Sports Picks & Predictions

We know how this plays out. Boston just beat this team in Cleveland. Boston is the better team. Cleveland is a tired team and Boston will take advantage of it. Cleveland typically starts slow which should allow Boston to pull away and win by double digits.

This is similar to the first round. Celtics get beat at home then embarrass the team on their home court. This is a bounce back spot for Boston.

We took OKC game 1. Nothing that I saw that game makes me think that Dallas can compete. Jump on this early line.

OKC won both games in OKC vs Dallas this season. OKC has won their L9. OKC has covered 7 of their L8. OKC has been resting while Dallas played 6 against LAC. OKC is the better team and should cover this small number.

Pacers have dominated this series after a game 1 fumble. Bucks don't play defense without Giannis. If Lillard doesn't play they're going to have trouble scoring as well.

Lakers don't match up well against Denver. Nuggets get the sweep.

This is a must win for Orlando. Their season splits between home and away are huge. This Magic team is different at home and they'll have a raucous crowd behind them. Orlando gets it done at home.

The public loves the over yet we are seeing this total drop. Game 1 went under the total. Both teams trend to the under.

Indy is 4-1 against Milwaukee this season. We've seen Indiana move from a 3.5 point dog to a favorite. No Giannis and Lillard is not 100%. Milwaukee has not looked good with Doc Rivers on the bench. Pacers win on the road.

The public thinks this number is too big, yet we're seeing the sharps steam this number. Denver has won the L8 in this series, while covering the L5. Denver matches up well on both sides of the ball and are playing in elevation. Denver is the side here.

Pelicans have owned the Kings this season. This number is an exaggeration of Zion being out. The Pels beat this team without Zion in the past and they'll do it again.

I'm not sure why this number is so low. Maybe because Atlanta is 2-0 in playoff games. This is not a good Hawks team. They finished the season 10 games under .500. They've lost their L6 to end the season. Chicago isn't much better but they're home and are a respectable team.

In the East theirs the Celtics and everyone else. Celtics have everything locked up but they're looking to play spoiler against these potential playoff matchups. Boston has won their L5 and are playing their final road game of the regular season. Bucks are currently in the 2 seed but 2-7 are jumbled up. Bucks have lost their L4 and 6 of their L7. Bucks are reeling. Look for Boston to make a statement.

These teams have gone 9-1 to the under combined in this tournament. UConn matches up well against this Purdue team. Also being the championship game nerves could take over which should help the under.

UConn unders have been great for us in this tournament. The more games played the frequency of tired legs show up. Ill was supposed to be an offensive juggernaut. Alabama is in the same boat. UConn is the defensive jug. Look for them to keep this total under.

I get that Ill is a high powered offense, but this UConn team is a different animal. UConn is the 6th rated defense in the country. They also run a slow tempo. UConn should keep the pace. Ill will try to keep up offensively but won't. Take the under.

We cashed a ticket last week with Tenn under. As good of defense Tenn has Creighton should still be able to score. They shoot a lot of 3s. Tenn will have to keep up. Both teams should flirt with 80.

These teams don't have much history but their L2 went under. #1 offense vs one of the better defenses. Defense travels. Illinois will have to rely on the 3 and I don't think they get opportunities to convert. Iowa St defense gets stronger as the game goes on. This will be a dog fight that stays under this total.

Charlotte is tanking. They've failed to cover their L5. They're constantly huge dogs. These teams played Monday at the same location. Cavs were an 11 point favorite and covered easily. Expect the same here.

We've seen this total rise. Atlanta trends to the over at home and Boston on the road. Both teams are 4-1 to the over their L5.

Clemson had a big 1R win against NM but now they are playing a stronger team. Baylor is the real deal and they matchup extremely well against this Clemson defense. Clemson wasn't good down the stretch only going 2-3 their L5 and losses to some bad teams. This step up in competition will be hard for Clemson. Baylor covers.

The public is split but we're seeing this total drop with sharp backing. Texas trends to the over, but Tennessee is an under team and should control the pace. Both teams are coming off blowout wins. On a neutral court that situation is 33-20 this season. Texas lives and dies by the 3 and Tennessee doesn't allow you to get the looks. Tennessee will flirt with the 70s. I think Texas has trouble getting there. Take the under.

Oakland is the lower seed after an upset. NC State is in the same situation. Both teams are rolling. NC St has played the better teams and it has shown with experience these power conference teams crush the mids. It's a good story, but it's over for Oakland.

Clippers have won 9 of the L10 in this series while covering 7 in that span. Clippers match up well on both sides of the ball. Clippers play well as a favorite, especially as a road favorite.

Colgate is good in a bad conference. Baylor is good in a good conference. Baylor is comfortable as a favorite. Colgate hasn't been a dog in a while, but when they were they only cashed at 21%. Baylor should choose their score.

Dog to favorite. Drake is the best defensive rebounding team in this tournament. They don't turn the ball over and they take good shots offensively. Drake matches up well. They should be able to make their 3s. DeVries is the best player on the court. Look for him to get Drake to the second round.

Fade the trendy dog. I get the McNeese love but this Gonzaga team is on another level. The biggest difference here is free throws. I won't back a bad FT shooting. McNeese is that. Zags don't give you many chances to get to the line. Gonzaga is also the better rebounding team. McNeese had a weak conference and that has shown in the big lines they have against in conference opponents. They'll be uncomfortable playing as a dog. Take the Zags.

This is a big number for a reason. Boston is rolling. Bucks are good, but the Celtics are next level. Offensively Boston should be able to do what they want. Celtics play better against good teams. This should be a cake walk at home for Celtics.

3pts should be the difference. The Hawks won't be able to slow down SH.

This line is moving. Orlando is a great ATS team especially at home where they're cashing ATS at 71%. Orlando has won and covered the L4 in this series. While Orlando is getting ready for the playoffs Charlotte is in tank mode. Orlando's defense will smother this offense and they should be able to put up points plentiful. Orlando gets to the line a lot and more importantly they make their FTs. This should be a cruise game for the Magic at home.

We've seen this total rise. Both teams shoot volume and both let you shoot. Both teams also rebound well. BC trends to the over this season, but both teams should put up points. The way the spread is moving it's also a possibility we'll see OT. Expect both teams to score in the 70s and go over this total.

These teams played Saturday to an under. That's after an 8-8 score midway through the 1Q. I don't expect that to happen again. Wolves should be accustomed to the elevation. Utah is an over team at home. Both teams trend to the over in general. This number is on par with other home totals. Expect these teams to start hot and keep scoring through the game.

Boston is the rested and the better team. Wizards just got smoked by Chicago yesterday. In fact their L3 games have been blowout losses. Tank mode has arrived. Boston has been playing well scoring 121 or more in their L3 games. They have depth so even if someone sits they should have no problem covering this large number against the bottom dwelling Wizards.

The public is split, but the sharps love UAB. These teams played a little over a week ago at Temple and UAB crushed them. I expect the same here.

WKU has dominated this series winning 8 of the L10. UTEP played 2 close games the past 2 days while WKU cruised to victory and was able to rest starters. WKU should have no trouble covering this small number.

We have good betting splits. The public is torn, but sharp money is backing Wisco. This number will move. Wisco has dominated this team going 8-2 their L10 SU. Wisco won in January when these teams faced off and covered a stronger -7 at home. Wisconsin is the better team and should cover this small number.

SFU has 9 of it's L10 while covering 7-2-1. ECU are losers of 5 of their L6. They got a win and cover in round 1. Now the competition steps up a notch. SFU plays great in conference. Take the favorite in this matinee matchup.

Both teams are average on the road. A&M has gotten healthy and now they're playing well. Miss is 1-4 their L5. Against common opponents A&M has the edge. A&M beat Miss on their home court by 26 on March 9th. Miss can't make enough adjustments. We'll take the favorite.

NO is at home and runs a fast pace which they should control against the Cavs. Pels are the better offensive team and are one of the best 3pt% team in the NBA. Cleveland is the better defense but NO is no slouch on that side of the ball either. These teams played in December with the Pels winning by 19. NO is 4-1 their L5 and are playing the better basketball. The home favorite is the right side.

Texas has won the L2 in the series. They didn't cover the prior spread, but the line was -8.5. KState is only 4-6 their L10. They're also the worse road team. Texas matches up well defensively. Texas should be able to make their 3s and cover this number.

UMass is the better rebounding team. UMass won and covered the L4 in this series. You can't shoot 3s against UMass and Bryant can't make them anyway. UMass gets to the line and makes their FTs. UMass plays well on neutral and as a neutral favorite. They also play up to good teams. They're 2-0 ATS vs Bryant this season.

The last time these teams played PSU took the Terps to OT in Maryland. Terps are only 3-7 their L10 games while PSU has been a covering machine going 7-2-1 ATS their L10.

This is the contrarian side. Rockets have covered the L3 in this series. Rockets have also covered their L5 overall. Kings are only 4-6 ATS their L10. Defensively Houston doesn't let you get easy shots and they don't foul often. Houston isn't a great team away from home, but Sac doesn't cover large numbers at home. Rockets keep this game close.

Neither team is good. Charlotte is coming off a bad loss against a streaking Wizards team. Charlotte's strength is on the 2nd leg of a B2B where they're cashing at 63%. Nets are 2-5 as a road favorite. The last time these teams played Charlotte won in Brooklyn. Defensively Charlotte matches up well. This line is moving towards Charlotte and I agree with this movement. This number is too big. Take the home dog.

This opening line was an overreaction to Kolek being out. Xavier hasn't played well as of late. Marquette is still the better team. The value is with Marquette.

The public is split but the sharps have chosen a side. We've seen this line move in our favor. Heat are 8-2 their L10 SU and ATS. Dallas has been average losing their L3 while going 5-5 their L10. Heat cover on the road at a rate of 62%. They play especially well as a road dog cashing 65% of the time. Dallas likes to go fast. Defense travels and Miami should be able to keep the pace to their liking. Heat are the better rebounding team and they don't turn the ball over much. Both teams are on equal rest. This is the time of the year when Miami takes the season seriously. They're trying to stay out of that play in game and should keep it close in Dallas. I'd sprinkle on the ML as well.

Motivation is on the side of the Bobcats. Quinn can clinch a share of the MAAC regular season in this final game of the regular season. Quinn won in Marist by 11 back in January. Quinn is the best scoring offense in the MAAC. They also matchup extremely well defensively with Marist. Quinn is the better rebounding team and more importantly they make their 3s.

Mass is a covering machine. Fordham will have trouble scoring against Mass. Mass takes and makes a lot of shots which should give them the opportunity to cover this big number. Fordham has trouble on the road. Mass is 12-3 at home. Mass plays well in conference and against common opponents Mass has a 5 game cushion.

VT has won the L3 in this series. Louisville covered the last time they played but that was in early December. Louisville is 0-5 ATS their L5. Neither team is playing for much, but if VT can win out and make it far in the conference tournament they have a longshot at the big dance. VT is stronger on both sides of the ball and should be able to cover this number.

This is a revenge game. VCU lost at Duquesne in early January. Duquesne has been good as of late but they've had their troubles on the road. VCU has a great defense. The difference here is VCU's 3pt shooting. Duquesne is average in conference where VCU is one of the stronger in conference teams. Look for VCU to get it done at the Seigel Center.

This is a revenge game. Morgan St took down NCCU in OT the last time they played. NCCU is clearly the better team. They're one of the better road teams in CBB. Morgan doesn't play particularly well at home. They're 1-4 their L5 and don't play well in conference. Against common opponents this season NCCU is 6 games better and went 13-3 ATS in those games. NCCU is a great covering team in general.

I'll give Bradley credit where it's deserved. They are one of the better road teams in CBB. But they're up against a Drake team that doesn't lose at home. Drake has won and covered the L2 in the series most recently as a 4 point dog at Bradley.

Marist plays well at home and as a favorite. The last time these teams played Marist won outright as a 7.5 point dog. Now this series moves to McCann. We'll take the ML as a safety net.

We have successfully been fading Utah recently. They're 2-6 ATS on the road. The Heat on the other hand have come out of the ASB strong. They've won 5 of their L6 which were all on the road. But what's more impressive is that they've covered 9 straight.

Kentucky has the better recent form winning 4 of their L5. They've also covered 4 of 5 in that time. These teams faced off earlier at Arkansas and they handled business. I expect the same at home.

We have line movement in our favor. Boston has won and covered the L3 in this series. Overall they've won their L9 covering the L4. Boston is unbelievable at home.

Both of these teams are good. It should be a great game to watch. App St has covered the L4 in this series. Both teams are on lengthy winning streaks. The difference here is App St play at home. They've gone perfect on their home court They're used to covering the big numbers. App St matches up well offensively and they have the stronger defense. They played late January and App St covered -9 with cushion.

NMSU is brutal on the road. Not only do they lose, they don't cover either. NMSU hasn't won a game since Feb 3. Liberty is the superior defense and should match up well. They should also be able to hit 3s with consistency.

Orlando is the better team and tends to beat up on the lesser teams. Especially teams that don't play good team defense. Orlando plays well on their home court. Utah has struggled away from Salt Lake. Utah is 1-6 their L7 both SU and ATS. Jazz have been getting steamrolled by everyone. Expect the same here.

Lafayette is 1-4 their L5. They don't play well on the road. Navy also has the revenge angle here. Navy doesn't turn the ball over much and they rebound well. They should get plenty of opportunities to score as the better offensive team.

OKC has been awesome at home. Houston hasn't played well on the road. OKC covers spreads. They should handle business at home where they have been dominant.

Villanova is the better and hotter team. Georgetown is awful at home, in conference, and recent form. Villanova is looking for a tournament birth and a dominant win here will show the committee they're serious after getting crushed by UConn.