Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Oklahoma St. took Game One as it started to pull away late, stretching the lead to 10 points, their largest advantage of the game, early in the fourth quarter but New Orleans bounced back and actually took a lead with under two minutes left. It was a tough loss for the Pelicans and they will have a tough time playing with the same road energy, especially once again being without Zion Williamson. They have been really good on the road with a 28-15 record but that includes just a 10-10 record against current playoff teams. The Thunder meanwhile improved to 34-8 at home and that includes a 30-5 record when favored. By not covering the first game, we are catching a little value with a shorter line which is always good but we are expecting Oklahoma City to win this one going away as we are already seeing an overall disturbing trend similar to last season with playoff blowouts. Oklahoma City is 28-14 ATS in its last 42 games after allowing 100 points or less. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the 2nd game of a playoff series. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (520) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Home teams are now 11-0 in the postseason following a 3-0 Monday yet numbers have not changed or reflected that and this is one road team we will back to get into the win column. Following a loss in Game One where they never led and trailed by as many as 29 points, the Mavericks have now dropped three straight games but prior to this, they were on a roll. They were 16-2 in their previous 18 games and have one of the better matchups of all teams with the road disadvantage. While they have been good at home, they are 25-17 on the road and Dallas has been writing money in these spots, going 20-6 straight up and 19-5 against the number as road favorites despite the loss on Sunday. The Clippers lost their final three games of the regular season before taking Game One thanks to a sparkling defensive effort as they allowed only 30 first half points and that certainly will not happen again. Kawhi Leonard was questionable for Game One, did not play, and is now deemed out until early May. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off two or more consecutive road losses, playing 6 or less games in 14 days. This situation is 89-43 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Home teams went 8-0 straight up in the first weekend for the first time since the 2013 playoffs while going 7-1 against the number. Taking into account in the NBA Play-In Tournament games, home teams went 13-1 straight up and 11-3 ATS so it has been host dominant but this will start to balance out. In the three previous seasons where the home teams went 6-2 ATS or better in Game One, Game Two saw a dead even ATS mark of 12-12 ATS. The one road team Monday that looks to bounce back is Orlando as it is coming off an awful game where the offense managed only 83 points on 32.6 percent shooting, its worst performance on that end of the floor, its worst shooting performance on the entire season. Cleveland has one of the best defenses in the NBA overall but it struggled down the stretch as the Cavaliers allowed 48 percent or higher in 10 of its last 12 regular season games. It was a 2-2 season series split during the regular season and Orlando has gone 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games after having lost four of its last five games while Cleveland is 15-23-1 ATS this season following a cover. Here, we play on teams after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 128-81 ATS (61.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (501) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Month. Milwaukee limps into the postseason on a 3-8 slide and will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo for the majority of this series at a minimum. The Bucks skid knocked them down into the No. 3 slot in the Eastern Conference but they were able to avoid falling into No. 4 which means avoiding Boston until the conference finals should they get that far but opening round Game One is the big one and this line is overadjusted because of Giannis being out. His absence is huge for sure but this roster has the talent to make up for it in this key spot. Indiana rolled Atlanta in its final regular season game and was able to grab the No. 6 seed based off a three-way tiebreaker which probably gave it the best matchup of the No. 5 and No. 7 teams that finished with the same record. The Pacers are average on the road and have lost to teams with significantly worse rosters than what they are facing tonight. Here, we play on underdogs after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 81-41 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (587) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Dallas enters the postseason off a pair of losses which denied it a chance at home court advantage in the first round but it was without both Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving for both of those games and coming into those games, the Mavericks were on a roll. They were 16-2 in their previous 18 games and have one of the better matchups of all teams with the road disadvantage. While they have been good at home, they have an identical 25-16 record on the road and Dallas has been writing money in these spots, going 20-4 straight up and 19-5 against the number as road favorites. The Clippers lost their final three games of the regular season and come in with very little momentum with a 14-13 record over their last 27 games. The status of Kawhi Leonard is still in doubt after he missed the final eight games of the regular season as he comes into the first round Game One as questionable. He has participated in film sessions but he has not been able to have any contact on the court and it is unlikely the Clippers will put him on the floor. Here, we play on teams shooting 48 percent or better on the season after a game allowing 55 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 141-91 ATS (60.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (587) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off a road win at New Orleans to grab the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference and they remain on the road to open the postseason in one of the toughest environments in the league. Los Angeles is still one game under .500 on the road following the recent win and the Lakers are 6-16 ATS in their last 21 games coming off an upset win as a road underdog. Denver begins its defense of its NBA Championship and the Nuggets have been on a roll following a rough start in November and December. They missed out on the No. 1 seed because of the tiebreaker as they finished in a tie for the second best record in the NBA. Home court has been solid again this year as they are 33-8 at home which includes a 12-point win over the Lakers in the lone home meeting and going back, Denver has won eight straight meetings that included a four-game sweep in the playoffs last season. Here, we play against underdogs off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (576) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami is coming off a tough loss at Philadelphia on Wednesday by a point and heads home in a spot to make the actual playoffs with the big news that Jimmy Butler is declared out along with Terry Rozier. The Heat are 12-6 in their last 18 games and are still favored despite the depleted lineup which has put money on the other side. Miami is 0-10 as a home underdog but is 22-9 as a home favorite and a short number makes that more accessible. Chicago rolled over Atlanta at home on Wednesday behind 42 points from Coby White and hits the road where it is 19-22 on the season. This is another team where the home/road dichotomy situation is apparent with the Bulls being 9-2 ad road favorites but just 10-20 as road underdogs. Butler is out and this is where the rest of the team steps up. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 34-8 ATS (81 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Miami Heat

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY RAYS for our MLB Thursday Runline Dominator. Of the 10 Tampa Bay 10 wins this season, it has covered the run line in eight of those and after the outright loss on Wednesday, the Rays have dropped three straight against the run line which presents a great opportunity today to have a margin win. Tampa Bay was unable to hold onto the lead on Wednesday as it gave up a pair of ninth innings run to fall to 10-9 overall and 6-7 at home but the series finale presents a great spot for the offense. Griffin Canning has gotten off to a poor start with a 9.88 ERA and 1.83 WHIP through his first three outings as he has allowed at least four earned runs in each of those starts while giving up five home runs in the process. The Angels have lost his last nine starts going back to last season, seven of which have been by more than one run. Ryan Pepiot has been hit hard in two of his three starts and ironically, his best outing was in Colorado where he did not allow a run over six innings. He has been a victim overall where he has allowed 10 runs but only 12 hits and five walks covering 16.2 innings for a 1.02 WHIP. 10* (956) Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Runs

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami closed the regular season with a pair of wins and it closed the season strong by going 11-6 over its last 17 games. This includes a 6-2 record on the road where the Heats have been great all season with a 24-17 record. They have struggled as underdogs but most of that damage was at home where they are 0-10 when getting points. Miami and Philadelphia split the season series while losing the last meeting at home earlier this month and the Heat are 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a home loss this season. The Sixers have caught fire at the right time as they have won eight straight games including all five since Joel Embiid returned from his knee injury. Additionally, Philadelphia has covered 10 straight games so there is now value on the other side with these teams separated by just one game overall. Philadelphia has been dominant at home this season especially with a healthy Embiid but this line is priced to high based on the recent run. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a win against a division rival. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (551) Miami Heat

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The regular season did not end the way the Pelicans wanted as they had a four-game winning streak heading into their game against Lakers while welcoming Brandon Ingram back into the lineup but fall flat at home while trying to lock up a No. 6 seed and avoid the play-in. New Orleans still gets to play host with the winner grabbing the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference while the loser hosting another play-in game against the winner of a matchup between the Kings and Warriors. New Orleans is 20-12 both straight up and against the number following a loss. Los Angeles is still two games under .500 on the road following the recent win and finds itself in a tough spot. The Lakers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games coming off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (542) New Orleans Pelicans

This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. The final day of the regular season will present many scenarios for different seedings up for grabs and lines are overadjusted with this being one of those. The Knicks have secured no worse than the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference and remain alive to pass Milwaukee for the No. 2 seed if they win here and the Bucks lose to Orlando with both being very much possible. But this number is taking that into consideration as a normal price is having the Knicks favored by only eight points. Meanwhile Chicago has nothing to play for as it is locked into the No. 9 seed in the conference and playing a road game for its play in game. While there is no chance to move up or down, the Bulls would like to keep the momentum going after having won their last two games and going into the postseason with positive confidence. Chicago is 27-15 ATS in its last 42 games revenging a loss of 10 points. Here, we play against home favorites of 10 or more points after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Chicago Bulls

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. Sacramento came up small for us last night in a 12-point home loss against New Orleans but we are going back with the Kings which are still in good shape while now catching a big number at home. There is currently a three-way tie at the bottom of the Western Conference with the Kings, Warriors and the Lakers all 45-35. The Kings hold the tiebreaker over both, so they currently sit eighth despite the loss against New Orleans last night. They close with Portland on Sunday so a win here likely guarantees a home game for the play in. Phoenix got its revenge against the Clippers on Wednesday in a 16-point road win but it did not get help last night with the Pelicans win as it is now a game behind them in the No. 7 spot. Phoenix can avoid the play-in entirely by going 2-0 over its final two games but it needs the help of at least one New Orleans loss as well so there is plenty to play for but laying this road number is too excessive. Here, we play on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, playing six or more games in 10 days. This situation is 70-33 ATS (68 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (584) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Despite coming off a pair of wins, New Orleans has been eliminated from a home court advantage possibility as it is 3.5 games out of the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference with three games remaining. The Pelicans can still move down but there is no advantage of facing No. 2 or No. 3 so falling from No. 6 to No. 7 is huge disadvantage. Facing the Kings with the Warriors and Lakers on deck to close the season is a tough spot with literally nothing to play for. This season, the Pelicans are 1-15 ATS coming off a double-digit road win. The Kings meanwhile do have something to play for as they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the conference which is good enough to host a play in game but they are only a half-game ahead of the Lakers to fall out of that and while they have not been the greatest home team this season, an elimination game on the road is something they do not want. This is the first of three home games to close the season and Sacramento is coming off a 1-3 roadtrip with the last game being a non-cover at Oklahoma City and it is 24-13 against the number this season following an ATS loss. 10* (552) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Here, we have another road team where the line is defining the story. Phoenix is coming off a loss at home against the Clippers last night and are now in Los Angeles for a rematch and come in as the favorite. The Suns have been eliminated from having home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs but they are not safe as they are in the play in group where they will host a game more than likely but still have a chance to avoid that elimination game as they are just one game behind New Orleans. Los Angeles is two games clear of Dallas for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference as it has won four straight games with this being the first of a season closing three-game homestand. Kawhi Leonard was out last night so it was a bad loss for the Suns in that regard and he will be out again tonight. The Clippers are 7-18 ATS this season coming off a road win while Phoenix is 14-4 in its last 18 games after scoring less than 100 points. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a home loss, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (543) Phoenix Suns

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Orlando is coming off a bad loss in Houston last night, against a Rockets team that was just eliminated from playoff contention and had nothing to play for, and the Magic slipped to No. 4 in the Eastern Conference but still hold tiebreaker over No. 5 Cleveland based on winning their division. Many will question this line as Orlando is currently a slight road favorite but that line is telling us exactly what this situation is and the public will be all over the Bucks. Milwaukee is coming off a much needed win over Boston last night which snapped a four-game losing streak. The Bucks are still one game ahead of the Knicks for the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference so all remaining games will be big but health is the now more important issue. Giannis Antetokounmpo was a little hobbled coming into last night but he had to leave the game with a leg injury and he is again listed as questionable and it is highly unlikely he is going to take the floor tonight and that is what this line is saying. Here, we play on teams revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite. This situation is 81-41 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Dallas has peaked at the right time as following a 26-point win over Charlotte last night, it has won four straight games and is 15-2 over its last 17 games. With four games left, the Mavericks are in the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference, two games behind the Clippers so there is still a possibility of moving up. Dallas is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing on back-to-back days this season while going 12-3 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. Miami lost a tough game at Indiana on Sunday but bounced back with a win at Atlanta last night in double overtime. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro all logged at least 44 minutes so this is a much more tired team coming into this back-to-back spot. The Heat are guaranteed a home game in a play in situation but can still avoid that as they are a game and a half behind Indiana for the No. 6 spot. Miami is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of six points or less this season. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road win against a division rival, playing their 3rd game in four days. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (535) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our Eastern Conf. Game of the Month. Milwaukee has now lost four straight games and even with just four games remaining, the Bucks are in jeopardy of falling out of the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference and they are just a game and a half out of fifth place. The good news is they control their own destiny as they hold the tiebreaker over New York and Cleveland and can win the season series with Orlando. They got Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo back in the lineup together and while the latter is questionable, he will likely be able to go again. Boston has won five straight games and has already clinched the best record in the NBA so health is the biggest factor as it closes out the regular season. Jayson Tatum missed the last game and is probable tonight but we are likely not going to see the starters play big minutes. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having lost five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our National Championship Crusher. The chalk again came through in the Final Four as the favorites have had the biggest NCAA Tournament of all time and after Saturday, the public has cleaned up as in the NCAA Tournament this season, favorites of eight points or more are 20-5 (80 percent) against the number. This number has not reached that yet but it is close and this is the contrarian move to close the season with nearly 80 percent of the money on the Huskies which are now 11-0 ATS over the last two NCAA Tournaments. Connecticut is an absurd +125 in scoring differential in this tournament but Purdue is not far behind as it is +98 and this is the first time since 1960 that the National Title game has featured two teams that have outscored their opponents by 19 ppg or more. These teams are on more of a level field than what this line is saying with the Boilermakers coming in 31-4 in non-Quad 4 games and the Huskies 27-3. This is a rare spot for Purdue which has not been an underdog of more than six points since 2021. With the run the Huskies are on, the number is certainly inflated and this is the highest spread of No. 1 seeds facing each other since 1999 so taking everything into account, this is a number play backing a Purdue team that is narrowly behind Connecticut in the NET rankings and has a better Q score. 10* (675) Purdue Boilermakers

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Milwaukee is in an absolute funk right now as it has lost three straight games and they were not just any losses as they were against the Wizards, Grizzlies and the Raptors which are three of the six lowest rated teams in the league and all three were as favorites of 12 points or more. They got Damian Lillard back after missing the previous three games but the Bucks were without Giannis Antetokounmpo in their last loss against Toronto but both will be back in the lineup tonight in what has become a must win. Milwaukee did get a break last night with the Cavaliers loss and are now a game and a half ahead of Cleveland with three of its last five games coming against pursuers New York and Orlando with the other two against the Celtics and Thunder. At 29-9 at home, the Bucks have to take this one. The Knicks are coming odd a bad loss as well as they fell to the Bulls to open their four-game roadtrip and they are tied with the Magic for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference. They could not catch a title contender at the wrong time however and they have been average on the road at 20-18 while going 9-12 as underdogs. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having lost five or six of their last seven games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (580) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Orlando had been on a 10-2 run but lost three straight games before coming back to win three consecutive games. that was a much needed run but the Magic followed that up with a horrible loss at Charlotte on Friday to remain in a tie with New York for fourth place in the Eastern Conference. The Magic are 27-11 at home while covering 25 of those and come in part of a great situation from all season as they are 19-4 as home favorites, bringing in the money in 17 of those and this is a team that needs to lock down their home floor for the first round of the playoffs so all games are huge going forward. Chicago is coming off a win over the Knicks to halt a 2-5 slide and it really has nothing to play for at this point as it is locked in to a road play-in game with the opponent still to be determined and out of its control. The Bulls are on the road for four of their last five games where they are three games under .500 including a 9-18 record as underdogs. This is the prime spot for Orlando which is 15-4 ATS this season as a favorite between 3.5 and 9 points. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differential of +/- 3 ppg, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (568) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Oklahoma City has fallen into third place in the Western Conference following its third straight loss with all three of those games having Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the pine with a quad contusion. This is a team that continues to get no respect as they have been underdogs in their last three games but those were all against solid playoff teams yet they are favored on the road here against one of the worst teams in the league and as a line comparison, not nearly enough considering the Hornets have been at least 12-point underdogs in their last four home games against playoff teams. Charlotte beat Orlando in its last game by nine points as a 12-point underdog as it was the first game played since head coach Steve Clifford was told he would not be retained and that was a spot where the team came together. Now it is a letdown game and coming against a team that is playing for so much at this point. Charlotte is just 11-28 at home while winning just nine of those games and even though it is catching a significant number, it is not where it should be. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. This situation is 26-3 ATS (89.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (569) Oklahoma City Thunder

This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our ALA/UCONN Final Four Crusher. We are going contrarian with Alabama as it continues to shoot at a high level and will obviously need to continue that, bringing in the No. 1 ranked scoring offense in the country. Alabama had no issues with its two mid-major opponents as it beat Charleston and Grand Canyon by double digits and then got quality wins over North Carolina and Clemson to get confidence and momentum back for a team that limped into the NCAA Tournament with losses in four of its previous six games. The Huskies ATS run has reached historic levels as they are the 1st team in seeding era to win and cover 10 straight games and going back, the Huskies are on a 26-6 ATS run in the NCAA Tournament, covering 14 of those games by double digits. No one wants to step in front of this train and the number has been on the move with over two-thirds of the tickets and the money on Connecticut which has pushed the number from -10.5 opening to -12 in most places as of Wednesday afternoon. Looking overall, the public has cleaned up as in the NCAA Tournament this season, favorites of eight points or more are 18-5 (78.3 percent) against the number. Free throw shooting is a big factor in these games and Alabama has a big edge. The Tide shoot 78.6 percent from the stripe while Connecticut shoots 73.9 percent which is still good but teams that shoot 75 percent or higher going up teams that shoot less than 75 percent are 85-54-2 ATS (61.2 percent) since 2018. 10* (671) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our NCST/PUR Final Four Dominator. This is the contrarian call and we say contrarian based on the line and the seeding for NC State but not based on the early betting moves which does tell the story early on. The Wolfpack have garnered 75 percent of the money and 65 percent of the tickets but the number has not moved. It has been an historic run for NC State as it has won nine straight games to make it to its first Final Four in over 40 years and this from a team that was not even on the bubble to make the NCAA Tournament. Its 14 losses are the most ever for any team to make the Final Four. Eight of those losses were Quad 1 defeats but only two of those were by more points than what the Wolfpack are getting here and those were against Duke and North Carolina. Purdue is the big chalk for a reason and it has it all to win the National Championship as the Boilermakers are elite on both sides of the ball, ranked No. 2 on offense and No. 16 on defense in the country and of course are led by center Zach Edey, who has won the Naismith Player of the Year two seasons in a row. Purdue has played 21 games away from home and has gone 17-4 but only seven of those wins have come by more than eight points, two of those coming against non-major teams, three against Big Ten teams that did not make the NCAA Tournament and the other two against Gonzaga by 10 and 12 points and those latter two are the only true quality victories. 10* (673) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the CLEVELAND CAVALIERS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Seeding implications are on the line for both Cleveland and Los Angeles and we will be taking the inflated number. The Lakers are 8-1 over their last nine games which is their best stretch of the season and are inching closer to being able to host a play in game also in part to New Orleans and Sacramento fading of late. The recent run along with just being the Lakers has forced this number to be where it is and while they are 21-7 as home favorites, they are just 13-13-2 against the number. Cleveland is coming off a loss at Phoenix on Wednesday and it has not been a good run since early March as the Cavaliers are 5-9 over their last 14 games. However, the recent struggles for Milwaukee has kept Cleveland alive for the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference as it is just one game behind the Bucks so this is a big two-game Los Angeles weekend. The Cavaliers are 12-3 ATS following a road loss this season and they are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games following a double-digit road loss. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differentials of +/- 3 ppg, after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 74-36 ATS (67.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Western Conf. Game of the Month. After a horrible loss to San Antonio, Phoenix was faced with a tough task to close the season with its 10 remaining games all coming against playoff teams which was the No. 1 remaining schedule. So far, so good as the Suns are 3-1 including a big win at home over Cleveland last time out with Kevin Durant and Devin Booker combining for 72 points and this roster could finally be finding their rhythm. It will not get any easier here but they are in their best stretch in a long time as they are 6-2 over their last eight games and have moved into a tie for No. 6 in the Western Conference. Minnesota has also regained its form after a 2-4 stretch to open March as the Timberwolves have gone 9-2 since then. It does include two impressive road wins over Denver and the Clippers and they come in 25-13 on the road for the season. They are tied with Denver atop the Western Conference and they are coming off a 48-point win over Toronto and while they have been good after wins, they are just 34-18 off a victory compared to 19-4 off a loss. The defense is still No. 1 in Efficiency but will have their hands full against this team on the road. 10* (550) Phoenix Suns

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston is coming off a 35-point win over short-handed Oklahoma City to clinch the No. 1 overall seed and secure home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. It was the third straight win for the Celtics which play at home in five of their final six games with the biggest test coming on the road against Milwaukee. This is a line to grab early if possible as Boston is not going to go all out the remainder of the season and while they will unlikely sit their starters, they will not be seeing normal action but we could still see someone sit here especially with Jaylen Brown questionable. We played against Sacramento on Thursday which was more of a play on with the Knicks which seemed to be a much bigger game for them based on their situation in the Eastern Conference standings and the fact they have a four-game roadtrip on deck. The Kings are in a group of six teams within four games of each other between the No. 5 and No. 10 spots in the conference so each game is big for them as well and stealing a game against the best team in the league would be huge but we will gladly take the very big number in hopes of what should be a close game. 10* (535) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The season is on the line tonight for the Rockets. Houston put together an 11-game winning streak to get into playoff contention but has lost two straight games to fall three games behind the Warriors after creeping up within one game. It has been an incredible turnaround season for the Rockets which have already surpassed their wins from last season by 16 games so it has already been a success but they want to keep it going. Houston has won 22 of 26 games as a favorite and while it is the underdogs here, the Rockets have won 11 of 20 games as home underdogs, covering 13 of those. Golden St. is coming off a win over Dallas which made it five straight wins but it has clearly been a disappointing season for the Warriors. This is a spot they have excelled in this season as they are 16-1 as road favorites, covering 13 of those but we are bucking that here based on the situation and that fact that Houston has been the most profitable team at home this season, going 27-11 ATS, one of just four teams at 60 percent or above. Houston lost the first two meetings this season but those were before December and this is a much better team from then and they are 17-5 ATS at home revenging a loss. 10* (526) Houston Rockets

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Sacramento has won two straight games and is currently tied for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and it is in a group of teams six teams within four games of each other between the No. 5 and No. 10 spots in the conference. This is the sixth time since late February that the Kings have won two games in a row but they are 0-5 in the last five games following consecutive wins with the losses coming by 11, 8, 7, 7 and 36 points. They hit the road for their final four road games of the season where they are a solid 21-16 and have covered 23 of those games but that is keeping this number low. The Knicks are coming off their third straight loss and they are also in a logjam in their conference. New York is tied with Orlando for fourth place in the Eastern Conference but it has already lost that tiebreaker and while it can feasibly still reach No. 3, it is also in the situation where it could fall as far as No. 8 should these struggles continue. The Knicks have four road games on deck after this one so this is a big home game where they are 24-14 including a 21-6 record as a home favorite and they are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games coming off a road loss. 10* (524) New York Knicks

This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our NIT Game of the Year. The analysis remains the same for the Sycamores from their game on Monday. Although Indiana St. could not get out of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament, it should have gained a berth in the NCAA Tournament as the Sycamores finished No. 28 in NET rankings and were by far the highest rated team to not make the tournament. This team looks to be on a mission with a huge chip on their shoulder and this venue favors them as they will have the crowd on their side. The Sycamores feature three players that shoot at least 40 percent from long range and they shoot 38.3 percent as team from behind the arc which is No. 11 in the country. They did not shoot great from long range against Utah but still won by 10 points as they shot 80.7 percent from two. Seton Hall jumped out to an 18-3 lead over Georgia and never looked back. The Pirates led by as many as 24 points in the second half but the Bulldogs did mount a comeback as they got it to within 12 points with just under six minutes left so the Seton Hall starters did not get a break in a game in which they should have. The Pirates have rolled in their last three games after barely getting by St. Joes in the NIT opener so while playing great, they are just No. 67 in NET ranking and while they can out-physical teams, Indiana St. proved it can handle that as it did against Utah. 10* (681) Indiana St. Sycamores

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Milwaukee is coming off a bad loss at Washington on Tuesday as it was without Damian Lillard for a second straight game but head coach Doc Rivers said that he should be back on Wednesday. The Bucks lead over Cleveland for the No. 2 spot in the Eastern Conference has shrunk to 1.5 games and they are just 2.5 games ahead of the Knicks for fourth place which is the spot no team wants since it would have to face Boston before the conference finals. Milwaukee is back home where it is 29-7 and this is the start of a five-game homestand so it has a good shot to clinch No. 2 here but the final three games on this homestand are against playoff teams so these first two games are big. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with a win at Detroit on Monday. Four of their last five wins have been against non-playoff teams with the other coming against Philadelphia which has certainly not been the same. The last real quality win came at home back in mid-February against Milwaukee so the Bucks will also be out for some payback in addition to bouncing back from a horrible loss. Here, we play on favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of seven points or more going up against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Non-Conf. Game of the Month. New Orleans was in good shape to keep pace with the Clippers for the No. 4 spot in the Western Conference where it also owns the tiebreaker against Los Angeles but it began a brutal homestand at the start of last week against four championship contenders and it went 103 in those games, the lone win coming against Milwaukee. The Pelicans face another playoff team before closing out against San Antonio and after two straight losses, this is a big one to get as the possibility of falling into the play in spot is there as the Pelicans are only a game ahead of Phoenix for the No. 7 spot and the elimination game. New Orleans has been better on the road than at home this season but that is reflected in the short number. Following a pair of wins over lowly Memphis and Portland, Orlando is also in must win mode but nothing more than seeding as well as its magic number is five to avoid the play in game but the difference here is that the Magic are on the road where they are 17-19 compared to 27-1 at home. They are 9-1 as road chalk but just 8-18 as underdogs and are simply in a bad spot. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, playing a winning team. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) New Orleans Pelicans

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana is still very much alive for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference as it trails New York and Orlando by a game and a half. The Pacers have won two straight games including a 22-point home win over Brooklyn on Monday where they closed at -12.5 so this is a fair number for the venue change and with everything on the line. They are decent on the road at 19-18 but have been inconsistent yet they have won six of their last eight on the highway and with games against Oklahoma City and Miami on deck so there will be plenty of motivation despite the revenge angle on the other side. It has been two straight losses for Brooklyn which has basically ended its playoff chances as one more loss or one more Atlanta win with the Hawks hosting Detroit Wednesday eliminates the Nets. After opening the season 16-4-1 against the number, Brooklyn is just 16-30-1 ATS over its last 47 games and this is not the spot. This starts a four-game homestand where the Nets are just 17-20 and while they have been solid with seven wins in 11 games as underdogs, it is a different scenario when late in the season especially with nothing likely on the line. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, off a road loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (511) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Dallas has won seven straight games and 11 of its last 12 to climb the Western Conference standings as it is now in the No. 5 spot and trails the Clippers by two games for the all important No. 4 spot and home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. They have been excellent on the road which has been the case for a lot of teams as the Mavericks are one of seven teams with 22 or more road wins and while they are 18-3 as road favorites, they are just 5-11 as road underdogs. Golden St. has won four straight games, all on the road, and it returns home where it has been a major disappointment this season. The Warriors are 18-19 at home so there has not been a true home floor edge but that provides value in what is a near pickem. They are still holding down the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, two games clear of Houston with a game against the Rockets on deck so this is a big one to not make that a swing game. Here, we play against road underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (580) Golden St. Warriors

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. New York is coming off a pair of losses against San Antonio and Oklahoma City which halted a 7-1 run and it still remains in the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, a half-game behind Cleveland for third place and just a half-game ahead of Orlando for fifth place. They have been a solid road team all season and the Knicks are 10-5 in their last 15 road games and while this is a tough spot, they are 20-9 following a loss and they have dropped more than two in row only two times this season. Miami has been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league as it has pulled off some big runs but has also fallen into some bad runs as well. The Heat are currently riding a two-game winning streak but those wins were against Portland and Washington and of their last nine wins, only one came against a team that will be making the playoffs. They are a game out of avoiding the play in game so each game is huge but at only 19-17 at home, there is not a big edge. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after a loss by three points or less. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (569) New York Knicks

This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS as part of our NBA Tuesday Triple Play. Toronto has dropped 13 straight games and this is a game it will be up for with the Lakers coming to town. The Raptors have been extremely shorthanded but they will get R.J. Barrett and Immanuel Quickley back tonight who have both been out since early to mid-March. They have not been great at home at just 13-25 but that is just four games worse than how the Lakers have performed on the road and they are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 games following two straight losses by 15 points or more. Los Angeles is coming off a win at Brooklyn and it has won six of its last seven games including a 3-1 start on this current six-game roadtrip with a game at Washington on deck tomorrow. That brings in the probability of LeBron James and/or Anthony Davis resting for one of these games and both are on the injury list as questionable so we can get value here when bet early and possibly getting a late scratch as this number will only come down. The Lakers are 17-21 on the road and have covered only four of 13 games as road chalk. Here, we play on underdogs failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 games going up against an opponent after having covered three of their last four games. This situation is 82-34 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (564) Toronto Raptors

This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our NIT Annihilator. Although Indiana St. could not get out of the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament, it should have gained a berth in the NCAA Tournament as the Sycamores finished No. 28 in NET rankings and were by far the highest rated team to not make the tournament. This team looks to be on a mission with a huge chip on their shoulder and this venue favors them as they will have the crowd on their side. The Sycamores feature three players that shoot at least 40 percent from long range and they shoot 38.3 percent as team from behind the arc which is No. 11 in the country. Utah used its huge home court advantage to roll through the first three games of the NIT and winning away from home kept the Utes out of the NCAA Tournament. They went 17-2 at home but won only five games outside of Salt Lake City with just two of those victories coming after November. Utah has a big size advantage but it does not help them defensively, especially on the perimeter where the Utes are No. 223 in three-point shooting defense. Additionally, they are one of the worst free throw shooting teams in the country, hitting only 65 percent from the stripe which is No. 348 in the nation. Here, we play against underdogs after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing with five or six days of rest. This situation is 149-112 ATS (57.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (662) Indiana St. Sycamores

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Memphis has lost three straight games and seven of its last eight as this injury riddled season starts to wind down. The Grizzlies got one key player back recently as Desmond Bane returned for five games after being out since January 12 but he is once again out of the lineup and they will be playing with four of their normal starting five out. Memphis has actually been better on the road than at home as it is 16-22 but that is being taken into consideration with this number. Detroit is coming off a win at Washington on Saturday which snapped an eight-game losing streak but all of those losses came against teams that will be in the postseason. Going back, the Pistons last 21 losses have come against teams that will be in the playoffs and on the season, they have only two wins against the top 16 in the league which is tied for second fewest. While not great at home, Detroit has won three straight here against non-playoff teams. Here, we play on favorites averaging between 108 and 114 ppg after a combined score of 205 points or less 2 straight games going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114. This situation is 66-28 ATS (70.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (558) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Divisional Game of the Year. Miami is coming off a 60-point, yes 60-point, win over Portland on Friday and is now laying a huge number on the road, the most it has been favored by on the road all season. After a 7-1 run wrapped around the All Star break, the Heat are just 5-7 over their last 12 games and are currently No. 7 in the Eastern Conference with no chance to move up into a home court advantage but still a chance to get out of playing in a play in game so these games are meaningful but lines are inflated because of that. Washington put together a three-game winning streak but has lost back-to-back games against Brooklyn and Detroit and its 14 wins on the season are second fewest in the league. The Wizards are just 6-30 at home this season and they have been throwing away money against the number but they are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games at home when catching double digits. This is a revenge game for Miami which lost at home by a bucket but is laying basically the same price on the road and this is the recency bias play against spot. Here, we play on underdogs after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 125 points or more. This situation is 65-35 ATS (65 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (540) Washington Wizards

This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS for our Elite 8 Game of the Year. It has been an improbable run for No. 11 seed NC State as it has now won eight straight games to get to the Elite 8. After winning five games in five days in the ACC Tournament, the Wolfpack have carried that momentum into the NCAA Tournament with three wins but it is safe to say, they have been fortunate. This is not a very good defense despite what the numbers have shown as on the season, NC State finished No. 280 in opponent three-point percentage and it leaves opponents wide open as Texas Tech, Oakland and Marquette simply could not make their shots as they went a combined 23-97 (23.7 percent) so if any one of those teams shot their average, NC State would not even be here. Duke rolled over a couple mid-majors in the first two rounds and then took out No. 1 seed Houston on Friday. The Blue Devils no doubt caught a break as Houston played the final 26-plus minutes without All-American Jamal Shead and he means more to this team than arguably any other team in the country. That being said, Duke took advantage of it and now catches an overachieving team at the right time. The Blue Devils are No. 21 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and No. 31 in Turnover Rate and they are elite from long range, finishing No. 13 in the country in three-point shooting. They went just 5-20 against the Wolfpack in the ACC Tournament loss so hit their shots here and they roll. 10* (658) Duke Blue Devils

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Afternoon Dominator. Denver is coming off a pair of losses against Phoenix and Minnesota at home which gave it just eight home losses on the season and this is the spot to bounce back with Jamal Murray having a good possibility to return after missing four games. The Nuggets have shot 43 percent or worse in consecutive games for just the third time this season and in the previous two occurrences, they came back by shooting 53 percent from the floor both times. They will be facing a tough defense for the second straight game but this is the get right spot as the Nuggets have fallen into third place in the Western Conference. Cleveland is coming off a win over Philadelphia which temporarily halted a 1-4 stretch as it got Donovan Mitchell back after he missed the previous six games with a broken nose so the Cavaliers are back to full strength. They are still in a fight for the No. 3 and No. 4 spots in the Eastern Conference and his return is keeping this number low. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 87-54 ATS (61.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Sat. Elite 8 Annihilator. Clemson is coming off the big upset of Arizona which was the third straight game in the NCAA Tournament where the defense was the difference as it has forced 32 turnovers and that has been something it has been unable to do on a consistent basis this season as they are No. 344 in Turnover Percentage. Alabama is also off an upset as it defeated North Carolina as it outshot the Tar Heels by close to 10 percent. The offensive metrics are not great for the Tide but they are the highest scoring offense in the country and three-point shooting will play a big role and the law of averages favor Alabama. The Tide average 11 made three-pointers per game while being held to fewer than nine only 10 times and Clemson is 5-5 on the season when it allows 10 or more long balls and 8-8 when allowing nine or more. One of the exceptions to this was in the first meeting when Alabama made 11 three-pointers in the loss but the Tigers but the difference was on the other side where Clemson was 11-21 (52 percent) from long range. Alabama is 0-4 when teams shoot 44 percent or better from behind the arc and while that was one of those losses, Clemson has shot 44 percent or more only six times so that first meeting was an aberration. Alabama is 17-8 ATS as a favorite this season while going 6-0 ATS after allowing 45 or more points in the first half. 10* (654) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. We do not like to lay big numbers on the road but this one is very manageable. Milwaukee opened at -7.5 and in comparison, Boston was favored at Atlanta in the last Hawks game by 17.5 points at one point, it closed at -15.5, and while the Bucks are not on the same level as the Celtics, they are not 10 points worse despite the recent struggles which are actually helping with this number which continues to plummet. As is the fact Damian Lillard will miss this game but this is one of those times where a star sits and the rest of the team picks it up. It was the second win in three games for the Hawks over Boston, which had already clinched the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference, and the Celtics can be guilty of complacency. With that win, it was their fourth straight victory for the Hawks with a depleted roster and that is going to catch up at some point. Atlanta is 11-28 ATS in its last 39 games off an upset win as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 55-22 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (529) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our Fri. Sweet 16 Enforcer. We had the unfortunate curse of having the underdog in a game that went to overtime, in this case double overtime, as Oregon had its chances but lost to Creighton by 13 points as its depth became an issue late. Creighton has been a very popular No. 3 seed to make the deep run but they do not do two important things well as they do not force turnovers and do not get to the free throw line as they are ranked No. 362 in Defensive Turnover Percentage and No. 353 in Free Throw Rate. The Bluejays rely on the pick-and-roll to set up its three-point shots where it is above average at No. 54 in the country but the Volunteers match up well as they are No. 18 in pick-and-roll defense while allowing under 15 percent of total three-pointers taken to be left unguarded. That is only part of the defense that is raked No. 3 in Adjusted Efficiency Defense and that is why Tennessee is here as it was able to overcome an awful shooting night against Texas where it hit only 33.8 percent of its shots. Dalton Knecht led the Volunteers with 18 points but was just 5-18 from the floor and we expect a much better effort here after averaging 25.5 ppg in SEC action. The narrative here is that Tennessee head coach Rick Barnes is 4-16 against the number in NCAA Tournament games but we will be going against that here. 10* (642) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. This is an immediate revenge game for Sacramento as it lost to Dallas by 36 points on this floor on Tuesday so there will be some extra motivation in the tank tonight. The Kings are now a half-game behind Phoenix for the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference and they were in a tie for sixth place with Dallas prior to that loss so they can get that back with a win and can move back into a tie with the Mavericks. Sacramento is 24-8 ATS in its last 32 games following a home loss and 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 130 or more points. Dallas has been on a heater as it has won five straight while going 9-1 over its last 10 games to solidify its playoff position. The Mavericks have been solid on the road this season at 21-14 but five of their last six wins on the highway have come against teams that will not be in the postseason and despite the win over the Kings as a slight underdog in their last game, they are just 4-11 as road underdogs on the season. Here, we play on teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (524) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our Fri. Sweet 16 Annihilator. Houston got a scare from Texas A&M and it is in a great spot here laying its shortest price since February 24 when it laid 2.5 points at Baylor and while it has not been great when laying fewer than two possessions, all of those were in true road games and while this is not a home game, location matters here. Houston will be the fifth No. 1 seed to play the Sweet 16 in its home state with only St. John’s to lose its Sweet 16 game while the other three all advanced to the Final Four. Houston is not a great offensive team as it is ranked No. 229 in Effective field goal Percentage but does not face a great defense with Duke No. 90 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and the Cougars make up for it as they do not turn it over and rebound excellent, ranked No. 10 and No. 13 respectively in those categories. The Blue Devils had no issues with Vermont and James Madison, winning those games by 37 and 38 points and because of that, the line has been adjusted as the public will think that the Blue Devils are back but now they catch a real test. Duke has a very efficient offense but will be facing a defense ranked No. 2 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency and No. 3 in Turnover Rate. The Blue Devils are 5-4 in Quad 1 games with Houston being 16-4 and that disparity is enormous. 10* (646) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Houston has won 10 straight games to get it into the playoff picture in the Western Conference as it trails Golden St. by one game for the final playoff spot. Half of those wins have come on the road but three of those were against Portland, San Antonio and Washington and while the latest victory was at Oklahoma City, the Thunder were without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Rockets are just 11-24 on the road overall and this line has gone up from opening by over a bucket based on their run. Utah has been on a near opposite run as it has lost seven straight games with four of those at home but those three were against upcoming playoff teams. The Jazz are still 20-17 at home compared to going 9-27 on the road and they are 13-9-1 ATS as home underdogs. One of the recent road losses was a 28-point defeat in Houston and Utah is 15-7 ATS at home revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points. Here, we play on underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a combined score of 255 points or more. This situation is 90-59 ATS (60.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (522) Utah Jazz

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Indiana is coming off a bad loss to Chicago by 26 points to close out its roadtrip with a 3-2 record. The Pacers are back home for four of their next five games and they remain one game ahead of Miami for the No. 6 spot in the Eastern Conference to avoid the play in. Indiana is 21-12 off a loss, covering 20 of those games and this is the first home meeting after two losses to the Lakers, one in Los Angeles and one on a neutral floor in the Play-In Tournament Championship and it is 12-4 ATS at home this season revenging a loss. The Lakers have won five straight games and are now 2.5 games ahead of Golden St. for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference so they have caught fire at the right time for a second straight season after closing last year 9-2 over their last 11 games. The last two wins have come on the road where they are just 14-20 and on the season, the Lakers are 2-11 ATS off a road win. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with scoring differentials between +/- 3 ppg, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. This situation is 33-7 ATS (82.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (504) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Thu. Sweet 16 Enforcer. North Carolina came into the NCAA Tournament as the lowest No. 1 seed and it is currently rated lower than three No. 2 seeds as it comes in No. 8 overall of remaining NCAA Tournament teams. The Tar Heels easily overmatched Wagner in the opening round and surprisingly rolled over Michigan St. by 16 points to advance to the Sweet 16. They are and always will be a publicly bet team and are laying a short number which will bring more attraction with already 73 percent of tickets and 68 percent of money on them but with very little line movement. This is another contrarian angle play and this is based upon head coach Hubert Davis. The Tar Heels missed the NCAA Tournament last season after their huge 2021-22 run and going back to that, Davis is 8-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament, being only the third coach to start his coaching career 8-0 ATS or better in the big dance. Alabama has had no issues with its two mid-major opponents as it beat Charleston and Grand Canyon by double digits which is huge for confidence and momentum for a team that limped into the NCAA Tournament with losses in four of its previous six games. Kansas and Auburn are already out as No. 4 seeds so the Tide got a good draw and starting to re-peak after what was an overall great season. 10* (635) Alabama Crimson Tide

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston will be motivated tonight to avenge an awful loss against Atlanta on Monday as the Hawks overcame a 30-point deficit to end the Celtics nine-game winning streak with a 120-118 victory. It was the biggest comeback in Hawks history and the largest comeback in the NBA this season so while this revenge spot heavily favors Boston, it goes from a 10.5-point favorite to a 17.5-point favorite. Sorry, but no matter who is in the Atlanta lineup tonight, a line shift like this is ridiculous with huge value on Atlanta which still has more to play for at this point. The Celtics locked up the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to Milwaukee losing to the Lakers on Monday and they have all but locked up the best record in the league as they are 6.5 games clear of Denver. Atlanta has won three in a row after its win over Portland last night and remains No. 10 in the Eastern Conference and it remains a game and a half behind Chicago which also won last night and getting to that No. 9 seed is big to avoid playing Boston in the first round should it get past the play in game. Boston can win by 30 but the probability is not there and we will gladly jump on this overinflated number. 10* (568) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our Sweet 16 Game of the Year. Connecticut is still arguably the best team in the country as it once again looks unstoppable following its National Championship run last season. The Huskies are a very public team right now and for good reason as they have covered eight straight NCAA Tournament games going back to last season so this is the contrarian move. Obviously, they have not let the big numbers deter their ATS run as they have been able to cover the inflated numbers and linesmakers are now forced to make huge adjustments based on this. The bad news is that this is a horrible spot to be in with 85 percent of tickets and 91 percent of money coming in on them and going back, NCAA Tournament teams with 80 percent or more of the action on their side are 2-11 ATS over the last 19 years. San Diego St. is not getting the respect here as this is a tournament tested team that is looking to make another run to the championship game and the Aztecs are of course doing it with their defense as they are No. 8 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. They got a scare from UAB but rolled over Yale and while the defense will be tested against the No. 2 ranked offense in efficiency, mucking up this game and making it low scoring heavily favors the underdog, especially a quality one getting double digits. 10* (633) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Utah has lost six straight games including three of those at home but those three were against upcoming playoff teams. The Jazz are still 20-16 at home compared to going 9-27 on the road and that home record is 10-3 when they are favored. Utah had a great run in December and January but it has struggled since mid-January and it has fallen out of playoff contention but we love the contrarian aspect of this spot with the current losing streak and laying a short number. San Antonio is coming off a win over Phoenix without Victor Wembanyama in the lineup which snapped a three-game losing streak. The Spurs hit the road for their first true road game since March 9 as they have played five home games and a pair of neutral site games since that last road game. San Antonio is 7-29 on the highway and coming off a win has not given them much momentum this season as the Spurs are 4-11 following a victory. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a home loss by 10 points or more, playing a losing team. This situation is 79-39 ATS (66.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Utah Jazz

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Indiana followed up a five-point loss to the Lakers on Sunday with a 17-point win against the Clippers on Monday which was its third win in four games to open this five-game roadtrip. The Pacers improved to 19-17 on the road and once again on their own conference where they are 28-17 against Eastern Conference teams. Indiana is still alive for home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs as it trails New York by three games and this is a good momentum spot as the Pacers are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games coming off a double-digit win as road underdogs. Chicago is coming off its third straight loss as it fell to Washington at home which was a killer defeat and it is pretty much guaranteed to take part in the play in portion of the postseason. The Bulls are 6.5 games out of sixth place in the conference with just 10 games remaining. They are now 18-19 at home and this includes a 2-5 run at home with the two wins coming against two of the worst teams in the NBA. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset loss as a home favorite. This situation is 89-47 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the SETON HALL PIRATES for our NIT Signature Enforcer. The NIT can be tough to figure out early on with motivation being a key factor and both of these teams have been locked in. Seton Hall has the benefit of remaining at home where it played its first two games including a 14-point win last time out over North Texas. Additionally, the Pirates come into this game with an extra day of rest to go along with the no travel so there is added prep time. The Pirates are 16-3 at home with half of those wins coming against postseason teams. It has been a tough travel schedule for UNLV over the last week as it opened the NIT on the east coast against Princeton then travelled back home to host Boston College on Sunday and now it is back in New Jersey to face Seton Hall. The Rebels have performed well on the road this season as they are 8-3 but only three of those victories have come against teams that made the postseason in some form while all three losses were against such teams, two by double digits. UNLV has just six Quad 1 and 2 wins while Seton Hall has 10. 10* (622) Seton Hall Pirates

This is a play on the INDIANA ST. SYCAMORES for our NIT Signature Enforcer. There might have been a question with Indiana St. and its motivation following a loss in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Championship against Drake and then getting snubbed for an at large berth in the NCAA Tournament but the Sycamores clearly have the motivation to keep their season going. They have rolled over SMU and Minnesota in the first two rounds of the NIT and this is the final home game of the season and it will be fire. Indiana St. is 15-1 at home and with a chip on its shoulder, this will be a tough environment for the visitor. Cincinnati held its own in its first season in the Big 12 Conference but it was still just a 7-11 finish yet the Bearcats got a top seed in the NIT thanks to a decent run in their conference tournament. They won their first two games at home and are now on the road where they have won only four games this season. Additionally, they went 4-11 in Quad 1 games this season with the win at Texas Tech being the only one on the highway. 10* (612) Indiana St. Sycamores

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston has won nine straight games while going 8-1 against the number in those games. The Celtics are close to clinching the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference as a win here solidifies it with an 11-game lead over the Bucks with 10 games remaining. That being said, winning and covering in this spot is a different story as this number is inflated due to the run and the clinching scenario and going back just three nights ago, they were favored by only 2.5 points more over the lowly Pistons. Atlanta is coming off a win over Charlotte which snapped a two-game losing streak and a 1-5 skid. The Hawks hold down the No. 10 spot in the Eastern Conference and are in good shape to make the playoffs as they have a 5.5-game lead over Brooklyn. They have been awful against the number this season but this is just the second time this season they are getting double digits and they covered the first time which happened to come against the Celtics in Boston. Here, we play against road favorites of 10 or more points having won 15 or more of their last 20 games, playing their 3rd road game in four days. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (520) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Lakers are coming off a pair of wins against the Hawks and Sixers and this concludes a four-game homestand before Los Angeles hits the road for a six-game trip so this is a game it needs. The Lakers are in the No. 9 spot in the Western Conference, three and a half games behind Phoenix to avoid the play in but they are also three games from missing the postseason all together making every game huge. They are 20-7 at home as favorites. Indiana has also won two straight games includi9ng an upset at Golden St. on Friday and the Pacers have now won five straight games on the road to move two games over .500 on the highway. This is a revenge game for Indiana after losing to the Lakers in the In-Season Tournament Championship but road revenge is a different story. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 92-38 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our 2nd Round Game of the Year. Yale pulled off the big upset over Auburn and while this might look like a Princeton scenario from last season, it is a different story as it celebrated like it just won the National Championship. The Bulldogs went up against a very good defense against the Tigers and while they put up 78 points, they were outshot from the floor but benefitted from a 21-15 edge from the free throw line which was an anomaly as Yale is No. 332 in Free Throw Rate. The tempo for the Bulldogs is very similar to that of San Diego St. which favors a low scoring game but the physicality of the Aztecs will be the difference. This is the lowest total on the board of all of the Sunday games and for a reason with the style of both teams and experience will play a big part here as well. The Aztecs made it to the championship game last season with a lot of this team still intact and while they would be at a disadvantage playing a team with more tempo that could take over control, mucking up a game against a team that also wants to that heavily favors them. Yale does not turn the ball over but it also does not force turnovers as it is No. 255 in Turnover Rate. 10* (838) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the GRAND CANYON ANTELOPES for our Sun. CBB Ultimate Underdog. Grand Canyon came through on Friday as the offense did what is does as it was more physical against a physical defense and now plays a team that does not play defense with that style. The Antelopes are very experienced and have the key numbers on both sides where they will want to turn this game to a physical slugfest again. They are ranked in the top five in FTA/FGA rate and are ranked in the top 30 in offensive rebounding as they attack the rim and have the size to excel here and their 36 free throws against the Gaels shows that. Alabama beat a good Charleston team in an up and down game which is in their favor as the Tide are No. 9 in Tempo but the difference here is that the Cougars also prefer that style and this is a completely different matchup. The offense is ranked No. 11 in Effective Field Goal Percentage but go up against the No. 10 defense in that category and the Tide are not going to be able to run as much as they prefer. As mentioned, Grand Canyon gets to the line, ranked No. 5 in Free Throw Rate and Alabama will send them to the stripe as they are No. 319 in Free Throw Rate defensively. 10* (839) Grand Canyon Antelopes

This is a play on the JAMES MADISON DUKES for our Sun. CBB Signature Enforcer. Duke won and covered against Vermont but it was close early as it got the calls throughout as the Blue Devils were 20-of-29 from the free throw line, while Vermont made two of their six free throws. This has not normally been the case as the Blue Devils are No. 148 in Free Throw Rate and as a team this season, they are middle of the road at 72.5 percent. Duke is solid offensively at No. 21 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and the offense revolves around Kyle Filipowski in the screen-and-roll game but James Madison has the interior length to at least slow that down. The Dukes have won 14 consecutive games following a win over Wisconsin and already beat Michigan St. earlier this season in East Lansing so there is zero intimidation. This team is fantastic on both ends of the floor as the offense is ranked No. 55in Offensive Efficiency while possessing an Effective Field Goal Percentage of 54.4 percent. Defensively, the Dukes are top 30 in the latter category and the perimeter defense is the strength as they allow opponents to shoot just 28.8 percent from long range which is No. 5 in the country. 10* (827) James Madison Dukes

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our Sat. CBB Late Powerhouse. Oregon had no issues with South Carolina in the opening round after winning three games in three days to capture the Pac 12 Tournament Championship. Overall, the Ducks have won five straight games and are ranked No. 21 in T-Rank Power Rating since the final game of the regular season with Creighton just one spot ahead at No. 20. This team is still under the radar and no one is buying into the Ducks but they were crushed by injuries all season and are now accustomed to their eight-man rotation led by the inside/outside duo of N'Faly Dante and Jermaine Couisnard. Creighton had no issues with Akron which was expected as it was an 11.5-point favorite and it is the pick of many to make it to the Final Four out of the Midwest Region. The Bluejays have a great defense that is No. 16 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and they do not foul but they are catching an Oregon offense that has regained its form. Offensively, Creighton usually has the big edge down low with Ryan Kalkbrenner but the ducks can counter him with Dante, something many teams cannot. 10* (793) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the OAKLAND GOLDEN GRIZZLIES for our Sat. CBB Ultimate Underdog. Oakland upset Kentucky in the first round behind 32 points from Jack Gohlke on 10-20 shooting from behind the arc. Many will say he cannot back that up and he likely will not have to as he came through in a game where Horizon League Players of the Year Trey Townsend had an off night and he can be the one to take this one over. The Golden Grizzlies have now won five straight games and 12 of their last 14 with one of those losses coming in overtime to the win was not that much of a fluke. NC State kept its momentum going with an easy win over Texas Tech as the Red Raiders had an awful shooting night and we cannot say it was because of the Wolfpack defense. They are ranked No. 186 in Effective Field Goal Percentage which is double that of Oakland and they will be unlikely to catch another team on a bad shooting night. NC State ran through the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament to win the championship that included wins over Duke and North Carolina and it is one of the big public teams that is catching the majority of the money again with the line going up. 10* (795) Oakland Golden Grizzlies

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Sacramento is coming off a bad loss at Washington on Thursday which slightly halted a 6-2 run and the Kings are in a great spot to get it back tonight. Sacramento concludes a three-game roadtrip before heading home for five games and they come in five games over .500 on the highway. The Kings have been a great bounce back team this season going 21-12 ATS following an ATS loss and they have won eight of their last 11 games outright after a defeat. Orlando has won and covered five straight games as it continues to surge up the standings in the Eastern Conference as it is now No. 4, a half-game ahead of the Knicks so every game is big for the Magic as well. They are 25-8 at home and laying a short price but the number has actually come down from the opener despite the majority of money being on Orlando. This is contrarian based on Orlando being the best ATS team in the league. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg, after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 102-53 ATS (65.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (559) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the IOWA ST. CYCLONES for our Sat. CBB Supreme Annihilator. Iowa St. rolled through the Big 12 Tournament including a 28-point win over Houston to capture the championship and had no issue with South Dakota St. in the opening round. The offense has picked it up of late but the stop unit has now gone nine straight games without allowing 70 points. The Iowa St. defense is suffocating as it is ranked No. 28 in Effective Field Goal Percentage and is No. 2 in the country in forcing turnovers which is not good news for a Cougars team that is ranked No. 109 in Turnover Percentage. We played against Washington St. on Thursday and Drake replicated what it did last season against Miami in the opening round as it led 54-46 with under eight minutes remaining but was outscored 20-7 the rest of the way to allow the Cougars to move on. Washington St. had a solid season but was fortunate against the Bulldogs as it won the scoring at the free throw line 17-6 and shot just 38 percent from the floor. Overall, they do defend well as they are just seven spots behind the Cyclones in Effective Field Goal Percentage but do not force turnovers as they are No. 263 in turnover Rate. 10* (800) Iowa St. Cyclones

This is a play on the GONZAGA BULLDOGS for our Sat. CBB Signature Enforcer. Kansas possibly got away with one on Thursday as a controversial foul on a block in the final minute preserved its lead and the eventual win over Samford which overcame a 22-point second half lead. The Jayhawks shot 60.3 percent from the floor as they were able to score a lot of transition baskets in the first half. The comeback from the Bulldogs was partly aided by the fact Kansas is shorthanded with very little depth and it wore down late in the game in the altitude of Salt Lake City. The No. 4 seed is tied for the lowest for the Jayhawks since 2000 and we think it shows. Gonzaga rolled over McNeese St. as it shot 51.7 percent from the floor and while it has a tougher matchup here, the offense continues to hum along and will be tough to be stopped. The Bulldogs are No. 8 in the country in Effective Field Goal Percentage and the do not give the ball up as they are No. 16 in Turnover Rate. Since March 1, Gonzaga is No. 5 in T-Rate among all NCAA Tournament teams while the regression of Kansas over the last few weeks has shown as it is No. 49 T-Rank which is a huge disparity between a No. 4 and No. 5. 10* (803) Gonzaga Bulldogs

This is a play on the GRAND CANYON ANTELOPES for our Fri. CBB Signature Enforcer. Grand Canyon rolled through the Western Athletic Conference which may not say much but it owns quality nonconference wins against San Diego St. and San Francisco and it has a chance to be one of the double-digit seed to make a long run as long as they play their style. The Antelopes are very experienced and have the key numbers on both sides where they will want to turn this game to a physical slugfest. They are ranked in the top five in FTA/FGA rate and are ranked in the top 30 in offensive rebounding as they attack the rim and have the size to excel here. The biggest edge however is that the Antelopes shoot over eight percent higher from the free throw line. St. Mary's had a great season which included the West Coast Conference regular season and tournament championships. While the Gaels were a perfect 9-0 in true road games, they were 3-3 on a neutral floor and really got a bad draw while also playing on another team not in a travel disadvantage. 10* (787) Grand Canyon Antelopes

This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Boston is coming off a three-point win over Milwaukee for its seventh straight win to improve to an NBA best 55-14 with 13 games remaining. The Celtics injury report including four full or part time starters including Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown and at this stage of the season, getting these guys some rest with a 10.5-game lead in the Eastern Conference is go9ng to happen throughout the remainder of the regular season and we could see some sitting tonight with this the first of a back-to-back. Detroit has lost four straight games following a 3-1 stretch with one of the recent losses being a 25-point loss at Boston so there will be a little added energy tonight. It has obviously been a brutal season for the Pistons but they have been competitive in a lot of recent games with inflated lines as they are 25-15 ATS over their last 40 games. Here, we play against road teams with a scoring differential of +7 ppg or better going up teams with a scoring differential of -7 ppg or worse, after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 27-8 ATS (77.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Detroit Pistons

This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our 1st Round Game of the Year. Texas A&M was able to play its way into the NCAA Tournament thanks to five straight win before losing to Florida in the Southeastern Conference Tournament with a win over Kentucky sealing the deal. The Aggies are an athletic and veteran team that should have had a better season but had some really bad losses that put them on that bubble even though they were tied in the SEC for most Qua1 wins and most quad 1+Quad 2 wins. Texas A&M led the nation with an Offensive Rebounding Rate of 42 percent which is the highest percentage of an team in eight years and it has a huge matchup edge here against a Nebraska defense that ranks No. 223 in Defensive Rebounding Rate. More recently, Illinois had 14 offensive rebounds while eliminating Nebraska from the Big Ten tournament and in its 10 losses, the Huskers did not outrebound one opponent. This is the first trip to the NCAA Tournament for Nebraska in 10 years so it was a great season but the issue is the Huskers cannot win away from Lincoln. 10* (779) Texas A&M Aggies

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our Fri. CBB Supreme Annihilator. New Mexico needed to win the Mountain West Conference Tournament to get into the NCAA Tournament and it did just that with four wins in four days all by at least seven points including a victory over San Diego St. in the championship. This is another mis-seeding as the Lobos are the No. 11 seed in the West Region yet come in as the favorite which puts them in a terrific spot. Favorites that are seeded five or more spots higher are 13-2-1 ATS since 2005 and the metrics along that are on their side. Clemson was a major disappointment in the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament as it was blown out in its opening game against Boston College by 21 points. The Tigers closed with three losses in their last four games and did not beat an NCAA Tournament team since its upset over North Carolina in early February. Clemson actually finished 12 spots below New Mexico in the NET ranking and are No. 11 in the West in T-Rank since January 1. 10* (777) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS for our Fri. CBB Ultimate Underdog. Of all the No. 2 seeds, Marquette is probably the most vulnerable for an early exit but in any case, the Golden Eagles are laying too much here. They struggled down the stretch with a 3-3 record in their last six games with the absence of Tyler Kolek in those six games attributing to that. He will be coming back for this game but to what capacity, we do not know as he will not be close to 100 percent while his minutes will be monitored. Western Kentucky won the Conference USA Tournament as it took advantage of upsets along the way but this was still a really good team coming in as it was no. 2 in NET ranking in the conference. While the Hilltoppers did not play a tough Big East Conference schedule but the numbers show that they are excellent on both sides of the ball. They rank No. 103 in KenPom for adjusted defensive efficiency while offensively, they are the fastest team in the country. 10* (767) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is a play on the SAMFORD BULLDOGS for our Thu. CBB Star Attraction. This is not the typical Kansas team we are accustomed to as it had the most Big 12 Conference losses ever in the Bill Self era and the Jayhawks basically gave up in the conference tournament against an average Cincinnati team in a 20-point loss. The No. 4 seed is tied for the lowest for the Jayhawks since 2000 and they will not officially be without Kevin McCullar, Jr., who led the team in scoring not counting the Charlie McCarthy 34-point one off in December with Hunter Dickinson listed as questionable. Samford is a dangerous team that goes at a fast pace and applies a ton of pressure and it will not be intimidated here as it has learned a lot since getting blown out at Purdue in the season opener. This game is being played in Salt Lake City and the altitude could hurt a running team like this but the Bulldogs are No. 3 in the country in bench usage while Kansas is No. 318 in that category. 10* (751) Samford Bulldogs

This is a play on the DRAKE BULLDOGS for our Thu. CBB Supreme Annihilator. We had Drake in this spot last season as it had Miami, who eventually went to the Final Four, on the ropes but were on the wrong eld of a 16-1 run to close the game and lost by seven points. Drake got hot at the right time as it has won five straight games including the last two against Bradley and Indiana St. to capture the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament to gain the automatic big although the Bulldogs might have still snuck in. The represent a conference that as 12 upset wins as a No. 8 or higher seed and the Bulldogs caught a good spot as they are close to home and are in the situation of being a teams that is seeded two spots or more lower than their opponent yet are favored and those teams are 31-22-1 ATS. Drake also has a big edge at the free throw line which is key in a close spread game. Washington St. had a very solid season but went just 3-3 down the stretch and were shipped far away instead of getting to play at nearby Spokane or Salt Lake City. 10* (745) Drake Bulldogs

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. The Knicks have won four straight games following a pair of upsets wins as underdogs against Sacramento and Golden St. and they concludes their four-game west coast roadtrip tonight. They are now in fourth place in the Eastern Conference as they have maintained their half-game lead over Orlando which has also won four consecutive games. New York is just 7-14 against teams ranked in the Top Ten in the Sagarin ratings which is the worst percentage of teams in the Top Ten themselves. Denver shook off a two-point loss at Dallas with a three-point win at Minnesota on Tuesday and is now on a 12-2 run over its last 14 games. The Nuggets are now just a half-game behind Oklahoma City for first place in the Western Conference and they are back home where they are 27-6, tied for the second best home record in the NBA. Denver is No. 4 in the Sagarin ratings and the only team in the Top Ten to have played a schedule ranked inside the Top Ten in strength. Here, we play on favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points going up against an opponent off two or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog. This situation is 73-37 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (538) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the MCNEESE ST. COWBOYS for our Thu. CBB Tourney Crusher. Gonzaga was on the NCAA Tournament bubble midway through the season as it was not playing well and was in jeopardy of missing the tournament for the first time in forever. But the Bulldogs closed strong yet were overseeded at No. 5 and that shows by this short line and we are seeing a reverse line move with the number slightly increasing despite 84 percent of the money on McNeese St. The Cowboys have the makeup to pull off the upset after going 30-3 albeit against a much weaker schedule. They are elite on offense that lights it up from behind the arc with four starters over 40 percent from three-point range. That is a huge disadvantage for Gonzaga which is No. 185 in defending the perimeter and would prefer straight up. The Bulldogs do not force turnovers so if McNeese St. can perform in its own game and attack when it can, this is an outright upset in the making for the Cowboys which are led by former LSU head coach Will Wade. 10* (749) McNeese St. Cowboys

This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our Thu. CBB Signature Enforcer. Nevada got a disappointing seed as it was given the No. 10 in the West Region with a game against Arizona up next should it win. Many feel the Wolf Pack got shafted and despite the higher seed, they are favored and they and are in the situation of being a teams that is seeded two spots or more lower than their opponent yet are favored and those teams are 31-22-1 ATS. The good news about the draw is that they are playing this one close to home in altitude which they are used to and Dayton is not. The Flyers not only were fortunate to get into the NCAA Tournament but drew a No. 7 seed with a lot that based on their No. 23 NET ranking which is considered overinflated from playing in the weak Atlantic Ten Conference. The Flyers were punished with a long trip in the thin air against a team with a chip on its shoulder. Dayton opened the season on fire going 19-3 but finished just 5-4 down the stretch. 10* (753) Nevada Wolf Pack

This is a play on the MOREHEAD ST. EAGLES for our Thu. CBB Ultimate Underdog. Morehead St. struggled in late February with three straight losses but won its last three regular season games and the Eagles ran through the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. They got a No. 14 seed in the NCAA Tournament but go an excellent draw as their style matches up well. From a roster standpoint, they have an elite point guard, two great scoring wins and a 7-footer down low but is their style. Morehead St. plays at a slow tempo which leads to fewer possessions and have elite transition refusal as it is ranked top 30 in fewest transition points. The Eagles are also in the top 10 in effective field goal percentage allowed while offensively they shoot 35.7 percent from long range. One liability is that they turn the ball over but face an Illinois team that has the third fewest turnover rate in the country. The Illini won the Big Ten Conference Tournament but are overvalued based on seed and conference affiliation and got the worst No. 3 seed draw. 10* (743) Morehead St. Eagles

This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our Thu. CBB Early Dominator. There is the argument that Michigan St. should not have been selected as an at large team for the NCAA Tournament let alone give the Spartans a No. 8 seed. The won one game in the Big Ten Tournament against Minnesota before playing Purdue hard, eventually losing by five points. The Spartans are No. 24 in NET ranking and despite being a public name, they will likely be a fade based on their record and we are seeing 83 percent of early money on Mississippi St. Head coach Tom Izzo has been money in these spots as in NCAA Tournament games with a spread of three points or less, he is 18-9 straight up and 17-10 ATS including winning eight of the last 11 games. Mississippi St. had a great run in the SEC Tournament as it easily ran through LSU and Tennessee before eventually losing the Auburn by seven points in the semifinals. That run has improved the metrics which has affected the line and the Bulldogs come in No. 31 in the NET rankings. 10* (729) Michigan St. Spartans

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Philadelphia is coming off a pair of wins at home against Miami and Charlotte and is back on the road for a four-game west coast trip, all against teams in current playoff positions. The Sixers have lost three of their last four games on the highway where they are 17-15 overall but most of the success was before the injuries took over. They are No. 6 in the Eastern Conference, sitting just one game out of No. 8. Phoenix is coming off a loss at Milwaukee and has alternated wins and losses over its last six games. It has been a major disappointment of a season for the Suns which are currently in eighth place in the Western Conference but they too have been hit hard by injuries. They are healthy now with the big three back in the lineup and they return home where they are 21-14 for a pair of must win games before going back on the road for five games. Phoenix is 30-15 ATS in its last 45 games following a double-digit loss as a road favorite. Here, we play o favorites in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a scoring differential between +/- 3 ppg, after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 82-38 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Phoenix Suns

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES for our CBB Wednesday First Four Winner. The Mountain West Conference felt it got a raw deal for the NCAA Tournament with two teams, Colorado St. and Boise St., forced to play First Four games and New Mexico and Nevada being handed double-digit seeds. The Rams showed last night this conference might be right but now this is a bad spot for the Broncos. Colorado is a dangerous team peaking at the right time as it struggled midway through the season which was because of injuries to Cody Williams and Tristan da Silva but now the Buffaloes are healthy after having won eight of their last 10 games. Add point guard KJ Simpson and Eddie Lampkin to the mix and this roster is extremely strong. The Buffaloes are great at creating interior half-court offense but still like to push in transition. They are top 35 in both offensive and defensive three-point rate while finishing first in the Pac 12 Conference in defensive rebounding rate. Colorado is also one of the best free shooting teams in the country making this an around dangerous team. 10* (703) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the PRINCETON TIGERS for our CBB Wednesday NIT Dominator. After winning the regular season Ivy League Championship, Princeton bowed out early in the conference tournament in a nine-point loss to Brown. The Tigers will not have a chance to try and repeat their run from last season in the NCAA Tournament but they are still playing and opted to take part in the NIT with numerous other teams opting out. Princeton comes in 24-4 as it had a nine-game losing streak broken in that loss to the Bears and it is back home where it went a perfect 12-0 during the regular season. UNLV needed a run in the Mountain West Conference Tournament as it was squarely in the bubble and lost a tough one against San Diego St. by three points to get relegated to the NIT. The Rebels were not expected to do much this season and it is where it probably should be but they got an awful draw as not only is this is a tough matchup but they are in a tough travel spot having to head all the way to the east coast. 10* (708) Princeton Tigers

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CBB Tuesday Play In Winner. Colorado St. had its four-game winning streak snapped against eventual Mountain West Conference Tournament champion New Mexico and got put into an undeserving spot in the NCAA Tournament by having to play in a Play In game. The Rams finished No. 36 in the NET rankings after accumulating six Quad 1 wins, tied for most in the conference and have the rare makeup of balance for a low seed as the Rams are No. 38 in the country in defensive efficiency while sitting at No. 42 in offensive efficiency. Virginia was a pure bubble team but got in with the Atlantic Coast Conference being overvalued once again. The Cavaliers are No. 54 in NET ranking and finished below two teams that did not make the tournament and their two Quad 1 wins are ahead of only four teams in the ACC. This is a great defensive team which is an annual occurrence but Virginia cannot generate offense as it is ranked No. 194 in offensive efficiency which is six lowest of all teams in the NCAA Tournament. 10* (671) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. It has been a rough season for Washington which is now 11-57 on the season following its fourth straight loss but this is now a great buy low spot. Three of the recent losses were on the road with the one home loss coming against Boston and now they are getting only five fewer points than they were against the best team in the league. Houston has won five straight games which is certainly playing into this number. One of those victories was a home win over Washington just five nights ago and now it is laying more points on the road over the Wizards than what they were laying at home. Houston has been solid in this role, winning five of six games as a road favorite but it has not come close to laying this number with three of those wins coming by less than what it is being asked to cover by tonight. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after allowing 120 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Washington Wizards

This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Star Attraction. New York has won four of its last five games as the defense has locked down, allowing 40 percent shooting or less in each game while allowing 74, 79, 79, 93 and 91 points for an average of just 83.2 ppg allowed. The Knicks are now four games over .500 on the road and are a half-game ahead of Orlando for the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference and this is the play against spot facing a healthy Warriors team. Golden St. is coming off a win over the Lakers on Saturday as it got Steph Curry back following his absence for three games where it went 1-2. The Warriors are dead even at home and while they have struggles laying a big number, they are 28-12 as favorites and now laying a number within reach of covering the margin. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 81-42 ATS (65.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (568) Golden St. Warriors

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Eastern Conf. Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a pair of wins in Detroit following a three-point win on Sunday which came after a four-game losing streak. The Heat are now five games over .500 on the road and won yesterday without Jimmy Butler who is questionable again tonight and while he probably will be back, he is not 100 percent. The Sixers are coming off a win over Charlotte to move to 8-14 since Joe Embiid got injured and remain in the No. 8 spot in the Eastern Conference. The Sixers have the identical record at home as Miami has on the road and overall, it is 10 games over .500 following a win. This is a big spot as Philadelphia hits the road for a four-game trip after this, all against current playoff teams. Here, we play on favorites after having lost five or six of their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 50-20 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (562) Philadelphia 76ers

This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. San Antonio is in the rare roll of being a home favorite with this being just the fifth time all season. The Spurs have won and covered three of those first four games and while this is not a true home game as it is being played in Austin, it is a great spot with some sort of familiarization. They are coming off a loss on this floor against Denver on Friday which was the Spurs third straight loss following a 3-2 run with quality wins against Golden St., Indiana and Oklahoma City. Brooklyn is now 1-4 on this current roadtrip following a pair of losses at Orlando and Indiana. This stretch also included losses at Detroit and Charlotte, two of the three worst teams in the Eastern Conference. The nets have won just 10 games away from home with half of those come in December and prior and on the season, they are just 9-15 as road underdogs. Here, we play on favorites after 3 or more consecutive unders, averaging between 108 and 114 ppg going up against teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 139-84 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) San Antonio Spurs

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. New York has won three of its last four games as the defense has locked down, allowing 40 percent shooting or less in each game while allowing 74, 79, 79 and 93 points. The Knicks concluded a two-game home series with a win over the Sixers and opened this four-game roadtrip with a 12-point win at Portland but now face an offense that is going to push it. Sacramento has won two straight games as well following victories over the Lakers and Bucks and the Kings are now No. 6 in the Western Conference, trailing the Clippers by 3.5 games for the No. 4 spot as well as the lead in the Pacific Conference. The Kings are 19-12 at home and have struggled to win by margin but this is a short price tonight. Here, we play against road underdogs after allowing 95 points or less in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 81-41ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (542) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES as part of our Saturday Evening Three-Pack. Oregon came through for us last night with an outright win over Arizona but the Ducks are still not getting into the NCAA Tournament unless they get a win here. They are still well back in the metrics at No. 67 in the NET rankings and the win over the Wildcats was just their third Quad 1 win all season. Yes, they have caught fire at the right time but not the same as their opponent. Colorado beat a solid Washington St. team last night for its eighth straight win and after coming into the Pac 12 Tournament on the NCAA Tournament bubble, the Buffaloes are in. It never should have been an issue with Colorado No. 26 in NET rankings and have been ranked No. 2 in the conference in T-Rank since the start of February. 10* (636) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS as part of our Saturday Evening Three-Pack. We faded UTEP on Friday and it came away with its second straight upset win as it took out San Houston St. by a bucket. The Miners have now won five straight games and four of those have been away from home which is the surprise as the Miners have won only five games on the highway the entire season, the other coming against California on a neutral floor. The run is not sustainable and this is not the matchup to keep it going. The Hilltoppers ended the regular season on a four-game losing streak but have bounced back with a pair of blowout wins and are undervalued based on their overall body of work. The four losses were by a combined 11 points with three of those being true road games and going back to November, all eight of their losses have been by two possessions or less. 10* (632) Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS as part of our Saturday Evening Three-Pack. New Mexico punched its ticket into the NCAA Tournament with wins over Boise St. and Colorado St. the last two nights and now playing four games in four nights is going to deter backing the Lobos by some but not here. The Lobos started the season strong and struggled midway through the conference portion but are now back where they were as their last two losses have come by three points combined. New Mexico is now 7-0 this season in neutral court games. The Aztecs needed overtime to beat UNLV and then then easily took out Utah St. last night and are heavily popular today. San Diego St. thrives on turning teams over and taking away the three-point shot by being one of the best perimeter defenses in the country but that is not an advantage here with New Mexico not relying on the long range shot. 10* (623) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI as part of our Saturday Afternoon Three-Pack. Nebraska was arguably the biggest surprise team in the Big Ten Conference this season as they finished tied for third place after coming into the season picked to finish No. 11 by Blue Ribbon and their 12 wins were one short of the last two seasons combined. Their home court was huge this season where the Huskers were 18-1 but the highway is a different story with two wins over Indiana and the other coming against Michigan, Kansas St. and Oregon St. Illinois is coming off a narrow win over Ohio St. and it is now 13-4 over its last 17 games since Terrance Shannon, Jr. was reinstated back in late January. The Illini are ranked No. 2 in the conference in NET ranking and their six Quad 1 wins are also No. 2 and the No. 12 ranked offense is now fully packed to make a major run. 10* (612) Illinois Fighting Illini

This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES as part of our Saturday Afternoon Three-Pack. Texas A&M is making the run it needs to as after a win over Kentucky it is now one of the last four teams into the NCAA Tournament. The Aggies finished 9-9 in the Southeastern Conference which was a big disappointment but they are back in the mix and not fully with a berth, a win here will guarantee that. This is the time of yeah where some small things matter and the Aggies are the No. 1 offensive rebounding team in the country while the Gators are No. 325 in defensive rebounding percentage so second chance points will be a big advantage. Florida struggled to get by Georgia but put up 102 points against Alabama to advance to the semifinals and are now a projected No. 5 seed. Over the last six wins, two against Alabama were impressive but the other four came against the Bulldogs twice, Vanderbilt and Missouri. 10* (615) Texas A&M Aggies

This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS as part of our Saturday Afternoon Three-Pack. South Florida had its 15-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Tulsa in its regular season finale but that was a meaningless game for the Bulls which had already clinched the American Athletic Conference title. They rolled over East Carolina on Friday and the last defeat prior to that run came against UAB so there is payback and they are well up in the metrics in this matchup. UAB is coming off a 12-point win over Wichita St. as the No. 4 seed but they are ranked No. 7 in the conference in NET ranking and are winless in Quad 1 games, going 0-4 as their win over the Bulls was at home and did not qualify for that quadrant win. Two of the Blazers conference wins were in overtime with three other coming by two possessions or fewer so they are catching a short price in a sell high spot. 10* (618) South Florida Bulls

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS as part of our Friday Evening Three-Pack. New Mexico may have done enough to get into the NCAA Tournament following a blowout win over Air Force and the double-digit over Boise St. last night. The Lobos are not guaranteed to get in just yet as other conference outcomes could affect their placement but a win here will assume them of the invite. New Mexico is No. 3 in NET ranking in the Mountain West Conference yet is still the last team on the bubble and the Lobos are four spots ahead of Colorado St. The Rams rolled over San Jose St. and pulled off the upset over Nevada last night. Offensively, they have struggled to make shots from the outside consistently since conference play began and shot just 35 percent from long range last night and this is where the Lobos have the big edge and the MWC gets their sixth team into the NCAA Tournament. 10* (870) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the MARQUETTE GOLDEN EAGLES as part of our Friday Evening Three-Pack. Providence got its way into the NCAA Tournament with a win over Creighton last night coming after a blowout win over Georgetown, sweeping former head coach Ed Cooley. The Friars had lost three of its previous four games to sit outside the bubble but their sixth Quad 1 win is now enough yet duplicating that will be a challenge and are now getting four fewer points against a near exact rated team. Marquette got past Villanova and now that Creighton is out of the way, the Big East Tournament Championship has gotten a step easier along with the ability to grab a No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Eagles are without guard Tyler Kolek but his absence is not worth four points and Kam Jones has stepped up and will continue to lead the offense. 10* (842) Marquette Golden Eagles

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our Friday Evening Three-Pack. Arizona came through on Thursday as it rolled over what became an overrated USC team. It was a revenge game for the Wildcats and also a spot where they were trying to show something as they are still out for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament but now we are seeing a huge overadjustment as they are laying more than what they were against USC and a line that keeps on rising. Oregon snuck by UCLA on Thursday which followed a rough end to the season and no one is buying into the Ducks. They were crushed by injuries all season and are coming off a 2-3 end to the regular season where they ended up finishing 12-8 which was still good for a No. 4 seed and this could be peak time with nothing to lose and we are still getting double digits with a team loaded with talent. 10* (855) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Miami was on a 9-2 run that wrapped around the All Star break but the Heat have lost four straight games which included a bad loss at home against Washington but the other three were against top teams from the Western Conference. This is the first of two straight games in Detroit and they cannot give these up as they trail Orlando by 2.5 games in the Southeast Division. They are No. 8 in the Eastern Conference but No. 4 is within reach as they are just 3.5 games behind New York. Detroit has won consecutive games for just the third time this season and by going 3-1 over its last four games, this is the best four-game run of the entire season. That being said, this is not the spot to continue it and the Pistons could be without their top player as Cade Cunningham is listed as questionable. Here, we play on road favorites after failing to cover four of their last five games against the spread going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games against the spread. This situation is 297-207 ATS (58.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Miami Heat

This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our Friday Early Three-Pack. Wisconsin came through for us on Thursday in an easy win against Maryland to put its recent 1-3 and 3-8 runs in the rearview mirror. The Badgers again are favorites despite being a lower seed but they are also well ahead of their opponent in NET ranking once again as the metrics now have them No. 22 in the NET rankings If this team can get that early season confidence back, they have the make-up of a team that can run the table in the Big Ten Conference Tournament. Northwestern had another great season as it finished tied for third place at 12-8 but was just 6-5 over its last 11 games. The Wildcats did lose to Wisconsin when the Badgers were on their hot streak so there is revenge in play but we are not buying into that here with some renewed Wisconsin confidence. 10* (809) Wisconsin Badgers

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS as part of our Friday Early Three-Pack. Mississippi St. is coming off a win over LSU on Thursday which snapped its four-game losing streak and is now pegged as one of the last four teams into the NCAA Tournament win or lose here. The Bulldogs went just 8-10 in the Southeastern Conference and notched its 20th win with the victory over the Tigers but their three Quad 1 wins are second fewest of all SEC teams that will be going dancing. Tennessee closed its regular season with a loss against Kentucky but it was not a must win to win the SEC title and the Volunteers still have a lot at stake. They are still in play for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament and should pass North Carolina with a win here based on strength of conference wins. This is a revenge game for Tennessee as well, losing the lone meeting in Starkville. 10* (820) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the SAM HOUSTON ST. BEARKATS as part of our Friday Early Three-Pack. While San Houston St. may have surprised many by winning the Conference USA regular season championship in its first season with a new head coach, this was a 26-win team from the WAC last season so the pedigree was there. The Bearkats rolled over Florida International on Wednesday and has now won eight straight games and has a great matchup today. UTEP is coming off an upset over Liberty on Thursday and has been playing well in its own right, now having won four straight games. Three of those have been away from home which is the surprise as the Miners have won only four games on the highway the entire season, the other coming against California on a neutral floor. Sam Houston St. won both meets this season and completes the sweep. 10* (816) Sam Houston St. Bearkats

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES as part of our Thursday Evening Three-Pack. Colorado comes into the Pac 12 Tournament on a roll as it has won six straight games and finished 13-7 in the conference to grab the No. 3 seed. The Buffaloes are No. 2 in NET ranking in the conference and the recent run has punched their ticket to the NCAA Tournament but there is no reason to slow up now as momentum is a huge factor this time of year and seeding improvement is always on the line. Utah advanced with a blowout win over Arizona St. which snapped a two-game losing streak that ended the regular season. The win over the Sun Devils was just their second Pac 12 win away from home. 10* (782) Colorado Buffaloes

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The Clippers had a tough situation last weekend where they had to play back-to-back daytime games, winning the first and losing the second one as they rested the Big Three. Los Angeles could not bounce back from that defeat as it followed it up with an 18-point loss at home against Minnesota and now this is the smash bounce back spot. Chicago is coming off a win over Indiana last night as a road underdog to snap a two-game losing streak and move back to two games under .500. The Bulls are back home where they are right at .500 and they have struggled to string wins together, going just 11-20 following a win. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset loss as a favorite, second half of the season. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (505) Los Angeles Clippers