Sports Picks & Predictions

I've been saying it all season. Ravens are the best team in the NFL. Ravens are healthy and rested. They haven't been on the road since Christmas. Ravens are healthier, stronger and faster.

We all know the narrative of Mahomes playing his first road playoff game. Buffalo has won and covered the L2 in the series. Buffalo plays great at home. KC is 0-8 after a win of 14 or more points their L8 in that scenario.

Fade the trendy dog. Everyone loves GB, but the line has moved to the key number of 10. GB is playing with house money, but SF has been here before. And they have a bad taste in their mouth from last seasons early exit.

Baltimore is rested and at home. Texans have looked good but now they're facing a team they already lost to. Texans like to throw the ball downfield. Ravens are good at defending the long pass. Good story for Texans but it ends here.

We've seen this total drop and have great betting splits. Bucs were 11-6 to the under this season. Both QBs are injured. No Brown for Philly. Eagles are 7-2 to the under on the road. The L3 games in the series went under. The L2 in the series at TB have gone under. TB is 9-1 to the under after allowing 3 or less points in the 1H the previous game. TB is 12-4 to the under in this total range.

Tickets are fairly even. Steelers look like an offense behind Rudolph. Steelers are 7-2 ATS as a dog. Steelers have won their L3. Buffalo has been winning but they're close victories. Bills aren't blowing teams out. The weather should play a role and a low scoring game helps the large dog.

I get that GB has dominated this series and have won their L3. But the Dallas team is different. Especially at home where they're 8-0. Dak Prescott played well in the WC round last year and I expect this offense to move the ball at home. Dallas should be able to have a balanced attack against GB. Dallas defense will give Jordan Love fits with pressure.

When these teams faced off last time Houston was missing pieces. They're healthy now. Flacco looks good but he'll make mistakes against a defense that loves to take the ball away. Cleveland is a different team on the road. Houston gets the job done.

We've seen this total rise. This game will have a playoff feel. GB needs a win to get in and Chicago will be looking to play spoiler and end their season strong. Both teams are coming off 30 point games. Both teams trend to the over. GB has seen their L4 games go over. Feilds might be playing for his job. I expect points.

Texans went from a dog to favorite. The market likes them. Both teams are similar. Neither team was supposed to be here but one of these teams will be in the playoffs with a win. Colts strength is the run but the Texans are one of the best run stop teams in the league. Colts give up a ton of yards and Stroud should be able to shred this soft defense.

SF is upset after an embarrassing loss to the Ravens. For some teams the ultimate let down spot is the end of the season. And that's exactly what Washington is looking forward too. 49ers should be able to do whatever they want against this team.

Lions have clinched the North and probably at it's current seeding regardless of how the rest of the season plays out. Complacency will be a problem. Dallas on the other hand have lost two straight. They head back home where they've been dominant. These teams did face off last season. Dallas sacked Goff 5 times and created 4 turnovers.

We have line movement in our favor. Raiders went from a shut out to a 63 point explosion. Their high deflates quickly.

NE doesn't want to play a cold road game on Christmas Eve. Both teams will look to run the ball. NE defense is stingy against the run. Denver defense is not. But NE has problems throwing the ball. Expect a grind on both sides. This will be another prime time snoozer. Both teams trend to the under. Especially NE on the road.

Trevor Lawrence is expected to play. He's played every game. They're riding a 3 game losing streak. TB on the other hand have been on a hot streak winning their L3. This TB team matches up well with Jax. Jax's defensive strength is stopping the run. TB is not a run first team. They like to throw the ball. They should be able to move the ball on this defense. TB will be happy to return home as they played their L2 games on the road.

We've seen this total drop from an open of 44. Tannehill is expected to start for Titans. When he was healthy they scored one or less TDs in 4 losses. Seahawks will look to establish a run game. Both teams trend to the under.

L25 rematch games the Bengals are 18-6-1 ATS. Bengals won their L3 while covering two with a push. Kenny Pickett is not good. Mitch Trubisky is bad. Mason Rudolph shouldn't be in the NFL. Both teams are in the playoff hunt but only one team is playing well enough. Jake Browning has been good. I'm not worried about Jamar Chase being out. The Bengals have plenty of offensive weapons.

Saints have won 2 in row, but against bad opponents. Rams have not been bad. They have been scoring points and winning games. McVay is 10-1-1 ATS in home December games. NO has long travel on a short week. Saints offense is going to have trouble keeping up with the Rams.

We've seen this total drop. Seattle will look to establish the run game. Eagles trend to the under on the road. The under is 7-2 L9 in the series.

Look ahead line had Jax as the favorite. Eye test says no. We open at 3. This season Baltimore is 4-0 after not covering the prior week. Baltimore is good on the road. Jax has had their troubles at home winning only 2 games. Jags haven't looked good recently. Ravens just played in horrible weather. It'll be a delight going to Jacksonville.

The public loves the Cowboys and rightfully so. But this line is moving towards Buffalo. Cowboys are dominant at home. They're going to have to travel to Buffalo which is a hard place to play. Cowboys are susceptible on the road.

We have great betting splits. 3 of the L4 in this series has been under the total. Cleveland has trended to the under at home. Both teams have a strong defense. Both QBs will have trouble moving the ball. This should be a ground and pound game.

The public likes Denver but the line keeps moving towards Detroit. Denver is on a short week and playing their third road game in a row. Detroit matches very well with Denver. Expect Detroit to use the run game efficiently and tire the Broncos defense.

Herbert was taken out against Denver with a finger injury. This line will move. The price is right.

GB is overvalued here because of their upset against KC. Giants have been playing better and GB should see some regression. Giants won this game last season at Lambeau.

I get why people like the Bears. They took Detroit down to the wire the last time they faced off giving up the lead with 4 minutes left. They're also trending in the right direction. Detroit is looking for that #1 seed. Chicago won't stop them. Detroit had a bounce back win after losing to GB. How has Chicago been in rematch games? 2-12 ATS their L14. As rematch host they are 1-11 SU, 3-9 ATS. Lions handle business and cover this small number.

We've seen this line fall from 6.5. Mitch Trubisky will be the QB for an already bad offense. Patriots are the worst offensive team in the league. Both defenses play well. Steelers will have trouble scoring enough points to cover this spread.

Jordan Love has looked good recently. GB has won 3 of their L4. GB is coached well and has a balanced offense. GB defense is not great, but this KC offense isn't either. This is the contrarian side but we've seen line movement in our favor. KC is also in a look ahead spot as they play Buffalo next week.

We have line movement in our favor. Detroit gets the extra rest after losing to the Packers on Thanksgiving. Detroit will be motivated to get back on track. NO is injured on both sides of the ball. This offense has trouble scoring points and now will be without Olave. No defense has not been good recently. They'll be happy to be home, but Detroit will be happy to be playing indoors. Look for Goff to limit his mistakes.