Sports Picks & Predictions

The logjam between 2nd and 5th place could get even tighter with a Connecticut win on Thursday and that is what I am expecting here. The Huskies are 8-4 which is a game behind SMU and they are ahead of Tula and Houston by just a half-game so a win here keeps them in the hunt while a loss puts them two and a half games behind first place Temple. Connecticut is 12-2 at home with a one-point loss to Cincinnati and a two-point loss to Temple being the only setbacks so laying a short number here is ideal. The Mustangs are coming off a home win over Gonzaga which avenged a big road loss against the Bulldogs from last season so this is a potential letdown for SMU. Give credit to the Mustangs for playing as good as they are with nothing to play for since there is no postseason in their future but as the season winds down, we should start seeing less effort and we have already started seeing that. They have gone 3-3 over their last six games following an 18-0 start. The Huskies are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Mustangs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS win. 10* (520) Connecticut Huskies

William & Mary is one of five original Division I teams to have never made the NCAA Tournament and after coming so close last season, the potential was there again this year. The Tribe are still in fine shape to achieve that goal but it will take a run in the upcoming CAA Tournament which is the case for all teams but gaining a top four seed is necessary. Right now William & Mary is tied with two other teams for third place so slipping down to fifth is a possibility which is not ideal. The Tribe are coming off a pair of losses as they fell to Hofstra and then could not recover two days later and fell to Towson on the road. They now face leader UNC-Wilmington which is 12-2 and riding an 11-game winning streak but nearly half of those wins have been decided by two or fewer possessions. The Seahawks have a two-game lead over Hofstra and they still have a home game against the Pride and a win there could put the conference away. William & Mary will be out to avenge an overtime loss at Wilmington last month and going back, the Tribe are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (510) William & Mary Tribe

We lost a tough one on Saturday with Oklahoma as it was unable to shoot the ball early in the game as the Sooners shot just 26.7 percent from the floor but still trailed by only eight points. They were unable to pull away in the second half however and could not avenge the triple overtime defeat in the first meeting. Now it is time to regroup and bounce back on the road to keep pace in the Big XII and while catching the Jayhawks is going to be a challenge, grabbing second place is important as well. Oklahoma has rebounded with a victory following its first three losses this yet the Red Raiders will be no easy out. They are riding a two-game winning streak, both coming as underdogs against Iowa St. and Baylor, the latter coming by 18 points on the road so it was a massive upset on Saturday. It has been an up and down season for Texas Tech as it is now just 5-7 in the conference and while it is 11-3 at home, it is 1-3 both straight up and against the number as a home underdog. The Red Raiders will be out to avenge a 24-point loss in Norman earlier this season but the talent is not there to get it done in this spot with the Sooners expected to be completely focused after Saturday. 10* (735) Oklahoma Sooners

Winning games in the Missouri Valley Conference rarely provoke a letdown situation but when the win comes against Wichita St., that is the rare occasion where the situation can take place. Northern Iowa took out the Shockers on Saturday as a 14.5-point underdog on the road no less which snapped a 43-game home winning streak. The Panthers have now won six straight games to improve to 8-6 after a dreadful 2-6 start in the MVC and they have also covered all six of those games on top of it. Loyola-Chicago opened the conference season with five consecutive losses but has been playing a lot better since then, going 5-4 over their last nine games and the only bad loss over that stretch came at Wichita St. The Ramblers lost by a point at home against Evansville in their last game and they have gone a perfect 4-0 in their last four games following a loss. They have been horrid as favorites this season but are a perfect 3-0 ATS as home underdogs. The Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ramblers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (730) Loyola-Chicago Ramblers

We played against Massachusetts on Sunday but the Minutemen were able to make a big second half run and take out Duquesne in overtime. That was the second straight victory as a significant underdog, the first coming against VCU as an 11-point underdog. Now they head to the Bronx to take on Fordham and this will be a tough one to get up for based on the recent upsets and the quality of the opponent. Fordham got off to a great start this season as it opened at 9-1 before things started going downhill quickly. The Rams have dropped 10 of their last 13 games and while that run is not good, they have defeated the teams they were supposed to and have been playing better of late. Fordham has been favored just twice of this 13-game stretch and won both of those games and its last two losses were by just four points each against St. Bonaventure and Richmond. The other victory over this stretch came against Massachusetts on the road but we will not buy into the road revenge here based on the situation. The Rams are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 while the Minutemen are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (716) Fordham Rams

Baylor was cruising along with a 6-2 record in the Big XII with the only losses coming against Oklahoma and Kansas but the Bears have hit a mini slump as they have dropped three of their last four games. This includes an uncalled for home loss against Texas Tech by 18 points on Saturday as a 10-point favorite but that puts them in a great bounce back spot on Tuesday. They have covered only once in their last seven games and because of that, we are getting a very manageable number here. Baylor is still 14-3 at home despite a pair of consecutive losses at the Ferrell Center. Iowa St. has seen its season take a turn for the worst as well as it has gone 2-3 in its last five games that also includes a loss against Texas Tech. The Cyclones are coming off a win at home over Texas and while they will be out to avenge a home loss against Baylor back on January 9th, road revenge is not a great angle here. Their three conference road wins have come against Kansas St., TCU and Oklahoma St., which are 3-9, 2-10 and 3-9 respectively in the Big XII. After this, Baylor has Texas, Kansas, Oklahoma and West Virginia in its last five games which makes this a huge must win contest. 10* (550) Baylor Bears

A pair of middle of the pack teams in the Atlantic Ten square off on Tuesday with conference tournament seeding the main focus right now. Davidson and Richmond are both 6-6 and it is the Wildcats that have the significant edge tonight based on the home court advantage. They are 12-1 at home with the lone loss coming against VCU at the end of January and while there are not many quality home wins, this has always been one of the toughest environments in the country. Davidson is coming off a road loss but it is 6-2 this season following a defeat. Richmond owns a very solid road win over George Washington in overtime but its other two conference road wins were at Fordham and St. Louis, both of which are 3-9 in the Atlantic Ten. The Spiders other three wins are not any more impressive even though they were at home as those came against Fordham, LaSalle and Massachusetts with the Minutemen being the best of the bunch at 4-8. The Wildcats won the first meeting this season on the road and going back, the Spiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. We will lay the short number as Davidson bolsters its postseason hopes with a big victory. 10* (504) Davidson Wildcats

We played against Butler Saturday and it got trounced at home to Xavier and the Bulldogs are now a surprising 6-7 in the Big East. It is surprising as they came into the season picked to finish second behind Villanova and after an 11-1 start, the Bulldogs were on pace. But an erratic start in the conference has led to inconsistency throughout and they have struggled against the top teams. Six of seven losses have come against teams that are in fifth place or better including a loss at Creighton in the first meeting which sets up a revenge situation in the rematch. The Bluejays have been fairly inconsistent as well but they come in riding a three-game winning streak including a road win at Marquette on Saturday. For the most part though, the road has not been kind as Creighton is 4-5 on the highway with three of those victories coming against the three worst teams in the Big East. The Bluejays have been the opposite of surprise as they were picked to finish dead last in the conference and are in a very bad spot here against a team in desperate need of a quality victory. Butler still has a better RPI but is on the NCAA Tournament bubble as one of the first four teams out. 10* (516) Butler Bulldogs

We are going contrarian with this total as we are getting exceptional value based on recent results from both sides. Oklahoma St. has gone under the total in 14 of 23 games this season including its last six games. The Cowboys do not push the ball as they are ranked near the bottom of Division I in possessions per game but the opposition has played a role in that as they have faced teams ranked 179th, 142nd, 227th and 271st of late while Kansas comes in ranked 113th in pace. The Jayhawks have gone under the total in 15 of 23 games this season including its last four games. They are coming off a game against fast paced Oklahoma and that game likely would have gone over if the Sooners did not shoot so horribly in the first half. Going back further, Kansas has gone under in nine of its last 10 conference games and the only one that went over was the first meeting at Oklahoma St. With Kansas getting blown out there, it will be up to return the favor so pushing the ball here is very likely and the Jayhawks score a ton here anyway, averaging 87.3 ppg at home including 85.6 ppg in conference games. The over is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 while the over is 9-3 in the Jayhawks last 12 Monday games. 10* Over (707) Oklahoma St. Cowboys/(708) Kansas Jayhawks

Green Bay was unable to make it through a five-game roadtrip by winning its final road game as it lost at Oakland by 18 points on Saturday and now it is up to Milwaukee to try and end a roadtrip with a victory. I do not see it happening here either. The Panthers are playing their fifth straight road game after losing at Detroit on Saturday and this trek is over a span of just 12 days. While the travel is not far as teams are congested pretty tight in this conference, it still takes its toll. Green Bay has to be glad to be back home as it has been a tough schedule thus far as it has played 17 road contests this season, the second most road games of any Division I school in the nation, behind only IUPUI which has played 18 games. The Phoenix are 7-2 at home including a 3-1 record in the Horizon League and this marks the first of five straight home games to end the season. Milwaukee has been decent on the road with a 7-5 record but it is just 1-3 on this current trip as fatigue can be playing a big factor. The Phoenix will be playing with revenge after suffering a tough one-point loss in Milwaukee against their rival and going back, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (706) Green Bay Phoenix

Florida St. and Syracuse played a big game on Thursday which was considered a must win for both as far as NCAA Tournament aspirations go and after a blowout loss, the Seminoles are one of the last four teams out in the tourney. A win here can change that however as Florida St. is in need of another quality win as wins over VCU, Florida, Virginia and Clemson show what they are capable of but could still use to add to it. Miami has been consistent all season as it now trails North Carolina by just one game following its third straight victory on Tuesday over Pittsburgh. While they have dominated at home, the Hurricanes are just 4-3 on the road and while that is considered decent, the last three road wins have come against Georgia Tech, Boston College and LaSalle, which are 3-9, 0-11 and 1-11 in their conferences respectively. Florida St. is playing for payback following a 13-point road loss last month and it has the talent to get it done and at a great price. The Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record while Florida St. is 7-3-1 ATS following an ATS loss. 10* (860) Florida St. Seminoles

Duquesne is in the middle of the pack in the Atlantic Ten and a win today gets it back to .500 and into a tie for sixth place. The Dukes remaining schedule is not very easy so this is a must win game and they are coming off in a great effort at Dayton where they lost by just a bucket. Half of their conference losses have come against Dayton and VCU which are a combined 21-3 and they have beaten the teams they should have beaten with a swing game against Davidson being the exception. The good news is there will be no letdown from that Dayton loss as it was back on Tuesday as we find Massachusetts in a horrible spot coming off an upset win over VCU on Thursday. The Minutemen have struggled all season as they are just 10-13 including a 3-8 conference record. They are 1-4 on the road with the lone victory coming at 1-11 LaSalle which happened to be their first conference game of the season. The Dukes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Minutemen are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (850) Duquesne Dukes

Depending on the line, which did a complete 180, Michigan St. covered its fifth straight game based on the closing number although it was favored for a good portion of the time at Purdue. The Spartans rallied from a huge deficit only to lose in overtime but now they head back home with a 7-5 record in the Big Ten which is good for just eighth place despite the Spartans coming into the week ranked No. 8 in the nation. They are 10-2 at home, losing to Iowa and Nebraska in consecutive home games which was part of their three-game January skid. Indiana is coming off a huge win over Iowa on Thursday and thanks to the Maryland loss on Saturday, the Hoosiers are now tied with the Hawkeyes for first place in the Big Ten. That was the first real quality win as Indiana has played a pretty tame schedule within the conference. They are 4-3 on the road and while a win at Michigan was solid, a loss at Penn St. was dreadful. Indiana leads the all-time series but Michigan St. has won 10 of the last 13 meetings and under head coach Tom Izzo, the Spartans are 16-1 at home against the Hoosiers. 10* (844) Michigan St. Spartans

This is a play on PACIFIC for our Saturday Enforcer. The West Coast Conference has been unpredictable at times with a few major upsets along the way but what has held true is the fact that letdowns continue to come into play. That is the case here with Pepperdine which has been all over the place and is coming off a road upset win at St. Marys on Thursday. This is the second time this season the Waves have defeated the Gaels, which only have three conference losses, and Pepperdine followed up that first one with a loss at Santa Clara next time out. Pacific has been a disappointment this season as it is just 5-8 in the WCC and showing how inconsistent it has been, the Tigers lost at lowly San Diego last Thursday only to win at BYU on Saturday. They catch Pepperdine at a perfect time and it is also a game the Tigers will be highly motivated for. They lost against Loyola-Marymount on Thursday at home and will be out to snap a three-game home losing streak while also out for payback from a loss in Pepperdine last month. Going back, the Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (662) Pacific Tigers

This is a play on IOWA ST. for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The Cyclones are coming off a tough overtime loss at Texas Tech and the losses are starting to pile up. Iowa St. has now dropped three of its last four games and what was once thought of as a possible No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Cyclones are getting to the verge of falling out of the No. 4 slot. This is a huge game as running the table at home is necessary with road games at Baylor, West Virginia and Kansas remaining. Texas is making a move despite a loss last time out. The Longhorns were on a 7-1 run before losing at Oklahoma on Monday but it was a tough defeat and they have now covered seven straight games which is adding value to the home side. The Cyclones have five losses in the Big XII and they have all been close as they have all been by five points or less, with two of those coming in overtime. One of those overtime losses was at Texas in mid-January so payback will also be in play tonight. The Cyclones have covered five of their last seven conference games10* (504) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on NEVADA for our MWC Game of the Year. While this is a play on Nevada, this is a very strong play in going against Fresno St. The Wolf Pack are 6-5 in the MWC following a victory over Air Force on Wednesday at home and this is just the second time this season they have played back-to-back conference home games. The first time it resulted in a loss following a win but that came against San Diego St. Nevada is 8-2 at home and will be out to avenge a 22-point loss against the bulldogs last month, easily its worst MWC loss of the season. Fresno St. is a game better in the standings following a pair of wins at home and it is because of those wins that makes this a great go against spot. The Bulldogs defeated UNLV as a home underdog and followed that up with another home dog win, this one against San Diego St., the first conference loss for the Aztecs this season. The letdown and revenge factors are huge here and adding to that, the Bulldogs are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (620) Nevada Wolf Pack

The Horizon League is turning into a runaway by Valparaiso after the two teams on its tail lost on Thursday so now it is about seeding position for the upcoming conference tournament. Milwaukee took out Oakland on the road which at the time was a game and a half back and it kept the Panthers in a tie for fourth place. That was by far their best road conference win as the others came against Youngstown St., Cleveland St. and Illinois-Chicago which are the three worst teams in the conference and a combined 8-28. This is now the fourth straight road game for Milwaukee as Detroit looks to bounce back from a tough one-point loss against Green Bay on Thursday. That snapped a three-game winning streak for the Titans which can pull back to within a game of fourth place with a victory here and a loss by the Phoenix. The Schedule is a tough one and this marks the final home game of the season for Detroit, a rarity for any team this early in the season but a great spot to play on. 10* (552) Detroit Titans

Xavier is coming off a loss at Creighton on Tuesday which snapped a five-game winning streak and this has turned into a must win situation. The Musketeers are now 9-3 in the Big East which puts them two games behind Villanova with a meeting left after losing the first one to the Wildcats. Xavier is still a very solid 6-2 on the road which includes quality wins against Michigan and Providence and while this is no easy place to win for visitors coming in, the Musketeers has what it takes. Butler is riding a three-game winning streak including a pair of road wins in its last two games and on the season, the Bulldogs are 10-2 at home. However, they do not have a quality home win to speak of as the best victory is against Georgetown while the two teams better than that, Villanova and Providence, resulted in losses. This is a revenge game for Butler but it just doesn’t have what it takes in this matchup. 10* (541) Xavier Musketeers

Oklahoma and Kansas meet for the second time this season with the Sooners looking to even the score following a thrilling three-overtime loss in Lawrence last month. Kansas had a lackluster run after that victory as it went just 3-3 with all three losses coming on the road and by double-digits. The Jayhawks have since won and covered four straight games but only one of those was on the road and that was at 2-9 TCU and their only other road conference win came at 4-7 Texas Tech. Oklahoma has been getting by with a lot of close conference wins this season, four by three points or less, but that is what makes a good team great. The Sooners are perfect at home with a 12-0 record and going back to last season, they have won 19 consecutive games inside the Lloyd Noble Center. I think we are getting a very reasonable number her based on the current Kansas run and the fact that Oklahoma is on a 4-10 ATS slide. 10* (524) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on PROVIDENCE for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. We lost with Providence on Wednesday as it lost in double-overtime at Marquette. It was the third straight loss for the Friars which were at a disadvantage with point guard Kris Dunn not seeing the floor in the second overtime after following out. They are now just 6-6 in the Big East after expecting to make a run at Villanova and while making the NCAA Tournament is very likely, this team needs to right the ship in a hurry with difficult road games at Xavier and Seton Hall up next. Georgetown has been fairly inconsistent as well and while it owns an impressive road win at Xavier, four of its seven conference wins have come against St. Johns and DePaul which are 0-12 and 2-10 in the conference respectively. After a 9-0 start at home, Providence has lost four of its last five home games including two straight against Xavier and Villanova but going back, the Friars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. Additionally, the Hoyas are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (506) Providence Friars

We played on California last night in a similar situation as this one where we have a ranked road team as a slight favorite over an unranked home team. The difference here though is Rhode Island does not have close to the same home court advantage as the Golden Bears do so defending it in this spot will be difficult. The Rams are off to a 6-5 start within the Atlantic Ten and while they are 1-4 on the road and 5-1 at home, it is a bit skewed. Those five home victories came against teams with records of 14-41 combined and none of which possess a winning conference record. On top of that, the lone road win was against 1-10 LaSalle. Granted, LaSalle is the only team to defeat Dayton in the Atlantic Ten but we can chalk that one up as an anomaly. The Flyers have won eight straight games since then and while this will be no easy task, they are the better team by a significant amount. Dayton is the only team in the conference with a winning record against top 50 teams while Rhode Island is 0-5 against those teams. The Flyers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record while the Rams are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (859) Dayton Flyers

Oregon has come out of nowhere this season as they entered the season unranked and are now up to No. 11 in the country thanks to six straight wins in the Pac 12. This includes impressive victories over Utah, Colorado, Arizona and USC and along with the straight up wins, the Ducks have covered all of those games as well. They lead the conference with a 9-2 record which is a game and a half ahead of USC but they are 3-3 on the highway and despite the recent win at Arizona, I do not think Oregon should be favored here. California has been a major disappointment this season despite a 15-8 overall record as it is 5-5 in the Pac 12 but that comes down to where the Golden Bears play. They are 5-0 at home and 0-5 on the road but that latter record could be better as all of those losses have been by single digits and those were against teams with combined home records of 58-9. Overall, California is 14-0 at home and took out Arizona in its only game as a home underdog this season. The Golden Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last six games following a win while going 6-1 ATS in their last six home games and are in an excellent spot to get back over .500 in conference play. 10* (754) California Golden Bears

The college basketball season always brings big surprises in the major conferences and in this case, it is also one of the bigger surprises in the entire nation. Iowa came into the season unranked, receiving only six AP votes, and picked to finish eighth in the Big Ten by Blue Ribbon but the Hawkeyes are now leading the conference with a 10-1 record and have vaulted all the way to No. 4 in the country. It has been a very impressive run with numerous quality victories but the recent run of three straight victories does not include any and this is not an ideal situation tonight. Indiana once led the conference with a 7-0 record but it is just 2-2 over its last four games with both losses coming on the road by a combined eight points, one taking place in overtime. The most recent loss at Penn St. was uncalled for but it came right after a huge upset at Michigan so the letdown spot was in play for sure. Indiana remains perfect at home with a 13-0 record and since 2011-12, the Hoosiers are 77-11 at home. Some will consider the Hoosiers schedule being soft thus far, they are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (756) Indiana Hoosiers

Conference USA is basically a three-team race right now but there are seven teams that are separated by just two games for the all-important fourth place position which comes with a first round bye in the C-USA Tournament. Both of these teams are in that mix with UTEP and Florida International sitting at 5-6, coming into these records from different directions. UTEP has won two straight games at home over Marshall and Western Kentucky but those were by a combined eight points, one coming in overtime. On the season, the host is 10-1 in Miners games, the lone home team not winning was UTEP losing at home against Florida International. That sets up a revenge spot for the Miners but that is tossed out considering they are 0-7on the road this season. The Golden Panthers have lost four straight games, the last three coming against the top three teams in the conference based on power ratings. They are coming off road losses at UAB and Middle Tennessee which are a combined 19-3 but those defeats were by only six points combined. The Miners are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record while the Golden Panthers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. 10* (726) Florida International Golden Panthers

The Big XII has been one of the most competitive conference in the nation and they lead the country with six teams ranked in the top 25. Those six teams are all within two games of each other and one of those is Baylor which is two games behind West Virginia for first place. The Bears are 6-4 in the conference no thanks to a pair of losses in their last two games including one against West Virginia. All four losses have come against those ranked teams A win at Iowa St. is the lone conference win over a ranked Big XII opponent but it is 5-0 against unranked foes and that is where Kansas St. falls. We won on the Wildcats Saturday as they upset Oklahoma at home which presents a great letdown opportunity here to fade them. Kansas St. is just 3-7 in the conference with all seven losses coming against ranked teams, including a loss at Baylor last month in overtime. That actually helps here as the closeness of the game will have the Bears taking no chances at a lookahead especially with 3-7 Texas Tech on deck. Baylor has gone six straight games without a cover and that is giving us contrarian value here as the Bears should be marginally favored. 10* (555) Baylor Bears

Right now the Atlantic Ten is controlled by two teams, VCU and Dayton, which are both 9-1 in the conference but three other teams remain in the hunt and two of those square off here. St. Josephs is in third place at 8-2 and it surprisingly has been a lot better on the road than at home. The Hawks are just 3-2 on their home floor but a perfect 5-0 on the road and those goes to 8-0 when taking into account nonconference games. The five Atlantic Ten road wins however are all against teams that are .500 or worse so this will be the biggest test to date. George Washington is a game behind the Hawks so it can move into a tie with a victory here. The Colonials are 12-1 at home this season with the lone defeat coming in overtime as they faced a Richmond team that could not miss, hitting 60 percent from the floor including 57.9 percent from long range. They are coming off a huge road win at VCU and while that normally could spell letdown, that will not be the case here with everything at stake. We are catching a great line here because of the Hawks road success and they finally go down on the highway. 10* (536) George Washington Colonials

It has been a very up and down season for Providence as it has won some games it really should not have while losing some games it has no business losing. This includes a loss during the recent two-game skid at DePaul as the Friars fell by seven points and could not rebound at home against Villanova, the No. 1 ranked team in the country which they actually beat on the road in the first meeting. That loss to DePaul was their first road loss of the season so winning away from home is not an issue and motivation will be high here to not only snap the losing streak but get some payback from a one-point home loss to Marquette last month. The Golden Eagles have been very inconsistent this season as they also have dropped two straight games which came after a three-game winning streak that followed a three-game losing streak. Two of the four Marquette conference wins came against 0-12 St. Johns which makes the road win over Providence that much more surprising. The Golden Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Friars are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (545) Providence Friars

Arkansas is in the rare role of a road favorite which is a little too aggressive in this spot. The Razorbacks have won three of their last four games to move to 5-5 in the SEC, good for a seventh place tie. The venue has had a lot to do with wins and losses as they are 4-1 at home and 1-4 on the road and on the entire season not counting neutral court games, the host is 17-3 in Arkansas games. The Razorbacks have covered four straight games and that is helping with the value. Mississippi St. is coming off a loss at LSU on Saturday and it too has struggled on the road with a 1-7 record, the lone victory coming at Missouri which is the only team that Arkansas has defeated on the road as well. The Bulldogs are 6-4 at home including just a 1-3 record in the conference but those three losses came by a total of just eight points while its only other home loss which came in nonconference action was by just four points. This is a revenge game for the Bulldogs which loss in Fayetteville last month by 14 points and they are in good position to avenge that defeat. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss while the Razorbacks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (752) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

Michigan St. and Purdue, along with Michigan, are tied for fourth place in the Big Ten at 7-4 but are also just a game out of eighth place so there is not a lot of wiggle room making this big for both sides. The Boilermakers are coming off a loss at Maryland on Saturday which was their third road loss within the conference and coming in, they are 13-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Iowa which sits atop the conference at 10-1. Since the start of last year, Purdue is now 26-4 at home, having won 19 of its last 20 games at Mackey Arena. The Spartans are rolling right now with four straight wins which came after a three-game skid and the outright winner has now covered the last nine games they have played. Michigan St. is 5-2 on the road and while the most recent win at Michigan was impressive, the other wins over Northwestern, Penn St., Minnesota and Northeastern were far from it. There is plenty of motivation for the home side as Purdue has dropped seven straight meetings in this series but this is one of the best Boilermaker teams over this stretch. Going back, the Boilermakers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss while going 29-14 ATS in their last 43 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (718) Purdue Boilermakers

Clemson returns home following a three-game roadtrip where it went 1-2 to fall into a tie for fifth place in the ACC. This is a wide open conference as heading into Monday, 10 teams have winning records with just 2.5 games separating all of them. The Tigers are 11-2 at home including a perfect 5-0 within the conference, four of which coming as underdogs and all five of those wins were against teams currently ranked in the RPI top 50. Only Kansas, Virginia and Oregon have more wins over teams ranked in the RPI top 50. Notre Dame is coming off an upset win over North Carolina on Saturday to improve to 12-1 at home but is just 3-3 on the road including losses in two straight. This is now a big letdown situation and the Irish have struggled recently, going 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a victory. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. The winner of this game moved into solo fifth place in the conference and this is a big one for Clemson as after this, five of its last six games are against teams 2-8 or worse in the conference so this is the first of only two opportunities to add a quality win to the record. 10* (530) Clemson Tigers

Tulsa is coming off a tough loss against Temple which was its second loss in three games, both coming on the road. The Golden Hurricane are now back home where they are 4-1 this season in AAC action and will be out to bounce back from that loss as well get some payback from a week and a half ago. During the Thursday deflating defeat at Temple, the Golden Hurricane led by as many as 12 points in the second half and was up three before giving up a late three-pointer and ultimately falling in overtime. Houston is coming off an upset win at home over SMU as the Cougars inconsistent season continues. They are now on a three-game winning streak following four straight losses which came after five straight wins. The losing team will have five losses in the American Athletic Conference, putting championship and postseason hopes further out of reach. Tulsa lost in Houston by 15 in the first meeting so there will be no lack of motivation today. The Golden Hurricane are 8-2 ATS as favorites this season while the Cougars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win. 10* (872) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a play on COLORADO for our Saturday Enforcer. The Pac 12 is as wide open as it has been in years as six teams are separated by just two games for first place. Oregon holds down the top spot and Colorado is one of the three teams that is 6-4 and tied for fourth place following a 20-point loss to the Ducks in Eugene on Thursday. That dropped the Buffaloes to 4-3 on the road which is pretty respectable considering their struggles on the road in the past. They have been a great team on the rebound this season as they have gone 4-1 in their previous five games following a loss. Oregon St. meanwhile is coming off a win over Utah, which snapped a two-game slide and while the Beavers own quality home wins over California, Oregon and USC, they have failed to follow any of those up with a victory next time out. They are playing with revenge from a 17-point loss in Boulder but the situations on both sides completely negate that. Going back, the Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss while the Beavers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. 10* (679) Colorado Buffaloes

Youngstown St. has dropped two straight games including its last one at home against Oakland by 22 points as the Golden Grizzlies were avenging a home loss to the Penguins last month. Their last four losses have come against 8-3 Oakland, 8-3 Wright St. and 9-1 Valparaiso twice so it has not been an easy stretch but they catch a break on Saturday as they catch Detroit which is just one game better in the Horizon League. The Titans are coming off their first road win of the season after suffering eight consecutive losses away from home. Some of those have been close but overall are getting outscored by nearly 10 ppg. There is revenge in play tonight for Youngstown St. as it lost the first meeting in Detroit this season by nine points and has now dropped five straight meetings with the Titans but this is definitely one of the better spots over that stretch with the prior games and the fact that the Penguins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (652) Youngstown St. Penguins

Oklahoma has retained the No. 1 ranking in the AP Poll for three straight weeks as the one loss over this stretch came after the poll came out on January 18th and followed that up with a big road win at Baylor later in the week. The Sooners have won four straight games since that with over Iowa St. including a huge comeback at LSU last Saturday and while this may seem like an easy test, it should not be especially with the fact they could be looking ahead to their home game against Texas on Monday. Kansas St. has had a very disappointing season as it is just 2-7 in the Big XII after an 11-2 non-conference record. The schedule has not been on the Wildcats side however as their five road games have come against the top five teams in the conference while two home games have come against two of the top six teams. Granted, Oklahoma falls into this category but now Kansas St. is getting its biggest number at home. The Wildcats are 21-5-2 ATS in their last 28 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (628) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT for our WCC Game of the Year. Portland and Loyola-Marymount come into this game with pretty similar records overall and within the conference but it is the venue and the converging situations that heavily favor the Lions. They are 6-4 at home but are coming off a blowout loss against Gonzaga on Thursday by 29 points but that does not come as a total surprise as the Bulldogs have been rolling. Overall, Loyola-Marymount has lost three straight games overall while three of four home losses have come against the Big Three in the WCC. Portland was riding a four-game losing streak before defeating Pepperdine Thursday night on the road as a 10-point underdog. That was just the second road victory for the Pilots with the first coming against rival Portland St. and all seven losses have been by at least eight points. Portland was expected to have a decent season but that has not been the case and stepping down in class has been a big issue as the Pilots are 0-9 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (630) Loyola-Marymount Lions

After losing just one game last season, Kentucky has already dropped seven games this season including two straight games at Kansas last Saturday and at Tennessee on Tuesday. The Wildcats have not lost consecutive games since the end of the 2013-14 season and I expect a big bounce back here to avoid the first three-game losing streak under head coach John Calipari. Florida on the other hand has won two straight games and five of his last six games but four of the last five have all come at home. The Gators are just 2-5 on the road with the wins coming against Mississippi and Navy so this is another big test that I do not expect them to pass. Kentucky has won all 12 home games this season by an average of nearly 18 ppg and catching the Wildcats with a spread this low is pretty rare. Going back, the Gators are 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win while the Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. 10* (590) Kentucky Wildcats

This is a play on WAKE FOREST for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Wake Forest got off to a solid start this season as it won nine of its 12 non-conference games which included solid victories over Indiana and LSU while two of the losses were against Vanderbilt and Louisville, the latter being a lot closer than expected. What has happened since then is a mystery as the Demon Deacons are 1-9 in the ACC with the lone victory coming against NC State. The schedule of late has been very tough however as the last five games have come against North Carolina, Miami, Virginia, Notre Dame and Clemson, all of which are at least 6-4 in the conference. Florida St. has won three in a row including a pair of home wins in their last two games. This is now a tough spot for the Seminoles against a very desperate Wake forest team than finally catches a team it can legitimately defeat. Going back, the Demon Deacons are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a double-digit loss at home and they catch a very favorable number here. 10* (528) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

A couple below average teams from C-USA square off here and the home team has a big edge here. North Texas is just 2-6 in the conference but it has been involved in a very tough stretch as it is coming off three straight road games which came after a home game against Marshall and a close home loss against Western Kentucky. The road has been a problem for the Mean Green as they are 1-8 but a much more respectable 6-6 at home and while covering at home has been few and far between, they are 2-0 ATS in this price range. Southern Mississippi meanwhile is on a two-game winning streak which came during a three-game homestand and like North Texas, the road has been tough as it is 2-6. The Golden Eagles have been solid against the number but are just 1-3 ATS in this price range. Going bac, the Mean Green are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage below .400 while the Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (746) North Texas Mean Green

This is a game BYU has been waiting on for over a month as the Cougars opened West Coast Conference action at St. Mary’s and lost by 11 points. They have lost twice since then but both of those came on the road and they bring in an 11-0 home record into this rematch. BYU is two games behind the Gaels in the conference so a win gets it right back in the mix but a loss essentially knocks them out. Going back, the Cougars have won 16 straight home games and have been dominant here for years. Despite the loss of every starter from last season, the Gaels have been outstanding as they are 18-2 overall including 9-1 in the conference. While they opened the season a perfect 12-0 against the number, they have dropped their last five games ATS which is an indication that the linesmakers have finally started to catch up. This is easily their biggest road test of the season and it doesn’t help their cause that the Cougars are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Revenge will be sweet on Thursday night in Provo. 10* (760) BYU Cougars

This is the first meeting and only this season between Ohio St. and Wisconsin and the Buckeyes have had this game circled since last season as the Badgers came into Columbus and rolled by 24 points, one of just two home losses for Ohio St. The Buckeyes are tied for sixth place in the Big Ten at 6-4 following a loss against Maryland at home on Sunday. They are 2-3. on the road and while the three losses were all by double-digits, they came against Purdue, Maryland and Indian, three of the top five teams in the conference. Wisconsin does not fall into that category despite its best run of the season which currently sits at four straight wins. The Badgers have won against Michigan St. and Indiana here but those were by just four points combined. This is clearly a team that is still reeling from all of the lost talent from last season but because of the recent hot run, they are overvalued here tonight. The Buckeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss and look for that roll to continue. 10* (713) Ohio St. Buckeyes

A pair of struggling teams square off in Lubbock as Oklahoma St. hits the road for a second straight game. The Cowboys actually won the last road game at Auburn, their first true road win of the season after a 0-4 start. It was predicted to be a rough season for the Cowboys which lost a lot from last season and then took a hit in November when their best player Phil Forte was lost with an elbow injury. The fact this team defeated Kansas by 19 points last month is a complete shocker but the Jayhawks have indeed struggled on the road this season. Texas Tech has lost three straight games and seven of eight after an 11-1 start but the schedule has been brutal. The Red Raiders have lost three straight home games but those came against Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, the latter two coming by just three and four points respectively. This is the first real winnable game since they defeated Texas in their conference opener. The Red Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record. While the Cowboys are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (544) Texas Tech Red Raiders

Miami started the season 13-1 including a 2-0 record in the ACC but has gone just 3-3 since then although the schedule has been partly to blame. Four of the last six games have come on the road where three of the losses took place. Following a bog home win over Duke last week, the Hurricanes went to NC State and were crushed by 16 points as a five-point road chalk. They have won eight straight games at home though all of which have come by double-digits including three against ACC opponents that are at least .500 in the conference. Now comes another solid test but Notre Dame has been extremely inconsistent this season. The Irish are 15-6 but own only two quality wins which came against Iowa and Duke. They are 6-3 in the ACC but the other five wins have come against Boston College (twice), Wake Forest, Georgia Tech and Virginia Tech and those four teams are a combined 7-27 in the conference. The Hurricanes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (530) Miami Florida Hurricanes

Evansville had an opportunity to take out the big dog at home on Sunday but had one of its worst shooting days of the season and lost big against Wichita St. Now the Purple Aces have to regroup and avoid a letdown from that to keep pace for second place in the MVC. They hit the road where they are 5-3 and the one thing they have done well is bouncing back from losses as they are 4-0 this season following a loss, winning those games by an average of 21.5 ppg. Northern Iowa is the biggest disappointment in the conference this season as it was supposed to contend but has done anything but. The Panthers are 12-11 including 4-6 in the MVC following a 31-4 season last year. Three of those conference wins have come against Bradley twice and Drake, which are a combined 9-36 and 2-18 in the MVC. The home floor has not been great with a 10-point loss to 3-7 Loyola-Chicago proving that. The Purple Aces are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (539) Evansville Purple Aces

We played on Wyoming Saturday and won as the Cowboys took out Colorado St. in the Border War which snapped a three-game losing streak. This sets up a great letdown opportunity as they hit the road to face Air Force in a game they should not be very interested in. Wyoming has been a road favorite once this season at San Jose St. and lost outright by seven points. The Cowboys are 3-5 on the road overall which includes a 1-4 record in the conference. Air Force has struggled in the MWC as after a 10-4 start, the Falcons have dropped their last eight conference games. Five of those have come on the road with the last four coming against the top half of the conference while the last two home losses have come by a combined five points. After winning against San Jose St. in their conference opener, the Falcons went to Laramie and lost to Wyoming by 12 points so payback will be in store. Air Force is 8-4 at home so while the home court edge is not as dominant as it used to be, it is still pretty solid. Going back, the Cowboys are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (748) Air Force Falcons

Duke is going through one of its worst stretches in recent memory as the Blue Devils have lost four of their last five games following a defeat in Miami over the weekend. They have not had a stretch this bad since losing four straight games to end their season in 2006-07. The first three losses came by 11 points combined and while the loss to the Hurricanes was by that same amount, the game was close late. They are 3-2 on the road and a win here could be a big jump start with three straight home games on deck. Georgia Tech is coming off a close loss at Syracuse on Saturday which was its fourth loss in five games to fall to 2-6 in the ACC. This is not much of a surprise as the Yellow Jackets were picked to finish 14th in the 15-team conference. Georgia Tech has been pretty solid at home as it has wins against Virginia and VCU but it is catching the wrong team and the wrong time on Tuesday. The Blue Devils have won eight straight meetings in this series and going back, the Blue Devils are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss. 10* (751) Duke Blue Devils

Indiana bounced back from its first conference loss which was an overtime loss at Wisconsin by three points as it defeated Minnesota on Saturday in a closer than expected game. The Hoosiers won that game by just six points but the victory moved them to 13-0 at home and they come into this one with a 3-2 record on the road. Those victories came against Minnesota, Nebraska and Rutgers which are a combined 4-24 in the Big Ten. Overall, the schedule has been very tame as only two teams with winning records, Wisconsin and Ohio St., have been on it. Michigan has won four straight games to move to 6-2 in the conference and has won nine straight games at home following its only home loss of the season back in November against Xavier. The home team has dominated this series with eight straight wins and the home court will be big here as well. While the Wolverines are still without leading scorer Caris LeVert, the Hoosiers have been without second leading scorer James Blackmon Jr. going back, the Wolverines are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (758) Michigan Wolverines

Louisville is coming off an awful performance on Saturday against Virginia as it was held to 21 percent shooting from the floor in the first half and could not recover. That was the Cardinals first home loss of the season and a look ahead to this game from a certain possibility and they paid for it. The 16-point margin of defeat was their worst in six seasons at home so motivation will not be missing Monday. North Carolina has won 12 straight games which includes a perfect 8-0 start in the ACC. The Tar Heels were favored in by double-digits in six of those and have not been an underdog over that stretch which says a lot about the ease of the early conference season. As a matter of fact, this is the first time they have been an underdog all season and at the same time, this is the first time Louisville has been favored by fewer than five points all season. Louisville also has some payback to take care of following a 10-point loss in last season’s ACC Tournament. The Cardinals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game while the Tar Heels are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (520) Louisville Cardinals

We will be backing St. Bonaventure for the first time this season and we are catching the Bonnies at a great time. After a 4-0 start in the Atlantic Ten, they have dropped their last three games but all came against teams with winning conference records including the last two against VCU and Dayton, the top two teams in the conference and both of those games were very competitive. St. Bonaventure is 8-2 at home with the lone defeats coming against the aforementioned Flyers and Hofstra, which sits atop the CAA. The Bonnies have been off for a week making them even more hungry for a win to break the skid. Richmond meanwhile is coming off a win at George Washington in overtime on Thursday, handing the Colonials their first home loss of the season. This puts the Spiders in a tough letdown spot here and they have dropped four of their last games following a spread win. The Bonnies have covered six of their last eight games and are 7-2 as a favorite so the short price means that a win likely means a cover as well. 10* (858) St. Bonaventure Bonnies

This is a play on UNLV for our Saturday Enforcer. UNLV is 13-8 overall and 4-4 in the MWC following a home win over Boise St. on Wednesday. While it seems to have been a disappointing season for the Rebels, they have played a lot better than that record indicates. Of those eight losses, six have been by six points or less including five by three points or less. Their four conference losses have come by a combined eight points and this is definitely a statement game to get back at San Diego St. as they have dropped the last six meetings in this series going back the last two seasons. San Diego St. is a perfect 8-0 in the conference but have been far from dominant against much weaker opposition as the Aztecs have won have those games by exactly three points or in overtime. While they have lost only once on the road, their four road conference wins have come by a total of just 16 points. 10* (636) UNLV Runnin' Rebels

This is a play on RHODE ISLAND for our Atlantic 10 Game of the Year. Rhode Island is hanging tough in the Atlantic Ten despite the loss of preseason player of the year E.C. Matthews, who injured his knee in the first game of the season. The Rams are 4-3 in the conference and could use a quality win to bolster their postseason chances. The three losses have come by five points or less and all on the road including a loss at St. Joseph's setting up a revenge spot here. The Hawks won their sixth straight game on Wednesday but failed to cover and on the season, they are a perfect 6-0 on the road which puts them in a great contrarian situation. The Rams are 10-2 at home with the only losses coming by two points to Providence and three points to Valparaiso. Excellent spot for the home team here. 10* (604) Rhode Island Rams

Colorado St. is one of five teams in the MWC with winning records as it improved to 4-3 with a win over San Jose St., which was its second unimpressive win over the Trojans which are 1-8 in the conference. The Rams are 3-2 on the road with another road win coming against 1-7 Air Force by only four points and the other coming against Northern Iowa by just six points. Wyoming is a disappointing 3-5 in the conference following its third straight loss on Tuesday. The Cowboys have shown signs of excellent play as proven by wins over UNLV and New Mexico but losing at San Jose St. was inexcusable. This is a great spot to snap the losing skid though as this is a big rivalry with it being the 224th meeting in the Border War. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings and expect that trend to continue Saturday. 10* (598) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on LSU for our Saturday Star Attraction. LSU came into the season with a ton of hype and a top 20 ranking but it has not quite gone as planned. Ben Simmons is staking his claim for the best player in the country and after some early growing pains, the Tigers are coming together as they have won nine of their last 12 games with two losses coming at Florida and Texas A&M which are a combined 21-1 at home with the other loss being a perplexing home loss against Wake Forest. That is their only home loss of the season and the value is on their side here not only because they are facing the No. 1 team in the country but because they have failed to cover their last six games. Oklahoma is 4-2 on the road with two of those wins coming by just a bucket and his will be its third biggest road test, the first two resulting in losses at Kansas and Iowa St. 10* (576) LSU Tigers

While Oregon shocked Arizona on the road Thursday, Washington is arguably the biggest surprise in the Pac 10 as it is tied with the Ducks for first place at 6-2. The Huskies are coming off an upset win at UCLA which was their third conference road win in four tries but all were by four points or less and now comes the biggest test with the exception of playing at Arizona where they lost by 32 points. USC started the season 12-2 before cooling off somewhat but has still won four of its last seven games. A 15-point loss at Oregon St. was a shocker but the other two were by eight points at Oregon and by just two points at Washington to the Trojans will be out to avenge that defeat as well. They failed to cover at home against Washington St. by just a bucket on Thursday but they are 9-2-1 ATS at home on the season. 10* (558) USC Trojans

We played against Charlotte Thursday and unfortunately lost as the 49ers defeated Florida International by a bucket to improve to 4-4 in C-USA. They have lost some close games this season but have also been fortunate to win some close ones as well and this has turned Charlotte into a cover machine as it has won the money in 10 straight games. The 49ers win Thursday was just their third road win with the others coming against Appalachian St. and Southern Mississippi. Florida Atlantic is just a game behind the 49ers and just two games out of fourth place in the conference. The Owls lost to Old Dominion at home on Thursday to fall to 3-3 at home as the schedule has not been on their side with 15 of 21 games being on the highway. This is just the second time all season they have had back-to-back home games and they take advantage here. 10* (554) Florida Atlantic Owls

This is a play on FLORIDA ST. for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Florida St. is back home following a comfortable win at Boston College on Tuesday and is in need of a win to turn its ACC season around. The Seminoles are 3-5 in the conference with all five of those losses coming against the top five teams in the conference. One of those came at Clemson in their ACC opener which was the start of a 0-3 beginning so payback is also at the forefront. Clemson bounced back from a loss at Virginia as it romped over Pittsburgh at home by 13 points as a short favorite. That was the Tigers eighth straight cover with the value now shifting to the side of the Seminoles. Clemson is just 1-4 on the road with the lone victory taking overtime to win against Syracuse. 10* (520) Florida St. Seminoles

This is a play on DAVIDSON for our Friday Enforcer. Note 6:00 PM ET start. VCU comes into Friday as the lone remaining undefeated team in the Atlantic Ten but now comers another tough test on the road. The Rams passed their first road test at St. Joes back on January 5th, handing the Hawks their lone loss in the conference but they were actually getting a point there and were also getting a point in Richmond in its last road game which took overtime to win. Now VCU is favored on the highway which is an overadjusted move based on the winning streak. Davison has had an inconsistent season thus far but has been pretty strong for the most part. The Wildcats are 12-6 overall including 4-3 in the A-10 and are coming off a two-game splits on their most recent roadtrip. All three conference losses have come on the road while their three non-conference losses have come against North Carolina, Pittsburgh and California which are a combined 48-13. Davidson is ranked sixth nationally in assist-turnover ratio (1.63), 10th in free-throw shooting (76 percent) and 17th in three-point field goals per game (9.9). Davidson is now back home where it is 10-0 on the season and going back, the Wildcats have won 15 straight at home and 30 of their last 31 dating back to the 2013-14 season. A sold out game in a nationally televised Friday night game will prove to be the difference here. 10* (872) Davidson Wildcats

This is a play on ARIZONA St. for our Thursday Supreme Annihilator. This line may seem off for many but this is a statement game for Arizona St. and I am expecting the Sun Devils to run away from this one. Not much was expected from them in the first season under head coach Bobby Hurley but they have actually played a lot better than what the records are showing. Arizona St. is just 1-6 in the Pac 12 but the two double-digit losses came against two of the best teams in Arizona and USC while the other four losses have been by 7, 4, 5 and 2 points, the last three coming in their last three games. Also, we cannot discount two solid non-conference wins over Texas A&M and UNLV. Oregon St. is coming off a huge 15-point home win over USC to move to 3-4 in the conference and while the Beavers also own very impressive conference wins over Oregon and California, those were also at home. Only two of their first seven Pac 12 games have been on the road and those were both losses. Seven of the final 11 conference games are on the highway and looking at them, all look to be defeats. Going back, the Sun Devils are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss while the Beavers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (754) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on MARYLAND for our Thursday Star Attraction. This game sets up very similar to the play we made against Texas A&M last night as the Aggies went into Arkansas on a very similar path to what Iowa has done. Iowa is ranked No. 3 in the latest AP Poll after coming into the season unranked and received only six total votes so the run has been impressive and swift on top of it. The Hawkeyes lost early to Dayton and Notre Dame to open the season 3-2 but since then they have gone 13-1 with the lone loss coming against Iowa St. by just one point. They are 7-0 in the Big Ten, leading Indiana by a half-game and Maryland and Michigan by a game. Of those seven wins, four have come against Purdue and Michigan St. so it has been a great run. Maryland is still ranked in the top ten as it is 17-3 despite a 2-2 run over its last two games. Those losses came on the road however and the Terrapins are 11-0 at home, winning those games by over 18 ppg. This is obviously a huge test but the spot sets up well with them coming off a loss and Iowa having passed them in the rankings as Iowa has moved from No. 17 to No. 9 to No. 3 in just three weeks. Maryland is 9-0 following a loss the past two seasons as the last time it lost back-to-back games was back in 2013-14. 10* (718) Maryland Terrapins

This is a play on FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL for our Thursday Enforcer. Florida International has been one of pleasant surprises in Conference USA as the Golden Panthers are off to a 5-2 start in the conference to hold down the fourth spot on their own. One of those losses was a shocking six-point loss at home against 5-12 Southern Mississippi as a nine-point home favorite but they bounced back with a pair of road wins last week. Keeping up with the top three teams will be difficult but taking care of the teams below them should not be an issue and we get that again tonight. Charlotte comes into town with a 3-4 record which is good for a tie for sixth place with three other teams and we are playing against the 49ers because of their success against the number that has pushed this one down lower than it should be. They have covered 10 straight games which is unheard of but they have played some very close games that have resulted in losses as four of their last five defeated have come by three points or less. This is the spot for the close ones to end however as Charlotte is coming off a four-game homestand and hits the road for the first time since January 9th. While the 49ers are on a huge ATS run, the Golden Panthers are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. 10* (722) Florida International Golden Panthers

This is a play on ARKANSAS for our Wednesday Enforcer. Texas A&M started the season unranked in the preseason AP Poll back in November but is now all the way up to No. 5 in the country. The Aggies are 17-2 on the season and are riding a 10-game winning streak so they have some big momentum going. Their last road game resulted in a blowout victory at Georgia but they have not been overly dominant besides that as they won at Tennessee by just four points, won at Mississippi St. by just one point and lost at Arizona St. by 13 points. Now comes another big test and while Arkansas is just 9-10, this is a tough place for opponents to come into. The Razorbacks are 8-2 at home and had their seven-game home winning streak snapped last time out against Kentucky so they will be out to bounce back from that. They will also be out to avenge a 23-point loss suffered earlier this season at College Station in the SEC opener for both teams. The Razorbacks have seen six of their 10 losses come by four points or fewer, including three of those in overtime so the 9-10 record is certainly deceiving. Going back, the Razorbacks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (526) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on MASSACHUSETTS for our Wednesday Ultimate Underdog. We have two teams heading in opposite directions here and the line is reflecting that. Massachusetts lost a ton of talent from last season and while we knew it was not going to be a great season, not many saw these struggles coming. The Minutemen have dropped five straight games with only one of those games resulting in a push. Conversely, St. Joe's has won five straight games while covering all of those along the way and of the Hawks three losses, two have come at home and while those came against teams we cannot compare to Massachusetts, the line is a big one to cover tonight. The rough stretch for the Minutemen is surprising based on the strength of their backcourt as the starting guard trio Donte Clark, Trey Davis and Jabarie Hinds all rank among the 25 highest scoring players across the Atlantic Ten and this can pose big problems for the Hawks whose backcourt is the big weakness. It will be up to that backcourt to find the basket as Massachusetts is 6-0 this season when scoring 80 or more points but while the outright win would be nice, staying within this huge number is our main goal which the Minutemen accomplish here tonight. 10* (521) Massachusetts Minutemen

This is a play on VANDERBILT for our Tuesday Star Attraction. Vanderbilt is one of the most confusing teams as far as the results we are seeing. The Commodores are one of the most experienced teams in the country and after a 21-14 season last year, big things were expected in Nashville. It hasn't been as expected however as Vanderbilt is just 11-8 overall including a 3-4 record in the SEC with six teams ahead of it. The NCAA Tournament looked like a virtual lock but that is far from the case now so it needs some big wins. To their credit, the first four losses came against future non-conference NCAA Tournament teams and the Commodores will be out to bounce back from a Saturday blowout against Kentucky by 19 points. Florida meanwhile has won three straight games but those were against three of the six worst teams in the conference which are a combined 5-14. The Gators are 2-4 on the road with one of those wins coming against Navy. They did fare well against Texas A&M on the road but this is a bad spot to be facing Vanderbilt. The Gators are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a win while the Commodores are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. 10* (754) Vanderbilt Commodores

This is a play on SOUTH CAROLINA for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The SEC is wide open as behind 7-0 Texas A&M, there are nine teams within two games of each other for second place. The Aggies look like the class of the conference and with Kentucky having somewhat of a down season, South Carolina looks like the best bet to claim that second spot. The Gamecocks opened the season 15-0 but have gone just 2-2 since then and while the tow losses were not very close, they were on the road. This includes a nine-point loss at Tennessee Saturday so South Carolina will be out to bounce back in a big way tonight. Mississippi St. is coming off a rare conference win, so rare in fact it was just its first one of the season. The Bulldogs are now 1-5 in the SEC and to their credit, four of those losses have been pretty close but the win on Saturday came against rival Mississippi so this is a big letdown spot. Overall, the Bulldogs are 0-5 on the road and while they are 3-1 ATS in lined road games, the three covers were as double-digit underdogs and the lone loss was by this same pointspread as they fell to Arkansas by 14 points. Big blow out tonight. 10* (732) South Carolina Gamecocks

This is a play on GEORGETOWN for our Tuesday Enforcer. Tuesday college hoops tips off early at 6:30 between Creighton and Georgetown with second place in the Big East on the line. Right now there are four teams sitting at 5-2 in the conference which is a game and a half behind Villanova for first place so tonight's game is an early big one. The Hoyas are coming off a loss at Connecticut on Saturday in a non-conference game against former Big East rivals and they are now back home for the first time in 10 days. That last home game resulted in a loss against Villanova which was their fourth home loss of the season, not a very good track record but we are getting a good line because of it. Creighton is coming off a home win over Butler on Saturday to remain in the second place bunch. The Bluejays are 3-3 on the road overall with all three of those wins in conference action but all have been against teams with losing Big East records and are a combined 4-17. Georgetown is playing with a little revenge as well as it went to Omaha exactly three weeks ago and lost by 13 points so motivation will not be an issue. 10* (718) Georgetown Hoyas

This is a play on MILWAUKEE for our Monday Enforcer. The Horizon League is bunched up in the middle with six teams within two and a half games each other for third place and two of those square off tonight. Both Oakland and Milwaukee are coming off wins on Saturday but the short turn around edge goes to the Panthers who remain home while Oakland has to hit the road once again. They are coming off an upset win at Green Bay to move to 4-3 in the conference and remain in the midst of a tough part of the schedule with five road games over a six-game stretch. Milwaukee took care of Detroit to hand the Titans their fourth straight loss but it was a closer than anticipated. The Panthers are 5-2 at home with both losses coming in overtime by a combined three points. They have failed to cover in any of its five home games this season but that is far from a bad thing for us as we are getting a great number, the lowest they have been favored by this season. Additionally, Oakland is 8-1 ATS away from home and that is also playing a role in this short price. At 5-2 in the Horizon, Milwaukee can separate itself from the pack for third place with a two-game lead with a victory and the home floor will finally provide a cover for the Panthers. 10* (526) Milwaukee Panthers

This is a play on HOFSTRA for our Sunday Enforcer. There is a logjam at the top of the Colonial Athletic Association as going into Saturday, four teams are tied for first place with 5-2 records. That includes both Hofstra and William & Mary which has turned this into a big early season matchup. Hofstra is coming off a big triple overtime win at Northeastern on Thursday which came after an overtime loss last Saturday against James Madison at home which is its lone home defeat of the season. The Pride will be out to carry that momentum from Thursday into Sunday as they will be out to avenge three losses against William & Mary last season, the final one coming in overtime by a point in the CAA Tournament which ended their shot at the NCAA Tournament. All five starters are averaging in double figures for Hofstra through 19 games, one of only two teams to stake that claim. The Tribe are coming off a blowout win over Elon which also came on Thursday so the turnaround time for both teams is the same and hitting the road in the big winter storm could have some adverse effects. William & Mary is 4-4 on the road including 2-1 in the conference with the only big effort coming against 3-15 Drexel. 10* (888) Hofstra Pride

This is a play on CALIFORNIA for our Saturday Enforcer. Arizona fell to USC and UCLA in close road games to fall to 1-2 in the Pac 12 but it has kicked it up a notch since then as the Wildcats has won three straight games by 32, 24 and 14 points, that last coming on the road at Stanford. They are now 3-2 on the road and they will be facing their biggest road test since losing top guard Allonzo Trier to injury. Arizona has rolled in the games it is supposed to but has struggled against the better teams and this year's schedule has not been nearly as tough as it has been in recent years. California is coming off a lesser than expected victory over Arizona St. on Thursday as it was likely looking ahead to this one. The Golden Bears are off to a 3-3 start in the conference with the home team winning all six of those games. They are a perfect 13-0 at home and while this will be their biggest test no doubt but this team is loaded and was picked to finish second in the Pac 12. They have some unfinished business as well as California will be out for payback from three losses last season against Arizona by 23, 39 and 22 points. 10* (596) California Golden Bears

This is a play on MICHIGAN ST. for our Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan St., once the top ranked team in the nation, has fallen to 3-4 in the Big Ten Conference following its third straight loss on Wednesday at home against Nebraska. The defense has been horrible over this stretch and it won't get any easier Saturday but we can expect to see an all out effort against Maryland. The Spartans are fifth in the nation in shooting defense and fourth in rebounding margin and after allowing Nebraska to shoot 50 percent and barely win the rebound battle, head coach Tom Izzo got their attention. The Terrapins are coming off an overtime win at home against Northwestern which was arguably a letdown after a 35-point drubbing of Ohio St. Maryland has not been great on the road this season as it lost at North Carolina and Michigan while struggling against a poor Wisconsin team and this is now its toughest test thus far. The Terrapins came into East Lansing last season in their first ever Big Ten game and defeated Michigan St. in overtime and the Spartans have not forgotten. Michigan St. has not lost three straight games at home since 2003-04 when it lost to Duke, Oklahoma and Kentucky in the span of 11 days at the Breslin Center. 10* (662) Michigan St. Spartans

This is a play on KANSAS ST. for our Big 12 Game of the Year. It has been a very tough start for Kansas St. in the Big XII as it is 1-5 but the schedulemakers did it no favors. The Wildcats started conference action with a home overtime loss against West Virginia and most recently, they lost in overtime at Baylor. Two other losses came on the road at Texas and Oklahoma and the other was at home against Iowa St. so it has been a real tough slate to start. They catch a break Saturday though as they host Oklahoma St. which is coming off a huge upset win at home against Kansas. The Cowboys have also played a difficult schedule which is a reason they have started 2-4 in the conference but it has been an uphill battle after a 3-0 when it lost their best player Phil Forte. It was expected to be a down year for the Cowboys anyway so the victory over Kansas was a surprise to all. Kansas St. is in dire need of a victory to get something going and with its next four conference games coming against West Virginia, Kansas, Oklahoma and Baylor, this is a must win. 10* (640) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on KANSAS for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Kansas is one of a few perennial power teams in college basketball that is getting roughed up more than most expected. The Jayhawks have lost two of their last three games including a blowout loss at Oklahoma St. on Tuesday by 19 points which was just the Cowboys second conference win. I expect Kansas to come out strong as it has basically gone five straight games where it has not looked great. A triple OT win over Oklahoma was solid but didn't great at home in doing so while wins over doormats TCU and Texas Tech were not pretty. Texas used to be a power but there have been recent struggles so an upset win at West Virginia by seven points as a 12-point underdog was a shocker. That was the third straight win for the Longhorns, which also upset Iowa St. during the streak but they head to Lawrence at a bad time. Kansas has won 33 straight games at home and under head coach Bill Self, the Jayhawks are 31-6 following a defeat so there is no question motivation will be present. 10* (550) Kansas Jayhawks

Duke is laying the number on the road and while we don't normally advocate laying road chalk, we could not ask for a better spot here. The Blue Devils are coming off a loss at home Monday against Syracuse which was their third straight loss and as frustrating as they are, all of those games came down to the final seconds. They are on their longest losing streak since a four-game slide to end the 2006-07 season. NC State meanwhile snapped its five-game losing streak to open ACC play with a huge upset at Pittsburgh as the Wolfpack won by 17 points as a nine-point underdog. While that could provide a much needed boost in confidence, I see the opposite happening as this is the classic letdown spot and they could not be hosting Duke at the worst time. Duke certainly remembers its visit here last season as it lost by 12 points as a nine-point road chalk, snapping a 14-0 start to the season so there will be no looking past this team even with a tough game at Miami Monday night. 10* (551) Duke Blue Devils

While many predicted Maryland and Michigan St. to be sitting atop the Big Ten at this point in the season, Indiana has rolled through the first part of the conference schedule and it tied with Iowa at 6-0. While the Hawkeyes have defeated some powerful teams, Indiana has not as a win over Ohio St. is the best of the six conference victories. A victory at Nebraska was decent while a win against Wisconsin no longer packs the same punch. This was the year that Northwestern was supposed to break out and make its first ever NCAA Tournament and while the season is far from done, the Wildcats need a quality win. They are 15-5 overall including 3-4 in the conference and they also own similar wins against Nebraska and Wisconsin. Northwestern is coming off an overtime loss at Maryland and that would have been a huge victory which puts even more emphasis on this one. Even still, we are seeing a very inflated line that Northwestern does not deserve to be getting. 10* (533) Northwestern Wildcats

Tennessee has shown signs this season of getting over the top and becoming a prominent team once again but then it goes backward once again. Coming off a huge win over Florida by 14 points in a game that was never close was supposed to provide some huge momentum but instead, the Volunteers lost consecutive games, narrowly defeated a bad Mississippi St. team and then most recently got throttled by Vanderbilt on Wednesday. Now sitting at 9-9 overall and 2-4 in the SEC, there is not much more room for error which makes this a big game especially with five of the next seven games on the road. South Carolina has been the biggest surprise in the conference thus far as it is off to a 17-1 start including 4-1 in the conference. We played against the Gamecocks when they lost at Alabama and I expect another dud here. They are coming off an overtime win at Mississippi earlier this week and their only real sound game this season on the highway was at Auburn which isn't saying a lot. Look for Tennessee to snap its two-game home skid after starting 8-0. 10* (540) Tennessee Volunteers

The winner of this game keeps pace in the upper third of the Atlantic Ten while the loser falls into the middle of the pack and a big edge goes to the home team. Rhode Island was picked second in the preseason A-10 poll but in the first game of the season against American, the Rams lost E.C. Matthews, the preseason Atlantic Ten Player of the Year, to a knee injury. They have dealt with it pretty well by losing some close games but his production has been sorely missed. Rhode Island has just one road win this season and that took overtime to win against Brown. George Washington is coming off a loss at Dayton a week ago to fall to 3-2 in the conference but back on its home court tonight is significant. The Colonials are 10-0 at home, winning by an average of 15.2 ppg, and going back to 2013-14 they have the best home winning percentage in the conference with wins in 36 of 39 games at the Smith Center. There is definitely some extra incentive for the Colonials as well as they are out for some revenge following a loss in last season's Atlantic Ten Tournament which killed any chance of an NCAA Tournament bid and sent them to the NIT. The Colonials are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss while the Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (870) George Washington Colonials

USC is one of the pleasant surprises in the Pac 12 this season as after finishing 3-15 in the conference last year, the Trojans are already 4-1 as well as 15-3 overall. They are in a place they have not been in a while as USC is ranked in the AP top 25 (No. 21) for the first time since being No. 19 on Nov. 17, 2008. also, this is the best start for the Trojans since 1991-92 so the turnaround has been incredible. Oregon is just a game behind USC and just a game worse overall but is unranked and that of course sets up one of the best college basketball situations out there as explained later. Oregon is coming off a loss at Colorado on Sunday which snapped a three-game skid. Forwards Chris Boucher and Jordan Bell were limited to 32 combined minutes due to foul trouble and the Ducks were outrebounded 39-25. They are a perfect 11-0 at home and Oregon enters the week No. 6 in the ESPN RPI, No. 9 according to CBS Sports, highest among Pac 12 teams. The Ducks strength of schedule, No. 4, is also tops in the conference. So the fact they are favored here is not a surprise and the situation mentioned earlier is playing on unranked home favorites going up against a ranked road team. Also, Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a loss. 10* (754) Oregon Ducks

Conference USA is led by UAB and Marshall which are both 5-0 and of the 14 teams within the conference, there are only four teams with a winning record. However, there is a logjam with eight teams sitting at 2-3 and 10 teams are within two games of fourth place and the all important bye come C-USA Tournament time. Texas-San Antonio is one of those teams sitting at 2-3 which may be a surprise considering the Roadrunners came into the season with just one senior on the roster and were picked to finish 13th in the 14th team conference. They are coming off a win over UTEP which was just its third win over a Division I team. Florida International is one of those winning teams as it comes in 3-2 in the conference and 9-9 overall. That record could be so much better as the Golden Panthers have lost three games in overtime and another three games by six points each and a fourth by just three points. The most recent game resulted in a home loss against Southern Mississippi so now it is bounceback time. This is a very good situation where we are playing on a team coming off a loss as a favorite going up against a team coming off a win as an underdog with both of the cover differentials being over 10 points. 10* (739) Florida International Golden Panthers

Wichita St. is back to its winning ways after a very slow start to the season where it lost five of its first 10 games. While Tulsa, Alabama and Seton Hall are good teams, they are not teams the Shockers should have been losing to. The linesmakers made no adjustments and it showed in the ATS numbers but even now with the adjustments being made to inflate the numbers, Wichita St. is on a 6-1 ATS run. The Shockers failed to cover against the second best team in the MVC, Evansville, and while they seem to be facing an inferior opponent tonight, that really isn't the case. Northern Iowa has been underachieving this season with a 10-9 record overall including a 2-4 conference mark. The Panthers are coming off a 31-4 season and were picked to finish second this season but a lot of work needs to be done to get there. They lost against Loyola-Chicago last time out by 10 points as a 12-point favorite so a lookahead to this game was quite possible. The Panthers are very legitimate when they show up as they have secured a pair of top-five wins this season with victories over No. 1 North Carolina and No. 5 Iowa St. 10* (550) Northern Iowa Panthers

We have played against Fordham a couple times since its 10-1 start to the season which was a huge overachievement. The schedule was extremely easy as the Rams defeated no one of significance and then reality struck once conference play opened as they are off to a 1-4 start with those losses coming against teams a combined 14-6. Fordham has failed to cover its last four games but now the schedule eases up a bit, at least for one game. It doesn't seem that long ago when George Mason made that Final Four run but it was actually a decade and things have not been good for the Patriots the last couple years. They had their first losing record last season for the first time since 1997-98 and look to be on pace for another. George Mason is also 1-4 in the conference but is coming off its first Atlantic Ten win over the weekend at St. Louis, the worst conference team the last two seasons. That was the first road win of the season after six straight losses to open the season and winning again will be tough. Fordham has surprisingly owned the Patriots since they joined the conference with four straight wins and covers. 10* (538) Fordham Rams

Michigan St. was a near unanimous No. 1 in the AP Poll back on December 28th but a loss against Iowa has sent the Spartans into somewhat of a spiral. They did rebound with three straight wins but those came against Minnesota, Illinois and Penn St. which are a combined 3-15 in the Big Ten and then have since lost two more games, at home against Iowa and at Wisconsin by a point. Michigan St. is now in a spot where it needs a big win and brings in an opponent that it should be able to tear apart. Nebraska opened Big Ten play with an 0-3 record but has since won three straight games and those were against teams a combined 1-17 so it is somewhat similar to the Spartans three-game run but less impressive. The Huskers offense has been greatly improved but they will have a challenge here as the Spartans rank in the Top 20 nationally in scoring defense (18th, 62.7 ppg), field-goal percentage defense (5th, 36.7 percent) and three-point field-goal percentage defense (7th, 28.3 percent). Michigan St. has not lost three straight games since March, 2013 and an even great incentive here is to avenge two straight losses against Nebraska. 10* (526) Michigan St. Spartans

Texas A&M has taken early control of the SEC as it is off to a 5-0 start which has improved its overall record to 15-2. The Aggies came into the season unranked but has gradually moved into the polls and currently sits at No. 10 in the country. The home floor has been especially dominant where they are 10-0 and have won those games by an average of nearly 22 ppg. Tonight is a tough test though against an LSU team that has been pretty much the opposite as the Tigers came in ranked No. 21 in the preseason but dropped put of the rankings rather quickly after a 3-3 start. This is a very young team as two of the top five scorers are freshmen led by Ben Simmons with 20 ppg while averaging 12.9 rpg. Being so young, the rough start was not a surprise but now LSU is rounding into form with wins in seven of nine games including a 4-1 start in the SEC. Of the Tigers six losses, three have come by six points or less while another two came in overtime so they have the ability to stay within this big number. Going back, the Tigers are 13-6-2 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Aggies are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (755) LSU Tigers

At first glace, this line looks to be way too high based on where these team sits in the ACC but it is this high for a reason. The public consensus is backing Clemson at a 2:1 pace here based on what it has done thus far. The Tigers are off to a 5-1 start in the conference and they have covered all six games on top of that. Included in this opening stretch are wins in the last three games against ranked teams and while that is impressive, all of those came on their home floor albeit a half-hour away from campus. Now the Tigers hit the road where they are 1-3 on the season with the lone victory coming against Syracuse by just a point when the Orange were stuck playing their worst hoops of the season. Virginia is coming off another loss as it has now lost three of its last four games, all against teams the Cavaliers should be taking care of. Those have all come on the road however where they are 1-4 on the season compared to being 8-0 at home and 12-0 in non-true road games. Virginia is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 home games coming off an upset loss as a favorite while Clemson is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games after consecutive conference wins. 10* (742) Virginia Cavaliers

While Villanova and Xavier are at the top of the Big East Conference and ranked in the top five, only 3.5 games separate 1st and 7th place. Butler and Providence are within that group and both have been up and down of late. The Bulldogs are 2-3 in the conference as all three losses have come against ranked teams including the two aforementioned leaders as well as tonight's opponent. That puts Butler in a revenge situation tonight but road revenge is never a good angle and it faces the Friars at a bad time. Providence has lost two of its last three games which has snapped an eight-game winning streak and surprisingly, both of these losses have come in its home floor. The Friars were upset by Marquette by a point and after a road win at Creighton, they were upset this past Saturday by Seton Hall by nine-points as a six-point chalk. Going back, the Friars are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while going 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (710) Providence Friars

Duke is coming off its first home loss of the season which is certainly a rarity as going back, the Blue Devils are 105-5 at Cameron Indoor Stadium since the 2009-10 season, the third best home winning percentage in the NCAA over that stretch. Three of those took place in 2011-12 so they have been nearly unbeatable here since then so the Saturday loss was a shocker. Backing that up, it was just the 17th loss against an unranked opponent since 1996-97. Syracuse has bounced back from a 0-4 start in the ACC with back-to-back wins over Boston College and Wake Forest and both were dominating performances. The win over the Demon Deacons was the first road win of the season for the Orange and going back ,they have struggled against top teams, going 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Additionally, they are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win while the Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. They had allowed 80 or more points only twice this season prior to the Notre Dame loss and they came back with wins by 19 and 17 points. 10* (524) Duke Blue Devils

We got a win with Colorado on Wednesday as it easily took care of Oregon St. and I feel the wrong team is favored here tonight. Colorado got off to an 11-1 start which included 11 consecutive wins following a loss against Iowa St. to open the season. The Buffaloes had a rough stretch of three losses in four games but one of those came against undefeated SMU by just four points, another came at California which is 11-0 at home and the most recent came against Utah at home by a bucket. That was the first home loss of the season and the problem was that the Buffaloes took just four free throws the entire game. Now they welcome Oregon which is coming off an upset loss at Utah on Thursday as it managed the high altitude well but another game in the thin air could prove to be a challenge. The Ducks were fortunate to avoid this two-game trip last year but two years ago after defeating Utah, the lost here next time out. Colorado has some revenge in mind after dropping both meetings last season and this season, they have covered four of five games as an underdog while Oregon lost straight up in its only game as a road favorite. 10* (880) Colorado Buffaloes

We won with UNLV on Tuesday as it easily took care of New Mexico following a 0-3 start in the MWC so the Rebels knew it was a must win and they took care of that. Remaining at home, they have what seems to be a breather play here but this line is simply way too high. This team is ultra talented and the win over the Lobos could jumpstart UNLV but they have had issues dominating the teams it should, going just 4-7 ATS as a favorite. Air Force was not expected to do much in the conference this season following a below average season a year ago and the Falcons haven't disappointed. They are 1-3 in the conference and have yet to cover a game so that is also playing into this number. Air Force ranks fourth in the MWC in field goal percentage defense with a 41.5 mark and fourth in three-point field goal percentage defense with a 32.1 mark so a low scoring game is in our favor with the underdog. The Falcons have struggled to win here over the years but they have covered seven of the last 10 meetings here and are once again catching a sizable number. 10* (669) Air Force Falcons

BYU is coming off a big upset win on Thursday night at Gonzaga for its fourth straight win following a season opening WCC loss against St. Mary's. That last second win over the Bulldogs presents a big letdown spot here for the Cougars which are playing their second road game as part of a four-game roadtrip going into next week. It is no huge surprise they won that game as BYU was picked to finish second in the WCC and now, the line has been overadjusted in this one. It has been the opposite start for Portland as it opened conference play with a win over Pepperdine but has since dropped its last four games. The Pilots lost three of those games on the road and obviously overlooked San Diego on Thursday as they lost by 11 points at home as nine-point favorites. This is no pushover team as they played a tough non-conference schedule and came away with solid wins against Utah St., New Mexico and Northern Iowa. Portland was picked 5th in the WCC so the poor conference start is concerning but the Pilots are getting BYU on their home floor at the perfect time. 10* (614) Portland Pilots

This is a play on OKLAHOMA for our Saturday Star Attraction. West Virginia has a rare opportunity to defeat both the No. 1 and No. 2 team in the country but I do not see it happening. The Mountaineers took out top ranked Kansas on Tuesday which came at home as the defense held the Jayhawks to 41.7 percent from the floor and forced 22 turnovers. Now they hit the road and while they are 3-0 on the highway, they have not really defeated anyone of note and actually struggled against both Kansas St. and TCU. While we are playing against West Virginia coming off the big win over Kansas, we are equally playing on Oklahoma as it has not looked good of late. The Sooners have covered only once in their last six games and that happened to be the one game they lost in Kansas in triple overtime. They defeated Kansas St. after the Kansas game and then snuck past Oklahoma St. on the road Wednesday which was in a very tough environment. They have back-to-back road games on deck at Iowa St. and Baylor so they need to come out of here with not just a win but a big win to get confidence back. The home team has won and covered the last five meetings in this series. 10* (590) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on IOWA ST. for our Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The natives are getting restless in Ames as the Cyclones came into the season ranked seventh in the country but are now ranked No. 18 and will likely drop further down following a loss on Tuesday at Texas in overtime. Iowa St. is now 12-4 including a 1-3 record in the Big 12 but all losses have been quality ones and have come by a combined 12 points so that conference record could definitely be better. The Cyclones have a revenge rematch Monday against Oklahoma but can ill afford to look ahead and go into that game three games back. Kansas St. is also off to a 1-3 conference start and it too has quality losses and it was unable to take its frustrations out on Texas Tech on Tuesday. The Wildcats are where they were expected to be as they were picked to finish 8th in the Big 12 (out of only 10 teams of course) and they are catching the Cyclones at the wrong time. Iowa St. has struggled here in the past but even with the tough start, this is the best version to come here and going back, the Cyclones are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (587) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on TEXAS TECH for our Saturday Enforcer. Texas Tech got off to a very good start this season as it opened 11-1 with the only loss coming against Utah on a neutral floor but it has not been doing well since. The Red Raiders have lost three straight games, two coming on the road and the one home game against Kansas. Now they are back home to face another strong opponent but this is a great bounce back spot. Baylor has won three games in a row including an upset at Iowa St. so this is the ultimate contrarian setup. The Bears may not be all that interested here as they have home games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma coming up this week and they have won seven of the last eight meetings in this series. Baylor is just 1-3 on the road so the win over the Cyclones was a surprise. This is definitely good news for the Texas Tech as the Red Raiders are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Meanwhile, the Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (570) Texas Tech Red Raiders

Detroit came into the season picked to finish fourth in the Horizon League and after a 3-0 start in conference games, things were looking good then reality hit last time out as the Titans were throttled at home against Valparaiso, the top team in the conference. Still, this is an excellent team in a good spot for a bounceback and they need to take advantage of the early part of the schedule. This is Detroit's fifth straight home game to open conference play and after this, nine of their last 13 games are on the road so they have to take advantage here. Oakland has also lost to Valparaiso and bounced back with a win over Illinois-Chicago by 25 points. That was the Golden Grizzlies fourth straight home game and they hit the road for the first time since December 30th. Detroit is 9-1 at home and it is catching an excellent line here, one that does not make sense based on the class of the teams. Despite not being nearly as good as last season, Detroit won the home meeting with Oakland by 20 points. The Titans have covered eight of their last 11 home games. 10* (572) Detroit Titans

This is a play on MIAMI for our Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a great spot for Miami which is coming off a loss at Virginia on Tuesday. We won that game and while it was a play against the Hurricanes because of their eight-game winning streak but it was more of a play on Virginia which was coming off consecutive losses for the first time in over two years. Now Miami heads on the road again to bounceback as it heads to Greenville, SC which is not the usual home for Clemson as Littlejohn Coliseum is being renovated this season. The Tigers have fared pretty well in their home away from home as they are 9-2 and are coming off two huge upsets over Louisville and Duke as 6.5-point and 7.5-point home underdogs respectively. It will be a tough task for the Tigers to defeat three ranked teams in a week and I do not see it happening. Going back, the Hurricanes are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning straight up record while going 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (547) Miami Hurricanes

Four teams are separated by just one game for first place in the Missouri Valley Conference but Illinois St. is not one of those. The Redbirds are two games back but a win here gets them right back in the mix while a loss could do some early damage. They are riding a two-game skid with losses at Indiana St. and Southern Illinois but a return back home helps and getting points is even better. Illinois St. is 7-2 at home, the last defeat coming back on December 5th against a very good UAB team and since then, it has gone 6-3 overall including a 4-0 mark at home. Evansville is one of those teams sitting one game behind 5-0 Wichita St. and at 15-3 overall, that is a big reason it comes in as the road chalk. The Purple Aces lone loss came at Wichita St. while three of their other four conference games have been at home where they are 10-0. Evansville has covered four straight games which is also playing into this number. The Redbirds fall into a solid situation where we play on underdogs in the second half of the season that are averaging between 63 and 67 ppg going up against teams allowing between 63 and 67 ppg, after allowing 75 points or more two straight games. This situation is 145-82 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1997. Additionally, Illinois St. is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games against teams outscoring their opponents by 8.0 or more ppg. 10* (872) Illinois St. Redbirds

This is a play on ARIZONA for our Thursday Star Attraction. At first glace, this line may seem out of whack based on recent history and what Arizona is dealing with but this has the makings of an absolute blowout. The Wildcats are coming off back-to-back losses by a combined five points at UCLA and at USC and now they will try to avoid their first three-game losing streak since Feb. 13-25, 2010. They will be without freshman Allonzo Trier who is the team's leading scorer as he sustained a broken hand against the Trojans but this team is loaded and playing at home certainly helps. Arizona has won 47 straight home games by an average of 22.2 ppg during the longest active home winning streak in the nation. Washington is a perfect 3-0 in the Pac-12 which is good enough for the lead but it is a skewed record in my opinion. Two of the wins have come in overtime and overall, the three victories have come by a combined nine points and tonight marks just its second true road game of the season. Based on power rankings despite the conference records, Arizona is the top team while the Huskies are ranked 11th in the 12 conference. The Wildcats have a great situation on their side as we play on home teams as a favorite or pickem coming off two or more consecutive upset losses as a road favorite. This situation is 89-42 ATS (67.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (760) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE for our Thursday Enforcer. First place is on the line in the Horizon League tonight in the early part of the season as the two top preseason picks square off. Valparaiso is considered one of the top mid-majors in the country and its 13-3 record so far reflects that. The Crusaders are off to a 3-0 start in the conference with all three wins coming by at least 17 points. They are once again favored by a large number but in this case, it will prove to be too much. Because of the name of the opponent, Milwaukee is catching a big number and this is the third time it is getting double-digits. The Panthers stayed within the number at Notre Dame as it lost by eight and won outright at Wisconsin by a point catching 12.5 points. There was another solid win at Minnesota so they have no issues playing up to teams. Of their other four losses, one was by three points against Murray St. while the other three all came in overtime by a combined seven points. Milwaukee is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 road games coming off three straight conference wins. While winning in Valparaiso is no easy task, the Panthers have the talent to come in and pull off the upset but we will still gladly grab the abundance of points here. 10* (745) Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers

This is a play on FLORIDA ATLANTIC for our Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic is on a nine-game losing skid and is 2-14 on the season yet comes in as a favorite tonight? Well there is a very good reason for it as the Owls have played one of the most difficult schedules in the country. Of their 16 games, 13 have come away from home and the have played only one home game over the last month. While there have been some blowout losses, Florida Atlantic lost by a bucket to a very good Northeastern team and lost by just five points against Florida St. This is the first home conference game after opening with three road C-USA games and it comes against the team picked to finish last in the conference. Southern Mississippi went 9-20 last season as a self-imposed postseason ban led to many more on and off court issues and the Golden Eagles are still in the middle of an NCAA investigation. They lost four starters and are in a big rebuilding project now. They have looked good at times and actually opened the season with a 6-0 ATS record but those lines were inflated because of the problems going on. Southern Mississippi is coming off an upset win over Old Dominion which spells letdown tonight. 10* (718) Florida Atlantic Owls

This is a play on COLORADO for our Wednesday Star Attraction. Colorado got off to an 11-1 start which included 11 consecutive wins following a loss against Iowa St. to open the season but has since dropped three of its last four games. One of those came against undefeated SMU by just four points, another came at California which is 11-0 at home and the most recent came against Utah at home by a bucket on Friday. That was the first home loss of the season and the problem was that the Buffaloes took just four free throws the entire game. With a 1-2 conference record, and one of those defeats a home loss, the Buffaloes can ill-afford to drop another home game, especially this early in the conference season. Oregon St. is off to a 2-1 PAC 12 start while going 11-3 overall and has actually yet to lost a road game, going a perfect 2-0. However, those came against Rice and Santa Barbara so this is by far its biggest challenge. Additionally, this is the Beavers first true road game since November 21st and this is a tough environment and they have struggled in the high altitude, going 0-3 and losing by an average of 18 ppg. 10* (578) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on ALABAMA for our Wednesday Enforcer. South Carolina remains one of two undefeated teams in the nation as the Gamecocks are 15-0 but are still ranked only No. 19 in the country in the latest AP Poll. They are coming off a come-from-behind win over Vanderbilt on Saturday and are now again laying points on the road, just two points less than what Kentucky laid here on Saturday. Alabama lost that game against the Wildcats which was its first home loss of the season. Since the start of the 2010-11 campaign, the Crimson Tide have won 80 of the last 97 games played at Coleman Coliseum. The Crimson Tide have won five games that were decided by less than 10 points, with three of those games coming down to the game's final possession. They have a record of 5-2 in games decided by 10 or fewer points and 3-0 in one possession games this season. South Carolina is the second biggest road consensus of the night behind Duke which is no surprise considering the Gamecocks have covered six straight games. Alabama is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a conference home loss. 10* (560) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on NOTRE DAME for our Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Notre Dame Saturday against Pittsburgh but fell behind early and was unable to recover from the Panthers hot shooting. The Irish played a great game as they shot 54.2 percent from the floor including 45 percent from long range while committing just three turnovers but were outscored 20-9 from the free throw line. That was their first home loss of the season so we should see a big bounceback effort tonight. Notre Dame is 3-1 ATS in its four games following a loss this season as opposed to going 2-7 ATS following a win. Georgia Tech is off to a very similar start as it has one more overall win than Notre Dame while also starting 1-2 in the ACC. They dropped both road conference games before upsetting Virginia at home on Saturday so the opposite effect should take place for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was picked No. 14 in the 15-team ACC so there is not much expected from this team and while it is coming off a very impressive win, that was at home and going back, the Yellow Jackets have lost 12 of their last 15 road games. 10* (568) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

This is a play on UNLV for our Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with UNLV on Saturday as the Runnin' Rebels went into Wyoming as favorites and went on to lose their third straight game to open their Mountain West Conference schedule. The three-game skid is a big surprise as good things are expected from this team and showing how close things have been, those three losses have come by a total of just six points. Some shocking news came out Sunday as head coach Dave Rice was let go as AD Tina Kunzer-Murphy said the program has to go in a different direction. Todd Simon, in his third season on the staff and his first as associate head coach, will be the interim coach so expect a huge team effort here. New Mexico has gotten off to just the opposite start as it is 3-0 with three blowout wins but the Lobos are heading to Las Vegas at the wrong time as we not only have a contrarian spot but the Rebels are a desperate team under a different leader and that will light the spark. The Rebels are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a losing road record while the Lobos are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. 10* (768) UNLV Runnin' Rebels

This is a play on MICHIGAN for our Tuesday Enforcer. Maryland remained undefeated in the Big Ten with a last second victory at Wisconsin to move to 4-0 but now comes the biggest road challenge in the conference. The Terrapins only loss came against North Carolina in Chapel Hill but they have won two straight road games since then. This is the start of a brutal stretch with games against Michigan, Ohio St. twice, Michigan St. and Iowa in their next six games. The Wolverines are coming off their first conference loss of the season as they were blown out against Purdue by 17 points but they were in a bad spot as the Boilermakers were just off a home loss to Iowa. Michigan is 8-1 at home with the lone loss coming back in November against Xavier. It has been an interesting season as all four losses for the Wolverines have been by double-digits so if they lose, they lose bad but the fact they have won 11 of their 12 games by double-digits shows they can pull away as well. Winning by doubles here will be a challenge but they have a big edge coming off a blowout loss against a team coming off an emotion last second victory. 10* (758) Michigan Wolverines