Sports Picks & Predictions
NBA Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat -1.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami is coming off a tough loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday by a point and heads home in a spot to make the actual playoffs with the big news that Jimmy Butler is declared out along with Terry Rozier. The Heat are 12-6 in their last 18 games and are still favored despite the depleted lineup which has put money on the other side. Miami is 0-10 as a home underdog but is 22-9 as a home favorite and a short number makes that more accessible. Chicago rolled over Atlanta at home on Wednesday behind 42 points from Coby White and hits the road where it is 19-22 on the season. This is another team where the home/road dichotomy situation is apparent with the Bulls being 9-2 ad road favorites but just 10-20 as road underdogs. Butler is out and this is where the rest of the team steps up. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 34-8 ATS (81 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Miami Heat |
|||||||
04-17-24 | Heat +5 v. 76ers | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami closed the regular season with a pair of wins and it closed the season strong by going 11-6 over its last 17 games. This includes a 6-2 record on the road where the Heats have been great all season with a 24-17 record. They have struggled as underdogs but most of that damage was at home where they are 0-10 when getting points. Miami and Philadelphia split the season series while losing the last meeting at home earlier this month and the Heat are 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a home loss this season. The Sixers have caught fire at the right time as they have won eight straight games including all five since Joel Embiid returned from his knee injury. Additionally, Philadelphia has covered 10 straight games so there is now value on the other side with these teams separated by just one game overall. Philadelphia has been dominant at home this season especially with a healthy Embiid but this line is priced to high based on the recent run. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a win against a division rival. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (551) Miami Heat |
|||||||
04-16-24 | Lakers v. Pelicans -1 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The regular season did not end the way the Pelicans wanted as they had a four-game winning streak heading into their game against Lakers while welcoming Brandon Ingram back into the lineup but fall flat at home while trying to lock up a No. 6 seed and avoid the play-in. New Orleans still gets to play host with the winner grabbing the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference while the loser hosting another play-in game against the winner of a matchup between the Kings and Warriors. New Orleans is 20-12 both straight up and against the number following a loss. Los Angeles is still two games under .500 on the road following the recent win and finds itself in a tough spot. The Lakers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games coming off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (542) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
04-14-24 | Bulls +15 v. Knicks | Top | 119-120 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. The final day of the regular season will present many scenarios for different seedings up for grabs and lines are overadjusted with this being one of those. The Knicks have secured no worse than the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference and remain alive to pass Milwaukee for the No. 2 seed if they win here and the Bucks lose to Orlando with both being very much possible. But this number is taking that into consideration as a normal price is having the Knicks favored by only eight points. Meanwhile Chicago has nothing to play for as it is locked into the No. 9 seed in the conference and playing a road game for its play in game. While there is no chance to move up or down, the Bulls would like to keep the momentum going after having won their last two games and going into the postseason with positive confidence. Chicago is 27-15 ATS in its last 42 games revenging a loss of 10 points. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Chicago Bulls |
|||||||
04-12-24 | Suns v. Kings +5.5 | Top | 108-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. Sacramento came up small for us last night in a 12-point home loss against New Orleans but we are going back with the Kings which are still in good shape while now catching a big number at home. There is currently a three-way tie at the bottom of the Western Conference with the Kings, Warriors and the Lakers all 45-35. The Kings hold the tiebreaker over both, so they currently sit eighth despite the loss against New Orleans last night. They close with Portland on Sunday so a win here likely guarantees a home game for the play in. Phoenix got its revenge against the Clippers on Wednesday in a 16-point road win but it did not get help last night with the Pelicans win as it is now a game behind them in the No. 7 spot. Phoenix can avoid the play-in entirely by going 2-0 over its final two games but it needs the help of at least one New Orleans loss as well so there is plenty to play for but laying this road number is too excessive. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 70-33 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (584) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
04-11-24 | Pelicans v. Kings -1 | Top | 135-123 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Despite coming off a pair of wins, New Orleans has been eliminated from a home court advantage possibility as it is 3.5 games out of the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference with three games remaining. The Pelicans can still move down but there is no advantage of facing No. 2 or No. 3 so falling from No. 6 to No. 7 is huge disadvantage. Facing the Kings with the Warriors and Lakers on deck to close the season is a tough spot with literally nothing to play for. This season, the Pelicans are 1-15 ATS coming off a double-digit road win. The Kings meanwhile do have something to play for as they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the conference which is good enough to host a play in game but they are only a half-game ahead of the Lakers to fall out of that and while they have not been the greatest home team this season, an elimination game on the road is something they do not want. This is the first of three home games to close the season and Sacramento is coming off a 1-3 roadtrip with the last game being a non-cover at Oklahoma City and it is 24-13 against the number this season following an ATS loss. 10* (552) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
04-10-24 | Suns -3 v. Clippers | Top | 124-108 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Here, we have another road team where the line is defining the story. Phoenix is coming off a loss at home against the Clippers last night and are now in Los Angeles for a rematch and come in as the favorite. The Suns have been eliminated from having home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs but they are not safe as they are in the play in group where they will host a game more than likely but still have a chance to avoid that elimination game as they are just one game behind New Orleans. Los Angeles is two games clear of Dallas for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference as it has won four straight games with this being the first of a season closing three-game homestand. Kawhi Leonard was out last night so it was a bad loss for the Suns in that regard and he will be out again tonight. The Clippers are 7-18 ATS this season coming off a road win while Phoenix is 14-4 in its last 18 games after scoring less than 100 points. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (543) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
04-10-24 | Magic v. Bucks | Top | 99-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off a bad loss in Houston last night, against a Rockets team that was just eliminated from playoff contention and had nothing to play for, and the Magic slipped to No. 4 in the Eastern Conference but still hold tiebreaker over No. 5 Cleveland based on winning their division. Many will question this line as Orlando is currently a slight road favorite but that line is telling us exactly what this situation is and the public will be all over the Bucks. Milwaukee is coming off a much needed win over Boston last night which snapped a four-game losing streak. The Bucks are still one game ahead of the Knicks for the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference so all remaining games will be big but health is the now more important issue. Giannis Antetokounmpo was a little hobbled coming into last night but he had to leave the game with a leg injury and he is again listed as questionable and it is highly unlikely he is going to take the floor tonight and that is what this line is saying. Here, we play on teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. This situation is 81-41 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Orlando Magic |
|||||||
04-10-24 | Mavs -4.5 v. Heat | Top | 111-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Dallas has peaked at the right time as following a 26-point win over Charlotte last night, it has won four straight games and is 15-2 over its last 17 games. With four games left, the Mavericks are in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, two games behind the Clippers so there is still a possibility of moving up. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season while going 12-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. Miami lost a tough game at Indiana on Sunday but bounced back with a win at Atlanta last night in double overtime. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro all logged at least 44 minutes so this is a much more tired team coming into this back-to-back spot. The Heat are guaranteed a home game in a play in situation but can still avoid that as they are a game and a half behind Indiana for the No. 6 spot. Miami is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less this season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road win against a division rival, playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
04-09-24 | Celtics v. Bucks +2.5 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our Eastern Conf. Game of the Month. Milwaukee has now lost four straight games and even with just four games remaining, the Bucks are in jeopardy of falling out of the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference and they are just a game and a half out of fifth place. The good news is they control their own destiny as they hold the tiebreaker over New York and Cleveland and can win the season series with Orlando. They got Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo back in the lineup together and while the latter is questionable, he will likely be able to go again. Boston has won five straight games and has already clinched the best record in the NBA so health is the biggest factor as it closes out the regular season. Jayson Tatum missed the last game and is probable tonight but we are likely not going to see the starters play big minutes. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having lost five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
04-07-24 | Knicks v. Bucks -4 | Top | 122-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Milwaukee is in an absolute funk right now as it has lost three straight games and they were not just any losses as they were against the Wizards, Grizzlies and the Raptors which are three of the six lowest rated teams in the league and all three were as favorites of 12 points or more. They got Damian Lillard back after missing the previous three games but the Bucks were without Giannis Antetokounmpo in their last loss against Toronto but both will be back in the lineup tonight in what has become a must win. Milwaukee did get a break last night with the Cavaliers loss and are now a game and a half ahead of Cleveland with three of its last five games coming against pursuers New York and Orlando with the other two against the Celtics and Thunder. At 29-9 at home, the Bucks have to take this one. The Knicks are coming odd a bad loss as well as they fell to the Bulls to open their four-game roadtrip and they are tied with the Magic for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. They could not catch a title contender at the wrong time however and they have been average on the road at 20-18 while going 9-12 as underdogs. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having lost five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (580) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
04-07-24 | Bulls v. Magic -7.5 | Top | 98-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Orlando had been on a 10-2 run but lost three straight games before coming back to win three consecutive games. that was a much needed run but the Magic followed that up with a horrible loss at Charlotte on Friday to remain in a tie with New York for fourth place in the Eastern Conference. The Magic are 27-11 at home while covering 25 of those and come in part of a great situation from all season as they are 19-4 as home favorites, bringing in the money in 17 of those and this is a team that needs to lock down their home floor for the first round of the playoffs so all games are huge going forward. Chicago is coming off a win over the Knicks to halt a 2-5 slide and it really has nothing to play for at this point as it is locked in to a road play-in game with the opponent still to be determined and out of its control. The Bulls are on the road for four of their last five games where they are three games under .500 including a 9-18 record as underdogs. This is the prime spot for Orlando which is 15-4 ATS this season as a favorite between 3.5 and 9 points. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Orlando Magic |
|||||||
04-07-24 | Thunder -9 v. Hornets | Top | 121-118 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Oklahoma City has fallen into third place in the Western Conference following its third straight loss with all three of those games having Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the pine with a quad contusion. This is a team that continues to get no respect as they have been underdogs in their last three games but those were all against solid playoff teams yet they are favored on the road here against one of the worst teams in the league and as a line comparison, not nearly enough considering the Hornets have been at least 12-point underdogs in their last four home games against playoff teams. Charlotte beat Orlando in its last game by nine points as a 12-point underdog as it was the first game played since head coach Steve Clifford was told he would not be retained and that was a spot where the team came together. Now it is a letdown game and coming against a team that is playing for so much at this point. Charlotte is just 11-28 at home while winning just nine of those games and even though it is catching a significant number, it is not where it should be. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. This situation is 26-3 ATS (89.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (569) Oklahoma City Thunder |
|||||||
04-06-24 | Cavs +5.5 v. Lakers | Top | 97-116 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Seeding implications are on the line for both Cleveland and Los Angeles and we will be taking the inflated number. The Lakers are 8-1 over their last nine games which is their best stretch of the season and are inching closer to being able to host a play in game also in part to New Orleans and Sacramento fading of late. The recent run along with just being the Lakers has forced this number to be where it is and while they are 21-7 as home favorites, they are just 13-13-2 against the number. Cleveland is coming off a loss at Phoenix on Wednesday and it has not been a good run since early March as the Cavaliers are 5-9 over their last 14 games. However, the recent struggles for Milwaukee has kept Cleveland alive for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference as it is just one game behind the Bucks so this is a big two-game Los Angeles weekend. The Cavaliers are 12-3 ATS following a road loss this season and they are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit road loss. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differentials of +/- 3 ppg, after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 74-36 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Cleveland Cavaliers |
|||||||
04-05-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Western Conf. Game of the Month. After a horrible loss to San Antonio, Phoenix was faced with a tough task to close the season with its 10 remaining games all coming against playoff teams which was the No. 1 remaining schedule. So far, so good as the Suns are 3-1 including a big win at home over Cleveland last time out with Kevin Durant and Devin Booker combining for 72 points and this roster could finally be finding their rhythm. It will not get any easier here but they are in their best stretch in a long time as they are 6-2 over their last eight games and have moved into a tie for No. 6 in the Western Conference. Minnesota has also regained its form after a 2-4 stretch to open March as the Timberwolves have gone 9-2 since then. It does include two impressive road wins over Denver and the Clippers and they come in 25-13 on the road for the season. They are tied with Denver atop the Western Conference and they are coming off a 48-point win over Toronto and while they have been good after wins, they are just 34-18 off a victory compared to 19-4 off a loss. The defense is still No. 1 in Efficiency but will have their hands full against this team on the road. 10* (550) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
04-05-24 | Kings +10 v. Celtics | Top | 100-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston is coming off a 35-point win over short-handed Oklahoma City to clinch the No. 1 overall seed and secure home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. It was the third straight win for the Celtics which play at home in five of their final six games with the biggest test coming on the road against Milwaukee. This is a line to grab early if possible as Boston is not going to go all out the remainder of the season and while they will unlikely sit their starters, they will not be seeing normal action but we could still see someone sit here especially with Jaylen Brown questionable. We played against Sacramento on Thursday which was more of a play on with the Knicks which seemed to be a much bigger game for them based on their situation in the Eastern Conference standings and the fact they have a four-game roadtrip on deck. The Kings are in a group of six teams within four games of each other between the No. 5 and No. 10 spots in the conference so each game is big for them as well and stealing a game against the best team in the league would be huge but we will gladly take the very big number in hopes of what should be a close game. 10* (535) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
04-04-24 | Warriors v. Rockets +4.5 | Top | 133-110 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The season is on the line tonight for the Rockets. Houston put together an 11-game winning streak to get into playoff contention but has lost two straight games to fall three games behind the Warriors after creeping up within one game. It has been an incredible turnaround season for the Rockets which have already surpassed their wins from last season by 16 games so it has already been a success but they want to keep it going. Houston has won 22 of 26 games as a favorite and while it is the underdogs here, the Rockets have won 11 of 20 games as home underdogs, covering 13 of those. Golden St. is coming off a win over Dallas which made it five straight wins but it has clearly been a disappointing season for the Warriors. This is a spot they have excelled in this season as they are 16-1 as road favorites, covering 13 of those but we are bucking that here based on the situation and that fact that Houston has been the most profitable team at home this season, going 27-11 ATS, one of just four teams at 60 percent or above. Houston lost the first two meetings this season but those were before December and this is a much better team from then and they are 17-5 ATS at home revenging a loss. 10* (526) Houston Rockets |
|||||||
04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Sacramento has won two straight games and is currently tied for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and it is in a group of teams six teams within four games of each other between the No. 5 and No. 10 spots in the conference. This is the sixth time since late February that the Kings have won two games in a row but they are 0-5 in the last five games following consecutive wins with the losses coming by 11, 8, 7, 7 and 36 points. They hit the road for their final four road games of the season where they are a solid 21-16 and have covered 23 of those games but that is keeping this number low. The Knicks are coming off their third straight loss and they are also in a logjam in their conference. New York is tied with Orlando for fourth place in the Eastern Conference but it has already lost that tiebreaker and while it can feasibly still reach No. 3, it is also in the situation where it could fall as far as No. 8 should these struggles continue. The Knicks have four road games on deck after this one so this is a big home game where they are 24-14 including a 21-6 record as a home favorite and they are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games coming off a road loss. 10* (524) New York Knicks |
|||||||
04-03-24 | Grizzlies v. Bucks -13 | Top | 111-101 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Milwaukee is coming off a bad loss at Washington on Tuesday as it was without Damian Lillard for a second straight game but head coach Doc Rivers said that he should be back on Wednesday. The Bucks lead over Cleveland for the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference has shrunk to 1.5 games and they are just 2.5 games ahead of the Knicks for fourth place which is the spot no team wants since it would have to face Boston before the conference finals. Milwaukee is back home where it is 29-7 and this is the start of a five-game homestand so it has a good shot to clinch No. 2 here but the final three games on this homestand are against playoff teams so these first two games are big. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with a win at Detroit on Monday. Four of their last five wins have been against non-playoff teams with the other coming against Philadelphia which has certainly not been the same. The last real quality win came at home back in mid-February against Milwaukee so the Bucks will also be out for some payback in addition to bouncing back from a horrible loss. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven points or more going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
04-03-24 | Magic v. Pelicans -4 | Top | 117-108 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Non-Conf. Game of the Month. New Orleans was in good shape to keep pace with the Clippers for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference where it also owns the tiebreaker against Los Angeles but it began a brutal homestand at the start of last week against four championship contenders and it went 103 in those games, the lone win coming against Milwaukee. The Pelicans face another playoff team before closing out against San Antonio and after two straight losses, this is a big one to get as the possibility of falling into the play in spot is there as the Pelicans are only a game ahead of Phoenix for the No. 7 spot and the elimination game. New Orleans has been better on the road than at home this season but that is reflected in the short number. Following a pair of wins over lowly Memphis and Portland, Orlando is also in must win mode but nothing more than seeding as well as its magic number is five to avoid the play in game but the difference here is that the Magic are on the road where they are 17-19 compared to 27-1 at home. They are 9-1 as road chalk but just 8-18 as underdogs and are simply in a bad spot. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, playing a winning team. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
04-03-24 | Pacers -7 v. Nets | Top | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana is still very much alive for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference as it trails New York and Orlando by a game and a half. The Pacers have won two straight games including a 22-point home win over Brooklyn on Monday where they closed at -12.5 so this is a fair number for the venue change and with everything on the line. They are decent on the road at 19-18 but have been inconsistent yet they have won six of their last eight on the highway and with games against Oklahoma City and Miami on deck so there will be plenty of motivation despite the revenge angle on the other side. It has been two straight losses for Brooklyn which has basically ended its playoff chances as one more loss or one more Atlanta win with the Hawks hosting Detroit Wednesday eliminates the Nets. After opening the season 16-4-1 against the number, Brooklyn is just 16-30-1 ATS over its last 47 games and this is not the spot. This starts a four-game homestand where the Nets are just 17-20 and while they have been solid with seven wins in 11 games as underdogs, it is a different scenario when late in the season especially with nothing likely on the line. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (511) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
04-02-24 | Mavs v. Warriors -1 | Top | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Dallas has won seven straight games and 11 of its last 12 to climb the Western Conference standings as it is now in the No. 5 spot and trails the Clippers by two games for the all important No. 4 spot and home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. They have been excellent on the road which has been the case for a lot of teams as the Mavericks are one of seven teams with 22 or more road wins and while they are 18-3 as road favorites, they are just 5-11 as road underdogs. Golden St. has won four straight games, all on the road, and it returns home where it has been a major disappointment this season. The Warriors are 18-19 at home so there has not been a true home floor edge but that provides value in what is a near pickem. They are still holding down the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, two games clear of Houston with a game against the Rockets on deck so this is a big one to not make that a swing game. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (580) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
04-02-24 | Knicks +3 v. Heat | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. New York is coming off a pair of losses against San Antonio and Oklahoma City which halted a 7-1 run and it still remains in the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, a half-game behind Cleveland for third place and just a half-game ahead of Orlando for fifth place. They have been a solid road team all season and the Knicks are 10-5 in their last 15 road games and while this is a tough spot, they are 20-9 following a loss and they have dropped more than two in row only two times this season. Miami has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league as it has pulled off some big runs but has also fallen into some bad runs as well. The Heat are currently riding a two-game winning streak but those wins were against Portland and Washington and of their last nine wins, only one came against a team that will be making the playoffs. They are a game out of avoiding the play in game so each game is huge but at only 19-17 at home, there is not a big edge. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after a loss by three points or less. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) New York Knicks |
|||||||
04-02-24 | Lakers v. Raptors +12 | Top | 128-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Toronto has dropped 13 straight games and this is a game it will be up for with the Lakers coming to town. The Raptors have been extremely shorthanded but they will get R.J. Barrett and Immanuel Quickley back tonight who have both been out since early to mid-March. They have not been great at home at just 13-25 but that is just four games worse than how the Lakers have performed on the road and they are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games following two straight losses by 15 points or more. Los Angeles is coming off a win at Brooklyn and it has won six of its last seven games including a 3-1 start on this current six-game roadtrip with a game at Washington on deck tomorrow. That brings in the probability of LeBron James and/or Anthony Davis resting for one of these games and both are on the injury list as questionable so we can get value here when bet early and possibly getting a late scratch as this number will only come down. The Lakers are 17-21 on the road and have covered only four of 13 games as road chalk. Here, we play on underdogs failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 games going up against an opponent after having covered three of their last four games. This situation is 82-34 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Toronto Raptors |
|||||||
04-01-24 | Grizzlies v. Pistons -2 | Top | 110-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis has lost three straight games and seven of its last eight as this injury riddled season starts to wind down. The Grizzlies got one key player back recently as Desmond Bane returned for five games after being out since January 12 but he is once again out of the lineup and they will be playing with four of their normal starting five out. Memphis has actually been better on the road than at home as it is 16-22 but that is being taken into consideration with this number. Detroit is coming off a win at Washington on Saturday which snapped an eight-game losing streak but all of those losses came against teams that will be in the postseason. Going back, the Pistons last 21 losses have come against teams that will be in the playoffs and on the season, they have only two wins against the top 16 in the league which is tied for second fewest. While not great at home, Detroit has won three straight here against non-playoff teams. Here, we play on favorites averaging between 108 and 114 ppg after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114. This situation is 66-28 ATS (70.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
03-31-24 | Heat v. Wizards +10.5 | Top | 119-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. Miami is coming off a 60-point, yes 60-point, win over Portland on Friday and is now laying a huge number on the road, the most it has been favored by on the road all season. After a 7-1 run wrapped around the All Star break, the Heat are just 5-7 over their last 12 games and are currently No. 7 in the Eastern Conference with no chance to move up into a home court advantage but still a chance to get out of playing in a play in game so these games are meaningful but lines are inflated because of that. Washington put together a three-game winning streak but has lost back-to-back games against Brooklyn and Detroit and its 14 wins on the season are second fewest in the league. The Wizards are just 6-30 at home this season and they have been throwing away money against the number but they are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games at home when catching double digits. This is a revenge game for Miami which lost at home by a bucket but is laying basically the same price on the road and this is the recency bias play against spot. Here, we play on underdogs after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 65-35 ATS (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Washington Wizards |
|||||||
03-31-24 | Cavs v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 101-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Denver is coming off a pair of losses against Phoenix and Minnesota at home which gave it just eight home losses on the season and this is the spot to bounce back with Jamal Murray having a good possibility to return after missing four games. The Nuggets have shot 43 percent or worse in consecutive games for just the third time this season and in the previous two occurrences, they came back by shooting 53 percent from the floor both times. They will be facing a tough defense for the second straight game but this is the get right spot as the Nuggets have fallen into third place in the Western Conference. Cleveland is coming off a win over Philadelphia which temporarily halted a 1-4 stretch as it got Donovan Mitchell back after he missed the previous six games with a broken nose so the Cavaliers are back to full strength. They are still in a fight for the No. 3 and No. 4 spots in the Eastern Conference and his return is keeping this number low. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 87-54 ATS (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Denver Nuggets |
|||||||
03-30-24 | Bucks -4 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We do not like to lay big numbers on the road but this one is very manageable. Milwaukee opened at -7.5 and in comparison, Boston was favored at Atlanta in the last Hawks game by 17.5 points at one point, it closed at -15.5, and while the Bucks are not on the same level as the Celtics, they are not 10 points worse despite the recent struggles which are actually helping with this number which continues to plummet. As is the fact Damian Lillard will miss this game but this is one of those times where a star sits and the rest of the team picks it up. It was the second win in three games for the Hawks over Boston, which had already clinched the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and the Celtics can be guilty of complacency. With that win, it was their fourth straight victory for the Hawks with a depleted roster and that is going to catch up at some point. Atlanta is 11-28 ATS in its last 39 games off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (529) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
03-29-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. This is an immediate revenge game for Sacramento as it lost to Dallas by 36 points on this floor on Tuesday so there will be some extra motivation in the tank tonight. The Kings are now a half-game behind Phoenix for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and they were in a tie for sixth place with Dallas prior to that loss so they can get that back with a win and can move back into a tie with the Mavericks. Sacramento is 24-8 ATS in its last 32 games following a home loss and 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 130 or more points. Dallas has been on a heater as it has won five straight while going 9-1 over its last 10 games to solidify its playoff position. The Mavericks have been solid on the road this season at 21-14 but five of their last six wins on the highway have come against teams that will not be in the postseason and despite the win over the Kings as a slight underdog in their last game, they are just 4-11 as road underdogs on the season. Here, we play on teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
03-29-24 | Rockets v. Jazz +7.5 | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Houston has won 10 straight games to get it into the playoff picture in the Western Conference as it trails Golden St. by one game for the final playoff spot. Half of those wins have come on the road but three of those were against Portland, San Antonio and Washington and while the latest victory was at Oklahoma City, the Thunder were without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Rockets are just 11-24 on the road overall and this line has gone up from opening by over a bucket based on their run. Utah has been on a near opposite run as it has lost seven straight games with four of those at home but those three were against upcoming playoff teams. The Jazz are still 20-17 at home compared to going 9-27 on the road and they are 13-9-1 ATS as home underdogs. One of the recent road losses was a 28-point defeat in Houston and Utah is 15-7 ATS at home revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. Here, we play on underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 90-59 ATS (60.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
03-29-24 | Lakers v. Pacers -3 | Top | 90-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Indiana is coming off a bad loss to Chicago by 26 points to close out its roadtrip with a 3-2 record. The Pacers are back home for four of their next five games and they remain one game ahead of Miami for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference to avoid the play in. Indiana is 21-12 off a loss, covering 20 of those games and this is the first home meeting after two losses to the Lakers, one in Los Angeles and one on a neutral floor in the Play-In Tournament Championship and it is 12-4 ATS at home this season revenging a loss. The Lakers have won five straight games and are now 2.5 games ahead of Golden St. for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference so they have caught fire at the right time for a second straight season after closing last year 9-2 over their last 11 games. The last two wins have come on the road where they are just 14-20 and on the season, the Lakers are 2-11 ATS off a road win. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differentials between +/- 3 ppg, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 33-7 ATS (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
03-28-24 | Celtics v. Hawks +17.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston will be motivated tonight to avenge an awful loss against Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks overcame a 30-point deficit to end the Celtics nine-game winning streak with a 120-118 victory. It was the biggest comeback in Hawks history and the largest comeback in the NBA this season so while this revenge spot heavily favors Boston, it goes from a 10.5-point favorite to a 17.5-point favorite. Sorry, but no matter who is in the Atlanta lineup tonight, a line shift like this is ridiculous with huge value on Atlanta which still has more to play for at this point. The Celtics locked up the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to Milwaukee losing to the Lakers on Monday and they have all but locked up the best record in the league as they are 6.5 games clear of Denver. Atlanta has won three in a row after its win over Portland last night and remains No. 10 in the Eastern Conference and it remains a game and a half behind Chicago which also won last night and getting to that No. 9 seed is big to avoid playing Boston in the first round should it get past the play in game. Boston can win by 30 but the probability is not there and we will gladly jump on this overinflated number. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
03-27-24 | Spurs v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 118-111 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost six straight games including three of those at home but those three were against upcoming playoff teams. The Jazz are still 20-16 at home compared to going 9-27 on the road and that home record is 10-3 when they are favored. Utah had a great run in December and January but it has struggled since mid-January and it has fallen out of playoff contention but we love the contrarian aspect of this spot with the current losing streak and laying a short number. San Antonio is coming off a win over Phoenix without Victor Wembanyama in the lineup which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Spurs hit the road for their first true road game since March 9 as they have played five home games and a pair of neutral site games since that last road game. San Antonio is 7-29 on the highway and coming off a win has not given them much momentum this season as the Spurs are 4-11 following a victory. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, playing a losing team. This situation is 79-39 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
03-27-24 | Pacers -2.5 v. Bulls | Top | 99-125 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Indiana followed up a five-point loss to the Lakers on Sunday with a 17-point win against the Clippers on Monday which was its third win in four games to open this five-game roadtrip. The Pacers improved to 19-17 on the road and once again on their own conference where they are 28-17 against Eastern Conference teams. Indiana is still alive for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs as it trails New York by three games and this is a good momentum spot as the Pacers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games coming off a double-digit win as road underdogs. Chicago is coming off its third straight loss as it fell to Washington at home which was a killer defeat and it is pretty much guaranteed to take part in the play in portion of the postseason. The Bulls are 6.5 games out of sixth place in the conference with just 10 games remaining. They are now 18-19 at home and this includes a 2-5 run at home with the two wins coming against two of the worst teams in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 89-47 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks +10.5 | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston has won nine straight games while going 8-1 against the number in those games. The Celtics are close to clinching the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference as a win here solidifies it with an 11-game lead over the Bucks with 10 games remaining. That being said, winning and covering in this spot is a different story as this number is inflated due to the run and the clinching scenario and going back just three nights ago, they were favored by only 2.5 points more over the lowly Pistons. Atlanta is coming off a win over Charlotte which snapped a two-game losing streak and a 1-5 skid. The Hawks hold down the No. 10 spot in the Eastern Conference and are in good shape to make the playoffs as they have a 5.5-game lead over Brooklyn. They have been awful against the number this season but this is just the second time this season they are getting double digits and they covered the first time which happened to come against the Celtics in Boston. Here, we play against road favorites of 10 or more points having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, playing their 3rd road game in four days. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (520) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
03-24-24 | Pacers v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 145-150 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off a pair of wins against the Hawks and Sixers and this concludes a four-game homestand before Los Angeles hits the road for a six-game trip so this is a game it needs. The Lakers are in the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference, three and a half games behind Phoenix to avoid the play in but they are also three games from missing the postseason all together making every game huge. They are 20-7 at home as favorites. Indiana has also won two straight games includi9ng an upset at Golden St. on Friday and the Pacers have now won five straight games on the road to move two games over .500 on the highway. This is a revenge game for Indiana after losing to the Lakers in the In-Season Tournament Championship but road revenge is a different story. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 92-38 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Los Angeles Lakers |
|||||||
03-23-24 | Kings +3.5 v. Magic | Top | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Sacramento is coming off a bad loss at Washington on Thursday which slightly halted a 6-2 run and the Kings are in a great spot to get it back tonight. Sacramento concludes a three-game roadtrip before heading home for five games and they come in five games over .500 on the highway. The Kings have been a great bounce back team this season going 21-12 ATS following an ATS loss and they have won eight of their last 11 games outright after a defeat. Orlando has won and covered five straight games as it continues to surge up the standings in the Eastern Conference as it is now No. 4, a half-game ahead of the Knicks so every game is big for the Magic as well. They are 25-8 at home and laying a short price but the number has actually come down from the opener despite the majority of money being on Orlando. This is contrarian based on Orlando being the best ATS team in the league. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg, after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 102-53 ATS (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
03-22-24 | Celtics v. Pistons +13.5 | Top | 129-102 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston is coming off a three-point win over Milwaukee for its seventh straight win to improve to an NBA best 55-14 with 13 games remaining. The Celtics injury report including four full or part time starters including Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown and at this stage of the season, getting these guys some rest with a 10.5-game lead in the Eastern Conference is go9ng to happen throughout the remainder of the regular season and we could see some sitting tonight with this the first of a back-to-back. Detroit has lost four straight games following a 3-1 stretch with one of the recent losses being a 25-point loss at Boston so there will be a little added energy tonight. It has obviously been a brutal season for the Pistons but they have been competitive in a lot of recent games with inflated lines as they are 25-15 ATS over their last 40 games. Here, we play against road teams with a scoring differential of +7 ppg or better going up teams with a scoring differential of -7 ppg or worse, after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 27-8 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
03-21-24 | Knicks v. Nuggets -9.5 | Top | 100-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. The Knicks have won four straight games following a pair of upsets wins as underdogs against Sacramento and Golden St. and they concludes their four-game west coast roadtrip tonight. They are now in fourth place in the Eastern Conference as they have maintained their half-game lead over Orlando which has also won four consecutive games. New York is just 7-14 against teams ranked in the Top Ten in the Sagarin ratings which is the worst percentage of teams in the Top Ten themselves. Denver shook off a two-point loss at Dallas with a three-point win at Minnesota on Tuesday and is now on a 12-2 run over its last 14 games. The Nuggets are now just a half-game behind Oklahoma City for first place in the Western Conference and they are back home where they are 27-6, tied for the second best home record in the NBA. Denver is No. 4 in the Sagarin ratings and the only team in the Top Ten to have played a schedule ranked inside the Top Ten in strength. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 73-37 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (538) Denver Nuggets |
|||||||
03-20-24 | 76ers v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia is coming off a pair of wins at home against Miami and Charlotte and is back on the road for a four-game west coast trip, all against teams in current playoff positions. The Sixers have lost three of their last four games on the highway where they are 17-15 overall but most of the success was before the injuries took over. They are No. 6 in the Eastern Conference, sitting just one game out of No. 8. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Milwaukee and has alternated wins and losses over its last six games. It has been a major disappointment of a season for the Suns which are currently in eighth place in the Western Conference but they too have been hit hard by injuries. They are healthy now with the big three back in the lineup and they return home where they are 21-14 for a pair of must win games before going back on the road for five games. Phoenix is 30-15 ATS in its last 45 games following a double-digit loss as a road favorite. Here, we play o favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 82-38 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. It has been a rough season for Washington which is now 11-57 on the season following its fourth straight loss but this is now a great buy low spot. Three of the recent losses were on the road with the one home loss coming against Boston and now they are getting only five fewer points than they were against the best team in the league. Houston has won five straight games which is certainly playing into this number. One of those victories was a home win over Washington just five nights ago and now it is laying more points on the road over the Wizards than what they were laying at home. Houston has been solid in this role, winning five of six games as a road favorite but it has not come close to laying this number with three of those wins coming by less than what it is being asked to cover by tonight. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after allowing 120 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Washington Wizards |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Knicks v. Warriors -4.5 | Top | 119-112 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Star Attraction. New York has won four of its last five games as the defense has locked down, allowing 40 percent shooting or less in each game while allowing 74, 79, 79, 93 and 91 points for an average of just 83.2 ppg allowed. The Knicks are now four games over .500 on the road and are a half-game ahead of Orlando for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and this is the play against spot facing a healthy Warriors team. Golden St. is coming off a win over the Lakers on Saturday as it got Steph Curry back following his absence for three games where it went 1-2. The Warriors are dead even at home and while they have struggles laying a big number, they are 28-12 as favorites and now laying a number within reach of covering the margin. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 81-42 ATS (65.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (568) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | Top | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Eastern Conf. Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a pair of wins in Detroit following a three-point win on Sunday which came after a four-game losing streak. The Heat are now five games over .500 on the road and won yesterday without Jimmy Butler who is questionable again tonight and while he probably will be back, he is not 100 percent. The Sixers are coming off a win over Charlotte to move to 8-14 since Joe Embiid got injured and remain in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference. The Sixers have the identical record at home as Miami has on the road and overall, it is 10 games over .500 following a win. This is a big spot as Philadelphia hits the road for a four-game trip after this, all against current playoff teams. Here, we play on favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
03-17-24 | Nets v. Spurs -1.5 | Top | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio is in the rare roll of being a home favorite with this being just the fifth time all season. The Spurs have won and covered three of those first four games and while this is not a true home game as it is being played in Austin, it is a great spot with some sort of familiarization. They are coming off a loss on this floor against Denver on Friday which was the Spurs third straight loss following a 3-2 run with quality wins against Golden St., Indiana and Oklahoma City. Brooklyn is now 1-4 on this current roadtrip following a pair of losses at Orlando and Indiana. This stretch also included losses at Detroit and Charlotte, two of the three worst teams in the Eastern Conference. The nets have won just 10 games away from home with half of those come in December and prior and on the season, they are just 9-15 as road underdogs. Here, we play on favorites after 3 or more consecutive unders, averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 139-84 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) San Antonio Spurs |
|||||||
03-16-24 | Knicks v. Kings -3 | Top | 98-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New York has won three of its last four games as the defense has locked down, allowing 40 percent shooting or less in each game while allowing 74, 79, 79 and 93 points. The Knicks concluded a two-game home series with a win over the Sixers and opened this four-game roadtrip with a 12-point win at Portland but now face an offense that is going to push it. Sacramento has won two straight games as well following victories over the Lakers and Bucks and the Kings are now No. 6 in the Western Conference, trailing the Clippers by 3.5 games for the No. 4 spot as well as the lead in the Pacific Conference. The Kings are 19-12 at home and have struggled to win by margin but this is a short price tonight. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 81-41ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
03-15-24 | Heat -7.5 v. Pistons | Top | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami was on a 9-2 run that wrapped around the All Star break but the Heat have lost four straight games which included a bad loss at home against Washington but the other three were against top teams from the Western Conference. This is the first of two straight games in Detroit and they cannot give these up as they trail Orlando by 2.5 games in the Southeast Division. They are No. 8 in the Eastern Conference but No. 4 is within reach as they are just 3.5 games behind New York. Detroit has won consecutive games for just the third time this season and by going 3-1 over its last four games, this is the best four-game run of the entire season. That being said, this is not the spot to continue it and the Pistons could be without their top player as Cade Cunningham is listed as questionable. Here, we play on road favorites after failing to cover four of their last five games against the spread going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games against the spread. This situation is 297-207 ATS (58.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Miami Heat |
|||||||
03-14-24 | Clippers -6 v. Bulls | Top | 126-111 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers had a tough situation last weekend where they had to play back-to-back daytime games, winning the first and losing the second one as they rested the Big Three. Los Angeles could not bounce back from that defeat as it followed it up with an 18-point loss at home against Minnesota and now this is the smash bounce back spot. Chicago is coming off a win over Indiana last night as a road underdog to snap a two-game losing streak and move back to two games under .500. The Bulls are back home where they are right at .500 and they have struggled to string wins together, going just 11-20 following a win. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a favorite, second half of the season. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (505) Los Angeles Clippers |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Nuggets v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 100-88 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Star Attraction. Miami has lost three straight games after it looked like it had turned the corner with a 7-1 run. The Heat are coming off a bad loss against the horrible Wizards in what could have been a lookahead to this one. While they have already lost in Denver this season, this is the first time hosting Denver since losing to the Nuggets in the NBA Finals last season so this is a great home revenge spot and they are getting value as we have this number at two with the line being where it is based on opponent name. Denver has won three straight games with all of those coming at home where they are now 27-6, the second best record in the NBA behind Boston. The Nuggets are back on the road for the start of a four-game roadtrip and while they have won three straight away from home, they are still just 18-14 which is good but far from dominant and they have gone 13-19 ATS in those games including 9-15 ATS as road favorite. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 219-156 ATS (58.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (566) Miami Heat |
|||||||
03-13-24 | Nets v. Magic -7 | Top | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We played on Brooklyn on Sunday against Cleveland as the Cavaliers were in an awful spot, coming off a win against Minnesota with a game against Phoenix on deck and they were once again short-handed but now is the time to fade the Nets. They were coming off losses against Detroit and Charlotte in their previous two games, part of a 5-11 stretch with two other wins coming against Memphis and San Antonio and the other three against teams all missing their top player. Orlando has lost two straight games including a 14-point loss against Indiana on Sunday and those losses came right after a five-game winning streak and an 8-1 run. The Magic remain in fifth place in the Eastern Conference, just one game behind New York for the coveted No. 4 spot. They look to get the offense back on track after scoring 74 and 97 points, only the second time this season they have scored fewer than 100 points in back-to-back games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with +/- 3 ppg scoring differentials, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 81-37 ATS (68.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Orlando Magic |
|||||||
03-12-24 | 76ers v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. New York is coming off a loss to the Sixers and it has been a rough stretch of late with New York going 4-9 over its last 13 games. They are now just a half-game ahead of Orlando for fourth place in the Eastern Conference which is the important spot. They are coming off a second great game defensively, allowing 79 points but the offense was nonexistent as they managed a season low 73 points on just 32.5 percent shooting which was also a season low. Philadelphia snapped a three-game losing streak with the win and it has been a struggle for them as well, going 7-15 over their last 22 games and have fallen into sixth place in the conference. The absence of Joel Embiid has obviously had a huge impact and going back, the Sixers are 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games off an upset win as an underdog. We are seeing a line shift from the game on Sunday by a bucket and not because of the Sixers upset but because Tyrese Maxey will return after missing four games with a concussion. Here, we play on favorites off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite of six points or more going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 57-26 ATS (68.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (546) New York Knicks |
|||||||
03-11-24 | Warriors -4.5 v. Spurs | Top | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is the second game of a home-and-home with Golden St. losing their home meeting by 13 points on Saturday and the Warriors have now dropped two straight games. They remain No. 10 in the Western Conference with a 4.5-game lead over Houston and they will have to navigate this three-game roadtrip without Steph Curry and while his absence is big, the defense is what needs to improve after allowing 52 percent shooting the last two games. San Antonio has won three of its last five games after the Saturday victory and it gets Victor Wembanyama back after missing two games. his return along with the Curry absence is making this an overadjusted line as this is the smallest number it has seen at home as an underdog since getting 3.5 points against Utah the day after Christmas. The Spurs are No. 24 in defensive efficiency and the last game was an aberration with Golden St. only taking 88 shots. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
03-10-24 | Nets +7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 120-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Brooklyn lost its second straight game against an awful team as it fell to the Hornets by 11 points following a loss against Detroit on Thursday and now we are seeing an inflated line. This is a great buy low spot as there will be no one backing this Nets team but the good news is that Can Johnson is back and scored 31 last night despite the loss and chemistry should be better with the needed offense in this matchup. Cleveland is coming off a win over Minnesota on Friday and the Cavaliers are in a tough spot off a big win playing a bad team with Phoenix on deck. They have the second best record since the calendar turned at 23-8 and have moved into the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference, eight games behind Boston and a half-game ahead of Milwaukee. The Cavaliers are short-handed without Donovan Mitchell and have Evan Mobley and Max Strus, two double-digit scorers also out. Here, we play on teams revenging a home loss, off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. This situation is 36-10 ATS (78.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (529) Brooklyn Nets |
|||||||
03-10-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. The Clippers are coming off a win over the Bulls yesterday as they rallied from an 11-point halftime deficit to make it two straight wins and extends their 4-1 run. This is a rare tough situation with Los Angeles playing back-to-back day games and that is one we are facing here, especially in this city and we could see some rest based on this line move. The Clippers remain in the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference but have struggled against the top teams, going 8-12 against the top ten and they are only 3-9 as underdogs. Milwaukee has dropped two straight games and has the benefit of having the extra day off while still playing in the same arena following its most recent loss against the Lakers. This recent stretch followed a six-game winning streak coming out of the All Star break and the Bucks are now a half-game behind Cleveland for second place in the Eastern Conference and that big home court, semifinal edge. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (515) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
03-09-24 | Celtics -5.5 v. Suns | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a great bounce back spot for Boston which has lost two straight games following an 11-game winning streak. The Celtics blew a 22-point lead in the fourth quarter against Cleveland as they allowed Dean Wade to have a career game in the final quarter and could not rebound against Denver. This is just the second time all season that Boston has lost consecutive games and catches a short-handed Phoenix team in a get right spot. The Suns have won two straight games including a win at Denver where Boston could not win but they welcome the Celtics at the wrong time. Phoenix has been decent at home by going 21-13 but it is just 12-21-1 against the number which includes losses in all four games as a home underdog, failing to cover any of those and losing all four by either eight or nine points. Devin Booker remains out which is not good against one of the best defenses in the league. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 54-22 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (507) Boston Celtics |
|||||||
03-08-24 | Hawks -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Atlanta has won two straight games following a home win over Cleveland on Wednesday and we will back the Hawks once again who are doing just fine without Trae Young, going 4-2 in six games he has been absent. Atlanta has taken care of the injury riddled teams and it catches another one on Friday for another great spot. While the Hawks are the worst ATS team in the league, they have been decent in this role and have fared much better against the Western Conference. Memphis is coming off an upset win at Philadelphia on Wednesday which was its second straight road upset, the first coming at Brooklyn. The Grizzlies have been much better on the road than at home as they are just 7-24 in Memphis including a 4-18 record as home underdogs. The injury list is now 10-deep as yet another starter was hurt last game and is listed as doubtful. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season coming off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 86-45 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (569) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
03-07-24 | Heat v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami is coming off a pair of wins but those were against Utah and Detroit at home and it failed to cover either of those and it now hits the road in a bad spot. The Heat are 11-3 over their last 14 games which has gotten them to nine games over .500 but the schedule has been in their favor as it has been all season, ranked No. 26 in the league. The Heat have dominated as favorites this season but are just 9-17 as underdogs. Dallas has dropped three straight games while going 1-5 over its last six games following a seven-game winning streak. The last two losses have come at home and this is the game to get right with road games against Detroit and Chicago on deck. The home floor has been pretty average at 18-15 but the Mavericks have dealt with a lot of injuries and while Luka Doncic is on the injury list, he has been upgraded to probable. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (552) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
03-06-24 | Cavs v. Hawks -1.5 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland is coming off an upset win last night over Boston at home, snapping the 11-game Celtics winning streak, and now the Cavaliers hit the road in a big letdown spot. They have the second best record since the calendar turned at 22-7 and remain in the No. 3 spot in the Eastern Conference, eight games behind Boston but just a half-game behind Milwaukee. The Cavaliers are short-handed without Donovan Mitchell and have Evan Mobley and Max Strus, two double-digit scorers, questionable for tonight. Atlanta is also coming off a win last night as it defeated New York which has been in a tailspin and it was without its two top scorers as All Star Jalen Brunson missed his second straight game. The Hawks are still by far the least profitable team in the league with a 20-41 ATS record but the markets are finally catching up with another short number on Wednesday. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 revenging a loss of 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
03-04-24 | Bulls +7.5 v. Kings | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We waited on this based on the questionable status of De'Aaron Fox and while he did participate in shootaround this afternoon which has spiked this number from this morning, it is unclear if he goes as he made the last shootaround but still missed his second straight game with a knee injury. The Kings are coming off an upset win at Minnesota and have a game at the Lakers on deck and after winning the Pacific Division last season, they are five games behind the Clippers. They have been pretty average at home going 16-10 while covering only 11 of those games and they are 9-14 as home favorites. Chicago closed a 1-2 homestand with a 16-point loss against Milwaukee and opens up a four-game roadtrip out west in a good bounce back spot as it is 19-12 following a loss this season. The Bulls are sitting in the No. 9 spot in the Eastern Conference as they are four games under .500 but have been profitable this season as well as on the road. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 115 points or more two straight games going up against an opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 76-40 ATS (65.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) Chicago Bulls |
|||||||
03-03-24 | Pacers -6.5 v. Spurs | Top | 105-117 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana is in a good bounce back spot tonight following a loss in New Orleans on Friday as it is now 34-28 which has it in eighth place in the Eastern Conference. While the team looks to bounce back, Tyrese Haliburton looks for the same as he is coming off a scoreless game against the Pelicans while dishing out only three assists. The Pacers are two games under .500 on the road but has a very favorable matchup against one of the worst defenses in the NBA and Indiana has gone 4-0 in its last four games following a loss. San Antonio is coming off a home upset over Oklahoma City on Thursday as it won by 14 points as an 11-point underdog which snapped a five-game losing streak. The Spurs have won consecutive games only three times the entire season as they are just 3-8 following a victory. There is no home court edge as they are just 6-21 in San Antonio which includes a 3-20 record as underdogs. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a win by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 36-14 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (589) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
03-01-24 | Warriors -3 v. Raptors | Top | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Golden St. is coming off a win last night in New York as it beat the Knicks by 11 points and the Warriors are playing their best basketball of the season. They are 12-3 over their last 15 games and while this could be a tricky spot coming off that win, Golden St. has games against Boston and Milwaukee up next so this is a game it cannot let go. The Warriors are still No. 10 in the Western Conference so every game is big and this is the spot they have dominated this season, going 11-1 as road favorites, covering nine of those. Toronto had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss against Dallas and it remains home where it is 12-17 which includes a 3-10 record as underdogs. Additionally, the Raptors are 3-10 this season following a loss coming right after a win so the losing has been contagious. Toronto is ranked in the bottom third of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency, one of only five teams to fall into both categories. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, playing their 2nd road game in 2 days. This situation is 71-35 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
02-29-24 | Heat v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. This is a revenge spot for Miami after losing in the NBA Finals four games to one last season but we are not backing any sort of road revenge as we are actually getting a good number with the Nuggets. The reason being is that the Heat are on a 5-0 run on this current roadtrip to improve to 18-12 on the road while also on an 8-0 ATS run and the recent road success has been spurred by the offense that is shooting 50 percent from the floor on this trip which is up by five percent than their season average but now face the toughest defense they have seen on the trek. Denver has won and covered four straight games so it is playing just as good following a three-game losing streak right before the break. The Nuggets have the benefit of playing at home where it is 23-5 which is the second best home record in the NBA behind Boston. Overall, Denver has not been profitable at the betting window but it has been overpriced in many cases and is actually underpriced here, laying more than a bucket less than it was in its last home game against Sacramento despite the Kings and Heat having the same power rating. 10* (548) Denver Nuggets |
|||||||
02-28-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 136-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss last night in Cleveland which was its second straight loss which has come after a seven-game winning streak. This is a great bounce back spot and an important one to avoid a three-game skid before the Mavericks head to Boston in two nights. Dallas is 15-12 on the road and it fell to 3-9 as an underdog with the loss last night but the Mavericks are 12-3 when favored on the highway and this one is at an excellent price. Toronto has caught fire coming out of the All Star Break as it has won all three games including the last two on the road as significant underdogs in Atlanta and Indiana. Despite the recent run, the Raptors are 6-15 following a win so this streak is an anomaly and they are back home where they are 12-16 which includes a 3-9 record as underdogs. Toronto is ranked in the bottom third of the league in both offensive and defensive efficiency, one of only five teams to do so. Here, we play against underdogs in the second half of the season off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 85-44 ATS (65.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (527) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
02-27-24 | Mavs v. Cavs -3.5 | Top | 119-121 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Dallas was riding a seven-game winning streak that went back prior to the All Star break but it had that snapped at Indiana on Monday as it lost by 22 points. While this marks a good bounce back opportunity, that is not the case in this situation. Dallas has been solid on the road at 15-11 but it has been a favorable schedule it has taken advantage of as the Mavericks are 12-3 straight up and against the number when favored but going just 3-8 as underdogs, covering just four of those games. Cleveland lost its first to games out of the break but came back with a win against Washington on Monday. The Cavaliers failed to cover which was their fifth straight non-cover so this is a great play on opportunity. They remain in second place in the Eastern Conference, one game up on Milwaukee and going back, they are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games after having lost two of their last three games with a scoring differential of close to 13 ppg. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 84-45 ATS (65.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Cleveland Cavaliers |
|||||||
02-26-24 | Pistons v. Knicks -10.5 | Top | 111-113 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. New York had lost four straight games heading into the All Star Break but beat Philadelphia after the eight days off only to give it back at home against Boston on Saturday by 14 points. The Knicks had won nine straight games before a loss to the Lakers which has triggered a 2-6 run including going 1-7 against the number but this is the game to get back on track before two difficult home games on deck against New Orleans and Golden St. New York is now 19-9 at home including 16-4 as a home favorite and it has responded well coming off a loss as it is 15-7 while going 14-8 against the number. Detroit came through for us on Saturday as it was able to cover at home against Orlando but still lost outright, its fifth straight loss. The Pistons hit the road where they are 4-24 but they have not been nearly as bad against the number as they have covered half of those games including eight of 15 games when getting double digits. This shows they have been competitive just over half the time but this is not the spot based on the Knicks needing a confidence building win and we actually have this number pegged three points higher than it is. 10* (576) New York Knicks |
|||||||
02-25-24 | Spurs v. Jazz -6.5 | Top | 109-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We played on Utah Thursday and it lost outright to Charlotte to make it five straight losses going back prior to the All Star Break and we are coming back with the Jazz laying a much smaller number against a team that is even worse than the Hornets. They remain home where they are 17-11 and have been great in these spots by going 8-3 as favorites while covering seven of those games with one outright loss coming against the injury plagued Sixers where the number was way overadjusted and the other against the Lakers in addition to the Charlotte defeat. San Antonio has lost both games coming out of the break but covered both in five-point losses against the Kings and Lakers and this is now its eighth straight road game. The Spurs are now 6-25 away from home while getting outscored by over 10 ppg which is a huge differential for even some of the worst teams. San Antonio is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 games off two or more consecutive road losses. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 46-20 ATS (69.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
02-24-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Orlando has won two straight games following an upset win in Cleveland on Thursday and the Magic are now six games over .500. The best cover team in the league this season at 64.8 percent, Orlando has been and will continue to be a public team with some overadjusted numbers so playing against them in certain situations is how to go and this is one of those. This is the second game of a three-game roadtrip where the Magic are 13-18 on the season. Detroit lost at Indiana by 14 points coming out of the break and this is its first home game in 20 days, which also happened to be against Orlando in a 12-point so there is quick home revenge, after playing its last six games on the road. It has obviously been a tough season, both at home and on the road but the covers are what matters and they are a respectable 11-10-1 ATS as home underdogs. The offense is coming off a solid performance and Detroit has shot 50 percent of better in eight of its last 13 games. here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road loss by 10 points or more, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 54-24 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (546) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
02-23-24 | Clippers -9 v. Grizzlies | Top | 101-95 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers got rolled in their first game back from the All Star Break as they lost to Oklahoma City by 22 points, falling a game and a half behind the Thunder and 2.5 games behind Minnesota for first place in the Western Conference. The defensive effort was horrible last night as Los Angeles allowed 55.6 percent shooting but that was against the No. 5 team in Offensive Efficiency and it gets a break from that tonight. The Clippers are now favored on the road where they are 14-5 while going 12-7 against the number. Memphis is back for its first game after the break on a two-game winning streak which came on the heels of a nine-game losing streak. The Grizzlies have been decimated with injuries all season which has hurt the offense the most as they are dead last in the league in Offensive Efficiency. Despite the two recent wins, Memphis is just 7-20 at home while winning just four of 20 games as an underdog. Here, we play on teams shooting 48 percent on the season, after a game allowing 55 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 134-81 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (533) Los Angeles Clippers |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Hornets v. Jazz -9 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Thursday Triple Play. Charlotte closed with a 3-0 run prior to the All Star Break which is its first three-game winning streak of the season and just the third time this season the Hornets have won consecutive games. While that is a positive run that could normally give a team like this a boost, the problem is that it took place a week ago and that momentum is gone. The three wins all came at home and now Charlotte has to hit the road where it is 5-20 while covering just seven of those games and previous to the two recent ATS wins, they were 2-16 in 18 games following a cover. The Jazz have lost four straight games and remain home where they are 17-10 and have been great in these spots by going 8-2 as favorites while covering seven of those games with one outright loss coming against the injury plagued Sixers where the number was way overadjusted and the other against the Lakers. Overall, Utah is 13-5 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record. Here, we play against road underdogs coming off three or more consecutive home wins, playing five or less games in 14 days. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Nets +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-121 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Thursday Triple Play. Brooklyn became the second team to let go of their head coach and in a similar situation after a short run. The Nets named assistant Kevin Ollie interim head coach on Tuesday, a day after firing Jacque Vaughn and this is a good spot to play on Brooklyn with a new guy in charge which can invigorate a team. The Nets finished with two straight losses and defeats in five of their last six games before the All Star Break and continue their five-game roadtrip in Toronto for their second game. They have struggled on the road at 8-16 but have been respectable in the role of road underdogs. Toronto has lost three straight games and has gone sideways since the roster overhaul as it is 4-15 over its last 19 games and the Raptors have fallen to 19-36 overall. While they have struggled on the road, they have not been much better at home going 11-16 and are now favored for just the fifth time in their last 23 games. Here, we play on teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg and after a loss by 15 points or more going up against teams with a scoring differential between -3 and -7 ppg. This situation is 50-23 ATS (68.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (501) Brooklyn Nets |
|||||||
02-22-24 | Knicks +1 v. 76ers | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 26 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Thursday Triple Play. New York limped into the All Star Break with four straight losses which came after a 16-3 run and the time off came at a great time to let that skid go. The Knicks made a big move up in the Eastern Conference standings but are back into the No. 4 spot which is a game and a half behind Milwaukee for third place and a half-game up on the Sixers which have fallen into fifth place. New York has been average on the road at 14-14 and while it has struggled as a road underdog, nine of those losses have come when it has gotten three or more points so the opposition has played a big role. The Sixers are in a rough stretch where they have gone 3-9 over their last 12 games which includes a 3-8 record in the 11 games that Joel Embiid has not played or finished. They have fallen well back in the standings and while this is an important time to try and stay afloat, the timing remains bad with this the start of four games against Eastern Conference contenders. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off two or more consecutive road losses, playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (507) New York Knicks |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Lakers v. Jazz -5.5 | Top | 138-122 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. The Lakers have caught a little fire having won five of its last six games including a 14-point win over Detroit last night but they are now in a tough spot with an odd line. This number opened at 3 and has nearly doubled that as of Wednesday morning and this is a line we have at even so there have been adjustments and this very could be a situation of some rest expected despite the All Star Break approaching. Nonetheless, we are going against the fishy price. The Lakers are just 10-17 on the road. Utah has lost two straight games, both by double digits and it has gone just 4-8 over its last 12 games to fall to 26-28 after a great midseason run of 15-4. The Jazz remain home where they are 17-8 and have been great in these spots by going 8-1 as favorites while covering seven of those games with the one outright loss coming against the injury plagued Sixers where the number was way overadjusted. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 78-35 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Pacers -4 v. Raptors | Top | 127-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This is a big game for Indiana as it has been floundering along, going 7-10 over its last 17 games following a horrible loss at Charlotte on Monday by nine points as a 10-point favorite. The Pacers have fallen into the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference, 12.5 games out of first place which is unattainable but they are just 3.5 games out of the all-important No. 4 spot. Indiana still possesses a lethal offense with great pace as they are No. 2 in Offensive Efficiency. Toronto has lost two straight games and has gone sideways since the roster overhaul as it is 4-14 over its last 18 games and the Raptors have fallen to 19-35 overall. The defense has been atrocious during this 18-game stretch, allowing 50 percent shooting or higher 11 times and will have trouble here. Toronto is just 3-8 as a home underdog, covering only four of those games while the Raptors are 7-20 against teams ranked in the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (519) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
02-14-24 | Hawks -6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-122 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Atlanta was on a rare hot ATS run as it went 6-1 against the number over a seven-game stretch but is coming off an outright loss against Chicago to make it a 6-3 outright run following a four-game losing streak. The Hawks are still down 23.7 units which is by far the worst in the league yet they come in as a big favorite on the road Wednesday. That being said, the spot sets up for it to be in that situation and we are going contrarian and buck the 3-6 ATS record as road favorites. Charlotte has won two straight games, a pair of home upsets as underdogs against Memphis and Indiana. This is the first time the Hornets have won consecutive games since November and they have only done it twice. Charlotte is just 2-9 following a win and 3-16 following a cover this season so while Atlanta has been awful at the betting window, the Hornets are not far behind. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Atlanta Hawks |
|||||||
02-13-24 | Celtics -8 v. Nets | Top | 118-110 | Push | 0 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston and Brooklyn square off in a home-and-home set before the All Star Break with the Celtics looking for a strong finish after what has been a mediocre run. While they have won 12 of their last 15 games, they have gone just 6-9 against the number, part of that being market adjustments and part of it simply being not dominating. Boston is still in first place in the Eastern Conference by a wide 5.5-game margin over Cleveland and it remains on the road where it is 16-9 and looking to snap a three-game non-cover streak. Brooklyn is coming off a 20-point win over San Antonio which snapped a three-game slide, all losses coming at home where it is 13-16 on the season. The opposition has played a huge role in the Nets success at home as they are 10-2 as home favorites but just 2-14 as home underdogs (one game was a pickem) and while they have gone 5-9-2 ATS, half of those losses have been by double digits. Boston has won seven straight meetings here, five by 10 or more points. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win by 20 points or more, with a losing record. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Boston Celtics |
|||||||
02-12-24 | 76ers +10 v. Cavs | Top | 123-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia bounced back from a four-game losing streak and a 1-8 slide with a win over Washington to get some momentum going. The line is reflecting the recent struggles as well as the surge for Cleveland and we are catching a lot of value with the Sixers with the number being overadjusted with Joel Embiid out. The defense has struggled of late but they are still No. 11 in Defensive Efficiency and the offense has gotten a spark. Buddy Hield had gone 24 straight games with the Pacers without scoring 20 points but since getting traded, he has put up 20 and 23 points in his first two games with the Sixers. The Cavaliers have won nine straight and 17 of their last 18 games to climb up the Eastern Conference standings as they are now in the No. 2 spot, five games behind Boston. Cleveland has been beating a lot of weak opponents during this stretch and it is 25-4 against teams ranked outside the top 16 while going 10-12 against opponents inside that group. Here, we play on teams after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 113-73 ATS (60.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (573) Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
02-11-24 | Kings v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma City has lost two straight games following a 35-point loss at Dallas on Saturday and the Thunder have an immediate bounce back situation. They were on a 12-4 run prior to the last two games, both of which were on the road, and Oklahoma City has fallen into fourth place in the Western Conference but it is just two games out of first place so it is wide open. The Thunder are back home where they are 20-6 while going 19-3 after a 1-3 start. Additionally, revenge is in play following a pair of road losses in Sacramento this season and eight straight losses in the series. The Kings were embarrassed at home against Detroit on Wednesday as they lost by 13 points but followed that up with a 29-point win over Denver which was a perfect play against spot on the Nuggets which were coming off a win at the Lakers the previous night. Sacramento is 5-5 in its last 10 road games but three of those wins were against teams not sniffing playoff spots and having three of the six worst records in the league. Here, we play on teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Oklahoma City Thunder |
|||||||
02-10-24 | Rockets +4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The road struggles for Houston continue as it has dropped its first three games of this current four-game roadtrip and while they were leveled by Minnesota in the opener, the Rockets lost the last two games by three points each and they are catching an overvalued team and number tonight. Houston fell to 5-19 on the road but it is now getting three points more than it did against Toronto in the last game and the Hawks and Raptors are separated by a half-point in the power ratings. Atlanta is coming off a win over Philadelphia last night as it went off as a road favorite because of the Sixers injuries but the Hawks continue to burn money overall. They are 16-36 against the number and that 30.8 percent is by far the worst in the NBA. Atlanta is better at home than the road but only by one game as it is 12-14 at home and it is just 3-12 ATS as a home favorite this season. The Hawks have also been awful when playing with no rest, going 3-6 straight up and 2-7 ATS. 10* (559) Houston Rockets |
|||||||
02-09-24 | Nuggets v. Kings -0.5 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our Western Conference Game of the Month. We lost with the Kings on Wednesday as they were destroyed by the Pistons, which are the worst team in the league and were without their best player, but it happens when a team shoots 56 percent from the floor including 55 percent from long range and does not miss a free throw, going 22-22. Sacramento has to regroup and now face one of the best teams in the Western Conference but it is at least a good spot with a day off and Denver having played on Thursday. The Kings are seven spots worse in both Offensive and Defensive Efficiency rankings but have played a schedule ranked seven spots higher. The Nuggets are coming off a game in Los Angeles against the Lakers which is always a huge deal which can spurn a letdown win or lose. Denver is once again one of the beat home teams in the NBA with a 21-4 record, second behind Boston, but the Nuggets are an average road team with their win percentage No. 12. The Nuggets are 9-16-1 ATS on the road which is the fourth lowest percentage in the league and that should come as no surprise with their numbers having to be overinflated. 10* (542) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
02-08-24 | Bulls v. Grizzlies +5.5 | Top | 118-110 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis has lost six straight games heading into Thursday with all of those teams ranked No. 14 or higher in the NBA Power Rankings so the schedule has not been in its favor. The Grizzlies have been ravaged with injuries throughout the season and have been competitive against the bottom half of the league as they are 9-10 against teams ranked No. 15 or below. Overall, Memphis has played the No. 1 ranked schedule in the league and are ranked No. 9 in Defensive Efficiency which has made up for the lack of offense. Chicago is coming off a win against Minnesota in overtime on Tuesday by six points as a five-point home underdog as it overcame a 22-point halftime deficit to pull off the unlikely win. The Bulls hit the road where they are 9-15 and on the season, they are just 8-15 following a win. While the injury list is big for Memphis, the Bulls are banged up as well. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg and after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half going up against teams with a scoring differential of -3 to -7. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (526) Memphis Grizzlies |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Pistons v. Kings -12.5 | Top | 133-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. This is a big number to be putting down but it is obviously justified and the right situation to lay it. Sacramento is coming off a 5-2 roadtrip although it was hammered in the final game at Cleveland by 26 points as it was clearly ready to head home. This is a great get right spot in a short two-game homestand with the second game against Denver on Friday before three more road games right before the All Star Break so despite the opponent, this is important. Detroit has lost three straight games since going on a 2-1 run and it has been one of the best cover teams in the league over the last month and a half as the Pistons have gone 14-6 over their last 20 games against the number. They have covered six straight games as double-digit underdogs but could very well be without Cade Cunningham tonight who is dealing with a knee injury. Here we play on favorites of 10 or more points in the second half of the season with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg going up against teams with a scoring differential of -7 ppg or worse. This situation is 59-26 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) Sacramento Kings |
|||||||
02-07-24 | Warriors v. 76ers +2.5 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Star Attraction. Philadelphia has lost two straight games and six of its last seven while going 1-2 since Joel Embiid went down with a knee injury and now everyone is down on the Sixers. They have fallen into the No. 5 spot in the Eastern Conference as they are now 8.5 games behind Boston for first place and this is the start of a big five-game stretch prior to the All Star Break. Embiid is obviously the glue of this team but Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris have the ability to lead this team in his absence. Golden St. is coming off a win over Brooklyn as it overcame a six-point half-time deficit to win by 11 points as it bounced back from an overtime loss in Atlanta. The story was the absence of Klay Thompson late in that game as he was benched the majority of the fourth quarter and this team is not gelled right now. Golden St. is 9-12 on the road and come in favored because of the inactive Embiid yet are still not the better team with him out. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having lost five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Philadelphia 76ers |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Bucks +3.5 v. Suns | Top | 106-114 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Star Attraction. Milwaukee has struggled under new head coach Doc Rivers as it has gone 1-3 and it concludes its five-game roadtrip in looking to avoid a 1-4 trek. The Bucks defensive woes were considered the reason for the firing of Adrian Griffin and it has actually regressed, allowing 49.9 percent shooting over this four-game stretch and while it does not get easier here, this is a great gut check opportunity. Milwaukee is a game under .500 on the road and catching an overpriced number. Phoenix has played the second easiest schedule in the NBA and its nine games against the top ten ranked teams are the fewest of any team in the league and it has gone 3-6 in those games. The Suns have been playing better with wins in 10 of their last 13 games but only three of those were against winning teams. Phoenix has not fared well in games going into a shootout as it is 3-13 ATS against teams allowing 116 or more ppg while going 3-12 ATS against teams averaging 116 or more ppg. Here, we play on underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 135 points or more. This situation is 56-29 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (583) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
02-06-24 | Magic v. Heat -3.5 | Top | 95-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Orlando is coming off a win over Detroit on Sunday which was its third straight win, all on the road, after coming in having lost eight of its previous 10 games on the highway. The Magic are now 12-17 on the road and this is their fourth road game in seven days and their fifth in nine days. While going 5-1 as a road favorite, Orlando is 7-15 as a road underdog and we are getting value based on the 31-17-2 overall ATS record for the Magic which is the best in the NBA. Miami had lost seven straight games, it longest skid in over 15 years, but then won two straight games before giving one back against the red hot Clippers on Sunday by eight points. The Heat continue their four-game homestand including a game against San Antonio tomorrow. Miami has plays the roles to accordance as it is 5-15 as an underdog but 21-9 as a favorite while going 11-7-1 ATS when favored by four points or fewer. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 33-12 ATS (73.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (578) Miami Heat |
|||||||
02-05-24 | Warriors +3 v. Nets | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. It has been a rough stretch for Golden St. as since a five-game winning streak right before Christmas, the Warriors are 6-11 over their last 17 games to fall four games under .500. Despite a 60-point effort from Steph Curry, they lost in overtime to Atlanta and failed produce a three-game winning streak for the first time since that pre-holiday run. Golden St. is on its third game of this five-game roadtrip and while it is 8-12 on the highway, there is value in this bounce back spot as we have them as a one-point favorite. The Warriors are 8-20 against the top 16 being one of only two teams in the top 19 with fewer than 10 wins against that group but they have tried to make it up with a 13-5 record against the bottom 14 in the NBA. Brooklyn is coming off a 15-point win against an injury depleted Philadelphia team and the Nets have won three of their last four games which isa façade as they were coming off a 4-17 run in their previous 21 games. The Nets are back home where they do not have a big home court advantage as they are 12-13 including a 4-8 record in their last 12 games. Here, we play on underdogs after scoring 115 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 135 points or more. This situation is 46-14 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (565) Golden St. Warriors |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Rockets v. Wolves -7 | Top | 90-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota closes out its three-game homestand following a loss against Orlando on Friday following a 4-1 run and the Timberwolves are now tied with Oklahoma City for first place in the Western Conference. It was a rare home loss for Minnesota which is 18-5 and it followed up three of the first four home losses with wins by 22, 27 and 11 points. The Timberwolves are coming off an average defensive performance and they remain No. 1 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 2 in Defensive Efficiency. By now, the home/road dichotomy of the Rockets is evident but they find themselves in another tough spot here. They are coming off a blowout win against the Raptors on Friday as favorites, they are now only 10-22 as underdogs while going 13-3 in the role of favorites. The Rockets have been a great turnaround story but they have leveled out, going 7-13 in their last 20 games. Houston is 1-8 ATS this season coming off a nonconference game. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points outrebounding opponents by three or more rpg per game, in February games. This situation is 207-140 ATS (59.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Minnesota Timberwolves |
|||||||
02-04-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7 | Top | 111-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Orlando has won two straight and three of its last four games while covering all four of those contests and the Magic are now three games over .500. One of the best cover teams in the league this season at 63.8 percent, Orlando has been and will continue to be a public team with some overadjusted numbers so playing against them in certain situations is how to go and this is one of those. This is their third road game in five days and their fourth in seven days and this is the final game before starting a four-game homestand leading up to the All Star Break. Detroit has dropped two straight after winning two of three games and it continues to cash. The Pistons have covered three straight games as well as nine of their last 10 and 14 of their last 19 games. The offense has started to fins its rhythm as Detroit has shot 50 percent of better in seven of its last 10 games going up against one of the worst offenses. Detroit is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 135 points or more. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after successfully covering the spread in four or more consecutive games, playing their 3rd road game in five days. This situation is 57-26 ATS (68.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Detroit Pistons |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Warriors v. Grizzlies +8.5 | Top | 121-101 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. This is one of those lines that has to be set the way it is because of who it is. Making a comparison to last night, The Grizzlies were getting nine points against a 30-16 Cleveland team and now they are getting a point less against a 20-24 Golden St. team with the Warriors again overvalued based on name. Golden St. is coming off a win over a depleted Philadelphia team that was without its second leading scorer and saw Joel Embiid leave the game. The Warriors start a five-game roadtrip where they are 7-11 and those 18 road games are the fewest road games played of any team in the NBA so the schedule has been in their favor and they have not taken advantage of that even, going 13-13 at home. The Memphis roster is a shell of what it started with this season and even more so after getting Ja Morant back for a few games but even with a bunch of usual role players, the Grizzlies remain competitive. They have stayed within the number in nine of their last 14 games with every one of those games being in the underdog role including an outright win over the Warriors just over two weeks ago with a similar number. 10* (518) Memphis Grizzlies |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets -4.5 | Top | 106-135 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. This is a smash spot for Houston which was a term no one uttered last season. The Rockets are coming off a home loss against New Orleans on Wednesday and while it has been a rough stretch of going 4-9 over their last 13 games, eight of those were on the road, six resulting in losses. Houston was an underdog against the Pelicans and fell to 10-22 in that role and now the Rockets are favorites where they are 12-3 this season. They are right in the playoff picture as they are in the No. 11 spot which is just one position out and they trail No. 10 seed Utah by only a game and a half. This is a big bounce back game as Houston has a four-game roadtrip on deck and they have only one home game before the All-Star Break. Toronto is coming off a rare win and a rare road win as it defeated Chicago by 11 points which snapped a five-game losing streak and a 1-9 stretch. The victory also snapped a five-game road losing streak where Toronto is now 7-17 and it comes in just 8-22 when getting points and while it has covered close to half of those, the Raptors are just 3-7 ATS when getting four points or more. 10* (520) Houston Rockets |
|||||||
02-02-24 | Suns -3 v. Hawks | Top | 120-129 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Atlanta is coming off a win over the Lakers for its second straight victory but it caught a break with Anthony Davis sitting out which was a late day announcement and the Hawks ended up closing at -6. It was a rare cover as Atlanta snapped a five-game non-cover streak and even though it was a blowout against a team without a superstar, the Hawks still allowed 53.3 percent shooting and the Hawks are No. 29 in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage defense. Atlanta is 0-10 in its last 10 games following a cover while going 0-13 ATS following a Western Conference game so this has been a winless scenario more than halfway through the season. Typically this is a spot we go contrarian but the longevity of it has merit and the matchup does not bode well. Phoenix has won two straight games and is 14-5 in its last 19 games as the Suns are gradually climbing up the Western Conference standings but still have a ways to go, sitting 5.5 games out of the No. 4 spot and home court. These are the games they need to take advantage of and so far they have, going 18-7 against teams outside the top 16. 10* (513) Phoenix Suns |
|||||||
02-01-24 | Pacers +4 v. Knicks | Top | 105-109 | Push | 0 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New York has won eight straight games while covering seven of those but with the exception of a win over Denver, it has defeated no other team of real significance. The Knicks have moved into the No. 3 spot in the Eastern Conference as they are now 14 games over .500 and laying a short price tonight with the public going to be all over them again. New York is covering over 61 percent of its games this season and has been the third most profitable team in the NBA this season with regression expected. The Knicks are still without Julius Randle with a shoulder injury and it is hard to ignore the fact they welcome the Lakers to town in their next game. Indiana is coming off a solid effort in Boston on Tuesday but lost by five points which snapped a three-game winning streak and that was its fifth loss in its last six road games but four of those were within the Western Conference. That is important as the Pacers have struggled against that conference and they are 21-12 against the Eastern Conference which is the fourth best record in the conference while going 21-11-1 against the number. Indiana remains a top ranked offense as it is No. 2 in Offensive Efficiency and the Pacers need to keep that going against one of the better defenses in the league. This is a great contrarian spot at a buy low/sell high opportunity. 10* (501) Indiana Pacers |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Pelicans -2.5 v. Rockets | Top | 110-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. New Orleans is coming off a loss in Boston last night which was its third straight loss but all of those have been against three of the best teams in the NBA. The Pelicans played good enough to win last night but the perimeter was the difference as they were outscored by 21 points from long range. They are now 12-11 on the road but over half of those losses have come to teams in the top seven in winning percentage. New Orleans is 12-8 coming off a loss and the focus will be here as this is a revenge spot following two losses to Houston in the first two meetings. By now, the home/road dichotomy of the Rockets is evident but they find themselves in a tough spot here. They are coming off a blowout win against the Lakers and while they were a short underdog, they are now only 10-21 as underdogs while going 12-3 in the role of favorites. The Rockets have been a great turnaround story but they have leveled out, going 6-12 in their last 18 games. 10* (573) New Orleans Pelicans |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Kings v. Heat -1 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. It is gut check time for Miami as it has lost seven straight games as both offense and defense have trended the wrong way. The Heat are coming off their third straight double-digit loss as they fell to Phoenix by 13 points on Monday with the other two losses coming against Boston and New York so they have faced some still competition and while it does not get easier here, the line has adjusted to the recent issues. In the midst of their longest losing streak in over 15 years, Miami players and coaches had a well needed venting session on their day off and we will see an inspired bunch. Sacramento has won four straight following a nine-point win at Memphis where Domantas Sabonis went off with 20 points on 91 percent shooting with 26 rebounds and five assists and that 20-25-5-90 percent stat line has been produced only one other time which was from Wilt Chamberlain. This is a tough spot for the Kings despite the recent results as they will see the best of Miami. 10* (572) Miami Heat |
|||||||
01-31-24 | Bulls -4 v. Hornets | Top | 117-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Chicago is coming off a home loss against Toronto and it has dropped three of its last four games following a 6-2 run. Two of those wins were against Charlotte including a game here about three weeks ago and while it resulted in a cover push, the Bulls were favored by seven points and are now laying just half that tonight. There is no Zach LaVine this time around but he is not worth 2.5 points. While Chicago is 3-14 as a road underdog, it is 5-1 as a road chalk. The Hornets have lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those and their defense has completely bottomed out. They have allowed at least 50 percent shooting in five straight games and nine of their last 11 and on the season, the Hornets are dead last in the league in defensive efficiency. Charlotte is 5-17 at home and it has played worse than the record shows as the Hornets are -11.5 ppg in scoring differential and of the 17 losses, 10 have been by double digits. 10* (569) Chicago Bulls |
|||||||
01-30-24 | Lakers +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 122-138 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers had a two-game winning streak snapped last night with a 16-point loss at Houston which is a solid team at home at 17-8 and Los Angeles remains on the road in a good bounce back situation. The Lakers are tied for the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference and while they are 9-16 on the highway, they are catching a good number which is rare for a team that is typically overvalued. Los Angeles is ranked No. 8 in Offensive Efficiency and is in a great matchup. Atlanta had lost four straight games but bounced back with a win over Toronto on Sunday but it was by just one point and despite being the worst ATS team in the league at 11-35, they continue to be overvalued. The Hawks are home favorites again where they have gone 1-12 ATS with the only cover coming against San Antonio by a point and half. They will keep any team in the game as the Hawks are No. 29 in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage defense. Here, we play on teams with a +/- 3 ppg scoring differential and coming off a blowout loss by 15 points or more going up against teams with a -3 to -7 ppg scoring differential. This situation is 50-22 ATS (69.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (557) Los Angeles Lakers |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Magic v. Mavs -4 | Top | 129-131 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month. Dallas won in Atlanta on Friday with Luka Doncic putting up 73 points but the Mavericks gave it right back on Saturday with a home loss against Sacramento and they have now lost four of their last five games. It has been an up and down season for Dallas which is now four games over .500 but one thing is has had success in is bouncing back, going 13-7 straight up and against the number following a loss. Orlando is coming off a win over Phoenix last night to snap a two-game losing streak and after a huge start to the season, the Magic have regressed. Orlando is 8-15 over its last 23 games including a 4-10 record on the road and the early success is still overvaluing this team, one of only five teams with an ATS record of 60 percent or better. The Magic have played nine games this season with no rest and have gone 2-7 including a 1-6 record when not playing back-to-back home games. Here, we play against underdogs off an upset win as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home loss. This situation is 141-89 ATS (61.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Dallas Mavericks |
|||||||
01-29-24 | Jazz +1 v. Nets | Top | 114-147 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Utah is coming off a pair of road wins against two of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference and now id facing a third that is trending that way. The Jazz moved back over .500 and have been one of the hotter teams in the NBA since mid-December, going 17-7 over their last 24 games. While sitting in the No. 10 spot in the Western Conference, Utah is just 3.5 games out of the No. 5 spot with the bottom half being wide open. Utah is 14-1 ATS this season coming off consecutive road games. Brooklyn opened the season 12-9 but it has lost 18 of its last 24 games and is barely holding onto a playoff position in the Eastern Conference. The Nets are coming off a win over Houston, one of the worst road teams in the NBA, by a bucket as they nearly blew a 28-point lead. The win snapped a four-game home losing streak and a 2-7 run with one of those wins coming against Detroit. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a straight up loss as a favorite going up against an opponent after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 44-11 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Utah Jazz |
|||||||
01-28-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Hawks | Top | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Toronto has lost four straight games while failing to cover any of those and it hits the road following a 20-point home loss to the Clippers. The Raptors are 6-16 on the road but they have covered 10 of those games which is a direct relation to being undervalued based on the numerous moves they have made. Despite being 13 games under .500, Toronto is just -2.4 ppg in scoring margin as it is top 20 in both offense and defensive efficiency. Atlanta has equally lost four straight games while also failing to cover any of those and despite being the worst ATS team in the league at 11-34, they continue to be overvalued. The Hawks are coming off the loss to Dallas where they gave up 73 points to Luka Doncic and are home favorites again where they have gone 1-11 ATS. They will keep any team in the game as the Hawks are No. 29 in defensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage defense. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 115 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 15 points or more. This situation is 73-37 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (527) Toronto Raptors |
|||||||
01-27-24 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5 | Top | 117-141 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Milwaukee became the first team to fire its coach this season despite being 30-13 and sitting just 3.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference at the time. The Bucks won their first game with interim head coach Joe Prunty against Cleveland but lost the rematch with the Cavaliers last night and despite hiring Doc Rivers as the new head coach, Prunty will coach again Saturday. Milwaukee has failed to cover 11 of its last 13 games and this is helping keep this number within reason. The Bucks are 10-3 this season coming off a loss. New Orleans is coming off a bad loss last night as well as it fell by 24 points against Oklahoma City at home and while this could be a good bounce back opportunity, not in this spot at this place. The Pelicans are just 5-5 over their last 10 games following a four-game winning streak and they are currently tied with Phoenix for the No. 6 spot in the Western Conference. They have been pretty solid on the road this season but continues to struggle against the top teams as New Orleans is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. 10* (514) Milwaukee Bucks |
|||||||
01-26-24 | Clippers v. Raptors +7.5 | Top | 127-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers are coming off a three-game sweep of their recent homestand culminated with an 11-point win over the Lakers. Los Angeles improved to 19-4 at home and it hits the road for a seven-game roadtrip where success has not been the same as the Clippers are 9-10 and even though they have been solid as road favorites, this is not the spot. They head to Boston tomorrow so there is the lookahead to that and it is exemplified more that it is a revenge spot after the Celtics came to Los Angeles and won by 37 points in December. Toronto has lost three straight games following an eight-point loss to Memphis as a seven-point chalk and now the line has flipped. The Raptors have been sellers by getting rid of Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby to build for the future but they got pieces in return for the present that still makes this a talented roster. Toronto remains home after a solid rest of three days off and catches the Clippers at the right time. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points allowing 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 97-55 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Toronto Raptors |
|||||||
01-25-24 | Bulls v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 132-141 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Los Angeles has gone 8-14 since winning the In-Season Tournament including a loss against the Clippers on Tuesday which was considered a road game but still in the same building so there is no disadvantage for travel. This is the last home game before playing the next six games on the road so this is one the Lakers need. They were without LeBron James in the last game but he is expected to return tonight following three days of rest. Los Angeles is 15-8 in its 23 home games including wins in five of its last seven. Chicago lost in Phoenix on Monday by two points as it stayed within the number to make it three straight covers. The Bulls fell to 7-14 on the road which includes a 3-13 record as underdogs and while they are 7-9 against the number in those games, they are 3-6 ATS when getting between 3.5 and 9 points. Chicago will once again be without Zach LaVine who is out for at least two weeks with a sprained ankle which is not good for an offense that is No. 22 in efficiency. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 75-34 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (556) Los Angeles Lakers |