teams with winning conference records resulted in a loss at UTEP and a win at Rice by just three points. Going back, the Blue Raiders are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Marshall easily took care of UAB at home on Thursday to improve to 12-1 at home and is now tied for third place in the conference with an 8-5 record. The won over UAB was even more impressive as second leading scorer Stevie Browning played only 20 minutes with a balky back so if he is not 100 percent, it should not affect this team much. The Thundering Herd will be out to avenge a12-point loss earlier in the season and they are now 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (604) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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02-18-17 | New Mexico v. Fresno State -2.5 | Top | 61-71 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show |
Fresno St. made a magical run toward the end of last season as it won its final six regular season games and then won three games in three days in the MWC Tournament to make its first NCAA Tournament appearance since 2001. It will take another similar run to made it back but the talent is there to give it another shot. The Bulldogs are coming off a win against San Jose St. on Wednesday which snapped a three-game skid to improve to 7-7 in the conference and of those seven losses, four have been decided in the final minute. One of those came at New Mexico in the conference opener back in December and Fresno St. will be out to avenge that and improve upon its 11-2 record at home. New Mexico is a victory away from matching its win total from last season following a home win over Boise St. The Lobos are now 9-5 in the conference and do have some solid road wins but none have come against teams with a similar or better home record than that of the Bulldogs. Overall, they are 5-5 on the road but they are just 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 10* (600) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -11 | Top | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
Oregon remains a game out of first place in the Pac 12 as it improved to 12-2 with a very impressive win over Utah on Thursday. The Ducks are now 16-0 at home this season and have won 41 consecutive games at Matthew Knight Arena. They have had this game circled for three weeks as they went to Colorado and were upended by nine points which snapped their 17-game winning streak and gave them their first conference loss of the season. Not only will Oregon be out for payback, but this is the final home game of the season where it will be honoring three outgoing seniors. The Buffaloes have completely turned their season around as after a 0-7 start in the Pac 12, they have won six of their last seven games. The Oregon win was obviously the big one and there have been no other impressive victories as the other five have come against teams that have won no more than four conference games and are a combined 10-45 in the Pac 12. The only road game against a winning team resulted in an 11-point loss at California and going back, the Buffaloes are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. 10* (556) Oregon Ducks |
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02-18-17 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia -11 | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
West Virginia opened the season 15-2 but it has been somewhat inconsistent since then as it has won just five of its last nine games. The Mountaineers are in a great spot on Saturday however as they will be out to bounce back from a tough loss at Kansas on Monday night in overtime where they blew a 14-point lead with 2:58 remaining. They will also be out to avenge a loss at Texas Tech in overtime which was their first conference loss of the season. This is their third revenge game of the season and they got their payback both times in the first two against Oklahoma and Kansas St. The Red Raiders meanwhile are coming off a home upset over Baylor which came right after losing at home to Kansas by a single point just two days earlier. That is hard stretch to recover from and hitting the road against a team out for serious payback is not ideal. Texas Tech is 4-2 at home in the conference but hitting the highway has not been kind as it is 0-6 on the Big XII Road and going back, it is just 5-36 in its last 41 conference road games. Laying a number this size is not an issue with all of the situations in play here. The Mountaineers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss while the Red Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. 10* (542) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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02-18-17 | Notre Dame v. NC State +5.5 | Top | 81-72 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
Notre Dame is going to be a very popular play here based on not only records but the fact that NC State just fired head coach Mark Gottfried. Gottfried will coach the remainder of the season and he vowed he will not give up on his team and his players are not going to give up on him either. The Wolfpack have dropped six straight games to fall to 3-11 in the ACC and they have failed to cover and of those games on top of it. This is a spot where players step up to back their fallen coach. Notre Dame has won three straight games following a four-game losing streak but two of those wins came at home and the one road win came at 2-12 Boston College by just eight points. That improved the Irish to 4-3 on the road but they are 0-3 ATS on the season as road favorites and are once again overvalued here based on the recent runs and the coaching situation at NC State. The Wolfpack are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home. Winning this game outright is more than possible so grabbing the hefty pointspread is a huge benefit. 10* (502) NC State Wolfpack |
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02-18-17 | Northern Iowa +15.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 44-73 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
Wichita St. is dueling with Illinois St. for the Missouri Valley Conference championship and with just three games left in the regular season, they are all very important. Winning and covering are separate matters however and once again, the Shockers are saddled with a huge number to cover. They have been favored by big numbers all season and they are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games when favored by 15 or more points. They took care of Northern Iowa on the road earlier in the season and that was a game they wanted pretty bad after the Panthers defeated them in the MVC Tournament semifinals last season. That loss by the Panthers was when they were a different team as they were supposed to be in the mix once again this season but stumbled out by losing their first five conference games but have since won nine of their last 10 games to move into third place in the conference. The lone defeat came by just six points at Illinois St. which is also 14-1 in the conference. This is a team no one should want to face right now and they have covered their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (507) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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02-17-17 | California -3.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-73 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
This is the 266th edition of the Battle of the Bay and while laying points on the road in a rivalry game in always a tough endeavor, this is a bad matchup for the home team. California checks in with an 18-7 record including 9-4 in the Pac 12 following a loss at Arizona in its last game. The Golden Bears four losses have come against the three top teams in the conference (Arizona twice, Oregon and UCLA) with three of those coming on the road where the combined home record of those three teams is 43-1. This is a big game for California as this would be considered a bad loss and currently projected as a No. 10 seed in the NCAA Tournament, a defeat could push it outside the bubble with a not-so-easy schedule remaining. Stanford has struggled this season as it is a game under .500 including a 4-9 record in the Pac 12. The Cardinal are 8-4 at home which is not very intimidating and they are projected to have their worst home record since 2010-11. Stanford has struggled against the top level teams it has faced as it is 1-10 against teams ranked in the Top 50 RPI while going 10-3 against teams falling below that ranking. Stanford is 2-10 this season as an underdog and going back, it is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games as an underdog. 10* (865) California Golden Bears |
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02-16-17 | UC-Davis v. Long Beach State -3.5 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
The biggest disappointment in the Big West Conference has been Long Beach St. which came in as the preseason favorite to win the conference but are just 6-5 although all hope is not lost just yet. The 49ers lost at CS-Fullerton on Saturday and the road has been a real issue all season as they are 2-14 on the highway with the majority of those losses coming from a brutal non-conference schedule. They have been a much different team at home where they are 8-1 on the season with the only loss coming against Northridge which happened to come two days prior to a trip to Hawaii. Even though they are just 6-5, a win here moves the 49ers to just a game and a half out of first place. This is the first of two meetings against UC-Davis which leads the conference with an 8-2 record. The Aggies have been overachieving and while they are 8-0 at home, they are just 6-6 on the road and two road losses within the conference were bad ones at Riverside and Cal Poly, two of the three losing teams in the conference. Going back to last season, Long Beach St. is 19-3 in its last 22 regular season home games. 10* (750) Long Beach St. 49ers |
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02-16-17 | Florida International v. Southern Miss +2.5 | Top | 66-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Two of the bottom three teams in Conference-USA square off in Hattiesburg and we give a significant edge to the home team. Southern Mississippi has lost three straight games but two of those were on the road while the other came at home against 6-6 Western Kentucky. The road losses were not surprising considering that the Golden Eagles are 0-10 on the road. They have been much better at home as they were 4-2 in their previous six home games prior to Western Kentucky and those two losses came against 10-3 Louisiana Tech and 7-5 Rice. Six of their seven conference home games came against teams .500 or better and they rolled over North Texas in their only game against a losing team. Florida International is coming off a win over North Texas on Saturday which came at home and was just its second conference win of the season. The Golden Panthers are also an identical 0-10 on the road yet they come into this game as road favorites which is the first time they have been in this role all season and it makes little sense. The Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (732) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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02-16-17 | Wizards v. Pacers +2.5 | Top | 111-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
We played on the Pacers last night and they failed to come through as they were looking good heading into the fourth quarter but a 25-12 run for Cleveland ended the hopes for Indiana. The Pacers have now lost five straight games and desperately need a win heading into the All Star Break. They failed to grab their 10th road win and they are one of two teams in the entire NBA that have single-digit wins on the road while also possessing single-digit losses at home. They return to Indiana with a 20-9 record at home and will be looking to snap a three-game skid at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Coincidentally, the Wizards are the other team with single-digit losses at home and single-digits wins on the road. Washington has won three straight games and 10 of its last 11 and while this does include four straight road wins, the Wizards are in a bad spot, especially laying points on the road. The Pacers are 0-5 when playing with no rest on the road but are a much better 3-3 when playing at home on the second end of a back-to-back. Washington has been a road favorite seven times but all seven of those games have come against teams with a losing record. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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02-16-17 | William & Mary v. James Madison +4 | Top | 92-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
James Madison is coming off a poor loss on Saturday against Delaware at home and what started out as a good conference season, it has been pretty downhill. It opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-9 over their last 11 games. Six of those 11 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-7 in the conference. William & Mary improved to 8-6 in the CAA with a home win over Charleston which puts it into a tie for fourth place. The Tribe are now 7-0 at home within the conference but that record is close to a reversal on the road where they are 1-6 with the lone win coming in overtime at Hofstra by a bucket. James Madison lost the first meeting by two points on the road as a 6.5-point underdog and now it is getting just over a bucket less at home which does not correlate to the change in venue and the Dukes have covered four straight games as underdogs of fewer than seven points. 10* (718) James Madison Dukes |
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02-15-17 | Knicks v. Thunder -7 | Top | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks closed their five-game homestand with a win over the Spurs on Sunday which snapped a four-game losing streak and while getting out of MSG can only be a good thing at this point, they are not in a good spot tonight. New York is just 9-18 on the road including a 4-12 record over their last 16 road games with only two of those victories coming against teams with a winning record. Additionally, the Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Oklahoma City has been on a poor run over the last few weeks as it has gone just 3-6 over its last nine games including losses in two straight games. Five of those losses came against teams with winning records including four on the road with the one home loss coming against Golden St. this past Saturday. The Thunder were unable to bounce back from that loss as they fell hard in Washington on Monday but are now in a good spot here as they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. On the season, Oklahoma City is 18-7 ATS when favored by fewer than eight points. 10* (524) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State v. TCU -1.5 | Top | 71-68 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
Both Oklahoma St. and TCU are projected NCAA Tournament teams which is a surprise as both were picked to finish near the bottom of the Big XII. In the case of TCU, it was picked to finish dead last but right now, it is 17-8 overall including a 6-6 record in the conference. Four of those losses came against Baylor (twice), Kansas and West Virginia while the other two came at Texas Tech by just six points and at Oklahoma St. by 13 points which sets them up for a revenge play tonight. The Horned Frogs lost at Baylor on Saturday but they are 13-3 at home including an 11-1 record as home favorites and are now laying a very short price. Oklahoma St. opened the conference season by going 0-6 but instead of tossing in the towel, the Cowboys went on to win five straight games before losing at home against Baylor. They bounced back against Texas on Saturday with a 13-point victory and while they have covered all five games as road underdogs this season, they were getting at least 6.5 points in all of those. 10* (568) TCU Horned Frogs |
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02-15-17 | Alabama -4.5 v. Missouri | Top | 57-54 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
Alabama is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament hopes by a thread as it has dropped three of its last four games to fall to 7-5 in the SEC which is good for a tie for fourth place. The Crimson Tide can ill afford to lose many more of its games and especially games like this against the lower echelon of the conference. Alabama is 4-4 on the road and that record includes a pair of solid road wins at South Carolina and Georgia over the past three weeks. Missouri has been playing much better as after a 0-9 start in the SEC, the Tigers have won two of their last three games while covering the game in-between at Texas A&M. In all of those games, the Tigers were sizable underdogs which makes it more impressive but on the season, the Tigers are 1-4 ATS when getting seven points or less and their 6-8 home record is not going to intimidate anyone. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss sand they keep their tournament hopes alive with a needed victory tonight. 10* (561) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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02-15-17 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Indiana was rolling along with seven straight wins to move seven games over .500 but the last week has not been good as the Pacers have dropped four straight games. Three of these losses have taken place at home where they have been very solid with the one road loss taking place at Washington which snapped a three-game road winning streak. Indiana has admittedly been pretty poor on the road overall this season but it has covered four straight on the highway and it has held its own in this series as the Pacers are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Cleveland is coming off a win last night in Minnesota which was its sixth win over its last seven games but the Cavaliers are now playing their second back-to-back in a week. They have failed to cover their last four games playing with no rest and have dropped all four of those games outright. The starters played heavy minutes last night and even with the All-Star break coming up, some additional rest tonight may take place. 10* (501) Indiana Pacers |
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02-15-17 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne +4 | Top | 66-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
Massachusetts is coming off a win at St. Josephs on Saturday which snapped a five-game losing streak and now the Minutemen come into tonight as road favorites which they have no business doing. They have laid points on the road only once this season and that was at St. Louis which resulted in an outright loss. They are just 3-7 on the road and while they are coming off a road win, they opened Atlantic Ten play by dropping their first five road games. Duquesne is sitting in last place in the conference at 2-10 as it has lost eight straight games but the stretch has been brutal. Five of the games have come on the road while the three home games have been against Dayton, Rhode Island and St. Bonaventure which are a combined 26-11 in the Atlantic Ten. Prior to that, their only other home conference games where against St. louis, which the Dukes won, and 11-2 VCU. Now they are a home underdog against a losing team for the first time and we can take advantage of that tonight. 10* (546) Duquesne Dukes |
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02-14-17 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | Top | 97-96 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
The Lakers are back home following a five-game roadtrip that concluded with a win at Milwaukee and despite going 2-3 overall, the play was pretty solid with the exception of just one game. It has been a pretty tough slate of late as Los Angeles has played eight of its last nine games on the road and overall, it has played the second toughest schedule in the NBA. There has been a lot of travel in the last three weeks but the Lakers have had three days off and going back, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing with three or more days of rest while going 4-0 ATS in their last four home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Sacramento closed its six-game homestand by winning the final three games so it certainly has some positive momentum going. However, the Kings are just 7-14-1 ATS this season following a win. They have been a short underdog only eight times and are 2-6 ATS when getting fewer than three points including going 0-3 ATS in three road games. 10* (706) Los Angeles Lakers |
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02-14-17 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -4 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Clemson is in bounce back mode tonight and this is a game it cannot lose. The must-win term can be overused at times but for the Tigers, it fits here. They are coming off a hard-fought loss at Duke which was their third straight loss and despite a 3-9 record in the ACC, they are still on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Clemson has a tough three-game stretch on deck all against teams going to the Big Dance so getting past this one and playing well in that stretch is a must. Of their 10 losses, eight have come by six points or less including five by four points or less. This is a big game for Wake Forest as well as it is on the outside looking in but it is catching Clemson at the wrong time. The Demon Deacons are coming off a 30-point win over NC State which was its sixth win in the conference but only one of those was against a potential NCAA Tournament team and the two ACC road wins came at Boston College and NC State, which are a combined 5-21 in the conference. The Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of fewer than seven points while the Demon Deacons are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (712) Clemson Tigers |
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02-14-17 | Buffalo v. Central Michigan +1.5 | Top | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just one game. Central Michigan is tied with Ball St., Northern Illinois and Toledo for first place and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 10-1 record on the season including going 4-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas have played a tough stretch of late with four of their last five games coming on the road and this is the start of three straight home games. They lost on Saturday at Miami Ohio as Marcus Keane, who leads the nation in scoring at 29.3 ppg, was held to a season low 12 points so we should see a huge effort from him. Buffalo comes in with a 7-5 record in the MAC but it trails Akron by four games so winning the MAC East is pretty much out of the question. The Bulls are coming off a win at Bowling Green which was their fourth straight win and fifth straight cover so they are playing at a high level but that helps us out with the line as they are now laying points to a team that has lost at home just once all season. The Bulls are a respectable 6-7 on the road but the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (722) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-13-17 | Pelicans +2 v. Suns | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
New Orleans lost in Sacramento yesterday as it was unable to win consecutive games for the first time in a month but the Pelicans have been solid following losses over the latter part of the season. They had their chances last night against the Kings but blew a sizable lead and look for a quick turnaround here and improve to 15-9 against teams ranked outside the top 16 in the league. The Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Phoenix lost at Houston in its last game on Saturday by 31 points and since back-to-back wins over the Knicks and Raptors, the Suns are 2-9 in their last 11 games. They are in the rare role of favorites as this is just the ninth time this season when laying points and they are 2-6 in their first eight games as a chalk including a 0-5 ATS mark when laying fewer than five points. Phoenix has the fewest home wins in the Western Conference and going back, the Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (515) New Orleans Pelicans |
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02-13-17 | West Virginia v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 80-84 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Kansas is back home following a narrow one-point win at Texas Tech on Saturday as it nailed a free thrown in the final seconds to pull out the victory. It was a tough spot for the Jayhawks which were coming off a win over rival Kansas St. and facing a revenge game two days later and in addition, leading scorer Frank Mason was dealing with an illness and ended up fouling out of the game with over three minutes remaining. Kansas will be out to avenge a 16-point loss at West Virginia back on January 24 which snapped an 18-game winning streak. While Kansas will be out for payback, it will also be out to get back on track at home as it had its 51-game Allen Fieldhouse winning streak come to an end in its last home game against Iowa St. West Virginia is coming off a big home win over Kansas St. on Saturday which was also a revenge game so the inevitable letdown can certainly take place here. Going back, the Mountaineers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points and with Kansas going four straight games without a cover, Kansas has value in the home number tonight. 10* (540) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-13-17 | Magic +8 v. Heat | Top | 116-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
Miami had its 13-game winning streak snapped on Saturday at Philadelphia and looks to bounce back at home where it still owns an eight-game winning streak. While wins over Golden St. and Houston were impressive during that run, it mostly came against very poor teams. We can categorize Orlando into that group but Miami is just 4.5 games better overall yet the line is telling a different story. During the middle of this winning streak, the Heat were favored by this same number at home over Brooklyn which is 10 games worse than the Magic. Orlando has dropped four straight games which is playing into this number as well but it is in a good spot to break that here, let alone getting the overinflated points. The Magic are the only team in the NBA that has more road wins than home wins and they are just two road wins shy of the number of home wins the Heat have. Clearly, winning this game outright is more than possible but we will grab the points knowing Orlando is 9-3 ATS as underdogs of eight or more points this season. 10* (505) Orlando Magic |
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02-12-17 | Pistons v. Raptors -6.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Since winning four straight games in mid-January, the Raptors have had a rough go of it as they are just 4-9 over their last 13 games including a loss at Minnesota in their last game on Wednesday. Toronto is 1-6 on the road over this recent stretch but it has won three of its last four home games and on the season, it is 18-9 at the Air Canada Centre. The time off is a benefit as this is the longest rest period the Raptors have had this season and going back, they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following three or more days off. Additionally, they are 20-11 ATS as favorites of five or more points. Detroit has not been over .500 since December 14 when it was 14-13 and it has gone 11-16 since then with the road not being friendly. The Pistons are 3-9 on the highway over this stretch while sitting 9-18 overall and this includes a 2-11 record against teams with a winning record and they have not defeated a winning team on the road since November. Covering has been rare as well as the Pistons are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (836) Toronto Raptors |
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02-12-17 | Wichita State v. Loyola-Chicago +9.5 | Top | 81-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
Wichita St. has bounced back very well after suffering its first conference loss of the season as it has won seven straight games following a road loss at Illinois St. by 14 points. The Shockers are 6-1 on the road this season including a 5-1 record in the conference but they have covered only two of those games as they continue to be overpriced on the highway. Additionally, the Shockers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Loyola-Chicago comes in at 16-10 but that record does not show that it has been a better team than that. The Ramblers have suffered some excruciatingly close losses this season. Their last four setbacks have come by a combined 12 points, their last three by nine points and their last two by eight points. This year, Loyola-Chicago is 0-6 in games decided by five points or less. The Ramblers have the ability to keep games close because they are such a good shooting team. They are ranked sixth in the nation in field goal percentage at 50.1 percent and they have shot below 45 percent from the field just four times this season. They hung with Wichita St. in the first meeting on the road until the Shockers pulled away late so hanging at home, where they are 11-2, should not be a problem. The Ramblers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (850) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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02-12-17 | Michigan v. Indiana -3 | Top | 75-63 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
A pair of NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off in Bloomington in a huge game for both sides. Indiana remains home following a tough loss against 9-3 Purdue making it two straight losses overall to fall to 5-7 in the Big Ten. That was the Hoosiers second home conference loss with the other coming against 10-1 Wisconsin and on the season, the home team is 18-4 in Indiana games. This team is a lot better than the record shows as this roster is filled with talent proven by the fact Indiana is the first school to have seven players record a double-double in the same season since North Carolina did it in 2009-10. Michigan is coming off a blowout win over rival Michigan St. on Tuesday which snapped a two-game slide. The Wolverines have been similar in the fact that the venue makes a difference as the home team 19-3 in its games this season and this includes Michigan going 0-6 on the road. These teams met just over two weeks ago and despite the Hoosiers shooting 54.5 percent, they were blown out by 30 points as they managed a mere 44 shots. Revenge will certainly be in play here and going back, Indiana has won 17 of the last 18 meetings in Bloomington. The Wolverines are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Hoosiers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (842) Indiana Hoosiers |
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02-11-17 | San Jose State v. UNLV -4 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 27 m | Show |
UNLV used to be a fixture in the NCAA Tournament but has not been there since 2013 and that is not going to change this year. The Rebels have only 10 wins this season and are on pace for their fewest victories since 2000-01 and that is if they win out. UNLV has lost five straight games including a blowout loss against rival Nevada last time out and it will look to get back on track at home in a very winnable game. The Rebels four home losses within the conference have come against superior teams and we cannot put San Jose St. in that group. It has been a solid turnaround season for the Spartans as they have surpassed their win total from the last two seasons combined thanks to a three-game winning streak, their third such streak of the season. They are coming off a pair of upset wins at New Mexico and at home against San Diego St. and prior to that, it was a home win over UNLV so the Rebels will be additionally motivated here. San Jose St. is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games following a win. 10* (628) UNLV Runnin’ Rebels |
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02-11-17 | Clippers v. Hornets -2.5 | Top | 107-102 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
The tough stretch continues for the Clippers as they are playing their ninth road game over their last 10 overall and have been very inconsistent over this stretch. They are coming off a win over the Knicks but are just 3-7 over their last 10 games with another win coming against 17-37 Phoenix. Los Angeles is a decent 15-13 on the road but this is not the same team right now as the Clippers are 5-12 in the 17 games that Chris Paul has not been in the lineup. Charlotte snapped a seven-game losing streak with a win over Brooklyn but it could not keep it going as the Hornets lost at home to Houston on Thursday by 12 points. They do catch the Clippers in a good spot though and despite the poor run of late, the favorite role is a good one. Charlotte is a horrid 1-14 this season when it is an underdog but a much better 23-13 as a favorite including going 16-5 as a home chalk. Going back, the Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (502) Charlotte Hornets |
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02-11-17 | Delaware v. James Madison -7.5 | Top | 58-57 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 29 m | Show |
James Madison opened the CAA season with three straight wins but it has been a struggle since then as the Dukes have gone 2-8 over their last 10 games. Losing is never a good thing but the schedule has played a big role in this rough stretch as six of those 10 games have been on the road, all resulting in losses and the two home losses came against UNC-Wilmington and Charleston which are a combined 21-5 in the conference. One of the road losses came at Delaware so revenge is in play here. That win over the Dukes was just one of three conference wins for Delaware which is now 3-10 in the CAA. The Blue Hens are coming off an upset win over Elon in overtime at home on Thursday and they have not won consecutive games this season over Division I teams as they are 0-7 following a victory. Delaware has really struggled on the road as it is 2-10 and of their 10 losses, only one has come by single digits and on the road for the season, the Blue Hens are getting outscored by an average of 15.7 ppg. This includes six conference road losses by an average of 23.2 ppg. 10* (576) James Madison Dukes |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7.5 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 28 m | Show |
After seven straight wins, Maryland has dropped its last two games by a total of seven points. The Terrapins lost last Saturday at home against Purdue by a single point and they had a tough time recovering from that last second loss as they fell at Penn St. on Tuesday. They now trail first place Wisconsin by a game and a half in the Big Ten and with a pair of road game on deck against 7-4 Northwestern and the 10-1 Badgers, this is a big game to avoid a three-game skid. Ohio St. is coming off a pair of wins including an impressive victory at Michigan but it has not won three straight games since early in the season as the Buckeyes are 0-3 in their last three games following consecutive victories. Ohio St. is just 3-5 on the road with two Big Ten road wins coming by just five points combined. The Buckeyes are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Terrapins are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (574) Maryland Terrapins |
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02-11-17 | Seton Hall v. St. John's +2 | Top | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
Seton Hall went 10-2 during the non-conference portion of its schedule but Big East play has not been very good. The Pirates are 5-6 which is not horrible after seeing who some of the losses came against but they are in a bad spot here as they are coming off consecutive wins in overtime against Georgetown and Providence after a brutal 1-5 stretch. They are just 2-5 on the road and the lone victory over that prior stretch came at home against St. John's which puts the Red Storm in payback mode. They lost that game by 13 points but are a respectable 3-3 over their last six games. They have had a tough slate as five of seven losses in the Big East have come against Villanova twice, Xavier twice and Creighton. St. John's owns impressive home wins over Butler and Marquette and it is 7-4 at home overall. Included in this in a perfect 4-0 ATS run against teams with winning records. 10* (520) St. John's Red Storm |
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02-10-17 | Spurs v. Pistons +4.5 | Top | 103-92 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
The Spurs continue their eight-game roadtrip as they head to Detroit after splitting their first two games to open the trek. San Antonio made history by winning its first 13 road games to open the season but has since gone 8-5 on the highway which is certainly respectable but far from dominating. Three wins over this stretch came against Phoenix, Brooklyn and Philadelphia so that record is not even as good as it looks. Going back, the Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. Detroit is three games under .500 but are 20-20 over its last 40 games and remains right in the playoff picture as it currently sits at No. 8 in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have won four straight home games while going 7-1 over their last eight games here and while the winning streak has come against some poor opposition, they do have many quality home wins as well. As a matter of fact, the Pistons are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Detroit is 4-1 ATS this season as a home underdog with the lone loss coming by just a half-point against the Rockets. 10* (854) Detroit Pistons |
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02-10-17 | Akron v. Eastern Michigan +1.5 | Top | 87-76 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Akron is clearly the class of the MAC as it comes into Friday night with a 10-1 conference record which is four games better than any other team. The Zips are in control of the MAC East as they have a four-game lead over Ohio which is now without its best player so winning the division is pretty much a guarantee. Akron has dominated at home with a 12-0 record but it has been average on the road at 4-4. Tw o non-conference losses came at Creighton and Gonzaga so no real hard there and while the Zips are 4-1 on the MAC road, three of those wins have come by four points or less against inferior competition. Eastern Michigan has been a disappointment this season as it was expected to contend in the MAC West and while it is just 5-6 in the conference, that is good enough to trail three teams by just one game. That makes this a huge game for the Eagles which have dropped three straight and need this one to remain in the hunt in the MAC West. The public is all over the Zips here at this short price but the Eagles are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog and they will be out to avenge a loss to Akron back on January 20. 10* (886) Eastern Michigan Eagles |
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02-09-17 | Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
Boston is coming off a bad loss last night as it went to Sacramento, which was playing without its top player, and was defeated by 16 points. The game was tied at the half but the Celtics allowed a 16-1 run and could never come back. That snapped a seven-game winning streak and they remain two games ahead of Toronto in the Atlantic Division. Boston has failed to cover five straight games but it has won 12 of its last 19 road games and has been solid playing with no rest, winning eight of 11 games on the season. Portland is coming off a last second win over Dallas on Tuesday which snapped a mini two-game slide and it has been a tough season overall for the Blazers. They are seven games under .500 and while they do have a winning record at home, they have dropped seven of their last 13 here and four of the six wins have come against teams with a losing record. The Celtics lost at home to Portland in overtime just over two weeks ago so they will be out for some payback from that. The Celtics are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Blazers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up win. 10* (709) Boston Celtics |
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02-09-17 | Oregon v. UCLA -4.5 | Top | 79-82 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
While North Carolina and Duke is getting all the attention as usual, the marquee game of the night is taking place in Los Angeles. UCLA heads home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 2-1 including a 41-point win over Washington last Saturday. While that could lead to a letdown in normal circumstances, this is far from a normal circumstance. The Bruins lost their last home game prior to the recent trip as they fell to Arizona by 11 points and they will be out to make good from that. Additionally, the Bruins opened the season 13-0 and commenced Pac 12 play with a game at Oregon and lost on a last second three-pointer so they will be out to avenge that defeat, the third straight to the Ducks. Oregon defeated Arizona at home by 27 points on Saturday to move to 15-0 at home but it is just 3-2 on the road with only one win coming against a team with a conference winning record and that was 6-5 Utah. The Ducks failed to win or cover their lone game as a road underdog while the Bruins are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (756) UCLA Bruins |
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02-09-17 | Charlotte v. UAB -9 | Top | 69-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
UAB came into the season as the team to beat in C-USA but it is three games behind conference leader Middle Tennessee St. however there is still time for a run. The Blazers have lost two straight games but both of those came on the road and the schedule has been difficult up to this point with seven of the first 11 games taking place on the road. They are 9-2 at home including six straight victories and going back, UAB has won 22 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Charlotte moved to 5-6 in the conference with a win over Florida International on Saturday but it was far from a quality win as FIU is 1-9. Another win came against 4-7 Southern Mississippi and two other victories came against 0-10 North Texas. The 49ers are 0-3 on the road within the conference against teams that are .500 or better and they have struggled against the teams they are expected to lose to as they are 0-6 ATS as underdogs of more than seven points while the Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite. 10* (738) UAB Blazers |
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02-08-17 | Stanford v. Arizona -13.5 | Top | 67-74 | Loss | -106 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
Arizona had its 15-game winning streak snapped on Saturday as it was throttled at Oregon by 27 points so a return home is bad news for Stanford. The Wildcats are now tied with the Ducks atop the Pac 12 with a 10-1 record and they are one of three teams in the conference with a 21-32 record with UCLA being the third. They are a perfect 12-0 at home and have won 18 straight games going back to last season while winning 67 of their last 68 games at the McKale Center. Arizona is 2-0 following a loss this season, winning the two follow up games by 22 points apiece and going back to 2012, it is 21-4 at home following a loss. Stanford won at home over Utah on Saturday which was just its fourth win in the Pac 12. Three of those have come at home with the lone road win coming at 0-11 Oregon St. which happens to be its only road win of the entire season. Arizona won the first meeting by 39 points so while revenge can be a factor for Stanford, the Wildcats have won the last 14 meetings in this series so revenge has been on the plate since 2009 but it has proved to be a non-factor. Five of the last six wins have comes by at least 13 points. Going back, the Cardinal are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (578) Arizona Wildcats |
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02-08-17 | Heat v. Bucks -3 | Top | 106-88 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
The Miami Heat remain the hottest team in basketball as they have won 11 straight games and are suddenly in the hunt in the Eastern Conference playoff picture. While the run is a great one and certainly impressive after a horrible start to the season, it is a bit skewed as only three of those wins have come on the road and two came against Brooklyn and Minnesota by five points combined. The last time Miami lost happened to come in this building back on January 13 as it fell by eight points as a 7.5-point underdog so now we are seeing a big line shift which is a massive move based on the short time frame. The fact that Milwaukee is 2-10 over its last 12 games is also playing a factor in this number but the Bucks are coming off a much needed blowout win at Phoenix on Saturday. The schedule has not been in their favor as eight of the 12 games have been on the road and they are a game over .500 at home. Milwaukee will welcome back Khris Middleton tonight who is making his season debut and while he will not make a difference in the outcome as he is playing a max of 15 minutes, his presence alone will have the team and fans extremely fired up tonight. 10* (512) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-08-17 | Nuggets v. Hawks -4 | Top | 106-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
We were on the wrong side with Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks never led against Utah and ended up losing by 25 points. The pace of the game was very slow but the Jazz scored 125 points thanks to 61.3 percent shooting so Atlanta is going to tighten the defense up tonight as Denver runs fast and can put up points. Despite that loss, the Hawks are still 15-6 over their last 21 games and they trail Washington by just a half-game for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. Denver rolled over Dallas in its last game on Monday and the Nuggets are now 9-5 over their last 14 games so they have been playing better. They are 2-4 on the road however over this stretch and are 9-16 overall on the highway. That record is skewed however as Denver is just 2-10 on the road against team with a winning record. Atlanta is a perfect 10-0 in its last 10 games following a loss while going back, the 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. Look for the Hawks to bounce back yet again and keep those streaks alive. 10* (506) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-08-17 | La Salle v. Fordham +1.5 | Top | 67-52 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
We waited on this one to get better injury information from the LaSalle side. The Explorers two of their top three leading scorers B.J. Johnson (17.8 ppg) and Pookie Powell (13.4 ppg) came in as questionable with the overnight line and now as of Wednesday afternoon, Powell has been downgraded to doubtful. Johnson remains questionable and if he does go, he will not be 100 percent so either we get that outcome or if he misses, the line should move considerable so bet early as possible. Fordham is coming off a double-overtime win at St. Joes on Saturday to improve to 4-6 in the Atlantic Ten and while the Rams have lost two straight at home, they boast a huge win over VCU prior to that. LaSalle is 6-4 in the conference following a 20-point loss at George Mason with both Johnson and Powell out which shows how important their presences are to be successful. The Explorers have lost four of their last five games including all three on the road and on the season, they are 3-7 ATS away from home. Fordham has had recent success in this series with three straight wins and since 2010, every home meeting has either been a win or tight loss. The Rams are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Explorers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (536) Fordham Rams |
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02-07-17 | Blazers v. Mavs | Top | 114-113 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
Dallas had a four-game winning streak snapped last night with a loss in Denver as it fell behind by as many as 27 points before going down by 23 points. The Mavericks are now 9-4 over their last 13 games including a 5-1 record at home which has brought them to .500 on the season at American Airlines Center. They are in a good bounce back spot tonight despite playing with no rest as they have covered five of their last six games following a double-digit loss. Portland has dropped two straight games following a loss at Oklahoma City on Sunday which followed a respectable 3-2 homestand. The Blazers are three games over .500 at home but they have struggled on the road with an 8-19 record including a 5-18 road record since early November. They are playing with revenge from a four-point home loss against Dallas last Friday but Portland is 1-7 ATS this season when getting fewer than four points while the Mavericks are a perfect 6-0 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points. Additionally, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (706) Dallas Mavericks |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -3.5 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Two NCAA Tournament bubble teams square off on Tuesday as Clemson hosts Syracuse in a huge game for both sides. The Tigers are projected to be one of the last teams in with a No. 11 seed and they cannot afford to lose any more of these marginal games. They are 3-7 in the ACC which is a horrible record for a team projected to make the Big Dance but six of the seven losses have come against teams that are also projected into the tournament with four of those losses coming by five points or less. Three of the losses came at home by eight points combined and the Tigers will be looking to bounce back from a 48-point loss at Florida St. on Sunday which is motivation enough in itself. Syracuse has turned its season around with four straight wins including a pair of home upsets over Virginia and Florida St. The Orange are now 7-4 in the ACC but they are still on the outside looking so this is clearly a big game for them as well. They are just 1-5 on the road and the one win came in overtime where they had to erase a 16-point lead at NC State. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points while the Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. 10* (738) Clemson Tigers |
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02-07-17 | Florida v. Georgia +6.5 | Top | 72-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Florida is coming off a monumental win over Kentucky on Saturday as it defeated the Wildcats by 22 points which was the most lopsided win for the Gators in the series 90-year history. The Gators have now won four straight games and it has been a dominating run as they won the other three games by 35, 32 and 39 points but those three wins were against poor teams with conference records a combined 4-26. The win over the Wildcats was impressive for sure but it sets up a letdown for Tuesday. Georgia is in a bad run that has dropped the Bulldogs into a four-way tie for ninth in the SEC as the Bulldogs have dropped four straight conference games. They lost 77-75 on Saturday at first-place South Carolina and 90-81 in overtime at Kentucky just four days earlier. All but one conference loss has come down to the final minute. This is a revenge spot for Georgia as well as it lost by four points in overtime as the Gators shot 35 free throws on their home floor, compared to 21 for the Bulldogs and head coach Mark Fox made some shrewd references to the disparity in his post-game remarks. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. 10* (714) Georgia Bulldogs |
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02-07-17 | Wake Forest v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 81-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Notre Dame was sitting near the top of the ACC a couple weeks ago but it has since dropped four straight games to fall to 6-5 which puts it in seventh place in the conference. Two of the losses have come at home against quality opponents Virginia and Duke which were its first two home losses of the season. They are coming off a tough loss against North Carolina on Sunday which was rescheduled to Greensboro from Saturday and there will be plenty of motivation as they head home looking to get back in the win column. Wake Forest is now 5-6 in the conference following a pair of wins last week but those were against teams with losing ACC records and of the five conference wins, none have come against teams with a winning record. The Demon Deacons are 4-5 on the road including two conference wins against 2-9 Boston College and 3-8 NC State. Notre Dame defeated Wake Forest twice last season by double-digits and the situations are similar as both of those victories came following a loss. Going back, the Demon Deacons are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win while the Irish are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. 10* (730) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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02-06-17 | Kansas -3 v. Kansas State | Top | 74-71 | Push | 0 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
Kansas and Kansas St. are meeting for the second time this season with the Wildcats looking for some revenge following a hard-fought two-point loss in Lawrence the first time around. The problem now is that the situations are different as the Jayhawks are coming off their first home loss in a span of 54 games so what better way to make up for that than to face and take it out their in-state rival. The Wildcats meanwhile enhanced their NCAA Tournament prospects with a win at Baylor by a bucket as a seven-point underdog. That snapped a three-game skid for the Wildcats and bumped them back into an at-large bid with a 16-7 overall record and a 5-5 mark in the Big XII. The win over the Bears was the first of the season in four tries against an RPI Top 25 team so making it two in a row will be a challenge. The Wildcats have dropped two of their last three games at home and are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games. Kansas leads the Big XII in field goal percentage at 49.5 percent, three-point field goal percentage at 41.5 percent and rebounding at 40.0 per game and we can expect a full effort following that loss knowing the Jayhawks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (533) Kansas Jayhawks |
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02-06-17 | Jazz v. Hawks -1 | Top | 120-95 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Atlanta remains home following a win over Orlando on Saturday to move to 15-5 over its last 20 games to keep pace with the Wizards in the Southeast Division. The Hawks are just a half-game behind the Raptors for the coveted fourth spot in the Eastern Conference and they have had this game circled for some time. Atlanta lost in Utah back in November by 27 points as it was held to 68 points which is by far its lowest point total of the season. Utah is coming off a 3-1 homestand following a win over Charlotte on Saturday and the schedule has been in its favor with nine of its last 12 games taking place at home. Those three road games came against teams that are all at least six games under .500 and the road has been a challenge with seven straight losses against the number. They have played a very easy schedule overall as they have been favored in 35 of 51 games and the line has played a big role on the highway as Utah is a perfect 12-0 as a road favorite but just 1-10 as a road underdog. Going back, the Jazz are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (510) Atlanta Hawks |
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02-05-17 | Blazers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 99-105 | Win | 100 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
We won with the Thunder on Friday as they snapped a three-game losing skid thanks to a 15-0 run to end the game and they carry that momentum into Sunday. Oklahoma City improved to 17-7 at home including wins in six of its last seven in what has been part of a brutal stretch of its schedule. This is the first time since late November the Thunder have played three straight home games and going back to December 21, 16 of their last 23 games have been on the road. Portland is coming off a 3-2 homestand to move to 14-11 at home but the Blazers have struggled on the road with an 8-18 record. They have won just four of 16 games when getting points and are 3-10 ATS when getting fewer than six points. Oklahoma City is 14-5 ATS this season when favored by more than four points while going 10-3 ATS at home against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (856) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-05-17 | South Florida +15 v. Temple | Top | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
It has been a tough year for Temple which won 47 games over the last two season but sits at 12-11 this season including a 3-7 record in the AAC. The Owls are coming off a win at Tulane but are now laying their biggest line of the season and while it comes against a poor South Florida team, it is unjustified at this price. They were hit hard by graduation while two returnees that were expected to contribute a great deal have been sidelined with injuries. It has been an even bigger struggle for South Florida which has yet to win a game in the conference after a 6-5 non-conference record. Only two of ten games have come against teams that are under .500 in the conference, While South Florida has gone winless on the road in its AAC games this season, it has gotten double-digits in the last four but those came against Cincinnati, UCF, Memphis and SMU which are a combined 33-10 in the conference. Getting points has served the Bulls well as they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 13 points or more while going 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a double-digit loss at home. Meanwhile the Owls are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 13 points or more. 10* (861) South Florida Bulls |
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02-04-17 | Warriors v. Kings +13 | Top | 106-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Sacramento is coming off a loss last night against Phoenix, ruining a monster night from DeMarcus Cousins where he posted a triple double but the Kings were outscored 29-17 from the free throw line and that was the ultimate difference. If there has been one consistency for the Kings, it is that they have been competitive at home as they have only lost twice by more points than what they are getting tonight. This includes losses against San Antonio (twice), Golden St., Cleveland, Oklahoma City and the Clippers, all of which were by 12 points or less. Overall, Sacramento has been a solid team in this range as it is 8-4 ATS as an underdog of seven points or more. Golden St. has won five straight games as the offense has been rolling, averaging 125.8 ppg over this stretch. Because of the pace, the defense has not been great as the Warriors are allowing 45.7 percent shooting which is well above their season average. Nobody likes betting against Golden St. but it is a pedestrian 24-24-2 ATS including 11-13-1 ATS on the road so they are far from the covering clip from last season. The Warriors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400 while the Kings are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (520) Sacramento Kings |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State v. Wichita State -10 | Top | 45-86 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is the second meeting between the two top teams in the Missouri Valley Conference and with Illinois St. taking the first meeting at home by 14 points, Wichita St. needs to take this one for any shot at the MVC title. The Shockers have won five straight games since that loss to the Redbirds including the last two games coming on the road. They are 12-1 at home this season with the lone loss coming against Oklahoma St. but that game was played at INTRUST Bank Arena, which is an annual stop for the Shockers. They have won 16 consecutive games at Charles Koch Arena, their on-campus home. Illinois St. is a perfect 11-0 in the conference as it came in as the leading candidate to take out Wichita St. and so far so good. There have been some suspect losses away from home where all four of the Redbirds defeats have taken place. This is a similar situation to last season when Wichita St. opened 11-0 in the MVC and went to Illinois St. and lost before getting its retribution at home in the second meeting by 16 points. The big story here is that Illinois St. will be without forward MiKyle McIntosh. He is second on the team in scoring and rebounding with 13.5 ppg and 6.4 rpg and put down 20 points and five boards in the first meeting. 10* (672) Wichita St. Shockers |
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02-04-17 | Memphis v. UCF -2 | Top | 57-72 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show |
Memphis has won two straight games and five of its last six to improve to 7-3 in the AAC. The Tigers have covered just once in their last seven games however as they continue to be overpriced with a lot of that based on name alone. They are two wins away of their total from last season which shows how good of a job Tubby Smith has done in his first season in Memphis. The Tigers are 3-2 on the road in conference action and while a win over Houston was impressive, the other two came against South Florida and Tulane which are a combined 1-19 in the conference. UCF started the season 14-4 including a 5-1 record in the AAC but the Knights have lost four straight games. Three of those have been on the road while the lone home loss came against 9-1 SMU and one of those road losses was at Memphis which started this skid so revenge will be in play. The Knights are seventh nationally in scoring defense, allowing just 61.3 ppg and while smith has done a great job in Memphis, the UCF turnaround can be attributed to new head coach Johnny Dawkins. The Tigers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while UCF has won six of seven games this season as a favorite. 10* (588) UCF Knights |
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02-04-17 | William & Mary v. Towson -2.5 | Top | 80-82 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
William & Mary has moved into a tie for third place in the CAA, trailing UNC-Wilmington and Charleston by two games thanks to four straight wins after a 3-4 start in the conference. The schedule has played a big part in the recent surge however as all four of those wins came at home where the Tribe are now a perfect 11-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 2-9 on the road so the home team is 20-2 in their 22 games on the season. William & Mary is 1-4 on the highway in the CAA with the one win coming by a bucket in overtime. Towson has been playing solid as well as it has won six of its last seven games after starting the season 0-4 in the conference. The Tigers are 4-0 at home and 2-1 on the road during this recent stretch so they have done excellent despite a challenging schedule. They defeated Drexel on Thursday in overtime which was a big win following a loss at Northeastern last Saturday. Towson has won six straight home games and are 8-3 overall this season and it is averaging 80 ppg during its six-game home court winning streak. The Tribe are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win while going just 3-7 ATS on the road this season against teams with a winning record. 10* (590) Towson Tigers |
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02-04-17 | Tennessee v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 59-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 53 m | Show |
Tennessee has won four straight games to get back into the NCAA Tournament mix. The Volunteers are now 13-9 overall including a 5-4 record in the SEC and while that does not seem overly impressive, they did pick up a big win over Kentucky a week and a half ago and followed that up with a solid victory over Kansas St. in a game they could have easily shown a letdown. They have been fairly solid on the road with a 4-3 record but they are in a tough spot here. Mississippi St. has been equally impressive with a 13-8 record and while it started 3-1 in the conference, the Bulldogs have lost four of their last five games. Three of those took place on the road including the last two while the lone home loss came against Kentucky by just seven points. Following that Kentucky loss, the Bulldogs suffered a letdown and lost at Tennessee by 17 points so they will be out to avenge that defeat. The last time Mississippi St. lost two straight games, it bounced back at home with a blowout win to improve to 8-4 at home. The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss and even better, they are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. 10* (578) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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02-03-17 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -1.5 | Top | 102-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Oklahoma City caught the Bulls at the wrong time on Wednesday as Chicago shot an amazing 60.5 percent from the floor while the Thunder shot just 38 percent while hoisting up 100 shot attempts. That was the third straight loss for the Thunder after going 7-3 over their last 10 games and it also snapped a five-game home winning streak. Oklahoma City is 16-7 at home while going 16-5 as a home favorite and on the season, the chalk is 37-13 in its 50 games overall. Memphis meanwhile has won three straight games on this current six-game roadtrip and the Grizzlies are now two games over .500 on the road. It has been an up and down run as the Grizzlies are 12-12 over their last 24 games which includes a loss here last month by eight points. The Thunder were favored by 4.5 points in that game so the value is on their side in this rematch and the only difference this time around is they are without Enos Kanter. Going back, the Thunder are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 10* (858) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-03-17 | Bulls v. Rockets -6 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
We have backed Houston on a few occasions this season when in this similar spot and we will be on the Rockets again tonight. The Rockets led by as many as 20 points against the Hawks last night including taking a 13-point lead into the fourth quarter but they were outscored 40-22 in the final period and lost for just the sixth time at home. They have been extremely solid in two ways heading into this game as they are 14-2 this season following a loss while going 11-1 when playing with no rest. Put those two situations together where Houston is coming off a loss and playing with no rest and it is a perfect 4-0, winning those games by 19, 17, 14 and 19 points. Chicago defeated the Thunder on Wednesday and it was a game where everything went its way as it shot 60.5 percent from the floor and outscored the Thunder 24-14 from the free throw line. The Bulls are still just 10-14 on the road and while they have won two straight games, they are 1-6 over their last seven games following consecutive wins. 10* (860) Houston Rockets |
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02-03-17 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -3.5 | Top | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
The MAC West is a wide open race with all six teams separated by just three games. Central Michigan trails Ball St. by two games and it has done the job at McGuirk Arena with a 9-1 record on the season including going 3-1 in the conference, the only loss coming against 9-0 Akron by just four points. The Chippewas are just 1-4 on the MAC highway and Western Michigan knows how those struggles feel as it is 0-8 on the road overall including five conference losses. This is a great matchup for Central Michigan and its high-powered offense as it is ranked in the top 20 nationally in six stat categories - No. 2 in three-point field goals per game, No. 3 in total three-point field goals made and three-point field goal attempts, No. 4 in scoring offense, No. 6 in free throw percentage and No. 7 in free throws made. The Broncos allow opponents to shoot 50.5 percent from the floor including 39.8 percent from long range. Western Michigan got the best of the Chippewas twice last season including an overtime win in this gym so there is some added motivation for Central Michigan against their rivals. The Chippewas are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (884) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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02-02-17 | Warriors v. Clippers +8 | Top | 133-120 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
Give credit to the Clippers last night for keeping their focus on a bad Suns team in Phoenix knowing this game was upcoming in 24 hours. Los Angeles never trailed and while it never really pulled away for a no doubt win, it snapped a two-game slide heading into this showdown with the Warriors. The question has been for a few years about which team can give Golden St. a run in the Western Conference and the Clippers name seems to always come up despite the fact they have lost eight straight games in this series. The last one was the worst of all as they lost in Golden St. by 46 points on Saturday so payback will be at the forefront, especially after head coach Doc Rivers made the team watch a replay of the entire game on Monday. Golden St. also won last night as it defeated Charlotte at home for its fourth straight win to move to an NBA best 42-7. The Warriors have the best road record in the NBA which is a half-game better than the Spurs but this is not the ideal spot as Golden St. is 1-7 ATS this season with no rest when playing the second game on the road. This includes losses against the number in six straight games and the average margin of victory is just 3.8 ppg. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers |
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02-02-17 | Arizona v. Oregon State +17 | Top | 71-54 | Push | 0 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
Arizona has moved up to No. 5 in the country thanks to a 14-game winning streak and this is a big roadtrip for the Wildcats. They have a Saturday showdown at Oregon, which sits one game behind Arizona in the Pac 12, so there is certainly the possibility of a lookahead to that game. The Wildcats have yet to lose on the road and while they are clearly a big step above Oregon St., laying a number this big on the highway is pretty aggressive. Arizona is just 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season of 15 or more points and the last time it layed more than 15 points on the road as all the way back in February of 2003. Oregon St. has yet to win a conference game but it continues to play hard and with no postseason on the horizon, trying to play spoiler is the remaining goal. While the Beavers are just 4-7 at home, they have not lost by more than what they are getting here and on the season, they are 4-1 ATS when getting more than 12 points. Most impressive though is that the Beavers are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (744) Oregon St. Beavers |
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02-02-17 | James Madison +7 v. Elon | Top | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington and Charleston are starting to separate themselves from the rest of the CAA and there is a logjam of five teams that are within two games of each other fighting for the final four spots of not having to play a first round game in the CAA Tournament. Elon and James Madison are both part of that group and it is the Dukes that are currently sitting in that unenviable seventh spot in the standings. They have dropped four straight games after a 4-2 start and half of their conference losses have come down to the final minute. While James Madison has been slipping, Elon has been moving up the ranks thanks to a complete opposite run as it has won four straight games after a 2-4 start. Elon caught a break last game as it faced a Hofstra team that was without two of its best players in guard Eli Pemberton (13.2 ppg) and center Rokas Gustys (12.2 rpg) and the absences showed in a 14-point Phoenix win. They have covered eight straight games which is a big reason they are favored by so much which matches the most they have been favored by in conference action. 10* (727) James Madison Dukes |
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02-01-17 | USC v. Washington +2 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
Washington is having another down season and will miss the NCAA Tournament once again to make it six years since its last appearance. The Huskies have lost three straight games to fall to 2-7 in the Pac 12 which includes a 0-4 record on the road and while its 2-3 home conference record does not look good, two of those losses came against Oregon and Utah. They are coming off a solid game at Arizona as they led the Wildcats in the second half before faltering down the stretch. The Huskies possess one of the most dynamic freshmen in the country as Markelle Fultz is the only player in the nation averaging 20 points, 6 assists and 6 rebounds and has been projected as a possible No. 1 overall pick. USC upset UCLA in its last game to make it two straight wins to improve to 5-4 in the Pac 12 and 18-4 overall. The short price the Trojans are laying here is clearly very enticing for the public as they are one of the highest road consensus plays of the night. We are bucking that here as the Trojans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of fewer than seven points. 10* (586) Washington Huskies |
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02-01-17 | Bulls v. Thunder -3 | Top | 128-100 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Oklahoma City is coming off a loss at San Antonio last night which was its second straight loss with a defeat at Cleveland taking place two days earlier. The Thunder led early against the Spurs but eventually trailed by as many as 20 points but a return home after playing two of the best teams in the NBA is just what they need now. They have been involved in a brutal stretch since before Christmas as 16 of their last 21 games have taken place on the road and they have held their own by going 12-9 in those 21 games and with a game at home on Friday against Memphis marks the first time over this stretch they have had consecutive games at home. Oklahoma City has won five straight at home. Chicago picked up a victory over Philadelphia on Sunday which capped a 1-2 homestand. The Bulls have gone 3-9 over their last 12 road games and are just 5-11 on the season as a road underdog. The Thunder are 2-0 ATS when playing with no rest going from the road to back home and are 16-6 ATS as favorites of fewer than eight points while going 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing record. 10* (522) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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02-01-17 | Northwestern v. Purdue -9 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
Northwestern cracked the AP Top 25 this week for the first time since 2009-10 and its 18-4 start to the season is the best 22-game start in program history. The Wildcats are pretty much a cinch for the NCAA Tournament and a win here would lock it up. They have won their last six Big Ten games and have not won seven straight conference games since 1932-33. The public is all over them again tonight with this pretty big line but they will be without leading scorer Scottie Lindsey who will be out for a couple weeks with mono. Purdue has fallen to No. 23 following a loss at Nebraska on Sunday to fall to 2-3 on the road but the Boilermakers have been pretty dominant at home. They lost early in the season to Villanova and then again to Minnesota in overtime but they have won all other 11 home games, the last nine coming by double-digits. With the next two games taking place on the road, this is the only home game in a 24-day stretch so Purdue has to take advantage and pick up a quality win without much of a challenge. 10* (560) Purdue Boilermakers |
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02-01-17 | Wolves v. Cavs -7 | Top | 97-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
It is no secret that Cleveland is struggling as the Cavaliers are coming off a loss at Dallas which was their seventh loss in their last 11 games. They certainly had some questionable losses over this stretch but they have lost to some solid teams as well as well as a three-game stretch where they lost three straight by nine points combined with two of those coming in overtime. Cleveland was awful in January against the number as it went 3-12 ATS in 15 games but that is now helping us out here with value. The fact Cleveland is favored by the same amount here as it was in its last home game against Oklahoma City shows that. The recent play from Minnesota is also playing a role as it has gone 5-1 over its last six games and 8-3 over its last 11 games. Five of those wins came at home however while the road wins came against 15-33 Phoenix and the shorthanded Clippers so while the run has been nice, it has not been overly impressive. Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last five games following a win and the Cavaliers should be putting up an over the top effort tonight. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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02-01-17 | Syracuse v. NC State | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a big win on Saturday as it upended then-No. 6 Florida St. and that was its first win over a top 25 RPI ranked team after four losses to start the season. The Orange fans acted like it was even more than that as they stormed the floor and that is a great scenario to go against the next game as the players see that and get a little too overconfident. That was the second straight win for Syracuse to improve to 5-4 in the ACC and it is important to note that the home team is a perfect 9-0 in those nine games. NC State picked up a huge win at Duke just over a week ago but then could not sustain the momentum as the Wolfpack went to Louisville on Sunday and got hammered by 25 points. They have been hit or miss this season and are just 3-6 in the conference but have shown what they are capable of. NC State is ranked 66th in the most recent RPI with a 2-4 record overall against teams listed in the top 50 but it is 12-4 against teams ranked outside the top 50. 10* (548) NC State Wolfpack |
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01-31-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 116-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
The Lakers are coming off a winless roadtrip where they went 0-3 to make it 10 straight losses on the highway and are now 2-18 over their last 20 road games following a decent 3-3 start. They have been much better at home as they have won four of their last seven games in Los Angeles where they are just two games under .500 for the season. One of the recent losses at home came against Denver exactly two weeks ago and the line has risen from one-point then to well over a bucket now. The Nuggets have won three straight games and are 7-2 over their last nine games since their trip to London and that is certainly a big reason for the inflated line. Only two of those victories were on the road and while one came against the Lakers, it was a game that Denver shot an incredible 56.8 percent from the floor so that was an anomaly. Denver is 9-14 on the road and will once again be without Nikola Jokic who has been the Nuggets best player over the last month. The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on three or more days of rest which is very big as D'Angelo Russell should be back in the lineup after suffering a mild MCL sprain against Denver. 10* (712) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-31-17 | Georgetown v. DePaul +7 | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
DePaul is having another DePaul-like season as it has fallen to 1-7 in the Big East following its fourth straight defeat. Three of those losses came on the road where the Blue Demons are 0-6 overall including 0-5 in the conference. While they are 1-2 at home in Big East games, one loss came against St. Johns where they blew a big lead while the other came against 18-4 Butler by a point in overtime. DePaul is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog and it is catching a bigger than expected number here. Georgetown started 1-6 in the Big East but pulled off a pair of upsets last week when it defeated Creighton at home and Butler on the road. That is a big reason this line is what it is but it is hard to believe that the Hoyas have somehow flipped a switch and become a good basketball team. They have gone just 3-6 ATS as favorites and this is the first game they have been favored on the road. Going back, the Hoyas are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and if ever there a spot for a letdown, this is certainly the one. 10* (758) DePaul Blue Demons |
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01-31-17 | Loyola-Chicago v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 81-82 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
Illinois St. and Wichita St. are separating themselves from the rest of the conference but Loyola-Chicago and Missouri St. are in a battle for third place. Right now it is the Ramblers that possess that spot at 6-4 thanks to three straight wins but those came against the three worst teams in the conference which have a combined record of 5-25. All six wins have come against teams at .500 or worse and one of those came against Missouri St. just over two weeks ago setting up a revenge spot for the Bears here. They were outscored 20-9 at the free throw line in the six-point losses but we should see a reversal of that here. Missouri St. is 5-5 in the MVC with three of those losses coming in overtime including its last two games by a single point each. The Bears have been solid at home with a 10-3 record, two losses coming in conference action and the other coming against 18-4 Valparaiso by just three points. The Bears have not been out-rebounded in 11 straight games and are now 14-3 when beating their opponents on the glass. This is big because the Ramblers are getting outrebounded by close to four rpg overall and 4.0 rpg on the road. 10* (740) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-31-17 | Maryland v. Ohio State -3 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
We lost with Minnesota on Saturday as Maryland came in and defeated the Gophers to move to 5-0 on the road. The Terrapins remain one of only three undefeated teams on the road but this is the spot it ends with this being their fourth road game over their last five contests. Maryland has won six straight games overall and are one of eight teams in the nation with two or fewer losses. However, the Terrapins are the lowest ranked of the bunch. It has been a tough season for Ohio St. despite being a very veteran team as the Buckeyes are now 3-6 in the Big Ten following a loss at Iowa on Saturday. They are 1-4 on the road and while they are just 2-2 at home, the two losses came against Purdue and Minnesota by a combined three points. The veteran aspect of Ohio St. is important here as the Buckeyes will be pretty amped up to avenge a pair of losses last season against Maryland. The Terrapins are on a 6-0 ATS run so we go contrarian with that while knowing the Buckeyes are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (734) Ohio St. Buckeyes |
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01-30-17 | Grizzlies v. Suns +3.5 | Top | 115-96 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
This is just the ninth home game for Phoenix since December 23 and while it is coming off a bad loss against Denver on Saturday, the Suns have done pretty well here even in the other losses. The other three defeats came against Utah, Dallas and Minnesota by a combined 11 points and prior to the Denver game, they were on a 7-1 ATS run over this home stretch. Phoenix has played the toughest schedule in the NBA and have been great in this role, going 9-4 ATS as a home underdog while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit loss at home. Memphis has been pretty up and down of late but is coming off an upset win at Utah on Saturday by seven points as a 7.5-point underdog. Ever since a 7-1 run in the middle of December, they are just 10-12 over their last 22 games including a 5-7 record on the road. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while Phoenix is 9-2 ATS this season at home against teams with a winning record. 10* (510) Phoenix Suns |
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01-30-17 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma +1 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
It was not a good Big XII/SEC Challenge day for Oklahoma as the Sooners hosted Florida and got annihilated by 32 points. Whether they were looking ahead to the Bedlam game with Oklahoma St. is unclear but we do know that it is imperative for a bounce back on their home floor. Oklahoma is 5-5 at home and has now lost three straight as prior to the Florida game, it fell in overtime to Iowa St. on Saturday before falling to rival Texas on a last-second three-pointer on Monday. Oklahoma St. dispatched of Arkansas on Saturday at home by 28 points for its third straight victory. The Cowboys opened 0-6 in the conference before taking care of Texas Tech and TCU but they are catching Oklahoma at the wrong time. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Oklahoma has won 15 of the last 16 Bedlam battles in Norman, including the last 12 meetings. The Sooners have not lost a Bedlam game at home since 2004. 10* (526) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-29-17 | Knicks v. Hawks -7.5 | Top | 139-142 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
The Hawks got throttled in their most recent game against the red hot Wizards as they lost by 26 points for their 10th home loss of the season. That was their second straight home loss following a 6-1 run at Philips Arena and we can expect a bounce back on Sunday. Going back, the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a double-digit loss at home and this is the perfect team to play against to extend that as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Knicks meanwhile won a rare game on Friday as they defeated the Hornets at home by three points. It was a balanced effort with six players scoring in double-digits but Carmelo Anthony struggled amid all of the trade rumors while Derrick Rose got injured and is not expected to play today. New York has not won consecutive games in a month and is now 5-14 over its last 19 games while going 0-5 straight up and ATS following a victory. 10* (832) Atlanta Hawks |
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01-29-17 | Washington State +10.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
Washington St. gave Arizona an unexpected fight on Thursday as the Cougars trailed by just six points at halftime and were down by only three points with eight minutes to go until the Wildcats eventually pilled away. They fell to 3-5 in the conference and 10-10 overall which are nearly identical records as the host yet Washington St. is receiving double-digits and the Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sun Devils are coming off a win on Wednesday over Washington as small favorites and they caught a break by going to the free throw line 21 more times than the Huskies. That win improved them to 3-5 in the Pac 12 and 11-10 overall. This is an extremely young team with only one senior on the roster so coming back from a big win has been difficult as previous wins over Colorado, San Diego St. and Stanford were followed up by losses. Arizona St. has won consecutive games only twice this season and it is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games following a win. 10* (857) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-29-17 | Michigan v. Michigan State -2.5 | Top | 62-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This has not been the typical Michigan St. team we have seen in recent years but the schedule has had a lot to do with that. Last season, the Spartans went 13-0 prior to the Big Ten season but went just 8-5 this season and that was due to a brutal November slate. The Spartans had never faced three Top 10 opponents in November until this season, and had never played four Top 20 non-conference opponents in a single month during the regular season. What is similar is the early conference record as they are 4-4 this season and after starting 3-4 last season, they went on to finish 10-1 over their final 11 Big Ten games. Michigan is coming off a 30-point win over Indiana on Thursday as it shot a ridiculous 63.3 percent from the floor. The Wolverines are 0-5 on the road compared to 14-2 in 16 non-true road games. Going back, the Wolverines are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Spartans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (852) Michigan St. Spartans |
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01-29-17 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -11.5 | Top | 70-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Oakland is going through some struggles right now as this team was supposed to contend for the Horizon League Championship with Valparaiso but is now stuck in a three-way tie for third place at 5-4. The Golden Grizzlies lost at home to 7-2 Green Bay on Friday which was their fourth loss in their last five games and most surprisingly, their third straight home defeat after a 9-1 start at The Blacktop at the O'rena. Milwaukee is riding a three-game winning streak but two of those took overtime and all three came against the only three teams that are below the Panthers and those three teams are a combined 8-21 in the conference. The last victory came on Friday against Detroit on the road but that was just their second road win on the season, the first coming at Montana St. Going back, the Panthers are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS win while the Golden Grizzlies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. 10* (854) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-28-17 | Oregon v. Colorado +7 | Top | 65-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
Colorado finally broke through with its first conference win as it took out Oregon St. on Thursday after seven straight Pac 12 losses. The Buffaloes have definitely been the biggest disappointment in the conference but they have suffered some brutal losses including a pair of overtime losses and two other losses by three points or less. They led in the final minute of regulation or in overtime in all four of those games. Oregon continues to roll as it defeated a very solid Utah team on Thursday to run its winning streak to 17 straight games. Additionally, the Ducks have covered their last eight games and because of that, the linesmakers have had to make an overadjustment here. The run has been solid but the quality of opponents over the last six games has not been great with the exception of the Utes. The confidence of that first conference win for Colorado will have them in great shape here with an outright upset far from out of the question. 10* (662) Colorado Buffaloes |
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01-28-17 | Ohio State v. Iowa -1 | Top | 72-85 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
Iowa returns home following a loss at Illinois to fall to 0-5 on the road including four conference losses. Overall, the Hawkeyes have lost three straight games to fall to 3-5 in the Big Ten and they need to get a run going and it should start here with the first of three straight winnable games. Ohio St. is also 3-5 in the conference but it has been playing a lot better with wins in three of its last four games following a 0-4 start in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes own just one road win in the conference and that came by a point at Nebraska which came on a last second layup. The only other road victory came at Navy in their first game of the season. going back, the Buckeyes are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight home games. 10* (642) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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01-28-17 | Kings v. Hornets -7.5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
We played against Sacramento last night which resulted in a push and we will be going against the Kings again tonight as they are in an awful spot. The loss last night was in overtime which was their second straight overtime game and with this being the third game in four nights, this is a fatigued team. Additionally, this is their sixth game in nine nights, all of which have taken place on the road so there has been travel involved every day. Charlotte has dropped its last three games and is now a game under .500 on the season. The latest defeat came last night in New York and while this is also the sixth game in nine nights for the Hornets, the first four were all at home so there has been minimal travel. As mentioned yesterday, the Pacers are the only team in the NBA that has at least 15 wins at home and at least 15 losses on the road so the venue matters. Well, Charlotte has joined that group as it brings in a 159 record at home. The Kings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (502) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-28-17 | Towson v. Northeastern -2.5 | Top | 62-69 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Northeastern was pretty average during the non-conference portion of its schedule where it went 7-5 but that included a pair of solid wins over Connecticut and Michigan St. on the road. Of those 12 games, only two took place at home so in reality, the start to the season was arguably better than the record shows. The Huskies then opened CAA action with a perfect 5-0 record, four of those wins coming at home. The run did not last long however as Northeastern has lost its last four games including a loss to Elon on Thursday. Towson is also 5-4 in the CAA but it has had the opposite conference season as it opened with four straight losses but has bounced back with five consecutive wins and covers. This includes two road wins but those were against teams a combined 3-15 in the conference. This is also a revenge game for the Huskies which lost the first meeting by seven points and that was the start of this recent four-game skid. 10* (628) Northeastern Huskies |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
After a great start to the season, Minnesota has hit a rough stretch. The Gophers opened the season 15-2 including a 3-1 record in the Big Ten but they have lost their last four games. To their credit, three of those losses came on the road while the lone home loss came against Wisconsin last Saturday in overtime by just two points. That was just their second home loss of the season and the first defeat was by just one point which also came in overtime against Michigan St. Maryland has cracked the Top 25 thanks to five straight wins to improve to 18-2 on the season. The Terrapins are 4-0 on the road and they are one of just three teams in the country that are still undefeated on the road, Arizona and Gonzaga being the others. It is very difficult to sustain that type of play on the highway and they catch Minnesota at the absolute worst time. Going back, the Gophers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (538) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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01-28-17 | Providence +8.5 v. Marquette | Top | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
Marquette pulled off a big upset on the road last Saturday at Creighton and it turned out to not be a fluke as the Golden Eagles backed that up with a home upset over Villanova on Tuesday. They definitely have the confidence going right now but this sets up as the classic letdown spot and because of those two big wins, they are overpriced here. Keeping the winning streak going is a definite possibility but now they are being asked to cover a bigger than expected number here. Providence has dropped two straight games to fall to 3-6 in the Big East. The Friars have struggled away from home but have covered five of those nine games including three of their last four. While they have lost three of their last five games, they are outshooting opponents by over four percent from the floor so things could be better at this point. The Golden Eagles are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Friars are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (541) Providence Friars |
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01-28-17 | Florida State -3 v. Syracuse | Top | 72-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Syracuse picked up a much needed win over Wake Forest on Tuesday to improve to 4-4 in the ACC and while the home team is now 17-2 in its games this season, this is not a good spot. The Orange are 0-4 this season against teams ranked in the RPI Top 25 with all four of those resulting in blowout losses by at least 14 points. The Orange are struggling mightily on defense and this is not the game for that to improve. We played against Florida St. on Wednesday as it lost at Georgia Tech by 22 points which came after a 5-1 run. Most impressively, those six games all came against teams ranked in the Top 25 so it was a brutal stretch that they survived very well. The loss to the Yellow Jackets was just the third of the season for the Seminoles and they are a perfect 8-0 against teams ranked outside the RPI Top 100. The Seminoles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games following a ATS loss while the Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (521) Florida St. Seminoles |
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01-27-17 | Rockets -8 v. 76ers | Top | 123-118 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
Two teams trending in opposite directions square off on Friday as Houston looks to get back on track following a pair of losses while the Sixers look to keep their four-week run going strong. The Rockets have lost consecutive games for just the second time this season but they are still 12-2 straight up and ATS following a loss. Despite the last two losses, Houston is 17-10 on the road which is the third best road record in the NBA. Philadelphia has gone 10-3 in its last 13 games since December 30 and will be out to win its third straight game for the third time during this recent winning stretch. Seven of these wins have come against teams with a losing record and facing a dynamic offense of the Rockets will be an issue. The Sixers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA with Joel Embiid on the floor but he is likely to miss his fourth straight game. The Rockets are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a losing straight up record while going back, they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. 10* (851) Houston Rockets |
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01-27-17 | Bucks v. Raptors -4 | Top | 86-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
While Cleveland is the big talk with its recent slump, the Raptors have gone under the radar with their issues. They have lost five straight games and this is the longest losing streak since February of 2015 so this is a rare thing going on right now. Toronto has been without DeMar DeRozan for the last two games and he will be out again tonight and while he is a dynamic player whose absence is hard to replace, the Raptors will be ready to get out of this funk against a team it has dominated the last two seasons. The Bucks are struggling also as they have dropped six of their last seven games to fall three games under .500. The potential for Milwaukee is there with a cast of great young players but it is still missing a key cog in Khris Middleton who will hopefully be back in a few weeks. The Bucks have just eight road wins this season and are 6-11 both straight up and ATS as road underdogs. Additionally, the Bucks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (856) Toronto Raptors |
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01-27-17 | Kings v. Pacers -4 | Top | 111-115 | Push | 0 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
This is a great spot to go against the Kings which are coming off a big upset win over the Cavaliers for their second straight road win as underdogs. They have not won three straight road games in over a calendar year and this recent two-game stretch came after a horrid 1-8 run. Sacramento has allowed over 100 points in 15 of its last 16 games as the defense remains one of the worst in the NBA and it is third to last in effective defensive field goal percentage. The Pacers are coming off a rare road win last night at Minnesota which snapped a three game losing streak and put them back over .500 for the season. They are 16-6 at home and they are the only team in the NBA that has at least 15 wins at home and at least 15 losses on the road so the venue matters most for Indiana more than any other team in the league. The Kings are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game while the Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (854) Indiana Pacers |
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01-26-17 | Louisiana Tech v. UAB -2 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
UAB opened the conference season with a loss at Middle Tennessee St., which is currently 7-0 in C-USA, but then ran off five straight wins before losing at Florida International this past Saturday. The Blazers were picked to win the conference and sitting just two games behind the Blue Raiders, they are still in great position. The front end of the schedule has been tough with five of the first seven conference games taking place on the road. They are 7-2 at home including four straight victories and going back, UAB has won 20 consecutive home games against conference opponents. Louisiana Tech has been one of the big surprises early on in the conference season as it is off to a 6-1 start. The Bulldogs have won and covered four straight games but the opposition has not been very strong and overall, they have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference. All six conference wins have come against teams that are 4-3 or worse so the fact they are sitting in second place by themselves is a bit skewed. The Blazers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of fewer than seven points while the Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (742) UAB Blazers |
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01-26-17 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -8 | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
It was a solid start to the conference season for Western Kentucky as it opened 3-0 including a pair of road wins where it came in 1-6 but things have started going the wrong way. The Hilltoppers have lost four straight games including the last three that all came on the highway. The schedule has not been in their favor with five of the first seven C-USA games taking place on the road but this start a stretch of five of the next seven games coming at home. Western Kentucky has gone 0-5 ATS in its last five games which gives us some value in the number tonight. UTEP is having the opposite start to its conference season as it opened 0-3 in its first three C-USA games, all on the road, but has won its last three games, all at home. Two of those came by a point in overtime and the latest win came over UTSA which was riding a three-game winning streak at the time. The recent win over the Roadrunners snapped an eight-game ATS slide. Overall, the Miners are winless on the road and going back, they are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Hilltoppers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (736) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 61-73 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Northwestern is in great position to make its first ever NCAA Tournament as the Wildcats are 16-4 overall including a 5-2 record in the Big Ten. Currently, they are projected as a No. 8 seed which is pretty secure at this point barring a monumental collapse. The remaining schedule is a monster and a look ahead to Indiana on Sunday would not at all be surprising. The Wildcats opened 15-3 last season but failed to make the Big Dance so the solid record this season does not necessarily mean this team is any more dominant. Nebraska has been up and down this season as it is now 9-10 following an upset loss at Rutgers this past Saturday which was its fourth straight defeat. This comes after a 3-0 start in the Big Ten including very solid wins over Indiana and Maryland on the road. This recent skid has been tough considering all four losses have come by eight points or less with the last two coming by three points combined. The Huskers have played the second toughest schedule in the country after playing non-conference games against UCLA, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Creighton and Kansas. They have covered five straight games as an underdog. 10* (731) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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01-25-17 | Heat v. Nets +4.5 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Brooklyn is coming off one of its worst losses of the season as it not only lost by 26 points against San Antonio but it came against a Spurs team missing Kawai Leonard, Tony Parker and Pau Gasol so it was clearly not motivated to be playing a short-handed team. Those are type of losses that we can take advantage of next time out. Brooklyn has dropped 13 of its last 14 games but one look at the schedule will show a reason why as the Nets have played 11 of those games against teams currently in playoff positions with the other three coming against Philadelphia and New Orleans which are both playing their best basketball of the season. The Heat enter on a four-game overall winning streak but also on a four-game road losing streak and on the season, they are 2-9 on the road against the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a last second victory against Golden St. which presents a letdown especially facing the Nets in this next game. Miami has dominated this series with wins in nine of the last 10 meetings but those were dominant Miami teams and this is the first meeting this season. The Nets are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record while Miami lost and failed to cover its only game as a road favorite. 10* (506) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-25-17 | Creighton -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Creighton is laying a short price on the road and at 5-0 on the road this season, there is no reason to think the Bluejays will not keep it going. They are coming off a loss against Marquette on Saturday and while it seemed like a bad loss at the time, the fact the Golden Eagles defeated Villanova last night shows that it was not a poor loss after all. That was just the second loss of the season, the first coming against Villanova, and Creighton responded with a blowout win next time out. While that may have come against St. Johns, Georgetown is not much better this season. The Hoyas were a disappointment last season as they finished with the worst record in the John Thompson III era and while a turnaround was expected this season, it has not happened. They are 10-10 which is not horrible but their 1-6 record in the Big East is horrible and Georgetown has not even hit the tough part of the schedule. The Hoyas still have Creighton once again, Butler and Villanova twice. The Bluejays lost point guard Maurice Watson for the season two games back which definitely hurt against Marquette but now have had extra time to adjust. The Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road favorite while the Hoyas are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of fewer than seven points. 10* (539) Creighton Bluejays |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +9 | Top | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Florida St. is coming off a brutal, yet very successful, stretch so it is in position for a big letdown. The Seminoles are coming off a run of six straight games against nationally ranked opponents where they went 5-1 and the victory over Louisville was the sixth win over a ranked opponent this season which ties a school record. Four of the six games during the recent run came at home where they are 14-0 this season but just 1-1 on the road. Georgia Tech has played better than expected this season as they Yellow Jackets are 11-8 overall including 3-4 in the ACC. Those three wins are pretty impressive as well as they won at home against Clemson and on the road at NC State but the big one was a home victory over North Carolina by 12 points as a 17-point underdog. Georgia Tech is coming off a three-game roadtrip that resulted in that win over the Wolfpack and a tough one-point loss at Virginia Tech. Georgia Tech leads the ACC in field goal percentage defense against ACC teams and that is a key component when facing the Seminoles which have been fairly potent on offense this season. In its last game, Georgia Tech held Virginia to its third-lowest point total of the year and eight points below its season scoring average entering the game. The Seminoles are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Yellow Jackets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. 10* (532) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |