Sports Picks & Predictions

Purdue vs. Connecticut 9:20 PM ET

Game# 675-676

Play On: Under 145.5

UConn has seen all 5 of their NCAA Tournament games go under the total with a combined average of 139.4 points scored per game. They were terrific defensively during those contests allowing a mere 57.2 points per contests and holding their opponents to 34.7% shooting. The Huskies also allowed just 14 free throw attempts per game during those 5 wins.

Purdue has played 4-1 to the under in the NCAA Tournament and with a combined average of 140.0 points scored per game. The Boilermakers held those 5 opponents to just 60.2 points per game, 39.4% shooting, and permitted them to get to the free throw line an average of only 10 times per game.

Neither one of these teams prefers a fast tempo game. UConn ranks 328th out of 362 Division 1 teams with regards to offensive tempo while Purdue is 211th in that same category. This will be the 4th time since the 2015 NCAA Tournament when two #1 seeds will square off against one another in the championship game. The previous 3 all went under the total and with a combined average of 141.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

Tennessee vs. Purdue 2:20 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Under 148.5

These teams met in the Maui Invitational earlier this season and Purdue walked away with a 71-67 win. That contest went over the total despite Purdue shooting 35% and Tennessee 33% from the floor. However, there was a unordinary 78 free throw attempts combined in that contests which resulted in 50 points scored. It’s highly improbable we will see anywhere near that volume in this contest.

Tennessee is ranked 3rd nationally in defensive efficiency and Purdue is 7th. Tennessee is coming off an 82-75 win over Creighton on Friday. The Volunteers have played 12-3 to the under in away or neutral site games since the start of last season after scoring 80 points or more in their previous contest. Those 15 contests averaged only a combined 132.1 points scored per game. Purdue has committed 10 turnovers or fewer in each of their 3 NCAA Tournament games. Since the start of last season, the Boilermakers have played 7-0 to the under after committing 11 turnovers or fewer in each of their previous 3 games and there was only a combined average of 131.7 points scored per contest. Purdue has allowed 12.0 free throw attempts per game thus far in the NCAA Tournament and Tennessee 14.7 per contest. Tennessee has shot less than 40% in 5 of their last 7 games. Give me this game to go under the total.

Purdue vs. Gonzaga 7:39 PM ET

Game# 639-640

Play On: Over 154.5

These are 2 very good offensive teams. Purdue is #3 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Gonzaga is #3. Purdue is #1 nationally in 3-point shooting while making 40.1% of their attempts this season. The Boilermakers are also #9 nationally when it comes to free throw attempts. During their previous 5 contests Gonzaga has averaged 78.8 points scored per game, shot 51.9% from the field, and made an excellent 47.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. Throughout their previous 5 outings, Purdue average s80.8 points scored per game, shot 48.8%, and made a superb 41.1% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Clemson vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET

Game# 635-636

Play On: Under 152.5

Arizona has seen each of their last 5 go under the total. The average total in those 5 contests was 156.7 and there was just a combined 136.8 points scored per game. Throughout those previous 5 contests Arizona allowed 65.4 points per game, oppoents shot 39.9% from the field, and made only 27.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. The Wildcats have allowed 65 points or fewer in their last 4 and 6 of the previous 8 games.

Clemson faced 2 formidable offensive opponents in Baylor and New Mexico during the first 2 games of the NCAA Tournament. They held them to an average of 60.0 points scored per game and a mere 33.8% shooting from the field.  Clemson has seen their last 3 go under with an average total of 148.2 and there was just a combined 133.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go under the total.

UNLV @ Seton Hall 7:00 PM ET

Game# 621-622

Play On: Over 143.0

Both teams prefer to play at a slower than average pace by this season’s college basketball standards. However, with that being side this total went from an opener of 140.5 to 142.0 despite a high percentage of betting tickets and money being wagered on the under. UNLV has gone 16-34 (47.1%) from 3-point territory in their first 2 NIT games. Conversely, Seton Hall has made a more than respectful 36% of their 3-point shot attempts in their first 2 NIT games. The Pirates are also #17 nationally in making free throws at an excellent 77.1% and that includes 80% over their previous 5 games. UNLV has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.8 points scored per game and with an average total of 139.0. Seton Hallas has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 when the number was between 135.0 and 144.5 with a combined 153.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Clemson vs. Baylor 6:10 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Over 144.5

Clemson is coming off a surprisingly easy 77-56 win over New Mexico on Friday. The Tigers have played 7-1 to the over this season immediately following a win by 15 or more and there was a combined average of 156.4 points scored per game. From an analytical standpoint, these are 2 of the best offensive teams in the country. Baylor ranks 5th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Clemson is #23. Baylor is also the 4th best 3-point shooting team nationally while making 39.4% of their attempts. The Bears are also 25th best in getting to the free throw line while going 74.8% on those attempts. Clemson is 8th nationally in free throw percentage while making 78.8% of their tries. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nebraska vs. Texas A&M 6:50 PM ET

Game# 779-780

Play On: Over 147.0

Although Texas A& M is a poor shooting team, they more than make up for it on the offensive glass and ability to get to the free throw line. The Aggies are #1 nationally in offensive rebounding as they’ve retrieved a noteworthy 42.8% of their missed shots this season. The Aggies are also #47 out of 362 division 1 teams in free throw attempts. Texas A&M has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 and 11-2 over during their previous 13 contests. During their current 5-game streak of games going over there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per contest.

Nebraska has witnessed their last 4 outings going over when the total was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 161.5 points scored per game. Nebraska is currently #38 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, 44.5% of Nebraska’s field goal attempts have been from 3-point territory and they’ve made a more than respectable 35.8% of those tries. Give me this game to go over the total.

McNeese State vs. Gonzaga 7:25 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Over 149.5

Gonzaga has shot 50% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. The Bulldogs have played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was between 149.0 and 159.0 there was a combined average of 167.6 points scored per game. Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in their last 8 versus teams not named St. Mary’s.

McNeese State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 whenever the total was 149.0 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points per game. McNeese has scored 74 points or more in 13 of their previous 14 games.  They’ve also played 12-1 to the over this season when facing teams like Gonzaga who force 12 or fewer turnovers per contest and there was a combined 153.6 points scored per contest. Don’t underestimate McNeese State as they own non-conference road wins this season over power like Michigan, VCU, and UAB while averaging 81.3 points scored per contest. They’re also 25-1 in their last 26 games played. Give me this game to go over the total.

UC-Irvine @ Utah 11:00 PM ET

Game# 689-690

Play On: Over 149.0

UC-Irvine has scored 76 points or more in each of their previous 8 games. They’ve also played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 154.0 or less and a combined average of 157.6 points were scored per game.

 Utah is coming off a 72-58 loss in the PAC-12 tournament to Colorado and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. However, the UTES have played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and there was a combined 165.8 points scored per game. Utah has scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 4 at home. Give me this game to go over the total.

Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky 3:00 PM ET

Game# 817-818

Play On: Over 149.0

Western Kentucky is #1 nationally when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 75.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Hilltoppers average 80.6 points scored per game in conference play. WKU is also #2 in conference play when it comes to 2-points and 3-point shooting percentage. WKO has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 and with  combined 165.3 points scored per game.

Middle Tennessee State has shot less than 40% in each of their last 5. However, they’ve been able to overcompensate for the poor shooting by getting to the free throw line 25 times per game during that stretch while converting on 75.0% of those opportunities. Conversely, WKU has allowed 25 free throw attempts per game during their previous 5 contests.

The 2 regular season matchups between these teams produced a combined 146 and 153 points being scored. Additionally, those contests averaged a combined 46.5 free throw attempts per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Lehigh @ Colgate 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306541-306542

Play On: Under 134.5

Colgate has played 6-0-1 to the under in their last 7 whenever there was a total of 141.0 or less and there was a combined average of 128.9 points scored per game. Lehigh has gone over the total in each of their previous 2 games. However, since the start of last season Lehigh has played 11-2 to the under following 2 consecutive contests going over the total and there was a combined 128.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings easily went under with Colgate winning 63-60 and 60-57. Both teams have limited their opponents free throw attempts during conference action with Colgate allowing only 16 per game and Lehigh permitting just 13 per contest. Give me this game to go under the total.

Air Force @ New Mexico 7:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 146.0

Since the start of last season, these teams have met 4 times and went over the total on each occasion with a combined average of 156.5 points scored per game. Air Force has played 13-4-1 to the over in conference games this season and New Mexico 12-5-1 to the over. Air Force play’s a a snail’s pace offensively but is #2 during Mountain West Conference action when it come to 3-point shooting at 36.8%. However, it must be noted, they averaged 4.5 field goal attempts more per game than their season average. Conversely, New Mexico prefers a frenetic offensive tempo, and they rank 5th fastest nationally and # during conference action in that category. Give me this game to go over the total.

Utah @ Oregon 7:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 151.0

This has all the earmarks of a high scoring affair. Utah has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 away with a combined 156.7 points scored per game. During their last 3 games overall, Utah averaged a lofty 87.7 points scored per contest and shooting 50.5% from the floor. They also played at a very fast tempo during those 3 contests while averaging 65 field goal attempts per game. Utah defeated Oregon at home earlier this season 80-77 in a game that sailed over the total of 149.5.

Oregon has scored 75 points or more and shot 49% or better in 4 of their last 5 games. The Ducks have played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 151.0 or greater and an average of 167.5 points were scored per game. Oregon has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 this season when facing an opponent like Utah who averages 77.0 or more points per game with a combined 160.9 points scored a game. Give me this game to go over the total.

California @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET

Game# 769-770

Play On: Over 154.5

Stanford has played 13-2 to the over at home this season with a combined 160.1 points being scored per game. California is coming off an 88-59 loss at Utah which stayed under the total of 154.5. However, the Bears have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under during their previous contest with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per outing. Stanford is #2 in PAC-12 Conference play while making 38.9% of their 3-point shot attempts. On a negative note, the Cardinal have lost 6 in a row and allowed 81.8 points per game while doing so. Conversely, California has allowed 80 points or more in each of their previous 4 conference away games. Stanford is #3 and California #4 when it comes to offensive tempo during conference action. Give me this game to go over the total.

Eastern Illinois vs. SIU-Edwardsville 10:00 PM ET

Game# 719-720

Play On: Over 142.5

SIU-Edwardsville has played 9-0 to the over in their last 9 and with a combined 153.7 points scored per game. Edwardsville hasn’t shot very well in their last 5 but has more than made up for it by playing at frenetic pace by averaging 68 field goal attempts per game. During that same stretch, they allowed 77.8 points per game while opponents shot 41.9% from 3-point territory and averaged 26 free throw attempts per contest. Conversely, Eastern Illinois has made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Eastern Illinois has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with a combined 148.0 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

Gonzaga @ St. Mary’s 10:00 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Over 141.0

St. Mary’s has scored 70 points or more in their last 6 abd 12 of their previous 13 games. The Gaels have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined average of 148.4 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, St. Mary’s has scored 84.0 points per game while shooting a sizzling hot 53.0% and they made an exceptional 45.0% of their 3-point shot attempts.

Gonzaga has scored 86 points or more in each of their previous 7 contests. During their previous 5 contests, Gonzaga has scored 91.6 points per game, shot 58.6% from the field, and made an excellent 41.6% of their 3-point shots. Gonzaga is #4 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and #1 during conference play. Give me this game to go over the total for a Top Play wager.

Texas Tech @ West Virginia 6:00 PM ET

Game# 721-722

Play On: Over 151.5

West Virginia is last in defensive efficiency during Big 12 action. The Mountaineers are also #1 during conference play in offensive tempo averaging 69.8 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. The Mountaineers have played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 at home with a combined 157.1 points scored per game. Texas Tech has gone over in 5 straight contests when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 158.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Penn State @ Minnesota 3:15 PM ET

Game# 663-664

Play On: Over 150.5

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 168.5 points scored per game. Penn State has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 and there was an average total of 156.7 while a combined 169.0 points were scored per game. Minnesota won 83-74 at Penn State earlier this season and that contest went over the total of 150.5. Minnesota has averaged 79.4 points scored per contest and made a superb 46.6% of their 3-point shot attempts throughout their previous 5 games. Both teams defensive play has left a lot to be desired in recent games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Illinois @ Wisconsin 1:00 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Over 153.5

Wisconsin has gone over the total in all 7 games this season whenever there was a total of 143.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 160.9 points scored per contest. Illinois has played 8-0 to the over in their last 8 and there was a combined 174.0 points scored per game. Illinois has also gone under in their previous 7 on the road with a combined 161 points or more being scored on each occasion. The Illini have also played 16-2 to the over in their last 18 and 20 of their previous 23 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

UTEP @ Jacksonville State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Over 134.5

The first time these teams met this season UTEP walked away with a 79-71 win and that contest easily surpassed the total of 130.5. It was an extremely physical game which is evidenced by a combined 68 attempted free throws. UTEP is coming off unders in each of their previous 2. The Miners have played 4-0 to the over this season in lined games and following back-to-back contests going under with a combined 158.3 points scored per game. UTEP has played at a might faster tempo over their previous 5 outings than their season average indicates with 65 field goals being attempted per game. UTEP has played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 when the total 135.5 or less and there was a combined 141.7 points scored per contest. The Miners last 2 road games were extremely high scoring affairs where the suffered losses of 90-80 to Western Kentucky and 96-90 versus Middle Tennessee State. Give me this game to go over the total.

Jacksonville State is coming off a 77-75 conference road win at FIU. During the past 3 season, the Jaguars have played 9-0 to the over following a conference road win and with a combined 157.5 points scored per game. Jacksonville State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 at home when the total was 139.0 or less. Give me this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ Illinois 9:00 PM ET

Game# 749-750

Play On: Over 154.5

Illinois has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 and 15-2 over during their previous 17 games. Minnesota is coming off a 73-55 loss at Nebraska in their previous game which easily went under the total. But, the Golden Gophers have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 after an under and there was a combined 165.0 points scored per game. Additionally, Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over this season in games when the total was 150.0 or greater and there was a combined 160.2 points scored per contest. Both teams have been very good at getting to the free throw line over each of their previous 5 games with Illinois averaging 24 attempts per outing and Illinois 26 which is extremely high by college basketball standards. Through that identical 5-game stretch, Illinois has made a superb 80.5% of those attempts and they allowed opponents 27 free throws per contest as well. Give me this game to go over the total.

Providence @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 150.0

Marquette has scored 78 points or more in 5 of their last 6 with the lone exception coming during a loss at #2 Connecticut. The Golden Eagles have shot 50% or better in 8 of their last 11 games. Marquette is #2 and Providence #4 when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo during Big East action. Providence has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined 155.4 points being scored per game. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well from beyond the 3-point line over each of their previous 5 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Texas @ Texas Tech 9:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 144.5

Texas Tech has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 144.5 or greater and there was a combined 160.3 points scored per game. Texas has has played 6-1 to the over in their last 7 when the total was 144.5 or greater with a combined 149.7 points scored per game. These teams met at Texas earlier this season and the Red Raiders came away with a 78-67 win and it went over the total of 140.5. Texas Tech is #19 nationally and #3 during Big 12 play in adjusted offensive efficiency. On a negative note, the Red Raiders are #11 during Big 12 action in adjusted defensive efficiency and #13 out of 14 teams regarding defensive 3-point shooting percentage. On the other hand, Texas is dead last in Big 12 play when defending the 3-point shot and #29 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Furthermore, during their last 4 on the road, Texas has allowed 79.5 points per gameand opponents have shot a combined 55.0% from the floor. Give me this game to go over the total.

NC State @ Florida State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 651-652

Play On: Over 151.5

Florida State is coming off a 74-67 loss at Clemson that stayed under the total of 149.5. Nonetheless, the Seminoles have played over the total in 8 consecutive contests immediately following going under in their previous contest and there was a combined 162.6 points scored per game. Florida State is also #1 in offensive tempo during ACC games. On a negative note. Florida State allows the most free throw attempts during ACC action while NC State has made a terrific 77.9% of their free throws during conference games this season. Speaking of NC State, they’ve played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 144.0 or greater with a combined 159.2 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Pepperdine @ San Francisco 10:00 PM ET

Game# 799-800

Play On: Over 149.0

Pepperdine has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games. San Francisco has played 10-1 to the over in their previous 11 this season as a double-digit favorite. The Dons are also 8-1 to the over in their last 9 at home. Pepperdine is coming off an 89-70 win at Pacific. Since the start of last season, Pepperdine has played 9-1 to the over immediately following a game in which there was a combined 155 points, or more being scored and there was an average of 161.9 points scored per contest. San Francisco has shot 48% or better in 5 of their last 6 games. Pepperdine has been awful defensively during conference play while allowing 79.6 points per game and opponents are shooting a combined 52.6% from the field. However, Pepperdine has been red-hot offensively throughout their previous 5 while averaging 77.0 points scored per game while making 39.6% of their 3-point shot attempts and 79.3% on their free throws. San Francisco defeated Pepperdine at home earlier this season 80-74 and that contest went over the total of 146.5.

Oregon @ Stanford 11:00 PM ET

Game# 833-834

Play On: Over 149.5

Stanford has played 12-1 to the over this season at home with a combined average of 161.6 points being scored per game. Stanford is #3 in offensive tempo, #1 when in 3-point shooting percentage, and #2 in free throw percentage during PAC-12 action. Oregon is has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 away games and all versus conference opponents. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nebraska @ Indiana 8:30 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 149.5

Nebraska has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 conference away contests and with a combined average of 157.0 points being scored per game. The Cornhuskers have been a terrific 3-point shooting teams in Big 10 play while making a stellar 39.0% of those attempts. Nebraska has made 78.7% of their free throws during conference action while Indiana is allowing 24 attempts per game in Big 10 play. The Hoosiers have seen 3 of their last 4 at home go over the total. The last 3 meetings between these division rivals have all gone under the number including and 86-70 Nebraska home win earlier this season which went over the closing total of 151.5. Give me this game to go over the total.

Charlotte @ Memphis 8:00 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Over 146.0

Memphis games during AAC action have averaged a combined 161.1 points scored per contest. The Tigers are #3 in 3-point shooting percentage, #2 in 2-point shooting percentage, and #1 in offensive tempo during conference play. Memphis allows an alarmingly high 21 free throw attempts per game in conference play. Conversely, Charlotte is #1 in AAC play with regards to free throw attempts and they converted on a very good 75.0% of those opportunities. That’s a lot of projected points for Charlotte to score with the clock stopped. Lastly, Memphis has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 with an average total of 151.0 and there was a combined 164.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

George Washington @ St. Joseph’s 7:00 PM ET

Game# 677-678

Play On: Over 159.5

George Washington has lost 8 straight games and allowed 81 points on each occasion. GW is #1 during Atlantic 10 Conference play when it comes to offensive tempo while averaging 70.2 possessions per 40 minutes played. The Colonials are also dead last in adjusted defensive efficiency during conference play while allowing and average of 1.2 points per opponent’s offensive possessions. St. Joseph’s also prefers to play at a fast pace as their #1 in offensive time of possession at 17.1 seconds per. St. Joes has played shoddy defense over their previous 5 contests while allowing 78.4 points per game and opponents made a very worrisome 44.2% of their 3-point shot attempts against them. St. Joes has gone over in 3 straight when the total has been 152.0 or greater and with a combined average of 164.7 points scored per game.

San Francisco @ St. Mary’s 11:00 PM ET

Game# 647-648

Play On: Over 132.5

St. Mary’s is notorious over the years of being extremely efficient offensively while playing at a slow methodical pace. Nonetheless, the Gaels have seemed to switch their philosophy over their previous 3 contests while hoisting up a very high 64 field goal attempts per game. During that time they averaged 87.7 points scored per game and shot a sizzling hot 54.5% from the field. St. Mary’s is also the best 3-point shooting team during West Coast Conference action while making 40.8% of those long-distance attempts.

San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 141.5 or less and there was a combined average of 149.0 points scored per game. During their last 5 outings, San Francisco has averaged 81.4 points scored per game while shooting a stellar 50.9% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

UCF @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET

Game# 603-604

Play On: Over 143.0

UCF has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and there was a combined average of 147.2 points scored per game. West Virginia has played 5-1 to the over during conference home games this season and there was a combined 156.5 points scored per contest. The Mountaineers are #1 during Big 12 action with regards to offensive tempo but last in adjusted defensive efficiency. Give me this game to go over the total.

South Carolina State @ Howard 7:30 ET

Game# 306639-306640

Play On: Over 149.0

These are the top 2 three-point shooting teams during MEAC action. Additionally, Howard is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during conference play and South Carolina State #3. We have a perfect storm situation when it comes to free throws attempted and allowed per game in this matchup. South Carolina State’s conference games have averaged a combined 50 free throw attempts while Howard is at 49 per contest. Howard is last in MEAC play in adjusted defensive efficiency. South Carolina State is coming off a 71-67 defeat at Norfolk State and they’ve played 11-3 over the total this season immediately following a loss. These teams met earlier this season and Howard prevailed 82-78 and that contest went over the total of 152.5. Furthermore, there was a combined 52 free throw attempts during that contest and that’s extremely high by college basketball standards. Give me this game to go over the total.

San Francisco @ Loyola-Marymount 9:00 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Over 143.0

San Francisco has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 this season when the total was between 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined average of 158.8 points scored per game. The Dons have shot 50% or better in 9 of their previous 14 games. During West Coast Conference action San Francisco has averaged 81.3 points scored per game and shot 49.6% from the field. Loyola has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 at home with a combined 146.8 points scored per game. Loyola has made a red-hot 39.4% of their 3-points shot attempts throughout their previous 5 contests. However, on a negative note throughout that identical 5-game span they allowed 80.8 points per contests, opponents shot a combined 51.9% from the field including making 39.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams met earlier this season which resulted in a San Francisco 90-74 win and the contest easily going over the total of 141.5.  Give me this game to go over the total.

Kentucky @ Auburn 6:00 PM ET

Game# 731-732

Play On: Over 164.5

This game will be played at a frenetic offensive pace. Kentucky is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency and Auburn is #9. Kentucky is also #12 nationally in offensive temp while averaging 72.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Auburn is in the upper 20% of college basketball in that category as well while averaging 70.1 possessions per. Auburn is very good defensively but their biggest flw on that end of the floor is they foul a lot. Kentucky has made 75.2% of their free throws this season and that’s very good by college basketball standards. Kentucky is #3 nationally and #1 during SEC action in offensive 3-point shooting while making 40% of those shots beyond the arc. I’m not going to allow this high number scare me away from going over the total. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see this contest approach the high 170’s or low 180’s. Give me this game to go over the total.

Stanford @ Washington State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 743-744

Play On: Over 145.5

Stanford has been an offensive juggernaut during PAC-12 play while averaging 78.1 points scored per contest while making an excellent 42.2% of their 3-points shots and 77.5% of their free throws. The Cardinal are coming off an 85-65 loss at Washington. Stanford has played 6-0 to the over this season following a loss by 10 points or more and there was a combined 160.7 points scored per game. Stanford is #2 during PAC-12 action when it comes to offensive tempo and Washington State is #2 in adjusted offensive efficiency. Washington State has averaged 80.4 points scored per game at home this season while shooting a shade under 51% from the field and went 37.9% from beyond the 3-point line. Give me this game to go over the total.

Youngstown State @ Clevland State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 669-670

Play On: Over 151.5

Since the start of last season, these Horizon League in-state rivals have played 3 times, and each went over the total with an average combined score of 159.3 points scored per game. That includes a 94-69 Youngstown State win earlier this season in a game that soared over the total of 146.0. YSU has played 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 contests with a combined 167.6 points scored per game. The Penguins have allowed 81.0 points per game in their last 5 and opponents made 39.0% of their 3-point shots. Cleveland State has gone 11-2 at home this and averaged 80.2 points scored per game. Cleveland State allows the most free throw attempts of any Horizon League team during conference play. That will help us significantly since YSU is #1 in the Horizon League from the free throw line while connecting on an excellent 79.1% of their attempts.

Wisconsin @ Iowa 2:15 PM ET

Game# 655-656

Play On: Over 152.5

Iowa is #16 nationally when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. The Hawkeyes are also #18 nationally and #1 during Big 10 Conference action in offensive tempo. Conversely they’re next to last during conference action in adjusted defensive efficiency. Iowa is dead last in Big 10 action when it comes to 2-point defensive percentage. That’s problematic since they’ll be facing a Wisconsin team that’s #1 during conference play with their 2-point shooting at 53.1%.  Wisconsin is #19 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. Wisconsin defeated Iowa 83-72 earlier this season and had 35 free throw attempts in that contest while going a superb 23-36 (63.9%) shooting from inside the arc. Give me this game to go over the total.

Northern Colorado @ Portland State 10:00 PM ET

Game# 815-816

Play On: Over 153.5

Northern Colorado is currently a 2.0-point road favorite in this contest. They’ve played 3-0 to the over this season as a favorite in true road games and there was an enormouse 176.0 combined points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Northern Colorado has averaged 80.6 points scored per game while shooting 50.9% from the field, 40.0% from 3-point range, and 76.1% from the free throw line. Northern Colorado is coming off an 87-81 home win over Montana. They’ve played 10-1 to the over this season immediately following a game in which there was a combined 115 points or more being scored. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 165.7 points scored per outing.

Portland State has seen their last 3 all go over when the total was 138.0 or greater and there was a combined 169.3 points scored per game. They’ve played poor defense throughout their previous 5 contests while allowing 76.8 points per contest while opponents shot 48.1% and made 38.2% of their 3-point shot attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Minnesota @ Purdue 8:30 PM ET

Game# 777-778

Play On: Over 145.0

Minnesota has gone over the total in their last 4 when the number was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined 159.3 points scored per game. The Golden Gophers are #1 in Big 10 Conference action when it comes to 2-point percentage offense while making 53.7% of those attempts inside the arc. They’re also #2 in free throw attempts during Big 10 play.

Purdue has scored 79 points or more in each of their 6 conference home games this season. They’ve also seen 4 of their last 5 conference home contests go over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Purdue is #2 nationall and #1 during Big 10 action when it comes to adjusted offensive efficiency. Additionally, during conference action Purdue averaged a noteworthy 26 free throw attempts per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Oakland @ IPFW 7:00 ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 152.0

Oakland has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 when the total was 163.0 or less and there was a combined average of 169.8 points scored per game. During their previous 5 outings, Oakland averaged 84.8 points scored per game and averaged 12 thrree-point shot makes per contest. During that identical time span they also shot an excellent 83.7% from the free throw line.

IPFW has averaged 82.0 points scored per game and shot a blistering hot 53.9% throughout their previous 3 contests. During conference action, IPFW averages 80.6% points scored per game while making 37.4% of their 3-point shot attempts. These teams played at Oakland earlier this season, and IPFW walked away with a 98-77 win which easily went over the total of 149.0. I’m confident that will see a similar high scoring affair in today’s matchup. Give me this game to go over the total.

Iowa State @ Cincinnati 7:00 ET

Game# 617-618

Play On: Under 136.5

Cincinnati has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6. The Bearcats are 3-0 to the under in their previous 3 at home and with just a combined average of 129.3 points scored per game. Iowa State has played 5-1 to the under in their last 6 when the total was 140.0 or less. The Cyclones are 13th national in adjusted defensive efficiency. Both teams are very good defensively and have limitations offensively. Give me this game to go under the total.

Marquette @ Butler 6:30 PM ET

Game# 601-602

Play On: Over 154.5

Butler upset Marquette 69-62 on the road earlier this season and that game easily went under the total of 154.5. Yet, the oddsmakers seem fully undeterred by that result as this current total is identical to the first meeting between these teams. These teams rank #2 and #3 in 3-point offensive shooting percentage during Big East Conference action.

Butler has played 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 and there was a combined 154.8 points scored per game. During their 6 conference home games this season Butler averaged 77.3 points scored per contest. During their previous 5 contests, Butler averaged 82.8 points scored per game while shooting 48.7% and made 37.5% of their 3-point shots.

Marquette enters today on a 7-game win streak in which they shot 50% or better on each occasion. They also allowed 72 points or more in 5 of those contests. The Golden Eagle love to play at a torrid offensive tempo and that’s been even more evident in their conference games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Cornell @ Yale 2:00 PM ET

Game# 667-668

Play On: Over 153.5

Yale is #1 during Ivy League in adjusted offensive efficiency while averaging 117.9 points per 100 offensive possessions. Cornell is #2 in that same category uring league play. Cornell is also #1 in the IVY when it comes to offensive temp while averaging 68.6 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played. Cornell has scored 77 points or more in 10 of their last 11 games. Yale has scored 79 points or more in each of their last 7 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Providence @ Butler 2:00 PM ET

Game# 659-660

Play On: Over 145.0

Butler is coming off a 71-62 loss at #1 Connecticut and the game went under the total of 145.0. Butler has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and with an enormous average of 171.3 points scored per game. Providence has gone over the total in their last 5 when the number was 137.5 or greater and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game. These teams met earlier this season at Providence and the Friars won 85-75 and that contest easily sailed over the total of 139.5. What stuck out to me in that matchup was the fact there was a combined 170 field goal attempts which equates to a torride offensive tempo set by both teams. Give me this game to go over the total.

North Alabama @ North Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306531-306532

Play On: Over 151.0

North Florida has scored 76 points or more and shot 49% or better in 7 of their last 8 games. North Florida is #1 in adjusted offensive efficiency during Atlantic Sun Conference play. They’re also shooting a sizzling hot 41.3% from the 3-point territory during conference action. Each of their last 3 contests have gone over the total with a combined average of 170.7 points scored per game.

During their previous 5 contests, North Alabama has averaged 81.6 points scored per game, shot 48.7% from the field, converted on 48.7% of their field goal attempts, shot a scalding hot 43.7% from beyond the 3-point line, and made 79.3% of their free throws. They’ve seen each of their previous conference away contests go over the total with a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Nebraska @ Northwestern 9:00 PM ET

Game# 737-738

Play On: Over 141.0

Nebraska has played 10-0-1 to the over in their last 11 whenever the total was 142.0 or greater. The Cornhuskers are #2 in Big 10 play when it comes to offensive 3-point shooting percentage at 40.8% and Northwestern is #1 at 44.1%. Conversely, Nebraska is #12 in Big 10 play at defensing the 3-point line as opponents have made 38.1% of those long-distance attempts while Northwestern is #13 at 38.8%. These teams are also the bottom 2 teams during Big 10 action in regard to 3-point shot attempts against them. Additionally, Nebraska has seen 43.8% of their field goal attempts come from beyond the 3-point line in Big 10 play which is the highest in the league. Give me this game to go over the total.

High Point @ UNC-Asheville 6:30 PM ET

Game# 306503-306504

Play On: Over 157.0

Both teams have been adept at getting to the free throw line during conference play and each is excellent in making those attempts with High Point at 81.5% and Asheville 77.6%. Asheville is averaging 79.1 points scored per game while shooting 50.6% and 43.0% from beyond the 3-point line. High Point averages 84.2 points scored during conference play and also gets to the free thrown line 31 times per contest. These teams met 3 weeks ago, and High Point walked away with an 84-79 home win. There was a combined 70 free throw attempts awarded in that contest and the teams converted on 82.6% of those attempts. Asheville has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 when there was a total of 148.0 or greater and it resulted in a combined 162.0 points scored per game. High Point has scored 78 points or more in each of their last 11 games. Asheville has scored 79 points or more in 8 of their last 9 at home. Give me this game to go over the total.

Kansas @ Kansas State 9:00 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: Over 144.5

Kansas has been sizzling hot offensively over their last 9 games and all against Big 12 Conference opponents. During that stretch, the Jayhawks have averaged 78.4 points scpored per game and shot a sensational 53.1% from the field. Kansas will be facing a Kansas State which is last during Big 12 Conference play when it comes to free throw attempts allowed at 24 per game. Additionally, over their previous 5 contests Kansas State has allowed an alarmingly high 30 free throw attempts per game. Kansas has made 74.2% of their free throw attempts in conference play which is 2nd best. Kansas has seen their last 3 road contests on the road go over the total with a combined 162.0 points scored per game. The last 4 meetings between these bitter in-state rivals have all gone over the total with a combined average of 167.8 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Mary’s @ Gonzaga 10:30 PM ET

Game# 815-816

Play On: Over 138.5

Despite the extremely slow pace that St. Mary’s prefers to play at, they’ve still played 8-3 to the over in their last 11 games. The Gaels are #1 in offensive efficiency, #1 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.2%), and #2 in free throw percentage (75.9%) during conference play.

Gonzaga has scored 73 points or more in 20 of 21 games this season with the lone exception coming against #2 Purdue. The Bulldogs have also scored 74 or more in all 11 at home while averaging 91.7 points per game and shooting a blistering hot 53.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Manhattan @ Quinnipiac 7:00 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Over 151.5

These teams played on 1/17 at Manhattan and Quinnipiac walked away with a 76-59 win and that contest easily went under the total of 151.0. The oddsmakers seem undeterred by that result when setting the total for today’s matchup since it’s practically identical. That previous contest only had a combined 135 points scored but it was no fault of which how fast a tempo it was played at. We saw a combined 165 field goal attempts in that contest which is very high. These team are #1 and #2 during conference play when it comes to adjusted offensive tempo. Manhattan has seen each of their 4 games go over the total and there was a combined 155.0 points scored per game with the average total being 140.5. Quinnipiac has scored 76 points or more in 7 of their last 10 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Bowling Green @ Ball State 7:00 PM ET

Game# 613-614

Play On: Over 149.0

Bowling Green has gone over the total in each of their previous 8 contests and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. That includes 4-0 to the over in conference away games with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 140.0 to 149.5 and there was a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Ball State has also played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 conference home games and with a combined average of 158.3 points scored per contest. Give me this game to go over the total.

St. Joseph’s @ St. Bonaventure 8:30 PM ET

Game# 887-888

Play On: Over 144.0

St. Bonaventure has gone over the total in each of their last 5 at home with a combined average of 153.2 points scored per game. The Bonnies have scored 89 points or more and shot 55% or better in 4 of those last 5 at home. St. Joe’s has gone over the total in all 6 of their true road games this season with a combined 163.0 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Xavier @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Over 148.0

Xavier has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 and there was a combined average of 161.0 points scored per game. The Musketeers have been playing a an extremely fast office pace over their last 7 contests which is evidenced by them having 63 or more field goal attempts on each occasion. Xavier has scored 74 points or more in 8 of their last 10 games. Creighton is averaging an impressive 87.8 points scored per game while shooting 51.2% and includes going 36% from 3-point range at home this season. Give me this game to go over the total.

Northwestern @ Nebraska 2:15 PM ET

Game# 679-680

Play On: Over 144.0

No analysis due to time constraints.

St. Peter’s @ Fairfield 7:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 135.0

This is a very low total for a Fairfield game. That has much to do about the extremely slow tempo that St. Peter’s plays at which ranks #350 nationally out of 363 division 1 teams. However, the Peacocks have played 3-1 to the over in their last 4 and averaged a respectable 71.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, St. Peter’s has scored 67 points or more in their last 3 and 4 of the previous 5 on the road. When considering the current total on this contest, the previous sentence is certainly noteworthy. St. Peter’s is 5-0 SU&ATS in their last 5 games while averaging an extremely high 28 free throw attempts per game and making an outstanding 75.9% of those attempts.

Fairfield has played 6-0 to the over in conference play and with a combined 156.4 points scored per game. During those 6 contests they shot a blistering hot 42.0% from 3-point range, 55.4% inside the arc, and converted on an excellent 78.2% of their 3-point attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Utah @ Stanford 5:00 PM ET

Game# 843-844

Play On: Over 156.5

Stanford has played 8-0 to the over at home this season with a combined average of 171.4 points scored per game. Conversely, Utah has played 5-0-2 to the over in neutral site and true away games with a combined 153.3 points scored per contest. Stanford is #19 nationally in 3-points offensive shooting percentage while making 38.6% of their attempts. Utah is #31 nationally at that same category at an impressive 37.6%. Additionally, Utah is #203 and Stanford #260 nationally when it comes to 3-points percentage defense. Both teams are in the upper 30% in college basketball when it comes to offensive tempo. Give me this game to go over the total.

IPFW @ Robert Morris 7:00 PM ET

Game# 871-872

Play On: Over 154.5

Despite their poor record, Robert Morris has scored 75 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games and that includes the previous 4 played at home. Furthermore, RMU has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 145.0 or greater and there was a combined total of 171.5 points scored per game.

IPFW loves to play an up-tempo style of basketball. They’ve scored 75 points or more in 13 of 17 games this season. During their last 3 games played IPFW averaged 91.3 points scored per contest. They’re coming off 2 losses against Wright State 106-98 and Youngstown State 95-83. Additionally, I look for IPFW to get plenty of east transition baskets when facing this RMU team who turns the ball over on 24% of their offensive possessions which ranks #304 nationally, and considering IPFW is #11 nationally in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go over the total.

Arkansas @ Georgia 9:00 PM ET

Game# 733-734

Play On: Over 151.5

These teams have seen their last 4 meetings all go over the total with a combined average of 172.5 points scored per game. Arkansas has played 11-3 to the over this season and likes to push the pace offensively. The Razorbacks have also witnessed a combined average of 50 free throw attempts per contest in their 14 games and that is extremely high by college basketball standards. Georgia is adept at get to the free throw line while averaging 24 attempts per game. During their previous 4 contests Georgia has averaged 85.0 points scored per game and shot 50.6% from the field. Give me this game to go over the total.

Stanford @ USC 4:00 PM ET

Game# 717-718

Play On: Over 151.0

USC has played 5-0 to the over this season whenever there was a total of 151.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 164.8 points scored per game. The Trojans have also gone over the number in their last 4 at home with a combined average of 163.3 points scored per game. Stanford is coming off a 59-53 win at UCLA on Wednesday and that contest easily went under the total of 138.5. However, the Cardinal have played 3-0 to the over this season immediately following an under and with a combined 154.0 points scored per contest. Additionally, Stanford has played 5-1 to the over when the total has been 148.0 or greater this season and with a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Furthermore, Stanford shot just 36% in Wednesday game versus UCLA and that was the 5th time this season they shot less than 44%. However, the Cardinal followed the previous 5 up by averaging 85.0 points scored per game. The pace of this game based on season averages for both teams will be conducive to a high scoring game relative to the current total. Give me this game to go over the total.

Washington @ Colorado 9:00 PM ET

Game# 877-878

Play On: Over 156.5

No analysis on today’s games due to time restrictions.

Nevada vs. TCU 5:00 PM ET

Game# 881-882

Play On: Over 149.5

TCU enjoys playing at an extremely fast pace. The Hrned Frogs have scored 79 points or more in 9 of their 10 games this season. On the other hand, we have a Nevada team which has scored 72 points or greater in 10 of their last games. Both teams are very good at getting to the free throw and also converting on those attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Arkansas Pine Bluff @ South Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 306507-306508

Play On: Over 161.0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has gone over the total in all 8 of their lined games this season and there was a combined average of 173.4 points scored per contest. Pine Bluff is #11 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo while averaging 74.6 possessions per 40 minutes played. Additionally, they're 3rd worst in the country when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency while allowing 119.0 points per 100 of their opponent's offensive possessions. Pine Bluff has allowed 100 points or more in 5 of 9 games against Division 1 opponents this season. It must be noted, they've also faced the 11th most difficult schedule in college basketball as of today but have still managed to score 86 points or more in 7 of their 11 games. Furthermore, Pine Bluff averages 11 three-point makes per games and coverts on a stellar 38.3% of those long-range attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

South Florida is 47th nationally in offensive time of possession at just 15.7 seconds per possession. South Florida games have averaged a combined 47 free throw attempts per game which is high by college basketball standards. Both teams in this matchup are very good free throw shooting teams. Give me this game to go over the total.

Colgate @ Vermont 2:00 PM ET

Game# 306517-306518

Play On: Under 133.0

Both teams play at an extremely slow tempo while ranking in the bottom 20% in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line with regularity with Vermont ranking #331 and Colgate #358. Both are terrible when it comes to offensive rebounding, and each is very good on the defensive glass. So, likely each team will have very few chance opportunities. Each is heavily reliant on their 3 point-shooting with 48.2% of Vermont’s shots coming from 3-point range and Colgate 42.3%. Both teams have shown themselves to be more than respectable at defending the 3-point line as well. Both teams are amongst the worst in the country in forcing turnovers. Give me this game to go under the total.

Iowa @ Iowa State 7:30 PM ET

Game# 875-876

Play On: Over 153.0

The pace/tempo of this game will be conducive to a high scoring affair. Iowa is #27 nationally in adjusted offensive tempo. The Hawkeyes also average only 15.0 seconds per offensive possession which ranks 14th nationally. Iowa State is in the top 25% in college basketball when it comes to both categories previously mentioned. Iowa is 14th nationally in offensive efficiency while averaging 118.4 points scored per 100 possessions while Iowa State is in the upper 20% of college basketball at 111.2. Each team is adept at getting to the free throw line with Iowa State averaging 25 attempts per game and Iowa 24. Iowa State has scored 85 or more points in each of their 4 home games this season. Iowa has scored 84 points or more in 6 of their 8 games. This has all the makings of a game to be played in the 80’s. Give me over the total.

San Diego State @ Grand Canyon 9:00 PM ET

Game# 653-654

Play On: Over 142.0

Both teams in this matchup having been stellar in terms of offensive point production despite being a tad better than average when it comes to shooting percentage. Grand Canyon averages 80.3 points scored per game and San Diego State is at 77.8 per contest. Each team has been adept at getting to the charity stripe with Grand Canyon averaging 30 free throw attempts per contest which ranks #2 nationally and San Diego State 24 per game. San Diego State has played 3-0 to the over this season when the total has been between 140.0 to 147.5 and there was a combined average of 168.0 points scored per game. Grand Canyon has played 4-0 to the over this season when there was a total of between 140.0 to 145.5 and there was a combined average of 153.3 points scored per game. Give me this game to go over the total.

Furman @ Arkansas 8:00 PM ET

Game# 863-864

Play On: Over 158.5

Furman has played 4-0 to the over this season when the total was 157.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 169.0 points scored per game. Furman prefers an up tempo style of basketball and the statistics provided by KenPom fully backs that statement. Arkansas has played 5-0 to the over at home this season. The Razorbacks contests have averaged a combined 53 free throws per outing and that’s a huge number by college basketball standards, and equates to many points being scored with the clock stopped. Arkansas has also allowed 75 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me this game to go over the total.

Miami @ Kentucky 7:30 PM ET

Game# 619-620

Play On: Over 163.5

This total is this high for good reason and don’t be shocked to see both teams scoring 90 or more points. Miami is #1 nationally in 3-point efficiency while make 45.4% of their long-range attempts. Kentucky is #4 in that category at 42.5%.  Kentucky has gone over the total in each of their previous 4 games with a combined average of 181.3 points being scored per contest. Miami has played 4-1 to the over this season with a combined average of 161.4 points scored per game. Both teams play up tempo when looking at their average offense time of possession with Kentucky at 14.9 second (15th nationally) and Miami 15.2 (22nd nationally. Miami is also one the best free throw shooting teams in the nation while making a terrific 82.6% of their attempts. Give me this game to go over the total.

Harvard @ Massachusetts 7:00 PM ET

Game# 789-790

Play On: Over 151.0

Taking the red-hot sizable road underdog Rockets who’s won 6 in a row versus an ice-cold Clippers team that’s on a 6-game losing streak qualifies as my designated sucker play of the day. Houston has played 7 of their first 9 games at home. During their current 6-0 SU&ATS run all have been played at home. The Rockets are 0-2 SU&ATS on the road and lost by an average of 17.0 points per game. The Clippers played 5 of 6 on the road during their current winless streak. However, at home, Los Angeles has gone 3-1 SU&ATS with an average +16.0 points per game differential. This line opened at 6.0 and at the time of this writing is 7.5 or 8.0 depending on what sportsbook you are looking at. If it looks too good to be true when it pertains to sports betting, it usually is. Give me the Clippers minus points.

San Diego State vs. Connecticut 9:20 PM ET

Game# 711-712

Play On: Under 132.5 (10*)

The only flaw that UConn has displayed defensively during their 5 NCAA Tournament games is allowing opponents to have an average of 19 free throw attempts per game. If you even want to label that as a flaw. However, San Diego State has been terrible from the free throw line during their 5 NCAA Tournament game while converting on just 63.4% of their free throw attempts. Otherwise, the Huskies have held all 5 of their opponents to 38.8% or worse while giving up a mere 59.2 points per contest. UConn has covered all 5 games in the big Dance. The Huskies have played 8-1 to the under this season when not playing at home and coming off covering each of their previous 3 games.

San Diego State is a 7.5-point underdog at the time of this writing. The Aztecs have played 8-0 to the under since 12/17/2021 and there were a combined 125.1 points scored per game. San Diego State is coming off a thrilling 72-71 buzzer beating win over FAU in a game that went over the total of 132.0. That snapped a string of 12 consecutive games going under the total for the Aztecs. As a matter of fact, they haven’t gone over the total in 2 straight games since January 10th. Furthermore, The Aztecs have played 5-0 to the under in their last 5 contests following an over in their previous outing and there was a combined average of 121.6 points scored per game. The Aztecs have also gone under in their last 5 after allowing 70 points or more during its previous contest and there was a combined 118.2 points scored per game.

According to Ken Pomeroy, San Diego State is #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and UConn is #8. Additionally, UConn is #214 in adjust offensive temp and San Diego State is #270.

Give me this game to go under the total.

FAU vs. San Diego State 6:09 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Under 132.0 (5*)

San Diego State has gone under the total in each of their previous 12 games. Those 12 contests averaged a combined 121.8 points scored per game. During that stretch, the Aztecs held opponents to a mere 57.0 points scored per game, 37.2% shooting from the field, and permitted to make only 23.4% of its 3-point shot attempts. It’s not like San Diego State was an offensive juggernaut throughout those 12 contests as they averaged just 64.8 points scored per game and shot an uninspiring 40.9% from the field and made just 31.9% of their 3-point shot attempts.

FAU has seen its last 4 games go under the total whenever the number was 143.0 or less and there was a combined average of 125.0 points scored per game. The Owls allowed just 55.0 points per contest and held their opponents to 32.7% shooting during those 4 games. San Diego State gets a lot of praise for their staunch defensive play and rightfully so. However, FAU is quietly #30 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and that includes #11 in 2-point defensive shooting percentage (44.8%). The Owls are a very good 3-point shooting team, but they’ll be facing an opponent on Saturday that’s #2 nationally in defensive 3-point shooting percentage (27.8%).

Give me this game to go under the total.

Xavier vs. Texas 9:45 PM ET

Game# 645-646

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup.

Xavier is #7 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency, #3 in 3-point shooting percentage (38.9%), and #33 in adjusted tempo which basically mean they like pushing the pace to a faster speed than normal. The Musketeers have scored 78 points or more in 6 of their last 8 games. Xavier has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 whenever the total was 152.0 or less and there was a combined average of 156.3 points scored per game.

Texas is #15 nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency. During their previous 3 contests, Texas averaged 76.0 points scored per game, shot 51.4% from the field and 77.4% from the free throw line. During that stretch, they also averaged 60.3 field goal attempts per game which translated to a brisk offensive pace. They’ll be facing an Xavier team which has had 60 or more field goal attempts in 6 of their last 8 games and will be a willing partner to play an up-tempo game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Princeton vs. Creighton 9:00 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 140.5 (5*)

This NCAA Tournament started by seeing 33 of the first 44 games going under the total. That’s an absurd lopsided ration. However, since that time, games have played 9-3 to the over. I look for that over trend to continue in this matchup.

Princeton has played 7-1 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 145.0 or less and there was a combined average of 152.8 points scored per game. Conversely, Creighton has played 5-0 to the over in their previous 5 contests whenever there was a total of 147.5 or less and there was a combined 156.0 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Gonzaga vs. UCLA 9:45 PM ET

Game# 641-642

Play On: Over 145.5 (5*)

Gonzaga has scored 100 or more points 8 times this season, 82 points or more in 12 of their last 15 contests, and 88 points or more in 16 of 34 games versus Division 1 opponents this season. The Zags have also allowed 80 points or more on 10 separate occasions this season. The Bulldogs have faced UCLA in each of their previous 2 seasons and averaged 88.0 points scored per game while shooting a sizzling hot 57.5%. Gonzaga is coming off an 84-81 win over TCU. Gonzaga has played 4-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 156.0 or less and they allowed 80 or more points in their previous game. Those 4 contests averaged a combined 165.4 points scored per game.

UCLA is coming off a 68-63 win over Northwestern. The Bruins have played 5-0 to the over this season whenever the total was 147.0 or less and they allowed 63 points or fewer in their previous game. UCLA has played 9 games as a favorite and with a total of 140.0 or greater and they averaged 80.8 points scored per contest.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Michigan State vs. Kansas State 6:30 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

Michigan State is #6 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage while making 38.7 of those attempts. The Spartans have scored 72 points or more in 6 of their previous 8 games. The Spartans will be facing a Kansas State team that ranks #291 nationally in free throw attempts allowed. Michigan State is a very good free throw shooting team which is evidenced by their shiny 75.7% conversion rate. The Spartans have played 6-2 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 137.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 150.1 points scored per game during regulation time.

Kansas State has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 and with a combined average of 151.4 points scored per game. The Wildcats have scored 73 points or more in 6 of its last 7 games. Similar to Thursday’s opponent, Kansas State is also a very food free throw shooting team at 75.2%. On a negative note, the Wildcats have allowed 74.4 points per game over its last 5 contests.

Give me this game to go over the total.

UCF @ Florida 7:00 PM ET

Game# 713-714

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

Simple mathematics comes into play with this pick on the total. UCF has gone 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 whenever the total was 138.0 to 149.0 and there was a combined average of 158.4 points scored per game. Florida has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 and with a combined average of 150.8 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh 9:10 PM ET

Game# 701-702

Play On: Over 132.5 (5*)

Pittsburgh has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever their total was 149.5 or less and there was a combined average of 163.5 points scored per game. Pitt has also played 9-1 to the over this season when there was a total of 130.0 to 139.5 with a combined 148.9 points per game. The panthers defense has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests while allowing opponents to shoot a cumulative 50.3% while also making an alarmingly high 41.3% of its 3-point shot attempts. Pitt has averaged 82.8 points scored per contest throughout their previous 5 games. Mississippi State has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 when there was a total of 137.0 or less and there was a combined 137.4 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Kansas vs. Texas 6:00 PM ET

Game# 623-624

Play On: Under 143.5 (5*)

Kansas has played 6-0 to the under in their last 6 games. Those 6 contests had an average total of 146.4 and there was only a combined average of 133.8 points scored per game. According to Ken Pomeroy, Kansas ranks #6 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Texas has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4. Those 4 contests had an average total of 147.1 and there was just a combined 129.0 points scored per game. During their last 3 contests, Texas has held opponents to 55.3 points per game and allowed them to shoot an extremely low 33.1% from the field. Ken Pomeroy has Texas #12 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Vermont @ UMass-Lowell 11:00 AM ET

Game# 511-512

Play On: Over 142.0 (5*)

Vermont went under the total in their previous game. The Catamounts have played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 immediately following an under and there was a combined average of 147.6 points scored per game. Vermont has shot 50% or better from the field in each of its last 3 and 9 of their previous 13 games. Vermont is also #1 in both 3-point shooting and 2-point shooting percentage during America East Conference games.

UMass-Lowell has scored 75 points or more in each of its last 7 games and they shot a combined 50.6% from the field during those contests. Additionally, during that 7-game stretch there was a combined 150.6 points scored per contest. Lowell has the most free throw attempts in America East action this season, and is the conference’s best free throw shooting team at 77.0%.

These teams met twice during regular season action and both games went over the total. There was a combined 145 and 170 points scored in those head-to-head battles. Give me this game to go over the total. These are the 2 best teams in terms off offensive efficiency during America East Conference games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Tulane vs. Wichita State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 827-828

Play On: Over 151.0 (10*)

Wichita State has seen 15 of their last 16 games go over the total. The Shockers have shot 50% or better in their last 4 and 7 of its previous 9 games.

Tulane has played 14-4-1 to the over in their last 19 games. The Green Wave have scored 78 points or more in each of their last 5 and 7 of its previous 8 games.

These teams played twice during regular season action with each contest going over the total and there were 185 and 163 combined points scored in those contests.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 699-700

Play On: Over 134.5 (5*)

Oklahoma State has played 4-0 to the over during its previous 4 when the total was 143.5 or less and with a combined 154.8 points scored per game. The Cowboys allowed 80.0 points per game while permitting opponents to shoot 48.1% from the field and 42.1% from 3-point territory throughout its last 5 contests.

Oklahoma is coming off a 74-60 upset win over TCU in their regular season finale and that contest went under 144.0 The Sooners have played 3-0 to the over in their last 3 following an under and there was a combined 153.3 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Virginia Tech vs. NC State 9:30 PM ET

Game# 657-658

Play On: Under 146.5 (5*)

The last 6 meetings between these ACC rivals have all gone under the total. Virginia Tech has played 3-0 to the under in their last 3 with a combined average of 132.7 points scored per game. NC State has played 4-1 to the under in their last 5 when the total was 149.5 or less and there was a combined average of 138.2 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go under the total.

Minnesota vs. Nebraska 9:00 PM ET

Game# 681-682

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

Minnesota has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 and there was a combined average of 147.0 points scored per game. Nebraska has played 7-0 to the over in their last 7 with a combined average of 148.7 points scored per game. Both regular season meetings between these teams went over the total with 145 and 160 points being scored.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Duquesne vs. LaSalle 7:30 PM ET

Game# 649-650

Play On: Over 146.0 (5*)

Duquesne has played 4-1 to the over in their last 5 with a combined average of 158.4 points scored per game. Since the start of last season, Duquesne has played 6-0 to the over in neutral site contests. Duquesne has seen each of their last 4 meeting with LaSalle all go over the total which includes a 91-74 win over the Explorers this season. Speaking of LaSalle, they’ve played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 144.0 or greater and there was a combined 163.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Ole Miss vs. South Carolina 7:00 PM ET

Game# 693-694

Play On: Over 133.0 (5*)

South Carolina has played 4-0 to the over in their last 4 whenever the total was 139.0 or less and there was a combined 141.5 points scored per game. The Gamecocks are coming off a 61-55 win over Georgia in their regular season finale and that game easily went under the total of 139.5. South Carolina has played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 immediately following an under and there was a combined 143.8 points scored per game.

Ole Miss has played 10-2 to the over in their last 12 games. Ole Miss lost at home 64-61 to South Carolina in their last regular season meeting on 2/11. The Rebels have played 7-0 to the over since the start of last season when playing with same season revenge and there was 143.8 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Gonzaga vs. St. Mary’s 9:00 PM ET

Game# 637-638

Play On: Over 138.0 (5*)

Gonzaga is coming off last night’s 84-53 win over San Francisco and that contest went under 161.0. That snapped a string of 8 consecutive over for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has shot a red-hot 48% or better in each of their previous 12 games and that includes both regular season meetings versus St. Mary’s. Gonzaga has scored 77 points or more in their last 8 and 11 of its previous 12 games.

St. Mary’s plays at a snail’s pace offensively. The Gael’s are #359 nationally out of 363 Division 1 teams while averaging only 62.1 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played this season. However, the Gaels have still managed to score 68 points or more during 13 of its previous 15 games despite that slow methodical offensive pace at which they play at.

Both teams are making an excellent 38% of their 3-point shots over each of its previous 5 games. Both regular season meetings went over the total with combined scores of 145 and 148 points.

Give me this game to go over the total.

UT-Chattanooga vs. Wofford 6:30 PM ET

Game# 801-802

Play On: Over 150.5 (5*)

Wofford has played 7-1 to the over this season whenever the total was 144.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 165.0 points scored per game. Wofford will be facing a Chattanooga team that averages an impressive 12 made 3-point shots per game. The Terriers have played 10-1 to the over this season when facing teams that average 8 or more 3-point shot makes per game. Those 11 contests averaged a combined 159.2 points scored per game.

Wofford has averaged a substantial 79.7 points scored per game throughout its last 7 contests. Conversely, Chattanooga is averaging 78.8 points scored per game throughout their previous 8 contests. Wofford won their 2 regular season matchups vs. Chattanooga 86-74 and 85-80 with both going over the total.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Creighton @ DePaul 9:00 PM ET

Game# 703-704

Play On: Over 147.0 (5*)

DePaul has played 6-1-1 to the over in their last 8 whenever the total was 140.0 or greater and there was a combined average of 159.1 points scored per game. The Blue Demons have made an impressive 40.2% of its 3-point shot attempts over its last 5 games. DePaul has allowed 51 points or more in 5 of its last 6 and 8 of their previous 10 games.

During its last 5, Creighton has averaged 80.0 points scored per game while making 37.2% of its 3-point shot attempts and made 82.9% of their free throws. Considering DePaul allows 22 free throw attempts per game this season, the Bluejays free throw shooting prowess takes on even more added significance.

Give me this game to go over the total.

LSU @ Florida 6:00 PM ET

Game# 675-676

Play On: Over 141.5 (5*)

Florida has played 7-1 to the over during its last 8 with a combined average of 153.1 points scored per game. LSU has played 4-0 to the over in its previous 4 and there was a combined average of 156.0 points scored per game. Neither team is playing with any pressure since both are suffering through disappointing seasons. I look for this contest to be a bit more higher scoring relative to this current total than most would expect.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Stanford @ Oregon 4:00 PM ET

Game# 661-662

Play On: Over 139.5 (4*)

Since the start of the 2020-2021 season, Oregon has played 13-1 to the over in March with a combined average of 151.8 points scored per game. All those games came with current head coach Dana Altman in charge. The Ducks have made a sparkling 37.3% of their 3-shot point attempts over their previous 5 games. Oregon is #31 nationally and #3 within conference play in adjusted offensive efficiency.

Stanford has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 conference away games and there was a combined average of 147.2 points scored per contest. Throughout its previous 5 contests, Stanford has shot a red-hot 49.1% which includes making an excellent 45.5% of their 3-point shot attempts. As a matter of fact, Stanford has been the most accurate 3-point shooting team (37.7%) in PAC-12 games this season. The Cardinal are also next to last in PAC-12 action when it comes to adjusted defensive efficiency.

Give me this game to go over the total.

VMI @ UT-Chattanooga 7:30 PM ET

Game# 881-882

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

UT-Chattanooga has scored 70 points or more in each of their previous 6 games. They’ve also allowed 75 points or more in each of its previous 3 games. Conversely, VMI has gone over in 3 straight contests with a combined average of 159.3 points scored per game.

These teams met twice during regular season action which produced a cavalcade of 3-point shot attempts. During those contests there was a combined 133 three-point shot attempts and the teams made 58 of those long-distance hoists. As a matter of fact, 4 of the last 5 games these teams played one another have gone over the total.

East Carolina @ Tulane 7:00 PM ET

Game# 845-846

Play On: Over 155.5 (5*)

These teams just played at East Carolina on Wednesday and the home team walked away with an 83-68 win. That contest went under the total of 155.0 by just 4.0 points despite both teams shooting less than 40%. It must be noted, there was a combined 57 free throw attempts in that game which would be high by NBA standards let alone at the NCAA level where games are 8 minutes less. Tulane has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 following an under and there was a combined average of 158.5 points scored per game. Tulane is also #3 nationally in adjusted tempo and #9 in free throw percentage (78.7%).

Since last year, these AAC rivals have played 3 times and produced a combined 151, 152, and 168 points scored. Give me this game to go over the total.

Akron @ Kent State 6:00 PM ET

Game# 853-854

Play On: Under 134.0 (5*)

Akron has gone over the total in each of its previous 2 games. Nonetheless, the Zips have played 4-0 to the under this season immediately following going over in 2 consecutive contests and there was a combined average of just 130.3 points per game. Akron is #2 in adjusted defensive efficiency during conference action and dead last in adjusted offensive tempo.

Kent State went over the total in its last game. The Golden Flashes have played 7-1 to the under this season after going under in their previous contest. Kent State is #1 in adjusted defensive efficiency in conference play.

These teams met earlier this season and Akron won 67-55 in a game that easily went under the totals of 133.0. There was just a combined 101 field goal attempts in that contest which equated to a very slow paced game. As a matter of fact, the last 6 times these teams met it produced combined scores of 133 or less points being scored on each occasion, and 5 of those 6 went under the total. Give me this game to go under the total.

Detroit @ Youngstown State 8:00 PM ET

Game# 791-792

Play On: Over 156.0 (5*)

Detroit has played 4-0 to the under in their last 4 and all those contests were played at home. However, the Titans have played 6-0 to the over on the road this season following an under and there was a combined 168.7 points scored per game. Conversely, Youngstown State is coming off a 93-79 win at IUPUI in their previous contest. The Penguins have played following a conference win by 10 or more and there was a combined 163.0 points scored per game.

These are the top 2 three-point shooting teams in Horizon League action. As a matter of fact, Detroit is #7 nationally in 3-point shooting percentage and Youngstown is a more than respectable #22 in that category. Neither team gets to the free throw line a ton because they’re perimeter-based offenses, but when they get there, each has been extremely efficient.

According to KenPom, Detroit is one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Despite an impressive 23-8 season record, Youngstown State is a far cry from a good defensive team ranking #267 in that category. They’re heavily reliant on their offensive prowess to carry the load.

This total is this high for good reason. Give me this game to go over the total.

Vanderbilt @ Kentucky 7:00 PM ET

Game# 671-672

Play On: Over 145.0 (5*)

Vanderbilt has gone 3-0 to the over in their last 3 SEC contests and there was a combined 155.7 points scored per game. The Commodores are #4 withing SEC play when it comes to offensive efficiency. However, they’re also next to last in defensive efficiency. The Commodores are averaging 10 three-point shot makes per game throughout their previous 5.

Kentucky is coming off an 86-54 blowout win over Auburn in their previous outing, and that game barely stayed under the total of 141.0. The Wildcats have gone under the total in consecutive games since 12/17/2022 and since that time have played 14-5 to the over. Furthermore, Kentucky has played 5-0 to the over in their last 5 following an under with a combined average of 150.4 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Towson @ Charleston 7:00 PM ET

Game# 763-764

Play On: Over 148.5 (5*)

Both teams have been red-hot offensively in recent games. Charleston has averaged 89.4 points scored per game and shot 49.1% throughout their previous 5 contests. Additionally, during that exact 85-game span, Charleston has converted on an excellent 43.0% of their 3-point shot attempts and averaged an eye-popping 13 makes per game. Charleston has played 6-0 to the over during its last 6 whenever there was a total of 142.5 to 157.5. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 155.8 points scored per game. The Cougars rank #1 during CAA action in offensive tempo while averaging 71.1 offensive possessions per 40 minutes played.

Towson is the top 3-point shooting team in Colonial Athletic Association action while making 41.1% of their long-distance attempts. Furthermore, throughout their previous 5 contests Towson has averaged 80.0 points scored per game while making an outstanding 44.7% of its 3-point shot attempts which includes 10 makes per outing. Towson has played 4-0 to the over in their previous 4 whenever the total was 136.0 or greater and a combined average of 154.5 points were scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Tulane @ Houston 9:00 PM ET

Game# 735-736

Play On: Over 145.5 (5*)

Tulane is coming off an 84-66 win at South Florida in their previous game and it went under the total of 160.0. However, Tulane has played 3-0 to the over during its last 3 following an under and there was a combined average of 162.0 points scored per game. The Green Wave have also played 9-3-1 to the over versus Conference opponents with an average of 168.7 points scored per game. During their previous 5 contests, Tulane has averaged 88.8 points scored per game and shot 49.8%.

Houston has averaged a robust 76.6 points scored per game during its last 5 while shooting 48.6% from the field and 76.3% from the free throw line. The Cougars have played 11-5 to the over in their last 16 games.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Bradley @ Valparaiso 7:00 PM ET

Game# 673-674

Play On: Over 137.5 (5*)

Bradley has played 9-1 to the over in their last 10 when the total was 128.5 or more. The Braves have shot a red-hot 50.2% and made 43.0% of their 3-point shots attempts throughout its previous 5 games. Valpo has played 6-0 to the over in their last 6 whenever the total was between 132.5 and 146.5 with a combined average of 151.2 points scored per game. These teams met earlier this season and Bradley won 88-66 which easily sailed over that total of 130.0.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Oklahoma State @ West Virginia 7:00 PM ET

Game# 865-866

Play On: Over 144.5 (5*)

Oklahoma State has played 7-0 to the over during its last 7 whenever the total was 129.5 or greater and there was a combined 152.4 points scored per game. Conversely, West Virginia has played 5-0 to the over during its previous 5 whenever the total was 147.5 or less and there was a combined 151.2 points scored per game. The Mountaineers have also gone over in their last 4 at home with a combined 149.5 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.

Stanford @ USC 10:00 PM ET

Game# 793-794

Play On: Over 141.0 (5*)

USC has scored 77 points or more in each of their previous 4 home games. It’s no coincidence that all 4 of those contests went over the total with a combined average of 150.5 points scored per game. USC is coming off a 97-60 blowout win over California in their previous game.

Stanford is the best 3-point shooting team in PAC-12 action this season. They’ll be facing a USC team that’s next to last during PAC-12 games in 3-point defense and the only team worse is tonight’s opponent. The Cardinal have played 5-1 to the over in their last 6 conference away games and there was a combined average of 144.8 points scored per game.

Give me this game to go over the total.