Sports Picks & Predictions

4* BEST BET on Dream +9 -105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Mystics +6 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Sky/Dream under 170 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* BEST BET on Dream/Mercury under 166½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Mercury +5 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Mystics -102

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Wings -2½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Fever/Mystics under 161 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

4* WNBA - Finals Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Sun/Mystics under 175½ -110

I see a ton of value here with the UNDER in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the 2019 WNBA Finals. I know the OVER is 3-0-1 in the series to this point, but there's just a different atmosphere that comes in this spot.

Not only are both teams going to lay everything they got on the defensive side of the ball, both teams are dealing with fatigue at this point in the series and you can't discount the pressure that is on the players in a game of this magnitude. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Sun last 20 after allowing the opponent to shoot 42% or better in each of their last 3. It's also 19-9 in their last 28 when listed as an underdog. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - Mystics/Sun Finals Game 4 ANNIHILATOR on Mystics PK -105

I like the Mystics to go on the road and wrap up the 2019 WNBA Finals with a win. Washington has all the momentum after a 94-81 road win in Game 3 and I think the Mystics are getting a huge boost from their star Elena Delle Donne, who is cleary playing hurt. 

Connecticut has really had no answer for Washington's offense in the series and I don't see that changing in Game 4. Mystics shot better than 50% from the field for the second time in the series. 

Backing us up is a big time system. Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 are 27-6 (82%) if they come in having allowed 70 or more in 3 straight games and facing an opponent that has allowed 80 or more in their last 2. Take Washington! 

3* BEST BET on Sun -4½ -110

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Aces -2½ -115

I'm confident the Aces are going to go on the road and get a win at Phoenix. Vegas has been struggling of late and really need to get back on track before the postseason. Mercury are just the team to do that against. Phoenix has lost 3 straight, all by double-digits, and the last two were at home as a favorite. 

Phoenix is just 4-12 ATS last 16 at home after giving up 75+ points in each of their last 2 games and 0-6 ATS over the last two seasons off a upset loss at home to a division foe. Take Las Vegas! 

5* WNBA - Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Sparks -5½ -110

This is just too good a price to lay a big bet on the Sparks at home. Los Angeles is 13-2 at home on the season and enter this game riding a 12-game home winning streak. Sparks are beating teams by 8.4 points/game on their home floor and most importantly are 9-3 ATS during the 12-game winning streak. 

Storm have a losing record (6-9) on the road and are not a team you want to be backing when they are up against a quality opponent. Seattle has gone just 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record. I don't see the Storm keeping this one anywhere close to the number. Take Los Angeles! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dream +11 -108

Atlanta is worth a look in this one. I think we are seeing the Aces way overvalued in this spot. That's because the public knows that Las Vegas needs to win their final two games to secure at least the No. 4 seed (have a shot at No. 3) and a first round bye. The Dream on the other hand are all but a lock to finish with the worst record in the league. 

Atlanta has continued to play hard and I would expect a big effort at home with the opportunity to play spoiler. It's also worth noting Vegas has lost 3 straight on the road and the defense was not there in all 3 losses. They gave up 89 to Connecticut, 98 to Minnesota nd 86 to Indiana, losing two of the three as a favorite. Take Atlanta! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks +4½ -110

Really like the value here with Los Angeles, as I got them winning this one outright, making them an easy play as a dog. A lot at stake between these two and Sparks come in playing the better basketball. 

These two have the same record, but LA comes in having won 15-5 in their last 20. Vegas has lost 3 straight and are a miserable 7-14 ATS in their last 14. Take Los Angeles! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky +3 -110

Chicago is worth a look here as a small road dog against the Lynx. The Sky have been absolute covering machines, cashing 9 of their last 11. They are 7-1 ATS last 8 on the road. Minnesota just 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. 

Road teams with a line of +3 to -3 who are not a good defensive teams (giving up 77+ ppg) are 91-47 (66%) ATS when facing an opponent that just played a game where both teams scored 75+ points. Take Chicago! 

5* WNBA - Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Mercury -6 +100

Phoenix should have no problem winning by at least 7 on the road against the Liberty. New York has just one win in their last 11 games. Last time out they got annihilated by 29 points at Washington. 

There will be no mercy shown by Phoenix in this one, as they are looking to bounce back from two straight set backs. Mercury have covered 4 of their last 5 road games and are 7-1 ATS last 8 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Liberty are 1-9 ATS last 10 overall and 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take Phoenix! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Dream/Wings under 148½ -110

The UNDER is a dominant 18-8-2 in Dallas' 28 games this season and I think the books have failed to set the number low enough for Sunday's matchup with Atlanta. 

Easy to see why the Wings are responsible for a lot of UNDERs, as they are awful offensively (70.7 ppg, 38.8% shooting pct.) and pretty decent on the defensive side of the ball. Dallas only gives up 72.2 ppg and 39.7% shooting at home. 

UNDER is 7-2 in the Wings last 9 games played on Sunday and a perfect 4-0 on the final day of the week for the Dream. Under is also 11-3 in Atlanta's last 14 vs a team from the Western Conference and 9-3-1 in Dallas' last 13 off a non-cover. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Aces/Sun over 161 -105

I look for these two teams to fly past the total set here by the books. Both of these teams can light it up offensively. Las Vegas is averaging a healthy 80.5 ppg on the road, while Connecticut is sitting at 82.4 ppg at home. 

These two teams just played on Aug. 11th and combined for 170 points, as the Aces pulled out a 89-81 win. OVER is now 6-2 in the series over the last 3 seasons, which includes a perfect 3-0 mark when they meet at Connecticut. 

OVER is 11-3 in the Sun's last 14 home games off a cover and 8-1 in their last 9 home games off a home win by 10 or more. OVER is 23-8 in Aces last 31 off a no cover where they won the game as a favorite. Take the OVER! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks -5½ -105

This is the perfect spot to jump on Los Angeles at home. Spark are going to be a pissed off bunch when they take the floor after getting upset in back-to-back road losses at Dallas and Chicago. LA has won 8 straight at home, where they are outscoring teams by 6 ppg on the season. 

Lynx are struggling. Minnesota has just 3 wins in their last 10 games and are a mere 4-6 ATS during this stretch.

Sparks last played on Friday and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 at home off an upset loss by 10 or more. Take Los Angeles! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx +3 -110

Really like the value here with Minnesota getting points against the Storm on Sunday. Lynx are really playing well at the moment. Minnesota has won 3 of their last 5 and both losses were against league-leader Washington. 

While the Lynx are surging at the right time, Seattle comes in having lost 2 straight and 5 of their last 7 overall. Minnesota is 12-3 in their last 15 road games after scoring 75 or more in 4 straight games and 7-1 in their last 8 after giving up 80 or more points in their previous game. Take Minnesota! 

4* WNBA - Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Sun -4½ -110

Easy play here on the Sun. Phoenix will not have their best player and the WNBA's leading scorer in Brittany Griner, who got a 3-game suspension for her actions in Saturday's game against the Dallas. Without Griner the Mercury have no shot here against one of the league's best teams. 

I also think we are going to see a very motivated Connecticut team, as they enter off back-to-back losses (both on the road against good teams). Prior to that this team had won 7 straight. It's also worth noting Phoenix was struggling with Griner, as they come in having lost 4 of their last 5. Take Connecticut! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Liberty +6 -110

Easy play here for me on New York as a home dog against the Lynx. While the Liberty have lost 5 straight and 8 of 9 overall, it's created big time value with the line. Minnesota is a pretty average team and the Lynx lost 69-75 at New York earlier this season as a 3-point road favorite. 

Liberty are a strong 16-6 ATS in their last 22 after playing their previous game as a home dog, 7-3 ATS last 10 when playing on just 1 day of rest and a dominant 8-1 ATS last 9 after failing to cover the spread in 3 straight games. Take New York! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Sparks under 165 +100

Books have set the total too high here in Sunday's WNBA action between Chicago and LA. These two played at LA back in June and combined for just 163 and that was with the Sparks scoring 94 points. 

UNDER has been the go to play when LA is at the Staples Center. UNDER is 36-15 in the Sparks last 51 home games. I don't see these two coming close to 160. Take the UNDER! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever -6½ -105

Easy play here on Indiana to cover the 6.5-points at home against the Dream. Indiana isn't a great team. They are just 8-16 on the season, but they are still a much better team than Atlanta.

The Dream have lost 8 straight and have covered just 1 time in their last 6. They are getting outscored by 14 ppg in their last 5. Just too much value here only needing the Fever to win by 7. Take Indiana! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun -1½ -108

Easy play here on the Sun as a small road favorite against the Lynx. Connecticut is the hottest team in the league right now. Sun have won 7 straight and last time out they laid it on New York 94-79 as a 6-point favorite. 

While Minnesota won their last game, they are just 2-5 in their last 7 and a mere 6-13 ATS last 19 off a SU win. We also find a strong system in play favoring a fade of the Lynx. Home dogs that have scored 70 or more in 5 straight games are just 13-36 (27%) ATS when matched up with a team that scored 90 or more in their last game. Take Connecticut! 

4* WNBA - Undervalued UNDERDOG WINNER on Mercury +6½ -108

Easy play on Phoenix for me as a decently priced road dog against the Sparks. Mercury have been an absolute covering machine of late with a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games.

Last time out Phoenix won 103-82 as a 7.5-point home dog to Washington. Mercury are a perfect 7-0 ATS last 7 games after playing their previous game as a home dog. They are also 16-5 in their last 21 as a road underdog. Take Phoenix! 

5* WNBA - Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Sky -7½ -102

Love the value here with Chicago laying single digits at home against the Liberty on Wednesday, as I think the Sky win here by double-digits without any problem. Chicago has won 5 of 6, but more importantly have been covering at a high rate. Sky come in having covered 3 straight and are 7-2 ATS last 9. 

It's the exact opposite for New York. The Liberty come in having lost 6 of 7 games outright and are just 2-5 ATS during this stretch. In their last 5 games, NY has been outscored on average by 9.8 ppg. 

Chicago is well rested (haven't played since Saturday) and that's definitely worth noting. The Sky are 11-4 ATS last 15 when playing 5 or less games in 14 days and 8-1 in their last 9 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Take Chicago! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Lynx/Dream under 146 -103

The UNDER is worth a look in Tuesday's WNBA action between the Lynx and Dream. Basically any time the Lynx play on the road you want to be looking to play the UNDER, as it's 26-7 in their last 33 road games. 

UNDER is also 20-7 in the Dream's last 27 vs a team from the Western Conference and 23-10 in their last 33 home games. UNDER is also a solid 5-2 in the last 7 games in the series. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Storm +6 -110

Love the value here with Seattle as a decently priced road dog against the Sparks. Big bounce back spot for the Storm after getting annihilated by 20-points at home by Washington. It's been a money-making spot for Seattle, as they are 15-5-1 ATS last 21 off a loss and 20-6 ATS last 26 off a ATS loss. 

Sparks come in off a win, but that's almost a good thing, as they are just 6-16-1 ATS last 23 off a win. LA is also a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 off back-to-back wins and Storm have covered 5 of the last 6 meetings in the series. Take Seattle! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mercury/Sun under 153½ -110

The books have completely missed the mark with today's WNBA total between the Sun/Mercury. Phoenix has scored 95 and 93 in their last two games and both saw a combined total of more than 170. Connecticut just put up 100 in their last game, are averaging 84.6 ppg in their last 5 and 84.5 ppg at home. 

3* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dream +5 -110

I'll take the points here with the Dream in a matchup of two of the WNBA's worst. While Atlanta is just 1-8 on the road, the Fever are a mere 2-8 at home and have failed to cover 21 of their last 28 home games.

Adding to this are two great systems. First, Home teams that are giving up 73+ ppg are a mere 13-35 (27%) ATS when facing a team that has lost 3 straight by 10 or more points. At the same time, road underdogs who have allowed 70 or more in 5 straight are 43-16 (73%) ATS when facing a team that has allowed 75 or more in 5 straight. Take Atlanta! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Sky/Sun over 158 -105

Easy play here on the OVER. Chicago is an ideal over team, as they can light it up offensively (79.8 ppg) but also don't lock it down defensively (79.3 ppg), especially on the road (85.1 ppg). Connecticut is 9-1 at home, where they are averaging a hefty 82.9 ppg. I think both teams get into the 80s in this one, as Chicago is putting up 83 ppg over their last 5. 

OVER is 5-0 in the Sky's last 5 road games and 10-2 in the Suns last 12 home games off a home win. No surprise that the OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the OVER! 

5* WNBA - All-Star Game TOP PLAY  on Team Delle Donne -1 -110

I love the value here with Team Delle Donne at basically a pick'em. I think Delle Donne picked the much better team and I could see them winning this one going away. Delle Donne was a captain last year and lost, which has added motivation. She even said she's trying to pick the players that won't be out partying. Take Team Delle Donne!

4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mystics -4½ -110

I like the value here with the Mystics as a relatively small road favorite against the Lynx. Washington has been great on the road this season, winning 6 of their 9 games away from a home. I just don't think Minnesota can keep pace with the Mystic's high-powered offensive attack. Washington averages almost 10 points more per game. 

Washington is off a 93-65 thrashing of Atlanta at home and are 5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Mystics are also 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take Washington!  

4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mercury -5 -110

This is a great price to back the Mercury at home against the Fever. Phoenix is undervalued here because of a 2-5 ATS run they are on, but they have won their last two and are fresh off a cover as a 2-point favorite at Dallas. 

I also don't think it's asking a lot for the Mercury to win here by 6 or more. Indiana has lost 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall. They come in having lost 4 straight by 6 or more as well. Make it 5 in a row after tonight. Take Phoenix! 

5* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Lynx/Aces over 156 -110

The books have completely missed the mark on the over/under for Sunday's WNBA action between the Lynx and Aces. I think too much is being made of the defenses in this one. Minnesota is a very good offensive team an are averaging just over 76 ppg. Vegas is the second highest scoring team in the league at 81.8 ppg. 

Lynx just gave up 90 points at home in their last game against Seattle, so it's hard to see them slowing down the Aces on the road today. While Vegas is only giving up 76 ppg they have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 7. 

OVER is 7-1 in the Lynx last 8 vs a team with a winning record, 6-1 in the Aces last 7 after an ATS loss and 4-1 in their last 5 at home. Take the OVER! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS HEAVY HITTER on Liberty +3 -110

Love the value here with New York at home. You have an overrated Sparks team in this one. LA has won 3 in a row, but are without the injured Candace Parker and still without double-digit scorer Riquna Williams. 

On the flip side of this we are going to get a very hungry Liberty team, as they are looking to snap a 3-game losing streak. NY is an impressive 7-3 ATS last 10 vs a team with a winning record, while LA is 5-15-1 in their last 21 off a win. Take New York! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Mystics/Fever over 160 -105

I really like the OVER in Friday's WNBA action, as we have two teams that can score but also don't play a ton of defense. Washington puts in 85 ppg and Indiana is not to far back at 77 ppg. The Mystics give up 78 ppg on the road and Fever give up 79 ppg at home. 

OVER is 14-2 in Indiana's last 16 off a loss to a division rival and 9-1 in their last 10 at home when riding a losing streak of 3 or more games. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the OVER. OVER is 27-7 (79%) with a total of 140 and the home team has failed to cover 2 or more and are not a good team (25% to 40%) and playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* BEST BET on Wings +7½ -110

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS NO-BRAINER on Mercury -7½ +100

I like the Mercury to lay it on the Wings tonight. Dallas is the ideal to fade on the road. The Wings haven't won a game away from home at 0-7. They are also just 2-13 ATS in road games over the month of July and 1-9 in their last 10 on the road when they come in having lost 4 of 5 against the spread. 

Last time out Phoenix was a dog Minnesota and have failed to cover 4 of their last 5. Both of these are great for backing the Mercury tonight, as they are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 after being listed as a dog in their previous game and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 after failing to cover 4 of 5. Take Phoenix! 

4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Wings PK -110

Love the value here with Dallas as a pick'em on their home court against the Sky. Big bounce back spot for the Wings, who are off an ugly 14-point loss at Seattle. Dallas is a different team at home and have been constantly undervalued at home by the books. Wings are 6-2 ATS at home this season. 

Adding to this is a great system in play for fading Chicago in this spot. Road dogs who are scoring 77+ ppg and facing an opponent off a loss by 10 or more are just 60-102 (37%) ATS since 1997. Take Dallas!

4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Aces +5 -110

Love the value here with the Aces as a dog at Washington on Saturday. Las Vegas is absolutely rolling right now. The Aces have won 4 straight and 8 of 10 overall. Mystics had been playing well, but are off back-to-back losses, including an ugly 68-91 loss at home to Phoenix as a 8-point favorite last time out. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Aces. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points, who are a strong team (outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg) and are playing a team that has played in 3 straight games with a combined score of 155 or more are 33-11 (75%) ATS. Take Las Vegas!

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -2½ -110

Atlanta comes in a mere 4-10 on the season and are just 3-5 SU and 3-5 ATS at home. I just can't pass up a play on the Lynx as a small road favorite against the Dream. 

Minnesota is playing some of their best basketball right now. They have won 5 of their last 6 and are a dominant 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games. These two teams played earlier at Minnesota and the Lynx won 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. I think they win by double-digits here. Take Minnesota! 

3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Sky PK -110

These two teams opened up the season against each other and Minnesota embarrassed the Sky 89-71 at home. Most will look to back the Lynx here given that earlier result, but I think the revenge card is the play in this one. 

Chicago snapped a 4-game skid with a 78-66 win and cover at home against Dallas and are now 5-2 both SU and ATS at home this season. Lynx are just 3-3 away from home and are a mere 2-4 ATS on the road compared to their 6-1 ATS mark at home. 

It's also worth noting that Minnesota is fresh off a hard fought 74-71 win at Connecticut, as the Lynx are 0-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons when coming off a win by 6 points or less. Take Chicago! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Dream +7½ -110

Atlanta snapped a 4-game losing streak with a 77-66 win at Seattle as a 9-point dog. I'll gladly back them here as a similarly priced dog at Phoenix, who just lost as a 7.5-point home favorite against New York. 

Betting public still wants nothing to do with Atlanta, which is why we are getting such a great price on them here. Thing is, you want to be on the Dream, they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 off a SU win. Take Atlanta +7.5!

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx +9 -110

I like the value here with Minnesota as a near double-digit dog at Connecticut. Lynx got back on track in their last game, crushing Atlanta 85-68, easily covering as a 7.5-point favorite. No way should they be getting this many points here. 

Sun have lost 33 straight and failed to cover 5 in a row. Lynx are 5-1 ATS last 6 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take Minnesota! 

3* WNBA - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Storm -8½ -110

Seattle should have zero problem winning here by double-digits. The Storm have to be itching to get back on the court, as they just lost back-to-back games at home by a combined 3 points to Phoenix and New York. Those are their only 2 losses at home this season. 

I look for them to come out and take advantage of a weaker opponent. Atlanta is just 2-9 on the season and have a 3-8 record against the spread. They have not won a game on the road in 2019 and are getting outscored on the road by 14.5 ppg. 

Storm are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 off a SU loss and 21-6 ATS last 27 after a game where they failed to cover. Take Seattle! 

4* WNBA - Vegas ATS NO-BRAINER on Liberty +7 -110

Love the value here with the Liberty as a near double-digit dog at Seattle. The Storm won last yer's title, but are off to a mere 8-6 start without two of their best players in Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. Both of those gals are out long-term. 

New York comes in having won 2 straight and are off a dominating performance at Atlanta, where they won 74-58 as 4.5-point underdog. Liberty are 6-1 ATS last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while Seattle is a mere 1-4 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take New York! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Lynx -6½ -110

Minnesota should have no cashing in a win and cover at home against the Dream in Tuesday's WNBA action. Lynx have been absolute covering machines on their home floor, going 5-1 ATS to open up the season. Atlanta on the other hand has lost all 3 road games they have played and are just 3-7 ATS on the season. 

The Dream are simply struggling to be competitive. They come in having lost 3 straight all by double-figures. They now have 8 losses on the season and 7 of them have come by at least 10 points. Take Minnesota! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Liberty +3½ -110

Great system in play backing New York. Road underdogs that have failed to cover 3 or more games in a row are a dominant 46-17 (73%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is also a mere 3-8 ATS in their last 11 and have failed to cover 5 of their last 7 at home. Take New York!

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sun +8 -110

Really like the value here with the Sun as a near double-digit dog at Washington. Connecticut comes in having lost 2 straight as a favorite, but last time out they lost by just 1 at Dallas. Also, Sun started out 9-1 before losing the last two. 

Washington comes in having won 4 straight, but they also just finished up a 4 game road trip and could come out flat here with just 2 days off since they last played at Chicago. These two teams also played twice already this season and both times the Sun won going away. Sun won 84-69 at home in late May and then a few weeks late won at home again 83-75. Wouldn't be shocked at all if they won outright here. Take Connecticut! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Wings +3½ -110

Dallas is worth a look here as a road dog against the Liberty. The Wings are coming in hot. Dallas is fresh off a 74-73 win against Connecticut as a 9-point dog. Wings are now 3-1 in their last 4 with all 3 wins coming in the road of an underdog. 

While Dallas is trending up, New York has lost 3 of 4 and last time they were at home they lost by 8 to Chicago as a similarly priced 2-point favorite. Defense hasn't been there for the Liberty of late and they are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games after giving up 80 or more in each of their last 2 games. Take Dallas! 

5* WNBA - Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Sparks +2½ -105

Easy play here on the Sparks as a home dog against the Aces. Vegas won an earlier meeting between these two, but that has LA primed for revenge. Sparks are also desperate for a win after losing their last 4. Big thing to keep in mind is that 3 of the 4 losses came on the road. LA was 4-2 prior to the losing streak. 

Sparks are on 3 days rest and that's important to note, as they have gone 15-6 ATS last 21 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Aces are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 on the road and 0-5-1 ATS last 6 off a SU win. Take Los Angeles! 

4* WNBA - Prime Time (NBATV) NO-BRAINER on Sun -8 -110

Easy play here on Connecticut laying single digits at home against a bad team off an ugly loss last time out at Chicago. Sun got destroyed 93-75, trailing by 20+ at the half, snapping a 7-game winning streak. 

Dallas is the ideal team to get back on track against. Wings are just 2-6 on the season and are fresh off a 86-68 loss at Las Vegas. Dallas is 0-7 ATS last 2 seasons when coming off a road loss by 10 or more. Take Connecticut! 

5* WNBA - No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Storm +6½ -110

Big time value here with the Storm as a decently priced road dog against the Aces. Seattle has got quite the emotional lift with the return of head coach Dan Hughes, who missed the first 9 games for cancer treatment. 

In his first game back Seattle destroyed LA 84-62 as a 1.5 point home dog and came back on just 1-day of rest and defeated Indiana 65-61. While I like them to win this one outright, we got a ton of insurance here with the big spread. Aces are off a nice win, but are just 3-5 ATS last 8. Vegas is also 0-7 ATS last 7 games vs a team with a winning record. Take Seattle!

4* WNBA - Blockbuster ATS NO-BRAINER  on Fever +5½ -115

I'm taking the Fever here as a decently priced dog against the Storm. Seattle is simply overvalued here after starting out 3-0 SU and ATS at home. Indiana is fresh off a win at Chicago 76-69 as a similarly priced 5-point dog. 

These two teams also played earlier this season at Indiana. The Storm won the game, but it could have gone either way. Fever lost by just 2 in that one and I not only think they keep it close again, but I like them to win this game outright. 

Seattle is 2-12 ATS last 14 off an upset win as a dog and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 off a win by 10 or more as a dog. Take Indiana! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWUT on Liberty +7½ -105

The books have made quite the error here with this number. No way should New York be this big of a road dog against the Lynx. Minnesota is just 4-5 to start the year and come in having lost 4 straight. Of those 4 defeats, 3 of them came on their own floor, including a loss to LA as a 4.5-point favorite. 

Minnesota is just 4-12 in their last 16 after a game where both teams scored 75 or more points. Liberty are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 vs a team from the Western Conference and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take New York! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Storm +1½ -105

Love the value here with the Storm as a home dog against the Sparks. Seattle has won and covered each of their first two games at home and simply should not be a dog in this fight. Los Angeles is one of the better teams, but just lost back-to-back at home, including a 81-52 loss to Washington last time out. Take Seattle! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mystics +5½ -110

Easy play here on Washington as a decently priced road dog against the Aces. Mystics snapped a mini two-game slide with a 81-52 blowout win at LA as a 1.5-point dog. Las Vegas is off a win and have won 3 of 4, but are not covering. Aces are juts 2-4 ATS last 6 games. 

Vegas is also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 0-3-1 in their last 4 off a SU win.

Great system in play backing the Mystics. Road teams are 98-64 (61%) against the spread in the month of June when playing on only their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Washington! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Liberty under 165

I believe the books have completely missed the mark with this WNBA total. Chicago comes into this one having won 3 straight and great defense is a big reason why. The UNDER cashed in all 3 of those wins and is 5-1 in the Sky's 6 games overall. 

Books have also been setting the bar too high here of late in New York's game. UNDER is 3-1 in the Liberty's last 4 games. NY also comes in off a win and that's a good thing here, as the UNDER is 13-4-1 in their last 18 off a straight up win. UNDER is also 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

4* WNBA - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Mystics +2 -110

The books are begging for you to take the Sparks as a small home favorite, but the smart money is going to be on the Mystics. Washington comes in having lost two straight, but both were close games. Mystics could easily be sitting here on a 6-game winning streak. Note they only lost 3 in a row once all of last season, so this team knows how to stop the bleeding. 

Sparks are solid, but just lost at home to New York as a double-digit favorite. Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a ATS loss and a dominant 8-2 in their last 10 when playing on 3 or more days of rest (last played Friday). Take Washington! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR on Lynx +6½ -110

Big time value here with the Lynx as a decently priced home do against the Aces. Minnesota is getting no love from the books here because of a 3-game losing streak, but it's not like they weren't competitive in those losses. All 3 defeats were by 6 or less. 

Las Vegas is also overvalued coming off a 100-65 thrashing over New York on Friday. The same NY team they lost to by double-digits a few days earlier. No way should the aces be laying points here. Take Minnesota! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sky +5 -110

I like the value here with the Sky as a pretty decent sized road dog against the Fever. Chicago is fresh off back-to-back wins and have won 3 of their last 4. Indiana is off a close win at Dallas, but they were favored in that matchup. 

Prior to that the Fever had lost back-to-back games at home and their only home win on the season is against a 2-5 New York squad. Chicago has won and covered in each of their last 3 trips to Indiana. Take the Sky! 

5* WNBA - Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Lynx +5½ -110

I really like the value here with Minnesota as a home dog. Connecticut has won 4 straight and are sitting on top of the league at 6-1. I just think the strong start has the Sun way overvalued here against a quality Lynx team who are 3-1 in 4 home games, outscoring teams by nearly 7-points/game. 

Sun have played 3 road games and are 2-1. However, they lost at LA by 7 as a 3-point favorite. The only team they have played on the road that currently has a winning record. The two wins were against the Aces and Dream. Take Minnesota! 

4* BEST BET on Wings +3 -110

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* BEST BET on Liberty +3½ -110

Analysis will be posted shortly

4* WNBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Sky +3½ -105

Easy play on Chicago as a home dog against the Mercury. The Sky are a perfect 2-0 at home and are coming off a 78-71 win at home against the defending WNBA champs in Seattle. Phoenix is simply getting too much love here. Mercury are off a win, but have not won back-to-back games this season and are in a tough spot here, playing their 3rd straight on the road. I'll take the points as a little added insurance, but I'm confident the Sky win this one outright. Take Chicago! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +2 -110

No way I'm passing up on the Fever as a home dog against the Mercury. Indiana has opened up the season 3-1 and are 2-0 at home with both being blowout wins. They whooped New York 92-77 in their home opener and then crushed Dallas 79-64. Both games they were small favorites, so this isn't the first time they have been way undervalued by the books. 

Phoenix is also off to a mere 1-2 start and have failed to reach 70 in 2 of those 3 games. Last game they managed just 56 points on 37% shooting at Minnesota. Fever held New York and Dallas to 35% shooting in their 2 home wins. Take Indiana! 

5* WNBA - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Sparks +3½ -110

I like the Sparks to win this game outright, making them a no-brainer as a 3.5-point dog. Minnesota is off to a blistering 4-1 start, but two of those wins are by 3-points or less and this is a team that figures to struggle minus Maya Moor for the season. 

One of those close victories for the Lynx came in their last game, as they squeaked out a 58-56 win at home against Phoenix. That result is worth noting, as Minnesota is a dreadful 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons off a win by 6 points or less. They are also just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 when they coming in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Los Angeles! 

5* WNBA - Eastern Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Mystics -8 -105

Easy play here on Washington, as the Mystics should have no problem winning here by double-digits. Washington is 2-1 on the season and in their two wins they have beat Atlanta by 21 and Chicago by 18. Their lone loss was at Connecticut, but it was also without one of their best players in Elena Delle Donne (played in both wins). 

As for New York, they are the worst team in the league and while they have flirted with a couple wins in 2019, the fact of the matter is they are 0-3 and have now lost 17 straight dating back to last season. No one wants to be the first team to lose to a team on a losing streak like this, so forget the Mystics looking past this one. Take Washington! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS DESTROYER on Dream +3½ -110

The Dream are showing great value here as a home dog against the Aces. Las Vegas was a team a lot of people were picking to win the title this year. That may end up being the case, but they are not playing well to start and should not be favored on the road in this one. 

Road teams in the WNBA that are off back to back losses as a favorite are a mere 5-23 (18%) ATS on Thursday night. Take Atlanta! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mystics -10½ -110

I got no problem laying double-digits with the Mystics at home. Washington didn't play well in their opener at Connecticut, but bounced back with a 21-point win as a 9-point favorite at home against Atlanta.

I expect a similar type of blowout win over Chicago, who lost by 18 in their lone road game this season. Note that the Sky's last two trips to Washington have resulted in losses by 28 and 16 points. Take Washington! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Storm +1 -115

Love Seattle in this spot as a home dog with revenge. These two teams played last Wednesday and the Lynx pulled out a 72-61 win. That result along with the fact that Minnesota is the only team left without a loss, has them way overvalued. 

No way should the Lynx be a road favorite here. I just don't think this team is as good as their start. Keep in mind Maya Moore is taking this season off and she's hands down one of their best players. 

Also, Storm have played just one home game this season and that was a 77-68 victory over Phoenix as a 3.5-point dog. Take Seattle! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sun/Aces under 167 -110

The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's WNBA action that has Connecticut visiting Las Vegas. The Aces are coming off a very high-scoring game at Phoenix, but only combined for 153 in their home opener against LA, limiting the Sparks to just 70 points on 36.4% shooting. As for the Sun, they are scoring at a high clip, but they are also defending well. 

This total is basically calling for both teams to eclipse 80 points and I just don't see that happening. UNDER is 15-5 in Connecticut's last 20 as a dog and 19-8 in Vegas' last 27 after a game where they combined for 165 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lynx/Wings over 151½ -120

These two teams should have no problem going OVER the total here. Minnesota combined for 170 in their opener against Chicago and Dallas is coming off a game in which they combined for 148 at Atlanta, despite shooting a mere 35.1% from the field. 

I think both teams are going to eclipse 75 points in this one without much problem, which in turn should have them flying by the number here. OVER is an impressive 10-2 in the Wings last 12 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take the OVER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Storm/Dream over 146 -115

The fact that the UNDER has cashed in each of Seattle's first two games and in Atlanta's lone contest, has created some great value here on the OVER in this matchup. OVER has cashed in 6 of the last 8 in the series, including 4-1 in the last 5 times they met up in Atlanta. 

Keep in mind the last time these two teams played in 2018, the total for that game was 163.5. The time before that they combined for 191 points. Take the OVER! 

4* WNBA - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER on Storm +3 -110

I like the value here with Seattle as a small road dog. A lot of people are giving the Storm no shot this season to defend their title and it's hard to argue with them given they lost reigning MVP Breanna Stewart for the season and are also without Sue Bird. 

While this may ultimately end up being a lost season, this team is coming out of the gate on a mission. They want to prove to everyone that they are more than 1-2 players. That kind of effort against a Minnesota team that is without Maya Moore should be more than enough for the win and cover. Take Seattle! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Fever +9 -110

Indiana is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Sun. The Fever opened up the 2019 season with a thrilling 81-80 win at New York as a 3.5-point dog. That's quite the start to the season for a team that finished dead last in 2018 with a mere 6-wins. 

I'm not saying Indiana is going to start 2-0, but I think they can ride that momentum to a cover. Connecticut rolled over the Mystics 84-69 in their opener, but Washington was without Elana Delle-Donne. Easy for them to come in a little too confident against a team they have dominated of late. Look for the Fever to make a game of it. Take Indiana! 

4* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Sparks +3½ -110

I like the value here with LA as a dog. Aces are a team that are getting a ton of love coming into the 2019 season. Not only did they add another No. 1 overall pick in Jackie Young from Notre Dame, they acquired 2018 MVP runner-up Liz Cambage. These moves have Las Vegas as one of the favorites to win it all. 

The talent is definitely there, but much like in the NBA when superstars pair up for the first time, it's going to take some time before they play to their potential. The chemistry just isn't there right away. Sparks are a legit playoff team and have the pieces in place to win the title. I think they come out and make a statement here on the road. Take Los Angeles! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Team Parker

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Sky

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Dream

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

4* WNBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Sparks - 

I really like the value here with the LA Sparks laying a short number on the road against the Las Vegas Aces. I just feel we are getting a great price with the Sparks due to the fact that they are playing on no rest after dropping a game last night at Seattle. The thing is, these teams aren't even close in talent. 

Los Angeles owns a league-best 11-4 record, while Las Vegas is sitting near the bottom of the standings at 5-11. The Sparks are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 following a SU loss. Take Los Angeles! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER on Storm No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in announced lineups and weather conditions. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.