Sports Picks & Predictions

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -130
The Key: The Brewers have the advantage on the mound with Kyle Lohse, who has given up just one earned run in each of his last three starts. It looks good for Lohse that Chicago is hitting only .241 as a team. That's because he's 11-0 on the money line since the beginning of last season versus NL teams with batting average of .245 or worse. His teams have won these 11 games by an average score of 4.5 to 1.8. Lohse is also 6-0 on the money line in his last six starts against the Cubs. Chicago's Edwin Jackson, meanwhile, is 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Milwaukee. The Brewers have owned the Cubs, winning 24 of the last 31 meetings overall. The Brewers are also 8-0 in their last eight at home versus Chicago. Take Milwaukee.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rays -115
The Key: I like Tampa Bay to bring Toronto's winning streak to an end tonight. The Blue Jays are 25-51 in their last 76 versus the Rays, including 12-39 in their last 51 in Tampa Bay. In addition, the Jays are 24-50 in their last 74 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-13 in their last 18 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 7-2 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 9 home starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts when up against an opponent that allowed 5 runs or more in its previous game. They are also 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus a team with a winning record. I have a lot more confidence in Hellickson that I do in Esmil Rogers, who has more experience as a reliever. Take Tampa Bay.

7* National League Game of the Week on Reds -125
The Key: Motivated by losses in the first two games of this series, I expect the Reds to bounce back strong Sunday afternoon. The Reds have still won 12 of their last 16 in Arizona, are 36-17 in their last 53 following defeat and 33-15 in their last 48 games as a favorite. The Reds also have the edge on the mound with Mat Latos. They are 22-8 in his last 30 starts, 25-10 in his last 35 starts as a favorite, 8-3 in his last 11 road starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game. In other words, Latos has been a guy the Reds can count on when needing a "W". Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -137
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to the club with the worst record in the league, the defending World Series champs will be hungry and focused this afternoon. I also expect the Giants to get a strong outing from southpaw Barry Zito given Miami's struggles against lefty starters. The Marlins are batting .208 and scoring 2.2 runs per game off left-handed starters this season. They are 9-24 in their last 33 games versus a left-handed starter. The Giants are 21-7 in Zito's last 28 starts. They are 9-2 in his last 11 starts as a home favorite, 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus a team with a losing record and 6-0 in his last 6 starts in the third game of a series. Zito is 5-1 (6-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.45 in 8 starts versus Miami. Take San Francisco.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -147
The Key: I successfully played against the Dodgers last night, but I'm backing them here with ace Clayton Kershaw (5-4, 1.84 ERA) on the hill. He gives them a decisive advantage on the mound. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Kershaw's last 5 road starts, 42-19 in his last 61 starts as a favorite and 22-7 in his last 29 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. He has a 2.44 ERA in 19 starts versus San Diego, and the Dodgers are 3-0 in his last 3 road starts against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 5-0 in their last 5 in the second game of a series. San Diego's Clayton Richard (2-5, 7.01 ERA) is having a miserable season. The Padres are 1-7 in his last 8 starts, including 0-4 in his last 4 starts on regular rest. Take L.A.

6* NL *CA$H COW* on Reds -113
The Key: The Reds were upset by Pittsburgh as a -200 favorite yesterday, but recent history says they'll bounce back strong here. In fact, they are 11-0 since the start of last season off a loss to a division rival as a favorite of -150 or higher. Johnny Cueto has owned the NL West, Arizona specifically. The Reds are 6-0 in Cueto's last 6 starts versus National League West foes. They are also 6-0 all-time in his starts versus Arizona, and he has posted a 1.66 ERA in these games. Arizona's Wade Miley has a 6.86 ERA at home and an extra day of rest doesn't figure to help as the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. The Reds are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings in Arizona. Take Cincy.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Royals -130
The Key: The Royals are showing terrific value at this price with Jeremy Guthrie getting the ball. They are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts, including 10-0 in his last 10 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie has owned the AL Central, going 6-0 with a 1.77 ERA against division opponents this season. The Royals are 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the AL Central and 12-1 in his last 13. He's especially had his way with Chicago. The Royals are 6-0 all-time in Guthrie's starts against the White Sox, and he's held them to 1 earned run or less in all 6. Kansas City is also 5-0 in its last 5 games as a home favorite and 4-0 in its last 4 series openers. The White Sox are really struggling, and they are 0-4 in Hector Santiago's last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Padres -132
The Key: This is a tough spot for the Dodgers, who played a double header yesterday in New York, traveled across the country and play again tonight. The Padres, who are 6-0 in their last 6 home games, find themselves in excellent hands with Jason Marquis marching out to the mound. They are 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. He's allowed 3 earned runs or less in each of those 7 wins. The Padres are also 4-0 in their last 4 series openers and 4-0 in Marquis' last 4 series-opening starts. Take San Diego.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -113
The Key: The Nationals have gotten their backers over the hump on Humpday as they are 22-8 in their last 30 Wednesday games. They are 5-0 in Gio Gonzalez's last 5 Wednesday starts. The Phillies haven't had as much luck in the middle of the week as they are 4-9 in their last 13 Wednesday games. The Nats are also an impressive 22-9 in their last 31 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Gonzalez is yet to make a start against Philly this season but went 3-1 with an ERA of 2.52 against it last year. Kyle Kendrick, who has a 5.11 ERA against Washington, gave up 5 runs in 5 innings against the Nats last month. The Phillies are just 2-6 in Kendrick's last 8 starts versus the Nationals. Take Washington.

6* MLB Afternoon Delight on Giants -149
The Key: The Giants get the call with Madison Bumgarner on the bump given the level of success he's had against San Diego. The Giants are 8-1 in his last 9 starts versus the Padres and 6-0 in his last 6 home starts against them. He's allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 4 home starts versus San Diego. Eric Stults has given up 10 earned runs in 11 innings spanning 2 starts this season versus the Giants, which should not come as a big surprise considering San Fran is batting .294 and scoring 5.0 runs per game off lefty starters this season. Take the Giants.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -140
The Key: The defending World Series champs have been a tremendous investment at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. They are an even more impressive 17-6 in their last 23 home games versus a team with a winning record. And, they have won 13 of their last 17 at home versus the Padres. In addition, the Giants are 9-0 this season when they check in with 5 of 6 losses in a 7-game stretch. The Giants are 55-27 in Matt Cain's last 82 home starts and 7-2 in his last 9 starts overall. San Francisco is 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 6-0 in his last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cain is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the Padres. Take the Giants.

6* MLB Bailout on Giants -129
The Key: San Diego is coming off a perfect hometstand, but things won't go as perfectly on the road against the defending champs with Barry Zito on the bump. The Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 visits to San Francisco, including 0-3 this season. Also, the Giants are 21-6 in Zito's last 27 starts, including a perfect 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record. Zito is carrying a 1.94 ERA at home this season and he's won each of his last 2 home starts against the Padres while giving up only 1 run in 15 innings. Take San Fran.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on D-backs -1.5 +102
The Key: The D-backs are 13-0 in Pat Corbin's starts this season, and he has posted an ERA of just 2.28 in these games. Arizona has won these games by an average of 3.2 runs so there is value in taking it on the run line. Corbin has an ERA of 1.60 at home on the season, and the D-backs are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts dating back to last season. They've won these by an average of 2.6 runs. Corbin should have plenty of success against a Miami lineup that is batting just .217 against lefties. It's also important to note that the D-backs are 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 in Corbin's last 4 series-opening starts. Miami is 0-5 in the first game during each of its 5 road trips this season. Take Arizona on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on A's -121
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, the A's will leave it all on the field to avoid being swept. Despite the two losses, the A's are 21-7 in their last 28 overall and 41-18 in their last 59 home games. They are 5-1 in their last 6 Game 3s of a series while the Mariners are 0-5 in their last 5 Game 3s of a series. Iwakuma has been terrific for Seattle, but this will be the 3rd time the A's have seen him this season and that gives them an advantage. The Mariners have yet to face Colon this season, and I believe they're in for a rude awakening. The A's are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a home favorite and 8-0 in his last 8 starts versus a team with a losing record. The A's are 41-12 in their last 53 games versus a team with a losing record and should bounce back strong here.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Nationals -132
The Key: Washington has the clear edge on the mound with Zimmerman, who is 9-3 with an ERA of 2.00. Cleveland's Kazmir is just 3-4 with an ERA of 5.33. The Nationals are 22-7 in Zimmermann's last 29 starts, 18-4 in his last 22 starts after he gives up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last 2 outings, 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the AL Central and 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Indians, on the other hand, are 0-4 in Kazmir's last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tribe is 3-8 in its last 11 overall and 3-12 in its last 15 games as an underdog. Also, the Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games with ump Dan Iassogna behind home plate, and the road team is 4-0 in Iassogna's last 4 games behind home plate in Cleveland. Take Washington.

6* MLB *Afternoon Delight* on Red Sox -107
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to open this 4-game set, Boston will show up at the ballpark hungry and focused. The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss and 4-0 in their last 4 Game 3s of a series. They are also 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road favorite. The Orioles shut Boston out Friday, but they are 0-4 in their last 4 games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Red Sox also have the edge on the mound with Lackey, who is carrying a 3.14 ERA through 10 starts. He has a 3.35 ERA in 19 starts versus Baltimore and his teams are 3-0 in his last 3 starts versus the O's. Looking back further, his teams are 10-4 in his last 14 starts against them. Garcia, meanwhile, has an ERA of 4.47 through 8 starts this season and a 4.58 ERA in 23 starts versus Boston. Take the Red Sox.

7* MLB Blowout Game of the Month on A's -1.5 +108
The Key: First off, the Mariners are just 2-9 in their last 11 road games and 1-11 in their last 12 games as an underdog. Oakland is 12-1 as a favorite of -150 or more this season. Secondly, the Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a left-handed starter. They lost these contests by an average of 4.8 runs. They figure to have their hands full with Tom Milone, who has a 2.43 ERA at home. The A's are 3-0 in his 3 career home starts against the Mariners, winning those by 3.3 runs on average. The A's are also 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. Oakland is 10-0 this season in home games versus AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse. It has won these games by an average of 3.0 runs. The Athletics are also 9-0 in their last 9 series openers and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. They should have their way with Joe Saunders. The Mariners are 0-6 in Saunders' 6 road starts this season, and he has an ERA of 9.00 in these games. He's also 0-2 in his last 2 starts in Oakland. Take the A's on the run line.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -107
The Key: The Giants have the edge on the mound with Matt Cain, who has shown the ability to rise to the occasion time and time again. The Giants are 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. This tells me Cain takes it upon himself to deliver following a rough outing from the pitching staff. Also, the Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 starts as a favorite and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus the Pirates. He has a 1.46 ERA over his last 5 starts against Pittsburgh. I expect to see a little rust on the arm of Charlie Morton as he makes his first start in the bigs since undergoing Tommy John surgery last June. The Pirates are 16-40 in Morton's last 56 starts as an underdog, 1-5 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog and 1-4 in his last 5 starts versus the Giants. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -166
The Key: The Rockies are worth the price with the southpaw De La Rosa on the mound against the worst hitting team in baseball versus left-handed pitching. The Nationals have a .209 average and .309 slugging percentage against lefties this season. The Rockies are 7-0 in De La Rosa's last 7 starts and 11-0 in his last 11 home starts. De La Rosa's teams are also 14-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175. The Rockies are 4-0 all-time in De La Rosa's starts versus the Nationals. Also, the Rockies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher, 4-0 in their last 4 Game 2s of a series and 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. Take Colorado.

6* Wednesday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Rangers -130
The Key: I expect the Rangers to bounce back tonight against an Indiana club that is 1-8 in its last 9 games, 21-48 in its last 69 road games, 3-14 in its last 17 games as an underdog and 0-5 in its last 5 games versus a right-handed starter. Ubaldo Jimenez has shown flashes this season, but the fact of the matter is he has a 5.03 ERA through 12 starts. The Indians are 4-12 in Jimenez's last 16 road starts. The Rangers are 19-9 at home on the season and an amazing 77-32 in their last 109 games following a loss. They've won 7 of their last 9 at home versus Cleveland and 27 of their last 36 overall against the Tribe. Texas rookie Nick Tepesch has a 3.92 ERA on the season, and it's worth noting that the Indians are 15-26 in games in which they've faced a rookie starter since the beginning of last season. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -157
The Key: The Tigers are 39-14 in their last 53 games as a road favorite of -151 to -200, and I expect them to extend this run behind a gem from Scherzer, who is 8-0 with a 3.24 ERA in 12 starts. He's 2-0 with an ERA of just 1.66 in 5 road starts. The Tigers are 5-0 in Scherzer's starts versus division opponents this season. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts versus the Royals and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Kansas City's Wade Davis is 3-5 with a 5.66 ERA in 12 starts this season. Also, his teams have lost 3 of his 4 starts versus the Tigers. Take Detroit.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Rangers -166
The Key: The Rangers are 24-7 in their last 31 meetings with Cleveland. They are 13-3 in their last 16 home meetings with the Indians. Look for Texas to continue its dominance of the Tribe behind a strong performance from Holland. The Rangers are 6-1 in Holland's last 7 starts. He's carrying a 2.82 ERA on the season, a 2.34 ERA at home and a 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts. He's also 3-0 (5-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 in 6 starts versus Cleveland. The Rangers are 17-4 in Holland's last 21 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Indians, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games, are 0-6 in their last 6 games versus a left-handed starter and 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. They are 0-4 in Kluber's last 4 starts and 0-5 in his last 5 starts versus a team with a winning record. Kluber has a 5.34 ERA on the road this season. Take Texas.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Angels -122
The Key: The Halos have the upper hand with ace Jered Weaver on the mound. They are 40-13 in his last 53 starts and 24-6 in his last 30 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher. They are also 10-3 in his last 13 road starts and 17-5 in his last 22 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Angels are 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Orioles, and they've won these starts by an average of 6.8 runs. Freddy Garcia has a good track record against the Angels but clearly isn't the same caliber as Weaver. The O's have lost 3 of his 4 home starts this season. Take L.A.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Mariners -145
The Key: The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Felix Hernandez, whose 2.58 ERA is well over a run lower than David Phelps 4.15 ERA. Hernandez has had plenty of success against the Yankees too. As a result, the Mariners are 8-3 in his last 11 starts against the Yanks and 4-1 in his last 5 home starts against them. He's given up 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 3 and 8 of his last 11 starts against New York. The Mariners are 22-9 in their last 31 games as a home favorite. Take Seattle.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER on Braves -134
The Key: The Braves have the edge on the mound with Kris Medlen. They are 28-8 in Medlen's last 36 starts, 19-3 in his last 22 starts versus teams that have a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts versus losing clubs. Medlen is also 1-0 (2-0 on the money line) with an ERA of 1.26 in two starts against the Dodgers. He gave up no earned runs on 2 hits in 7 innings of a 3-1 win over the Dodgers last month. The Dodgers are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog and 0-4 in their last 4 in the third game of a series. Bet the Braves.

6* MLB Bailout on Dodgers -109
The Key: The Dodgers are showing signs of life after promoting Yasiel Puig to the bigs. They blanked the Braves 5-0 Thursday, and I expect them to come through again tonight. Atlanta's Paul Maholm has struggled on the road where he's carrying a 5.35 ERA. He's given up at least 5 runs in 3 of his last 4 road starts. He's also just 3-7 all-time on the money line in starts versus the Dodgers, including 0-2 in road starts against them. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a left-handed starter. L.A. is in good hands with Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Dodgers are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. He has a 1.57 home ERA on the season. Take the Dodgers.

7* National League Game of the Month on Rockies -155
The Key: The Rockies get the call with De La Rosa on the mound. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall and 10-0 in his last 10 home starts. They are also 13-0 all-time in his home starts as a favorite of -150 to -175 and have won these by an average score of 8.2 to 3.9. In addition, Colorado is 8-0 in De La Rosa's last 8 starts versus the Padres. San Diego's Volquez is 0-3 in his last 3 starts against the Rockies. Take Colorado.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rockies -133
The Key: The Rockies have had San Diego's number. They are 6-0 against the Padres this season and 5-0 in their last 5 home games against San Diego dating back to last season. Colorado's Chacin has been dominant against the Padres. He's 3-0 in his last 3 starts against them, holding them to 2 earned runs or fewer in each. He's held them to 1 earned run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Take Colorado.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Royals -132
The Key: Jeremy Guthrie rebounded from a poor 3-start stretch with a solid performance his last time out to help the Royals earn a 4-2 win over St. Louis. I expect him to turn in another strong outing tonight given how dominant he's been against the AL Central. Guthrie is 4-0 with a 1.59 ERA versus division opponents this season. The Royals are 17-5 in his last 22 starts, 10-1 in his last 11 home starts and 8-0 in his last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Guthrie is also 5-2 in his last 7 starts versus the Twins. Take Kansas City.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Angels -148
The Key: The Halos have the edge on the hill with Jason Vargas. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts and 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. Vargas is also 2-0 all-time on the money line in 2 home starts versus the Cubs. The Cubs are 2-9 in Matt Garza's last 11 road starts and 0-4 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. Garza is 0-4 lifetime on the money line versus the Angels with an ERA of 5.87 in these starts. Take Los Angeles.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -117
The Key: The Giants have been unstoppable at home with Barry Zito on the bump. They are 14-0 in his last 14 home starts. Plus, Zito's teams are 6-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Blue Jays. R.A. Dickey has been rocked in each of his last two starts, and the Jays are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts. Take San Francisco.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Dodgers -131
The Key: I'm fading San Diego's Clayton Richard here. The Padres are 0-5 in his last 5 starts, and he's given up at least 5 runs in each of his last 4. The Padres are also 0-4 in Richard's last 4 road starts, and he's been tagged for at least 5 runs in each of these. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus a left-handed starter and 5-0 in their last 5 home games versus a team with a losing record. Ted Lilly has a terrific track record against the Padres. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 home starts versus the Pads, and he has held them to 2 runs or fewer in each of his last 7 starts against them. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Lilly's last 7 home starts versus a team with a losing record. Take L.A.

6* MLB *TOP DOG* on Brewers +110
The Key: I'll gladly get behind Kyle Lohse, who's more proven than A.J. Griffin. Plus, Lohse's home ERA is lower than Griffin's road ERA. Lohse's teams are 24-13 all-time as a home underdog of +125 or less. The Brewers are happy to invite all right-handers to Miller Park as they are 94-48 against righty starters at home since the start of the 2011 season. The Brew Crew is 7-3 in its last 10 interleague home games versus a right-handed starter and 5-2 in its last 7 interleague games as an underdog. Bet the Beermakers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Braves -128
The Key: Pittsburgh's A.J. Burnett hasn't been a good investment in the underdog role. In fact, the Pirates are 3-8 in Burnett's last 11 starts as an underdog, including 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. We also can't ignore how much Pittsburgh has struggled in series openers. The Pirates are 16-35 in their last 51 series openers and 2-8 in Burnett's last 10 starts in the first game of a series. The Braves, on the other hand, are 14-4 in their last 18 Game 1's and 9-0 in Kris Medlen's last 9 series-opening starts. The Braves are 15-4 in Medlen's last 19 home starts and 22-6 in his last 28 starts as a favorite. It is also worth noting that Atlanta is 4-0 in its last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Bet the Braves.

6* MLB Late Afternoon Annihilator on Rockies -132
The Key: De La Rosa doesn't have a good track record against the Dodgers, but I can't ignore how good he's been at home in recent years. He hasn't faced the Dodgers at Coors Field since 2009, and I expect L.A. to be in for a rude awakening. The Rockies are a ridiculous 28-4 in De La Rosa's last 32 home starts, including a perfect 9-0 in his last 9 dating back to the start of the 2011 season. The Rockies have won these 9 by an average score of 7.4 to 3.6. The Dodgers are 2-12 in their last 14 games as a road underdog, 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a left-handed starter and 4-9 in the last 13 meetings in Colorado. Take the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks -140
The Key: The D-backs have the edge on the mound with southpaw Pat Corbin. The Rockies are 10-0 in his starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 1.71. He should have plenty of success against a Chicago lineup that has a terrible .264 on-base percentage against lefty starters. Chicago's Edwin Jackson has struggled, especially at home. The Cubs are 0-5 in his home starts this season, during which he's posted an ERA of 7.81. Take Arizona.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Tigers -134
The Key: The Tigers have the edge on the mound with Verlander, who has dominated Baltimore throughout his career. He's 7-0 (10-1 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.85 in 11 career starts versus the Orioles. The Tigers are 6-0 all-time in his road starts versus Baltimore, winning these by an average of 3.5 runs. The Orioles have done well with Hammel on the hill, but his 6.37 home ERA throws up a big red flag. Take the Tigers.

6* MLB Early Annihilator on Twins -123
The Key: The Twins have the edge on the mound with Correia. They are 4-1 in his 5 home starts, during which he's posted a 2.50 ERA. Seattle's Harang has struggled on the road where he's 0-3 with a 10.67 ERA in 3 starts. The Mariners are 0-7 in their last 7 games in the underdog role, and they're also 0-4 in their last 4 Game 2s of a series. Take the Twins early.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* of the Week on Phillies -125
The Key: It's been a rough start to the season for Hamels, but he's been better than his record indicates. I expect a gem out of him tonight against the struggling Brewers. The Brewers are 5-22 in their last 27 overall, including 0-6 in their last 6 games. Milwaukee has really struggled against southpaw starters this year. It is just 4-18 against them on the season, including 0-7 in its last 7 on the road against lefty starters. Hamels is 4-0 in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. Gallardo is typically never as good on the road, and the Brewers are 0-5 in his last 5 starts. The Brewers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings and 11-30 in the last 41 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the Phillies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants +101
The Key: The Athletics have taken the first 3 games of this home-and-home four-game series, but that won't keep me off the defending World Series champs here. After all, the Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series. Former Oakland ace Barry Zito has a 1.38 ERA at home this season, and the Giants are 13-0 in his last 13 home starts dating back to last season. The Giants are 6-0 in his last 6 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog. Zito is also 2-0 in his last 2 home starts versus the A's. Oakland's A.J. Griffin has an ERA of 4.31 on the road this season, and the Athletics are 2-11 in the last 13 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

6* MLB Battle on the Bay Bailout on Giants -123
The Key: The reigning World Series champs lost both in Oakland, but I expect them to regroup at home where they have won 35 of their last 52. Also, keep in mind that they are 11-1 in their last 12 home games against the A's. I trust Lincecum more at home, where he's 2-2 with a 4.01 ERA, than I trust Milone on the road, where he's 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA. Plus, Lincecum has a good track record against the A's. The Giants are 6-2 in his last 8 starts against them, and he has limited them to 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of these starts. Also, the former two-time NL Cy Young winner is 5-0 on the money line in his last 5 starts when getting the ball on regular rest. Take the Giants.

7* MLB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on Indians -133
The Key: The Indians lost both games in Cincinnati, but I expect them to bounce back strong at home where they have won 13 of their last 17 overall. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games and 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus the Reds. Justin Masterson is having a sensational season, and he's been lights out at home lately. The Indians are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts, and he's given up no runs in his last 2 home starts spanning 16 innings. Masterson is also 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus the Reds, holding them to 1 earned run in 17 innings during this stretch. Cincy's Bronson Arroyo hasn't been as sharp on the road where he's 1-3. He's also had his share of struggles against the Tribe, going 0-3 with a 11.20 ERA in his last three 3 starts against them. Take the Indians on the money line.

6* MLB Top Dog on Phillies +116
The Key: The Phillies are showing value at this price considering the edge they have on the mound with Cliff Lee. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, during which he has allowed a total of 4 runs in 31 innings. The Phillies are 5-0 in Lee's last 5 starts as an underdog. Boston's Ryan Dempster, on the other hand, has been struggling. He's given up 19 runs in his last 4 starts spanning 19 2-3 innings. The Red Sox are 0-3 in his last 3 home starts. Take the Phillies.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Rays -1.5 -106
The Key: The Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 games and have lost these by an average of 2.5 runs. They are also 0-6 in their last 6 road games, losing these by an average of 2.7 runs. Miami is 0-3 in Kevin Slowey's last 3 starts. These losses came by an average of 5.3 runs, which isn't hard to believe considering Slowey posted an 8.52 ERA during this stretch. Jeremy Hellickson has struggled but enters with confidence following his best start of the season. Besides, the Rays have won 5 of his last 6 home starts dating back to last season. The Marlins are 9-24 in the last 33 meetings and 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay. Take the Rays on the run line.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on White Sox -116
The Key: The Cubs pulled out a win yesterday to end a 6-game skid but are 10-26 in their last 36 games following a win. They are 11-25 in their last 36 interleague road games and 3-8 in their last 11 meetings with the White Sox. Samardzija has pitched well but has suffered from a lack of run support. Plus, he's been hit hard in 3 of his last 5 road starts, and the Cubs are 0-5 in those starts. The White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite and 5-0 in their last 5 interleague home games. They are in good hands with Quintana on the mound considering the Cubs just 4-10 against southpaw starters this season. Quintana is working off a game, and the White Sox are 12-1 in his last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Take the South Siders.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brewers -121
The Key: The Brewers are showing value at home at this price given the dominance Gallardo has displayed against the Pirates. The right-hander is 10-2 (14-2 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.31 in 16 career starts versus Pittsburgh. Also, the Brewers are 9-0 all-time in Gallardo's home starts versus the Pirates. Wandy Rodriguez is 1-3 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus the Brewers. He's also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 and 2-10 on the money line in his last 12 starts at Milwaukee. The Pirates are 8-45 in the last 53 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Brew Crew.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -123
The Key: I'm backing Barry Zito at home where he has been lights out. The Giants are 5-0 in Zito's home starts this season, during which he has posted an ERA of 0.55. Dating back to last season, the Giants are 12-0 in his last 12 home starts. Zito was rocked in Colorado in his most recent start, but he normally gets the best of the Rockies. The Giants are 4-1 in his last 5 starts versus Rockies. They are also 7-1 in his last 8 home starts versus the Rockies, including a perfect 3-0 in his last 3. The Rockies are only 6-20 in the last 26 meetings in San Francisco. Take the Giants.

7* NL Central Game of the Month on Brewers -104
The Key: The Brewers are 44-7 in their last 51 at home versus the Pirates, and I expect them to continue their home dominance against their NL Central rivals tonight. Milwaukee's Marco Estrada has owned Pittsburgh, as evidenced by the fact he has a 2.47 ERA in 7 starts against the Bucs. The Brewers are 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts versus Pirates, 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog, 6-0 in his last 6 series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 5 days' rest. A.J. Burnett hasn't had much luck against the Brew Crew, as evidenced by his 4.87 ERA in 10 starts against them. The Pirates are 0-4 in Burnett's last 4 starts versus the Brewers and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Bet the Beermakers.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Royals -130
The Key: I'm fading Joe Blanton here. The right-hander has a 6.62 ERA on the season and an 8.04 ERA over his last three starts. The Angels are 0-4 this season in his road starts, 0-7 in his night starts and 0-4 in his series-opening starts. He is also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Kansas City. He was tagged for 7 earned runs in 4 2-3 innings of an 11-4 loss to the Royals May 13. Former Angel Ervin Santana has an ERA of 2.77, and that number is down to 1.84 at home. His knowledge of the L.A. hitters should play to his benefit. The Angels are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Take Kansas City.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Red Sox -126
The Key: The Red Sox have the edge on the mound with Buchholz, who is 6-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 9 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 3 road starts. The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 26-5 in Buchholz's last 31 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts versus a team with a losing record. It is also significant that Buchholz has a WHIP of just 1.035 given the White Sox are 6-18 in their last 24 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The White Sox are 0-3 in Santiago's last 3 starts. Bet Bean Town.

6* MLB Afternoon Annihilator on Rockies -128
The Key: The Rockies are in great hands with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound. They are an awesome 27-4 in his last 31 home starts. It is also worth noting that they have never lost to the Diamondbacks at Coors Field with De La Rosa on the bump. They are 8-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Diamondbacks. De La Rosa has a 2.41 ERA in 14 career starts versus Arizona while Cahill has a 4.87 ERA in 7 starts versus the Rockies. Cahill has lost his last 2 starts in Colorado and 3 of his last 4 overall against the Rockies.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -140
The Key: The Cards have the edge on the mound with Wainwright, who's 5-3 with a 2.51 ERA. Compare that to San Diego's Volquez, who's 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA. Wainwright has also been lights out against the Padres, going 3-2 with a 0.97 ERA in 5 career starts. Volquez is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA in 9 starts against St. Louis. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 road starts and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. The Padres are 3-7 in Volquez's last 10 starts, and he's 1-4 on the money line in his last 5 versus the Cards. Take St. Louis.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -135
The Key: The Giants are happy to be home after losing the last three of a four-game series in Colorado. They are 20-7 in their last 27 home games and 12-3 in their last 15 home games versus a team with a winning record. Ryan Vogelsong has struggled, but I expect his best outing of the season tonight. The Nationals are hitting just .224 on the road, and he knows he needs a quality start if he wants to remain in the rotation. The Giants are 14-5 in Vogelsong's last 19 home starts and 5-1 in his last 6 starts versus a team with a winning record. Washington's Zach Duke hasn't started since July 10, 2011 and he's been hit hard in two appearances this season. He gave up three runs in three innings of an 8-1 loss to Atlanta on April 30 and allowed four runs in two-thirds of inning as Washington fell 8-2 to the Chicago Cubs on May 11. Duke's clubs are 9-32 all-time in his starts as a road underdog of +125 to +175. Take the Giants.

6* MLB Early Annihilator on Orioles +101
The Key: The Orioles have lost the first two games of this series and will be extremely hungry and focused as a result. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Baltimore is in good hands with Chris Tillman, who has a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Orioles are 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record. It is also worth noting that they are 6-1 in Tillman's last 7 starts as an underdog. Moore is off to a strong start for Tampa Bay and has a win in Baltimore this season. However, he had lost his previous two starts in Baltimore, and the Rays are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts as a road favorite. Take the Orioles.

6* MLB Early Blowout on Indians -155
The Key: The Indians have won 15 of their last 19 and find themselves in good hands with Zach McAllister stepping to the mound. The Tribe is 3-0 in his last 3 starts, and he's posted a 1.74 ERA during this span. The Mariners have struggled against righty starters this season and are 4-10 in their last 14 road games against them. The Indians, on the other hand, are 5-1 in their last 6 games versus a left-handed starter and should be able to get to Joe Saunders. The southpaw is 0-4 with an ERA of 12.53 on the road this season. These 4 losses came by an average of 6.5 runs. Saunders is also 0-3 on the money line in his last 3 starts versus Cleveland. Take the Tribe.

6* Money Line Massacre on Orioles -115
The Key: The Orioles are a good buy here as they are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Rays. They are also 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's Jeremy Hellickson has been hit hard over his last 4 starts. Plus, the Rays are 0-8 in Hellickson's last 8 road starts, 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Orioles are 6-0 in Jason Hammel's last 6 starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take Baltimore.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Pirates -1.5 +100
The Key: The Pirates have owned the Astros. They've won 12 of the last 16 meetings overall and 16 of the last 21 at home. Plus, they've never lost to Houston when facing Jordan Lyles. They are 5-0 against the 'stros when Lyles gets the start. Lyles has a 7.77 ERA in these 5 starts. It's also worth noting that the Astros are 0-9 in Lyles' last 9 starts as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 0-7 in his last 7 interleague starts. Take Pittsburgh on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Yankees -163
The Key: The Yankees have an advantage on the mound that's worth paying the juice for. New York's Andy Pettitte is 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA while Seattle's Aaron Harang is 1-4 with a 7.30 ERA. It is also worth noting that Pettitte has given up 2 earned runs or less in 6 of his last 8 starts against Seattle. The Yankees are 70-25 in Pettitte's last 95 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 45-10 in his last 55 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Mariners are 33-92 in their last 125 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. Take the Yanks.

6* Wednesday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Rays -118
The Key: The Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 games, and I expect them to keep right on rolling against the Red Sox, who are 0-4 in their last 4 road games and 4-22 in their last 26 road games versus clubs that have a winning record. Boston is hitting just .249 and scoring only 3.9 runs per game off left-handed starters this season and is 0-5 in its last 5 games versus a left-handed starter as a result. It will have its work cut out for itself against David Price, who is 8-4 lifetime with a 2.99 ERA versus the Red Sox. The Rays are 3-0 in his last 3 home starts versus Boston. While Boston has struggled against southpaw starters, Tampa Bay has flourished. It's hitting them at a .273 clip and averaging 5.3 runs per game against them. The Rays have had their share of success against Jon Lester lately. He's 1-4 on the money line in his last 5 starts against them. Take Tampa Bay.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Orioles -132
The Key: The Orioles have the edge on the mound with Chris Tillman. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts, and he's posted a 2.03 ERA during this span. The Orioles are also 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 starts series-opening starts. San Diego's Andrew Cashner is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 road starts this season. Plus, the Padres have struggled on the road in general. They are 0-6 in their last 6 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 0-4 in their last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter. Bet Baltimore.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Cardinals -1.5 +119
The Key: The Cardinals have the edge on the mound with Lynn, who has a 2.72 ERA on the season and a 1.35 ERA at home. The Cards are 6-0 in his last 6 regular-season home starts and have won these by 4.33 runs on average. They are also 7-0 in his last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. New York's Hefner has an ERA of 4.24 and that number balloons to 5.73 on the road. The Mets are 0-6 in his last 6 starts, losing these by 2.0 runs on average. The Mets are batting just .233 against righty starters this season and are 0-7 in their last 7 games versus a right-handed starter. The Cards are hitting .272 against righty starters and are 9-0 in their last 9 games versus them. The Mets are only 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in St. Louis. Take the Cards on the run line.

6* Sunday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on White Sox -118
The Key: The Angels have won the first two games of this series but are still just 6-13 in their last 19 road games and 4-9 in their last 13 in the third game of a series. The White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 Game 3's and find themselves in good hands with Chris Sale toeing the rubber. The White Sox are 13-3 in Sale's last 16 home starts, including a perfect 3-0 this season. He has an ERA of just 2.08 in those 3 wins. The Sox are also 4-0 in his last 4 home starts versus teams with a losing record and 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus the American League West. C.J. Wilson has pitched well for the Angels but hasn't been as sharp as Sale. His road ERA (3.75) is nearly 2 runs higher than Sale's home ERA. The Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the South Siders.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Nationals -1.5 +128
The Key: The Cubs won yesterday but had lost 5 straight to Washington by an average of 5.2 runs prior. Gio Gonzalez has been the NL Central's worst nightmare. The Nationals are 13-1 in his 14 starts against the NL Central and have won these by an average score of 6.6 to 3.2. They have won both of his starts against the Cubs by 3 and 8 runs. It's also noting that Washington is 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200, winning these by an average of 4.75 runs. The Cubs are 8-23 in their last 31 games following a win, 14-42 in their last 56 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200 and 3-9 in their last 12 games versus a left-handed starter. Take Washington on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Mets -111
The Key: Today's the day to get behind Jon Niese as the Mets are 12-2 all-time in his Saturday starts. The Mets most definitely have the edge on the mound with Niese, who has an ERA of 2.08 in 4 home starts. The Mets are 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite. The Pirates are 12-25 in their last 37 road games and 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, and sending Francisco Liriano to the mound doesn't do anything to gain my confidence. The left-hander is carrying a 4.15 ERA over five minor league starts. The Mets have won 6 of their last 8 against the Pirates, and I like them here. Bet the Mets.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Reds -141
The Key: The Brewers are struggling. They lost 6 of 7 to conclude a lengthy home stand, and now they head to Cincinnati where they haven't made much luck. The Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 and 20-7 in their last 27 at home versus the Brewers. Gallardo is the more proven pitcher in this matchup, but I believe he is overmatched here considering his struggles on the road and poor track record against the Reds. The right-hander owns a 6.00 road ERA compared to a 3.90 home mark. He dropped both 2012 starts at Cincinnati with a 4.63 ERA. The Brewers are 3-8 in Gallardo's last 11 starts versus the Reds and 1-7 in his last 8 road starts versus them. They are also 7-20 in his last 27 starts as a road underdog. Milwaukee is just 4-7 against southpaw starters and will have its work cut out for itself against Cingrani. Cincy has won 3 of his 4 starts while he's posted a 2.62 ERA. Milwaukee's lack of familiarity with Cingrani will be to his benefit. Bet the Reds.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Tigers -1.5 +115
The Key: The Indians have been rolling, but I expect them to cool off in Detroit where they are 8-28 since the start of 2009. The Tigers are 4-0 in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts, winning these by an average of 4.75 runs. They are also 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, winning these by an average of 4.57 runs. The Tigers are 5-1 in Scherzer's last 6 starts versus the Indians with each of the wins coming by at least 2 runs. The Indians are 4-10 in Corey Kluber's 14 starts. These losses have come by an average of 4.3 runs and include 0-4 loss in his most recent start against Detroit. Take the Tigers on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Yankees -119
The Key: The Yankees have the edge on the mound with CC Sabathia. He has been tough as nails in interleague action. The Yankees are 10-1 in his 11 interleague starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 2.40. He is also 4-0 on the money line in his last 4 starts versus Colorado. The Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Rockies have struggled against the AL, even at home where they are 5-16 in their last 21 interleague games. Having Jeff Francis on the hill doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. He's carrying a 7.27 ERA on the season. The Rockies are 0-4 in Francis' last 4 starts as a home underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Yankees.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Rays -1.5 +119
The Key: The Rays have lost the first two games of the series, but I expect them to bounce back strong tonight with Matt Moore on the mound. The southpaw is 5-0 with a 1.95 ERA on the season. He's 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA at home. Dating back to last season, the Rays are 8-0 in his last 8 starts and have won these by an average of 4.4 runs with all of them coming by at least 2 runs. The Rays are also 3-0 all-time in Moore's home starts against Toronto. These wins have come by an average of 5 runs with each coming by at least 3 runs. The Blue Jays are just 3-15 in Ricky Romero's last 18 starts and have lost his last 2 starts versus Tampa Bay. Take the Rays on the run line.

6* MLB *Top Dog* on A's +105
The Key: The A's represent the strongest underdog on the board today. They've lost the first two games of the series but are still 8-2 in their last 10 versus Cleveland. Justin Masterson has been hit hard in his last two starts, giving up 12 earned runs in 13 innings. Also, he hasn't had much luck against Oakland. He's 1-5 with an ERA of 10.36 in 6 starts versus the A's. He was 0-3 against them last season, giving up 19 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. The Athletics are 17-5 in Griffin's last 22 starts and 9-2 in his last 11 starts as an underdog. Take the A's.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cardinals -130
The Key: The Cardinals have never lost to the Cubs when Lance Lynn gets the start, going 4-0 with an average winning margin of 4.5 runs. Lynn has an ERA of 2.96 in these starts. Lynn is working off 3 consecutive gems, which bodes well for us since the Cards are 6-0 in his last 6 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The Cardinals are also 7-0 in his last 7 series-opening and 4-0 in his last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. It is also worth noting that the Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. Chicago's Travis Wood has pitched well this season, but he doesn't have a good track record against the Cardinals. Fading the Cubs against the Cardinals with Wood on the mound has never lost as the Cubs are 0-3 in his starts against St. Louis. He's given up 18 runs in 16 innings in those starts. The Cubs are 0-7 in Wood's last 7 home starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-8 in his last 8 starts as a home underdog. Take St. Louis.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Rays -138
The Key: The Blue Jays ended a 4-game skid yesterday but are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win. The Jays are also 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Tampa Bay won last year's series 14-4, and Toronto is just 12-39 in its last 51 at Tampa Bay. Veteran southpaw Mark Buehrle is struggling. The Blue Jays are 0-3 in his last 3 starts, during which he has an ERA of 5.68. The Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 home games versus a left-handed starter, 4-0 in their last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-0 in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Rays are 4-0 in Jeremy Hellickson's last 4 starts at home where he has an ERA of 3.38 this year. He also has a 2.89 ERA against the Blue Jays while Buehrle has a 4.33 ERA against Tampa Bay. Take the Rays.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Red Sox -1.5 +102
The Key: The Red Sox will be hungry tonight after getting swept at Texas. They are in great hands with Clay Buchholz getting the ball. He's 6-0 with an ERA of 1.01 in 6 starts, and the Sox have won these by an average of 4.2 runs. Boston is an impressive 17-3 since the start of last season with Buchholz on the hill as a favorite of -110 or higher. It has won these contests by an average score of 6.2 to 3.5. The Red Sox are also 5-0 in their last 5 at home, winning these by 3.8 runs on average. Minnesota's Vance Worley is 0-4 (2-4 on the money line) with an ERA of 7.22 in 6 starts. Bet Bean Town on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Tigers -1.5 -161
The Key: Philip Humber is 0-6 with an ERA of 7.58 on the season. These 6 defeats have come by an average of 5.2 runs and all of them came by at least 3 runs. Humber is 0-2 with a 10.38 ERA in 2 starts versus Detroit. It is also worth noting that his teams are 0-10 with him on the mound when the total is 8 to 8.5 since the start of last season. They have lost by an average of 5.3 runs in these spots. Justin Verlander is coming off a gem and just enjoyed the best April of his career. He has a 1.83 ERA in all starts, and that number is down to 1.50 on the road. The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -201 or greater and 5-0 in Verlander's last 5 starts as a road favorite of -201 or greater. Take the Tigers on the run line.

7* MLB Game of the Week on Blue Jays -155
The Key: The Mariners have won the first two games of this series but are still 3-7 in their last 10 road games, 2-7 in their last 9 road games versus a right-handed starter, 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 5-12 in their last 17 in the third game of a series. They will have a very tough time pulling off the sweep with Joe Saunders on the bump. He's 0-3 with a 12.51 ERA in 3 road starts. The Blue Jays are in better hands with Brandon Morrow. He has given up 3 earned runs or fewer in 4 of his first 6 starts, and Toronto is 2-0 in his last 2 starts with wins over Baltimore and Boston. Morrow is also 3-1 with a 3.04 ERA versus Seattle while Saunders is 2-5 on the money line in his last 7 starts versus the Jays. The Blue Jays are 4-1 in Morrow's last 5 starts versus a team with a losing record and 17-5 in his last 22 starts in the third game of a series. Bet the Blue Jays.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Rays -125
The Key: The Rockies have struggled in interleague play, and they've struggled against southpaw starters. The Rockies are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague games and 3-14 in their last 17 interleague home games. They are even 0-12 since the start of interleague play last season versus AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse and have lost to these teams by an average score of 7.5 to 3.5. They are also 0-8 in their last 8 interleague home games versus a team with a losing record. The Rockies are 18-42 in their last 60 games versus a left-handed starter, 11-25 in their last 36 home games versus a lefty starter and 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games versus a southpaw starter. I expect their struggles against lefties to continue with Tampa Bay ace David Price stepping to the mound. He's had a couple rough outings in his first 6 starts but appears to have found his groove with back-to-back solid performance against the Yankees and White Sox. The Rays are 37-17 in Price's last 54 road starts, 27-9 in his last 36 starts as a road favorite and 7-0 in his last 7 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The biggest reason Colorado has struggled so much in interleague play is its pitching, and I don't see Jon Garland outdueling Price. Garland has been hit hard in his last 2 starts, giving up 10 runs on 18 hits in 12 innings. Take Tampa Bay.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Phillies -1.5 +115
The Key: Philadelphia's Kyle Kendrick is dealing. They have won each of his last 2 and 3 of his last 4 starts, during which he has given up only 4 runs in 28 innings. Miami has lost each of Alex Sanabia's last 2 starts and 3 of his last 4, during which he has allowed 16 runs in 23 2/3 innings. Kendrick has a strong track record against Miami. He's 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the Marlins with 3 of these wins coming by 2 runs. He's given up just 4 runs in 24 1/3 innings spanning these starts. The Phillies are also 5-0 in his last 5 home starts versus Miami. All 5 of these wins have come by at least 2 runs. The Phillies also swept the Marlins in a 3-game series the last time they visited, winning all 3 by 2 runs. Take Philly on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Cardinals -113
The Key: The Reds have lost 9 of their last 11 on the road, and their road struggles should continue with Homer Bailey on the hill. He's 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in a pair of road starts this season. The Reds are also 0-6 all-time in his road starts versus the Cardinals and have lost them by an average of 3.5 runs. He has a 6.93 ERA in these starts. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Lance Lynn's last 4 starts, and 2-0 in his home starts on the season. He has a 1.38 ERA in the 2 home starts. The Cardinals are also 2-0 in his starts versus the Reds. The Cards have won 27 of Lynn's last 37 starts, including 17 of his last 18 against NL Central foes. Take the Cards.

6* MLB *Bailout Blowout* on Dodgers -135
The Key: Jorge De La Rose is not the same pitcher on the road where the Rockies are 2-7 in is last 9 starts and 1-6 in his last 7 starts as an underdog. He's 0-9 on the money line in 9 career starts versus the Dodgers with a 6.05 ERA. These losses have come by an average of 4.0 runs. The Rockies have lost 4 of their last 5 in L.A. and figure to have trouble with southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Rockies are 18-40 in their last 58 games versus a left-handed starter and 7-21 in their last 28 road games versus a left-handed starter. Take the Dodgers.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Royals -122
The Key: The Rays have lost 7 of their last 10 on the road where they are hitting just .225. I don't see them making much solid contact tonight against James Shields, who has a 3.09 ERA. He has had plenty of time to study the Tampa Bay hitters while spending 7 seasons there. The Rays have a good scouting report on him as well, but the edge goes to the pitcher when facing a batter for the first time. Plus, Shields has had plenty of success against guys he has faced like Shelley Duncan, Yunel Escobar, Kelly Johnson and Jose Molina. The Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 1-5 in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City. Alex Cobb has been good for Tampa Bay but was hit hard while losing his lone road start this season. He was also tagged for 8 runs in an 8-0 loss in Kansas City last season. Take the Royals.

6* MLB *Run Line Rout* on Yankees -1.5 -129
The Key: The Astros are 0-5 in Philip Humber's first five starts and have lost these by an average of 5.6 runs. All 5 losses came by at least 3 runs. The Yankees are 4-0 in Hiroki Kuroda's last 4 starts. These wins came by an average of 3.0 runs with all 4 coming by at least 2.0 runs. Kuroda's teams are also 6-0 in his last 6 starts versus the Astros with these wins coming by an average of 3.0 runs. Take the Yankees on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Royals -140
The Key: The Indians find themselves at a disadvantage with Ubaldo Jimenez heading to the mound. He's carrying a 10.06 ERA in 4 starts this season, and this number is up to 14.73 over his last 3 starts. Jimenez has also had his troubles against the Royals. He has an ERA of 5.64 in 4 career starts against them, and is 0-2 in his last 2 starts against them. The Indians are 3-9 in Jimenez's last 12 starts, 2-10 in his last 12 road starts, 4-17 in his last 21 starts as a road underdog, 0-6 in his last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record and 0-5 in his last 5 Monday starts. The Royals lost the second game of yesterday's double header but are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss. They are in good hands with Wade Davis getting the pill. They've won 3 of his 4 starts while he's posted an ERA of 3.20. Davis loves pitching in front of the home fans. His teams are 8-0 in his last 8 home starts. He's also 2-0 with an ERA of 2.70 in a pair of starts versus Cleveland. The Indians are 4-10 in the last 14 meetings and 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Kansas City. Take the Royals.

6* MLB Super System Smoker on Giants -117
The Key: Ryan Vogelsong has an ERA of 5.68, and the Giants have hit just 15 home runs on the season, but that won't keep me off the defending champs here. Consider that NL teams with a money line of +100 to -150 that average 0.9 homers or less on the season with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 are 44-15 the last 5 seasons. Vogelsong has struggled early this season following a brilliant finish to last season, but I expect his struggles to come to an end here. He has won his last 2 starts versus San Diego while holding the Padres to 1 earned run. The Giants are 6-1 in Vogelsong's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Padres have lost both of Jason Marquis' starts at home where he has an elevated 8.38 ERA. He has also lost 2 of his last 3 starts versus the Giants. San Diego is a soft 3-13 as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season. The Giants are 26-11 in the last 37 meetings. Take SF.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Diamondbacks -134
The Key: The Rockies are 9-21 in their last 30 road games, 11-42 in their last 53 Sunday games and 7-17 in the last 24 meetings in Arizona. All of these negative streaks should be extended with southpaw Pat Corbin stepping to the hill for the D-backs. The Snakes are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he's posted an ERA of just 1.71 in 4 starts this season. Colorado has been at its worst against left-handed starters. In fact, it is 6-20 in its last 26 road games versus a left-handed starter. The D-backs are also 2-0 in Corbin's last 2 starts versus Colorado. The Rockies have won 3 of Jon Garland's 4 starts, but he has benefited from solid run support, something he doesn't figure to get today. He is carrying a 5.21 ERA over his last 3 starts. Take the Snakes.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on A's -136
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, I expect the A's to come storming back in the third game of this 4-game set. A.J. Griffin has been lights out for the A's since getting the call up last season. They have won 15 of his last 18 starts overall and 10 of his last 11 at home. Even more importantly, they are 7-0 all-time in his home starts versus teams that have a winning record. It's also worth noting that the Athletics are 6-0 in Griffin's last 6 starts as a favorite. Take the A's.

6* Interleague *CA$H COW* on Braves +122
The Key: The Braves have never lost under manager Fredi Gonzalez versus AL teams who send a starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or better to the mound. They are 7-0 versus these clubs. This trend says a lot about the kind of hitters Atlanta has. The Braves should have no trouble hitting Anibal Sanchez. His teams are 0-7 in his last 7 starts versus Atlanta, and he has been shelled in 3 of his last 4 starts versus the Braves. If Atlanta knocks out Sanchez early, then it can wreak havoc on a Detroit bullpen that carries a 4.86 ERA. The Braves are 7-0 this season versus teams with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse. They have defeated these teams by an average score of 5.1 to 1.1. Atlanta's pen owns an MLB-best 1.60 ERA. Atlanta's starter, Paul Maholm, is 3-1 with a 1.03 ERA, and should have plenty of success versus a Detroit club that is just 1-3 versus lefty starters this season while hitting only .248. Maholm has given up no more than 2 runs in 3 career starts versus Detroit. The Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 series openers and 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. Bet the Braves.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Nationals -133
The Key: Washington has lost its last 4 overall and 6 straight at home so it will show up hungry and focused this evening. It will have an excellent opportunity to end these skids against a Cincinnati club that is 0-5 in its last 5 road games. Those five defeats came by an average of 4.0 runs as the bats and bullpen were bad. Gio Gonzalez has been roughed up in his last 2 starts after a couple gems to start the season, and he'll be very focused as a result. He's been awesome against Cincinnati, going 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA in 3 career starts. The Nats won both of his starts versus the Reds last season. The Nationals are 28-10 in Gonzalez's last 38 starts, 11-1 in his last 12 starts versus the NL Central and 4-0 in his last 4 series-opening starts. The Reds have lost 3 of Bronson Arroyo's last 4 starts versus the Nationals. They've also lost 3 of his last 4 starts at Washington. The Reds are 1-6 in his last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Reds have also lost 4 of their last 4 in Washington. Take the Nationals.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Brewers -114
The Key: The Brewers are on fire. They are 9-0 in their last 9 games. The Padres are ice cold. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and 0-7 in their last 7 at home. Milwaukee is 6-0 in its last 6 games as a road favorite and 6-0 in its last 6 games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. San Diego's Edinson Volquez has a WHIP of 2.128 and an ERA of 8.84 on the season. The Padres are 0-5 in his last 5 starts. Volquez has also struggled against the Brewers. He has given up 5 earned runs or more in 3 of his last 4 starts against them, and he has allowed at least 4 earned in 7 of his last 9 starts against them. The Brewers are 3-0 in Marco Estrada's last 3 starts. They are also 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Milwaukee on the money line.

6* MLB Line Mistake on Mets +1.5 (-133)
The Key: Oddsmakers have made a mistake giving us the Mets +1.5 at an affordable price. The Dodgers are struggling, having lost 6 of their last 7. They have won by more than 1 run just 5 times in 18 games this season. The Mets, meanwhile, have won or lost by a single run in 12 of 17 games. The Dodgers have lost or won by 1 run in 7 of 9 road games this season while the Mets have won or lost by a single run in 8 of 9 home games. Clayton Kershaw is a fantastic starter, but hasn't had ace stuff in his last 2 starts and the Dodgers lost both as a result. They won his start prior to those two but only by 1 run. The Mets are 6-1 in Jon Niese's last 7 starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 5-0 in his last 5 series-opening starts and 4-0 in his last 4 starts on regular rest (4 days). The Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 games as a favorite and 0-4 in their last 4 series openers. Kershaw has a good track record against the Dodgers, but he likely won't get much run support with as well as Niese has been dealing. LA is scoring just 2.5 runs per game off southpaw starters this season. Keep in mind the Mets are scoring 5.0 runs per game off lefty starters. Bet the Mets on the run line.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Blue Jays -108
The Key: The Blue Jays are showing value at this price with the reigning NL Cy Young winner on the hill. R.A. Dickey got off to a slow start but has since settled in winning his last 2 starts while giving up only 1 run in 12 1/3 innings. Baltimore's Miguel Gonzalez hasn't been nearly as sharp, giving up 8 runs in his last 2 starts spanning 11 2/3 innings. Dickey delivered a complete-game 1-hit shutout when he faced Baltimore last season. Dickey also shut down the O's when he saw them in 2010, giving up just 1 run in 7 innings. Gonzalez has an ERA of 4.73 in 2 career starts versus Toronto, giving up 7 runs in 13 1/3 innings. The Blue Jays went down yesterday but are 11-4 in their last 15 games following a loss. The Orioles are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win. Take Toronto.

6* MLB *CA$H COW* on Padres +111
The Key: The Brewers have won 7 in a row, but don't expect their winning ways to continue out on the road where they are 2-3 and scoring only 2.8 runs per game. The Padres have struggled at home in the early going, but they are typically a solid home club (42-39 at home last season). Besides, the Brewers are 3-14 in their last 17 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400 and 6-14 in the last 20 meetings in San Diego. The Padres are 20-8 in their last 28 home games versus a team with a losing road record, 12-3 in their last 15 versus the National League Central and 11-4 in their last 15 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Take the Padres at a nice price.

6* MLB *Major Mismatch* on Braves -1.5 -107
The Key: The Braves have the clear advantage with Medlen on the mound. They are 25-2 in his last 27 starts. He's carrying a 1.42 ERA through his first three starts while Pittsburgh's Sanchez has a 12.97 through his first two. The Braves are 12-0 in Medlen's last 12 road starts and have won these by an average of 3.33 runs. Sanchez's clubs, on the other hand, are 0-10 in his last 10 starts and have lost them by an average of 4.8 runs. It is also worth noting that the Braves are 12-0 in Medlen's last 12 starts versus NL teams with an on-base percentage of .325 or worse. They have defeated these teams by an average of 3.9 runs. Lastly, the Braves are 13-0 in Medlen's last 13 starts when the total is 7 to 8.5 and have won these by an average of 4.0 runs. Take Atlanta on the run line.

6* Early Annihilator on Blue Jays -140
The Key: The Blue Jays dropped the first two games of this series but haven't lost more than two consecutive games this season. They are 3-0 this season following back-to-back defeats, and I expect them to bounce back strong once again. Plus, the Yankees haven't pulled off a 3-game series sweep this season and haven't earned a series sweep at Toronto of at least three games since Aug. 26-28, 2004. New York's Ivan Nova hasn't been the same pitcher on the road. He is 0-3 in his last 3 road starts and has given up at least 4 runs in each. The Yankees are also 0-4 in Nova's last 4 starts as an underdog. Josh Johnson is coming off a solid start and should benefit from the fact the Yankees aren't very familiar with his stuff. Bet the Blue Jays.

6* MLB *Major Mismatch* on Rockies -120
The Key: The Rockies are rolling. They are 7-0 in their last 7 overall and 11-0 in their last 11 at home dating back to last season. They are also a perfect 9-0 this season as a favorite of -110 or higher. Colorado is in good hands with Jorge De La Rosa on the mound considering it is 24-4 in his last 28 home starts. It is also extremely important to note that it is 7-0 all-time in his home starts versus the Diamondbacks. Take the Rockies.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Braves -134
The Key: The Pirates are 0-4 against left-handed starters this season, hitting only .125 and scoring just 1.5 runs per game against them. They'll have a tough time getting much of anything against Atlanta's Paul Maholm, who is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA. The Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 road games versus a right-handed starter and are batting .263 and scoring 4.9 runs per game against them on the season. They should be able to get to Pittsburgh's James McDonald, who is 0-2 at home with an ERA of 4.15. Bet the Braves.

7* MLB *HEAVY HITTER* on Giants -1.5 (-101)
The Key: Dating back to last season, the Giants are 4-0 in Madison Bumgarner's last 4 starts. They have won these by an average of 2.0 runs. The Padres, meanwhile, are 0-4 in Edison Volquez's last 4 starts and have lost these by an average of 5.8 runs. The Giants are also 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 home starts versus the Padres with these wins coming by an average of 2.0 runs. Volquez's teams are 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the Giants, losing these by an average of 3.5 runs. Take San Francisco on the run line.

7* Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Diamondbacks +108
The Key: The D-backs have lost the first two games of this series but squandered multi-run leads in each. I really think they are the better team at this stage of the season and will prove so here with the better starter on the hill. The Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 in the third game of a series and 5-2 in their last 7 games after losing the first two games of a series. The Yankees have struggled against southpaw starters this season, hitting just .209 against them, and these struggles should continue against Pat Corbin, who is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA. The D-backs are 3-0 in his last 3 starts and 5-1 in his last 6. Meanwhile, New York's Phil Hughes has struggled. He has a 10.29 ERA through 2 starts, and the Yankees are 0-4 in his last 4 starts dating to last season. Opponents are hitting .472 off him this season, and he has a 6.17 ERA in four interleague home starts. The D-backs should have little trouble getting to Hughes considering the way they are crushing right-handed starters. They are batting .289 against them on the season. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Snakes.

7* Run Line Rout of the Week on Dodgers -1.5 -111
The Key: After losing the first two games of this series, look for the Dodgers to bounce back strong behind ace Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 home starts and have won these by an average of 4.3 runs. They are also 6-1 in his last 7 starts versus San Diego with the 6 wins coming by an average of 2.5 runs. The Padres aren't in the same hands with Tyson Ross. His teams are 0-5 in his last 5 starts and have lost them by an average of 2.4 runs. They are also 0-5 in his last 5 road starts, losing those by 3.4 runs on average. Take LA on the run line.

6* Wednesday Night Baseball *CA$H COW* on Phillies +123
The Key: The Phillies, who are 10-4 in their last 14 games as an underdog, are showing value at this price given the struggles of Mike Leake. The Reds are 0-4 in Leake's last 4 starts, and he has given up 14 runs in 14 1/3 innings over his last 3. The Reds are also 0-5 all-time in Leake's starts against the Phillies, and he is carrying a 9.34 ERA in these starts. John Lannan is off to a strong start for Philadephia. The Phillies are 2-0 in his first 2 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 2.77. His teams are also 3-0 in his last 3 road starts and 2-0 in his last 2 starts versus the Reds. Take the Phillies.

6* MLB *Mound Mismatch* on Indians -140
The Key: The Indians have the overwhelming advantage on the mound with Justin Masterson. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts, and he has given up only 1 run in 22 innings spanning 3 starts this season. The Indians are also 6-0 in Masterson's last 6 starts versus the American League East and 4-1 in his 5 starts versus the Red Sox. They are 2-0 all-time in his 2 home starts versus Boston. The Red Sox are 0-3 in Alfredo Aceves' last 3 starts, during which he has given up 14 runs in 15 innings. Take the Tribe.

6* AL *MAJOR MISMATCH* on Angels -125
The Key: The Angels are showing good value at this price. They are off to a slow start but I believe we'll see just how big of a mismatch this matchup truly is by season's end. The Angels have won 5 of their last 7 versus Minnesota and should be able to bounce back from yesterday's loss behind Jason Vargas given Minnesota's struggles with southpaws. Minnesota went 22-29 against left-handers a season ago for the AL's second-worst mark and is 1-6 in its last 7 home games versus a southpaw starter. The Twins are 11-23 in their last 34 home games overall and 27-59 in their last 86 games as a home underdog. I don't have much faith in Mike Pelfrey, which means Minnesota's tired bullpen could get thrown to the wolves. The Twins are 7-25 in home games with a tired bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings over the last 3 games since the start of the 2011 season. Take the Angels.