Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
04-24-24 | Bruins +100 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs. After getting routed in Game 1 of this first round Eastern Conference series, 5-1, the Maple Leafs needed to come up big in Game 2 and they did. Despite having two leads in the game (1-0 and 2-1) the Bruins could not close it out and now the series heads to Toronto all knotted up at 1-1. But despite their disappointment on Monday night there are reasons to like the visitors tonight. First, the Bruins have won each of the last three meetings with the Leafs here in Toronto by a combined score of 13-6, so Boston seems to like it just fine up here. Second is the case of Toronto star C William Nylander's mystery injury. Although the 27-year-old Swede played in all 82 regular season games for the Leafs, his production fell way off in the last three weeks and now he's missed the first two playoff games with an unnamed ailment. It's safe to say that even if Nylander is able to play tonight (that isn't likely however), he will be nowhere near 100%. The Bruins are 8-1 in the last nine meetings. Take Boston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-23-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 42 h 3 m | Show |
At 10 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clips pulled the upset in Game 1, with a 109-97 win. We'll take Dallas to bounce back in Game 2, as it is 160-105-6 ATS off a loss, when matched up against an opponent off a win (including 24-9 ATS as a road favorite). Even better: the Clippers are a wallet-crushing 5-25 ATS in the Playoffs following a SU/ATS win, if the line in the current game was 6 points or less (including 1-15 ATS off a home win). Finally, L.A. is a poor 78-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that have a .589 (or better) win percentage. Take the Mavericks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-23-24 | Suns +3 v. Wolves | Top | 93-105 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 30 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Minnesota. We played on the T-Wolves in Game 1, and they rewarded us with a 120-95 blowout victory. But off that big win -- which also snapped a nine-game ATS losing streak to the Suns -- we'll happily grab the points with Frank Vogel's men. Phoenix is 28-18 ATS on the road off a 25-point (or worse) defeat, while Minnesota is a miserable 9-19-2 ATS at home off a 25-point (or greater) win. And NBA road teams off 1st Round road losses by more than 21 points have covered 84.2% since 1991, provided they weren't off back to back losses to their opponent. Grab the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -134 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs. It seems every year in which the Maple Leafs have a winning season and register 100 points or more, the hockey experts say it's finally time for them to return to glory. But the fact is that no team lately has been as successful in the regular season while laying as big an egg in the post-season. Toronto has made the playoffs in each of the past eight seasons, yet only advanced past the first round once during that time. Despite featuring the most prolific goal-scorer in the game currently (Auston Matthews - 69 this season), the Leafs can't get out of their own way after mid-April. The Leafs have a goaltending problem right now, and it appears to be a big one. They've tried all three of their netminders recently -- Woll, Samsonov, and Jones -- but none has been able to perform consistently. It was Samsonov in Game 1 and the Bruins scored four times on just 23 shots against the 27-year-old. The Leafs have now lost eight straight games to the Bruins. Take Boston. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-21-24 | Pacers v. Bucks +1.5 | Top | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Indiana Pacers. The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo this evening, and have been installed as a home underdog in this opening game of their 7-game series vs. the Pacers. Admittedly, the Bucks have stumbled to a 3-8 SU/ATS record to end their season, including back to back losses at OKC and Orlando on the final weekend. But Milwaukee is an awesome 29-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back losses. And Indiana is a dismal 5-26-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 or less. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-21-24 | Mets v. Dodgers -224 | Top | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the New York Mets. Normally, a team acquiring a player as talented as Tyler Glasnow in the off-season would be headline news. But because the Dodgers welcomed a pair of Japanese superstars this winter, Glasnow's trade from the Rays went almost unnoticed. That's probably fine with the 30-year-old RHP who has always had the talent to be an ace, but who has been hampered throughout his pro career by a series of injuries. Now healthy and happy to be with a team that is loaded on offense, Glasnow has assumed the role of #1 starter and it seems to suit him just fine. Through his first five Dodger starts, Glasnow is 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 0.97 WHIP and although he got bombed in his last start vs. the Nationals, it's been reported that he was dealing with an illness at the time. Look for him to bounce back this afternoon and get back to the form that he had when he struck out 14 Twins two starts ago in Minneapolis. Take Los Angeles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-21-24 | Red Sox v. Pirates -140 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates over the Boston Red Sox. The Pirates have a way of extending the careers of veteran starters who appear to have their best years behind them. Ten years ago, it was Edinson Volquez, who looked like he was done at age 30 before going to Pittsburgh and putting up a 13-7 record with a 3.04 ERA. Then a 38-year-old AJ Burnett had a similar revival in his second stint with the club the following year. The Bucs' latest reclamation project is LHP Martin Perez. The 33-year-old regressed in his second season with the Rangers, seeing his ERA go from 2.89 in 2022 to 4.45 last season. The Pirates signed the free agent to a one-year, $8 million contract in the off-season and so far Perez is looking like he's going to be worth every bit of it. In four starts covering 24 2/3 IP, Perez is 1-0 with a 2.55 ERA. He'll go in his fifth start this afternoon as the Red Sox go for a road sweep in Pittsburgh. In 53 career inter-league games (44 starts), Perez is 17-14 with a 3.79 ERA. And he's 5-2 lifetime in 10 games vs. Boston. Take the Bucs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -120 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The NHL Playoffs are here and, for a while, it looked like all roads in the Eastern Conference would once again go through Boston. After all, as recently as March 22, the Bruins were the top team in the East and as of Monday -- although they had since dropped below the Rangers -- they were still sitting atop the Atlantic division. But two straight losses by Boston to end the season enabled the Panthers to win the division, so Boston must now play a very tough Maple Leafs club. But there are at least a couple of reasons to like the Bruins tonight and in this series. First and foremost is that Boston has dominated Toronto of late. In fact that Bruins have not lost a game to the Leafs since November 2022 -- a string of seven straight victories which includes all four meetings this season. Second, Toronto heads into the post-season as one of the most injured teams in the league and such names as Nylander, Domi, and McMann are likely not going to be playing tonight. Take the Bruins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-20-24 | Orioles -122 v. Royals | Top | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Kansas City Royals. Coming off of their 101-win season, which ended with a disappointing first-round playoff loss to the Rangers, it was obvious the Orioles needed a bona-fide #1 starter. The O's got their ace over the winter when they traded two of their talented prospects to the Milwaukee Brewers for RHP Corbin Burnes. It hasn't taken long for the 29-year-old starter to make quite an impact with his new AL club. In fact, Baltimore is already planning a Corbin Burnes bobblehead night at a home game in August. Burnes will get his fifth start as an Oriole tonight and so far he has not disappointed his new team, going 2-0 with a 2.28 ERA with 25 strikeouts and four walks in 23 2/3 innings. In four career starts vs. the Royals, covering just under 24 innings, Burnes is 2-0 with a 1.52 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Finally, the Birds are 67-31 (+22.6 net games) as a favorite, including 23-9 their last 32 on the road. Take the Orioles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-20-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 37 h 33 m | Show |
At 3:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. These two teams met here, at Target Center, last Sunday, in the final regular season game. And the Suns walloped the T-Wolves, 125-106. Still, Minnesota finished 56-26 (including 30-11 SU at home), and earned the #3 seed in the Western conference. I like the T-Wolves to bounce back in this Game 1, as .600 (or better) teams have gone 20-4 ATS at home in the NBA playoffs following a home loss, provided they owned a better record than their opponent. Even better: the Timberwolves are 18-0 ATS when playing an opponent which defeated the T-Wolves in Minnesota in the previous meeting. Take the Timberwolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. Don't miss my big football winner, as I'm featuring my UFL Non-Division Game of the Month on Saturday. I've cashed 62.1% in spring football the last 3 years, so pick it up right now. |
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04-19-24 | Mets v. Dodgers -192 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -192 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the New York Mets. The Dodgers went all out and spent a lot of money to nab the off-season's biggest prize import from Japan in Yoshinobu Yamamoto. And when the 25-year-old RHP promptly went out on March 21 in Korea and lasted only one inning, getting blasted by the Padres, you could hear the collective gasp from across the Pacific Ocean. But the three subsequent starts back here in the U.S. seem to demonstrate that Yamamoto will be just fine and one can discount that start in Korea. Meanwhile, a year ago there were thoughts of a Mets team that could possibly vie for a division title and more. Now, however, this appears to be club that is adrift and struggling to find what used to make it click so frequently. LHP Sean Manaea came to NY from San Diego and looked very good this spring -- and also in his first two starts. But the old Sean Manaea showed up in his last start as he allowed eight runs (six earned) on nine hits in just 3 2/3 IP in a loss to the Royals. Even worse: in six career starts vs. the Dodgers, his ERA is a sky-high 8.10. Los Angeles is 52-21 (+20.4 net games) off a loss, including 9-2 off a shutout loss. Take the Dodgers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-18-24 | Guardians +110 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-4 | Win | 110 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Guardians over the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox held the Guardians scoreless yesterday. But that shutout win was an anomaly for the Red Sox, as they've given up six or more runs in six of their last nine games. For the season, the Guardians are 9-3 on the road, and are hitting .261, and averaging 5.7 rpg. In contrast, at home this season, the Red Sox are a poor 3-6, and are hitting just .201, and averaging 3.4 rpg. Likewise, the home/road pitching stats favor Cleveland. The Red Sox have a 4.07 ERA at Fenway Park this season, while the Guardians' road ERA is a spectacular 2.36. We'll take Cleveland as an underdog this afternoon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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04-17-24 | Yankees -105 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Toronto Blue Jays. It's been an ugly start for RHP Kevin Gausman of the Jays. He's made three starts, and is 0-2 with an 11.58 ERA and a 1.92 WHIP. His worst start was 11 days ago against these Yankees. The Blue Jays lost, 9-8, and Gausman was responsible for six runs (five earned) in 1 1/3 innings pitched. Then he followed up that game with another dismal effort at home vs. Colorado (3 2/3 IP, 6 R, 10 H). Gausman is back home this afternoon, but he's burned money at home, with his teams going 16-18 (minus 19.5 net games) in his starts, including 0-5 his last five vs. division rivals. Marcus Stroman will toe the rubber for the Pinstripes, and he's given up just four earned runs over 17 innings (2.12 ERA; 1.05 WHIP). Even better: in 2 career starts vs. the Blue Jays, he has a 0.82 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, including six scoreless innings 12 days ago. Take New York. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Los Angeles Lakers. These two teams will be playing for the 2nd time in three days, as the Lakers blew out the Pels, 124-108, as a 1.5-point road underdog, on Sunday. We'll take New Orleans to avenge that 16-point loss, as revenge-minded teams have gone 12-6 ATS in the Play-In Tournament, including 9-3 ATS if they lost the prior meeting by double-digits. Even better: NBA home teams that lost their regular season-ending game by 8+ points have gone 50-11 SU and 39-22 ATS in the Playoffs, including 9-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points. The Pelicans have gone 23-14 ATS this season off a point spread loss, while the Lakers are a woeful 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine (and 8-23 ATS their last 31) off a win, when playing a foe off an upset defeat. Take New Orleans on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie |
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04-15-24 | Predators v. Penguins -123 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Nashville Predators. The Pens had a huge game on Saturday night here at home against the Bruins. Unfortunately for them, Boston was just too much and Pittsburgh never managed a lead in the game which finished with the visitors leaving town with a 6-4 victory. The Pens are home again tonight playing another playoff-bound team in the Predators. And the Penguins have dominated this series recently, taking five of the last seven meetings going back to December of 2019. The Predators come into this contest having won two straight games however those two were against the Blackhawks (23-52-5) and Blue Jackets (26-43-12), so they certainly will be getting a much tougher test tonight in the Steel City. They defeated Columbus at home, in Nashville, on Saturday, 6-4. But the Preds are 15-20 in their last 35 games off a home win by two goals or more. Take Pittsburgh. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-14-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans -3 | Top | 124-108 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Los Angeles. The Pels lost, 139-122, as a 2-point road favorite to the Lakers in the previous meeting. We'll lay the points today, as the Lakers are a poor 27-52-1 ATS when playing a foe it upset in the season's prior meeting. Take New Orleans. |
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04-14-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -19.5 | Top | 86-135 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas. We played on Oklahoma City on Friday night vs. Milwaukee, and will come right back with the Thunder today. OKC has won four straight games, and needs to win today to lock down the #1 seed in the West (though there's a remote possibility OKC would not be seeded #1 if it and Minnesota wins, and Denver loses). OKC is 51-30 ATS at home its last 81, including 11-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Take the Thunder. |
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04-14-24 | Suns v. Wolves -1 | Top | 125-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Phoenix Suns. These two teams met in the Valley of the Sun nine days ago, and Phoenix bested Minnesota, 97-87. We'll lay the points with Minnesota today, as it's 26-15 ATS when playing with revenge, while Phoenix is 6-20 ATS as an underdog vs. .466 (or better) foes. Take the T-Wolves. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Nuggets -13.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show |
At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. Nikola Jokic has been upgraded to 'probable,' and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver. The Nuggets were shocked, 121-120, on Friday by San Antonio. And Denver was favored by 11 points in that game. We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back today, as defending champs have gone 62-37 ATS on the road when favored off a SU loss, if they were rested, and playing an opponent off an ATS win. Lay the points with Denver. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Avalanche +100 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Vegas Golden Knights. For most of the regular season, the Colorado Avalanche have enjoyed the biggest home ice advantage in the NHL. But lately, some of that home cooking has gone bad. After losing to the Jets last night in Denver, the Avs are now just 2-4 in their last six games here at Ball Arena. It hasn't helped its cause that Colorado was without star winger Mikko Rantanen for a few games as he went through concussion protocol. Rantanen should be back to full strength this afternoon for this critical match-up with the Knights in Vegas. This has become one of the best rivalries in the West and with both teams still trying to improve their positions today's clash should have the feel of a playoff game. These two have alternated wins and losses over their last four meetings with the last three being shutouts (two by the Avs and one by the Knights). The Knights blew out the Wild, 7-2, in their last game but they are just 2-5 in their last seven after scoring six goals or more in their previous. Take the Avs. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-14-24 | Nets v. 76ers -15.5 | Top | 86-107 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets. The Sixers enter today's game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak. And they've covered nine straight games, overall. We won't step in front of this freight train today, as NBA teams have cashed 59.4% since 1990 when they've covered nine (or more) games in a row. Even better: the Sixers play with double-revenge, and they're 42-20 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't getting 7+ points. Take Philadelphia. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-14-24 | Wizards v. Celtics -9 | Top | 122-132 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Washington. Boston blew out Charlotte here, at home, on Friday, 131-98. We'll lay the points with the Celtics today, as they are 79-44-2 ATS off a 20-point home win. Take Boston. |
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04-14-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -12.5 | Top | 120-110 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets. The Cavaliers play this game with revenge from a 118-111 loss last month to Charlotte. We'll lay the points, as revenge-minded NBA teams have cashed 62% since 1990 when favored by more than 5 points, and playing their final home game of the season. Take Cleveland. |
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04-14-24 | Bucks v. Magic -4.5 | Top | 88-113 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Milwaukee. Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play today, so the Bucks will be a road underdog. Unfortunately for Milwaukee, it's a poor 14-38 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Take the Magic. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-13-24 | Bruins -123 v. Penguins | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Pittsburgh Penguins. In the bouncing ping-pong ball world that is the Eastern Conference Wild Card chase, the Penguins had a huge overtime win here at home over the Red Wings on Thursday night. That victory has vaulted the Pens back into the final WC position with three teams -- the Caps, Red Wings, and Flyers -- all one point behind them. Pittsburgh has only three games left but those are all against contending teams, starting tonight with the Bruins. Going into Saturday, Boston is barely holding on to a lead in the Atlantic -- just one point ahead of the Panthers, who are playing today at home against the Sabres. The Bruins have dominated this series, taking four of the last five meetings going back to November of 2022. They trounced the Pens in the last meeting a little more than a month ago, 5-1, and Pittsburgh is 5-11 in its last 16 games revenging a blowout loss by more than 3 goals to an opponent. Take the Bruins. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-12-24 | Pelicans v. Warriors -4 | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans. When these two teams last met, the Pelicans destroyed Golden State, 141-105, as a 2.5-point home underdog. We'll take Golden State to avenge that 36-point defeat, as it's 28-11-1 ATS at home vs. an unrested opponent off a SU win. And it's also 46-24-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points. Take the Warriors. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-12-24 | Bucks v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Thunder, Nuggets and Timberwolves are currently locked in a tight battle for the top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently the #3 seed, so this is a must-win game. Likewise, the Bucks can fall from the #2 seed to the #4 seed if they drop their last two games, so they're incentivized to win. Unfortunately, Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently sidelined with a calf injury, and Damian Lillard is also unlikely to play tonight. So, the Bucks have been installed as a huge underdog at Oklahoma City. That doesn't bode well for Doc Rivers' crew, as Milwaukee is 14-37 ATS when getting more than 2 points. Even worse: the Thunder play tonight with revenge from a 25-point loss at Milwaukee last month. And OKC is 54-30 ATS when playing with revenge vs. an Eastern Conference foe, provided such foe won its previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-11-24 | Capitals v. Sabres -129 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Washington Capitals. The Caps broke out of their six-game slump in a big way, beating the Red Wings in Detroit on Tuesday night and leap-frogging back into a Wild Card spot in the process. But if they're going to win games consistently, the Caps are going to have to do something more than they have been -- shoot the puck. Washington's shot production over the last two weeks has been abysmal. Over their last seven games, the Caps have managed more than 26 shots on just one occasion. With the exception of their April 4 loss to the Penguins (31 shots), the Caps have only averaged a measly 21.8 shots per game. That scant offensive production won't get you many wins in the NHL and the Caps desperately need another win tonight to stay in the Eastern Conference Playoff picture. The Sabres were eliminated from playoff contention, but this is their final home game of the season, so I don't expect a lackluster effort. They have taken three of the last five meetings with the Caps, including a 6-2 thrashing in the last meeting on April 2. The Caps are also 8-14 in their last 22 revenging a blowout loss of four goals or more. Take Buffalo. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-10-24 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. Last night, the Suns were buried early by the Clippers, as they trailed 53-16 midway through the 2nd quarter, and 66-33 at the half. That brought back memories of another Phoenix no-show when it lost at home (as a 6.5-point favorite) in Game 7 of the 2022 playoffs to Dallas, 123-90 -- a game which it trailed, 57-27 at the half. If there's a silver lining for the Suns, it is that they will have a chance to redeem themselves tonight (which they didn't have in that Game 7 loss). Phoenix is 44-11 ATS vs. unrested division foes with a win percentage > .400, if Phoenix wasn't getting 5+ points. And the Suns are also 63-34 ATS when favored, and playing with revenge from a home upset defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-10-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 107-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota. The Nuggets, T-Wolves, and Thunder are locked in a tight battle for the #1 seed in the Western Conference, so this game will go a long way toward determining the seeds in this year's Playoffs. The Nuggets lost here, at home, to Minnesota, 111-98, last month, so the Nuggs will play with revenge from that 13-point defeat. And the T-Wolves are a terrible 35-68 ATS in match-ups between .500 (or better) teams when their opponent was playing with revenge from a loss by more than 8 points. Take Denver. |
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04-10-24 | Raptors v. Nets -9.5 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors were blown out last night, 140-123, by the Indiana Pacers. That was Toronto's final home game of the season, and they'll conclude their schedule with three road games starting with tonight's tilt at Brooklyn. The Nets will play tonight's game with 2 days' of rest, and this will be their final home game. They'll be looking to redeem themselves from a 30-point home loss to Sacramento on Sunday, and I think they'll get it. Indeed, since 1990, NBA favorites of -9 (or more) points have covered 78% in their final home game of the season, if they were off a loss by 9+ points, and their opponent was unrested. Take Brooklyn. |
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04-09-24 | Clippers v. Suns -7 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 36 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers. This is the first of two back-to-back meetings between these Pacific division rivals. When these teams last met, the Clippers blew out Phoenix, 138-111, as a 5.5-point home favorite. We'll take the Suns to avenge that defeat, as the Clippers are a woeful 76-123-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .589 (or better) win percentage. Take the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-24 | Spurs -3.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 102-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Spurs lost a heart-breaker to the 76ers on Sunday, 133-126, in double-overtime. And that defeat snapped the Spurs' 6-game ATS win streak. We'll take San Antonio to bounce back off that loss, and snap its 14-game losing streak to Memphis. San Antonio is 59-41-2 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite, while Memphis has covered just five of 20 as a home dog vs. a double-revenge-minded foe. Lay the points with the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-09-24 | Celtics v. Bucks +2 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over the Boston Celtics. The Bucks have shockingly lost their last four games -- all as a favorite -- and are now just one game ahead of the Orlando Magic for the #2 seed. Tonight, the Bucks will welcome the top-seeded Celtics. When these two teams last met here, in Milwaukee, the Bucks dealt the Celts their worst defeat of the season, 135-102. Milwaukee is 91-50 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses. Take the Bucks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue +7 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -112 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Similar to the 2021 championship game between Baylor and Gonzaga, which pitted the top two teams in the country, this is the match-up that most basketball aficionados wanted to see. Connecticut is the defending champion, and has gone 11-0 SU/ATS in the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons. And Purdue has Zach Edey, the best NCAA Basketball player for the past two seasons. There's no doubt that UConn is the better team, with its five starters all projected to go among the top 44 players drafted in the upcoming NBA draft (with Donovan Clingan projected at #14, and Stephon Castle at #8). But I believe Purdue is uniquely positioned to give the Huskies a supreme battle. The Boilers combine the interior play of 7'4" Edey with outside marksmen that ranked #2 (of 362 NCAA teams) in three-point FG percentage this season, at 40.8%. Dating back to 1991, this is the 18th NCAA Tournament game between two #1 seeds. The underdog has gone 10-7 in the prior match-ups, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when getting 7+ points. Also, Purdue has generally delivered as an underdog, as it's 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 when getting 1.5 (or more) points. The Boilermakers fall into 48-11, 20-2, 26-5 and 88-48 ATS systems of mine, and we'll grab the points with Matt Painter's men. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-07-24 | Wolves +2.5 v. Lakers | Top | 127-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves + the points over the Lakers. Minnesota plays this game with revenge from an 11-point loss here, in L.A., last month. Los Angeles is a poor 77-117 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes. Take the Timberwolves. |
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04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -116 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Dallas Stars. The team with arguably the best home ice advantage in the NHL gets to play four of its remaining five games at home, beginning with this one as the Stars come to Denver for the final time this regular season. The Avs are a sparkling 29-8 here and that includes a dominating 5-1 victory back on February 27 in the last meeting of these two clubs. These remaining home games -- plus one on the road in Vegas -- gives the Avs a decent shot at catching the Stars and defending their Central Division title. More bad news for the Stars: Veteran center Tyler Seguin missed the prior game with an upper body injury and he is likely to be absent again tonight in Colorado. The Avs have dominated this series lately, winning six of the last seven meetings going back to November of 2022 and they're 4-0 in the last four. The Stars are 4-11 in their last 15 revenging a same-season loss while the Avs are 12-2 in their last 14 games immediately following a blowout loss by three goals or more. Take Colorado. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-07-24 | Jazz +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Golden State Warriors. Steph Curry won't play tonight, and the Warriors are laying double-digits to Utah. We'll grab the points, as the Warriors are a poor 11-19 ATS as a home favorite this season. And Utah also falls into several of my best systems, with records of 119-44, 86-54, and 179-102 ATS that play on certain teams off blowout losses. Take the Jazz as a big underdog. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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04-07-24 | Bulls v. Magic -7 | Top | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over the Chicago Bulls. The Magic suffered a brutal loss to the Charlotte Hornets, as they fell, 124-115, at Charlotte as a 12-point road favorite, on Friday. Still, the Magic are the league's best point spread team this season, with a 49-27-1 ATS record, including 25-9 ATS as a favorite. We'll take the Magic to bounce back this evening. Lay the points. |
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04-06-24 | NC State +9.5 v. Purdue | Top | 50-63 | Loss | -120 | 77 h 21 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Purdue. The Wolfpack have been the best point spread team in this tournament, as they've covered the point spread by an average of 13.37 ppg. Even better, the Wolfpack have won nine straight games, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS as an underdog. And those included ACC Tourney victories over Duke (as an 11-point underdog), and North Carolina (as a 10-point dog). They blew out Marquette and Duke (again), as 7.5-point underdogs in each game, last weekend in the Sweet 16/Elite 8 Rounds to reach this semi-final game. It's true that Purdue was my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the Championship. And Purdue was also the team I selected to win this tournament in my March Madness bracket. But the last thing I want to do is lay points to this NC State club. For technical support, consider that teams seeded #4 (or worse), off 4+ wins, have gone 15-0 ATS their last 15 as underdogs vs. top-3-seeded teams at the Sweet 16 Round forward. Take North Carolina St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-05-24 | Avalanche v. Oilers -120 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Colorado Avalanche. With two straight losses on the road, it's looking more and more like the Oilers will have to settle for second place -- at best -- in the Pacific Division. The Oilers come back home -- where five of their final eight games will be played -- to face the Avalanche tonight for the first of two meetings (Edmonton ends its season in Colorado on April 18). The Oilers need to take advantage of tonight's meeting, as Colorado has the biggest home ice bias in the league. While the Avs are a stellar 29-8 at home in Denver, they are just 18-20 when playing on the road this season. One thing's for sure -- when these two teams play, you almost always get a nail-biter as the last five meetings going back to June 2022 have gone to overtime. The Avalanche took the last meeting just about three weeks ago (March 16), 3-2 and the Oilers are 31-10 in their last 41 games when revenging a same-season loss vs. an opponent. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-05-24 | Warriors v. Mavs -5 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Golden State. Both of these teams played Thursday night. The Warriors blew out Houston, 133-110, at the Toyota Center, while Dallas won here, at home, vs. Atlanta, 109-95. This is a rematch of a game played Tuesday in San Francisco. We played on Golden State in its 104-100 triumph over Dallas, but will fade the Warriors on the road tonight. The Warriors have covered just 7 of 27 road games vs. revenge-minded foes when Golden State was installed as an underdog, and off a SU/ATS win. Meanwhile, the Mavs are 46-27 ATS their last 73 games when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS when the Mavs were off a win by 12+ points. Take Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-04-24 | Indiana State -2.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 59 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Seton Hall. We played on both the Pirates and Sycamores in their respective semi-final games, and got the $$$ with each. We will roll with Indiana St. in this championship game, as it will be playing in front of a very home-friendly crowd in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. Indiana St. erupted for 100 points on Tuesday night vs. Utah, and that bodes well for it in this title game, as it has gone 60-31-2 ATS following a victory where it scored more than 78 points. Meanwhile, the Pirates have played much better at home this season than away from home, as they've covered the spread by 3.67 ppg at home, but have failed to cover by 1.88 ppg away from home, going 6-10 ATS. We'll lay the points with Indiana St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-03-24 | Oilers +110 v. Stars | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 38 m | Show |
At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Dallas Stars. The Dallas Stars are heading into the final two weeks of the regular season the way a team wants to. Dallas is in first place in its Division, has already locked up a post-season spot, and has won seven straight coming into tonight. But a closer look at those seven wins shows that the Stars likely benefited from a soft schedule. That's because five of those seven victories came against the Penguins, Sharks, Kraken, and Coyotes (twice) -- all teams with losing records. And one of the two victories came at the expense of the Kings -- a winning team on the season but one with real issues right now. Dallas' last win may have come with a price as recently acquired (from Calgary) All Star Defenseman Chris Tanev left the game after an illegal check and he will be out of action tonight and possibly longer with an upper body injury. The Oilers won the last meeting of these two in Dallas, 4-3 in OT and the Stars are just 3-11 in their last 14 games revenging a same season loss vs an opponent. Take Edmonton. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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04-03-24 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -13 | Top | 111-101 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies. The Bucks were favored by 13 points last night, yet lost outright to the woeful Washington Wizards, 117-113. That dropped Milwaukee's lead over Cleveland to 1.5 games in the race for the #2 seed in the Eastern Conference. Milwaukee's last five games will be against top-level NBA clubs, so it needs to take care of business tonight (and Friday) vs. two bottom-tier teams (Grizzlies, Raptors). Over the last 34 seasons, home favorites have covered 71% if they lost outright as a double-digit favorite the previous day, and were matched up against a foe off a win. With Memphis, indeed, off a 110-108 victory over the Pistons, we'll fade Memphis, and lay the points with Milwaukee on Wednesday. |
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04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors -1 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Dallas. The Mavs are on an 11-1 SU/ATS win streak, but we'll fade them here, at Golden State. The Warriors play with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to Dallas. And Dallas is a dreadful 27-54 ATS off a win, if it was playing a revenge-minded foe with a .333 (or better) win percentage. Additionally, the Warriors are 66-32 ATS at home when not laying 9+ points, if they were matched up against a .400 (or better) foe. Take the Warriors to blow out Dallas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Georgia v. Seton Hall -4 | Top | 67-84 | Win | 100 | 41 h 47 m | Show |
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgia. The Pirates' last game was a 23-point blowout of UNLV, as a 6.5-point cover. And that 23-point win was the biggest margin of victory by any team so far in this NIT Tournament. And its 16.5-point cover was the 2nd biggest point spread margin. We'll ride the Pirates off that huge game, as they're 27-4 ATS following a game where they covered the spread by 12+ points, if they were matched up against a foe off a SU win in their current game (including a perfect 10-0 ATS as a favorite). Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Bruins v. Predators +107 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Boston Bruins. After looking like they were primed for the post-season by winning six games in a row between March 13 and 26, the Predators embarked on a quick, two-game road trip that they probably wish they hadn't had to play. Nashville lost back-to-back in Arizona and Colorado, allowing a whopping 15 goals in the process after allowing only nine total goals during the six-game win streak. Now the Preds have to regroup as they host one of the East's best teams in the Bruins tonight at Bridgestone Arena. Boston has lost three of its last five games with only a narrow victory in Washington last time out (3-2 in a shootout) preventing it from being 1-4 over that span. The Bruins have some untimely injuries right now and their remaining schedule is one of the toughest in the league. They won the last meeting between these two teams, 3-2, back at the start of the season on their home ice. However the Predators are 14-4 in their last 18 games revenging a same season loss vs an opponent. Take Nashville. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Lakers v. Raptors +12.5 | Top | 128-111 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Raptors have managed just one win in their last 16 games, while covering just three times. But I like Toronto getting double-digits at home tonight vs. a Lakers team playing the first of back-to-back games. The Lakers are a soft 18-40 ATS when favored off a SU/ATS win, including 3-12 ATS on the road. And they're 36-64-2 ATS when laying double-digits. Meanwhile, the Raptors fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 229-138-8 ATS, which plays on certain teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses. Take the Raptors + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-02-24 | Utah v. Indiana State -2.5 | Top | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 38 h 9 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over the Utah Utes. This game will be played at Hinkle Fieldhouse, on the campus of Butler University, in Indianapolis -- just 84 miles from Terre Haute. So, expect a crowd squarely in the Sycamores' corner. We'll lay the points with Indiana St, and go against a Utah team which has had its problems away from home. The Utes earned their trip to the NIT semifinals with 3 home wins, and they covered the spread in each by 11.5, 4 and 1.5 points. For the season, Utah went 18-2 SU and 14-6 ATS at home, and covered the point spread by an average of 6.17 ppg. Unfortunately, it was a completely different story away from Salt Lake City, as Utah went 4-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and FAILED to cover the point spread by an average of 4.73 ppg. And Utah's road travails haven't been just this season. Dating back to 2019, they're 17-51 SU and 21-46-1 ATS away from home, and failed to cover by an average of 4.59 ppg. Indiana State, meanwhile, has held its own away from home, with a 15-5 SU record, and a 10-10 ATS record. And it's covered the spread, on average, by 1.21 ppg away from home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-24 | Hawks +3.5 v. Bulls | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Chicago Bulls. Chicago upset Minnesota, 109-101, as a 9-point road underdog last night. Off that upset win, we'll fade Chicago, as it's a horrid 7-27-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset road win as an underdog of more than 5 points. Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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04-01-24 | Blazers +16.5 v. Magic | Top | 103-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Orlando Magic. The Blazers were blown out by 60 points, 142-82, in their most recent game. And that was just the 7th time a team has lost by 60+ points over the past 34 seasons. Teams off huge blowout losses > 40 points tend to play much better their next game, and have gone 113-87-3 ATS, including 61-37-2 ATS on the road. Take Portland + the points. |
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04-01-24 | Grizzlies +3.5 v. Pistons | Top | 110-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Detroit Pistons. Detroit defeated Washington, 96-87, on Friday. We'll fade the Pistons tonight, as they're a wallet-breaking 4-23 ATS at home off a win by more than 5 points. Even worse: the Pistons are 6-21-1 ATS their last 28 vs. Memphis, including 0-12 ATS when Detroit was not getting more than 4 points. Here, of course, the Pistons are a favorite. Take Memphis + the points. |
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03-31-24 | Thunder v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Knicks were an 8.5-point favorite on Friday night vs. San Antonio, but lost in overtime, 130-126, despite 61 points from Jalen Brunson. We'll take New York to bounce back at home off that upset defeat, as it's 19-3 ATS when not laying 4.5 (or more) points, if it lost its previous game as a favorite of more than 8 points. Even better: the Knicks are 14-1 ATS their last 14 (and 30-10 ATS their last 40) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and favored by less than 10 points. With the Knicks, indeed, playing with revenge from a 129-120 setback in Oklahoma City, we'll lay the short number with New York this evening. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. |
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03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke -7 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over NC State. The Blue Devils sent #1-seeded Houston packing on Friday night. And teams that eliminated #1 seeds have gone on to a sweet 18-6 ATS record in the Elite 8 Round. Over the first three rounds of the tourney, the Blue Devils have covered the spread by an average of 14.83 ppg. I won't step in front of Duke here, and especially not when it's playing with revenge from a 74-69 defeat in the ACC Tournament. Key stat: NC State is a woeful 1-7 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent it upset in the season's prior meeting. Lay the points with the Blue Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-24 | Bucks -4 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Milwaukee dropped its second straight game, with a 7-point road loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. We'll take the Bucks to bounce back in Atlanta, as the Bucks are a staggering 90-48-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS their last 12 when they didn't own a losing record, and their foe was off back to back wins. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over the Connecticut Huskies. Admittedly, the Huskies are deserving of their #1 ranking. They've won and covered all three NCAA Tourney games, including a 30-point blowout of San Diego State on Thursday. But top-3-seeded favorites of more than 5 points have gone 0-10 ATS at the Sweet 16 Round forward, off a cover by more than 7 points, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset win. That certainly doesn't bode well for UConn this evening against an excellent Illinois team checking in off an upset win over the Big 12 Tourney champs, Iowa St. The Illini, for their part, won the Big 10 Conference tournament, and have now won 10 of 11 games, including their last seven in a row. And they've covered 5 straight. Here, they've been installed as a huge underdog vs. the defending champion Huskies. And we'll happily grab the points, as top-3-seeded teams have gone a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points, dating back to March 28, 1998. Moreover, since the Big 10 started its post-season tourney, its champs have been terrific as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament, as they've gone 10-5 ATS, including a perfect 3-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round. Likewise, the Illini have been stellar as underdogs this season, going 5-1-1 ATS. And they're 21-10-1 ATS their last 32 as underdogs, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS when getting 6 or more points. Finally, this season, the Illini have gone 14-4 ATS away from home, and have covered the spread in those 18 games by an average of 6 ppg (UConn has not done as well away from home, as it's covered the spread by an average of 2.43 ppg). Take the Illini. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | Suns -2 v. Thunder | Top | 103-128 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 7 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City. The Thunder won the two previous meetings against Phoenix this season. Unfortunately, OKC is a horrid 0-9 ATS when playing a double-revenge-minded foe that it defeated twice this season. Lay the points with the Suns. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | 76ers v. Cavs -8 | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Philadelphia. The Cavaliers were upset by the Charlotte Hornets, 118-111, as a 9-point favorite in their previous game. We'll take the Cavs to bounce back, as NBA teams have gone 114-81-3 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were favored by more than 8 points in that defeat. Take the Cavaliers. |
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03-29-24 | Gonzaga v. Purdue -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 82 h 45 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, on Friday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Gonzaga. The Boilermakers were my preseason Futures pick to win the NCAA Title (at 15-1 odds), and they've done nothing to reduce my confidence. We played on the Boilers in their opening round game vs. Grambling, and got the $$$ in their 28-point win, but we stayed on the sidelines in their 39-point blowout win over Utah St. We'll jump back in and lay the points with Purdue against Gonzaga, as NCAA teams that won their first two tourney games by a combined 55+ points have covered 67% since 1990 in the Tournament's Sweet 16 Round. Gonzaga also won its two tourney games in blowout fashion by 21 points each. Unfortunately, it's an ugly 1-10-1 ATS its last 12 games after back-to-back wins by 15+ points. These two teams met earlier this season, and Purdue handed the Zags a 10-point loss, 73-63. The Boilers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games, while Gonzaga is 19-31-1 ATS in its last 51 non-conference games, including 0-11 ATS vs. non-conference foes on 2-game or better) ATS win streaks. Take the Boilermakers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-29-24 | Lakers v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 90-109 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers. These two teams met in the inaugural In-season Tournament's championship game. Los Angeles won that match-up, and the teams' 2nd meeting of the season -- five days ago -- as well. So, the Pacers will play this game with double-revenge from those two losses. We'll fade the Lakers, who have won their last 5 games, and covered their last three, as they're 103-140 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, the Pacers are 157-93-10 ATS when playing with revenge, if they were rested, and off a SU loss, while their opponent was off a SU win. Take Indiana minus the points. |
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03-28-24 | Rangers v. Avalanche -154 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -154 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the New York Rangers. For the better part of the latter half of the NHL season, the Avalanche, Jets, and Stars have been going back and forth atop the Central Division. A recent nine-game win streak had the Avs on top recently, but Colorado lost its last game against the Canadiens on Tuesday and has dropped back to second place for the time being. The good news is that six of the Avs' remaining 10 games will be played here in Denver. And no team in the league has a bigger home ice advantage than Colorado, which is 28-7 in 35 games here coming into tonight. The Rangers won their last game,Tuesday, at home vs. the Flyers, but they needed overtime to do it and only managed a total of 27 shots on goal the entire game while allowing five goals to a team they should have dominated. The Avs have won four of the last six meetings but this is a revenge game as New York won the last meeting at Madison Square Garden in February. And the Avs are 9-2 in their last 11 revenging a road loss vs. an opponent. Take Colorado. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks. Three nights ago, the Hawks upset Boston here, at home, 120-118, as an 11-point home underdog. We'll take the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as road favorites have gone 42-19-2 ATS when laying 8.5 (or more) points against the same foe they played in their previous game. Even better: NBA favorites of more than 9 points have gone 59-40-2 ATS if they were playing with revenge against an opponent which upset it in its previous game, including 17-3 ATS if its opponent was playing without rest. And Atlanta is, indeed, unrested, as it played last night vs. Portland. Take Boston minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-28-24 | San Diego State +11 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-82 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 44 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, on Thursday, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs + the points over Connecticut. This is a rematch of last year's championship game, won by UConn, 76-59. Both teams come into this game off big wins. UConn defeated Northwestern, 75-58, while San Diego State blew out Yale, 85-57. We'll take Brian Dutcher's men as double-digit dogs, as the Aztecs are a spectacular 102-49-2 ATS off a win by 14+ points, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, including 46-15-1 ATS vs. foes with a W/L percentage > .750. And they're 44-22-1 ATS after scoring 85+ points. Finally, the Aztecs are 56-29-2 ATS on neutral courts, or at home, when playing with revenge. Take San Diego St. + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | Clippers -6 v. 76ers | Top | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Philadelphia. These two teams played last weekend, and the Sixers upset the Clippers, 121-107, as a 9.5-point road underdog. We'll take Los Angeles to avenge that home upset defeat, as it's covered 65.2% the past 34 seasons as a road favorite, if it owned a W/L percentage > .600 and was playing with revenge from a home loss. The Clippers are also 77-47 ATS in the regular season as a favorite of 3+ points when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 5 points. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -4.5 | Top | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
At 7 pm, on Wednesday, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over UNLV. Since its founding in 1999, the Mountain West Conference teams have had stark results in post-season tournaments depending on whether they were playing at home, or away from home. At home, the Mountain West has been great vs. non-conference foes, as its teams have gone 32-20 ATS. But away from home, it's been a different story, as the Mountain West has gone 50-92-2 ATS. The Big East Conference has also dominated the Mountain West in the post-season, going 12-3 ATS. Lay the points with Seton Hall. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
At 7 pm, in the CIT Tournament championship game, our selection is on the Norfolk State Spartans + the points over Purdue-Fort Wayne. The Spartans will play at home in this Title game, and have been installed as an underdog vs. the Mastodons. Fort Wayne is a wallet-breaking 14-22-2 ATS its last 38 as road favorites. And it's 1-10 ATS its last 11 as a road favorite vs. a foe off a straight-up win. Finally, the Mastodons are 0-4 ATS on the road in the post-season when not getting more than 5 points. Take the points with Norfolk in this CIT Tournament title game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-26-24 | Red Wings +101 v. Capitals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Red Wings over the Washington Capitals. The Wings and Caps are locked in a tight battle for a wild card berth, with Washington currently 1 point ahead. The Capitals will look to win their 3rd straight game after winning home games vs. Carolina (7-6) and Winnipeg (3-0). Unfortunately, the Capitals are a soft 23-31 at home off a win, and 21-29 off back to back wins. The road team has won six of the previous nine in this series, and we'll take Detroit to win this critical matchup. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-24 | 76ers v. Kings -9 | Top | 96-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Philadelphia. The Sixers upset the LA Clippers last night, 121-107, as 9-point underdog. They've once again been installed as a big dog, and we'll fade them today at Sacramento, as they're a soft 26-43 ATS as road underdogs of more than 4 points vs. winning foes (including 1-9 ATS if playing without rest). Additionally, the Sixers fall into a negative 75-155 ATS system of mine which fades certain unrested teams off SU wins. Lay the points with the Kings. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-25-24 | Chicago State +5.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show |
At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Fairfield. The Cougars come into this game off an upset win over UC San Diego, as a 10-point underdog. We'll take the Cougars this afternoon and fade a Stags team which has gone 30-45 ATS its last 75 as a favorite. And when matched up against a foe off a SU win, the Stags have gone 28-53-2 ATS their last 83, including 5-11-1 ATS in the post-season. Take Chicago State + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State -5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Yale. We played on the Bulldogs Friday vs. Auburn, and were rewarded with 78-76 win, as a 14.5-point underdog. Unfortunately for Yale, it's not getting double-digits today. And teams seeded 13 thru 16 have cashed just 24.2% in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament when priced from +4.5 to +9 points. We'll fade the Bulldogs, and lay the points with SDSU. |
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03-24-24 | Northwestern +14.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 58-75 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Connecticut. Chris Collins' men have been installed as a double-digit dog vs. the defending champion Huskies. We'll grab the points, as NCAA tourney teams not seeded #16 have gone 65-43 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins. Additionally, the Wildcats are 17-6 ATS their last 23 as an underdog. Take Northwestern. |
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03-24-24 | Grand Canyon v. Alabama -5.5 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Grand Canyon. The Crimson Tide have been great over the last couple of seasons as a favorite, and horrible as an underdog. When laying points, 'Bama is 29-16-2 ATS its last 47. But in the underdog role, it's failed miserably, going 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS its last 10. The good news, then, for Nate Oats men is that they're favored this evening vs. the Antelopes. Take the Crimson Tide. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Evansville +2.5 v. Quinnipiac | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 51 h 37 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Quinnipiac. The Bobcats lost to St. Peters, 62-60, in the Metro Atlantic Tourney, and finished with a 24-9 record. Unfortunately, for the Bobcats, they're a wallet-busting 17-34-2 ATS as a favorite following a straight-up loss. And they're a poor 4-13 ATS in post-season games when they've owned a win percentage > .450. Meanwhile, Evansville has gone 9-2-1 ATS its last 12 non-conference games. And Missouri Valley teams have been strong in the CBI Tourney, going 19-11 ATS. Grab the points with Evansville. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Panthers -160 v. Flyers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Philadelphia Flyers. After a rough and tumble game in Manhattan last night, the Panthers travel south to Philadelphia and an arena that won't be any friendlier for them. Although Florida lost its fourth straight last night -- this time to the Rangers -- it played New York pretty much even for most of the contest which had the intensity of a playoff game in the last two periods. For the Flyers, they come into tonight off a huge victory here at Wells Fargo Center yesterday against the first place Bruins, 3-2, and they can ill-afford a letdown after that one as Philly tries to hold on to its third-place position in the Metropolitan Division with just 11 games to go. The Flyers have won the last four meetings with the Panthers including both this season (played in South Florida). The Panthers could get several players back tonight including three from injury (Forsling, Barkov, Gadjovich) and D Kulikov whose two-game suspension expires. Florida is 8-4 in its last 12 games revenging a home loss vs. an opponent. Take the Panthers. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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03-24-24 | Pelicans v. Pistons +12 | Top | 114-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans went into Miami on Friday night, and blew out the Heat, 111-88, as a 3-point road underdog. But off that huge upset win, we'll fade the Pelicans in the Motor City this afternoon. New Orleans is 1-15 ATS off a double-digit road win, and 20-42 ATS away from home off an upset win by 10+ points. Take Detroit. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-24-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana State -7.5 | Top | 64-76 | Win | 100 | 46 h 8 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana St. Sycamores minus the points over Minnesota. After narrowly missing the NCAA Tournament, the Sycamores showed they wanted to win this NIT Tourney with a strong victory (101-92) over SMU, on Wednesday. Indiana State is back home for this game against the Gophers. And Indiana State is 22-2 SU and 20-4 ATS at home off a straight-up win. Lay the points. |
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03-24-24 | Presbyterian +8.5 v. Montana | Top | 79-82 | Win | 100 | 46 h 38 m | Show |
At 1:00 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Montana. Presbyterian played very well down the stretch, going 9-3-1 ATS their last 13 games. The Grizzlies certainly had a good season, with a 21-10 record. However, the Blue Hose has gone 25-16-3 ATS their last 44 vs. winning opponents, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +11.5. Take Presbyterian + the points. |
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03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays minus the points over Oregon. The Ducks exploded for 87 points in their 87-73 win over South Carolina. And that was the most points Oregon has scored in its last 20 games. But off that win, we'll fade the Ducks, as they're 8-19 ATS off a high-scoring win, in which they tallied 85+ points. And they're also 4-13 ATS as an underdog, priced from +2 to +8, off a SU win. Meanwhile, Creighton is a stellar 37-14 ATS as a favorite of 8 or less points vs. non-conference foes off a win. Lay the points with the Bluejays. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Raptors +6 v. Wizards | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Washington Wizards. We played on the Wizards two nights ago, as an 11-point home dog vs. Sacramento, and were rewarded with a 109-102 upset win. That triumph snapped Washington's 4-game SU/ATS losing streak. But tonight, it's the Raptors who will be looking to get back into the win column. Toronto has now lost its last 9 games, and has failed to cover the spread in their last five. But this losing streak has triggered a 242-153-6 ATS system of mine, as well as a 154-95-6 ATS system. The Wizards are a woeful 26-45-1 ATS as a favorite of 6 (or more) points. And favorites (or PK'em teams) off upset wins as a home dog of +9 (or more) points, have covered just 29.4% since 1990 vs. foes off SU/ATS losses. Take Toronto. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Washington State +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 56-67 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Iowa State. We played on Wazzu on Thursday, and got the $$$ when the Cougars upset Drake. They'll try to make it two-upsets-in-a-row this evening when they take on the Big 12 champion Cyclones. Iowa State comes into this game off four SU/ATS wins. Unfortunately, it's a dreadful 7-23-2 ATS away from home when on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak, including 1-11-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to -7.5 points, and 0-12-2 ATS their last 14 when matched up against a foe off an ATS win. Even worse for Iowa State: Pac-12 teams are 38-20 ATS their last 58 as underdogs in the NCAA Tournament (and 8-0 ATS their last 8 as underdogs vs. the Big 12 in the Tourney). Finally, the Cougars fall into several of my favorites systems, with records of 34-5, 65-23 and 98-50 ATS. Take Washington State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Delaware State +12.5 v. Seattle University | Top | 66-79 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
At 5:30 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Delaware St. Hornets + the points over Seattle. The Redhawks are a soft 11-17 ATS their last 28 when laying 6+ points, and they're 2-9 ATS away from home vs. foes with a worse W/L record. We'll fade Seattle, and grab the points with Delaware St., which is 5-0 its last five neutral court games. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-23-24 | Bradley v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show |
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Bradley. The Braves won their first-round NIT game, 74-62, vs. Loyola-Chicago. But that game was at home, where Bradley has gone 31-11-1 ATS its last 43 (and 69-37-5 ATS its last 111). On the road, the Braves have been brutal, going 55-87-2 ATS their last 144, including 12-28 ATS off a double-digit win. Take Cincinnati minus the points. |
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03-23-24 | North Texas v. Seton Hall -3.5 | Top | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
At 11:30 am (note the early start), in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over North Texas. The Pirates won, but failed to cover the spread, on Wednesday vs. St. Joseph's. And that was the 3rd straight ATS loss for Seton Hall. The good news for the Pirates, here, is that they're a solid 43-22 ATS after 3 ATS losses in their 3 previous games. Take the Pirates. |
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03-22-24 | Longwood v. Houston -23.5 | Top | 46-86 | Win | 100 | 40 h 5 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Longwood. The Cougars were blown out in the Big 12 title game, 69-41, by Iowa State. I expect Kelvin Sampson's men to bounce back in a strong way on Friday night, as they're 14-5 ATS off a double-digit loss. And they're also 38-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, provided the Cougars were not off back to back ATS wins, themselves. Take Houston. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | Grambling State v. Purdue -27 | Top | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Grambling. The Tigers upset Montana St, 88-81, as a 4.5-point underdog in the First Four round game, in Dayton. But Grambling's task will be much more difficult today, as it will have to take on Zach Edey & Co. Purdue was our preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the National Championship, and they'll start their title trek today in Indianapolis, just 71 miles from Mackey Arena. Gainbridge Fieldhouse will no doubt be on the side of the #1-seeded Boilermakers this evening, and we will lay the points. Matt Painter's men lost to Wisconsin, 76-75, in the Big 10 Tournament. But under Painter, the Boilermakers have gone 82-54-6 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, including a spectacular 15-2 ATS in the post-season. And Grambling is 1-7 ATS off an upset win, when facing a winning foe. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | Yale +13 v. Auburn | Top | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 35 h 50 m | Show |
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs + the points over Auburn. The Bulldogs hit a buzzer-beater to defeat Brown in the Ivy League championship game, but failed to cover the 8-point spread. We'll take Yale to get the $$$ on Friday afternoon, as it's 37-17 ATS away from home off a point spread loss, including 4-1 ATS in the post-season. Grab the points. |
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03-22-24 | New Mexico v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 56-77 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over New Mexico. The Lobos won the Mountain West Conference Tournament with a 68-61 upset win over San Diego State. And that was New Mexico's 4th straight win (and 6th straight cover). The Lobos needed every one of those 4 wins, as they would not have qualified for the NCAA Tourney had they not won the Mountain West title. Today, they'll face a Clemson team looking to bounce back off a 76-55 loss to Boston College in the ACC Tourney. We'll fade New Mexico, as Mountain West teams are a woeful 10-34-1 ATS in the NCAA Tourney vs. a foe off a SU loss, including 2-13-1 ATS if our Mountain West team was off a SU win. Moreover, ACC Conference teams have gone 58-34-1 ATS away from home off a loss by more than 10 points, if they were an underdog of less than 3 points. And ACC teams have also gone 96-69-2 ATS off an upset loss, if they also lost two games back, and were matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win (including 19-8 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Grab the points with Clemson. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-22-24 | UAB v. San Diego State -7 | Top | 65-69 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
At 1:45 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over UAB. Last year, Brian Dutcher's men lost in the championship game to Connecticut. The Aztecs will try to make another run to the Final Four this season, and their first game will be against the Blazers, who won the AAC Tourney with an 85-69 triumph over Temple. San Diego State is an awesome 99-56 ATS when favored (or PK) vs. a foe off a win by more than 8 points. Lay the points with the Aztecs. |
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03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +2 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 39 h 59 m | Show |
At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Drake. The Bulldogs have struggled in non-conference games, as they've gone 12-24 ATS their last 36. Even worse: they're 1-11 ATS in non-conference tournaments. In contrast, the Cougars are 18-9 ATS in non-conference tourneys. Take Washington St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -5 | Top | 80-67 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 45 m | Show |
At 9:40 pm our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over NC State. Not since Xavier won the Atlantic 10 Tournament as a #10-seed in 2006 had such an improbable champion as NC State won its conference tournament. But the Wolfpack did the near-impossible by winning five straight ACC games as the #10 seed to earn the title. Unfortunately, teams that won their conference title games as underdogs of +6 (or more) points have not done well in their initial NCAA tourney game when not getting 17+ points, as they've covered just 36.1% since 1990. Take Texas Tech minus the points. |
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03-21-24 | St. Peter's v. Tennessee -21 | Top | 49-83 | Win | 100 | 38 h 10 m | Show |
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over St. Peter's. After winning seven straight games (6-1 ATS), the Vols had a disappointing end to their season with back-to-back upset losses to Kentucky (85-81) and Mississippi St (73-56). The good news for Tennessee is that it's a solid 47-17 ATS following 2+ losses, when matched up against a .571 (or better) foe. Take the Volunteers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State +16.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits + the points over Iowa St. The Jackrabbits have been one of the best point spread teams, and they've been especially good against elite opponents, as they've gone 29-11 ATS vs. .777 (or better) teams with scoring margins > 8.0 ppg. We'll take South Dakota State + the double-digits, and look for a bit of a letdown by Iowa State following its 28-point upset win over Houston to win the Big 12 title. Unfortunately for the Cyclones, teams that win their conference tourney title game by double-digits as an underdog have generally underperformed in their initial NCAA Tourney game with a 39% ATS mark. Take the Jackrabbits. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 | Top | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 56 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Oakland. The Wildcats were upset by Auburn in the SEC Tourney. We'll lay the points with Kentucky on Thursday night, as it has gone 18-2 ATS its last 18 (and 40-14 ATS its last 54) as favorites of 15 or less points vs. .585 (or better) foes when Kentucky was off an upset loss. Take the Wildcats. |
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03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Sacramento. The Kings blew out Toronto last night, 123-89, while the Wizards had Wednesday off. Washington lost their first two games of this four-game home stand. But leading scorer, Kyle Kuzma (22.4 ppg) missed those two games. He's been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's game. And that's all we need to fade the Kings tonight, as they're 18-41-1 ATS off a win, if they were an unrested road favorite in their current game (including 1-6 ATS as a double-digit favorite). Take Washington. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky UNDER 162.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats and Oakland Golden Grizzlies to go Under the total. The Grizzlies defeated Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 83-76, in the Horizon League title game to reach the NCAA Tournament. But off that high-scoring win, we'll look for a lower-scoring game this evening. Indeed, Oakland is 39-16 Under away from home following a game where it scored > 75 points, if the o/u line was 146+ points. Additionally, the Wildcats also come into this game off a high-scoring affair, as they lost, 97-87, to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament. And NCAA post-season games have gone under 61.9% if the line was 150+ points, and each team scored > 80 in its previous game. Take Kentucky/Oakland Under the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina -1 | Top | 87-73 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 56 m | Show |
At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Oregon. The Gamecocks (along with Iowa State) had the best ATS record (23-10 ATS) of any team which qualified for the NCAA Tournament this season. In contrast, Oregon was tied for the fifth-worst (15-18 ATS). Notwithstanding its Pac-10 Title, Oregon was 3-10 ATS down the stretch. We'll take South Carolina, as it's 11-0 ATS in non-conference tournaments when not laying 3+ points. And the Ducks are a dreadful 24-41 ATS their last 65 off a SU win. Take the Gamecocks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois UNDER 148 | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Illinois/Morehead State game. The Illini have played their last 7 non-conference tournament games UNDER the total, while the Eagles have gone 6-3 UNDER their last nine post-season games. We'll look for a low-scoring game here, as the UNDER falls into a 19-2 Totals system of mine. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
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03-21-24 | Wagner v. North Carolina -24 | Top | 62-90 | Win | 100 | 32 h 34 m | Show |
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Wagner. North Carolina was stunned by NC State in the ACC Championship game, 84-76. We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back from that upset loss, as they're an awesome 74-39-4 ATS off a SU loss, if they were favored by 4+ points in their current game. Lay the points. |
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03-21-24 | Duquesne v. BYU -9.5 | Top | 71-67 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Duquesne. It's been 47 years since the Dukes last qualified for the NCAA Tourney, but Keith Dambrot's men upset VCU in the Atlantic 10 Title game to punch their ticket. Their Cinderella story will likely end Thursday against a very good BYU team, which is 26-11 ATS its last 37 as a favorite (including 11-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes). Lay the points with the Cougars. |