Sports Picks & Predictions

Dodgers-Rangers Over 9

Getting plus money with the Over here is worth a play.

Globe Life Park in Arlington has always been known as a hitters' ballpark that typically features a lot of runs. 

Tuesday we'll get a look at Brett Anderson vs. Chi Chi Gonzalez. Anderson has been a mess against the Rangers in his career. In 10 appearances (7 starts), he's gone 1-4 with a 6.81 ERA. Anderson has only won in 1 of his last 10 outings as he's failed to get deep into ballgames and find any sort of rhythm in his starts. 

As for Chi Chi Gonzalez, he's had just a small sample size of starts this season. Gonzalez has started in 3 games and has actually pitched pretty well. However in a ballpark like the one in Texas, he'll struggle against a deep Dodger line up. This will be the first time he'll get a look at Joc Pederson, Adrian Gonzalez, Andre Either, and Yasiel Puig.

We also get the advantage of an "Over" umpire in this game. Greg Gibson will be behind the plate Tuesday and he has seen his last 5 interleague games go Over the listed total. Also, the last 6 Dodgers' games he's called balls and strikes for have gone Over the total. 

All signs point to a high scoring game here in Texas on Tuesday.

Back the Over 9 here.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

MLB 8* Tuesday Total Play

Blue Jays/Red Sox Under 9

The Under in the afternoon contest between the Jays and Red Sox is the way to go on Saturday. 

Friday night featured an offensive juggernaut performance from both teams. The teams combined for 23 runs and 27 hits in a 13-10 Toronto win. 

The key here is a quick turnaround from a 3 and a half hour game. Friday night's game dragged on and featured 11 different pitchers. With a night game running into day game the following day, both teams will come out sluggish. 

The quick turnaround could also help R.A. Dickey. While this season has been a struggle in 2 starts vs Boston for Dickey, he's had some good success in the past against the Red Sox. He went 4-0 with just a 2.23 ERA in 2014. While that was a year ago, the Red Sox offense will be slow out of the gates with the early start time.

Clay Buchholz has also pitched to the Under in 4 of 6 starts at home this season. The Red Sox also offer him very little run support when he's on the mound.

Boston has also been a dominant Under team inside Fenway park this season. The Red Sox have seen 17 of 30 games go Under the listed total. 

Expect both teams' offenses to expand their strike zones and swing at some bad pitches as fatigue will play a role here Saturday afternoon. 

Back the Under here.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

MLB Saturday 7* Total Play. 

Seattle-Houston Under 7.5

The Under in the Seattle-Houston game is the way to go on Friday.

Here we get Felix Hernandez vs. Brett Oberholtzer. 

Starting with King Felix, he brings in an ERA of just 2.51 on the season. In his 12 starts this season, Hernandez's games have had 7 runs or less 10 times. Also, Hernandez has had major success against the Astros as he's 3-2 with a 1.84 ERA in 7 starts. 

On the other side Oberholtzer has just a small sample size of starts as he's made just 3 this season. Two of those starts have came at home and Oberholtzer has allowed 3 runs combined in 8.1 innings of work. His career numbers against Seattle are good as well. He's 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA against them.

Houston's offense has been a mess during this 7 game skid as well as they've only scored 16 runs during the span. Running into Felix Hernandez won't help the offense get going in anyway.

With the Under playing to an 20-11-1 record at Minute Maid Park, we shouldn't see many runs on Friday.

Take the Under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

MLB 8* Friday Total Play

The New York Mets host the San Francisco Giants on Thursday evening in the third game of a three-game set.

Despite a double-digit scoring output in Wednesday night's affair, the total for this game is set at just 7.5 runs despite a pair of shaky starting pitchers toeing the rubber for each side. A lot of luck went into Tim Lincecum putting together the 3.29 ERA his base numbers indicate, but that's finally caught up to him of late. Over his last three starts, he has a 7.04 ERA and 1.63 WHIP while serving up five home runs in 15 1/3 innings.

His counterpart, Jonathon Niese, has endured similar struggles of late. Over his last five starts, Niese has a 7.96 ERA. Faceing a Giants lineup that's knocked in nearly six runs per game over its last five, Niese and the Mets could be in for a long night.

The over is 7-1-2 in the Giants' last 10 games overall.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* MLB O/U Play.

Cubs-Tigers Over 7.5 -117

We're getting a very nice number here with the Total only sitting at 7.5 for Tuesday's Cubs-Tigers showdown. 

For starters, both offenses average over 4 runs a game. The Cubs are scoring 4.62 per road contest and the Tigers are scoring 4.24 inside Comerica Park.

As for runs against, the Cubs are allowing the same number on the road, 4.62 runs a game and Detroit is allowing visiting teams to average 4.41. 

Both of the starting pitchers in today's game are struggling as well. Cubs' starter Jon Lester was knocked around against the Marlins for 6 runs in his last start. Tigers' Anibal Sanchez has been an absolute mess this year as he's allowed 18 runs over his last 3 home starts and surrendered 6 home runs in those starts. 

Head-to-head wise, both starters struggle against the opposition. Jon Lester brings in a 4.83 ERA in 9 starts against the Tigers. Anibal Sanchez has a career ERA of 4.55 in 5 starts against the Cubs.

Both offenses have the ability to put up runs. Combine that with a pair of struggling starting pitchers and we should see a lot of runs inside Comerica Park on Tuesday.

Take the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

MLB 7* Tuesday Total Play. 

Cardinals/Dodgers Under 6.5 

Sunday Night Baseball has proven to be a prime spot for Unders and this one features two starting pitchers that have been dominant as of late.

The Cardinals will march out Lance Lynn who was flawless in his last start. Lynn allowed just 5 singles in 7.2 innings in a 1-0 win over Milwaukee. In 7 of outings this season, Lynn has let up just one or no runs. He's been incredible this season, especially against top tier teams.

The Cardinals pitching staff has allowed just 10 runs over the last 7 games. 

As for Los Angeles, they'll send out Zack Greinke. For starters, Greinke is a beast at home. His ERA inside Dodger Stadium is just 2.25. He's been nearly un hittable in his last 5 home starts allowing just 1 run in each of those starts. 

What really seals the deal for this pick is even though Greinke has cruised at home, he's not getting any wins. The Dodgers simply do not score for him when he is on the mound.

Sunday Night Baseball can expect to be a pitchers duel, with just a couple runs being scored at the end. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

MLB Sunday Night 7* Play

Marlins/Rockies Over 10.5 -109

We have solid opportunity to pound the Over in the Miami-Colorado game tonight as the number sits at 10.5.

Both of the starting pitchers have been inconsistent this season and will struggle inside Coors Field. Neither Rockies starting pitcher, Eddie Butler, or Marlins starter, Tom Koehler, are strikeout pitchers. This plays to a giant disadvantage for pitchers as the ball continues to fly out and around of Coors Field. 

Eddie Butler has struggled in Colorado as well. In three starts at Coors Field, he has an ERA of 5.02.

Tom Koehler has also struggled lately as he was knocked around by the Mets for 5 runs last time he pitched. 

The Rockies offense is also on fire as of late and that includes their 7 run outburst on Wednesday against the Dodgers. Colorado has bumped their season average in runs scored at Coors Field to 5.20. 

The trends go the way of the over as well as Tom Koehler has seen the number go over the total in 16 of his last 21 road games. Colorado has also gone over in 4 of their last 5 home games. 

Expect a shootout on Friday between two solid offenses that can easily surpass the 10.5 number listed. 

Take the Over in Colorado. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* MLB Total Play

Mets/Diamondbacks Over 8 -122

The Over is the way to go in the series opener between the Mets and Diamondbacks.

As far as the trends are concerned here, the Mets have seen the total go Over 8 times in their last 10. Combine that with the Chase Field Over trend of 12-2-2 in the last 16 and this play makes a lot of sense. 

Along with the trends, both starting pitchers are letting up runs as of late. Matt Harvey has allowed 11 runs over his past two starts and Jeremy Hellickson has not allowed less than 3 runs in any home start. 

Arizona has been one of the best offensive home teams in baseball as well. On the season they have averaged nearly 5 runs a game with 4.96. Their pitching has done them no favors though as they allow the opposition to score 5.08 runs inside Chase Field. 

The total sits at a key number of 8 and is worth paying the juice to get this number. 

Expect some runs to be scored on Thursday in Arizona.

Play the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 7* MLB Total Play

Reds vs. Phillies Under 7.5
 
The Cincinnati Reds have managed to cough up the first two games of this series against the Phillies. Philadelphia's lineup has looked overmatched for much of the game through the first two contests, but the Reds errors have given them chances they took advantage of in the ninth innings.

Anthony DeSclafani and Aaron Harang will start for the Reds and Phillies respectively in this one. Both of them have some nice statistics coming into this one. The Reds lineup hasn't been very good this year, and now they are short-handed with Marlon Byrd going down with an injury.

The Phillies are dead last in the majors in hitting against right handed pitchers. They should struggle to get anything going. This one has a great chance of becoming a pitcher's duel.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* MLB O/U Play

Dodgers/Rockies Over 10.5 -105

The series between both these teams has featured 470 foot home runs, pitchers raking doubles, and 460 foot grand slams. There will be similar things going on Wednesday night when they play the finale of their series. 

Los Angeles has one of the best offenses in baseball. They average 4.5 runs a game, but that number jumps up significantly when they play at Coors Field. They've averaged 6.8 runs this season against the Rockies in Colorado!!

Colorado's numbers are just as impressive offensively at home. They score over 5 runs a game.

Both the starting pitchers in today's affair are not that familiar with Coors either. Dodgers starting pitcher Mike Bolsinger has never pitched in the thin air stadium where the ball carries extremely well. For a pitcher that gets many outs via the flyball, this will be a troubled combination for him. 

Rockies starting pitcher Chad Bettis has started two games this season at home and both have featured a lot of runs. Also, his career numbers are not good at home. In 2013 his ERA inside Coors Field was 8.10. In 2014, his ERA was 10.06.

Both pitchers will have trouble keep the ball in the ballpark on Wednesday as we will see another shootout between these two clubs.

Take the Over here.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 8* MLB Total Play

The Houston Astros host the Baltimore Orioles on Wednesday night in the third game of a four-game set.

Minute Maid Park was supposed to serve as a launching pad for the Astros' litany of sluggers this season, but instead, the team's pitchers have shined. The under has gone 18-11 in games played in Houston this season, including a perfect 2-0 in the young career of Lance McCullers.

McCullers has been impressive thus far, and faces an Orioles team whose offense hasn't travelled well. Baltimore sends out a solid pitcher of its own, as Miguel Gonzalez remains one of the more underrated assets in the American League. On the season, opposing offenses have mustered only 3.1 runs per game when he takes the hill.

The under is 10-2 in Gonzalez's last 12 road starts.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 8* MLB O/U Play.

The San Diego Padres host the New York Mets on Tuesday evening in the second game of a three-game set.

We cashed a ticket on the over in San Diego's Sunday night 7-1 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates and we're going right back to that well in this one. While Petco Park has come to be known as a pitcher-friendly park, the influx of talent into the Padres' lineup has hurt under bettors in a big way. The over cashed in 16 of the first 26 games at Petco Park this season.

A pair of pitchers will be facing off that don't warrant the kind of respect oddsmakers are giving them. Rookie Noah Syndergaard sports a 2.55 ERA overall on the season, but he allowed at least three runs in each of his two road starts. He is 2-0 at home with a 0.68 ERA and 0-2 on the road with a 4.76 ERA. At home, opposing batters are hitting .191 against Syndergaard, while hitting .283 against him when he's throwing on the road. The Padres counter with Ian Kennedy, and his 7.15 ERA speaks for itself. The Mets got to him for at least three earned runs in each of his two starts against them last season.

We'll also be getting some help in this one from the man behind the plate. The over is 7-2-1 in C.B. Bucknor's last 10 games behind home plate.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play.

Cubs vs. Marlins over 7.5

The Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins meet on Tuesday night in the second game of this series. Miami couldn't get anything going offensively on Monday night as the Cubs rolled to a win. Kyle Hendricks is on the mound here for the Cubs. While he has been good, he is definitely inconsistent. His command is an issue at times.

Brad Hand hasn't proven himself at all as a starter in the big leagues. The Chicago Cubs have crushed left handed pitching this year to the point that they are averaging more than 5 runs per game against them.

The Cubs could easily put up 5 or 6 on their own with their right handed heavy lineup against Brad Hand. With a total of only 7.5, the over is the play.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 9* MLB  O/U Play

Dodgers/Rockies Over 9 (+112)

The plus money Over here is hard to pass up as the Rockies and Dodgers meet once again early in the season. 

The Dodgers send out Clayton Kershaw while the Rockies will counter with the struggling Kyle Kendrick. Both offenses are familiar with the starters here as Kershaw will be making his 4th start already against Colorado, while Kendrick will be making his 3rd against the Dodgers. With both offenses being so familiar with the starters, they'll know what to expect in certain situations.

To make the Over even more attractive, Kyle Kendrick is having a terrible season. His ERA is 6.38 and has made 3 home starts that have had run totals of 19, 9, and 14. 

In all 3 of Kershaw's starts against Colorado, he's noticeably had troubles with their lineup. The Rockies have scored 11 runs total against him which is a high total for a guy who rarely lets up runs. 

The ball flies out of Coors Field and expect the Dodgers and Rockies to get into a high scoring affair on Monday.

Take the Over here. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

Monday 7* MLB Total Play

The Miami Marlins host the Chicago Cubs on Monday night in the opening game of a three-game set.

The Marlins have seen their starting rotation decimated by injuries this season. Jose Fernandez, Henderson Alvarez, Mat Latos, and Jarred Cosart are all on the disabled list, which has the Fish desperate for pitchers who can be slotted into starting spots.

On Tuesday they'll send out 23-year-old Jose Urena for what will be his second career start. The young prospect has posted solid numbers in the minors, but the bright lights of the pro ranks have proven to be too much for him. Urena allowed five runs on 10 hits in his first start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, failing to escape the fifth inning. In a brief stint out of the bullpen in April, Urena allowed three runs on four hits in three innings of work. He's been leaving the ball up in the zone, and that's going to be a big problem against a Cubs lineup that isn't short on power bats.

The Cubs counter with Jason Hammel. His lone trip to Miami last season saw him allow four runs over six innings. Each of his two starts against them last season saw the final result climb over the total.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play.

The San Diego Padres host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday night in the fourth game of a four-game set.

While Petco Park has come to be known as a pitcher-friendly park, the influx of talent into the Padres' lineup has hurt under bettors in a big way. The over cashed in 15 of the first 25 games at Petco Park this season, including each of the Pirates' first two games there.

On Sunday night, Odrisamer Despaigne gets the call for the Padres. The wheels have come off for him in his return to the team's starting rotation, as he's allowed 21 runs in his last 20 2/3 innings of work, good for an ERA north of 9.00. The Pirates counter with Jeff Locke, who hasn't been able to re-find that magic that made him marginally successful a year ago. Facing a Padres lineup with some solid right-handed batters that have his number - Justin Upton and Matt Kemp are 6-for-12 with three home runs and a double against him in their careers - don't expect Locke's luck to change.

The over is 10-1-2 in Locke's last 13 road starts.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* MLB O/U Play.

PetCo Park has been a home run haven this year and the San Diego Padres are a totally different team than they were a year ago. The addition of Matt Kemp and Justin Upton made this team much better offensively, and it also made them much worse defensively.

Pittsburgh's offense was awful up until recently. The Pirates lineup has finally started to heat up. Josh Harrison is the catalyst at the top of the order, and he finally has it clicking. Starling Marte is a really underrated outfielder and obviously Andrew McCutchen is MVP caliber.

Ian Kennedy hasn't pitched well at all this year, and the Pirates offense has been seeing it well lately. Burnett has pitched well this year, but several Padres have good career numbers against him. A really low posted total makes this a nice over play.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* MLB O/U Play

The Oakland Athletics host the New York Yankees on Thursday night in the opening game of a four-game set.

The Yankees have been swinging the bats well of late after a slow start to the year, and that's going to mean trouble for youngster Kendall Graveman. After a stint in the minors, Graveman put together a solid outing against the Tampa Bay Rays, but he won't be facing the light-hitting Rays on this night. Expect a performance that better mirrors his 6.04 ERA.

New York counters with C.C. Sabathia, who has been a shadow of his former self this season. He has a 5.47 ERA on the year, and will face an Athletics lineup that got to him for six runs over six innings of work in his last start against them. 

The over is 5-0 in the Yankees' last five series openers.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* MLB O/U Play.

Padres vs. Angels Under 7

Two strong pitchers will toe the mound in Anaheim on Wednesday night. Andrew Cashner doesn't have wins to show for it, but he has pitched well this season. Garrett Richards hasn't made as many starts as most pitchers because of his recovery from an injury last year, but he has been rock solid since returning.

These are two of the most disappointing defenses in baseball this year. Both of them have done just fine against southpaws, but against right handed pitching they have struggled. While both of these offenses will likely break out of their funk at some point, doing it against their opposition Wednesday will be tough.

The Padres won 4-0 over the Angels on Tuesday night in a game that was 0-0 after nine innings. We won't call for anything that low, but we will take the under.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 7* MLB O/U Play

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Colorado Rockies on Friday night.

The Dodgers send out Clayton Kershaw in this one, and his name alone helps keep the total in this game down. However, a closer look shows that Kershaw hasn't exactly been on his game this season. On the year he's posted a 4.26 ERA. The Rockies have gotten a good look at him with two games against him already this year, including one less than a week ago. They got to him for three runs in the first game, then another five the second time around. Each game played over the total.

In fact, the over is 8-3-1 in Kershaw's last 12 starts against Colorado, beginning with the start of the 2012 season. Those games produced a combined total of 10.1 runs per game.

The Rockies send out Eddie Butler, and while his ERA sits at a respectable 3.73, he's also posted a 1.66 WHIP in that time, so there's an element of luck at play with him. Things have only gotten worse for him as the year has progressed. He has a 5.28 ERA over his last three starts, while also letting in a pair of unearned runs.

The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* MLB O/U Play.

The Seattle Mariners host the Boston Red Sox on Thursday night in the opening game of a four-game set.

These teams have produced some pretty exciting games in recent years, with runs hardly coming at a premium. In spite of that, a pair of middle of the pack pitchers are taking the mound in the opener of this series with a total that would be better suited for a pair of aces.

Roenis Elias had an ERA north of four at home last season, and now gets to face a Red Sox lineup that has a slew of right-handed hitters that love to mash lefties. On the other side, Joe Kelly has been a train wreck for Boston since coming over from the N.L., and facing a Mariners lineup that's littered with lefties that should have little trouble getting to in, he could be in for another early exit.

The over is 7-0 in the last seven meetings between these teams in Seattle.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 9* MLB O/U Play.

Marlins vs. Dodgers over 7.5

The Miami Marlins start Dan Haren in this one and the Los Angeles Dodgers start Mike Bolsinger. Haren's numbers look great on the surface this year, but dig deeper and you'll see that he's due for some serious negative regression.

Haren has slowly gotten worse in the last few years, and now he has a sparkling ERA so far this year. Don't expect that to continue throughout the year. Los Angeles has been hitting the cover off the ball all year, and they should put together some great at bats here.

Also, the Marlins bullpen has been terrible lately.

Bolsinger has been good in the minors, but it hasn't yet translated to big league success. The Marlins lineup is much better with Yelich healthy again.

The total has no business being set this low.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play

UNDER 8

The San Francisco Giants offense has been up and down this year, but all in all this offense isn't very good. The Houston Astros offense has been good most of the year, but they are slowly coming back to earth. Houston has scored one run or less in 4 of their last 7 games.

Chris Heston isn't a great pitcher, but he's better than he's being given credit for so far this year. The bullpen behind him is terrific too. Collin McHugh has been very good this year, and his consistency has been impressive.

The Astros bullpen is ranked in the top five in the majors.

Both pitchers should be able to get into a rhythm and work relatively deep into this game. The bullpens should clean things up well too.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 7* MLB O/U Play

Mariners vs. Angels Over 7.5
 
In Roenis Elias and C.J. Wilson we have two subpar lefties starting in this game. The Mariners have had a lot of issues hitting left-handed pitching in the past, but that was before they acquired Nelson Cruz. Cruz is a one-man wrecking crew against left-handed pitching.

Wilson has pitched decent of late, but that isn't likely to continue. His numbers have regressed on a consistent basis year over year in the past few seasons. Wilson doesn't have overpowering stuff and as he loses more and more velocity hitters are gaining the upper hand against him.

Elias does have some upside potential, but he is wild and he makes mistakes both inside and outside of the strike zone. The Angels lineup hasn't been hitting it well lately, but typically they hit lefties like him extremely well.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 7* MLB O/U Play

The San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres on Tuesday night in the second game of a three-game set.

The Padres haven't played anything like they have in the past, and entered the week ranking inside the top three in baseball in terms of runs scored. On Tuesday they'll face Ryan Vogelsong, who sports a 9.31 ERA and 2.02 WHIP. In his lone start against the Padres this season, Vogelsong allowed five runs and failed to get out of the fourth inning.

The Giants have had trouble scoring runs this season, ranking near the bottom of the league, but should find some success on Tuesday against Andrew Cashner. Cashner sports a 2.61 ERA, but that number's helped out by the eight unearned runs he's allowed through five starts. Factor those in, and his line balloons to a far more pedestrian 4.94 ERA.

The over is 5-2 in Cashner's last seven starts against N.L. West opponents.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play.

Phillies vs. Braves Under 7

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet in a battle of two of the worst offenses in the National League. Philadelphia doesn't have many batters in their lineup who can handle top lefties and Alex Wood is one of the better left handed starters in the NL.

Chase Utley is going to have trouble getting much help this year, and the Braves will likely pitch around him here. Philadelphia just doesn't have many guys who can make Atlanta pay. On the other side, Aaron Harang continues to impress. Harang pitched well for Atlanta last year, and he is doing a nice job for the Phillies so far this year.

The Braves lineup has hit the ball better than expected so far this season, but it isn't going to continue. They've had a lot of batted ball luck that can't continue. Harang can miss bats, and the Braves have a lot of strike out candidates.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* MLB Over/Under Play

Boston & New York under 9

Fenway Park has long been known as a hitter's park---and it is---but these totals have been overadjusted early in the year because of a small sample size. We cashed an under yesterday and Fenway and we'll go right back to the well as people still cannot get over the BoSox's staggeringly bad ERA to start the season.

Joe Kelly takes the mound for Boston tonight. Kelly is a low 4s ERA type of guy, but he's pitched around 5 this season. The Yankees' active roster has just a 93 wRC+ against right-handed pitching over the past two seasons, so you can say this is a favorable matchup for Kelly. 

Meanwhile, Adam Warren counters for the Yankees, and he too should find some success tonight. Similarly to Kelly, Warren is likely to end the season with an ERA hovering right around 4.00, but he's pitched slightly above that to start the year. Warren's LOB% of 68.7 is much lower than his career average of 77.9%, so we can expect him to improve over the coming months. The Yankees also have one of the league's best bullpens, so we're not too worried about the BoSox bats, who also happen to hit righties far worse than lefties.

All in all, oddsmakers have posted yet another soft total at Fenway, and we're ready to capitalize once again.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* MLB O/U Play

The Atlanta Braves host the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday evening.

The Braves have been mashing the baseball of late, making the Washington Nationals' elite options look pedestrian. Now they get a chance to face ageing veteran Jason Marquis, who has a 5.48 ERA and 1.52 WHIP on the season.

The Braves counter with Eric Stults, whose best days came in San Diego. He has a 4.03 ERA on the season - a number buoyed by an appearance at spacious Citi Field. His ERA at home is 4.96. A return back to Turner field isn't good news for Stults, particularly facing a Reds team that has been hitting the ball out of the ballpark with regularity - they hit four home runs in the opener of this series.

The over is 10-2 in the Braves' last 12 home games.

Take the OVER. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Saturday 8* O/U Play.

Boston & New York under 9.5

The talk of the Major Leagues seems to be about Boston's pitching staff and their insanely high ERA. There's no doubt that the Red Sox rotation has been a big disappointment thus far, but oddsmakers have made a major overadjustment here.

Wade Miley gets the start for the BoSox. Miley has an awful 8.62 ERA through four starts, but those numbers are bound to improve. Miley boasts a career ERA of 3.91, including two seasons with an ERA of 3.55 or less in Arizona. The Yankees hit just .238 against left-handed pitching this season, so this could be a prime opportunity for Miley to get back on track.

Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi is no slouch himself. Eovaldi has a 2.25 ERA in two road starts this season, and already put together a decent outing against Boston, working into the sixth inning and giving up just three runs. Eovaldi rocked a 4.37 ERA last season, but his 3.37 FIP suggests that he was incredibly unlucky to post an ERA that high.

Both teams also boast two solid bullpens, so we don't fear this game blowing up after the starters are out. Simply put, this total is too high.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* MLB O/U Play

The Minnesota Twins host the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday afternoon.

While Tigers starter Shane Green was roughed up in his last starter, he proved to be a masterful addition to the team's rotation in his first three starts. In those outings, he surrendered just one earned run in 23 innings of work, allowing only 12 hits. That includes one start against these very Twins in which he surrendered only four hits and one unearned run in eight innings of work.

On Wednesday he opposes Phil Hughes. While Hughes may be 0-4, it's poor run support that's done him in. The Twins have provided Hughes with just four total runs of support in his four outings. Among those is a 4-0 loss to the Tigers.

The under is 8-2 in Hughes' last 10 starts against A.L. Central opponents.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 8* NBA O/U Play.

The Miami Marlins host the New York Mets on Monday in the opening game of a three-game set.

We got a preview of this pitching matchup a couple turns ago as Jarred Cosart opposed Dillon Gee in the opener of the last series between these teams. New York won that game 7-5, with neither starter lasting through the sixth inning.

The Mets scored 5.8 runs per game in that first series, but the Marlins have been hitting the ball quite well of late, and figure to be able to keep up. The Marlins have scored better than six runs per game over their last five outings.

The over is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings between these teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play.

Rangers vs. Angels Over 8

The Texas Rangers start Nick Martinez here, and he's a guy who is due for some serious regression to the mean. Martinez has an ERA of less than one, and he isn't even close to that good of a pitcher.

The Angels have a strong offense, and Martinez already shut them down once this year. It shouldn't happen again on Sunday. Kole Calhoun has turned into a tremendous leadoff hitter for this team, and that helps Mike Trout have more run producing opportunities.

Hector Santiago is nothing special, and the Rangers are much better against left handed pitching than right handers. Adrian Beltre is one of the big reasons why. He crushes lefties. Santiago has struggled with this Texas lineup in the past.

Look for a lot of runs in this one.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* MLB O/U Play

Cardinals vs. Nationals Under 6.5

The St. Louis Cardinals and Washington Nationals have terrific pitching staffs. Michael Wacha and Max Scherzer will toe the rubber on Thursday afternoon. Both of these guys have dominating stuff, and this is the type of game that could easily finish 1-0 or 2-1.

Wacha had some injuries last year, but he has been back in form this year. Wacha's movement on his fastball is tremendous, and he's developing some nice secondary pitches. Washington's offense is still a bit of a problem area. The Nationals don't have enough lineup depth right now.

Scherzer is one of the top five pitchers in the game today. He has all the pitches, and he commands them all very well. St. Louis is a team that strikes out quite a bit against elite pitching, so he should rack up the strikeouts here.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* MLB Over/Under Play

The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday night.

A relatively low total for this one given the pitching matchup. Mike Pelfrey has been a disaster since making the move to the American League. He has a 5.51 ERA in his time with the Twins, including a 6.21 ERA over the last two seasons. He'll face a Royals team that's scoring 5.8 runs per game on the season.

The Royals' hopes of keeping the Twins off the board doesn't look much better. In addition to having a depleted bullpen with Greg Holland and Kelvin Herrera both out, Jeremy Guthrie toes the rubber for Kansas City, and he gave up a combined nine earned runs in his two starts against Minnesota last year.

The over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Wednesday 8* NBA O/U Play.

Twins vs. Indians OVER 8.5

The Cleveland Indians are a better team than they have shown so far this year. Cleveland is a team that should contend for the MLB playoffs, and they have had some bad injury luck early in the year.

The Minnesota Twins are going in the right direction, but it's a slow process. Minnesota has a lot of youngsters who are going to take a lot of time to develop. They have some of them in the majors already, and they aren't ready yet.

Trevor May hasn't proven he is ready for the bigs. May has poor control and the Indians are a patient offense. T.J. House was crushed in his first start this year, but he was solid last year. Thing is...that was last year.

Over is 4-0 in Indians last 4 Sunday games.  Over is 4-0 in Houses last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  Over is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Over is 11-3 in Twins last 14 games as a home underdog.

We're playing the OVER on Sunday.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 7* MLB O/U Crusher Play

UNDER 8.5

The Minnesota Twins host the Cleveland Indians on Saturday in the second game of a three-game set. Twins starter Phil Hughes has a pair of losses under his belt on the young season, but don’t let that dissuade you from buying into his abilities.

Hughes went on the road for each of his first two starts and received a total of two runs of support. Now this fly ball pitcher returns home to the cozy confines of his spacious home ballpark. The Indians counter with Danny Salazar, who comes up from the minors to get this start. Salazar has the stuff to be in the bigs but was forced down due to the Indians’ wealth of starting pitchers.

In three starts against the Twins last season, he limited Minnesota to an average of 2.3 runs per game. 

Take the UNDER. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray 

Saturday 9* MLB O/U Play

Marlins vs. Braves Under 7.5

The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves have two bad lineups. While Atlanta has been scoring a decent amount of runs so far this year, there's no way some of the guys that are hitting are going to keep up their recent pace.

Miami has an elite hitter in Stanton, but he doesn't have enough support around him. The way this Marlins lineup is right now, no one in their right mind is going to pitch to Stanton in any key situations. 

Tom Koehler is an up and down pitcher, but his career numbers against the Braves are tremendous. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts vs. Atlanta. 

Trevor Cahill should fare well pitching in Atlanta compared to Arizona.  He has a friendly park for pitchers now, and he has a good defense behind him. 

Both of these bullpens are very good, and that's an added benefit.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 8* MLB O/U Play

Nationals vs. Red Sox Under 8.5

The Washington Nationals offense is going to be a bit of an issue at times this year, but their pitching staff is unmatched in the majors. Jordan Zimmerman doesn't get enough credit for how good he truly is.

While some of the Nationals other starters get far more attention than Zimmerman, he has been the most consistent performer for a very long time. He commands all his pitches well and avoids big innings.

Rick Porcello will be on the hill for the Red Sox. Boston made a big investment in Porcello before the start of the season. He had a bumpy first start in Philadelphia, but  he has the stuff to have a nice career in Boston.

Two solid pitchers and good bullpens here are big boosts to the value of this play. Look for a low scoring battle all the way.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play

The St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds are two of the best defensive teams in the big leagues. While most want to only pay attention to the starting pitchers and the lineups, defenses are really important in baseball betting.

When these two teams get together, there are going to be a lot of runs saved because of great defensive plays. The Reds have a great middle of the diamond on defense, and the Cardinals have a tremendous infield.

John Lackey and Jason Marquis have had good velocity in the spring, and both lineups have had trouble against the opposing pitcher here. The Cardinals and Reds have had a lot of low scoring tight games over the years, and this projects as another one of those. The cool weather in Cincinnati Friday is a benefit as well.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* MLB O/U Play

Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. 

NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115

The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on Friday in the first game of a three-game set.

A pair of starters will be making their first appearances with their new clubs in this one, and they'll be getting a rude awakening in a series that has historically featured a lot of runs.

Both pitchers are tabbed as integral parts of their respective rotations, but neither closed last season particularly well. Wade Miley had a 4.85 ERA over his last 10 outings, while Nate Eovaldi had a 5.51 ERA after the All-Star break.

The Red Sox and their new offensive weapons were limited by playing in a National League park without the designated hitter in place to start the season, but they still managed to bring in 5.3 runs per game in Philadelphia, twice going over totals of 7.5 runs in that series.

The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Friday 8* MLB O/U Play.

Customer Appreciation Day: 2 Free Plays today. 

NY Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Total +5.5 un -115

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies Total +9.5 ov -115

The Houston Astros host the Cleveland Indians on Wednesday in the second game of a three-game set.

The first game of this series went down just as last year's meetings between these teams played out - runs were at a premium in a game that stayed comfortably under the number. Since the start of the 2014 season, these teams have met eight times, and each time the game stayed comfortably under the number.

In that time, the teams met in Houston five times, with an average total of combined runs of 3.4 scored in those games.

On Wednesday, another pitcher's duel should be expected. Indians starter Carlos Carrasco has a career 0.56 ERA against Houston over three appearances (two starts), while Scott Feldman closed last season on a 5-0 under run and has quietly been one of the more consistent pitchers in the American League. Feldman limited the Indians to one run on four hits over eight innings of work in his lone start against them last season.

The under is 14-3 in the Astros' last 17 games against AL Central opponents.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Wednesday 9* MLB O/U Play.

White Sox vs. Royals Under 7.5

The Chicago White Sox and Kansas City Royals both have very good left-handed pitchers on the mound Wednesday. Jose Quintana and Danny Duffy both fit the profile of quality pitchers who are underrated by most bettors.

Quintana doesn't have nasty stuff, but he knows how to change speeds and hit his spots. His record has been hurt by the White Sox terrible bullpen in recent years, but he is a quality pitcher. Chicago's bullpen is definitely better this year as well.

Danny Duffy has what might be the best defense in the majors behind him, and the Royals offense lost a key part when Billy Butler left.

The under has been the play in Quintana's recent starts against the Royals (5-1 last 6). Also, 18 of Duffy's last 24 home games have stayed under the total.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 8* MLB O/U Play

San Francisco & Kansas City under 7

Ryan Vogelsong & Jason Vargas aren't what you'd consider to be great pitchers, but their season splits would lead us to believe that Game 4 will be a low scoring affair.

Let's begin with Jason Vargas. Vargas posted a stellar 3.04 ERA away from home this season with 8 of his 13 starts on the road staying under the total. In his lone start this postseason, nerves weren't a factor as all as he pitched into the sixth inning against Baltimore, yielding just one run. The Giants lineup hit just .248 against lefties this season, five points lower than their season average as a whole. In fact, the under was 36-21 in the Giants 57 games against left-handed starters this season.

As for the Giants, they send Ryan Vogelsong to the hill, who has been spectacular at home this season. Vogey posted a 3.06 ERA at AT&T Park this year, with only 5 of his 18 starts going over the total. Vogelsong would love nothing more than to rebound after putting in a poor start against the Cardinals in the NLCS.

This is a huge game for both squads and subsequently, both managers will be looking to get the best pitchers into the game for every tough situation. Look for a low scoring affair.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

St. Louis & Los Angeles under 7.5

It's not too often that we vehemently disagree with the total in a baseball game, but that's definitely the case here. We think that this number has come in way too high because of a variety of factors that are simply false.

Public perception is that John Lackey is nothing more than a mediocre pitcher, which is probably true if you take into account all of his starts, but definitely not the case when you look at his home numbers. We'll throw out Lackey's home numbers with Boston because they really don't mean much and instead delve deep into his home numbers with the Cards. Since going over to St. Louis, Lackey has started five games at Busch Stadium and hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any of those contests. He's also struck out 27 batters in those five starts, indicating that his success hasn't been the product of luck.

Meanwhile, Hyun-Jin Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, enjoying a ton of success on the road. Ryu's 3.03 ERA and 1.116 WHIP away from home are actually better than his home numbers, which is one of the main reasons that 9 of his 13 starts on the road have stayed under the total. Ryu has started three games in his career against the Cardinals and has surrendered a total of 3 earned runs, for a sparkling 1.29 ERA. His only start in St. Louis came last year, a 5-1 victory in which he pitched 7 innings of shutout ball.

The under is 6-2-2 in Ryu's last 10 road starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 5-2 in the Cardinals last 7 home games and 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss. The under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Boston vs. Pittsburgh Under 7

The Boston Red Sox lineup is a total disaster right now. Dustin Pedroia is out for the year, and David Ortiz will likely miss this game as well. Boston has plugged in a bunch of minor leaguers in this lineup. Not surprisingly, their offensive output has been terrible in the last few weeks.

Pittsburgh’s offense isn’t the strength of their team, and quietly Clay Buchholz has been pitching really well of late. Buchholz has put together six very good starts in his last seven outings. Buchholz is clearly a better pitcher than he was showing earlier this year, and we are beginning to see that show up in his recent form.

Francisco Liriano has an ERA below one in his last three starts. He is rounding into form at the perfect time of the year for the Pirates as they chase a playoff spot. I find it unlikely that this weakened Red Sox lineup will get to Liriano in any significant way.

Both pitchers are throwing very well, and the two bullpens in this game are solid. The offenses should have a tough time getting anything going Wednesday night in Pittsburgh.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Wednesday 9* MLB O/U Play

Padres vs. Dodgers Under 7

The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet tonight in LA. San Diego has had the worst offense in the league all year long. Their top hitters (who aren’t particularly good themselves) are out for the year, and this lineup is extremely week here in the month of September.

The Los Angeles Dodgers offense has been up and down all season long, and they’ll face a very good young pitcher here in Andrew Cashner. Cashner is absolutely capable of shutting down any lineup in the majors when he is on.

Roberto Hernandez isn’t a great pitcher, but he can pitch well against lesser opponents and in the friendly confines of Dodger Stadium. In a game played at night like this one where the weather is cool, the ball doesn’t fly very well at Dodger Stadium, and that helps a guy like Hernandez. It certainly helps facing a lineup as weak as the Padres as well.

A total set at 7 might seem low, but when the San Diego Padres are involved that number isn’t low. The under is 87-51-5 in the Padres games in 2014. On the road, the under is 45-24-3 in Padres games.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Tuesday 7* MLB O/U Play

Atlanta & Washington under 7

We sometimes take caution when a play looks a little too easy but it's impossible for us to pass on this generous total tonight. Our projections have this number far too high, and we'll look to cash in with an under play here.

The Braves' hitting woes are well documented. They've hit just .239 with an abysmal .299 OBP on the road this season, and they've been absolutely pathetic in the last week, averaging just 2.1 runs per game. Things don't get any easier for Atlanta tonight as they battle Jordan Zimmermann and his sparkling 2.80 home ERA. Zimmermann is a model of consistency, rarely having a poor outing, and has gone three straight games allowing exactly 2 earned runs, while working deep into the ball game. Zimmermann has also dominated the Braves throughout his career, posting a 2.92 ERA and 1.127 WHIP in 9 career starts against Atlanta.

As long as the Nationals don't go off here, we feel we have a good opportunity to cash this under. Ervin Santana is coming off of a subpar outing against the Phillies but his recent form has been strong other than that. Santana has a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 starts and has pitched into the 6th inning in all three of those outings. Washington is hitting just .236 as a team in the last week which is an added bonus as well.

The under is 10-4-4 in the Braves last 18 games overall and 9-3-2 in the Braves last 14 games against a right-handed starter. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Washington.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Cleveland & Chicago under 7

Neither of tonight's starting pitchers are in strong form, and that allows us to get in on a total that should be at least a half run lower in this contest.

Corey Kluber is arguably one of the league's top five pitchers. His name recognition isn't strong and the betting public keeps expecting him to fall off, but all of his advanced metrics indicate that he's here to stay. Kluber comes off of a start against the Tigers where he didn't make it through 3 innings, giving up 5 earned runs in the process. While that was certainly an ugly start, the lack of innings allows for his arm to recover for a less potent White Sox lineup.

The White Sox have had their fair share of problems against Kluber as well. As a team, they've struck out 26 times in their last three games against the Indians' ace, with two of those three contests staying under the total.

On the other side of things, Jose Quintana has been roughed up a bit recently as well, but it's important to note that that damage has come at home, where Quintana hasn't pitched as well this season. The southpaw now gets to get back out on the road, where he sports a very strong 3.26 ERA this season. The Indians also struggle to hit lefties, producing just 3.6 runs per game against southpaws, compared to 4.3 runs per game on the season.

The under is 6-2 in Quintana's last 8 road starts and 19-7-3 in Quintana's last 29 starts on 5+ days of rest. The under is 19-7 in the Indians last 26 games against a left-handed starter.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Atlanta & Philadelphia under 7.5

In our opinion, the oddsmakers have set this total a full run too high. This matchup pits two average to above average ptichers against two of the league's worst offenses.

David Buchanan gets the call for the Phillies, and while Buchanan is certainly not a top tier pitcher, this looks like a good matchup for him. For starters, Buchanan is from the Atlanta are so we fully expect him to be pumped up for his first start in his hometown. Buchanan has been solid in his last three starts, surrendering just 5 ER; good for a 2.55 ERA. He's also been better on the road this season where he boasts a 3.77 ERA and a stellar 1.103 WHIP. The under is 6-1 in Buchanan's 7 road starts.

Buchanan should have no problems against a Braves' lineup that is downright awful. Atlanta has managed just 1 run in their last 4 games. To make matters worse, they've been awful in day games this season, hitting just .226 as a team; well below their season average of .244.

The Braves can rely on some solid pitching from Ervin Santana though. Santana has been lights out in his last two starts limiting the Reds and Marlins to just one run each, striking out 7 in each of those contests. Santana has also been solid at home this season with a 3.34 ERA, and he's enjoyed a lot of success against the Phillies in his career. Santana has started 5 times against Philadelphia and boasts an outstanding 2.56 ERA in those contests.

The under is 9-3-1 in Buchanan's last 13 starts as an underdog. The under is 7-1-2 in the Braves' last 10 games against N.L. East opponents.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

Miami & NY Mets over 7.5

Tuesday evening's N.L. East matchup pits a mediocre starter against a below-average starter and we believe that this game will produce a lot of runs.

Jonathan Niese gets the call for the Mets. Niese boasts a 3.48 ERA on the season but has been slightly worse on the road where his ERA jumps to 3.74 and his WHIP rises to 1.337. We have nothing against Niese, but we believe that this Marlins lineup poses some major issues for the left-hander. Miami has been raking against lefties all season long, scoring an average of 5.0 runs per game against southpaws. That's over a full run higher per game than against righties. The Marlins have seen Niese 14 times in his career, and 9 of those games have played over the total.

On the other side of things, we have very little faith in Brad Penny. The aging veteran looked decent in his return from a two year absence against Cincinnati, but faltered in his second start, giving up 4 ER in 5 IP against the lowly Diamondbacks. New York is one of the few teams in the Majors that actually hits better on the road than they do at home, and they shouldn't have much of an issue tagging Penny for some runs tonight.

The over is 10-1-2 in the Mets' last 13 road games and 3-0-2 in Niese's last 5 starts overall. The over is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Pittsburgh & Cincinnati under 7.5

The Reds enter Friday's action off of back-to-back 7 run efforts against the Cubs, but we're not buying Cincinnati's recent uptick. Even with Cincinnati's recent success, they're still batting just .209 as a team over the last week, producing 3 runs per game. The Reds took advantage of some favorable conditions at Wrigley, and are now set to battle a pitcher that is flying under the radar.

Edinson Volquez is known for being erratic at times, but he's quietly put together a solid season. The righy has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.305 WHIP; not as high as you'd expect for someone who is known to experience control issues. Volquez's last three starts have seen him shut down the Tigers, Nationals, and Brewers---three of the best hitting lineups in the Majors. Volquez worked into the sixth in each of those starts and didn't surrender more than 2 runs in any of them.

Meanwhile, Mike Leake is coming off of a strong performance against the Braves, and has been decent away from home, posting a 3.77 ERA in 14 starts. The Pirates have been known to struggle within their division where they hit 11 points lower as a team and are just 26-32 this season. Leake is also a streaky pitcher, with the under going 13-6 in his last 19 starts after he allowed less than 2 earned runs in his previous start.

The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 home games and 4-1 in Volquez's last 5 home starts.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Houston & Texas under 8

Texas exploded for 12 runs against the Mariners yesterday afternoon and that's created a total is simply too high tonight in Houston. The Rangers' 12 runs against Seattle were impressive but they came against a poor left-handed starter in Erasmo Ramirez; a situation where Texas has been raking all season long. Tonight they take on a right-handed pitcher and they've managed just 3.5 runs and a .301 OBP as a team against righties this season.

Collin McHugh isn't just an ordinary right-handed starter either; he's one of the most undervalued starters in the league. McHugh's 3.02 ERA would garner much more attention if he weren't pitching for the lowly Astros. In McHugh's last three starts, he's surrendered just 4 ER while working into the sixth inning in all three ball games.

Meanwhile, the Astros bats continue to struggle. Houston has averaged just 2.6 runs per game in the last week while hitting a pathetic .176 as a team. Nick Tepesch is a mediocre starter at best, but he too has been consistently undervalued by oddsmakers this season, and that's why the under is 9-5-2 in his 16 starts this season. Tepesch has also been very sharp against Houston, posting a 3.31 ERA in three starts against the Astros over the past two years.

The under is 12-5-1 in the Rangers last 18 road games and 20-7-3 in their last 30 games as an underdog. The under is 10-2 in the Astros last 12 games as a favorite and 6-1 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

Kansas City and Minnesota Over

The Kansas City Royals host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday night in the opening game of their three-game set at Kaufmann Stadium.

The Twins have scored the most runs in baseball in the month of August. The Twins have cashed in 135 runs in the month of August. That puts them leaps and bounds ahead of everyone else. The team has also surrendered 126 runs in the month of August. That’s the second highest total for the month of August. That’s led to a nice tidy profit for over bettors that had the foresight to hope on this bandwagon at the start of the month. The Twins are now coming off a four-game set against the Detroit Tigers which saw all four games in the series soar well over the total.

The big reason for the team’s improved offensive play has been an uptick in production from some unexpected sources. First baseman / designated hitter Kennys Vargas has been tearing it up since getting the call-up to start the month. The team’s hot scoring stretch has coincided with that date which isn’t surprising, as he’s hit .322 with four home runs and 23 RBI in 23 games.

Tuesday’s pitching matchup hardly lends itself to a turnaround in this area. Ricky Nolasco has been pitiful on the road this season, while Danny Duffy’s number appear better than they are because of some unearned runs.

The over is 15-8 in the Twins’ games in the month of August.

Take the OVER. 

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Marlins vs. Angels Over 8.5 

The Miami Marlins and Los Angeles meet on Monday night. It will be Jarred Cosart against Wade LeBlanc on the mound in this contest. Cosart has pitched well of late, but I think his numbers are a bit inflated. LeBlanc is in the rotation only because Garrett Richards went down with a season-ending injury.

Cosart is a guy that allows a bunch of baserunners because of his poor control. He can make that work against a lot of teams, but it will be tough against the Angels. This Angels lineup is one of the best in baseball, and they are seeing the ball really well right now.

Wade LeBlanc has been nothing better than average in Triple A this year. In the past, he hasn’t been a good big league pitcher. I can’t imagine him all at once becoming a good pitcher in the bigs after many failed experiments here in the past. Miami’s offense has been firing on all cylinders of late.

With these two pitchers on the hill, we should see plenty of baserunners in this game. As long as these teams cash in on a decent amount of their opportunities this coasts over the total.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play

Minnesota Twins & Detroit Tigers Over 

The Minnesota Twins host the Detroit Tigers on Sunday afternoon in the third game of a three-game set at Target Field. 

Runs have certainly not come at a premium in this series, and things should be no different when the teams meet on Sunday. The Tigers have scored better than five runs per game in their last 10 meetings with the Twins. On Sunday they face Kyle Gibson, who has a career 6.00 ERA against them. 

The Tigers counter with Max Scherzer, who hasn’t defended his Cy Young Award well this season. In his last start, he gave up four runs against the Tampa Bay Rays, and will be in tough against a hot-hitting Twins team that has scored over six runs per game over their last 10 games against the Tigers.

With the first two games in this series easily soaring past the total, we’ll happily get behind the over on an even lower total between these two hot-hitting teams.

The over is 6-2 in Gibson’s last eight starts overall, and it is 7-1 in the Tigers’ last eight games as a favorite.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Indians vs. Twins under 8.5 

The Cleveland Indians and Minnesota Twins meet on Tuesday night. Cleveland is playing better of late, thanks largely to the fact that they are getting much better pitching. The Indians bullpen has been one of the best in baseball over the past few weeks. The rotation has been giving them quality starts.

Minnesota’s offense isn’t good at all. Joe Mauer is back, but it doesn’t appear he is completely healthy. The Twins got rid of Josh Willingham, who was really their only other veteran bat in the lineup. Now, they have a bunch of youngsters who have a lot of growing up to do.

Kyle Gibson seems to either throw a gem or get blasted. Gibson has pitched three times in his career against the Indians and his ERA is under 2, so I’m thinking he’ll pitch a gem tonight. Cleveland’s offense has been wildly inconsistent all year long.

Trevor Bauer has shown promise his whole career, and he appears to be putting it together in recent outings. Expect him to look good against this weak Minnesota lineup. The total here is set too high given the circumstances. 

Take the under.

Good luck, Razor Ray

Tuesday 7* Play on Indians vs. Twins Under 8.5

Atlanta & Oakland under 7

Friday's interleague matchup between the Braves and A's exhibits all the signs of being a pitcher's duel. Oakland sends Jason Hammel to the mound, who regressed severely after being traded to Oakland, but has settled down since. In Hammel's last two starts, he's surrendered just 1 ER, while working into the sixth inning in both ball games. Hammel has the luxury of pitching against a woeful Braves lineup. Atlanta is averaging just 3.1 runs per game over the last week and their .306 OBP as a team this season is among the league's worst marks.

Meanwhile, the Braves counter with Alex Wood, who has been lights out since returning to the rotation. Wood's 2.83 ERA in his starts this season is no fluke, as he's struck out 100 batters in just over 101 innings. Wood has been practically unhittable in his last three starts, giving up just 1 ER in each, and striking out a total of 25 batters. Oakland boasts one of the league's better offenses but they've been relatively normal since trading Yoenis Cespedes to the Red Sox at the Trade Deadline. They'll also lose the DH in this interleague matchup.

The under is 8-3-3 in the A's last 14 games as a road underdog. The under is 7-3-2 in Wood's last 12 home starts and 16-5 in the Braves' last 21 interleague games as a home favorite of less than -150.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

Padres vs. Pirates Under 7 

The San Diego Padres and Pittsburgh Pirates meet tonight in a game that I expect to be void of much offense at all. Both of these lineups have been weak all year, and now we have the Pirates without star Andrew McCutchen.

Without McCutchen, the Pirates offense is really in trouble. There aren’t many people in the majors that mean more to their team than McCutchen. Look for the Pirates offense to hit a wall without him in the lineup in the coming weeks.

San Diego’s offense has been historically bad this year. The Padres are dead last in every major offensive category. The Padres have hit a bit better of late, but I’m not convinced that’s a long-term change. This offense is just terrible and I don’t see that changing.

Both of these pitchers are high quality. Ian Kennedy is having a great bounceback season and so is Vance Worley. These are two guys who no one was high on at the beginning of the season, but their numbers are tremendous. Worley has a 2.08 ERA pitching at PNC Park, and Kennedy has thrown it great in his last few starts. 

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 8* MLB O/U Play

Los Angeles Angels and Los Angeles Dodgers Over.

The Los Angeles Angels host the Los Angeles Dodgers in the fourth game of a four-game set on Thursday.

We’ll see an interesting matchup on the mound in this one, with C.J. Wilson facing off against Hyun-Jin Ryu. The total installed for this contest, 7.5, would lead one to believe that a pair of aces are set to face off, and that they’re both in fine form, particularly in an AL venue, but that couldn’t be further from the truth.

C.J. Wilson enters this contest having posted a 14.46 ERA and 2.89 WHIP over his last three starts. In his first start off the disabled list, he was removed after just 1 1/3 innings, the shortest outing of his career. Now he’ll face a deep and talented Dodgers lineup looking to turn on him. As for Ryu, opponents have scored 3.4 runs per game against him this season, but he hasn’t faced a lineup as potent as this Angels team.

At a total of 8, this play would drop to a 6* rating.

The over is 5-0 in Wilson’s last five starts overall, and it is 4-1 in Ryu’s last five interleague starts.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Orioles vs. Nationals Under 7 

The Baltimore Orioles and Washington Nationals meet in an interleague rivalry series. These two teams aren’t far apart, and this is always an interesting clash. In Monday night’s meeting, there are two good young starting pitchers on the mound.

Kevin Gausman has electric stuff, and in his last few starts he has really put it together. Gausman was great against the Angels, one of the best offenses in baseball, in his last outing. He throws very hard and has good breaking pitches. Washington’s offense is missing Ryan Zimmerman, and that hurts them badly.

Tanner Roark has a career ERA of 1.60 when pitching at home. Roark has been solid everywhere, but he has completely dominated at home. The Baltimore offense has cooled off in a big way of late. Baltimore isn’t getting production from the middle of their lineup lately.

The Nationals bullpen is one of the best in baseball, and the Orioles bullpen is much improved. If the starting pitchers pitch as well as I expect, the bullpens should be able to keep this one under the posted total. 

Take the under. 

Monday 9* MLB O/U Play

Rangers vs. Indians Over 9 

The Texas Rangers and Cleveland Indians meet on Saturday night, and I expect there to be a lot of runs in this one. Here we have two pitchers who have both been throwing the ball pretty poorly of late.

T.J. House is nothing more than a slightly below average left-hander that the Indians are forcing into the rotation because they really don’t have any other option. He’s basically a last resort type of option, but that’s where they are with lack of pitching depth. 

Texas hits left-handers much better than right-handed pitchers, which means the Rangers should be ready to jump on the young lefty from Cleveland. Look for the Rangers to be aggressive on offense and put up some runs early.

Texas counters with Miles Mikolas who has an ERA of 8.5 so far this year. Cleveland’s offense has been really inconsistent this year, but the Indians are much better at scoring runs on their home field. I see them getting plenty of chances to score against Mikolas.

Nine isn’t a high number when you see two pitchers like this. Expect these teams to eclipse this total with relative ease.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 7* MLB O/U Play

Baltimore Orioles & Los Angeles Angels Under

The Baltimore Orioles host the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday in the opening game of a three-game set at Oriole Park.

This same pitching matchup went down in Los Angeles to close that series last week, and it was the lone win in the series for the Angels. The team claimed a 3-2 victory behind a strong pitching performance from starter Jered Weaver, who allowed two runs on six hits in eight innings of work. Chris Tillman also pitched well, allowing one run on five hits over six innings of work. 

Tillman’s been better at home this season, posting a 2.89 ERA in his home ballpark, though run support has been an issue as he’s compiled a 1-5 record in those contests. After posting a 5.68 ERA in the month of May, Tillman bounced back, posting a 3.09 ERA in the months of June and July. The majority of the Orioles’ top bats are right-handed, which is good news for Weaver, who owns a very dramatic split, allowing left-handed hitters to bat for a .263 average, while holding righties to a .160 batting average. Both pitchers have been strong through the month of July after shaky starts, though the total in this contest would have one believe they haven’t been able to turn things around. With a lofty total in this contest thanks to the slow-changing public perception associated with these pitchers, making the under the play.

The under is 7-0 in the Orioles’ last seven games overall, and it is 19-6-1 in Tillman’s last 26 home starts.

The under is also 6-1 in the Angels’ last seven games overall, and 19-7-1 in the Orioles’ last 27 home games.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Pirates vs. Rockies over 10.5 

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies meet in a day game at Coors Field on Sunday afternoon. Day games at Coors Field can instantly become high scoring slugfests, and this feels like one of those types of games to me.

Edinson Volquez has pitched relatively well of late, but I expect that to end here. He has a career ERA at Coors Field of 8.45. This Colorado lineup isn’t at full strength, but there are still plenty of guys in the lineup who have crushed it in the past against Volquez.

Franklin Morales has an ERA well above 5, and he likely wouldn’t have a starting spot on any other team in the majors. The Rockies are totally desperate for starters at this point, so Morales continues in the rotation despite his ugly performances.

Both of these guys have been getting hit hard consistently, and a day game at Coors Field is just horrible for pitchers. While the posted total is definitely set high, I don’t believe it will be high enough. There should be plenty of big innings in this one. 

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 8* MLB O/U Play

Texas Rangers & Oakland Athletics Under

The Texas Rangers host the Oakland Athletics on Saturday evening in the second game of a three-game set in Arlington. Texas claimed the opener in the series on Friday, 4-1.

The Athletics have been a very pleasant surprise offensively this season, with many players on the roster really establishing themselves as All-Star-caliber players. With that said, the team has had some trouble of late scoring the baseball on the road. Looking back at their last 10 games, the Athletics have averaged just 2.3 runs per game in four road contests, compared with 7.2 runs per game in six home contests.

On Saturday, they’ll oppose Nick Tepesch, and while Tepesch has gotten beaten up a bit of late, opponents have averaged only 5.1 runs per game in his starts for the season. The Athletics counter with Sonny Gray, who has been a revelation this season. Opponents have averaged only 2.9 runs per game in his starts, and that number falls to 1.3 runs per game over his last three starts, in which he’s posted a 0.84 ERA. Expect him to find plenty of success against a lineup of Ranger bats that is largely made up of re-treads.

The under is 5-0 in the Rangers’ last five games overall.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

White Sox vs. Twins Under 8.5 

The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins have offenses that are struggling to string together hits. Minnesota is really hurting in a big way without Joe Mauer in the lineup and the White Sox lineup has finally come back to earth after overachieving for most of the year.

Hector Noesi certainly isn’t a good pitcher, but he has gotten steadily better through the year, and I’m not sure it takes a good pitcher to slow down the current Twins lineup. On the other hand, Phil Hughes has been excellent all year and I have plenty of faith in him being able to throw a quality game here.

Both starters have done a nice job extending themselves and working later into games as the season has moved along, which should be helpful in this one. I feel like this total is inflated based on the lineups that are going to be run out there. These aren’t the opening day lineups for these teams, rather they are short-handed lineups that aren’t very good.

It will be tough for these two teams to get to nine. 

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 7* MLB O/U Play

Atlanta Braves & Miami Marlins OVER 7.5

The Atlanta Braves host the Miami Marlins on Tuesday in the second game of a four-game set at Turner Field.

Mike Minor gets the nod for the Braves in this one. He has not been able to replicate the form that made him so successful a year ago, and he has seen his ERA climb by more than a full run over his last 10 starts. His 14.9 percent HR/FB rate is a big reason for his struggles. Minor’s last start before the break was his worst in a month, as he allowed six runs in six innings of work, surrendering 11 hits and walking one while striking out five. Minor will be making his first start against the Fish this season in this one. He faced the Marlins six times last season, and those outings did not go very well for him. In those six outings, Minor allowed four or more runs four times, including each of the last three meetings, and each of the three meetings at Turner Field.

The Marlins counter with Jacob Turner. Turner was relegated to the bullpen as his season completely came off the rails. Turner was 2-4 with a 6.38 ERA in nine starts before he was moved to the bullpen. Turner had gotten a start in against the Braves before he was relegated to the bullpen, and it did not go well. In five innings of work, he allowed five runs, four of them earned, on seven hits, walking four and striking out four in a 9-5 Marlins loss.

Neither starter in this matchup instills much confidence, and both have what it takes to get lit up by the opposing lineup. Even still, we see a total installed for this matchup as if the oddsmakers expected a pitcher’s duel. With such a strong chance of seeing fireworks in this one, the over has to be the place to look.

The over is 5-0-1 in Minor’s last six starts against the Marlins, and it is 9-3-1 in Turner’s last 13 starts as an underdog.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Orioles vs. Angels Over 8.5 

The Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Angels have two of the best offenses in the majors. Los Angeles is a totally different offense now that Josh Hamilton is healthy and hitting the ball well. With Pujols, Hamilton and Mike Trout this lineup is stacked.

Baltimore’s lineup is impressive with Jones, Machado, Davis, and Nelson Cruz. This is a team of mashers and they are capable of exploding and hitting several home runs at any time. The explosive nature of both offenses makes a total like 8.5 seem quite low.

The pitchers in this one are far from impressive. Shoemaker is coming back to earth after starting out very well for the Angels. Based on his minor league numbers, I expect the move backwards to continue for him.

Bud Norris pitches for the Orioles. He has been nothing better than mediocre this year, and he is coming off an injury to pitch in this one. Both of these bullpens are subpar, which should allow for more scoring chances late in the game. Look for a good amount of offense in this contest. Take the over.

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play

Toronto Blue Jays & Boston Red Sox Under

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox on Monday in the opening game of a four-game set at the Rogers Center.

The Blue Jays give the ball to Drew Hutchison in the opener of this series. Hutchison was happy to see the All-Star break come down as he was having some real trouble entering that time off. In his final five starts before the break, Hutchison compiled a 1-4 record and saw his ERA climb 54 points. However, Hutchison’s quietly been quite effective for the Blue Jays this season, though, entering that stretch of games with a 5-4 record and a 3.62 ERA. In his last start against the Red Sox, Hutchison earned the win, allowing only one earned run over 5 2/3 innings of work, giving up six hits and walking two while striking out four batters in a Blue Jays win at Fenway Park.

John Lackey counters for the Red Sox. He entered a real rough patch prior to the break, but appeared to re-find his groove in his final start before the layoff. After throwing a complete-game shutout against the Minnesota Twins on June 18, Lackey surrendered 16 earned runs in 14 innings of work over his next three starts. In his final start before the break, though, Lackey produced a quality outing, allowing two runs over six innings of work in an 8-3 win over the Houston Astros. While Lackey has struggled to earn wins against the Blue Jays while with the Red Sox, he remains a quality starter and faces a depleted lineup in this one. Additionally, Hutchison has flown under the radar, but he has the stuff to control this Red Sox lineup.

The under is 12-4 in the Blue Jays’s last 16 games overall, and it is 6-2 in Hutchison’s last eight starts overall.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Miami & San Francisco under 7.5

The Miami Marlins host the San Francisco Giants in an N.L. affair on Friday evening. Both starters in this matchup have shown poor form as of late and that allows us to get in on a total that is simply too high.

Madison Bumgarner is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he really hasn't pitched that poorly. Bumgarner only allowed 2 home runs total in those 3 games but has been victimized by an insanely high BABIP, which simply can't last forever. The good news for the lefty is that he goes up against a Marlins' offense that simply hasn't done anything in the last month. Aside from Giancarlo Stanton, the Marlins are void of dangerous hitters and Bumgarner should have no issues attacking the strike zone.

Nathan Eovaldi has a 4.05 ERA in his last 3 starts but most of that damage was done by the A's three starts ago, where Eovaldi surrendered 5 earned runs. Eovaldi has given up more than 3 ER just three times in his last 10 starts. His career numbers against the Giants are poor but this San Francisco offense is dead weight right now, having scored more than 5 runs just once in their last 21 games.

The under is 13-5-3 in Bumgarner's last 21 road starts and 7-0 in the Giants' last 7 during game 1 of a series. The under is 3-1-1 in Eovaldi's last 5 starts overall and 4-1 in the Marlins' last 5 games against N.L. West opponents.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

New York & Cincinnati under 8.5

The New York Yankees host the Cincinnati Reds on Friday in the opening game of a three-game set at Yankee Stadium. This game marks the first game back from break for both sides.

Many will be surprised to see that David Phelps is tabbed as the starter for the Yankees' first game back from break, but that would only be because he's flown under the radar for the team. Phelps sports a 3.94 ERA, which is only as high as it is because he's been prone to the occasional blow up. Over his last three starts heading into the break, Phelps posted a 2.41 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.

The Reds counter with Mike Leake. A ground-ball pitcher, Leake's natural style will help negate Yankee Stadium's hitter-friendly dimensions. The righty sports a 3.54 ERA for the season, and will oppose a Yankees' lineup that has struggled to generate runs this season.
The under is 10-2 in the Yankees' last 12 series openers, and it is 6-0 in the Yankees' last six games following an off day.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Los Angeles Dodgers & San Diego Padres Over

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on Friday night in the second game of a four-game set. San Diego is coming of fa 2-1 win in the opening game of the series on Thursday.

This game features a pair of starting pitchers that could get lit up on Friday, and that has us looking at the over in this one. Dan Haren has been terrible in his first year with the Dodgers. The wheels have really come off for him of late, as he's posted a 6.48 ERA over his last three outings.

The Padres counter with Jesse Hahn, who has had a lot of luck in the early part of his major league career. His minor league numbers weren't great, yet he's had success in his first six starts with the big club this season. He features a great curve, but as hitters watch tape on the kid and learn to lay off that pitch, Hahn will have more and more difficulty getting professional hitters out.

The over is 5-1 in Haren's last six starts overall.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Texas & Houston under 8

The Texas Rangers host the Houston Astros in an A.L. West affair on Wednesday night. We believe that the oddsmakers have missed the mark with this posted total.

It's no secret that Yu Darvish is one of the best pitchers in baseball. Darvish boasts a 2.63 ERA in 16 starts this season, but he's been even more dominant at home, where he's given up just 12 ER in 8 starts. His WHIP in Arlington is less than 1.000 which is just unheard of, and the under is 6-1-1 in his 8 home starts. The Astros hit just .239 as a team away from home, and they've managed just 3 runs in their last three games against Darvish.

Astros starter Dallas Keuchel has come back down to earth after his incredible start to the season, but he's still an above average starter. Keuchel's 2.89 ERA in 9 road starts is one of the best numbers in the league, and he hasn't done it with smoke and mirrors. Keuchel pitched a complete game shutout against the Rangers earlier this season and should find success against an overrated Rangers offense.

The under is 19-5-2 in Darvish's last 26 home starts and is 5-2 in Darvish's last 7 starts against the Astros.
Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Washington Nationals & Baltimore Orioles Over

The Washington Nationals host the Baltimore Orioles on Monday in the opening game of a four-game series that will see the teams make the trip over to Baltimore midway through.

Stephen Strasburg gets the nod for the Nationals in this one. He's been shaky of late, and that led to us backing the over in his last start. That ticket cashed, and we'll go right back to the well in this one as the overrated Strasburg faces a hot-hitting Orioles club that can really rake. Overs have been commonplace when Strasburg gets the nod. He hasn’t pitched nearly as well as the prices he’s been getting tabbed with would indicate.

Chris Tillman counters for the Orioles. Tillman faced the Nationals last season and that outing did not go very well. The Orioles came away with a victory, but they needed nine runs and some strong bullpen play to pull it off. Tillman allowed six runs on eight hits, four of them home runs, over 4 2/3 innings of work.

The over is 15-5-1 in Strasburg’s last 21 starts overall, and it is 7-1 in Tillman’s last eight starts as a road underdog.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

NY Mets & Texas under 6.5

The New York Mets play host to the Texas Rangers in an interleague affair on Friday night.

This total may look low at first glance but there are a TON of factors that favor the under in this contest. Pitching and hitting aside, this game is being played at Citi Field, a park that has produced just 81.5% of the total runs that an average Major League ballpark has produced this season. Citi Field is already a hitter's nightmare, but it will be especially favoring pitchers tonight when the wind is blowing directly in from center field at approximately 25mph!

Neither of these offenses have been particularly potent this season, and they've actually been far worse as of late. The Rangers have some decent bats in the middle of the order but aside from that, their lineup resembles that of a AAA squad. The Mets, meanwhile, are just a debacle from top to bottom.

Yu Darvish gets the nod for the Rangers, and while he's often knocked for not being as good on the road as he is at home, he still boasts an outstanding 3.18 ERA in 7 starts away from home. The Mets counter with Jon Niese who has been stellar at Citi Field this year, limiting opponents to just 13 ER in 7 starts.

The under is 23-10-3 in Darvish's last 36 starts overall. The under is 12-3-1 in Niese's last 16 home starts and 18-7 in the Mets last 25 interleague home games.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Under 7.5 

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates both have poor offenses, and those offenses have been squandering run scoring opportunities of late. Arizona has seen 6 straight games finish under the posted total. The Pirates have seen 6 of their last 7 games go under the posted total.

Brandon McCarthy and Vance Worley are both underrated starters in my opinion. McCarthy has lost a bunch of games this year, but it really hasn’t been due to his poor pitching. It has been largely due to some bad luck and horrible run support from the Diamondbacks offense.

Worley pitched well in Philadelphia a few years ago before struggling when being shipped to Minnesota. He’s now in a pitcher-friendly park in Pittsburgh, and that has helped his numbers in a big way.

Both of these pitchers normally give up quite a few home runs, but homers are tough to come by at PNC Park. It isn’t going to be blazing hot at all, rather it will be around 70 degrees for this one, so the park should continue to play big.

Look for the two pitchers to get the best of the opposing offenses. 

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

7* Thursday MLB O/U Play

The Boston Red Sox host the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday in the third game of a three-game set at Fenway Park. The Cubs are coming off a 2-1 victory in the second game of the series on Tuesday.

Brandon Workman gets the nod for the Red Sox in this one. He’s quietly been very strong for the team since moving into the team’s starting rotation, posting a 3.60 ERA and 1.11 WHIP while limiting opposing hitters to a .206 batting average. That comes despite facing a relatively difficult slate of opponents, squaring off against the Cleveland Indians twice, the Baltimore Orioles, and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. He should be able to continue his strong play against a lousy Chicago Cubs lineup. The Cubs entered play on Tuesday with the second-lowest batting average in baseball in batting average (.231), and OPS (.661). Over their previous 10 games, the Cubs scored just 29 runs while slashing .203/.246/.307 in those contest.

The Cubs counter with Travis Wood. He hit a bump in the road in the month of May but has really settled down in the month of June. In June, Wood posted a 3.19 ERA, and looks to continue his strong play into July. The under is an attractive proposition in this contest with a pair of underrated pitchers facing off against a pair of lineups that aren’t in the greatest forms. Workman and Wood should engage in a nice little pitching battle as this game stays comfortably under a number that the general public has been nice enough to inflate for us.

The under is 22-5 in the last 27 games at Fenway Park, and it is 16-6 in the Red Sox last 22 games overall.

Take the UNDER.

Washinton Nationals & Colorado Rockies Over 7.5

The Washington Nationals host the Colorado Rockies in the second game of their series at Nationals Park on Tuesday.

Stephen Strasburg gets the call for the Nationals in this one. He’s endured some struggles over his last few outings, dropping each of his last three starts. In those outings, he hasn’t been as effective as we’re used to seeing him. Strasburg allowed 14 runs on 24 hits, four of which left the part, lasting only 17 1/3 innings in those three outings. The worst of the bunch came in his last start when he surrendered seven runs, all of them earned in a start against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Luckily for Strasburg, he’ll be returning home to make this start, and his teammates have been spotting him plenty of runs when he takes the hill at Nationals Park. In his last three starts there, the Nationals have score 21 runs, good for an average of 7.0 per game.

The Nats have a good chance of continuing to positively back their ace on Tuesday when they step into the batter’s box and see Christian Friedrich toeing the rubber. Friedrich has made two starts since returning to the bigs, lasting 10 innings in those outings. That’s just about where the positives end for Friedrich, as he’s allowed 14 runs and 20 baserunners in those outings. After allowing nine runs in six innings of work at home against the Milwaukee Brewers, he went on the road to face that same Brewers team, and was only able to last four innings, this time giving up five runs, all of them earned.

Friedrich is a gas can, and giving him any credit because of which hand he picks the ball up with would be foolish. The guy simply can’t get major league hitters out with regularity. As for Strasburg, he’ll be facing a good Rockies lineup that can score runs, and while they may not light up the scoreboard, they won’t have to with this low total.

The over is 14-3-3 in the Rockies’ last 20 games overall, and 13-3-1 in their last 16 road games.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

NY Yankees & Boston under 8.5

The New York Yankees play host to the Boston Red Sox on Sunday Night Baseball. We believe the under is worth a strong look with two of the more underrated pitchers in the league on the mound.

Chase Whitley gets the call for New York, coming off of a blowout loss in Toronto. Whitley's ERA ballooned to 4.07 after his last start, but we'll give him a pass for getting shredded at the Rogers Centre. Whitley was facing the Jays for the second time in six days, which is a tough spot for any pitcher in the MLB. Whitley returns home where he's started twice for the Yankees this season, surrendering a total of three runs. He also has an advantage in that the Red Sox have not yet had a look at him.

Meanwhile, Red Sox pitcher John Lackey is in a very similar situation, having been roughed up last time out. Lackey gave up 7 earned runs in hist last start in Seattle; just the fourth time in 16 starts this season that Lackey has been tagged for more than 3 earned runs. Lackey has a strong 1.196 WHIP this season, which is a very important factor when pitching at home run friendly Yankee Stadium.

At the end of the day, we feel that this total would have been at least a half run lower had this game taken place a week ago. Oddsmakers have overreacted to each pitcher's last start and we'll gladly take advantage of a total that is simply too high.

The under is 21-8-1 in the Red Sox last 30 games overall and the under is 13-5 in Lackey's last 18 road starts. The under is also 10-4 in the Yankees last 14 games against a right-handed pitcher.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

San Diego & Arizona under 7

The San Diego Padres host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday night and we believe that this game will be a very low scoring affair.

The pitching matchup in this one is Eric Stults vs. Josh Collmenter; hardly a battle of two aces. But baseball is much more than pitching and we will take advantage of two of the worst offenses in the league that don't matchup particularly well with the pitchers on the mound.

Eric Stults is a mediocre left-handed pitcher, but that doesn't mean he can't exploit a D'Backs lineup that has struggled against lefties all season. Arizona is just 5-12 against LHP this season with 10 of those 17 games staying under the total. The D'Backs have also been deplorable in the last week, averaging just 3.1 runs per game and hitting .236 as a team.

Meanwhile, we could write and opus on how epically bad the Padres offense has been this season. San Diego averages just 3.0 runs per game, and their team OBP of .268 is lower than most teams' batting averages. Josh Collmenter has a 1.221 WHIP in his road starts this season and San Diego will struggle to produce runs without having any runners on base.

The under is 5-2 in Collmenter's last 7 starts overall. The under is also 38-16-2 in San Diego's last 56 home games and the under is 6-1-1 in Stults' last 8 starts overall.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Angels vs. Royals Over 8.5

The Los Angeles Angels have one of the best offenses in baseball. They are particularly strong against left-handed pitching. Jason Vargas is a mediocre lefty who has pitched better than expected so far this year. Vargas’ career numbers tell me he will regress in the coming months.

Matt Shoemaker’s numbers weren’t particularly good in the minors, so it certainly seems odd that he would all at once be tremendous when he comes to the majors. Shoemaker is going to be one of those guys who starts getting hit harder as the opposing teams get more of a read on the way he pitches.

With two starters who should be regressing soon and two offenses who have been hitting it well of late, this total is set relatively low. The weather should help here as we’ll have a hot day with the wind whipping out toward left field.

A 4-4 game gets us to a win here. Look for both teams to put up several runs in this contest. There’s too much value on the over for me to overlook this one.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

8* Friday MLB O/U Play

Philadelphia & Atlanta under 7.5

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves on Friday evening and we don't expect to see many runs in this contest.

Julio Teheran gets the call for the Braves and he's been lights out this season. His 2.41 ERA through 112 IP is remarkable and we don't see much regression coming for him in the near future. Teheran has surrendered just 1 ER in his last two starts against the Phillies; one of those starts being a complete game shutout. Philadelphia has struggled to produce offense all season long and they're one of the worst offenses in the league against right-handed pitching, so we give Teheran a major edge here.

On the other side of things, Kyle Kendrick doesn't exactly inspire confidence, but his numbers against the Braves are very solid. Kendrick has a 3.34 ERA in 16 career starts against Atlanta, and this Braves offense is much worse than in years past. Similarly to Philadelphia, Atlanta has struggled to produce runs all season long and they've been abysmal at creating runs away from home.

The under is 38-14-1 in the Braves last 53 road games with a total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is also 6-0-1 in Teheran's last 7 starts as a road favorite. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds Over

The San Francisco Giants host the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday in the opening game of a four-game set.

The Giants send out Ryan Vogelsong in this one, and it's gotten to the point where the team's fans are legitimately questioning why this guy continues to get starts for the team. In his last five starts, Vogelsong has a 5.97 ERA with a 1.57 WHIP. In four of those five games, nine or more runs were scored by the two teams combined. Now he faces a Reds team that is getting healthy and starting to hit the ball with authority.

The Reds counter with Mike Leake, who has endured some struggles of his own of late. In four of his last five starts he's allowed at least four runs, including the two road starts in the bunch. He's faced San Francisco once already this month, allowing five runs in five innings of work, giving up a pair of home runs in that outing.

The over is 6-1 in the Reds' last seven series openers, and it is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between these teams in San Francisco.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Boston vs. Seattle Under 7 

Boston and Seattle meet tonight in a late game. Clay Buchholz starts for the Red Sox. It’s his first start in about a month. I believe he’ll be much better now that he is healthier, and his career numbers against the Mariners are solid.

Hisashi Iwakuma is a guy I’ve liked for a long time. Iwakuma could be a staff ace for a bunch of teams. He isn’t the ace here since King Felix is ahead of him, but Iwakuma just keeps putting up amazing numbers. He has nasty stuff and is at his best when pitching at Safeco.

Boston’s bats have been disappointing all year. The Red Sox offense should be better than they are, but when you are slumping with the bats you definitely don’t want to come up against a guy like Iwakuma who is a strikeout machine.

Seattle is short-handed right now with several key bats on the disabled list. Buchholz is a swing and miss type of pitcher, and the Mariners have a lot of guys in their lineup who strike out frequently.

Look for both pitchers to rack up the punch outs in this one.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

7* Wednesday MLB O/U Play

Houston Astros & Atlanta Braves Under

The Houston Astros host the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday in the second game of a three-game set. Atlanta is coming off a 3-2 victory in the opening game of the series on Tuesday.

The Braves send out Alex Wood for this contest. Wood is only getting the nod in this one because of an injury to Gavin Floyd, but the reality is his return to the majors is long overdue. Wood has been shredding minor league hitters for a while now, showing that he belongs back with the big club, and while he needed an injury to get the nod, that doesn't change the fact that he's in a strong position to be effective. The Astro offense was hot for a while, but its regressed to the tune of 20 runs in its last eight games (2.5 runs per game)

Collin McHugh counters for the Astros, and he's quietly been very effective for the team. He's posted a 2.76 ERA and 1.09 WHIP for the team in his 11 starts, and could be in line for another good outing against a Braves team that has been wildly inconsistent hitting the baseball.

The under is 11-3-1 in Wood's last 15 starts overall.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Brewers vs. Rockies Over 10.5

We cashed in with the Brewers vs. Rockies over on Saturday afternoon, and we’re headed back to the well on Sunday. Once again, it’s a high number, but we do get 10.5 here instead of the 11 we got yesterday.

Kyle Lohse has been good this year, but he has a career ERA of 6.67 at Coors Field. Colorado’s offense is a bit short-handed right now, but this team has plenty of guys who can hit the ball very well waiting in the wings.

Matzek is a rookie starter for the Rockies, and based on his minor league numbers I don’t expect too much from him in the majors, especially right away. The Brewers offense has quickly become one of the best in baseball with the team surrounding star Ryan Braun with lots of very solid hitters.

Day games at Coors Field are well-known for being very high scoring. Either of these teams could put up 9 or 10 runs on their own and it would be no big surprise at all. Look for the ball to be flying well at Coors Field on Sunday afternoon. Take the over.

8* Sunday MLB O/U Play

Brewers vs. Rockies Over 11

The posted total here is set extremely high for a reason. These two teams can pile up the runs in a hurry. This is a day game at Coors Field, and anyone who follows baseball at all knows how day games at Coors Field often go. The winning team might need to put up 10 runs to pick up the W here.

Milwaukee’s offense is excellent with a healthy Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez, and now they are getting great contributions from Davis, Gomez, and Lucroy. This is a deep lineup that should torch the Rockies pitching staff.

Freidrich pitches here for the Rockies, and he has been blown up consistently in his starts in the past at Coors Field.  No reason to expect any different here. Wily Peralta is having some issues keeping the ball in the ballpark of late, and the Rockies lineup can definitely slug.

Most people see a line set at 11 and automatically want to take the under. Don’t fall into that trap on this one. It won’t surprise me to see this coast past the posted total.

Take the over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

8* Saturday MLB O/U Play

Braves vs. Nationals Under 7.5

The Atlanta Braves offense has been terrible against right-handed pitching all season. Atlanta may be without Justin Upton in this one, and he is one of their best run producers. Jordan Zimmermann is in a groove of late, and I think he is an underrated starter. Zim should be discussed among the best pitchers in the National League.

The Washington Nationals have crushed left-handed pitching, but they have been bad against right-handers as well. Gavin Floyd has pitched well for the Braves since coming off the disabled list. 

Washington feasted on Houston pitching last series, but Atlanta’s pitching well be much more difficult to pile up the runs against.

Both of these bullpens are elite, and that is always great for an under. So many times in today’s league, an under will be ruined by utterly horrible pitching, so it’s nice to feel comfortable with both bullpens heading into a game with an under ticket.

This is a big ballpark and we have two solid pitchers on the mound. In addition, there are two lineups that have had a bunch of issues putting together hits against right-handed pitchers. 

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 8* MLB O/U Play

Boston Red Sox & Minnesota Twins Under

The Boston Red Sox host the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday afternoon in the third game of a three-game set. The Red Sox are coming off a 2-1 win in the second game of the series on Tuesday.

Both teams have had their share of troubles at the plate lately, with a total of just four runs scored in the first two games of this series. The Red Sox will give the ball to John Lackey in this one. Lackey hasn’t faced the Twins yet this season, but he did face them twice last season. In those two outings, Lackey when 13 innings strong, allowing only one earned run on just seven hits. However, he did surrender five unearned runs thanks to some bad luck behind him.

Lackey’s numbers against the Twins last season are actually silly. Not only did he only allow seven hits and one earned run in 13 innings of work, he only walked one batter while striking out 13 along the way. That’s a stat line that has to strike some fear into the Twins.

On the flip side, expect Kyle Gibson to take care of his end as well. He’s held three of the last four opponents he’s faced without a run. The Red Sox will also be getting their first look at him, which is always tough.

The under is 6-1-1 in the Twins’ last eight starts, and it is 17-3-1 in the Red Sox last 21 games following a win.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

7* Play

Atlanta Braves & Philadelphia Phillies OVER

The Atlanta Braves host the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday night in the second game of a three-game set. Philadelphia won the opener of the series on Monday, 6-1.

The Braves scored only once on Monday, but the team has been better offensively of late than that performance would indicate. The team scored 5.1 runs per game over their previous 10 contests. On Tuesday they get to face Kyle Kendrick, who has taken a step back in his play of late. Kendrick has a 4.26 ERA in his last three starts. 

The Braves counter with Ervin Santana. It's been a tale of two seasons for the 31-year-old. Through his first six starts of the season, Santana compiled a 1.99 ERA with a 1.01 WHIP. In his last six starts, he's compiled a 7.02 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP. That's music to the ears of a Phillies lineup that's scored a healthy 4.3 runs per game over their last 10 contests.

The over is 8-2-2 in Santana's 12 starts with the Braves.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Padres vs. Mariners Under 7 

The San Diego Padres have the worst offense in the majors by a large margin. The Seattle Mariners offense is really hurting of late. Neither of these teams can string together hits on a consistent basis, and that often leads to them playing low scoring close games.

The Mariners offense is really hurt by several key injuries right now. Seattle is trying to fill their holes with youngsters, but these are guys who really aren’t ready for the big leagues quite yet. San Diego’s offensive woes have been going on all year. When your team batting average is below .220 you know you have some severe offensive issues.

Chris Young gives up a lot of fly balls, and he can struggle on the road, but he has been terrific at Safeco Field. Seattle’s park is a very pitcher-friendly park, and Young seems to know how to use that to his advantage perfectly. Tyson Ross is up and comer young pitcher with a terrific arm and the ability to shut down the opposing defense.

I see a lot of zero’s being put on the board in this one. Two strong outings from the starters, and both of these bullpens are top notch.

Take the under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Monday 8* MLB O/U Play

Oakland & Texas over 7.5

The Oakland Athletics host the Texas Rangers on Monday night in the opening game of a three-game set at O.co Coliseum. The Athletics are coming off a 10-5 win over the Yankees on Sunday, while the Rangers fell to the Mariners on Sunday, 5-1.

The Athletics have been crushing the ball this season, sending out one of the most imposing lineups in baseball, one which does not offer opposing pitchers any chance to take a batter off. That's going to be a problem for Colby Lewis on Monday. Lewis has struggled of late, allowing five or more runs in three of his last five and four of his last seven outings.

The Athletics counter with Drew Pomeranz, who has had a lot of luck in generating the success he's had this season. The Rangers feature some strong righty bats with the likes of Adrian Beltre and Alex Rios, and they'll be looking to feast on Pomeranz on Monday.

The over is 11-4-1 in the Athletics' last 16 home games.

Take the OVER.

7* Play

Angels vs. Braves Under 7.5 

The Los Angeles Angels will start Garrett Richards in this one. Richards was a highly touted prospect for quite some time, and he has finally found himself this year. Other than one ugly start at Oakland, Richards has been dominating opposing offenses.

Gavin Floyd has come back from an injury and given the Atlanta Braves pitching staff a major boost. Floyd has several high quality pitches and he is great at keeping the hitters guessing. The Angels hitters are overly aggressive at times, and Floyd should use that to his advantage.

Brian Gorman will be calling the balls and strikes here, and he is well-known for his large strike zone. Look for him to help both pitchers, since these are both guys who really like to nibble on the outside corners anyways. There should be several called strike threes in this game.

Look for an old fashioned pitcher’s duel in Atlanta on Saturday. Both of these guys are having terrific seasons, and they match up well against their opposition here. I expect both starters to pitch deep into the game and have lots of success.

Take the under. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday MLB 8* O/U Play 

San Francisco & Colorado Over 7.5

The San Francisco Giants host the Colorado zRockies on Saturday afternoon in the second game of a three-game set.

We get a very fair number in this one in a battle of two starting pitchers who don't really warrant this low a number. The Rockies will throw 26-year-old rookie Christian Bergman into the fire in this one against a Giants team that has one of the best home records in baseball. He'll have little in the way of support behind him as Jorge de la Rosa lasted only three innings in his start Friday night, leaving the Rockies bullpen to do plenty of work.

The Giants counter with Ryan Vogelsong, and he's just about the most overrated pitcher in baseball. He had a decent season for the Giants a couple of years ago but has been subpar since. The Rockies have really had his number, as he's posted a 9.17 ERA against Colorado in his last four starts against them.

The over is 20-6-2 in Vogelsong's last 28 starts as a favorite.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

Tigers vs. White Sox Under 7 

Two of the best pitchers in baseball get together today when Max Scherzer and the Tigers take on Chris Sale and the White Sox. Scherzer has been pitching poorly in the last couple weeks, but he has always brought his best against this White Sox team and I expect a bounce back.

Sale had been throwing the ball better than anyone in baseball before having a terrible inning in Los Angeles when Mike Trout hit a grand slam off him in the eighth inning of his last outing. While the Tigers definitely have a good lineup, Sale shut them down last year and I don’t see any reason to expect anything different today.

Both of these pitchers are completely capable of mowing down the opposition with little to no trouble. The weather is expected to be abnormally cool tonight in Chicago which should help limit the amount of balls that fly out of the park.

Detroit’s lineup has been cold, and Sale isn’t the type of guy you can face when you aren’t seeing the ball well. Scherzer’s career ERA vs. the White Sox is 2.57. Look for a pitcher’s duel on the south side of Chicago tonight. Take the under.

Thursday 8* MLB O/U Play 

Nationals vs. Giants Under 7 

The Washington Nationals and San Francisco Giants have two of the best bullpens in baseball. It’s always nice to bet an under when you can feel comfortable with how things will go in late innings. There aren’t many games where you can feel comfortable about both bullpens anymore.

In this one, it will be Roark vs. Cain in the starting pitcher matchup. Tanner Roark looked totally dominant in his last start, and he’s a youngster who is impressing this year. Matt Cain finally looked healthy again in his last outing, and we know Cain is capable of dominating when healthy.

Both of these offenses thrive on picking up timely hits, because overall neither of these offenses are particularly powerful. San Francisco’s bats have been quieted in a big way by the Nationals pitchers so far in this series. Washington has been terrible against right-handed pitching this season.

Phil Cuzzi is calling the balls and strikes here, and he’s known for having a large strike zone. Expect both of these pitchers to paint the corners all night long. It should be a long night for these two offenses. Take the under.

Wednesday 9* MLB O/U Play

Detroit & Boston under 8

The Detroit Tigers host the Boston Red Sox in an A.L. affair on Saturday evening.

We don't see where the runs are going to come from in this game. The BoSox send Jon Lester to the hill, and he's been outstanding this season, posting a 3.15 ERA and even better sabremetrics. Lester's 2.78 SIERA is one of the best in the league and his 2.69 xFIP on the road shows that he's been just as dominant away from home. Lester faces a slumping Tigers lineup that has struggled to produce runs in the last week. More importantly, the Tigers have been subpar against left-handed pitchers this season, producing runs a factor of 0.94 compared to the rest of the league.

On the other side of things, Max Scherzer takes the mound. Scherzer has been arguably the most dominant pitcher in baseball over the last calendar year and his 3.09 SIERA suggests that his success to begin this season is no fluke. Scherzer is opposed by a Red Sox lineup that---like the Tigers lineup---is struggling to put up runs as of late. The loss of Jacoby Ellsbury in the offseason was a big blow to the BoSox lineup and they've gone from being the best hitting team away from home in 2013 to one of the worst in 2014.

There are other factors at play today as well. Umpire Victor Carapazza will call balls and strikes in this matchup and over the course of the last three seasons, he's been one of the biggest under umpires in baseball because of his large strike zone. The under is 8-3-1 in Carapazza's last 12 Saturday games behind home plate. If that isn't enough, the wind is blowing in from center field at Comerica Park today as well.

The Under is 11-3-2 in Lester's last 16 road starts and is 20-5-2 in Lester's last 27 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Under is 9-3 in Scherzer's last 12 starts as a favorite.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

Phillies vs. Reds Over 8 

The Philadelphia Phillies start Roberto Hernandez on Saturday against the Reds. Hernandez hasn’t impressed me this year. He allows too many home runs, and that’s a recipe for disaster when you go to Great American Ballpark. Even without Joey Votto, the Reds have several guys who are more than capable of taking him deep.

Alfredo Simon has pitched well this season, but I expect him to fall on hard times soon. He has been lucky so far this year, and he also isn’t used to starting for a long period of time. Expect Simon to begin wearing down in the coming weeks.

The temperature is heating up across the heart of the United States, and Great American Ballpark plays a totally different way when the weather warms. This one is a day game, so the warmer weather will be even more of a factor.

Neither lineup is great, but two highly questionable pitchers and a total of just 8 runs doesn’t make any sense. Look for both starters to have trouble in this contest. Both bullpens are bad as well, so that should give us plenty of scoring chances.

Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 8* MLB O/U Play

Texas & Cleveland under 8

The Texas Rangers host the Cleveland Indians on Friday evening in the first game of a three-game set.

The Indians have struggled to score runs of late, plating just seven of them in their last four road games, and that's going to be trouble on Friday when they square off with one of the best pitchers in baseball in Yu Darvish. Darvish has a 1.57 ERA in his last three starts, including a gem in his last outing in which he held the Nationals scoreless in eight innings of work. On the season, Rangers opponents have averaged just 1.6 runs per game in Darvish's 10 starts.

The Indians counter with Trevor Bauer. Bauer has made some big strides forward this season, and has really become a more consistent pitcher. He's allowed two runs or fewer in three of his fours starts on the year. Expect to see him find some continued success against a Rangers team that has really struggled to score runs at times this year.

The under is 18-6-2 in Darvish's last 26 home starts.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

NY Yankees & Oakland under 8

The New York Yankees host the Oakland Athletics on Thursday afternoon.

The Yankees send Masahiro Tanaka to the mound and he may just be the best pitcher in baseball at the moment. Tanaka boasts an outstanding 2.06 ERA but he hasn't been doing it with smoke and mirrors. His sabremetrics indicate that he's not due for a regression anytime soon with a 2.39 SIERA and an awesome 2.15 xFIP at home. The A's are one of the best hitting teams in baseball but they have yet to see Tanaka in his Major League career so we give a strong edge to the pitcher.

On the other side of things, Drew Pomeranz gets the nod for the A's. Pomeranz isn't the elite pitcher that his numbers would indicate, but he's still a good Major League pitcher. His SIERA of 3.80 indicates that he's above average and he should be able to take advantage of a Yankees lineup that is far less potent than in previous years. New York has struggled to produce runs for the duration of the last couple of weeks.

The under is 6-1-1 in the A's last 8 road games and is 20-7-2 in the A's last 29 games against A.L. East opponents. The under is 5-1 in the Yankees last 6 games against a left-handed starter.

Take the UNDER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

9* Play

Orioles vs. Rangers Over 9 

The Baltimore Orioles have a very good lineup from top to bottom. They’ll be up against Joe Saunders, who is not a good big league pitcher. Baltimore should be able to put up several runs on Saunders before he exits.

On the other side, the Texas Rangers are a good offense at home. Rangers Ballpark is a hitter-friendly park, and this team is fully capable of taking advantage of that fact. Ubaldo Jimenez starts for the Orioles, and Jimenez is well-known for his ability to combust at any time. Texas could put up 5 or 6 runs in an inning here and it wouldn’t be a surprise.

Neither bullpen is particularly good either, so when the starting pitchers are taken out, there will be plenty more chances to score some runs.

It’s also important to note that the weather is now heating up in Texas. The game time temperature will be close to 90 degrees. As the weather heats up, the scoring bounces in a big way in games played in Arlington.

We have two pitchers who are capable of giving up a big number and two offenses who have proven they can score.

Take the over. Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Tuesday 9* MLB O/U Play