Sports Picks & Predictions
Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
03-24-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Kansas State -1 | Top | 78-62 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Elite Eight Enforcer. The Loyola-Chicago Cinderella story is a good one as it snuck out its third straight last second victory, this time a one-point win over Nevada. The Ramblers have shot 51 percent through the three games but the defense has been just as much part of the success as they have allowed just 64 ppg. While the Ramblers can dictate the pace on offense with any one of four shooters averaging better than 55 percent from inside the three-point line, Kansas St. has no problem playing at a slow pace. Kansas St. can certainly be considered a Cinderella as well as a No. 9 seed, making this the first ever 9-vs.-11 matchup in the history of the tournament. The Wildcats are not getting the pub though and that seems to be fine with them. They were even dissed by Kentucky following their victory on Thursday as players and coaches left the court without shaking the hands of Kansas St. players. This team is playing with a chip on its shoulder and it is doing so with a stout defense that has allowed 53.3 ppg and two of those games were against teams ranked No. 15 and No. 61 in offensive efficiency. Loyola-Chicago is No. 73 but the Wildcats showed what they are capable of and getting out to a lead will make it much more difficult for the Ramblers to come back from as opposed to the first three games in the tournament. Leading scorer Dean Wade has played only eight minutes in the tournament and the Wildcats have still been able to win and he will likely see more significant action on Saturday. 10* (514) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-23-18 | Jazz v. Spurs -3 | Top | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. After sitting on the outside of the Western Conference playoffs for a short amount of time, San Antonio has regrouped with five straight wins to move back up to the No. 6 spot. The Spurs are just 2.5 games out of the No. 3 spot but at the same time, they are just three games out of being back on the outside so finishing this homestand a perfect 6-0 is huge. One of the teams on their tail is Utah as it trails San Antonio by two games following a win in Dallas last night. The Jazz have won 10 of their last 11 games so they are clearly playing at a high level and will have the attention of the Spurs. Adding to that is the fact that Utah has won the first three meetings so revenge is in play as the Spurs look to avoid getting swept by Utah for the first time since 2009-10 and just the third time ever. Utah has been solid this season when playing with no rest as it is 10-4 but most of that success has come at home where it is 7-0 in the second of a back-to-back set. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off two or more consecutive home wins, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. Additionally, the Spurs are 11-3 ATS this season at home coming off a home win. 10* (866) San Antonio Spurs |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia +5.5 v. Villanova | Top | 78-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CBB Friday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Strength vs. strength will be on display on Friday night as West Virginia brings in its pressing defense going up against the top efficiency offense in the country. The Mountaineers are in the top 10 in the country in turnover margin and forced turnovers (16.5 per game) while also racking up more than eight steals a game and the Wildcats have not seen anything like this. The only Villanova opponent that forced turnovers at that level was St. Johns (16.2 per game) and in n two games, the Wildcats struggled as they won one game by seven points and lost the other by four points. West Virginia is far superior to the Red Storm so we can envision seeing the Wildcats struggle again. The Mountaineers can score, which makes them different than in past years, as they average 80.2 ppg so they have the capability to keep up is Villanova gets hot from the floor. West Virginia is 15-8 ATS against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season and it falls into a fantastic situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against an opponent after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (871) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-22-18 | Hawks v. Kings -2.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Atlanta is coming off a rare road win at it upset Utah on Tuesday as a 14-point underdog. That was just the sixth road victory for the Hawks this season and they have yet to win consecutive road games this season. Those follow up road losses have come by an average of 8.4 ppg and they have won consecutive games of any kind only three times all season, going 3-17 after a victory. Sacramento is coming off a loss against Detroit at home on Monday but the Kings have been playing decent down the stretch, going 5-6 over their last 11 games. Five of those defeats have come against teams that are currently in playoff spots with Detroit being the exception. The difference in that game against the Pistons was free throws as Sacramento was outscored 18-4 from the charity stripe. The Kings are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record. Additionally, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more against opponent off a road win. This situation is 114-66 ATS (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (812) Sacramento Kings |
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03-22-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Michigan | Top | 72-99 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Ultimate Underdog. Texas A&M has had the tougher road to the Sweet 16 than Michigan but it has made it look easier. The Aggies beat a very good Providence team and they dominated that game in shooting and rebounding but the Friars kept it close by committing only four turnovers. Against North Carolina, it was a complete domination as the Tar Heels were considered to have the size and rebounding advantage but were outrebounded 47-36. They grab 34 percent of their offensive rebound opportunities and they are the bigger team in this matchup as Robert Williams and Tyler Davis have the advantage down low over both Moritz Wagner and John Teske. Wagner has been prone to foul trouble in recent games and that will kill the Wolverines here. Michigan has not looked good though the first two games for a team that is riding an 11-game winning streak. They started out each game slowly and went through long stretches where they missed wide-open shots. It took a last-second three-pointer to advance over Houston so the Wolverines are fortunate to be here. Michigan is a well-coached team where John Beilein gets the most out of his players but the Aggies are playing their best basketball since December when they were once ranked No. 7 in the country. 10* (817) Texas A&M Aggies |
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03-22-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Nevada -1 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Thursday NCAA Tournament Enforcer. Two unlikely Sweet 16 teams square off in the first game on Thursday and while Loyola-Chicago is the Cinderella story of this tournament, we are backing Nevada as the better team with more talent from top to bottom. Twins Caleb and Cody Martin starred at Oak Hill Academy, one of the most prestigious prep schools in the country, went to NC State for two years before transferring to Nevada where they have starred. They are two of four transfers from major conference schools with Kendall Stephens, who relocated from Purdue, being the third that averages double-figures in scoring so this team is made up of top level talent. Nevada ranks 16th nationally, fourth among Sweet 16 teams, with 83 ppg and has scored at least 80 points in 21 games, losing only two of those. The Wolf Pack are ranked sixth in the Kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency ratings. The Ramblers possess a stingy defense and they bring in a 12-game winning streak highlighted by two last-second game winning shots to open the NCAA Tournament. The feeling though is that the Nevada 22-point comeback against Cincinnati was more impressive to move forward with. For the first time in the NCAA Tournament, Nevada enjoys a huge edge in size and athleticism which will prove to be the difference. 10* (816) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-21-18 | Nuggets v. Bulls +9 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We are catching another situation tonight where we have a line that is overinflated due to the tanking theory as Denver is favored by a huge amount despite possessing only 11 road wins this season. It will be argued that the Nuggets are clearly the better team and while that is the case, they have been priced at this number on two other occasions and lost both games outright at Memphis and at Sacramento. Denver is coming off a double-overtime loss at Miami last time out and has lost four straight on the highway with three of those coming against non-playoff teams. Chicago has dropped two straight games and going back, it is 4-6 in its last 10 home games. Three of those losses came against the Cavaliers, Clippers and Sixers and the Bulls covered all those games. They are a respectable 11-8 ATS at home against teams with a winning record while Denver is 3-11 ATS on the road against teams with a losing record. Additionally, the Nuggets are 4-13 ATS this season after scoring 120 or more points. Chicago is getting the most points at home since December and they have played home games against Toronto (twice), Houston, Golden St., Boston and Cleveland which shows how inflated it is tonight. 10* (762) Chicago Bulls |
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03-21-18 | Western Kentucky v. Oklahoma State -4.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS for our CBB Wednesday NIT Enforcer. Oklahoma St. was dissed by the NCAA Tournament committee and it is out to prove that it belonged. The Cowboys were one of three remaining No. 2 seeds heading into last night but Marquette lost as Tuesday saw both home teams fall, Louisville being the other. This is now guaranteed to be the final home game of the season for the Cowboys and it is a big one. If the Cowboys defeat the Hilltoppers, they will tally their 800th victory in Gallagher-Iba Arena and their 16th home victory this season. That would mark 2017-18 as their winningest home season ever, though it fell short of a spot in the NCAA Tournament. Students are getting in for free making sure the environment will be raucous. Western Kentucky has looked good in the first two rounds of the NIT but it has not been overly impressive. The Hilltoppers defeated Boston College at home but the Eagles came in with just two road wins on the season and while they defeated USC on the road, the Trojans were without their top two scorers as the 29.3 combined ppg from Chimezie Metu and Bennie Boatright were on the bench. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points from a major conference going up against a team from a mid-major conference, off two or more consecutive home wins. This situation is 59-27 ATS (68.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (766) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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03-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +10 | Top | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played on Orlando last week as it defeated Milwaukee at home with the bet partly based on the tanking theory. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. The Magic lost their most recent game against Boston on Friday but now have extra rest and they will be getting Aaron Gordon back tonight. Orlando is 14-7 ATS when getting eight or more points. The Raptors had their 11-game winning streak snapped on Sunday against Oklahoma City and while many will call for a bounce back here, they are being asked to lay way too many points. This is the most Toronto has been favored by on the road, a point more than the last meeting here in February which it won and that sets up a slid revenge situation. We play on home teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 36-13 (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (652) Orlando Magic |
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03-19-18 | Washington v. St. Mary's -10 | Top | 81-85 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Monday NIT Enforcer. This is not what St. Mary's envisioned toward the end of the season as it finished with a 28-5 record, closed as the No. 25 team in the final AP Poll and No. 42 in the RPI. Yet, the Gaels were not given an at-large berth into the NCAA Tournament because of their strength of schedule which was the lowest in the West Coast Conference. Because of the disappointment in the snub. It was questionable how they would come out in their first game in the NIT and they answered those questions with a 44-point win over Southeastern Louisiana showing they are out to win this thing. Washington caught a break in its first-round game as it was a higher seed than Boise St. but benefitted from playing the game at home as the Broncos facilities were unavailable. The Huskies still had a tough time as they won by just three points and now hit the road where they are 4-5 on the season. Going back, Washington is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games against teams that are outscoring opponents by 12 or more ppg while St. Mary's is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games coming off a home win by 20 or more points. Additionally, the Gaels fall into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points after a cover as a double-digit favorite, in March games. This situation is 62-29 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) St. Mary's Gaels |
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03-19-18 | Nuggets +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 141-149 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late because of the questionable status of Heat center Hassan Whiteside but he has recent been downgraded to out with a hip injury. We are expecting a huge bounce back effort from Denver tonight after Saturday night's loss to the Grizzlies, which entered that game with the worst record in the NBA and riding a 19-game losing streak. The Nuggets are still sitting in ninth place in the Western Conference playoff standings as they trail Minnesota by a game and a half, but they are only two games out of fifth place. Motivation is big in this league as egos can get in the way and that embarrassing loss against Memphis will have Denver up for redemption. The Nuggets are 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Miami is coming off a 1-2 roadtrip but it did defeat the Lakers in the finale to remain in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. With Detroit sitting six and a half games behind the Heat, there is not as much of a sense of urgency. In addition to Whiteside being out, Dwyane Wade remains out with a hamstring issue. Denver falls into a strong situation as we play against home teams in a game involving two teams that are +/- 3 ppg in scoring differential.), after a win by three points or less. This situation is 61-34 ATS (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (607) Denver Nuggets |
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03-18-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | Top | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland won last night against Detroit to make it 12 straight wins for the Blazers and they remain in third place in the Western Conference playoff standings. While the winning streak has been impressive, nine of the wins have come at home while two road wins came at teams not contending for a playoff spot. The only impressive road win was at Utah as the Blazers are now 18-15 on the highway. The Clippers are coming off a three-game roadtrip where they dropped the final two games against the Rockets and Thunder as an emotional game against Houston was followed by a letdown performance in Oklahoma City the following night. Los Angeles is still in the hunt for a playoff spot as it is a game and a half behind New Orleans for the eighth and final spot. The Clippers are 20-14 at home including wins in five of their last seven games here. Going back, they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss and fall into a contrarian situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers |
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03-18-18 | Marshall +12.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 71-94 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. The Thundering Herd came through for us on Friday as they pulled off the outright upset over Wichita St. and instead of any sort of letdown, they will use that as confidence moving forward knowing they can beat top-level talent. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country in Jon Elmore who proved that on Friday. Now the Thundering Herd are playing a higher seed yet are getting more points. West Virginia had no issues with Murray St. and the line is going against it here as the Mountaineers are laying more than they were against the Racers. It has been an up and down season for the Mountaineers after a 15-1 start as they lost eight of their final 15 regular season games when the competition got tougher. Despite a run and gun style that where it would seem fatigue could come into play, Marshall is a perfect 10-0 ATS this season when playing with one day or no rest. Additionally, the Thundering Herd are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. West Virginia is 4-11 ATS this season in its 15 games after a cover. 10* (721) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-17-18 | Houston v. Michigan -3 | Top | 63-64 | Loss | -106 | 28 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. After a long layoff following winning the Big Ten Tournament., Michigan had the possibility of showing some rust and that was the case as it fell behind 10-0 but ran away with it after that as it defeated Montana 61-47. The defense has picked it up of late as the Wolverines have allowed opponents to shoot just 37.7 percent from the floor over their last five games and two of those games were against Purdue and Michigan St. They have allowed 66 or fewer points in eight of their last nine games and the lone exception was an overtime game. Rob Gray is the real deal as he poured in 39 points including the game-winner over San Diego St. and he has taken this team over offensively, scoring 30 or more points in four of his last eight games but he will have a tougher time here. The Cougars victory was the first one for them since 1984 and it was a nail-biter and while we will not expect a letdown, the matchup will be much more of a challenge. The fact Michigan played poor against the Grizzlies is in our favor as a rebound is expected similar to what happened in the Big Ten Tournament as the Wolverines were horrible against Iowa but came out next game against Nebraska and shot lights out. Michigan is 17-4 ATS this season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going a perfect 9-0 ATS against teams who make eight or more three-pointers per game. The Wolverines show what they are made of on Saturday. 10* (530) Michigan Wolverines |
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03-17-18 | Mavs v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Both Dallas and Brooklyn played last night, and the results were somewhat similar with both losing close games against much better opposition. We give the edge tonight to Brooklyn which heads home following a tough loss to the Sixers last night after blowing a 13-point lead. The Nets have had their issues playing with no rest this season, but the venue has played a big role as they are 0-10 in the second of back-to-back games on the road but when they are home, they are a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the number. Dallas put together a solid effort last night as it took Toronto to overtime before losing by seven points. This came after a win in News York against the Knicks on Tuesday and because of this good start to the roadtrip, we can expect a letdown tonight as there is little reason to get up for this one. Coming off a near win against the best team in the Eastern Conference makes it worse as the Mavericks are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 and the small price does not help as they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games when the line is +3 to -3. Meanwhile, the Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a loss. 10* (508) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-17-18 | Seton Hall v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Kansas had a scare for a while again Penn on Thursday before finally pulling away for a 16-point win. This was an example of a lot of games that the Jayhawks played this season as they failed to play a full 40 minutes and clearly came out flat. This game will be different as the matchup is tougher, but the line is taking this into consideration with a low number for a No. 1 seed in the round of 32. While there have been inconsistencies this season, Kansas looks to be peaking at the right time as it blew through the Big XII Tournament with three double-digit wins and then a late surge against the Quakers. The Jayhawks are all about the three-pointer as they make 10.1 per game and shoot 40.3 percent from long range, both tops in the Big XII Conference. The Pirates come off an impressive win over NC State which was considered a sleeper team by some. They were able to take advantage at the free throw line as Seton Hall was 31-39 as it outscored the Wolfpack by 17 points from the charity stripe and we will not see a repeat of that here. The venue and date are huge advantages for Kansas as this one is pretty much a home game for the Jayhawks taking place in Wichita and a late start on St. Patrick's Day will have this environment jazzed up. Here, we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem in a game involving two teams allowing between 67 and 74 ppg, after three straight wins by 10 points or more. This situation is 68-29 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (528) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island +9.5 v. Duke | Top | 62-87 | Loss | -101 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. We are backing Rhode Island again in the round of 32 following an overtime win and cover against Oklahoma. Because of the overtime and because Duke cruised over Iona in its first game, the Rams will be faded by some based on the fatigue factor but after 33 games, fatigue is not an issue. The win over the Sooners should give the Rams a spark of confidence even though the shooting was not great, but they did a great job in taking care of the ball with just six turnovers, something that needs to be repeated against Duke. The Blue Devils pulled away late as they went 13-30 (43 percent) from long range but do not expect to see a repeat of that against the Rams strong perimeter defense. Duke comes in with the No. 6 RPI which is right on track when compared to the seeding, but No. 7 seed Rhode Island has an RPI of No. 13 and that does not correlate with its seeding which shows the Rams are severely underseeded. Rhode Island is 11-4 ATS against teams that shoot 45 percent or better from the floor this season while going 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games after a game committing eight or fewer turnovers. Meanwhile, Duke is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games as a neutral court favorite of 9.5 to 12 points. The Blue Devils clearly have the better overall roster but because of the slight RPI differences, these teams are not as far off as the line is reflecting which makes the Rams a live dog on Saturday. 10* (523) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-16-18 | Kings +10.5 v. Warriors | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Kevin Durant who could be out with a rib injury, but we are banking on him playing. If he does not go, that is a bonus, but we will not know this until later tonight, so the best option is to bet this now in case he does sit which will bring the line down. The Warriors will get Draymond Green back, but they are still without Steph Curry and Klay Thompson and there will not be much motivation to win this one going away. Sacramento is coming off an overtime win over Miami and it has gone 4-4 in its last eight games so do not talk to the Kings about tanking. We played on them in their last road game at Oklahoma City which resulted in an easy cover and we should expect a similar effort here. The Kings have covered eight of their last 11 road games while the Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win and 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Kings are backed by a strong situation where we play on underdogs of 10 or more points that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against a team allowing 102 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more. This situation is 41-12 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (809) Sacramento Kings |
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03-16-18 | College of Charleston +9.5 v. Auburn | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Game of the Week. Charleston comes from a small conference, but this is a very dangerous team that is playing with a chip on its shoulder. The Cougars finished a game behind UNC-Wilmington last season and eventually lost to the Seahawks in the CAA Championship, so they were out on a mission this season. They returned all five starters and rolled to 26 victories including an overtime win over Northeastern to punch their ticket. The real advantage here for Charleston is the fact it defeated Northeastern three times and the Huskies are very similar to Auburn in style which has actually prompted Tigers head coach Bruce Pearl to focus on those tapes. Auburn got off to a terrific start this season, winning 21 of its first 23 games but the last six weeks have been a struggle as it has gone just 4-5 over its last nine games. The Tigers have been tenacious on defense as they create a ton of turnovers but that does not favor them in this matchup. Charleston turns the ball over just 9.6 times per game, which ranks third in the country, so the Tigers strength is negated here. Auburn was the top seed in the SEC Tournament and were destroyed by Alabama, so the confidence of this team is a big concern as well. Going back, the Cougars are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (893) Charleston Cougars |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada +1.5 | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We had Nevada in the MWC Tournament against San Diego St. but clearly caught the Aztecs at the wrong time. There is unfinished business for the Wolf Pack as they will be facing a Big XII team for the second straight season in the NCAA Tournament after getting ousted by Iowa St. last year by 11 points. This team has the experience to compete with anybody and that includes the Big XII. They have never been blown out of the gym and have kept the game close even in losses to teams like Texas Tech and TCU which are both considerably better than Texas which comes in with an RPI of 51 which is more than the Red Raiders and Horned Frogs combined. Meanwhile, Nevada is No. 19 in the RPI and it is now catching a point as of Thursday afternoon so clearly the value is on the Wolf Pack. Texas has five good wins on the season and while every loss came against a team playing in either the NCAA Tournament or NIT, the Longhorns will have trouble matching up here. While they do have an advantage in height down low, the Wolf Pack are long on the perimeter, athletic, experienced, and highly skilled. The loss in the MWC Tournament stings for Nevada but it has thrived in these spots, going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss as a favorite and 17-3-1 ATS in its last 21 games following any sort of loss. 10* (880) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-16-18 | Butler -1.5 v. Arkansas | Top | 79-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our Supreme Annihilator. Butler is similar this season to past seasons as it is efficient on offense and takes good care of the ball. The Bulldogs lost to Villanova in the Big East Tournament, but they do have some quality wins this season including a victory against Villanova and they possess five top 50 wins. This team shares the ball very well, led by the backcourt trio of Aaron Thompson, Kamar Baldwin and Paul Jorgensen. One quick look on paper shows that Butler is not very good at defending the perimeter as it allows opponents to shoot 37.4 percent from long range while Arkansas shooting 40.1 percent from behind the arc which is No. 11 in the nation but that is skewed as Arkansas does not take many three-pointers as their three-point rate is just 32 percent which is 303rd in the country. The Razorbacks made a good run in the SEC Tournament to solidify a good seeding but this one of those games where the higher seed is actually the underdog and that is a red flag for Arkansas which has been thinned in the frontcourt with the suspension of forward Dustin Thomas. Butler is a well-coached team which goes back for years and that is a big reason for the success of the Bulldogs in the tournament. On the season, Arkansas is 7-14 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by four or more ppg while going 3-11 ATS against teams that average 77 or more ppg. While it looks like a toss-up, this is a game the Bulldogs should win going away. 10* (871) Butler Bulldogs |
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03-16-18 | Marshall +12 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CBB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Marshall missed out last season on the NCAA Tournament as it lost to Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship, but it ran the table to get to the Big Dance for the first time since 1987. The Thundering Herd had some tough losses this season as five of their 10 losses came by six points or less and they possess one of the most underrated players in the country. Jon Elmore averages 22.8 ppg, 6.0 rpg and 6.9 apg so he can do it all, but he is not the only backcourt producer as C.J. Burks averages 20.5 ppg. Marshall runs and guns more than any team in the country and Wichita St. has been nowhere near what we think they would be defensively this season. Wichita St. had a solid first season in the AAC as it finished tied for second with Houston at 14-4. The two big things for the Shockers that can cause an early exit that hurt them during the season is streak shooting and turnovers and if their shooting is off on Friday, they can lose this game outright. The Shockers have been overvalued quite a bit this season which stems from their dominance in the MVC and while they won a lot, they were not able to cover especially against solid opposition which is the opposite of the Thundering Herd. Wichita St. is 6-16 ATS this season against teams with a winning record while Marshall is 12-7 ATS this season against winning teams. Additionally, Wichita St. is 3-13 ATS against teams who attempt 21 or more three-point shots per game this season. 10* (889) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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03-15-18 | St Bonaventure +5.5 v. Florida | Top | 62-77 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Thursday Late Night Crusher. We won with the Bonnies in one of the First Four play-in games and we are going right back to them here. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams although that was not on display against the Bruins. They combined to go 6-28 from the floor but it was a clutch shot by Adams late that made a big difference. The fact that those two played so bad and they still defeated UCLA shows how good this team really is. The Bonnies push the ball and that is a style of play that can hurt the Gators on defense. Florida closed the season 3-4 over its last seven games and it had some poor losses along the way against many non-tournament teams. The Gators rely on the three-pointer as they hoist up over 24 per game and the St. Bonaventure guards can also play defense as the Bonnies allow 32.1 percent from long range which is No. 32 in the country. These teams met early last season in Olean and the Bonnies gave Florida all it could as Mobley and Adams combined for 48 points in a seven-point loss and they no doubt have the memories of that and they have the confidence. 10* (739) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-15-18 | San Diego State +4 v. Houston | Top | 65-67 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CBB Thursday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Houston in the AAC Championship game as it lost to Cincinnati by a point. The Cougars have had an excellent season as they are 26-7 and while two of those losses came against Cincinnati and another one against Wichita St., the other four defeats were anything but good and all against non-NCAA Tournament teams. This is a team that could have been a sleeper, but the Cougars got a brutal draw with one of the hottest teams in the country and a potential game against Big Ten Champion Michigan. While we won with the Cougars in their last game, we lost with San Diego St. as the Aztecs won three games in three days against some excellent competition to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament. There was a turning point in the season back in early February when they lost against Nevada by 25 points but since then, they have not lost as they have reeled off nine straight wins. It is important to note that san Diego St. was without senior guard Trey Kell as he missed four games and the Aztecs went 1-3 and his return came right after that Nevada game, so they have not lost since his return. San Diego St. owns a win over Gonzaga which shows it can complete with anyone, as long as it wants to. San Diego St. is 8-2 ATS this season against teams allowing 42 percent or less shooting while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (731) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-15-18 | Raptors -4 v. Pacers | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Toronto and Indiana are the two hottest teams in the Eastern Conference with the Raptors riding a nine-game winning streak while the Pacers have been victories in three straight games. Toronto has a 4.5-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division and it became the third team behind Houston and Golden St. to hit the 50-win mark. While the Raptors possess the best home record in the NBA, they are 10 games over .500 on the road and have covered six of their last seven games on the highway. Indiana has taken over first place in the Central Division which has put it in third place in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers have won six of their last seven games and while some of those victories have been solid, this has been a tough situation this season as they are 4-9 as home underdogs and the favorite has gone 28-7 in 35 home games. Two situations back the Raptors. First, we play against road favorites that are coming off a divisional win by 10 points or more playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming or more consecutive wins as a road underdog, playing a winning team. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Toronto Raptors |
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03-15-18 | Loyola-Chicago +1.5 v. Miami-FL | Top | 64-62 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOYOLA-CHICAGO RAMBLERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Strong guard play and defense are two important factors for teams to have success in the NCAA Tournament and the Ramblers possess both. Their backcourt features three guards averaging double-digits in scoring and while it may have been considered a down year in the Missouri Valley Conference, they rolled through with an 18-3 record. And it cannot be ignored Loyola-Chicago defeated the Gators in Florida and it so with a defense known as the Pack Line Defense, the same that is employed by the Virginia Cavaliers. Going back, the Ramblers are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games in the second half of the season against teams shooting 45 percent or better from the floor and they are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Miami obviously played a much tougher schedule because of the ACC and it closed the regular season with four straight wins before getting bounced by North Carolina in the ACC Tournament by 17 points. Because of the strong schedule, the Hurricanes possess an RPI of 27 which is very solid, but the Ramblers are right behind them at No. 28 and this is a big reason why the line is so low which is putting the public squarely on Miami. The Hurricanes are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 0-6 in their last six games against teams allowing 42 percent shooting or less. 10* (735) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers |
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03-15-18 | Oklahoma v. Rhode Island -2 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the RHODE ISLAND RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We get things going with the first tipoff on Thursday of the NCAA Tournament as we will be backing the Rhode Island Rams. They got off to a 21-3 start including a perfect 13-0 start in the Atlantic Ten and those three non-conference losses came against three other NCAA Tournament teams. Then, things took a turn as they closed the regular season going 2-3 including a bad loss at home against the Hawks by 30 points and then lost the A-10 Championship to Davidson, their second loss to the Wildcats in four games. This typically could be a stretch to fade but this team is too good to end its season right here. Rhode Island has a great backcourt than can neutralize Oklahoma. The Sooners took a lot of heat for getting into the tournament and rightfully so. After a 14-2 start, Oklahoma got waxed by Kansas St. by 18 points which led to a 4-10 finish and it got bounced by Oklahoma St. in the first round of the Big XII Tournament. Trae Young is a star and the Sooners are in the Big Dance because of him as the NCAA wants to showcase these players and not only that, they get the very first game of the day with all eyes watching. We play on favorites averaging between 74 and 78 ppg going up against teams allowing 78 or more ppg, after a loss by three points or less. This situation is 68-26 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (724) Rhode Island Rams |
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03-14-18 | Temple +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 57-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our NIT Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. This is another play based on skewed seedings when comparing to the real RPI of the teams that are participating in the NIT. Only five teams have a higher RPI than Temple, which possess the No. 48 RPI thanks to playing the seventh toughest schedule in the nation and the toughest schedule within the American. The Owls have three wins over top 25 teams and have come close in others, so they come in with a solid body of work and now it all comes down to motivation. And with these two teams not fans of each other, there will be motivation for sure. Penn St. was a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament but in reality, it was not that close. The Nittany Lions ended up further from the bubble than expected as shown by a No. 4 seed here which is backed up by an RPI of No. 78, 30 spots lower than their opponent here yet are favored by double-digits in some spots. Penn St. had a very strong year but the Big Ten was a weak conference with only four teams getting into the Big Dance. The Nittany Lions will again be without the services of sophomore forward Mike Watkins, whose absence for the better part of the last six games has left a gaping hole in their post presence. The Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after scoring 80 points or more. 10* (617) Temple Owls |
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03-14-18 | Bucks v. Magic +8.5 | Top | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. All this talk about tanking is laughable at times. Franchises can set teams up to not survive late in the season, but players are not tanking for their team to get better draft positions. They are playing for their own careers and contracts so backing teams or fading teams because of tanking is absurd. Orlando is coming off a 36-point loss in San Antonio last night to conclude a 0-5 roadtrip as the home team got the calls with the Magic going to the free throw line only nine times compared to 23 times for the Spurs. Orlando now heads home where it has played much better including wins in two straight games and while it is under .500, it is getting outscored by just 2.8 ppg. The Magic have covered five straight games playing with no rest while winning and covering both games this season when going from the road to home on back-to-back nights. Milwaukee has won two straight games to remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. But it is bunched as only four games separate third and eighth place. The Bucks are just 15-17 on the road and on the season, they are 0-4 ATS when laying eight or more points. Orlando meanwhile is 13-7 ATS as an underdog of eight or more points. With these teams having played here a month ago and Milwaukee being favored by five points, we are clearing seeing an overinflated line this time around which squarely puts the value on the Magic. 10* (602) Orlando Magic |
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03-14-18 | UL-Lafayette +4.5 v. LSU | Top | 76-84 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our NIT Wednesday Enforcer. While many would think this would be a rivalry considering Louisiana and LSU are separated by just 55 miles, that is not the case, but the Cajuns have been trying to make it one. Playing LSU in the NIT, though, means not playing in the much-preferred NCAA Tournament, which 27-6 Sun Belt Conference regular season-champion Lafayette was denied from doing following a SBC semifinal-round loss to Texas-Arlington. Playing the Tigers softens the blow and despite being the class of their conference, the Cajuns are the lower seed. Additionally, they have a No. 62 RPI which is the 11th highest RPI in this tournament and on top of that, it is 28 spots higher than LSU. The Tigers finished tied for ninth in the SEC and while that conference is much stronger than the Sun Belt, this is a very questionable seeding. Based on that, they are the No. 9 - No. 12 team in this tournament, yet of the 32 teams participating, LSU has the 10th lowest RPI. These teams should be flipped so there is a ton of value on the Cajuns and based on the location of this game, their fans will travel as LSU fans are not going to come close to filling this place up. Louisiana is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games coming off a loss to a conference rival as a favorite while the Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (615) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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03-13-18 | St Bonaventure +3.5 v. UCLA | Top | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. BONAVENTURE BONNIES for our CBB Tuesday First Four Winner. St. Bonaventure snuck into the NCAA Tournament as one of the last four teams in, which came as a surprise as the thought was that the Bonnies were securely in, but a few upsets the final two days knocked them down some. The Bonnies have arguably a top-five backcourt in the country in Matt Mobley and Jaylen Adams. Their problem is injuries to Courtney Stockard and some of their frontcourt players in the Atlantic Ten Tournament hurt them against Davidson. Stockard 12.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg and 2.3 apg and his game really stepped up during their 13-game winning streak before losing to Davidson as he averaged over 15 ppg over that stretch. According to head coach Mark Schmidt on late Monday night, "Hopefully he'll be out there, and he'll be 100 percent." UCLA got in after sitting in the first four out group for most of the latter part of the season as a win over Stanford in the Pac 12 Tournament was apparently good enough. The Bruins finished No. 35 in the RPI which is respectable, but the Bonnies closed with a No. 23 RPI and that is a significant difference and UCLA defeated just two NCAA Tournament teams while St. Bonaventure had four such wins. The Bonnies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bruins are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. 10* (545) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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03-13-18 | Vermont +6 v. Middle Tennessee | Top | 64-91 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the VERMONT CATAMOUNTS for our NIT Tuesday Enforcer. As is the case most years, the NIT is just as much about motivation as it is about talent as some teams that have to play two days after getting their NCAAS Tournament dreams smashed by being left out. Often times, we see teams decline a bid into the NIT, but Middle Tennessee St. accepted the invitation but the amount of effort it will produce is in question. The Blue Raiders lost in the C-USA Tournament but were thought to have a bid locked up into the Big Dance, but it was not invited. Players were crushed, and a picture went viral of senior Nick King sitting in the announcement room by himself an hour after learning the bad news. This team is exceptional, but it is rated only two points higher than Vermont which got upset in the America East Tournament by UMBC by three points. That was just its second conference loss, the other coming by one point and the Catamounts were solid in the non-conference so playing in a weak conference can be discounted. They lost at Kentucky by four points, Bucknell by four points, St. Bonaventure by two points while beating Northern Kentucky. They have had an extra day off and being a small school, they will be ready to keep playing. These two teams are not far apart in the RPI and the projected line is much lower than what we are getting. 10* (551) Vermont Catamounts |
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03-13-18 | Raptors v. Nets +9 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. Toronto is playing some of the best basketball in the league as its current eight-game winning streak is the second longest in the NBA right now behind Portland and this includes a win over Houston, which snapped the Rockets 16-game winning streak. The Raptors struggled in the first meeting here in January as it took overtime to win and that was also part of a winning streak. The Nets lost to Philadelphia on Sunday to fall to 1-5 in their last six games with the other four losses coming on the road. Brooklyn has been surprisingly strong against top competition here as it is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games against teams with a winning road record and overall, it is 9-1 ATS in 10 games this season when playing against teams with a winning percentage of .700 or better. These are part of their success when getting inflated lines as the Nets are 23-7 in their 30 games when receiving six or more points and they are catching a bucket more than that first meeting here against Toronto. They fall into a great situation where we play on teams coming off a home divisional loss going up against an opponent off a divisional win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 10* (526) Brooklyn Nets |
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03-13-18 | Mavs v. Knicks +2 | Top | 110-97 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. This line came out late due to the questionable status of Knicks Enes Kanter. It has been a rough stretch for the Knicks as they have lost seven straight games and are now 1-15 over their last 16 games. You can argue they are tanking but the schedule has been unfavorable as of those 16 games, 14 were against teams currently residing in a playoff spot and the two exceptions resulted in three-point losses. Eight of the Knicks last 12 games have come on the road and the four home games were against Toronto, Boston, Golden St. and Washington. Dallas has been struggling just as much as it has lost 18 of its last 24 games since mid-January including dropping 10 of 11 games on the road. The lone win came at Sacramento where the Kings managed just six free throw attempts. The Mavericks are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Knicks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss against opponent off a divisional loss. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) New York Knicks |
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03-13-18 | Pacers v. 76ers -5.5 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS as part of our NBA Tuesday Trifecta. The Sixers are back home following a four-game roadtrip where they split while seven of their last eight games have been on the highway. This starts the stretch where seven of their last nine games are at home and they must take advantage where they have been successful this season. Philadelphia is just one of two teams in the Eastern Conference that has fewer than 10 losses on its home floor and going back to January 15th, the Sixers have won 11 straight home games. They are just two games out of third place in the Eastern Conference which is currently held by Indiana, making this a huge game. The Pacers are coming off a win at Boston on Sunday and have won three straight road games where they are .500 on the season. Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less this season while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after a double-digit win. The Sixers have covered nine of their last 10 home games following four or more road games and they falls into a successful situation where we play against teams coming off a road win by three points or less, playing their sixth or more game in 10 days. This situation is 96-56 ATS (63.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-13-18 | Northern Kentucky +9 v. Louisville | Top | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN KENTUCKY NORSE for our NIT Tuesday Underdog Shocker. Northern Kentucky won the Horizon League regular season championship but was ousted by lowly Cleveland St. in its first tournament game to lose a chance at the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament. The good news is that the loss came nine days ago so there has been plenty of time to shake it off knowing they were heading to the NIT anyway. The Norse played well against some teams this season as it lost to Vermont and Memphis by two points each while losing at Texas A&M by only six points. While the Norse are in a good position, Louisville is not as it was disappointed for not making the NCAA Tournament as it was one of the first four teams out and he Cardinals are not accustomed to playing in the NIT, so motivation can be an issue. That is a big factor when looking at NIT games as some teams could care less while other will want to keep playing and prove more to themselves and others. The Cardinals struggled down the stretch, albeit against excellent competition but that loss against Virginia where they blew a four-point lead with a second remaining is still haunting them as it cost them an NCAA Tournament berth. The Norse are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games while the Cardinals are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (547) Northern Kentucky Norse |
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03-12-18 | Kings +12.5 v. Thunder | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. The Thunder defeated San Antonio on Saturday to make it two straight wins to move into sixth place in the Western Conference, but the inconsistencies of this team cannot be ignored. They have covered just two of their last nine games following a victory and their 20 conference losses are tied for the most of all current playoffs teams in the west. One of those losses came against the Kings and Sacramento has played them tough all season as it has covered the first three meetings. The Kings are coming off a loss last night in Denver and they have gone 4-2 ATS this season in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Additionally, they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma City is 9-20 ATS this season when favored by six or more points while going 8-23 ATS this season against teams that allow 46 percent shooting or higher. The Kings fall into a solid situation as we play on double-digit underdogs that are averaging between 98 and 102 ppg going up against teams allowing 102 ppg or more, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (503) Sacramento Kings |
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03-11-18 | Pacers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Celtics concluded a 2-1 roadtrip with a victory over Minnesota on Thursday and they return home to improve upon their 23-11 record here. Boston remains two and a half games behind Toronto in the Eastern Conference, where the Raptors have won seven straight, and look to keep pace with the Raptors facing the lowly Knicks today. With the latest win over Minnesota, the Celtics are 18-9 ATS against teams with a winning record. Indiana went 2-1 on its recent homestand where it has been great all season, but the Pacers are a game under .500 on the road and they come into today having played the easiest schedule in the league. They have only seven wins against top ten teams and have failed to cover four of their last five games following a double-digit win. Indiana won the most recent meeting last month here in Boston and the Celtics are 13-2 ATS revenging a loss this season. Additionally, Boston falls into a solid situation where we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season that have a scoring differential between +3 to +7 ppg going up against a team with a scoring differential between +3 and -3, after scoring 105 points or more two straight games. This situation is 94-54 ATS (63.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (814) Boston Celtics |
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03-11-18 | Houston +4.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 55-56 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB AAC Championship Winner. Cincinnati may be the class of the AAC, but Houston is not far behind and it will be out to prove that today. It has not been a good tournament for the Bearcats as they barely beat a short-handed SMU team on Friday, and then needed a massive second-half comeback to defeat an inferior Memphis team on Saturday. They come in with the No. 7 RPI, but Houston is right there at No. 18 and it has proved it belongs. The Cougars have routinely been overlooked as serious competitors despite conference wins over Cincinnati and Wichita St. and victories over NCAA Tournament-bound teams Arkansas and Providence by double-digits. Few teams matchup as evenly with the Bearcats as Houston does. Devin Davis is a formidable interior presence who scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in the Cougars win over Cincinnati. While Rob Gray struggled with his shooting in that game, he is hot at the right time by scoring 30 or more points in three of his last six games, averaging 24.7 ppg over this stretch. The Cougars are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (827) Houston Cougars |
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03-10-18 | Magic +11.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Magic are coming off a loss last night in Sacramento which was their third straight loss to start this five-game roadtrip. They are catching a huge number tonight and this is the most points they have seen since covering 13 points in Houston back on January 30 and this includes road games at Oklahoma City and Utah which are both higher ranked than the Clippers. While the losses have been mounting, Orlando has been competitive as seven of their last 10 losses have come by seven points or less. The Magic are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a loss while going a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing with no rest. The Clippers are coming off a win over Cleveland last night which puts them in a prime letdown spot tonight. It was a taxing victory as all five starters played at least 32 minutes, three went over 37 minutes, so this back-to-back should be a difficult one. They are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day\ and they fall into a negative situation where we play against favorites of 10 or more points after a home game where both teams scored 100 or more points, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (509) Orlando Magic |
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03-10-18 | Providence +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our Big East Conference Championship Winner. Providence has advanced to the Big East Championship after a pair of overtime wins as an underdog and while many will be fading the Friars because of that, the momentum will continue tonight. While those wins were upsets, the Friars are ranked No. 34 in the RPI and were an NCAA Tournament team before this tournament began so they fact they are here should come as no surprise. This is an under the radar team that is not getting the credit it deserves as all five starters from the 20-win season from a year ago are back and they are the most experienced team in the conference. While Villanova is the best team in the conference, it has been vulnerable at times and that includes a loss in Providence a month ago. The Wildcats are guaranteed a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament so there is no need to show any sort of domination tonight and they are actually laying more points here than in their first two games against teams ranked lower than Providence in the RPI. 10* (535) Providence Friars |
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03-10-18 | West Virginia +1 v. Kansas | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Conference Championship Winner. Kansas has rolled through its first two games of the tournament but tonight will be a challenge. The Jayhawks are without center Udoka Azubuike and that did not hurt them in the first two games based on the matchups, but his absence will be felt here. He combined for 31 points and 14 rebounds in the first two meetings this season against West Virginia and it is the defense that will be mostly missed. Kansas St. got a 29-point performance from center Makol Mawien yesterday which puts the strong Mountaineer frontcourt in a great spot today. West Virginia had opportunities in those first two meetings as it coughed up an 11-point lead in the final 13 minutes in the first game and then the Mountaineers squandered a 12-point lead with just over 10 minutes left in the second game where they were outscored 35-2 at the free throw line. While revenge is in play, the Mountaineers will be motivated to capture their first ever Big XII Championship especially after losing in the final game the last two seasons. 10* (531) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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03-10-18 | San Diego State v. New Mexico +4 | Top | 82-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our Mountain West Conference Championship Winner. We were involved with both of these teams yesterday, winning with the Lobos and losing with the Aztecs and the two hottest teams square off for a trip to the NCAA Tournament. As expected, the New Mexico pace was too much for Utah St. and we will go with that same philosophy tonight as it is more equipped this time of season to outrun the opponent. The Lobos have won seven straight games with the offense scoring 83 or more points in each of the last six games. San Diego St. pulled off the upset last night as Nevada was never in the game, allowing 55 points in the first half and unable to mount any sort of comeback. The Aztecs have now won eight straight games and starting to look like the team of years past, but they are not as strong defensively which will prove to be the difference here. New Mexico nailed 13 three-pointers in the first meeting against San Diego St. and after hitting just 14 combined in the first two games of this tournament, we expect them to heat back up from long range. 10* (534) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | Utah State v. New Mexico -3 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CBB Friday Late Night Crusher. New Mexico won its sixth straight game last night as it defeated Wyoming by 10 points. The victory not only gives New Mexico its highest win total in four years, but it snapped a three-year losing streak in the tournament. The Lobos ran past the Cowboys last night and they will go at a high pace tonight. Their best probability of success when the season started was to run a style that increased their durability and made them stronger at the end of the year when other teams were starting to break down and get fatigued. That was the case last night and will be the case again tonight against Utah St. which is playing its third game in three days. The Aggies upset Boise St. on Thursday as eight-point underdogs and the line is taking that into consideration. Utah St. is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after two or more straight covers while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after shooting 50 percent or better from long range. New Mexico is 8-0 ATS this season after allowing 75 or more points in two straight games and we play against underdogs coming off a conference win as an underdog of six points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 80 points or more in a conference win. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (876) New Mexico Lobos |
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03-09-18 | San Diego State v. Nevada -2.5 | Top | 90-73 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Friday Late Supreme Annihilator. San Diego St. is the hottest team in the conference with seven consecutive wins following a win over Fresno St. yesterday in the quarters. The Aztecs caught fire at the end of the season after a sluggish start in the conference and their run is keeping this line down. We played on them last Saturday where they defeated Nevada in their final home game of the season which was also a revenge game from a 25-point loss in Reno earlier in the season. San Diego St. is still just 7-8 away from home this season and comes in with a No. 91 RPI which is weak considering the streak it is on. Nevada had a tougher than expected time with UNLV yesterday but that is a huge rivalry, so the Wolf Pack got the best from the Rebels. Nevada is up to 27 wins and sits No. 14 in the RPI so it is assured of an NCAA Tournament berth but there are bigger stakes as it looks for a second straight Mountain West Conference Tournament Championship. The Wolf Pack were forced to lay some big spreads this season based on how good they are, but they were nearly unbeatable as lower favorites as they are 8-1 ATS this season when laying seven points or less. While the Aztecs run is solid, Nevada will show why it is clearly the best team in the conference. 10* (874) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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03-09-18 | Wizards -3 v. Pelicans | Top | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. New Orleans has reeled off 10 straight wins which has tied a franchise record but that will come to an end tonight. The Pelicans have gotten into the playoff race where they currently are in fourth place in the Western Conference, but they are now without Anthony Davis for at least one game who hurt his ankle in their last game against the Kings. Seven of the wins during this streak have come against teams not in playoff positions, one came against the short-handed Spurs and the other two came in overtime. The Pelicans have covered just nine of their last 13 home games. Washington is holding its own without John Wall and it is coming off a win against Miami two nights ago which snapped a three-game losing streak against Indiana, Toronto and Golden St. The Wizards have a winning record on the road and they are 11-3 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season. They fall into a solid situation where we play against home underdogs after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 66-33 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (811) Washington Wizards |
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03-09-18 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion +1 | Top | 57-49 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. We won with Western Kentucky last night as it rolled over UAB, but things will be tougher today against a much better opponent that is seeking some big-time revenge. The Hilltoppers got their own revenge last night as they clobbered the Blazers by 28 points after losing their season finale by 28 points in Birmingham. As mentioned yesterday, Western Kentucky has a very explosive offense that shoots over 50 percent from the floor, but it has a test today going up against the best defense in the conference and one that plans on locking down. Old Dominion snuck by Louisiana Tech yesterday and the No. 2 seed has a cleaner path into the NCAA Tournament with Middle Tennessee St. losing on Thursday. The Monarchs are out for double revenge as they lost both meetings this season including the most recent toward the end of last month at Western Kentucky by 22 points. Those two losses were part of just three conference defeats this season which also snapped a six-game winning streak in this series. Old Dominion was tied with the Blue Raiders for the most wins away from home with 13 and it keeps the momentum going today into the championship game. 10* (856) Old Dominion Monarchs |
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03-09-18 | George Mason v. St. Joe's -6 | Top | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the ST. JOSEPH'S HAWKS for our CBB Friday Early Supreme Annihilator. St. Joseph's was able to snag the No. 4 seed in the Atlantic Ten Tournament thanks to wins in three straight and six of its last seven games. It was a rough start for the Hawks in conference play, but it was one that could have been so much better as a 4-7 start included five losses by three points or less and overall, six of their conference losses came by three points or fewer. Two of those came against George Mason by a combined five points so St. Joseph's will not only be playing to advance but playing with double revenge. The Patriots survived a bad Massachusetts team yesterday as they won by five points and while they were favored by just a point and a half, that shows how bad this team is. George Mason is one of five teams with an RPI of 200 or worse so its 10-9 record is deceiving. Over half of those nine conference losses came by 12 points or more and were by an average of 17.6 ppg so the Patriots are capable of big duds. The Hawks are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games away from home coming off a home win while George Mason is 1-9 ATS this season against non-loosing teams. Look for St. Joseph's to get its revenge in a big way today. 10* (832) St. Joseph's Hawks |
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03-09-18 | Memphis v. Tulsa -3 | Top | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. We have been high on Tulsa quite a bit this season and we will be backing the Golden Hurricane as this is also a big fade of Memphis. Amid the speculations of head coach Tubby Smith being let go, it was unclear how the Tigers would play yesterday, and it was not good. They shot lights out but there was no effort on defense as they allowed South Florida to shoot 49.1 percent from the floor and that is a Bulls team that is shooting 41.6 percent on the season, No. 319 out of 351 Division I teams. Memphis has been without leading scorer Jeremiah Martin for four games and while it has managed well with a 3-1 record, all four games were against teams that will not be sniffing any postseason tournament. The Tigers lost the last meeting against Tulsa 64-51and going back, it is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points. Tulsa had yesterday off, and it is guaranteed to compete after the AAC Tournament and while winning it may be a stretch, a run is possible. The Golden Hurricane have won eight of their last nine games to climb out of a tie for seventh place into fourth place and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games off a double-digit home win. 10* (824) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-08-18 | UAB v. Western Kentucky -4.5 | Top | 70-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. This is another case of a quick turnaround revenge game as Western Kentucky lost its season finale against UAB by 28 points to end the season on a two-game losing streak. The Hilltoppers went into the final weekend with a chance to win the regular season championship but they lost at Middle Tennessee St. by 18 points which ended the chances and because they had third place locked up, there was no effort going into that UAB game. They had won six straight games prior to that so while momentum was lost, Western Kentucky knows it has team to win this championship. UAB survived Florida Atlantic last night as the Blazers shot 55 percent from the floor but will be presented with a much bigger test defensively. That was their first neutral court win in four tries and going back, UAB is 0-6 ATS in its last six neutral court games as an underdog. The Hilltoppers bring in an explosive offense as they are shooting over 50 percent on the season as they are one of 11 teams in the country that is shooting over 50 percent from the floor and they are tied alongside Arizona and Villanova for most games shooting 55 percent or better this season with 10. Western Kentucky is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games away from home revenging a double-digit road loss. 10* (748) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
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03-08-18 | Celtics v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The Timberwolves head home following a pair of road losses to end their three-game roadtrip and have fallen into a tie for fifth place in the Western Conference. Minnesota is 25-7 at home including a 15-1 run since December 18th with that lone defeat coming against Houston, the hottest team in the league. The home dominance is part of the home/road splits for the Timberwolves as the venue has played a huge role in their games since the start of the new year as the home team is 26-3 in their 29 games. The Timberwolves are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games while going 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Boston is 1-1 on this current three-game roadtrip, winning at Chicago on Monday after a loss at Houston on Saturday. The Celtics are expected to get Kyrie Irving back tonight after he missed the Bulls game and while they are 5-1 in their last six games, none of the wins have come against a team that will be in the playoffs. Boston is just 11-10 in its last 21 games with only three wins against playoff contenders and it falls into a negative situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (656) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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03-08-18 | LSU v. Mississippi State -1.5 | Top | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 25 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS for our CBB Thursday SEC Crusher. This is a quick turnaround revenge game for Mississippi St. which lost at LSU on Saturday by 21 points which put a big hit on its NCAA Tournament consideration. Despite possessing 21 wins, the Bulldogs are on the outside looking in based on their soft non-conference schedule, but they do have solid conference wins over Arkansas, Missouri, Alabama and Texas A&M and a decent run in this tournament could put them back in consideration. Winning away from home has been an issue but one look at the schedule shows it has been a tough slate in the SEC with the only bad loss coming at LSU, making the revenge angle that much stronger. The Tigers have no chance for the NCAA Tournament unless they win the SEC Tournament and they have also struggled away from home with four wins and have lost seven straight away from their home floor. The Bulldogs fall into a phenomenal contrarian situation where we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 74 and 78 ppg, after scoring 60 points or less two straight games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. Additionally, LSU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 games coming off a conference win while Mississippi St. is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games coming off a double-digit road loss. 10* (714) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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03-08-18 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 68-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma St. killed us last night as it likely played its way into the NCAA Tournament with the win over Oklahoma. The cowboys have a quick turnaround as they go from a night game to an afternoon game against a well-rested Kansas team that will be out for some payback. Oklahoma St. is the only team to ever sweep a Bill Self coached Kansas team with the most recent coming in Stillwater by 18 points in the regular season finale. That makes this a quick turnaround revenge spot for Kansas with that recent loss still fresh in its memory. There is a lot at stake for the Jayhawks as well as they are projected as a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament but a loss in the quarters could send them down to a No. 2 seed depending on what happens in the ACC Tournament. They will be without center Udoka Azubuike who suffered a knee injury in that last game against the Cowboys and while his loss will be felt, Oklahoma St. does not have the size to take advantage. We had this line pegged at seven points and Azubuike is not worth a huge swing. The Jayhawks fall into a great situation where we play on neutral court teams that are revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against that opponent which is coming off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-19 ATS (69.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (704) Kansas Jayhawks |
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03-08-18 | SMU v. Connecticut +2 | Top | 80-73 | Loss | -106 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Thursday False Favorite. If anyone has watched SMU over the last five weeks, it can be argued that the Mustangs have tossed in the towel for the season. They are coming off a loss at South Florida last week which was just the third conference win of the season. SMU has been a disaster since leading scorer Shake Milton went down with a hand injury as it has gone 1-8 with the only victory coming against 4-14 East Carolina which happens to possess the lowest RPI in the conference. After going to the postseason three of the past four seasons, there will be no postseason for the Mustangs this year, so motivation is lacking. Connecticut has had a rough season as well, but this was expected, and it has the psychological edge here. The Huskies finished 7-11 in the AAC but only one of those was a bad loss as 10 of those defeats came against teams that finished .500 or better while the exception was a defeat against 8-10 Temple. Connecticut comes in with the better RPI than SMU and will have the fan support as Huskies fans travel well. They are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 neutral court games as underdogs of three points or less while SMU is 3-10 ATS in its 13 games this season as a favorite of 10 or fewer points. Wrong team is favored here. 10* (670) Connecticut Huskies |
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03-08-18 | Dayton v. VCU -2 | Top | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Thursday Afternoon Dominator. We won with Dayton on Saturday as it was playing its final home game of the season which was a big reason in backing the Flyers. A big reason to fade them here is that they have two wins this season away from home, one at Richmond and one on a neutral court against Ohio. This will be the first time in five years and the second time in 11 years that Dayton will not be going to a postseason tournament while snapping a streak of four straight appearances in the NCAA Tournament. Winning the Atlantic Ten Tournament will change that but that will not be happening. VCU had a better season but it was still a disappointment as the Rams finished 9-9 in the conference and 17-14 overall. They were supposed to contend with Rhode Island for the championship but instead finished in a four-way tie for fifth place as they lost incoming transfer Marcus Evans, who averaged 19.1 ppg at Rice in his last season, before the season even started because of eligibility. VCU did suffer some tough losses as it lost two games by one point, another in overtime and two others by four and five points. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games coming off a road win by 20 or more points while the Flyers are 0-11 ATS this season coming off a home win. 10* (678) VCU Rams |
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03-07-18 | Oregon State v. Washington +2 | Top | 69-66 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CBB Wednesday Pac 12 Crusher. It has been an incredible turnaround for Washington as after going 9-22 including just two conference wins last season, the Huskies have won 20 games including a 10-8 record in the Pac 12. They were looking at a spot in the NCAA Tournament but are now on the outside looking in following five losses over their last eight games. Because the Pac 12 is weak, Washington can make a run as it owns wins over three of the four teams that are projected to make it into the Big Dance, UCLA being the lone exception. The Huskies were tied for fourth in the conference in road wins and catch a good first round matchup here. Oregon St. closed the season with a 25-point win at Washington St. after starting the season 0-9 on the road. The Beavers were right behind Washington in terms of turnaround wins from last season as they have 10 more games in the win column. A lot of that had to do with the schedule as Oregon St. played the No. 315 non-conference schedule in the country but still had bad losses along the way. The Huskies closed the season by going 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss while Oregon St. is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games following a win. 10* (602) Washington Huskies |
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03-07-18 | Rockets v. Bucks +6 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in its last home game on Sunday as it defeated Philadelphia as a home underdog and it is back home as an even bigger underdog. The Bucks improved to 20-13 at home and after suffering a loss at Indiana the next night, they remain in seventh place in the Eastern Conference but are still just 3.5 games out of the No. 3 spot. They have played up and down to the competition this season which is both good and bad as it shows inconsistency, but they have 10 wins against top ten teams, one of just seven teams in the entire league possessing double-digit wins against such teams. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Houston has won 16 straight games which is the main reason for the size of this line and of those 16 wins, nine have come as a road favorite while covering eight of those. This is a different scenario however as the Rockets are coming off a win last night in Oklahoma City in the much-hyped game and are going to Toronto on Friday to face the best team in the Eastern Conference. This puts the Rockets in a tough spot and they fall into a negative situation where we play against road favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having covered four of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 71-37 ATS (65.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (566) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-07-18 | Vanderbilt v. Georgia -2 | Top | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. The SEC had a terrific season as it is one of three conferences projected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament but one of those is not Georgia. It was a disappointing season for the Bulldogs which were expecting bigger things as they brought four starters back including Preseason Player of the Year Yante Maten, but they underachieved within the conference after a 9-2 start. Maten did his part but did not have much help but he is the type of player than can carry a team in tournament play. While Georgia had a few bad losses, five of its 11 conference losses were by five points or less, so it was close to flipping its record. Vanderbilt had a tough season as well as it finished one game worse than the Bulldogs in the SEC, but this was expected as the Commodores were picked to finish No. 11 then in January, they lost Matthew Fisher-Davis for the season with a shoulder injury. Vanderbilt played well at home but won only one game on the road which came at Mississippi in the final game of the season. Do not plan on any momentum to move forward from that win however as Georgia is better equipped to make a run and will be out to avenge a 15-point loss at Vanderbilt a month ago. 10* (622) Georgia Bulldogs |
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03-07-18 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State | Top | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Wednesday Big XII Crusher. Oklahoma is hanging onto its NCAA Tournament berth by a thread and a first round loss could knock the Sooners out, so they need to get by their hated rival and find their early season success. They had a must win in their season finale against Iowa St. and came through with an easy win and while the Cyclones are not a very good team, the confidence was needed after a poor end to the season. Despite sitting on the bubble, Oklahoma still possesses a No. 38 RPI which is very strong compared to a No. 87 RPI for the Cowboys which have moved up into the Last Four Out category thanks to a win over Kansas which gave them the season sweep over the Jayhawks, the first time a team has ever done that to Kansas under Bill Self. Oklahoma St. finished tied with Oklahoma, Baylor and Texas at 8-10 in the Big XII, but is the lowest ranked team of the bunch. These two teams split the season series with Oklahoma winning the first meeting by 20 points and the Cowboys winning the second meeting but needed overtime to secure the two-point win. Here, we play on neutral court teams revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.07 percent) since 1997. 10* (625) Oklahoma Sooners |
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03-07-18 | Notre Dame -2.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our CBB Wednesday Star Attraction. Notre Dame entered the season with a special team and one that could have gone down as one of the best in recent program history, but injuries derailed the Irish early and now they need a run. They received a scare yesterday against Pittsburgh, which did not win a single conference game this season, and that served as a wakeup call. As of today, the ACC is expected to get eight teams into the NCAA Tournament and Notre Dame is not in that group because of a 0-7 stretch where Bonzie Colson was out and Matt Farrell missed six of those games. Both are back and healthy and the Irish know what must happen. With Virginia Tech beating Virginia, Clemson and Duke over the last four weeks, the Hokies are safely in the field of 68 so there is not as much urgency on their side. They defeated Notre Dame in the lone meeting this season in South Bend but neither Colson nor Farrell played in that game, so this is a completely different team that Virginia Tech will face. The Irish could not make a shot in the second half yesterday and because of the narrow victory, the public is riding the Hokies, yet the spread is shifting the other way and the reverse line move is something to take into consideration here. 10* (579) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-06-18 | 76ers -1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 128-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We played against the Sixers on Sunday as they were overpriced road favorites but now they are underpriced which is an unusual move within just two games. They closed as a 1.5-point chalk at Milwaukee, which is four games over .500 and now they are favored by that same amount against Charlotte which is eight games under .500. Philadelphia is two games behind Indiana for the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference and while it has been a below average road team, the spot is ideal. Charlotte is coming off a 0-3 roadtrip which is playing into this line as well and the Hornets are now six games out of the final playoff spot in the conference. They are still three games over .500 at home but five games under .500 as an underdog and going back, Charlotte is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games as a home underdog. The Sixers meanwhile are 20-5 ATS in their last 25 games in the second half of the season against teams that are averaging 106 or more ppg. Additionally, we play against home teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams with +/- 3 ppg scoring differential, after allowing 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 142-92 ATS (60.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Philadelphia 76ers |
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03-06-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -1 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Tuesday CAA Championship Winner. The top two teams in the Colonial have advanced to the finals with the winner locking up a trip to the NCAA Tournament and the loser heading to the NIT. Charleston won the regular season championship thanks to taking both games against Northeastern and it has the edge again tonight with the best backcourt in the conference. Joe Chealey and Grant Riller are averaging a combined 36.6 ppg and the two guards were both names to the All-CAA First team. They are out for unfinished business as they lost in the CAA Championship last season and will have a bog home crowd advantage. The Cougars play their home games at TD Arena and while the CAA is contested at North Charleston Coliseum, this can still be considered a home game especially with Northeastern having to travel from Boston. Northeastern has picked up its defense toward the end of the season as it has won nine straight games, so it comes in with a ton of momentum and certainly will be looking for revenge. The Huskies do not match up well here as the defense was shredded in the first two meetings, allowing the Cougars to shoot 58.1 percent on its two-point shots. The Huskies are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (526) Charleston Cougars |
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03-06-18 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -2.5 | Top | 77-87 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Georgia Tech brings some momentum into the ACC Tournament as after going 0-7 in February, the Yellow Jackets closed the regular season with a pair of March wins over NC State and Wake Forest. They have covered four straight games, but they have the look of a one-and-done team that will miss out on all postseason tournaments. The only ACC win away from home came at 0-18 Pittsburgh while the eight losses came by an average of 12.4 ppg. Boston College lost its season finale at Florida St. to finish a game ahead of the Yellow Jackets and was a game out of the No. 10 seed. The road work for the Eagles seems similar to that of Georgia Tech with the lone victory coming against Pittsburgh but they had close calls with one-point losses at Virginia and Miami. They are currently projected as a No. 6 seed for the NIT and that would be a huge accomplishment, so a loss here would be devastating and likely knock them out. Guard play is huge in the postseason and the Eagles have one of the best backcourts in the conference with Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman. Robinson was listed as questionable, but he has been upgraded to probable. Boston College is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games after having lost four or five of its last six games. 10* (518) Boston College Eagles |
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03-05-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wright State -4 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the WRIGHT STATE RAIDERS for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. With Northern Kentucky already eliminated from the Horizon League Tournament, Wright St. has the inside track for the automatic bid into the NCAA Tournament, but it must get by one of its few nemesis' this season. The Raiders lost just four conference games this season and two of those came against Milwaukee, so it will have their attention tonight. Wright St. won its tournament opener over Green Bay on Saturday, so it has the additional advantage of having an extra day off heading into tonight. Milwaukee defeated Illinois-Chicago last night to move on to the semifinals as the up and down season continues for the Panthers. They finished 8-10 during the conference regular season and those two wins over the Raiders were their only victories against a winning team which makes those two upsets that much more surprising. We are catching an affordable line here since Milwaukee has cashed eight of their last 10 games. The Panthers are only 4-11 this season following a win and Wright St. falls into a great situation where we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a same season loss, playing their 2nd game away from home in three days. This situation is 114-64 ATS (64 percent) since 1997. 10* (726) Wright St. Raiders |
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03-05-18 | Pistons +7 v. Cavs | Top | 90-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Monday Star Attraction. Cleveland has covered only six games at home this season which is the fewest in the NBA by a significant amount, yet it continues to be overpriced simply because of the Cleveland name. The Cavaliers have dropped their last two games at home outright and are now 21-11 while possessing a dreadful 6-25-1 ATS record at home which includes a 2-13 ATS mark as home favorites between 6.5 and 12 points. Cleveland is 4-4 since revamping its roster at the trade deadline and while many said they hit the jackpot after wins over Boston and Oklahoma City, this team is not in a good place. Detroit has been playing poorly as well with losses in five of its last six games including two straight which were on the road as they lost at Orlando in overtime which put it in a bad spot the next night in Miami. The Pistons have gone from a playoff team to a team that is now four games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons have profited this season as road underdogs and they are an exceptional 10-2 ATS this season as underdogs of six points or more. Additionally, we play on road underdogs failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Detroit Pistons |
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03-05-18 | Bucks +3 v. Pacers | Top | 89-92 | Push | 0 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. We won with the Bucks last night against the Sixers as they were an underpriced home underdog and while this could typically be a play against spot, it is a good one that favors Milwaukee. The win snapped a four-game losing streak and kept pace with the Pacers, which own the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, as it remains two games behind Indiana for that coveted seed. That fourth game of that recent Bucks losing streak was a home loss against the Pacers so that is fresh in their memory. Indiana is also coming off a win last night as it won in Washington to make it two straight victories as underdogs which puts it in a precarious spot tonight. While the Pacers have been average when playing with no rest, Milwaukee is 9-4 straight up and 9-3-1 ATS in the second of back-to-back games. The Bucks have two situations on their side. First, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off a road win by three points or less, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 27-5 (84.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by three points or less. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (703) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-04-18 | 76ers v. Bucks +2 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Bucks are in a skid as they have dropped four straight games to fall into seventh place in the Eastern Conference standings. Three of the losses have come at home and overall, Milwaukee has dropped four straight home games which is a reason it is a home underdog tonight. The Bucks are still 19-13 at home and going back, they are 19-6 ATS in their last 25 home games after two or more consecutive losses. The Sixers have won two straight games including a win over Cleveland in their last road game. Philadelphia is 14-17 on the road for the season so this is an aggressive line that has been put out considering the Sixers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games while going just 3-6 ATS this season as road favorites. Milwaukee has a solid situation on its side as well as we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are revenging a loss going up against an opponent off a divisional loss. This situation is 42-21 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Milwaukee Bucks |
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03-04-18 | Temple v. Tulsa -1.5 | Top | 58-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. A small main slate on Sunday features just the AAC with all 12 teams in action and a lot on the line for some. That is not the case for Tulsa which has already locked down the No. 4 seed and a first-round bye in next week's American Athletic Conference Championship. It has won seven of its last eight games to climb out of a tie for seventh place and looks to close the with momentum going into the tournament while improving upon its 12-2 record at home. Because the seed is set, there is no pressure today which is a good thing after a long and strenuous season. Temple is coming off a loss at Connecticut as it fell to 4-8 on the road and has not defeated a team with a winning record on the highway. The Owls won the first meeting at home by a point, so revenge is in play as well and Tulsa is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games revenging a road loss. Additionally, the Golden Hurricane are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games as favorites of six points or less and they get it done on Senior Day. 10* (822) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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03-04-18 | Illinois State +9 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 49-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS STATE REDBIRDS for our CBB Sunday MWC Championship Winner. Illinois St. will be out for redemption today as it looks to get back what was taken away a year ago. The Redbirds went 17-1 in the conference last season for a share of the regular season championship with Wichita St. but lost to the Shockers in the MVC Championship game and was relegated to the NIT. Now they have a chance to make the NCAA Tournament in a year they were not expected to after losing four starters, but they exceeded expectations. They have won eight of their last 11 games including an overtime win over Southern Illinois yesterday to advance and take on top seed Loyola-Chicago. The Ramblers won the regular season championship by four games and are currently riding a nine-game winning streak. They have been the class of the conference all season but are now laying a number that is inflated for no apparent reason other than the fact of their winning streak. With everything on the line today, expect to see the Redbirds keep this one closer than what the line is saying. 10* (835) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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03-03-18 | Nevada v. San Diego State -2 | Top | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS for our CBB Game of the Week. San Diego St. has had a couple average seasons after dominating the Mountain West Conference for years, but it is picking up steam at the right time. The Aztecs have won five straight games to move to 10-7 in the conference as they are at full strength with injuries on and off hurt the consistency earlier in the season. San Diego St. is 12-2 at home with tonight being Senior Night with two solid streaks on the line. The Aztecs have won 12 straight regular season homer finales and they have won their last seven home games against AP Top 25 teams ranked outside the top seven nationally. Additionally, San Diego is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of six points or less while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games revenging a same season loss and it will be out to avenge a 23-point loss from last month. Nevada has already locked up the No. 1 seed in the upcoming MWC Tournament so there is not much on the line, especially coming off a revenge win over rival UNLV on Wednesday. The Wolf Pack are without one of their better perimeter guards as Lindsey Drew is out for the season after he was starting to heat up though mid-February. 10* (626) San Diego St. Aztecs |
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03-03-18 | Celtics +9 v. Rockets | Top | 120-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Saturday Star Attraction. Houston is riding a 14-game winning streak as the offense continues to dismantle opposing defense. The Rockets now face their biggest test during this run as they will be facing the top defense in the league as Boston is ranked No. 1 in defensive efficiency. While Houston is 24-6 at home this season, it is just 12-17-1 against the number and the Rockets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Boston has won four straight games and while those victories have come against some poor opposition, it has held its own against top level competition. Boston is 10-4 against teams ranked in the top ten in power rankings this season and those four losses are the fewest of any team in the league. The Celtics are 20-8 on the road, covering 19 of those games while going 7-2 ATS as a road underdog. The only other two times they were getting more than six points resulted in a win at Oklahoma City and a four-point loss at Golden St. the Celtics are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (507) Boston Celtics |
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03-03-18 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Miss +2 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Southern Mississippi looks to snap a four-game losing streak as it plays its final home game of the season. The Golden Eagles are 10-3 at home with the three losses coming against Middle Tennessee St., Old Dominion and UTSA, all of which possess double-digit conference victories. The last two losses for Southern Mississippi were on the road and going back, it is 6-0 ATS in its last six games coming off consecutive road losses. Louisiana Tech has been a major disappointment this season as it was supposed to contend in C-USA, but three straight losses have knocked the Bulldogs down to 7-10 in the conference. The last two have come on the road where they have won just twice all season with those victories coming against 8-21 Alabama St. and 12-17 Florida Atlantic. The Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following consecutive losses and Louisiana Tech got the best of the Golden Eagles back on Jan. 27, racing out to a 57-27 halftime lead en route to the 89-66 victory so revenge is in play today as well. 10* (574) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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03-03-18 | Notre Dame +9 v. Virginia | Top | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Notre Dame is coming off a pair of wins over two of the worst teams in the conference and while it takes a big step up in competition today, it is ready for the challenge. The Fighting Irish are close to full strength as they welcomed back All-ACC forward Bonzie Colson who played his first game in 2018 against Pittsburgh and was solid in limited minutes. He will see more action today as Notre Dame looks to close strong and make a run into the NCAA Tournament where it is currently on the outside looking in. A signature victory here could put them inside the bubble. Virginia is coming off a miracle win at Louisville as it scored five points in the final second to pull out the victory. That puts the Cavaliers in a tough spot and while it is Senior Day, they will be only the second ACC team to see Notre Dame at full strength. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points after four straight games where both teams scored 70 points or less. This situation is 58-25 ATS (69.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (563) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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03-03-18 | George Washington v. Dayton -4.5 | Top | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the DAYTON FLYERS as part of our CBB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Dayton closes out its regular season, one in which was a major disappointment. The Flyers are 13-16 overall including a 7-10 record in the Atlantic Ten as playing poorly on the road has hurt them. They are 1-10 on the highway this season but a much better 11-4 at home with two of those losses coming against Rhode Island and Auburn. They have won four straight at home and are catching a reasonable number here as they have dropped their last six games against the spread. Like Dayton, George Washington is horrible on the road as it is 1-10 and has covered just one game on the highway. The Colonials are coming off a Senior Night win over Fordham on Wednesday to close the home portion of their schedule on a four-game winning streak. Last season, Dayton lost at George Washington in the final game of the regular season and it will return the favor today. 10* (534) Dayton Flyers |
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03-03-18 | Baylor v. Kansas State -1.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS STATE WILDCATS for our CBB Saturday Star Attraction. The Wildcats have quietly gone about their business this season and have played their way into the NCAA Tournament after coming into the season with more questions than answers. Despite two straight losses on the road at Oklahoma and TCU, Kansas St. is still above .500 in the Big XII and it could finish as high as a tie for third place with a win over a Baylor and a win by TCU over Texas Tech. Kansas St. is 13-3 at home while going 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games coming off two straight conference losses. Baylor is coming off a blowout victory over Oklahoma to keep its NCAA Tournament hopes alive. The Bears are 18-12 overall and a game under .500 in the conference which currently has them in the Big Dance as one of the last four teams in. They are just 2-8 on the road and they are catching a small number for that poor of a record on the highway. 10* (548) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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03-03-18 | St. John's v. Providence -5 | Top | 57-61 | Loss | -106 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS for our CB B Saturday Star Attraction. Heading into the final weekend of the regular season, Providence is in good shape to make the NCAA Tournament as it is the first of the final four teams in, but nothing is guaranteed. A loss here would be devastating as the Friars already have one bad loss against DePaul and can ill afford another to a bottom rated team in the conference. Providence is coming off a loss at Xavier to fall to 9-8 in the Big East but still has a shot at the No. 4 seed in the upcoming Big East Tournament. The Friars are 12-4 at home and the final home game for seniors Kyron Cartwright, Rodney Bullock, Jalen Lindsey and Tom Planek. St. John's is coming off a win over Butler in overtime, its second straight game to go extra time and after a 0-11 start in the conference, it has gone 4-2 over its last six games including a win at Villanova. The Red Storm are not in good shape here however as they have been without Marcus LoVett for the last seven weeks and are now without leading scorer Shamorie Ponds who also leads the conference in scoring with 21.6 ppg. Providence is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 42 percent or better shooting. 10* (520) Providence Friars |
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03-02-18 | Indiana State v. Illinois State -2 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST. REDBIRDS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. Illinois St. was able to lock down the No. 3 seed in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament which gave it a bye into the quarterfinals. The Redbirds went 17-1 in the conference last season for a share of the regular season championship with Wichita St. and not much was expected this season after losing four starters, but they exceeded expectations. They closed the season with wins in six of their final nine games with all three losses of those coming on the road where they finished 1-7 over their final eight road games but this game is on a neutral floor. While revenge is not a huge factor this time of season, Illinois St. lost by 30 at Indiana St. last month and a loss like that gets the juices going. The Sycamores won their final two games of the regular season to finish 8-10 in the conference and four games under .500 overall. They went 0-3 in neutral court games during the season and going back, they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games away from home after allowing 65 points or less in two straight games. Meanwhile, Illinois St. is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games revenging a same season loss while going 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (862) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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03-02-18 | Mavs v. Bulls +1.5 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Dallas hits the road following a two-game homestand where it defeated Indiana in an upset and then lost to Oklahoma City in overtime by a point on Wednesday. The Mavericks are 7-23 on the road including a 1-9 run over their last 10 games with the only victory coming at Sacramento which is 9-20 at home, the second worst home record in the NBA. The fact Dallas is favored makes little sense as it has been a road favorite four times, losing three of those outright and on the season, Dallas is 2-10 ATS against teams that are outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg while going 0-9 ATS in its last nine road games when the line is +3 to -3. The Bulls have lost five straight games including the last three on the road by 18, 17 and 15 points but a return home will steer the Bulls right. They are 13-17 at home which is nothing to brag about but good enough to not be tabbed a home underdog. Chicago is 10-0 ATS in its last 10 home games after two straight double-digit losses and it falls into a great situation where we play on underdogs that have failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 games going up against an opponent after having covered three of their last four against the spread. This situation is 65-25 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (808) Chicago Bulls |
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03-02-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +3 | Top | 102-95 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. Despite a loss against Golden St. in its last games, Washington is 10-4 over its last 14 games, all which John Wall has been absent for. The Wizards are holding down the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and are just a half-game behind Cleveland following the Cavaliers loss last night. They are 18-12 at home which is the same record that Toronto has on the road and Washington is 16-7-1 ATS as an underdog this season, winning 14 of those games outright including four of six games at home. Additionally, it is 15-10 ATS this season following a loss while going 4-0 ATS in its last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. Toronto is holding down the top spot in the Eastern Conference by a half-game over Boston as it has won two straight games. Those came against Detroit and Orlando and this has been the story most of the season as the Raptors have taken care of the poor teams but struggled against the better squads. They have been below average against teams with a winning record as they are 9-15 ATS including a 2-7 ATS mark in their last nine. Also, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 having covered six or seven of their last eight against the spread, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 71-33 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (812) Washington Wizards |
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03-02-18 | Michigan v. Nebraska +4.5 | Top | 77-58 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CBB Friday Afternoon Dominator. This was a late line release because Michigan played yesterday and survived a scare from Iowa as it was taken to overtime before eventually pulling out the 77-71 victory. The Wolverines came into the Big Ten Tournament with the No. 5 seed as it lost the tiebreaker to Nebraska, but they still are guaranteed of an NCAA Tournament berth which cannot be said for the Huskers. They have won eight of their last nine games following a 12-point win over Penn St. on Sunday to go to 22-9 overall and 13-5 in the conference. Despite this, they are on the outside looking in as the Big Ten is having a down year, so Nebraska needs to make a run this weekend as two wins should get them in making this a must win. The Huskers success down the stretch came mostly after switching to a smaller lineup on Jan. 15 and are 10-2 since then. This includes a win over Michigan and while revenge may be in play, this time of year and what is on the line negates that. The Huskers have covered 13 of their last 16 games against teams with a winning record so while the schedule strength has kept their RPI down, they have held their own against top level talent. 10* (850) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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03-01-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -5 | Top | 99-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. So far, so good for Minnesota in its time without Jimmy Butler as it has won both games since he went down with a knee injury. However, those wins came against Chicago and Sacramento and while the latter was on the road, the Timberwolves are still just 13-19 on the road. The venue has played a huge role in their games since the start of the new year as the home team is 24-3 in their 27 games. The offense has not missed a beat, scoring 122 and 118 points in the last two games but those came against the No. 30 and No. 25 defenses in efficiency and going back, Minnesota is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games after scoring 110 points or more two straight games. The challenge will be tougher tonight as the Blazers are ranked No. 8 in defensive efficiency including No. 1 over their last three games. Portland has won four straight games and while you can say the Blazers have benefitted from a soft recent schedule with wins over Phoenix and Sacramento, the two wins prior to that were against Utah on the road and at home against Golden St. They are 18-11 at home while covering seven of their last eight. Additionally, Portland falls into a solid situation where we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after leading their last three games by five or more points at the half going against an opponent after scoring 115 points or more. This situation is 24-8 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Portland Trailblazers |
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03-01-18 | Valparaiso v. Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSOURI STATE BEARS for our CBB Thursday Tournament Crusher. There were a few disappointing teams in the Missouri Valley Conference this season with the two biggest being Missouri St. and Northern Iowa which were not expected to be playing in the first round of the tournament. The former was the biggest disappointment as for the first time since joining the league in 1990-91, Missouri St. was tabbed the favorite to win the Missouri Valley Conference. Instead, it finished in a tie for seventh place by going 7-11 after a 3-0 start. The Bears have lost their last four games and overall, five of those 11 losses came by four points or less, so close losses thwarted a better finish. It was a disappointing season for Valparaiso as well, but this was expected as the Crusaders moved from the Horizon League to the more difficult MVC and did so with the loss of four starters. They finished 6-12 in the conference and closed the regular season with an upset win at Drake but fall into a tough matchup tonight. Missouri St. won both regular season meetings as it dominated the glass, outrebounding Valparaiso by a combined 77-56. The Bears have one of the top players in the conference in Alize Johnson and have the talent to make a run this week. 10* (566) Missouri St. Bears |
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03-01-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. North Texas -4 | Top | 62-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CBB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. North Texas got off to a solid 7-4 start in C-USA, but it has lost its last five games as the schedule has played a big role. Three of the losses came on the road while the two home losses came against two of the four top teams in the conference. While the Mean Green are just 3-4 at home within the conference, three losses were by three points or less and the fourth came against Western Kentucky in overtime. These final two home games are big as they can get back to .500 while the Mean Green currently sit in a tie for seventh place at 7-9 in conference play, just one game behind sixth place UAB. They can finish as high as 6th but could drop to 11th with two losses. The Roadrunners are one of the hottest teams in the league having won seven of their last eight games and are currently in fifth place in C-USA. That is the good news. The bad news is that UTSA lost leading scorer Jhivvan Jackson, who is averaging 18.4 ppg, for the season in its last game with a knee injury. Give the Roadrunners credit as they pushed through that setback with a Senior Night win over Louisiana Tech but now comes the letdown. North Texas is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 42 percent or better shooting and 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games coming off two straight conference losses. 10* (526) North Texas Mean Green |
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02-28-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -7.5 | Top | 106-134 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We played against Charlotte last night and it was able to pull away in the second half for a two-bucket cover over the Bulls. The Hornets have now won five straight games and while a win at Washington was impressive, the other four came against non-playoff teams and they take a big step up in competition here. Charlotte is just 10-18 on the road and it has struggles this season when getting points, winning just six of 28 games as an underdog while going 7-18-3 ATS as an underdog. Boston is coming off a win, non-cover against Memphis which was its third straight victory to remain a half-game behind Toronto for first place in the Atlantic Division and the Eastern Conference. This is a good sign following a three-game losing streak prior to the break and while the three recent wins have come against losing teams, the Hornets fall into that group. Boston is 26-8 against teams outside the top 16 while covering five of its last six games against teams with a losing record and going back, the Celtics are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Hornets fall into a negative situation as we play against teams that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 53-19 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (708) Boston Celtics |
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02-28-18 | George Mason v. VCU -8.5 | Top | 81-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Both VCU and George Mason are still in play for the No. 4 seed in the upcoming Atlantic Ten Tournament as both are 8-8 in the conference with winnable games in their season finales. The Rams are playing their final home game of the season where they are 11-6 on the season, which is rather average for a team that is typically more dominating at home. Two non-conference home losses came against Texas and Virginia while three A-10 losses were against Rhode Island, St. Bonaventure and Davidson which are the top three teams in the conference with a combined 40-11 record. VCU is coming off a loss against the Bonnies and going back, the Rams are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. George Mason has won two straight games to get even with the Rams and comes in with a 4-7 record on the road. This includes a 3-5 record in the conference but all three of those have come against losing teams and this is not a good spot for the Patriots as they are 0-9 ATS this season against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile VCU is 42-23 ATS in its last 65 home games after playing a game as an underdog. 10* (726) VCU Rams |
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02-27-18 | Oklahoma v. Baylor -3.5 | Top | 64-87 | Win | 102 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Baylor has been a middle of the pack team most of this season, but a recent five-game winning streak has put the Bears into the NCAA Tournament mix., Three of those wins were over Kansas, Texas and Texas Tech and even though they have lost their last tow games, they are still right there. Baylor is 17-12 on the season and nine of those 12 losses have been against ranked opponents, including six road games. Eight of 10 conference teams are looking at NCAA Tournament bids and of those, Baylor has played the fourth toughest schedule including the second toughest within the Big XII. Oklahoma snapped a six-game losing streak on Saturday at home against Kansas St., but it now hits the road where it is just 2-8 and has yet to win a road game in 2018. This is a revenge game for Baylor as it lost 98-96 in Norman and those 96 points were their most in a loss since Jan. 23, 1995. The Bears had a chance to take the lead late but missed the font end of a one-and-one and free throws were the difference as Trae Young made as many free throws as Baylor attempted. Going back, Oklahoma is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games off a conference home win while going 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after allowing 75 points or more three straight games. Meanwhile, the Bears are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games after playing five consecutive games as an underdog. 10* (540) Baylor Bears |
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02-27-18 | Wizards v. Bucks -3 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Bucks are coming off a loss against New Orleans on Sunday to make it two straight losses at home. Milwaukee is 19-11 here on the season and needs to bounce back in a spot where it can gain ground in the Eastern Conference as it sits in sixth place, just two games behind Washington for fourth place. The Bucks have covered seven of their last 10 games within the conference and with the road team winning the first three games of this season series, we expect the home team to finally break through. Washington defeated Philadelphia on Sunday and will go against the Wizards tonight after backing them in that game. They have been more than capable on the road with three straight wins, but focus could be a big issue here. While all games are important at this point in the season, Washington hosts Golden St. tomorrow night which is a game it has had circled in welcoming the defending champions. The Bucks fall into a situation where we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 56-30 ATS (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
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02-27-18 | Bulls +10.5 v. Hornets | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Tuesday Ultimate Underdog. Charlotte has no business laying double-digits and it has done so once this season when it put down 10.5 points against Sacramento and failed to cover that number. The Hornets are 27-33 and while still in playoff contention, they are four games out of the final spot in the Eastern Conference despite a recent four-game winning streak which is helping with this line tonight. going back, Charlotte is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after covering the spread in three or more consecutive games. Chicago has lost four straight games and there has been talk of tanking which we cannot buy into with this being a young team with players trying to prove their worth. Despite being 7-23 on the road, the Bulls are over .500 against the number so they have been a lot of inflation in their numbers. They are a very respectable 7-4 ATS double-digit underdogs and those 11 games were all against teams currently in playoff spots. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg going up against teams allowing 102 or more ppg, after a win by 15 points or more. This situation is 57-24 ATS (70.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (501) Chicago Bulls |
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02-27-18 | Florida v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our CBB Tuesday Enforcer. Alabama is still projected to make the NCAA Tournament despite riding a three-game losing streak, but the stock is going down. All three of those losses came against teams that will be in the Big Dance and the Tide face another one of those tonight, so a win here locks up a bid. This is just the second losing streak of the season for Alabama which brings in a 12-3 home record in its final home game of the season. We won with Florida on Saturday as it won at home against Auburn to improve to 9-7 in the conference and that win against the No. 7 team in the RPI assured the Gators a spot in the NCAA Tournament. They are No. 50 in the RPI which is six spots lower than Alabama, yet the postseason is clearer which does make sense. Alabama has played the eighth toughest schedule in the country and it is tied for fourth in the SEC in Quadrant 1 wins (5) while it is one of only four teams in Q1 and Q2 wins with 10. Also, only 15 other teams in the nation have more Q1 victories than the Tide. The Tide are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 34-11 ATS in their last 45 games off a home conference loss. Meanwhile, the Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (526) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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02-26-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +2.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Monday Enforcer. With the victory last night, Houston once again has sole possession of first place in the Western Conference following its 12th straight victory. The Rockets are surely becoming a threat to Golden St., but this is a prime example of an overreaction. Because of the winning streak and a short line for a team that is 15.5 games better than the opponent, the public is all over Houston tonight. Utah had an 11-game winning streak snapped against Portland on Friday but bounced back with a win over Dallas on Saturday. The Jazz have gotten themselves in the playoff picture as they are two games out of the eighth and final spot in the Western Conference. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 78-39 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Houston is 2-6 ATS this season when playing with no rest while going 11-22 ATS in its last 33 games after successfully covering the spread in two or more consecutive games. Meanwhile Utah is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games. 10* (718) Utah Jazz |
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02-26-18 | James Madison v. Elon -3 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the ELON PHOENIX for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. Elon has been one of the biggest disappointments in the Colonial Athletic Association as it returned all five starters and was expected to contend for the championship. The Phoenix were 6-6 at one point but has since lost five straight games, failing to cover any of those. This is the final home game of the season, but it goes further than that as the 2017-18 season marks the 68th and final year of competition inside historic Alumni Gym as the program is set to relocate to the Schar Center for the 2018-19 campaign. The Phoenix are allowing teams to shoot 43.3 percent from the floor which is third overall in the CAA. Elon's 44.4 percent field goal percentage defense in CAA games ranks tied for 1st in the league with Charleston. James Madison has lost two straight games including a loss at then last place Delaware on Saturday and now it is the Dukes that hold down that place in the standings. They are the lowest ranked team in the CAA RPI and are over 100 spots below Elon which does correlate correctly with this short line. The Phoenix are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (740) Elon Phoenix |
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02-25-18 | 76ers v. Wizards -2 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia has come out of the break with a pair of wins but those were against Chicago and Orlando, two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference. Going back further, the Sixers have won seven straight games which started with a 13-point win at home against Washington and that puts the Wizards in a solid revenge situation explained later. Six of those seven wins have come at home where Philadelphia is 19-10 but comes into this game two games under .500 on the road. Washington upset Cleveland in its first game after the break but lost by 17 points at home against Charlotte the next night. The Wizards have held their own without John Wall as they are 8-3 in the 11 games since he has been out and going back, Washington is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games coming off a loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. Two situations are in play here. First, we play on home teams revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, off a loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1996. Second, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive wins, playing on back-to-back days. This situation is 77-39 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (810) Washington Wizards |
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02-25-18 | Penn State v. Nebraska -1 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CBB Sunday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Nebraska on Tuesday as it defeated Indiana to improve to 12-5 in the Big Ten, yet the Huskers are still on the outside looking in at the NCAA Tournament. They are one of the last four teams out due to a lack of quality wins, but the schedule did not give them many opportunities. They do have solid home wins over Michigan and Maryland where they are 15-1 on the season, the lone setback coming against Kansas by a single point. The Big Ten is in a down year with the bottom half of the conference lacking strength but Nebraska is fifth in the conference RPI and can still plays its way into the tournament as long as it does not lose any more winnable games, including this one. Penn St. is also on the bubble as it is coming off a pair of losses and hits the road for the final game of the season where it is 4-6 on the season. The Nittany Lions do have a good road win at Ohio St. but that is it and they are short-handed today. They will be without third leading scorer and leading rebounder Mike Watkins who was injured last game after playing just five minutes. Nebraska has covered 10 of its last 11 games at home and if the Huskers can win, they would break a school record for most conference wins in a season. 10* (834) Nebraska Cornhuskers |
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02-25-18 | Memphis v. Connecticut -3.5 | Top | 83-79 | Loss | -106 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT HUSKIES for our CBB Sunday Revenge Massacre. The Connecticut basketball program has taken a big fall as it is in danger of a second straight losing season after winning the National Championship in 2014. The Huskies are coming off a 25-point loss at Cincinnati and while a loss was expected there, they were without leading scorer Jalen Adams who missed the game with the flu, but he will be back today. They have struggled on the road but are a solid 10-4 at home with three of those losses coming against Villanova, Cincinnati and Wichita St., which are No. 2, No. 11 and No. 12 in the RPI respectively, and the fourth coming against 10-5 Tulsa by a bucket. Connecticut is 6-1 at Gampel Pavilion this season with that loss coming against the Bearcats. Memphis has been up and down this season but is coming off its most impressive stretch as it is riding a three-game streak with all of those victories coming as an underdog. This is keeping this line in check along with the fact Connecticut has lost five straight against the number. The Tigers are 12-25 ATS in their last 37 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. While the Huskies have some bad road losses, the worst came at Memphis back on January 16th where they lost by 24 points as they were held to a season low 49 points and that will have them jacked up for this rematch. 10* (818) Connecticut Huskies |
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02-25-18 | Illinois v. Rutgers | Top | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. It has been a disappointing season for Rutgers and while that is usually said every year in Piscataway, this year was supposed to be different. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season and it brought back four starters. A 10-3 start had things looking bright but an overtime loss again Stony Brook sent them reeling and the Scarlet Knights never recovered. They have shown signs of what they are capable of with a two-point loss to Purdue and an overtime loss at Michigan St. and with this being the final home game of the season, we will see a full out effort today. Illinois is coming off a great effort against Purdue but fell short at the end for the upset in its final home game of the season. The Illini are 0-10 on the road, getting outscored by over 10 ppg and Rutgers has added motivation from a 31-point loss in Champaign last month. The Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (824) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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02-24-18 | Lakers v. Kings +2 | Top | 113-108 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Kings came out of the break with a strong effort against Oklahoma City only to fall short as they lost on a last second three-pointer. Going back, they have covered four straight games including a pair of competitive losses on the road at Minnesota and Houston. Sacramento is tied with five other teams for the fewest wins in the league with 18 and while it has struggled as a home underdog, this is the smallest number it has gotten at home all season which tells a lot. Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. The Lakers are coming off a blowout win at home against Dallas last night and while it marked the return on Lonzo Ball, he will not play tonight as he will rest. Los Angeles has been a road favorite twice this season, losing both times outright by 11 points here in Sacramento and by 22 points in Orlando. The Lakers have also struggled playing with no rest, going just 2-7 which includes a 1-5 record when the second game is on the road. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 56-29 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (516) Sacramento Kings |
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02-24-18 | Southern Miss v. UTEP -2 | Top | 44-73 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. It has been a turbulent season for UTEP as it had to endure the unexpected retirement of head coach Tim Floyd while dealing with several injuries along the way. The Miners are fully healthy now and are coming off a win over Louisiana Tech on Thursday. This is the final home game of the season for UTEP and it will be a special one on Senior Night as Jake Flaggert, Keith Frazier, Omega Harris and Matt Willms have combined to play in 433 games and score 3,257 points. UTEP is 8-8 at home and needs a victory to avoid posting only its second losing mark over a full season in the Haskins Center. Southern Mississippi has dropped three straight games including another loss on the road Thursday against UTSA. The Golden Eagles are just 2-10 in true road games and have covered just one of their last five games on the highway. UTEP will be out to avenge a loss at Southern Mississippi last month and it is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games revenging a loss where the opponent scored 75 or more points while going 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games after a win by six points or less. 10* (672) UTEP Miners |
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02-24-18 | Auburn v. Florida -2.5 | Top | 66-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. It has been an up and down season for the Gators which are now 8-7 in the SEC following three straight losses. All three of those were by five points or less including the last two on the road while the lone home loss came against Georgia in overtime. Florida is 10-5 at home this season and one defeat from equaling the most home losses by a Florida team in 21 years. The Gators are 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games. Auburn is coming off a 90-71 blowout of rival Alabama, but just four nights earlier was beaten handily 84-75 on the road at South Carolina, which at the time had lost six straight games. It has been a remarkable season for the Tigers as they are on the verge of clinching their first SEC regular season championship since 1999. The Tigers could again be without second leading scorer Mustapha Heron who is battling the flu and is not close to 100 percent. Auburn is not very big to begin with, so the Gators will have the advantages down low. 10* (668) Florida Gators |
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02-24-18 | Gonzaga v. BYU +5 | Top | 79-65 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CBB Ultimate Trifecta. This is the final regular season home game for BYU as it is coming off a three-game roadtrip where it went 2-1. With the BYU win against Portland and Pacific losing to San Francisco on Thursday, the Cougars clinched the No. 3 seed in the West Coast Conference Tournament. They are 13-2 at home including a 7-1 record in the conference, the only loss coming against St. Marys in overtime. The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games following three or more consecutive road games. Gonzaga continues to rack up the victories as it has won 10 straight games but has been far from dominating. The Bulldogs are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games and while most of those were laying big numbers, the competition was not good. They did pick up a win and cover against the Gaels, but they were underdog there and are now laying a larger than expected number against a quality team in a very tough environment. BYU has held its own in this series over the years including a respectable eight-point loss in Spokane earlier this month. The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (660) BYU Cougars |
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02-24-18 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -4.5 | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CBB Game of the Month. While Oklahoma is still projected to make the NCAA Tournament, its stock is going down quickly as it has lost six straight games including a 30-point loss at Kansas on Monday. Four of these recent losses have come on the road and the Sooners return home where they are 11-2 on the season. After a 5-1 start in the Big XII, they have lost nine of their last 11 games in the conference and the first defeat in this streak came at Kansas St. by 18 points which was their biggest loss of the season prior to the Kansas game. The Wildcats have been a bit of a surprise as they have put together a solid run as their win over Texas on Wednesday was their 20th of the season and ninth in the conference. Kansas St. has won and covered three straight games, but it has gone 0-6 ATS this season following three or more consecutive wins. This has been a home dominated series with the host taking the last six meetings which helps with the contrarian angle today. As mentioned, this is a revenge game for the Sooners and going back, they are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games playing with revenge. 10* (612) Oklahoma Sooners |