Sports Picks & Predictions
MLB Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
06-09-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-117) The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more tonight. They have been a great bet on the road over the past few seasons because you get a cheaper price with them when away from home. The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Charlie Morton, who is 7-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Morton is also 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in five career starts against Texas. Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 11 starts this season fr the Rangers. Minor has never beaten the Astros, going 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against them. Houston is 46-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average in this spot. The Astros are 8-1 in Morton’s last nine starts when working on 5 days’ rest. Houston is 9-1 in its last 10 meetings in Texas. Take the Astros on the Run Line. |
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06-08-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight over the Texas Rangers. They have a massive advantage on the mound tonight just as they do in most games, and that’s why backing them on the run line has been a great bet on the road this season. Justin Verlander has been unhittable since getting traded to the Astros last season. He has gone 7-2 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.721 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in six road starts. Verlander is 13-8 with a 2.93 ERA in 25 career starts against Texas, including 2-1 with a 1.38 ERA in his last four starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 26 innings while striking out 34 batters. Doug Fister is no match for Verlander. The right-hander is 1-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in five home starts. He has gone 2-2 with a 4.07 ERA in six career stats against Houston as well. Houston is 45-19 as a road favorite of -125 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average. The Astros are 17-6 in Verlander’s last 23 starts. The Rangers are 1-5 in Fister’s last six starts. Houston is 8-1 in its last nine meetings in Texas. Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Friday. |
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06-07-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-105) The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more against the Texas Rangers tonight. They have lost three of their last four coming in, so they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. Gerrit Cole should lead them to victory. He has gone 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.829 WHIP in six road starts. Cole has never lost to the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in three career starts against them. He has 34 K’s in 21 innings in those three starts. Cole Hamels has been decent this season at 3-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 12 starts. However, he has been at his worst at home, going 1-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in six home starts. And Hamels has already faced the Astros three times this season, so they have the beat on him. Cole is 9-0 (+9.7 units) in June road games in his career. His teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot. Cole is 14-2 (+11.1 units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons. His teams are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. |
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06-05-18 | Marlins v. Cardinals -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+120) The St. Louis Cardinals (32-25) should have no problem beating the lowly Miami Marlins (20-39) by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series Tuesday. They have a huge advantage on the mound, as well as advantages at the plate and in the bullpen. Jose Urena is still in search of his first win for the Marlins. He is 0-7 with a 4.41 ERA in 12 starts this season, and the Marlins are 0-12 in those 12 starts. Urena is also 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis. Carlos Martinez is 3-2 with a 1.62 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in five home starts. Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins as well. Martinez is 34-11 vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in his career. Urena is 0-12 in all games this season and the Marlins are losing by 2.8 runs per game on average. The Marlins are 0-8 in their last eight vs. a right-handed starter. The Cardinals are 6-1 in Martinez’s last seven starts. Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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06-05-18 | Brewers v. Indians -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+103) The Cleveland Indians should have no problem winning by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series with the Milwaukee Brewers. They will be sending their ace to the mound and will be highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight to the Twins over the weekend. Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young-caliber season. He is 8-2 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.839 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.791 WHIP in six home starts. He is also 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three starts, which is impressive considering he has faced Houston twice. Junior Guerra isn’t as good as his 2.65 ERA and 1.123 WHIP would indicate this season. One of his worst starts this year came against Cleveland on May 9th as he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 2-6 loss to the Indians for a 7.20 ERA. Cleveland is a perfect 11-0 in home games off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons. It is coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game on average in this spot. Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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05-30-18 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 20 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) I’ve backed the Diamondbacks with success each of the last two days and I’m going to back them again here Wednesday to sweep the Cincinnati Reds. They won 12-5 on Monday and 5-2 on Wednesday and should also win this game by two runs or more. The Diamondbacks have a huge advantage on the mound behind Pat Corbin, who is 5-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.894 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Corbin has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.675 WHIP in six starts. He is also 2-2 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in seven career starts against Cincinnati. Sal Romano has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. He has gone 2-6 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 11 starts, including 0-3 with a 12.80 ERA and 2.686 WHIP in his last three. Romano is also 0-4 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.970 WHIP in five road starts. He gave up 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings of a 2-11 loss to Arizona in his only career start against them last year. Cincinnati is 2-15 vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better this season, losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot. The Reds are 2-15 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game this season, losing by 3.2 runs per game in this spot. The Diamondbacks are 9-3 in Corbin’s last 12 home starts. Arizona is 5-0 in Corbin’s last five starts during Game 3 of a series. Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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05-25-18 | Reds v. Rockies -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+100) The Colorado Rockies will come into this game highly motivated for a victory after losing four of their last five overall. They also come in with many advantages, not the least of which is rest. The Reds played yesterday, while the Rockies had yesterday off to regroup and recover. No question the Rockies have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Jon Gray, who is 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.401 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 63 K’s in 55 2/3 innings. Gray has never lost to the Reds, going 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in two career starts against them. Sal Romano is 2-5 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 10 starts this season with only 34 K’s in 49 2/3 innings. Romano has been awful on the road, going 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA and 1.882 WHIP in four starts, and it’s not going to get any easier for him at hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight. Romano is also 0-2 with a 15.96 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings to the Cubs and Giants. Cincinnati is 1-11 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season. It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot. The Rockies are 12-3 in their last 15 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Colorado is 7-2 in Gray’s last nine home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds are 16-34 in their last 50 meetings in Colorado. Take the Rockies on the Run Line Friday. |
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05-21-18 | Padres v. Nationals -1.5 | 2-10 | Win | 125 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+125) The Washington Nationals will be highly motivated for a victory at home here against the San Diego Padres in Game 1 of this series. They were swept by the Dodgers over the weekend. But now they face the lowly Padres and should be able to win by two runs or more. The Nationals certainly have the advantage on the mound in this one behind Gio Gonzalez, who is 4-2 with a 2.22 ERA in eight starts, including 2-1 with a 1.61 ERA in four home starts. Gonzalez is 3-2 with a 3.21 ERA in seven career starts against San Diego. In his last two starts against the Padres, he has given up just one earned run in 12 2/3 innings. Robbie Erlin will be making just his second start of the season for San Diego. The first was not good as he gave up 6 and 8 base runners in 3 innings against the Dodgers on April 16th. Erlin has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-2 with a massive 16.40 ERA and 2.680 WHIP in two career starts against them. San Diego is 3-18 off three or more consecutive wins over the last three seasons. It is losing by 3.4 runs per game on average in this spot. Gonzalez is 14-2 when working on 7 or more days’ rest in his career. His teams are winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot. Take the Nationals on the Run Line Monday. |
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05-20-18 | Rays v. Angels -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 110 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+110) It’s safe to say the Los Angeles Angels will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday. They have lost five straight coming in, including each of the first three against the Rays in this series. They will be desperate to avoid the sweep today. I like the Angels’ chances of winning by two runs or more today behind Shohei Ohtani. He has gone 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in six starts with 43 K’s in 32 2/3 innings. His two best starts this season have come on Sunday afternoon home starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.848 WHIP in three home starts this year. Lifetime reliever Sergio Romo will start for the Rays for a second straight day. He only pitched one inning yesterday, and the plan will be for one more inning today most likely. That will force the Rays to unload their bullpen early, which is going to be a big advantage for the Angels. The Rays are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in its last seven Sunday games. The Rays are 0-5 in their last five during Game 4 of a series. The Angels are 5-1 in Ohtani’s last six starts. Los Angeles is 4-0 in Ohtani’s last four Sunday starts. Bet the Angels on the Run Line Sunday. |
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05-16-18 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-120) The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a victory here Wednesday night. They have lost the first two games of this series to Oakland and will be looking to avoid a rare sweep at home. I think they get the job done by two runs or more with their ace on the mound. Chris Sale gets the ball for the Red Sox. He is 3-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in three home starts. Sale is also 4-3 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.862 WHIP in nine career starts against Oakland. Trevor Cahill has pitched well in limited action at home, but he’s 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two road starts this season. Cahill is also 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.518 WHIP in five career starts against Boston. Sale is 32-7 vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last three seasons. His teams are winning by 3.3 runs per game on average in this spot. Boston is 29-5 as a favorite of -200 or more over the last two years. It is winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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05-02-18 | Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins | 6-0 | Win | 110 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+110) The Philadelphia Phillies will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday. They have lost four straight coming in with their last win coming behind Aaron Nola in a 7-3 victory over Atlanta. Well, their ace gets the ball again tonight. Nola has been lights out since the second half of last season. Nola is 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in six starts this season. He gave up just one earned run in 7 innings while striking out 11 in his last start against Miami, an 8-1 Phillies’ victory. Jose Urena is still in search of his first win of the season for the Marlins. He is 0-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.303 WHIP in six starts this season. The Marlins have gone 0-6 in those six starts. Urena is 1-2 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in five career starts against Philadelphia. The Phillies are 8-1 in their last nine games when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Philadelphia is 4-0 in its last four games after losing the first two games of a series. The Marlins are 0-8 in Urena’s last eight starts. Miami is 1-10 in Urena’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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05-01-18 | White Sox v. Cardinals -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110) The St. Louis Cardinals come into this series with the Chicago White Sox highly motivated for a victory. They were just swept in a 3-game set in Pittsburgh over the weekend. Now they get to host the 8-18 Chicago White Sox to get back on track. Michael Wacha has pitched well this season, going 4-1 with a 3.62 ERA in five starts, including 3-0 with a 2.04 ERA in three home starts. Wacha won his only career start against the White Sox back in 2015. James Shields somehow manages to keep a spot in Chicago’s rotation despite being awful. Shields is 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in five starts this season. He is also 0-1 with an 8.74 ERA and 2.383 WHIP in two career starts against St. Louis. The White Sox are 25-54 in their last 79 road games. Chicago is 2-11 in its last 13 interleague road games. The White Sox are 0-5 in Shields’ last five starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 6-0 in Wacha’s last six starts vs. AL Central opponents. St. Louis is 38-14 in its last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Roll with the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-17-18 | Marlins v. Yankees -1.5 | 9-1 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-140) I backed the Yankees on the Run Line yesterday in a 12-1 victory over the Miami Marlins. I’m going to hop back on board today with the same pick. Instead of taking the Yankees at roughly -300 on the money line, we’ll back them at -140 on the Run Line at a much more favorable price. The Marlins are the worst team in baseball in my opinion. They are just 4-12 this season with 11 of those 12 losses coming by 2 runs or more. Their lineup is atrocious, and their rotation is awful as well. Jarlin Garcia stands little chance of being successful against this potent Yankees’ lineup tonight. Masahiro Tanaka should be able to shut down the Marlins. This is by far his easiest start of the year after facing the Blue Jays, Orioles and Red Sox in his first three starts. He has posted a 1.039 WHIP with 18 K’s in 17 1/3 innings thus far. Tanaka gave up just 2 earned runs in 7 innings in his lone career start against Miami for a 2.57 ERA. The Marlins are 18-40 in their last 58 vs. AL East opponents. Miami is 8-25 in its last 33 interleague road games. The Yankees are 7-0 in their last seven interleague games. New York is 8-1 in its last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Yankees are 40-17 in Tanaka’s last 57 home starts. New York is 5-1 in its last six home meetings with Miami. Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-16-18 | Marlins v. Yankees -1.5 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-125) Instead of laying -300 or more to back the Yankees on the Money Line tonight, we’ll gladly lay just -125 with them on the Run Line in hopes that they win this game by two runs or more. I think that shouldn’t be a problem against what I believe is the worst team in baseball in the Miami Marlins. The Marlins are just 4-11 this season with 10 of those 11 losses coming by two runs or more. The Yankees are rested and ready to go after having the last two days off due to weather. Giancarlo Stanton will be excited to face his former team for the first time as well. Luis Severino is one of the better starters in baseball. He went 14-6 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 31 starts last season. He struck out 230 batters in 193 1/3 innings. He is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.167 WHIP through three starts this season as well. Caleb Smith has not fared well in limited action in the big leagues in his brief two-year career to this point. He is 0-2 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.625 WHIP while allowing 23 earned runs and 6 homers in 32 innings. He is in line to get rocked against this potent Yankees’ lineup tonight. The Marlins are 18-39 in their last 57 vs. AL East opponents. Miami is 8-24 in its last 32 interleague road games. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last six interleague games. New York is 7-1 in its last eight home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Yankees are 7-0 in Severino’s last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record. New York is 13-3 in Severino’s last 16 home starts. Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Monday. |
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04-13-18 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) The Houston Astros will be highly motivated for a victory at home tonight following back-to-back losses at Minnesota. They are still 9-4 on the season with seven of those wins coming by two runs or more. So instead of laying -240 on the money line, we’ll back them on the run line at a much more favorable -119 price. Gerrit Cole has delivered in a big way for the Astros in the early going. He is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two starts with 22 strikeouts in 14 innings. One of those starts came against Texas on April 1st as he allowed just one earned run in 7 innings while striking out 11. Cole is now 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two career starts against Texas. Cole Hamels has taken a big step back since joining the Rangers. He hasn’t fared well thus far in 2018, going 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.625 WHIP in three starts. Hamels is 0-2 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against Houston, giving up 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. Texas is 1-11 off two straight losses by 4 runs or more over the last two seasons. It is coming back to lose by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot. The Rangers are 0-9 in their last nine vs. starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Houston is 7-1 in the last eight meetings. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday. |
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04-11-18 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-123) Instead of laying roughly -265 to back the Indians on the money line, we are going to take the hugely discounted price of -123 on the run line tonight. I am sure they will get the win against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Tigers, and it’s likely to come by two runs or more due to their massive advantage on the mound. Carlos Carrasco is one of the better starters in baseball. He is off to a 2-0 start with a 5.40 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in his two starts this season. Carrasco has dominated the Tigers recently, going 7-1 with a 1.52 ERA in his last 11 starts against them, giving up just 11 earned runs in 65 1/3 innings. Jordan Zimmerman has been a massive bust in Detroit. He is 0-0 with an 8.71 ERA and 1.646 WHIP in his two starts this season against Chicago and Pittsburgh, giving up 10 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings. Zimmerman has never beaten the Indians, going 0-4 with a whopping 10.88 ERA and 2.014 WHIP in five career starts against them. The Tigers are 1-8 in Zimmerman’s last nine starts when working on five days’ rest. Detroit is 17-47 in its last 64 games overall. The Indians are 21-5 in Carrasco’s last 26 starts vs. AL Central opponents. Cleveland is 8-0 in Carrasco’s last eight home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 7-0 in Carrasco’s last seven starts when working on four days’ rest. Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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04-10-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 130 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+130) Instead of laying -175 or so to back the Cardinals on the money line, I’m going to take the value and bet the Cardinals on the -1.5 run line at a +130 price. I have no doubt the Cardinals win this game, and it’s likely they do so by 2 runs or more given their advantage on the mound. Carlos Martinez pitched 8 1/3 shutout innings while striking out 10 in a 6-0 win at Milwaukee in his last start. He is now 6-4 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Brewers. He’ll be motivated to help the Cardinals bounce back from two consecutive losses coming in, including one in extra innings last night to the Brewers. Brent Suter has been rocked in the early going. He is 1-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.700 WHIP while allowing 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 10 innings pitched across two starts this season. Suter has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in two career starts against them. The Cardinals are 4-1 in Martinez’s last five home starts. The Brewers are 1-4 in their last five vs. a team with a losing record. St. Louis is 8-2 in Martinez’s last 10 Tuesday starts. Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-09-18 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-123) The Cleveland Indians have a massive edge on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Detroit Tigers. Look for them to win this game by multiple runs. So instead of laying -270 on the run line, we’ll take the much more generous price of -123 on the run line tonight. Corey Kluber is one of the Top 5 starters in baseball. He has gone 0-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.800 WHIP in two starts this season, and will be motivated to pick up his first victory tonight. Kluber owned the Tiger in his final three starts against them last year, going 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA while allowing just 2 earned runs in 22 innings. Francisco Liriano is well past his prime and fortunate to still have a spot in a rotation somewhere. Liriano gave up 7 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against Cleveland last year. Look for the Indians to finally get their bats going tonight against Liriano. The Tigers are 2-12 in their last 14 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Indians are 23-5 in their last 28 during Game 1 of a series. Cleveland is 36-15 in Kluber’s last 51 starts, and 24-9 in his last 33 home starts. Take the Indians on the Run Line Monday. |
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04-08-18 | Royals v. Indians -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) I fully expect the Cleveland Indians to bounce back from a 1-0 loss to the Royals yesterday with a win by two runs or more today. So instead of laying the -200 price on the money line, I’ll take the -1.5 run line. Mike Clevinger is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in his lone start this season. He is one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Clevinger is 2-0 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City. Jason Hammel is 3-5 with a 5.37 ERA in 10 career starts against Cleveland. He gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings and 10 base runners in a 1-6 loss at Detroit in his first start this season for a 9.00 ERA and 2.00 WHIP. Hammel is 1-17 in his last 18 games as an underdog of +175 to +250. His teams are losing by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot. Bet the Indians on the Run Line. |
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04-07-18 | Padres v. Astros -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130) The Houston Astros are actually better on paper this season than the team that won the World Series last year. A big reason for that was the signing of Gerrit Cole, adding another No. 1 starter to an already loaded rotation. Cole was sharp in his first start for the Astros. He allowed just one run and five base runners in 7 innings while striking out 11 in an 8-2 victory at Texas. The Astros are off to a hot start this year, going 6-2 with five of those wins coming by 3 runs or more. The Padres are just 2-6 on the season, picking up a rare win in Game 1 yesterday that will have the Astros motivated to bounce back with a win today. And Bryan Mitchell, who gave up 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 4-7 loss to Colorado in his first start this season, is in line to get rocked by this potent Houston lineup. Houston is 22-7 after a game where it had 4 or fewer hits over the last three seasons. The Padres are 3-12 in their last 15 games overall. San Diego is 0-5 in its last five games following a win. Houston is 22-4 in its last 26 home games. The Astros are 30-12 in their last 42 vs. NL West opponents. Take the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-03-18 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Marlins | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125) I’ll continue fading the Miami Marlins on the Run Line. They are the worst team in baseball and it will be a profitable move to fade them on the Run Line all season. The Red Sox are one of the best teams in baseball and are off to a 4-1 start this season. Miami will be up against one of the Top 5 best starters in the game in Chris Sale. Sale dominated in his first start, pitching six shutout innings while striking out nine batters against Tampa Bay. He will shut down this weak Miami lineup. Jose Urena was roughed up in his first start for the Marlins, giving up 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings in a 4-8 loss to the Cubs. He hasn’t fared well in his big league career, and he’s up against it here against this potent Red Sox lineup. Boston is 17-4 in interleague games over the last two seasons, winning by 1.5 runs per game. The Red Sox are 20-3 in Tuesday games over the last two years, winning by 3.1 runs per game. Boston is 6-0 in Sale’s last six road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Marlins are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Miami is 1-5 in Urena’s last six starts vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-01-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. Marlins | 0-6 | Loss | -120 | 2 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) I’ve stated before already this season that I believe you can fade the Marlins on the Run Line every game and make money. They are far and away the worst team in baseball, and that will show over the course of a 162-game season. After getting a taste of the playoffs last year with Chicago, Jose Quintana wants more. He went 7-3 with a 3.74 ERA in 14 starts with the Cubs. He struck out 10.5 batters per 9 innings with the Cubs as well. Dillon Peters was in the minors last year when he got hurt fielding a ground ball. He had to rehab his fractured thumb for three months. And he wasn’t very effective when healthy, going 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins last year. The Cubs are 7-2 in Quintana’s last nine starts, including 4-0 in his last four starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Marlins are 1-7 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter. Miami is 1-7 in its last eight during Game 4 of a series. The Marlins are 0-5 in their last five Sunday games. Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday. |
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03-31-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. Marlins | 10-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125) I’m of the belief that if you fade the fade the Marlins on the run line all season you will win money. That’s especially the case when they are at home and you’re getting cheaper run line prices on the road teams. The Marlins have the worst roster in baseball, and it’s not even close. Derek Jeter and company gutted the roster and basically got rid of all their best players. It’s going to be a long season in Miami. Yu Darvish will be highly motivated to prove that the Cubs made the right move getting him this offseason. He also wants to erase the sour taste out of his mouth from the World Series with the Dodgers. Darvish 8-5 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in road games last year. Chicago is 16-2 when revenging a one run loss over the last two seasons. It is coming back to win by 2.8 runs per game on average in this spot. Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday. |
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03-30-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) The Miami Marlins are the worst team in baseball, period. It will be a profitable move to fade them on the run line all season. They have the worst lineup in baseball, and their starting rotation leaves a lot to be desired as well. The Cubs have a big edge on the mount with Kyle Hendricks, who has posted a 2.94 ERA over four major league seasons, going 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA in 2016. In his final 16 starts last year, he allowed on or fewer runs in eight of them. Rookie left-hander Caleb Smith will make his Marlins debut after being acquired from the Yankees on Nov. 20. Smith is a 16th-round pick out of Sam Houston State. He only has nine games of big league experience. That includes two starts and a 7.71 ERA last year. Joe Maddon is 96-47 as a road favorite of -125 or more as the coach of the Cubs. They are winning by 2.0 runs per game on average in this spot. Chicago is 13-6 in Hendricks’ last 19 road starts. Miami is 1-10 in its last 11 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Roll with the Cubs on the Run Line Friday. |
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10-03-17 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
15* Twins/Yankees AL Wild Card No-Brainer on New York -1.5 (-115) |
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09-27-17 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130) |
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09-25-17 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -1.5 | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) |
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09-21-17 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Reds | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+100) |
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09-17-17 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 40 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-105) |
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09-15-17 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110) |
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09-14-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115) |
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09-13-17 | A's v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100) |
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09-12-17 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 135 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+135) |
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09-11-17 | Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+125) |
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08-25-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Phillies | 1-7 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE NIGHT on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-115) |
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08-22-17 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-105) |
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08-20-17 | White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-105) |
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08-18-17 | White Sox v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-120) |
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08-17-17 | Cleveland Indians - Game #1 -1.5 v. Minnesota Twins - Game #1 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
25* AL Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100, Game 1) |
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08-14-17 | Reds v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105) |
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08-11-17 | Reds v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 11-10 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+115) |
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08-07-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
20* Cubs/Giants ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Chicago -1.5 (+100) |
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08-05-17 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-140) |
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08-02-17 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-120) |
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07-28-17 | Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-125) |
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07-26-17 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115) |
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07-07-17 | Tigers v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120) |
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06-29-17 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120) |
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06-26-17 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show |
20* NL Monday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-110) |
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06-22-17 | Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 10-5 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
20* AL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) |
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06-21-17 | Angels v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
20* AL Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120) |
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06-10-17 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) |
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06-09-17 | White Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-114) |
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06-03-17 | Indians -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 5-12 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 26 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-110) |
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05-31-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 56 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105) |
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05-29-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125) |
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05-28-17 | Mariners v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+100) |
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05-27-17 | Padres v. Nationals -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-110) |
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05-26-17 | Mariners v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 120 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+120) |
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05-24-17 | Rangers v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-120) |
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05-23-17 | Indians -1.5 v. Reds | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+100) |
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05-09-17 | Braves v. Astros -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 105 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (+105) |
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04-15-17 | Rays v. Red Sox -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-105) |
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04-08-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Brewers | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-110) |
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09-26-16 | Reds v. Cardinals -1.5 | 15-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+109) |
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09-24-16 | Giants -1.5 v. Padres | 9-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-125) |
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09-09-16 | Brewers v. Cardinals -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
25* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+101) |
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08-22-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-128) |
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08-05-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. A's | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-125) |
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08-02-16 | Giants -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 8-13 | Loss | -127 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-127) |
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07-21-16 | Twins v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-103) |
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07-17-16 | Giants -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-130) |
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07-04-16 | Reds v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-105) |
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06-20-16 | White Sox v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-106) |
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06-06-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-141) |
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06-02-16 | Reds v. Rockies -1.5 | 11-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+111) |
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06-01-16 | Reds v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (-109) |
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05-28-16 | Padres v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 7-8 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+108) |
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05-20-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-109) |
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05-19-16 | Astros v. White Sox -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 55 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+130) |
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05-17-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Brewers | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-115) |
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05-17-16 | Reds v. Indians -1.5 | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-114) |
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05-03-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Pirates | 7-1 | Win | 102 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+102) |
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05-01-16 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120) |
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04-13-16 | Braves v. Nationals -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 104 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+104) |
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10-08-15 | Texas Rangers v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110) |
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09-30-15 | Oakland A's v. Los Angeles Angels -1.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-116) |
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09-22-15 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Chicago Cubs -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
25* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-133) |
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09-21-15 | Los Angeles Angels +1.5 v. Houston Astros | 3-6 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Angels +1.5 (-115) |
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09-18-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians +1.5 | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
15* AL Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians +1.5 (-124) |
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08-29-15 | New York Yankees -1.5 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) |
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08-27-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 v. Miami Marlins | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-115) |
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06-18-15 | Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+102) |
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06-01-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) |
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05-27-15 | Atlanta Braves +1.5 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-130) |
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05-22-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-112) |
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05-04-15 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105) |
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04-17-15 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 101 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
20* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+101) |
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10-03-14 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 v. Los Angeles Dodgers | Top | 10-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
25* MLB Run Line GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 (-135) |
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09-15-14 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 v. Minnesota Twins | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-108) |