Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
05-12-24 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
Nine goals in the first game. That came down to 7 goals in the 2nd game, 6 in regulation. The number of goals will continue to fall in Game 3. The Canucks last trip to Edmonton ended in a 3-1 victory. Vancouver playoff games are averaging 5.1 goals. The Canucks are averaging only 20.4 shots on goal in the playoffs. They permit just 24.6. The Oilers are allowing an average of just 2.4 goals over their past 5 games, only 27 shots per game. They concede 2.7 goals per game on home ice. The Canucks don't see many 6.5's. Let's take advantage of this one and go with the Under! |
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05-12-24 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
We will take advantage of this low total on Sunday night baseball. The Braves average 5 runs a game and they may need more than that if they're going to win this game. Elder allowed 7 runs in 3.33 innings in his last start. He gave up three home runs, 7 hits overall. He also walked 4. A dismal performance all around. Elder's 18.90 road ERA is only from 1 game but he was worse on the road than at home last season. Over his last 3 road starts since last season, he's allowed 17 earned runs in 11 combined innings. Those games had 13, 12 and 15 runs. Severino walked 6 batters in 5 innings of his last start, a game which finished with 13 runs. Go with the Over! |
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05-10-24 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 222.5 | Top | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
With each passing game which goes over, the total climbs higher and higher. This one is the highest of the series. Too high! The Knicks are 29-17-2 to the under when the total is greater than or equal to 220. The Knicks are also 23-14-2 to the under their last 39 tries, after scoring 130 or more points. Pacers games are high-scoring but not nearly as high when they are laying points. Indiana games average nearly 10 points less when the Pacers are favored compared to when they underdogs. We'll take the big number being offered by the books and go with the Under! |
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05-09-24 | Avalanche v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. There is a lot of firepower on the ice in this game but that's reflected in the fact that this total is very high. The number was 6 instead of 6.5 in the opening game. The offenses are potent but the defenses can be really good as well. Dallas allows 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. Colorado also allows an average of 2.2 goals over its last 5 games. The Stars lost 4-3 in the opening game. Dallas also lost 4-3 in Game 1 of its first series against Vegas. The next game was a 3-1 final. Before Game 1 of this series, the Stars had played 6 straight games with 6 goals or less. Go with the Under! |
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05-09-24 | Rangers v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Wednesday's NHL games were high-scoring but Thursday's games will be different. The Rangers allow 2.8 goals per game on the road. In the playoffs, they are conceding only 2.2 goals per game. Carolina allows only 2.5 goals per game at home, just 24 shots. Both teams have top level goalies. Both are among the best at killing penalties. Go with the Under! |
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05-08-24 | Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 218.5 | 121-130 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
After a high-scoring opening game, the total has jumped way up. It's now too high, the way that I see it. New York road games average 225 points but games at Madison Square Garden average 216.6. Indiana games often seem to fly over the total but not when the Pacers are off an ATS victory. When the Pacers are in that situation, they are 26-21 to the under. The Knicks are 16-8 to the under in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. In all their games, they are 29-17 to the under, when the total was 220 or more. Let's go Defense! |
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05-07-24 | Mavs v. Thunder UNDER 218.5 | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
If you watched the Mavericks close out win over the Clippers, you would have heard the commentators repeatedly praising the Dallas defense. They kept commenting about how the Mavericks had transformed themselves into an elite defensive team. Maybe not elite but the Mavericks sure were tough in the final 2 games. LA scored only 93 and 101 points. As a matter of fact, the Clippers scored 93 or less in 4 of the final 5 games. The Thunder were even better defensively. They held New Orleans to an average of less than 90 points in a 4-game first round sweep.The Pelicans scored 92, 92, 85 and 89 points. The Mavericks are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries, when playing with 3 or fewer days rest. Go with Under! |
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05-05-24 | Giants v. Phillies OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Walker has made only one start this season. The score was 8-6 as he allowed 6 runs. Webb was hit hard in his last start. He gave up 9 hits and 4 runs in 3.67 innings. Webb's 2 career starts versus Philadelphia have averaged 13 runs, each finishing with at least 9. Six of Walker's last 7 starts, since last season, have finished with at least 9 runs. Those 7 games finished with 85 total runs, more than 12 per game. Neither bullpen has been good. The Giants bullpen has a 5.20 ERA.The Phillies bullpen has a 6.31 ERA at home. This number is too low. Go with the OVER! |
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05-05-24 | Hurricanes v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes are 19-11-1 to the under their last 31 tries when playing with 3 or more days rest, 6-3 this season. The Hurricanes allow 2.4 goals per division game and they're allowing 2.4 goals per playoff game. Their division games are 21-9-1 to the under. The Rangers are 4-2 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest. They are 5-2 to the under their last 7 2nd round playoff games, 31-15 long-term. They're allowing only 1.7 goals per game in the playoffs. The last h2h meeting was a 1-0 final score. Go with the Under! |
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05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5 | Top | 106-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
Two really good defensive teams will do battle in Denver tonight. Division rivals and also having faced each other in last year's playoffs, the Nuggets and Timberwolves know each other well. Both teams have enjoyed an extended break since winning their opening round series. That gap in between games will lead to some rusty shooting and will help to keep the final score beneath the total. The Timberwolves are 10-6 to the under in division games. The Nuggets are also 10-6 to the under in division games. Both teams are also 4-1 to the under when playing with 3 or more days rest in between games. They couldn't even get to 190 in Game 1 of last year's series. This will be another defensive battle. Go with the Under! |
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05-03-24 | Canucks v. Predators UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
The last game finished with a 2-1 final score. That makes 3 of the last 4 games which have produced 5 or fewer goals. Vancouver has generated only 92 shots in the first five games of the series. The Canucks' previously potent power play has scored goals in only one game. Even in the regular season, these teams were both pretty good defensively but both have stepped up their defensive efforts even further in the postseason. Both teams are averaging only 2.4 goals in the playoffs. Only Toronto and Washington have averaged less. This is from NHL.com about Vancouver's defense: "The Canucks are allowing 6.94 high-danger chances against per 60 minutes at five-on-five. That is the best in the league for defending against high-danger scoring chances. They also rank number one in the league for allowing scoring chances against per 60 minutes – only allowing 19.8/60 at five-on-five." Go with the Under. |
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05-02-24 | Bayer Leverkusen v. Roma UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show |
You're not going to see many goals scored at Stadio Olimpico on Thursday. These clubs faced each other twice in 2023 and the scores were 0-0 and 1-0. Bayer Leverkusen is off a 1-1 draw. The Germans have conceded only 1 goal over their last 4 matches with 3 of those finishing with 2 goals or less. Roma is off a 2-1 victory over Milan. Prior to that, the Italians had played in 5 straight matches which had 1 goal or less. Neither team is likely to score more than 1 today. Go with the Under! |
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05-01-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 208.5 | Top | 123-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
After the first 3 games of the series stayed below the total, the offenses came to life in Game 4. The teams combined for 115 points in the first half and 227 for the game. That result didn't cause the total to climb. This total is still much lower than the totals at the start of the series. The total is much lower than the games these teams have been playing all season. Clipper games average 226.8 points. Maverick games average 232.1 points. The Mavericks are 9-6 to the over off an upset loss as a favorite and the Clippers are 4-2 to the over off an upset win as an underdog. Go with the Over! |
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04-30-24 | Braves v. Mariners OVER 7 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
This is a low total for an Atlanta Braves game. As a team, the Braves are hitting .272. That's the second best mark in baseball behind only LA. They average 5.7 runs per game. That's almost enough to go over this low total right there. Castillo is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP at home. Nice start to the season for Reynaldo Lopez. He's still 41-49 with an 4.19 ERA over his career and has done more work out of the bullpen than as a starter. The last time that Lopez started against Seattle, he allowed 6 runs and 3 home runs. The score was 10-8. This one goes over the low number! |
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04-28-24 | Rangers v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
The Capitals are very likely done in this series. They know it. They will still put up a good fight but their depleted group of defensemen won't be able to stop the potent Rangers attack. New York has scored 3 or more goals in every game, more than 3 in 2 of the games. The Rangers are deadly on the power-play and they're even dangerous when killing penalties. There may be some extra penalties too, as the Capitals are out for revenge from a big hit that injured one of their players. Washington has yet to get any production from Ovechkin, one of the best goal scorers the game has seen. Don't be surprised when he finally makes an appearance in the boxscore. Also, the Capitals will pull their goalie extra early, should they find themselves trailing. Go with the Over! |
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04-27-24 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 204.5 | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
How about those Miami Heat. Not only were the Heat more competitive in Game 2, they won the game outright. Can they do it again? They sure could but I'm not going to bet on it. Instead, the total is what intrigues me. Did you know that the Heat are 8-2 to the under off an upset win? In order to win, the Heat have to do it with defense. The Celtics are also capable of taking their defense to another level. They are likely to give the Heat a dose of their own medicine tonight. They are 9-7 to the under off an upset loss and 13-9 to the under their last 22 against winning teams. The Celtics are 7-5 to the under their last 12 tries when tied in a playoff series. In same period, the Heat are 6-2 to the under when tied in a series. Go with the Under! |
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04-27-24 | Chelsea v. Aston Villa UNDER 3.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
At first glance, the over 3.5 goals might appear to be an attractive option. Further review reveals that the opposite is true. Off a 5-0 loss to Arsenal, Chelsea will be determined to clean up its goals conceded. In its previous match, Chelsea recorded a clean sheet. Aston Villa has only conceded one goal in its last 2 league matches combined. Eight of the past 9 meetings have produced 3 goals or less. The last 3 matches had scores of 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0. Go with the Under! |
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04-26-24 | Jets v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
You likely saw what happened in the first 2 games. They both sailed over the total. Tonight, we work with a very high total of 6.5. We don't even have to lay heavy juice to get it. Winnipeg is 15-9-3 to the under when playing in a road game where where the total is 6 or more. The Jets only allow 2.5 goals a game on the road. The Avalanche concede just 2.7 goals per game at home. The goal scoring barrage comes to an end tonight. Go with the Under. |
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04-23-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 216.5 | Top | 96-93 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Mavericks were favored in Game 1 but got blown out by a Clipper team which was without Leonard. When off an upset loss as a favorite, the Mavericks are 9-5 to the over. When off an upset win as an underdog, the Clippers are 4-1 to the over. For Game 1, the total was 221. The regular season totals were in the 236.5 to 237 range. Playoff games are lower-scoring. But its my opinion that this low total, far lower than any of those, is an over-reaction. LAC games average more than 227. Dallas games average more than 233. Go with the Over! |
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04-23-24 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Game 1 got out of hand. A 7-6 final. Hockey playoffs are funny though. You can have a game like that and see the next one play out completely differently. The benefit of that Game 1 result is that the Game 2 total is now jacked right up. The Avalanche are 2-0 to the under the past 2 years when trailing in a playoff series. The Avalanche are 20-10 to the under their last 30 tries when playing with revenge. The Jets are 11-7 to the under after allowing 4 goals or more. The Avalanche still allow just 3.1 goals per game and the Jets still allow a measly 2.5 goals per game, 2.2 gpg over their last 5. Go with the Under! |
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04-22-24 | 76ers v. Knicks UNDER 208 | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Game 1 went over. Game 2 has a higher line but will be lower-scoring! Off the game 1 over, the 76ers are now 7-4 to the under their last 11 first round playoff games. Over that same period, the Knicks are 5-1 to the under in the first round of the playoffs. They are also 3-0 to the under when leading in a series. In the regular season, the Knicks allowed the fewest number of points per game in the Eastern Conference, 2nd least in the NBA. Philadelphia ranked in the top 10. The 76ers are 16-8-2 to the under their last 26 against winning teams. Before the Game 1 result, the previous 2 meetings between these teams produced 152 and 185 points. This will be a defensive war right from the beginning. |
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04-21-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. Aston Villa UNDER 3.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -135 | 3 h 50 m | Show |
Bournemouth has scored 1 goal in 2 of its 3 April matches. The Cherries are unlikely to score more than 1 against an Aston Villa squad which blanked Arsenal 2-0 last Sunday and which has Emi Martinez in its goal. Martinez, the goalie for the Argentine national team, is controversial but he's also really good. Aston Villa was just in a Europa League match on Thursday and may have some tired legs. Scoring won't come easily. Villa has scored 2 or less in 6 of its last 7 matches. Six of the past 7 h2h matches, including each of the 3 at Villa Park, have finished with 3 goals or less. Go with the Under! |
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04-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
Playoff hockey brings playoff level defense. Games tend to be lower-scoring. Recent games between these Original Six rivals have also shown a tendency to be low scoring. The last 2 meetings have had identical 4-1 scores. Four of the past 5 meetings have finished with 5 or fewer goals. Toronto is one of the highest scoring teams in the league and everyone knows about Matthews' big season. Boston is one of the best defensive teams though and this is a very high total. The Leafs only managed 2 combined goals the last 2 games and Matthews was held without a goal in each of those games. Go with the Under! |
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04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 205.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Chicago's first game came against Atlanta. The Hawks and Heat are opposites. Atlanta allowed the 3rd most points in the NBA. Miami allows the 3rd least. The Bulls game against Atlanta was high-scoring. Tonight's game against Miami will be the opposite. Chicago is 79-59-1 to the under its last 139 tries, against winning teams. Miami's game against Philadelphia had no business going over. The Heat hit a 3-pointer with less than a second left to send the game over and that was after a foul-fest in the closing minute. The Heat are still 24-19 (56%) to the under their last 43 playofff games. During that period, the Bulls are 6-2 (75%) to the under in their playoff games. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! Go with the Under! |
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04-18-24 | Guardians v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 5-4 | Push | 0 | 4 h 10 m | Show |
Wednesday game resulted in a 2-0 pitcher's duel. Thursday afternoon's game will be entirely different. Carrasco is permitting a lot of baserunners. He has a 1.657 WHIP. Averaging less than 5 innings, he likely won't be around long. Four of Carrasco's last five starts against Boston have finished with 10 or more runs. Last game here Carrasco went only 2 1/3 innings and allowed 10 hits and 5 runs. Brennan Bernardino won't be going deep into the game either. This is his first start this season. Of his 61 big league appearances, only 6 have been starts. The Boston bullpen didn't come into play yesterday because of Houck's masterpiece but it will today. Red Sox relievers have an awful 6.94 ERA and 1.69 WHIP at Fenway. Go with the Over! |
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04-16-24 | Padres v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been involved in many pitcher's duels but they're about to get one on Tuesday! Dylan Cease allowed 2 runs in 6 innings last start. Both were unearned. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight starts. He is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. As a Padre, Cease has a 2.16 ERA and 0.814 WHIP. He held the Brewers to 2 runs in 7 innings in a start last August. Miley has a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP from this season's only start. He allowed only 1 hit and 1 run through 4 innings. Since last season, he has allowed 1 run or less in 4 of his last 5 starts, 3 runs in the other. Just like Cease, Miley is 5-2 to the under his last 7 starts. Miley's last start against SD finished with a 1-0 score. Both bullpens have been solid. Go with the Under! |
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04-14-24 | Padres v. Dodgers UNDER 9 | Top | 6-3 | Push | 0 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
Yesterday's game finished with a 5-2 score and runs will be hard to come by again today. Paxton has a dynamite 1.64 ERA in 2 starts. He's off a quality start at Minnesota, a game which finished with a final score of 4-2. Paxton faced the Padres last season and held them to 1 run in 6 innings. The final score was 6-1. Darvish has been decent so far as he has a 3.86 ERA. Darvish has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 6 straight starts against the Dodgers, 2 or less in 5 of those. He only went 3 2/3 innings in this season's first start agains them but allowed just 2 hits and 1 unearned run. San Diego bullpen has been fairly solid (1.25 WHIP) on the road. Twelve of Darvish's 13 starts versus LA have finished with 9 runs or less. Eleven of those games finished with less than 9. Go with the Under! **NL WEST TOY** |
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04-09-24 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
This is a true clash of the titans. Real Madrid is a 14-time champion. Manchester City is the current champion. It's a rematch of a battle a little less than a year ago which saw Manchester City win 5-1. That was the semis and this is the quarter finals. The super heavyweights may not combine for 6 goals again but they will get at least half that many. Real Madrid is in top form. The Spanish squad virtually always makes it past the quarter finals. City has the longest winning streak in Champions League history. Both offenses are absolutely top level. Both defenses can be prone to being beaten. Both teams should score and at least 1 of them should do so multiple times. Go with the Over! |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut OVER 145.5 | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
A string of unders from both teams have kept this line in the mid 140s. Its a lower total than either team saw in either of the last 2 rounds. Too low! These may be excellent defenses but there is no stopping either of these offenses. UConn has scored 75 or more in every game this tournament. Prior to the low-scoring game against NC State, Purdue has scored 72 or more in 5 straight and 10 of 11. Purdue was an underdog twice. Those games averaged 162 points. The Boilermakers are 4-1 to the over when playing with 1 days rest and 6-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. The Huskies are 5-1 to the over their past 6 tries as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. This game goes Over! |
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04-03-24 | Blazers v. Hornets OVER 212.5 | Top | 89-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
Charlotte went through a stretch of games which went under the total. That is finished but the markets have still yet to adjust. This is the 2nd lowest of Wednesday's 9 totals. Too low! Charlotte's last 7 games have resulted in 6 overs and 1 under. The Hornets allowed more than 110 points in all 7 games. Their last 2 games averaged 235 points. Portland is 7-2 to the over its last 9 games. On the season, Trail Blazer games average 223.2 points. Charlotte games average an identical 223.2 points. When favored at home. Charlotte games average 233.2 points. Go with the Over! |
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03-30-24 | Clemson v. Alabama OVER 163.5 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The Alabama offense versus the Clemson defense. Who wins? I say, who cares. I'm going with the total instead! The Tigers kept Arizona and Baylor well below their season averages. The Crimson Tide have the best offense in the country though. They also allow more than 80 points per game, more than 89 per game on the road! The Tigers have only faced 3 teams which allow more than 77 points a game. The over was 2-1 in those games. Alabama is 26-9 to the over on the season, 6-1 in tournament play. The Tide are going to score more than 80 points, probably significant more, and the Tigers are going to have to do the same if they want to keep pace. The Tigers have scored more than 70 in all 3 of their games and those were better defenses. Against a weaker defense, in a game where they will need to score to keep up, they can easily get more than 80. Go with the OVER! |
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03-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
We had with the Rays yesterday so it was nice to see them add some late insurance runs to their 8-2 blowout victory. That was also the score in Thursday's opener, the Blue Jays winning that one. Those totals were set at 7.5 and 8. This one is even higher. Too high! Littlell was sneaky good in a September start versus the Jays. He gave up 2 runs through 5 2/3 innings but both were unearned. He struck out 6 and walked one, keeping the ball in the park. In 8 starts versus Tampa, Kikuchi has allowed 3 or fewer earned runs on 7 occasions. The bullpen won't blow it again. Go with the Under! |
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03-28-24 | Illinois v. Iowa State UNDER 147 | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
Illinois has been going over this tournament and all season. The Illini results are creating a high total. They are finally meeting a team which can slow them down. The Cyclones can really get after it on defense! With Illinois permitting a respectable 66.2 points per game versus non-conference opponents, this total is too high! The Cyclones are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. They have allowed 65 or fewer points in 10 straight games. Last game, they limited Washington State to 56. They kept Houston to only 41. Their last 5 opponents are averaging 56 points and hitting 38% of their field goals. Illinois will get more than 56 but not as many as it usually does. Go with the Under! |
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03-24-24 | Utah State v. Purdue UNDER 149 | Top | 67-106 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
Utah State has gone over the total in 5 straight games. Things will change against a Purdue team off a dominant defensive effort! The Boilermakers held Grambling to only 50 points in round 1. The under is now 4-1 in Purdue's last 5 tries in an NCAA tournament game. The Boilermakers aren't always as high-scoring as some of the other top teams in this tournament. They have failed to score more than 80 points in any of their last 5 games. When the Aggies play with more than 1 days rest, their games average more than 150 points. When they play with 1 day of rest or less, their games average only 137 points. Go with the Under! |
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03-23-24 | North Texas v. Seton Hall OVER 135.5 | 58-72 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
North Texas is 9-3 to the over as an underdog. The Mean Green are 5-1 to the over this month. The Mean Green are off an 84-77 victory over LSU and the over is 5-0 when they scored 80 or more points in their previous game. Seton Hall is 10-5 to the over at home, its last 15 tries when the total is between 135 and 139.5. The Pirates are 3-1 to the over in that situation this season. Seton Hall averages 77.6 points per home game and North Texas is averaging 77.6 points its last 5 games. This number is too low. Go with the Over! |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's UNDER 131.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
These teams can both really get after it on the defensive end of things. The Gaels just held Gonzaga to 60 points. You saw Gonzaga score 86 yesterday. The Gaels can also hold down the Antelopes! It goes both ways as the Antelopes will also make scoring difficult. Grand Canyon has allowed an average of 58.8 points its past 5 games. Opposing teams hit only 37% of their field goals in those games. St Mary's has been playing that kind of defense all season! The Gaels allow an average of just 58.7 points. Opposing teams hit only 39% of field goals. Go with the Under. |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State OVER 138 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
This number is too low. This is likely going to be a competitive game. The winning team is probably going to score more than 70 points. Yet, the losing team isn't going to get blown out. Drake scores 80.5 points a game. Washington State scores 74.3. Cougar games average more than 140 points. Bulldog games average more than 150. Off an 84-80 win, the Bulldogs have scored more than 70 points in each of their last 11 games. The Cougars are off a low-scoring game but their previous 4 games all finished above 140. They are 7-2 to the over after allowing 60 points or less. Drake is 4-2 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Washington State is 7-4-1 to the over when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over! |
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03-15-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 137.5 | Top | 86-70 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
Yesterday's results don't tell the whole story as both these teams went to Overtime. The Aztecs are 34-18-1 to the under their last 53 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. That includes a 4-0 under mark in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. Before yesterday's over due to overtime, the Aztecs were 6-0 to the under their previous 6 conference tournament games. Utah State can score but SD State is 13-6 to the under last 19 versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. The Aggies are 4-1 to the under in their 5 neurtal court games. They are also 2-0 to the under when playing with 1 or less days rest. The last h2h meeting stayed below the total by more than 10 points. This will be another defensive battle! Go with the Under! |
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03-13-24 | Raptors v. Pistons OVER 231.5 | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
There won't be much defense on display at Detroit tonight. The Pistons are off a big win and thats been a situation which has led to high-scoring game. They are 5-1 to the over after a win by 10 or more points. They are also 9-2 to the over against Atlantic Division teams. The Raptors are 21-9 to the over in raod games when the total was 220 or more. When it creeps up as high as 230 or more, they are 13-3 to the over. Toronto road games average 239.6 points. The last 2 h2h meetings finished with 256 and 255 points. Go with the over! |
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03-13-24 | St. Joe's v. George Mason UNDER 136 | 64-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
Both regular season games went over the total. This total is lower than the lines for either of those games though. Hmmm. A closer examination reveals why that's the case. The early start time and the magnitude of the moment, may lead to some early jitters. That's not it though. Since the end of February, George Mason has cranked up its defense! The Patriots defense has been getting better and better every time out. Four games ago, they allowed 61 points. Three games ago, they allowed 59 points. Two games ago? 51 points allowed. Then, last game, they held Richmond to just 46. The game had only 100 total points scored. The under is now 9-1 in George Mason's last 10 games played in March. This game goes under! |
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03-08-24 | Radford v. High Point UNDER 149.5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Panthers do play high-scoring games but this total is too high. The 2 regular season meetings had totals of 142 and 147. Radford's last 3 games had scores of 58-57, 71-62 and 67-60. That last of those occurred in the opening round. Two of High Point's last 3 games have finished with 146 or less. High Point won both regular season meetings and Radford is 11-6 its last 17 tries when playing with road revenge, 5-2 to the under this season. As the better team and also getting to play at home, the Panthers are big favorites. When they get a big lead, which is likely, they can slow things down in the 2nd half. Go with the Under. |
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03-06-24 | RB Leipzig v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 25 m | Show |
The first leg was low-scoring but with this match being played at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu and with RB Leipzig needing to score goals to win, this match will be much higher-scoring. Real Madrid is off a 2-2 draw with Valencia in La Liga action. Last Champions League home match, Read Madrid scored 4 times. Leipzig is off a 4-1 victory over VfL Bochum. The Germans will have to throw caution to the wind and that will lead to scoring chances, for both sides. Go with the OVER! |
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03-05-24 | Pelicans v. Raptors OVER 228.5 | Top | 139-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Toronto plays higher-scoring games against teams from the West than it does against teams from the East. New Orleans is the opposite. The Pelicans tend to play higher-scoring games against Eastern Conference opposition. That was on display when these teams played exactly one month ago. That 2/5 game finished with 238 points. With the Pelicans off since 3/1, this will be another high-scoring game. Three times the Pelicans have played with 3 or more days rest. All 3 games went over the total. The Raptors are 18-12 to the over when playing against a team with a winning record. This game will be a shootout! |
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03-01-24 | Blazers v. Grizzlies OVER 208.5 | Top | 122-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
This season's first two meetings had totals of 218 and 220. Those two games averaged 220 points. One had 212 and one finished with 228. Tonight's line is lower than both of those scores. It's far lower than any other Friday total and it's too low. Memphis games average 219.1 points. Portland games average 223.5. The Trail Blazers allow 118 points per game on the road and the Grizzlies are 11-3 to the over their last 14 tries versus poor offensive teams - those scoring |
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02-28-24 | Grizzlies v. Wolves OVER 209.5 | Top | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Four of todays' 6 NBA games have totals in the 230s. This is by far the lowest on the Wednesday board. Too low! Minnesota is a good defensive team but Memphis is 15-5 its last 20 to the over, versus good defensive teams - allowing |
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02-26-24 | Prairie View A&M v. Mississippi Valley State OVER 136 | Top | 51-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
What can you say about Mississippi Valley State? Projected in the preseason to finish last in the Southwestern Athletic Conference, the Delta Devils haven't disappointed. They are now 0-27 on the season! Most of their games have gone under but there have been certain spots where the over has hit. This will be another of those. When playing at home with an O/U line of 135 to 139.5, the Delta Devils are 2-0 to the over. The over is 6-3 their last 9 in that situation. Over the same time-frame, the Delta Devils are 18-8 to the over when playing with revenge. Neither team plays good defense. The Delta Devils allow more than 79 points a game. The Panthers allow more than 76 per game, 78.6 per game on the road. This game will feature plenty of scoring. Southwestern Athletic TOY |
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02-25-24 | UAB v. Tulane OVER 161.5 | Top | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
They can't make this total high enough. The earlier meeting finished at only 152 but that was a game where Tulane didn't score. At home, the Green Wave will get a lot more than they 69 they scored that day. Why can I say that with such certainty? Because UAB just allowed 94 points last game and more importantly because Tulane averages 88.7 points per home game. Tulane is 12-4 to the over its past 16 tries when revenging a road loss. The Green Wave are 26-14-1 to the over in home lined games the last 3 years. During the same timeframe, UBA is 20-12 to the over on the road. The Blazers are also 13-5 to the over after allowing 80 or more points. The only previous time that Tulane lost 3 straight, the Green Wave answered with a 92-80 win. This will be another shootout! |
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02-24-24 | North Alabama v. Bellarmine OVER 142 | Top | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Some recent lower scores have brought this number down and it is now too low. North Alabama games average more than 152 points. The Bellarmine shooters are going to relish the opportunity to face the Lions who give up more than 79 points per game on the road. The Lions can score with the best of the A-10 teams though and thats why they are favored. The Knights are 11-7 to the over their last 18 tries when listed as underdogs. The Lions are 12-5 to the over their last 17 tries, when playing with 1 or less days rest. I've got this one finishing well over the number. |
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02-22-24 | Tenn-Martin v. Lindenwood OVER 148.5 | Top | 106-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
The first meeting had a higher O|U line than this. This one is too low. With the Skyhawks off an 88-82 victory over Morehead State, it's going to be another barn-burner tonight. Tennessee Martin is 3-1 to the over after scoring 80 or more. The Skyhawks average more than 80 points and their games average more than 156. Lindenwood is off a lower-scoring game. The Lions lost 72-57 at Eastern Illinois. They gave up more than 90 (91-63 loss) in their previous game though and they are 11-4 to the over their last 15 games with a total, after scoring 60 or less in their previous game. Last year, these teams played a lower-scoring first game and the rematch was higher-scoring and finished over the total. That's what'll happen again this year. Go with the Over. |
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02-20-24 | Fordham v. Davidson OVER 135.5 | Top | 53-68 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
For a game involving the Fordham Rams, this total is too low. Fordham's last game had 148 points. The Rams have allowed 75 or more points in each of their last 3 games. They have allowed 65 or more (and as many as 119) in 15 straight games. Davidson's last game had 136 in regulation, 161 with OT. For the season, Davidson games are averaging 138.5. Their previous game versus Fordham exceeded that average finishing with 148. Davidson is 6-1 to the over its last 7 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Fordham is 7-1 its last 8 tries when the total is 130 to 139.5. Go with the Over! |
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02-18-24 | Seton Hall v. St. John's UNDER 145.5 | Top | 68-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
These are two bubble teams, both coming in hungry for a victory. This season's first meeting slipped under the total and this one will be even lower-scoring. The Pirates don't score nearly as many points on the road. They managed only 54 points in their last road game. Seton Hall did respond with a big game versus Xavier. That was at home though and the Pirates are 13-6-1 to the under the past 20x times that they scored 80 or more in their previous game. The Red Storm lost the first meeting and they are also off a loss in their last game. They are 6-3-1 to the under off a loss and they are also 3-0 to the under their last 3x that they played with road revenge. Give me the Under! |
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02-17-24 | Penn State v. Nebraska UNDER 153.5 | 49-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
This total is too high. Last year's totals were 134.5 and 136.5. The games finished with 141 and 145. This total is in 150s. Nebraska allowed only 59 points last game. Penn State's last 3 road games have seen the Nittany Lions concede only 46, 71 and 68 points. The Corn Huskers are 4-1 to the under their last 5 tries when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. In two such occasions this season, the games have averaged 128.5 points. I'm projecting this afternoon's game to also come in under the 150 mark. Go with the Under. |
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02-15-24 | Georgia State v. James Madison OVER 154 | Top | 63-83 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
It's not going out on a limb to say that James Madison is very likely going to win this game. The Dukes are 22-3 and favored by 2 touchdowns. The Panthers are 11-13 and 4-10 on the road. The question becomes: what kind of game will it be? Will the Dukes dominate the Panthers with their defense or run them out the door with their offense? A look to last season provides a valuable clue. The Dukes blew out the Panthers in both games last year but they did so in 2 very different fashions. In the gam at Georgia State, they dominated defensively, a 63-47 victory. The game at James Madison played out differently, the Dukes ran the Panthers out of the building in a 90-69 offensive thrashing. With JMU averaging more than 86 points at home and GSU allowing 79 ppg on the road, this one will play out like last year's game here did. The Panthers will move to 10-5 to the over in their road games. Go with the OVER! |
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02-14-24 | Pacers v. Raptors OVER 244.5 | Top | 127-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This season's earlier meeting had 263 points, all in regulation. This one will also lack any semblance of defense. The Indiana Pacers allow 123 points a game on the road. They are 7-2 to the over off an upset loss, 25-10 to the over their last 35 in that spot. The Toronto Raptors are 30-14 to the over their last 44 versus poor defensive teams - defined as teams allowing 116+ points/game. They are 46-25 to the over their last 71 against such teams. The Raptors are also 14-8 to the over this season when the total was set at 230 or higher. Go with the Over! |
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02-14-24 | Boston University v. Army OVER 124 | Top | 50-65 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
This is a very low total. These may not be offensive super-powers but the number is still too low. Boston is 13-6 to the over last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Army is 7-4 to the over the last 3 years when a total was in the 120s. Boston is 18-7 to the over its last 25 tries, when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games. The Terriers are 3-0 to the over this month and the over is now 14-4 in their February games the last 3 seasons. This month's games have all finished with at least 138 points. Army is off a 136 point game versus Navy. That game also had a low total but the final score finished well above it. Last month's game finished over and the over is 5-1 the past 6 meetings. Go with the Over! |
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02-13-24 | Air Force v. San Jose State UNDER 135.5 | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This total is a few points higher than it was for last month's game at Air Force. With both teams currently struggling to hit the basket, it's too high. Air Force has scored 56, 64 and 66 points its last 3 games. All three games had lower totals than this one. But those opponents could score. Tonight the Falcons face a San Jose State squad which has scored 60, 57 and 47 its last 3 games. The Spartans have scored 65 or less in 5 straight. The Falcons are a perfect 3-0 to the under the past 3x that they were road underdogs, or pick, of 3 or less. Before last month's game finished at 137, the previous 4 meetings all finished with 134 or less. This one will also stay below that number! |
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02-12-24 | Coyotes v. Flyers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
These teams both have trouble scoring at times. The Coyotes average 2.8 goals per game on the road. The Flyers average 2.8 goals per game at home. This season's first meeting had three first period goals but still only finished at 4-1. The Flyers may have lost their previous starting netminder for a while but they are still getting exemplary goal-tending. They've conceded only 4 total goals thier last 3 games. None of those finished with more than 5 combined goals. Samuel Ersson has been sharp and his backup Cal Petersen came through with a strong performance when called upon last game. The surging Flyers will make scoring difficult for an Arizona team which is missing some attacking pieces. That will help keep this game under the total! |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 269 h 55 m | Show |
This is not the same Kansas City team that faced the 49ers in the Super Bowl 4 years ago. This year's Chiefs are a defensive team. That's how they got here. They allowed 17.3 points a game in the regular season and they're allowing just 13.7 ppg in the playoffs. San Francisco can make the same claim. The 49ers allowed 17.5 ppg in the regular season, the fewest of any NFC team. Though the playoff numbers aren't as impressive, you just saw their defense stiffen and hold the Lions to 7 second half points. The Chiefs have now seen 8 of their last 9 games finish with 46 or fewer points. Only 1 of their last 17 games has finished with more than 48. This will not be a high scoring game and the total is too high. Go with the Under! |
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02-11-24 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois-Chicago OVER 138.5 | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
A number in the 130s at this venue, with these teams, is too low. The Panthers play higher-scoring games away from home. Northern Iowa road games average 147.1 points. The opposite is true of Illinois-Chicago. The Flames play higher-scoring games at home. Their games here average 143.9 points. The Panthers are 19-11 to the over their last 30 tries when off a conference win. The Flames are 10-5 to the over their last 15 off a conference win and 11-7 to the over their last 18 when playing with revenge. The O|U line was 138.5 when the Panthers played here last season. Sound familiar? The final score was 150. Go with the Over! |
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02-11-24 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 226 | 110-106 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
The Celtics are scoring at a phenomenal rate this season and especially right now. On the season, they average 120.6 points. Over their last 5 games, they are averaging 124.6. They've scored 125 or more in 3 straight. Their last 5 games are averaging 239.6 points. Miami home games have been much higher-scoring than Miami road games. The Heat score more at home but also allow more. Games here are averaging more than 226. Boston's visit here last month finished with 253! The Celtics are 6-3 to the over after scoring 130 or more in their most recent game. This game flies over! |
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02-10-24 | Santa Clara v. San Francisco UNDER 151.5 | Top | 70-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
San Francisco can score plenty of points but that's been factored into this very high total. Too high. The Dons are already 2-0 to the under this season when the O/U line was in the 150s. Both games finished in the 140s. Santa Clara often has trouble scoring. The Broncos managed only 59 points last game. They had a similar 58-point effort versus Yale. Less than a month ago, they scored only 49 against St. Mary's. They are 7-3 to the under their last 10 versus teams which score 77+ points/game after 15+ games. They played a high-scoring OT game in the West Coast Conference Tournament last year but 7 of the last 9 regular season meetings have finished with 150 or less. This game stays Under! **WCC TOY** |
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02-09-24 | Penguins v. Wild UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
The Penguins are 54-33 to the under the last few seasons, 13-10 this year, when playing on the road with a total of 6 or more. The Wild are 14-9 to the under at home, when the total was 6 or more. Both teams are playing a low-scoring brand of hockey since the All Star Break. The Penguins last 3 games, all unders, have averaged, 3.3 goals. Minnesota's last 3 games, also all unders, have averaged 4.33 goals. The Wild are now 16-8 to the under their last 24 in the month of February. Remember that Minnesota goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury played for the Penguins for many years. The under trend continues for another night! |
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02-09-24 | Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 | 47-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
These teams faced each other 3x in 2023. All 3 went under the total, as all 3 meetings finished with 125 or fewer points. Scores were 63-62 and 62-58 in the regular season and 68-56 in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams have gone under 4 straight times and they are 6-0 to the under their last 6 against winning teams. The Flyers are off a big offensive output at St. Joseph's but they'll face a better defense tonight. The Flyers are 7-3 to the under the last 10 times that they played a road game with a total of 135 to 139.5, a 4-0 under mark this season. Let's avoid Overtime and this game will stay under the total! |
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02-09-24 | Metz v. Marseille UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
Marseille is struggling to score right now. They lost 1-0 to Lyons last match. Three of their last 4 matches have finished with 3 or fewer combined goals. Marseille is struggling to score at the moment. Metz just struggles to score, period. Only last place Clermont scores fewer goals. In fact, they've only found the back of the net twice over their last 7 Ligue 1 matches. Five of those 7 matches finished with 2 goals or less and today's will do the same. |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 128-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Detroit is off a 133-120 win last night. The Pistons are 5-1 to the over when off a SU win, 5-0 if that victory was an upset. The Pistons, 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 day's rest in between games, are 17-6 to the over on the road this season. The over is also 30-15 when they were underdogs. Last year's game here had a total of 231.5 and finished with 241 points. At this stage of the season, there's not much reason for playing defense for these teams and tonight's game will also fly over the total. Go with the Over! |
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02-08-24 | Abilene Christian v. Seattle University UNDER 144.5 | 52-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
For under bettors, Seattle home games are the gift that keeps on giving. In Seattle's last 41 home lined games, the Redhawks are 30-9-2 to the under.This season, the Redhawks are allowing 64 points. Visiting teams hit only 40.4% of their field goals. Abilene Christian plays high-scoring games (158.4 points) at home but much lower-scoring (145.4 points) road games. Last game, the Redhawks won 61-60. That was a road game. Last home game, they won 62-61. They will slow down the Wildcats and keep this final score below the total! |
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02-07-24 | USC v. California UNDER 148.5 | Top | 77-83 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
These teams went over when they played on January 3rd. Both have playing lower-scoring games since then though and both cranked up the defensive intensity in winning their last game. The Trojans held Oregon State to only 54 points. The Golden Bears kept Arizona State to 66. The Bears are now 5-3 to the under since facing USC, a perfect 3-0 under record their last 3. The Trojans are 5-2 to the under their last 7 games. Games at USC have truly been high-scoring. Not so here in Berkeley. The Trojans last visit here produced only 117 points! The Bears are 7-1 to the under their last 8 against losing teams, after at least 15 games. This game goes under! |
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02-06-24 | Mavs v. Nets OVER 235.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
Both teams went under last night but this will be a high-scoring game. Brooklyn is 4-2 to the over when playing with no rest, 2-0 to the over when playing at home after playing at home the previous day. Dallas is 5-3 to the over when playing with 0 days rest. Games are averaging 241.5 points. The Mavericks go under against good teams but the opposite is true when they face weaker teams. They are 16-5 to the over against losing teams. Last meeting finished with 245 and last meeting in Brooklyn finished with 254. Go with the Over. |
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02-05-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State UNDER 146 | Top | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
Kansas comes in hot and defense has been a big part of the reason. The Jayhawks held Houston to 65 points last game. Before that, they limited Oklahoma State to only 56. They will face a Kansas State team which has scored 53 or less in 2 of its last 3 games. This season, Kansas State has been going over the total against losing teams and staying under the total against winning teams. The Wildcats are 11-2 to the under against teams with a winning record. Off a game Saturday, I will point out that Kansas is 3-0 to the under when playing with 0 or 1 day's rest in between games. The Jayhawks are 15-8 to the under in that situation their last 23. K-State is 7-3 to the under when the total was in the 140s and 4-1 to the under at home when the total was 140 to 144.5. This game stays under! **BIG 12 TOY** |
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02-05-24 | Sevilla v. Rayo Vallecano UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
If Rayo Vallecano can't find victory, a draw is a distinct possibility in this one. Three of the last 4 La Liga meetings between these clubs have ended in draws. I prefer the total. Three of the last 4 h2h meetings have produced 2 or fewer goals. The last 2 h2h matches at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas both ended 1-1. That could happen again, as could a scoreless draw. A 1-0 (or 2-0) win for the home team is also possible. The visitors are likely to have trouble scoring, either way. Sevilla has only found the back of the net twice in its last 4 league matches. With only 3 total goals in its last 8 league matches, scoring is far from guaranteed for Rayo Vallecano. Both clubs are missing some key attacking pieces. This match goes Under! |
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02-04-24 | Davidson v. Loyola-Chicago OVER 136.5 | Top | 63-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
Last year's game had a low total and the final score snuck over it. This is another low total and the final score will again finish to the over. Davidson games average 139.6 points. Loyola-Chicago games average 140.8. This total is lower than either of those numbers. Digging deeper reveals that Davidson road games are higher-scoring. The Wildcats are therefore 5-1 to the over on the road. Those true road games are averaging 150. Loyola-Chicago is 11-2 to the over its last 13 home games when the total was in between 135 and 139.5 points. The Ramblers are also 4-1 to the over last 5 tries as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Go with the Over! |
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02-03-24 | Syracuse v. Wake Forest UNDER 152.5 | Top | 70-99 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Orange are off a 77-72 loss to Pittsburgh. It was their 5th loss in ACC play. After their previous four ACC losses, they've cranked up their defense leading to the under going a perfect 4-0 the next game. Off a loss to Virginia, they beat Cornell 80-71. That game had a total of 165. Off a loss to Duke, they beat BC 69-59. Off a loss to UNC, they beat Pitt 69-58. Off a loss to Florida State, they beat NC State 77-65. Those four games didn't just go under, they EASILY went under! We know the Orange crank up the defense off an ACC loss but it should also be understood that Wake Forest plays great defense at home. Visiting games are averaging only 64.1 points a game here, hitting 40.9% of their field goals. Four of the last 5 meetings at Wake have gone under. Go with the Under! |
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02-02-24 | Toledo v. Akron UNDER 147.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
These are both good teams. They've been getting it done in different ways. Toledo has been winning by outscoring opponents. Akron has been winning by dominating teams with its smothering defense. It may be a different story for the rematch at Toledo but with this game being played at Arkon, the Zips will effectively dictate the tempo and slow down the Rockets to the level of their liking. There are a lot of stats which point to this play staying below the total. Here are some of those: Akron is 6-3 to the under in conference play. The Zips are also 5-2 to the under in their home games. None of the Zips' last 10 opponents have scored more than 76 points. The last team that they faced scored only 46. Five of their last 6 games have gone under. The Rockets are 5-2 to the under off a conference win and 2-0 to the under when playing a road game with a total of 145 to 149.5. The number is high and this game will go Under. |
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02-01-24 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 241.5 | Top | 114-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
I played on the Celtics over in their last game. The final score was 129-124. That was against Indiana though and the Celtics were playing their second game in 2 days. Totally different setup for this one. The Celtics are 17-11 to the under when playing with 1 day's rest. They are also 14-7 to the under when off an ATS loss. The Lakers have had no trouble going over the total on the road this season, regardless of how high the total is set. That will change tonight though. The Celtcs are 17-9 to the under, 7-3 this season, their past 26 tries when playing at home game with a total of 230 or more. Go with the Under! |
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02-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United UNDER 3 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
Bournemouth is normally capable of putting the ball in the back of the net but is going to have trouble scoring today. Not only has Bournemouth scored only once in the last 4 h2h matches but West Ham is a different team at home. Each of their last three Premier League home matches have seen the Hammers keep a clean sheet. The Hammers are dealing with some missing players. Both clubs are for that matter. That won't help the scoring. The last h2h match was a 1-1 final and the last at London Stadium was a 2-0 final. This one also stays at 2 or less! |
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01-31-24 | Senators v. Red Wings UNDER 7 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
Sometimes, you need to take what the books are giving you. These teams never have totals of 7 when they play each other. A glance at the past 10 meetings reveals most 6.5s. The last meeting had a total of 6 and it finished with 6. We're getting a whole extra goal tonight. The Red Wings have allowed 2 goals or less in consecutive games and 5 of their last 7. The Senators have allowed 3 or less in 6 of their last 7. This game goes Under! |
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01-30-24 | Pacers v. Celtics OVER 244.5 | Top | 124-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
The last meeting was on January 8th. The final combined score was 264, the Pacers finishing on top. With Indiana road games averaging more than 247 points, this will be another shootout. Boston played last night. It's important to know that the Celtics are 24-11 to the over the past 35 times that they played 2 games in 2 days. The Celtics are also 9-4 to the over when in they were in a revenge situation. The Pacers are 30-10 to the over their last 40 tries, when facing a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. Go with the Over. |
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01-29-24 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Tex A&M Commerce OVER 140 | Top | 69-54 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The Islanders scored 79 points last game. They have scored 73 or more points in 6 of their last 8 games, 80 or more in 3 of those. The Lions are off an 87-84 loss. That game went to Overtime. So the score was a bit misleading. The scoring really picked up in the 2nd half and OT of that game though and will carry over into this game. The most recent meeting between these teams was here at the end of last regular season. The score was 93-88. Once again, the game went to Overtime. There were still 156 points scored in regulation though. Last season's first meeting finished with 164. Both those games had totals in the 140s, the final scores easily finishing to the over. The Islanders are 6-3 to the over their last 9 road games with a total of 140 to 144.5. The Lions are 3-0 to the over during same period, at home with a total in same range. This game goes OVER! |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 143 h 19 m | Show |
The Chiefs went over the total in their game against the Bills. Depending on the time and place, the Ravens game either landed right on the total or went over it. With those games having quite a lot of points, Sunday's AFC Championship O|U line is quite high. Too high. We're talking about the top 2 scoring defenses in the NFL. In the regular season, Baltimore allowed 16.5 points a game. KC allowed 17.3. They've also allowed the fewest points in the playoffs. The Ravens allowed 10 points. The Chiefs are allowing an average of 15.5. These teams are going to pound the rock, especially the Ravens. It's not always conventional but they run more than any team. They ran 42 times last week against Houston. That keeps the clock moving and under the total on Sunday. |
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01-28-24 | Xavier v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5 | 56-99 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
When these schools squared off at Xavier, they combined for 155 points, an 80-75 win for Connecticut. The Musketeers aren't likely going to be able to score as well on the road. Visiting teams have had trouble scoring here. UConn hasn't allowed conceded more than 67 points in a home game this entire season. In 8 Big East home games, the Huskies are allowing an average of 59 points per game. Creighton was the last guest and it scored only 48 points. Since the game at Xavier, the Huskies have allowed an average of 60 points. The Huskies will continue their strong defensive play at home and keep the final score under the total. |
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01-27-24 | Kings v. Mavs UNDER 243 | 120-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
The Mavericks played a very high-scoring game against Atlanta last night. You may have seen the highlights. Doncic had 73 points, tied for 4th most in NBA history. The Hawks are a very weak defensive team. You might think the same of Sacramento. But it currently isn't true of the Kings. They are 13-8 to the under on the road. They held Dallas to 113 last game here. The Mavericks were small underdogs for last night's game at Atlanta. They are a perfect 6-0 to the under the past 6 times that they were off a SU win as an underdog. This game will stay under the high total! |
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01-27-24 | Yale v. Harvard UNDER 142.5 | Top | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
Yale is 10-6 to the over this season. Harvard is 9-6 to the over. Those records are keeping this total in the 140s. Both schools are off a low-scoring game though. The Bulldogs just beat Dartmouth 76-51. The Crimson just won at Penn by a 70-61 score. 127 and 131 and we've got a total in the 140s. The last 4 times that these rivals have faced each other the scores were 58-55, 62-59, 58-54 and 68-57. All went under. All finished with 125 or less. Harvard is 7-2-1 to the under last 10 off a conference win. Yale is 6-2 to the under last eight when playing on the road and the total was in the 140 to 144.5 range. This game goes under! |
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01-23-24 | Air Force v. UNLV UNDER 133.5 | Top | 90-58 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
Air Force has failed to score 70 points in any of its last 5 games. The Falcons will have trouble scoring against an angry UNLV team. The Rebels are 13-8 to the under the past 21 times that they were off a Mountain West Conf. loss. If they were at home, they might score more but doing so on the road will be difficult. The Falcons are 20-11 to the under their last 31 on the road. Last year's regular season meeting finished with only 107 points. The last 3 regular season meetings have all finished with 131 or less. This one does the same! |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions UNDER 50 | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
The Buccaneers were involved in a shootout with the Texans back in Week 9. The final score was 39-37 as the game turned wild in the 4th quarter with 31 points. That was the only time all season that Tampa allowed more than 27 points. On the season, the Bucs allowed just 19.1 points, tied for 6th best. They have also really turned it up in recent weeks. They held the Eagles to 9 points and 276 total yards in the Wildcard Rd and they allowed less than 12 points a game over the final 3 games of reg. season. In the final game, they pitched a shutout. Tampa coach Todd Bowles said this of his defense: "We've gotten tougher over the course of the past few weeks. Everybody has finally gotten back and playing at the same time. ... Communication has gotten a lot better, everybody's trusting each other next to them and they're playing for each other." The Lions defense held the Rams to 6 second half points last week. They also held the Bucs to 6 points, a 20-6 win, during the regular season. Tampa had only 13 first downs and 251 total yards. That total was only 44. This one is a lot higher. Too high. Go with the Under. |
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01-21-24 | West Ham United v. Sheffield United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
West Ham, off a 1-0 loss in FA Cup action, hasn't conceded a single goal in its last five league matches. Last league match was a 0-0 draw. Sheffield which has scored fewer goals than any club in the Premier League is unlikely to snap that streak. Sheffield has at least cleaned up defensively lately. Last league match was a 2-0 loss to Man. City. Four of the past 5 h2h matches have finished with 2 goals or less. With West Ham missing some key attacking pieces, this match will also be low-scoring. |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens UNDER 44 | Top | 10-34 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
The Texans have looked pretty good but they are now on the road and facing the stingiest defense in the NFL. No team allowed fewer points than the 16.5 ppg allowed by the Baltimore Ravens. The Texans held the Browns to 14 points and 324 yards. They weren't dominant defensively like the Ravens but ranked in the top half of all defenses for points and yards allowed. In addition to allowing the fewest number of points, the Ravens led the league in rushing. They will keep the clock ticking and the Houston offense on the sidelines. Points will not come easily in this game. Go with the Under. |
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01-18-24 | Avalanche v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -118 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
The Avalanche are 3-0 to the over on their current road trip. That changes tonight as they are now facing one of the stingiest teams in the National Hockey League. The Bruins are off a 3-0 shutout last game and they allow only 2.63 goals per game. The Avalanche are 3-0 to the under after playing their previous 3 on the road. They are also 9-4-3 5 to the under their last 16 visits to Boston. The Bruins are 40-26-7 to the under their last 63 home games when the total was 6 or more. Go with the Under. |
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01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt OVER 148.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Both these teams have seen more unders than overs. That's brought the total down for us today. It's now too low. Auburn averages more than 84 points a game, more than 82 a game on the road. The Tigers can and will score anywhere. They put up 93 points last game. The Commodores know that they need to score, if they want to avoid embarrassment. Their last home game was a 78-75 loss to Alabama. That stayed under the total but that was a much higher number. These teams will meet again at the end of January. Last year's first meeting finished with 174 points. This one will get over the 150 mark. |
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01-16-24 | Sharks v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Two really bad teams. Do they even want to win? If so, who wants it more? In my estimation, its better not to lose sleep over the side and instead to focus on the total. These teams are bad in no small part to their defense. The Sharks give up 4.05 goals per game. That's the most in entire NHL and the number climbs to 4.3 goals allowed per road game. The Blackhawks aren't far behind. They allow 3.65 goals per game, 4th worst in the NHL. The last 3 meetings all finished with 7 goals. This one finishes with 6 or more, the over moving to 7-3 the past 10 times that Chicago played with 2 day's rest in between games. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The Eagles offense stumbled down the stretch. The Eagles scored 10 points last game and that marked the 4th time in 6 games that they failed to reach the 20 point mark. The injury to Brown, their top receiver, is a big blow to the offense. The Bucs got here by playing defense. They allow only 19.1 points a game while scoring just 20.5. Both quarterbacks are playing at less than 100%. The Eagles won 25-11 when the teams met in the regular season. That was when Philadelphia was scoring with ease. The Eagles won't get that many this evening and the Bucs are likely to also have trouble scoring. The line is generous. Go with the Under. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers v. Bills UNDER 38.5 | 17-31 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
With the game being moved from Sunday to Monday and that bringing improved weather, the total has climbed by quite a lot. It shot up over key numbers like 34 and 37 and is now too high. The weather may be improved but its still not going to be pleasant. This game will feature an extra amount of pounding the ball on the ground. Josh Allen said as much: "The wind may move the ball a little bit. Typically, it's going to be, with weather like this, a game that both teams are going to run the ball, and it's going to be very possession-limited ..." Both teams were 11-6 to the under and both are coming off a strong defensive effort which stayed below the total. Go with the Under. |
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01-15-24 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 228 | 115-124 | Loss | -113 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
High total for a Houston game. The Rockets are among the lower scoring teams in the league (bottom 10) but they are also among the stingiest. They allow the 5th least number of points in the NBA. The 76ers are mere percentage points behind them, allowing the 6th fewest number of points. The game at Houston was high-scoring. The same was true last year. The rematch at Philadelphia was 28 points lower though. Rockets are 13-8 to the under when playing with revenge. The 76ers just held high-scoring Sacramento to 93 points. That game stayed below the total by more than 30 points. Go with the Under. |
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01-15-24 | Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 147 | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
Both teams were playing a lot of of overs to start the season. Now that Big Ten play has been kicking into high gear, that's been changing. Today's total is still set quite high though. Too high. Michigan's last game was a 64-57 loss. It marked the third straight Michigan game which went to the under. Off a 71-60 loss to Wisconsin, Ohio State comes off consecutive games which went to the under. The Buckeyes are 3-1 to the under the last 4 times that they were road favorites of 3 or less. Both teams are badly in need of a win and they will battle on the defensive end. Go with the Under. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs OVER 43.5 | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 52 m | Show |
The Chiefs transformed themselves into a defensive team this year. The offense wasn't as potent and the defense picked up the slack. The Dolphins were explosive most of the season but their offense slowed down the stretch. Those are the biggest reasons why we're now working with a total in the low/mid 40s, as compared to a total of 51.5 when these teams faced each other back in November. That's a big drop. Too big! It'll be cold but this is still Patrick Mahomes vs. Tua Tagovailoa. Mahomes still has Kelce to throw to and Tagovailoa's top target, Tyreek Hill will be playing his first game back at Arrowhead. These are some of the best offensive players on the planet and they won't be stopped by the cold. The Dolphins are getting healthier on offense but their defense is severely depleted. They've given up 77 points in their last 2 games alone. Their games average more than 52 points. This one will finish over the low total! ***WILDCARD TOY*** |
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01-13-24 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
Off a 71-60 win at Ohio State, the Badgers showed that they can really play defense. They're going to make scoring difficult for the Wildcats on Saturday afternoon. Northwestern allows just 64 points a game on the road, scoring only 65. The Wildcats are 4-2 to the under in their away games. Twice within the last month, the Wildcats were held below 50 points. Last year's game at Northwestern was quite low-scoring. It finished with 129 points. However, the game here at Wisconsin was ultra low-scoring. It finished with only 106 points. The Badgers are 5-2 to the under when the total was in the 130s. Go with the UNDER! |
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01-12-24 | Hornets v. Spurs OVER 235 | Top | 99-135 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
What reason would these teams have to play defense against each other? They're a pair of non-playoff teams from opposite conferences. Frankly, neither plays much D regardless of opponent. Charlotte allows 120.9 points a game on the road. Teams hosting the Hornets hit a high 50.9% of their field goals. The Hornets are 5-1 to the over on the road when the total was set at 230 or more. The Spurs allow 124.7 points per game at home. They just scored 130 last game and they are 13-4 to the over at home. This game will fly over the total. |
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01-11-24 | Senators v. Sabres UNDER 7 | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a big total. Too big. Neither team was pleased with its number of goals allowed last game. Both will be looking to clean that up. Buffalo has already gone under 12 of 19 times, after giving up 4 or more goals. The Senators are 12-8 to the under after allowing 4 or more goals. For the past few seasons, Ottawa is 51-36 to the under after allowing 4 or more goals. The Sabres are also 12-7 to the under when playing a home game with a total of 6 or more. The Sabres score less at home (2.8 gpg) than on the road. The under is 12-7 in their home games. Lastly, the under is 7-1-1 the past 3 seasons when these divisional foes have faced each other. Go with the Under! ***Atlantic Div TOY*** |
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01-11-24 | Nets v. Cavs UNDER 226.5 | 102-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
Two previous games in Paris have averaged 226.5 points, right around where this O|U number has been set. The defensive minded Cleveland Cavaliers weren't among the previous contestants though. Cleveland ranks in the top 6 in terms of both points allowed and opponents field goal percentage. Both the Nets and Cavaliers play at a slower tempo than the majority of the league. The under is 96-64-2 the last 162 times that Brooklyn played a game with a total of 220 or more. The Cavaliers are 7-4-1 to the under this season against losing teams, 54-31-4 to the under, against sub-500 teams, he past few seasons. This game goes Under! |
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01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
The Golden Knights won the first meeting 7-0. The Avalanche are 10-3 to the under in 13 tries when playing with revenge. Over the past few seasons, Colorado is 44-26-1 to the under, when in a revenge situation. The Golden Knights haven't played in some time. They are 2-1 to the under when having had 3 or more day's off. They are also 12-5-1 to the under against winning teams. Before the 7-0 game, the previous six meetings between these teams had all finished with 5 goals or less. The under was 6-0. This game will be low-scoring! ***NHL TOW*** |
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01-09-24 | Grizzlies v. Mavs OVER 235 | Top | 120-103 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
No Morant. No problem. The Grizzlies just scored 121 in a victory at Phoenix. They scored 127 in their previous game. Each of the games on the current road trip have seen at least 236 points scored. On the season, Grizzly road games are much higher-scoring than games played at Memphis. The Mavericks are the opposite of the Grizzlies. Their home games have been much higher-scoring than their road games. Games here average 237. The over is 7-2 when they play within their division. Dallas has played much higher-scoring games against bad teams than good ones. The Mavericks scored 139 the last time that they faced a losing team. On the season, the over is 15-4 in 19 tries when the Mavericks were matched up against a team with a losing record. Go with the Over! ***SouthWest Division TOM*** |