Sports Picks & Predictions

10 Unit Play. #112 Take Green Bay Packers over Minnesota Vikings (Saturday 1 pm FOX) The Packers got back doored last week against Chicago blowing a 17-point lead and costing us our top play winning streak. But we will use them again on Saturday against a worse offensive team that Chicago. Green Bay needs to win out to have a chance to reach the playoffs and they have revenge on their minds in this game as well. Minnesota opened their new stadium with a victory over Green Bay earlier this year but that was a completely different Viking team than what we will see today. Green Bay has covered the spread in 22 of their last 33 divisional games. Minnesota has lost 7 of their last 9 games. 

10 Unit Play. #128 Take Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) When two good teams met late in the season I generally side with the team that needs it more. At 6-6 the Packers definitely need this game more and they have beaten Seattle six straight times in Green Bay (average margin of victory 16 points per game). I truly believe the wrong team is favored considering Seattle laid an egg in their last road game at Tampa Bay. Seattle pounded Carolina last week but lost Earl Thomas in the process and that will come back to bite them in this game. Green Bay beat Seattle by double digits last season and their defense is finally starting to show signs of life. Seattle still has a terrible offensive line and Green Bay will get to QB Russell Wilson a few times in this game. Green Bay is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of December. 

10 Unit Play. #356 Take Green Bay Packers over Houston Texans (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Packer defense showed some signs off life last week against Philadelphia and now they face a much easier challenge this week against Houston. The Texans have struggled on the road being outscored by an average of 14 points per game (27-13). Green Bay still has a path to the playoffs by winning the division and for them to accomplish that this is a must win game. QB Rodgers picked apart the strong Philadelphia defense last Monday and Houston has been playing without JJ Watt for the entire season leaving a major void in the front seven. This is the first home game for Green Bay since November 6th and it now appears that this season is not lost for them. The Packers just have a major edge at the quarterback position with Rodgers compared to Brock Osweiler, who has struggled mightily this season. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in December. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. 

10 Unit Play. #254 Take Tennessee Titans over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Bears have been decimated by injuries this season and this is likely the last month and a half for QB Jay Cutler and HC John Fox. Tennessee did not play well last week in Indianapolis (place they never win) but should find it much easier to put points on the board in Chicago on Sunday. Chicago is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games and they are just playing out the string hoping against hope they can keep their remaining players healthy. Tennessee is scoring over 31 points per game in their last seven games and Chicago will have trouble keeping up with them. Chicago is 3-11 ATS when playing a home game following a loss in their previous game. The Bears did not score a point in the last 30 minutes at MetLife Stadium and I do not see things getting any better today. The crowd will not be engaged early and I just do not see the Bears giving them a reason to cheer.  

10 Unit Play. #471 Take Philadelphia Eagles over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Seattle looked impressive last week against New England but that cross-country flight home from a Sunday night game will take its toll on them for this game. Their offensive line is still weak and they will face a much better defense today than they saw from the Patriots last week. Look for the defenses of both teams to dominate this game and that puts us in a good shape as we are getting close to a touchdown. The Seahawks have not been the same dominating team at home this year, as they have had close games against Atlanta, Buffalo, and Miami. Philadelphia is better than two of those teams and they have a quarterback that should be getting better with more experience. Seattle is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against NFC teams. 

10 Unit Play. #270 Arizona Cardinals over San Francisco 49ers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) We have gone against the 49ers in their last two games and look to complete the trifecta on Sunday. San Francisco is getting destroyed by teams in the second half and their lack of talent and time of possession is catching up with them. San Francisco cannot stop the run and they are allowing 37.1 points per game over their last seven games. Arizona already won at San Francisco this year by double digits with a backup quarterback. Things should go even smoother today for what is a must win game for Arizona if they have visions of making the playoffs. Arizona has won three straight games in this series by an average of 19 points per game. San Francisco is 3-9 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games against NFC West teams. Arizona is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games against teams with a losing record. 

10 Unit Play. #471 Take Denver Broncos over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) It has been a while since the Raiders have gotten on NBC and I fully expect them to fall flat on their face in this game. Oakland has already lost two road games this season and they have yet to cover the spread in any home game this season. They have the better quarterback in this game but penalties are always a major concern with this team. I still believe the league and the officials are out to get this team because of Al Davis and they look to throw flags against them on every play. Tampa Bay had every opportunity to win last week against Oakland yet could not take advantage of the situation. That will not happen with Denver one of the better coached teams in the league. Oakland ranks at the bottom of the league in both pass & run defense. The Raiders have played a very easily schedule thus far as the AFC South and NFC South are not all that good. Oakland is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 divisional games. Denver is 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games overall. 

10 Unit Play. #259 Take New England Patriots over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm CBS) This is a revenge game for the Patriots as they lost to Buffalo earlier this season without QB Tom Brady. New England is 3-0 since the return of Tom Brady and they have won all three games by double digits. Now Buffalo is banged up with RB LeSean McCoy have been injured in the last two games. With Robert Woods also banged up (did not play last week) I just do not believe Tyrod Taylor can win this game on his own without any weapons. New England has covered the spread in 6 of their last 7 games. 

10 Unit Play. #453 Take Minnesota Vikings over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Eagles are in freefall at the moment having lost two straight games to mediocre teams (Detroit & Washington) and now must face the best defense in the league. QB Carson Wentz is starting to get found out and one must remember that he is still a rookie and set the bar so high during the first three weeks of the season. Philadelphia did not score an offensive touchdown last week and their vaunted defense is starting to show some cracks giving up 231 rushing yards last week at Washington. The Eagles are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog. 

10 Unit Play. #469 Take San Diego Chargers over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) NFL GAME OF THE MONTH.The Chargers get up for this game and have covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings (won both meetings last year). The Chargers are playing good football; they are just blowing leads in the fourth quarter. Oakland has never handled being the favorite well, going 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when they are favored at the Coliseum. Taking these stats even further, the underdog in this series has covered the spread in 13 of the last 14 games. The Chargers could easily be 4-0 on the season, and I see this game going down to the wire as well. San Diego is scoring over 30 points per game, and Oakland is in the bottom three in yards allowed (rushing and passing). The stats all favor the Chargers, and expect them to protect the football and win this game straight-up. 

10 Unit Play. #468 Take Jacksonville Jaguars over Baltimore Ravens (Sunday 1 pm CBS) AFC GAME OF THE YEAR. The line on this game tells me a great deal. The Jaguars have been a doormat for most of their existence and are 0-2 facing a 2-0 team. Yet this is a pick’em game and all of the public will be lining up to put down their money on Baltimore. That being said Baltimore was outplayed by Cleveland last week and going on the road for a second consecutive week will be too much for them to overcome. If Baltimore holds as a favorite once must consider the stat of 2-10 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 14 games as a favorite. Jacksonville is desperate for a win here as many experts believe that this is a talented enough roster to challenge for a playoff spot in the AFC this season. Jacksonville is 6-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 9 games following a game in which they scored less than 15 points. This is not a sexy pick but like Los Angeles last week it is one that should grab the money. 

10 Unit Play. #462 Take New Orleans Saints over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 1 pm FOX) We went against the Raiders are our top selection in the preseason and will do so yet again in Week 1 of the Regular Season. Just feel this team is vastly overrated and people are forgetting how poorly they closed out the 2015 Regular Season. Although the Saints have not been as dominating in New Orleans the last couple of years compared to 2011-2013, it is still an extremely difficult place to play and something the Raiders have not done so in 8 years. It is always tough for a west coast team to play an early Sunday game and Oakland is just 1-18 straight-up when the game starts at 1 pm eastern time. Oakland is equally as bad on the road in general winning just 6 of their last 32 road games. Drew Brees is still the best player on the field and he has covered the spread against Oakland seven straight games. New Orleans covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games in 2016.  

10 Unit Play. #311 Take New England Patriots over Denver Broncos (Sunday 3 pm CBS) The Patriots are favored on the road for a reason and we fully expect them to take care of business in Denver on Sunday. Denver came back to beat New England in the regular season but most felt that the Patriots got a bad whistle in that game. Denver has a good defense but I am just not sure their offense can make enough plays to win especially in the passing game. People are giving QB Peyton Manning to much credit for winning these last two games against depleted teams. Pittsburgh had a terrible secondary and Denver still did not do much in the passing game. The Patriots laid down during the last few games of the regular season in order to get healthy and we saw the fruits of that decision last week against Kansas City. I believe the Chiefs are a better team at the moment than the Broncos (won in Denver this year) and New England handled them with relative ease. Denver has scored just 1 touchdown in their last 27 drives during the playoffs. Denver is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 playoff games. 

10 Unit Play. #306 Take Carolina Panthers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1:05 pm FOX) NFL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR. I am just not putting all of Seattle’s offensive struggles on the cold weather last week. They played outstanding against Arizona in Week 17 but the two games in the last three weeks they played terrible. Carolina was a perfect 8-0 at home this season (6-2 ATS) and they have the better offensive team on the field. The Panthers were 4-0 against teams with a winning record (4-0 ATS) and Seattle was just 3-4 ATS (1 push) against teams with a winning record. This is a game Carolina and especially their coach and quarterback need to justify their place as one of the top teams in the league. They get it by 7-10 points and we collect big in the process as well. 

10 Unit Play. #108 Take Washington Redskins over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:40 pm FOX) The Packers have been in a downward spiral for the last part of this season and I just do not believe that they can put it together on Sunday. By now we all know the problems that this team faces and Washington is at home and riding high after finishing strong to close out the regular season and win the NFC East. The gameplan to beat the Packers has been simple, keep your men close to the line of scrimmage as the Packers are struggling to go over the top. Washington moves onto the second round and we collect in the process as well. Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Washington is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. 

10 Unit Play. #105 Take Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (Saturday 8:15 pm CBS) Both teams have key players on offense that are questionable but regardless I see the Steelers rolling in this game. Pittsburgh has won 13 of their last 15 games in Cincinnati and expect that to hold true again on Saturday. Cincinnati has had no playoff success under Marvin Lewis and if things to do go their way early expect the sideline to become tight and panic will set it. Big Ben put up monster numbers this season passing the football and Pittsburgh just beat Cincinnati a few weeks ago. Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 playoff games. Cincinnati is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. 

10 Unit Play. #315 Take Oakland Raiders over Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) I believe a little wind was taken out the Chiefs sails when Cincinnati blew a big lead against Denver on Monday Night Football. Now they face a divisional team with some injuries on defense playing a team with extra rest (Oakland played on Thursday last week). The Raiders have a chance to finish the season 8-8 and they have a winning record on the road. In the first game, Oakland was in control before turnovers proved costly in the fourth quarter. This is the final game of Charles Woodson’s career and I believe Oakland takes this game down to the wire. Oakland is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. 

10 Unit Play. #259 Take New York Giants over Washington Redskins (Sunday 1 pm FOX) I feel the Giants are the best team in the NFC East and expect a big effort from them coming off of their bye week. Washington looked terrible last week against Carolina with just 10 first downs and 185 yards of offense. The Redskins defense is coming apart, giving up a ton of points of late. New York has beaten Washington five straight times (5-0 ATS), including a double-digit victory in Week 3 this season. I just trust Eli Manning more than I do Kirk Cousins and expect a big performance from the Giants in this contest. New York is 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games. 

10 Unit Play. #473 Take Kansas City Chiefs over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 1:05 pm CBS) Thankfully this game got flexed out of Sunday Night Football, as the Chargers are certainly a team nobody wants to watch. Kansas City still has talent and they are starting to put it together having won three straight games including a dominating victory at Denver last week. The Chargers have just beaten Detroit and Cleveland this year and their home field advantage is nonexistent with the rumors that they are moving to Los Angeles next year. Kansas City beat San Diego both times in 2014 and the Chargers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 years coming off a bye. San Diego has an uninspiring coach who will likely be replaced next year and they are just playing out the string. 

10 Unit Play. #253 Take Dallas Cowboys over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1 pm FOX) We went against Tampa Bay numerous times this season including last week against another NFC East foe. Dallas is not going to make the playoffs this season but they have shown some improvement under Matt Cassel and are getting healthy at other spots besides quarterback. The Cowboys have covered 8 of their last 11 road games. QB Jameis Winston is just not ready to win consistently in the league and Tampa Bay is just 1-3 at Raymond James Stadium this season. This will not be a pretty game to watch but getting points with the better team is too good to pass up.

10 Unit Play. #467 Take New York Giants over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Giants have been an up and down team this year but we expect them to bounce back in a big way on Sunday. New York scored 49 points last week in New Orleans yet lost the game but I just do not believe the Buccaneers have the same offensive firepower that New Orleans does. With the Patriots on deck this is a game that the Giants need to get to keep their hopes of winning the NFC East alive. Tampa Bay has lost 11 of their last 12 home games and covered the spread in just three of those games. New York is 4-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 road games. Tampa Bay is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS victory in their previous game. 

10 Unit Play. #269 Take New York Jets over Oakland Raiders (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) Everything in the world went right for three quarters last week for the Oakland Raiders in San Diego. But I always believe that there is not any carryover in the NFL from week to week and expect a much different outcome in this game. Unlike the Chargers, the Jets have a defense and a strong running attack. New York gave the Patriots all that they could handle for 60 minutes and feel just short when they could not get off the field on a couple of key third downs. This line opened as a pick but now the early money is coming on the Jets for good reason. Oakland has already lost two home games this season and this will be the best defense that they have faced all season. The Jets have covered 7 of their last 9 games (1 push). New York has beaten Oakland each of the last two years by an average margin of victory of 7.5. New York is 4-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 road games. Oakland has never handled prosperity well going 3-12 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 games following a victory in their previous game. 

10 Unit Play. #256 Take Arizona Cardinals over Cleveland Browns (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Red Birds got backdoored on Monday Night Football last week settling for field goals and missing an extra point in the second half. That was a brutal beat for us but in a way it sets up this play. Arizona is loaded with talent on both sides of the football and they play an aggressive style of defense that will give the Browns fits for sixty minutes. The Browns will play better than they did against St. Louis but they have quarterback issues with Josh McCown questionable for this game and Johnny Manziel having some off the field issues. Cleveland is just 2-5 on the season and they have not played that great of a schedule as they have yet to play the Bengals or Steelers this season (two games left with each). Arizona is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a pointspread loss in their previous game. Arizona is also 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing home record. Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played during the month of November. 

10 Unit Play. #463 Take Atlanta Falcons over Tennessee Titans (Sunday 1 pm FOX) We went against the Titans last week and won easily with Miami and expect a similar results with a better Atlanta Falcons team. Tennessee has lost four straight games since opening the season with a victory against Tampa Bay. Of those four losses (Buffalo, Cleveland, Miami, & Indianapolis) they have suffered none of those teams have an explosive offense like Atlanta does. The Falcons were their own worst enemy last Thursday against New Orleans and I fully expect them to clean that up in this game. The Titans also have quarterback issues with Marcus Mariota questionable for this game. Not a huge drop-off to their back-up but it is a drop-off nonetheless. Atlanta has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 road games. Tennessee is 7-20 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 29 home games. 

10 Unit Play. #253 Take Cincinnati Bengals over Buffalo Bills (Sunday 1 pm CBS) This line has swung three points since it opened as a pick’em and it is apparent that the Bills are overvalued this season despite their talkative head coach. The Bills have already lost two home games this season and they are not ready to be among the elite of the AFC with Tyrod Taylor as quarterback. The Bengals are still a great team in the regular season and Andy Dalton is having a breakout season. He has numerous weapons to work with and should give the Bills defense all that they can handle. Cincinnati has covered 4 straight games against AFC teams. Buffalo is 7-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 28 games following a win in their previous game. 

10 Unit Play. #460 Take Kansas City Chiefs over Chicago Bears (Sunday 1 pm FOX) TOP NFL GAME OF THE WEEK. The Chiefs need a win in the worst way and we fully expect them to take out their frustration on Chicago this Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. The Chiefs went 6-2 at home last season and outscored their opponents by 17 points per game during those six victories. The difference in this game will come down to the Chiefs defense, as they are still a dominating unit (despite the ranking) and should have no problem hitting the quarterback early and often. The Bears are not on the same level as Green Bay and Cincinnati and thus has double digit home victory written all over it. Chicago knows this is a rebuilding year and I just do not see them being able to win two games in a row. Chicago’s three losses have come by an average of 19.6 points and that will easily get us a cover with the favorite in this game. Chicago is 13-27 ATS (1 push) in their last 41 games. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a losing record. 

10 Unit Play. #270 Take San Francisco 49ers over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) I always like to play home underdogs of seven or more points and I fully expect a much better effort by the 49ers today in Santa Clara. San Francisco has looked terrible in back to back road games but I am a big believer in that there is not much carryover from week to week in the NFL and every week is completely different. Green Bay is not the same team on the road as they are when playing at Lambeau Field and sooner or later their injuries will catch up with them. Green Bay will head west on a short week and this is a team they have not had any success against in the last 5 years. San Francisco is 3-0 ATS in the last six years when they have been a home underdog. QB Colin Kaepernick has been awful of late but Green Bay is a team he has had great success against and I expect him to be able to move the football with his arm or his legs. Green Bay still does not have a good defense and if the 49ers can hang onto the football I see this game going down to the wire. Green Bay has not won in San Francisco (Santa Clara) since 2006 and while that streak may end on Sunday, it will only come by a couple of points. 

10 Unit Play. #480 Take Dallas Cowboys over Atlanta Falcons (Sunday 1 pm FOX) This is a surprise match-up of 2-0 teams with nobody expecting the Falcons to be any good this season. The Falcons will be playing their second straight road games and that generally catches up with teams in the NFL. Expect Dallas to rise to the occasion with all of their injuries in the short term and I just do not believe the Falcons are ready to become an elite team in the NFL again. Dallas still has a dominating offense line and that will be the difference in this contest. 

10 Unit Play. #288 Take Green Bay Packers over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) We went against Seattle last week with St. Louis and will do the same this Sunday against the Packers. Seattle has a brutal schedule to open up the season with a pair of road games against teams that are motivated to beat them. Green Bay has waited a couple of years to host Seattle and you can expect revenge to be best served on the field. Green Bay dominated Seattle last year in the NFC Championship only to fall apart in the fourth quarter and be sent home a week before the big game. Seattle allowed Nick Foles to move the football on their defense and we only in that game because the Rams turned over the football. I just do not see Green Bay and Aaron Rodgers making that many mistakes. This is a game the fans of the Packers want in the worst way and they will pull away in the second half to win this game by double digits. 

10 Unit Play. #481 Take Tennessee Titans over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) This is one of the marquee match-up of Week 1 despite two terrible teams doing battle. At this point of the season I trust Marcus Mariota more than I do Jameis Winston. The Titans have won their last two road openers the last two years beating Pittsburgh and Kansas City, two better teams than they will see today against Tampa Bay. Expect Dick LeBeau to improve the Titans defense just enough to frustrate the new quarterback and allow Tennessee to win this game straight-up. 

10 Unit Play. #101 Take New England Patriots over Seattle Seahawks (Super Bowl 49, Sunday, 6:30 pm NBC) You can make a strong case for either side in this match-up and the line on this game is reflected in that. But it is almost impossible for teams to repeat in the NFL in this day and age and I do not see the Seahawks as the team that can break this trend. Seattle has a great defense when all parts of it are 100% but that will not be the case in this game as multiple plays are banged up for Seattle. New England is not Denver and I just do not see them laying down and not been physical in their own right. Denver had a soft coach and QB but New England has a 3-time Super Bowl Champion coach and quarterback and this is one that they want badly in order to prove their critics wrong. Seattle has been starting slow of late and Russell Wilson is coming off one of his worst games in his three year career against Green Bay two weeks ago. Once the Patriots smell blood they will go for the kill and not play conservatively like the Packers did against Seattle in the NFC Championship Game. New England is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. 

10 Unit Play. #108 Take Indianapolis Colts over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 1 pm CBS) The Bengals have not had any success in the playoffs under the tenure of Marvin Lewis. The Bengals have lost in this round the last three years and this will be their third road games in the last four weeks. Indianapolis dominated this regular season match-up winning 27-0 as a 3.5 favorite similar to what we see in this game. WR AJ Green got hurt and lost the game last week against Pittsburgh and I just do not believe that the Bengals have much left in the tank. QB Andy Dalton has a 1-6 touchdown to interception ratio in the playoffs. The Colts win and march onto Denver for another rematch with Peyton Manning. Indianapolis is 20-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 home games. 

I think that the New York Giants have all the motivation here. The players seem to love Tom Coughlin, and they may be fighting for his job here. We think they go all out to win this one and win it big against a team that has been overhyped all season and is playing some of its worst football here down the stretch. The Giants have won three straight and covered in all those games. The Eagles have lost their last three without a single cover. With the extra motivation for playing for their coach and the absolute lack of motivation we have seen from the Eagles here down the stretch we think this line should be over the key NFL number of three and that the Giants are the clear play here.

10 Unit Play. #106 Take Washington Redskins over Philadelphia Eagles (Saturday 4:30 pm NFL Network) The Redskins actually showed some heart last week against the Giants and a tough break right before halftime did them in and ejected some key players. Expect RG3 to be under center for this game and he moved the football well last week and should be able to put up some points and yardage in this game as well. Philadelphia is in a major letdown situation coming off their debacle last week at home against Dallas. Turnovers did them in and expect them to put the ball on the ground a few times in this game as well. Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing record at home. 

10 Unit Play. #331 Take Dallas Cowboys over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) This is a must win game for the Cowboys if they have any visions of winning the NFC East and I believe they will put forth a good effort coming off a mini bye since they played last Thursday. Dallas has played much better on the road this season going 6-0 and the visitor has been the play in this series covering the spread in 6 of their last 7 meetings. I am still not a big believer in Mark Sanchez and the Seahawks provided a blueprint last Sunday as to how to shut him down. Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS (1 push) in their last 20 games against teams with a winning record. 

10 Unit Play. #171 Take Kansas City Chiefs over Arizona Cardinals (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Cardinals are in complete freefall at the moment with no landing spot in sight. QB Drew Stanton has played terrible the last two weeks and now they are in jeopardy of evening winning the NFC West. Kansas City is coming off back to back losses against AFC West teams (Denver & Oakland) and now face a must win game against Arizona. Kansas City has covered 11 of their last 14 regular season road games and I feel that they win this game convincingly. Arizona keeps losing players to injury and that has taken its toll on this team. Alex Smith has a 7-1 touchdown to interception ratio in 2014 road games. Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. 

10 Unit Play. #472 Take Green Bay Packers over New England Patriots (Sunday 4:25 pm CBS) Many believe that this will be a Super Bowl preview as the Patriots and Packers are playing outstanding football of late. That being said we will side with the Packers as the Patriots are in a prime spot for a letdown. New England dominated a suspect Detroit team last week at home. The Lions were not able to move the football much on offense but Green Bay is a much more explosive team on offense than is Detroit. New England has not face a team like this since Denver, as Green Bay has the ability to beat you through the air or on the ground with Eddie Lacy. The Packers defense is getting better especially since they moved Clay Mathews to inside linebacker and they will be able to get pressure on Tom Brady. New England is just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games. Green Bay is 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 home games. Lay the small change with Green Bay in this one. 

10 Unit Play. #256 Take New England Patriots over Detroit Lions (Sunday 1 pm FOX) The Patriots are the best team in the AFC at the moment having won six straight games including blowouts the last three weeks. Two of those blowouts came against Denver and Indianapolis, teams that are better than Detroit. The Lions have been winning close a lot of late but that came to an end last week in Arizona when their offense did not do much of anything. That came against a back-up quarterback in Drew Stanton and now they must face one of the all-time greats in Tom Brady. The Patriots are getting it down on both sides of the football and Detroit has given up 31 sacks this season. New England is 8-0 straight up and 6-2 ATS when playing at home coming off a Sunday Night game. Week 12 has not been kind to Detroit going 1-9 ATS in their last 10 Week 12 games. New England has covered the spread in 10 of their last 13 home games. 

10 Unit Play. #458 Take Kansas City Chiefs over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Kansas City is playing outstanding football of late, having won 4 straight games, and they are getting it done on both sides of the football. Seattle is finding life as a defending champion much more difficult, and they are getting team’s best effort this season. Seattle has only covered one time this season on the road, and that came against Washington, who still moved the football on them. It will be important for Kansas City to stop the read option, especially when the quarterback keeps it. Seattle is not great at throwing the football, especially when teams know they have to throw it. Kansas City has covered the spread all 4 games during this winning streak. Seattle has covered the spread just 1 time in their last 5 games. 

10 Unit Play. #466 Take San Francisco 49ers over St. Louis Rams (Sunday 4:05 pm FOX) The Rams are hanging by a thread at the moment and their injuries are starting to catch up to them. These two teams met on 10/13 and the Rams jumped out to a 14 point lead and they still lost by 14 points. The 49ers have won three straight games against the Rams in the Bay Area (3-0 ATS as well). The 49ers are starting to get healthy on defense and this is a game they must win in order to make the playoffs this year in a tough division. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. 

10 Unit Play. #276 Take New Orleans Saints over Green Bay Packers (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) Still not ready to right off the Saints this season especially playing a night game at the Superdome. New Orleans is 2-4 this season but 2-0 at home and as we all know this is a completely different team when playing at home. Green Bay is on a roll right now winning four straight games but all of them came against teams that will likely not be making the playoffs this season (Carolina still could win the AFC South). This is a must win game for New Orleans in order to save their season and I believe that they will come out hunger and ready to make a statement. New Orleans had Detroit beat last week (a team that beat Green Bay) before collapsing in the final 5 minutes of the fourth quarter. Tonight they take out their frustration on the Packers. New Orleans has won 10 straight home games (8-2 ATS) winning these games by an average of 16.4 points per game. 

10 Unit Play. #469 Take Kansas City Chiefs over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) NFL Game of the Year. The Chargers just keep winning and are now one of the best teams in the league. That being said, this team is really banged up, and because of this all of the pressure falls on QB Phillip Rivers and his wide receivers. San Diego has no success running the football against Oakland until their final drive of the game, and I do not see things getting better this week against Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a bye, and Andy Reid has been outstanding in this spot, winning 13 of his 15 games following a bye. Much like the Oakland game this week, divisional games tend to come down to the wire, and I just do not see San Diego blowing out KC. QB Rivers will have his moments in this game and put up some passing yards, but I expect the Chiefs to match them score for score. Kansas City if 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. San Diego is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during October. Take the points in this one. 

10 Unit Play. #270 Take Oakland Raiders over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) If the Raiders are ever going to put forth an effort during the 2014 season it will come this week. Oakland made a coaching change during their bye week and I expect them to play better under new coach Tony Sparano. San Diego has not played well against Oakland in recent years going 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings. The Chargers will also be looking ahead as they have Kansas City and Denver on deck. Oakland is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games played during October. 

10 Unit Play. #476 Take New England Patriots over Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) New England could not have played any worse last week in Kansas City and because of that they enter this game as an underdog at home for just the second time in close to a decade. Cincinnati could very well be the best team in the AFC but they have never handled prosperity all that well in recent years. Much like Tampa Bay winning for us last week, all of these players are professionals and pride is on the line when they are coming off an embarrassing game. The Patriots need this game and they get it at Foxborough. 

10 Unit Play. #265 Take Jacksonville Jaguars over San Diego Chargers (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS) The Chargers are off to an impressive 2-1 start this season (could easily be 3-0) but they have never seemed to handle prosperity well during this century. Jacksonville is the type of team that is heard to get up for and thus I expect the Chargers to just go through the motions and not play inspired football. San Diego is banged up a running back with Mathews and Woodhead out for this game. Jacksonville will start Blake Bortles and I expect him to bring a little life to this stagnate offense. 

10 Unit Play. #460 Take New Orleans Saints over Minnesota Vikings (Sunday 1 pm FOX) New Orleans will be a strong public play this week but that will not deter us from using them as they are desperate for a win. The Saints are 0-2 but they have yet to play in the Superdome this season and we all know they are a completely different at home. New Orleans is 17-0 straight-up and 16-1 ATS in their last 17 games that Sean Payton has coached. Minnesota showed their true colors last week against New England and playing on the road will be too much to overcome and keep this a one possession game. 

10 Unit Play. #488 Take Denver Broncos over Indianapolis Colts (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC) The Broncos are a juggernaut, especially on offense and early in the season. Denver pounded Baltimore in Week 1 of the 2013 season, and I expect a similar result tonight against Manning’s former team. Remember, Indianapolis handed Denver their first loss of the season in 2013, and you can bet Denver has not forgotten it. Indianapolis is really banged up on the offensive line and getting very little from the running back position. QB Luck is outstanding, but I just do not see him being competitive in this game. Denver needed to get better on defense, and that is what happened. Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Week 1 games.