Sports Picks & Predictions

10 Unit Play. Take #308925 Over 48.5 in Montana Grizzles vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits (2p.m., Sunday, January 7 ABC) We have cleaned up with the over all through the FCS Playoffs and will look to cash in one more time. We hit the over in the Grey Cup as well and feel this will also be a high scoring game. Montana is facing a juggernaut that has won 28 straight games and they know that they must score in the high twenties to have any chance in this game. Both coaches have had three weeks to prepare for this game and that will benefit the offensive minded coaches. Weather will not be a factor in this game with sunny skies expected. Both teams average in the thirties and SDSU has numerous playmakers on offense, and I expect them to hit their seasonal average today. We will not worry if South Dakota State can cover this big number and instead just collect with the over.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #269 Georgia Bulldogs over Florida State Seminoles (4p.m., Saturday, December 30 ESPN) ORANGE BOWL Motivation will be on display for both teams, as the Bulldogs do not get a chance to go for a 3-peet. The Seminoles did not even make the 4 team playoff despite going undefeated from a power conference and they have been hearing for a month how they got robbed. The Seminoles are missing a ton of skill players for this game on offense, and I just do not see them being able to move the football against the Dawgs in this game. Georgia has the most talented team in the country, and they have a coach that knows the importance of playing well in this exhibition game. Georgia has won the Orange Bowl in 3 of their 4 trips to South Florida. I see a 35-10 type of score with the Bulldogs dominating this game from start to finish.

10 Unit Play. Take #258 Kentucky Wildcats over Clemson Tigers (12p.m., Friday, December 29 ESPN) GATOR BOWL, COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR SEC is better than the ACC and Kentucky is the more battle tested team in this game. The Wildcats appear to have more players available for this game with the Tigers having a bunch of players sitting out for this game. Kentucky should have their quarterback and running back for this game and will be able to move the football against the Tigers. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS in 2023 when they are an underdog. The long layoff will help them in this game.

Clemson’s streak of double digit wins already ended this season and I just do not see them being that motivated to play in this game. Their offense is just not as strong as it has been in year’s past. The Tigers defense was outstanding this season, but it came against weak competition and some of their talent will not be playing in this game. Motivation is the deciding factor, as Kentucky is happy to be here and travels well to their bowl games in the Southeast. With a total in the mid 40’s getting this many points with the underdog is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #210 Boise State Broncos over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 16 ABC) Boise State has hired their interim head coach and I expect them to rally and play well for him in this game. The Broncos have won 4 straight games, and they always seem to get up when playing power 5 schools from the west coast. Chip Kelly beat USC to keep his job for another year, but their offense did not do much this season and I expect them to struggle in this game as well against a strong Boise front. The Bruins will be missing some key people on defense and the Broncos will be the more motivated team in this game.

10 Unit Play. Take #308921 Over in Albany Great Danes @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits (7p.m., Friday, December 15 ESPN2) I refuse to call them UAlbany and feel that gets annoying on the broadcast. SDSU has won 27 games in a row, and this is too big of number to try and cover. Thus, we will side with the over for a couple of factors. First, weather could be a factor in this game with rain early then possible snow late. I feel that benefits the offense since they know where they are going. Both teams are strong against the run and I do not expect either team, especially Albany, to have any success running the football. That means the ball will be in the air a lot tonight and that also stops the clock much more than it would if both teams were running the football successfully. Both teams have strong quarterbacks and Reese Poffenbarger hit numerous big plays last week against Idaho. Finally, this will be Albany’s ninth road game this season and I expect them to struggle containing South Dakota State on offense. The Jackrabbits should be able to score close to 40 points in this game and I see the total points in the mid-fifties.

10 Unit Play. #308909 Take Over 51.5 Albany at Idaho (10:00p.m., Saturday December 9 ESPN+) FCS Game of the Year. Yes, I know Albany defense is no joke but the fire power on the offensive side of Idaho will give us the total victory. Idaho needed overtime against Southern Illinois to advance in this game and I just don't see them scoring only 20 points Saturday night. The Albany Great Danes have won 6-Straight, and their team defense is the reason why they are still playing football in December. Albany put up 41 points last week against Richmond and I'm a bit shocked that this total has dropped 3-points. Should be a tight game from the start and I see both offenses moving the ball and wouldn't shock me to see the winner score 30 plus points or more.

4 Unit Play. Take #318 Alabama Crimson Tide over Georgia Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, December 2 CBS) SEC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME This likely will be a winner take all game, as Alabama looks to unseat Georgia for the second time in the last 3 SEC Championship games. Alabama was fortunate to survive last week against Auburn, but I believe they will take that momentum into this game. I believe Alabama has the better quarterback in this game, as Jalen Milroe can beat you with his arm or his legs. Alabama’s offense live has been playing much better of late and I just believe Georgia lost too much talent from last year to run the table in 2023 without suffering a loss. Georgia has played an easy schedule this season without having to face Oklahoma in the nonconference portion of the season and they will hit adversity in this game. Alabama has won 7 of the last 8 games in this matchup and they will win and march onto the College Football Playoff.

4 Unit Play. Take #313 Boise State Broncos over UNLV Rebels (3p.m., Saturday, December 2 FOX) MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP GAME Who would have believed at the start of that UNLV would be hosting the Mountain West Championship Game! Now they get to face the best team in the league since they joined the Mountain West and look for Boise State to finish the season with 4 straight wins. The Broncos have seen much improvement since making a coaching change and UNLV is coming off a bad home loss to San Jose State last time out. UNLV has overachieved much of the season but look for them to come back to reality on Saturday.

6 Unit Play. Take #308962 Montana St -2.5 over North Dakota St (3:00p.m., Saturday December 2 ESPN+) FCS Playoffs. Completely shocked on why this game dropped to 2.5 and as I type one book moved to -2 so maybe wait to throw down on some FCS Playoff game. Both teams can score and score quickly but in the second half is when I see the Bobcats control the game and again, I'm laying this low number. As long as the Bobcats can control the Bison QB Cam Miller I see them advancing in the FCS Playoffs.

4 Unit Play. Take #306 Washington Huskies over Oregon Ducks (8p.m., Friday, December 1 ABC) PAC 12 CHAMPIONSHP GAME All the value is now with Washington, as this line skyrocketed over the weekend with the performance Washington had in the Apple Cup. People are lining up to bet Oregon and this line is just too high in my opinion. Washington already beat Oregon once this season and they have a fully capable quarterback that can match Bo Nix stat for stat. The Huskies have the motivation to play well since they will be hearing all week that they do not have any chance to win this game. Washington has a long winning streak and many of their games stay under the posted total allowing a strong play with a live underdog. Oregon does not have many quality wins this season, they just pass the eye test. That will not be enough to blow out Washington.

4 Unit Play. Take #195 Arizona Wildcats over Arizona State Sun Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 25 ESPN) The territorial cup features the Wildcats as clearly the best team in this matchup for the first time in quite some time. Arizona has won 5 straight games and will know by kickoff if they have a chance to play in the PAC-12 Championship Game next Friday in Las Vegas. ASU played Oregon last week and expect there to be a lingering effect from that game into this game. It is a rivalry and ASU will be up for this game, but Arizona is just too talented on both sides of the football for that to matter. The Wildcats showed last week they are not afraid to run up the score and they will win this game by double-digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #142 Michigan Wolverines over Ohio State Buckeyes (12p.m., Saturday, November 25 FOX) This game is for all the marbles with the winner winning the Big 10 Championship Game next week and a ticket to the playoffs. Ohio State has been one dimensional on offense and whoever runs the football better wins this game (happened over 20 years in a row). Ohio State is 8th in the Big 10 in rushing this season. I feel Michigan is better in all 3 phases of the game especially on special teams. Ohio State has Marvin Harrison, but their quarterback is subpar and I just do not believe he can beat them with his arm. Michigan against the world continues, as the Wolverines advance to the playoff with a double-digit victory at the Big House.

4 Unit Play. Take #136 Oregon Ducks over Oregon State Beavers (8:30p.m., Friday, November 24 FOX) The Civil War has both teams strong this season, but Oregon is just better. The Beavers faltered to move the football last week against a weak Washington defense. Now they must have their rival and a team that may be the best in the country. Oregon is 12-3 straight-up in their last 15 games against Oregon State. Bo Nix is looking to win the Heisman and expect him to light up the scoreboard and make a statement in this game. Sooner or later Oregon will get hot on offense and win this game by 20+ points. The Ducks need to run up the scoreboard in order to impress the selection committee.

2 Unit Play. Take #103 Bowling Green Falcons over Western Michigan Broncos (7p.m., Tuesday, November 21 ESPNU) The Falcons are going bowling and took Toledo to the wire last week. They will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. Western Michigan cannot become bowl eligible even if they win this game on senior night and thus, I do not expect them to come out strong in this game. The Broncos have not beaten many of the top teams in the league in 2023 and tonight should be no different. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

10 Unit Play. Take #367 Utah Utes over Arizona Wildcats (2:30p.m., Saturday, November 18 PAC12N) TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Arizona has been on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. This will be the toughest team they faced in their last 5 games, as Utah will not self-destruct like UCLA, Oregon State and Washington State did. The Utes are extremely well coached and I feel the Wildcats are playing a little over their heads at the moment. They have had a great season, but this is a team that lost to Mississippi State earlier this season (just fired their coach). The spread tells me that the Wildcats are not as good as their record would indicate, and reality will hit them in this game. Jedd Fisch is a hot coaching commodity and should win Pac 12 Coach of the Year, but the overachievers take a step back on Saturday. Utah has beaten Arizona six straight times (5-1 ATS). Utah is 15-3 in their last 18 road games when they are an opening line underdog. 

4 Unit Play. Take #322 Army Black Knights over Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (12p.m., Saturday, November 18 CBSSN) This line is begging you to take Coastal Carolina, but we will not bite and instead side with the home underdog. Playing Army with only one week to prepare is always a difficult task, as team just do not see the triple option much anymore. Coastal Carolina has won 5 straight games, but only one of those wins came by over 10 points. They struggled to put away App State, Arkansas State, Old Dominion and Texas State. Army has won their last home game of the season 7 straight years. The Black Knights lost by just 10 points to Coastal Carolina last season and that was a better squad than what they will face on Saturday.

4 Unit Play. Take #144 Georgia Bulldogs over Ole Miss Rebels (7p.m., Saturday, November 11 ESPN) Ole Miss has an offensive mindset and some good playmakers, but they struggled against Alabama scoring just 10 points. I see a similar situation today, as the Bulldogs are getting better and should win this game by double digits. Ole Miss just cannot keep up in the trenches and that will be the difference in this game. The Rebels are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against ranked teams. It might not be pretty, but Georgia just do not lose games to inferior competition and Saturday between the hedges will be another victory.

10 Unit Play. Take #149 Michigan Wolverines over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 11 FOX) We are fading the Penn State offense in this game. Michigan has not been tested and this will be the best defense that they have faced all season long. But Penn State looked terrible against Ohio State, and I believe Michigan has a better defense than the Buckeyes. The Wolverines have won the last two games and are 6-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS stretching that out to 9 games. Michigan has an us against the world mentality with all the outside noise going on around the program. JJ McCarthy is a much better player than Drew Allar and the offensive weapons are much better for the Wolverines. Penn State got a raw deal with this being a 12 p.m. game instead of a white out game at night. That edge allows Michigan to dominate this game and win it by double digits.

6 Unit Play. Take #111 Over in Akron Zips @ Miami (oh) RedHawks (7p.m., Wednesday, November 8 ESPNU) Akron got their offense together late in the game last week against Kent State scoring 21 points in the fourth quarter to win and cover the spread. Look for that to carryover into this game against a much better team in Miami (OH). The RedHawks should be able to move the football via the ground or air against this weak Zips defense and I expect them to be in the mid-thirties in points. Akron is a pass happy team and that leads to the clock stopping a bunch and allows for many more plays in their games. This is a low total and expect it to hit with Akron scoring some points in this game despite being a big underdog.

10 Unit Play. Take #328 Indian Hoosiers over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, November 4 BTN) This line is coming down, as Wisconsin has been decimated by injuries and should not be favored by this many points against any team in the Big 10. The Badgers played decent against Ohio State but expect a letdown to occur as RB Allen and WR Diketo to injuries in that game. No team can sustain that many injuries and thus it would not surprise me if Indiana wins this game straight-up. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will cash this ticket with whoever comes out on top.

5 Unit Play. Take #308 Akron Zips -3.5 over Kent State Golden Flashes (7:30p.m., Wednesday, November 1 ESPNU) How the Golden Flashes have fallen. This used to be a perennial top team in the MAC, but they cannot get out of their own way this season going 1-7 with their only win coming against an FCS team. Akron has the same stats, but the difference tonight will be the quarterback play of Akron (taking care of the football). Jeff Undercuffler will be smart with the football and that will allow the Zips to move the football and win this game by double digits. Neither team will be making a bowl game, so the time is now for Akron to end this long losing streak to Kent State and earn some pride heading into next season.

4 Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona Wildcats over Oregon State Beavers (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Arizona has been playing well of late covering three straight games including a shocking 44-6 victory over Washington State last time out. That Wazzou team is the only team to beat the Beavers this season. Both teams are coming off of a bye but Oregon State is just a different team when playing on the road. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in lined games this season. Oregon State is 2-5 in their last 7 conference road games when they are favored. They are also 1-7 ATS (1 push) in this same situation when they are favored by less than a touchdown. It is hard to beat anyone on the road in the PAC-12 besides Cal, ASU, and Stanford and this game should go down to the wire with the Wildcats coming out on top.

4 Unit Play. Take #162 Colorado State Rams over Air Force Falcons (7p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBSSN) This is an in-state battle and Colorado State already took Colorado to the wire. I do not see them getting blown out at home, as this is a sandwich game for Air Force. The Force played Navy last week and have Army on deck. Colorado State only lost by two to UNLV and beat Boise State in their last home game. Jay Novell will keep this game close and be ready to contain the triple option. All the pressure is on Air Force, as the look to win the MWC and receive a major bowl win.

4 Unit Play. Take #134 Louisville Cardinals over Duke Blue Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Duke has quarterback issues with Riley Leonard not able to finish last game. Playing Florida State last week took its toll on Duke, and I do not expect them to have much left for this game even if QB Leonard plays. Florida State dominated the second half against Duke outscoring them 21-0 and now they must face a sleeper team in the ACC that got pretty good, pretty quick. The Cardinals are coming off a bye and should be fresh for this game after suffering their only loss of the season last time out. All of their home game victories this season have come over today’s posted number. Louisville is also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Cardinals take this one by double digits.

5 Unit Play. Take #107 UTEP Miners over Sam Houston State Bearkats (8p.m., Wednesday, October 24 ESPN2) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game and we will take the points with the team that has actually won games this season. UTEP won both of the previous meetings with Sam Houston State and is the must better offensive team. The Bearkats cannot run the football whatsoever and losing all these close games will eventually take its toll on them. Whoever runs the football better should win this game and look for that to be the Miners. 

4 Unit Play. Take #342 Florida State Seminoles over Duke Blue Devils (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ABC) Duke winning last week was fools gold, as the stats were terrible. Now they face a team that they have never beaten in Florida State, as they are 0-21 straight-up against them and have not covered the spread against them since 2004. QB Leonard may be back for this game, but it will not matter, as he will not be 100% and the Seminoles will win this game by over 20 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #323 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ACCN) Wake Forest is a sinking ship and will enter this game having lost 3 straight conference games. Pittsburgh picked up their best win of the season last week against Louisville and expect them to follow that up with another victory on Saturday. The Demon Deacons benched their quarterback last week and were outgained by 200 yards last week against Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh has the coaching advantage and will get back closer to bowl eligibility with another victory on Saturday.

10 Unit Play. Take #326 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, October 21 FOX) Big 10 Game of the Year. Getting Ohio State playing at the Horseshoe at this line does not happen very often. Penn State has looked impressive this season, but they have not played anyone of significance and will not be battle tested for this game. Many people have been critical of Ohio State QB McCord, but he has an 11-1 touchdown to interception ratio and Penn State does not have a veteran quarterback either. Penn State has lost 10 of their last 11 games to Ohio State including 6 games in a row. The Lions have not gotten many explosive plays this season and they will need a bunch in order to beat Ohio State. Coach Franklin does not win many road games against elite teams and Saturday should be no different. DC Manny Diaz never seems to live up to the hype and I always like fading him in big spots. Ohio State has great wide receivers and many of their running backs should be back for this game. The Buckeyes have improved greatly on defense and Penn State has not seen a unit this strong yet this season. Ohio State is accustomed to winning these type of games and Penn State once again in not in that class to knock off big teams in true road games. Penn State is on a monster ATS run but I look for that to end on Saturday, as Ohio State wins this game by double-digits.  

10 Unit Play. Take #190 Oregon State Beavers over UCLA Bruins (8p.m., Saturday, October 14 FOX) We went against UCLA at the Rose Bowl last week and were a tough luck loser, as Wazzou offense played terribly in the second half. Now that makes this play at Oregon State much stronger in favor of the Beavers. Oregon State is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. They have already beaten Utah at home, and they have a similar quarterback situation that UCLA does (freshman on the road). The Beavers are on a rampage and want to knock off all the teams leaving the conference next season. The fan base is that much more motivated, especially when playing UCLA, a team that started the dominos falling. UCLA has a strong defense, but they will not be able to win that game on defense alone. Oregon State is the best team that have played thus far, and they will not be up to the challenge.

4 Unit Play. Take #136 Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 14 SECN) Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. Kentucky was blown out by Georgia and thus I think it will be easier for them to bounce back in this game. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 7 of the 8 games (6-2 ATS). Missouri had a brutal loss and cover last week against LSU and I see losing two straight, as this game is a night game in Lexington. Missouri has not played in a hostile environment this season and look for that to have an effect. Lay the points with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #186 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (5p.m., Saturday, October 14 NSN) The Wolf Pack carry the nations longest losing streak, but this rivalry has seen many upsets of late. Nevada has covered the spread in 3 straight games in this series. UNLV is 5-0 ATS this season and that usually evens out over 12 games. Nevada has been playing better football of late and will enter this game on a 3-0 ATS run. Getting this many points with a home underdog is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Ohio Bobcats over Kent State Golden Flashes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 ESPN+) The Bobcats have been a covering machine the last two years going 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games. The Golden Flashes are 1-4 on the season and their only win came against FCS Central Connecticut. Their other four games have been losses by 50, 22, 43, and 20 points. Ohio has revenge in this game having lost their last two games against Kent State. Ohio is coming off a bye and will be healthy and rested to blow out Kent State. We will lay the wood with the home team.

4 Unit Play. Take #394 Texas A&M Aggies over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 CBS) Never like to fade Nick Saben especially with Jimbo Fisher on the other side, but this is more about Alabama really struggling on offense this season. Coach Fisher gets up for this game, and a victory today can get some of the fan base off of his back. A&M has not been as talented as Alabama the last few years, yet this game played them well. Look for the Aggies to shutdown the running quarterback and make them beat them through the air with long sustained drives. A&M has a wizard as offensive coordinator, and they will have some wrinkles that Alabama has yet to see. Grab the points with the more talented offensive team at home.

4 Unit Play. Take #379 Washington State Cougars over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, October 7 P12N) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game. Washington State has the better resume and they are on an us against the world type of run that we will back on Saturday. Their future is still unclear but the talent level in this game, especially on offense sides with the visitor. UCLA got exposed by Utah and they hardily get a home field advantage playing at the Rose Bowl. UCLA is starting a freshman quarterback and Wazzou has a major edge with Cam Ward behind center. The Cougars continues to make noise and getting them as a dog in this game is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #201 LSU Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, September 30 ESPN) We went against Ole Miss last week and won by a touchdown over the posted number. We will do that again, as I just do not believe they are great on either side of the football. LSU has a much better offense compared to Alabama and they cannot afford another loss with a brutal schedule awaiting them. The Bayou Bengals were in a battle last week with Arkansas, but I never felt they were going to lose that game in the second half. They put up 34 points with ease and expect them to do the same this week against Ole Miss. The Rebels finally played a decent team and failed that test with flying colors last week. Look for Lane Kiffin and company to fall to 3-2 overall Saturday night. 

4 Unit Play. Take #164 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 30 FOX) Michigan continues to play an embarrassing nonconference schedule with cupcakes at home. This is the first road game of the season and I look for Nebraska to keep this one somewhat close. Michigan is not as strong as they have been the last two years and Nebraska should get better as the season progresses. Nebraska has been running the football of late and if they can do that on Saturday, they will be able to control the clock and keep the scoring low. Michigan has struggled to cover the spread this season and playing on the road should keep that streak going.

7 Unit Play. Take #181 Illinois Fighting Illini over Purdue Boilermakers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 Peacock) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK The Illini has been bad this season and they are 0-4 ATS, but I refuse to believe they are as bad as they have looked. They were a strong team in 2022 with an identity of a strong running game and great defense, and they should be able to find that form in this game. Purdue is in a complete rebuild under a new coaching staff and they have already lost three home games this season. The Boilermakers opened as a favorite, but that line is moving towards the Illini -- with good reason. Illinois has revenge on their minds after losing to Purdue last year, and I like to back Bret Bielema in grind out games like this one likely will be. Purdue is 3-13 in their last 16 games when opening as a home favorite. Turnovers have killed Illinois this season, but if they take care of the football, they should win this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #420 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders over Colorado State Rams (7p.m., Saturday, September 23 ESPN+) This is a tough ask for the Rams, as they will be playing their second straight road game and should have beaten Colorado last night out. That game in Boulder did not end until after midnight and I just believe that they are gassed and will not have anything left for this game. The Blue Raiders won 8 games last year and one of those wins came in Fort Collins by 15 points. They opened the season with two paycheck games against SEC teams and took Missouri to the wire, a team that just beat Kansas State. If MSTU plays well on offense, they will win this game by double digits. Look for that to happen, especially since the Rams are in a prime letdown spot.

10 Unit Play. Take #394 Alabama Crimson Tide over Ole Miss Rebels (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 23 CBS) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK Many pundits and fans are throwing dirt on the grave of Alabama and Nick Saban, but I am not one of them. They have major issues at quarterback, but I feel they will right the ship on Saturday and win this game by double digits. Nick Saban is not a fan of Lane Kiffin, and he is 28-3 lifetime when facing his former assistants. Ole Miss never has a strong defense and tries to win most of their games by outscoring their opponents. They have beaten Alabama once in the past 16 meetings, and they just do not have the depth of a Nick Saban team. This is the game that Alabama will right the ship, and getting them at home with less than a touchdown is too good to pass up. 

4 Unit Play. Take #407 Over in Auburn Tigers @ Texas A&M Aggies (12p.m., Saturday, September 23 ESPN) These are two offensive minded teams with Hugh Freeze and Bobby Petrino calling plays for each team. The Aggies have put up points in all 3 of their games and are 14th in the country at 44 pointe per game. They could be 3-0 but turnovers did them in against Miami in Week 2. Auburn is not as polished with a first year coach but they are still averaging 39 points per game despite scoring just 14 point in Berkeley. Texas A&M playing at home should dictate the flow of this game and Jimo Fisher is all in on lighting up the scoreboard this season (to keep the boosters from buying him out). 

7 Unit Play. Take #176 Florida Gators over Tennessee Volunteers (7p.m., Saturday, September 16 ESPN) The SEC appears to be way down this season and giving this many points on the road is not a recipe for success. Florida has dominated this series, winning 16 of the last 18 matchups. Tennessee has not won in Gainesville since 2003. Tennessee was loaded last year and still only beat Florida by 5 points in 2022 and that game was in Knoxville. The underdog has dominated Florida games going 14-3 ATS in their last 17 lined games. This is a rivalry game and Florida should be motivated to put on a good show and get their coach and quarterback off the hot seat.

4 Unit Play. Take #156 Oregon State Beavers over San Diego State Aztecs (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 16 FS1) The Beavers and Cougars are wrecking havoc in the nonconference season, especially when play a conference they may be forced to join next season. Oregon State has pounded opponents in two straight games giving up only 24 combined points in those affairs. The Aztecs played a home game last week against UCLA and gave up 550 totals yards of offense. This Beavers team is better on both sides of the play than UCLA and they are at home for this game. Oregon State is on an 8-0 ATS run, and San Diego State is never a strong team on offense under Brady Hoke. Lay the wood in this game.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #110 Maryland Terrapins over Virginia Cavilers (Friday, September 15 FS1) Maryland came out flat last week against before turning it on in the second half. Look for that to carryover into this game against a deflated team that is a power 5 team in name only. Virginia should have beaten James Madison last week but fell apart in the fourth quarterback being outscored 12-0 to lose by a point. Now they travel north to play an old rival and expect Maryland to win this game by 20+ points. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring plays in MLB, NFL, NCAAF, WNBA, and more. We nailed 3 top plays over the weekend and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971!

4 Unit Play. Take Maryland Terrapins over Charlotte 49ers (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 9 NBC) Maryland usually beats up on teams in nonconference play and tonight should be no different. Chalotte is an inexperienced team in 2023 with a ton of transfer but that does not mean they are talented transfers that were sought out by other teams. The 49ers were terrible on defense last year and look for Taulia Tagovailoa to pick apart this team for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. Take #384 Alabama Crimson Tide over Texas Longhorns (7p.m., Saturday, September 9 ESPN) Alabama has been hearing all summer long how they are not the same dominating team as they were in the past and Georgia has clearly surpassed them. Texas did not look good on offense early and I believe Alabama will dominate the line of scrimmage in this game. The Crimson Tide are 13-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 16 nonconference games against Power 5 teams. This is a coaching mismatch and Coach Sark is 0-3 ATS when he is a road underdog while at Texas. The Longhorns played well last season against Alabama and still lost and I see them losing by double digits tonight in Tuscaloosa.

3 Unit Play. Take #223 Over in West Virginia Mountaineers @ Penn State Nittany Lions (7:30p.m., Saturday, September 2 NBC) Hopefully we will not have to hear that annoying promo anymore, as the Big 10 now plays games on NBC. West Virginia has a coach on the hot seat, and it is important that Neal Brown make progress this season, especially on the offensive side of the football. West Virginia did average 31 points per game and if they come close to that mark in Happy Valley we should easily collect on this ticket. Penn State returns 8 starters on offense and should be able to move up and down the field in this game. This total has been dropping all week and now the value squarely lies with the over.

3 Unit Play. Take #194 Colorado State Rams over Washington State Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, September 2 CBBSN) The Rams need/should be better in 2023 under Jay Norvell in his second season. Washington State has been told all summer that they are not wanted and eventually that will take its toll on this team. They also host Wisconsin on deck, so there could be a look ahead factor in this game. Coach Norvell is 9-3 ATS as a home underdog in his coaching career. They return starters on both sides of the football and they should be much better on offense in year two of this system. Look for both team to feel each other out early in this game and if it is lower scoring, that should benefit the double-digit underdog.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #182 Under in Buffalo Bulls @ Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 2 FS1) The Luke Fickell era gets underway on Saturday at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI. The Badgers have a lot of excitement around them, but I am not sure they will be able to fix all of their offensive woes in one offseason. Wisconsin has gone under the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games. The Badger defense should overpower this Buffalo team and expect a combined score in the high forties. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring top plays in WNBA, CFL, KBO and football. Get in on the action now and let 52 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

3 Unit Play. Take #156 Under in Stanford Cardinal @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (11p.m., Friday, September 1 CBBSN) Stanford is set to open up the season at a high school stadium in Honolulu, HI. The Warriors backdoored their way to a cover against Vanderbilt last Saturday and now must travel across the mainland back to Hawaii for a Friday night home game. The point spread has come down, as people are starting to realize Stanford does not have much talent left on the roster. Feel that both teams will struggle to reach 30 points and thus this is a strong play with the under. We will not worry about won wins this game and just focus on the total.

2 Unit Play. Take #304 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs over FIU Golden Panthers (9p.m., Saturday, August 26 CBSSN) Generally the public does well with early season games in college football and we will follow the line movement and back the home favorite. The Golden Panthers got blown out in 4 of their 5 road games last year losing them by 29, 73, 38, and 34 points (they did beat NMSU). Sonny Cumbie is an offensive coach that should be able to pick apart this FIU team and light up the scoreboard. The Bulldogs have covered the spread in 5 straight home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #277 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Illinois Fighting Illini (11a.m., Monday, January 2 ESPN2) ReliaQuest Bowl. Bowl Game of the Year. Just feel Mississippi State wants to send out the pirate with a win. The Bulldogs have most of their key players and have promoted from within to take over for Mike Leach next season. Mississippi State is making their 13th straight bowl appearance and I feel that Illinois got exposed during the second half of the season. They lost 3 of their last 4 games including two home games against so-so teams in Michigan State and Purdue. The Illini have a strong defense, but their competition was not of SEC caliber offenses, and they will be without CB Witherspoon for this game. The Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win in their previous game. The Fighting Illini are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Expect a low scoring game that the Bulldogs win straight-up and end the Mike Leach era on a positive note.

4 Unit Play. Take #276 TCU Horned Frogs over Michigan Wolverines (4p.m., Saturday, December 31 ESPN) Not many people are giving TCU a chance in this game after they lost to Kansas State in the Big 12 Championship Game. I feel they have the talent on both sides of the football to make this a competitive game for 60 minutes. TCU is a very veteran team with a ton of talent returning from last season and I really like their quarterback, Max Duggan. Coach Harbaugh does not have a great record in bowls at Michigan and if TCU can stabilize this game early expect panic for the favored Michigan to set in. Michigan is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. That includes going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played in December. TCU is 9-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 13 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #244 Wisconsin Badgers over Oklahoma State Cowboys (10:15p.m., Tuesday, December 27 ESPN) We will follow the line movement in this game and side with the Badgers, favored by around a field goal. Both teams have a top of players out for this game including starting quarterbacks. Wisconsin has the better defense and running game. That should allow them to win this game by close to double digits. The Badgers have won 7 straight bowl games and went 5-1-1 ATS in those games. Oklahoma State is 1-4 straight-up in their last 5 games (1-4 ATS). This game may be ugly at times but expect the Badgers to win it and build towards the Luke Fickell era.  

4 Unit Play. Take #231 Wake Forest Demon Deacons over Missouri Tigers (6:30p.m., Friday, December 23 ESPN) Really like Sam Hartman and feel he can outscore Missouri and win this game. Wake Forest had a disappointing finish to the season losing 4 of their last 5 games, but it was not because of their offense. They struggled because of their pass defense and I am just not sure Missouri can take advantage of this. Wake Forest does better out of ACC play, covering the spread in 5 of their last 6 nonconference games. Missouri is 2-12 ATS in their last 12 games played during the month of December.

4 Unit Play. Take #206 Cincinnati Bearcats over Louisville Cardinals (11a.m., Saturday, December 16 ESPN) Both teams are without their head coach, but what makes this game interesting is that Louisville’s coach is now the head man at Cincinnati. Some may think that that will inspire the Louisville players, but with so many players sitting out this game, look for Coach Satterfield to give the Bearcats the edge. He knows the players and coaches at Louisville and that will give Cincinnati the edge. Both starting quarterbacks are out for this game, but I see the backup at Cincinnati playing better between the two. Cincinnati will look to run the football with their quarterback and running backs. Louisville is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.

4 Unit Play. Take #103 Over in Navy Midshipmen vs Army Black Knights (3p.m., Saturday, December 10 CBS) Sooner or later a matchup between Army and Navy will go over the posted number. That day is Saturday, as you do not see a total this low very often in college football. The Under has hit 18 of the last 21 meetings, but the law of averages says that this total is over adjusted. Army has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 games against teams with a losing record. Navy has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games against teams with a losing record.  

3 Unit Play. Take #307 Kansas State Wildcats over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, December 3 ABC) Just do not feel TCU can win every close game in route to an undefeated season. This line is begging you to take the Frogs, but Kansas State has revenge in this game. The Wildcats are on a 3-0 ATS run winning by 48 combined points in those game over the posted number. K-State lost their quarterback in the first meeting, but the backup has been playing a lot recently and been good. The Wildcats have covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games against the Horned Frogs.

3 Unit Play. Take #305 Utah Utes over USC Trojans (8p.m., Friday, December 2 FOX) The Trojans have a lot of the line in this game, as a win will vault them into the College Football Playoffs. The Utes travel well and it will not surprise me if they have a home crowd edge in Las Vegas for this game. USC is 0-3 ATS in the PAC-12 Championship Game and they already lost to Utah once this season. The Trojans still have a suspect defense and Utah has the edge at a variety of positions in this game. The underdog has covered the spread in 4 straight games between Utah and USC. Utah is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a victory in their previous game. USC is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Enough said, Utah is a backet buster for the college football playoffs in 2022/23.

4 Unit Play. Take #197 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, November 26 MWN) The underdogs have dominated this rivalry played every year for the Freemont Cannon. UNLV lost their chance to become bowl eligible last week at Hawaii. Nevada has had a lost season as well and has had a few weeks to point towards this game, as it is all they have left to play for. The betting underdog has won 6 of the last 9 meetings straight-up. Look for this game to remain in single digits and thus we will cover this spread. UNLV just does not deserve to be this big of a favorite against anyone on the schedule.

4 Unit Play. Take #186 Wisconsin Badgers over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 26 ESPN) The Battle for the Ax takes place Saturday afternoon at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, WI. Minnesota has not fared well against the better teams on their schedule. The Badgers want to win this game badly and then make Jim Leonard their permanent coach. Playing at home will be the difference in this game. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Badgers take back the Ax and we collect in the process as well.

4 Unit Play. Take #137 Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno State Bulldogs (10p.m., Friday, November 25 FS1) The Bulldogs have already clinched a spot in the MWC Title Game at Boise next Saturday. They do not have any chance to be the group of 5 team to make a New Year’s Six Bowl and thus I just do not see the motivation for them in this game. Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when they are a double-digit underdog. The road team has covered 4 of the last 5 games between the Cowboys and the Bulldogs. Finally, Wyoming is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games played on Friday.

4 Unit Play. Take #394 Oregon Ducks over Utah Utes (10:30p.m., Saturday, November 19 ESPN) Just do not see Oregon losing back-to-back home games in conference play. They got burned by QB Penix last Saturday, but I just do not believe Utah has the same explosive offense that Washington does. Utah has not risen to the occasions on many big games this season, especially when they are playing on the road. Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

10 Unit Play. Take #398 Baylor Bears over TCU Horned Frogs (12p.m., Saturday, November 19 FOX) It end’s tonight! TCU’s magical season comes to an end on Saturday in Waco, TX. The Frogs are coming off an impressive win on Saturday at Texas and now must go on the road again to play Baylor. Back-to-Back road games is always a tough bill to overcome and this will be one of the best defenses they will face in 2022. The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games between TCU and Baylor. The Bears are 21-4 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.

7 Unit Play. Take #307 Western Michigan Broncos +11 over Central Michigan Chippewas (8p.m., Wednesday, November 16 ESPNU) I refused to believe that Central Michigan can blowout Western Michigan with a freshman quarterback that struggles to throw the football. The Broncos need to stop his running ability and if they do that, they should be able to take this game down to the wire. The visitor has dominated this series winning 7 of the 9 last games and is a perfect 9-0 ATS. Look for the Broncos to keep the scoring low and that makes this a strong play with the double-digit underdog. Western Michigan is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games played on Wednesdays. Central Michigan is 1-6 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. This is a rivalry game and should be competitive.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

4 Unit Play. Take #209 Wisconsin Badgers over Iowa Hawkeyes (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 12 FS1) Both teams are coming off impressive wins, but I will take Wisconsin in this game. The Badgers are the better offensive team and I just do not believe the Hawkeye’s will be able to take advantage of Wisconsin’s defense. Iowa has been terrible on offense for most of the season and I do not see things getting better on Saturday. Wisconsin has beaten Iowa 5 of the last 6 games. The Badgers have gotten life under new coach Jim Leonard and look for him to get the job come December. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #212 Arkansas Razorbacks +3.5 over LSU Tigers (12 p.m., Saturday, November 12 ESPN) This is a tough turnaround for LSU, and the Tigers never seem to perform well in 11 a.m. starts. They got killed by Tennessee in this situation, and look for Arkansas to beat them as well. The Razorbacks are coming off a bad loss against Liberty but before that dominated two decent opponents in BYU and Auburn. LSU is coming of a win against Alabama, and I just see them letting down in this game. The Razorbacks have dominated the Bayou Bengals ATS wise in recent years, going 10-4 ATS (1 push) in the last 15 games and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Arkansas.

4 Unit Play. Take #109 Buffalo Bulls +1 over Central Michigan Chippewas (7p.m., Wednesday, November 9 ESPN2) Buffalo laid an egg last week against Ohio but they still in position to win the MAC East, but must win this game to stay in the race. The Bulls have won two straight games against the Chippewas (2-0 ATS) including a 23 point victory the last time these two teams met. Central Michigan is 0-3 ATS (1 push) in their last 4 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #370 Boise State Broncos over BYU Cougars (7p.m., Saturday, November 5 FS2) BYU is a sinking ship at the moment having lost 4 straight games including 3 of them that were home or neutral site games. Boise State has found on offense led by former coach Dirk Koetter. He has given this team life and the Broncos enter this game having won 4 straight games, 3 of them coming by 20+ points. Playing on the blue turf is never an easy task and this game wants to pound the Cougars, a team that left the MWC and will be in the Big 12 soon, a conference the Broncos have wanted to join. BYU is a sinking ship going 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games. Boise State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams with a losing road record.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Wisconsin Badgers over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 5 BTN) I learned my lesson about fading Wisconsin two weeks ago at home. Look for them to come off their bye week with another double-digit win, this time coming against Maryland. The Badgers have showed some life under interim Coach Jim Leonard. The Terrapins have been terrible against the Big 10 West going 1-8 straight-up, 1-8 ATS, and are 0-2 ATS in 2022. Maryland is a lot like Purdue and that final score was not indicative of how dominating Wisconsin was in that game. Maryland is 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a bye.

2 Unit Play. Take #307 Over in Western Michigan @ Bowling Green (7p.m., Wednesday, November 2 ESPN2) This is a low total for a college football game and its based strictly on the Broncos stats. Bowling Green can score and give up enough points to overcome the lack of points by the Broncos. Western Michigan has gone over the posted total in 7 straight games played on Wednesday. Bowling Green has gone over the posted total in 5 straight games following an ATS win in their previous game. 

4 Unit Play. Take #118 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Illinois Fighting Illini (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 29 ABC) Illinois is in unfamiliar territory now as the hunted instead of doing the hunting. I do not think any team in the Big 10 West is any good and thus we will grab the points with this home underdog. The Cornhuskers covered last time out against the Boilermakers, and they will keep this game in single digits as well. Illinois has not been a road favorite in the Big 10 since 2018. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games between Illinois and Nebraska. Take the points in this game.

4 Unit Play. Take #146 UCF Knights over Cincinnati Bearcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 29 ESPN) The Knights laid a dud last week at East Carolina, but they are a much better team at home. 4 turnovers did them in despite putting up 426 yards of offense. Cincinnati is not the same team as they were in 2021 and they are just 2-5 ATS this season. They have struggled to put away bad teams and now they must face a team with a strong offensive scheme that they have not seem all season long. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between the Bearcats and the Knights. UCF is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #401 Purdue Boilermakers over Wisconsin Badgers (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 22 ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year These two teams are heading in opposite directions. This is the time that Big 10 West teams can get their revenge on Wisconsin, a team that has dominated this west division since the inception. The Badgers have played two terrible teams the last two weeks and gone 1-1. Both Michigan State and Northwestern have terrible defenses and that is not the case with Purdue. The Boilermakers have won 4 straight games and could easily be 7-0 on the season. They have a much better passing game and have a defense that can stop the running attack of Wisconsin. This play is more about going against Wisconsin, a team that fired their coach 2.5 weeks ago and has a coaching staff that does not get along well the uncertainty of their coaching futures. Two more Badger players entered the transfer portal this week and I do not see things getting any better down the stretch. They will win some game because the Big 10 West is bad, but you just cannot count on them to win game against similar or better talented teams. Wisconsin has scored over 17 points just 6 times dating back to last year and they are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. Purdue is 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games in Madison. Purdue is the second-best team Wisconsin will have played this season and loss No. 5 will happen on Saturday. The road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 games between Purdue and Wisconsin. The Badgers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record.

4 Unit Play. Take #143 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Purdue Boilermakers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 15 BTN) We will grab the points in this game, as we feel Purdue is being overvalued. This team does not handle prosperity well and already has two close game losses on the season. Nebraska got down early to Rutgers last week but rallied for a confidence building victory. Nebraska has won 5 of the last 9 games against Purdue and they are also 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games as an underdog. With Wisconsin on deck for Purdue, expect them to just go through the motions and win this game by 7-10 points. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between Nebraska and Purdue.

4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tennessee Volunteers over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 15 CBS) Never like to bet against Alabama, but this will be their toughest test of the 2022 regular season. Alabama has already had close calls with Texas and Texas A&M. This one should go down to the wire as well, as Tennessee has a quick tempo offense that is hard to stop. Tennessee is averaging close to 550 yards per game and QB Hooker can hold his own against QB Young, assuming that the later plays in this game. Alabama did not score in the final 28 minutes last week at home against Texas A&M and if they go on a drought like that this week they will lose straight-up. College Gameday is in town to get the crowd going early and this is a watershed moment for Tennessee. They will prove they belong as one of the elite teams in college football. The Crimson Tide are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning home record. The Volunteers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #365 Washington State Cougars over USC Trojans (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 8 FOX) Just not sold on USC in the first year of a complete rebuild. Washington State has a better win on the season thus far and should be able to keep this game low scoring and cover the spread. Wazzou can move the football and put up points on this defense. USC is just 3-9 in their last 12 PAC-12 games. The road team is 7-2 in the last 9 games between Wazzou and Southern Cal. The Cougars are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games played during the month of October.

4 Unit Play. Take ##379 East Carolina Pirates over Tulane Green Wave (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 8 ESPNU) The Pirates can score points and put up 52 last season against the Green Wave. Tulane has some impressive wins this season as well beating Kansas State and Houston, but they have quarterback issues and needed to play their third string quarterback last week. Tulane had not business winning last week looking at the stats and that will catch up to them in this game. East Carolina is a kicker away from being undefeated this season. East Carolina is 11-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. Getting points with the better team is too good to pass up.

4 Unit Play. Take #308 Nevada Wolf Pack over Colorado State Rams (10:30p.m., Friday, October 7 FS1) This game is under the radar but means a lot to Nevada, as Jay Norvell left them for Colorado State, a team in the same conference. He also took a bunch of Nevada coaches and players and things could not have gone any worse for them so far in 2022. The Rams are 0-4 and have not been competitive in any game played this season, including games against Middle Tennessee State and Sacramento State. They have had several starters leave the team and they will he lucky to win more than 1 game this season. Nevada will take care of the football and not beat themselves and that should be good enough to win this game by double-digits. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against Colorado State. The Rams are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #126 Over in NC State Wolfpack @ Clemson Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 1 ABC) The total has come down close to a touchdown with remnants of Hurricane Ian possibly affecting this game Saturday night. I refuse to believe either team can score points in this game and thus we will side with the over. Devin Leary is an NFL prospect, and he will get this Wolfpack offense in sync sooner or later. NC State has gone over the posted total in 15 of their last 22 ACC games. Clemson has gone over the posted total in 4 of their last 5 ACC games. One of these teams is going to have a breakout game on offense and this game will go over the posted total.

4 Unit Play. Take #116 Wisconsin Badgers over Illinois Fighting Illini (12p.m., Saturday, October 1 BTN) Wisconsin got run over by Ohio State last Saturday night but playing Illinois should be much more to their likely. The Badgers have dominated this series winning 15 of the last 17 games. Coach Chryst seat is getting warm, and he needs a dominating performance against a former Wisconsin coach to tone down the fan base. Wisconsin fans still hate Bret Bielema and want to see a double-digit dominating win. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between Wisconsin and Illinois. Finally, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games as well.

2 Unit Play. Take #341 Wisconsin Badgers over Ohio State Buckeyes (7:30p.m., Saturday 24 ABC) Just do not see a rout in this game. Wisconsin has the defense to slow down this Ohio State offense and look for them to keep them in check. QB Mertz has been playing better this season despite losing to Washington State and he will need to be effective in this game for Wisconsin to sustain drives. Ohio State has not played a team this good and I look for Wisconsin to implement that Notre Dame gameplan. The Buckeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Big 10 games.

2 Unit Play. Take #339 Over in Clemson Tigers @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons (12p.m., Sunday, September 24 ABC) We used over in Wake Forest last week as a free play and now will use them as a rated play. Just do not believe Clemson can shut them down for 60 minutes since they have a new defensive coordinator. The Clemson trends point to the under, but they have scored at least 35 points in all their games this season and should be able to hit that mark on Saturday against this Wake Forest defense. The Demon Deacons have gone over the posted total in 7 of their last 9 games against teams with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. Take #202 USC Trojans over Fresno State Bulldogs (10:30p.m., Saturday, September FOX) Fresno State is a good program but they are a mid-major California school compared to USC. The Trojans are rolling on offense, and I believe they can outscore their way to a double-digit victory on Saturday night. USC has won 4 straight games against Fresno State, and they are 34-1-1 straight-up against MWC teams. With a total in the seventies, I look for USC to pull away late and win this game by around 20 points.

4 Unit Play. Take #193 UTSA Roadrunners over Texas Longhorns (8p.m., Saturday, September 17 LHN) Just feel this is a tough spot for Texas coming off an emotional loss to Alabama last Saturday. Throw in the face Texas has quarterback issues with their top two on the depth chart and I feel this game could be in single digits. UTSA is pretty good for a mid-major program with an explosive offense and can score points and backdoor this game if needed. With the opening of Big 12 play on deck expect this classic sandwich game to go down to the wire. UTSA is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games. Texas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss in their previous game.

4 Unit Play. Take #114 Syracuse Orange over Purdue Boilermakers (12p.m., Saturday, September 17 ESPN2) Just do not trust Purdue to win games like this on a consistent basis. Syracuse has had a revival through two games this season with a coach that came in on the hot seat to open 2022. The Orange have blown out two opponents to go 2-0 this season including a win over Louisville as an underdog. Garrett Shrader is a top 5 quarterback in passing this young season and he works nicely with RB Sean Tucker to give them a 1-2 punch. Syracuse is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games.

4 Unit Play. Take #382 Oklahoma Sooners over Kent State Golden Flashes (7p.m., Saturday, September 10 ESPN+) Not sure who thought it would be a good idea for Kent State to play three buy games in one season. But that is what has occurred in 2022 with road games against Washington, Oklahoma and Georgia. The Golden Flashes lost by 25 points last week to Washington and the score in that game could have been much worse. Kent State pulled most of their starters in the second half to protect them for the MAC Conference games and they will do the same thing in this one as well. Oklahoma wants to show they are still one of the top teams in the Big 12 and they pounded UTEP in their opening game. This will be another victory likely by 40+ points. The Golden Flashes are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 straight home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #356 Wisconsin Badgers over Washington State Cougars (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 10 FOX) Wisconsin has the best defense in the Big 10 and I just believe Wazzou will struggle to move the football and score points in this game. It may not be a dominating performance but the cumulative effect on a strong running game and a defense that can rush the passer will allow Wisconsin to win by 20+ points. The Badgers were able to hold some things back last week playing an FCS school. Wazzou played an FCS school as well and they were in a dog fight for 60 minutes and trailed 10-0 in that game.

10 Unit Play. Take #169 Louisville Cardinals over Syracuse Orange (8p.m., Saturday, September 3 ACCN) Just do not see much hope for Syracuse and Dino Babers turning things around. He is 3-15 in the ACC the last 2 years and is facing a team that has had his number of late. Louisville has covered the spread against Syracuse in 7 of the last 8 meetings. That included winning 41-3 last year and their margin of victory in the last 8 games is 31 points. Louisville picked up some key transfers this season and Syracuse has a new offensive coordinator that might not fit their skill players system. The favorite has covered the spread in this game 8 straight meetings.

2 Unit Play. Take #208 Nevada Wolf Pack over Texas State Bobcats (5:30p.m., Saturday, September 3 local) This line has moved too far the other way and now the value lies with Nevada. The Wolf Pack did not look good on offense last Saturday but having a game under their belt will help them in this one. This is the home opener with a popular coach and expect Nevada to win this game. Texas State has never made a bowl game since becoming eligible. The Wolf Pack are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #144 Pittsburgh Panthers over West Virginia Mountaineers (7p.m., Thursday, September 1 ESPN) The Backyard Brawl is back for the first time in over a decade. West Virginia has taken a step back and look for Pittsburgh to have another successful season in the ACC. Pittsburgh brings back a lot of talent and Coach Narduzzi will not take this game lightly. West Virginia has become forgotten once they left the Big East and has not been very strong in Big 12 play the last couple of seasons. West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against ACC teams. Pittsburgh is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Look for the Panthers to come out strong and win this game by double digits.

10 Unit Play. Take #311 Vanderbilt Commodores over Hawaii Warriors (10:30p.m., Saturday, August 27 CBSSN) This is more a play against Hawaii instead of liking the worst team in the SEC. The Warriors are in a major rebuild having lost their coach due to off the field issues. Now former quarterback Timmy Chang is the head coach, and he will struggle to keep this team competitive in 2022. Hawaii returned just 6 starters and only 2 of them are on defense. Vanderbilt has the better defense and running game and that should be good enough to win this game by double digits. They lost to an FCS team in their opening game last year and need to avoid a similar fate to open the season this year. Vanderbilt is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Hawaii is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. Take #287 Georgia Bulldogs over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Monday, January 10 ESPN) This line is begging you to take Alabama, but we feel that Georgia is favored for a reason. Both teams dominated their semi-final games against inferior competition, but Georgia is the healthier team in this game, especially on the offensive side of the football. An assistant coach finally beat Nick Saban during the regular season this year and his second lost to an assistant coach will come in this game. Beating a team twice in a season is always a tough task and I just believe Georgia is the more motivated team. Alabama has a major edge at quarterback, but I like Georgia and basically every other position on the field. Georgia is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games as a favorite. Alabama is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games played during the month of January.

10 Unit Play. Take #308911 Montana State Bobcats over North Dakota State Bison (12p.m., Saturday, January 8 ESPN2) This line has been trending down and with this long of a layoff I expect his to be a low scoring competitive game. The over under in this game is just 42 points and that is a low total for a team to cover more than a touchdown spread. NDSU is solid on both sides of the football but their offense is not as dynamic as it has been in previous seasons. The Bobcats have the more impressive resume in 2021 with a ton of skill players. Montana State is starting a freshman quarterback but he has the ability to beat you with his legs and arm. Expect this to be a defensive battle and we will grab the points in this championship game.

4 Unit Play. Take #279 Kentucky Wildcats over Iowa Hawkeyes (1p.m., Saturday, January 1 ABC) CITRUS BOWL Iowa got exposed for playing in the Big 10 West and expect Kentucky to beat them at their own game on Saturday. Kentucky has a better offense this year than they have had in past years and do not have to win games via a defensive struggle. Iowa is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Kentucky is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 nonconference games.

4 Unit Play. Take #270 Michigan Wolverines over Georgia Bulldogs (7:30p.m., Friday, December 31 ESPN) ORANGE BOWL Georgia dominated a weak SEC East and they were exposed by Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Michigan passed both of their tests in the last two games of the regular season, and they are playing with confidence entering this game. Georgia will need to run the football to take pressure off Stetson Bennett, as I do not believe he will be up for this big of a game. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight-up loss in their previous game. Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win in their previous game.

10 Unit Play. Take #273 Under in Cincinnati Bearcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide (Friday, December 31 3:30 p.m. ESPN) COTTON BOWL Cincinnati has been given little chance to win this game, but they are experienced on both sides of the football. Both teams feature a defensive minded head coach and I believe Cincinnati will have to keep the scoring low to have a chance to win this game. Cincinnati has gone under the posed total in 24 of their last 30 games (1 push) when they are an underdog. Alabama has gone under the posted total in 3 of their last 5 bowl games (1 push).

4 Unit Play. Take #261 Arizona State Sun Devils over Wisconsin Badgers (10:30p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) LAS VEGAS BOWL All season long the metrics have overrated this Wisconsin team. Their quarterback struggled much of the season and if opponents can stop the run this team struggles to move the football. Jayden Daniels is playing in this game and he can beat you with his arm and his legs. Both teams are missing key players and thus I expect this to be a defensive battle that goes down to the wire. Wisconsin is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Arizona State is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against Big 10 teams.

10 Unit Play. Take #257 Tennessee Volunteers over Purdue Boilermakers (3p.m., Thursday, December 30 ESPN) MUSIC CITY BOWL Just believe Purdue underachieved this season and now will be without David Bell and George Karlaftis for this game. Throw in the face this game is played in Nashville giving the Volunteers a big home field advantage and I expect Tennessee to win this game by double-digits. Purdue was in this same bowl in 2018 and got run over by a so-so SEC team and that same situation presents itself on Thursday. Tennessee held their own in the SEC West and has a first year head coach that wants to finish off the season the right way. They have won 3 of their last 4 games (only loss to Georgia) and should be able to outscore Purdue in this game. Purdue struggles to score points and they need their defense to create situations for their offense. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Big 10 teams. Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl games.

4 Unit Play. Take #234 Nevada Wolf Pack over Western Michigan Broncos (11a.m., Monday, December 27 ESPN) QUICK LANE BOWL This line has swung two touchdowns with Nevada being without their coach and quarterback. But this is still an early start again and is just an average team from a weaker conference. Nevada has a coaching staff that wants to make a name for themselves and I believe they can make this game competitive. Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.

10 Unit Play. Take #223 Under in San Diego State Aztecs vs UTSA Roadrunners (7:30p.m., Tuesday, December 21 ESPN) San Diego State has a great defense and a terrible offense. That sets up a strong play with the under in this game. UTSA has gone under the posted total in 12 of their last 16 games (1 push) in their last 16 games following an ATS win in their previous game. SDSU has gone under the posted total in 21 of their last 28 games played as an underdog.