Sports Picks & Predictions

49ers @ Commanders 1:00 PM ET

Game# 123-124

Play On: Over 49.5

The Commanders figure to get a much-needed spark with veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett replacing struggling Sam Howell. Even with Howell, Washington has gone over the total in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per contest. On a negative note, the Commanders have allowed 34.7 points and 407.3 yards per game throughout their previous 6 contests.

The 49ers are one of if not the best NFL offenses when healthy like they are right now. Throughout their previous 4 on the road, the 49ers averaged 38.0 points scored and 419.0 yards gained per game. They’ve also gone over the total in their last 3 on the road with a combined average of 59.7 points scored per game. The 49ers have a very talented group, but over their previous 3 contests they’re allowing an uninspiring 26.0 points and 367.7 yards per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Ravens @ Jaguars 8:20 PM ET

Game# 329-330

Play On: Over 41.5

The weather conditions won’t be ideal, but it won’t automatically make this a low scoring affair. The Ravens offense has been humming which is evidenced by them scoring 31 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Ravens are the #1 running team in the NFL so far this season and are averaging 157.1 yards per game. Baltimore is also #4 in scoring offense at 27.2 points per game. The Ravens have played 5-2 to the over during their previous 7 contests and with a combined average of 52.1 points scored per game.

Jacksonville enters this week #11 in total offense, #9 in passing offense, and #9 in scoring offense. Additionally, throughout their previous 4 contests the Jags have averaged 29.0 points scored and 375.8 yards gained per game. Jacksonville has also allowed 26.8 yards and 380.8 yards per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Jacksonville has played 4-0 to the over at home this season when the number was 44.0 or less and there was a combined average of 54.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Commanders @ Cowboys 4:30 PM ET

Game# 107-108

Play On: Over 48.5

Washington has played 4-0 to the over this season when the number is 42.5 or greater and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per game. During their previous 3 games, Washington has averaged 24.0 points scored and 415.8 yards gained per contest. They’ll be facing a Cowboys team which has averaged 40.0 points scored and 446.5 yards gained per game at home this season. Both teams have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 games with averaged combined scores of 55.8 points scored in contests involving Dallas and 52.3 in those Washington outings.

Dallas is coming off a 33-10 win at Carolina and covered as an 11.0-point favorite. Washington is coming off a 31-19 home loss to the New York Giants. Any NFL home favorite of -10.0 or greater that’s coming off an away favorite of 10.0 or more ATS cover, versus an opponent that allowed 19 points or more in their previous contest, and the total in this current identical situation is 45.0 or greater, resulted in those games playing 7-0 to the over since 1998. There was a combined average of 65.7 points scored per gane during those 7 contests. Give me this game to go over the total.

Jacksonville @ Kansas City 4:30 PM ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Over 52.0 (10*)

Since 1/20/2019, Kansas City has played 6-1 to the over in home playoff games with a total of 56.5 or less. Those 7 contests had an average total of 52.2 and there was a combined 66.1 points scored per game.

Jacksonville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 non-division away underdog of 9.0 or less, and there was a total of 42.0 or greater. The Jaguars have also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when there was a total of 45.5 or greater, and there was a combined 63.0 points per game. The Jaguars enter this Divisional Round matchup riding a 6-game win streak. NFL Playoff teams like Jacksonville who have won 6 or more games in a row, and there was a total of 52.0 or greater, saw those situations play 4-0 to the over and there was a combined 62.3 points scored per occurrence since 2017.

NFL Playoff home favorites of 4.5 or more like Kansas City that are coming off a bye, with a total of 42.0 or more, and they’re coming off 5 or more wins in a row, resulted in those situations playing 11-0 to the under since 1990. The average total in those games was 47.5 and there was a combined 55.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Seattle @ Arizona 4:05

Game# 467-468

Play On: Over 49.0 (10*)

Seattle has seen each of their previous 3 away games go over the total and there was an enormous average of 74.7 points per contest. Seattle is coming off a 27-13 home win over the New York Giants which has improved their season record to 5-3 (.625).

Arizona has seen its last 2 go over the total with a combined average of 68.0 points scored per contest. The Cardinals are coming off last week’s 34-26 loss at Minnesota and they now find themselves with an uninspiring 3-4 (.375) season record.

Since 2016, NFL teams with a total of 47.5 or greater who are playing after Game 6, and they’re coming off a home win by 13 or more points in which they scored 48 points or fewer, and their win percentage is between .600 to .750, versus an opponent with a win percentage of .333 or better (Arizona), resulted in those games playing 32-7 (82%) to the over.

Give me this game to go over the total.

San Francisco @ LA Rams 6:40 PM ET

Game# 323-324

Play On: Under 46.0 (10*)

The Rams are coming off a thrilling 30-27 win at Tampa Bay and that game went over the total of 48.0. Los Angeles has played 6-0 to the under (40.8 PPG) in their last 6 following a game in which they went over. As a matter of fact, the Rams haven’t gone over in consecutive games since 10/3/2021. Since the start of the 2019-202 season, the Rams have played 16-6 (72.7%) to the under as a home favorite.

San Francisco has played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 and with a combined average of 39.1 points scored per game. The 49ers run defense has been outstanding in recent games. They’ve allowed 90 yards rushing or less in their previous 7 and 10 of its last 11 games.

San Francisco entered the season as the NFC #6 seed. Since the 2013 postseason, NFL #6 seeds have played 26-6 (81.2%) to the under. The average total in those 32 contests was 46.1 and there was a combined average of 40.1 points scored per game. Bet this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager. Furthermore, throughout their previous 6 games, the 49ers stop unit has allowed 15.2 points per contests and 307 yards or fewer on each occasion. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Cincinnati @ Baltimore 1:00 PM ET

Game# 451-452

Play On: Under 46.0 (10*)

Cincinnati has seen each of its last 5 games go under the total and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Under current head coach Zack Taylor, Cincinnati has now played 10-2 to the under in Games 1 through 8 of their season and there was a combined 41.6 points scored per contest. Cincinnati has averaged only 9.0 points scored per contests in their last 4 meetings versus Baltimore, and 3 of those stayed under the total. The Bengals defense has played well this season while allowing 18.5 points and 331.5 yards per game. Cincinnati has played 3-0 to the under in road contests this season and held those opponents to just 13.7 points scored per game.

Baltimore is coming off an impressive 34-6 home win over the Chargers. It was by far the best performance by the Ravens defense to date when considering the opponent. They held the explosive Chargers offense to just 208 yards. Since 2019, Baltimore has played 5-1 to the under at home following a game in which they allowed 14 points or fewer. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Broncos @ Jacksonville 1:00 PM ET

Game# 283-284

Play On: Over 45.0 (10*)

I thought prized rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence acquitted himself very well in his NFL debut last week despite the Jaguars 37-21 loss at Houston. Granted he did throw 3 interceptions. Nonetheless, he also threw 332 yards and 3 touchdowns as well. Conversely, the Jacksonville defense was terrible. They allowed Houston to accumulate 449 yards of total offense and made vagabond quarterback Tyrod Taylor resemble a future Hall of Fame inductee. Houston was also 12-21 (57.1%) on 3rd down conversions. The Jags also allowed the Texans to average a massive 8.8 yards per passing attempt which is brutal by NFL standards.

Teddy Bridgewater was solid in his Denver debut going 28-36 passing for 264 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. The Broncos also ran the ball extremely well while accounting for 165 yards and averaged a terrific 5.9 yards per rushing attempts. Bet on this game to over the total for a Top Play wager.

Kansas City @ Tampa Bay 6:30 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Under 56.0 (10*)

For starters 5 of the last 6 Super Bowls have played to the under when there was a total of 50.0 or greater. The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a 38-24 win over the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Since 10/1/18, Kansas City has played 7-2 to the under when there was a total of 52.0 or greater and after they scored 35 points or more. That took place with almost the identical offensive players as this season, and if anything, this year’s edition on defense may is better than the previous 2.

The Chiefs will be facing a red-hot Tampa Bay defense. The Bucs are #1 against the run and have been for 2 years running. Tampa Bay is also 6th in total yards allowed per game and 4th in sacks with 48. The Tampa Bay defensive front 7 are outstanding and underrated. Look for Tampa Bay to invite Kansas City to run the ball and force them to be patient in the passing game by keeping everything in front of them. It’s likely the only time that plan gets abandoned is inside the red zone. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rams @ Packers 4:35 PM ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Under 46.0 (10*)

The Rams know they can’t win a shootout against Green Bay. Jared Goff and the Rams offense is nowhere near as explosive in the passing game as they were 2 years ago when they advanced to the Super Bowl. However, one thing they continue do well is run the ball and that will be a key ingredient to their success on Saturday. The Rams defense is the best or at least one of the best units in the NFL. I look for Rams star cornerback Jalen Ramsey to more than hold his own while shadowing Green Bay #1 wide receiver Devante Adams who has torched opposing secondaries this season on a regular basis. Bet this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Rams @ Seahawks 4:40 PM ET

Game# 143-144

Play On: Over 42.0 (10*)

The Rams are coming off a 18-7 home win over Arizona in their final regular season game. Los Angeles has seen each of its last 4 games go under the total. The last too stayed under by decisive margins of 19.0 and 15.5 points.

Any NFL team (Rams) that is coming off each of their previous 2 games going under and both doing so by 15 points or more, resulted in those contests going 52-23 (69.3%) to the over since 2011. The average total in those 75 occurrences was 43.8 and there were a combined 50.1 points scored per game.

Seattle is coming off a 26-23 win over San Francisco in a game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point favorite. Since 2018, the Seahawks are 8-1 to the over following a win by 3 points or fewer, and that includes 3-0 to the over if that contest was played at home.

Any NFL team (Seahawks) that is coming off a straight up win in which they did not cover, versus an opponent (Rams) coming off a home win, resulted in those games going 44-11 (80%) to the over since 1980. The average combined score in those 55 contests was 54.8. This exact situation has arisen 8 times already this season, and all those games went over the total. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Washington @ Philadelphia 8:20 PM ET

Game# 101-102

Play On: Under 44.0 (10*)

Washington has seen each of their previous 4 games go under the total and there was a combined 36.5 points scored per game. The Football Team won the first matchup versus the Eagles 27-17 at home. However, the points scored were a bit misleading since Washington was able to amass only 239 yards or total offense and Philadelphia just 265. The Eagles 3 turnovers in that contest heavily attributed to Washington’s scoring output.

Philadelphia is coming off a humiliating 37-14 loss at Dallas in a game in which they were a 4.5-point favorite. Since 2018, Philadelphia is 17-7 to the under at home and that includes 4-0 if they are coming off a game versus a division opponent.

Any NFL team playing in a division game and is coming off a straight up favorite loss by 15 points or more, resulted in those games going 15-0 to the under since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for my NFL 10* Total of the Year.

Ravens @ Browns 8:15 PM ET

Game# 179-180

Play On: Under 47.0 (10*)

These division rivals have seen the last 3 games played against one another in Cleveland all go under the total. These teams are run heavy offenses in what is now a pass happy league. The Browns have run the ball on 53.3% of their offensive plays this season while Baltimore does it at a 55.9% clip. It’s no coincidence that they rank #1 and #2 in the NFL in rushing yards per game. Conversely, Baltimore is dead last in the league in passing yards per game and Cleveland is #27 in that category. The weather forecast on Monday nigh is calling for winds of 17 to 20 MPH. That will certainly affect the teams passing games when going against the wind.

Cleveland enters this game with a stellar 9-3 (.750) record. The Browns will be out to revenge a 38-7 loss at Baltimore in their season opener. This sets up an extremely profitable Monday night totals betting angle which is displayed below.

Any NFL Monday night division home underdog with a total of 43.0 or greater that has a win percentage of .375 or better, resulted in those games going 22-1 (95.6%) to the under since 1980. If those home teams were an underdog of 4.0 or less this betting angle improves to a perfect 16-0 to the under since 1980. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Patriots @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET

Game# 277-278

Play On: Over 44.5 (10*)

I said it before the season, and I will say it again, anytime you get an opportunity to catch a Seattle game that has a total of 49.5 or less you should give strong consideration to bet the over. Last week in their season opener against Atlanta the total closed at 49.5 and the Seahawks prevailed 38-25 which easily surpassed the number.

The Patriots are coming off a 21-11 win over Miami. However, now they are going to face on of the best quarterbacks in football with Russell Wilson as opposed to the Dolphins Ryan Fitzpatrick. You will not get many to disagree that Wilson is a huge step up in class compared to the former Harvard quarterback. Seattle is also vastly superior at the offensive skilled positions in comparison to Miami.

The Patriots defense is still a formidable group. Nevertheless, they lost some key personnel from that exceptional unit from last season. It did not show up against Miami, but it will against this Seattle offense. I would be shocked if the New England offense does not expose the biggest defensive weakness for Seattle and that is their secondary. Matt Ryan torched the Seattle defense for 450 passing yards last week and 3 receivers went over 100 yards for the day. The Seattle pass defense has been a major issue for them dating back to last season. There is no more “Legion of Boom”. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Houston @ Kansas City 8:20 PM ET

Game# 451-452

Play On: Over 54.0 (10*)

These teams met twice last season and both games went over the total with a combined average of 68.5 points scored per contest.

This game will feature two of the most exciting quarterbacks the NFL has to offer in Patrick Mahomes and Deshaun Watson. Watson threw for 3852 yards and 26 touchdowns last season. He added an additional 635 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2 postseason games. That includes 388 yards and 2 touchdowns passing in the AFC Divisional Round 51-31 loss at Kansas City. Watson also ran for 413 yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 regular season games. During 30 regular season starts over the past 2 regular season,

During the past 2 regular seasons, Patrick Mahomes has combined to throw for an astronomical 9128 yards and 76 touchdowns. During that identical time span, Mahomes also ran for 490 yards and 4 touchdowns. Although Mahomes is not the running threat that Watson is, he is still very mobile and has an uncanny ability to extend plays with that attribute.

The Chiefs have gone over in their last 5 home openers and there was a combined 57.6 points scored per contest.

The Texans defense was a huge liability a season ago and that was further exposed in their 2 postseason games against Buffalo and Kansas City. I see nothing to suggest there has been any offseason changes made that would indicate any significant improvement. Houston was 28 in total defense last season while allowing an enormous 388.3 yards per game. Kansas City was in the middle of the pack when it came to defensive statistics.

Since 2008, any NFL home favorite of 1.5 or great that is playing in their first 3 games of the season, and there is a total of 52.0 to 55.5, has gone 13-1 (92.9%) over the total. There was a combined average of 62.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Seahawks @ Packers 6:40 PM ET

Game# 307-308

Play On: Over 45.5 (10*)

Weather is always a concern when games are played at Green Bay in January. It certainly will be very cold with temperatures in the low 20’s. Nevertheless, there’s 0% chance of precipitation and light winds of 5-6 MPH in the latest forecast.

Both teams will have success running the ball in this contest. Subsequently, it will provide plenty of favorable opportunities via play action passing plays. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has seen 6 of his 9 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Green Bay signal caller Aaron Rodgers has witnessed 5 of his 7 playoff starts go over the total during the past 5 seasons. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Minnesota @ San Francisco 4:35 PM ET

Game# 301-302

Play On: Over 44.0 (10*)

The weather forecast is calling for 10 MPH winds throughout the game. That’s nothing new for San Francisco weather. Besides, both teams have very strong running games that can more than overcompensate when going against the wind.

Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 5 away games this season when there’s been a total of 49.0 or less. Those 5 contests averaged a sizable 57.8 points scored per game. As a matter of fact, the Minnesota offense has been more effective on the road than at home this season which is evidenced by them averaging 26.4 points scored and 374.2 yards gained per away game. Minnesota is very good defensively. Nevertheless, it must be note, the Vikings faced 6 teams this season that finished with winning records, and they allowed them to rack up an average of 377.2 yards of total offense per game.

San Francisco finished the regular season by going over in their final 4 contests and there was a combined average of 64.3 points scored per game. The 49ers offense was explosive at home while averaging a robust 32.4 points scored per game. San Francisco’s defense was extremely dominant during their first 7 contests while allowing just a paltry 11.0 points per game. However, in their last 9 regular season games they allowed 25.9 points per contest and went over the total on 7 of those occasions. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* wager.

49ers @ Seahawks 8:20 PM ET

Game# 129-130

Play On: Under 46.5 (5*)

Seattle is coming off last Sunday’s shocking 27-13 loss to Arizona (5-9-1) in a game they were a sizable 8.0-point home favorite. Since 2017, Seattle has gone under the total in all 6 of its games when there’s a total of 50.0 or less and they’re coming off a home loss during their previous contests. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 37.0 points scored per game.

Any NFL home team (Seahawks) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 14 points or more in their previous outing, resulted in those home teams going 29-2 (93.5%) under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Cardinals @ Seahawks 4:25 PM ET

Game# 477-478

Play On: Over 50.5 (10*)

Arizona has gone over the total in 4 of 5 games this season as a road underdog. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 49.3 points scored per game. The Cardinals defense has given up 393 yards or more in 6 of its previous 7 and they allowed 29.4 points per game while doing so. Arizona is coming off last Sunday’s 38-24 home win over Cleveland in a game they amassed 445 yards of total offense. Seattle has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 at home and there were a combined 61.2 points scored per game.

Both starting quarterbacks (Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray) have above average mobility which enables them to beat defenses with their arms and legs. Each defensive unit has been terrible against the pass this season. Arizona is dead last in that category at 290.4 yards per game allowed and Seattle is #29 while permitting 271.0 yards passing per contest. This game has all the earmarks of a high scoring and extremely entertaining affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rams @ 49ers 8:15 PM ET

Game# 451-452

Play On: Under 45.0 (10*)

San Francisco is coming off last Sunday’s 29-22 home upset loss to Atlanta. The Rams are coming off a humiliating 44-21 loss at Dallas in a game they closed as a 1.0-point favorite. The combination of those 2 results creates an NFL totals betting angle which is unbeaten since 2015 and is illustrated below.

Any NFL team (Rams) with a total of 46.5 or less that’s coming off an away favorite straight up loss by 10 points or greater, and they’re facing an opponent (49ers) who scored 28 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 24-0 under the total since 2015. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Saints @ Falcons 8:20 PM ET

Game# 309-310

Play On: Under 49.0 (10*)

After putting together a modest 2-game win streak, Atlanta followed it up with last Sunday’s disappointing 35-22 loss to Tampa Bay as a 3.0-point home favorite. Conversely, New Orleans is coming off a 34-31 home win over Carolina last Sunday, and that contest easily went over the total of 46.0. Since the start of last season, New Orleans has gone under in all 7 of its contests following a game in which they scored 43 points or fewer and went over the total. These teams have seen 4 of their last 5 meetings go under the total, and that includes an Atlanta 26-9 win at New Orleans earlier this season in a contest that went way under the total of 51.5.

Any home team (Falcons) with a total of 52.0 or less that’s coming off a straight up favorite loss by 13 points or more, and they possess a losing record, resulted in those games going 21-0 under the total since 2015. There was a combined average of just 30.3 points per game scored during those 21 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Chiefs vs. Chargers 8:15 PM ET

Game# 475-476

Play On: Under 53.0 (10*)

The Chargers defense has stepped up in their last 2 games against potent offensive attacks while limiting Green Bay to 184 yards and Oakland to 278. That’s a combined 175.7 yards below those 2 teams current season averages. Since Anthony Lynn took over a head coach of the Chargers in 2017, they’ve gone 15-5 (75%) under after game 8, and that includes 15-3 (83.3%) if the total was 53.0 or less. Los Angeles has also gone under in 7 of its last 9 this season. Additionally, the 2 games that went over during that sequence did so by a combined 1.5-points.

Since 2016, Kansas City has gone 5-1 under the total as a division favorite in games not played at home and when there was a total of 47.0 or greater. All those contests came under the watchful eye of current head coach Andy Reid.

Kansas City is coming off a 35-32 loss at Tennessee in their previous game. That defeat dropped their season record to a disappointing 5-4 (.555). Conversely, the Chargers are coming off a 26-24 loss at Oakland in a game they were a 1.0-point road favorite. The combination of these results and current season records qualifies this game for a extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle illustrated below.

Any NFL team (Chargers) coming off a road favorite straight up loss by 2 points or more that’s playing after Game 9 of its season, and they own a win percentage of .250 to .400, versus an opponent (Chiefs) with a win percentage of .642 who allowed 35 points or fewer in their previous game, resulted in those contests going 26-3 (89.7%) under since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Chargers @ Patriots 1:05 PM ET

Game# 305-306

Play On: Under 48.0 (10*)

The Chargers have seen 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) go under the total. They’ve also gone under in 8 of their last 11 overall which includes each of its previous 3. Additionally, they’ve allowed 19 points or fewer in 8 of their previous 13 games.

New England’s defense quietly performed extremely well during the 2nd of this season. Specifically, the Patriots allowed 17 points or fewer in 7 of their previous 9 games. Furthermore, New England went under the total during 8 of those 9 contests and that includes each of the last 3. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Seahawks @ Cowboys 8:15 PM ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Over 43.0 (10*)

Seattle saw their last 3 regular season games all go over the total. They also went over their total during their previous 3 road games and there were a combined 57.7 points scored per contest. The Seahawks have scored 20 points or more in 14 of 16 games this season and have allowed 24 or more during 5 of its 7 true road games. Since 2015, Dallas has gone 8-2 over at home when the total was 42.0 to 45.0. Those 10 contests averaged a combined 50.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Packers @ Jets 1:00 PM ET

Game# 117-118

Play On: Over 46.0 (10*)

Green Bay has gone over the total in their last 6 games as a non-division road favorite and there were a combined 55.7 points scored per contest. As a matter of fact, since the start of the 2016 season, Green Bay has gone 12-1 over in non-division road games when there was a total of 55.5 or less.

New York has seen each of their previous 3 games go over the total. The Jets are 9-3 over in their last 12 at home and that includes 6-0 over if they were a pick or underdog of 6.5 or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 55.8 points scored. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

New England @ Detroit 8:20 PM ET

Game# 487-488

Play On: Under 54.0 (10*)

New England is coming off a 31-20 loss at Jacksonville and did so as a 1.5-point favorite. Since 2014, New England has gone under the total on the road following a road loss, and those games averaged a combined 38.8 points scored per game. Additionally, since 2016, New England has gone 5-1 under when there’s a total of 49.5 or greater.

Detroit is coming off last Sunday’s 30-27 loss at San Francisco. The combination of this data leads us to an extremely profitable NFL totals betting angle which is displayed below. Detroit is 5-0 under in their last 5 at home when there’s of 48.0 or greater, and they’re coming off a road loss in which it allowed 38 points or fewer. Those 5 contests averaged a combined 39.6 points scored per game.

Any team (New England) playing before Game 14 of their season with a total of 35.0 or greater, coming off an away double-digit loss as a favorite of 1.5-points or more, versus an opponent (Detroit) coming off an away loss in which they allowed 30 points or less, resulted in those games going 32-5 (86.5%) under the total since 1984. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Jacksonville @ New England 3:05 PM ET

Game# 311-312

Play On: Under 46.5 (10*)

Despite the Jaguars defense looking less than impressive during last week’s 45-42 Divisional Round win at Pittsburgh, they’re still a force to be reckoned with. Jacksonville has allowed 10 points or less in 9 of 18 games this season, and they’re at or near the top of every defensive category.

New England’s explosive offense led by future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady gets a plethora of attention and rightfully so. Nevertheless, the Patriots defense has allowed 17 points or less in 11 of their last 13 games played, and that includes each of it previous 5 at home.

Any road team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0, coming off a road win in which they scored and allowed 31 points or more, resulted in those road teams going 31-5 (86.1%) under the total since 1985. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Atlanta @ LA Rams 8:15 ET

Game# 103-104

Play On: Under 48.5 (5*)

Atlanta enters this postseason after seeing each of their last 5 regular season games go under the total. As a matter of fact, during the past 3 seasons Atlanta is 19-6 under following an under in their previous game, and that includes 11-1 under if there’s a total of 46.5 to 53.5. The Falcons defense has flown under the radar this season with no pun intended. Atlanta has allowed just 19.6 points and 318.0 yards per game during its regular season slate. This Falcons offense is far from the offensive juggernaut we saw a season ago. Much can be attributed to the loss of last season’s offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan who accepted the head coaching job in San Francisco.

The Rams have been a dynamic offensive team this season. However, they have very little playoff experience on their roster, and this will be the Rams franchise first postseason appearance since 2005. This is an extremely talented Rams defense, and they’re masterminded by one of the best coordinators in football in Wade Phillips.

Atlanta concluded its regular season last Sunday with a 22-10 home win over division rival Carolina. That victory improved their final regular season record to 10-6 (.625). They will be facing a Rams team that went 11-5 (.687). Any road team (Atlanta) playing in a playoff game that coming off a division home win, and they possess a win percentage of .600 to .750, versus an opponent (LA Rams) with a win percentage of .687 or worse, resulted in those postseason games going 12-0 under the total since 2008. There was a combined average of 37.1 points scored per game during those 12 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Miami @ Pittsburgh 1:05 PM ET

Play On: Over 45.5 (10*)

Miami finished the regular season by going 9-1 over the total in its last 10 games. As a matter of fact, they surpassed the number in each of their previous 6 contests, and there was a combined 51.5 points scored per game. The Dolphins are coming off a 35-14 blowout loss to New England. Since 2014, Miami is 5-0 over the total in road contests following a game in which they scored 14 points or less.

Since 2014, Pittsburgh is 11-2 over the total as a home favorite when the number is 48.0 or less. Furthermore, if they were facing a non-division opponent in that exact situation, Pittsburgh was 6-0 over the total, and there was a combined 59.3 points scored per game. The Steelers finished the regular season on a 6-game win streak, and they enter these playoffs with an 11-5 (.687) record. Pittsburgh scored 27 and 31 points in their last 2 games.

Any NFL road team (Miami) with at least 1 win on the season, and there’s a total of 45.0 or more, coming off a home game in which they scored 14 points or less, versus an opponent with a win percentage of less than .750, and they (Pittsburgh) scored 25 points or more in each of their previous 2 outings, resulted in those games going 10-0 over the total since 2007. There was a combined average of 63.3 points scored per game during those 10 contests. Bet on this game to over the total for my NFL Wild Card Round Total of the Year.

Washington @ Dallas 4:30 PM ET

Play On: Under 52.0 (10*)

Washington is coming off a 42-24 home win against Green bay this past Sunday night. Dallas is coming off a 27-17 home win against Baltimore last Sunday. The combination of these two results, and the current total, sets up a never lost NFL total betting angle which has held firm during the past 12 seasons.

Any away team with a total of 50.0 or more, coming off a home win in which they scored 20 points or more, versus a division opponent which scored 37 points or less in their previous game, resulted in those away teams going a perfect 25-0 under the total since 2005. There was a combined average of just 39.4 points scored per game during those 25 contests. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Carolina vs. Denver 6:30 PM ET

Play On: Over 43.0 (10*)

Carolina has gone a perfect 9-0 over the total the past two seasons when facing an opponent with a winning record. Those nine games averaged a combined 57.6 points per contest. Carolina has gone over the total in each of their last five games this season as a favorite of 6.5 or less, and there were a combined average of 63.6 points scored per contest. Carolina has scored 31 points or more in eight of its previous nine games, and they’re average 32.2 points scored per contest this season. Denver has gone over the total in each of their last five contests after winning four in a row, and there was a combined average of 69.2 points scored per game.

Any Super Bowl team (Carolina) that’s gone 3-0 SU&ATS as a favorite in its last three games, and there was a total of 46.5 or less, resulted in all eight of those contests going over the total since 1980. Those eight Super Bowls averaged a combined 55.4 points scored per game. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play selection.

Arizona @ Carolina 7:40 PM ET

Play On: Over 47.0 (10*)

Both of these NFC Championship Game participants have been explosive offensively this season. As a matter of fact, they’re the top two scoring teams in the NFL. Arizona has averaged 30.6 points (#2) and 408.3 yards (#1) of total offense per game this season. They’re even better than that on the road. In eight away games, the Cardinals are averaging 32.7 points and 426 yards per contest. Arizona averages a large 6.28 yards per offensive play, and that’s best in the NFL.

Carolina has eerily similar offensive numbers in comparison to their upcoming opponent. They’re averaging 31.2 points (#1) and 367 yards of total offense per game. Those numbers improve to 33.0 points and 392 yards per game when playing at home.

Arizona is #5 in total defense, allowing an average of only 321.7 yards per game. However, the Cardinals have allowed 354 yards or more in four of its previous five games. Arizona has been adept at creating turnovers this season. They’ve had 34 takeaways in 17 games. However, Carolina has committed only 19 turnovers in 17 contests thus far.

Along those same lines, Carolina is #6 in the NFL in total defense, allowing an average of 322.9 yards per game. Unfortunately, the Panthers defense has been torched for 373 yards or more in each of their last four contests. They’ve been able to cover up that deficiency during this stretch by creating a combined 9 turnovers, and having a +5 takeaway/giveaway differential. They’ll have their hands full in those regards against a Cardinals team which is a +8 this season in that exact category. As good as the Panthers defense whole body of work has been this season, they’ve been amongst the worst stop units in regards to allowing plays of 20 or more yards.

Granted the Cardinals are 6-1 under the total in their last seven games. We also mustn’t forget, they began the season by going over the total in eight of its first ten contests. Carolina has seen its last eight games go over the total when facing an opponent with a winning record. Those contests averaged a combined 56.9 points scored per contest. Since Ron Rivera took over as head coach in Carolina prior to the start of the 2011 season, the Panthers are 19-7 over the total when facing an opponent with a winning record. Tightening those numbers up even further, if the total was 46.0 or more, Carolina is 10-1 over the total during that five season stretch. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* rating.

Obviously the Patriots offense has been slowed a bit in recent weeks due to the loss of wide receiver Julian Edelman, all world tight end Rob Gronkowski, and running back Dion Lewis. None of those three players will be in uniform today. However, Tom Brady is still their quarterback, and no team in the NFL adjusts better to the personnel that’s available than New England. The Patriots have gone 4-1 over the total on the road this season, and there was a combined average of 55.2 points scored per contest.

Houston’s defense dominant three game run came to a screeching halt last week in a 30-21 loss at Buffalo. The Bills offense racked up 390 yards of total offense, and that included 183 yards on the ground. Buffalo also may have established the blueprint to Neutralizing J.J. Watt who was a non-factor in last Sunday’s game. On the other hand, the Texans offense was able to amass 401 yards of total offense in the loss. During the past three seasons, Houston is 7-1 over the total as a home underdog of 7.0 or less. Play on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

The Bengals have seen their last 6-games on the road all go under the total. The average total in those games was 46.9, and the average points scored was 33.3. Those 6-games stayed under the total by a decisive average of 13.6 points per contest. I look for the Bengals to rely heavily on their running game. Especially considering star wide receiver A.J. Green is doubtful to play due to a concussion, and tight end Jermaine Gresham is far less than 100% due to a back injury. The Bengals have rushed for an impressive 557-yards over their previous 3-games, and averaged a superb 5.1 yards per  rushing attempt. The Cincinnati run defense has been outstanding in their previous 5 road games. They've allowed opponents a total of only 296-yards during that time, and surrendered a paltry 2.8 yards per attempt.

The Colts have have gone under the total in each of their previous 4-games. The Colts running game wasn't a factor in any of those contests, gaining just 268-yards on the ground, and averaging a poor 3.1 yards per carry. The Colts defense was tied with the Buffalo Bills for best in the NFL this season on 3rd down, allowing opponents to convert just 33.2% of the time. The Colts met the Bengals once already this season, and turned in a dominating defensive performance in a 27-0 home win. Play on this game to go under the total as a 10* Top Play.

Carolina @ Atlanta 4:25 PM ET
Game# 315-316
Play On: Under 48.0 (10*)

The Carolina Panthers are coming off a win over the Cleveland Browns last Sunday to set up this win or take all game in the NFC South. The Panthers have gone under the total in 12 of their last 14 following a win in their previous game. Carolina has also seen their last three meetings go under the total versus the Falcons. Those games had an average total of 46.7, and an average combined score of 40.3 points.

Any team with a total of 42.5 to 49.0 (Carolina), coming off a home win in which they scored 36-points or less and they failed to cover as a favorite, versus an opponent coming off an away underdog straight up win in which they scored 33-points or less, has seen that team go under the total in 31 of those 32-games (96.9%) since 1984. Play on this game to go under the total as my NFL 10* Total of the Year!

San Diego @ Miami 1;00 PM ET
Game# 451-452
Play On: Over 44.5 (10*)

The Chargers have gone over the total in their last 10-games as an away underdog following a straight up loss. The average total score of those 10-games was 64.5 points. The Dolphins have gone over the total in each of their 4 home games this season. The average score in those 4-games was 51.3 points. The Dolphins will definitely being attacking a banged up Chargers secondary. The Dolphins special teams coverage units have been poor to this point of the season. I look for Philip Rivers to have a huge game in this one, and Ryan Tannehill will do his share to help our cause.

Any non-division away underdog with a total of 50.0 or less, coming off a game in which they scored 21 or more and allowed 35 or more, they went over the total of 48.0 or more in the previous game, has gone 12-0 over the total since 1980. Those 12-games have averaged 58.5 points per game. Play on the Chargers and Dolphins to go over the total as a 10* Top Play selection.