Sports Picks & Predictions

NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-21-24	Chiefs v. Bills -2.5	Top	27-24	Loss	-110	1 h 37 m	Show
Take the Bills here… KC has not been the same this season and it’s a desperation revenge spot for Buffalo. They have the better team and are at home, they should be able to cover this spread. Good luck!
01-13-24	Browns v. Texans +2.5	Top	14-45	Win	100	1 h 33 m	Show
Take the Texans here... CJ Stroud has been great for the Texans, and although rookies have not had great success in the playoffs, he has been a different kind of rookie, leading this team to a division title. The Browns have a different situation with a veteran QB but I don't think anyone expects Flacco to be able to keep putting up stats like he has in previous weeks. Playoffs are different and usually you see the best effort come out. I believe this Texans defense will put enough pressure on Flacco to be the difference in this game. Good luck!
01-07-24	Rams +4 v. 49ers	Top	21-20	Win	100	17 h 33 m	Show
Take the Rams here... The 49ers have nothing at all to play for and the Rams need this to guarantee themselves a 6th seed. Otherwise they'll drop to 7th seed and have to play either the Cowboys or Eagles. We think they can get the cover against a backup squad with playoff implications on the line. Good luck!
01-07-24	Seahawks -3 v. Cardinals	Top	21-20	Loss	-100	16 h 16 m	Show
Take the Seahawks here... Seattle still has a chance to make the playoffs if they win this game and the Packers lose theirs against the Bears. Arizona is not that good of a team and they have nothing to play for. Take the desperate, better team as a small favorite in this one. Good luck!
01-07-24	Bears +3 v. Packers	Top	9-17	Loss	-110	16 h 12 m	Show
Take the Bears here... The Packers need to win this game to guarantee a spot in the playoffs, but this is a rivalry and the Bears will want to do anything they can to knock GB out of the playoffs. Jordan Love has been good lately, but he may choke when the pressure is on. The Bears will be relaxed trying to play spoiler.. Good luck!
01-07-24	Jaguars v. Titans +5		20-28	Win	100	13 h 57 m	Show
Take the Titans here... Trevor Lawrence is a game time decision which means his shoulder is still injured. A healthy Lawrence is the Jaguars' most valuable asset, so getting 5 points is big. The Titans would love to knock Jacksonville out of the playoffs, which is what's on the line in this one. Vrabel is a good coach and getting 5 points at home is probably giving the Jags too much credit. Good luck!
01-06-24	Steelers v. Ravens +3	Top	17-10	Loss	-105	6 h 41 m	Show
Take the Ravens here... Baltimore is getting 22% more money than bets, and this line moved from +4 to +3, indicating it's the right side and that sharps are betting it down. This is expected to be a low scoring game as well which favors the underdog. Ravens are at home, and games between these two teams almost always come down to the wire no matter the circumstance, so we're happy taking the dog in this one. Good luck!
12-31-23	Packers +1.5 v. Vikings	Top	33-10	Win	100	8 h 56 m	Show
Take the Packers here... Green Bay has been playing better with Jordan Love developing as a QB throughout the season. The Vikings will be playing their backup rookie QB Jaren Hall which will likely not go well. Both teams are sitting at 7-8 and need to win this game to have a shot at the playoffs. Good luck!
12-31-23	Panthers +4 v. Jaguars	Top	0-26	Loss	-115	1 h 45 m	Show
Take the Panthers here... Jacksonville will be without Lawrence which is huge for this team, and the Panthers have been showing improvement in the second half of the season with Bryce Young developing at QB. They lost by 3 last game and put up 30 points (covered the spread). This is a game they should be able to win outright so getting 4 points against a backup QB is big. Good luck!
12-31-23	Rams v. Giants +6.5	Top	26-25	Win	100	1 h 41 m	Show
Take the Giants here... NY has been playing a bit better lately and getting this many points at home against an inconsistent Rams team is good value. This game should be low scoring which also favors the underdog and home team. Good luck!
12-31-23	Raiders v. Colts -3.5	Top	20-23	Loss	-105	1 h 40 m	Show
Take the Colts here... This bet is a fade of the Raiders after beating division rivals KC last week. It was a pretty lucky win and not indicative of how well they played. This should be a classic letdown spot on the road against a Colts team that has shown they can compete. Good luck!
12-31-23	Dolphins +3 v. Ravens	Top	19-56	Loss	-100	1 h 32 m	Show
Take the Dolphins here... Miami has always played the Ravens close even when they were not good and the Ravens were juggernauts. They've been able to keep Lamar Jackson from running all over them with a solid blitz to mask their secondary issues. We also know the Dolphins can pass on anyone and can win in a shootout if it comes to that. I expect a win here or a 3 point push at worst. Good luck!
12-24-23	Patriots v. Broncos -6.5	Top	26-23	Loss	-130	13 h 33 m	Show
Take the Broncos here... Denver is the much better team right now and they are still fighting for a playoff spot. Being at home, against an offensively limited team, should be enough to cover this spread. If you want to play it safer, this would be a great team to throw in teasers so they'd just need to win outright. Good luck!
12-24-23	Seahawks v. Titans +3.5	Top	20-17	Win	100	5 h 11 m	Show
Take the Titans here... Tennessee hasn't lost a game in regulation time in their last 4, but two of those were 3 point OT losses. They actually beat Miami as a big road dog two weeks ago as well which is impressive. Seattle was on a 4 game losing streak before beating the Eagles in an extremely lucky fashion with a last minute drive to win the game when they needed a TD. The Titans have nothing to play for except their pride and sometimes that's better than the stress of needing to win to stay alive in the playoff picture. This is the situation right now, and I think this will work in Tennessee's favor. Good luck!
12-24-23	Browns v. Texans +3	Top	36-22	Loss	-100	5 h 7 m	Show
Take the Texans here... Houston will be without Stroud, but they should still win this game. Cleveland has had it rough after losing their QB for the rest of the season, but they've managed to stay in a playoff spot for the time being. They've won 4 out of their last 6 games, but by an average of 3 points each game. Their losses were blowouts. With both teams fighting for playoff spots, and both teams with capable defenses, this should be a close game so I expect to either win or push this bet at worst. Good luck!
12-24-23	Lions -2.5 v. Vikings	Top	30-24	Win	100	5 h 2 m	Show
Take the Lions here... Detroit only has 4 losses on the year, with one being to the Ravens and another an OT loss. Otherwise, they've been cruising to wins and looking good doing it. Minnesota seems to have fallen off lately, losing 3 of their last 4 after a 5 game winning streak. Those last 3 losses came against the Broncos, Bears, Bengals, and the one win was a 3-0 victory over the Raiders. NOT impressive at all. The Lions are the toughest team they've seen in about two months since they played the 49ers, so I do not think they'll be prepared and should lose by 6+ points in this one. Good luck!
12-23-23	Bengals v. Steelers +3	Top	11-34	Win	100	3 h 47 m	Show
Take the Steelers here... Pittsburgh has lost 3 straight but their last win was against this same Bengals team in Cincinnati. Now they play in Pittsburgh and they're still 3 point underdogs? Cincy has a pretty bad run defense, so if the Steelers can get the ground game going, this game will be close. Getting the 3 is important. Good luck!
12-17-23	Ravens -3 v. Jaguars	Top	23-7	Win	100	3 h 5 m	Show
Take the Ravens here... Baltimore has been impressive this year. They won 7 of their last 8 with the only loss coming from the Browns (who Jacksonville also recently lost to). The Jaguars are on a 2 game losing streak, with one of those being to the Bengals. Jacksonville is just not quite on the level of the elite teams, as shown by a big blowout loss to the 49ers. I think this could be close, but the Ravens should win by 4+ Good luck!
12-17-23	Chiefs v. Patriots +9.5	Top	27-17	Loss	-105	1 h 6 m	Show
Take the Patriots here... KC does not often blow teams out when they're big favorites like this. Their style of play has a lot of short passes and involves running out the clock, so they typically will win one possession games or end up leaving the back door open for the underdog to cover. NE should be able to keep this one within 10 points. Good luck!
12-17-23	Bears +3 v. Browns	Top	17-20	Push	0	1 h 58 m	Show
Take the Bears here... Chicago opened at around +4 and this line is all the way down to +2.5 at some places. That's important information since the line moved through the key number +3. The Bears have been better lately and just beat up the Lions last week. The Browns have been struggling at the QB position and that impacted the ceiling for the team. If both teams play to their potential this week, Chicago should come out on top. Good luck!
12-17-23	Bucs +4 v. Packers	Top	34-20	Win	100	1 h 41 m	Show
Take the Bucs here... Tampa is a middling team that can be good one week and bad another week. The Packers are pretty similar in that regard and it's mostly dependent on how Jordan Love plays. They just beat the Lions and Chiefs back to back, but then lost to the Giants last week. Tampa is on a 2-game winning streak but against weaker competition (Panthers, Falcons). I would consider these two teams relatively equal right now so getting 4 points is good value. Good luck!
12-17-23	Giants +6 v. Saints	Top	6-24	Loss	-105	1 h 35 m	Show
Take the Giants here... NY passed a real test beating the Packers last week who have been good lately (they just beat both the Lions and Chiefs prior to last week). Prior to that, the Giants beat the Commanders and Patriots. They seem to have figured out their game a little on both sides of the ball, winning relatively high and also very low scoring games. The Saints have one win in their last 4 games and that was against the Panthers. They're just not good enough in the red zone against decent teams to get the wins they are capable of getting. Giants should be able to keep this within a TD. Good luck!
12-10-23	Broncos v. Chargers -3	Top	24-7	Loss	-110	2 h 2 m	Show
Take the Chargers here... Denver has been winning games and keeping them close lately but they're still not at the same skill level as the Chargers. LAC has struggled offensively in the past couple weeks but they should be able to both run and pass on the Broncos. We're comfortable taking the better team at home in this one. Good luck!
12-10-23	Rams +7.5 v. Ravens		31-37	Win	100	0 h 26 m	Show
Take the Rams here... LA is looking better lately with a 3-game win streak and having just beat up the Browns last week. The Ravens are of course good, but the Rams defense is good enough to be able to prevent Lamar from running all over them. This should be a Ravens win, but the Rams should be able to keep it close. Good luck!
12-10-23	Panthers +6 v. Saints	Top	6-28	Loss	-110	1 h 59 m	Show
Take the Panthers here... Carolina has lost its last two games, but they were both within a score. The Saints lost their last 3 as well, so being favored by 6 points hardly seems warranted. These two teams played in Week 2, and since then the Panthers have gotten better and the Saints have gotten worse. I like the Panthers to keep this one close. Good luck!
12-10-23	Lions v. Bears +3.5	Top	13-28	Win	100	1 h 43 m	Show
Take the Bears here... A couple weeks ago the Lions were 7.5+ point favorites when they played each other and it was a close game with Detroit winning by 5. They're not the same terrible Bears they were earlier in the season, and it seems they're getting better each week. The Lions being 3 point favorites is very suspicious given the difference in records. Chicago should win this game. Good luck!
12-03-23	Chiefs v. Packers +6	Top	19-27	Win	100	9 h 18 m	Show
Take the Packers here… Green Bay isn’t great, but they’ve gotten better lately with Love starting to show flashes of being a decent QB. The Chiefs are great, but struggle covering large spreads. They were in danger of losing outright to the Raiders last game before they put up some late points. I do think the Packers are better than Vegas and should be able to keep this close at home. Good luck!
12-03-23	49ers v. Eagles +3		42-19	Loss	-110	5 h 28 m	Show
Take the Eagles here… SF is really good, but so are the Eagles. These two teams should be much closer to a pk especially with Philadelphia being at home. Getting 3 points of value is big in what should be a close game. Good luck!
12-03-23	Colts v. Titans +1	Top	31-28	Loss	-110	3 h 7 m	Show
Take the Titans here… Tennessee covers at a high rate as a home dog. Neither team is very good right now so this should be closer to -3. We’re getting good value with this line and they should win outright. Good luck!
12-03-23	Dolphins v. Commanders +9	Top	45-15	Loss	-109	3 h 57 m	Show
Take the Commanders here… Miami did not look great for most of last game against the Jets, even though they covered the spread. Washington actually has an offense and can put up some points against this Miami defense. They should keep it close. Good luck!
11-26-23	Chiefs v. Raiders +9		31-17	Loss	-110	6 h 23 m	Show
Take the Raiders here... This is just too big of a spread for the Chiefs to cover. They have a solid record as small favorites or underdogs, but 3.5+ point spreads are usually tough for KC to cover -- they just don't blow teams out very often. The Raiders have been better since firing their coach. If this spread was 10 or higher it would be a top play, but they should be able to cover this one and keep it close. Good luck!
11-26-23	Rams -2.5 v. Cardinals	Top	37-14	Win	100	3 h 14 m	Show
Take the Rams here… This Cardinals team is getting just a little too much credit for playing better since Kyler has been back. The Rams are still a better overall team and most importantly cover at a very high rate against Arizona. This matchup is perennially favorable for the Rams. Good luck!
11-26-23	Jaguars v. Texans +1.5	Top	24-21	Loss	-110	4 h 18 m	Show
Take the Texans here... Both teams are 4-1 in their last 5, but we're feeling good about Houston in this one. The Texans won last game after playing poorly which shows how good this team can be when they're playing well. Divisional home dogs cover the spread at a high percentage, close your eyes and bet them here in a good spot. Good luck!
11-26-23	Patriots v. Giants +4.5	Top	7-10	Win	100	4 h 55 m	Show
Take the Giants here... The Patriots are 4.5 point favorites on the road? Did not expect to see that at any point during this season. The Giants were just 10 point underdogs to the Commanders (on the road) and ended up winning outright. I can see them doing the same thing against New England, but at home this time. Two bad teams, relatively big spread, take the dog here. Good luck!
11-23-23	Commanders +13.5 v. Cowboys	Top	10-45	Loss	-110	6 h 58 m	Show
Take the Commanders here... Washington had a bad game last week against the Giants, but they should be able to use that as motivation for this nationally televised game against another division rival. They never should have been 10 point favorites against the Giants, just like they shouldn't be 13.5 point underdogs to the Cowboys. It's too much of a knee jerk reaction. Adding to that, Dallas rarely covers on Thanksgiving and they're always the public favorite. Commanders should keep this close enough for a cover. Good luck!
11-23-23	Packers v. Lions -8		29-22	Loss	-110	2 h 3 m	Show
Take the Lions here... Detroit has been rolling, and they generally play better at home. Favorites on Thanksgiving cover at a ridiculously high rate, probably due to the lack of time to prepare for the worse team, and that motivation is relatively equal for primetime/nationally televised games. The Packers are 4-6 with a very easy schedule, while the Lions are 8-2 with a more difficult (although not too much more difficult) schedule. Detroit beat the Packers in Green Bay 34-20 earlier this season and I think the Lions have gotten better and Packers have gotten worse since then. Good luck!
11-19-23	Seahawks v. Rams -1	Top	16-17	Push	0	19 h 25 m	Show
Take the Rams here... LA always plays the Seahawks tough in this divisional matchup no matter how good the Seahawks are and how bad the Rams are. Getting Stafford back is huge for this team, and being at home helps. This game should be close, but everything is pointing to a 3+ point Rams win. Good luck!
11-19-23	Raiders v. Dolphins -13.5		13-20	Loss	-110	16 h 54 m	Show
Take the Dolphins here... Miami lost last game to the Chiefs. The last two games they lost this season, they covered the spread easily in the next game. They're also getting Achane back at RB. There's a lot of buzz about the Raiders winning after firing their coach, but that is usually a one or two game motivation and then they start to revert back to how they were playing before. I expect Miami to blow out this Raiders team and get another cover. Good luck!
11-19-23	Steelers +2.5 v. Browns	Top	10-13	Loss	-110	16 h 16 m	Show
Take the Steelers here... This line has moved a lot this week, from +4 to +0.5 back to +2.5. Most of that movement was because Watson was ruled out, and I don't think the line moved enough. Pittsburgh has a solid defense and having a mediocre-to-bad QB on the other side is a huge negative. The Steelers should win this one outright. Good luck!
11-19-23	Cardinals +6 v. Texans	Top	16-21	Win	100	16 h 14 m	Show
Take the Cardinals here... Arizona won last game solely because of Kyler Murray coming back. Getting 6 points is not fully factoring in how much better they can be with him at QB. Defenses need to have a spy on him to make sure he doesn't sneak, and that will open up the passing game. CJ Stroud has been great, but he's still a rookie and can have a bad game at any time. The spread is just too high for what should be a competitive game. Good luck!
11-19-23	Cowboys v. Panthers +10.5	Top	33-10	Loss	-110	16 h 5 m	Show
Take the Panthers here... Carolina is not a good team, but this is too many points for Dallas on the road. Very bad teams at this point in the season that are big dogs cover the spread at 70% since 2004. We have to just trust the system in this situation and bet the favorable spot. Good luck!
11-12-23	Commanders +6 v. Seahawks	Top	26-29	Win	100	4 h 30 m	Show
Take the Commanders here... Washington has played the Eagles close twice already this season, and are 4-2 if you take those losses out and one to the Bills. The Seahawks have the better record, but their schedule has been easier. They were also just blown out by the Ravens last game, only scoring 3 points. The Washington defense is not bad, so I expect the Seattle offense to struggle. 6 points is too much for this game. Good luck!
11-12-23	Falcons v. Cardinals +2		23-25	Win	100	15 h 17 m	Show
Take the Cardinals here... Arizona is on quite a losing streak with the last one being shutout 27-0 by the Browns. That and Kyler Murray's return should be a spark to get this team going. Atlanta just lost to the Dobbs-led Vikings and are 4-5 with one of the softer schedules so far. I can see Murray running all over them en route to a win. Good luck!
11-12-23	Saints -2.5 v. Vikings		19-27	Loss	-120	12 h 20 m	Show
Take the Saints here... New Orleans won their last two and their defense has been their strength so far this season. The Vikings needed a last minute drive to win last game against the Falcons, and I see the Saints as being better than Atlanta. Jefferson is out for Minnesota and their TE is listed as questionable. Dobbs will be in QB and while he has good moments, he's overall not a good QB. Saints should win this one. Good luck!
11-12-23	49ers v. Jaguars +3	Top	34-3	Loss	-100	12 h 26 m	Show
Take the Jaguars here... Jacksonville has had one of the best recent records and they're still not getting respect. The 49ers are way overvalued -- they put up 17 points each of their last 3 games which were all losses. In those games they threw 5 total interceptions. This isn't the same San Francisco team from earlier in the season and the Jags are rolling. Good luck!
11-12-23	Colts v. Patriots +2		10-6	Loss	-110	9 h 15 m	Show
Take the Patriots here... The Colts should have lost to the Panthers last week if it weren't for some terrible pick sixes by Bryce Young. The offense was what was struggling for Indy and the Patriots D won't be easier than the Panthers D. This should be a low scoring game but the Patriots should win it with their defense. Good luck!
11-09-23	Panthers +3.5 v. Bears	Top	13-16	Win	100	2 h 0 m	Show
Take the Panthers here… Carolina didn’t play bad last week against the Colts despite the score. The difference in the game was the two pick sixes thrown by Young. Otherwise they were playing decent. This Bears defense should be even worse and I’m sure there will be heavy emphasis on not turning the ball over this week. This is the side with value with two bad teams facing off in prime time. Having the 3.5 is important in games like this. Good luck!
11-06-23	Chargers v. Jets +3.5	Top	27-6	Loss	-120	3 h 45 m	Show
Take the Jets here... The smart money is on NY -- 65% of the bets but 80% of the money is on their side. The Jets' defense is good and were the reason for their wins against the Bills and Eagles (and losing by 3 to the Chiefs). The Chargers CAN be good, but usually they make bad play calling decisions and end up keeping games close or losing. They're also 23rd in the league in points allowed per game compared to 6th for the Jets. This should be a close game but I see NY coming out on top. Good luck!
11-05-23	Giants v. Raiders -1.5	Top	6-30	Win	100	16 h 34 m	Show
Take the Raiders here... The Raiders fired their head coach over the week and that should be a positive for the team. Players often give it 110% when they start fresh with a new coach. On the other hand, Daniel Jones coming back from injury is probably not going to help the Giants. He was terrible before he got hurt, and their backup would have given them a better chance. NY is a not a good team and they should have issues on offense on the road here. Good luck!
11-05-23	Cowboys +3 v. Eagles	Top	23-28	Loss	-109	15 h 30 m	Show
Take the Cowboys here... This is a big divisional game for these two top contenders. Philadelphia is usually dominant but they've been shaky this season. Two close games against the Commanders should tell you that this division plays each other tough. Dallas is a lot better than Washington so don't be surprised if the Eagles are trailing by 10+ at some point in this game. Dallas put up big numbers against the Rams who are not as bad as their record. The Eagles have some injuries as well which doesn't help -- the Cowboys should win this one outright. Good luck!
11-05-23	Colts v. Panthers +2.5	Top	27-13	Loss	-110	15 h 20 m	Show
Take the Panthers here... Carolina looked like they started to figure things out against the Texans last week. That was a hard fought win against a decent defense. The Colts have not been good since Richardson got hurt, and Minshew is prone to turnovers. That could be the difference in a game like this. The bets and the money are both on the Panthers, who are the right side in this matchup. Good luck!
11-05-23	Vikings +4 v. Falcons	Top	31-28	Win	100	12 h 25 m	Show
Take the Vikings here... Minnesota is getting 50% of the bets but 70% of the money right now indicating sharp money on this side. The Vikings are on a 3 game winnings streak, most notably being a win against the 49ers, so getting 4 points in what should be a reasonably close game is valuable. The Falcons haven't beaten any good teams, and even without Cousins this Vikings team isn't bad. Don't overthink this one, take the points and watch the Falcons fail. Good luck!
11-05-23	Dolphins v. Chiefs -1.5		14-21	Win	100	9 h 21 m	Show
Take the Chiefs here... Mahomes as a favorite of less than a FG is extremely profitable. The Dolphins have issues on defense and the Chiefs should be able to take advantage of that. If we're tied in the 4th quarter I like our chances with KC over this poweful offense but leaky defense. Good luck!
10-30-23	Raiders v. Lions -7	Top	14-26	Win	100	7 h 38 m	Show
Take the Lions here… This is a great bounce back spot for a very good Detroit team after getting blown out by the Ravens last week. They’re back inside now at home and looking to beat up on a mediocre at best Raiders team. We saw the Dolphins in a similar situation in a bounce back spot at home take care of business so I expect the same from the Lions. Good luck!
10-29-23	Chiefs v. Broncos +7	Top	9-24	Win	100	2 h 45 m	Show
Take the Broncos here... Denver has been better recently, beating Green Bay last week. Two weeks ago they played the Chiefs and lost by 11 in KC. They should be able to keep this one closer at home and with the revenge factor as well. The pros are on this side, dropping the line down to 6.5 at some books from 8.5. That's huge line movement crossing the 7. Good luck!
10-29-23	Patriots v. Dolphins -8.5		17-31	Win	100	5 h 33 m	Show
Take the Dolphins here... New England just beat the Bills unexpectedly on a last minute TD last game, but we can't forget that this team scored 3 total points not too long ago against the Saints and Cowboys on back-to-back weeks then lost to the Raiders. We can't let one good game distract us from the fact that this team has issues. Miami on the other hand were expected to lose to the Eagles given the matchup (both good offenses, but Philly had the far superior defense. The Dolphins should be able to outscore the Patriots and do just enough on defense to cover this spread. Good luck!
10-29-23	Jets v. Giants +3		13-10	Push	0	4 h 28 m	Show
Take the Giants here... We would rather have Taylor in at QB instead of Jones, and that's what we're getting here. Taylor looked good last week, managing the game well and not making any critical mistakes. If the Giants can do that again this week, they should be able to cover this spread and get the win. This team just looks so much better without Jones that this has to be a bet. The Jets are feeling good after beating the Eagles and playing well 3 weeks in a row, but this is still a divisional game that should be low scoring and favor the underdog with 3 points. Good luck!
10-29-23	Vikings v. Packers +1	Top	24-10	Loss	-110	5 h 55 m	Show
Take the Packers here... This is a prime example of buy low (on the Packers)/sell high (on the Vikings). Green Bay lost 3 in a row with the last two being against the Broncos and Raiders. They lost 3 games by 7 total points (1, 2, and 4 point losses). The other was a blowout loss to the Lions. Minnesota got lucky with their win against the 49ers and shouldn't be expected to be a top team just because of that. Kirk Cousins has terrible stats after a win and the Packers will be at their highest motivation level for this game. Good luck!
10-29-23	Eagles v. Commanders +7	Top	38-31	Push	0	5 h 37 m	Show
Take the Commanders here... Washington played the Eagles tough last meeting, leading a good portion of the game and eventually losing in OT. Philly just came off a huge win vs the Dolphins, so they might be in a bit of a letdown spot here. Also, that Miami defense is bad. Washington has the pass rushing to disrupt Hurts and he hasn't been great lately (throwing a bunch of interceptions). The Commanders will be at 100% motivation this week and I expect them to keep this close. Good luck!
10-22-23	Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5	Top	17-31	Win	100	45 h 26 m	Show
Take the Eagles here... Favorite play of the week. This is a great spot to bet the Eagles, at home, coming off a brutal loss to a weaker team. They're going to be fully focused coming into this one and might have even been looking ahead to this game last week in preparation. Philly should be able to get pressure on Tua and limit the deep plays to Hill because of that. The Miami defense is also weak so the Eagles will have an easier time moving the ball compared to last week. Good luck!
10-22-23	Chargers +5.5 v. Chiefs	Top	17-31	Loss	-105	42 h 35 m	Show
Take the Chargers here... These two teams always play close games. KC, as good as they are, often let teams stay in the game but find ways to win those close games. The Chargers have shown plenty of potential this season and should be able to keep this close. Good luck!
10-22-23	Packers v. Broncos +1	Top	17-19	Win	100	2 h 53 m	Show
Take Denver here... The Broncos have looked terrible at times so far this year but have also shown potential. This is a "pros vs joe's" game with the professional money coming in on Denver and bringing this line down while the public is betting on Green Bay after a bye week. We like the home dog in this one. Good luck!
10-22-23	Lions v. Ravens -3	Top	6-38	Win	105	38 h 59 m	Show
Take the Ravens here... There is a lot of hyping up these Lions, but Baltimore is better than most people perceive. Detroit plays better at home than on the road as well, and the expected weather conditions favor Lamar and the run game of the Ravens. We should see the Lions get humbled this week. Good luck!
10-19-23	Jaguars v. Saints -2		31-24	Loss	-110	9 h 28 m	Show
Take the Saints here… Lawrence might be playing with an injured knee which could limit his mobility. Either way, this is a good matchup for the Saints who shouldn’t have lost last week. Also, the Jags gave up a ton of yards and only won last week because of Minshew turnovers. Take the Saints. Good luck!
10-15-23	Seahawks v. Bengals -3		13-17	Win	100	15 h 9 m	Show
Take the Bengals here... This is a bet on Joe Burrow finally getting healthy and getting some value because of how bad Cincinnati looked earlier in the season. Seattle isn't great, even coming off a bye, but these Bengals have a good shot at stringing some wins together. Don't overreact to their slow start, take the Bengals. Good luck!
10-15-23	Colts +4 v. Jaguars	Top	20-37	Loss	-110	15 h 15 m	Show
Take the Colts here... We're getting a divisional underdog playing a rival that just came back from two weeks in London. Teams coming back from London have been either tied or losing in the 4th quarter in each game played. Adding that extra week most likely makes it worse. Minshew is not a bad backup and the Colts have what it takes to keep this game close. We might see a bit of a letdown as well from the Jags beating the Bills last week. Good luck!
10-15-23	49ers v. Browns +10	Top	17-19	Win	100	15 h 12 m	Show
Take the Browns here... Cleveland will be without their QB, but this bet really comes down to their defense. The line moved 7 points off the opener with the 49ers blowout out the Cowboys and with the new of Watson being ruled out. That's way too many points for a defense that should be able to keep this close. If the Browns can score 14 points that will likely be enough to cover this spread. Good luck!
10-15-23	Commanders +2 v. Falcons	Top	24-16	Win	100	15 h 37 m	Show
Take the Commanders here... Washington was blown out last week but they were in a bit of a letdown spot after going to OT with the Eagles. They were also blown out before that Eagles game, so I'm expecting a solid effort out of them vs the Falcons. Teams in this situation cover the spread nearly 65% of the time (29% ROI) and are 2-0 so far this season. Atlanta pulled off a last second FG winner but they're far from a good team -- Ridder needs a lot of work at QB. I like my chances with Washington in this one. Good luck!
10-15-23	Ravens v. Titans +5.5		24-16	Loss	-110	11 h 57 m	Show
Take the Titans here... Tennessee has a great record as underdogs and the Ravens have terrible records as favorites (covering the spread), so it's not too hard to make this bet. Baltimore has been shaky lately, and this game will be played in London, so who knows exactly what will happen. This game should be close, and 5.5 points is way too many points. Do we really think the Ravens deserve to be favored by this much? Trust in the Titans in this one. Good luck!
10-12-23	Broncos +11 v. Chiefs		8-19	Push	0	2 h 59 m	Show
Take the Broncos here... KC usually doesn't blow teams out. They were in danger of losing to teams like the Vikings and Jets when they were favored by over a TD and FG respectively. The Broncos have looked bad but should be able to cover this huge spread. Good luck!
10-09-23	Packers v. Raiders -115	Top	13-17	Win	100	58 h 46 m	Show
Take the Raiders here... Vegas has been pretty unlucky so far this season and just missed the cover last week by a point. This is a good opportunity to buy low on a Raiders team that isn't as bad as it looks. Jordan Love has been ok but not great and not consistent. This line was knocked down by pro money as it was +2.5 earlier this week. I still like them to get the win by 3+ points. Good luck!
10-08-23	Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5	Top	10-42	Win	100	2 h 56 m	Show
Take the 49ers here… This is a top 3 team in the league playing against maybe a top 5 team. Either way, the 49ers should be closer to -6 since they’re more than a half point better on a neutral field. This game should open up in the second half with the Niners wearing down the Cowboys defense with long drives. Dak hasn’t played against a defense this good yet this season. Good luck!
10-08-23	Texans v. Falcons -1.5	Top	19-21	Win	100	27 h 45 m	Show
Take the Falcons here... Houston just blew out the Steelers last game but they're due for a bit of a letdown in this one. Atlanta is just the opposite. They've played some pretty bad football recently but they're still not as bad as they looked. Ridder is not a good QB, but the Falcons should be able to run on the Texans to get the W. Good luck!
10-08-23	Ravens v. Steelers +4.5	Top	10-17	Win	100	27 h 44 m	Show
Take the Steelers here... Pittsburgh always plays the Ravens close, no matter what direction the two teams are going in. We're getting an extra important point of value because the Ravens just won easily and the Steelers were blown out. None of that matters for this game and Pittsburgh has a good chance to come away with the win. Good luck!
10-08-23	Titans v. Colts +2.5	Top	16-23	Win	100	27 h 43 m	Show
Take the Colts here... Indy almost came back from down 20+ last week after Richardson shook off the rust. They should start better this game and the Titans are overrated now after blowing out the Bengals last week. This is a classic letdown game for Tennessee and the Colts as a home dog should be able to win this one. Good luck!
10-01-23	Raiders +7 v. Chargers	Top	17-24	Push	0	4 h 20 m	Show
Take the Raiders here... The Chargers always play close games because their coach makes at least 3 bad decisions each game. 6-7 points is way too much for a respectable Raiders team. Garoppolo is out but he was the reason they lost last game so it's not much of a concern in my opinion. I think this will be a FG game either way. Good luck!
10-01-23	Rams -1 v. Colts		29-23	Win	100	1 h 19 m	Show
Take the Rams here... Indy beat the Ravens last week but they needed a lot of luck to make that happen, including a missed pass interference call near the end of the game. The Rams have been decent, only losing to the 49ers by a TD and the Bengals by a FG. This seems like a letdown spot for the Colts as well. Good luck!
10-01-23	Ravens -1.5 v. Browns	Top	28-3	Win	100	2 h 1 m	Show
Take the Ravens here... Watson will be out for the Browns. Although the defense is the best part of this Cleveland team, this will hurt them without their starting QB. The Ravens have a solid defense that should be able to stop the run and force the Browns to pass to win the game. Baltimore should win this by 3+ Good luck!
10-01-23	Steelers v. Texans +3.5	Top	6-30	Win	100	2 h 43 m	Show
Take the Texans here... Houston has a decent defense so far this season, and CJ Stroud has looked good as well. This team is far better than they were last year. Pittsburgh has been shaky so far, and they historically do not cover as favorites. Getting the 3 points with the Texans seems like good value as this game should be close. Good luck!
10-01-23	Bengals v. Titans +2.5	Top	3-27	Win	100	2 h 34 m	Show
Take the Titans here... Tennessee got blown out last game by the Browns, so they should be highly motivated coming back home against a strong opponent. The Titans have a solid record as underdogs, so you can take this on the ML as well. Cincy is still overvalued because of their record last year. You can find a +3 at -120 which is also a good bet, but Tennessee should win outright. Good luck!
09-24-23	Steelers v. Raiders -3	Top	23-18	Loss	-105	1 h 34 m	Show
Take the Raiders here… Pitssburgh is a bit overrated after their win against the Browns last week. They didn’t look good in that game despite the win, and this line should be closer to -4.5. Getting the -3 is good value and LV should win by 4+. Good luck!
09-24-23	Panthers +4.5 v. Seahawks	Top	27-37	Loss	-110	1 h 52 m	Show
Take the Panthers here… Carolina will be without their starting QB but Young wasn’t good enough to warrant moving this line. This game should be within a FG considering neither of these teams are very good. Don’t overthink it, grab the points with the dog in this one. Good luck!
09-24-23	Texans +8 v. Jaguars	Top	37-17	Win	100	1 h 5 m	Show
Take the Texans here… Houston has been bad so far this season but they still shouldn’t be underdogs by 8 points against the Jaguars. Only about 40% of the bets have come in on the Texans but they have over 80% of the money on them. That implies this is the right side. Good luck!
09-24-23	Broncos +6 v. Dolphins	Top	20-70	Loss	-105	1 h 59 m	Show
Take the Broncos here… Denver should come out fully motivated after blowing a big lead to Washington last week. The Patriots showed everyone how to contain Hill, and Miami’s defense shouldn’t look as good as they did last week. This game should be closer than most people think. This line actually dipped from +7 which usually means money coming in on Denver caused the line move. Good luck!
09-24-23	Patriots -2.5 v. Jets	Top	15-10	Win	100	1 h 52 m	Show
Take the Patriots here… New England should have covered in Week 1 against the Eagles and also had a solid chance to cover last week. Their defense is solid but they’ve struggled on offense. This should be the week they put up some more points even against the Jets D and contain the also struggling Jets offense. Getting the far better team under a FG is a good bet. Good luck!
09-24-23	Saints -1 v. Packers	Top	17-18	Loss	-110	1 h 30 m	Show
Take the Saints here… The New Orleans defense is good and Love is a young QB that may struggle with some of his reads because of that. This game should be close but the Saints have the better all around team and match up well against the Packers. They should win by 3-7 points. Good luck!
09-18-23	Browns v. Steelers +2		22-26	Win	100	3 h 47 m	Show
Take the Steelers here... This is a classic overreaction spot. Browns won their first game and the Steelers got demolished by the 49ers. Underdogs in this spot cover at a 67% rate over the last 130 bets with a huge 30% ROI. There's also more bets on the Browns but more money on the Steelers, which means we're siding with the professionals. Good luck!
09-18-23	Saints v. Panthers +3		20-17	Push	0	2 h 51 m	Show
Take the Panthers here... Carolina should win this game outright. Both teams are mediocre at best, and we're putting our money on the home dog in this one. Only 30% of the bets are on the Panthers, making the Saints the public favorite, but 60% of the money is on Carolina. We'd much rather be siding with the sharps than the squares. Teams in this situation cover over 60% of the time with an 18% ROI over the last 270 bets. Good luck!
09-17-23	Dolphins v. Patriots +2	Top	24-17	Loss	-105	2 h 9 m	Show
Take the Patriots here… The Dolphins defense is bad. Their offense can make up for it some games but not when they’re playing the Patriots. New England should have won last week and Miami could have easily lost. If that happened this line would probably be -3 Patriots so we’re getting value with this line. The Dolphins are controlled if you can come up with a game plan to limit Hill and I think Belichick can do that. Good luck!
09-17-23	Packers v. Falcons -2	Top	24-25	Loss	-110	5 h 45 m	Show
Take the Falcons here… Green Bay is getting too much love after beating the Bears in week 1. The final score looked like it was an easy win but it was only 10-6 at halftime (and that was due to a last second FG). Atlanta beat up on the Panthers with Falcons QB Ridder barely throwing the ball. That’s how strong this Atlanta run game is. The professionals agree with this bet - there are less than 50% of the bets on this side but more than 70% of the money. Good luck!
09-17-23	Colts v. Texans	Top	31-20	Loss	-110	2 h 38 m	Show
Take the Texans here… Houston played great defensively against the Ravens last week but couldn’t get anything going offensively. Indy looked OK last week but between both of these teams that aren’t anything special, you have to go with the home team with a solid D. The Texans are a bit undervalued in this one. Good luck!
09-17-23	Seahawks +5.5 v. Lions	Top	37-31	Win	100	1 h 30 m	Show
Take the Seahawks here… We are getting some value in this one since the Lions got a lucky win over the Chiefs last week. That was an offensive failure on KC’s part. Seattle should be able to keep it close and this line should be closer to 3. We’ll take the free points. Good luck!
09-17-23	Bears +3 v. Bucs	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	1 h 23 m	Show
Take the Bears here… Chicago lost to the Packers last week, but the game was closer than the final score indicated. It was 7-6 late into the first half. TB won their first game but it was against the Vikings and they’re not the same team they were last year. I think 3 points is too many and the Bears are a better team. Good luck!
09-10-23	Eagles v. Patriots +3.5	Top	25-20	Loss	-110	5 h 29 m	Show
Take the Patriots here... This line should be less than 3 so we're getting value with an important hook. NE has a solid run game and I'm expecting a lower scoring game which tends to bode well for the underdogs. The Eagles offense is their specialty but the Patriots are a well coached defensive team and should be able to limit the playmaking ability of Philadelphia. Good luck!
09-10-23	Texans +10 v. Ravens	Top	9-25	Loss	-110	2 h 8 m	Show
Take the Texans here... This one is just a no-brainer bet. In Week 1 you have to take a line this high when teams are still figuring everything out. Houston will be doing everything they can to keep this competitive. Under 40% of the bets are on the Texans with over 60% of the money, impling larger bets on average (professional money) on that side. In this situation early in the season, that side covers 61% of the time with an 18% ROI. Good luck!
09-10-23	Bengals v. Browns +2.5	Top	3-24	Win	100	2 h 7 m	Show
Take the Browns here... 50% of bets are on the Browns with 80% of the money, implying larger bets on average (professional money) on that side. In this situation early in the season, that side covers 61% of the time with an 18% ROI. This is a home divisional game and we're getting some value from the public always betting based on last season in Week 1. The Browns are improved and have the advantage in the trenches. It should be a close one but Cleveland should come out on top.
09-10-23	Jaguars v. Colts +5	Top	31-21	Loss	-110	2 h 4 m	Show
Take the Colts here... This number is way too high in a home divisional game for Indy. The Jags should be better this year but not this much better. The Colts have some speed on offense and that should be their advantage over a relatively week Jags D. Either way, 5 points is way too many in the home opener in Week 1. Good luck!
02-12-23	Chiefs v. Eagles -1.5	Top	38-35	Loss	-110	166 h 51 m	Show
Take the Eagles here... Phildaelphia is better in almost every position except for QB, but Mahomes may still not be 100% with his injury. Even if he is, this is still worth a bet. The offensive and defensive line should dominate for the Eagles, making the rest of the game much easier for them. If Mahomes doesn't have much time to throw it, he won't be able to make the usual magic that wins the Chiefs games. I can see the Eagles getting out to an early lead and making KC chase the rest of the game, sort of like last game against the 49ers. Good luck!
01-29-23	Bengals v. Chiefs	Top	20-23	Win	100	9 h 44 m	Show
Take the Chiefs here… The Bengals have been on fire lately, covering at a ridiculous rate this season. They were a goal line stand away from losing to the Ravens in the first round, however, so they’re not untouchable (they also didn’t cover that spread). The Chiefs are great at covering these low spreads, and we’re getting some extra value because Mahommes was injured last game. There’s just too much love for the Bengals from the public but the larger bets on average are coming in on the Chiefs with us. Good luck!
01-29-23	49ers v. Eagles -2.5	Top	7-31	Win	100	139 h 14 m	Show
Take the Eagles here... Philadelphia crushed the Giants last week and the 49ers were in a tight low scoring battle against the Cowboys. The Eagles are probably the most well-rounded team left in the playoffs, with the 49ers being second. Neither have any glaring issues on offense or defense. We just saw the 49ers offense stall even without as much of the pass rushing that we expected from Dallas. They won by limiting the amount of time Dak Prescott had in the pocket, and he was getting rushed almost every snap. The Eagles have a much better offense line and should be able to neutralize the biggest advantage of San Francisco. Philly should win by 3+. Good luck!

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