Sports Picks & Predictions

Cardinals (Gibson) @ Diamondbacks (Nelson) 8:10 ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Cardinals -104

Ryne Nelson has made 2 starts for Arizona so far and had a horrible 8.21 ERA/1.83 WHIP while lasting only a combined 7 2/3 innings. That’s even more alarming when you consider the Arizona bullpen has a shaky staff 5.64 ERA/1.79 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Nelson has 1 career start versus St. Louis and that took place last season. It was certainly an uninspiring performance as he allowed 5 earned runs, 8 hits, and walked 3 in 6.0 innings. Despite having a subpar 6-8 record. Arizona is a +1.0 run per game differential. However, that’s a bit deceiving when considering they’re 5-2 versus Colorado (4-10) with a +2.0 run per game differential and 1-6 against everyone else.

Kyle Gibson has gone 6-0 in his teams starts on the road since last season when facing teams like Arizona who have a +0.5 or greater run per game differential. Gibson has made 4 starts versus the Diamondbacks since 2020 and posted a stellar 2.35 ERA/1.17 WHIP during those outings. The St. Louis bullpen has been solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.33 ERA/1.26 WHIP. Give me the Cardinals on the money line.

Astros (Verlander) @ Rangers (Montgomery) 5:07 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Under 9.0

Justin Verlander has established himself as one of the best starting pitchers in postseason baseball over the past 2 decades. There’s no reason to think that will change tonight. Verlander has been in excellent form over his last 4 starts with a 1.05 ERA/0.93 WHIP. During his last 4 road starts Verlander recorded a sparkling 0.72 ERA. Verlander has made 2 starts versus Texas this season with a 1.98 ERA/0.95 WHIP in 13 2/3 innings pitched. The Astros bullpen has a terrific staff 1.47 ERA/0.69 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Jordan Montgomery has been magnificent for Texas down the stretch. During his last 7 starts the Texas lefty has a brilliant 1.22 ERA. During his 2 starts versus Houston this season Montgomery had a superb 0.69 ERA. The Rangers bullpen had a tough day yesterday, but they’ve been very good during a majority of postseason action. Give me this game to go under the total.

Diamondbacks (Pfadt) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 949-950

Play On: Over 7.5

Despite Arizona being anemic offensively over the final week of regular season action this total moved from an opening number of 7.5 to 8.0. Some of that mover may be due to the slated Arizona starting pitcher Brandon Pfadt. During regular season play Pfadt made 18 starts and posted a lofty 5.70 ERA while surrendering 19 home runs in 90 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks have played 7-0-1 to the over in their last 8 on the road this season immediately following an off day and there was a combined average of 14.0 runs scored per game.

Former National League Cy Young Award winner Corbin Burnes has once again had a very good season. However, his ERA was much better on the road than at home where 9 of his 14 starts went over the total and he posted an ordinary 4.27 ERA during those outings. During his lone start at home versus Arizona this year, Burnes allowed an alarmingly high 7 earned runs in 5.0 innings of work. Milwaukee has played 12-4 to the over at home versus NL West teams this season and there was a combined average of 10.3 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Padres (Wacha) @ Brewers (Houser) 2:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 9.0

Michael Wacha has been in terrific form over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.06 ERA/0.94 WHIP. Wacha has also been superb in form day game starts this season with a 1.12 ERA/0.88 WHIP. The Padres bullpen has been very good over the past week. However, their offense has been silent and they were hitting just .182 as a team and averaged 3.1 runs scored per outing over their last 7 games heading into the weekend.

The Brewers Adrian Houser is a perfect 6-0 during his team starts in day games with a shiny 3.03 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Houser has made 3 home starts versus the Padres since 2019 and posted a brilliant 1.80 ERA/0.87 WHIP in those appearances. The Milwaukee bullpen has been extremely good of late. The Brewers have played 26-11 to the under this year whenever the total was 9.0 or 9.5. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Scherzer) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Over 7.5

There’s something going on with Twins starter Joe Ryan who has been awful in recent starts. During his previous 5 starts, Ryan has compiled a sizable 9.00 ERA/1.83 WHIP and allowed an alarming 11 home runs in just 23.0 innings pitched. The Twins bullpen has been shaky over their previous 7 games while recording a staff 4.98 ERA/1.85 WHIP and they walked 17 batters in 21 2/3 innings pitched. Throughout their previous 7 games, Minnesota is averaging 5.7 runs scored per game and belted 13 homers.

Some of you may be scratching your head when seeing this pick, and consequently feeling uncomfortable betting a game over with Max Scherzer as one of the starting pitchers. However, as much as Scherzer has been dominant in his home starts this season that’s not been the case on the road. Scherzer has pitched 8-4-1 over on the road this season with a lofty 4.79 ERA. The most concerning part of Scherzer’s road starts is that he’s allowed 20 homers in 73.3 innings pitched. Couple that with the fact that he’ll be facing a Twins team which averages 1.48 homers hit per game at home and identically 1.48 hit per outing during 97 games versus right-handed starting pitchers, and he points toward a perfect storm. Furthermore, the Rangers bullpen has been brutal over the last 7 games while posting a 8.69 ERA/1.66 WHIP as a staff and they gave up 7 homers in 29.0 innings. Give me this game to go over the total.

Reds (Ashcraft) @ Angels (Giolito) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 967-968

Play On: Reds +135

The Angels pitching has been horrific of late. The Halos have allowed 7 runs or more in their last 3 and 6 of the previous 7 games. Lucas Giolito is the slated starting pitcher for the Angels, and he’s been in bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a 9.19 ERA/1.66 WHIP. The Angels bullpen has a miserable 8.16 ERA/1.92 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Despite being 3-4 in their last 7, the Angels are a -4.2 run per game differential over that course of time. 

Graham Ashcraft of the Reds has exhibited very good form over his last 4 starts with a 2.25 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Reds bullpen has an excellent staff 1.42 ERA/0.79 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cincinnati is 33-21 this season versus teams like the Angels who have a losing record. Give me the Reds on the money line as my MLB Underdog Game of the Month. 

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Dodgers (Gonsolin) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Dodgers -132

Sandy Alcantara has been brilliant over his last 4 starts. However, during that time he tossed 2 complete games and logged 32.0 innings pitched. That’s an extremely heavy workload by modern MLB standards. Furthermore, Alcantara has been horrible during 3 career starts at Dodgers Stadium while compiling a massive 18.00 ERA/3.00 WHIP. He lasted only a combined 10.0 innings in those 3 outings. Miami hasn’t been the same team since returning from the all-star break. As a matter of fact, the Marlins are an abysmal 3-14 during their previous 17 away games.

The Dodgers remain sizzling hot after winning 1-0 at home over Milwaukee last night which extended their current win streak to 11 games. Additionally, they’ve gone a terrific 15 -1 in their last 16 games and that includes 10-0 at Dodger Stadium. Tony Gonsolin was very good in 13 night-game starts this season with a 2.73 ERA/0.97 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has been magnificent of late while posting a 0.41 ERA over their last 7 games. Give me the Dodgers as a money line favorite.

Mets (Megill) @ Orioles (Gibson) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Orioles -1.5 (+105)

The Mets have lost their last 4 while being outscored by a cumulative 30-11. New York has also dropped 7 of their last 8 road games. Tylor Megill has a a horrible 7.99 ERA/2.23 WHIP during 8 road starts this season. The Mets bullpen has an undesirable 6.57 ERA/1.62 WHP throughout their previous 7 games. New York is coming off a 10-3 loss last night at Camden Yards. They’ve gone 1-9 on the road this season after allowing 9 runs or more in their previous outing and were outscored by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

Kyle Gibson exhibited good form over his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA/1.06 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been stellar over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.13 ERA/1.03 WHIP. During that identical stretch, Baltimore averaged 6.6 runs scored per game while compiling a .307 team batting average and .369 on-base percentage.  Give me the Baltimore Orioles on the run-line.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Angels (Detmers) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Mariners -110

Ross Detmers has an awful 8.05 ERA over his last 4 starts. The Angels bullpen has a 5.54 ERA/1.50 WHIP and allowed 7 homers in 26.0 innings pitched throughout their previous 7 games. The Angels have averaged a mere 2.6 runs scored per game over their previous 7 outings.

Seattle has gone 7-2 in their last 9 and 9-4 during their previous 13 away games. The Mariners slated starter Luis Castillo has displayed excellent form over his last 5 starts with a 2.32 ERA/0.84 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a terrific 1.23 ERA/0.86 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me the Seattle Mariners on the money line.

Rangers (Perez) @ Padres) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Over 9.0

Texas starter Martin Perez has been in terrible form over his last 3 starts and has subpar numbers on the road in 2023. The Rangers bullpen has been shaky throughout the better part of the season and been worse than that over the past 7 games. The Rangers are averaging 6.0 runs scored per game during their previous 7 outings. Since the start of last season, Darvish has seen all 8 of his starts in July go over the total and there was a combined 13.9 runs scored per game.

The Padres Yu Darvish has been in bad form over his last 4 starts while recording a sizable 1.81 WHIP. San Diego has averaged 5.4 runs scored per outing in their last 7 games.

Angels (Giolito) @ Blue Jays (Gausman) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Toronto -1.5 (+108)

Lucas Giolito makes his Angels debut today after being obtained earlier in the week in a trade with the White Sox. Giolito’s road performance line in 2023 leaves much to be desired as it reads a 5.25 ERA/1.58 WHIP during 11 starts. Furthermore, Giolito has an abysmal 4-17 team start record since the start of last season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater like he’ll be today. Granted the Angels are a red-hot 8-1 in their last 9. However, they played a doubleheader at Detroit yesterday and will be facing a Toronto team that was off on Thursday. It’s also worth noting that the Angels are 8-17 this season when facing teams like Toronto who have a win percentage of between .540 and .620.

Kevin Gausman has been terrific in 9 home starts this season while recording a 2.58 ERA/0.99 WHIP and averaged a healthy 6.6 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Toronto is 3-0 when facing Lucas Giolito as an opposing starting pitcher. Additionally, Giolito’s terrible 8.62 ERA/1.79 WHIP during those 3 outings was a major contributor to Toronto winning all 3 of those games. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays as a run-line favorite.

Padres (Darvish) @ Blue Jays (Berrios) 7:07 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Blue Jays -115 (10*)

Yes, Yu Darvish is coming off a strong outing in his last start. However, over his last 5 starts he’s collected a lofty 5.93 ERA/1.61 WHIP. Which speaks to his lack of consistency that he’s displayed in 2023. Furthermore, Darvish is 0-4 during his team starts this season when facing American League teams and with a large 9.00 ERA. The Padres bullpen has been less than special throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 5.11 ERA/1.50 WHIP.

Despite yesterday’s 9-1 blowout loss to San Diego, Toronto has still gone an extremely profitable 8-2 over their last 10 games. Jose Berrios is 6-2 this year and 20-4 since 2022 in his home team starts. Berrios has compiled an excellent 2.45 ERA/0.82 WHIP during 8 home starts in 2023 while averaging a healthy 6.1 innings pitched per outing.  The Blue Jays bullpen has been rock-solid over their last 7 games with a staff 3.21 ERA/1.00 WHIP. Give me the Toronto Blue Jays on the money line.

Tigers (Manning) @ Royals (Lyles) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Tigers -124 (10*)

Kansas City’s Jordan Lyles is 1-16 during his team starts this season with a 6.24 ERA and has allowed 20 homers in 96. 2/3 innings pitched. The Royals bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a 6.63 ERA/1.63 WHIP. The Royals are a pathetic 14-33 in home games and 12-44 in night games this season. Kansas City came off yesterday’s 8-4 win over Tampa Bay. However, they’re a dismal 6-20 immediately following a win and 1-8 during their last 9 in that role this season.

Detroit came off a loss at Seattle yesterday. Nevertheless, the Tigers are 10-2 immediately in their last 12 immediately following a loss which includes 3-0 during the last 3 in that exact spot. Matt Manning has shown very good form over his last 3 starts while recording a 3.11 ERA/0.87 WHIP. The Tigers bullpen has been sharp throughout their previous 3 games with a 3.38 ERA/0.98 WHIP as a staff. The Tigers are a respectable 17-14 during road night games in 2023. Give me the Detroit Tigers on the money for a Top Play wager.

Phillies (Nola) @ Rays (Eflin) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 975-976

Play On: Rays -132 (10*)

Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to giving up the long ball this season and especially on the road. Nola has a lofty 5.34 ERA in 10 road starts while allowing an alarmingly high 11 homers during 60 2/3 innings pitched. That’s a huge potential issue versus a Tampa Bay team that’s smacked an average of 1.7 homer game at home and went yard 131 times in 57 outing this season.

Zach Eflin is 8-0 during his home team starts this season while posing a superb 2.17 ERA/0.89 WHIP. The Rays bullpen staff has been solid throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a cumulative 2.70 ERA/1.17 WHIP. The Rays have lost their last 2 games and that’s significant. Tampa Bay is 8-1 this season immediately following a 2-game losing streak with a substantial +3.5 run per game differential. As a matter of fact, if they were a money line favorite of -170 or less during those exact situations, they improve to 6-0 with a massive +4.9 run per game differential.

Give me the Tampa Bay Rays as a money line favorite.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Red Sox (Whitlock) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Red Sox -125 (10*)

Saying that Sandy Alcantara’s first half of the 2023 season has been disappointing would be a vast understatement. Alcantara has a lofty 5.17 ERA in 15 starts and Miami went 6-9 in those games. The Marlins are coming off a 4-3 home stand. Since 2021, Miami is 6-25 on the road immediately following a 5-game or more home stand. During that same time span, Miami is 0-5 on the road immediately following a day off and after a home win and includes 0-2 this season. Miami is a very profitable 17-7 versus American League teams this season. However, just 2-4 during their last 6 in that role. Since 2021, Miami has gone an abysmal 4-23 versus AL East Division teams.

Boston is averaging 8.6 runs scored and 12.1 hits per game in their last 7 this season immediately following a day off. The Red Sox Garrett Whitlock is 3-0 in his home team starts in 2023 with a stellar 3.37 ERA/1.07 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.2 innings pitched per start. Whitlock has also displayed very good form over his last 3 starts overall with a 3.37 ERA/1.07 WHIP and averaged 6.8 innings pitched per start with a better than 9:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Give me the Boston Red Sox on the money line.

Twins (Gray) @ Braves (Strider) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Over 8.0 (10*)

The Braves Spenser Strider has a large 8.40 ERA/1.80 WHIP over his last 3 starts and allowed 5 home runs in just 15.0 innings pitched. Strider will be facing a Twins team which has smashed 13 homers throughout their previous 7 games. Strider has pitched 7-0 to the over in his home starts this season and there was a combined average of 12.7 runs scored per game.

Speaking of homers hit, Atlanta has hit an incredible 21 of them over their previous 7 games. The Braves have scored 5 runs or more in 11 of their previous 12 and 17 of the last 21 games. Atlanta has played 25-13-1 to the over at home in 2023 and there was a combined 10.2 runs scored per game.

Although Sonny Gray has been the best starting pitcher for Minnesota since last season. Gray does have some vulnerabilities. He’s pitched 10-2 to the over in that exact time frame when facing a team with a winning record and there was a combined 11.2 runs scored per game. The Twins bullpen has a shaky 5.49 ERA/1.59 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games.

Since last season, Minnesota has played 18-6 to the over when facing National League teams. During that identical time span, Atlanta has played 30-12 to the over versus American League teams.

Give me this game to go over the total as a Top Play wager.

Pirates (Ortiz) @ Marlins (Luzardo) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Marlins -1.5 (+105) (10*)

Let’s start with this. Pittsburgh has lost 10 straight and scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their previous 12 games. Throughout their previous 7 the Pirates are averaging a pathetic 1.9 runs per game while recording a .144 team batting average. Pittsburgh will be facing a marlins team which has allowed 3.0 runs per game throughout their last 7 outings. Luis Ortiz is 0-4 in his road team starts this season with a lousy 5.50 ERA and abysmal 1.94 WHIP. Even then, Ortiz is fortunate to have an ERA that low with a WHIP that high. Simply put, he’s wiggled out of lot of james during those starts while flirting with potential disaster.

Miami is 14-1 this season as a home favorite of -150 or greater this and outscored their opponents by a decisive average of 3.5 runs per game. During their previous 7 games the Marlins have an outstanding .305 batting average and .352 on-base-percentage as a team. Miami’s Jesus Luzardo is 6-2 in his home team starts this season while posting a stellar 3.04 ERA/1.06 WHIP. Throughout their previous 7 games, the Marlins bullpen staff has a combined 2.49 ERA/1.06 WHIP.

Give me the Miami Marlins as a run-line favorite for a 10* Top Play wager.

Blue Jays (Bassitt) @ Rangers (Gray) 2:35 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rangers -114 (10*)

Chris Bassitt is 0-3 in his day game team starts with a massive 14.60 ERA/2.19 WHIP and allowed 7 home runs during only 12 1/3 innings pitcher. The latter of those states is most concerning since Bassitt will be facing one of the best power hitting teams in the American League. Texas has averaged 1.32 home runs per game this season and that number increases to 1.6 per game at home. Additionally, Texas is an outstanding 20-7 (.741) during the day in 2023 and is averaging over 7 runs per game while also belting 42 home runs. This is logically not a good matchup for Chris Bassitt on Sunday.

The Texas Rangers Jon Gray has been sensational pver his last 6 starts while recording a brilliant 0.84 ERA and better than 7:1 strikeout to walk ratio.  The Texas bullpen has a stellar 0.89 WHIP over their last 7 games.

Give me the Texas Rangers on the money line as my 10* Top Play of the Month.

Angels (Ohtani) @ Rangers (Eovaldi)8:05 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Rangers -118 (10*)

Shoei Ohtani has made 4 career starts at Texas and posted an uninspiring 5.66 ERA. Ohtani has been in shaky form over his last 3 starts with a 4.76 ERA/1.59 WHIP. The star right-hander has also allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 32.0 innings pitched on the road. That’s potentially problematic since Ohtani will be facing a Texas Rangers team which has belted 55 home runs in 33 home games this season. Additionally, since the start of last season, the Angels are a dismal 14-36 (.280) when facing a starting pitcher like Nathan Eovaldi who allows an average of 0.5 home runs or fewer per start.

Nathan Eovaldi is coming off a rare start this season in which it wasn’t of the quality variety. However, Eovaldi is 7-1 during his last 8 team starts while compiling an excellent 1.47 ERA/0.94 WHIP and averaged a healthy 7.0 innings pitched per outing. Texas is a very good 22-11 (.667) at home this season while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game.

Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite.

Yankees (German) @ Mariners (Miller) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Yankees Domingo German returns from his 10-game suspension after showing great form over his last 4 start with a 1.64 ERA/0.68 WHIP. Since the start of the 2021 season, the Yankees have played 24-9 (73%) to the under.

Seattle’s Bryce Miller has seen all 5 of his starts going under the total this season and his brilliant 1.15 ERA/0.51 WHIP was a major reason why. Additionally, 2 of those 5 starts came at home where Miller allowed 0 earned runs in 12.0 innings pitched. Seattle went over the total on Sunday, and they’ve played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 following an over during its previous game.

Both bullpens in this matchup have been rock-solid thus far in 2023. Give me this game to go under the total.

Rangers (Gray) @ A’s (Kaprielian) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Rangers -1.5 (-103) (10*)

Oakland is 1-15 during day games this season and were outscored by an enormous 4.6 runs per game. The A’s are also an abysmal 4-16 at home and being outscored by an average of 3.5 runs per game.

Conversely, Texas is 9-4 during the day this season with a huge +3.6 run per game differential and averaging a substantial 8.1 runs scored per game. The Rangers lost at Oakland last night. But they can take comfort in knowing the A’s are a miserable 1-7 in 2023 immediately following a win and that includes 0-3 at home. Texas’ Jon Gray has been sharp in 4 road starts with a shiny 3.05 ERA/1.02 WHIP.

Give me the Texas Rangers on the run-line.

Astros (Brown) @ Angels (Sandoval) 9:38 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Astros -118 (10*)

The Angels Patrick Sandoval has made 6 career starts versus Houston with a lousy 7.15 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Since the beginning of last season, the Angels are 10-35 when facing starting pitchers like Hunter Brown who allow an average of 0.5 or less home runs per start. The Angels pitching staff has allowed a combined 26 runs and 32 hits during its previous 2 games.

The Astros Hunter Brown is 3-0 in his road team starts this season with a brilliant 1.93 ERA/0.91 WHIP. Since 2021, Houston has gone 36-14 against American League teams like the Angels that average 4.39 or more runs scored per game. Houston is a solid 9-6 on the road thus far in 2023 and outscored those 15 opponents by an average of 1.2 runs per game.

MLB money line road favorites of -110 or greater like Houston who is facing a team whose bullpen that averages 3.2 or more innings pitched per game and they allowed 4 earned runs or more in each of their last 2 games, resulted in those money line favorites going 42-10 (80.8%) since 2019. The money line favorites outscored their 52 opponents by a sizable average of 3.6 runs per game and their average money line was -134.5.

Give me the Houston Astros for a 10* Top Play money line pick.

Cardinals (Flaherty) @ Brewers (Woodruff) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Brewers -141 (10*)

The Cardinals Jack Flaherty has made 6 starts at Miller Park in Milwaukee since 2019, and he posted an alarmingly high 7.92 ERA/1.92 WHIP. The Cardinals enter the series on a current 3-game losing streak in which they were outscored 17-7.

The Brewers enter this 3-game series versus NL Central rival St. Louis riding a 5-game win streak and outscored their opponents by a cumulative score of 42-12. Since 2021, Brandon Woodruff has made 4 starts versus St. Louis and recorded a microscopic 0.73 ERA during those outings. The Brewers bullpen has been terrific thus far in 2023 with a staff 1.33 ERA/0.93 WHIP.

Give me the Brewers as a money line favorite.

Mariners (Castillo) @ Astros (Valdez) 3:37 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 6.5 (10*)

Seattle has played 17-3 to the over in their last 20 road games following a loss. The Mariners have also played 8-2 to the over this season on the road following an off day, and that includes 4-0 over if they scored 6 runs or more in their previous outing. Additionally, there was a combined 13.0 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 4 occurrences. The Mariners have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 11.9 runs scored per game. The Mariners bullpen has a terrible 8.18 ERA during their 3 postseason games thus far.

The Astros Framber Valdez has gone 21-10 in his team starts this season. However, during his 2 starts versus Seattle he allowed 3 earned runs on both occasions.  There were 5 combined home runs hit in Game 1 of this ALDS including 3 by Houston. Give me this game to go over the total.

Any American League road team with a total of 7.0 or less that has a slugging percentage of .410 or less, and they’re coming off a game in which there was a combined 15 runs or more being scored, resulted in those games playing 34-10 (77.3%) to the over since 2018. There was a combined average of 9.1 runs scored per game in those previously mentioned 44 occurrences.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Rays (McClanahan) @ Guardians (Bieber) 12:07 PM ET

Game# 945-946

Play On: Guardians -109 (10*)

These teams finished the regular season headed down opposite paths. Tampa Bay heads into the postseason having gone a dismal 8-18 in their last 26 games. Conversely, Cleveland finished regular season action a red-hot 24-6 in their last 30. The Rays finished up regular season play on a 9-game road trip which saw them go 2-7. Tampa is an awful 7-18 (.280) this season following 6 or more games on the road. Meanwhile, Cleveland played their last 10 regular season games at home. The Guardians are 23-10 (.697) this season following 5 or more consecutive games played at home.

At one point this season lefthander Shane McClanahan may have been the frontrunner for the American CY Young Award. However, the Rays hurler is 0-3 during his last 3 teams starts with a sizable 7.07 ERA/1.64 WHIP and that certainly doesn’t equate to good form. McClanahan will be facing a Cleveland team that has gone a terrific 17-4 this season as a home favorite of -110 or greater when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. The Tampa Bay bullpen has recently struggled as evidence by their staff 6.05 ERA/1.55 WHIP over its previous 7 games. As a matter of fact, the Rays bullpen has converted on a terrible 16 of 34 (47.1%) save opportunities on the road in 2022. One more final note, the Rays were a shiny 51-30 (.629) at home this season but went just 35-46 (.432) in away games.

Shane Bieber has gone a stellar 20-11 in his teams starts this season with an exceptional 2.93 ERA/1.04 WHIP. Furthermore, Bieber is 5-1 in his previous 6 teams starts with an outstanding 2.20 ERA/0.85 EHIP. The Guardians bullpen has an excellent 0.99 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Cleveland’s bullpen has converted 21 of 25 (84%) save opportunities at home this season. Give me the Guardians on the money line.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Tigers (Alexander) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

Lefthander Tyler Alexander has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts while posting an 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP and allowed 5 homers in just 14.0 innings pitched. Detroit has seen its previous 4 all go over the total with a combined 13.7 runs scored per game.

Seattle has gone 10-1-1 to the over during its last 12 on the road and there was a combined average of 10.5 runs scored per game and that includes 4-0-1 over if there was a total of 8.0 or less. The Mariners have played 19-9-1 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Marco Gonzalez has a lofty 1.61 WHIP 12 road starts this season. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Odorizz) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Cardinals -122 (10*)

Jake Odorizzi is the weak link in Atlanta’s otherwise solid starting pitching rotation. Odorizzi has been in shaky form over his last 4 starts which is evidenced by a 1.63 WHIP during those outings.

Veteran righthander Adam Wainwright has been tough at home during his career and this season is no different. Wainwright has compiled and excellent 2.11 ERA/1.03 WHIP in 13 home starts in 2022 while averaging a lofty 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Cardinals are a terrific 41-22 at home this season which included 30-11 as a money line favorite of -110 or greater and 11-2 if the money line is -100 to -150. Give me the Cardinals for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Morton) @ Cardinals (Montgomery) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Cardinals +107 (10*)

Charlie Morton has been terrific at home this season. However, he’s 4-7 in his road team starts with a 5.08 ERA. As a matter of fact, during his last 2 road starts Morton has allowed an alarmingly high 9 earned runs in 11.0 innings pitched. The Braves have suffered 23% of their losses this season with Charlie Morton as their starting pitcher.

The Cardinals are coming off an 11-4 home loss to Braves on Friday night. St. Louis has gone 7-0 in their last 7 immediately following a loss and won by an average of 4.8 runs per game. Since coming to St. Louis in a trade with the Yankees, Jordan Montgomery is a perfect 4-0 in his team starts with a magnificent 0.35 ERA. Despite Friday’s loss, St. Louis is still an excellent 40-22 at home this season and that includes 13-2 during its previous 15 at Busch Stadium. Give me the Cardinals as a Top Play money line underdog.

Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Giants (Cobb) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 7.5 (-120) (10*)

Alex Cobb has made 3 career starts versus Arizon and all have taken place since last season. During those outings Cobb posted a large 7.20 ERA and 1.73 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has a poor 5.66 ERA/1.84 WHIP over their last 7 games and that includes 6 home runs allowed in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. San Francisco has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 games. The Giants have an excellent .345 team on-base-percentage throughout its previous 7 games.

Madison Bumgarner has displayed bad form over his last 3 starts while compiling a 6.62 ERA/1.81 WHIP. Bumgarner returns to his old stomping grounds in San Francisco where he enjoyed many great campaigns. However, during his 2 starts as a visitor, Bumgarner has a lofty 6.00 ERA. Arizona is averaging a healthy 5.2 runs scored per game in their last 13 outings. The Diamondbacks are coming off a 3-game series at Coors Field which saw each go under the total. Since the start of last season, Arizona has played 17-3 to the over immediately following 3 consecutive games going under. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Braves (Fried) 1:35 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 8.0 (5*)

Merrill Kelly has displayed dominating form over his last 3 starts while collecting a 1.29 ERA/0.76 WHIP and averaged 7.0 innings pitched per outing. It should come as no surprise when pointing out that all 3 of those games went under the total. As a matter of fact, Kelly has pitched 6.0 innings or more during each of his last 9 starts. Kelly is also 7-2 in his road team starts this season with a more than respectable 3.18 ERA/1.14 WHIP. Conversely, Arizona has gone a terrible 11-25 on the road whenever Kelly wasn’t their starting pitcher. Heading into the weekend, the Arizona bullpen had a sparkling 2.25 ERA/1.00 WHIP during its previous 7 games.

As of games played through Friday 7/29, Atlanta had played 12-2 (83%) to the under in their last 14 at home. Max Fried has a stellar 2.73 ERA/1.09 WHIP in 12 home starts this season while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. The Braves bullpen has a shiny 1.08 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Dodgers (Kershaw) @ Rockies (Freeland) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Over 11.0 (-106) (10*)

Despite this game being played at Coors Field, this is an extremely high total for a game in which Clayton Kershaw is one of the starting pitchers. They’re begging you to take the under in this matchup and I’m not falling for the bait. Truth be told, Kershaw has made 1 start both this year and last at Coors, and he posted a terrible 10.24 ERA/2.48 WHIP during those 2 outings. Kershaw does possess a sparkling 2.49 ERA this season. However, Colorado has played 23-6 to the over since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or less.

Since 2019, Kyle Freeland is 1-5 during his home team starts versus the Dodgers with a 7.10 ERA/1.55 WHIP and he allowed 7 home runs in 31 2/3 innings pitched. The Dodgers won Game 2 of this series last night 5-4 and it went under the total of 11.5. The Dodgers have played 6-1 to the over during their last 7 following an under in its previous game, and there was a combined average of 12.3 runs scored per occurrence. Give me this game to go over the total.

Brewers (Woodruff) @ Red Sox (Bello) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Brewers -1.5 (+100) (5*)

Brayan Bello has made 3 starts this season and all have come since 7/6. During those 3 outings Bello posted an alarmingly high 10.50 ERA/2.50 WHIP. The Red Sox bullpen has an awful 8.10 ERA/1.80 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Despite yesterday’s 4-3 win over Cleveland, Boston is still a dismal 5-15 in their last 20 games and includes 1-7 during its previous 8.

On the other hand, Milwaukee enters today having won 5 of its previous 6 games and they scored 6 runs or more in all 5 wins. The Brewers last played on Wednesday when they recorded a 10-4 win over Minnesota. Since the start of last season, Milwaukee has gone an extremely profitable 25-9 on the road immediately following a win by 4 runs or more.  Brandon Woodruff has displayed good form over his last 5 starts while collecting a 2.20 ERA/1.05 WHIP during that stretch. Give me the Brewers on the run line.

Braves (Fried) @ Phillies (Suarez) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Braves -1.5 (-109) (10*)

Rangers Suarez has made 2 starts versus Atlanta this season and was highly ineffective in both. During those 2 outings, Suarez posted a 7.36 ERA/1.64 WHIP in 11.0 innings pitched.  The Phillies bullpen has posted a lofty 5.56 ERA over their last 7 games. Philadelphia enters today having lost their last 3 and 7 of its previous 10 games.

Atlanta is coming off yesterday’s 9-1 home loss to the Angels. However, the Braves have gone 10-0 in their last 10 following a loss and outscored their opponents by an average of 4.3 runs per game. As a matter of fact, Atlanta hasn’t lost 2 consecutive games since 6/18. Since the start of last season, Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 41-14 as a money line road favorite of -125 or greater. Max Fried is 6-1 in his road team starts this season with a terrific 2.51 ERA/0.79 WHIP and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per outing.  The current total on this game is 8.0. Fried is a superb 21-3 in his team starts since last season whenever there was a total of 8.0 or 8.5. Give me the Braves on the run line for a Top Play.

Cardinals (Mikolas) @ Reds (Mahle) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Cardinals -131 (10*)

We have the better starting pitcher and bullpen in Sunday’s matchup of NL Central foes. Miles Mikolas has been as consistent as they come in 2022 while posting a 2.54 ERA/0.96 WHIP throughout 19 starts. Mikolas has also been a workhouse while averaging 6.3 innings pitched per start over those 19 outings. The Cardinals hurler has gone 25-8 in his career team starts during day games. St. Louis has gone an extremely profitable 32-14 this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater. Furthermore, since the start of last season, the Cardinals are 30-10 as a money line road favorite of -110 or greater and won by 2.3 runs per game.

Cincinnati is a dismal 5-23 this season when facing National League teams that allow 4.0 or fewer runs scored per game, and they outscored by a decisive 3.0 runs per outing. Tyler Mahle has gone 1-9 in his home team starts this season with a lofty 1.51 WHIP while doing so. The Reds bullpen is atrocious and can’t be trusted. Give me the Cardinals on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Cubs (Stroman) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 6:05 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Cubs won 15-2 at Philadelphia last night in a game that easily went over the total. However, the Cubs have played 16-5 to the under in their last 21 after going over in their previous game. Conversely, Philadelphia has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 following an over during its previous game.

Despite yesterday’s 15-run scoring output, the Cubs have scored 3 runs or fewer in 13 of its last 16 games. This will be the first start of the season made against Philadelphia by Marcus Stroman. The veteran right-hander made 4 versus the Phillies last season and was dominant during those appearances. Stroman posted a combined 1.89 ERA, and all 4 games went under the total. Furthermore, in 5 starts on the road this year, Stroman has compiled an excellent 1.24 ERA/0.79 WHIP. The Cubs bullpen has a cumulative 2.30 ERA/1.14 WHIP throughout its last 7 games.

Philadelphia continues to struggle offensively having scored only 30 runs in their last 10, including 1 game where they scored 10 runs, and that means the Phillies averaged a mere 2.2 runs in the other 9 games. Zack Wheeler has been excellent in 9 home starts this season with an 1.62 ERA/0.84 WHIP and averaged 6.2 innings pitched per outing.

Marcus Stroman has a 1.15 WHIP in 11 starts this season. The Phillies have played 19-6 to the under since the start of last season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Conversely, Zack Wheeler has a 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The Cubs have played 9-1 to the under on the road this season when facing a National League starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or better. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Astros (Urquidy) @ Mariners (Gonzalez) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 925-926

Play On: Mariners +114 (10*)

The Astros are coming off yesterday’s doubleheader sweep against their bitter rival New York Yankees. Nonetheless, Houston is 0-3 in their last 3 following wins in each of their previous 2 games. Now the Astros head on the road to take on the hottest team in baseball that hasn’t played since last Sunday. Seattle has won 14 consecutive games as well as going a tremendous 22-3 during their previous 25.

Jose Urquidy is 0-3 during his 3 team starts versus Seattle this year with a massive 10.38 ERA and 2.62 WHIP. Urquidy also has a lofty 5.20 ERA in 10 road starts this season.

Marco Gonzalez has been tough in 3 starts versus Houston this season with a 2.56 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has a superb 2.20 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in their last 7 games. You may be surprised to know that Seattle is 11-7 at home versus Houston since 2020 and includes 4-2 in 2022. Give me the Mariners as a Top Play money line wager.

Red Sox (Pivetta) @ Yankees (Taillon) 7:15 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

Nick Pivetta has been brutal during his last 2 starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 9.0 innings pitched. Pivetta has made 2 starts versus the Yankees this season and recorded a large 10.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP. Boston has played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 10.6 runs scored per game.

James Taillon has been in poor form over his previous 4 starts with a 8.57 ERA, 2.38 WHIP, and surrendered 7 home runs in just 21.0 innings pitched. Taillon was tagged for 6 earned runs in 5.0 innings in a game at Fenway Park just last week. The usually reliable Yankees bullpen has been shaky of late with a staff 5.72 ERA throughout its last 7 games. The Yankees have played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 games and there was a combined average of 13.1 runs scored per game.

Mariners (Ray) @ Texas (Bush) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Mariners -1.5 (+110) (10*)

Texas will be reeling after blowing a 5-1 leading heading into the 7th inning during last night’s 6-5 loss to Seattle. Conversely, the Mariners have now won 11 straight and 19 of its last 22 games. That successful stretch also has seen Seattle go 10-1 on the road. Since 2020, Seattle has dominated Texas while going 26-10 versus the Rangers.

Michael Bush has made 3 starts this season and went just 1.0 inning on each occasion. So. Texas will attempt to piece this game together with a bullpen that has a sizable staff 6.68 ERA throughout the previous 7 days.

Robbie Ray has been brilliant over his last 6 starts with a 0.91 ERA/0.73 WHIP and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per start. Rays has made 1 start this season and 1 last while posting a 2.89 ERA/0.96 WHIP. The Mariners bullpen has an excellent 1.61 ERA/1.00 WHIP during its previous 7 games. The Mariners are brimming with confidence after winning their last 11 and 19 of its previous 22 games. Give me the Mariners on the run line for a Top Play wager.

Dodgers (White) @ Cardinals (Liberatore) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 9.0 (10*)

St. Louis has gone under the total in their last 9 and averaged a paltry 1.9 runs scored per game. Additionally, during that 9 game stretch they were shutout 4 times. Mathew Liberatore has made 2 home starts this season and allowed 0 earned runs in 10.0 innings pitched. The Cardinals bullpen has been outstanding over their previous 7 games while posting a 0.84 ERA as a staff.

Mitch White has seen each of his previous 4 starts go under the total and his 1.86 over that stretch was a major reason why. The Dodgers bullpen has a brilliant 0.85 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The Dodgers have witnessed only 33.3% of their 42 road games going over the total. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Marlins (Alcantara) @ Mets (Walker) 1:40 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

Sandy Alcantara is the best kept secret in baseball due to the franchise that he pitches for. Alcantara has posted a brilliant 1.82 ERA and 0.91 ERA in 17 starts this season while averaging a lofty 7.3 innings pitched per outing. Since the start of last season, Alcantara has pitched 15-3 to the under in his starts versus division opponents and there was only a combined average of 5.8 runs scored per game.

Tijuan Walker has pitched 4-1 to the under at home this season with a superb 1.86 ERA. Walker has also pitched 5-0 to the under in day games this season with a spectacular 0.53 ERA and averaged 6.8 innings per outing. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Rockies (Gomber) @ Diamondbacks (Keuchel) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Over 9.5 (10*)

Austin Gomber has a horrible 11.12 ERA over his last 5 starts. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Rockies bullpen that has recorded a 5.26 ERA, 1.60 WHIP, and allowed 5 home runs in 25 2/3 innings pitched throughout their previous 7 games. Colorado is currently a money line favorite of -115 in this matchup. The Rockies have played 13-4 to the over this season as a money line favorite of -110 or greater and there were a combined 13.6 runs scored per game.

Dallas Keuchel has a massive 12.92 ERA and 2.54 WHIP throughout his previous 4 starts. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a lofty 5.87 ERA and 1.57 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Arizona has averaged 5.7 runs scored per game in their last 7. The Diamondbacks have played 7-2-1 to the over in their last 10 and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Nationals (Gray) @ Phillies (Nola) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Josiah Gray has been very good in 7 road starts this season with a 2.01 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Despite the Nationals 11-0 loss yesterday that went over the total, they have played 8-4-1 to the under in their last 13 games. Gray has made 1 starts versus Philadelphia this season and pitched 6.0 innings of scoreless baseball.

Aaron Nola has been brilliant during his previous 5 starts while compiling a 1.70 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and averaging 7.4 innings pitched per outing. The often-criticized Phillies bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 1.17 ERA and 0.87 WHIP. Nola will be facing a Washington team that has been outscored by an alarmingly high 1.6 runs per game this season. Nola has pitched 19-6 (76%) to the under in his career when facing teams that are being outscored by 1.0 or more runs per game on the season. Nola has made 1 start versus Washington in 2022 and pitched 8.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Rays (Springs) @ Red Sox (Pivetta) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 9.5 (10*)

These teams have played each other 4 times this season and each went under the total with a combined average of 5.7 runs scored per game. Boston has played 16-7-2 to the under in division games this season. Conversely, Tampa Bay has played 19-12 to the under in division games this year.

Nick Pivetta has made 4 career starts versus Tampa Bay and all came last season. He was very good during those outing while posting a 2.95 ERA and 3 of those 4 games stayed under the total. Pivetta has been superb during his last 4 starts overall with a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. The Rays Jeffrey Spring is 8-2 in his team starts this season with a solid 2.72 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and a 54:10 strikeout to walk ratio. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

White Sox (Cease) @ Giants (Webb) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

The White Sox have played 7-1 to the under in their last 8 games. Dylan Cease has been outstanding over his last 6 starts with a microscopic 0.26 ERA. The White Sox bullpen has a very good 2.00 ERA during its previous 7 games.

Logan Webb has been in excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 0.45 ERA and averaged 6.7 innings pitched per start. The Giants bullpen has a shiny 2.01 ERA throughout their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Marlins (Rogers) @ Nationals (Gray) 6:05 PM ET

Game# 903-904

Play On: Nationals -128 (10*)

The Marlins Trevon Rogers has shown bad form over his last 3 starts while recording a 6.92 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Miami is coming off a 4-3 win at St. Louis. The Marlins are 1-6 in their last 7 away games following a road win. Since 4/28, Miami has won 2 consecutive road games just once. The Marlins offense has been anemic over their last 7 while averaging a mere 2.7 runs per game.

Despite their poor season record, Washington has gone a more than respectable 6-3 in their last 9 games. After a terrible start to the season, Josiah Gray has figured it out in recent starts. Specifically speaking, Gray has a brilliant 1.24 ERA and 0.97 WHIP throughout his previous 5 starts. The Washington bullpen has struggled on the road this season. However, at home the Nationals relievers has a solid 3.24 ERA.

Washington is 7.0 games behind Miami in the NL East standings and have lost 8 of 9 versus the Marlins this year. Yet, they’re a money line favorite in this spot. The oddsmakers will never be mistaken as being generous. They’re begging you to take the underdog. Well, I’m not taking the bait. Give me the Nationals on the money line for a 10* Top Play.

Yankees (Severino) @ Astros (Garcia) 6:10 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Yankees -117 (10*)

Luis Garcia has allowed 7 home runs during just 33.0 innings pitched at home this season while posting a lofty 5.28 ERA. That doesn’t bode well for Houston’s chances today considering the Yankees have hit 126 home runs which leads all of MLB. The Astros bullpen has been terrific for the beter part of the first half of this season. Nevertheless, they’ve been slumping over its last 7 games with a staff 5.28 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. During that span, Houston relief pitchers have walked 15 in 15 1/3 innings pitched and surrendered 3 home runs.

Luis Severino has made 4 starts versus Houston since 2018 and had a stellar 2.39 ERA while averaging 6.6 innings pitched per start. The Yankees bullpen has been fantastic over their last 7 games while recording a 0.78 ERA as a staff. The Yankees are 47-12 (.797) this season whenever there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5. Give me the Yankees on the money line for a Top Play.

Orioles (Wells) @ Mariners (Kirby) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 917-918

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Tyler Wells is 5-0 during his last 5 team starts with a superb 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. The Orioles bullpen has been lights out throughout their previous 7 games with a staff 1.11 ERA, 0.74 WHIP, and they converted on all 4 of their save opportunities. Baltimore has gone under the total in each of their last 7 games.

George Kirby has a more than respectable 3.12 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 9 starts this season. What stands out the most to me is Kirby’s 47:6 strikeout to walk ratio. The Seattle bullpen has a brilliant staff 0.44 ERA and has converted all 3 of its save opportunities throughout their previous 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Dodgers (Gonsolin) @ Braves (Strider) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 953-954

Play On: Dodgers -107 (10*)

Spence Strider has an uninspiring 5.40 ERA in 5 starts this season. The Braves bullpen has been borderline average over their previous 7 games.

The Dodgers entered this weekend’s action on a 4-game win streak in which they outscored their opponents by a cumulative score of 30-12. The Dodgers are also an outstanding 18-8 during their previous 26 road games. Tony Gonsolin has compiled an excellent 1.58 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 13 starts this season. Furthermore, the Dodgers have gone 6-0 in their last 6 games when Tony Gonsolin is their starting pitcher. The Dodgers bullpen has posted a stellar 2.42 ERA and 0.96 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Give me the Dodgers for a money line Top Play.

Blue Jays (Manoah) @ Brewers (Houser) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Alek Manoah has pitched 10-3 to the under in his 13 starts this season with an impressive 2.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. The Toronto bullpen has been much better on the road than at home. Manoah has also pitched 8-0 to the under in his career which began last season when facing teams with a winning record and there was a mere combined average of 5.4 runs scored per game.  The Blue Jays relievers have a combined 3.37 ERA and 1.22 WHIP during away games.

Adrian Houser has been solid in 6 home starts this year with a 2.94 ERA. The Brewers bullpen has been lights out over their previous 10 games. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Blue Jays (Gausman) @ White Sox (Cease) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

Toronto has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined average of 13.0 runs scored per game. The White Sox have played 8-2-1 to the over during its previous 11. Throughout that stretch, Chicago averaged 7.3 runs scored and 11.1 hits per game. These teams are meeting for the 5th time this season and each of the previous 4 went over with a combined 11.7 runs scored per game.

The performance line of Dylan Cease indicates that he has a 0.00 ERA over his last 3 starts. However, during those outings he walked 11 and allowed 14 hits in 14 1/3 innings pitched which equates to a sizable 1.74 WHIP. My point is that Cease has been extremely lucky and encountered several high-pressure innings in which he was fortunate to escape unharmed. During 4 starts at night this season, Cease has posted a lofty 7.13 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. The White Sox bullpen has a terrible 5.49 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at home this season.

After a terrific start to the season, Kevin Gausman has hit the proverbial wall of late. Gausman is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with a poor 6.75 ERA and atrocious 2.25 WHIP. The Blue Jays bullpen has a concerning 7.16 ERA and allowed 9 home runs in 32 1/3 innings pitched during its last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play.

Yankees (Severino) @ Blue Jays (Kikuchi) 1:37 PM ET

Game# 915-916

Play On: Yankees -117 (10*)

The Blue Jays Kikuchi has been in horrendous form over his last 3 starts with a 10.60 ERA and 2.36 WHIP. Kikuchi has made 3 career home starts versus the Yankees and had a miserable 6.60 ERA during those outings. The Blue Jays bullpen has a sizable 6.43 ERA during its last 7 games with much of that damage attributed to 6 homers allowed 28.0 innings pitched. That’s not good news considering they’ll be facing the top home run hitting team in in baseball who’s hit 104 home runs in their first 64 games. The Blue Jays are 3-9 this season with Kikuchi as their starter and 34-18 with everyone else.

The Yankees headed into this weekend having won 8 straight and 15 of its last 16 games. Luis Severino has been in terrific form over his last 5 starts with a sparkling 1.67 ERA and 0.77 WHIP while averaging 6.5 innings pitched per outing. The Yankees bullpen has been lights out with a 1.57 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Give me the Yankees on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Brewers (Lauer) @ Reds (Greene) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

These teams have met 6 times already this season and all have gone over the total with a combined average of 15.8 runs scored per game. Cincinnati has played 18-11-1 to the over at home this season with a combined 11.7 runs scored per game. Milwaukee has played 6-2 to the over during its previous 8 and there was a combined average of 10.1 runs scored per game.

Hunter Green has made 2 starts versus Milwaukee this season with a massive 11.25 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, and allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in just 8.0 innings pitched. The Reds bullpen has been shaky over its last 7 games with a staff 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. The Brewers Eric Lauer has displayed poor form throughout his last 3 starts with a 6.60 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and all 3 games went over the total. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Phillies (Wheeler) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-105) (10*)

Madison Bumgarner has a lofty 5.63 ERA over his last 4 starts and allowed 6 home runs in 24.0 innings pitched. That high ratio of home runs allowed is problematic when considering he’ll be facing a Phillies team which has cracked 21 home runs throughout its previous 8 games. The Arizona bullpen has been extremely shaky of late. Since last season, Arizona is 6-30 during the month of June.

The Phillies enter today riding a red-hot 8-game win streak and scored 6 runs or more 7 times. Blake Wheeler has a brilliant 1.73 ERA and 0.94 WHIP during 6 home starts this season. The maligned Phillies bullpen has been terrific recently. Give me the Phillies on the run-line.

Tigers (Skubal) @ Pirates (Quintana) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

The Tigers Tarik Skubal has been superb this season while posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 10 starts. Furthermore, Skubal has been dominant throughout his previous 5 starts while compiling a 0.85 ERA and 0.75 WHIP during 32.0 innings pitched. Those 5 games played 4-0-1 to the under. The Tigers are coming off a 5-4 extra inning loss at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. Detroit is an incredible 13-1-2 to the under this season following an over in their previous game. The Tigers have also played 15-4 (79%) to the under this season when facing teams with a losing record. By the way, the Tigers bullpen has an impressive staff 1.80 ERA over their last 7 games.

The Pirates Jose Quintana has been a pleasant surprise thus far in 2022 while recording a sparkling 2.23 ERA in 10 starts. Quintana has pitched 4-0-2 to the under in 6 starts at home with a very good 2.03 ERA. Quintana will be facing a Tigers team that has accounted for a mere 11 stolen bases in 52 games this season. The veteran lefthander has pitched 27-9 (75%) to the under in his career when facing a team that averages 0.35 or less stolen bases per game. The Pirates are averaging just 0.21 per game. The Pirates bullpen has more than held their own throughout is previous 7 games with a 2.54 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. Pittsburgh has witness just 6 of their last 23 games (26%) going over the total. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play.

Phillies (Eflin) @ Mets (Walker) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Mets -121 (10*)

Zach Eflin has a horrible 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 3 road starts this season. That included an outing at Citi Field in New York on 5/1 when he allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits during just 4 1/3 innings pitched. The Phillies bullpen has been terrible over its last 7 games with a staff 5.48 ERA and enormous 2.15 WHIP.

By virtue of an 8-6 win last night, the Mets are now 7-3 this season versus Philadelphia and that includes 3-1 at Citi Field. The Mets have been red-hot offensively while averaging 6.6 runs scored per game throughout their previous 7 and recording an excellent team batting average of .308. The Mets are an extremely profitable 24-9 when facing right-handed starting pitchers this season. Tijuan Walkers has a stellar 1.86 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during 4 career home starts versus the Phillies. Walker has also displayed terrific form in his last 3 starts overall while compiling a 1.42 ERA and averaging 6.3 innings pitched per outing. Give me the Mets on the money line for a Top Play.

Toronto (Kikuchi) @ Boston (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Boston -134 (10*)

Toronto is coming off a win in their previous game and Boston is off a loss. However, the Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win and Boston is 3-0 during their previous 3 following a loss. The usually high-powered Blue Jays lineup has been held to only 3.1 runs scored per game over their last 7 outings.

The Red Sox will be facing lefthander Yusei Kikuchi. Boston is 3-0 when facing lefty starters this season and average 6.0 runs scored per game while doing so. Boston starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi has been solid thus far in 2022 while compiling a stellar 1.10 WHIP in 10.0 innings pitched while striking out 13 and walking only 2. Eovaldi made 1 start at home last season versus Toronto and pitched 6 2/3 innings of scoreless baseball. Conversely, Kikuchi made 1 starts versus Boston a season ago and that took place at Fenway Park. During that outing, Kikuchi allowed 5 hits and walked 2 in just 3 1/3 innings. Gove me Boston on the money line for a Top Play wager.

Red Sox (Houck) @ Yankees (Montgomery) 7:08 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Under 9.0 (10*)

The Yankees Jordan Montgomery made 5 starts versus Boston last season and compiled a more than respectable 3.29 ERA during those outing and 4 of those 5 games went under the total. Furthermore, Montgomery has pitched 15-5 to the under since 2020 whenever there was a total of 9.0 or 9.5. The Yankees bullpen has been lights out through their first 2 games versus the Red Sox while allowing only 1.0 earned run in 11.0 innings pitched and recording 13 strikeouts. Since the start of last season, New York has played 47-29 (61.8%) to the under in division games. The Yankees have played 19-12 (61.3%) to the under at home versus Boston since 2020.

The Yankees have scored 10 runs in the first 2 games of this series and 9 were a direct result of home runs. New York will be facing Boston hurler Tanner Houck tonight. Houck has made 3 career starts versus the Yankees and allowed 0 home runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched. Houck also recorded a brilliant 1.23 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during those appearances. Like the Yankees, Boston’s bullpen has been terrific in the first 2 games of this series while allowing just 1 earned run in 7 1/3 innings pitched. Give me this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Pirates (Brubaker) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 4:15 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Cardinals -1.5 (+115) (10*)

Adam Wainwright has gone 7-0 in his last 7 starts versus Pittsburgh with a dominating 0.73 ERA while doing so. J.T. Brubaker is coming off a season which saw him go an abysmal 1-15 in his team starts on the road. The Pirates as a team were an awful 24-57 in away games last season. Brubaker was 0-4 versus St. Louis last year with a lofty 6.65 ERA. The Pirates right-hander also allowed an alarmingly high 6 home runs in 21 2/3 innings pitched in those 4 outings. Today’s weather forecast is call for winds of 18 MPH blowing out to right-centerfield which will leave Brubaker even more vulnerable. Give me the Cardinals on the run-line for a Top Play wager.

Astros (Garcia) @ Braves (Fried) 8:09 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Braves +12 (10*)

The Atlanta Braves are coming off Sunday’s 9-5 loss which prevented them from a World Series title. However, and on a positive note, Atlanta has gone 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss and hasn’t been on a 2-game losing streak since 9/18. The starting pitchers in Game 6 have both encountered issues during postseason action. Nevertheless, I trust Atlanta’s Max Fried more than Luis Garcia of Houston. The current total on this game is 8.5 and that’s significant. Since the start of last season, Max Fried has gone 19-3 in his team starts when the total was 8.0 or 8.5. That totals parameter indicated Fried has fared very well when not facing another team’s ace. Bet the Braves for a money line underdog Top Play wager.

Houston (Garcia) @ Atlanta (Anderson) 8:09 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Atlanta -105 (10*)

Despite a strong showing in his last outing, Luis Garcia has an awful 9.64 ERA and 1.61 WHIP this postseason in 3 starts. Although the Astros have enjoyed a plethora of success in recent season, they haven’t done well within this money line parameter in away game. Since 2019, Houston is a poor 30-47 on the road when their money line is +125 to -125, and $100 bettors who back them in those situations are down $1880.

Atlanta is coming off a Game 2 loss on Wednesday. However, the Braves have gone an unbeaten 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss and won by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Atlanta pitcher Ian Anderson has gone 5-0 in his last 5 team starts with an excellent 2.16 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Atlanta has gone 7-0 in their last 7 at home when Ian Anderson is their starting pitcher. The Braves bullpen has a more than respectable 3.42 ERA during postseason action. Bet Atlanta for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Morton) @ Astros (Valdez) 8:09 PM ET

Game# 951-952

Play On: Over 8.0 (10*)

Lefthander Framber Valdez has seen each one of his 3 postseason starts in 2021 go over the total. Valdez posted an uninspiring 1.40 WHIP during those outings. Furthermore, Valdez has pitched 9-1 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5 and there was a combined average of 11.8 runs scored per game. Houston has played 8-2 to the over during postseason action while averaging an impressive 6.7 runs scored per game and compiled an excellent .342 team on-base-percentage.

Atlanta has averaged a sizable 5.6 runs scored per game and belted 69 home runs in 45 games when facing lefthanded starting pitchers in 2021. Atlanta has played 4-1 to the over in their previous 5 and there was a combined average of 10.0 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Morton) @ Dodgers (Buehler) 5:08 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Charlie Morton has made 2 starts versus the Dodgers this season and posted a superb 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in those outings. This current Dodgers active roster has uninspiring career number of 33-153 (.216) when facing Charlie Morton. Morton has pitched 11-5-1 to the under in his road starts this season and with a stellar 2.96 ERA. The Atlanta bullpen has been outstanding throughout their previous 7 games while compiling a 1.20 ERA as a staff.  Atlanta has seen all 3 of their games at Dodger Stadium this season all go under the total.

Walker Buehler has been brilliant in 20 home starts this season with a 2.05 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Buehler has pitched 3-0 to the under in his starts versus Atlanta with a brilliant 1.50 ERA. The Dodger bullpen has been solid over their past 7 games while recording a staff 2.53 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Dodgers (Urias) @ Giants (Webb) 9:07 PM ET

Game# 971-972

Play On: Giants -104 (10*)

This has been a zig-zag series in which each team has alternated wins. I look for that trend to continue in Thursday’s Game 5 with all being considered.. The Giants Logan Webb has pitched brilliantly at home this season. Webb has gone 13-0 in his home team starts while compiling a terrific 1.83 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in doing so. Webb has made 4 starts versus the Dodgers in 2012 and collected an impressive 1.52 ERA which includes 7 2/3 of scoreless innings pitched in Game 1 of this NLDS.

The Giants went over the total in Tuesday’s 7-2 loss. Why is that significant? Well, I am glad you asked. San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 following an under during its previous game and allowed just a combined 2 runs. As a matter of fact, the last 4 times this situation has arisen the Giants have held opposing teams scoreless. Additionally, Webb is 11-1 in his teams starts this season after allowing 1 earned run or less in his previous start, and the Giants outscored those opponents by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Webb has allowed an average of just 0.33 home runs per start this season. Conversely, the Dodgers are a dismal 9-17 in 2021 when facing starting pitchers who allow 0.50 or fewer home runs per start. Bet the Giants for a Top Play money line wager.

White Sox (Lynn) @ Astros (McCullers) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Astros -130 (10*)

Since the start of last season, Lance Lynn has gone 0-3 versus Houston with a massive 11.49 ERA and 2.11 WHIP. The White Sox are 0-4 at Houston this season. Chicago is also a dismal 11-29 this season as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater.

Lance McCullers Jr. has been in superb form over his last 6 starts while compiling a 2.57 ERA.  During that stretch he’s allowed only 2 home runs in 35.0 innings pitched. McCullers is 2-0 versus the White Sox this season with a dominating 2.08 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. The Astros finished regular season action with 6 consecutive home games. Houston is an extremely profitable 24-6 this season immediately following 5 straight at home. Bet the Astros for a Top Play wager.

Brewers (Lauer) @ Dodgers (Kershaw) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 963-964

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Eric Lauer has exhibited terrific form over his last 5 starts while compiling a 1.19 ERA and 0.73 WHIP. Lauer has pitched 7-0-1 to the under in his career starts versus the Dodgers with a brilliant 1.89 ERA. Milwaukee will be facing veteran lefthander Clayton Kershaw tonight. The Brewers are averaging just 3.3 runs scored per game while going 20-17 versus lefthanded starting pitchers in 2021.

Clayton Kershaw has been solid since returning from the disabled list while posting a 3.29 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 starts. The Dodgers bullpen has recorded an outstanding 2.36 ERA and 1.05 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Tigers (Skubal) @ Twins (Ryan) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Joe Ryan has been terrific in 4 starts for Minnesota this season with a 2.45 ERA and 0.59 WHIP while averaging 5.5 innings per outing. The Twins bullpen has a solid 3.00 ERA and 1.17 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Minnesota has witnessed its last 6 games all going under the total.

Detroit is hitting .285 as a team over their previous 7 games. However, during that span, they hit just 1 home run and averaged a paltry 3.3 runs per game. Detroit has played 9-1 to the under in their last 10. Taylor Skubal has made 3 career starts at Target Field in Minnesota and compiled a stellar 3.45 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. None of those 3 starts went over the total. The current Twins roster is a poor 13-69 (.206 BA) lifetime when facing Skubal. Bet this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Reds (Gray) @ White Sox (Rodon) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Under 7.5 (10*)

Sonny Gray has a stellar 2.97 ERA in 11 road starts this season and only 3 of those outings went over the total. Gray made 1 start versus the White Sox this year and tossed 7.0 innings of scoreless baseball. Cincinnati has played 12-2-1 to the under in their previous 15 away games.

The Reds will be facing a tough lefthander tonight in Carolos Rodon. The White Sox southpaw hurler has pitched 15-7-1 to the under this season with an exceptional 2.47 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Astros (McCullers) @ Angels (Cobb) 9:36 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Lance McCullers has displayed good form over his last 4 starts while compiling a 1.96 ERA in 23.0 innings pitched. McCullers has pitched 4-0 to the under versus the Angels this season with a superb 2.10 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The Astros bullpen has been solid throughout its last 7 games while registering a staff 3.13 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. The Angels Alex Cobb has been brilliant over his last 5 starts while posting a miniscule 0.94 ERA.

This total jumped off the screen at me as being low and especially when considering these teams have played 30-14 to the over since 1999. However, those of you that know me well over the years know I more times than not go against public perception in these betting situations. The public has hammered the over thus far. Good for them, but I’m going under the total for a Top Play wager.

Dodgers (Buehler) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Under 10.5 (10*)

Walker Buehler has made 2 starts versus Colorado this season and both came at Coors Field. During those 2 outings Buhler posted a stellar 2.77 ERA and 0.77 WHIP through 13.0 innings pitched. Buehler has recoded quality starts in 12 of his previous 13 outings. The Dodgers bullpen has a solid 3.28 ERA and 1.18 WHIP throughout its last 7 games.

German Marquez is one of the few Colorado starters in franchise history to master pitching at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Marquez is 13-3 in his home team starts in 2021 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.10 WHIP. The Colorado bullpen has struggled for the better part of this season but that’s not been the case recently. During their previous 7 games the Rockies relievers have a combined 2.15 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Colorado has seen just 2 of their last 11 games go over the total. Bet this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Rockies (Senzatela) @ Braves (Ynoa) 7:20 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Under 9.0 (10*)

Antonio Senzatela has pitched 4-1 to the under in his last 5 starts with a 2.18 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and averaged 6.6 innings pitched per outing. The current Braves roster has gone just 14-68 (.206) lifetime when facing Senzatela. Colorado has witnessed just 5 of their last 20 road games going over the total.

The Atlanta pitcher Ynoa has been sharp in 7 home starts this season while compiling a 2.45 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. The Braves have gone over the total in only 4 of their last 21 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rays (McHugh) @ Blue Jays (Manoah) 7:07 ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Blue Jays -122 (10*)

Colin McHugh has pitched very well for Tampa Bay this season. However, he hasn’t exceeded more than 3.0 innings pitched in any of his 31 appearance this season. That’s problematic when considering the Rays bullpen has a lofty 6.31 ERA and 1.63 Whip over their previous 7 games, and they’ll be facing a red-hot offensive team today. Additionally, the Rays are coming off yesterday’s 8-7 loss to Detroit. Tampa Bay is a dismal 7-13 (.350) this season following a 1-run loss, and an otherwise sensational 82-41 (.667) in the rest of its games.

Toronto has gone a sizzling hot 11-1 in their last 12. Furthermore, the Blue Jays have scored 8 runs or more in 7 of its last 11 and cracked 18 home runs over their previous 7 games. Alex Manoah has made 2 starts against Tampa Bay this year with a brilliant 1.69 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 19 strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings pitched. Bet on the Blue Jays for a money line wager. Bet the Blue Jays for a Top Play money line wager.

Rays (McClanahan) @ Red Sox (Eovaldi) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 921-922

Play On: Red Sox -106 (10*)

The Red Sox have lost 4 straight games. However, they’ve gone a profitable 7-2 this season immediately following 4 straight losses and that includes 4-0 the last 4. Furthermore, Boston is a perfect 3-0 at home this season following 4 straight losses and outscored their opponents by a combined decisive margin of 25-3. Nathan Eovaldi has made 2 home starts versus Tampa Bay in 2021, went 7.0 innings on both occasions, and compiled a sparkling 1.29 ERA while doing so. Eovaldi has also exhibited terrific form over his last 5 starts with a 2.35 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Bet the Red Sox for a Top Play money line wager.

Phillies (Nola) @ Brewers (Lauer) 7:40 PM ET

Game# 955-956

Play On: Phillies -102 (10*)

Eric Lauer has pitched well for Milwaukee this season. However, he has pitched 5.0 innings or less in 5 of his last 6 starts. That’s problematic when considering the Brewers bullpen has recorded a terrible 9.72 ERA, 2.00 WHIP, and allowed an alarmingly high 11 home runs over their previous 7 games. Milwaukee has gone a terrific 46-24 (.657) on the road this season, but just an ordinary 38-31 (.551) at home. The Brewers are coming off yesterday’s 12-0 blowout loss to Philadelphia. Milwaukee is a dismal 1-7 this season following a shutout loss.

Aaron Nola has been somewhat disappointing this season. Nevertheless, Nola has a brilliant 0.83 WHIP over his last 3 starts which certainly translates to good form.  The maligned Phillies bullpen has been excellent of late while registering a staff 2.03 ERA and 0.94 WHIP throughout its previous 7 games. The Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 and have also scored 7 or more runs in 8 of its last 11 games. Bet the Phillies for a Top Play money line wager.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Arizona (Castellanos) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Mariners -118 (10*)

The Diamondbacks will be facing lefty Marco Gonzalez today. Arizona is a dismal 10-28 versus lefty starting pitchers this season. Furthermore, Gonzalez has been brilliant over his last 6 starts while recording a 1.58 ERA and 0.80 in addition to averaging 6.7 innings pitched per appearance. Gonzalez will be facing an Arizona team which has an abysmal .207 teams batting average and hit just 4 home runs during their previous 7 games played. The Mariners are 8-2 in their last 4 road games and that includes 4-0 during its previous 4. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play wager.

Dodgers (Price) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 9:45 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

David Price is no longer the dominant pitcher he was earlier in his career. This current Giants active roster has a combined career .296 batting average, .333 PBP, and .944 OPS when facing price. Furthermore, Price has pitched 19-7 to the over in his career starts on the road in September and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game.

Anthony DeSclafani has made 5 starts versus the Dodgers in 2021 while compiling a large 9.43 ERA and 2.05 WHIP. This current Dodgers active roster has a combined .328 batting average when facing DeSclafani. DeSclafani has pitched 9-0 to the over since last season began in home night games with a combined total of 11.9 runs being scored per outing. During his last 5 starts overall, DeSclafani recorded a poor 7.16 ERA and 1.90 WHIP while averaging just 3.2 innings pitched per outing. Bet on this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Indians (McKenzie) @ Royals (Minor) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Indians -107 (10*)

Kansas City has gone a dismal 1-10 this season versus Cleveland and that includes 0-6 at home. The Royals will go with veteran lefty Mike Minor on the mound. Minor has made 2 starts against Cleveland this year and posted an awful 8.68 ERA during those outings.

The Indians have gone 8-3 during their previous 11 and that includes a current 3-game win streak. Throughout their previous 7 Cleveland has averaged 6.0 runs scored per game and smacked 16 home runs. That’s not good news for Kansas City backers when considering Mike Minor has allowed 8 home runs over his last 29 1/3 innings pitched. Triston McKenzie has made 2 starts against Kansas City in 2021 and pitched 12.0 innings of scoreless baseball. McKenzie has exhibited excellent form in his last 3 starts while compiling a brilliant 1.29 ERA and 0.43 WHIP. Bet on the Indians for a Top Play wager.

Braves (Fried) @ Dodgers (Scherzer) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Atlanta +1.5 (-115) (10*)

Max Scherzer has paid huge dividends for the Dodgers since coming over from Washington at the trade deadline. However, Scherzer has made 2 starts since last year versus Atlanta including 1 in 2021 and had a large 7.94 ERA while allowing 6 home runs during 11 1/3 innings pitched during those outings. Granted the Dodgers are currently red-hot, but it’s been much to do with their pitching as opposed to their perceived offensive prowess. As a matter of fact, the Dodgers have averaged 3.5 runs scored and 6.4 hits per game throughout their last 12 outings.

Max Fried is finally healthy and it shows. During his last 6 starts Fried has compiled an excellent 1.58 ERA and 0.85 WHIP while walking only 4 batters in 40.0 innings pitched. Since the start of last season, Fried has made 3 starts versus the Dodgers and posted a sparkling 2.41 ERA. Atlanta has gone an extremely profitable 41-15 (.732) in their last 56 games with Max Fried as their starting pitcher. Bet the Braves +1.5 on the run-line.

Giants (Gausman) @ Braves (Fried)7:20 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Kevin Gausman has been impressive during 14 road starts this season while posting a 1.70 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Gausman will be supported by a Giants bullpen that has a terrific staff 1.60 ERA and 0.92 WHIP over their previous 7 games. San Francisco has gone under in each of their last 4 and has a dismal .211 team batting average throughout its previous 7 games.

Max Fried is looking more and more like the dominant pitcher he was during his rookie campaign. Fried has a brilliant 1.06 ERA and 0.85 WHIP over his last 5 starts while averaging a sizable 6.8 innings pitched per outing. Atlanta has played 4-0-1 to the under in their last 4 and has a poor .226 team batting average during its previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Dodgers (Buehler) @ Padres (Snell) 10:10 PM ET

Game# 911-912

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

San Diego has seen 6 of their last 7 games go under the total. During that stretch, San Diego has a dismal team batting average of .196 and .272 PBP.  Blake Snell has inexplicably struggled mightily on the road this season but has been sharp at home. Snell has compiled a sparkling 2.68 ERA during 10 home starts this season and 8 of the 10 went under the total. Since 2019, Snell has made 6 starts against the Dodgers with an excellent 2.31 ERA and 1.01 WHIP. That includes 3 starts against them this season where he posted a 2.35 ERA. The Padres bullpen has been lights out at home this season while recoding an impressive staff 2.85 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Walker Buehler has been brilliant over his last 8 starts with an excellent 1.33 ERA over that span and averaged a sizable 6.7 innings pitched per outing. Buehler has made 8 career starts versus San Diego with a dominating 1.80 ERA and 0.84 WHIP. The Dodgers bullpen has a terrific staff 2.65 ERA and 0.91 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Dodgers have witnessed 6 of their last 8 going under the total. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Giants (Webb) @ A’s (Montas) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 979-980

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Giants Logan Webb has witnesses his last 5 starts going under and his sparkling 1.72 ERA during that time was a major reason for those low scoring affairs. San Francisco defeated Oakland yesterday 6-5 in a game that went over the total. The Giants have played 6-1 to the under in their last 7 following an over during their previous game. As a matter of fact, the Giants have gone over in consecutive games just once since 7/24. The Giants bullpen has been solid over their previous 7 games with a staff 2.65 ERA and 0.82 WHIP.

Frankie Montas has pitched 6-1 to the under during his last 7 starts with a shiny 2.74 ERA. Throughout that stretch, Montas has recorded 57 strikeouts while walking just 11 in 42 2/3 innings pitched. The Oakland bullpen has an inspiring 1.11 WHIP over their previous 7 game. Bet on this game to under the total as a Top Play wager.

Angels (Detmers) @ Indians (McKenzie) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Indians -124 (10*)

The Angels Reid Detmers has made 3 starts this season, all have come in August, and he posted a sizable 7.05 ERA during those outings. Since 2019, Cleveland has gone 9-1 versus the Angels and that includes 4-0 at home. You may be surprised to know that Cleveland is an extremely profitable 23-5 this season as a home favorite of -110 or more, and that includes 12-1 during the previous 13 in that role. The Cleveland pitcher Triston McKenzie has displayed excellent form over his last 3 starts with a 2.14 ERA and 0.52 WHIP while averaging 7.0 innings pitched per start. Bet on the Indians for a Top Play money line wager.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Texas (Foltynewicz) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Marco Gonzalez has exhibited excellent form throughout his last 3 starts with an 0.83 ERA and all those games stayed under the total. One of those starts was a complete game win over Texas. The Seattle bullpen has posted an excellent 1.54 ERA and 0.86 WHIP over their previous 7 games. Seattle has played 10-3 to the under during its last 13 games.

Mike Foltynewicz has seen each of his last 3 starts go under. During that stretch, he compiled a superb 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Foltynewicz has seen his last 4 starts versus Texas all stay under the total and had a superb 0.92 WHIP in those outings. Texas is coming off yesterday’s 3-1 loss to Seattle in a game they left 5 men on base. The Rangers have played 19-6 to the under this season following a game in which they left 5 or fewer men on base. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

Brewers (Burnes) @ Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:45 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Under 7.0 (10*)

The Brewers Corbin Burnes has seen both of his starts in 2021 versus the Cardinals go under while his 0.82 ERA and 0.64 WHIP had much to do with those low scoring affairs. Burnes has pitched 5-0-1 to the under during his career when facing St. Louis and struck out 48 in 27 2/3 innings pitched. Burnes has allowed 1 earned run or less in 7 of his previous 8 starts. Burnes has an exceptional 2.16 ERA in 20 starts this season. Since 2019, St. Louis has played 11-1 to the under when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 2.70 or better and there was only a combined average of 5.7 runs scored per game.

Adam Wainwright has pitched 4-1 to the under in his last 5 starts with a brilliant 1.95 ERA and 0.81 WHIP. Just as a impressive is the fact that Wainwright pitched 7.0 innings or more in each of those outings, and includes a 2-hit complete game shutout during his previous outing. The Cardinals bullpen has a superb 2.70 ERA and 1.11 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a Top Play wager.

A’s (Montas) @ White Sox (Keuchel) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: A’s -107 (10*)

The White Sox have gone an excellent 39-22 this season at home. However, they’re a terrible 1-5 as a money line home underdog. The White Sox lefthander Dallas Keuchel has gone 0-4 in his last 4 team starts with a lofty 5.79 ERA and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in 23 1/3 innings pitched. He will be facing an Oakland team tonight that’s averaged 7.3 runs per game over their last 7 and smashed 14 home runs during that stretch.

Oakland is coming off yesterday’s 7-4 loss at Texas. Despite that loss, they’re 12-4 during their previous 16 games and that includes 4-0 in the last 4 following a loss. The A’s have also gone an extremely profitable 16-4 in 2021 versus AL Central teams. Furthermore, since 2019, Oakland is an impressive 73-34 (.682) when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. Frankie Montas has displayed terrific form throughout his previous 3 starts while posting a 1.89 ERA and averaged 6.3 innings pitched per outing while doing so. The A’s bullpen has an excellent staff 1.67 ERA and 0.78 WHIP over the course of its last 7 games. Bet on the A’s for a Top Play money line wager.

Yankees (Taillon) @ White Sox (Cease) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 973-974

Play On: Yankees +128 (10*)

The Yankees are coming off a gut wrenching 9-8 loss to the White Sox in their previous game. However, the Bronx Bombers are 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. The Yankees are also a profitable 47-26 (.644) during night games this season. The Yankees Jameson Taillon is 5-0 during his last 5 team starts with a brilliant 0.89 ERA. Furthermore, Taillon is 15-5 during his career road starts when facing a team with a winning record. The White Sox Dylan Cease has made 1 start against the Yankees this season and allowed 5 earned runs in only 4 1/3 innings pitched. Bet on the Yankees for a Top Play money line wager.

Marlins (Luzardo) @ Rockies (Gomber) 8:10 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Rockies -1.5 (+116) (10*)

Miami has gone a dismal 8-21 (.270) during its last 29 road games. The Marlins starter Jesus Luzardo has a lofty 5.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP this year in 7 starts.

The Rockies Austin Gomber has been extremely good at Coors Field this season while posting a 1.98 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 7 starts. Colorado has gone a highly profitable 12-2 this season as a money line favorite of -120 or greater and outscored their opponents by a decisive margin of 4.2 runs per game. Bet the Rockies on the run-line for a 10* Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Kelly) @ Giants (Wood) 3:40 PM ET

Game# 905-906

Play On: Giants -1.5 (-105) (10*)

Arizona is coming off yesterday’s 7-1 loss to San Francisco. The Diamondback have gone an abysmal 0-20 in their last 20 this season following a game in which they scored 1 run or less, and they were outscored by an average margin of 3.2 runs per outing. Arizona will be facing lefty Alex Wood this afternoon. Wood has averaged 5.8 strikeouts per game in his 18 starts this season. Conversely, Arizona is an atrocious 2-38 this season when facing pitchers who average 5.0 or more strikeout per start, and they were outscored by a sizable margin of 4.0 runs per game. The Arizona bullpen has a pathetic 8.00 ERA over its last 7 games.

The Giants will be facing Arizona starter Merrill Kelly today. This current Giants active roster has gone 31-for-93 against Kelly in their careers for a .333 batting average and immense .961 OPS. The Giants are an extremely profitable 49-25 when facing righthanded starters this season and 26-13 during day games. San Francisco is 12-2 this season when facing Arizona. Alex Wood is 2-0 versus Arizona this season with a more than respectable 3.27 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. During their last 7 outing, San Francisco have averaged a lofty 6.2 runs scored per game while also cracking 13 home runs. Bet on the Giants on the run-line for a Top Play wager.

Giants (DeSclafani) @ Diamondbacks (Widener) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Giants -1.5 (-120) (10*)

Taylor Widener has faced 2 of the weakest hitting teams in baseball (Texas, Pittsburgh) during his last 2 starts and was awful on both occasions. During those 2 outings he allowed 10 earned runs on 13 hits while walking 6 in just 8 1/3 innings pitched. The Arizona bullpen has compiled a lofty 5.68 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over their previous 7 games. The Diamondbacks are coming off yesterday’s 13-0 blowout loss to the Dodgers. Arizona is an abysmal 1-19 this season following a game in which they scored 1 run or fewer. They were outscored in those 20 occurrences by an average of 2.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also a dismal 3-19 this season as a money line home underdog of +125 or greater and were outscored by an average of 3.9 runs per game.

If you take away his 5 starts against the Dodgers this year, Anthony DeSclafani could possibly be in the National League Cy Young Award conversation. That’s how well he’s pitched against everyone else. Since 2016, DeSlafani ius 5-1 during his team starts versus Arizona with a brilliant 1.27 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The Giants bullpen has an impressive 1.10 WHIP this season and that includes an even better 0.89 throughout their previous 7 games. The Giants have dominated Arizona this season while winning 9 of 10 against them. Bet the Giants on the run-line for a Top Play wager.

Orioles (Means) @ Tigers (Manning) 6:10 PMN ET

Game# 969-970

Play On: Tigers -103 (10*)

When looking at the season resume of Baltimore starting pitcher John Means it is certainly impressive. Nonetheless, Means recently returned from a 7-week stint on the DL. Since that time, he’s made 2 starts and registered a horrible 8.02 ERA while allowing 5 home runs in just 11 2/3 innings pitched. Despite Friday’s win at Comerica Park, Baltimore is still an atrocious 19-35 on the road this season.

Detroit had their 10-game home winning streak ended in yesterday’s 4-3 loss to Baltimore. Matt Manning is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with a more than respectable 3.14 ERA. During 7 starts this season, Manning has allowed an average of 1.57 walks per outing and 5.1 hits per appearance. He will be facing an Orioles team that has gone an abysmal 4-24 on the road this season versus starting pitchers averaging 1.75 or less walk per outing. Additionally, Baltimore is also a bankroll draining 13-41 since last season when facing starting pitchers who allow an average of 5.5 or fewer hits per outing. Bet the Tigers on the money line.

Phillies (Velazquez) @ Pirates (Crowe) 7:05 PM ET

Game# 901-902

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

Philadelphia has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 away and there was a combined average of 13.5 runs scored per game. The Phillies will be facing Pittsburgh righthander William Crow today. Crowe has allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs during 29 2/3 innings pitched in his last 6 starts. That’s noteworthy since Philadelphia has smashed 12 home runs over their previous 7 games. Vincent Velazquez has been horrible during his previous 4 starts while posting a 10.91 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Velazquez has also been prone to giving up the long ball as well in 2021. That’s been especially apparent throughout those previous 4 starts when he surrendered 7 home runs in only 15 2/3 innings of work. Velazquez has pitched 2-0 to the over during his career at PNC Park in Pittsburgh with a hefty 7.15 ERA and 1.82 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has a lofty 1.67 WHIP throughout its last 7 games, and they’ve been a disaster for a better part of the past 2 seasons.

William Crowe has amassed a large 7.57 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in 8 starts at night this season. The Pirates are coming off being swept in a 3-game series versus Milwaukee who has arguably the best pitching staff in baseball. Pittsburgh went just 13-for-91 (.143 BA) in that 3-game set. However, the Pirates have played 9-0 to the over this season following a 3-game stretch in which they recorded a team batting average of .175 or worse. The Pirates have also played 6-0-1 to the over during its last 7 at home when the total was 9.0 or greater and there were a combined 14.0 runs scored per game. Bet on the over for a 10* Top Play wager.

Rockies @ Padres 10:10 PM ET

Game# 961-962

Play On: Under 8.5 (10*)

Kyle Freeland has seen his last 6 starts go under the total. Freeland was a huge contributor to those low scoring affairs while recoding a 2.06 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. Since the start of last season, Freeland has pitched 10-1 to the under as a road money line underdog of +100 or greater, and there was just a combined 5.7 runs scored per game. Freeland is coming off a terrific start at Dodger Stadium last Saturday when he allowed only 1 earned run in 7.0 innings pitched. Since 2019, Freeland has pitched 9-0 to the under following a start in which he allowed 1 earned run or less. Additionally, Colorado has played 5-1 to the under this season in games played at San Diego.

Joe Musgrove has made 2 starts versus Colorado this season while allowing only 1 earned run and striking out 17 through 11 1/3 innings pitched. Musgrove has produced a superb 2.83 ERA and 1.05 WHIP during his 10 home starts in 2021. The Padres bullpen has been consistently good for the better part of this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Diamondbacks (Bumgarner) @ Rangers (Lyles) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Texas -105 (10*)

Veteran lefthander Madison Bumgarner has enjoyed some bright monet this season. However, Bumgarner is a shell of what he once was in terms of dominance and consistency. This is an Arizona team which has gone an abysmal 3-33 during its last 36 away games. They’re also an awful 0-8 this season when facing American League opponents.

Texas put a halt to a 12-game losing streak with yesterday’s 5-4 win over Arizona. It must be note, during that 12-game skid 10 of those were on the road. The Rangers are a respectable 8-6 during its last 14 at home when considering their terrible 36-65 season record. I’m not the least bit enamored with Texas starter Jordan Lyles, and especially when looking at his most recent performance lines. Nevertheless, since 2019, Texas is 9-1 at home versus a team with a losing record with Lyles as their starting pitcher. Bet on the Rangers for a 10* Top Play wager.

White Sox (Rodon) @ Brewers (Burnes) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 927-928

Play On: Brewers -120 (10*)

This is an excellent starting pitcher matchup. However, you may be shocked to know, dating back to last season, the White Sox have gone 0-20 (-3.7 RPG) in their last 20 as an underdog of +106 or greater, and that includes 0-14 this year. The White Sox Carolos Rodon has been terrific on the road this season. Nevertheless, it’s highly likely he will need to rely on his bullpen at some point, and that’s not good news since White Sox relievers have a large 7.94 ERA throughout its previous 7 games.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes is a vastly underrated pitcher and much has to do with where he plays. Burnes has been in sensational form through his last 4 starts while posting a 0.99 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. The Brewers bullpen has been solid of late.

Any MLB home team (Brewers) with a money line of between -135 and +115, versus an American League opponent (White Sox) who has a team batting average of .255 or worse, and they scored 2 runs or fewer during each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those home teams going 70-21 (76.9%) since 2017. This exact betting situation has come up 16 times this season and the home teams went an extremely profitable 13-3. Bet on the Brewers as a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Tampa Bay (Fleming) @ Cleveland (Plesac) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 965-966

Play On: Over 9.0 (10*)

The Rays lefthander Josh Fleming has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts while posting a large 8.66 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. The Rays have played 30-16 to the over on the road this season and 35-20 over when facing a right-handed starting pitcher like they will be today. Tampa Bay is currently a money line favorite of -116 in this match. They have played 14-3 to the over this season as a road favorite of -110 or greater and there was a combined average of 11.7 runs scored per game.

Cleveland has played 26-9 to the over this season when facing a lefthanded starting pitcher. Dan Plesac has a lofty 5.16 ERA over his last 4 starts and allowed an alarmingly high 7 home runs in just 20 2/3 innings pitched. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Mariners (Gonzalez) @ Rockies (Marquez) 8:40 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Rockies (-1.5) (+105) (10*)

The Mariners Marco Gonzalez has a large 6.98 ERA in 4 road starts this season. That’s certainly a red glag when considering he will be pitching at the hitter’s paradise called Coors Field tonight.

The Rockies German Marquez has made 3 career starts versus Seattle while registering a dominant 1.71 ERA and 0.67 WHIP. Marquez has displayed excellent form over his last 5 starts with a microscopic 0.75 ERA, 0.50 WHIP, and averaged a plentiful 7.2 innings pitched per outing. It then comes as no surprise when I say that Colorado went 5-0 in those outings and won by a decisive margin of 3.8 runs per game. Marquez has gone 10-2 in his home team starts this season with an impressive 3.06 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Colorado is far and away the worst road team in baseball this year. However, at the friendly confines of Coors Field they have gone an extremely profitable 32-19 (.627) and that includes 19-7 (.731) during their previous 26 at home. During those last 26 home games, $100 bettors that backed Colorado made a net profit of $1533. Bet on the Rockies for a 10* Top Play run-line wager.

Pirates (DeJong) @ Diamondbacks (Smith) 9:40 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Over 9.5 (10*)

Pittsburgh has amassed 11 hits or more in each of its last 4 outing while averaging 6.3 runs scored per game. The Pirates Chase DeJong has displayed shaky form over his last 4 starts while posting a sizable 6.86 ERA and 1.63 WHIP. The Pirates bullpen has been erratic this season and during their past 7 games have recorded a lofty 1.52 WHIP. The Pirates will be facing lefty Caleb Smith tonight. Since the start of the 2019 season, Pittsburgh has played 49-25 (66.2%) to the over when facing lefthanded starting pitchers. The Pirates have played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 as an underdog and when the number is 8.0 or greater. Those 10 outings produced a combined 12.0 runs scored per game.

Caleb Smith is coming off a pair of horrible starts in which he allowed 14 earned runs in just 7.0 innings pitched. The Arizona bullpen has a massive 10.38 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in their previous 7 games. That includes allowing 9 home runs in only 26.0 innings of work. Arizona has played 6-0 to the over this season as a money line home favorite of -124 or less and there was a combined average of 12.5 runs scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Mariners (Logan) @ Angels (Sandoval) 4:07 PM ET

Game# 923-924

Play On: Mariners +116 (10*)

The Mariners Logan Gilbert has gone 8-0 in his last 8 team starts while posting a stellar 2.57 ERA and 0.76 WHIP. Gilbert has also gone an extremely profitable 7-1 this season as a money line underdog of +100 or greater. Seattle will be facing lefthander Pablo Sandoval today and he owns a season ERA of 3.51. Seattle has gone a sparkling 15-6 this season when facing an American League starting pitcher who has an ERA of 3.70 or better. Conversely, the Angels will be facing Logan Gilbert who has an identical season ERA of 3.51. The Angels have gone 3-12 this season when facing an American League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or better. Bet on the Mariners for a 10* Top Play money line wager.

Brewers (Woodruff) @ Reds (Castillo) 7:10 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

Milwaukee pitcher Brandon Woodruff has pitched 8-0-1 to the under in 9 road starts this season while posting a brilliant 1.99 ERA and 0.68 WHIP. The Brewers won 11-6 last night over the Reds. Milwaukee has played 4-1 to the under this season after scoring 10 runs or more in their previous game.

The Reds Luis Castillo has pitched 5-1 to the under during his last 6 starts with an outstanding 1.63 ERA. Despite going over the total on Friday night, Cincinnati has played 15-4 to the under throughout its previous 19 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Mariners (Flexen) @ Angels (Heany 9:38 PM ET

Game# 929-930

Play On: Over 8.5 (10*)

The Mariners Chris Flexen has pitched 6-0 to the over in his away starts this season while recording a lofty 6.97 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. Seattle is currently a money line underdog of +123 in this divisional matchup. Chris Flexen has pitched 11-0 to the over during his career team starts as a money line road underdog of +100 or greater, and there was a combined 13.4 runs scored per game. Seattle has played 25-16 (61%) to the over in away games this season.

The Angels Andrew Heaney has pitched 10-0 to the over this season when there was a total of 7.0 to 8.5, and there were a combined 11.6 runs scored per game. Heaney has displayed terrible form over his last 3 starts with a sizable 9.42 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. The Angels have played 29-16 (64.4%) to the over this season at home. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager.

Tigers (Mize) @ Rangers (Gibson) 2:05 PM ET

Game# 919-920

Play On: Under 8.0 (10*)

The Rangers Kyle Gibson has been sensational in 8 home starts this season while recording a 1.09 ERA and all 8 games stayed under the total. Texas has played 13-2 to the under this season at home during the day and there was a combined average of 5.9 runs per game.

Detroit has played 27-12 (69%) to the under in day games this season. The Tigers starter Casey Mize has pitched 13-2 to the under in 2021 when Detroit was a money line underdog of +100 or greater. Mize has also pitched 8-1 to the under in road starts this season while posting a more than respectable 3.18 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. Bet on this game to stay under the total for a 10* Top Play wager.