Sports Picks & Predictions

I'm not sure why Rangers are dogs again. Rangers are looking to close out the series at home. Rangers have not lost at home in the playoffs. Rangers are 4-1 L5 vs Carolina. Igor doesn't lose at home.

We know how this plays out. Boston just beat this team in Cleveland. Boston is the better team. Cleveland is a tired team and Boston will take advantage of it. Cleveland typically starts slow which should allow Boston to pull away and win by double digits.

All 3 games in this series have gone over. In fact in round 2 the trend has been to the over as 10 of the 12 games have seen the over. Bruins have been lit up. I expect them to show some offense here.

My model loves KFB. We'll take the plus money.

ChiSox are looking to complete a 4 game sweep against Cleveland. The Guardians have had trouble scoring runs. Sox have the better pitcher on the mound. Take the dog.

This is similar to the first round. Celtics get beat at home then embarrass the team on their home court. This is a bounce back spot for Boston.

Reds score runs behind Lodolo. Reds should be able to hit Black who has been smacked around. SF doesn't hit lefties, but they should get enough to help this total go over.

Royals are disciplined at the plate. They should be able to get to Canning.

We took OKC game 1. Nothing that I saw that game makes me think that Dallas can compete. Jump on this early line.

Early game. Tired Giants team. Two teams that don't score runs.

This total is already moving up. Phillies offense has been humming. Expect good hitting weather. Nola has been good but Toronto has had success against him. Expect runs.

This total should close at 6.5. 5 of the L6 between these teams would've went over. The outlier was a total that pushed on 6 which would push here. Avs are the best offensive teams in the league. Expect goals.

OKC won both games in OKC vs Dallas this season. OKC has won their L9. OKC has covered 7 of their L8. OKC has been resting while Dallas played 6 against LAC. OKC is the better team and should cover this small number.

Both pitchers are fine. Toronto is 3-7 their L10. Phillies have won 9 of their L10. Philadelphia has won 4 of the L5 against Toronto. Phillies are the best team in the league while Toronto is struggling.

Boston has won the L4 against Florida. Boston's defense has been great giving up 2 goals or less in their L6. In road games after holding the previous team to under 2 goals, Boston is 18-1 this season. Boston is a good road team and also plays teams well within their division. This is too good of a number to pass up on the Bruins.

Miami is awful. They don't play well on the road. They don't play well in interleague. They gave up 20 runs yesterday. Their bullpen is taxed. Miami is 0-6 after giving up 9 runs or more this season. Oakland has been good to us this season and we'll take them to win by multiple runs at plus money.

The model has Blaney multiple positions ahead of Gibbs. Take the plus money. 

The Manoah fade was profitable last season. Today is his return to the rotation. He didn't have impressive outings in his minor league outings. He also has bad career numbers against Washington. Toronto isn't hitting the ball and have a bad bullpen. Although Washington plays better on the road they have their ace Gore on the mound. Gore has pitched well this season. Toronto is 2-8 in the 3rd game of a series this season and only 1-4 after a win.

Boston has lost the L2 but they head home to look to close out this series. We've been backing them all series. Toronto put up a valiant effort, but Boston is the superior team.

I love this short price on the Os. Means is being called up. He's not the Means we remember, but he should do a solid job. Abbott has not been good this season. Look for Baltimore to break out the bats.

We're getting a good price with the Dodgers at home. Morton is 1-5 against LAD. Lefties hit Morton. Gavin Stone has pitched well since his opening start giving up 2 or less ER in his L3 starts. I like this line up to -125

Hicks was on the injury report early in the week with side tightness. SF has trouble on the road against righties. Hicks has pitched well, but the bullpen behind him is bottom of the league. Philadelphia has the rest advantage after a day off. SF will travel from Boston after playing Thursday. Philly crushes righties and are 6-1 in their L7. Phillies offense looks like it's starting to catch fire. Phillies bullpen started out rough, but they're coming into form posting a 1.96 ERA in their L7 games. SF is 1-3 in the first game of a series after winning their last game.

Only 1 of the games in this series have went over, but 2 of them would have gone over this number. Toronto is facing elimination and needs to find out how to score against this Bruins team. I don't expect Boston to be held down like they were last game.

We have great betting splits, but more importantly it's Adrian Houser Day. Houser is 5-0 to the over this season. Houser is 6-2 to the over against the Cubs. Chicago hits lefties. Ben Brown has been hit around often, Brown walks batters, and gives up a lot of hits.

LA played well last game losing 1-0, but now they're in an elimination game against a team that typically scores a lot of goals after being held to a single goal. Edmonton should lay it on at home where they've played extremely well all season. If this game is close at the end expect the Kings to pull the goalie earlier than normal. Not too mention the great price at plus money.

We have good betting splits with lie movement in our favor. Both teams have played well in the 3rd game of the series, but Chicago is 4-1 after a loss while NY is 1-1 after a win. Butto had a rough outing last time out. Imanga has come out of the gate strong. I expect another strong outing. Mets are a mediocre home team. Thursday is the getaway day for the Cubs so I don't expect a letdown here.

Last game went under, but before that we saw the L5 go over. Avs are the best offensive team in the league. This is a closeout game and Winnipeg will need to score goals to win.

Pacers have dominated this series after a game 1 fumble. Bucks don't play defense without Giannis. If Lillard doesn't play they're going to have trouble scoring as well.

Both teams hit righties well and are top 5 in offense. These teams don't strike out much and they take free bases at the plate. It should be a nice day for hitting. Take the over.

Blackburn is on the mound. We've backed him successfully all season watching him shut down good offense. Oakland doesn't put up much offense. We should stay under this number.

Lakers don't match up well against Denver. Nuggets get the sweep.

We have great betting splits. Both teams hit well against opposing handedness. Twins have seen 3 straight overs while the Angels have 2. We should expect to see runs.

Rangers have scored 4 in both playoff games. This series moves to Washington. NY trends to the over on the road and have went over this total 65% of the time this season. Their were 7 goals in game 2. Expect the scoring to be consistent in game 3.

TB heads home after 2 tough losses in Miami. Typically I don't like to go against a hot team, but this TB has been in these situations before. They will respond. We've seen this line move. Some places have made Florida the dog. We'll back the home favorite that's desperate not to go down 0-3.

This is a must win for Orlando. Their season splits between home and away are huge. This Magic team is different at home and they'll have a raucous crowd behind them. Orlando gets it done at home.

The last 2 games in this series have went over this number. Honestly Soroka is not good. Twins aren't a great offensive team but they should put up runs here. They may hit this total themselves. Both bullpens are taxed. Take the over.

We've been fading Snell all season with success. He's still not ready. Mets lineup has prior success against Snell. Manaea should be comfortable in his old park. This line has moved a lot overnight in the Mets favor. We'll back the road dog.

The public loves the over yet we are seeing this total drop. Game 1 went under the total. Both teams trend to the under.

This is a simple handicap. We saw 13 goals last game. Avs don't want to go down 0-2 so I expect them to keep the offensive pressure on. Jets have no problems scoring against this team. They've scored 7 goals the L2 games in this series.

We backed Blackburn his last time out for a big plus money win against the Cardinals. We'll go right back to him. Oakland shutout NY yesterday. Part of the problem is the Yankees offense. I love this price. Take the underrated A's against the overrated Yankees.

Bruins dominate this series winning the L8. Game 1 was a 5-1 drubbing. I don't expect Toronto to make adjustments.

Jets just beat this team 7-0 in Colorado. Avs aren't a great road team. Jets have won their L8. Jets have won the L3 in the series and 6 of the L8. Jets have value at this number.

Indy is 4-1 against Milwaukee this season. We've seen Indiana move from a 3.5 point dog to a favorite. No Giannis and Lillard is not 100%. Milwaukee has not looked good with Doc Rivers on the bench. Pacers win on the road.

The public thinks this number is too big, yet we're seeing the sharps steam this number. Denver has won the L8 in this series, while covering the L5. Denver matches up well on both sides of the ball and are playing in elevation. Denver is the side here.

We have seen this total drop. The L2 games between these teams ended 4-1 with Boston winning. I expect Toronto to put up a fight. Boston has been in cruise control. Look for both teams to score early and often.

Pelicans have owned the Kings this season. This number is an exaggeration of Zion being out. The Pels beat this team without Zion in the past and they'll do it again.

Leiter makes his MLB debut. He has looked amazing in the lower leagues. On the other hand Texas faces Maeta who has not looked good.

I'm not sure why this number is so low. Maybe because Atlanta is 2-0 in playoff games. This is not a good Hawks team. They finished the season 10 games under .500. They've lost their L6 to end the season. Chicago isn't much better but they're home and are a respectable team.

This is a spot play. After Wednesday's game Cards will be going home after a 6 game road trip. Blackburn has pitched well. His bullpen has blown his games. Expect Cards to sit some starters. A's are 3-2 in the 3rd game of a series. Cards are 1-4. Take the home dog.

We have good betting splits. These teams played last month where Winn won 3-0. I expect a similar match. Sea has scored 3 goals their L3 games. Seattle has 6 straight unders. Winn needs to win this game, but if they get up big they may rest their top lines a bit.

Toronto went dog to favorite even though the public is on NY.

Both teams trend to the over. SF plays overs on the road, Mia at home. Mia hits righties, SF hits lefties. This has been a consistent total for both teams. Mia bullpen is tired but they're not good anyway. As a team SF is batting .303 vs lefties and averaging 4.5 RPG. SF bullpen has a 5.23 ERA on the road. Mia isn't doing much well but they average 5.6 RPG against righties. Hicks has pitched well but Mia does get men on base. Weathers has also pitched well but he hasn't been good at home. Both starters will be hit and hopefully out early so these offenses can beat up the opposing bullpens.

Reds are 4-1 in the 1st game of a series this season. Reds have played well against the AL West over the past 2 seasons. Reds offense has been hot scoring 27 runs in a 3 game series. Mariners have lost the L2. Reds should outscore this Seattle team.

2 faded in this game. The first is a fade of the SNB teams. The 2nd is of Musgrove who has looked awful in his first 3 starts this season. Brewers hit righties.

Boston has given up 4 goals in each of their L2 games. Caps scored 4 against a good TB team. I expect to see goals here.

The total has dropped but we're getting good betting splits. Both teams trend to the over. Calgary is 14-4 to the over L18 when playing a team with a losing record. Calgary is 8-1 to the over after scoring 3 goals over a division rival. 3 of the L4 in this series would've went over this total. Arizona is not a good defensive team. I expect both teams to score.

My model loves Elliott this week. We'll take plus money against a driver who doesn't have great success on this track.

Snell is typically a slow starter. TB hits lefties. He did go scoreless last time he faced this lineup while striking out 12. But that was in June. He had no spring and is only making his 2nd start of the season. SF doesn't play well on the road. They went off on Saturday. TB goes off today.

Boston is a good road team. Boston has won 4 of the L5 in this series. Bruins goaltending is superior. As is there offense and defense..Boston is at the perfect price.

Simple handicap. Fade Miami. This is good value on the Braves.

Colorado is an over team. Jets have been scoring goals.

Both teams are coming off a rest day and a win. Both pitchers are coming off disappointing outings. Skubal is rested and is at home. Twins lineup hasn't been good.

Jets have scored 4 or more in their L4 games. Dallas is an over team at home and against division opponents. Jets are averaging 3.8 GPG their L5. Expect goals tonight.

We have line movement in our favor.

The L3 games at Anaheim have went way over this number. I'd be surprised if this total stays at 5.5. We'll take the over while we can get the hook.

In the East theirs the Celtics and everyone else. Celtics have everything locked up but they're looking to play spoiler against these potential playoff matchups. Boston has won their L5 and are playing their final road game of the regular season. Bucks are currently in the 2 seed but 2-7 are jumbled up. Bucks have lost their L4 and 6 of their L7. Bucks are reeling. Look for Boston to make a statement.

We have great betting splits. Both pitchers have looked good early in the season.

These teams have gone 9-1 to the under combined in this tournament. UConn matches up well against this Purdue team. Also being the championship game nerves could take over which should help the under.

We're seeing this total drop. Both teams played the SNB game and neither team is hitting lefties well. 10 was too much last night. It's too much today.

The public loves Toronto but this line is moving in Seattle's favor. Castillo has success against this lineup holding a 1.96 ERA. Take the contrarian side.

Both teams are rested which could mean a slow start. We have great betting splits. Rangers play great at home, especially defensively. Habs will have trouble scoring. Take the plus money.

UConn unders have been great for us in this tournament. The more games played the frequency of tired legs show up. Ill was supposed to be an offensive juggernaut. Alabama is in the same boat. UConn is the defensive jug. Look for them to keep this total under.

We've already seen this total drop. The public is split on the total, but sharp money likes the under as do I. Feltner has trended to the under early in the season. We'll back the under which is still dropping.

Wings looked good in a win against TB after a bad losing streak. They have slim playoff hopes and are returning home after a long road trip. I like this spot at home for Detroit.

Reds had Thursday off. Mets played a DH and travel to Cin. Both pitchers had similar starts to open the season. We'll take the rested home team.

This total is moving. LA is playing the 2nd leg of a B2B. Tired legs should benefit SJ. Both teams trend to the under but are 3-2 their L5 to the over. The last time these teams played we saw 7 goals. I expect something similar here.

Oilers are an under team on the road. Dallas has won their L7. 5 of those games have gone under behind their strong defense. Look for Dallas's defense to keep this total under the 6.5.

The L5 games in this series have gone over the total. We've also seen a lot of OT in this series which could be the key to an over. Buff trends to the over after getting shut out. We should see scoring.

The public loves the over after Chicago scored 9 runs on Sunday. The sharps like the under and it's juiced. We may see this total close at 6.5.

Padres have dominated this series winning 7 of the L10. Cease is making his first start with SD. He faced SF last season only giving up a solo HR in 5 IP. He did walk a lot of batters. The fact tat he is playing at home should help.

I get that Ill is a high powered offense, but this UConn team is a different animal. UConn is the 6th rated defense in the country. They also run a slow tempo. UConn should keep the pace. Ill will try to keep up offensively but won't. Take the under.

We cashed a ticket last week with Tenn under. As good of defense Tenn has Creighton should still be able to score. They shoot a lot of 3s. Tenn will have to keep up. Both teams should flirt with 80.

These teams don't have much history but their L2 went under. #1 offense vs one of the better defenses. Defense travels. Illinois will have to rely on the 3 and I don't think they get opportunities to convert. Iowa St defense gets stronger as the game goes on. This will be a dog fight that stays under this total.

Both teams trend to the over. Both goalies trend to the over. Both teams score after rest. Vancouver has seen a run of unders and the Stars will break it. Dallas has won 5 in a row, scoring at least 4 goals in each game. Dallas is a trendy scoring team. Play the over.

I'll keep it real. Anyone who thinks they have an edge on opening day doesn't. TB started the season 10-0 last season. I expect them to be a good team this season. Rays get the win at home.

Boston is on the road for the 2nd leg of a B2B. It's rare to see a TB total this low and Boston has went over this total the L2 5.5s this season. TB trends to the over at home especially in the back half of the season. They're also 9-2 to the over in March. We should see scoring by both teams. Take the over.

Charlotte is tanking. They've failed to cover their L5. They're constantly huge dogs. These teams played Monday at the same location. Cavs were an 11 point favorite and covered easily. Expect the same here.

Oilers are in better form and won the last matchup. Jets were shutout by Washington last game. Expect the offensive juggernaut to put up enough goals to win this game.

We've seen this total rise. Atlanta trends to the over at home and Boston on the road. Both teams are 4-1 to the over their L5.

The public loves the over. Sharps favor the under. The Ducks have scored 2 goals in their L5 games. TB should score but I don't expect Anaheim to keep up.

Clemson had a big 1R win against NM but now they are playing a stronger team. Baylor is the real deal and they matchup extremely well against this Clemson defense. Clemson wasn't good down the stretch only going 2-3 their L5 and losses to some bad teams. This step up in competition will be hard for Clemson. Baylor covers.

The public is split but we're seeing this total drop with sharp backing. Texas trends to the over, but Tennessee is an under team and should control the pace. Both teams are coming off blowout wins. On a neutral court that situation is 33-20 this season. Texas lives and dies by the 3 and Tennessee doesn't allow you to get the looks. Tennessee will flirt with the 70s. I think Texas has trouble getting there. Take the under.

Oakland is the lower seed after an upset. NC State is in the same situation. Both teams are rolling. NC St has played the better teams and it has shown with experience these power conference teams crush the mids. It's a good story, but it's over for Oakland.

This number is high for a reason. You'd think Edmonton is an over team. They're not, but they scored 8 goals their last game. Toronto plays to the over. Especially at home vs good offensive teams. The last time these teams played in Toronto we saw 11 goals. Toronto has gone over their L4. The over streak continues Saturday night.

Clippers have won 9 of the L10 in this series while covering 7 in that span. Clippers match up well on both sides of the ball. Clippers play well as a favorite, especially as a road favorite.

In January Carolina won 6-2. Carolina has scored 3+ in their L5. Washington has went over their L2. Caps are 3-2 their L5 to the over and they score at home.

Colgate is good in a bad conference. Baylor is good in a good conference. Baylor is comfortable as a favorite. Colgate hasn't been a dog in a while, but when they were they only cashed at 21%. Baylor should choose their score.

Dog to favorite. Drake is the best defensive rebounding team in this tournament. They don't turn the ball over and they take good shots offensively. Drake matches up well. They should be able to make their 3s. DeVries is the best player on the court. Look for him to get Drake to the second round.

We have line movement in our favor. I don't expect this to be plus money for long. Ducks have lost 7 in a row. in that time period they have a goal differential of -35. These teams met a little over a week ago where Chicago won 7-2. Chicago has won the L2 in this series as well as going 3-2 their L5. Neither team is good. We'll back the team that has dominated this series and is in much better form.

Fade the trendy dog. I get the McNeese love but this Gonzaga team is on another level. The biggest difference here is free throws. I won't back a bad FT shooting. McNeese is that. Zags don't give you many chances to get to the line. Gonzaga is also the better rebounding team. McNeese had a weak conference and that has shown in the big lines they have against in conference opponents. They'll be uncomfortable playing as a dog. Take the Zags.