Sports Picks & Predictions

NFL Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
10-16-17	Colts v. Titans UNDER 47	Top	22-36	Loss	-103	7 h 12 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Colts/Titans ESPN Monday Night "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 47 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-01-17	Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 42		26-9	Win	100	6 h 13 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Steelers/Ravens AFC North Surefire on UNDER 42 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-25-17	Cowboys v. Cardinals UNDER 47	Top	28-17	Win	100	62 h 38 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Cowboys/Cardinals MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 47 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-24-17	Seahawks v. Titans UNDER 42		27-33	Loss	-117	33 h 14 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Seahawks/Titans UNDER 42 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-21-17	Rams v. 49ers UNDER 40		41-39	Loss	-105	6 h 18 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Rams/49ers NFC West Surefire on UNDER 40 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-10-17	Eagles v. Redskins OVER 47.5	Top	30-17	Loss	-115	30 h 24 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Eagles/Redskins OVER 47.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
02-05-17	Patriots v. Falcons UNDER 58.5	Top	34-28	Loss	-110	11 h 6 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Falcons/Patriots "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 58.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-22-17	Packers v. Falcons UNDER 61.5		21-44	Loss	-105	48 h 43 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Packers/Falcons NFC "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 61.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-07-17	Lions v. Seahawks OVER 43.5	Top	6-26	Loss	-107	30 h 48 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Lions/Seahawks NFC "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 43.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-01-17	Packers v. Lions OVER 49.5		31-24	Win	100	21 h 45 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Packers/Lions Sunday Night "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on OVER 49.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
12-26-16	Lions v. Cowboys OVER 45		21-42	Win	100	9 h 40 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Lions/Cowboys NFC Surefire on OVER 45 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
12-24-16	Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 51.5		33-16	Win	100	10 h 30 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Panthers/Falcons UNDER 51.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
11-20-16	Patriots v. 49ers OVER 50.5		30-17	Loss	-107	8 h 41 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Patriots/49ers NFL "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 50.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-30-16	Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 43		23-29	Loss	-100	10 h 41 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Eagles/Cowboys NBC Sunday Night Surefire on UNDER 43 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-23-16	Seahawks v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5		6-6	Win	100	31 h 54 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Seahawks/Cardinals NBC Sunday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 43.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-25-16	Bears v. Cowboys OVER 44.5		17-31	Win	100	10 h 10 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Bears/Cowboys Sunday Night "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 44.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-24-16	Cardinals v. Panthers UNDER 47.5		15-49	Loss	-110	30 h 44 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Cardinals/Panthers NFC "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 47.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-16-16	Packers v. Cardinals UNDER 50		20-26	Win	100	63 h 31 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Packers/Cardinals NFC Surefire on UNDER 50 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-16-16	Chiefs v. Patriots UNDER 42		20-27	Loss	-109	59 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Chiefs/Patriots AFC Surefire on UNDER 42 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-03-16	Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 44		17-23	Win	100	5 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Raiders/Chiefs AFC West Surefire on UNDER 44 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
12-10-15	Vikings v. Cardinals UNDER 46.5		20-23	Win	100	6 h 57 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Vikings/Cardinals NFC "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 46.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-18-15	Carolina Panthers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 41		27-23	Loss	-110	5 h 29 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Panthers/Seahawks NFC Surefire on UNDER 41 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-04-15	NY Giants v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 46.5		24-10	Win	100	4 h 18 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Giants/Bills Non-Conference Surefire on UNDER 46.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-04-15	Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 44	Top	20-23	Loss	-101	4 h 20 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Eagles/Redskins OVER 44 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-28-15	Kansas City Chiefs v. Green Bay Packers UNDER 49	Top	28-38	Loss	-115	7 h 5 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Chiefs/Packers MNF "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 49 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-27-15	Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans OVER 46		35-33	Win	100	4 h 27 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Colts/Titans AFC South Surefire on OVER 46 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-20-15	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 47		26-19	Loss	-110	10 h 17 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Bucs/Saints NFC South Surefire on OVER 47 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-14-15	Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 54.5	Top	24-26	Loss	-108	7 h 37 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Eagles/Falcons ESPN "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 54.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
09-13-15	Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48		13-19	Win	100	6 h 7 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Broncos/Ravens UNDER 48 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
12-18-14	Tennessee Titans v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 39		13-21	Win	100	7 h 10 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Titans/Jaguars NFL Thursday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 39 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
11-16-14	Cincinnati Bengals v. New Orleans Saints OVER 51		27-10	Loss	-102	3 h 54 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Bengals/Saints Non-Conference Surefire on OVER 51 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-16-14	NY Jets v. New England Patriots OVER 44.5	Top	25-27	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Jets/Patriots AFC East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on OVER 44.5 All picks are based on statistics, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
10-05-14	Arizona Cardinals v. Denver Broncos UNDER 48		20-41	Loss	-110	45 h 49 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Cardinals/Broncos "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 48 All picks are based off of stats, situations, trends, injuries and many other factors
01-12-14	San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos UNDER 55	Top	17-24	Win	100	72 h 11 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy NFL Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Chargers/Broncos UNDER 55 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
01-12-14	San Francisco 49ers v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 42		23-10	Win	100	69 h 31 m	Show
5* Wiseguy 49ers/Panthers NFC Surefire on UNDER 42 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
01-05-14	San Diego Chargers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 47		27-10	Win	100	43 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Chargers/Bengals AFC Wild Card Surefire on UNDER 47 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
01-04-14	Kansas City Chiefs v. Indianapolis Colts UNDER 46.5	Top	44-45	Loss	-110	22 h 21 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Chiefs/Colts NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UNDER 46.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-29-13	Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 52		24-22	Loss	-105	10 h 38 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Eagles/Cowboys Surefire on OVER 52 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-29-13	Kansas City Chiefs v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 46		24-27	Loss	-100	6 h 33 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Chiefs/Chargers Surefire on UNDER 46 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-29-13	Carolina Panthers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 46		21-20	Win	100	2 h 9 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Panthers/Falcons Surefire on UNDER 46 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-22-13	Arizona Cardinals v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 43.5		17-10	Win	100	7 h 40 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Seahawks UNDER 43.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-08-13	Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5		28-51	Win	100	44 h 50 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Sunday NFL "OVER" Lover's Special on Titans/Broncos OVER 48.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-05-13	Houston Texans v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 43.5		20-27	Loss	-110	20 h 42 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Texans/Jaguars NFL "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 43.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
12-01-13	St. Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 42.5		13-23	Win	100	38 h 14 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Rams/49ers NFC West Surefire on UNDER 42.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
11-28-13	Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 41	Top	20-22	Loss	-105	17 h 5 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Steelers/Ravens Side & Total PARLAY on Pittsburgh +3/UNDER 41 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
11-24-13	Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots UNDER 54	Top	31-34	Loss	-110	16 h 16 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Broncos/Patriots NBC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 54 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
10-14-13	Indianapolis Colts v. San Diego Chargers UNDER 51	Top	9-19	Win	100	9 h 44 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Colts/Chargers MNF "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 51 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
10-13-13	New Orleans Saints v. New England Patriots UNDER 50.5		27-30	Loss	-105	30 h 22 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Saints/Patriots Surefire on UNDER 50.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
10-13-13	Oakland Raiders v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 41		7-24	Win	100	27 h 58 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Raiders/Chiefs UNDER 41 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-23-13	Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5	Top	21-37	Win	100	8 h 26 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy AFC West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raiders/Broncos OVER 48.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-22-13	Atlanta Falcons v. Miami Dolphins OVER 44.5		23-27	Win	100	7 h 50 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Falcons/Dolphins OVER 44.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-15-13	Dallas Cowboys v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 46.5		16-17	Win	100	29 h 38 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cowboys/Chiefs UNDER 46.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-09-13	Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 51.5	Top	33-27	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Eagles/Redskins MNF "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 51.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-08-13	NY Giants v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 49.5	Top	31-36	Loss	-107	33 h 20 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Giants/Cowboys NFC East "BAILOUT" on UNDER 49.5 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-08-13	Seattle Seahawks v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45		12-7	Win	100	26 h 50 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NFL Sunday "Total" BLOWOUT on Seahawks/Panthers UNDER 45 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
09-05-13	Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos OVER 48	Top	27-49	Win	100	9 h 1 m	Show
6* Widow Wiseguy Ravens/Broncos NBC "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 48 All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors
01-06-13	Seattle Seahawks v. Washington Redskins UNDER 46	Top	24-14	Win	100	72 h 42 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy 2013 Wild-Card TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Seahawks/Redskins UNDER 46 The Seattle Seahawks are one of the best defensive teams in the league. They are giving up just 15.3 points/game on the season, and 12.0 points/game over their last five contests. Washington has improved defensively as the season has gone one, giving up 20.0 points/game in their last seven games overall. The books have missed their mark badly with this total, inflating it to the point where there is a ton of value backing the UNDER. Remember, these are two rookie quarterbacks who will be more worried about not making mistakes rather than making big play after big play. Washington is 52-30 UNDER (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992. The Redskins are 48-25 UNDER (+20.5 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992. Pete Carroll is 29-14 UNDER (+13.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest in all games he has coached. Mike Shanahan is 13-5 UNDER** (+7.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents as the coach of Washington. Take the UNDER 46 points here.
12-23-12	New England Patriots v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 50		23-16	Loss	-113	16 h 17 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy AFC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Patriots/Jaguars OVER 50** The New England Patriots will come close to covering this OVER by themselves. They lead the league in scoring offense (36.1 ppg) and total offense (432.4 ypc). That's not good news for a Jacksonville team giving up 27.4 ppg and 393.2 ypg. The Patriots rank near the bottom in total defense (377.6 ypg), so the Jaguars will have some success offensively as well. New England is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. Take the OVER 50 points here.
12-23-12	New Orleans Saints v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 52		34-31	Win	100	16 h 17 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Saints/Cowboys OVER 52** Look for a shootout in this contest between the New Orleans Saints and Dallas Cowboys. Dallas is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. The Cowboys are 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons. New Orleans is a great offensive team averaging 27.8 ppg and 398 ypc, but it is terrible defensively, yielding 27.1 ppg and 434 ypg. Take the OVER 52 points here.
12-16-12	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 53.5		0-41	Loss	-115	46 h 36 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bucs/Saints OVER 53.5 These teams combined for 63 points in a 35-28 New Orleans victory at Tampa Bay in their first meeting. Both teams feature dynamic offenses that put up a ton of points. Both also featured two of the worst defenses in the league, especially against the pass. With not a ton at stake here, I look for these offenses to have their way with the defenses once again in their second meeting of the season. Tampa is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=5.65 yards/play in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Tampa is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) off a home loss over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Take this combined 25-0 angle backing the OVER** straight to the bank today. Take the OVER 53.5 points here.
12-06-12	Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 49.5	Top	26-13	Win	100	9 h 34 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Broncos/Raiders AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER 49.5 I look for another low-scoring battle similar to the 37-6 beat down the Broncos handed the Raiders in the first meeting. Denver will get its points, but it will also limit the Raiders to a small point total in this one, which will keep the final combined score UNDER the posted number. The Broncos rank 3rd in the NFL in total defense, giving up just 308.2 total yards/game. I look for them to jump out to a big lead and run out the clock in the second half with their running game, and short passes on third downs to slow the game to a snail's pace. Oakland is 9-1 UNDER** (+7.9 Units) after allowing 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. Take the UNDER 49.5 points here.
11-22-12	New England Patriots v. NY Jets UNDER 48.5		49-19	Loss	-110	45 h 14 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Pats/Jets NBC Thursday Night "BAILOUT" on UNDER 48.5 These short weeks have certainly favored low-scoring games all season long. I think that will be the case in this contest between the Pats and Jets, familiar foes who will be playing for a second time this season. New England lost its best offensive weapon in TE Rob Gronkowski to a broken forearm, so it is going to have to try and adjust to life without him on a short week. That won't be easy considering he was by far Tom Brady's favorite red zone target. The Jets have been terrible offensively all season, and that won't change Thursday. The UNDER is 5-1 in Jets last 6 Thursday games. The UNDER is 12-3** in Jets last 15 games in Week 12. Take the UNDER 48.5 points here.
11-08-12	Indianapolis Colts v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 42.5		27-10	Win	100	24 h 37 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Colts/Jaguars NFL Thursday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 42.5 This will be a low-scoring contest in an AFC South division rivalry game between the Colts and Jaguars tonight. Both of these teams have struggled offensively this season as the Jaguars are scoring just 14.6 points per game, while the Colts are averaging 19.9 points per game. Jacksonville is scoring 8.5 points per game at home, while Indy is putting up 16.3 points per game on the road. The UNDER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings in this series with combined scores of 39, 32 and 20 points. To no surprise, those are the only three times these teams have faced each other when Peyton Manning wasn't the quarterback of the Colts. The UNDER is 9-0 in Colts last 9 games vs. AFC South foes, while the UNDER is 7-0-1 in Jaguars last 8 vs. AFC South opponents. Take this combined 16-0 UNDER angle** straight to the bank tonight. Take the UNDER 42.5 points here.
11-05-12	Philadelphia Eagles v. New Orleans Saints OVER 51.5	Top	13-28	Loss	-110	118 h 59 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Eagles/Saints MNF "Total" BLOWOUT on OVER 51.5 Get ready for a shootout tonight in the Superdome. New Orleans is scoring 27.1 points and giving up 30.9 points per game for an average combined score of 58.0 points. This team is simply built for shootouts with an explosive offense behind Drew Brees, and the worst defense in the league that is giving up 474.7 yards per game. Philadelphia has yet to reach its potential offensively this season, but I have no doubt it will put up its highest scoring output of the season against this New Orleans defense. The OVER is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series as these teams have combined for 51 or more points in all five.** Take the OVER 51.5 points here.
10-18-12	Seattle Seahawks v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38		6-13	Win	100	8 h 17 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy 49ers/Seahawks NFL Thursday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 38 This game features two of the best defenses in the entire league, and two of the least dynamic offenses you will find. The 49ers rank No. 1 in the NFL in total defense (275.8 yards/game) while the Seahawks rank No. 4 in total defense (294.7 yards/game). Seattle is No. 29 in total offense (300.7 yards/game) and won't be able to move the ball with any kind of consistency against this stout 49ers defense. San Francisco has posted good offensive numbers this season, but it hasn't faced a defense as good as the one it will be up against Thursday. Four of the last six meetings in this series have seen 37 or less combined points. Plays on the UNDER on any team where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points (SAN FRANCISCO) - when playing on a Thursday are 24-4 (85.7%) over the last five seasons.** Take the UNDER 38 points here.
10-04-12	Arizona Cardinals v. St. Louis Rams UNDER 39.5	Top	3-17	Win	100	21 h 47 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Cardinals/Rams NFL Thursday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 39.5 I look for a defensive battle Thursday night between two of the worst offenses in the league. Arizona ranks 31st in the NFL in total offense at 271.7 yards/game, while St. Louis ranks 27th at 287.2 yards/game. Both teams have underrated defenses that will keep the offenses in check tonight. St. Louis is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. Arizona is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) as a road favorite of 7 points or less since 1992. The UNDER is 7-1** in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER 39.5 points here.
09-27-12	Cleveland Browns v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 44	Top	16-23	Win	100	28 h 22 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Browns/Ravens NFL "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 44 All you have to do is look at the recent history between these teams to know that oddsmakers have inflated this total Thursday. Plus, both teams are working on a short week, which always tends to favor the UNDER in these Thursday night games. Baltimore and Cleveland have combined to score 41 or less points in each of their last six meetings, which makes for a perfect 6-0 UNDER trend pertaining to tonight's total of 44.** Cleveland has an underrated defense year in and year out, and that's the case again in 2012. Baltimore has one of the best stop units in the league, and after facing three very good offenses in the Eagles, Patriots and Bengals, the Ravens will have no problem shutting down this weak Browns' offense. Take the UNDER 44 points here.
09-23-12	New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 49.5		30-31	Loss	-105	93 h 47 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Pats/Ravens NBC Sunday Night Surefire on UNDER 49.5 Oddsmakers have set the bar too high for this rematch from the AFC Championship game last season. These teams are very familiar with one another, which will lead to a defensive battle Sunday night. The Pats and Ravens have faced each other four times since 2009, and we've seen combined scores of 48, 47, 43 and 43 points in those four contests. That's a perfect 4-0 UNDER trend pertaining to tonight's total set of 49.5. Plays on the UNDER on any team against the total (BALTIMORE) - off a road loss, in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season are 57-22 (72.2%) to the UNDER since 1983. The UNDER is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 home games. The UNDER is 4-0** in Patriots last 4 games overall. Take the UNDER 49.5 points here.
09-23-12	Detroit Lions v. Tennessee Titans UNDER 47		41-44	Loss	-104	85 h 19 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Lions/Titans UNDER 47 Oddsmakers have set the bar too high in this one. Tennessee has given up 34 and 38 points in its first two games to the Patriots and Chargers, respectively. As a result, this total has been inflated. Tennessee will be fighting for its life to try and get its first win of the season in this one. I expect a much better defensive performance out of the Titans here at home, while their offense continues to struggle after averaging 11.5 points/game through their first two. The Lions have a solid offense, and their defense is better than it gets credit for. Plays on the UNDER on any team against the total (TENNESSEE) - off a road loss, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team that had a winning record are 34-7 (82.9%) UNDER since 1983.** Take the UNDER 47 points here.
09-23-12	Cincinnati Bengals v. Washington Redskins UNDER 49.5		38-31	Loss	-110	85 h 18 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Sunday NFL "Total" BLOWOUT on Bengals/Redskins UNDER 49.5 The Washington Redskins have played in two high-scoring affairs this season, both of which came in domes. They combined with the Saints to score 52 points in their opener, then they combined with the Rams to score 59 points last week. Cincinnati has also played in two high-scoring games. The Bengals combined with the Ravens to score 57 points in their opener, then they combined with the Browns to score 61 points last week. Because both teams have played in two high-scoring games, oddsmakers have inflated this total in Week 3. The clear value is with the UNDER now, and we'll take advantage. Cincinnati is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992. Washington is 13-3 UNDER (+9.7 Units) against AFC North division opponents since 1992. The UNDER is 11-1** in Bengals last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Take the UNDER 49.5 points here.
09-23-12	Buffalo Bills v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 44.5		24-14	Win	100	85 h 17 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy AFC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bills/Browns UNDER 44.5 The Browns tend to play more low-scoring games at home on their grass field in Cleveland. They played Philadelphia to a 17-16 game at home in Week 1, and I expect a similar result against Buffalo this week. These teams have played in some extremely low-scoring games in recent meetings. The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four meetings, with combined scores of 19, 9 and 8 points in the three games that went UNDER. The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Bills last 8 games on grass. The UNDER is 9-1-1 in Browns last 11 games on grass. The UNDER is 6-0** in Browns last 6 home games. Take the UNDER 44.5 points here.
01-08-12	Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants UNDER 47.5		2-24	Win	100	61 h 1 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Falcons/Giants NFC Sunday "Total" BLOWOUT on UNDER 47.5** The New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons will play in a defensive battle Sunday. The Giants are 18-6 UNDER (+11.4 Units) in home games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game since 1992. Atlanta is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.
12-18-11	Baltimore Ravens v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5		14-34	Win	100	42 h 17 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Ravens/Chargers Sunday Night "BAILOUT" on OVER 44.5** Shortened Analysis on Sunday as I'm leaving very early to attend Chiefs/Packers Game The Baltimore Ravens and San Diego Chargers feature two of the better offenses in the league this year. Baltimore is scoring 24.6 points/game behind 346.0 yards/game, while San Diego is scoring 24.9 points/game behind 388.1 yards/game. The OVER is 4-0 in Ravens last 4 games following a ATS loss. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Chargers last 5 games as an underdog. Take the OVER 44.5 points here.
12-15-11	Jacksonville Jaguars v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 42.5	Top	14-41	Loss	-107	8 h 5 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Jags/Falcons Thursday NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 42.5 This total is way inflated tonight. Oddsmakers have missed their mark badly, putting too much stock in last week's efforts between both teams. The Falcons played in a 31-23 shootout against a terrible Carolina defense, while the Jaguars played in a 41-14 shootout against a terrible Tampa Bay defense. Jacksonville scored two defensive touchdowns, forced seven turnovers, and only managed 325 yards of offense. That score was certainly misleading to say the least. Even after a 41-point effort, the Jaguars are still scoring just 14.8 points/game, including 11.2 points/game on the road. Jacksonville does have one of the best defenses in the league which has allowed them to stay competitive. The Jaguars rank 4th in total defense at 302.3 yards/game, but they also rank dead last in total offense at 260.1 yards/game. These are two teams that have been prone to going UNDER the number all season. Jacksonville is 10-3 UNDER in all games and 6-0 UNDER in road games, while Atlanta is 9-4 UNDER in all games and 5-1 UNDER in home games. The UNDER is 8-1 in Atlanta's last 9 games overall. The UNDER is 6-0 in Jags last 6 road games, 6-0 in Jags last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, 7-0 in Falcons last 7 following a win, 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games on fieldturf, and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. The UNDER is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 home games. These last six trends add up to a 35-0 Angle** in favor of the UNDER. Take the UNDER 42.5 points here.
11-24-11	Miami Dolphins v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 44.5		19-20	Win	100	38 h 15 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL Turkey Day "Total" BLOWOUT on Dolphins/Cowboys UNDER 44.5 I fully expect a defensive battle Thursday between the Miami Dolphins and Dallas Cowboys. Miami cannot score, but they can defend with the best of 'em. Dallas has a solid offense, and their defense is dramatically improved this year. The Dolphins haven't allowed a touchdown in more than 12 quarters, and they are giving up a mere 6.7 points/game in their last three contests. Offense is not their strong suit, though. Miami only averages 19.3 points/game on the season and 312.8 yards/game, and they are scoring 17.2 points/game on the road. Dallas ranks 10th in the league in total defense at 328.6 yards/game allowed, and they are giving up just 15.4 points/game at home. I expect Miami to score 17 or few points, and for Dallas to score 24 or less. The UNDER is 9-0 in Miami's last 9 games overall.** I'll ride this trend again Thursday. Take the UNDER 44.5 points here.
11-20-11	Carolina Panthers v. Detroit Lions OVER 47		35-49	Win	100	15 h 40 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Panthers/Lions OVER 47 The Detroit Lions and Carolina Panthers are primed for a shootout Sunday. These two pass-happy teams will be playing inside a dome at Detroit, meaning ideal conditions for both offenses. Carolina is averaging 400 total yards/game and 272 passing, while Detroit is putting up 360 yards/game and 266 passing. The OVER is 8-2-2 in Panthers last 12 games as an underdog. The OVER is 15-6-1 in Lions last 22 games overall. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Lions last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.** Take the OVER 47 points here.
11-14-11	Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 49.5	Top	7-45	Win	100	6 h 1 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Vikings/Packers MNF PARLAY OF THE MONTH on Green Bay -12.5/OVER 49.5 I will side with the Packers and the OVER tonight on ESPN's Monday Night Football. Green Bay has been crushing their opposition at home this season. Their home numbers alone make the Packers and the OVER the right choice tonight. Green Bay is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS at Lambeau Field this year, averaging 38.3 points while allowing 20.0 points/game. Minnesota is giving up a whopping 26.5 points and 385 yards/game on the road in 2011. Minnesota is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Green Bay is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a 2 game road trip over the last 3 seasons. The OVER is 7-2 in Green Bay's last 9 home games. Minnesota is 23-9 OVER (+13.1 Units) vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 27 or more points/game since 1992. The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between Minnesota and Green Bay, and we've seen 52 or more points scored in five of the last six.** Take Green Bay and the OVER Monday.
11-13-11	St. Louis Rams v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 37		13-12	Win	100	20 h 58 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rams/Browns UNDER 37** The Cleveland Browns and St. Louis Rams and are two of the worst offensive teams in the league. Cleveland ranks 30th in the NFL in total offense (289.0 yards/game). St. Louis is only 23rd in total offense (314.1 yards/game) and they are scoring a mere 12.5 points/game. Take the UNDER 37 points.
11-06-11	Green Bay Packers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50.5		45-38	Win	100	65 h 14 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Packers/Chargers West Coast Surefire on OVER 50.5** The Green Bay Packers and San Diego Chargers feature two of the best offenses in the league. With the perfect weather in San Diego, this makes for an ideal situation to back the OVER Sunday. Both offense will be playing in ideal scoring conditions. Green Bay is averaging 32.9 points and 423.3 total yards/game, while San Diego is putting up 23.0 points and 399.4 total yards/game. Take the OVER 50.5 points here.
10-17-11	Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 43.5	Top	6-24	Win	100	114 h 16 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy Dolphins/Jets AFC East TOTAL OF THE YEAR on UNDER 43.5 We look for a defensive battle tonight in this Monday Night Football showdown in Week 6. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are each poor offensive teams, but both know how to stop people. This is going to be another slug fest similar to Miami's 10-6 win at New York last season. In that game, the Dolphins managed just 131 total yards while the Jets were held to 280 yards of offense. New York ranks 29th in the league in total offense (297 yards/game) in 2011. Their defense wasn't spectacular during their 3-game losing streak on the road, but they played three very good opponents in the Raiders, Ravens and Patriots. New York is only giving up 13.5 points/game and 296 yards/game at home this year. Miami has had a very hard time putting the ball in the end zone this season. The Dolphins are scoring 17.2 points/game on the year, including 16.0 points/game on the road. The UNDER is 8-2 in Dolphins last 10 road games overall, and 14-4 in their last 18 games as a road underdog. Miami is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.** With Matt Moore at quarterback and starting running back Daniel Thomas banged up, the Dolphins are not going to fare very well offensively against this hungry Jets defense tonight. Take the UNDER 43.5 points here.
10-09-11	Green Bay Packers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 52.5	Top	25-14	Loss	-110	44 h 38 m	Show
*6 Widow Wiseguy NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Packers/Falcons OVER 52.5 The Packers and Falcons combined for 69 points in a 48-21 victory by Green Bay last year in the playoffs. We expect a similar point output tonight as two struggling defenses go up against two high-powered offenses. Green Bay is scoring 37.0 points and averaging 429 yards/game this season, while giving up 24.2 points and 407 yards/game. Their offense remains one of the best in the league, but the defense has certainly taken a step back in 2011. Atlanta is scoring 22.5 points and averaging 360 yards/game, while allowing 26.2 points and 373 yards/game. They allowed Tarvaris Jackson to throw for more than 300 yards on them last week in a 30-28 victory over Seattle, so you can just imagine what Aaron Rodgers is going to do to them tonight. Rodgers went 31 of 36 passing for 366 yards with four total touchdowns in their win over the Falcons last year, and he is completing 73.0 percent of his passes for 1,325 yards with 12 TDs and two interceptions this season. The OVER is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games overall, and 10-2 in their last 12 Week 5 games. The OVER is 5-0-1 in Falcons last 6 games following an ATS loss, and 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.** Take the OVER 52.5 points here.
10-09-11	Philadelphia Eagles v. Buffalo Bills OVER 49.5		24-31	Win	100	36 h 7 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy NFL "OVER" Lover's Special on Eagles/Bills OVER 49.5 Philly features one of the best offenses in the league, but they have a below-average defense. Buffalo also has one of the best offenses in the NFL, but one of the worst defenses. We foresee a shootout Sunday in Buffalo between these two teams, and we fully expect this one to have gone OVER the number by the end of the 3rd quarter. Philly is scoring 25.2 points and averaging 435 yards/game, while giving up 25.2 points and 357 yards/game. This is a team that hasn't even reached their full potential offensively, as their points total should be even higher with the amount of yards they are racking up. Buffalo is scoring 33.2 points behind 391 yards/game, and allowing 24.0 points and 405 yards/game. The Bills have been scoring more and giving up more at home, averaging 36.0 points and 464 yards/game, and giving up 33.0 points and 474 yards/game. The OVER is 10-1 in Eagles last 11 road games, and the OVER is 5-0 in Bills last 5 games overall.** Take the OVER 49.5 points here.
10-09-11	New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers OVER 51		30-27	Win	100	36 h 7 m	Show
*5 Wiseguy Saints/Panthers NFC South Surefire on OVER 51 The New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers featured two of the best offenses in the league. We look for both teams to put up big offensive numbers Sunday in an absolute shootout. The Saints are averaging 31.7 points and 454 yards/game, while the Panthers are putting up 22.2 points and 440 yards/game. As you can see, these teams have been moving the ball at will as they rank No. 2 and No. 3 in the league in total offense, respectively. Both squads have been below-average defensively as well. New Orleans is allowing 24.5 points and 348 yards/game, and Carolina is yielding 25.5 points and 347 yards/game.** The OVER is 21-10 in Saints last 31 games as a road favorite. The OVER is 24-9-1 in Saints last 34 games following an ATS win. Take the OVER 51 points here.

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