Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-10-20	Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +7	Top	34-20	Loss	-110	33 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia Tech +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-09-20	Pittsburgh +4 v. Northwestern	Top	71-70	Win	100	17 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Pittsburgh +4 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-09-20	Northern Iowa +9 v. Richmond	Top	68-78	Loss	-109	9 h 47 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Northern Iowa +9 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-08-20	Cowboys v. Ravens -7	Top	17-34	Win	100	57 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ravens -7 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-08-20	Tennessee State v. Belmont -14	Top	64-79	Win	100	10 h 16 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Belmont -14 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-07-20	South Carolina State v. Charlotte -20	Top	40-78	Win	100	8 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Charlotte -20 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-06-20	Eagles +9 v. Packers	Top	16-30	Loss	-110	7 h 9 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Eagles +9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-06-20	Villanova +1.5 v. Texas	Top	68-64	Win	100	4 h 41 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Villanova +1½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-05-20	Iowa -13 v. Illinois	Top	35-21	Win	100	115 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa -13 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-04-20	Wisconsin v. Marquette +4.5	Top	65-67	Win	100	8 h 40 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Marquette +4½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-03-20	Montana -1 v. Southern Utah	Top	63-64	Loss	-105	11 h 25 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Montana -1 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-02-20	Southern Illinois v. SE Missouri State +5.5	Top	87-79	Loss	-109	8 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on SE Missouri State +5½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-01-20	Valparaiso v. Illinois-Chicago +2	Top	50-66	Win	100	9 h 12 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Illinois-Chicago +2 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-30-20	Texas v. Davidson +8.5	Top	78-76	Win	100	3 h 46 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Davidson +8½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-29-20	Florida A&M v. Georgia -19	Top	75-85	Loss	-109	5 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia -19 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-28-20	LSU v. Texas A&M -11.5	Top	7-20	Win	100	142 h 10 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texas A&M -11½ -116 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-27-20	Cal-Irvine +13.5 v. San Diego State	Top	58-77	Loss	-108	9 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cal-Irvine +13½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	New Mexico v. Utah State +7	Top	27-41	Win	100	9 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Utah State +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	Auburn -7.5 v. St. Joe's	Top	96-91	Loss	-103	7 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -7½ -103 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	East Tennessee State v. Austin Peay -4.5	Top	66-67	Loss	-112	5 h 32 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Austin Peay -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-20	Arizona State v. Rhode Island +8	Top	94-88	Win	100	20 h 36 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rhode Island +8 -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-21-20	Tennessee v. Auburn -10	Top	17-30	Win	100	130 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-21-20	Arkansas State -5.5 v. Texas State	Top	45-47	Loss	-114	123 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas State -5½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-20-20	New Mexico +10.5 v. Air Force	Top	0-28	Loss	-109	108 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on New Mexico +10½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-19-20	Cardinals +3 v. Seahawks	Top	21-28	Loss	-100	33 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Cardinals +3 +101 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-18-20	Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -2.5	Top	52-44	Loss	-110	58 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-16-20	Vikings -2.5 v. Bears	Top	19-13	Win	100	52 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Vikings -2½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	Texans v. Browns -3	Top	7-10	Push	0	147 h 49 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Browns -3 -104 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	California v. UCLA +3	Top	10-34	Win	100	25 h 13 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UCLA +3 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-13-20	Iowa v. Minnesota +4	Top	35-7	Loss	-113	6 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Minnesota +4 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-11-20	Central Michigan -6.5 v. Northern Illinois	Top	40-10	Win	100	71 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -6½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-10-20	Miami-OH +11.5 v. Buffalo	Top	10-42	Loss	-115	32 h 21 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH +11½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-08-20	Texans -6.5 v. Jaguars	Top	27-25	Loss	-114	52 h 39 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texans -6½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-06-20	BYU -2.5 v. Boise State	Top	51-17	Win	100	109 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Packers -4 v. 49ers	Top	34-17	Win	100	57 h 26 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Utah State v. Nevada -17	Top	9-34	Win	100	10 h 59 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Nevada -17 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-04-20	Ball State +3.5 v. Miami-OH	Top	31-38	Loss	-110	58 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ball State +3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-02-20	Bucs v. Giants +12.5	Top	25-23	Win	100	32 h 33 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Giants +12½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-01-20	Colts -2.5 v. Lions	Top	41-21	Win	100	147 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Colts -2½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	Purdue -6.5 v. Illinois	Top	31-24	Win	100	125 h 52 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Purdue -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-30-20	East Carolina +18.5 v. Tulsa	Top	30-34	Win	100	110 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on East Carolina +18½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-29-20	Falcons +2.5 v. Panthers	Top	25-17	Win	100	52 h 28 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Falcons +2½ -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-25-20	Steelers -1.5 v. Titans	Top	27-24	Win	100	147 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-24-20	Air Force -6.5 v. San Jose State	Top	6-17	Loss	-110	132 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Air Force -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-15-20	Georgia State +4.5 v. Arkansas State	Top	52-59	Loss	-110	81 h 19 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-14-20	Coastal Carolina +7 v. UL-Lafayette	Top	30-27	Win	100	58 h 1 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-12-20	Chargers v. Saints -7.5	Top	27-30	Loss	-115	59 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Saints -7½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-11-20	Lakers -5 v. Heat	Top	106-93	Win	100	9 h 49 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -5 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-11-20	Eagles v. Steelers -7	Top	29-38	Win	100	147 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Steelers -7 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-10-20	Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M	Top	38-41	Loss	-110	132 h 40 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Florida -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-09-20	Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech	Top	27-46	Loss	-112	115 h 41 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-08-20	Tulane v. Houston -4.5	Top	31-49	Win	100	91 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Houston -4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-06-20	Lakers v. Heat +8	Top	102-96	Win	100	4 h 27 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +8 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-05-20	Falcons v. Packers -6.5	Top	16-30	Win	100	180 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Packers -6½ -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-04-20	Lakers v. Heat +9.5	Top	104-115	Win	100	2 h 9 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Navy +1.5 v. Air Force	Top	7-40	Loss	-110	141 h 46 m	Show
5* Academy Game of the Year on Navy + All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-20	Heat +10.5 v. Lakers	Top	114-124	Win	100	2 h 16 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +10½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-20	Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24	Top	14-45	Win	100	29 h 25 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-30-20	Heat v. Lakers -4.5	Top	98-116	Win	100	4 h 6 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Lakers -4½ -107 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-28-20	Chiefs v. Ravens -3	Top	34-20	Loss	-120	177 h 53 m	Show
5* MNF GOY on Ravens -3 -120 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Celtics -3 v. Heat	Top	113-125	Loss	-102	9 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Celtics -3 -102 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-27-20	Rams +2.5 v. Bills	Top	32-35	Loss	-115	51 h 24 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rams +2½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-26-20	Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU	Top	37-34	Win	100	124 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-25-20	Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA	Top	35-37	Win	100	4 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-24-20	Lakers v. Nuggets +6.5	Top	114-108	Win	100	5 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Nuggets +6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-24-20	Dolphins v. Jaguars -3	Top	31-13	Loss	-100	35 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Jaguars -3 +105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-20-20	Patriots +4.5 v. Seahawks	Top	30-35	Loss	-110	167 h 13 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Patriots +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Celtics v. Heat +3	Top	117-106	Loss	-110	21 h 38 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Heat +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Wake Forest +3 v. NC State	Top	42-45	Push	0	136 h 39 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-13-20	Browns v. Ravens -7	Top	6-38	Win	100	51 h 41 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Ravens -7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-20	UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State	Top	31-14	Win	100	125 h 1 m	Show
5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-10-20	Texans v. Chiefs -9	Top	20-34	Win	100	58 h 48 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Chiefs -9 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-03-20	South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss	Top	32-21	Win	100	33 h 32 m	Show
5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-03-20	Phillies +1.5 v. Yankees	Top	3-6	Loss	-100	8 h 31 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Phillies +1½ +140 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
07-30-20	Clippers v. Lakers -4	Top	101-103	Loss	-110	23 h 40 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Lakers -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
07-29-20	Red Sox +1.5 v. Mets	Top	6-5	Win	100	10 h 7 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Red Sox +1½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
05-05-20	76ers GC -2.5 v. Raptors Uprising GC	Top	56-79	Loss	-115	1 h 60 m	Show
5* BEST BET on 76ers GC -2½ -115 Analysis will be posted shortly
03-11-20	DePaul v. Xavier -4.5	Top	71-67	Loss	-110	12 h 9 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH on Xavier -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Musketeers as a small favorite against DePaul in the opening round of the Big East Tournament. Xavier won both meetings between the two teams in the regular season. They won the first meeting on the road by 8 and then by 9 at home. Both times the Musketeers defense made it tough on the Blue Demons to score. I see no reason to expect a different outcome, especially given how bad DePaul has been in the Big East Tournament under head coach Dave Leitao. Blue Demons have made 4 appearances under Leitao and have lost all 4, going just 1-3 ATS in those games. DePaul is also just 4-15 ATS last 19 as a neutral court dog of 6 or less. Another key factor here is motivation. Xavier absolutely has to have this game and likely at least one more to have a legit shot at an at-large bid (currently projected as one of the first four teams out). Musketeers could also catch a big break, as DePaul's top player Paul Reed has missed the last 3 and is listed as questionable. Take Xavier!
03-11-20	Iona v. St. Peter's -2	Top	54-56	Push	0	11 h 11 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Late Night NO-BRAINER Top Play on St. Peter's -2 -115 Easy play here on the Peacocks as a slim 2-point favorite against the Gaels in Wednesday's quarterfinal matchup out of the MAAC Tournament. St. Peter's has a big edge in rest in this one. Peacocks haven't played since beating Iona in the regular-season finale last Friday. The Gaels on the other hand had to open up MAAC Tournament play yesterday against Canisius. While Iona won and covered against Canisius as a 4.5-point favorite, the Gaels are just 1-5 ATS last 6 as a neutral site underdog. As for St. Peter's, they are headed into postseason play on a roll. Peacocks went 11-2 over their last 13 games. St. Peter's is 16-5 ATS last 21 off a SU win and have covered 6 straight games on a neutral floor. Peacocks were tops in the MAAC in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. They allowed just 62.4 ppg on 39.9% shooting in conference play. Iona has not fared well agaisnt strong defensive teams, going just 2-8 ATS this season vs teams who held opponents to 42% or worse from the field. Take St. Peter's!
03-11-20	Pittsburgh v. NC State -4.5	Top	58-73	Win	100	4 h 6 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Early Bird NO LIMIT Top Play on NC State -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Wolfpack as a small favorite in Wednesday's action out of the ACC Tournament. NC State got a first round bye and will have a big rest advantage here over Pitt, who had to play yesterday against Wake Forest. Panthers were able to knock off the Demon Deacons 81-72 in a high-scoring game and while they needed a late 2nd half run to pull away. Pitt just doesn't have the depth to play well on no rest. Panthers basically only play 7 guys and 4 of those logged 35+ minutes on Tuesday. Makings matters even worse is the fact that NC State likes to run, as they finished 3rd in the ACC in tempo. Pitt ranked just 10th in the ACC in defensive efficiency and were 14th in effective field goal defense. The only thing that really saved them is turnovers, but that's negated here by a NC State team that had the 5th best turnover rate in the conference. I not only think the Wolfpack cover the small spread, I like them to win here in a blowout. Take NC State!
03-09-20	IUPU Ft Wayne +2 v. North Dakota	Top	56-73	Loss	-103	10 h 59 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on IUPU Ft Wayne +2 -103 Easy play here on the Mastodons at basically a pick'em against North Dakota in the semifinals of the Summit Conference Tournament. IUPU Ft. Wayne followed up their strong showing on the road in the regular-season finale (lost by 6 at Oral Roberts as a 10.5-point dog) with a 77-74 win over South Dakota State on Saturday as a 7-point dog. The Mastodons are now a strong 4-1 ATS last her last 5 games as a dog. They are also 28-13 ATS last 41 off an outright win as a dog. The Fighting Hawks also won as a dog in their first game of the Summit Tournament, but they are just 1-5 STS last 6 off a SU win. Big factor here that favors IUPU Ft Wayne is that North Dakota does not force a lot of turnovers. Fighting Hawks rank just 337th in the country in defensive turnover rate. That's huge for a Mastodons offense that doesn't have a traditional true point guard. Take Ft Wayne!
03-09-20	Western Michigan v. Toledo -8.5	Top	73-76	Loss	-110	10 h 39 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Toledo -8½ -110 The Rockets are definitely worth a look to cover the spread at home against Western Michigan. Toledo finished with a mere 8-10 record in MAC play, but that's a bit misleading in terms of how the Rockets are playing. Toledo has won 5 of their last 7 games, which includes a 9-point road win over Western Michigan. While the Rockets are surging to the finish line, Western Michigan went just 2-6 over their final 8 games. Broncos ended the year with an ugly 68-85 loss to rival Central Michigan, who came into that game on a 9-game losing streak. Rockets went 4-1 ATS over their last 5 games and the favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 in the series. Broncos are 0-4 ATS last 4 as a road dog. Take Toledo!
03-08-20	East Carolina v. UCF -7.5	Top	62-94	Win	100	5 h 39 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF -7½ -110 Easy play here on UCF at home against the Pirates, as the Knights should have no problem winning by double-digits in this one. East Carolina is a mere 3-11 over tehir last 14 games and just got annihilated on their home floor 84-63 by UConn. UCF won the first meeting between these two by just 4 at ECU, but that game felt a lot more lopsided. Knights shot 48% to the Pirates 41% and were even on the boards, free throws and turnovers. Seeing how ECU is just 2-11 on the road and giving up 75 ppg away from home, this one figures to get ugly in a hurry. Pirates are 2-10 ATS over the last 3 seasons in toad games against a marginal winning team that has won between 51% to 60% of their games and are losing in this spot by an 15.5 ppg. Take UCF!
03-07-20	UCLA v. USC -3	Top	52-54	Loss	-115	12 h 12 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on USC -3 -115 I absolutely love the Trojans laying a slim 3-points at home against rival UCLA. The Bruins have caught fire in the second half of the season and come into this game having won 7 straight, but I think it has them getting way to much respect in this one. USC enters off back-to-back impressive home wins over Arizona (57-48) and Arizona State (71-61). That's now 4 straight home wins for the Trojans, who are 13-2 on their home floor this season. The defense has been outstanding during their last 4 at home, as they held all 4 teams to 61 or fewer. Let's also not forget that USC went on the road and beat UCLA by 11 earlier this season. I get the Bruins are playing better now, but they could do next to nothing offensively in that game, shooting just 38% from the field and 3-13 from deep. UCLA is just 11-25 ATS last 36 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 on the road after 2 or more wins in a row. The home team is 7-3 ATS last 10 in the series. Take USC!
03-05-20	Weber State -4 v. Idaho	Top	72-64	Win	100	12 h 8 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Weber State -4 -110 I love the value here with the Wildcats laying a small number on the road against the Vandals. The books have really struggled to price Idaho here of late. The Vandals are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games. It's gotten worse down the stretch, as they have lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games, losing all 5 by double-digits. Not only does the current form favor Weber State, but this is a great matchup for the Wildcats. Idaho struggles to score inside and Weber State defends the 2-point shot well. If the outside shot isn't falling the Vandals are in big trouble, because the Wildcats are going to score. Weber State shoots 51% on 2-point shots, third best in the Big Sky, and that's an area the Vandals struggle to defend. Weber State has failed to cover their last two games, but that's almost more of a positive than a negative. Wildcats are 23-9-2 ATS last 34 off a failed cover and 8-1 ATS last 9 after 2 straight games where they didn't cover. Take Weber State!
03-04-20	St. Louis -2 v. George Mason	Top	69-57	Win	100	21 h 49 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis -2 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Billikens as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Patriots. St. Louis has saved their best basketball of the season for the stretch run and this is simply too good a price to pass up. Billikens have won 3 straight and are off a dominating 72-62 win at Rhode Island as a 6-point dog. St. Louis never trailed and hit 53% from the field. Marking their 5th straight game where they have shot 50% or better from the field. Hard to see the Billikens slowing down in this one. George Mason is allowing A-10 opposing teams to shoot 47% from the field and just let Duquesne connect on 56% in their last game. Also the one thing that the Patriots offense does well is offensive rebound, but that will be negated here, as St Louis is No. 2 in the conference in defensive rebounding. Billikens have covered 10 of their last 13 road games vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. George Mason is 6-20 ATS last 26 at home vs a team with a winning road record and are 2-7 ATS last 9 as a home dog. Take St. Louis!
03-03-20	Arkansas-Little Rock +3.5 v. Georgia State	Top	70-89	Loss	-110	10 h 38 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on Arkansas-Little Rock +3½ -110 I love the value here with Little Rock getting points on the road against the Panthers. The perception here is that the Trojans won't show up for this game because they just wrapped up the Sun Belt regular-season title and will be looking ahead to the conference tournament. While it's certainly not a do-or-die scenario for Little Rock, I don't think they are going to just not show up. Last thing they want to do is kill their momentum by losing this game. This is a team that's 100% locked in on making the NCAA Tournament. The other big thing here is that there's not a ton for Georgia State to play for either. The fact that this game doesn't mean anything to the Trojans takes away some of the motivation for the Panthers to play their best. This is their finale game at home, which often can be big cause it's senior night. However, Georgia State is a young team. They only got one senior on the team that plays in Damon Wilson. He's a decent contributor (4th scoring option), but I don't think they are going to go all out for his final home game. Trojans are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Trojans are also 6-0 ATS this season when off a conference win by 10 or more (beat Lafayette 91-69 last time out). Take Arkansas-Little Rock!
03-01-20	South Florida v. Temple -3	Top	64-58	Loss	-109	2 h 26 m	Show
5* NCAAB - American Athletic PLAY OF THE MONTH on Temple -3 -109 I really like the value here with Tempe laying such a short number at home against the Bulls. The Owls are going to be extremely motivated to take their home floor after a couple of really close calls on the road, losing by 4 last Sunday at ECU and then by 3 at Wichita State on Thursday. Prior to those two losses, Temple had won 3 straight league games, including a 93-89 win over UConn in their last home game. The fact that the Owls were a 3-point favorite at home to UConn, says a lot about the value here, laying the same number against a USF team that has lost 4 of 5. Bulls are off a win, but that was at home against ECU and it was a game that went to OT. Could be real tough for USF to bounce back on the road, especially with two monster home games against Cincinnati and SMU looming to close out the regular-season portion of their schedule. Owls are 50-29 (63%) ATS in their last 79 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less, 5-1 ATS last 6 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take Temple!
02-29-20	Northern Iowa v. Drake +4.5	Top	70-43	Loss	-110	19 h 35 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE YEAR on Drake +4½ -110 I love the value here with Drake as a home dog against in-state rival UNI. Given the Panthers are 13-4 and leading the MVC, while the Bulldogs are just 8-9, you might think this is a good price to back UNI. Not me. Drake may have a losing record in league play, but that's only because they can't win on the road. The Bulldogs are 14-1 on their home floor this season and this is one they have had their eyes on. The Knapp Center will be close to a sellout and I fully expect Drake to win this outright. They have already knocked off other top contenders in the MVC at home in Loyola, Bradley and Indiana State. They did lose the first meeting to UNI by 10 points, 73-83, but that was as misleading a final as you will see. Drake led most of that game and it was tied 68-68 with just over minutes to play before the Panthers closed on a 15-5 run. UNI is a mere 3-12 ATS in Saturday road games over the last 3 season, while the Bulldogs are 37-16-2 ATS last 55 at home, 20-8 ATS last 28 off a loss and 18-5 ATS last 23 as a home dog. Take Drake!
02-28-20	Kings +4 v. Grizzlies	Top	104-101	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
5* NBA - Western Conf PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kings +4 -109 I love the value here with Sacramento. The Kings have covered 4 straight out of the All-Star break and clearly are playing with a different sense of urgency than we had seen. I not only like them to cover, but I think they win here outright. Memphis is in a bad spot right now. Just when everyone seemed to catch on with how good rookie Ja Morant was, the Grizzlies suffered two massive injuries to Brandon Clarke and Jaren Jackson Jr. Those two are far from big names, but without them Memphis has looked like a bottom feeder. Grizzlies have gone 0-4 SU and 0-4 ATS since the break and each of the last 3 came by double-digits. I also think there's some value here due to Kings point guard De'Aaron Fox showing up as questionable on the injury report. As well as Sacramento playing on no rest after a game last night in OKC. I expect Fox to play. It felt like last night's injury was more made up than anything. Kings are 6-2 ATS this season when playing on no rest. Take Sacramento!
02-27-20	Jacksonville State +3 v. Tennessee State	Top	55-65	Loss	-110	11 h 8 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Ohio Valley PLAY OF THE MONTH on Jacksonville State +3 -110 I absolutely love the Gamecocks in this one. I look for Jacksonville State to go into the Gentry Center and lay it on Tennessee State. This is a prime spot to fade the Tigers. Tennessee State is struggling. They have lost two straight and four of five overall. They also are dealing with a serious injury. Big man Jy'lan Washington had to miss their last game against Morehead State and he's a massive loss for this team. The offense is drastically worse without him and the defense also regresses when he's not on the floor. His status is up in the air and even if he plays he's not likely going to be at 100%. Jacksonville State comes in off a 72-58 win and cover as a 9.5-point home favorite against Tenn-Martin. Gamecocks are 24-7 ATS last 31 road games when coming off a home win by 10 or more. Take Jacksonville State!
02-26-20	Virginia v. Virginia Tech +3.5	Top	56-53	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
5* NCAAB - In-State Rivalry PLAY OF THE MONTH on Virginia Tech +3½ -109 I love the value here with the Hokies as a home dog against in-state rival Virginia. These two did play at Virginia back in early January, which the Cavaliers won convincingly 65-39. You just can't overreact to that result. Last year Virginia won by 22 at home and then barely snuck out a 6-point win on the road. The Cavaliers have won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall, but they aren't dominating the opposition. Out of those 7 wins, 6 have come by 7-points or less with 4 decided by 3 or fewer points. This is also not an ideal spot for Virginia. Hard for them to take the Hokies seriously given how lopsided the last meeting was, especially with a massive game against Duke on deck this Saturday. Cavaliers are 1-6-1 ATS last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Home team is also a dominant 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take Virginia Tech!
02-25-20	TCU +3.5 v. Iowa State	Top	59-65	Loss	-110	18 h 24 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on TCU +3½ -110 I love the value here with TCU as a small road dog against the Cyclones. Iowa State followed up a 20-point loss at Kansas last Monday with a 30-point loss at home to Texas Tech. Cyclones are now 1-3 SU and ATS since losing their best player and potential NBA lottery pick Tyrese Haliburton. In the 3 games they haven't covered they have failed to do so by an average of 16.0 ppg. There's definitely reason to believe it could get ugly for ISU, even at home. Haliburton had a triple double (22 points, 12 rebounds, 10 assists) in a loss at TCU earlier this season. TCU may only have a couple more wins in Big 12 play, but they have won 2 of their last 3, most recently knocking off a ranked West Virginia team at home in OT. Horned Frogs will be coming into this one with a lot of confidence. Cyclones are 1-6 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record. Take TCU!
02-24-20	West Virginia -5 v. Texas	Top	57-67	Loss	-109	9 h 5 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH on West Virginia -5 -109 I love the value here with West Virginia laying a small number on the road against Texas. The Big 12 has 2 elite teams in Baylor and Kansas, two top tier squads in West Virginia and Texas Tech and then a bunch of mediocre to bad teams. I think the books have struggled to price teams like the Mountaineers high enough in road games. It's going to take a near perfect game for Texas to win this contest. They haven't beat one of the top 4 teams yet. They are 6-8 in league play with their wins coming against Kansas State, Oklahoma St, TCU and ISU. The Horned Frogs, who are 6-8, are the only one of those 4 with a Big 12 mark better than 4-10. Texas has lost at home to baylor, Texas Tech, Kansas and Oklahoma in Big 12 play. I know they have won two straight, but I don't think playing at home will be enough. West Virginia is just too good. Longhorns are 5-15 ATS last 20 home games off a win and 1-8 ATS last 9 times they have been off two or more wins. Take West Virginia!
02-23-20	Temple -2.5 v. East Carolina	Top	63-67	Loss	-109	3 h 52 m	Show
5* NCAAB - American Athletic PLAY OF THE WEEK on Temple -2½ -109 The Owls are definitely worth a look here as a small road favorite against the Pirates. Temple has been playing much better here of late. The Owls have won 4 of 6 and are fresh off a double-OT win at home against UConn. I just think we are getting some value with Temple because of their losing mark of 6-7 in the AAC. It's really not asking much for the Owls to win here by a few points. ECU has lost 3 straight and 9 of their last 11 overall. They just played a brutal 3 game stretch in 8 days against Tulsa, Cincinnati and Memphis. These two already played once this season and the Owls won by 12 at home. Temple has covered 5 straight games vs a losing straight up record. The favorites has also covered 7 of the last 10 meetings in the series. Take Temple!
02-22-20	Virginia Tech +17 v. Duke	Top	64-88	Loss	-110	20 h 42 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Virginia Tech +17 -110 I love the value here with Virginia Tech catching a massive number on the road against the Blue Devils. Hokies are coming off a 3OT game against Miami on Wednesday, but they will be able to recover enough in 3 days to give a max effort here against Duke. I'm sure most will be counting on the Blue Devils to bounce back with a big game after not leading for a single second in a 22-point loss at NC State. While I have little doubt that Duke will win this game outright, I don't see them pulling away. One thing that the Blue Devils love to do is get out and run off of turnovers. Those chances will be extremely limited in this one. Virginia Tech is 5th best in the country in offensive turnover rate. Duke is also just 1-4 ATS last 5 times they have been listed as a favorite. Take Virginia Tech!
02-21-20	Wisc-Milwaukee v. Oakland -3.5	Top	68-75	Win	100	20 h 36 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Horizon League PLAY OF THE MONTH on Oakland -3½ -109 I really like the value here with the Grizzlies laying a short number at home against Milwaukee. Oakland comes into this game ride a wave of momentum off back-to-back wins. The first time since early November that they strung two together two wins in a row. There strong play really goes back to late January, which was about the same time that transfer Rashad Williams started to get comfortable with his new team. Williams didn't make his debut until Jan. 16. After averaging just 12 ppg in his first 3 games, Williams has exploded for 25.3 ppg in his last 6. He's only played 9 games and made 39 shots from behind the 3-point line. That's second most on the team, just 6 behind the leader. I just don't think people realize how different a team Oakland is. They just look at their overall numbers and see a mediocre team that is 7-9 in a small conference like the Horizon. I just think with how they are playing and Milwaukee off a crushing 4-point loss at home to rival Green Bay, this price is way to low on the Grizzlies. Take Oakland!
02-18-20	Arkansas v. Florida -6	Top	59-73	Win	100	22 h 11 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Florida -6 -110 I got no problem laying the points with Florida at home against the Razorbacks. The Gators are rolling right now. They have won 4 of their last 5 and are off two dominating performances in a 78-61 road win at Texas A&M and 84-66 win at home over Vanderbilt. Florida is very quietly sitting at 8-4 in the SEC (only 2 games out of 1st). While the Gators are surging, Arkansas is on a free fall with 4 straight losses. You really have to wonder about the psyche of this Razorbacks team, as two of the 4 losses came in OT and the other was a 1-point loss at home to Mississippi State. I just think it's going to be hard to right the ship on the road for Arkansas. Razorbacks are really feeling the injury to guard Isaiah Joe, as they are not a deep team. PLaying on the road with just 2 days rest is a lot harder for this team than it is for others. Arkansas is also just 11-25 ATS last 36 on the road after 2 or more consecutive conference losses and 2-9 ATS last 11 after allowing 75+ points in 2 straight games. Favorite has also covered 6 of the last 7 in the series. Take Florida!
02-17-20	Xavier v. St. John's +2	Top	77-74	Loss	-109	7 h 41 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH on St. John's +2 -109 I really like the value here with the Red Storm as a home dog against the Musketeers. St John's just won at home Wednesday against Providence 80-69 as a 5.5-point dog. The Red Storm will carry over that momentum into this one. Xavier on the other hand just had their 3-game winning streak snapped in a 61-66 loss at Butler on Wednesday. This team has had trouble bouncing from a loss, as they have multiple losing streaks in Big East play. St John's is also going to be plenty motivated to get revenge from a mere 8-point loss at Xavier back in early January. Forcing turnovers is a big part of the Red Storm path to success and that's a weakness of the Musketeers. Xavier turned it over 19 times in the first meeting and that was at home. Those mistakes could be compounded here on the road and if St. John's gets that momentum early they should win here no problem. Xavier is just 2-5-1 ATS last 8 as a favorite and 1-5 ATS laying points in their last 6 as a road favorite. Red Storm are 6-2 ATS last 8 as a home dog. Take St. John's!
02-16-20	Iowa v. Minnesota -4.5	Top	58-55	Loss	-110	4 h 23 m	Show
5* NCAAB - Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Minnesota -4½ -110 Easy play here on the Gophers as a relatively small home favorite against the Hawkeyes. Iowa has had their struggles on the road this season. Hawkeyes are 8-6 in Big Ten play and all 6 of those losses have come on the road. Iowa's only road win came against league worst Northwestern. Don't be fooled by Iowa having already beat Minnesota 72-52 at home. At the same time, Minnesota is also a much different team at home compared to on the road. Gophers are 10-3 at home compared to 2-8 on the road. The big key here besides the home/away splits is the health of Iowa. Hawkeyes are unlikely to have standout freshman guard CJ Fredrick, who rolled his ankle in their 77-89 loss at Indiana on Thursday. Note that while Iowa is playing on a mere 2 days of rest here, Minnesota has been off since last Saturday. That extra time to prepare should only add to the edge here for the Gophers. Take Minnesota!

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