Sports Picks & Predictions

Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 20, 2018
Raptors vs Wolves
Wolves
-3½ -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Minnesota went 0-2 on its recent roadtrip as it heads back home to get back into the win column. This is a big game for the Timberwolves, which are 18-6 at home, as they remain a game behind San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. They are a game under .500 on the road and making this one bigger is the fact that five of their next six game are on the road. The home/road splits for Minnesota have been pretty clear as the home team is 10-0 in the Timberwolves last 10 games. Toronto won but did not cover for us last night as these teams continue to blow double-digit leads. The Raptors improved to 17-3 at home and while they have been solid on the road, they are in a bad spot tonight. they are 3-3 playing with no rest and this is the first instance of the season where they go from home to away in back-to-back nights. Of their 14 road wins, nine have come against teams with losing records and of the five road wins against winning teams, four of those were against teams three games over .500 or worse. Going back, the Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record while Minnesota has covered six straight home games. 10* (516) Minnesota Timberwolves

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Jan 20, 2018
Maple Leafs vs Senators
Maple Leafs
-130 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

Toronto has had a rough go of it of late as it closed out on a 0-1-1 run prior to its bye week and then came back only to go 0-0-2 in its two games since the time off. The four-game losing streak is a season high but the Maple Leafs cannot get too discouraged over it considering each of the four games have been winnable and decided late. They are in a good spot to get back into the win column tonight as their 12-10-3 road record is not horrible and seven of those losses have come against teams currently sitting in playoff spots with three others against teams just on the outside looking in. Toronto has a better offense on the road than at home as it is averaging 3.28 gpg which is second in the NHL. Ottawa is sitting in second to last place in the Atlantic Division after dropping 20 of its last 27 games and its playoff run from last season will not be repeated. Defense has been a real problem as goalie Craig Anderson is having one of his worst season ever of his 15-year career as he is allowing 3.21 gpg and his home numbers have been worse as he possesses a 3.33 GAA in 19 home games. Ottawa is just 5-15 this season against teams ranked within the top 16 of the league and Toronto will be out for payback from a 4-3 home loss to the Senators which came right before their bye week. 10* (9) Toronto Maple Leafs

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
Missouri vs Texas A&M
Texas A&M
-5½ -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. Texas A&M has let us down in its last two games, but we can expect one of its best efforts in a while today as it needs to ride the momentum from its first conference win of the season. The Aggies opened the season 0-5 in the SEC as it dealt with injuries and suspensions, but they are back to full strength for the third straight game and despite the 1-5 conference record, they are ranked No. 35 in the RPI and while that is a big drop from non-conference time, it shows this is still a very strong team. They blew an eight-point halftime lead in the last game against Mississippi to win by just two points as they went just 8-16 from the free throw line after coming into the game shooting 70 percent from the charity stripe. Missouri is having a fine season despite the loss of freshman phenom Michael Porter Jr. who was lost for the season after the first game as the Tigers are 13-5 overall. They are coming off a win over Tennessee and have covered three straight games and one of their strengths will be negated in this matchup. They are a strong rebounding team but Texas A&M in ranked No. 4 in the nation in rebounding. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. 10* (602) Texas A&M Aggies

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
Creighton vs Providence
Providence
-1 -109 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. Providence has bounced back from a pair of losses by winning its last three games including a pair of victories over to p30 teams to improve to 4-2 in the Big East Conference. They remain home where they are 9-2 on the season, the losses coming against Minnesota, which was at full strength at the time, and Marquette in overtime. This is an under the radar team that is not getting the credit it deserves as all five starters from the 20-win season from a year ago are back and they are the most experienced team in the conference. Creighton is coming off a blowout win over Seton Hall to improve to 5-2 in the conference. Of those seven games, the home team has won six of those as the only host blemish was a Bluejays win at Georgetown. They are 12-0 at home but just 2-3 on the road. Creighton did get some bad news as top big man Martin Krampelj has been lost for the season as he tore his ACL last game. He is the No. 3 scorer on the team with 11.9 ppg and the leading rebounder at 8.1 rpg. Providence will be out to avenge a 19-point loss suffered in Omaha on New Year's Eve as it improves upon its 15-5 ATS run in Big East games. 10* (574) Providence Friars

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
Texas vs West Virginia
West Virginia
-9 -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. It has been an inspirational run for Texas which won its first game after guard Andrew Jones was diagnosed with leukemia in an overtime win over TCU, lost at Oklahoma St. by just a point and then beat Texas Tech at home on Wednesday by nine points. The two wins in this stretch were quality victories but both came at home and the Longhorns are 2-2 on the road, the last two resulting in losses. The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. West Virginia was rolling along until last weekend as it was riding a 15-game winning streak before losing by a point at Texas Tech and then losing at home against Kansas, blowing double-digit leads in both of those games. The Mountaineers dropped to No. 19 in the RPI, but this setup is eerily similar to the same exactly one year ago when the Mountaineers dropped games to Oklahoma and Kansas St. before ending the skid against No. 2 Kansas, 85-69, at the Coliseum three days later. West Virginia also has the schedule advantage as it has not played since Monday and getting to remain home while Texas has two fewer days off and has to take travel into consideration. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. 10* (564) West Virginia Mountaineers

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
UNLV vs Colorado State
UNLV
-4 -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. UNLV had a miserable season last year as it finished 4-14 in the Mountain West Conference and it is off to a 2-3 start this season. The road team is 5-0 in its five conference games and while the Rebels are 5-3 over their last eight games, they are 0-8 ATS in those contests which will bring concern to some but all that does is put the public on the other side and add line value to their side. This is a very balanced team and while still rather young, the Rebels brought in a top 20 recruiting class and this is the time of year those players can start gelling. Colorado St. is 3-4 in the MWC and like UNLV, the road team has dominated, going 6-1 in its seven conference games. Typically, the Rams have a very strong home court edge, but they are just 6-3 against Division I opponents and outscoring opponents by just over three ppg. They are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning road record. Colorado St. lost its last game at home against Air Force, but it suffered a much bigger loss as guard Prentiss Nixon, who leads the team with 17.9 ppg, hurt his ankle late in the game and while he is listed as doubtful, he will most likely be out. 10* (611) UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
Memphis vs Tulsa
Tulsa
-4 -115 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE four our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Tulsa last Saturday as it stayed within the inflated number at home against Wichita St. and following a one-point loss at Temple on Wednesday, it has now lost four straight games after a 3-0 start in the AAC. Three of those took place on the highway and the Golden Hurricane bring in a 7-2 home record. They arguably have one of the worst conference schedules as they play back-to-back home AAC games only once all season. The bad news after this game is a rematch at Wichita St. but the good news is that it is not for another eight days so there will be full focus to end this current losing streak. It has been the opposite start in the conference season for Memphis as it lost its first two AAC games and has since reeled off four straight wins. Three of those were at home however while the lone road win needed overtime to get the job done. The Tigers are 1-5 away from home including a 1-3 record in true road games. The recent runs for both teams are keeping this line in check as we projected it to be -5 so the value is on the home side. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (660) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
George Washington vs VCU
VCU
-8 -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. VCU got off to a 3-1 start in the A-10 but hit the road and got annihilated at Dayton by 27 points and it could recover coming back home, losing to Richmond by 15 points as an 8.5-point favorite. That puts the Rams in a great spot Saturday to rebound in a big way before they hit the road for two more games. The normally strong defense has not been very good this season but facing a very poor George Washington offense can cure those problems. Despite the recent loss, they have covered five of their last seven home games. We played on George Washington this week as it snapped a four-game slide with a blowout win over George Mason but that was at home where it has been solid at 9-3 but the road has been an issue as it is 0-7 including a 0-5 in five true road games while getting outscored by nearly 20 ppg. The Colonials are averaging just 57.2 ppg on 38 percent shooting on the road and have been held to 52 and 45 points in two of their three road conference games. Going back, they have covered just three of their last 17 road games while going 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (532) VCU Rams

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 20, 2018
Wright State vs Wisc-Milwaukee
Wisc-Milwaukee
+3 -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE PANTHERS for our Horizon League Game of the Year. Wright St. has been the big surprise of the Horizon League as it is 7-0 to start the conference season after coming in picked to finish No. 6 in the preseason poll. The Raiders were a 20-win team last season but lost three key starters and are currently without one of those returnees. They will likely be without third leading scorer Justin Mitchell for a fourth straight game dealing with a personal matter. They have not been dominant in the majority of their wins and while a victory at Northern Kentucky was impressive, that is the only good win on the season. Milwaukee is certainly no juggernaut but will provide a tough test here as it is a desperate team that has lost four straight games after a 2-2 start in conference play. It has been a brutal for the Panthers as they were forced to play five straight road games and then had to face arguably the best team in the conference in Northern Kentucky in their first game home and they were clearly fatigued from that run. They remain home which is big edge considering this is the fifth road game in the last six for the Raiders. This has been a solid spot in the past as the Panthers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (658) Milwaukee Panthers

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 21, 2018
Nets vs Pistons
Pistons
-6 -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Detroit is now on the outside looking in as it has fallen into ninth place in the Eastern Conference following its fourth consecutive loss on Friday at home against Washington. The Pistons have lost two straight games at home after a 13-5 start that included wins over Houston and San Antonio in their previous two home games. This is an important stretch for Detroit as this is part of a stretch where 10 of 11 games are at home so this is where the Pistons need to make a significant move. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. Brooklyn welcomed back the return of D'Angelo Russell who missed over two months of games because of a knee injury although his contributions in its win over Miami was insignificant. He played only 14 minutes, and had just one point and his minutes will be restricted again today as he is projected for 17 minutes. The Nets snapped a three-game slide with that victory and while they have been better, they are just 2-6 in their last eight games. The last road win came in Atlanta where it was getting three points and now it is getting only three points more against a substantially better team than the Hawks. 10* (806) Detroit Pistons

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Flyers vs Capitals
Capitals
-150 at 5Dimes
Lost
$150.0
Play Type: Top Premium

Despite two straight losses, the Capitals still sit atop the Metropolitan Division by four points over New Jersey and look to get back to their winning ways this afternoon. In addition to two straight losses, Washington has dropped its last two home games dating back to January 11, the first time they have lost consecutive home games since October, and the Capitals were put into a tough scheduling spot as they were forced to play back-to-back games following their five-day layoff. They have won four straight games in the third game of three games in four days, Philadelphia has won two straight games including a win over New Jersey yesterday making this a quick turnaround for the Flyers. They have been playing well with wins in six of their last seven games, but this includes just one road victory where they are 9-8-4 on the season. They have gone 1-4 in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The first meeting this season series was way back in October, but Washington has not forgotten it as it lost 8-2 in Philadelphia so there will be payback in this rivalry. 9* (52) Washington Capitals

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 21, 2018
Northern Iowa vs Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois
+1 +102 at 5Dimes
Won
$102
Play Type: Top Premium

We won with Northern Iowa last Saturday as it defeated Valparaiso to snap a five-game losing streak in the Valley and a seven-game losing streak overall. The Panthers followed that up with a 14-point win over Drake on Tuesday, handing the Bulldogs just their second conference loss of the season, but now is the time to fade once again. Both of those games were at home where Northern Iowa is a respectable 8-3 but it hits the road again where it is winless on the season with a 0-4 record in true road games. The Salukis have lost three of their last four games, but all three of the losses were on the road where they are 2-6 on the season. They return home to add to their 8-2 record in Carbondale and their defense will be the difference as they look to sweep the Panthers for the first time since 2003. At home, Southern Illinois is allowing just 63.4 ppg on 40.9 percent shooting and this is big considering the Salukis are 10-1 when they hold an opponent under 70 points and 1-8 when an opponent scores 70 or more. Northern Iowa has scored 70 or more points only six time this season and one of those took overtime to do so. The Panthers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (816) Southern Illinois Salukis

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 21, 2018
Virginia vs Wake Forest
Wake Forest
+10 -105 at 5Dimes
Tie
Play Type: Top Premium

Wake Forest suffered a 72-63 loss at NC State on Thursday and it was one they could have had as the Demon Deacons led 63-61 with four minutes left before the Wolfpack ended the game on an 11-0 run. It was the fourth straight loss, and fourth straight non-cover, for Wake Forest to fall to 1-5 in the ACC and while we have said before that making excuses for losses can hurt in the long run, the Demon Deacons have had a challenging schedule. Four of their six games have come on the road including games at Duke and North Carolina and they have played the third toughest conference schedule among ACC teams. This is a strong number and going back, the Demon Deacons are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. Virginia was picked to finish seventh in the ACC, but it has overachieved thus far with a 17-1 record and the Cavaliers are the only remaining undefeated team in the ACC at 6-0. Tonight does present a challenge however as this is the first time this season they have had to play back-to-back road games and with games against Clemson, Duke and Louisville on deck, a combined 14-5 in the ACC, there is the lookahead potential. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against team with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Vikings vs Eagles
Eagles
+3½ -120 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Eagles won for us last weekend and we are backing them again for a lot of the same reasons, namely the defense that is underrated. What was written last week goes for this week as well. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. He was above average last week against the Falcons, going 23-30 for 246 yards. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie once again. If not for a miracle, the Vikings would not be here but here they are and are laying points on the road as well. If this was the Saints and Drew Brees, who has plenty of playoff experience, the line would be the same and the Saints may have been the play. Minnesota does not have the same amount of experience and while it possesses the No. 1 defense, as mentioned, the Eagles stop unit is not too shabby either. Case Keenum has had a great season but take him off the turf with his speedy receivers and his numbers go down as he has a QB rating of 105.1 in nine games on turf indoors and just an 88.7 QB rating in six games on grass. 10* (314) Philadelphia Eagles

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Jan 21, 2018
Jaguars vs Patriots
Jaguars
+9½ -125 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Game of the Month. Jacksonville won its second straight playoff game despite losing the yardage battle, but it was different this time around. The Jaguars were outgained by 167 yards against the Steelers and that can be looked at one of two ways. Jacksonville could have been dominated on the field and was fortunate to win the turnover battle or we can find out how the yardage differential was generated which can make a big difference. While the former was partly true with the turnover advantage, most of the Pittsburgh yards came late in the game when the Jaguars were ahead, so a lot of those Pittsburgh yards were garbage yards. The Jaguars ran 61 offensive plays, and the Steelers defense finished with no sacks, no takeaways, only one tackle for loss when defending the Jacksonville 35 running plays, and only four hits on quarterback Blake Bortles. That efficiency can work against the Patriots as well as winning the game will mean mistake-free play. The defense matches up so well with the Patriots offense as they have the pass rush to get to quarterback Tom Brady, they have the physical corners to that negate the New England wide receivers who do not have the breakaway speed to begin with and they have the inside strength that can take Rob Gronkowski out of the game. This line is telling us the Jaguars have a 20 percent chance of winning and their chances are better than that with this defense no matter where this game is being played. The Patriots are publicly inflated based on name and history, but they would have been better off seeing Pittsburgh instead of Jacksonville and we will see why on Sunday as this will be no cakewalk to the Super Bowl. 10* (311) Jacksonville Jaguars

SERVICE BIO

Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

Rating Scale

Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.