Sports Picks & Predictions

College Football Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
09-04-22	Florida State v. LSU -3	Top	24-23	Loss	-110	47 h 1 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on LSU -3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-03-22	Tulsa -3 v. Wyoming	Top	37-40	Loss	-110	145 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Tulsa -3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-02-22	TCU -8.5 v. Colorado	Top	38-13	Win	100	611 h 6 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on TCU -8½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-27-22	Vanderbilt -6.5 v. Hawaii	Top	63-10	Win	100	130 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Vanderbilt -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-29-22	American v. National	Top	24-25	Win	100	5 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on National PK -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-10-22	Georgia -2.5 v. Alabama	Top	33-18	Win	100	237 h 38 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-04-22	LSU v. Kansas State -6.5	Top	20-42	Win	100	32 h 32 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Kansas State -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-01-22	Arkansas +3 v. Penn State	Top	24-10	Win	100	605 h 0 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-31-21	Cincinnati v. Alabama -13.5	Top	6-27	Win	100	608 h 31 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Alabama -13½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-29-21	Maryland +1.5 v. Virginia Tech	Top	54-10	Win	100	535 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Maryland +1½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-28-21	Houston v. Auburn -3	Top	17-13	Loss	-106	509 h 3 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -3 -106 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-25-21	Ball State v. Georgia State -4	Top	20-51	Win	100	440 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State -4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-22-21	Missouri v. Army -6.5	Top	22-24	Loss	-110	32 h 15 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Army -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-21-21	San Diego State -2.5 v. UTSA	Top	38-24	Win	100	34 h 26 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on San Diego State -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-18-21	UTEP +12.5 v. Fresno State	Top	24-31	Win	100	271 h 25 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UTEP +12½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-11-21	Navy v. Army -6.5	Top	17-13	Loss	-110	25 h 50 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Army -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-04-21	Wake Forest v. Pittsburgh -2.5	Top	21-45	Win	100	151 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Pittsburgh -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-03-21	Oregon v. Utah -2.5	Top	10-38	Win	100	4 h 7 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Utah -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-27-21	UTSA v. North Texas +11.5	Top	23-45	Win	100	100 h 3 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on North Texas +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-25-21	Fresno State v. San Jose State +7.5	Top	40-9	Loss	-110	28 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on San Jose State +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-23-21	Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +4	Top	42-21	Loss	-110	32 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Northern Illinois +4 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-20-21	UCLA -3 v. USC	Top	62-33	Win	100	128 h 14 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UCLA -3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-18-21	Louisville -19.5 v. Duke	Top	62-22	Win	100	4 h 55 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -19½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-16-21	Toledo -6.5 v. Ohio	Top	35-23	Win	100	31 h 31 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Toledo -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-13-21	Hawaii -2.5 v. UNLV	Top	13-27	Loss	-110	128 h 17 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Hawaii -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-10-21	Toledo -9.5 v. Bowling Green	Top	49-17	Win	100	59 h 43 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Toledo -9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-09-21	Buffalo v. Miami-OH -7	Top	18-45	Win	100	33 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH -7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-06-21	Old Dominion -1.5 v. Florida International	Top	47-24	Win	100	143 h 7 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Old Dominion -1½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-04-21	Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -10.5	Top	17-21	Loss	-115	96 h 34 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UL-Lafayette -10½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-02-21	Miami-OH v. Ohio +7.5	Top	33-35	Win	100	32 h 2 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ohio +7½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-30-21	Rutgers +1 v. Illinois	Top	20-14	Win	100	136 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Rutgers +1 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-28-21	Troy +19 v. Coastal Carolina	Top	28-35	Win	100	81 h 33 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Troy +19 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-23-21	UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7	Top	45-16	Loss	-105	127 h 30 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisiana Tech +7 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-22-21	Colorado State -2 v. Utah State	Top	24-26	Loss	-110	122 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Colorado State -2 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-21-21	Florida Atlantic -5 v. Charlotte	Top	38-9	Win	100	96 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Florida Atlantic -5 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-16-21	Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State	Top	49-9	Win	100	143 h 3 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Alabama -17 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-14-21	Navy v. Memphis -10	Top	17-35	Win	100	71 h 10 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Memphis -10 -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-09-21	Arkansas v. Ole Miss -5	Top	51-52	Loss	-110	136 h 6 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ole Miss -5 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-08-21	Stanford +13 v. Arizona State	Top	10-28	Loss	-110	37 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Stanford +13 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-21	Western Kentucky v. Michigan State -9.5	Top	31-48	Win	100	144 h 46 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Michigan State -9½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-01-21	BYU -8.5 v. Utah State	Top	34-20	Win	100	121 h 7 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -8½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-30-21	Virginia v. Miami-FL -3	Top	30-28	Loss	-115	101 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-FL -3 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-25-21	Clemson v. NC State +10	Top	21-27	Win	100	125 h 59 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on NC State +10 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-21	San Jose State v. Hawaii +7	Top	17-13	Win	100	39 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Hawaii +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-18-21	Fresno State v. UCLA -9.5	Top	40-37	Loss	-112	132 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UCLA -9½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-18-21	Michigan State v. Miami-FL -6.5	Top	38-17	Loss	-110	121 h 55 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-FL -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-17-21	Central Florida v. Louisville +7.5	Top	35-42	Win	100	104 h 28 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville +7½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-11-21	Pittsburgh -2.5 v. Tennessee	Top	41-34	Win	100	122 h 1 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Pittsburgh -2½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-06-21	Louisville +10 v. Ole Miss	Top	24-43	Loss	-110	31 h 30 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville +10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-05-21	Notre Dame -7 v. Florida State	Top	41-38	Loss	-110	17 h 18 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Notre Dame -7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
08-28-21	UTEP -6.5 v. New Mexico State	Top	30-3	Win	100	772 h 38 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UTEP -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-29-20	Colorado +8.5 v. Texas	Top	23-55	Loss	-114	14 h 42 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Colorado +8½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-29-20	Oklahoma State -2 v. Miami-FL	Top	37-34	Win	100	32 h 29 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Oklahoma State -2 -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-25-20	Marshall +5.5 v. Buffalo	Top	10-17	Loss	-110	27 h 23 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Marshall +5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-23-20	Georgia Southern -5.5 v. Louisiana Tech	Top	38-3	Win	100	33 h 24 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia Southern -5½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-11-20	Nevada v. San Jose State -2.5	Top	20-30	Win	100	37 h 36 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on San Jose State -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-10-20	Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech +7	Top	34-20	Loss	-110	33 h 54 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia Tech +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
12-05-20	Iowa -13 v. Illinois	Top	35-21	Win	100	115 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa -13 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-28-20	LSU v. Texas A&M -11.5	Top	7-20	Win	100	142 h 10 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Texas A&M -11½ -116 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-26-20	New Mexico v. Utah State +7	Top	27-41	Win	100	9 h 4 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Utah State +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-21-20	Tennessee v. Auburn -10	Top	17-30	Win	100	130 h 35 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Auburn -10 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-21-20	Arkansas State -5.5 v. Texas State	Top	45-47	Loss	-114	123 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Arkansas State -5½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-20-20	New Mexico +10.5 v. Air Force	Top	0-28	Loss	-109	108 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on New Mexico +10½ -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-18-20	Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -2.5	Top	52-44	Loss	-110	58 h 57 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-15-20	California v. UCLA +3	Top	10-34	Win	100	25 h 13 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on UCLA +3 -109 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-13-20	Iowa v. Minnesota +4	Top	35-7	Loss	-113	6 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Minnesota +4 -113 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-11-20	Central Michigan -6.5 v. Northern Illinois	Top	40-10	Win	100	71 h 51 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Central Michigan -6½ -108 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-10-20	Miami-OH +11.5 v. Buffalo	Top	10-42	Loss	-115	32 h 21 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Miami-OH +11½ -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-06-20	BYU -2.5 v. Boise State	Top	51-17	Win	100	109 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -2½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-05-20	Utah State v. Nevada -17	Top	9-34	Win	100	10 h 59 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Nevada -17 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
11-04-20	Ball State +3.5 v. Miami-OH	Top	31-38	Loss	-110	58 h 58 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Ball State +3½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-31-20	Purdue -6.5 v. Illinois	Top	31-24	Win	100	125 h 52 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Purdue -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-30-20	East Carolina +18.5 v. Tulsa	Top	30-34	Win	100	110 h 53 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on East Carolina +18½ -114 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-24-20	Air Force -6.5 v. San Jose State	Top	6-17	Loss	-110	132 h 44 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Air Force -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-15-20	Georgia State +4.5 v. Arkansas State	Top	52-59	Loss	-110	81 h 19 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Georgia State +4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-14-20	Coastal Carolina +7 v. UL-Lafayette	Top	30-27	Win	100	58 h 1 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina +7 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-10-20	Florida -6.5 v. Texas A&M	Top	38-41	Loss	-110	132 h 40 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Florida -6½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-09-20	Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech	Top	27-46	Loss	-112	115 h 41 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Louisville -4½ -112 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-08-20	Tulane v. Houston -4.5	Top	31-49	Win	100	91 h 11 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Houston -4½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-03-20	Navy +1.5 v. Air Force	Top	7-40	Loss	-110	141 h 46 m	Show
5* Academy Game of the Year on Navy + All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
10-02-20	Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24	Top	14-45	Win	100	29 h 25 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on BYU -24 -105 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-26-20	Iowa State -2.5 v. TCU	Top	37-34	Win	100	124 h 8 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Iowa State -2½ -119 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-25-20	Middle Tennessee State +7 v. UTSA	Top	35-37	Win	100	4 h 56 m	Show
5* NO BRAINER on Middle Tennessee State +7 -115 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-19-20	Wake Forest +3 v. NC State	Top	42-45	Push	0	136 h 39 m	Show
5* BEST BET on Wake Forest +3 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-12-20	UL-Lafayette +11.5 v. Iowa State	Top	31-14	Win	100	125 h 1 m	Show
5* BEST BET on UL-Lafayette +11½ -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
09-03-20	South Alabama +15 v. Southern Miss	Top	32-21	Win	100	33 h 32 m	Show
5* BEST BET on South Alabama +15 -110 All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
01-04-20	Tulane -6.5 v. Southern Miss	Top	30-13	Win	100	581 h 10 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Tulane/S Miss ARMED FORCES BOWL Top Play on Tulane -6½ -110 Easy play here on Tulane in Saturday's early bowl action against Southern Miss in the Armed Forces bow. While the Green Wave ended up finishing the season with a mere 6-6 record, it was more a result of the brutal schedule they had to navigate. Tulane's 6 losses were against Auburn, Memphis, Navy, Temple, UCF and SMU. Four of which won 10 or more games. No disrespect to Southern Miss, but I just think they are outclassed here. Despite the tough schedule, Tulane still managed to finish 24th in the country in total offense at 456.8 ypg. They were also a respectable 55th in total defense. Golden Eagles are a very pass-happy team, which is evident by the fact that they finished 118th in rushing. Tulane on the other hand is a ball control team that ranked 11th in rushing at 251.4 ypg. I think the Green Wave are going to play keep away, which is going to wear down the Southern Miss defense and keep the Eagles offense out of sync. Take Tulane!
01-01-20	Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama	Top	16-35	Loss	-110	511 h 40 m	Show
5* NCAAF -Alabama/Michigan New Year's BOWL OF THE YEAR on Michigan +7½ -110 I love the Wolverines getting a touchdown and the hook against Alabama in the Citrus Bowl. While both teams ended the year with losses to their biggest rival, the Crimson Tide's was a lot more costly. Alabama's crushing 45-48 loss to Auburn knocked them out of the playoff race and for the first time since the playoff format was introduced they are not one of the 4 teams participating. I just think that makes this a really tough spot for Alabama to show up and it's not like we haven't seen this before when the Crimson Tide missed out on the BCS with a late loss and didn't show up in their bowl. On top of a lack of motivation, the Crimson Tide have a number of guys sitting out and are really decimated on the defensive side of the ball. Michigan had hopes of making the playoff, but those were put to rest a long time ago and I think they will have no problem here getting up for a shot at Alabama. Michigan's defense won't have to worry about facing Tua, which is a big plus, but more than anything I think a Wolverines offense that got better and better as the season went on will be able to do more than enough to keep this close and maybe even win outright. Take Michigan!
12-28-19	Oklahoma +14 v. LSU	Top	28-63	Loss	-110	418 h 57 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/LSU Playoffs PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma +14 -110 I absolutely love the value here with the Sooners at this price. The hype around this LSU team has gotten out of control and the books have drastically inflated this line knowing the public is going to pound the Tigers no matter the number. I'm not going to say Oklahoma is going to win this game, but I'm extremely confident they keep it within two touchdowns. Sooners have more than shown they can compete on this stage the last two years. Last season they fell 45-34 to Alabama as a similarly priced 13 point dog. The year before they should have beat Georgia, but blew a big lead and wound up losing in 2OT. Oklahoma's offense might not be as potent as it was the last two years behind a couple of Heisman winners, but the defense is vastly improved. Also, as good as Joe Burrow and the LSU offense is, the defense can be had. They allowed 38 to Texas, 28 to Florida, 41 to Alabama and 37 to Ole Miss. I fully expect them to struggle with Lincoln Riley's offense and a turnover here or there by the Sooners defense and this could get real interesting. Take Oklahoma!
12-26-19	Miami-FL v. Louisiana Tech +7	Top	0-14	Win	100	370 h 40 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Miami/La Tech INDEPENDENCE BOWL Top Play on Louisiana Tech +7 -110 Easy play here on the Bulldogs catching a touchdown against Miami in the Independence Bowl. I just don't feel Miami is the least bit interested in playing in this game, especially with how they closed out the season with back-to-back losses to FIU and Duke. Given the talent that the Hurricanes have, there's zero excuse for them losing either one of those games other than they just don't care about finishing the season strong. I just don't think Miami flipped a switch once the regular-season was over and started putting everything they had into beating LA Tech. There's no incentive for the Hurricanes to win this game. The same can't be said for the Bulldogs. Any time a small conference gets a shot at a Power 5, especially a storied program like Miami, they really get up for the game. That alone is enough reason to take the points with Louisiana Tech, but there's even more reason to like the Bulldogs. The game will be played in Shreveport, Louisiana, which is roughly an hour drive from their campus in Ruston. It's going to feel like a home game for the Bulldogs. You also have to take into account just how good La Tech head coach Skip Holtz has been at getting his team prepared and motivated for bowl play. Since he took over with the program, they have gone 5-0 in bowl games and he's 7-3 in his career as a head coach. I would not be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Take Louisiana Tech!
12-23-19	Marshall +17.5 v. Central Florida	Top	25-48	Loss	-110	47 h 56 m	Show
5* NCAAF - UCF/Marshall GASPARILLA BOWL Top Play on Marshall +17½ -110 This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thundering Herd in Monday's matchup with UCF in the Gasparilla Bowl. Marshall has thrived in bowl games under head coach Doc Holiday. They have yet to lose since Holiday took over with a perfect 6-0 mark and come in having covered 5 straight bowl games. UCF had another fantastic season and are without a doubt the more talented team, but bowl games is all about motivation and I just wonder how much the Knights really want to be here. UCF was playing in the Fiesta Bowl last year and the Peach Bowl the year before that. They got nothing to prove here against a team they are favored to beat by more than two touchdowns. Marshall has the 43rd ranked defense (362.1 ypg) and 42nd in points allowed (23.1 ppg). With the extra time to prepare, I think they can slow down this UCF offense. At the same time, the Knights are vulnerable defensively against the run and the Herd averaged a healthy 195.7 rushing ypg (36th). This is just too many points. Take Marshall!
12-21-19	Washington v. Boise State +3.5	Top	38-7	Loss	-109	253 h 13 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Wash/Boise St LAS VEGAS BOWL Top Play on Boise State +3½ -109 The Broncos are definitely worth a look here catching more than a field goal against the Huskies. There's a lot of talk about this being the last game for Chris Petersen with Washington and how they are going to play their hearts out for him because of that. I just don't that I buy that. If I was a Huskies player I would be a little ticked off that Petersen is walking away. The other big thing is this was not a great Washington team this year. One that lost at home to Cal and Colorado on the road. This is also a far cry from the kind of bowl that the Huskies are accustomed to. The last 3 years they have played in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose bowls. You also got some of their best players sitting out, which I think speaks volumes to how little this game really means to them. Left tackle Trey Adams and tight end Hunter Bryant are both skipping to prepare for the draft. Lastly, this is a Huskies offense that struggled to score and will be facing a really good Boise State defense. The Broncos ranked 35th in total defense (347.5 ypg) and 24th in scoring (20.6 ppg). They are also really good at stopping the run, ranking 19th in the country allowing 113.1 ypg. Broncos are also 10-3 SU in their last 13 vs a team from the Pac-12. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. Take Boise State!
12-20-19	Kent State v. Utah State -6.5	Top	51-41	Loss	-110	180 h 12 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Utah St/Kent St FRISCO BOWL Top Play on Utah State -6½ -110 Easy play here for me on the Aggies. I don't get the line move at all as I thought the books had it priced right when they opened Utah State at -8.5. There's simply too much value here now with them under the key number of 7. I just think Jordan Love announcing he was leaving early to go pro and then some key guys getting accused of smoking pot had people leaning Kent State in this game. Thing is, Love is playing and those allegations appear to be false, at least from what head coach Gary Anderson is saying. Love is going to want to show out here to build up his draft stock. I also think the Utah State players will be motivated that much more after hearing the coach had their back. Love should have a field day in this one, as the Golden Flashes are awful defensively. They give up 471.7 ypg and allow 34.6 ppg away from home. They also are allowing opposing QB's to complete 69% of their attempts for 249 ypg and 8.4 yards/ pass attempt. Also, Kent State went 6-6 and their only decent win was against Buffalo and they trailed 27-6 in the 4th quarter of a crazy 30-27 win. Golden Flashes are a great story as they had quite the turnaround, but they are outclassed in this one. Take Utah State!
12-14-19	Army v. Navy -10	Top	7-31	Win	100	80 h 27 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Army/Navy NO LIMIT Top Play on Navy -10 -110 I got no problem laying double-digits with the Midshipmen in Saturday's huge rivalry game with Army. Some might think Navy will be looking ahead to their bowl, while Army is going to treat this like it's their bowl game. Sure the Black Knights are going to come to play, but don't think for a second that the Midshipmen aren't 100% focused on this game. A big reason for that is they come in having lost 3 straight in the series after they had rattled off 14 wins in a row over Army. A big reason for the Black Knights recent success is they for the first time in a long time had the better talent on the field. This year Army has underperformed big time and finished just 5-7, despite a schedule that had many calling for at least 8 wins. Navy has played the much tougher schedule and are 9-2. Midshipmen are the better team on both side of the ball and I just think they come out with a chip on their shoulder Saturday and win here by at least 14. Army is just 1-9 ATS last 10 as a neutral field dog of 7.5 to 14 points and have lost in this spot by an average score of 35 to 10. Take Navy!
12-07-19	Georgia +7.5 v. LSU	Top	10-37	Loss	-110	56 h 34 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Georgia/LSU SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Georgia +7½ -110 I love the value here with Georgia keeping this within a touchdown against LSU in the SEC Championship Game. LSU has been the talk of college football this year and it's only a matter of time before Tigers quarterback Joe Burrow is named this year's Heisman winner. I just think with how the public is pounding LSU right now, it's resulted in too good a price to pass up with Georgia. The biggest thing that I think people are overlooking in this game is Georgia's defense and part of that is the public just doesn't think this LSU offense can be stopped. The Bulldogs defense was already going to be fired up for this game and I think all the Burrow talk will have them playing with a massive chip on their shoulder. Keep in mind Georgia hasn't allowed more than 17 points in any game this season and are excellent against both the run and the pass. Ed Orgeron has proven he's more than just a motivator, but I still give the coaching edge to Georgia's Kirby Smart. People were saying the same things about Georgia the last two years when they met up with Alabama in the national title game in 2017 and in last year's SEC title game. They lost both of those games, but should have won both meetings. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are outgaining teams by 125 or more total yards and off a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play are 60-28 (68%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. At the same time, neutral field underdogs that are outrushing opponents by 100 yards/game are 36-11 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Georgia!
11-30-19	Indiana v. Purdue +7	Top	44-41	Win	100	91 h 50 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Purdue +7 -115 I love the value here with the Boilermakers catching a touchdown at home against the Hoosiers. I think the fact that Purdue is sitting at 4-7 and can't get to a bowl has people thinking they won't show up. I don't think that will be the case at all. If anything it just continues a run here of the Boilermakers being undervalued, as they have covered 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. Indiana's already got 7-wins, so they are just playing to get to a slightly better bowl, but I also think they could be out of gas here after playing their last two games against big time opponents in Penn State and Michigan. Hoosiers defense struggled against both the Nittany Lions and Wolverines. Road teams who are outscoring opponents by 7+ ppg are just 45-87 (34%) ATS after allowing 31 or more in 2 straight over the last 10 seasons. Boilermakers are also a dominant 13-4 ATS last 17 as an underdog. Take Purdue!
11-29-19	Iowa -4.5 v. Nebraska	Top	27-24	Loss	-109	101 h 51 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Iowa -4½ -109 I cashed in on Nebraska last week at Maryland and the Cornhuskers didn't disappoint, as they took out a season worth of frustration in a 54-7 victory over the Terps. However, that win doesn't change the outlook on this Nebraska team and I'll gladly back a much better Iowa team laying less than a touchdown on Friday. Hawkeyes have owned the Cornhuskers of late with 4 straight wins against their rivals. I'm confident they make it 5 in a row, as I think the conditions for this game will heavily favor Iowa. It's going to be miserable with rain expected throughout. That's going to allow the Hawkeyes to focus that much more on a one-dimensional Nebraska offense. As for the Cornhuskers defense, don't be fooled by their big effort against Maryland. Prior to holding the Terps to a mere 7-points they had allowed 30+ in 4 straight games and even Maryland was able to run for 149 against them. Iowa should control both sides of the ball and win here easily. Hawkeyes are 20-7 ATS last 27 as a road favorite of 7 or less, while the Cornhuskers are a mere 4-15 ATS last 19 at home and 0-7 ATS last 7 as a home dog.
11-23-19	Syracuse v. Louisville -9	Top	34-56	Win	100	101 h 55 m	Show
5* NCAAF - ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Louisville -9 -110 Easy play for me on the Cardinals laying single-digits at home against the Orange. I just think we are getting a great price with Louisville due the fact that Syracuse finally showed some life in last week's 49-6 win as a 10.5-point road dog at Duke. That would be great if the Blue Devils were playing well, but Duke is on a free fall. Blue Devils have been outgained now by 100+ yards in 3 straight and have lost the yardage battle in 6 straight. Even though they won by a whopping 43-points, Syracuse only outgained the Blue Devils by 116. The only other two teams the Orange have won the yardage battle against all season are Holy Cross and Liberty. This is a team that got outgained by 250 yards to Maryland and 243 a couple weeks ago against BC. Louisville has one of the best offenses people don't know about. They are averaging 32.3 ppg and 438 ypg. What's impressive is it's come against opponents who on average are allowing just 25.1 ppg and 377 ypg. They should score at will here and while the defense isn't great, I think they easily win by two touchdowns. Orange are 2-11 ATS last 13 off an upset win by 14 or more points and have lost in this spot by an average of 20 ppg. Take Louisville!
11-19-19	Ohio -20 v. Bowling Green	Top	66-24	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Ohio/BG MAC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Ohio -20 -110 I like the Bobcats to cruise to a easy win and cover at Bowling Green Tuesday night. Ohio may have had their MAC title hopes crushed with back-to-back heartbreaking losses to Miami (OH) and Western Michigan, but there's still a ton to play for in these last two games, as the Bobcats need to win out to make a bowl. Ohio may have just 1 more win on the resume than the Falcons, but the talent gap between these two is really noticeable. While the Bobcats are just 3-3 in MAC play, they are outscoring teams by 2 ppg and outgaining them by 23.6 ypg. Bowling Green is getting outscored by 16.3 ppg and 141.4 ypg in MAC play. The biggest thing for me here is I just don't see the Falcons defense being able to keep the Bobcats from putting up a huge number. Ohio averages 200 ypg and 5.1 yards/carry on the ground. They will be facing a BG defense that gives up 212 ypg and 5.2 yards/carry. Also, Falcons have nothing left to play for after last week's 44-3 loss to Miami (OH), as the best they can finish is 5-7. BG is also just 3-11 ATS last 14 as a dog of 10.5 to 21 points and 1-7 ATS as a dog of any number this season. Take Ohio!
11-16-19	Oklahoma -10 v. Baylor	Top	34-31	Loss	-110	53 h 23 m	Show
5* NCAAF - Oklahoma/Baylor Big 12 PLAY OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma -10 -110 There's plenty of people talking about how Baylor deserves to be ranked higher than No. 12 with their perfect record, but I'm with the playoff committee. I just don't think the Bears are anywhere close to as good as their record and I think it could get ugly on Saturday in Waco. Oklahoma is hands down the most talented team in the Big 12. They had a slip up at Kansas State, but I think more of that was them just not giving the Wildcats the respect they deserve. They won't make that mistake against the Bears. The biggest thing for more me is I don't think Baylor's defense can contain Jalen Hurts and this high-powered Oklahoma offense. That's a big problem, as I don't think the Bears have the goods offensively to go keep this close if the Sooners put 30+ on the board. Bears are just 5-15 ATS in their last 20 home games when listed as an underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. Oklahoma has failed to cover their last two in large part because of turnovers. They posted a -2 turnover margin in both ATS losses to K-State and Iowa State. Sooners are 7-0 ATS last 7 times they have posted back-to-back games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. Take Oklahoma!

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